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original: A short-term forecasting model for sectoral regional employment

Author

Listed:
  • F. Javier TrÎvez

    (Departamento de AnÂlisis EconÕmico, Facultad de Ciencias EconÕmicas y Empresariales, Gran Via 2-4, E-50005 Zaragoza, Spain)

  • Jesßs Mur

    (Departamento de AnÂlisis EconÕmico, Facultad de Ciencias EconÕmicas y Empresariales, Gran Via 2-4, E-50005 Zaragoza, Spain)

Abstract

Problems associated with employment have become a major issue in regional economics, especially in those countries, such as Spain, where unemployment represents a serious threat to regional stability. In this context, the purpose of our paper is twofold: first, to develop a prediction instrument for regional employment, one which should be flexible and efficient; secondly, to use this instrument in order to make a short term forecast of sectoral regional employment (and the labour force) of a characteristic region of Spain, namely AragÕn.

Suggested Citation

  • F. Javier TrÎvez & Jesßs Mur, 1999. "original: A short-term forecasting model for sectoral regional employment," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 33(1), pages 69-91.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:anresc:v:33:y:1999:i:1:p:69-91
    Note: Received: November 1996 / Accepted: November 1997
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2014. "Regional economic forecasting: state-of-the-art methodology and future challenges," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 3(4), pages 218-231.
    2. Pedro Niño & Roberto Coronado & Thomas Fullerton & Adam Walke, 2015. "Cross-border homicide impacts on economic activity in El Paso," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 49(4), pages 1543-1559, December.
    3. Fullerton, Thomas M., Jr. & Munoz Sapien, Gabriel & Barraza de Anda, Martha P. & Dominguez Ruvalcaba, Lisbeily, 2011. "Dinámica del Consumo de Gasolina en Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua [Gasoline Consumption Dynamics in Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua]," MPRA Paper 46853, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Jun 2012.
    4. Buda, Rodolphe, 2008. "Estimation de l'emploi régional et sectoriel salarié français : application à l'année 2006 [Estimation of the french salaried regional and sectoral employment: application to the year 2006]," MPRA Paper 34881, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Thomas Fullerton & Adam Walke, 2014. "Homicides, exchange rates, and northern border retail activity in Mexico," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 53(3), pages 631-647, November.

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