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Dinámica del Consumo de Gasolina en Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua
[Gasoline Consumption Dynamics in Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua]

Author

Listed:
  • Fullerton, Thomas M., Jr.
  • Munoz Sapien, Gabriel
  • Barraza de Anda, Martha P.
  • Dominguez Ruvalcaba, Lisbeily

Abstract

This research analyzes short-run gasoline consumption dynamics in Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua, México. Parameter estimation is carried out using linear transfer function ARIMA analysis. This market is of interest because it is influenced by regional, national, and international economic conditions due to its location on the border with the United States. Explanatory variables that satisfy the significance criterion include the real price of gasoline in Ciudad Juárez, the price of gasoline in Ciudad Juárez relative to that charged across the border in El Paso, Texas, USA, and formal sector employment in Ciudad Juárez. Out-of-sample simulations indicate that the model is relatively accurate for forecasts of to 1 to 24 months into the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Fullerton, Thomas M., Jr. & Munoz Sapien, Gabriel & Barraza de Anda, Martha P. & Dominguez Ruvalcaba, Lisbeily, 2011. "Dinámica del Consumo de Gasolina en Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua
    [Gasoline Consumption Dynamics in Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua]
    ," MPRA Paper 46853, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Jun 2012.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:46853
    as

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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/46853/1/MPRA_paper_46853.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

    1. Fullerton, Thomas M. & Jiménez, Alan A. & Walke, Adam G., 2015. "An econometric analysis of retail gasoline prices in a border metropolitan economy," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 450-461.
    2. Thomas M. Fullerton, Jr. & Jorge A. Ibarra Salazar & Mario Elizalde, 2015. "Microeconomic Gasoline Consumption Anomalies in Mexico: 1997-2007," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 5(4), pages 709-722, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Gasoline Consumption; Border Economics;

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods

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