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What drives economic growth sustainability? Evidence from Indonesia

Author

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  • Jaka Sriyana

    (Islamic University of Indonesia, Indonesia)

Abstract

This paper analyzes the determinants of economic growth sustainability in Indonesia. Based on annual data 1971-2017, this research applies the vector error correction model (VECM) to estimate the dynamic effects of the inflation rate, tax ratio, government spending, broad money, and exchange rate on economic growth. The findings present the existence of long-run equilibrium in a set of those variables. Specifically, the price level and fiscal policy have positive impact on economic growth sustainability. We also find that the effect of monetary policy on economic growth is neutral. The monetary authority should strengthen the impact of monetary variables on economic growth. The exchange rate is part of international factors that threats the economic growth sustainability. It implies that economic growth sustainability is closely related to the international financial sector. Therefore, the central bank should control the exchange rate variable at the safety level to maintain economic growth sustainability.

Suggested Citation

  • Jaka Sriyana, 2019. "What drives economic growth sustainability? Evidence from Indonesia," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 7(2), pages 906-918, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ssi:jouesi:v:7:y:2019:i:2:p:906-918
    DOI: 10.9770/jesi.2019.7.2(8)
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Daniel Ştefan Armeanu & Georgeta Vintilă & Ştefan Cristian Gherghina, 2017. "Empirical Study towards the Drivers of Sustainable Economic Growth in EU-28 Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-22, December.
    2. Akinsola Foluso A. & Odhiambo Nicholas M., 2017. "Inflation and Economic Growth: a Review of The International Literature," Comparative Economic Research, Sciendo, vol. 20(3), pages 41-56, September.
    3. Cuma BOZKURT, 2014. "Money, Inflation and Growth Relationship: The Turkish Case," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 4(2), pages 309-322.
    4. Enock Nyorekwa Twinoburyo & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2018. "Monetary Policy and Economic Growth: A Review of International Literature," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 7(2), pages 123-137.
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    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Awaluddin & Fitriadi Fitriadi & Arfiah Busari & Dio Caisar Darma, 2021. "Contemporary Indonesian GDP: Context of Analysis at Unemployment, Labor Force and Poor People," International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 7(4), pages 143-154, 12-2021.
    2. Ahmad Raflis Che Omar & Mohd Yahya Mohd Hussin & Fidlizan Muhammad, 2019. "Assessing Strategic Orientation and Mosques Performance," Research in World Economy, Research in World Economy, Sciedu Press, vol. 10(5), pages 30-35, December.
    3. Beata Szetela & Grzegorz Mentel & Yuriy Bilan & Urszula Mentel, 2021. "The relationship between trend and volume on the bitcoin market," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(1), pages 25-42, March.

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    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy

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