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Dynamics of Foreign Direct Investments in Bulgaria for the Period 1999 - 2011

Author

Listed:
  • Ekaterina Tosheva

    (University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria)

Abstract

The paper presents some of the main results of studying the dynamics of the net foreign direct investment (FDI) flows in Bulgaria by quarter on quarter for the period between 1999 and 2011. The analysis of the dynamics is limited to exploring the trend and seasonality in its dynamics. Based on ARIMA models, a forecast by quarters for 2012 have been estimated.

Suggested Citation

  • Ekaterina Tosheva, 2012. "Dynamics of Foreign Direct Investments in Bulgaria for the Period 1999 - 2011," Economic Alternatives, University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria, issue 2, pages 68-78, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:nwe:eajour:y:2012:i:2:p:68-78
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    foreign direct investment; trend; seasonality; forecasting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods

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