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Impacto de las intervenciones cambiarias sobre el nivel y la volatilidad de la tasa de cambio en Colombia

Author

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  • Juan José Echavarría

    ()

  • Diego Vásquez

    ()

  • Mauricio Villamizar

    ()

Abstract

Este trabajo evalúa los determinantes de las compras de divisas y su impacto sobre la tasa de cambio nominal en Colombia durante el período 2000-2008. Estimaciones Tobit muestran que el Banco Centralcompró divisas para compensar las revaluaciones frente al día anterior y para corregir tendencias excesivas" cuando se redujo la presión inflacionaria y cuando el Banco Central tuvo una posición acreedora neta. La estimación de un modelo EGARCH muestra que las compras de divisas devaluaron la tasa de cambio y redujeron su volatilidad, tanto en el corto plazo (un día) como en el mediano plazo (un mes,tres meses y seis meses). Las posibles contradicciones macroeconómicas no fueron suficientementefuertes para producir un efecto sobre la función de reacción de las autoridades o sobre el impacto de las intervenciones. El trabajo emplea metodologías que permiten evaluar la estabilidad de los parámetros de la ecuación de media y de volatilidad para el modelo EGARCH en forma simultánea."

Suggested Citation

  • Juan José Echavarría & Diego Vásquez & Mauricio Villamizar, 2010. "Impacto de las intervenciones cambiarias sobre el nivel y la volatilidad de la tasa de cambio en Colombia," ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE, vol. 28(62), pages 12-69, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000107:009426
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Juan José Echavarría & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia & Santiago Téllez & Mauricio Villamizar, 2013. "The Impact of Pre-announced Day-to-day Interventions on the Colombian Exchange Rate," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 010767, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
    2. Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas, 2016. "Identifying The Effects Of Simultaneous Monetary Policy Shocks," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 34(2), pages 268-296, April.
    3. Hernando Vargas & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez, 2013. "Foreign exchange intervention in Colombia," BIS Papers chapters,in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Sovereign risk: a world without risk-free assets?, volume 73, pages 95-125 Bank for International Settlements.
    4. Hernán Rincón & Jorge Toro, 2010. "Are Capital Controls and Central Bank Intervention Effective?," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 007622, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
    5. Juan José Echavarría & Luis Fernando Melo & Mauricio Villamizar, 2014. "The Impact of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Colombia. An Event Study Approach," REVISTA DESARROLLO Y SOCIEDAD, UNIVERSIDAD DE LOS ANDES-CEDE, November.
    6. Mauricio Lopera & Ramón Javier Mesa & Charle Londoño, 2014. "Evaluando las intervenciones cambiarias en Colombia: 2004-2012," ESTUDIOS GERENCIALES, UNIVERSIDAD ICESI, March.
    7. Mauricio Villamizar, 2014. "Identifying the Effects of Simultaneous Monetary Policy Shocks. Fear of Floating under Inflation targeting," Borradores de Economia 835, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    8. Andrés Murcia & Diego Rojas, 2014. "Determinantes de la tasa de cambio en Colombia: un enfoque de microestructura de mercados," Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 32(74), pages 52-67, Junio.
    9. Edgar Ventura Neyra & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2015. "Explaining the Determinants of the Frequency of Exchange Rate Interventions in Peru Using Count Models," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot GmbH, Berlin, vol. 61(3), pages 261-292.
    10. Guido M. Kuersteiner & David C. Phillips & Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas, 2016. "Effective Sterilized Foreign Exchange Intervention? Evidence from a Rule-Based Policy," Borradores de Economia 964, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    11. Jorge Mario Uribe & Natalia Restrepo López, 2015. "Dinámica del tipo de cambio, quiebre estructural e intervenciones de política en Colombia," REVISTA ECOS DE ECONOMÍA, UNIVERSIDAD EAFIT, vol. 19(41), pages 24-44, December.
    12. repec:lde:journl:y:2017:i:87:p:67-95 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. José Eduardo Gómez-González & Andrés F. García-Suaza, 2012. "A Simple Test of Momentum in Foreign Exchange Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 48(5), pages 66-77, September.
    14. María Angélica Arbeláez & Roberto Steiner, 2009. "Volatilidad cambiaria en Colombia: cuantificación y determinantes," WORKING PAPERS SERIES. DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO 009073, FEDESARROLLO.
    15. Rodrigo Taborda, 2013. "Bias in Economic News: The Reporting of Nominal Exchange Rate Behavior in Colombia," ECONOMIA JOURNAL, THE LATIN AMERICAN AND CARIBBEAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION - LACEA, vol. 0(Fall 2013), pages 103-153, August.
    16. Mauricio Lopera Castaño & Ramón Javier Mesa Callejas & Sergio Iván Restrepo Ochoa & Charle Augusto Londoño Henao, 2013. "Modelando el esquema de intervenciones del tipo de cambio para Colombia. una aplicación empírica de la técnica de regresión del cuantil bajo redes neu," REVISTA CUADERNOS DE ECONOMÍA, UN - RCE - CID, May.
    17. Juan David Durán-Vanegas, 2015. "Do foreign exchange interventions work as coordinating signals in Colombia?," Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 33(78), pages 169-175, Diciembre.
    18. Errea, Damián, 2012. "Tipo de cambio real multilateral en Argentina (1994-2007): un análisis sobre sus determinantes; su valor de equilibrio y su vinculación con el flujo neto de capitales," Nülan. Deposited Documents 1654, Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales, Centro de Documentación.
    19. Rodrigo Taborda, 2011. "Media bias and central bank response. Evidence from the nominal exchange rate behavior in Colombia," DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO 009153, UNIVERSIDAD DEL ROSARIO.
    20. Tobal Martín & Yslas Renato, 2016. "Two Models of FX Market Interventions: The Cases of Brazil and Mexico," Working Papers 2016-14, Banco de México.
    21. Sebastian Gomez-Cardona, 2014. "Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate in a Structural VAR for a Small Open Economy," REVISTA DESARROLLO Y SOCIEDAD, UNIVERSIDAD DE LOS ANDES-CEDE, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    intervenciones cambiarias; monto; modalidades e impacto de las intervenciones; funciónde reacción del Banco Central; estabilidad deparámetros; estimación Tobit; EGARCH.;

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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