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Pronósticos de producción agrícola





En el presente documento se plantean ejercicios econométricos para obtener pronósticos de producción en el corto plazo. La idea central es presentar aplicaciones del análisis de series de tiempo a las series de producción de arroz, palma africana y café. Durante 2005 estas tres actividades representaron, en conjunto, 26.6% de la producción agrícola total. La participación global de estas actividades se explica en 7.8% por la producción de arroz, en 15.7% por la de café y en 3.0% por la de palma africana.

Suggested Citation

  • Constanza MARTINEZ VENTURA, 2006. "Pronósticos de producción agrícola," ARCHIVOS DE ECONOMÍA 003394, DEPARTAMENTO NACIONAL DE PLANEACIÓN.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000118:003394

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    Pronósticos de producción; series de tiempo; producción agrícola colombina;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • Q10 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - General
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods


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