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Rising food commodity pricesand their pass-through to euro area consumer prices

Author

Listed:
  • Fructuoso Borrallo
  • Lucía Cuadro-Sáez
  • Javier J. Pérez

Abstract

The global rise in food commodity prices is passing through strongly to the consumer prices that households pay for these products. Further, the current episode has seen a more widespread increase in food items than other historical periods of stress in these markets. The results of an econometric model reveal that a temporary increase of 10% in the rate of change of food commodity prices leads to a rise in euro area headline inflation (HICP) of around 0.3 percentage points after 12 months.

Suggested Citation

  • Fructuoso Borrallo & Lucía Cuadro-Sáez & Javier J. Pérez, 2022. "Rising food commodity pricesand their pass-through to euro area consumer prices," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 3/2022.
    • Handle: RePEc:bde:journl:y:2022:i:03:d:aa:n:23
    Note: Analytical Articles
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    File URL: https://www.bde.es/f/webbde/SES/Secciones/Publicaciones/InformesBoletinesRevistas/ArticulosAnaliticos/22/T3/Files/be2203-art23e.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Roman Kopych & Viktor Shevchuk, 2023. "Time-Varying Impact of Commodity Prices on Output Growth and Inflation in the Eastern European Countries," Commodities, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-17, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    food prices; inflation; euro area.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy

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