The development and production of GDP flash estimates in a newly industrialised country: the case of South Africa
The experience accumulated from the development and production of a flash estimate of GDP as an official statistic at Statistics South Africa (Stats SA) is presented and discussed. This experience could inform national statistical organisations operating under similar statistical production constraints in other newly industrialised countries or elsewhere. The use of the flash estimate as an early indicator of business cycle slowdowns and upturns is also presented to demonstrate one possible by-product use of the flash estimate.
|Date of creation:||14 Jun 2010|
|Date of revision:||01 Dec 2010|
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- Dennis Fixler, 2004. "Revisions to GDP Estimates in the U.S," BEA Papers 0046, Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- S. A. Roberts, 1982. "A General Class of Holt-Winters Type Forecasting Models," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 28(7), pages 808-820, July.
- Marcus Scheiblecker & Sandra Steindl, 2006. "Austrian GDP Flash Estimates: A Description of Methods," Austrian Economic Quarterly, WIFO, vol. 11(2), pages 79-85, June.
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