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Shifting Taxes from Labour to Property. A Simulation under Labour Market Equilibrium

Author

Listed:
  • Flavia Coda Moscarola

    (University of Turin and CeRP-Collegio Carlo Alberto)

  • Ugo Colombino

    (University of Turin)

  • Francesco Figari

    (University of Insubria, and ISER University of Essex)

  • Marilena Locatelli

    (University of Turin)

Abstract

A tax shifting from labour income to housing taxation is generally advocated on efficiency grounds. However, most of the empirical literature focuses on the distributional implications of property tax reforms without paying much attention to potential consequences on the labour market. The aim of this paper is to fill this gap by investigating the effects of a tax shifting from labour income to property, guaranteeing revenue neutrality, and to assess the consequences of labour market equilibrium, both on occupation rates and income distribution. We propose to consider a hypothetical tax reform in Italy which uses the revenue of the tax on house property (actually implemented in 2012) for increasing tax credits on low incomes and making them refundable. In order to evaluate the reform we have developed a structural model of household labour supply which takes into account the labour market equilibrium conditions. Overall, the simulated policy provides a more effective income support and better incentives to work for low wage households and determines an improvement in inequality indexes.

Suggested Citation

  • Flavia Coda Moscarola & Ugo Colombino & Francesco Figari & Marilena Locatelli, 2015. "Shifting Taxes from Labour to Property. A Simulation under Labour Market Equilibrium," CeRP Working Papers 149, Center for Research on Pensions and Welfare Policies, Turin (Italy).
    • Handle: RePEc:crp:wpaper:149
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    Cited by:

    1. Ugo Colombino & Nizamul Islam, 2020. "Combining microsimulation and optimization to identify optimal flexible tax-transfer rule," CHILD Working Papers Series 86 JEL Classification: H2, Centre for Household, Income, Labour and Demographic Economics (CHILD) - CCA.
    2. Saša Ranđelović & Marko Vladisavljević, 2020. "Social Welfare Effects of Progressive Income Taxation under Increasing Inequality," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2020(5), pages 575-599.
    3. Ugo Colombino & Nizamul Islam, 2021. "Combining microsimulation and optimization to identify optimal universalistic tax-transfer rule," LISER Working Paper Series 2021-06, Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LISER).
    4. Islam, Nizamul & Colombino, Ugo, 2018. "The case for NIT+FT in Europe. An empirical optimal taxation exercise," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 38-69.
    5. Edlira Narazani & Ugo Colombino & Bianey Palma, 2023. "EUROLAB: A Multidimensional Labour Supply-Demand Model for EU Countries," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 16(3), pages 49-76.
    6. Coda Moscarola, Flavia & Colombino, Ugo & Figari, Francesco & Locatelli, Marilena, 2020. "Shifting taxes away from labour enhances equity and fiscal efficiency," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 367-384.
    7. Jörg Paetzold & Markus Tiefenbacher, 2018. "Distributional and revenue effects of a tax shift from labor to property," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 25(5), pages 1215-1251, October.
    8. Colombino, Ugo & Islam, Nizamul, 2020. "Optimal Tax-Transfer Rules under Equilibrium and New Labour Demand Scenarios," IZA Discussion Papers 13541, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    9. Nico Pestel & Eric Sommer, 2017. "Shifting Taxes from Labor to Consumption: More Employment and more Inequality?," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 63(3), pages 542-563, September.
    10. Nizamul Islam & Ugo Colombino, 2018. "The case for negative income tax with flat tax in Europe. An empirical optimal taxation exercise," Working Papers 454, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
    11. Saša Ranđelović & Marko Vladisavljević, . "Social Welfare Effects of Progressive Income Taxation under Increasing Inequality," Prague Economic Papers, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 0.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C35 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution
    • J22 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Time Allocation and Labor Supply
    • H31 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Household

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