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Estimating low sampling frequency risk measure by high-frequency data

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  • Wesselhöfft, Niels
  • Härdle, Wolfgang Karl

Abstract

Weekly, quarterly and yearly risk measures are crucial for risk reporting according to Basel III and Solvency II. For the respective data frequencies, the authors show in a simulation and backtest study that available data series are not sufficient in order to estimate Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall sufficiently, given confidence levels of 99.9% and 99.99%. Accordingly, this paper presents a semi-parametric estimation method, rescaling data from high- to low-frequency which allows to obtain significantly more data points for the estimation of the respective risk measures. The presented methodology in the α-stable framework, which is able to mimic multifractal behavior in asset returns, provides tail events which never occurred in the original low-frequency dataset.

Suggested Citation

  • Wesselhöfft, Niels & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2019. "Estimating low sampling frequency risk measure by high-frequency data," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2019-003, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:irtgdp:2019003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Guo, Li & Tao, Yubo & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2019. "Dynamic Network Perspective of Cryptocurrencies," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2019-009, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
    2. Jacob, Daniel & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Lessmann, Stefan, 2019. "Group Average Treatment Effects for Observational Studies," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2019-028, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    high-frequency; multifractal; stable distribution; rescaling; risk management; Value at Risk; quantile distribution;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C46 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Specific Distributions
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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