Domenico Giannone
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Blog mentions
As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:- Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2016.
"Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 201-215.
- Domenico Giannone & Francesca Monti & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2015. "Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting," Staff Reports 751, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2014. "Exploiting the monthly data-flow in structural forecasting," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 57998, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti , Francesca & Reichlin , Lucrezia, 2014. "Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting," Bank of England working papers 509, Bank of England.
- Domenico Giannone & Francesca Monti & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2014. "Exploiting the monthly data-flow in structural forecasting," Discussion Papers 1416, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
Mentioned in:
- Hey, Economist! How Do You Forecast the Present?
by Blog Author in Liberty Street Economics on 2017-06-16 20:15:00 - Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting
by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2014-10-05 22:06:38
- Marc Giannoni & Domenico Giannone & Andrea Tambalotti & Marco Del Negro, 2017.
"Safety, Liquidity, and the Natural Rate of Interest,"
2017 Meeting Papers
803, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc P. Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2017. "Safety, Liquidity, and the Natural Rate of Interest," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 48(1 (Spring), pages 235-316.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2017. "Safety, liquidity, and the natural rate of interest," Staff Reports 812, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Mentioned in:
- What’s happened so far with the return on safe and liquid assets?
by ? in FRED blog on 2020-08-31 13:00:00
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti , Francesca & Reichlin , Lucrezia, 2014.
"Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting,"
Bank of England working papers
509, Bank of England.
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2016. "Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 201-215.
- Domenico Giannone & Francesca Monti & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2015. "Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting," Staff Reports 751, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2014. "Exploiting the monthly data-flow in structural forecasting," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 57998, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Domenico Giannone & Francesca Monti & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2014. "Exploiting the monthly data-flow in structural forecasting," Discussion Papers 1416, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
Mentioned in:
- Hey, Economist! How Do You Forecast the Present?
by Blog Author in Liberty Street Economics on 2017-06-16 20:15:00 - Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting
by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2014-10-05 22:06:38
- Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2019.
"Vulnerable Growth,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(4), pages 1263-1289, April.
- Adrian, Tobias & Boyarchenko, Nina & Giannone, Domenico, 2016. "Vulnerable Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 11583, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2018. "Vulnerable Growth," Liberty Street Economics 20180409, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone & Tobias Adrian, 2017. "Vulnerable Growth," 2017 Meeting Papers 1317, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2016. "Vulnerable growth," Staff Reports 794, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Mentioned in:
- Possible pitfalls of a 1-in-X approach to financial stability
by BankUnderground in Bank Underground on 2020-02-06 09:00:00
- Del Negro, Marco & Giannone, Domenico & Giannoni, Marc P. & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2019.
"Global trends in interest rates,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 248-262.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2018, pages 248-262, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc P. Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," NBER Working Papers 25039, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," Working Papers 1812, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global trends in interest rates," Staff Reports 866, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Brandyn Bok & Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Eric Qian & Andrea Tambalotti, 2019. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," Liberty Street Economics 20190227, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Marco Del Negro & Andrea Tambalotti & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni, 2019. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," 2019 Meeting Papers 77, Society for Economic Dynamics.
Mentioned in:
- Così l’invecchiamento abbassa i tassi di interesse
by Andrea Papetti in La Voce on 2021-05-25 21:55:46
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012.
"A Quasi–Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1014-1024, November.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00638440, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-00638440, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers ECARES 2008_034, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," Post-Print hal-00638440, HAL.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Doz, Catherine & Giannone, Domenico, 2006. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 5724, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Doz, Catherine & Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2006. "A quasi maximum likelihood approach for large approximate dynamic factor models," Working Paper Series 674, European Central Bank.
Mentioned in:
- Time-Varying Dynamic Factor Loadings
by Francis Diebold in No Hesitations on 2016-01-20 23:32:00
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Small, David, 2008.
"Nowcasting: The real-time informational content of macroeconomic data,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(4), pages 665-676, May.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & David H. Small, 2005. "Nowcasting GDP and inflation: the real-time informational content of macroeconomic data releases," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2005-42, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Small, David, 2005. "Nowcasting GDP and Inflation: The Real Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases," CEPR Discussion Papers 5178, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & David H Small, 2007. "Nowcasting GDP and Inflation: The Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 164, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
Mentioned in:
- Just Released: Historical Reconstruction of the New York Fed Staff Nowcast, 2002-15
by Blog Author in Liberty Street Economics on 2019-07-12 15:27:59 - GDPNow's Forecast: Why Did It Spike Recently?
by macroblog in Macroblog on 2018-02-13 18:29:31 - The "Scariest Spreadsheet In Fed Possession" Just Revealed A Very Scary Number For Q2 GDP
by Tyler Durden in Zero Hedge on 2015-05-01 00:03:58
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008.
"Business Cycles in the Euro Area,"
NBER Working Papers
14529, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2009. "Business cycles in the euro area," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 8, pages 5-7.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Business Cycles in the Euro Area," NBER Chapters, in: Europe and the Euro, pages 141-167, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2009. "Business Cycles in the Euro Area," CEPR Discussion Papers 7124, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Business Cycles in the euro Area," Working Papers ECARES 2008_040, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Mentioned in:
- 34. Notable Women researchers on Economics
by Euro American Association EAAEDS in Euro-American Association: World Development on 2018-10-09 19:52:00
RePEc Biblio mentions
As found on the RePEc Biblio, the curated bibliography of Economics:- Laura Coroneo & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2014.
"Unspanned macroeconomic factors in the yield curve,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2014-57, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Laura Coroneo & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2016. "Unspanned Macroeconomic Factors in the Yield Curve," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 472-485, July.
- Laura Coroneo & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Modugno, 2013. "Unspanned Macroeconomic Factors in the Yields Curve," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2013-07, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Mentioned in:
- Bańbura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2013.
"Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 195-237,
Elsevier.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Modugno & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-026, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Bańbura, Marta & Modugno, Michele, 2013. "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," Working Paper Series 1564, European Central Bank.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Banbura, Marta, 2012. "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," CEPR Discussion Papers 9112, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Mentioned in:
- Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2013.
"Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 82-101, January.
- Giannone, Domenico & D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2010. "Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change," Working Paper Series 1167, European Central Bank.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca & Giannone, Domenico & Giannone, Domenico, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Research Technical Papers 8/RT/09, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Giannone, Domenico & D’Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," CEPR Discussion Papers 7542, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Working Papers ECARES 2009_020, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Mentioned in:
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2006.
"Does information help recovering structural shocks from past observations?,"
Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 4(2-3), pages 455-465, 04-05.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico, 2006. "Does Information Help Recovering Structural Shocks from Past Observations?," CEPR Discussion Papers 5725, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2006. "Does information help recovering structural shocks from past observations?," Working Paper Series 632, European Central Bank.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2006. "Does information help recovering structural shocks from past observations?," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/166169, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Mentioned in:
- Brandyn Bok & Daniele Caratelli & Domenico Giannone & Argia M. Sbordone & Andrea Tambalotti, 2017.
"Macroeconomic nowcasting and forecasting with big data,"
Staff Reports
830, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Brandyn Bok & Daniele Caratelli & Domenico Giannone & Argia M. Sbordone & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 615-643, August.
- Giannone, Domenico & Tambalotti, Andrea & Sbordone, Argia & Bok, Brandyn & Caratelli, Daniele, 2018. "Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 12589, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Mentioned in:
- > Econometrics > Forecasting > Nowcasting
- > Econometrics > Big Data
- Bańbura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2015.
"Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 739-756.
- Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta & Lenza, Michele, 2014. "Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections," CEPR Discussion Papers 9931, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza, 2014. "Conditional Forecasts and Scenario Analysis with Vector Autoregressions for Large Cross-Sections," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-15, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Bańbura, Marta & Lenza, Michele, 2014. "Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections," Working Paper Series 1733, European Central Bank.
Mentioned in:
- Forni, Mario & Giannone, Domenico & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2009.
"Opening The Black Box: Structural Factor Models With Large Cross Sections,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(5), pages 1319-1347, October.
- Mario Forni & Domenico Giannone & Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2007. "Opening the Black Box: Structural Factor Models with Large Cross-Sections," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 008, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Mario Forni & Domenico Giannone & Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Opening the Black Box: Structural Factor Models with Large Cross-Sections," Working Papers ECARES 2008_036, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Forni, Mario & Giannone, Domenico & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2007. "Opening the black box: structural factor models with large cross-sections," Working Paper Series 712, European Central Bank.
Mentioned in:
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Small, David, 2008.
"Nowcasting: The real-time informational content of macroeconomic data,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(4), pages 665-676, May.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & David H. Small, 2005. "Nowcasting GDP and inflation: the real-time informational content of macroeconomic data releases," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2005-42, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Small, David, 2005. "Nowcasting GDP and Inflation: The Real Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases," CEPR Discussion Papers 5178, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & David H Small, 2007. "Nowcasting GDP and Inflation: The Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 164, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
Mentioned in:
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012.
"A Quasi–Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1014-1024, November.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00638440, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-00638440, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers ECARES 2008_034, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," Post-Print hal-00638440, HAL.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Doz, Catherine & Giannone, Domenico, 2006. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 5724, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Doz, Catherine & Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2006. "A quasi maximum likelihood approach for large approximate dynamic factor models," Working Paper Series 674, European Central Bank.
Mentioned in:
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Sala, Luca, 2006.
"VARs, common factors and the empirical validation of equilibrium business cycle models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 257-279, May.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Sala, Luca & Giannone, Domenico, 2002. "VARs, Common Factors and the Empirical Validation of Equilibrium Business Cycle Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 3701, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenica Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2004. "VARs, Common Factors and the Empirical Validation of Equilibrium Business Cycle Models," Working Papers 258, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2006. "VARs, common factors and the empirical validation of equilibrium business cycle models," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/10127, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Mentioned in:
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio, 2017.
"Economic Predictions with Big Data: The Illusion Of Sparsity,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
12256, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2021. "Economic Predictions With Big Data: The Illusion of Sparsity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(5), pages 2409-2437, September.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2018. "Economic Predictions with Big Data: The Illusion of Sparsity," Liberty Street Economics 20180521, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2018. "Economic predictions with big data: the illusion of sparsity," Staff Reports 847, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2021. "Economic predictions with big data: the illusion of sparsity," Working Paper Series 2542, European Central Bank.
Mentioned in:
- > Econometrics > Big Data
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2005.
"Monetary Policy in Real Time,"
NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2004, Volume 19, pages 161-224,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Sala, Luca & Giannone, Domenico, 2005. "Monetary Policy in Real Time," CEPR Discussion Papers 4981, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2005. "Monetary policy in real time," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/6401, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Lucrezia Reichlin & Domenico Giannone & Luca Sala, "undated". "Monetary policy in real time," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/10177, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2005. "Monetary Policy in Real Time," Working Papers 284, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
Mentioned in:
- Marta Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010.
"Large Bayesian vector auto regressions,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 71-92.
- Marta Bańbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Large Bayesian vector auto regressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 71-92, January.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta, 2007. "Bayesian VARs with Large Panels," CEPR Discussion Papers 6326, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Martha Banbura & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Large Bayesian vector auto regressions," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/13388, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Large Bayesian VARs," Working Papers ECARES 2008_033, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Marta Bańbura, 2008. "Large Bayesian VARs," 2008 Meeting Papers 334, Society for Economic Dynamics.
Mentioned in:
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2015.
"Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(2), pages 436-451, May.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2012. "Prior selection for vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 1494, European Central Bank.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-002, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 8755, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," NBER Working Papers 18467, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Mentioned in:
- Primiceri, Giorgio & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2016.
"Priors for the Long Run,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
11261, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2019. "Priors for the Long Run," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 114(526), pages 565-580, April.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2017. "Priors for the long run," Staff Reports 832, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2018. "Priors for the long run," Working Paper Series 2132, European Central Bank.
Mentioned in:
Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions
(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012.
"A Quasi–Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1014-1024, November.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00638440, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-00638440, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers ECARES 2008_034, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," Post-Print hal-00638440, HAL.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Doz, Catherine & Giannone, Domenico, 2006. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 5724, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Doz, Catherine & Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2006. "A quasi maximum likelihood approach for large approximate dynamic factor models," Working Paper Series 674, European Central Bank.
Mentioned in:
- Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2013.
"Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 82-101, January.
- Giannone, Domenico & D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2010. "Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change," Working Paper Series 1167, European Central Bank.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca & Giannone, Domenico & Giannone, Domenico, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Research Technical Papers 8/RT/09, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Giannone, Domenico & D’Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," CEPR Discussion Papers 7542, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Working Papers ECARES 2009_020, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Mentioned in:
- Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change (Journal of Applied Econometrics 2013) in ReplicationWiki ()
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010.
"Nowcasting,"
Working Papers ECARES
ECARES 2010-021, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Bańbura, Marta, 2010. "Nowcasting," Working Paper Series 1275, European Central Bank.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta, 2010. "Nowcasting," CEPR Discussion Papers 7883, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Mentioned in:
- Nowcasting (economics) in Wikipedia (English)
- Marta Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010.
"Large Bayesian vector auto regressions,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 71-92.
- Marta Bańbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Large Bayesian vector auto regressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 71-92, January.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta, 2007. "Bayesian VARs with Large Panels," CEPR Discussion Papers 6326, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Martha Banbura & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Large Bayesian vector auto regressions," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/13388, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Large Bayesian VARs," Working Papers ECARES 2008_033, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Marta Bańbura, 2008. "Large Bayesian VARs," 2008 Meeting Papers 334, Society for Economic Dynamics.
Mentioned in:
- Large Bayesian vector auto regressions (Journal of Applied Econometrics 2011) in ReplicationWiki ()
Working papers
- Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Domenico Giannone & Eric Qian & Argia M. Sbordone, 2021.
"A Large Bayesian VAR of the United States Economy,"
Staff Reports
976, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Cited by:
- Anna Sznajderska & Alfred A. Haug, 2023. "Bayesian VARs of the U.S. economy before and during the pandemic," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 13(2), pages 211-236, June.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022.
"Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
- Lenza, Michele & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15854, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 2453, European Central Bank.
- Addie, Ron & Taranto, Aldo, 2024. "Economic Similarities and their Application to Inflation," EconStor Preprints 283286, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Lenza, Michele & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2021.
"Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
15854, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 2453, European Central Bank.
Cited by:
- Barbaglia, Luca & Frattarolo, Lorenzo & Onorante, Luca & Pericoli, Filippo Maria & Ratto, Marco & Tiozzo Pezzoli, Luca, 2022.
"Testing big data in a big crisis: Nowcasting under COVID-19,"
Working Papers
2022-06, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
- Barbaglia, Luca & Frattarolo, Lorenzo & Onorante, Luca & Pericoli, Filippo Maria & Ratto, Marco & Tiozzo Pezzoli, Luca, 2023. "Testing big data in a big crisis: Nowcasting under Covid-19," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1548-1563.
- Longo, Luigi & Riccaboni, Massimo & Rungi, Armando, 2022.
"A neural network ensemble approach for GDP forecasting,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
- Luigi Longo & Massimo Riccaboni & Armando Rungi, 2021. "A Neural Network Ensemble Approach for GDP Forecasting," Working Papers 02/2021, IMT School for Advanced Studies Lucca, revised Mar 2021.
- Donato Ceci & Orest Prifti & Andrea Silvestrini, 2024. "Nowcasting Italian GDP growth: a Factor MIDAS approach," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1446, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Meyer-Gohde, Alexander & Shabalina, Ekaterina, 2022. "Estimation and forecasting using mixed-frequency DSGE models," IMFS Working Paper Series 175, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Bjarni G. Einarsson, 2024. "Online Monitoring of Policy Optimality," Economics wp95, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
- Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021.
"Measuring the effectiveness of US monetary policy during the COVID‐19 recession,"
Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(3), pages 287-297, July.
- Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2020. "Measuring the Effectiveness of US Monetary Policy during the COVID-19 Recession," Papers 2007.15419, arXiv.org.
- Saiz, Lorena & Ashwin, Julian & Kalamara, Eleni, 2021. "Nowcasting euro area GDP with news sentiment: a tale of two crises," Working Paper Series 2616, European Central Bank.
- Tesi Aliaj & Milos Ciganovic & Massimiliano Tancioni, 2023. "Nowcasting inflation with Lasso‐regularized vector autoregressions and mixed frequency data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 464-480, April.
- James Chapman & Ajit Desai, 2022.
"Macroeconomic Predictions Using Payments Data and Machine Learning,"
Staff Working Papers
22-10, Bank of Canada.
- James T. E. Chapman & Ajit Desai, 2022. "Macroeconomic Predictions using Payments Data and Machine Learning," Papers 2209.00948, arXiv.org.
- James T. E. Chapman & Ajit Desai, 2023. "Macroeconomic Predictions Using Payments Data and Machine Learning," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-32, November.
- Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Domenico Giannone & Eric Qian & Argia M. Sbordone, 2021. "A Large Bayesian VAR of the United States Economy," Staff Reports 976, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Richard Schnorrenberger & Aishameriane Schmidt & Guilherme Valle Moura, 2024. "Harnessing Machine Learning for Real-Time Inflation Nowcasting," Working Papers 806, DNB.
- Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022.
"Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices,"
SciencePo Working papers Main
hal-03573080, HAL.
- Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," Working Papers 2023-06, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," Working Papers hal-03573080, HAL.
- Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," Papers 2201.05556, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
- Ricco, Giovanni & Hasenzagl, Thomas & Pellegrino, Filippo & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 17111, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Matteo Iacopini & Aubrey Poon & Luca Rossini & Dan Zhu, 2022.
"Bayesian Mixed-Frequency Quantile Vector Autoregression: Eliciting tail risks of Monthly US GDP,"
Papers
2209.01910, arXiv.org.
- Iacopini, Matteo & Poon, Aubrey & Rossini, Luca & Zhu, Dan, 2023. "Bayesian mixed-frequency quantile vector autoregression: Eliciting tail risks of monthly US GDP," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
- Beck, Günter W. & Carstensen, Kai & Menz, Jan-Oliver & Schnorrenberger, Richard & Wieland, Elisabeth, 2023. "Nowcasting consumer price inflation using high-frequency scanner data: Evidence from Germany," Discussion Papers 34/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2021. "Gauging the Effect of Influential Observations on Measures of Relative Forecast Accuracy in a Post-COVID-19 Era: Application to Nowcasting Euro Area GDP Growth," Working Papers 2021/01, Latvijas Banka.
- Daniel Hopp, 2022. "Performance of long short-term memory artificial neural networks in nowcasting during the COVID-19 crisis," Papers 2203.11872, arXiv.org.
- Bańbura, Marta & Belousova, Irina & Bodnár, Katalin & Tóth, Máté Barnabás, 2023. "Nowcasting employment in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2815, European Central Bank.
- Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Fan charts 2.0: flexible forecast distributions with expert judgement," Working Paper Series 2624, European Central Bank.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2021. "New York FED Staff Nowcasts and Reality: What Can We Learn about the Future, the Present, and the Past?," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-25, March.
- Andreini, Paolo & Hasenzagl, Thomas & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Senftleben-König, Charlotte & Strohsal, Till, 2023. "Nowcasting German GDP: Foreign factors, financial markets, and model averaging," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 298-313.
- Serena Ng & Susannah Scanlan, 2023. "Constructing High Frequency Economic Indicators by Imputation," Papers 2303.01863, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Alain Hecq & Marie Ternes & Ines Wilms, 2023. "Hierarchical Regularizers for Reverse Unrestricted Mixed Data Sampling Regressions," Papers 2301.10592, arXiv.org.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2021.
"Back to the Present: Learning about the Euro Area through a Now-casting Model,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
1313, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo & Ferreira, Thiago R.T. & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele, 2024. "Back to the present: Learning about the euro area through a now-casting model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 661-686.
Cited by:
- Arce-Alfaro, Gabriel & Blagov, Boris, 2021. "Heterogeneity, co-movements and financial fragmentation within the euro area," Ruhr Economic Papers 927, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Tuva Marie Fastbø & Eleonora Granziera & Kenneth Sæterhagen Paulsen & Kjersti Næss Torstensen, 2020. "Nowcasting Norwegian household consumption with debit card transaction data," Working Paper 2020/17, Norges Bank.
- Andreini, Paolo & Hasenzagl, Thomas & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Senftleben-König, Charlotte & Strohsal, Till, 2023. "Nowcasting German GDP: Foreign factors, financial markets, and model averaging," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 298-313.
- Patrick A. Adams & Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone & J. Nellie Liang & Eric Qian, 2020.
"What Do Financial Conditions Tell Us about Risks to GDP Growth?,"
Liberty Street Economics
20200521, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Cited by:
- Kremer, Manfred & Chavleishvili, Sulkhan, 2021. "Measuring Systemic Financial Stress and its Impact on the Macroeconomy," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242346, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Chavleishvili, Sulkhan & Fahr, Stephan & Kremer, Manfred & Manganelli, Simone & Schwaab, Bernd, 2021. "A risk management perspective on macroprudential policy," Working Paper Series 2556, European Central Bank.
- Chavleishvili, Sulkhan & Kremer, Manfred, 2023. "Measuring systemic financial stress and its risks for growth," Working Paper Series 2842, European Central Bank.
- Bank for International Settlements, 2022. "Private sector debt and financial stability," CGFS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 67, december.
- Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone & Anna Kovner, 2020.
"Bank Capital and Real GDP Growth,"
Staff Reports
950, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Cited by:
- Nina Boyarchenko & Giovanni Favara & Moritz Schularick, 2022.
"Financial Stability Considerations for Monetary Policy: Empirical Evidence and Challenges,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2022-006, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Nina Boyarchenko & Giovanni Favara & Moritz Schularick, 2022. "Financial Stability Considerations for Monetary Policy: Empirical Evidence and Challenges," Staff Reports 1003, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Gloria González-Rivera & Carlos Vladimir Rodríguez-Caballero & Esther Ruiz Ortega, 2021.
"Expecting the unexpected: economic growth under stress,"
CREATES Research Papers
2021-06, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Gonzalez Rivera, Gloria & Rodríguez Caballero, Carlos Vladimir & Ruiz Ortega, Esther, 2021. "Expecting the unexpected: economic growth under stress," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 32148, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Vladimir Rodriguez-Caballero & Esther Ruiz, 2021. "Expecting the unexpected: economic growth under stress," Working Papers 202106, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- Nina Boyarchenko & Giovanni Favara & Moritz Schularick, 2022.
"Financial Stability Considerations for Monetary Policy: Empirical Evidence and Challenges,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2022-006, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Adrian, Tobias & Adams, Patrick & Boyarchenko, Nina & Giannone, Domenico, 2020.
"Forecasting Macroeconomic Risks,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
14436, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Adams, Patrick A. & Adrian, Tobias & Boyarchenko, Nina & Giannone, Domenico, 2021. "Forecasting macroeconomic risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1173-1191.
- Patrick A. Adams & Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2020. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Risks," Staff Reports 914, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Cited by:
- Jan Pruser & Florian Huber, 2023. "Nonlinearities in Macroeconomic Tail Risk through the Lens of Big Data Quantile Regressions," Papers 2301.13604, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
- Valentina Aprigliano & Alessandro Borin & Francesco Paolo Conteduca & Simone Emiliozzi & Marco Flaccadoro & Sabina Marchetti & Stefania Villa, 2021. "Forecasting Italian GDP growth with epidemiological data," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 664, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Jane M. Ryngaert, 2023. "Balance of Risks and the Anchoring of Consumer Expectations," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-18, January.
- Christian P Pinshi, 2022. "Ciblage des prévisions d'inflation : Un nouveau cadre pour la politique monétaire ?," Working Papers hal-03548273, HAL.
- Nina Boyarchenko & Giovanni Favara & Moritz Schularick, 2022.
"Financial Stability Considerations for Monetary Policy: Empirical Evidence and Challenges,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2022-006, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Nina Boyarchenko & Giovanni Favara & Moritz Schularick, 2022. "Financial Stability Considerations for Monetary Policy: Empirical Evidence and Challenges," Staff Reports 1003, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Stolbov, Mikhail & Shchepeleva, Maria, 2022. "Modeling global real economic activity: Evidence from variable selection across quantiles," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
- David Kohns & Tibor Szendrei, 2021. "Decoupling Shrinkage and Selection for the Bayesian Quantile Regression," Papers 2107.08498, arXiv.org.
- Ferrara, Laurent & Mogliani, Matteo & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2022.
"High-frequency monitoring of growth at risk,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 582-595.
- Laurent Ferrara & Matteo Mogliani & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2020. "High-frequency monitoring of growth-at-risk," CAMA Working Papers 2020-97, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Jean-Guillaume Sahuc & Matteo Mogliani & Laurent Ferrara, 2022. "High-frequency monitoring of growth at risk," Post-Print hal-03361425, HAL.
- Iseringhausen, Martin, 2024.
"A time-varying skewness model for Growth-at-Risk,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 229-246.
- Martin Iseringhausen, 2021. "A time-varying skewness model for Growth-at-Risk," Working Papers 49, European Stability Mechanism.
- Efrem Castelnuovo & Lorenzo Mori, 2022.
"Uncertainty, Skewness and the Business Cycle - Through the MIDAS Lens,"
CAMA Working Papers
2022-69, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Efrem Castelnuovo & Lorenzo Mori, 2022. "Uncertainty, Skewness, and the Business Cycle Through the MIDAS Lens," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0291, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Efrem Castelnuovo & Lorenzo Mori, 2022. "Uncertainty, Skewness, and the Business Cycle through the MIDAS Lens," CESifo Working Paper Series 10062, CESifo.
- Manfred M. Fischer & Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "General Bayesian time-varying parameter VARs for predicting government bond yields," Papers 2102.13393, arXiv.org.
- Matteo Iacopini & Aubrey Poon & Luca Rossini & Dan Zhu, 2022.
"Bayesian Mixed-Frequency Quantile Vector Autoregression: Eliciting tail risks of Monthly US GDP,"
Papers
2209.01910, arXiv.org.
- Iacopini, Matteo & Poon, Aubrey & Rossini, Luca & Zhu, Dan, 2023. "Bayesian mixed-frequency quantile vector autoregression: Eliciting tail risks of monthly US GDP," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
- Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2022.
"Modeling tail risks of inflation using unobserved component quantile regressions,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "Modeling tail risks of inflation using unobserved component quantile regressions," Papers 2103.03632, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.
- Daniel Gros, 2021. "High Public Debt in an Uncertain World: Post-Covid-19 Dangers for Public Finance," EconPol Policy Brief 38, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Sharpe, Steven A. & Sinha, Nitish R. & Hollrah, Christopher A., 2023. "The power of narrative sentiment in economic forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1097-1121.
- Manfred M. Fischer & Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2023. "General Bayesian time‐varying parameter vector autoregressions for modeling government bond yields," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(1), pages 69-87, January.
- Matteo Iacopini & Francesco Ravazzolo & Luca Rossini, 2022. "Bayesian Multivariate Quantile Regression with alternative Time-varying Volatility Specifications," Papers 2211.16121, arXiv.org.
- Jack Fosten & Daniel Gutknecht & Marc-Oliver Pohle, 2023. "Testing Quantile Forecast Optimality," Papers 2302.02747, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Piotr Rubaj, 2021. "Risk Mitigation in Business Activities on Emerging Markets," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4B), pages 699-712.
- Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Fan charts 2.0: flexible forecast distributions with expert judgement," Working Paper Series 2624, European Central Bank.
- Fischer, Manfred M. & Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2022. "General Bayesian time-varying parameter VARs for modeling government bond yields," Working Papers in Regional Science 2021/01, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Lang, Jan Hannes & Rusnák, Marek & Greiwe, Moritz, 2023. "Medium-term growth-at-risk in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2808, European Central Bank.
- PINSHI, Christian P., 2022. "Inflation-Forecast Targeting: A New Framework for Monetary Policy?," MPRA Paper 111709, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Noori, Mohammad & Hitaj, Asmerilda, 2023. "Dissecting hedge funds' strategies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
- Nyholm, Juho & Voutilainen, Ville, 2021. "Quantiles of growth: Household debt and growth vulnerabilities in Finland," BoF Economics Review 2/2021, Bank of Finland.
- Marian Vavra, 2023. "Bias-Correction in Time Series Quantile Regression Models," Working and Discussion Papers WP 3/2023, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
- Michael P. Clements & Shixuan Wang, 2023. "Do Professional Forecasters' Phillips Curves Incorporate the Beliefs of Others?," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2023-05, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
- Boyarchenko, Nina & Adrian, Tobias & Giannone, Domenico, 2020.
"Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
15088, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2021. "Multimodality In Macrofinancial Dynamics," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 62(2), pages 861-886, May.
- Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2019. "Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics," Staff Reports 903, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Cited by:
- Jan Pruser & Florian Huber, 2023. "Nonlinearities in Macroeconomic Tail Risk through the Lens of Big Data Quantile Regressions," Papers 2301.13604, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023.
"Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk,"
Working Papers
No 06/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper series 23-06, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper 2023/9, Norges Bank.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schroder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Papers 2305.09563, arXiv.org.
- Chen, Guojin & Liu, Yanzhen & Zhang, Yu, 2020. "Can systemic risk measures predict economic shocks? Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
- Mark Gertler & Nobuhiro Kiyotaki & Andrea Prestipino, 2020. "Credit Booms, Financial Crises and Macroprudential Policy," Working Papers 2020-62, Princeton University. Economics Department..
- Alexander Georges Gretener & Matthias Neuenkirch & Dennis Umlandt, 2022.
"Dynamic Mixture Vector Autoregressions with Score-Driven Weights,"
Working Paper Series
2022-02, University of Trier, Research Group Quantitative Finance and Risk Analysis.
- Alexander Georges Gretener & Matthias Neuenkirch & Dennis Umlandt, 2022. "Dynamic Mixture Vector Autoregressions with Score-Driven Weights," Research Papers in Economics 2022-02, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
- Alexander Georges Gretener & Matthias Neuenkirch & Dennis Umlandt, 2023. "Dynamic Mixture Vector Autoregressions with Score-Driven Weights," CESifo Working Paper Series 10366, CESifo.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell, 2023. "Bayesian Modeling of Time-Varying Parameters Using Regression Trees," Working Papers 23-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Luca Onorante & Michael Pfarrhofer & Josef Schreiner, 2020.
"Nowcasting in a Pandemic using Non-Parametric Mixed Frequency VARs,"
Papers
2008.12706, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
- Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Schreiner, Josef, 2023. "Nowcasting in a pandemic using non-parametric mixed frequency VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(1), pages 52-69.
- Florian, Huber & Koop, Gary & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Schreiner, Josef, 2021. "Nowcasting in a Pandemic using Non-Parametric Mixed Frequency VARs," Working Papers 2021-01, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
- Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Schreiner, Josef, 2021. "Nowcasting in a pandemic using non-parametric mixed frequency VARs," Working Paper Series 2510, European Central Bank.
- Yunyun Wang & Tatsushi Oka & Dan Zhu, 2023. "Distributional Vector Autoregression: Eliciting Macro and Financial Dependence," Papers 2303.04994, arXiv.org.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Samuel Hurtado & Galo Nuño, 2019.
"Financial Frictions and the Wealth Distribution,"
NBER Working Papers
26302, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Samuel Hurtado & Galo Nuño, 2020. "Financial frictions and the wealth distribution," Working Papers 2013, Banco de España.
- Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Hurtado, Samuel & Nuño, Galo, 2019. "Financial Frictions and the Wealth Distribution," CEPR Discussion Papers 14002, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jesús Fernández‐Villaverde & Samuel Hurtado & Galo Nuño, 2023. "Financial Frictions and the Wealth Distribution," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(3), pages 869-901, May.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Samuel Hurtado & Galo Nuno, 2019. "Financial Frictions and the Wealth Distribution," PIER Working Paper Archive 19-015, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Samuel Hurtado & Galo Nuño, 2020. "Financial Frictions and the Wealth Distribution," CESifo Working Paper Series 8482, CESifo.
- Eller, Markus & Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian & Schuberth, Helene & Vashold, Lukas, 2021.
"The impact of macroprudential policies on capital flows in CESEE,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
- Eller, Markus & Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian & Schuberth, Helene & Vashold, Lukas, 2021. "The impact of macroprudential policies on capital flows in CESEE," ESRB Working Paper Series 118, European Systemic Risk Board.
- Mark Gertler & Nobuhiro Kiyotaki & Andrea Prestipino, 2020.
"Credit Booms, Financial Crises, and Macroprudential Policy,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 8-33, August.
- Mark Gertler & Nobuhiro Kiyotaki & Andrea Prestipino, 2020. "Credit Booms, Financial Crises and Macroprudential Policy," NBER Working Papers 27481, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Mark Gertler & Nobuhiro Kiyotaki & Andrea Prestipino, 2020. "Code and data files for "Credit Booms, Financial Crises, and Macroprudential Policy"," Computer Codes 20-160, Review of Economic Dynamics.
- Mark Gertler & Nobuhiro Kiyotaki & Andrea Prestipino, 2020. "Online Appendix to "Credit Booms, Financial Crises, and Macroprudential Policy"," Online Appendices 20-160, Review of Economic Dynamics.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana, 2020.
"Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycle Research,"
NBER Working Papers
26768, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Pablo Guerron-Quintana, 2020. "Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycle Research," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 118-166, August.
- Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús, 2020. "Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycle Research," CEPR Discussion Papers 14398, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2022. "Bayesian Forecasting in Economics and Finance: A Modern Review," Papers 2212.03471, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
- Patrick A. Adams & Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2020.
"Forecasting Macroeconomic Risks,"
Staff Reports
914, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Adrian, Tobias & Adams, Patrick & Boyarchenko, Nina & Giannone, Domenico, 2020. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Risks," CEPR Discussion Papers 14436, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Adams, Patrick A. & Adrian, Tobias & Boyarchenko, Nina & Giannone, Domenico, 2021. "Forecasting macroeconomic risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1173-1191.
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Liberty Street Economics
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"Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
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CEPR Discussion Papers
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Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
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- Antoine A. Djogbenou, 2024. "Identifying oil price shocks with global, developed, and emerging latent real economy activity factors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 128-149, January.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio, 2017.
"Economic Predictions with Big Data: The Illusion Of Sparsity,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
12256, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2021. "Economic Predictions With Big Data: The Illusion of Sparsity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(5), pages 2409-2437, September.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2018. "Economic Predictions with Big Data: The Illusion of Sparsity," Liberty Street Economics 20180521, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2018. "Economic predictions with big data: the illusion of sparsity," Staff Reports 847, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2021. "Economic predictions with big data: the illusion of sparsity," Working Paper Series 2542, European Central Bank.
Cited by:
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"How local is the local inflation factor? Evidence from emerging European countries,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 160-183.
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"Machine Learning Time Series Regressions With an Application to Nowcasting,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 1094-1106, June.
- Babii, Andrii & Ghysels, Eric & Striaukas, Jonas, 2021. "Machine Learning Time Series Regressions With an Application to Nowcasting," LIDAM Reprints LFIN 2021010, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- Andrii Babii & Eric Ghysels & Jonas Striaukas, 2020. "Machine Learning Time Series Regressions with an Application to Nowcasting," Papers 2005.14057, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
- Babii, Andrii & Ghysels, Eric & Striaukas, Jonas, 2021. "Machine Learning Time Series Regressions With an Application to Nowcasting," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2021004, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- Kuppenheimer, Gregory & Shelly, Stuart & Strauss, Jack, 2023. "Can machine learning identify sector-level financial ratios that predict sector returns?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
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"A penalized two-pass regression to predict stock returns with time-varying risk premia,"
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2208.00972, arXiv.org.
- Gaetan Bakalli & Stéphane Guerrier & Olivier Scaillet, 2021. "A penalized two-pass regression to predict stock returns with time-varying risk premia," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 21-09, Swiss Finance Institute.
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- Bakalli, Gaetan & Guerrier, Stéphane & Scaillet, Olivier, 2023. "A penalized two-pass regression to predict stock returns with time-varying risk premia," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
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"Big data forecasting of South African inflation,"
School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series
2022-03, School of Economics, University of Cape Town.
- Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotz & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," Working Papers 11022, South African Reserve Bank.
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- Byron Botha & Kevin Kotze & Neil Rankin & Rulof P. Burger, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," Working Papers 873, Economic Research Southern Africa.
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"How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?,"
CIRANO Working Papers
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- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & St'ephane Surprenant, 2020. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," Papers 2008.12477, arXiv.org.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stephane Surprenant, 2020. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," Working Papers 20-01, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Aug 2020.
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"Asymptotic properties of the weighted-average least squares (WALS) estimator,"
EIEF Working Papers Series
2203, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Mar 2022.
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"Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility,"
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2206.08438, arXiv.org.
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"Nets: Network estimation for time series,"
Economics Working Papers
1391, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
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"Forecasting stock returns with large dimensional factor models,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 252-269.
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"Measurement of factor strength: Theory and practice,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 587-613, August.
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- Natalia Bailey & George Kapetanios & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2020. "Measurement of Factor Strength: Theory and Practice," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 7/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
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"Model Averaging and Double Machine Learning,"
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2401.01645, arXiv.org.
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"Bayesian dynamic variable selection in high dimensions,"
MPRA Paper
100164, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2023. "Bayesian Dynamic Variable Selection In High Dimensions," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(3), pages 1047-1074, August.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2020. "Bayesian dynamic variable selection in high dimensions," Working Papers 2020_11, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- David Kohns & Tibor Szendrei, 2021. "Decoupling Shrinkage and Selection for the Bayesian Quantile Regression," Papers 2107.08498, arXiv.org.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Matteo Luciani & Michele Modugno, 2023. "Lessons from Nowcasting GDP across the World," International Finance Discussion Papers 1385, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Mykola Babiak & Jozef Barunik, 2020.
"Deep Learning, Predictability, and Optimal Portfolio Returns,"
CERGE-EI Working Papers
wp677, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
- Mykola Babiak & Jozef Barunik, 2020. "Deep Learning, Predictability, and Optimal Portfolio Returns," Papers 2009.03394, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
- Lee, Ji Hyung & Shi, Zhentao & Gao, Zhan, 2022.
"On LASSO for predictive regression,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 229(2), pages 322-349.
- Ji Hyung Lee & Zhentao Shi & Zhan Gao, 2018. "On LASSO for Predictive Regression," Papers 1810.03140, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
- Belloni, Alexandre & Chen, Mingli & Madrid Padilla, Oscar Hernan & Wang, Zixuan (Kevin), 2019.
"High Dimensional Latent Panel Quantile Regression with an Application to Asset Pricing,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
1230, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Alexandre Belloni & Mingli Chen & Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla & Zixuan & Wang, 2019. "High Dimensional Latent Panel Quantile Regression with an Application to Asset Pricing," Papers 1912.02151, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
- Christian B. Hansen & Mark E. Schaffer & Thomas Wiemann & Achim Ahrens, 2022.
"ddml: Double/debiased machine learning in Stata,"
Swiss Stata Conference 2022
02, Stata Users Group.
- Ahrens, Achim & Hansen, Christian B. & Schaffer, Mark E & Wiemann, Thomas, 2023. "ddml: Double/Debiased Machine Learning in Stata," IZA Discussion Papers 15963, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Achim Ahrens & Christian B. Hansen & Mark E. Schaffer & Thomas Wiemann, 2024. "ddml: Double/debiased machine learning in Stata," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 24(1), pages 3-45, March.
- Achim Ahrens & Christian B. Hansen & Mark E. Schaffer & Thomas Wiemann, 2023. "ddml: Double/debiased machine learning in Stata," Papers 2301.09397, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Luca Onorante, 2021.
"Combining shrinkage and sparsity in conjugate vector autoregressive models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(3), pages 304-327, April.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Luca Onorante, 2020. "Combining Shrinkage and Sparsity in Conjugate Vector Autoregressive Models," Papers 2002.08760, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
- Ke-Li Xu & Junjie Guo, 2021. "A New Test for Multiple Predictive Regression," CAEPR Working Papers 2022-001 Classification-C, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
- Matteo Mogliani, 2019.
"Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: estimation, selection, and prediction,"
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713, Banque de France.
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- Mogliani, Matteo & Simoni, Anna, 2021. "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: Estimation, selection, and prediction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 833-860.
- Matteo Mogliani & Anna Simoni, 2019. "Bayesian MIDAS Penalized Regressions: Estimation, Selection, and Prediction," Papers 1903.08025, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
- Francis X. Diebold & Minchul Shin & Boyuan Zhang, 2021.
"On the Aggregation of Probability Assessments: Regularized Mixtures of Predictive Densities for Eurozone In?ation and Real Interest Rates,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
21-002, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Francis X. Diebold & Minchul Shin & Boyuan Zhang, 2022. "On the Aggregation of Probability Assessments: Regularized Mixtures of Predictive Densities for Eurozone Inflation and Real Interest Rates," NBER Working Papers 29635, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Francis X. Diebold & Minchul Shin & Boyuan Zhang, 2020. "On the Aggregation of Probability Assessments: Regularized Mixtures of Predictive Densities for Eurozone Inflation and Real Interest Rates," Papers 2012.11649, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
- Francis X. Diebold & Minchul Shin & Boyuan Zhang, 2021. "On the Aggregation of Probability Assessments: Regularized Mixtures of Predictive Densities for Eurozone Inflation and Real Interest Rates," Working Papers 21-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Smith, Simon C., 2021. "International stock return predictability," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- He, Yi & Jaidee, Sombut & Gao, Jiti, 2023. "Most powerful test against a sequence of high dimensional local alternatives," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 234(1), pages 151-177.
- McKenzie, David & Sansone, Dario, 2017.
"Man vs. Machine in Predicting Successful Entrepreneurs: Evidence from a Business Plan Competition in Nigeria,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
12523, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mckenzie,David J. & Sansone,Dario & Mckenzie,David J. & Sansone,Dario, 2017. "Man vs. machine in predicting successful entrepreneurs : evidence from a business plan competition in Nigeria," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8271, The World Bank.
- Jianqing Fan & Ricardo Masini & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2021. "Bridging factor and sparse models," Papers 2102.11341, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2020.
"When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage,"
EconomiX Working Papers
2020-11, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2023. "When are Google Data Useful to Nowcast GDP? An Approach via Preselection and Shrinkage," Post-Print hal-03919944, HAL.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2019. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working papers 717, Banque de France.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2019. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working Papers 2019-04, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2020. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Papers 2007.00273, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2023. "When are Google Data Useful to Nowcast GDP? An Approach via Preselection and Shrinkage," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 1188-1202, October.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2020. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working Papers hal-04159714, HAL.
- Bryzgalova, Svetlana & Huang, Jiantao & Julliard, Christian, 2020.
"Bayesian solutions for the factor zoo: we just ran two quadrillion models,"
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics
118924, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Svetlana Bryzgalova & Jiantao Huang & Christian Julliard, 2023. "Bayesian Solutions for the Factor Zoo: We Just Ran Two Quadrillion Models," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(1), pages 487-557, February.
- Yu Bai & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022.
"Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context,"
Working Papers
22-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Yu Bai & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi‐country context," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 1230-1255, September.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Bai, Yu & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2022. "Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context," CEPR Discussion Papers 16994, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hyungsik Roger Moon & Frank Schorfheide & Boyuan Zhang, 2023.
"Bayesian Estimation of Panel Models under Potentially Sparse Heterogeneity,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
23-017, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Hyungsik Roger Moon & Frank Schorfheide & Boyuan Zhang, 2023. "Bayesian Estimation of Panel Models under Potentially Sparse Heterogeneity," Papers 2310.13785, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
- Daniel Borup & Bent Jesper Christensen & Nicolaj N. Mühlbach & Mikkel S. Nielsen, 2020.
"Targeting predictors in random forest regression,"
CREATES Research Papers
2020-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Borup, Daniel & Christensen, Bent Jesper & Mühlbach, Nicolaj Søndergaard & Nielsen, Mikkel Slot, 2023. "Targeting predictors in random forest regression," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 841-868.
- Daniel Borup & Bent Jesper Christensen & Nicolaj N{o}rgaard Muhlbach & Mikkel Slot Nielsen, 2020. "Targeting predictors in random forest regression," Papers 2004.01411, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
- Shi, Zhentao & Huang, Jingyi, 2023. "Forward-selected panel data approach for program evaluation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 234(2), pages 512-535.
- Alena Skolkova, 2023. "Instrumental Variable Estimation with Many Instruments Using Elastic-Net IV," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp759, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2021.
"Economic Predictions With Big Data: The Illusion of Sparsity,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(5), pages 2409-2437, September.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2018. "Economic Predictions with Big Data: The Illusion of Sparsity," Liberty Street Economics 20180521, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2018. "Economic predictions with big data: the illusion of sparsity," Staff Reports 847, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2021. "Economic predictions with big data: the illusion of sparsity," Working Paper Series 2542, European Central Bank.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio, 2017. "Economic Predictions with Big Data: The Illusion Of Sparsity," CEPR Discussion Papers 12256, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- David Kohns & Arnab Bhattacharjee, 2020.
"Nowcasting Growth using Google Trends Data: A Bayesian Structural Time Series Model,"
Papers
2011.00938, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
- Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Kohns, David, 2022. "Nowcasting Growth using Google Trends Data: A Bayesian Structural Time Series Model," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 538, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Paranhos, Livia, 2021. "Predicting Inflation with Neural Networks," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1344, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo, 2023.
"gingado: a machine learning library focused on economics and finance,"
IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Data science in central banking: applications and tools, volume 59,
Bank for International Settlements.
- Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo, 2023. "gingado: a machine learning library focused on economics and finance," BIS Working Papers 1122, Bank for International Settlements.
- Camehl, Annika, 2023. "Penalized estimation of panel vector autoregressive models: A panel LASSO approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1185-1204.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2023.
"Bayesian State Space Models In Macroeconometrics,"
Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 58-75, February.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2020. "Bayesian state space models in macroeconometrics," CAMA Working Papers 2020-90, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Ba Chu & Shafiullah Qureshi, 2021. "Comparing Out-of-Sample Performance of Machine Learning Methods to Forecast U.S. GDP Growth," Carleton Economic Papers 21-12, Carleton University, Department of Economics.
- Yong Cai & Santiago Camara & Nicholas Capel, 2021. "It's not always about the money, sometimes it's about sending a message: Evidence of Informational Content in Monetary Policy Announcements," Papers 2111.06365, arXiv.org.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
Papers
2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Smith, Simon C., 2022. "Time-variation, multiple testing, and the factor zoo," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
- Yi He & Sombut Jaidee & Jiti Gao, 2020. "Most Powerful Test against High Dimensional Free Alternatives," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 13/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Gonzalo, Jesús & Pitarakis, Jean-Yves, 2020.
"Out of sample predictability in predictive regressions with many predictor candidates,"
UC3M Working papers. Economics
31554, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa.
- Jesus Gonzalo & Jean-Yves Pitarakis, 2023. "Out of Sample Predictability in Predictive Regressions with Many Predictor Candidates," Papers 2302.02866, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Antonio Marsi, 2023. "Predicting European stock returns using machine learning," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(7), pages 1-25, July.
- Jad Beyhum & Jonas Striaukas, 2023. "Sparse plus dense MIDAS regressions and nowcasting during the COVID pandemic," Papers 2306.13362, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
- Mauro Bernardi & Daniele Bianchi & Nicolas Bianco, 2022. "Variational inference for large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Papers 2202.12644, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
- Kalamara, Eleni & Turrell, Arthur & Redl, Chris & Kapetanios, George & Kapadia, Sujit, 2020.
"Making text count: economic forecasting using newspaper text,"
Bank of England working papers
865, Bank of England.
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- Simon Beyeler & Sylvia Kaufmann, 2021. "Reduced‐form factor augmented VAR—Exploiting sparsity to include meaningful factors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 989-1012, November.
- Nicolas Woloszko, 2020. "Tracking activity in real time with Google Trends," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1634, OECD Publishing.
- Anastasios Evgenidis & Anastasios G. Malliaris, 2022. "Monetary policy, financial shocks and economic activity," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 429-456, August.
- Georges, Christophre & Pereira, Javier, 2021. "Market stability with machine learning agents," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
- Joao Vitor Matos Goncalves & Michel Alexandre & Gilberto Tadeu Lima, 2023. "ARIMA and LSTM: A Comparative Analysis of Financial Time Series Forecasting," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2023_13, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
- Azqueta-Gavaldon, Andres & Hirschbühl, Dominik & Onorante, Luca & Saiz, Lorena, 2020. "Nowcasting business cycle turning points with stock networks and machine learning," Working Paper Series 2494, European Central Bank.
- Archanskaia, Elizaveta & Canton, Erik & Hobza, Alexandr & Nikolov, Plamen & Simons, Wouter, 2023. "The asymmetric impact of COVID-19: A novel approach to quantifying financial distress across industries," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
- Krampe, J. & Paparoditis, E. & Trenkler, C., 2023. "Structural inference in sparse high-dimensional vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 234(1), pages 276-300.
- Jack Jewson & Li Li & Laura Battaglia & Stephen Hansen & David Rossell & Piotr Zwiernik, 2022. "Graphical model inference with external network data," CeMMAP working papers 20/22, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Alena Skolkova, 2023. "Model Averaging with Ridge Regularization," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp758, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
- Kohns, David & Potjagailo, Galina, 2023. "Flexible Bayesian MIDAS: time‑variation, group‑shrinkage and sparsity," Bank of England working papers 1025, Bank of England.
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"Global Trends in Interest Rates,"
Liberty Street Economics
20190227, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
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- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global trends in interest rates," Staff Reports 866, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2018, pages 248-262, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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"The Natural Rate Puzzle: Global Macro Trends and the Market-Implied r,"
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"Natural rate chimera and bond pricing reality,"
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"Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate World,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
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The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 101(5), pages 933-949, December.
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"What’s Up with the Phillips Curve?,"
Liberty Street Economics
20200918a, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
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"Monetary policy and the drifting natural rate of interest,"
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"The Rising Cost of Climate Change: Evidence from the Bond Market,"
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- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2017. "Priors for the long run," Staff Reports 832, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2018. "Priors for the long run," Working Paper Series 2132, European Central Bank.
Cited by:
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2019.
"Money, Credit, Monetary Policy, and the Business Cycle in the Euro Area: What Has Changed Since the Crisis?,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(5), pages 137-173, December.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2019. "Money, credit, monetary policy, and the business cycle in the euro area: what has changed since the crisis?," Staff Reports 885, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2019. "Money, credit, monetary policy and the business cycle in the euro area: what has changed since the crisis?," Working Paper Series 2226, European Central Bank.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019.
"Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different,"
SciencePo Working papers Main
hal-03403269, HAL.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Caruso, Alberto & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Financial and Fiscal Interaction in the Euro Area Crisis: This Time was Different," CEPR Discussion Papers 13016, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," Post-Print hal-03403613, HAL.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different," Sciences Po publications 11, Sciences Po.
- Caruso, Alberto & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Financial and Fiscal Interaction in the Euro Area Crisis : This Time was Different," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1167, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Albert Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis : this time was different," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2019-11, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/4u5amfvji89, Sciences Po.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03403613, HAL.
- Caruso, Alberto & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 333-355.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different," Working Papers hal-03403269, HAL.
- Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2021.
"Subspace Shrinkage in Conjugate Bayesian Vector Autoregressions,"
Papers
2107.07804, arXiv.org.
- Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2023. "Subspace shrinkage in conjugate Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 556-576, June.
- Marek Jarocinski & Albert Marcet, 2013.
"Priors about Observables in Vector Autoregressions,"
UFAE and IAE Working Papers
929.13, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
- Jarociński, Marek & Marcet, Albert, 2019. "Priors about observables in vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 209(2), pages 238-255.
- Marek Jarocinski & Albert Marcet, 2013. "Priors about Observables in Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 684, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Tallman, Ellis W. & Zaman, Saeed, 2020.
"Combining survey long-run forecasts and nowcasts with BVAR forecasts using relative entropy,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 373-398.
- Ellis W. Tallman & Saeed Zaman, 2018. "Combining Survey Long-Run Forecasts and Nowcasts with BVAR Forecasts Using Relative Entropy," Working Papers (Old Series) 1809, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Bauwens, Luc & Chevillon, Guillaume & Laurent, Sébastien, 2023.
"We modeled long memory with just one lag!,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
- Bauwens, Luc & Chevillon, Guillaume & Laurent, Sébastien, 2022. "We modeled long memory with just one lag!," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2022016, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Luc Bauwens & Guillaume Chevillon & Sébastien Laurent, 2023. "We modeled long memory with just one lag!," Post-Print hal-04185755, HAL.
- Bauwens, Luc & Chevillon, Guillaume & Laurent, Sébastien, 2023. "We modeled long memory with just one lag!," LIDAM Reprints CORE 3234, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Bjarni G. Einarsson, 2024. "Online Monitoring of Policy Optimality," Economics wp95, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022.
"Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
- Lenza, Michele & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15854, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 2453, European Central Bank.
- Felix Kapfhammer & Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2020.
"Climate Risk and Commodity Currencies,"
Working Papers
No 10/2020, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
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- Felix Kapfhammer & Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2020. "Climate risk and commodity currencies," Working Paper 2020/18, Norges Bank.
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"Striking a Bargain: Narrative Identification of Wage Bargaining Shocks,"
Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series
121, Bank of Lithuania.
- Budrys, Žymantas & Porqueddu, Mario & Sokol, Andrej, 2022. "Striking a bargain: narrative identification of wage bargaining shocks," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 98.
- Budrys, Žymantas & Porqueddu, Mario & Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Striking a bargain: narrative identification of wage bargaining shocks," Working Paper Series 2602, European Central Bank.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella & Fabrizio Venditti, 2021.
"Price Dividend Ratio and Long-Run Stock Returns: A Score-Driven State Space Model,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(4), pages 1054-1065, October.
- Petrella, Ivan & Delle Monache, Davide & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2019. "Price Dividend Ratio and Long-Run Stock Returns: a Score Driven State Space Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 14107, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2019. "Price Dividend Ratio and Long-Run Stock Returns: a Score Driven State Space Model," EMF Research Papers 29, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2020. "Price dividend ratio and long-run stock returns: a score driven state space model," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1296, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Venditti, Fabrizio & Petrella, Ivan, 2020. "Price dividend ratio and long-run stock returns: a score driven state space model," Working Paper Series 2369, European Central Bank.
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"Transitory and permanent shocks in the global market for crude oil,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 1047-1064, November.
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- Mr. Nooman Rebei & Rashid Sbia, 2020. "Transitory and Permanent Shocks in the Global Market for Crude Oil," IMF Working Papers 2020/047, International Monetary Fund.
- Nooman Rebei & Rashid Sbia, 2021. "Transitory and permanent shocks in the global market for crude oil," Post-Print hal-03355309, HAL.
- Nooman Rebei & Rashid Sbia, 2019. "Transitory and Permanent Shocks in the Global Market for Crude Oil," AMSE Working Papers 1918, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
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"Prior selection for panel vector autoregressions,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 110-120.
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- Dimitris Korobilis., 2015. "Prior selection for panel vector autoregressions," Working Papers 2015_10, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
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"Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information, and structural change in the euro area,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 971-999.
- Gergely Ganics & Florens Odendahl, 2019. "Bayesian VAR Forecasts, Survey Information and Structural Change in the Euro Area," Working papers 733, Banque de France.
- Gergely Ganics & Florens Odendahl, 2019. "Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information and structural change in the euro area," Working Papers 1948, Banco de España.
- Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Domenico Giannone & Eric Qian & Argia M. Sbordone, 2021. "A Large Bayesian VAR of the United States Economy," Staff Reports 976, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2016. "Large Vector Autoregressions with Stochastic Volatility and Flexible Priors," Working Papers (Old Series) 1617, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Angelini, Elena & Lalik, Magdalena & Lenza, Michele & Paredes, Joan, 2019.
"Mind the gap: a multi-country BVAR benchmark for the Eurosystem projections,"
Working Paper Series
2227, European Central Bank.
- Angelini, Elena & Lalik, Magdalena & Lenza, Michele & Paredes, Joan, 2019. "Mind the gap: A multi-country BVAR benchmark for the Eurosystem projections," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1658-1668.
- Marcela De Castro-Valderrama & Santiago Forero-Alvarado & Nicolas Moreno-Arias & Sara Naranjo-Saldarriaga, 2022. "Unravelling the Narratives Behind Macroeconomic Forecasts," IHEID Working Papers 18-2022, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
- Wang,Dieter & Andree,Bo Pieter Johannes & Chamorro Elizondo,Andres Fernando & Spencer,Phoebe Girouard, 2020. "Stochastic Modeling of Food Insecurity," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9413, The World Bank.
- Warne, Anders, 2023. "DSGE model forecasting: rational expectations vs. adaptive learning," Working Paper Series 2768, European Central Bank.
- Drago, Bergholt & Furlanetto, Francesco & Faccioli, Nicolò Maffei, 2019.
"The decline of the labor share: new empirical evidence,"
Working Paper
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- Paul Ho, 2019.
"Global Robust Bayesian Analysis in Large Models,"
2019 Meeting Papers
390, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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- Ho, Paul, 2023. "Global robust Bayesian analysis in large models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 608-642.
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"Macroeconomic drivers of inflation expectations and inflation risk premia,"
Working Paper Research
446, National Bank of Belgium.
- Boeckx, Jef & Iania, Leonardo & Wauters, Joris, 2023. "Macroeconomic drivers of Inflation Expectations and Inflation Risk Premia," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2023003, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- Amaze Lusompa, 2021.
"Local Projections, Autocorrelation, and Efficiency,"
Research Working Paper
RWP 21-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Lusompa, Amaze, 2019. "Local Projections, Autocorrelation, and Efficiency," MPRA Paper 99856, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Apr 2020.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Michael Pfarrhofer & Luca Rossini, 2020. "Sparse time-varying parameter VECMs with an application to modeling electricity prices," Papers 2011.04577, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
- Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2022. "How to estimate a vector autoregression after March 2020," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 688-699, June.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maximilian Gobel, 2020. "Arctic Amplification of Anthropogenic Forcing: A Vector Autoregressive Analysis," Papers 2005.02535, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
- George Kapetanios & Massimiliano Marcellino & Fabrizio Venditti, 2017.
"Large time-varying parameter VARs: a non-parametric approach,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
1122, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
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- George Kapetanios & Massimiliano Marcellino & Fabrizio Venditti, 2019. "Large time‐varying parameter VARs: A nonparametric approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(7), pages 1027-1049, November.
- Francesco Bianchi & Giovanni Nicolo & Dongho Song, 2023. "Inflation and Real Activity over the Business Cycle," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-038, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Marta Baltar Moreira Areosa & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2023. "Anchoring Long-term VAR Forecasts Based On Survey Data and State-space Models," Working Papers Series 574, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Lieb, Lenard & Smeekes, Stephan, 2017.
"Inference for Impulse Responses under Model Uncertainty,"
Research Memorandum
022, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
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- Wang, Dieter & Andrée, Bo Pieter Johannes & Chamorro, Andres Fernando & Spencer, Phoebe Girouard, 2022. "Transitions into and out of food insecurity: A probabilistic approach with panel data evidence from 15 countries," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
- Karau, Sören, 2020. "Buried in the vaults of central banks: Monetary gold hoarding and the slide into the Great Depression," Discussion Papers 63/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Prüser, Jan, 2023. "Data-based priors for vector error correction models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 209-227.
- George ANTON, 2022. "The importance of demand, uncertainty and monetary policy shocks from the euro area for the Romanian economy," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(2(631), S), pages 25-38, Summer.
- Kohns, David & Potjagailo, Galina, 2023. "Flexible Bayesian MIDAS: time‑variation, group‑shrinkage and sparsity," Bank of England working papers 1025, Bank of England.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maximilian Gobel, 2021. "Arctic Amplification of Anthropogenic Forcing: A Vector Autoregressive Analysis," Working Papers 21-04, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
- Dimitrios P. Louzis, 2019. "Steady‐state modeling and macroeconomic forecasting quality," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(2), pages 285-314, March.
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"Economic theories and macroeconomic reality,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 105-117.
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"Vulnerable Growth,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
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Cited by:
- Kirti, Divya, 2018.
"Lending standards and output growth,"
ESRB Working Paper Series
79, European Systemic Risk Board.
- Divya Kirti, 2018. "Lending standards and output growth," 2018 Meeting Papers 203, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Mr. Divya Kirti, 2018. "Lending Standards and Output Growth," IMF Working Papers 2018/023, International Monetary Fund.
- Wolf, Elias, 2022. "Estimating growth at risk with skewed stochastic volatility models," Discussion Papers 2022/2, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
- de Groot, Oliver & Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Holm-Hadulla, Fédéric & Nikalexi, Katerina, 2020. "Monetary policy and regional inequality," Working Paper Series 2385, European Central Bank.
- Anastasiya Ivanova & Alona Shmygel & Ihor Lubchuk, 2021. "The Growth-at-Risk (GaR) Framework: Implication For Ukraine," IHEID Working Papers 10-2021, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
- Donato Ceci & Orest Prifti & Andrea Silvestrini, 2024. "Nowcasting Italian GDP growth: a Factor MIDAS approach," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1446, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Valentina Aprigliano & Alessandro Borin & Francesco Paolo Conteduca & Simone Emiliozzi & Marco Flaccadoro & Sabina Marchetti & Stefania Villa, 2021. "Forecasting Italian GDP growth with epidemiological data," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 664, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
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"On the real‐time predictive content of financial condition indices for growth,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 137-163, March.
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"Capital flows-at-risk: push, pull and the role of policy,"
Working Paper Series
2538, European Central Bank.
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"Foreign Vulnerabilities, Domestic Risks: The Global Drivers of GDP-at-Risk,"
IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(1), pages 335-392, March.
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- Lloyd, S. & Manuel, E. & Panchev, K., 2021. "Foreign Vulnerabilities, Domestic Risks: The Global Drivers of GDP-at-Risk," Janeway Institute Working Papers 2102, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Lloyd, Simon & Manuel, Ed & Panchev, Konstantin, 2021. "Foreign vulnerabilities, domestic risks: the global drivers of GDP-at-Risk," Bank of England working papers 940, Bank of England.
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"When could Macroprudential and Monetary Policies be in Conflict?,"
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- Grégory LEVIEUGE & Jose David GARCIA REVELO, 2020. "When could macroprudential and monetary policies be in conflict?," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2749, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Garcia Revelo, Jose D. & Levieuge, Grégory, 2022. "When could Macroprudential and Monetary Policies be in Conflict?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2019.
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- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stephane Surprenant, 2020. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," Working Papers 20-01, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Aug 2020.
- Aleksei Kipriyanov, 2022. "Comparison of Models for Growth-at-Risk Forecasting," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 81(1), pages 23-45, March.
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"Measuring financial cycle time,"
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- Zhanna Chupina & Irina Abanina & Valery Abramov & Kira Artamonova & Oksana Yurchenko & Irina Osipova & Pavel Stroev, 2021. "Management of Monetary Policy in the Framework of Decision Making on Setting Interest Rates for Sustainable Social System: Example of the Russian Federation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
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"Spillovers at the Extremes: The Macroprudential Stance and Vulnerability to the Global Financial Cycle,"
NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2021,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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"Censored Density Forecasts: Production and Evaluation,"
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"The Financial Stability Dark Side of Monetary Policy,"
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"Forecasting financial stress indices in Korea: a factor model approach,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2859-2898, December.
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- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2019. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2019-02, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2018. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2018-06, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Kim, Hyeongwoo & Shi, Wen & Kim, Hyun Hak, 2018. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," MPRA Paper 89768, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Falconio, Andrea & Manganelli, Simone, 2020. "Financial conditions, business cycle fluctuations and growth at risk," Working Paper Series 2470, European Central Bank.
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"Financial crises, macroprudential policy and the reliability of credit-to-GDP gaps,"
Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers)
567, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Bologna, Pierluigi & Galardo, Maddalena, 2021. "Financial crises, macroprudential policy and the reliability of credit-to-GDP gaps," ESRB Working Paper Series 114, European Systemic Risk Board.
- Piergiorgio Alessandri & Pierluigi Bologna & Maddalena Galardo, 2022. "Financial Crises, Macroprudential Policy and the Reliability of Credit-to-GDP Gaps," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 70(4), pages 625-667, December.
- Tobias Adrian & Fernando M. Duarte & Federico Grinberg & Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli, 2019.
"Monetary policy and financial conditions: a cross-country study,"
Staff Reports
890, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Adrian, Tobias & Duarte, Fernando & Grinberg, Federico & Mancini-Griffoli, Tommaso, 2018. "Monetary Policy and Financial Conditions: A Cross-Country Study," CEPR Discussion Papers 12681, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Aikman, David & Bridges, Jonathan & Burgess, Stephen & Galletly, Richard & Levina, Iren & O'Neill, Cian & Varadi, Alexandra, 2018. "Measuring risks to UK financial stability," Bank of England working papers 738, Bank of England.
- Fabio Busetti & Michele Caivano & Davide Delle Monache & Claudia Pacella, 2020.
"The time-varying risk of Italian GDP,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
1288, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Busetti, Fabio & Caivano, Michele & Delle Monache, Davide & Pacella, Claudia, 2021. "The time-varying risk of Italian GDP," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
- Poloz, Stephen S., 2021. "Technological progress and monetary policy: Managing the fourth industrial revolution," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
- Richard K. Crump & Miro Everaert & Domenico Giannone & Sean Hundtofte, 2018.
"Changing Risk-Return Profiles,"
Staff Reports
850, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Richard K. Crump & Domenico Giannone & Sean Hundtofte, 2018. "Changing Risk-Return Profiles," Liberty Street Economics 20181004, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Florens Odendahl & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2021.
"Evaluating Forecast Performance with State Dependence,"
Working Papers
1295, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Odendahl, Florens & Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2023. "Evaluating forecast performance with state dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Florens Odendahl & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2021. "Evaluating forecast performance with state dependence," Economics Working Papers 1800, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Owyang, Michael, 2020.
"Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data,"
EMF Research Papers
38, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Ana B. Galvão & Michael T. Owyang, 2020. "Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data," Working Papers 2020-028, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised Apr 2022.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & Michael Owyang, 2022. "Forecasting low‐frequency macroeconomic events with high‐frequency data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(7), pages 1314-1333, November.
- Arrigoni, Simone & Bobasu, Alina & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2020.
"The simpler the better: measuring financial conditions for monetary policy and financial stability,"
Working Paper Series
2451, European Central Bank.
- Arrigoni, Simone & Bobasu, Alina & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2021. "The simpler, the better: Measuring financial conditions for monetary policy and financial stability," EIB Working Papers 2021/10, European Investment Bank (EIB).
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Foroni, Claudia & Stevanovic, Dalibor, 2020.
"Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
15114, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2020. "Forecasting the Covid-19 Recession and Recovery: Lessons from the Financial Crisis," CIRANO Working Papers 2020s-32, CIRANO.
- Foroni, Claudia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stevanovic, Dalibor, 2022. "Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 596-612.
- Foroni, Claudia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stevanović, Dalibor, 2020. "Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: lessons from the financial crisis," Working Paper Series 2468, European Central Bank.
- Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2020. "Forecasting the COVID-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis," Working Papers 20-14, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Nov 2020.
- David Kohns & Tibor Szendrei, 2021. "Decoupling Shrinkage and Selection for the Bayesian Quantile Regression," Papers 2107.08498, arXiv.org.
- Tamás Kiss & Hoang Nguyen & Pär Österholm, 2021.
"Modelling Returns in US Housing Prices—You’re the One for Me, Fat Tails,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-17, October.
- Kiss, Tamás & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2020. "Modelling Returns in US Housing Prices – You’re the One for Me, Fat Tails," Working Papers 2020:13, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Niango Ange Joseph Yapi, 2020. "Exchange rate predictive densities and currency risks: A quantile regression approach," EconomiX Working Papers 2020-16, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Kiss, Tamás & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2021.
"Modelling the Relation between the US Real Economy and the Corporate Bond-Yield Spread in Bayesian VARs with non-Gaussian Disturbances,"
Working Papers
2021:9, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Tamás Kiss & Stepan Mazur & Hoang Nguyen & Pär Österholm, 2023. "Modeling the relation between the US real economy and the corporate bond‐yield spread in Bayesian VARs with non‐Gaussian innovations," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 347-368, March.
- Geert Bekaert & Eric C. Engstrom & Nancy R. Xu, 2019.
"The Time Variation in Risk Appetite and Uncertainty,"
NBER Working Papers
25673, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Geert Bekaert & Eric C. Engstrom & Nancy R. Xu, 2022. "The Time Variation in Risk Appetite and Uncertainty," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(6), pages 3975-4004, June.
- Giancarlo Corsetti & Anna Lipinska & Giovanni Lombardo, 2021. "Sharing Asymmetric Tail Risk: Smoothing, Asset Prices and Terms of Trade," International Finance Discussion Papers 1324, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Rui Mano & Ms. Silvia Sgherri, 2020. "One Shock, Many Policy Responses," IMF Working Papers 2020/010, International Monetary Fund.
- Korobilis, Dimitris & Landau, Bettina & Musso, Alberto & Phella, Anthoulla, 2021. "The time-varying evolution of inflation risks," Working Paper Series 2600, European Central Bank.
- Danilo Leiva-Leon & Lorenzo Ductor, 2019.
"Fluctuations in Global Macro Volatility,"
Working Papers
1925, Banco de España.
- Danilo Leiva-Leon & Lorenzo Ductor, 2019. "Fluctuations in Global Macro Volatility," ThE Papers 19/09, Department of Economic Theory and Economic History of the University of Granada..
- Claudia Pacella, 2020. "Essays on Forecasting," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/307579, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Christian Kubitza, 2021. "Tackling the Volatility Paradox: Spillover Persistence and Systemic Risk," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 079, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019.
"Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them,"
Economics Working Papers
1711, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," CEPR Discussion Papers 14472, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," Working Papers 1162, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Kwark, Noh-Sun & Lee, Changhyun, 2021.
"Asymmetric effects of financial conditions on GDP growth in Korea: A quantile regression analysis,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 351-369.
- Noh-Sun Kwark & Changhyun Lee, 2020. "Asymmetric Effects of Financial Conditions on GDP Growth in Korea: A Quantile Regression Analysis," Working Papers 2005, Nam Duck-Woo Economic Research Institute, Sogang University (Former Research Institute for Market Economy).
- Fabrizio Ferriani & Andrea Gazzani, 2021.
"Financial condition indices for emerging market economies: can Google help?,"
Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers)
653, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Ferriani, Fabrizio & Gazzani, Andrea, 2022. "Financial condition indices for emerging market economies: Can Google help?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2022.
"Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
17461, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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- Todd E. Clark & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Massimiliano Marcellino & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees," Working Papers 21-08R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 12 Jul 2022.
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"Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: estimation, selection, and prediction,"
Working papers
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- Matteo Mogliani & Anna Simoni, 2020. "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: Estimation, selection, and prediction," Post-Print hal-03089878, HAL.
- Mogliani, Matteo & Simoni, Anna, 2021. "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: Estimation, selection, and prediction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 833-860.
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- David Aikman & Jonathan Bridges & Anil Kashyap & Caspar Siegert, 2019.
"Would Macroprudential Regulation Have Prevented the Last Crisis?,"
Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 33(1), pages 107-130, Winter.
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"Uncertainty and Growth Disasters,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 44, pages 33-64, April.
- Boyan Jovanovic & Sai Ma, 2020. "Uncertainty and Growth Disasters," International Finance Discussion Papers 1279, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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- Boyan Jovanovic & Sai Ma, 2020. "Uncertainty and Growth Disasters," NBER Working Papers 28024, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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"Twin Default Crises,"
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"Impulse response analysis in conditional quantile models with an application to monetary policy,"
Discussion Papers
2020/08, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
- Lee, Dong Jin & Kim, Tae-Hwan & Mizen, Paul, 2021. "Impulse response analysis in conditional quantile models with an application to monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
- María Victoria Landaberry & Rodrigo Lluberas & Micaela Vidal, 2021. "Una aplicación de la metodología Growth at Risk a Uruguay," Documentos de trabajo 2021009, Banco Central del Uruguay.
- Dominic Anene & Stefania D'Amico, 2017. "A Tale of Four Tails: Inflation, the Policy Rate, Longer-Term Rates, and Stock Prices," Working Paper Series WP-2017-26, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
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"Vulnerable growth in the Euro Area: Measuring the financial conditions,"
Working Paper Series
2458, European Central Bank.
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- Anna Cieslak & Annette Vissing-Jorgensen, 2021.
"The Economics of the Fed Put,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(9), pages 4045-4089.
- Anna Cieslak & Annette Vissing-Jorgensen, 2020. "The Economics of the Fed Put," NBER Working Papers 26894, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Cieslak, Anna & Vissing-Jørgensen, Annette, 2020. "The Economics of the Fed Put," CEPR Discussion Papers 14685, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Anna Burova & Alexey Ponomarenko & Svetlana Popova & Andrey Sinyakov & Yulia Ushakova, 2021.
"Measuring heterogeneity in banks' interest rate setting in Russia,"
Bank of Russia Working Paper Series
wps77, Bank of Russia.
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"Risk Pooling, Leverage, and the Business Cycle,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
7772, CESifo.
- Dindo, Pietro & Modena, Andrea & Pelizzon, Loriana, 2020. "Risk pooling, leverage, and the business cycle," SAFE Working Paper Series 271, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
- Pietro Dindo & Andrea Modena & Loriana Pelizzon, 2019. "Risk Pooling, Leverage, and the Business Cycle," Working Papers 2019: 21, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Danilo Leiva-Leon & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós & Eyno Rots, 2020.
"Real-Time Weakness of the Global Economy: A First Assessment of the Coronavirus Crisis,"
MNB Working Papers
2020/4, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
- Perez-Quiros, Gabriel & Rots, Eyno & Leiva-Leon, Danilo, 2020. "Real-time weakness of the global economy: a first assessment of the coronavirus crisis," Working Paper Series 2381, European Central Bank.
- Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Leiva-León, Danilo & Rots, Eyno, 2020. "Real-Time Weakness of the Global Economy: A First Assessment of the Coronavirus Crisis," CEPR Discussion Papers 14484, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Danilo Leiva-Leon & Gabriel Perez-Quiros & Eyno Rots, 2020. "Real-time weakness of the global economy: a first assessment of the coronavirus crisis," Working Papers 2015, Banco de España.
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"Boosting high dimensional predictive regressions with time varying parameters,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 60-87.
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- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021.
"Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology,"
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- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Working Papers of BETA 2021-33, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
- Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," EconomiX Working Papers 2021-23, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Working Papers 08-21, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
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- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03373425, HAL.
- Schüler, Yves S., 2020. "The impact of uncertainty and certainty shocks," Discussion Papers 14/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
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- Thibaut Duprey, 2018. "Asymmetric Risks to the Economic Outlook Arising from Financial System Vulnerabilities," Staff Analytical Notes 2018-6, Bank of Canada.
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- Kremer, Manfred & Chavleishvili, Sulkhan, 2021. "Measuring Systemic Financial Stress and its Impact on the Macroeconomy," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242346, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Gross, Marco, 2022. "Beautiful cycles: A theory and a model implying a curious role for interest," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
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"Growth in stress,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 948-966.
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"Modeling tail risks of inflation using unobserved component quantile regressions,"
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"Identifying and estimating the effects of unconventional monetary policy in the data: How to do It and what have we learned?,"
Economics Working Papers
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- Barbara Rossi, 2019. "Identifying and Estimating the Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy in the Data: How to Do It and What Have We Learned?," Working Papers 1081, Barcelona School of Economics.
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"Forecast uncertainty, disagreement, and the linear pool,"
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"Capital Flows at Risk: Taming the Ebbs and Flows,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
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"Forecasting Macroeconomic Risks,"
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"Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data,"
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- Daniel Gros, 2021. "High Public Debt in an Uncertain World: Post-Covid-19 Dangers for Public Finance," EconPol Policy Brief 38, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
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"Attention to the tail(s): global financial conditions and exchange rate risks,"
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"Stress-ridden finance and growth losses: does financial development break the link?,"
CEMLA Working Paper Series
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"Macrofinancial Causes of Optimism in Growth Forecasts,"
IMF Working Papers
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"Sharing asymmetric tail risk smoothing, asset pricing and terms of trade,"
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"Quantile Factor Models,"
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- Dolado, Juan J & Chen, Liang & Gonzalo, Jesus, 2018. "Quantile Factor Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 12716, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Liang Chen & Juan J. Dolado & Jesús Gonzalo, 2021. "Quantile Factor Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(2), pages 875-910, March.
- Chen, Liang & Dolado, Juan J. & Gonzalo, Jesús, 2020. "Quantile Factor Models," IZA Discussion Papers 13870, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Matei Demetrescu & Robinson Kruse-Becher, 2021. "Is U.S. real output growth really non-normal? Testing distributional assumptions in time-varying location-scale models," CREATES Research Papers 2021-07, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Timo Dimitriadis & Tobias Fissler & Johanna Ziegel, 2020. "The Efficiency Gap," Papers 2010.14146, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
- Chen, Guojin & Liu, Yanzhen & Zhang, Yu, 2021. "Systemic risk measures and distribution forecasting of macroeconomic shocks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 178-196.
- Chavleishvili, Sulkhan & Manganelli, Simone, 2019. "Forecasting and stress testing with quantile vector autoregression," Working Paper Series 2330, European Central Bank.
- Michael T. Kiley, 2020. "Financial Conditions and Economic Activity: Insights from Machine Learning," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-095, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James, 2020.
"Does Judgment Improve Macroeconomic Density Forecasts?,"
EMF Research Papers
33, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James, 2021. "Does judgment improve macroeconomic density forecasts?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1247-1260.
- Ji Hyung Lee & Youngki Shin, 2020.
"Complete Subset Averaging for Quantile Regressions,"
Papers
2003.03299, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
- Ji Hyung Lee & Youngki Shin, 2020. "Complete Subset Averaging for Quantile Regressions," Department of Economics Working Papers 2020-03, McMaster University.
- Lee, Ji Hyung & Shin, Youngki, 2023. "Complete Subset Averaging For Quantile Regressions," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 39(1), pages 146-188, February.
- Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Fan charts 2.0: flexible forecast distributions with expert judgement," Working Paper Series 2624, European Central Bank.
- Luca Rossi, 2021. "Revisiting the Case for a Fiscal Union: the Federal Fiscal Channel of Downside-Risk Sharing in the United States," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1351, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Yoshihiko Norimasa & Kazuki Ueda & Tomohiro Watanabe, 2021. "Emerging Economies' Vulnerability to Changes in Capital Flows: The Role of Global and Local Factors," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 21-E-5, Bank of Japan.
- Maria Elvira Mancino & Simona Sanfelici, 2020. "Identifying financial instability conditions using high frequency data," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 15(1), pages 221-242, January.
- Hartwig, Benny & Meinerding, Christoph & Schüler, Yves S., 2021.
"Identifying indicators of systemic risk,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
- Hartwig, Benny & Meinerding, Christoph & Schüler, Yves, 2020. "Identifying indicators of systemic risk," Discussion Papers 33/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Fischer, Manfred M. & Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2022. "General Bayesian time-varying parameter VARs for modeling government bond yields," Working Papers in Regional Science 2021/01, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Olga Bespalova & Mrs. Marina V Rousset, 2019. "Macrofinancial Linkages and Growth at Risk in the Dominican Republic," IMF Working Papers 2019/246, International Monetary Fund.
- Suarez, Javier & Mendicino, Caterina & Nikolov, Kalin & Rubio-RamÃrez, Juan Francisco & Supera, Dominik, 2020.
"Twin Defaults and Bank Capital Requirements,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
14427, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mendicino, Caterina & Nikolov, Kalin & Ramirez, Juan-Rubio & Suarez, Javier & Supera, Dominik, 2020. "Twin defaults and bank capital requirements," Working Paper Series 2414, European Central Bank.
- Eduardo C. Castro, 2020. "RegGae: a toolkit for macroprudential policy with DSGEs," Working Papers Series 526, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Burgess, Matthew G. & Langendorf, Ryan E. & Ippolito, Tara & Pielke, Roger Jr, 2020. "Optimistically biased economic growth forecasts and negatively skewed annual variation," SocArXiv vndqr, Center for Open Science.
- Nam Gang Lee, 2020. "Vulnerable Growth: A Revisit," Working Papers 2020-22, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2022. "A Neural Phillips Curve and a Deep Output Gap," Papers 2202.04146, arXiv.org.
- Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2019.
"What anchors for the natural rate of interest?,"
BIS Working Papers
777, Bank for International Settlements.
- Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2018. "What Anchors for the Natural Rate of Interest?," PIER Discussion Papers 98, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
- Chavleishvili, Sulkhan & Engle, Robert F. & Fahr, Stephan & Kremer, Manfred & Manganelli, Simone & Schwaab, Bernd, 2021. "The risk management approach to macro-prudential policy," Working Paper Series 2565, European Central Bank.
- Lhuissier, Stéphane, 2022.
"Financial conditions and macroeconomic downside risks in the euro area,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Lhuissier Stéphane, 2022. "Financial Conditions and Macroeconomic Downside Risks in the Euro Area," Working papers 863, Banque de France.
- Aida Caldera Sánchez & Oliver Röhn, 2016. "How do policies influence GDP tail risks?," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1339, OECD Publishing.
- Nyholm, Juho & Voutilainen, Ville, 2021. "Quantiles of growth: Household debt and growth vulnerabilities in Finland," BoF Economics Review 2/2021, Bank of Finland.
- Michael T. Kiley, 2022.
"Unemployment Risk,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(5), pages 1407-1424, August.
- Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "Unemployment Risk," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-067, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Azqueta-Gavaldon, Andres & Hirschbühl, Dominik & Onorante, Luca & Saiz, Lorena, 2020. "Nowcasting business cycle turning points with stock networks and machine learning," Working Paper Series 2494, European Central Bank.
- Michael T. Kiley, 2021. "Growth at Risk From Climate Change," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-054, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Nicholas Apergis, 2019. "Financial Vulnerability And Income Inequality: New Evidence From Oecd Countries," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 21(3), pages 1-14, January.
- Helena Chuliá & Ignacio Garrón & Jorge M. Uribe, 2021. ""Vulnerable Funding in the Global Economy"," IREA Working Papers 202106, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Mar 2021.
- Isabel Cairo & Jae Sim, 2017.
"Income Inequality, Financial Crises and Monetary Policy,"
2017 Meeting Papers
1433, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Isabel Cairó & Jae W. Sim, 2018. "Income Inequality, Financial Crises, and Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-048, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Laeven, Luc & Perez-Quiros, Gabriel & Rivas, María Dolores Gadea, 2020.
"Growth-and-risk trade-off,"
Working Paper Series
2397, European Central Bank.
- Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Gadea Rivas, Maria Dolores & Laeven, Luc, 2020. "Growth-and-Risk Trade-off," CEPR Discussion Papers 14492, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Alain Kabundi & Asithandile Mbelu, 2021.
"Estimating a time-varying financial conditions index for South Africa,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(4), pages 1817-1844, April.
- Alain Kabundi & Asi Mbelu, 2017. "Estimating a timevarying financial conditions index for South Africa," Working Papers 8008, South African Reserve Bank.
- Milan Szabo & Zlatuse Komarkova & Martin Casta, 2020. "Vulnerable growth: Bayesian GDP-at-Risk," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes,, Czech National Bank.
- Robert J. Barro & Gordon Y. Liao, 2019. "Tractable Rare Disaster Probability and Options-Pricing," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-073, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Stephen Millard, & Margarita Rubio & Alexandra Varadi, 2020. "The impact of Covid-19 on productivity," Discussion Papers 2020/14, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
- Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & Pierdzioch, Christian & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Disaggregated oil shocks and stock-market tail risks: Evidence from a panel of 48 economics," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
- Paul Labonne, 2020. "Capturing GDP nowcast uncertainty in real time," Papers 2012.02601, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan, 2021.
"Geopolitical risk and forecastability of tail risk in the oil market: Evidence from over a century of monthly data,"
Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
- Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Geopolitical Risk and Forecastability of Tail Risk in the Oil Market: Evidence from Over a Century of Monthly Data," Working Papers 202122, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Stefan Griller & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2022. "Measuring Shocks to Central Bank Independence using Legal Rulings," Papers 2202.12695, arXiv.org.
- Mr. Tobias Adrian & Andrea Deghi & Mitsuru Katagiri & Mr. Sohaib Shahid & Nico Valckx, 2020. "Predicting Downside Risks to House Prices and Macro-Financial Stability," IMF Working Papers 2020/011, International Monetary Fund.
- International Monetary Fund, 2018. "Singapore: 2018 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Singapore," IMF Staff Country Reports 2018/245, International Monetary Fund.
- Rostagno, Massimo & Altavilla, Carlo & Carboni, Giacomo & Lemke, Wolfgang & Motto, Roberto & Saint Guilhem, Arthur, 2021. "Combining negative rates, forward guidance and asset purchases: identification and impacts of the ECB’s unconventional policies," Working Paper Series 2564, European Central Bank.
- Alter, Adrian & Mahoney, Elizabeth M., 2021. "Local house-price vulnerability: Evidence from the U.S. and Canada," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
- Angelini, Elena & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Zimic, Srečko & Damjanović, Milan, 2020. "ECB-BASIR: a primer on the macroeconomic implications of the Covid-19 pandemic," Working Paper Series 2431, European Central Bank.
- N. V. Suvorov & S. V. Treshchina & Yu. V. Beletskii, 2020. "Design of Methods for Long-Term Forecasting of Development Trends in the Russian Economy (Methodology and Model Toolkit)," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 31(6), pages 636-646, November.
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Predictability of Tail Risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The Role of Spillovers and Oil Tail Risks," Working Papers 202127, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Pongpitch Amatyakul & Tosapol Apaitan & Savaphol Hiruntiaranakul & Nuwat Nookhwun, 2021. "Revisiting Thailand's Monetary Policy Model for an Integrated Policy Analysis," PIER Discussion Papers 164, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
- Wang, Bo & Li, Haoran, 2021. "Downside risk, financial conditions and systemic risk in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Tatjana Dahlhaus & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2018. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty: A Tale of Two Tails," Staff Working Papers 18-50, Bank of Canada.
- Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Christian Pierdzioch & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Disaggregated Oil Shocks and Stock-Market Tail Risks: Evidence from a Panel of 48 Countries," Working Papers 202106, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Pontines, Victor & Luvsannyam, Davaajargal & Atarbaatar, Enkhjin & Munkhtsetseg, Ulziikhutag, 2021. "The effectiveness of currency intervention: Evidence from Mongolia," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Antonello D'Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Michele Modugno, 2015.
"Nowcasting Business Cycles: a Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2015-66, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Antonello D’Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Michele Modugno, 2016. "Nowcasting Business Cycles: A Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 569-594, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
Cited by:
- Monokroussos, George, 2015.
"Nowcasting in Real Time Using Popularity Priors,"
MPRA Paper
68594, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Monokroussos, George & Zhao, Yongchen, 2020. "Nowcasting in real time using popularity priors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1173-1180.
- George Monokroussos & Yongchen Zhao, 2020. "Nowcasting in Real Time Using Popularity Priors," Working Papers 2020-01, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2020.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022.
"Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
- Lenza, Michele & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15854, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 2453, European Central Bank.
- Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2014.
"Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth,"
Discussion Papers
1604, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), revised Jan 2016.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2017. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 81869, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86243, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2017. "Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 99(2), pages 343-356, May.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," Bank of England working papers 587, Bank of England.
- Robert Lehmann & Magnus Reif & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2020. "ifoCAST: The New Forecast Standard of the ifo Institute," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(11), pages 31-39, November.
- Beetsma, Roel & Cimadomo, Jacopo & van Spronsen, Josha, 2022.
"One scheme fits all: a central fiscal capacity for the EMU targeting eurozone, national and regional shocks,"
Working Paper Series
2666, European Central Bank.
- Beetsma, Roel & Cimadomo, Jacopo & van Spronsen, Josha, 2022. "One Scheme Fits All: A Central Fiscal Capacity for the EMU Targeting Eurozone, National and Regional Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 16829, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Scott A. Brave & R. Andrew Butters & David Kelley, 2019. "A New “Big Data” Index of U.S. Economic Activity," Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue 1, pages 1-30.
- Lenza, Michele & Jarociński, Marek, 2016.
"An inflation-predicting measure of the output gap in the euro area,"
Working Paper Series
1966, European Central Bank.
- Marek Jarociński & Michele Lenza, 2018. "An Inflation‐Predicting Measure of the Output Gap in the Euro Area," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(6), pages 1189-1224, September.
- Brandyn Bok & Daniele Caratelli & Domenico Giannone & Argia M. Sbordone & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018.
"Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data,"
Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 615-643, August.
- Brandyn Bok & Daniele Caratelli & Domenico Giannone & Argia M. Sbordone & Andrea Tambalotti, 2017. "Macroeconomic nowcasting and forecasting with big data," Staff Reports 830, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Tambalotti, Andrea & Sbordone, Argia & Bok, Brandyn & Caratelli, Daniele, 2018. "Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 12589, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano & Simonsen, Lasse de la Porte, 2018.
"Time-varying Price Flexibility and Inflation Dynamics,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
13027, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano & Simonsen, Lasse P., 2019. "Time-varying Price Flexibility and Inflation Dynamics," EMF Research Papers 28, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Luciani, Matteo & Pundit, Madhavi & Ramayandi, Arief & Veronese , Giovanni, 2015.
"Nowcasting Indonesia,"
ADB Economics Working Paper Series
471, Asian Development Bank.
- Matteo Luciani & Madhavi Pundit & Arief Ramayandi & Giovanni Veronese, 2018. "Nowcasting Indonesia," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 597-619, September.
- Matteo Luciani & Madhavi Pundit & Arief Ramayandi & Giovanni Veronese, 2015. "Nowcasting Indonesia," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-100, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Antonello D’Agostino & Jacopo Cimadomo, 2015.
"Combining time-variation and mixed-frequencies: an analysis of government spending multipliers in Italy,"
Working Papers
7, European Stability Mechanism.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Cimadomo, Jacopo, 2015. "Combining time-variation and mixed-frequencies: an analysis of government spending multipliers in Italy," Working Paper Series 1856, European Central Bank.
- Jacopo Cimadomo & Antonello D'Agostino, 2016. "Combining Time Variation and Mixed Frequencies: an Analysis of Government Spending Multipliers in Italy," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1276-1290, November.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2021.
"Back to the Present: Learning about the Euro Area through a Now-casting Model,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
1313, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo & Ferreira, Thiago R.T. & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele, 2024. "Back to the present: Learning about the euro area through a now-casting model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 661-686.
- Nataliia Ostapenko, 2022. "Do output gap estimates improve inflation forecasts in Slovakia?," Working and Discussion Papers WP 4/2022, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
- Daniel Wochner, 2020. "Dynamic Factor Trees and Forests – A Theory-led Machine Learning Framework for Non-Linear and State-Dependent Short-Term U.S. GDP Growth Predictions," KOF Working papers 20-472, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Modugno, 2014.
"Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields,"
Working Papers ECARES
ECARES 2014-34, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Altavilla, Carlo & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele, 2017. "Low frequency effects of macroeconomic news on government bond yields," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 31-46.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2014. "Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-52, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2014. "Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields," CSEF Working Papers 372, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
Cited by:
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Fabio Spagnolo & Nicola Spagnolo, 2014.
"Macro News and Bond Yield Spreads in the Euro Area,"
Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin
1413, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Fabio Spagnolo & Nicola Spagnolo, 2014. "Macro News and Bond Yield Spreads in the Euro Area," CESifo Working Paper Series 5008, CESifo.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Fabio Spagnolo & Nicola Spagnolo, 2018. "Macro news and bond yield spreads in the euro area," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 114-134, January.
- Moench, Emanuel & Soofi-Siavash, Soroosh, 2022.
"What moves treasury yields?,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(3), pages 1016-1043.
- Soroosh Soofi-Siavash & Emanuel Moench, 2021. "What Moves Treasury Yields?," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 88, Bank of Lithuania.
- Moench, Emanuel & Soofi Siavash, Soroosh, 2022. "What Moves Treasury Yields?," CEPR Discussion Papers 15978, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Benjamin Born & Zeno Enders & Manuel Menkhoff & Gernot J. Müller & Knut Niemann, 2023.
"Firm Expectations and News: Micro v Macro,"
ifo Working Paper Series
400, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Benjamin Born & Zeno Enders & Manuel Menkhoff & Gernot J. Müller & Knut Niemann & Gernot Müller, 2022. "Firm Expectations and News: Micro v Macro," CESifo Working Paper Series 10192, CESifo.
- Born, Benjamin & Enders, Zeno & Menkhoff, Manuel & Müller, Gernot J. & Niemann, Knut, 2023. "Firm expectations and news: Micro v macro," Working Papers 43, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
- Born, Benjamin & Enders, Zeno & Menkhoff, Manuel & Müller, Gernot & Niemann, Knut, 2022. "Firm Expectations and News: Micro v Macro," CEPR Discussion Papers 17768, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Rasmus Fatum & Naoko Hara & Yohei Yamamoto, 2019.
"Negative Interest Rate Policy and the Influence of Macroeconomic News on Yields,"
Globalization Institute Working Papers
354, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Rasmus Fatum & Naoko Hara & Yohei Yamamoto, 2019. "Negative Interest Rate Policy and the Influence of Macroeconomic News on Yields," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2019_006, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
- Rasmus Fatum & Naoko Hara & Yohei Yamamoto, 2019. "Negative Interest Rate Policy and the Influence of Macroeconomic News on Yields," IMES Discussion Paper Series 19-E-02, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
- Alberto Caruso & Laura Coroneo, 2023. "Does Real‐Time Macroeconomic Information Help to Predict Interest Rates?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(8), pages 2027-2059, December.
- Pilar Poncela & Eva Senra, 2017. "Measuring uncertainty and assessing its predictive power in the euro area," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 165-182, August.
- André Marine Charlotte & Dai Meixing, 2020.
"The limits to robust monetary policy in a small open economy with learning agents,"
Working Papers
2020-12, Banco de México.
- Marine Charlotte André & Meixing Dai, 2018. "The limits to robust monetary policy in a small open economy with learning agents," Working Papers of BETA 2018-45, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
- Wildmer Daniel Gregori & Wildmer Agnese Sacchi, 2016.
"Has the Grexit news spilled over into euro area financial markets? The role of domestic political leaders, supranational executives and institutions,"
Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers
134, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
- Gregori, Wildmer & Sacchi, Agnese, 2017. "Has the Grexit news affected euro area financial markets?," Working Papers 2017-13, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
- Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Dionisio, Andreia & Pradhan, H.K. & Mahapatra, Biplab, 2021. "Hunting the quicksilver: Using textual news and causality analysis to predict market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Filippo Ferroni, 2018.
"Delphic and Odyssean monetary policy shocks: Evidence from the euro-area,"
2018 Meeting Papers
60, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Andrade, Philippe & Ferroni, Filippo, 2021. "Delphic and odyssean monetary policy shocks: Evidence from the euro area," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 816-832.
- Philippe Andrade & Filippo Ferroni, 2018. "Delphic and Odyssean Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence from the Euro Area," Working Paper Series WP-2018-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Philippe Andrade & Filippo Ferroni, 2019. "Delphic and Odyssean Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence from the Euro Area," Working Papers 19-17, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- Philippe Andrade & Filippo Ferroni, 2016. "Delphic and Odyssean monetary policy shocks: Evidence from the euro-area," School of Economics Discussion Papers 1216, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Gregori, Wildmer Daniel & Sacchi, Agnese, 2019.
"Has the Grexit news affected euro area financial markets?,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 71-84.
- Gregori, Wildmer & Sacchi, Agnese, 2017. "Has the Grexit news affected euro area financial markets?," Working Papers 2017-13, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
- Alberto Caruso, 2018.
"Macroeconomic News and Market Reaction: Surprise Indexes meet Nowcasting,"
Working Papers ECARES
2018-06, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Caruso, Alberto, 2019. "Macroeconomic news and market reaction: Surprise indexes meet nowcasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1725-1734.
- François Gourio & Phuong Ngo, 2020.
"Risk Premia at the ZLB: A Macroeconomic Interpretation,"
Working Paper Series
WP 2020-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Phuong Ngo & Francois Gourio, 2016. "Risk Premia at the ZLB: a macroeconomic interpretation," 2016 Meeting Papers 1585, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- François Gourio & Phuong Ngo, 2020. "Risk Premia at the ZLB: A Macroeconomic Interpretation," Working Paper Series WP-2020-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia, 2016.
"Unsurprising shocks: information, premia, and the monetary transmission,"
Bank of England working papers
626, Bank of England.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia, 2016. "Unsurprising shocks: information, Premia, and the Monetary Transmission," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86234, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino, 2015. "Unsurprising Shocks: Information, Premia, and the Monetary Transmission," Discussion Papers 1613, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), revised Apr 2016.
- Eguren-Martin, Fernando & McLaren, Nick, 2015. "How much do UK market interest rates respond to macroeconomic data news?," Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Bank of England, vol. 55(3), pages 259-272.
- Goodell, John W. & Alon, Ilan & Chiaramonte, Laura & Dreassi, Alberto & Paltrinieri, Andrea & Piserà, Stefano, 2023. "Risk substitution in cryptocurrencies: Evidence from BRICS announcements," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
- Ingomar Krohn & Vladyslav Sushko & Witit Synsatayakul, 2023. "Foreign investor feedback trading in an emerging financial market," BIS Working Papers 1154, Bank for International Settlements.
- Brandyn Bok & Daniele Caratelli & Domenico Giannone & Argia M. Sbordone & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018.
"Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data,"
Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 615-643, August.
- Brandyn Bok & Daniele Caratelli & Domenico Giannone & Argia M. Sbordone & Andrea Tambalotti, 2017. "Macroeconomic nowcasting and forecasting with big data," Staff Reports 830, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Tambalotti, Andrea & Sbordone, Argia & Bok, Brandyn & Caratelli, Daniele, 2018. "Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 12589, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Yunus, Nafeesa, 2023. "Long-run and short-run impact of the U.S. economy on stock, bond and housing markets: An evaluation of U.S. and six major economies," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 211-232.
- De Pooter, Michiel & Favara, Giovanni & Modugno, Michele & Wu, Jason, 2021.
"Monetary policy uncertainty and monetary policy surprises,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
- Michiel De Pooter & Giovanni Favara & Michele Modugno & Jason J. Wu, 2020. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Monetary Policy Surprises," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-032, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Luca Brugnolini & Antonello D’Agostino & Alex Tagliabracci, 2021. "Is Anything Predictable in Market-Based Surprises?," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 7(3), pages 387-410, November.
- Christoph E. Boehm & Niklas Kroner, 2023.
"The US, Economic News, and the Global Financial Cycle,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
1371, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Christoph E. Boehm & T. Niklas Kroner, 2020. "The US, Economic News, and the Global Financial Cycle," Working Papers 677, Research Seminar in International Economics, University of Michigan.
- Christoph E. Boehm & T. Niklas Kroner, 2023. "The US, Economic News, and the Global Financial Cycle," NBER Working Papers 30994, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- De Pooter, Michiel & Favara, Giovanni & Modugno, Michele & Wu, Jason, 2021. "Reprint: Monetary policy uncertainty and monetary policy surprises," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
- Guerino Ardizzi & Simone Emiliozzi & Juri Marcucci & Libero Monteforte, 2019. "News and consumer card payments," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1233, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Kerssenfischer, Mark & Schmeling, Maik, 2022. "What moves markets?," Discussion Papers 16/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Sreejata Banerjee & Divya Sinha, 2015. "Effect of Macroeconomic News Releases on Bond Yields in India China and Japan," Working Papers 2015-125, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India.
- Stavrakeva, Vania & Tang, Jenny, 2023.
"A Fundamental Connection: Exchange Rates and Macroeconomic Expectations,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
18119, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Vania Stavrakeva & Jenny Tang, 2020. "A Fundamental Connection: Exchange Rates and Macroeconomic Expectations," Working Papers 20-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2021.
"Back to the Present: Learning about the Euro Area through a Now-casting Model,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
1313, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo & Ferreira, Thiago R.T. & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele, 2024. "Back to the present: Learning about the euro area through a now-casting model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 661-686.
- Bruno Feunou & Jean-Sébastien Fontaine & Ingomar Krohn, 2022. "Real Exchange Rate Decompositions," Discussion Papers 2022-6, Bank of Canada.
- Alberto Caruso, 2016. "The Impact of Macroeconomic News on the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2016-32, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Bruno Feunou & Rodrigo Sekkel & Morvan Nongni Donfack, 2018. "Does US or Canadian Macro News Drive Canadian Bond Yields?," Staff Analytical Notes 2018-38, Bank of Canada.
- Patrick Hirsch & Lars P. Feld & Ekkehard A. Köhler & Tobias Thomas, 2024. "“Whatever It Takes!” How Tonality of TV-News Affected Government Bond Yield Spreads during the European Debt Crisis," CESifo Working Paper Series 10980, CESifo.
- Guido Bulligan & Davide Delle Monache, 2018. "Financial markets effects of ECB unconventional monetary policy announcements," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 424, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Julio E. Sandubete & León Beleña & Juan Carlos García-Villalobos, 2023. "Testing the Efficient Market Hypothesis and the Model-Data Paradox of Chaos on Top Currencies from the Foreign Exchange Market (FOREX)," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-29, January.
- Dumitru, Ana-Maria & Urga, Giovanni, 2016. "Jumps and Information Asymmetry in the US Treasury Market," EconStor Preprints 130148, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Schlepper, Kathi, 2016. "High-frequency trading in the Bund futures market," Discussion Papers 15/2016, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti , Francesca & Reichlin , Lucrezia, 2014.
"Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting,"
Bank of England working papers
509, Bank of England.
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2016. "Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 201-215.
- Domenico Giannone & Francesca Monti & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2015. "Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting," Staff Reports 751, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2014. "Exploiting the monthly data-flow in structural forecasting," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 57998, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Domenico Giannone & Francesca Monti & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2014. "Exploiting the monthly data-flow in structural forecasting," Discussion Papers 1416, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
Cited by:
- Meyer-Gohde, Alexander & Shabalina, Ekaterina, 2022. "Estimation and forecasting using mixed-frequency DSGE models," IMFS Working Paper Series 175, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Bjarni G. Einarsson, 2024. "Online Monitoring of Policy Optimality," Economics wp95, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022.
"Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
- Lenza, Michele & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15854, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 2453, European Central Bank.
- Stylianos Asimakopoulos & Marco Lorusso & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2023.
"A Bayesian DSGE Approach to Modelling Cryptocurrency,"
Working Papers
No 09/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Stylianos Asimakopoulos & Marco Lorusso & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2023. "A Bayesian DSGE Approach to Modelling Cryptocurrency"," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 51, pages 1012-1035, December.
- Boneva, Lena & Fawcett, Nicholas & Masolo, Riccardo M. & Waldron, Matt, 2019. "Forecasting the UK economy: Alternative forecasting methodologies and the role of off-model information," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 100-120.
- Fabian Krüger & Todd E. Clark & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2017.
"Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts With External Nowcasts,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(3), pages 470-485, July.
- Krüger, Fabian & Clark, Todd E. & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2015. "Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113077, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Todd E. Clark & Fabian Krueger & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2015. "Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts," Working Papers (Old Series) 1439, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Fabian Kr�ger & Todd E. Clark & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2015. "Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts," Working Papers No 8/2015, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- David Kohns & Arnab Bhattacharjee, 2020.
"Nowcasting Growth using Google Trends Data: A Bayesian Structural Time Series Model,"
Papers
2011.00938, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
- Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Kohns, David, 2022. "Nowcasting Growth using Google Trends Data: A Bayesian Structural Time Series Model," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 538, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- David Kohns & Arnab Bhattacharjee, 2019. "Interpreting Big Data in the Macro Economy: A Bayesian Mixed Frequency Estimator," CEERP Working Paper Series 010, Centre for Energy Economics Research and Policy, Heriot-Watt University.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2019.
"Assessing Nowcast Accuracy of US GDP Growth in Real Time: The Role of Booms and Busts,"
Working Papers
2019/01, Latvijas Banka.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2020. "Assessing nowcast accuracy of US GDP growth in real time: the role of booms and busts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 7-27, January.
- Bent Jesper Christensen & Olaf Posch & Michel van der Wel, 2014.
"Estimating Dynamic Equilibrium Models Using Mixed Frequency Macro and Financial Data,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
5030, CESifo.
- Christensen, Bent Jesper & Posch, Olaf & van der Wel, Michel, 2016. "Estimating dynamic equilibrium models using mixed frequency macro and financial data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 194(1), pages 116-137.
- Jack Fosten & Daniel Gutknecht, 2021. "Horizon confidence sets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 667-692, August.
- Norberto Rodríguez-Niño & Alejandra Ramírez-Ramírez, 2018. "Metodologías semi-estructurales para estimar la Inflación básica mensual en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 1040, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Kohns, David & Bhattacharjee, Arnab, 2023. "Nowcasting growth using Google Trends data: A Bayesian Structural Time Series model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1384-1412.
- Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta & Lenza, Michele, 2014.
"Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
9931, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Bańbura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2015. "Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 739-756.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza, 2014. "Conditional Forecasts and Scenario Analysis with Vector Autoregressions for Large Cross-Sections," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-15, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Bańbura, Marta & Lenza, Michele, 2014. "Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections," Working Paper Series 1733, European Central Bank.
Cited by:
- Olga Korotkikh, 2020. "A Multi-Country BVAR Model for the External Sector," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 79(4), pages 98-112, December.
- Delle Chiaie, Simona & Ferrara, Laurent & Giannone, Domenico, 2018.
"Common factors of commodity prices,"
Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 51.
- Simona Delle Chiaie & Laurent Ferrara & Domenico Giannone, 2022. "Common factors of commodity prices," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 461-476, April.
- Delle Chiaie, Simona & Ferrara, Laurent & Giannone, Domenico, 2017. "Common factors of commodity prices," Working Paper Series 2112, European Central Bank.
- Giannone, Domenico & Ferrara, Laurent & Delle Chiaie, Simona, 2018. "Common Factors of Commodity Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 12767, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- S. Delle Chiaie & L. Ferrara & D. Giannone, 2017. "Common Factors of Commodity Prices," Working papers 645, Banque de France.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2019.
"Money, Credit, Monetary Policy, and the Business Cycle in the Euro Area: What Has Changed Since the Crisis?,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(5), pages 137-173, December.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2019. "Money, credit, monetary policy, and the business cycle in the euro area: what has changed since the crisis?," Staff Reports 885, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2019. "Money, credit, monetary policy and the business cycle in the euro area: what has changed since the crisis?," Working Paper Series 2226, European Central Bank.
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021.
"Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?,"
Working Paper Series
2604, European Central Bank.
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-León, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?," Discussion Papers 48/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Marta Bañbura & Danilo Leiva-León & Jan-Oliver Menz, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation Forecasts?," Working Papers 2138, Banco de España.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019.
"Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different,"
SciencePo Working papers Main
hal-03403269, HAL.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Caruso, Alberto & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Financial and Fiscal Interaction in the Euro Area Crisis: This Time was Different," CEPR Discussion Papers 13016, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," Post-Print hal-03403613, HAL.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different," Sciences Po publications 11, Sciences Po.
- Caruso, Alberto & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Financial and Fiscal Interaction in the Euro Area Crisis : This Time was Different," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1167, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Albert Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis : this time was different," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2019-11, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/4u5amfvji89, Sciences Po.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03403613, HAL.
- Caruso, Alberto & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 333-355.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different," Working Papers hal-03403269, HAL.
- Anastasios Evgenidis & Stephanos Papadamou, 2021. "The impact of unconventional monetary policy in the euro area. Structural and scenario analysis from a Bayesian VAR," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5684-5703, October.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Michele Modugno, 2015.
"Nowcasting Business Cycles: a Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2015-66, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Antonello D’Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Michele Modugno, 2016. "Nowcasting Business Cycles: A Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 569-594, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Timo Wollmershäuser & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Stefan Lautenbacher & Robert Lehmann & Sebastian Link & Manuel Menkhoff & Sascha Möhrle & Ann-Christin Rathje & Magnus Reif & Pauliina Sandqv, 2020. "ifo Economic Forecast Winter 2020: The Coronavirus Strikes Back – Another Lockdown Slows the Economy for a Second Time," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(Sonderaus), pages 03-61, December.
- Ngomba Bodi, Francis Ghislain & Bikai, Landry, 2019. "Les prévisions conditionnelles sont-elles plus précises que les prévisions inconditionnelles dans les projections de croissance et d’inflation en zone CEMAC ? [Should conditional forecasts of infla," MPRA Paper 116432, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- William W. Chow & Michael K. Fung, 2021. "The effects of macroprudential policy on Hong Kong’s housing market: a multivariate ordered probit-augmented vector autoregressive approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(2), pages 633-660, February.
- Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015.
"Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," ifo Working Paper Series 155, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Berg, Tim Oliver & Henzel, Steffen, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79783, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2014. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Bayesian VARs," CESifo Working Paper Series 4711, CESifo.
- Byoung Hark Yoo, 2023. "Conditional Forecasting With a Bayesian Vector Autoregression: Working Paper 2023-08," Working Papers 59629, Congressional Budget Office.
- Sebastian Ankargren & Mårten Bjellerup & Hovick Shahnazarian, 2017. "The importance of the financial system for the real economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 1553-1586, December.
- William Chen & Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020.
"What’s Up with the Phillips Curve?,"
Liberty Street Economics
20200918a, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Primiceri, Giorgio & Del Negro, Marco & Lenza, Michele & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2020. "What's up with the Phillips Curve?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14583, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020. "What’s up with the Phillips Curve?," NBER Working Papers 27003, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Del Negro, Marco & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E. & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2020. "What’s up with the Phillips Curve?," Working Paper Series 2435, European Central Bank.
- Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020. "What's Up with the Phillips Curve?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 51(1 (Spring), pages 301-373.
- Michal Franta & David Havrlant & Marek Rusnák, 2016.
"Forecasting Czech GDP Using Mixed-Frequency Data Models,"
Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 12(2), pages 165-185, December.
- Michal Franta & David Havrlant & Marek Rusnak, 2014. "Forecasting Czech GDP Using Mixed-Frequency Data Models," Working Papers 2014/08, Czech National Bank.
- Tallman, Ellis W. & Zaman, Saeed, 2020.
"Combining survey long-run forecasts and nowcasts with BVAR forecasts using relative entropy,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 373-398.
- Ellis W. Tallman & Saeed Zaman, 2018. "Combining Survey Long-Run Forecasts and Nowcasts with BVAR Forecasts Using Relative Entropy," Working Papers (Old Series) 1809, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Poon, Aubrey, 2023. "Forecasting using variational Bayesian inference in large vector autoregressions with hierarchical shrinkage," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 346-363.
- Lenza, Michele, 2023. "Inflation and wage growth since the pandemic: A comment," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
- Camacho, Maximo & Perez-Quiros, Gabriel & Pacce, Matías, 2020.
"Spillover effects in international business cycles,"
Working Paper Series
2484, European Central Bank.
- Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Camacho, Máximo & Pacce, Matias Jose, 2021. "Spillover Effects in International Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 15787, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Máximo Camacho & Matías Pacce & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós, 2020. "Spillover effects in international business cycles," Working Papers 2034, Banco de España.
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Aubrey Poon, 2019.
"Variational Bayesian inference in large Vector Autoregressions with hierarchical shrinkage,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Aubrey Poon, 2019. "Variational Bayesian Inference in Large Vector Autoregressions with Hierarchical Shrinkage," Discussion Papers in Economics 19/05, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Aubrey Poon, 2019. "Variational Bayesian Inference in Large Vector Autoregressions with Hierarchical Shrinkage," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2019-07, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Hauber, Philipp, 2021. "How useful is external information from professional forecasters? Conditional forecasts in large factor models," EconStor Preprints 251469, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022.
"Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
- Lenza, Michele & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15854, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 2453, European Central Bank.
- Cristina Manteu & Sara Serra, 2017. "Impact of uncertainty measures on the Portuguese economy," Working Papers w201709, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Michael W. McCracken & Joseph McGillicuddy & Michael T. Owyang, 2019.
"Binary Conditional Forecasts,"
Working Papers
2019-029, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised Apr 2021.
- Michael W. McCracken & Joseph T. McGillicuddy & Michael T. Owyang, 2022. "Binary Conditional Forecasts," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 1246-1258, June.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Matteo Luciani & Michele Modugno, 2023. "Lessons from Nowcasting GDP across the World," International Finance Discussion Papers 1385, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018.
"Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics
87393, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Silvia Miranda Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," Working Papers hal-03458277, HAL.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Discussion Papers 1808, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Silvia Miranda Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," Sciences Po publications 18, Sciences Po.
- Silvia Miranda Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03458277, HAL.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," Bank of England working papers 756, Bank of England.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2018-18, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1159, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Edward S. Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2017.
"Financial Nowcasts and Their Usefulness in Macroeconomic Forecasting,"
Working Papers (Old Series)
1702, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Knotek, Edward S. & Zaman, Saeed, 2019. "Financial nowcasts and their usefulness in macroeconomic forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1708-1724.
- Guy P. Nason & James L. Wei, 2022. "Quantifying the economic response to COVID‐19 mitigations and death rates via forecasting purchasing managers' indices using generalised network autoregressive models with exogenous variables," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(4), pages 1778-1792, October.
- Klaus-Heiner Röhl & Joachim Ragnitz & Ulrich Walwei & Timo Wollmershäuser & Justus Haucap & Jarko Fidrmuc & Florian Horky & Philipp Reichle & Fabian Reck & Birgit Felden, 2021. "The Post-Covid-19 Economy: What Unexpected Traces Does the Crisis Leave Behind in Industries, Regions, and Structures?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 74(03), pages 03-25, March.
- Stefan Laseen & Marzie Taheri Sanjani, 2016. "Did the Global Financial Crisis Break the U.S. Phillips Curve?," IMF Working Papers 2016/126, International Monetary Fund.
- Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2019.
"Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting,"
Working Paper
2019/2, Norges Bank.
- Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2019. "Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Papers No 01/2019, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2020. "Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 115(531), pages 1092-1110, July.
- João Barata R.B. Barroso & Fernanda Nechio, 2020. "Financial market development, monetary policy and financial stability in Brazil," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Financial market development, monetary policy and financial stability in emerging market economies, volume 113, pages 55-65, Bank for International Settlements.
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- Michele Lenza, 2015. "The financial and macroeconomic effects of OMT announcements," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 22, pages 12-16.
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- Giannone, Domenico & Altavilla, Carlo & Lenza, Michele, 2014. "The financial and macroeconomic effects of OMT announcements," Working Paper Series 1707, European Central Bank.
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22/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
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- Matthieu Darracq Paries, 2018. "Financial frictions and monetary policy conduct," Erudite Ph.D Dissertations, Erudite, number ph18-01 edited by Ferhat Mihoubi, April.
- Gnabo, Jean-Yves & Soudant, Joey, 2022. "Monetary policy and portfolio rebalancing: Evidence from European equity mutual funds," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
- Gabe de Bondt, 2017. "Confidence and monetary policy transmission," EcoMod2017 10197, EcoMod.
- Oussama Kchaou & Makram Bellalah & Sofiane Tahi, 2022. "Transmission of the Greek crisis on the sovereign debt markets in the euro area," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 1117-1139, June.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2015.
"The QE experience: Worth a try?,"
Post-Print
hal-03568216, HAL.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2015. "The QE experience: Worth a try?," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/76n8jifalu9, Sciences Po.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2015. "The QE experience: worth a try?," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/4qb2og10r48, Sciences Po.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2015. "The QE experience: worth a try?," Working Papers hal-03470201, HAL.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2015. "The QE experience : Worth a try ?," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03459951, HAL.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2015. "The QE experience: Worth a try?," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03568216, HAL.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2015. "The QE experience : Worth a try ?," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/166ip2fse39, Sciences Po.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2015. "The QE experience: worth a try?," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03470201, HAL.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2015. "The QE experience : Worth a try ?," Post-Print hal-03459951, HAL.
- Michael Stiefel & Rémi Vivès, 2022. "‘Whatever it takes’ to change belief: evidence from Twitter," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 158(3), pages 715-747, August.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Xavier Ragot, 2019.
"The Euro at 20: a critical assessment,"
Sciences Po publications
info:hdl:2441/5vh68vsbm9a, Sciences Po.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Xavier Ragot, 2019. "The Euro at 20: a critical assessment," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03403622, HAL.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Xavier Ragot, 2019. "The Euro at 20: a critical assessment," Working Papers hal-03403622, HAL.
- Neugebauer, Frederik, 2019. "ECB Announcements and Stock Market Volatility," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203554, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Nikolay Hristov & Oliver Hülsewig & Johann Scharler, 2020.
"Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the Sovereign-Bank Nexus,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
8178, CESifo.
- Hristov, Nikolay & Hülsewig, Oliver & Scharler, Johann, 2020. "Unconventional monetary policy shocks in the euro area and the sovereign-bank nexus," Discussion Papers 19/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Nikolay Hristov & Oliver Hülsewig & Johann Scharler, 2021. "Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the Sovereign-Bank Nexus," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(3), pages 337-383, September.
- Sascha Buetzer, 2022. "Advancing the Monetary Policy Toolkit through Outright Transfers," IMF Working Papers 2022/087, International Monetary Fund.
- Michael Hachula & Michele Piffer & Malte Rieth, 2016.
"Unconventional Monetary Policy, Fiscal Side Effects and Euro Area (Im)balances,"
Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin
1596, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Michael Hachula & Michele Piffer & Malte Rieth, 2020. "Unconventional Monetary Policy, Fiscal Side Effects, and Euro Area (Im)balances," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 18(1), pages 202-231.
- Hachula, Michael & Piffer, Michele & Rieth, Malte, 2020. "Unconventional Monetary Policy, Fiscal Side Effects and Euro Area (Im)balances," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 18(1), pages 202-231.
- Hachula, Michael & Rieth, Malte & Piffer, Michele, 2016. "Unconventional Monetary Policy, Fiscal Side Effects and Euro Area (Im)balances," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145790, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Wojciech Grabowski & Ewa Stawasz-Grabowska, 2019. "News Releases, Credit Rating Announcements, and Anti-Crisis Measures as Determinants of Sovereign Bond Spreads in the Peripheral Euro-Area Countries," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 69(2), pages 149-173, April.
- Ioannou Demosthenes & Pagliari Maria Sole & Stracca Livio, 2020. "The international dimension of a fragile EMU," Working papers 795, Banque de France.
- Ugo Albertazzi & Andrea Nobili & Federico M. Signoretti, 2016.
"The bank lending channel of conventional and unconventional monetary policy,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
1094, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Ugo Albertazzi & Andrea Nobili & Federico M. Signoretti, 2021. "The Bank Lending Channel of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(2-3), pages 261-299, March.
- Huber, Florian & Punzi, Maria Teresa, 2020.
"International Housing Markets, Unconventional Monetary Policy, And The Zero Lower Bound,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(4), pages 774-806, June.
- Florian Huber & Maria Teresa Punzi, 2016. "International Housing Markets, Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Zero Lower Bound," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp216, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Huber, Florian & Punzi, Maria Teresa, 2016. "International Housing Markets, Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Zero Lower Bound," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 216, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Huber, Florian & Punzi, Maria Teresa, 2016. "International housing markets, unconventional monetary policy and the zero lower bound," FinMaP-Working Papers 58, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
- Céline Antonin & Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Fabien Labondance & Vincent Touze & Paul Hubert, 2014.
"Comment lutter contre la fragmentation du système bancaire de la zone euro,"
Sciences Po publications
info:hdl:2441/7986np0ssj9, Sciences Po.
- Céline Antonin & Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Fabien Labondance & Vincent Touzé & Paul Hubert, 2014. "Comment lutter contre la fragmentation du système bancaire de la zone euro," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-01093021, HAL.
- Céline Antonin & Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance & Vincent Touzé, 2014. "Comment lutter contre la fragmentation du système bancaire de la zone euro ?," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(5), pages 171-219.
- Céline Antonin & Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Fabien Labondance & Vincent Touzé & Paul Hubert, 2014. "Comment lutter contre la fragmentation du système bancaire de la zone euro," Post-Print hal-01093021, HAL.
- Lo Duca, Marco & Koban, Anne & Basten, Marisa & Bengtsson, Elias & Klaus, Benjamin & Kusmierczyk, Piotr & Lang, Jan Hannes & Detken, Carsten & Peltonen, Tuomas, 2017.
"A new database for financial crises in European countries,"
ESRB Occasional Paper Series
13, European Systemic Risk Board.
- Lo Duca, Marco & Koban, Anne & Basten, Marisa & Bengtsson, Elias & Klaus, Benjamin & Kusmierczyk, Piotr & Lang, Jan Hannes & Detken, Carsten & Peltonen, Tuomas, 2017. "A new database for financial crises in European countries," Occasional Paper Series 194, European Central Bank.
- Kristina Bluwstein & Fabio Canova, 2016.
"Beggar-Thy-Neighbor? The International Effects of ECB Unconventional Monetary Policy Measures,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 12(3), pages 69-120, September.
- Canova, Fabio & Bluwstein, Kristina, 2015. "Beggar-thy-neighbor? The international effects of ECB unconventional monetary policy measures," CEPR Discussion Papers 10856, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Atanas Pekanov, 2020. "Die Europäische Währungsunion im Wandel," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 93(3), pages 165-175, March.
- Uwe Vollmer, 2022. "Monetary policy or macroprudential policies: What can tame the cycles?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 1510-1538, December.
- Christophe Blot & Caroline Bozou & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert, 2021.
"Are all Central Bank Asset Purchases the Same? Different Rationales, Different Effects,"
SciencePo Working papers Main
hal-03554141, HAL.
- Christophe Blot & Caroline Bozou & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert, 2021. "Are all Central Bank Asset Purchases the Same? Different Rationales, Different Effects," Working Papers hal-03554141, HAL.
- Albertazzi, Ugo & Becker, Bo & Boucinha, Miguel, 2021. "Portfolio rebalancing and the transmission of large-scale asset purchase programs: Evidence from the Euro area," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
- Acharya, Viral & Eisert, Tim & Eufinger, Christian & Hirsch, Christian, 2017.
"Whatever it takes: The Real Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
12005, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Viral V Acharya & Tim Eisert & Christian Eufinger & Christian Hirsch, 2019. "Whatever It Takes: The Real Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 32(9), pages 3366-3411.
- Acharya, Viral & Eisert, Tim & Eufinger, Christian & Hirsch, Christian, 2017. "Whatever it takes: The real effects of unconventional monetary policy," SAFE Working Paper Series 152, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, revised 2017.
- Ferrando, Annalisa & Ganoulis, Ioannis & Preuss, Carsten, 2019. "Firms’ expectations on the availability of credit since the financial crisis," Working Paper Series 2341, European Central Bank.
- Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert & Jérôme Creel & Caroline Bozou, 2023.
"The conditionality of monetary policy instruments,"
Working Papers
hal-04159848, HAL.
- Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert & Jérôme Creel & Caroline Bozou, 2023. "The conditionality of monetary policy instruments," EconomiX Working Papers 2023-15, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022.
"Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
- Lenza, Michele & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15854, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 2453, European Central Bank.
- Donato Masciandaro & Oana Peia & Davide Romelli, 2022.
"Central Bank Communication and Social Media: From Silence to Twitter,"
BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers
22187, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Donato Masciandaro & Oana Peia & Davide Romelli, 2024. "Central bank communication and social media: From silence to Twitter," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 365-388, April.
- Ashoka Mody & Milan Nedeljkovic, 2018. "Central Bank Policies and Financial Markets: Lessons from the Euro Crisis," CESifo Working Paper Series 7400, CESifo.
- Horvath, Roman & Kotlebova, Jana & Siranova, Maria, 2018. "Interest rate pass-through in the euro area: Financial fragmentation, balance sheet policies and negative rates," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 12-21.
- Zaghini, Andrea, 2019.
"The CSPP at work: Yield heterogeneity and the portfolio rebalancing channel,"
Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 282-297.
- Zaghini, Andrea, 2019. "The CSPP at work - yield heterogeneity and the portfolio rebalancing channel," Working Paper Series 2264, European Central Bank.
- Andrea Zaghini, 2017. "The CSPP at work: yield heterogeneity and the portfolio rebalancing channel," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1157, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Gómez-Puig, Marta & Pieterse-Bloem, Mary & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón, 2023. "Dynamic connectedness between credit and liquidity risks in euro area sovereign debt markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Arghyrou, Michael G & Gadea, Mar a Dolores, 2019.
"Private bank deposits and macro/fiscal risk in the euro-area,"
Cardiff Economics Working Papers
E2019/6, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Michael G. Arghyrou & Maria Dolores Gadea, 2019. "Private bank deposits and macro/fiscal risk in the euro-area," CESifo Working Paper Series 7532, CESifo.
- Falagiarda, Matteo & Reitz, Stefan, 2015. "Announcements of ECB unconventional programs: Implications for the sovereign spreads of stressed euro area countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 276-295.
- Ehrmann, Michael & Fratzscher, Marcel, 2017. "Euro area government bonds – Fragmentation and contagion during the sovereign debt crisis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 26-44.
- Pietrovito, Filomena & Pozzolo, Alberto Franco, 2022.
"Did small banks trade-off lending with government bond purchases during the Sovereign debt crisis?,"
Economics & Statistics Discussion Papers
esdp22083, University of Molise, Department of Economics.
- Pietrovito, Filomena & Pozzolo, Alberto Franco, 2023. "Did small banks trade off lending with government bond purchases during the Sovereign debt crisis?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 666-683.
- Ferrando, Annalisa & Popov, Alexander & Udell, Gregory F., 2015. "Sovereign stress, unconventional monetary policy, and SME access to finance," Working Paper Series 1820, European Central Bank.
- de Grauwe, Paul & Ji, Yuemei & Macchiarelli, Corrado, 2017. "Fundamentals versus market sentiments in the euro bond markets: implications for QE," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 85127, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Angela Capolongo & Claudia Pacella, 2019.
"Forecasting inflation in the euro area: countries matter!,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
1224, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Angela Capolongo & Claudia Pacella, 2021. "Forecasting inflation in the euro area: countries matter!," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2477-2499, November.
- Georgios Georgiadis & Johannes Grab, 2015. "Global financial market impact of the announcement of the ECB's extended asset purchase programme," Globalization Institute Working Papers 232, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Elien Meuleman & Rudi Vander Vennet, 2022.
"Macroprudential Policy, Monetary Policy, and Euro Zone Bank Risk,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 18(4), pages 1-52, October.
- Elien Meuleman & Rudi Vander Vennet, 2020. "Macroprudential policy, monetary policy and Eurozone bank risk," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 20/1004, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
- Jung, Alexander & Uhlig, Harald, 2019. "Monetary policy shocks and the health of banks," Working Paper Series 2303, European Central Bank.
- von Borstel, Julia & Eickmeier, Sandra & Krippner, Leo, 2016.
"The interest rate pass-through in the euro area during the sovereign debt crisis,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 386-402.
- von Borstel, Julia & Eickmeier, Sandra & Krippner, Leo, 2015. "The interest rate pass-through in the euro area during the sovereign debt crisis," Discussion Papers 10/2015, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Leo Krippner & Sandra Eickmeier & Julia von Borstel, 2015. "The interest rate pass-through in the euro area during the sovereign debt crisis," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2015/03, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- von Borstel, Julia & Eickmeier, Sandra & Krippner, Leo, 2015. "The interest rate pass-through in the euro area during the sovereign debt crisis," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113035, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Julia von Borstel & Sandra Eickmeier & Leo Krippner, 2015. "The interest rate pass-through in the euro area during the sovereign debt crisis," CAMA Working Papers 2015-15, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Oliver Hülsewig & Horst Rottmann, 2020.
"Euro Area Periphery Countries' Fiscal Policy and Monetary Policy Surprises,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
8041, CESifo.
- Hülsewig, Oliver & Rottmann, Horst, 2021. "Euro area periphery countries' fiscal policy and monetary policy surprises," Weidener Diskussionspapiere 81, University of Applied Sciences Amberg-Weiden (OTH).
- Oliver Hülsewig & Horst Rottmann, 2022. "Euro Area Periphery Countries' Fiscal Policy and Monetary Policy Surprises," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(3), pages 544-568, June.
- Hartmann, Philipp & Smets, Frank, 2018.
"The first twenty years of the European Central Bank: monetary policy,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
13411, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hartmann, Philipp & Smets, Frank, 2018. "The first twenty years of the European Central Bank: monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2219, European Central Bank.
- Gibran Watfe, 2015. "The Impact of the ECB's Asset Purchase Programmes on Sovereign Bond Spreads in the Euro Area," Bruges European Economic Research Papers 35, European Economic Studies Department, College of Europe.
- Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Mathilde Viennot, 2015.
"The Effect of ECB Monetary Policies on Interest Rates and Volumes,"
Sciences Po publications
2015-26, Sciences Po.
- Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Mathilde Viennot, 2015. "The effect of ECB monetary policies on interest rates and volumes," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2015-26, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Mathilde Viennot, 2015. "The Effect of ECB Monetary Policies on Interest Rates and Volumes," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03459679, HAL.
- Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Mathilde Viennot, 2016. "The effect of ECB monetary policies on interest rates and volumes," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(47), pages 4477-4501, October.
- Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Mathilde Viennot, 2015. "The Effect of ECB Monetary Policies on Interest Rates and Volumes," Working Papers hal-03459679, HAL.
- Mengus, Eric, 2017.
"Asset Purchase Bailouts and Endogenous Implicit Guarantees,"
HEC Research Papers Series
1248, HEC Paris, revised 22 Jan 2018.
- Mengus, Eric, 2023. "Asset purchase bailouts and endogenous implicit guarantees," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
- Florentina Melnic, 2017. "The Financial Crisis Response. Comparative Analysis Between European Union And Usa," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 19, pages 129-155, June.
- Fiorelli, Cristiana & Meliciani, Valentina, 2019. "Economic growth in the era of unconventional monetary instruments: A FAVAR approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- José Alves & Tomás Silva, 2020.
"An Empirical Assessment of Monetary Policy Channels on Income and Wealth Disparities,"
Working Papers REM
2020/0144, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
- José Alves & Tomás Silva, 2021. "An Empirical Assessment of Monetary Policy Channels in Income and Wealth Disparities," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 63(3), pages 432-449, September.
- Chiara Perillo & Stefano Battiston, 2020. "Financialization and unconventional monetary policy: a financial-network analysis," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 30(5), pages 1385-1428, November.
- Ralf Fendel & Frederik Neugebauer, 2018. "Country-Specific Euro Area Government Bond Yield Reactions to ECB’s Non-Standard Monetary Policy Announcements," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group 18-02, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management.
- Georgiadis, Georgios & Gräb, Johannes, 2016. "Global financial market impact of the announcement of the ECB's asset purchase programme," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 257-265.
- Alessandro Dovis & Luigi Bocola, 2015. "Indeterminacy in Sovereign Debt Markets: An Empirical Investigation," 2015 Meeting Papers 694, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Kirsten Schmidt & Felix Noth & Lena Tonzer, 2022.
"A Note of Caution on Quantifying Banks' Recapitalization Effects,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(4), pages 1123-1133, June.
- Schmidt, Kirsten & Noth, Felix & Tonzer, Lena, 2021. "A note of caution on quantifying banks' recapitalization effects," Discussion Papers 02/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Ryuzo Miyao & Tatsuyoshi Okimoto, 2020. "Regime shifts in the effects of Japan’s unconventional monetary policies," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 88(6), pages 749-772, December.
- Cristiana Fiorelli & Alfredo Cartone & Matteo Foglia, 2021. "Shadow rates and spillovers across the Eurozone: a spatial dynamic panel model," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(1), pages 223-245, February.
- Altavilla, Carlo & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Nicoletti, Giulio, 2015.
"Loan supply, credit markets and the euro area financial crisis,"
Working Paper Series
1861, European Central Bank.
- Altavilla, Carlo & Pariès, Matthieu Darracq & Nicoletti, Giulio, 2019. "Loan supply, credit markets and the euro area financial crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
- Frederic Opitz, 2020. "Why narrative information matters: Evidence from the asset purchase program of the ECB," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 20/994, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
- Ehrmann, Michael & Holton, Sarah & Kedan, Danielle & Phelan, Gillian, 2022.
"Monetary Policy Communication: Perspectives from Former Policy Makers at the ECB,"
Research Technical Papers
1/RT/22, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Ehrmann, Michael & Holton, Sarah & Kedan, Danielle & Phelan, Gillian, 2021. "Monetary Policy Communication: Perspectives from Former Policy Makers at the ECB," CEPR Discussion Papers 16816, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ehrmann, Michael & Holton, Sarah & Kedan, Danielle & Phelan, Gillian, 2021. "Monetary policy communication: perspectives from former policy makers at the ECB," Working Paper Series 2627, European Central Bank.
- Carsten M. Stann & Theocharis N. Grigoriadis, 2020. "Monetary Policy Transmission to Russia and Eastern Europe," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 62(2), pages 303-353, June.
- Assenmacher, Katrin & Glöckler, Gabriel & Holton, Sarah & Trautmann, Peter & Ioannou, Demosthenes & Mee, Simon & Alonso, Conception & Argiri, Eleni & Arigoni, Filippo & Bakk-Simon, Klára & Bergbauer, , 2021. "Clear, consistent and engaging: ECB monetary policy communication in a changing world," Occasional Paper Series 274, European Central Bank.
- Jäger, Jannik & Grigoriadis, Theocharis, 2017. "The effectiveness of the ECB’s unconventional monetary policy: Comparative evidence from crisis and non-crisis Euro-area countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 21-43.
- David O. Lucca & Jonathan H. Wright, 2022.
"The Narrow Channel of Quantitative Easing: Evidence from YCC Down Under,"
Staff Reports
1013, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- David Lucca & Jonathan H. Wright, 2022. "The Narrow Channel of Quantitative Easing: Evidence from YCC Down Under," NBER Working Papers 29971, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2017.
"Eurozone bond market dynamics, ECB monetary policy and financial stress,"
Working Papers
hal-03458554, HAL.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2017. "Eurozone bond market dynamics, ECB monetary policy and financial stress," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03458554, HAL.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2017. "Eurozone bond market dynamics, ECB monetary policy and financial stress," Sciences Po publications 18, Sciences Po.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2017. "Eurozone bond market dynamics, ECB monetary policy and financial stress," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2017-18, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Gergely Hudecz & Elisabetta Vangelista & Robert Blotevogel, 2022. "Asset purchases and sovereign risk premia in the euro area during the pandemic," Working Papers 55, European Stability Mechanism, revised 12 Sep 2022.
- Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Papadopoulou, Niki, 2019.
"On the credit and exchange rate channels of central bank asset purchases in a monetary union,"
Working Paper Series
2259, European Central Bank.
- Matthieu Darracq Paries & Niki Papadopoulou, 2019. "On the Credit and Exchange Rate Channels of Central Bank Asset Purchases in a Monetary Union," Working Papers 2019-2, Central Bank of Cyprus.
- Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Papadopoulou, Niki X., 2020. "On the credit and exchange rate channels of central bank asset purchases in a monetary union," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 502-533.
- Debrun, Xavier & Masuch, Klaus & Ferrero, Guiseppe & Vansteenkiste, Isabel & Ferdinandusse, Marien & von Thadden, Leopold & Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Alloza, Mario & Derouen, Chloé & Bańkowski, Krzyszto, 2021. "Monetary-fiscal policy interactions in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 273, European Central Bank.
- Occhino, Filippo, 2017.
"The 2012 eurozone crisis and the ECB’s OMT program: A debt-overhang banking and sovereign crisis interpretation,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 337-363.
- Filippo Occhino, 2015. "The 2012 Eurozone Crisis and the ECB’s OMT Program: A Debt-Overhang Banking and Sovereign Crisis Interpretation," Working Papers (Old Series) 1509, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2018.
"Reforming the European Central Bank,"
Sciences Po publications
info:hdl:2441/70np5j7s548, Sciences Po.
- Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2018. "Reforming the European Central Bank," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03471743, HAL.
- Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2018. "Reforming the European Central Bank," Post-Print hal-03471743, HAL.
- Jäger, Jannik & Grigoriadis, Theocharis, 2016. "Soft budget constraints, European Central Banking and the financial crisis," Discussion Papers 2016/7, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
- Angelini, Elena & Lalik, Magdalena & Lenza, Michele & Paredes, Joan, 2019.
"Mind the gap: a multi-country BVAR benchmark for the Eurosystem projections,"
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Cited by:
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"The European monetary policy responses during the pandemic crisis,"
wp.comunite
00151, Department of Communication, University of Teramo.
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"Monetary policy announcements and expectations: Evidence from german firms,"
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"A structural investigation of quantitative easing,"
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"A New Approach to Measuring Economic Policy Shocks, with an Application to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy,"
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"Unequal Unemployment Effects of COVID-19 and Monetary Policy across U.S. States,"
Working Papers
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"Unconventional Monetary Policy and Wealth Inequalities in Great Britain,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(1), pages 115-175, February.
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- Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Mathilde Viennot, 2016. "The effect of ECB monetary policies on interest rates and volumes," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(47), pages 4477-4501, October.
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"The financial and macroeconomic effects of OMT announcements,"
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- Michele Lenza, 2015. "The financial and macroeconomic effects of OMT announcements," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 22, pages 12-16.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza, 2014. "The Financial and Macroeconomic Effects of OMT Announcements," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-31, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2014. "The Financial and Macroeconomic Effects of the OMT Announcements," CSEF Working Papers 352, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2016. "The Financial and Macroeconomic Effects of the OMT Announcements," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 12(3), pages 29-57, September.
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"Asset purchase programmes and financial markets: lessons from the euro area,"
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"Que peut-on attendre de l’assouplissement quantitatif de la BCE ?,"
Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(2), pages 265-290.
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- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2015. "Que peut-on attendre de l'assouplissement quantitatif de la BCE ?," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03459898, HAL.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2015. "Que peut-on attendre de l'assouplissement quantitatif de la BCE ?," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/3t12lkolqm8, Sciences Po.
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"Common factors of commodity prices,"
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- Giannone, Domenico & Ferrara, Laurent & Delle Chiaie, Simona, 2018. "Common Factors of Commodity Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 12767, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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- Byrne, Joseph & Cao, Shuo & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2015. "Term Structure Dynamics, Macro-Finance Factors and Model Uncertainty," MPRA Paper 63844, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- P. Byrne, Joseph & Cao, Shuo & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2015. "Term Structure Dynamics, Macro-Finance Factors and Model Uncertainty," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-71, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Norman R. Swanson & Weiqi Xiong & Xiye Yang, 2020. "Predicting interest rates using shrinkage methods, real‐time diffusion indexes, and model combinations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(5), pages 587-613, August.
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- Alberto Caruso & Laura Coroneo, 2019. "Predicting interest rates in real-time," Discussion Papers 19/18, Department of Economics, University of York.
- Dmitriy Stolyarov & Linda L. Tesar, 2019. "Interest Rate Trends in a Global Context," Working Papers wp402, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center.
- Luke Hartigan & Michelle Wright, 2021. "Financial Conditions and Downside Risk to Economic Activity in Australia," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2021-03, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Matteo Iacopini & Aubrey Poon & Luca Rossini & Dan Zhu, 2024. "A Quantile Nelson-Siegel model," Papers 2401.09874, arXiv.org.
- Rui Liu, 2019. "Forecasting Bond Risk Premia with Unspanned Macroeconomic Information," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(01), pages 1-62, March.
- Carlo Altavilla & Riccardo Costantini & Raffaella Giacomini, 2013.
"Bond returns and market expectations,"
CeMMAP working papers
20/13, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Carlo Altavilla & Riccardo Costantini & Raffaella Giacomini, 2013. "Bond returns and market expectations," CeMMAP working papers CWP20/13, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Carlo Altavilla & Raffaella Giacomini & Riccardo Costantini, 2014. "Bond Returns and Market Expectations," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 12(4), pages 708-729.
- Han, Yang & Jiao, Anqi & Ma, Jun, 2021. "The predictive power of Nelson–Siegel factor loadings for the real economy," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 95-127.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Julia Schaumburg & Quint Wiersma, 2021. "Joint Modelling and Estimation of Global and Local Cross-Sectional Dependence in Large Panels," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-008/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Matteo Barigozzi, 2023. "Asymptotic equivalence of Principal Components and Quasi Maximum Likelihood estimators in Large Approximate Factor Models," Papers 2307.09864, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
- Choi, Ahjin & Kang, Kyu Ho, 2023. "Modeling the time-varying dynamic term structure of interest rates," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
- Matteo Barigozzi & Matteo Luciani, 2017. "Common Factors, Trends, and Cycles in Large Datasets," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-111, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Modugno, 2014.
"Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields,"
Working Papers ECARES
ECARES 2014-34, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Altavilla, Carlo & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele, 2017. "Low frequency effects of macroeconomic news on government bond yields," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 31-46.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2014. "Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields," CSEF Working Papers 372, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2014. "Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-52, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2015.
"Resolving the spanning puzzle in macro-finance term structure models,"
Working Paper Series
2015-1, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2017. "Resolving the Spanning Puzzle in Macro-Finance Term Structure Models," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 21(2), pages 511-553.
- Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2015. "Resolving the Spanning Puzzle in Macro-Finance Term Structure Models," CESifo Working Paper Series 5187, CESifo.
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"Big data analytics in economics: What have we learned so far, and where should we go from here?,"
Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 51(3), pages 695-746, August.
- Norman R. Swanson & Weiqi Xiong, 2018. "Big data analytics in economics: What have we learned so far, and where should we go from here?," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(3), pages 695-746, August.
- Poncela, Pilar & Ruiz, Esther & Miranda, Karen, 2021.
"Factor extraction using Kalman filter and smoothing: This is not just another survey,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1399-1425.
- Poncela Blanco, Maria Pilar & Ruiz Ortega, Esther & Miranda Gualdrón, Karen Alejandra, 2020. "Factor extraction using Kalman filter and smoothing: this is not just another survey," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 30644, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Matteo Barigozzi, 2023. "Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation of High-Dimensional Factor Models: A Critical Review," Papers 2303.11777, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
- Massimo Guidolin & Manuela Pedio, 2019. "Forecasting and Trading Monetary Policy Effects on the Riskless Yield Curve with Regime Switching Nelson†Siegel Models," Working Papers 639, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Massimo Guidolin & Manuela Pedio, 2019. "Forecasting and Trading Monetary Policy Switching Nelson-Siegel Models," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 19106, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Luke Hartigan & Michelle Wright, 2023. "Monitoring Financial Conditions and Downside Risk to Economic Activity in Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 99(325), pages 253-287, June.
- Goodarzi, Milad & Meinerding, Christoph, 2023. "Asset allocation with recursive parameter updating and macroeconomic regime identifiers," Discussion Papers 06/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Matteo Barigozzi & Matteo Luciani, 2019. "Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference of Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models via the EM algorithm," Papers 1910.03821, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
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Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 1-20.
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- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2015. "The QE experience: Worth a try?," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03568216, HAL.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2015. "The QE experience : Worth a try ?," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/166ip2fse39, Sciences Po.
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"Monetary policy and bank lending in a low interest rate environment: Diminishing effectiveness?,"
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CEPR Discussion Papers
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- Florentina Melnic, 2017. "The Financial Crisis Response. Comparative Analysis Between European Union And Usa," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 19, pages 129-155, June.
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"Liquidity Funding Shocks : The Role of Banks' Funding Mix,"
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- Engler, Philipp & Große Steffen, Christoph, 2014. "Sovereign risk, interbank freezes, and aggregate fluctuations," Discussion Papers 2014/35, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
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"Assessing the Macroeconomic Effects of LTROs during the Great Recession,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(7), pages 1443-1482, October.
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"Liquidity provision as a monetary policy tool: The ECB’s non-standard measures after the financial crisis,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 15-34.
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- Quint, Dominic & Tristani, Oreste, 2017. "Liquidity provision as a monetary policy tool: the ECB’s non-standard measures after the financial crisis," Working Paper Series 2113, European Central Bank.
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"Forecasting and policy making,"
IMFS Working Paper Series
62, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
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"A now-casting model for Canada: Do U.S. variables matter?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 786-800.
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- Bragoli, Daniela, 2017. "Now-casting the Japanese economy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 390-402.
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"When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage,"
EconomiX Working Papers
2020-11, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
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- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2019. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working papers 717, Banque de France.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2019. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working Papers 2019-04, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2020. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Papers 2007.00273, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2023. "When are Google Data Useful to Nowcast GDP? An Approach via Preselection and Shrinkage," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 1188-1202, October.
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"Combining distributions of real-time forecasts: An application to U.S. growth,"
Research Memorandum
027, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
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- Davor Kunovac & Borna Špalat, 2014. "Nowcasting GDP Using Available Monthly Indicators," Working Papers 39, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
- Park, Sungjun & Kim, Jinsoo, 2018. "The effect of interest in renewable energy on US household electricity consumption: An analysis using Google Trends data," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 1004-1010.
- Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012.
"Forecasting and policy making,"
IMFS Working Paper Series
62, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Banbura, Marta, 2012.
"Now-casting and the real-time data flow,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
9112, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Cited by:
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"Large-scale portfolio allocation under transaction costs and model uncertainty,"
CFS Working Paper Series
582, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
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"A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data,"
Economics Working Papers
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"Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?,"
Working Paper Series
2471, European Central Bank.
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- Delle Chiaie, Simona & Ferrara, Laurent & Giannone, Domenico, 2018.
"Common factors of commodity prices,"
Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 51.
- Simona Delle Chiaie & Laurent Ferrara & Domenico Giannone, 2022. "Common factors of commodity prices," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 461-476, April.
- Delle Chiaie, Simona & Ferrara, Laurent & Giannone, Domenico, 2017. "Common factors of commodity prices," Working Paper Series 2112, European Central Bank.
- Giannone, Domenico & Ferrara, Laurent & Delle Chiaie, Simona, 2018. "Common Factors of Commodity Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 12767, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- S. Delle Chiaie & L. Ferrara & D. Giannone, 2017. "Common Factors of Commodity Prices," Working papers 645, Banque de France.
- Miroslav Klucik, 2019. "Tracking the Course of the Economy (Nowcasting of basic macroeconomic indicators of Slovakia)," Working Papers Working Paper No. 1/2019, Council for Budget Responsibility.
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"Machine Learning Time Series Regressions With an Application to Nowcasting,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 1094-1106, June.
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- Andrii Babii & Eric Ghysels & Jonas Striaukas, 2020. "Machine Learning Time Series Regressions with an Application to Nowcasting," Papers 2005.14057, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
- Babii, Andrii & Ghysels, Eric & Striaukas, Jonas, 2021. "Machine Learning Time Series Regressions With an Application to Nowcasting," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2021004, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012.
"Forecasting and policy making,"
IMFS Working Paper Series
62, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik, 2013. "Forecasting and Policy Making," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 239-325, Elsevier.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015.
"Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility,"
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 178(4), pages 837-862, October.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2012. "Real-time nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility," Working Papers (Old Series) 1227, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2013. "Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model with Stochastic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 9312, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Anesti, Nikoleta & Galvão, Ana & Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia, 2018.
"Uncertain Kingdom: nowcasting GDP and its revisions,"
Bank of England working papers
764, Bank of England, revised 31 Jan 2020.
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- Nikoleta Anesti & Ana Beatriz Galvao & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino, 2018. "Uncertain Kingdom: Nowcasting GDP and its Revisions," Discussion Papers 1824, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Adam Richardson & Thomas van Florenstein Mulder & Tugrul Vehbi, 2019.
"Nowcasting New Zealand GDP using machine learning algorithms,"
IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), The use of big data analytics and artificial intelligence in central banking, volume 50,
Bank for International Settlements.
- Adam Richardson & Thomas van Florenstein Mulder & Tugrul Vehbi, 2018. "Nowcasting New Zealand GDP using machine learning algorithms," CAMA Working Papers 2018-47, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Richardson, Adam & van Florenstein Mulder, Thomas & Vehbi, Tuğrul, 2021. "Nowcasting GDP using machine-learning algorithms: A real-time assessment," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 941-948.
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"A neural network ensemble approach for GDP forecasting,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
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"Monthly US business cycle indicators: a new multivariate approach based on a band-pass filter,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 1379-1408, June.
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- Grant Allan & Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & Paul Smith, 2014.
"Nowcasting Scottish GDP growth,"
Working Papers
1411, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Grant Allan & Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & Paul Smith, 2014. "Nowcasting Scottish GDP Growth," Working Paper series 41_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Allan, Grant & Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Smith, Paul, 2014. "Nowcasting Scottish GDP Growth," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-08, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Caruso, Alberto, 2018. "Nowcasting with the help of foreign indicators: The case of Mexico," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 160-168.
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"Global financial cycles since 1880,"
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- Bell, Venetia & Co, Lai Wah & Stone, Sophie & Wallis, gavin`, 2014. "Nowcasting UK GDP growth," Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Bank of England, vol. 54(1), pages 58-68.
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"Capital flows-at-risk: push, pull and the role of policy,"
Working Paper Series
2538, European Central Bank.
- Eguren-Martin, Fernando & O'Neill, Cian & Sokol, Andrej & von dem Berge, Lukas, 2020. "Capital flows-at-risk: push, pull and the role of policy," Bank of England working papers 881, Bank of England.
- Cristea, R. G., 2020. "Can Alternative Data Improve the Accuracy of Dynamic Factor Model Nowcasts?," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20108, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Bragoli, Daniela & Modugno, Michele, 2017.
"A now-casting model for Canada: Do U.S. variables matter?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 786-800.
- Daniela Bragoli & Michele Modugno, 2016. "A Nowcasting Model for Canada: Do U.S. Variables Matter?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-036, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Jinjing Li & Yogi Vidyattama & Hai Anh La & Riyana Miranti & Denisa M Sologon, 2020. "The Impact of COVID-19 and Policy Responses on Australian Income Distribution and Poverty," Papers 2009.04037, arXiv.org.
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"Forecasting U.S. Economic Growth in Downturns Using Cross-Country Data,"
Research Working Paper
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"Comparing stochastic volatility specifications for large Bayesian VARs,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1419-1446.
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"Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility,"
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- Joshua C.C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2020. "Fast and accurate variational inference for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2020-108, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Klaus S. Friesenbichler & Christian Glocker & Werner Hölzl & Philipp Wegmüller, 2018. "Ein neues Modell für die kurzfristige Prognose der Herstellung von Waren und der Ausrüstungsinvestitionen," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 91(9), pages 651-661, September.
- Daniel Baquero & Manuel Gonzalez-Astudillo, 2018. "A Nowcasting Model for the Growth Rate of Real GDP of Ecuador : Implementing a Time-Varying Intercept," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-044, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Luci Alessi & Eric Ghysels & Luca Onorante & Richard Peach & Simon M. Potter, 2014.
"Central bank macroeconomic forecasting during the global financial crisis: the European Central Bank and Federal Reserve Bank of New York experiences,"
Staff Reports
680, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Lucia Alessi & Eric Ghysels & Luca Onorante & Richard Peach & Simon Potter, 2014. "Central Bank Macroeconomic Forecasting During the Global Financial Crisis: The European Central Bank and Federal Reserve Bank of New York Experiences," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 483-500, October.
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- Laura Coroneo & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2016.
"Unspanned Macroeconomic Factors in the Yield Curve,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 472-485, July.
- Laura Coroneo & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2014. "Unspanned macroeconomic factors in the yield curve," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-57, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Laura Coroneo & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Modugno, 2013. "Unspanned Macroeconomic Factors in the Yields Curve," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2013-07, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Kaufmann, Daniel & Scheufele, Rolf, 2017.
"Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 878-893.
- Daniel Kaufmann & Rolf Scheufele, 2015. "Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations," KOF Working papers 15-378, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Lastunen, Jesse & Richiardi, Matteo, 2023.
"Forecasting recovery from COVID-19 using financial data: An application to Vietnam,"
World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
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- Jesse Lastunen & Matteo Richiardi, 2021. "Forecasting recovery from COVID-19 using financial data: An application to Viet Nam," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2021-84, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
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"Efficient matrix approach for classical inference in state space models,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 22-27.
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- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Dutra Areosa, Waldyr, 2017.
"Financial Conditions Indicator for Brazil,"
IDB Publications (Working Papers)
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- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Waldyr Dutra Areosa, 2016. "Financial Conditions Indicators for Brazil," Working Papers Series 435, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
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"Mixed-frequency models for tracking short-term economic developments in Switzerland,"
Working Papers
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- Alain Galli & Christian Hepenstrick & Rolf Scheufele, 2019. "Mixed-Frequency Models for Tracking Short-Term Economic Developments in Switzerland," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(2), pages 151-178, June.
- Alberto Caruso, 2015. "Nowcasting Mexican GDP," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2015-40, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Barış Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2021. "Nowcasting US GDP Using Tree-Based Ensemble Models and Dynamic Factors," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 387-417, January.
- Cepni, Oguzhan & Güney, I. Ethem & Swanson, Norman R., 2019. "Nowcasting and forecasting GDP in emerging markets using global financial and macroeconomic diffusion indexes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 555-572.
- Alain Kabundi & Elmarie Nel & Franz Ruch, 2016.
"Nowcasting Real GDP growth in South Africa,"
Working Papers
581, Economic Research Southern Africa.
- Alain Kabundi & Elmarie Nel & Franz Ruch, 2016. "Nowcasting Real GDP growth in South Africa," Working Papers 7068, South African Reserve Bank.
- Jed Armstrong, 2015. "The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s output gap indicator suite and its real-time properties," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2015/08, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- G. Kenny, 2014. "Comment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 500-504, October.
- Edward S. Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2014.
"Nowcasting U.S. Headline and Core Inflation,"
Working Papers (Old Series)
1403, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Edward S. Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2017. "Nowcasting U.S. Headline and Core Inflation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(5), pages 931-968, August.
- Katja Drechsel & Dr. Rolf Scheufele, 2012.
"Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment,"
Working Papers
2012-16, Swiss National Bank.
- Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2013. "Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment," IWH Discussion Papers 7/2013, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Katja Heinisch & Rolf Scheufele, 2018. "Bottom-up or direct? Forecasting German GDP in a data-rich environment," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 705-745, March.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022.
"Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
- Lenza, Michele & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15854, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 2453, European Central Bank.
- Mihnea Constantinescu, 2023. "Sparse Warcasting," Working Papers 01/2023, National Bank of Ukraine.
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"Predicting Benchmarked US State Employment Data in Real Time,"
Working Papers
2019-037, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 11 Mar 2021.
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- Scott Brave & Charles S. Gascon & William Kluender & Thomas Walstrum, 2019. "Predicting Benchmarked US State Employment Data in Realtime," Working Paper Series WP 2019-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Heinisch, Katja, 2016. "A real-time analysis on the importance of hard and soft data for nowcasting German GDP," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145864, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Nuttanan Wichitaksorn, 2020. "Analyzing and Forecasting Thai Macroeconomic Data using Mixed-Frequency Approach," PIER Discussion Papers 146, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
- Edward S. Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2017.
"Financial Nowcasts and Their Usefulness in Macroeconomic Forecasting,"
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1702, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
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"The new MIBA model: Real-time nowcasting of French GDP using the Banque de France's monthly business survey,"
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"Should Forecasters Use Real‐Time Data to Evaluate Leading Indicator Models for GDP Prediction? German Evidence,"
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"Nowcasting Turkish GDP and News Decomposition,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
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"Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts With External Nowcasts,"
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"Nowcasting Real GDP for Saudi Arabia,"
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"The value of publicly available, textual and non-textual information for startup performance prediction,"
Journal of Business Venturing Insights, Elsevier, vol. 14(C).
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- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2021.
"Back to the Present: Learning about the Euro Area through a Now-casting Model,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
1313, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo & Ferreira, Thiago R.T. & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele, 2024. "Back to the present: Learning about the euro area through a now-casting model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 661-686.
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"Weekly economic activity: Measurement and informational content,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 228-243.
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- George Kapetanios & Fotis Papailias, 2018. "Big Data & Macroeconomic Nowcasting: Methodological Review," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-12, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- González-Astudillo, Manuel & Baquero, Daniel, 2019. "A nowcasting model for Ecuador: Implementing a time-varying mean output growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 250-263.
- Christophe Piette, 2016. "Predicting Belgium’s GDP using targeted bridge models," Working Paper Research 290, National Bank of Belgium.
- Smith Paul, 2016. "Nowcasting UK GDP during the depression," Working Papers 1606, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Venditti, Fabrizio & Veronese, Giovanni, 2020. "Global financial markets and oil price shocks in real time," Working Paper Series 2472, European Central Bank.
- Mahmut Gunay, 2018. "Nowcasting Annual Turkish GDP Growth with MIDAS," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1810, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
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CEPR Discussion Papers
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"Nowcasting using news topics. Big Data versus big bank,"
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- Matías Brum & Mauricio de Rosa, 2020. "Too little but not too late. Nowcasting poverty and cash transfers' incidence in Uruguay during COVID-19's crisis," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 20-09, Instituto de EconomÃa - IECON.
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- Domenico Giannone, 2016. "Comment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 342-344, July.
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- Emilio Blanco & Fiorella Dogliolo & Lorena Garegnani, 2022. "Nowcasting during the Pandemic: Lessons from Argentina," BCRA Working Paper Series 202299, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
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"Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
8755, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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"Methods for computing marginal data densities from the Gibbs output,"
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"Money, Credit, Monetary Policy, and the Business Cycle in the Euro Area: What Has Changed Since the Crisis?,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(5), pages 137-173, December.
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"The role of housing sentiment in forecasting U.S. home sales growth: evidence from a Bayesian compressed vector autoregressive model,"
Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 2554-2567, January.
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"A BVAR toolkit to assess macrofinancial risks in Brazil and Mexico,"
Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(1).
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SciencePo Working papers Main
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- Caruso, Alberto & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Financial and Fiscal Interaction in the Euro Area Crisis : This Time was Different," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1167, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Albert Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis : this time was different," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2019-11, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/4u5amfvji89, Sciences Po.
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"Bayesian Local Projections,"
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"A Model of the Fed's View on Inflation,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(4), pages 686-704, October.
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- Hasenzagl, Thomas & Pellegrino, Filippo & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2017. "A Model of the Fed’s View on Inflation," Economic Research Papers 269087, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Hasenzagl, Thomas & Pellegrino, Filippo & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "A Model of the Fed's View on Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 12564, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Thomas Hasenzagl & Fillipo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "A model of the FED's view on inflation," Sciences Po publications 03, Sciences Po.
- Koop, G & Korobilis, D, 2018.
"Forecasting with High-Dimensional Panel VARs,"
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- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2019. "Forecasting with High‐Dimensional Panel VARs," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(5), pages 937-959, October.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2018. "Forecasting with High-Dimensional Panel VARs," Working Paper series 18-20, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2015. "Forecasting With High Dimensional Panel VARs," Working Papers 2015_25, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
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"Subspace Shrinkage in Conjugate Bayesian Vector Autoregressions,"
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- Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2023. "Subspace shrinkage in conjugate Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 556-576, June.
- Gianluca Cafiso, 2022. "Loans to Different Groups and Economic Activity at Times of Crisis and Growth," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(3), pages 594-623, June.
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"Credit Spreads and the Links between the Financial and Real Sectors in a Small Open Economy: The Case of the Czech Republic,"
Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 66(4), pages 302-321, August.
- Konečný, Tomáš & Babecká Kucharčuková, Oxana, 2014. "Credit spreads and the links between the financial and real sectors in a small open economy: the case of the Czech Republic," Working Paper Series 1730, European Central Bank.
- Giovanni Nicolo, 2020. "Monetary Policy, Self-Fulfilling Expectations and the U.S. Business Cycle," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-035, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Bonciani, Dario & van Roye, Björn, 2015.
"Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions and economic activity,"
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1825, European Central Bank.
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- Bonciani, Dario & van Roye, Björn, 2013. "Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions, and economic activity," Kiel Working Papers 1843, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Sassire Napo, 2022. "Assessing public debt sustainability under COVID‐19 uncertainty: Evidence from Côte d'Ivoire," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 34(S1), pages 141-160, July.
- Mike G. Tsionas, 2016. "Alternative Bayesian compression in Vector Autoregressions and related models," Working Papers 216, Bank of Greece.
- Yvonne Adema & Kees Folmer & Gerrit Hugo Heuvelen & Sonny Kuijpers & Rob Luginbuhl & Bas Scheer, 2020. "Unemployment Forecasts: Room for Improvement?," De Economist, Springer, vol. 168(3), pages 403-417, September.
- Huber, Florian, 2016. "Density forecasting using Bayesian global vector autoregressions with stochastic volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 818-837.
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"How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?,"
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- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & St'ephane Surprenant, 2020. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," Papers 2008.12477, arXiv.org.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stephane Surprenant, 2020. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," Working Papers 20-01, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Aug 2020.
- Brandyn Bok & Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Eric Qian & Andrea Tambalotti, 2019.
"Global Trends in Interest Rates,"
Liberty Street Economics
20190227, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc P. Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," NBER Working Papers 25039, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Del Negro, Marco & Giannone, Domenico & Giannoni, Marc P. & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2019. "Global trends in interest rates," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 248-262.
- Marco Del Negro & Andrea Tambalotti & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni, 2019. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," 2019 Meeting Papers 77, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," Working Papers 1812, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global trends in interest rates," Staff Reports 866, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2018, pages 248-262, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2020.
"Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 934-943, September.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation," CAMA Working Papers 2019-46, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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"Heterogeneity in Euro Area Monetary Policy Transmission: Results from a Large Multicountry BVAR Model,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(2-3), pages 627-649, March.
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- Scharnagl, Michael & Mandler, Martin & Volz, Ute, 2016. "Heterogeneity in euro area monetary policy transmission: results from a large multi-country BVAR model," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145847, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Marek Jarociński & Bartosz Maćkowiak, 2017.
"Granger Causal Priority and Choice of Variables in Vector Autoregressions,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 99(2), pages 319-329, May.
- Mackowiak, Bartosz & Jarocinski, Marek, 2013. "Granger-Causal-Priority and Choice of Variables in Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 9686, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jarociński, Marek & Maćkowiak, Bartosz, 2013. "Granger-causal-priority and choice of variables in vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 1600, European Central Bank.
- Bartosz Mackowiak, 2015. "Granger-Causal-Priority and Choice of Variables in Vector Autoregressions," 2015 Meeting Papers 66, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Kenneth Beauchemin & Saeed Zaman, 2011. "A medium scale forecasting model for monetary policy," Working Papers (Old Series) 1128, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
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"Estimating and accounting for the output gap with large Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
CAMA Working Papers
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- Morley, James & Wong, Benjamin, 2018. "Estimating and Accounting for the Output Gap with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 2018-04, University of Sydney, School of Economics, revised Feb 2019.
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"Forecasting with a Panel Tobit Model,"
CAEPR Working Papers
2019-005, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
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"Marginalized Predictive Likelihood Comparisons of Linear Gaussian State‐Space Models with Applications to DSGE, DSGE‐VAR, and VAR Models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(1), pages 103-119, January.
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"Priors about Observables in Vector Autoregressions,"
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"Monetary policy and balance sheets,"
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"Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information, and structural change in the euro area,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 971-999.
- Gergely Ganics & Florens Odendahl, 2019. "Bayesian VAR Forecasts, Survey Information and Structural Change in the Euro Area," Working papers 733, Banque de France.
- Gergely Ganics & Florens Odendahl, 2019. "Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information and structural change in the euro area," Working Papers 1948, Banco de España.
- Jean Boivin & Marc P. Giannoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2016.
"Dynamic Effects of Credit Shocks in a Data-Rich Environment,"
CIRANO Working Papers
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- Jean Boivin & Marc P. Giannoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2013. "Dynamic Effects of Credit Shocks in a Data-Rich Environment," Cahiers de recherche 1324, CIRPEE.
- Jean Boivin & Marc P. Giannoni & Dalibor Stevanović, 2020. "Dynamic Effects of Credit Shocks in a Data-Rich Environment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 272-284, April.
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- Jean Boivin & Marc Giannoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2013. "Dynamic effects of credit shocks in a data-rich environment," Staff Reports 615, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Berg, Tim Oliver, 2015.
"Multivariate Forecasting with BVARs and DSGE Models,"
MPRA Paper
62405, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tim Oliver Berg, 2016. "Multivariate Forecasting with BVARs and DSGE Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(8), pages 718-740, December.
- Serdar Kabaca & Kerem Tuzcuoglu, 2023. "Supply Drivers of US Inflation Since the COVID-19 Pandemic," Staff Working Papers 23-19, Bank of Canada.
- Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Domenico Giannone & Eric Qian & Argia M. Sbordone, 2021. "A Large Bayesian VAR of the United States Economy," Staff Reports 976, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Breitenlechner, Max & Georgiadis, Georgios & Schumann, Ben, 2022.
"What goes around comes around: How large are spillbacks from US monetary policy?,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 45-60.
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- Breitenlechner, Max & Georgiadis, Georgios & Schumann, Ben, 2021. "What goes around comes around: How large are spillbacks from US monetary policy?," Working Paper Series 2613, European Central Bank.
- Max Breitenlechner & Georgios Georgiadis & Ben Schumann, 2021. "What goes around comes around: How large are spillbacks from US monetary policy?," Working Papers 2021-05, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
- Bańbura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2013.
"Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 195-237,
Elsevier.
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- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Bańbura, Marta & Modugno, Michele, 2013. "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," Working Paper Series 1564, European Central Bank.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Banbura, Marta, 2012. "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," CEPR Discussion Papers 9112, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2018.
"Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 541-559, August.
- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Forecasting US GNP Growth: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 201667, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016.
"Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
5755, CESifo.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz, 2015. "Understanding the decline in the price of oil since June 2014," CFS Working Paper Series 501, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Kilian, Lutz & Baumeister, Christiane, 2015. "Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014," CEPR Discussion Papers 10404, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016. "Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 3(1), pages 131-158.
- Martin Feldkircher & Helene Schuberth, 2023. "Understanding Monetary Spillovers in Highly Integrated Regions: The Case of Europe," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(4), pages 859-893, August.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Hacıoğlu Hoke, Sinem & Bluwstein, Kristina, 2020. "Patents, News, and Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 15062, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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"Short-term inflation projections: a Bayesian vector autoregressive approach,"
Working Papers ECARES
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- Jonas E. Arias & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner, 2020.
"Uniform Priors for Impulse Responses,"
Working Papers
22-30, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Jonas E. Arias & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner, 2023. "Uniform Priors for Impulse Responses," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2023-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2014.
"Evaluating Conditional Forecasts from Vector Autoregressions,"
Working Papers (Old Series)
1413, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2014. "Evaluating Conditional Forecasts from Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 2014-25, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Wen Zhang, 2020. "Can trade openness affect the monetary transmission mechanism?," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 341-364, May.
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- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian & Thomas K. Lee, 2016.
"Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
5759, CESifo.
- Kilian, Lutz & Baumeister, Christiane & Lee, Thomas K, 2015. "Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump," CEPR Discussion Papers 10362, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz & Lee, Thomas K., 2015. "Inside the crystal ball: New approaches to predicting the gasoline price at the pump," CFS Working Paper Series 500, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian & Thomas K. Lee, 2017. "Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(2), pages 275-295, March.
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"Forecast Combination for Euro Area Inflation - A Cure in Times of Crisis?,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2016-104, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Hubrich, Kirstin & Skudelny, Frauke, 2016. "Forecast combination for euro area inflation: a cure in times of crisis?," Working Paper Series 1972, European Central Bank.
- Kirstin Hubrich & Frauke Skudelny, 2017. "Forecast Combination for Euro Area Inflation: A Cure in Times of Crisis?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 515-540, August.
- Mark Bognanni & Edward P. Herbst, 2014.
"Estimating (Markov-Switching) VAR Models without Gibbs Sampling: A Sequential Monte Carlo Approach,"
Working Papers (Old Series)
1427, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Mark Bognanni & Edward P. Herbst, 2015. "Estimating (Markov-Switching) VAR Models without Gibbs Sampling: A Sequential Monte Carlo Approach," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-116, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Didier Nibbering & Richard Paap & Michel van der Wel, 2016. "A Bayesian Infinite Hidden Markov Vector Autoregressive Model," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-107/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 13 Oct 2017.
- Michal Andrle & Mr. Roberto Garcia-Saltos & Giang Ho, 2013. "The Role of Domestic and External Shocks in Poland: Results from an Agnostic Estimation Procedure," IMF Working Papers 2013/220, International Monetary Fund.
- Bas Scheer, 2022. "Addressing Unemployment Rate Forecast Errors in Relation to the Business Cycle," CPB Discussion Paper 434, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
- Lozano, Francisco-Javier, 2013. "Evaluación de modelos de predicción para la venta de viviendas [Evaluation of forecasting models for house sales]," MPRA Paper 118652, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Guanhao Feng & Nicholas Polson, 2020. "Regularizing Bayesian predictive regressions," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(7), pages 591-608, December.
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"Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
8273, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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- Anttonen, Jetro, 2018. "Nowcasting the Unemployment Rate in the EU with Seasonal BVAR and Google Search Data," ETLA Working Papers 62, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
- Yu Bai & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022.
"Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context,"
Working Papers
22-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Yu Bai & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi‐country context," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 1230-1255, September.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Bai, Yu & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2022. "Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context," CEPR Discussion Papers 16994, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Dr. Gregor Bäurle & Dr. Rolf Scheufele, 2016.
"Credit cycles and real activity - the Swiss case,"
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- Scheufele, Rolf & Bäurle, Gregor, 2015. "Credit cycles and real activity - the Swiss case," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112931, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Gregor Bäurle & Rolf Scheufele, 2019. "Credit cycles and real activity: the Swiss case," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(6), pages 1939-1966, June.
- Kärkkäinen, Samu & Silvo, Aino, 2023. "Household debt, liquidity constraints and the interest rate elasticity of private consumption," BoF Economics Review 2/2023, Bank of Finland.
- Schorfheide, Frank & Aruoba, Boragan & Mlikota, Marko & Villalvazo, Sergio, 2021.
"SVARs With Occasionally-Binding Constraints,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
15923, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- S. Borağan Aruoba & Marko Mlikota & Frank Schorfheide & Sergio Villalvazo, 2021. "SVARs With Occasionally-Binding Constraints," NBER Working Papers 28571, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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- Camilo Granados & Daniel Parra-Amado, 2023. "Estimating the Output Gap After COVID: How to Address Unprecedented Macroeconomic Variations," Borradores de Economia 1249, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Follett, Lendie & Yu, Cindy, 2019. "Achieving parsimony in Bayesian vector autoregressions with the horseshoe prior," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 11(C), pages 130-144.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2016. "Large Vector Autoregressions with Stochastic Volatility and Flexible Priors," Working Papers (Old Series) 1617, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Ankargren Sebastian & Unosson Måns & Yang Yukai, 2020.
"A Flexible Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregression with a Steady-State Prior,"
Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(2), pages 1-41, July.
- Ankargren Sebastian & Unosson Måns & Yang Yukai, 2020. "A Flexible Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregression with a Steady-State Prior," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(2), pages 1-41, July.
- Sebastian Ankargren & M{aa}ns Unosson & Yukai Yang, 2019. "A Flexible Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregression with a Steady-State Prior," Papers 1911.09151, arXiv.org.
- Nicola Viegi & Vincent Dadam, 2023. "Investigating unemployment hysteresis in South Africa," Working Papers 11043, South African Reserve Bank.
- Giacomo Rella, 2021. "The Fed, housing and household debt over time," Department of Economics University of Siena 850, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2020.
"Sign restrictions in high-dimensional vector autoregressions,"
Working Paper series
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- Dimitris Korobilis, 2020. "Sign restrictions in high-dimensional vector autoregressions," Working Papers 2020_21, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Angelini, Elena & Lalik, Magdalena & Lenza, Michele & Paredes, Joan, 2019.
"Mind the gap: a multi-country BVAR benchmark for the Eurosystem projections,"
Working Paper Series
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- Angelini, Elena & Lalik, Magdalena & Lenza, Michele & Paredes, Joan, 2019. "Mind the gap: A multi-country BVAR benchmark for the Eurosystem projections," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1658-1668.
- Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2022. "Bayesian Forecasting in Economics and Finance: A Modern Review," Papers 2212.03471, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
- Christian Hotz-Behofsits & Florian Huber & Thomas O. Zorner, 2018.
"Predicting crypto-currencies using sparse non-Gaussian state space models,"
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- Carriero, Andrea & Mumtaz, Haroon & Theophilopoulou, Angeliki, 2015. "Macroeconomic information, structural change, and the prediction of fiscal aggregates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 325-348.
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"Mending the broken link: heterogeneous bank lending and monetary policy pass-through,"
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- Carlo Altavilla & Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2016. "Mending the broken link: heterogeneous bank lending and monetary policy pass-through," Working Papers No 9/2016, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
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"Have Standard VARs Remained Stable since the Crisis?,"
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- Knut Are Aastveit & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2017. "Have Standard VARS Remained Stable Since the Crisis?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(5), pages 931-951, August.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2014. "Have standard VARs remained stable since the crisis?," Working Paper 2014/13, Norges Bank.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014.
"Data-based priors for vector autoregressions with drifting coefficients,"
SIRE Discussion Papers
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- Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Data-based priors for vector autoregressions with drifting coefficients," Working Papers 2014_04, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014. "Data-based priors for vector autoregressions with drifting coefficients," MPRA Paper 53772, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Masolo, Riccardo M, 2022.
"Mainly employment: survey-based news and the business cycle,"
Bank of England working papers
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- Riccardo M. Masolo, 2022. "Mainly Employment: Survey-Based News and the Business Cycle," Discussion Papers 2211, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Karau, Sören, 2021. "Monetary policy and Bitcoin," Discussion Papers 41/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Elena Bobeica & Marek Jarociński, 2019.
"Missing Disinflation and Missing Inflation: A VAR Perspective,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(1), pages 199-232, March.
- Jarociński, Marek & Bobeica, Elena, 2017. "Missing disinflation and missing inflation: the puzzles that aren't," Working Paper Series 2000, European Central Bank.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia, 2022. "Forecast Revisions as Instruments for News Shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers 1341, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2023. "Bayesian Forecasting in the 21st Century: A Modern Review," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 1/23, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Barbara Guardabascio, 2017.
"Representation, Estimation and Forecasting of the Multivariate Index-Augmented Autoregressive Model,"
CEIS Research Paper
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- Cubadda, Gianluca & Guardabascio, Barbara, 2019. "Representation, estimation and forecasting of the multivariate index-augmented autoregressive model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 67-79.
- Yasuhiro Iwanaga & Ryuta Sakemoto, 2023. "Commodity momentum decomposition," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 198-216, February.
- Patella, Valeria & Tancioni, Massimiliano, 2021. "Confidence Swings and Sovereign Risk Dynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 195-206.
- Benigno, Pierpaolo & Benati, Luca, 2023.
"Gibson's Paradox and the Natural Rate of Interest,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
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- Luca Benati & Pierpaolo Benigno, 2023. "Gibson s Paradox and the Natural Rate of Interest," Diskussionsschriften dp2303, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
- Nicolò Maffei-Faccioli, 2021. "Identifying the sources of the slowdown in growth: Demand vs. supply," Working Paper 2021/9, Norges Bank.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2018.
"Composite likelihood methods for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
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- Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2020. "Composite likelihood methods for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(6), pages 692-711, September.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2018. "Composite Likelihood Methods for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Working Paper Series 44, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Afanasyeva, Elena, 2013. "Atypical behavior of credit: Evidence from a monetary VAR," IMFS Working Paper Series 70, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Lenza, Michele & Moutachaker, Inès & Paredes, Joan, 2023. "Density forecasts of inflation: a quantile regression forest approach," Working Paper Series 2830, European Central Bank.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2014.
"Forecasting in Nonstationary Environments: What Works and What Doesn't in Reduced-Form and Structural Models,"
Working Papers
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- Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2015. "Forecasting in Nonstationary Environments: What Works and What Doesn't in Reduced-Form and Structural Models," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 7(1), pages 207-229, August.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2014. "Forecasting in nonstationary environments: What works and what doesn't in reduced-form and structural models," Economics Working Papers 1476, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Georgios Georgiadis & Gernot J. Müller & Ben Schumann, 2023. "Dollar Trinity and the Global Financial Cycle," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2058, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Marcela De Castro-Valderrama & Santiago Forero-Alvarado & Nicolas Moreno-Arias & Sara Naranjo-Saldarriaga, 2022. "Unravelling the Narratives Behind Macroeconomic Forecasts," IHEID Working Papers 18-2022, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
- Roth, Markus, 2020. "Partial pooling with cross-country priors: An application to house price shocks," Discussion Papers 06/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Julius Stakenas, 2018. "Slicing up inflation: analysis and forecasting of Lithuanian inflation components," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 56, Bank of Lithuania.
- Adolfsen, Jakob Feveile & Ferrari Minesso, Massimo & Mork, Jente Esther & Van Robays, Ine, 2024. "Gas price shocks and euro area inflation," Working Paper Series 2905, European Central Bank.
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- Ilias Georgakopoulos, 2019. "Income and wealth inequality in Malta: evidence from micro data," CBM Working Papers WP/03/2019, Central Bank of Malta.
- Warne, Anders, 2023. "DSGE model forecasting: rational expectations vs. adaptive learning," Working Paper Series 2768, European Central Bank.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022.
"Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs,"
Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 1145-1169, July.
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"Global Robust Bayesian Analysis in Large Models,"
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"Local Projections, Autocorrelation, and Efficiency,"
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"Forecasting and nowcasting real GDP: Comparing statistical models and subjective forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 411-436.
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"Which size and evolution of the government expenditure multiplier in France (1980-2010)?,"
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"Heterogeneity in Euro Area Monetary Policy Transmission: Results from a Large Multicountry BVAR Model,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(2-3), pages 627-649, March.
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"Macroeconomic Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy in the Euro Area,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
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"The Effectiveness of Unconventional Monetary Policies,"
Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium
14/875, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
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"Alternative Measures of Credit Extension for Countercyclical Buffer Decisions in South Africa,"
Turkish Economic Review, KSP Journals, vol. 2(4), pages 210-221, December.
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"Yields on sovereign debt, fragmentation and monetary policy transmission in the euro area: A GVAR approach,"
Working Papers del Instituto Complutense de Estudios Internacionales
1703, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Instituto Complutense de Estudios Internacionales.
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2011 Meeting Papers
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"Financial Crisis And Quantitative Easing: Can Broad Money Tell Us Anything?,"
Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 80, pages 54-76, September.
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"Heterogeneity and cross-country spillovers in macroeconomic-financial linkages,"
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"Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
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"Restoring euro area monetary transmission: Which role for government bond rates?,"
Munich Reprints in Economics
78269, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
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"The financial and macroeconomic effects of OMT announcements,"
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- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2014. "The Financial and Macroeconomic Effects of the OMT Announcements," CSEF Working Papers 352, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
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"Monetary Policy and Banks in the Euro Area: The Tale of Two Crises,"
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"A non-standard monetary policy shock: the ECB's 3-year LTROs and the shift in credit supply,"
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"Have Standard VARs Remained Stable since the Crisis?,"
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"External financing and economic activity in the euro area: Why are bank loans special?,"
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- Stefan Behrendt, 2017. "Unconventional Monetary Policy Effects on Bank Lending in the Euro Area," Jena Economics Research Papers 2017-002, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
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"Changing Macroeconomic Dynamics at the Zero Lower Bound,"
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"On the stability of euro area money demand and its implications for monetary policy,"
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"Euro area monetary policy transmission in Estonia,"
Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 14(1-2), pages 55-77, December.
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"A large Bayesian vector autoregression model for Russia,"
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Cited by:
- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2016.
"Dynamic Predictive Density Combinations for Large Data Sets in Economics and Finance,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
15-084/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 03 Jul 2017.
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"Can macroeconomists forecast risk? Event-based evidence from the euro area SPF,"
Working Paper Series
1540, European Central Bank.
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"Forecasting Swiss Exports Using Bayesian Forecast Reconciliation,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
14/19, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
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"Assessing the economic value of probabilistic forecasts in the presence of an inflation target,"
CAMA Working Papers
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"Real-time density nowcasts of US inflation: A model combination approach,"
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- Richard K. Crump & Miro Everaert & Domenico Giannone & Sean Hundtofte, 2018.
"Changing Risk-Return Profiles,"
Staff Reports
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- Richard K. Crump & Domenico Giannone & Sean Hundtofte, 2018. "Changing Risk-Return Profiles," Liberty Street Economics 20181004, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Roccazzella, Francesco & Candelon, Bertrand, 2022. "Should we care about ECB inflation expectations?," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2022004, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
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"Market participants or the random walk – who forecasts better? Evidence from micro-level survey data,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
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"Real-time Inflation Forecasting Using Non-linear Dimension Reduction Techniques,"
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"On the Aggregation of Probability Assessments: Regularized Mixtures of Predictive Densities for Eurozone In?ation and Real Interest Rates,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
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2471, European Central Bank.
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CEPR Discussion Papers
7883, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Cited by:
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"Short-Term Inflation Projections: a Bayesian Vector Autoregressive approach,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
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Cited by:
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"Model uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive models,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 115-131.
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- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014. "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," SIRE Discussion Papers 2014-011, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2015. "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Paper series 15-35, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Model uncertainty in panel vector autoregressive models," Working Papers 2014_10, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Paper series 39_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Model uncertainty in panel vector autoregressive models," Working Papers 1408, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
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"Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Markets: An Evaluation of Alternative Models,"
CReMFi Discussion Papers
3, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL.
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"Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
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"Economic consequences of follow-up disasters: lessons from the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake,"
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- Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta & Lenza, Michele, 2014.
"Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
9931, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza, 2014. "Conditional Forecasts and Scenario Analysis with Vector Autoregressions for Large Cross-Sections," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-15, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
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- Giannone, Domenico & Bańbura, Marta & Lenza, Michele, 2014. "Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections," Working Paper Series 1733, European Central Bank.
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"Bayesian compressed vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(1), pages 135-154.
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- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2016. "Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 103R, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School, revised Apr 2016.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2016. "Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 103, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2017. "Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions," Working Paper series 17-32, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
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"Variational Bayesian inference in large Vector Autoregressions with hierarchical shrinkage,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Aubrey Poon, 2019. "Variational Bayesian Inference in Large Vector Autoregressions with Hierarchical Shrinkage," Discussion Papers in Economics 19/05, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Aubrey Poon, 2019. "Variational Bayesian Inference in Large Vector Autoregressions with Hierarchical Shrinkage," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2019-07, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
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"Is the US Phillips curve stable? Evidence from Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 125(1), pages 287-314, January.
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- Hauber, Philipp, 2021. "How useful is external information from professional forecasters? Conditional forecasts in large factor models," EconStor Preprints 251469, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
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"Short-Term Inflation Projections Model and Its Assessment in Latvia,"
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- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018.
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- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Discussion Papers 1808, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Silvia Miranda Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," Sciences Po publications 18, Sciences Po.
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- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2018-18, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1159, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2014.
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- Joshua Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2015. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Paper series 15-36, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2016. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 374-390.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Paper series 40_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Joshua C C Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Papers 1409, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
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"Forecasting inflation in the euro area: countries matter!,"
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- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012.
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SIRE Discussion Papers
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- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," Working Papers 2012_04, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," MPRA Paper 38591, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 185-198.
- Stefan Laseen & Marzie Taheri Sanjani, 2016. "Did the Global Financial Crisis Break the U.S. Phillips Curve?," IMF Working Papers 2016/126, International Monetary Fund.
- Gary Koop, 2012.
"Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables,"
Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 4(3), pages 143-167, September.
- Gary, Koop, 2013. "Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables," SIRE Discussion Papers 2013-35, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary Koop, 2013. "Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables," Working Papers 1303, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Dimitrios P. Louzis, 2017. "Macroeconomic and credit forecasts during the Greek crisis using Bayesian VARs," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 569-598, September.
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"An Empirical Investigation of Direct and Iterated Multistep Conditional Forecasts,"
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- Michael W. McCracken & Joseph T. McGillicuddy, 2019. "An empirical investigation of direct and iterated multistep conditional forecasts," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(2), pages 181-204, March.
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Research Technical Papers
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- Liebermann, Joelle, 2012. "Real-time forecasting in a data-rich environment," MPRA Paper 39452, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Michele Modugno & Chiara Osbat, 2015.
"A Global Trade Model for the Euro Area,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2015-13, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Osbat, Chiara & D'Agostino, Antonello & Modugno, Michele, 2016. "A global trade model for the euro area," Working Paper Series 1986, European Central Bank.
- Antonello D’Agostino & Michele Modugno & Chiara Osbat, 2017. "A Global Trade Model for the Euro Area," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 13(4), pages 1-34, December.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Strachan, Rodney W., 2020. "Reducing the state space dimension in a large TVP-VAR," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(1), pages 105-118.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2014.
"Evaluating Conditional Forecasts from Vector Autoregressions,"
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1413, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2014. "Evaluating Conditional Forecasts from Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 2014-25, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Michele Lenza, 2011. "Revisiting the information content of core inflation," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 14, pages 11-13.
- Kirstin Hubrich & Frauke Skudelny, 2016.
"Forecast Combination for Euro Area Inflation - A Cure in Times of Crisis?,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
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- Hubrich, Kirstin & Skudelny, Frauke, 2016. "Forecast combination for euro area inflation: a cure in times of crisis?," Working Paper Series 1972, European Central Bank.
- Kirstin Hubrich & Frauke Skudelny, 2017. "Forecast Combination for Euro Area Inflation: A Cure in Times of Crisis?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 515-540, August.
- Chalmovianský, Jakub & Porqueddu, Mario & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Weigh(t)ing the basket: aggregate and component-based inflation forecasts for the euro area," Working Paper Series 2501, European Central Bank.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2011.
"Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy,"
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- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015. "Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 46-73, January.
- Marek Jarociński & Bartosz Maćkowiak, 2014. "Choosing variables in macroeconomic modelling," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 20, pages 5-8.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2015.
"Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(2), pages 436-451, May.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-002, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 8755, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," NBER Working Papers 18467, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2012. "Prior selection for vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 1494, European Central Bank.
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"Missing Disinflation and Missing Inflation: A VAR Perspective,"
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- Cobb, Marcus P A, 2018. "Improving Underlying Scenarios for Aggregate Forecasts: A Multi-level Combination Approach," MPRA Paper 88593, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joshua Chan, 2023. "BVARs and Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2310.14438, arXiv.org.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2018.
"Composite likelihood methods for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility,"
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- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2018. "Composite Likelihood Methods for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Working Paper Series 44, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Lenza, Michele & Moutachaker, Inès & Paredes, Joan, 2023. "Density forecasts of inflation: a quantile regression forest approach," Working Paper Series 2830, European Central Bank.
- Dominik Bertsche & Ralf Brüggemann & Christian Kascha, 2018.
"Directed Graphs and Variable Selection in Large Vector Autoregressive Models,"
Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz
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"Bayesian State Space Models In Macroeconometrics,"
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"Spreading the word or reducing the term spread? Assessing spillovers from euro area monetary policy,"
VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking
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- Marcel Fratzscher & Malte Rieth, 2015. "Monetary Policy, Bank Bailouts and the Sovereign-Bank Risk Nexus in the Euro Area," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1448, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
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- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza, 2014. "The Financial and Macroeconomic Effects of OMT Announcements," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-31, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2014. "The Financial and Macroeconomic Effects of the OMT Announcements," CSEF Working Papers 352, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2016. "The Financial and Macroeconomic Effects of the OMT Announcements," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 12(3), pages 29-57, September.
- Harald Hau & Sandy Lai, 2013.
"Asset Allocation and Monetary Policy: Evidence from the Eurozone,"
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- Harald Hau & Sandy Lai, 2013. "Asset Allocation and Monetary Policy: Evidence from the Eurozone," Working Papers 222013, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
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- Hau, Harald & Lai, Sandy, 2013. "Asset Allocation and Monetary Policy: Evidence from the Eurozone," CEPR Discussion Papers 9581, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2014.
"Monetary Policy and Banks in the Euro Area: The Tale of Two Crises,"
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- Lucrezia Reichlin, 2013. "Monetary policy and banks in the euro area: the tale of two crises," Special Conference Papers 26, Bank of Greece.
- Ludger Schuknecht, 2019.
"Fiscal-Financial Vulnerabilities,"
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- Schuknecht, Ludger, 2019. "Fiscal-financial vulnerabilities," SAFE White Paper Series 62, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
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- Kotaro Ishi & Mr. Kenji Fujita & Mr. Mark R. Stone, 2011. "Should Unconventional Balance Sheet Policies Be Added to the Central Bank toolkit? a Review of the Experience so Far," IMF Working Papers 2011/145, International Monetary Fund.
- Drudi, Francesco & Durré, Alain & Mongelli, Francesco Paolo, 2012.
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- A. Durre & F. Drudi & F.P. Mongelli, 2012. "The interplay of economic reforms and monetary policy: the case of the euro area," Post-Print hal-00787189, HAL.
- Afanasyeva, Elena, 2013. "Atypical behavior of credit: Evidence from a monetary VAR," IMFS Working Paper Series 70, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Lubomira Gertler, 2015. "Interactions of Unconventional Monetary Policy Measures with the Euro Area Yield Curve," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 65(2), pages 106-126, March.
- Maciej Ryczkowski, 2015. "Is deflation trap a serious threat? Case study of FED, ECB and NBP," Ekonomia i Prawo, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 14(2), pages 243-259, June.
- Đorđe Đukić & Mališa Đukić, 2011. "The Influence of Interbank Money Market Stress Levels on Credit Markets During the Postcrisis Period in US And Euro Area," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 56(189), pages 7-26, April – J.
- John H. Rogers & Chiara Scotti & Jonathan H. Wright, 2014. "Evaluating Asset-Market Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy: A Cross-Country Comparison," International Finance Discussion Papers 1101, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Huw Pill & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012.
"The ECB and the Interbank Market,"
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- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Pill, Huw & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2012. "The ECB and the Interbank Market," CEPR Discussion Papers 8844, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Huw Pill & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "The ECB and the Interbank Market," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-005, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Lenza, Michele, 2012. "The ECB and the interbank market," Working Paper Series 1496, European Central Bank.
- António Afonso & António Jorge Silva, 2014. "The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Euro Area: has it changed with the EMU? A VAR approach, with fiscal policy and financial stress considerations," Working Papers Department of Economics 2014/10, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
- Marco Casiraghi & Eugenio Gaiotti & Lisa Rodano & Alessandro Secchi, 2016. "ECB Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Italian Economy during the Sovereign Debt Crisis," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 12(2), pages 269-315, June.
- Martina Cecioni & Giuseppe Ferrero & Alessandro Secchi, 2018.
"Unconventional Monetary Policy in Theory and in Practice,"
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- Martina Cecioni & Giuseppe Ferrero & Alessandro Secchi, 2011. "Unconventional Monetary Policy in Theory and in Practice," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 102, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
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Working Papers
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"Money, credit, monetary policy and the business cycle in the euro area,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
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"Interest Rate Pass-Through in the Euro Area during the Financial Crisis: a Multivariate Regime-Switching Approach,"
Quaderni del Dipartimento di Economia, Finanza e Statistica
107/2012, Università di Perugia, Dipartimento Economia.
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"Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change,"
Research Technical Papers
8/RT/09, Central Bank of Ireland.
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"Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?,"
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2471, European Central Bank.
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"Time-varying Combinations of Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
12-118/III, Tinbergen Institute.
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"Advances in Forecasting Under Instability,"
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11-20, Duke University, Department of Economics.
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"Nowcasting tail risk to economic activity at a weekly frequency,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 843-866, August.
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Bank of England working papers
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- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2016. "Adaptive models and heavy tails," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1052, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
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1520, European Central Bank.
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 178(4), pages 837-862, October.
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"Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 482-501.
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- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Adaptive Models and Heavy Tails with an Application to Inflation Forecasting," EMF Research Papers 13, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
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BOFIT Discussion Papers
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"A neural network ensemble approach for GDP forecasting,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
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"Forecasting UK GDP growth and inflation under structural change. A comparison of models with time-varying parameters,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 129-143.
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"Multimodality In Macrofinancial Dynamics,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 62(2), pages 861-886, May.
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"Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Markets: An Evaluation of Alternative Models,"
CReMFi Discussion Papers
3, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL.
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Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(2), pages 765-788, March.
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"VAR Models with Non-Gaussian Shocks,"
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"The Contribution of Structural Break Models to Forecasting Macroeconomic Series,"
Working Paper series
38_11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
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- Luc Bauwens & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Jeroen V.K. Rombouts, 2015. "The Contribution of Structural Break Models to Forecasting Macroeconomic Series," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(4), pages 596-620, June.
- Luc Bauwens & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Jeroen Rombouts, 2011. "A comparison of Forecasting Procedures for Macroeconomic Series: The Contribution of Structural Break Models," Working Papers 1113, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Luc Bauwens & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Jeroen V.K. Rombouts, 2011. "A Comparison of Forecasting Procedures for Macroeconomic Series: the Contribution of Structural Break Models," Cahiers de recherche 1104, CIRPEE.
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- BAUWENS, Luc & KOOP, Gary & KOROBILIS, Dimitris & ROMBOUTS, Jeroen V. K., 2011. "A comparison of forecasting procedures for macroeconomic series: the contribution of structural break models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011003, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
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"Time Varying Dimension Models,"
Working Paper series
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- Joshua C.C. Chan & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney W. Strachan, 2012. "Time Varying Dimension Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 358-367, January.
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- Joshua Chan & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney Strachan, 2011. "Time Varying Dimension Models," Working Papers 1116, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Chan, Joshua C C & Koop, Gary & Leon-Gonzalez, Roberto & Strachan, Rodney W, 2010. "Time Varying Dimension Models," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-33, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
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"Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models,"
LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE
2011036, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
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- Miguel A.G. Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time‐Varying Parameter Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 80-94, January.
- Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," Working Papers 1137, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Miguel, Belmonte & Gary, Koop & Dimitris, Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models," MPRA Paper 31827, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Belmonte, Miguel A & Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-68, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Kuo‐Hsuan Chin, 2022. "Forecast evaluation of DSGE models: Linear and nonlinear likelihood," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1099-1130, September.
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"Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
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- Berg, Tim Oliver & Henzel, Steffen, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79783, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2014. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Bayesian VARs," CESifo Working Paper Series 4711, CESifo.
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"Bayesian Analysis of Coefficient Instability in Dynamic Regressions,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-32, June.
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"Oil price forecastability and economic uncertainty,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 125-128.
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- Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "Oil Price Forecastability and Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers 201518, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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CEPR Discussion Papers
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"Forecasting economic time series using score-driven dynamic models with mixed-data sampling,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1735-1747.
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"Comparing stochastic volatility specifications for large Bayesian VARs,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1419-1446.
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"Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility,"
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"Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions,"
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"Choosing Prior Hyperparameters: With Applications to Time-Varying Parameter Models,"
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"Should macroeconomic forecasters use daily financial data and how?,"
University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics
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"Smells Like Fiscal Policy? Assessing the Potential Effectiveness of the ECB s OMT Program,"
VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy
100280, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
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"Time‐Varying Dynamics of the German Business Cycle: A Comprehensive Investigation,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(1), pages 80-102, February.
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- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Saverio Simonelli, 2009. "Nowcasting Euro Area Economic Activity in Real-Time: The Role of Confidence Indicators," CSEF Working Papers 240, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
Cited by:
- Raïsa Basselier & David Antonio Liedo & Geert Langenus, 2018. "Nowcasting Real Economic Activity in the Euro Area: Assessing the Impact of Qualitative Surveys," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(1), pages 1-46, April.
- Caruso, Alberto, 2018. "Nowcasting with the help of foreign indicators: The case of Mexico," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 160-168.
- Cristea, R. G., 2020. "Can Alternative Data Improve the Accuracy of Dynamic Factor Model Nowcasts?," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20108, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Radoslaw Sobko & Maria Klonowska-Matynia, 2021. "The Relationship between the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) and Economic Growth: The Case for Poland," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 1), pages 198-219.
- Ali B. Barlas & Seda Guler Mert & Berk Orkun Isa & Alvaro Ortiz & Tomasa Rodrigo & Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2024. "Big data financial transactions and GDP nowcasting: The case of Turkey," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 227-248, March.
- Michele Modugno & Lucrezia Reichlin & Domenico Giannone & Marta Banbura, 2012. "Nowcasting with Daily Data," 2012 Meeting Papers 555, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Michele Modugno, 2015.
"Nowcasting Business Cycles: a Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2015-66, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Antonello D’Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Michele Modugno, 2016. "Nowcasting Business Cycles: A Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 569-594, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
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"Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 878-893.
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"Can news help measure economic sentiment? An application in COVID-19 times,"
Working Papers
2027, Banco de España.
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"Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
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- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 2453, European Central Bank.
- Bhattacharya, Rudrani & Pandey, Radhika & Veronese, Giovanni, 2011. "Tracking India Growth in Real Time," Working Papers 11/90, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
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"Macroeconomic News and Market Reaction: Surprise Indexes meet Nowcasting,"
Working Papers ECARES
2018-06, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
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- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Bańbura, Marta, 2010.
"Nowcasting,"
Working Paper Series
1275, European Central Bank.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta, 2010. "Nowcasting," CEPR Discussion Papers 7883, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Nowcasting," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2010-021, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Bańbura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2013.
"Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 195-237,
Elsevier.
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- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Bańbura, Marta & Modugno, Michele, 2013. "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," Working Paper Series 1564, European Central Bank.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Banbura, Marta, 2012. "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," CEPR Discussion Papers 9112, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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"The Role of Indicator Selection in Nowcasting Euro Area GDP in Pseudo Real Time,"
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Globalization Institute Working Papers
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"Combining distributions of real-time forecasts: An application to U.S. growth,"
Research Memorandum
027, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
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- Arioli, Rodolfo & Bates, Colm & Dieden, Heinz Christian & Duca, Ioana & Friz, Roberta & Gayer, Christian & Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan & Pavlova, Iskra, 2017.
"EU consumers’ quantitative inflation perceptions and expectations: an evaluation,"
Occasional Paper Series
186, European Central Bank.
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- Jean-michel Sahut & Medhi Mili & Frédéric Teulon, 2012.
"What is the linkage between real growth in the Euro area and global financial market conditions?,"
Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(3), pages 2464-2480.
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- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2021.
"Back to the Present: Learning about the Euro Area through a Now-casting Model,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
1313, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo & Ferreira, Thiago R.T. & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele, 2024. "Back to the present: Learning about the euro area through a now-casting model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 661-686.
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- Aaron G. Grech, "undated". "The European Commission’s business and consumer surveys and Maltese macroeconomic trends," CBM Policy Papers PP/05/2019, Central Bank of Malta.
- David de Antonio Liedo, 2014. "Nowcasting Belgium," Working Paper Research 256, National Bank of Belgium.
- George Kapetanios & Fotis Papailias, 2018. "Big Data & Macroeconomic Nowcasting: Methodological Review," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-12, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
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Cited by:
- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2016.
"Dynamic Predictive Density Combinations for Large Data Sets in Economics and Finance,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
15-084/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 03 Jul 2017.
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- Fuentes-Albero, Cristina & Melosi, Leonardo, 2013.
"Methods for computing marginal data densities from the Gibbs output,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 175(2), pages 132-141.
- Cristina Fuentes-Albero & Leonardo Melosi, 2011. "Methods for Computing Marginal Data Densities from the Gibbs Output," Departmental Working Papers 201131, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo, 2017.
"News Shocks and the Slope of the Term Structure of Interest Rates : Comment,"
EMF Research Papers
15, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia, 2017. "News Shocks and the Slope of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(10), pages 3243-3249, October.
- Olga Korotkikh, 2020. "A Multi-Country BVAR Model for the External Sector," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 79(4), pages 98-112, December.
- Daniel Hopp, 2022. "Benchmarking Econometric and Machine Learning Methodologies in Nowcasting," Papers 2205.03318, arXiv.org.
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"An empirical study of credit shock transmission in a small open economy,"
Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 50(2), pages 541-570, May.
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- Nathan Bedock & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2012. "An Empirical Study of Credit Shock Transmission in a Small Open Economy," CIRANO Working Papers 2012s-16, CIRANO.
- Lombardi, Marco J. & Osbat, Chiara & Schnatz, Bernd, 2010.
"Global commodity cycles and linkages a FAVAR approach,"
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1170, European Central Bank.
- Marco Lombardi & Chiara Osbat & Bernd Schnatz, 2012. "Global commodity cycles and linkages: a FAVAR approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 43(2), pages 651-670, October.
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"Model uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive models,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 115-131.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014. "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," MPRA Paper 58131, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014. "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," SIRE Discussion Papers 2014-011, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2015. "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Paper series 15-35, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Model uncertainty in panel vector autoregressive models," Working Papers 2014_10, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Paper series 39_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Model uncertainty in panel vector autoregressive models," Working Papers 1408, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Gian Paulo Soave, 2023. "A panel threshold VAR with stochastic volatility-in-mean model: an application to the effects of financial and uncertainty shocks in emerging economies," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(4), pages 397-431, January.
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"The role of housing sentiment in forecasting U.S. home sales growth: evidence from a Bayesian compressed vector autoregressive model,"
Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 2554-2567, January.
- Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Vasilios Plakandaras & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "The Role of Housing Sentiment in Forecasting US Home Sales Growth: Evidence from a Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201842, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Haroon Mumtaz & Ahmed Pirzada & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2018. "Non-linear effects of oil shocks on stock prices," Working Papers 865, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Tomáš Slacík & Katharina Steiner & Julia Wörz, 2014. "Can Trade Partners Help Better FORCEE the Future? Impact of Trade Linkages on Economic Growth Forecasts in Selected CESEE Countries," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 36-56.
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"Do Precious Metal Prices Help in Forecasting South African Inflation?,"
Working Papers
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- Mehmet Balcilar & Nico Katzke & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Do Precious Metal Prices Help in Forecasting South African Inflation?," Working Papers 201510, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Nico Katzke & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Do Precious Metal Prices Help in Forecasting South African Inflation?," Working Papers 03/2015, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Katzke, Nico & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Do precious metal prices help in forecasting South African inflation?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 63-72.
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"How foreign participation in the Colombian local public debt market has influenced domestic financial conditions,"
Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 2(4).
- José Vicente Romero & Hernando Vargas & Pamela Cardozo & Andrés Murcia, 2020. "How foreign participation in the Colombian local public debt market has influenced domestic financial conditions," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Financial market development, monetary policy and financial stability in emerging market economies, volume 113, pages 83-119, Bank for International Settlements.
- Eva F. Janssens & Robin L. Lumsdaine, 2024. "Sectoral slowdowns in the United Kingdom: Evidence from transmission probabilities and economic linkages," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 22-40, January.
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- Mike Tsionas & Marwan Izzeldin & Lorenzo Trapani, 2019. "Bayesian estimation of large dimensional time varying VARs using copulas," Papers 1912.12527, arXiv.org.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015.
"Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility,"
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 178(4), pages 837-862, October.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2012. "Real-time nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility," Working Papers (Old Series) 1227, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2013. "Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model with Stochastic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 9312, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021.
"Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?,"
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- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-León, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?," Discussion Papers 48/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Marta Bañbura & Danilo Leiva-León & Jan-Oliver Menz, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation Forecasts?," Working Papers 2138, Banco de España.
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"Reconciling output gaps: unobserved components model and Hodrick-Prescott filter,"
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2016-44, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Grant, Angelia L. & Chan, Joshua C.C., 2017. "Reconciling output gaps: Unobserved components model and Hodrick–Prescott filter," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 114-121.
- Andres–Escayola, Erik & Berganza, Juan Carlos & Campos, Rodolfo G. & Molina, Luis, 2023.
"A BVAR toolkit to assess macrofinancial risks in Brazil and Mexico,"
Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(1).
- Erik Andres-Escayola & Juan Carlos Berganza & Rodolfo Campos & Luis Molina, 2021. "A BVAR toolkit to assess macrofinancial risks in Brazil and Mexico," Occasional Papers 2114, Banco de España.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019.
"Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different,"
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- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Caruso, Alberto & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Financial and Fiscal Interaction in the Euro Area Crisis: This Time was Different," CEPR Discussion Papers 13016, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," Post-Print hal-03403613, HAL.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different," Sciences Po publications 11, Sciences Po.
- Caruso, Alberto & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Financial and Fiscal Interaction in the Euro Area Crisis : This Time was Different," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1167, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Albert Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis : this time was different," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2019-11, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/4u5amfvji89, Sciences Po.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03403613, HAL.
- Caruso, Alberto & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 333-355.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different," Working Papers hal-03403269, HAL.
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"Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR,"
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"Bayesian Local Projections,"
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- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2021. "Bayesian Local Projections," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1348, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2021. "Bayesian local projections," Working Papers hal-03373574, HAL.
- Leonardo N. Ferreira & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2023. "Bayesian Local Projections," Working Papers 2023-04, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
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"Common and country specific economic uncertainty,"
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- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2014.
"Estimating point and density forecasts for the US economy with a factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE model,"
Open Access publications
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"Uncertainty and the Cost of Bank vs. Bond Finance,"
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- Battulga Gankhuu, 2023. "Parameter Estimation Methods of Required Rate of Return," Papers 2305.19708, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
- Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotze & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2022.
"Big data forecasting of South African inflation,"
School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series
2022-03, School of Economics, University of Cape Town.
- Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotz & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," Working Papers 11022, South African Reserve Bank.
- Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotzé & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2023. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 149-188, July.
- Byron Botha & Kevin Kotze & Neil Rankin & Rulof P. Burger, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," Working Papers 873, Economic Research Southern Africa.
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"Forecasting with High-Dimensional Panel VARs,"
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- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2015. "Forecasting with High-Dimensional Panel VARs," MPRA Paper 84275, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 31 Jan 2018.
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- Joshua C.C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2020. "Fast and accurate variational inference for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2020-108, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Simone Auer, 2014.
"Monetary policy shocks and foreign investment income: evidence from a large Bayesian VAR,"
Globalization Institute Working Papers
170, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Auer, Simone, 2019. "Monetary policy shocks and foreign investment income: Evidence from a large Bayesian VAR," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 142-166.
- Dr. Simone Auer, 2014. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Foreign Investment Income: Evidence from a large Bayesian VAR," Working Papers 2014-02, Swiss National Bank.
- Matteo Luciani, 2015.
"Monetary Policy and the Housing Market: A Structural Factor Analysis,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 199-218, March.
- Matteo LUCIANI, "undated". "Monetary Policy and the Housing Market: A Structural Factor Analysis," Working Papers wp2010-7, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
- Matteo Luciani, 2012. "Monetary Policy and the Housing Market: A Structural Factor Analysis," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-035, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Matteo Luciani, 2013. "Monetary Policy, and the Housing Market: A Structural Factor Analysis," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/153324, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Sebastian Ankargren & Mårten Bjellerup & Hovick Shahnazarian, 2017. "The importance of the financial system for the real economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 1553-1586, December.
- Cova, Pietro & Natoli, Filippo, 2020.
"The risk-taking channel of international financial flows,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
- Pietro Cova & Filippo Natoli, 2019. "The risk-taking channel of international financial flows," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2019_015, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
- Kwon, Hyuck-Shin & Bang, Doo Won & Kim, Myeong Hyeon, 2017. "Korean Housing Cycle: Implications for Risk Management (Factor-augmented VAR Approach)," KDI Journal of Economic Policy, Korea Development Institute (KDI), vol. 39(3), pages 43-62.
- Pooyan Amir-Ahmadi & Christian Matthes & Mu-Chun Wang, 2020.
"Choosing Prior Hyperparameters: With Applications to Time-Varying Parameter Models,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 124-136, January.
- Wang, Mu-Chun, 2018. "Choosing Prior Hyperparameters: With Applications To Time-Varying Parameter Models," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181621, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Gary Koop, 2011.
"Forecasting with Medium and Large Bayesian VARs,"
Working Papers
1117, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Gary M. Koop, 2013. "Forecasting with Medium and Large Bayesian VARS," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 177-203, March.
- Gary Koop, 2010. "Forecasting with Medium and Large Bayesian VARs," Working Paper series 43_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Koop, Gary, 2011. "Forecasting with Medium and Large Bayesian VARs," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-38, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Flavia Corneli & Fabrizio Ferriani & Andrea Gazzani, 2023.
"Macroeconomic news, the financial cycle and the commodity cycle: the Chinese footprint,"
Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers)
772, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Corneli, Flavia & Ferriani, Fabrizio & Gazzani, Andrea, 2023. "Macroeconomic news, the financial cycle and the commodity cycle: The Chinese footprint," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
- Dr. Gregor Bäurle & Daniel Kaufmann & Sylvia Kaufmann & Rodney W. Strachan, 2016.
"Changing dynamics at the zero lower bound,"
Working Papers
2016-16, Swiss National Bank.
- Gregor Bäurle & Daniel Kaufmann & Sylvia Kaufmann & Rodney W. Strachan, 2016. "Changing dynamics at the zero lower bound," Working Papers 16.02, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
- Valeriu Nalban, 2016. "Sentiment-Driven Asymmetries in Romanian Monetary Policy Transmission," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(3), pages 251-270, May.
- Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2009. "A comparision of forecast, simple reduced-form models, and a DSGE model," CAMA Working Papers 2009-03, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Ferrari Minesso, Massimo & Pagliari, Maria Sole, 2023.
"No country is an island. International cooperation and climate change,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
- Ferrari Massimo, & Pagliari Maria Sole,, 2021. "No country is an island. International cooperation and climate change," Working papers 815, Banque de France.
- Pagliari, Maria Sole & Ferrari Minesso, Massimo, 2021. "No country is an island: international cooperation and climate change," Working Paper Series 2568, European Central Bank.
- Tallman, Ellis W. & Zaman, Saeed, 2020.
"Combining survey long-run forecasts and nowcasts with BVAR forecasts using relative entropy,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 373-398.
- Ellis W. Tallman & Saeed Zaman, 2018. "Combining Survey Long-Run Forecasts and Nowcasts with BVAR Forecasts Using Relative Entropy," Working Papers (Old Series) 1809, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Christian Grimme & Marc Stöckli, 2017. "Macoeconomic Uncertainty in Germany," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(06), pages 41-50, March.
- Jan Prüser, 2021. "Forecasting US inflation using Markov dimension switching," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 481-499, April.
- Salzmann, Leonard, 2020. "The Impact of Uncertainty and Financial Shocks in Recessions and Booms," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224588, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Mirela Sorina Miescu, 2016. "IMF Programs and Sensitivity to External Shocks: An Empirical Application," Working Papers 791, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Jamie Cross & Bao H. Nguyen & Bo Zhang, 2019.
"New kid on the block? China vs the US in world oil markets,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-33, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Jamie Cross & Bao H. Nguyen & Bo Zhang, 2019. "New Kid on the Block? China vs the US in World Oil Markets," Working Papers No 02/2019, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Poon, Aubrey, 2023. "Forecasting using variational Bayesian inference in large vector autoregressions with hierarchical shrinkage," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 346-363.
- Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012.
"Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models,"
MPRA Paper
36147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," IMFS Working Paper Series 59, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Wolters, Maik H., 2013. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," Economics Working Papers 2013-03, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Maik H. Wolters, 2015. "Evaluating Point and Density Forecasts of DSGE Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 74-96, January.
- Wolters, Maik H., 2011. "Forecasting under Model Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis 48723, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Stefano Neri & Tiziano Ropele, 2015. "The macroeconomic effects of the sovereign debt crisis in the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1007, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- George J. Bratsiotis & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2020.
"Precautionary Liquidity Shocks, Excess Reserves and Business Cycles,"
Economics Discussion Paper Series
2014, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Bratsiotis, George J. & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2022. "Precautionary liquidity shocks, excess reserves and business cycles," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Bratsiotis, George & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2020. "Precautionary Liquidity Shocks, Excess Reserves and Business Cycles," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2020/15, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Bratsiotis, George J. & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2021. "Precautionary Liquidity Shocks, Excess Reserves and Business Cycles," EconStor Preprints 243121, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Enrica De Cian & Malcolm Mistry & Anthony Osuntuyi, 2020.
"The impact of Climate on Economic and Financial Cycles: A Markov-switching Panel Approach,"
Papers
2012.14693, arXiv.org.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Enrica De Cian & Malcolm Mistry & Anthony Osuntuyi, 2021. "The Impact of Climate on Economic and Financial Cycles: A Markov-switching Panel Approach," Working Papers 2021:03, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Anna Sznajderska & Alfred A. Haug, 2023. "Bayesian VARs of the U.S. economy before and during the pandemic," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 13(2), pages 211-236, June.
- Jesús Crespo Cuaresma & Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber, 2016. "Forecasting with Global Vector Autoregressive Models: a Bayesian Approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1371-1391, November.
- PINSHI, Christian P., 2020.
"COVID-19 uncertainty and monetary policy,"
MPRA Paper
100184, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Christian Pinshi, 2020. "COVID-19 uncertainty and monetary policy," Working Papers hal-02566796, HAL.
- Elton Beqiraj & Massimiliano Tancioni, 2014. "Evaluating Labor Market Targeted Fiscal Policies inHigh Unemployment EZ Countries," Working Papers in Public Economics 165, University of Rome La Sapienza, Department of Economics and Law.
- Haroon Mumtaz & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2015.
"Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Macroeconomic Volatility,"
Working Papers
760, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2018. "Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Macroeconomic Volatility," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/21, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Konstantinos Theodoridis & Haroon Mumtaz, 2015. "Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Macroeconomic Volatility," Working Papers 101219932, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
- Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2020. "Dynamic effects of monetary policy shocks on macroeconomic volatility," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 262-282.
- Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta & Lenza, Michele, 2014.
"Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
9931, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza, 2014. "Conditional Forecasts and Scenario Analysis with Vector Autoregressions for Large Cross-Sections," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-15, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Bańbura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2015. "Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 739-756.
- Giannone, Domenico & Bańbura, Marta & Lenza, Michele, 2014. "Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections," Working Paper Series 1733, European Central Bank.
- Ricco, Giovanni & Ellahie, Atif, 2012. "Government Spending Reloaded: Fundamentalness and Heterogeneity in Fiscal SVARs," MPRA Paper 42105, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Mai, Nhat Chi, 2016. "Monetary policies and the macroeconomic performance of Vietnam," OSF Preprints akzy4, Center for Open Science.
- García, Javier Sánchez & Rambaud, Salvador Cruz, 2023. "Macrofinancial determinants of volatility transmission in a network of European sovereign debt markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
- Gianluca CubaddaTor Vergata & Marco MazzaliTor Vergata, 2024.
"The vector error correction index model: representation, estimation and identification,"
The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 27(1), pages 126-150.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Marco Mazzali, 2023. "The Vector Error Correction Index Model: Representation, Estimation and Identification," CEIS Research Paper 556, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 04 Apr 2023.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Marija Vukotic, 2022.
"Patent-Based News Shocks,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(1), pages 51-66, March.
- Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo & Vukotic, Marija, 2019. "Patent-Based News Shocks," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1225, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Marija Vukotić, 2020. "Patent-Based News Shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers 1277, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Mampho Modise, 2010.
"Has the SARB become more effective post inflation targeting?,"
Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 43(3), pages 187-204, August.
- Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Mampho P. Modise, 2009. "Has the SARB Become More Effective Post Inflation Targeting?," Working Papers 200925, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Hovick Shahnazarian & Martin Solberger & Erik Spånberg, 2017. "Forecasting and Analysing Corporate Tax Revenues in Sweden Using Bayesian VAR Models," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 28(1), pages 50-74, Autumn.
- Kanngiesser Derrick & Martin Reiner & Maurin Laurent & Moccero Diego, 2020. "The macroeconomic impact of shocks to bank capital buffers in the Euro Area," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(1), pages 1-17, January.
- Francesca Monti, 2015.
"Can a data-rich environment help identify the sources of model misspecification?,"
Discussion Papers
1505, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Monti, Francesca, 2015. "Can a data-rich environment help identify the sources of model misspecification?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86320, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Monti, Francesca, 2015. "Can a data-rich environment help identify the sources of model misspecification?," Bank of England working papers 527, Bank of England.
- Roy, Ripon & Bashar, Omar H.N.M. & Bhattacharya, Prasad Sankar, 2023. "The cross-industry effects of monetary policy: New evidence from Bangladesh," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone, 2014.
"The effectiveness of non-standard monetary policy measures: evidence from survey data,"
Working Papers CASMEF
1406, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
- Altavilla, Carlo & Giannone, Domenico, 2016. "The effectiveness of non-standard monetary policy measures: evidence from survey data," Working Paper Series 1951, European Central Bank.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone, 2014. "The Effectiveness of Non-Standard Monetary Policy Measures: Evidence from Survey Data," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-30, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone, 2017. "The Effectiveness of Non‐Standard Monetary Policy Measures: Evidence from Survey Data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(5), pages 952-964, August.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone, 2015. "The effectiveness of nonstandard monetary policy measures: evidence from survey data," Staff Reports 752, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Altavilla, Carlo, 2014. "The Effectiveness of Non-Standard Monetary Policy Measures: Evidence from Survey Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 10001, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Florian Huber & Manfred M. Fischer, 2018.
"A Markov Switching Factor‐Augmented VAR Model for Analyzing US Business Cycles and Monetary Policy,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 80(3), pages 575-604, June.
- Florian Huber & Manfred M. Fischer, 2015. "A Markov switching factor-augmented VAR model for analyzing US business cycles and monetary policy," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp201, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Huber, Florian & Fischer, Manfred M., 2015. "A Markov switching factor-augmented VAR model for analyzing US business cycles and monetary policy," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 201, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Tomas Adam & Sona Benecka & Jakub Mateju, 2014. "Risk Aversion, Financial Stress and Their Non-Linear Impact on Exchange Rates," Working Papers 2014/07, Czech National Bank.
- Fady Barsoum, 2013. "The Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on a Panel of Stock Market Volatilities: A Factor-Augmented Bayesian VAR Approach," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2013-15, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Randal J. Verbrugge & Saeed Zaman, 2022.
"Improving Inflation Forecasts Using Robust Measures,"
Working Papers
22-23R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 30 May 2023.
- Verbrugge, Randal & Zaman, Saeed, 2024. "Improving inflation forecasts using robust measures," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 735-745.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Huw Pill & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010.
"Non‐Standard Monetary Policy Measures,"
Working Papers ECARES
ECARES 2010-040, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Pill, Huw & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2010. "Non-standard Monetary Policy Measures and Monetary Developments," CEPR Discussion Papers 8125, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Pill, Huw & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2011. "Non-standard monetary policy measures and monetary developments," Working Paper Series 1290, European Central Bank.
- Zeyyad Mandalinci & Haroon Mumtaz, 2019.
"Global Economic Divergence and Portfolio Capital Flows to Emerging Markets,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(6), pages 1713-1730, September.
- Zeyyad Mandalinci & Haroon Mumtaz, 2015. "Global Economic Divergence and Portfolio Capital Flows to Emerging Markets," Working Papers 757, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Carlo Pizzinelli & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Francesco Zanetti, 2018.
"State Dependence in Labor Market Fluctuations: Evidence,Theory, and Policy Implications,"
BCAM Working Papers
1801, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
- Carlo Pizzinelli & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "State Dependence in Labor Market Fluctuations: Evidence, Theory, and Policy Implications," IMES Discussion Paper Series 19-E-03, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
- Pizzinelli, Carlo & Theodoridis, Konstantinos & Zanetti, Francesco, 2018. "State dependence in labor market fluctuations: evidence, theory, and policy implications," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90380, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Carlo Pizzinelli & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Francesco Zanetti, 2018. "State Dependence in Labor Market Fluctuations: Evidence, Theory, and Policy Implications," Discussion Papers 1822, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Francesco Zanetti & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2018. "State Dependence in Labor Market Fluctuations: Evidence, Theory, and Policy Implications," Economics Series Working Papers 856, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Alain Kabundi & Elmarie Nel & Franz Ruch, 2016.
"Nowcasting Real GDP growth in South Africa,"
Working Papers
581, Economic Research Southern Africa.
- Alain Kabundi & Elmarie Nel & Franz Ruch, 2016. "Nowcasting Real GDP growth in South Africa," Working Papers 7068, South African Reserve Bank.
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2016.
"Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 201-215.
- Domenico Giannone & Francesca Monti & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2015. "Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting," Staff Reports 751, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2014. "Exploiting the monthly data-flow in structural forecasting," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 57998, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Domenico Giannone & Francesca Monti & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2014. "Exploiting the monthly data-flow in structural forecasting," Discussion Papers 1416, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti , Francesca & Reichlin , Lucrezia, 2014. "Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting," Bank of England working papers 509, Bank of England.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2021.
"Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession?,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2021s-09, CIRANO.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2021. "Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession?," Working Papers 21-01, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
- Goulet Coulombe, Philippe & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stevanović, Dalibor, 2021. "Can Machine Learning Catch The Covid-19 Recession?," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 256, pages 71-109, April.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2021. "Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession?," Papers 2103.01201, arXiv.org.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stevanovic, Dalibor & Goulet Coulombe, Philippe, 2021. "Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession?," CEPR Discussion Papers 15867, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2007.
"Explaining The Great Moderation: It Is Not The Shocks,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6600, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Explaining the great moderation: it is not the shocks," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/6413, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Explaining The Great Moderation: It Is Not The Shocks," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(2-3), pages 621-633, 04-05.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2008. "Explaining the Great Moderation: it is not the shocks," Working Paper Series 865, European Central Bank.
- Higgins, Patrick & Zha, Tao & Zhong, Wenna, 2016.
"Forecasting China's economic growth and inflation,"
China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 46-61.
- Patrick Higgins & Tao Zha & Karen Zhong, 2016. "Forecasting China's Economic Growth and Inflation," NBER Working Papers 22402, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Patrick C. Higgins & Tao Zha & Karen Zhong, 2016. "Forecasting China's Economic Growth and Inflation," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2016-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Kuhanathan Ano Sujithan & Sanvi Avouyi-Dovi & Lyes Koliai, 2014. "On the determinants of food price volatility," Post-Print hal-01511900, HAL.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris & Pettenuzzo, Davide, 2019.
"Bayesian compressed vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(1), pages 135-154.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2016. "Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 2016_09, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2016. "Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 103R, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School, revised Apr 2016.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2016. "Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 103, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2017. "Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions," Working Paper series 17-32, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Scott Brave & R. Andrew Butters & Alejandro Justiniano, 2016. "Forecasting Economic Activity with Mixed Frequency Bayesian VARs," Working Paper Series WP-2016-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Karlsson, Sune, 2012.
"Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions,"
Working Papers
2012:12, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Karlsson, Sune, 2013. "Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregression," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 791-897, Elsevier.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2020.
"No-Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates,"
Working Papers
20-27, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2021. "No‐arbitrage priors, drifting volatilities, and the term structure of interest rates," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 495-516, August.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2014. "No Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," CEPR Discussion Papers 9848, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Aubrey Poon, 2019.
"Variational Bayesian inference in large Vector Autoregressions with hierarchical shrinkage,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Aubrey Poon, 2019. "Variational Bayesian Inference in Large Vector Autoregressions with Hierarchical Shrinkage," Discussion Papers in Economics 19/05, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Aubrey Poon, 2019. "Variational Bayesian Inference in Large Vector Autoregressions with Hierarchical Shrinkage," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2019-07, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Inske Pirschel & Maik H. Wolters, 2018. "Forecasting with large datasets: compressing information before, during or after the estimation?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 573-596, September.
- Davide Pettenuzzo & Allan Timmermann & Rossen Valkanov, 2013.
"Forecasting Stock Returns under Economic Constraints,"
Working Papers
57, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Pettenuzzo, Davide & Timmermann, Allan & Valkanov, Rossen, 2014. "Forecasting stock returns under economic constraints," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(3), pages 517-553.
- Timmermann, Allan & Pettenuzzo, Davide & Valkanov, Rossen, 2013. "Forecasting Stock Returns under Economic Constraints," CEPR Discussion Papers 9377, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Georgiadis, Georgios, 2017. "To bi, or not to bi? Differences between spillover estimates from bilateral and multilateral multi-country models," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 1-18.
- Luigi Paciello, 2011.
"Does Inflation Adjust Faster to Aggregate Technology Shocks than to Monetary Policy Shocks?,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(8), pages 1663-1684, December.
- Luigi Paciello, 2009. "Does Inflation Adjust Faster to Aggregate Technology Shocks than to Monetary Policy Shocks?," EIEF Working Papers Series 0917, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Apr 2011.
- Luigi Paciello, 2011. "Does Inflation Adjust Faster to Aggregate Technology Shocks than to Monetary Policy Shocks?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(8), pages 1663-1684, December.
- Bjarni G. Einarsson, 2024. "Online Monitoring of Policy Optimality," Economics wp95, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022.
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- Enrique A. López-Enciso, 2017. "Dos tradiciones en la medición del ciclo: historia general y desarrollos en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 986, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Samvel S. Lazaryan & Nikita E. German, 2018. "Forecasting Current GDP Dynamics With Google Search Data," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 6, pages 83-94, December.
- Francisco Corona & Graciela Gonz'alez-Far'ias & Jes'us L'opez-P'erez, 2021. "A nowcasting approach to generate timely estimates of Mexican economic activity: An application to the period of COVID-19," Papers 2101.10383, arXiv.org.
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""Nowcasting and forecasting GDP growth with machine-learning sentiment indicators","
IREA Working Papers
202103, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Feb 2021.
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"Nowcasting The New Turkish Gdp,"
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1702, The Center for Financial Studies (CEFIS), Istanbul Bilgi University.
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CEPR Discussion Papers
6746, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Cited by:
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"A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data,"
Economics Working Papers
ECO2013/02, European University Institute.
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"Nowcasting German GDP: A comparison of bridge and factor models,"
Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 864-878.
- Antipa, P. & Barhoumi, K. & Brunhes-Lesage, V. & Darné, O., 2012. "Nowcasting German GDP: A comparison of bridge and factor models," Working papers 401, Banque de France.
- Raïsa Basselier & David Antonio Liedo & Geert Langenus, 2018. "Nowcasting Real Economic Activity in the Euro Area: Assessing the Impact of Qualitative Surveys," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(1), pages 1-46, April.
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- Marie Bessec, 2013.
"Short‐Term Forecasts of French GDP: A Dynamic Factor Model with Targeted Predictors,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(6), pages 500-511, September.
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"A look into the factor model black box: publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP,"
Working Paper Series
751, European Central Bank.
- Banbura, Marta & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2011. "A look into the factor model black box: Publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 333-346, April.
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"Nowcasting Business Cycles: a Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2015-66, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 30(3), pages 1-22, September.
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"Short-Term GDP Forecasting With a Mixed-Frequency Dynamic Factor Model With Stochastic Volatility,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1), pages 118-127, January.
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"Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets – A pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise,"
Working Paper Research
133, National Bank of Belgium.
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- Barhoumi, K. & Rünstler, G. & Cristadoro, R. & Den Reijer, A. & Jakaitiene, A. & Jelonek, P. & Rua, A. & Ruth, K. & Benk, S. & Van Nieuwenhuyze, C., 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Working papers 215, Banque de France.
- Van Nieuwenhuyze, Christophe & Benk, Szilard & Rünstler, Gerhard & Cristadoro, Riccardo & Den Reijer, Ard & Jakaitiene, Audrone & Jelonek, Piotr & Rua, António & Ruth, Karsten & Barhoumi, Karim, 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Occasional Paper Series 84, European Central Bank.
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"On the design of data sets for forecasting with dynamic factor models,"
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"Combined Density Nowcasting in an Uncertain Economic Environment,"
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- Knut Are Aastveit & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2018. "Combined Density Nowcasting in an Uncertain Economic Environment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1), pages 131-145, January.
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- Jokubaitis, Saulius & Celov, Dmitrij & Leipus, Remigijus, 2021. "Sparse structures with LASSO through principal components: Forecasting GDP components in the short-run," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 759-776.
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2016.
"Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 201-215.
- Domenico Giannone & Francesca Monti & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2015. "Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting," Staff Reports 751, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2014. "Exploiting the monthly data-flow in structural forecasting," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 57998, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Domenico Giannone & Francesca Monti & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2014. "Exploiting the monthly data-flow in structural forecasting," Discussion Papers 1416, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti , Francesca & Reichlin , Lucrezia, 2014. "Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting," Bank of England working papers 509, Bank of England.
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- Katja Heinisch & Rolf Scheufele, 2018. "Bottom-up or direct? Forecasting German GDP in a data-rich environment," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 705-745, March.
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"MICA-BBVA: A Factor Model of Economic and Financial Indicators for Short-term GDP Forecasting,"
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1021, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
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- Robert Lehmann & Ida Wikman, 2023. "Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States: New Data for Business Cycle Analyses and Long-Run Dynamics," CESifo Working Paper Series 10280, CESifo.
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Working Papers ECARES
ECARES 2012-023, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Conflitti, Cristina & De Mol, Christine & Giannone, Domenico, 2015. "Optimal combination of survey forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1096-1103.
- Giannone, Domenico & De Mol, Christine & Conflitti, Cristina, 2012. "Optimal Combination of Survey Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 9096, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mayr, Johannes, 2010. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Aggregates," Munich Dissertations in Economics 11140, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Jianqing Fan & Jingjin Zhang & Ke Yu, 2008. "Asset Allocation and Risk Assessment with Gross Exposure Constraints for Vast Portfolios," Papers 0812.2604, arXiv.org.
- Oliver Hülsewig & Johannes Mayr & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2008. "Forecasting Euro Area Real GDP: Optimal Pooling of Information," CESifo Working Paper Series 2371, CESifo.
- Fan, Jianqing & Liao, Yuan & Shi, Xiaofeng, 2015.
"Risks of large portfolios,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 186(2), pages 367-387.
- Jianqing Fan & Yuan Liao & Xiaofeng Shi, 2013. "Risks of Large Portfolios," Papers 1302.0926, arXiv.org.
- Fan, Jianqing & Liao, Yuan & Shi, Xiaofeng, 2013. "Risks of large portfolios," MPRA Paper 44206, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Xiu, Dacheng, 2017. "Using principal component analysis to estimate a high dimensional factor model with high-frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 384-399.
- Fabio Caccioli & Imre Kondor & Matteo Marsili & Susanne Still, 2014. "$L_p$ regularized portfolio optimization," Papers 1404.4040, arXiv.org.
- Philipp J. Kremer & Sangkyun Lee & Malgorzata Bogdan & Sandra Paterlini, 2017. "Sparse Portfolio Selection via the sorted $\ell_{1}$-Norm," Papers 1710.02435, arXiv.org.
- Philipp J. Kremer & Andreea Talmaciu & Sandra Paterlini, 2018. "Risk minimization in multi-factor portfolios: What is the best strategy?," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 266(1), pages 255-291, July.
- Daniel Kinn, 2018. "Reducing Estimation Risk in Mean-Variance Portfolios with Machine Learning," Papers 1804.01764, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2018.
- Enzo Busseti & Fabrizio Lillo, 2012. "Calibration of optimal execution of financial transactions in the presence of transient market impact," Papers 1206.0682, arXiv.org.
- Imre Kondor & G'abor Papp & Fabio Caccioli, 2017. "Analytic approach to variance optimization under an $\ell_1$ constraint," Papers 1709.08755, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2018.
- Qing Yang & Zhenning Hong & Ruyan Tian & Tingting Ye & Liangliang Zhang, 2020.
"Asset Allocation via Machine Learning and Applications to Equity Portfolio Management,"
Papers
2011.00572, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
- Zhenning Hong & Ruyan Tian & Qing Yang & Weiliang Yao & Tingting Ye & Liangliang Zhang, 2021. "Asset Allocation via Machine Learning," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 10(4), pages 1-34, November.
- Caihua Chen & Xindan Li & Caleb Tolman & Suyang Wang & Yinyu Ye, 2013. "Sparse Portfolio Selection via Quasi-Norm Regularization," Papers 1312.6350, arXiv.org.
- Imre Kondor, 2014. "Estimation Error of Expected Shortfall," Papers 1402.5534, arXiv.org.
- Serge Darolles & Christian Gouriéroux & Emmanuelle Jay, 2012. "Robust Portfolio Allocation with Systematic Risk Contribution Restrictions," Working Papers 2012-35, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Mr. Jorge A Chan-Lau, 2017. "Lasso Regressions and Forecasting Models in Applied Stress Testing," IMF Working Papers 2017/108, International Monetary Fund.
- Akiko Takeda & Mahesan Niranjan & Jun-ya Gotoh & Yoshinobu Kawahara, 2013. "Simultaneous pursuit of out-of-sample performance and sparsity in index tracking portfolios," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 21-49, February.
- Björn Fastrich & Peter Winker, 2014. "Combining Forecasts with Missing Data: Making Use of Portfolio Theory," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 44(2), pages 127-152, August.
- Yu-Min Yen, 2010. "A Note on Sparse Minimum Variance Portfolios and Coordinate-Wise Descent Algorithms," Papers 1005.5082, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2013.
- Margherita Giuzio & Kay Eichhorn-Schott & Sandra Paterlini & Vincent Weber, 2018. "Tracking hedge funds returns using sparse clones," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 266(1), pages 349-371, July.
- Bjoern Fastrich & Sandra Paterlini & Peter Winker, 2011.
"Cardinality versus q-Norm Constraints for Index Tracking,"
Center for Economic Research (RECent)
056, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Bjöern Fastrich & Sandra Paterlini & Peter Winker, 2011. "Cardinality versus q-Norm Constraints for Index Tracking," Department of Economics 0642, University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Bj�rn Fastrich & Sandra Paterlini & Peter Winker, 2014. "Cardinality versus q -norm constraints for index tracking," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(11), pages 2019-2032, November.
- Yu Zheng & Timothy M. Hospedales & Yongxin Yang, 2018. "Diversity and Sparsity: A New Perspective on Index Tracking," Papers 1809.01989, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
- Briec, Walter & Kerstens, Kristiaan & Van de Woestyne, Ignace, 2011. "Portfolio Selection with Skewness: A Comparison and a Generalized Two Fund Separation Result," Working Papers 2011/09, Hogeschool-Universiteit Brussel, Faculteit Economie en Management.
- Jun-ya Gotoh & Akiko Takeda & Rei Yamamoto, 2014. "Interaction between financial risk measures and machine learning methods," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 11(4), pages 365-402, October.
- Mian Huang & Shangbing Yu & Weixin Yao, 2022. "Regularized Factor Portfolio for Cross-sectional Multifactor Models," Sankhya A: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 84(2), pages 427-449, August.
- Oikonomou, Ioannis & Platanakis, Emmanouil & Sutcliffe, Charles, 2018. "Socially responsible investment portfolios: Does the optimization process matter?," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(4), pages 379-401.
- Yen, Yu-Min & Yen, Tso-Jung, 2014. "Solving norm constrained portfolio optimization via coordinate-wise descent algorithms," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 737-759.
- Carlos Castro, 2010. "Portfolio choice under local industry and country factors," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 24(4), pages 353-393, December.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta, 2007.
"Bayesian VARs with Large Panels,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6326, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marta Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Large Bayesian vector auto regressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 71-92.
- Domenico Giannone & Martha Banbura & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Large Bayesian vector auto regressions," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/13388, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Large Bayesian VARs," Working Papers ECARES 2008_033, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Marta Bańbura, 2008. "Large Bayesian VARs," 2008 Meeting Papers 334, Society for Economic Dynamics.
Cited by:
- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2016.
"Dynamic Predictive Density Combinations for Large Data Sets in Economics and Finance,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
15-084/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 03 Jul 2017.
- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2015. "Dynamic predictive density combinations for large data sets in economics and finance," Working Paper 2015/12, Norges Bank.
- Fuentes-Albero, Cristina & Melosi, Leonardo, 2013.
"Methods for computing marginal data densities from the Gibbs output,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 175(2), pages 132-141.
- Cristina Fuentes-Albero & Leonardo Melosi, 2011. "Methods for Computing Marginal Data Densities from the Gibbs Output," Departmental Working Papers 201131, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo, 2017.
"News Shocks and the Slope of the Term Structure of Interest Rates : Comment,"
EMF Research Papers
15, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia, 2017. "News Shocks and the Slope of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(10), pages 3243-3249, October.
- Olga Korotkikh, 2020. "A Multi-Country BVAR Model for the External Sector," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 79(4), pages 98-112, December.
- Daniel Hopp, 2022. "Benchmarking Econometric and Machine Learning Methodologies in Nowcasting," Papers 2205.03318, arXiv.org.
- Nathan Bedock & Dalibor Stevanović, 2017.
"An empirical study of credit shock transmission in a small open economy,"
Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 50(2), pages 541-570, May.
- Nathan Bedock & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2017. "An empirical study of credit shock transmission in a small open economy," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 50(2), pages 541-570, May.
- Nathan Bedock & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2012. "An Empirical Study of Credit Shock Transmission in a Small Open Economy," CIRANO Working Papers 2012s-16, CIRANO.
- Lombardi, Marco J. & Osbat, Chiara & Schnatz, Bernd, 2010.
"Global commodity cycles and linkages a FAVAR approach,"
Working Paper Series
1170, European Central Bank.
- Marco Lombardi & Chiara Osbat & Bernd Schnatz, 2012. "Global commodity cycles and linkages: a FAVAR approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 43(2), pages 651-670, October.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2016.
"Model uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive models,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 115-131.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014. "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," MPRA Paper 58131, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014. "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," SIRE Discussion Papers 2014-011, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2015. "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Paper series 15-35, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Model uncertainty in panel vector autoregressive models," Working Papers 2014_10, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Paper series 39_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Model uncertainty in panel vector autoregressive models," Working Papers 1408, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Vasilios Plakandaras & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019.
"The role of housing sentiment in forecasting U.S. home sales growth: evidence from a Bayesian compressed vector autoregressive model,"
Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 2554-2567, January.
- Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Vasilios Plakandaras & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "The Role of Housing Sentiment in Forecasting US Home Sales Growth: Evidence from a Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201842, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Gian Paulo Soave, 2023. "A panel threshold VAR with stochastic volatility-in-mean model: an application to the effects of financial and uncertainty shocks in emerging economies," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(4), pages 397-431, January.
- Haroon Mumtaz & Ahmed Pirzada & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2018. "Non-linear effects of oil shocks on stock prices," Working Papers 865, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Masud Alam, 2021. "Heterogeneous Responses to the U.S. Narrative Tax Changes: Evidence from the U.S. States," Papers 2107.13678, arXiv.org.
- Mehmet Balcilar & NICO KATZKE & Rangan Gupta, 2015.
"Do Precious Metal Prices Help in Forecasting South African Inflation?,"
Working Papers
15-05, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Nico Katzke & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Do Precious Metal Prices Help in Forecasting South African Inflation?," Working Papers 201510, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Nico Katzke & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Do Precious Metal Prices Help in Forecasting South African Inflation?," Working Papers 03/2015, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Katzke, Nico & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Do precious metal prices help in forecasting South African inflation?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 63-72.
- Tomáš Slacík & Katharina Steiner & Julia Wörz, 2014. "Can Trade Partners Help Better FORCEE the Future? Impact of Trade Linkages on Economic Growth Forecasts in Selected CESEE Countries," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 36-56.
- Romero, José Vicente & Vargas, Hernando & Cardozo, Pamela & Murcia, Andrés, 2021.
"How foreign participation in the Colombian local public debt market has influenced domestic financial conditions,"
Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 2(4).
- José Vicente Romero & Hernando Vargas & Pamela Cardozo & Andrés Murcia, 2020. "How foreign participation in the Colombian local public debt market has influenced domestic financial conditions," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Financial market development, monetary policy and financial stability in emerging market economies, volume 113, pages 83-119, Bank for International Settlements.
- Eva F. Janssens & Robin L. Lumsdaine, 2024. "Sectoral slowdowns in the United Kingdom: Evidence from transmission probabilities and economic linkages," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 22-40, January.
- Ching-Wai (Jeremy) Chiu & Haroon Mumtaz & Gabor Pinter, 2014. "Fat-tails in VAR Models," Working Papers 714, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Mike Tsionas & Marwan Izzeldin & Lorenzo Trapani, 2019. "Bayesian estimation of large dimensional time varying VARs using copulas," Papers 1912.12527, arXiv.org.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015.
"Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility,"
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 178(4), pages 837-862, October.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2012. "Real-time nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility," Working Papers (Old Series) 1227, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2013. "Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model with Stochastic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 9312, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021.
"Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?,"
Working Paper Series
2604, European Central Bank.
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-León, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?," Discussion Papers 48/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Marta Bañbura & Danilo Leiva-León & Jan-Oliver Menz, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation Forecasts?," Working Papers 2138, Banco de España.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2016.
"Reconciling output gaps: unobserved components model and Hodrick-Prescott filter,"
CAMA Working Papers
2016-44, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Grant, Angelia L. & Chan, Joshua C.C., 2017. "Reconciling output gaps: Unobserved components model and Hodrick–Prescott filter," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 114-121.
- Kastner, Gregor, 2019.
"Sparse Bayesian time-varying covariance estimation in many dimensions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(1), pages 98-115.
- Gregor Kastner, 2016. "Sparse Bayesian time-varying covariance estimation in many dimensions," Papers 1608.08468, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2017.
- Andres–Escayola, Erik & Berganza, Juan Carlos & Campos, Rodolfo G. & Molina, Luis, 2023.
"A BVAR toolkit to assess macrofinancial risks in Brazil and Mexico,"
Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(1).
- Erik Andres-Escayola & Juan Carlos Berganza & Rodolfo Campos & Luis Molina, 2021. "A BVAR toolkit to assess macrofinancial risks in Brazil and Mexico," Occasional Papers 2114, Banco de España.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019.
"Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different,"
SciencePo Working papers Main
hal-03403269, HAL.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Caruso, Alberto & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Financial and Fiscal Interaction in the Euro Area Crisis: This Time was Different," CEPR Discussion Papers 13016, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," Post-Print hal-03403613, HAL.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different," Sciences Po publications 11, Sciences Po.
- Caruso, Alberto & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Financial and Fiscal Interaction in the Euro Area Crisis : This Time was Different," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1167, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Albert Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis : this time was different," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2019-11, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/4u5amfvji89, Sciences Po.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03403613, HAL.
- Caruso, Alberto & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 333-355.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different," Working Papers hal-03403269, HAL.
- Jonas Dovern & Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber, 2015.
"Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR,"
Working Papers
200, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
- Dovern, Jonas & Feldkircher, Martin & Huber, Florian, 2016. "Does joint modelling of the world economy pay off? Evaluating global forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 86-100.
- Dovern, Jonas & Feldkircher, Martin & Huber , Florian, 2015. "Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR," Working Papers 0590, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
- Leonardo Nogueira Ferreira & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2023.
"Bayesian Local Projections,"
Working Papers Series
581, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2021. "Bayesian local projections," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03373574, HAL.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2021. "Bayesian Local Projections," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1348, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2021. "Bayesian local projections," Working Papers hal-03373574, HAL.
- Leonardo N. Ferreira & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2023. "Bayesian Local Projections," Working Papers 2023-04, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2017.
"Common and country specific economic uncertainty,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 205-216.
- Haroon Mumtaz & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2015. "Common and Country Specific Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers 752, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Christian Grimme, 2019.
"Uncertainty and the Cost of Bank vs. Bond Finance,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
7456, CESifo.
- Grimme, Christian, 2017. "Uncertainty and the Cost of Bank vs. Bond Finance," MPRA Paper 79852, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2014.
"Estimating point and density forecasts for the US economy with a factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE model,"
Open Access publications
10197/7588, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Bekiros Stelios & Paccagnini Alessia, 2015. "Estimating point and density forecasts for the US economy with a factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE model," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(2), pages 107-136, April.
- Battulga Gankhuu, 2023. "Parameter Estimation Methods of Required Rate of Return," Papers 2305.19708, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
- Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotze & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2022.
"Big data forecasting of South African inflation,"
School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series
2022-03, School of Economics, University of Cape Town.
- Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotz & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," Working Papers 11022, South African Reserve Bank.
- Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotzé & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2023. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 149-188, July.
- Byron Botha & Kevin Kotze & Neil Rankin & Rulof P. Burger, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," Working Papers 873, Economic Research Southern Africa.
- Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2021.
"Subspace Shrinkage in Conjugate Bayesian Vector Autoregressions,"
Papers
2107.07804, arXiv.org.
- Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2023. "Subspace shrinkage in conjugate Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 556-576, June.
- Koop, G & Korobilis, D, 2018.
"Forecasting with High-Dimensional Panel VARs,"
Essex Finance Centre Working Papers
21329, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2015. "Forecasting with High-Dimensional Panel VARs," MPRA Paper 84275, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 31 Jan 2018.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2019. "Forecasting with High‐Dimensional Panel VARs," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(5), pages 937-959, October.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2018. "Forecasting with High-Dimensional Panel VARs," Working Paper series 18-20, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2015. "Forecasting With High Dimensional Panel VARs," Working Papers 2015_25, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Gianluca Cafiso, 2022. "Loans to Different Groups and Economic Activity at Times of Crisis and Growth," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(3), pages 594-623, June.
- Georgios Georgiadis, 2016. "To bi, or not to bi? Differences in Spillover Estimates from Bilateral and Multilateral Multi-country Models," EcoMod2016 9145, EcoMod.
- Haroon Mumtaz & Alexandra Solovyeva & Elena Vasilieva, 2012. "Asset prices, credit and the Russian economy," Joint Research Papers 1, Centre for Central Banking Studies, Bank of England.
- Bonciani, Dario & van Roye, Björn, 2015.
"Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions and economic activity,"
Working Paper Series
1825, European Central Bank.
- Bonciani, Dario & Roye, Björn van, 2016. "Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions and economic activity," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 200-219.
- Bonciani, Dario & van Roye, Björn, 2013. "Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions, and economic activity," Kiel Working Papers 1843, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2015. "Was the recent downturn in US real GDP predictable?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(28), pages 2985-3007, June.
- Kilian, Lutz & Lewis, Logan, 2009.
"Does the Fed Respond to Oil Price Shocks?,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7594, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lutz Kilian & Logan T. Lewis, 2011. "Does the Fed Respond to Oil Price Shocks?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 121(555), pages 1047-1072, September.
- Huber, Florian, 2016. "Density forecasting using Bayesian global vector autoregressions with stochastic volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 818-837.
- Marcus P. A. Cobb, 2020. "Aggregate density forecasting from disaggregate components using Bayesian VARs," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 287-312, January.
- Barnett, Alina & Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2014.
"Forecasting UK GDP growth and inflation under structural change. A comparison of models with time-varying parameters,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 129-143.
- Barnett, Alina & Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2012. "Forecasting UK GDP growth, inflation and interest rates under structural change: a comparison of models with time-varying parameters," Bank of England working papers 450, Bank of England.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2020.
"Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 934-943, September.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation," CAMA Working Papers 2019-46, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Martin Mandler & Michael Scharnagl & Ute Volz, 2022.
"Heterogeneity in Euro Area Monetary Policy Transmission: Results from a Large Multicountry BVAR Model,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(2-3), pages 627-649, March.
- Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael & Volz, Ute, 2016. "Heterogeneity in euro-area monetary policy transmission: Results from a large multi-country BVAR model," Discussion Papers 03/2016, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Scharnagl, Michael & Mandler, Martin & Volz, Ute, 2016. "Heterogeneity in euro area monetary policy transmission: results from a large multi-country BVAR model," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145847, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Zeyyad Mandalinci, 2015.
"Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Markets: An Evaluation of Alternative Models,"
CReMFi Discussion Papers
3, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL.
- Mandalinci, Zeyyad, 2017. "Forecasting inflation in emerging markets: An evaluation of alternative models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 1082-1104.
- Öğünç, Fethi & Akdoğan, Kurmaş & Başer, Selen & Chadwick, Meltem Gülenay & Ertuğ, Dilara & Hülagü, Timur & Kösem, Sevim & Özmen, Mustafa Utku & Tekatlı, Necati, 2013.
"Short-term inflation forecasting models for Turkey and a forecast combination analysis,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 312-325.
- Kurmas Akdogan & Selen Baser & Meltem Gulenay Chadwick & Dilara Ertug & Timur Hulagu & Sevim Kosem & Fethi Ogunc & M. Utku Ozmen & Necati Tekatli, 2012. "Short-Term Inflation Forecasting Models For Turkey and a Forecast Combination Analysis," Working Papers 1209, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Marek Jarociński & Bartosz Maćkowiak, 2017.
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"Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling,"
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"The pass-through effect: a twofold analysis,"
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IMFS Working Paper Series
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"Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 100(5), pages 799-815, December.
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"The European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England: Is the Taylor Rule a useful benchmark for the last decade?,"
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"Business cycles in the euro area,"
Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 8, pages 5-7.
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"A Review of Nonfundamentalness and Identification in Structural VAR Models,"
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- Claudia M. Buch, 2008. "The Great Risk Shift? Income Volatility in an International Perspective," CESifo Working Paper Series 2465, CESifo.
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- Philippe Jolivaldt & Ibrahim Ahamada, 2010. "Filtres usuels et filtre fondé sur les ondelettes : étude comparative et application au cycle économique," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 195(4), pages 149-161.
- Forte, Antonio, 2009. "The stability of the inflation rate in the Euro area: the role of Globalization and labour market," MPRA Paper 16587, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Norhana Endut & James Morley & Pao-Lin Tien, 2015.
"The Changing Transmission Mechanism of U.S. Monetary Policy,"
Discussion Papers
2015-03, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
- Norhana Endut & James Morley & Pao-Lin Tien, 2018. "The changing transmission mechanism of US monetary policy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 959-987, May.
- João Valle e Azevedo, 2013. "Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Low-Frequency Filters," Working Papers w201301, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Alina Carare & Ashoka Mody, 2012. "Spillovers of Domestic Shocks: Will They Counteract the ‘Great Moderation’?," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(1), pages 69-97, April.
- Altavilla, Carlo & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2010. "Evaluating the effect of monetary policy on unemployment with alternative inflation forecasts," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 237-253, January.
- David Marqués Ibañez, 2009. "Banks, credit and the transmission mechanism of monetary policy," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 8, pages 2-4.
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- Jambu, Marc-Antoine, 2010. "Has the Globalisation really generated more competition in OECD economies," MPRA Paper 19974, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Herwartz, Helmut & Rohloff, Hannes & Wang, Shu, 2022. "Proxy SVAR identification of monetary policy shocks - Monte Carlo evidence and insights for the US," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
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"A Two-Step Estimator for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models Based on Kalman Filtering,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6043, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2011. "A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," Post-Print hal-00638009, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2011. "A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00638009, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2011. "A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," Post-Print hal-00844811, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2011. "A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-00638009, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2006. "A Two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," THEMA Working Papers 2006-23, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
Cited by:
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"A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data,"
Economics Working Papers
ECO2013/02, European University Institute.
- Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2013. "A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data," Working Paper 2013/06, Norges Bank.
- Romain Houssa & Jolan Mohimont & Mr. Christopher Otrok, 2015.
"The Sources of Business Cycles in a Low Income Country,"
IMF Working Papers
2015/040, International Monetary Fund.
- Romain Houssa & Jolan Mohimont & Christopher Otrok, 2015. "Sources of Business Cycles in a Low Income Country," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(1), pages 125-148, February.
- Leu, Shawn C.-Y. & Robertson, Mari L., 2021. "Mortgage credit volumes and monetary policy after the Great Recession," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 483-500.
- Oxana Babecka Kucharcukova & Jan Bruha, 2016. "Nowcasting the Czech Trade Balance," Working Papers 2016/11, Czech National Bank.
- Delle Chiaie, Simona & Ferrara, Laurent & Giannone, Domenico, 2018.
"Common factors of commodity prices,"
Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 51.
- Simona Delle Chiaie & Laurent Ferrara & Domenico Giannone, 2022. "Common factors of commodity prices," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 461-476, April.
- Delle Chiaie, Simona & Ferrara, Laurent & Giannone, Domenico, 2017. "Common factors of commodity prices," Working Paper Series 2112, European Central Bank.
- Giannone, Domenico & Ferrara, Laurent & Delle Chiaie, Simona, 2018. "Common Factors of Commodity Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 12767, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- S. Delle Chiaie & L. Ferrara & D. Giannone, 2017. "Common Factors of Commodity Prices," Working papers 645, Banque de France.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Small, David, 2008.
"Nowcasting: The real-time informational content of macroeconomic data,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(4), pages 665-676, May.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Small, David, 2005. "Nowcasting GDP and Inflation: The Real Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases," CEPR Discussion Papers 5178, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & David H Small, 2007. "Nowcasting GDP and Inflation: The Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 164, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & David H. Small, 2005. "Nowcasting GDP and inflation: the real-time informational content of macroeconomic data releases," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2005-42, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Mr. Troy D Matheson, 2013. "The Global Financial Crisis: An Anatomy of Global Growth," IMF Working Papers 2013/076, International Monetary Fund.
- Monokroussos, George, 2015.
"Nowcasting in Real Time Using Popularity Priors,"
MPRA Paper
68594, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Monokroussos, George & Zhao, Yongchen, 2020. "Nowcasting in real time using popularity priors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1173-1180.
- George Monokroussos & Yongchen Zhao, 2020. "Nowcasting in Real Time Using Popularity Priors," Working Papers 2020-01, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2020.
- Kuzin, Vladimir N. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2009.
"Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: an application to German GDP,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2009,03, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Schumacher, Christian & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kuzin, Vladimir, 2009. "Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: An application to German GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 7197, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Vladimir Kuzin & Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2009. "Pooling versus Model Selection for Nowcasting with Many Predictors: An Application to German GDP," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/13, European University Institute.
- Robert Lehmann, 2016. "Economic Growth and Business Cycle Forecasting at the Regional Level," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 65.
- Lamprou, Dimitra, 2016. "Nowcasting GDP in Greece: The impact of data revisions and forecast origin on model selection and performance," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 14(PA), pages 93-102.
- Antipa, Pamfili & Barhoumi, Karim & Brunhes-Lesage, Véronique & Darné, Olivier, 2012.
"Nowcasting German GDP: A comparison of bridge and factor models,"
Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 864-878.
- Antipa, P. & Barhoumi, K. & Brunhes-Lesage, V. & Darné, O., 2012. "Nowcasting German GDP: A comparison of bridge and factor models," Working papers 401, Banque de France.
- Germán López, 2015. "Forecast Accuracy of Small and Large Scale Dynamic Factor Models in Developing Economies," Working Papers. Serie AD 2015-03, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
- Chiara Casoli & Riccardo (Jack) Lucchetti, 2022.
"Permanent-Transitory decomposition of cointegrated time series via dynamic factor models, with an application to commodity prices [Commodity-price comovement and global economic activity],"
The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 25(2), pages 494-514.
- Chiara Casoli & Riccardo (Jack) Lucchetti, 2021. "Permanent-Transitory decomposition of cointegrated time series via Dynamic Factor Models, with an application to commodity prices," Working Papers 2021.19, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Casoli, Chiara & Lucchetti, Riccardo (Jack), 2021. "Permanent-Transitory decomposition of cointegrated time series via Dynamic Factor Models, with an application to commodity prices," FEEM Working Papers 312367, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Pegoraro, F. & Siegel, A. F. & Tiozzo Pezzoli, L., 2014. "Specification Analysis of International Treasury Yield Curve Factors," Working papers 490, Banque de France.
- Miranda Gualdrón, Karen Alejandra & Poncela, Pilar & Ruiz Ortega, Esther, 2021. "Dynamic factor models: does the specification matter?," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 32210, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Breitung, Jörg & Eickmeier, Sandra, 2011.
"Testing for structural breaks in dynamic factor models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 163(1), pages 71-84, July.
- Breitung, Jörg & Eickmeier, Sandra, 2009. "Testing for structural breaks in dynamic factor models," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2009,05, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Heather D. Gibson & Stephen G. Hall & George S. Tavlas, 2020.
"A Suggestion for a Dynamic Multi Factor Model (DMFM),"
Working Papers
282, Bank of Greece.
- Gibson, Heather D. & Hall, Stephen G. & Tavlas, George S., 2022. "A Suggestion For A Dynamic Multifactor Model (Dmfm)," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(6), pages 1423-1443, September.
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"Micro vs macro explanations of post-war US unemployment movements,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 106(2), pages 87-91, February.
- Chris Heaton & Paul Oslington, 2006. "Micro Vs Macro Explanations of Post-War US Unemployment Movements," Research Papers 0604, Macquarie University, Department of Economics.
- Jack Fosten, 2016.
"Model selection with factors and variables,"
University of East Anglia School of Economics Working Paper Series
2016-07, School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
- Jack Fosten, 2017. "Model selection with estimated factors and idiosyncratic components," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(6), pages 1087-1106, September.
- Aßmann, Christian & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Pape, Markus, 2012.
"The directional identification problem in Bayesian factor analysis: An ex-post approach,"
Economics Working Papers
2012-11, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Pape, Markus & Aßmann, Christian & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, 2013. "The Directional Identification Problem in Bayesian Factor Analysis: An Ex-Post Approach," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79990, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Aßmann, Christian & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Pape, Markus, 2012. "The directional identification problem in Bayesian factor analysis: An ex-post approach," Kiel Working Papers 1799, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Doz, Catherine & Giannone, Domenico, 2006.
"A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5724, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers ECARES 2008_034, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," Post-Print hal-00638440, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi–Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1014-1024, November.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00638440, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-00638440, HAL.
- Doz, Catherine & Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2006. "A quasi maximum likelihood approach for large approximate dynamic factor models," Working Paper Series 674, European Central Bank.
- Caruso, Alberto, 2018. "Nowcasting with the help of foreign indicators: The case of Mexico," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 160-168.
- Mengheng Li & Marcel Scharth, 2022.
"Leverage, Asymmetry, and Heavy Tails in the High-Dimensional Factor Stochastic Volatility Model,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 285-301, January.
- Mengheng Li & Marcel Scharth, 2018. "Leverage, asymmetry and heavy tails in the high-dimensional factor stochastic volatility model," Working Paper Series 49, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Cristea, R. G., 2020. "Can Alternative Data Improve the Accuracy of Dynamic Factor Model Nowcasts?," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20108, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Irma Hindrayanto & Siem Jan Koopman & Jasper de Winter, 2014. "Nowcasting and Forecasting Economic Growth in the Euro Area using Principal Components," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-113/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Conefrey, Thomas & Liebermann, Joelle, 2013. "A Monthly Business Cycle Indicator for Ireland," Economic Letters 03/EL/13, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Claudio Morana, 2010. "Heteroskedastic Factor Vector Autoregressive Estimation of Persistent and Non Persistent Processes Subject to Structural Breaks," ICER Working Papers - Applied Mathematics Series 36-2010, ICER - International Centre for Economic Research.
- Marie Bessec, 2013.
"Short‐Term Forecasts of French GDP: A Dynamic Factor Model with Targeted Predictors,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(6), pages 500-511, September.
- Marie Bessec, 2013. "Short-term forecasts of French GDP: A dynamic factor model with targeted predictors," Post-Print hal-01515605, HAL.
- Bessec, M., 2012. "Short-term forecasts of French GDP: a dynamic factor model with targeted predictors," Working papers 409, Banque de France.
- Öğünç, Fethi & Akdoğan, Kurmaş & Başer, Selen & Chadwick, Meltem Gülenay & Ertuğ, Dilara & Hülagü, Timur & Kösem, Sevim & Özmen, Mustafa Utku & Tekatlı, Necati, 2013.
"Short-term inflation forecasting models for Turkey and a forecast combination analysis,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 312-325.
- Kurmas Akdogan & Selen Baser & Meltem Gulenay Chadwick & Dilara Ertug & Timur Hulagu & Sevim Kosem & Fethi Ogunc & M. Utku Ozmen & Necati Tekatli, 2012. "Short-Term Inflation Forecasting Models For Turkey and a Forecast Combination Analysis," Working Papers 1209, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Rünstler, Gerhard & Bańbura, Marta, 2007.
"A look into the factor model black box: publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP,"
Working Paper Series
751, European Central Bank.
- Banbura, Marta & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2011. "A look into the factor model black box: Publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 333-346, April.
- Bańbura, Marta & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2011. "A look into the factor model black box: Publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 333-346.
- Barış Soybilgen, 2020. "Identifying US business cycle regimes using dynamic factors and neural network models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 827-840, August.
- Donato Ceci & Andrea Silvestrini, 2023.
"Nowcasting the state of the Italian economy: The role of financial markets,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1569-1593, November.
- Donato Ceci & Andrea Silvestrini, 2022. "Nowcasting the state of the Italian economy: the role of financial markets," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1362, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, 2012.
"Die Zinslast des Bundes in der Schuldenkrise: Wie lukrativ ist der „sichere Hafen“?,"
Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 13, pages 81-91, May.
- Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, 2012. "Die Zinslast des Bundes in der Schuldenkrise: Wie lukrativ ist der 'sichere Hafen'?," Kiel Working Papers 1780, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Sivec, Vasja, 2016.
"Monetary, fiscal and oil shocks: Evidence based on mixed frequency structural FAVARs,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(2), pages 335-348.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Sivec, Vasja, 2015. "Monetary, Fiscal and Oil Shocks: Evidence based on Mixed Frequency Structural FAVARs," CEPR Discussion Papers 10610, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Bragoli, Daniela & Modugno, Michele, 2017.
"A now-casting model for Canada: Do U.S. variables matter?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 786-800.
- Daniela Bragoli & Michele Modugno, 2016. "A Nowcasting Model for Canada: Do U.S. Variables Matter?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-036, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Pacicco, Fausto & Serati, Massimiliano & Venegoni, Andrea, 2022. "The Euro Area credit crunch conundrum: Was it demand or supply driven?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
- Mikkel Bennedsen & Eric Hillebrand & Siem Jan Koopman, 2019.
"Modeling, Forecasting, and Nowcasting U.S. CO2 Emissions Using Many Macroeconomic Predictors,"
CREATES Research Papers
2019-21, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Bennedsen, Mikkel & Hillebrand, Eric & Koopman, Siem Jan, 2021. "Modeling, forecasting, and nowcasting U.S. CO2 emissions using many macroeconomic predictors," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
- Claudio Morana, 2014. "Factor Vector Autoregressive Estimation of Heteroskedastic Persistent and Non Persistent Processes Subject to Structural Breaks," Working Papers 273, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised May 2014.
- Matheson, Troy D., 2010.
"An analysis of the informational content of New Zealand data releases: The importance of business opinion surveys,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 304-314, January.
- Troy Matheson, 2007. "An analysis of the informational content of New Zealand data releases: the importance of business opinion surveys," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2007/13, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2009.
"GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data : A semi-parametric modelling,"
Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers)
halshs-00344839, HAL.
- Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2010. "GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: a semi-parametric modeling," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00460461, HAL.
- Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2008. "GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: A semi-parametric modelling," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne b08082, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Nov 2009.
- Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2010. "GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: a semi-parametric modeling," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-00460461, HAL.
- Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guégan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2010. "GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: a semi-parametric modeling," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1-2), pages 186-199.
- Gorgi, Paolo & Koopman, Siem Jan & Li, Mengheng, 2019.
"Forecasting economic time series using score-driven dynamic models with mixed-data sampling,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1735-1747.
- Paolo Gorgi & Siem Jan (S.J.) Koopman & Mengheng Li, 2018. "Forecasting economic time series using score-driven dynamic models with mixed-data sampling," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-026/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Catherine Doz & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2011.
"A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering,"
Post-Print
hal-00844811, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2006. "A Two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," THEMA Working Papers 2006-23, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2011. "A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," Post-Print hal-00638009, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2011. "A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00638009, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2011. "A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-00638009, HAL.
- Doz, Catherine & Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2011. "A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 188-205, September.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Doz, Catherine & Giannone, Domenico, 2007. "A Two-Step Estimator for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models Based on Kalman Filtering," CEPR Discussion Papers 6043, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels & Andros Kourtellos, 2010.
"Should macroeconomic forecasters use daily financial data and how?,"
University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics
09-2010, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
- Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels & Andros Kourtellos, 2013. "Should Macroeconomic Forecasters Use Daily Financial Data and How?," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(2), pages 240-251, April.
- Eric Ghysels & Andros Kourtellos & Elena Andreou, 2012. "Should macroeconomic forecasters use daily financial data and how?," 2012 Meeting Papers 1196, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels & Andros Kourtellos, 2010. "Should Macroeconomic Forecasters Use Daily Financial Data and How?," Working Paper series 42_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Geert Mesters, 2014.
"Empirical Bayes Methods for Dynamic Factor Models,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
14-061/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- S. J. Koopman & G. Mesters, 2017. "Empirical Bayes Methods for Dynamic Factor Models," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 99(3), pages 486-498, July.
- Poncela, Pilar & Ruiz Ortega, Esther, 2012. "More is not always better : back to the Kalman filter in dynamic factor models," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws122317, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Daniel Baquero & Manuel Gonzalez-Astudillo, 2018. "A Nowcasting Model for the Growth Rate of Real GDP of Ecuador : Implementing a Time-Varying Intercept," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-044, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Daniel Armeanu & Jean Vasile Andrei & Leonard Lache & Mirela Panait, 2017. "A multifactor approach to forecasting Romanian gross domestic product (GDP) in the short run," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(7), pages 1-23, July.
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"Oil shocks and investor attention,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 68-81.
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"Short‐term forecasts of euro area GDP growth,"
Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 14(1), pages 25-44, February.
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Cited by:
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"Observation-Driven Mixed-Measurement Dynamic Factor Models with an Application to Credit Risk,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 96(5), pages 898-915, December.
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"Nowcasting: The real-time informational content of macroeconomic data,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(4), pages 665-676, May.
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Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 51.
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- Giannone, Domenico & Ferrara, Laurent & Delle Chiaie, Simona, 2018. "Common Factors of Commodity Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 12767, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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"Nowcasting in Real Time Using Popularity Priors,"
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Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 864-878.
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CEPR Discussion Papers
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Finance and Economics Discussion Series
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50267, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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"A now-casting model for Canada: Do U.S. variables matter?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 786-800.
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"Modeling, Forecasting, and Nowcasting U.S. CO2 Emissions Using Many Macroeconomic Predictors,"
CREATES Research Papers
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Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 304-314, January.
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- Peter Fuleky & L Ventura & Qianxue Zhao, 2013. "Common Correlated Effects and International Risk Sharing," Working Papers 201315, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
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- Peter Fuleky & Luigi Ventura & Qianxue Zhao, 2013. "Common correlated effects and international risk sharing," Working Papers 2017-5R, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa, revised May 2017.
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"France in the global economy: a structural approximate dynamic factor model analysis,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 311-342, October.
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- Eleonora Pierucci & Luigi Ventura, 2011. "On international risk sharing and financial globalization: some gloomy evidence," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0124, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
- Assoc. Prof. Anca Tãnasie Ph.D & Lect. Rãzvan Tudor Tãnasie PhD, 2011. "An Algorithm Based Approach For Romania’S Road Towards The Euro-Area Membership Status. In Search Of A Suitable Example," Revista Tinerilor Economisti (The Young Economists Journal), University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 1(17), pages 133-140, November.
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- Hideaki Hirata & M. Ayhan Kose & Chris Otrok, "undated". "Regionalization vs. Globalization," Working Paper 164456, Harvard University OpenScholar.
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- HIRATA Hideaki & Ayhan KOSE & Christopher OTROK, 2013. "Regionalization vs. Globalization," Discussion papers 13004, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
- Hideaki Hirata & M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok, 2013. "Regionalization vs. Globalization," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1302, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
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Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 153(4), pages 753-778, November.
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- Christian Dreger & Hans-Eggert Reimers, 2009. "Hysteresis in the development of unemployment: the EU and US experience," Spanish Economic Review, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 11(4), pages 267-276, December.
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- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Business Cycles in the Euro Area," NBER Working Papers 14529, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2009. "Business Cycles in the Euro Area," CEPR Discussion Papers 7124, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Business Cycles in the Euro Area," NBER Chapters, in: Europe and the Euro, pages 141-167, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jacques Pelkmans & Lourdes Acedo Montoya & Alessandro Maravalle, 2008. "How product market reforms lubricate shock adjustment in the euro area," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 341, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
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"Acerca da importância da sincronização do ciclo económico português no contexto europeu [Why and how must Portugal be synchronized with the European Union?],"
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- António Caleiro, 2011. "Acerca da importância da sincronização do ciclo económico português no contexto europeu," Economics Working Papers 4_2011, University of Évora, Department of Economics (Portugal).
- Li, Zhongda & Liu, Lu, 2018. "Financial globalization, domestic financial freedom and risk sharing across countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 151-169.
- Tomas Adam & Robert Ambrisko & Oxana Babecka Kucharcukova & Jan Babecky & Sona Benecka & Jan Bruha & Vilma Dingova & Dana Hajkova & Tomas Holub & Eva Hromadkova & David Kocourek & Lubos Komarek & Zlat, 2014. "Analyses of the Czech Republic's Current Economic Alignment with the Euro Area 2014," Occasional Publications - Edited Volumes, Czech National Bank, number as14 edited by Kamila Kulhava & Jakub Mateju, January.
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Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 573-591, December.
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- Kose, M. Ayhan & Prasad, Eswar S. & Terrones, Marco E., 2009. "Does financial globalization promote risk sharing?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 258-270, July.
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"Channels of international risk-sharing: capital gains versus income flows,"
Working Paper Series
938, European Central Bank.
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"Business Cycle Synchronization and Insurance Mechanisms in the EU,"
Working Papers Department of Economics
2007/26, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
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- D'Agostino, Antonello & Domenico, Giannone & Surico, Paolo, 2006.
"(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability,"
Research Technical Papers
5/RT/06, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Paolo Surico, 2005. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," Macroeconomics 0510024, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Surico, Paolo & Giannone, Domenico & D'Agostino, Antonello, 2006. "(Un)Predictability and macroeconomic stability," Working Paper Series 605, European Central Bank.
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Cited by:
- Fornari, Fabio & Lemke, Wolfgang, 2010. "Predicting recession probabilities with financial variables over multiple horizons," Working Paper Series 1255, European Central Bank.
- Igor Masten & Massimiliano Marcellino & Anindya Banerjeey, 2009.
"Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models,"
RSCAS Working Papers
2009/32, European University Institute.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008. "Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," Working Papers 335, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008. "Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," Economics Working Papers ECO2008/15, European University Institute.
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- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2009. "Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Error Correction Models," Discussion Papers 09-06r, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Masten, Igor, 2010. "Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 7677, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2008. "Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 6707, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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"Advances in Forecasting Under Instability,"
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11-20, Duke University, Department of Economics.
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"Nowcasting: The real-time informational content of macroeconomic data,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(4), pages 665-676, May.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Small, David, 2005. "Nowcasting GDP and Inflation: The Real Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases," CEPR Discussion Papers 5178, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & David H Small, 2007. "Nowcasting GDP and Inflation: The Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 164, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
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"Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: an application to German GDP,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2009,03, Deutsche Bundesbank.
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- Vladimir Kuzin & Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2009. "Pooling versus Model Selection for Nowcasting with Many Predictors: An Application to German GDP," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/13, European University Institute.
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"Evolving U.S. Monetary Policy and The Decline of Inflation Predictability,"
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- Antonello D’Agostino & Kieran Mcquinn & Karl Whelan, 2012. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(4), pages 715-732, June.
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Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 65(2), pages 219-239, April.
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International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 1044-1064.
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- Eickmeier, Sandra & Lemke, Wolfgang & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2011.
"Classical time-varying FAVAR models - estimation, forecasting and structural analysis,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
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- Bjørnland, Hilde C. & Ravazzolo, Francesco & Thorsrud, Leif Anders, 2017.
"Forecasting GDP with global components: This time is different,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 153-173.
- Hilde C. Bjørnland & Francesco Ravazzolo & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2015. "Forecasting GDP with global components. This time is different," Working Paper 2015/05, Norges Bank.
- Hilde C. Bj�rnland & Francesco Ravazzolo & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2015. "Forecasting GDP with global components. This time is different," Working Papers No 1/2015, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Hilde C. Bjornland & Francesco Ravazzolo & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2016. "Forecasting GDP with global components. This time is different," CAMA Working Papers 2016-26, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Abdalla, Ahmed & Carabias, Jose M. & Patatoukas, Panos N., 2021. "The real-time macro content of corporate financial reports: a dynamic factor model approach," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 108539, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2008. "Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP1," Working Papers 333, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Ippei Fujiwara & Yasuo Hirose, 2011.
"Indeterminacy and forecastability,"
Globalization Institute Working Papers
91, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Ippei Fujiwara & Yasuo Hirose, 2012. "Indeterminacy and Forecastability," CAMA Working Papers 2012-48, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Ippei Fujiwara & Yasuo Hirose, 2014. "Indeterminacy and Forecastability," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(1), pages 243-251, February.
- Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2009.
"GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data : A semi-parametric modelling,"
Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers)
halshs-00344839, HAL.
- Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2010. "GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: a semi-parametric modeling," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00460461, HAL.
- Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2008. "GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: A semi-parametric modelling," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne b08082, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Nov 2009.
- Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2010. "GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: a semi-parametric modeling," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-00460461, HAL.
- Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guégan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2010. "GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: a semi-parametric modeling," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1-2), pages 186-199.
- Paul Hubert, 2015.
"Revisiting the greenbook's relative forecasting performance,"
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hal-01087522, HAL.
- Paul Hubert, 2009. "An Empirical Review of Federal Reserve’s Informational Advantage," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2009-03, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Paul Hubert, 2015. "Revisiting the greenbook's relative forecasting performance," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-01087522, HAL.
- Paul Hubert, 2015. "Revisiting the greenbook's relative forecasting performance," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/35kgubh40v9, Sciences Po.
- Paul Hubert, 2015. "Revisiting the Greenbook’s relative forecasting performance," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(1), pages 151-179.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2009.
"Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change,"
Working Papers ECARES
2009_020, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2010. "Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change," Working Paper Series 1167, European Central Bank.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca & Giannone, Domenico & Giannone, Domenico, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Research Technical Papers 8/RT/09, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Giannone, Domenico & D’Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," CEPR Discussion Papers 7542, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2013. "Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 82-101, January.
- Ayse Dur & Enrique Martínez García, 2020.
"Mind the Gap!—A Monetarist View of the Open-Economy Phillips Curve,"
Globalization Institute Working Papers
392, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Dur, Ayşe & Martínez García, Enrique, 2020. "Mind the gap!—A monetarist view of the open-economy Phillips curve," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
- Mr. Helge Berger & Mr. Thomas Harjes & Mr. Emil Stavrev, 2008. "The ECB’s Monetary Analysis Revisited," IMF Working Papers 2008/171, International Monetary Fund.
- Elena Angelini & Gonzalo Camba‐Mendez & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Gerhard Rünstler, 2011.
"Short‐term forecasts of euro area GDP growth,"
Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 14(1), pages 25-44, February.
- Elena Angelini & Gonzalo Camba‐Mendez & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Gerhard Rünstler, 2011. "Short‐term forecasts of euro area GDP growth," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 14, pages 25-44, February.
- Angelini, Elena & Camba-Méndez, Gonzalo & Rünstler, Gerhard & Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2008. "Short-term forecasts of euro area GDP growth," Working Paper Series 949, European Central Bank.
- Elena Angelini & Gonzalo Camba-Mendez & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Gerhard Rünstler, 2008. "Short-Term Forecasts of Euro Area GDP Growth," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2008-035, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Camba-Mendez, Gonzalo & Angelini, Elena & Rünstler, Gerhard & Giannone, Domenico, 2008. "Short-term Forecasts of Euro Area GDP Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 6746, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2012. "Generalized Shrinkage Methods for Forecasting Using Many Predictors," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(4), pages 481-493, June.
- K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze & G. Rünstler, 2008.
"Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets – A pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise,"
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133, National Bank of Belgium.
- G. Rünstler & K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2008. "Short-Term Forecasting of GDP Using Large Monthly Datasets: A Pseudo Real-Time Forecast Evaluation Exercise," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 1, Bank of Lithuania.
- Barhoumi, K. & Rünstler, G. & Cristadoro, R. & Den Reijer, A. & Jakaitiene, A. & Jelonek, P. & Rua, A. & Ruth, K. & Benk, S. & Van Nieuwenhuyze, C., 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Working papers 215, Banque de France.
- Van Nieuwenhuyze, Christophe & Benk, Szilard & Rünstler, Gerhard & Cristadoro, Riccardo & Den Reijer, Ard & Jakaitiene, Audrone & Jelonek, Piotr & Rua, António & Ruth, Karsten & Barhoumi, Karim, 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Occasional Paper Series 84, European Central Bank.
- Audrone Jakaitiene & Stephane Dees, 2012.
"Forecasting the World Economy in the Short Term,"
The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(3), pages 331-350, March.
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- Kilian, Lutz & Fattouh, Bassam & Mahadeva, Lavan, 2012.
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- Bassam Fattouh, Lutz Kilian, and Lavan Mahadeva, 2013. "The Role of Speculation in Oil Markets: What Have We Learned So Far?," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3).
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Marco Lippi & Luca Sala, 2017.
"Noise Bubbles,"
Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 127(604), pages 1940-1976, September.
- Lippi, Marco & Forni, Mario & Sala, Luca & Gambetti, Luca, 2013. "Noise Bubbles," CEPR Discussion Papers 9532, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Marco Lippi & Luca Sala, 2014. "Noise Bubbles," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 096, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Marco Lippi & Luca Sala, 2014. "Noise Bubbles," Working Papers 532, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Mike Tsionas & Marwan Izzeldin & Lorenzo Trapani, 2019. "Bayesian estimation of large dimensional time varying VARs using copulas," Papers 1912.12527, arXiv.org.
- Anastasios Evgenidis & Stephanos Papadamou, 2021. "The impact of unconventional monetary policy in the euro area. Structural and scenario analysis from a Bayesian VAR," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5684-5703, October.
- Georgios Georgiadis, 2016. "To bi, or not to bi? Differences in Spillover Estimates from Bilateral and Multilateral Multi-country Models," EcoMod2016 9145, EcoMod.
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"Granger Causal Priority and Choice of Variables in Vector Autoregressions,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 99(2), pages 319-329, May.
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- Jarociński, Marek & Maćkowiak, Bartosz, 2013. "Granger-causal-priority and choice of variables in vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 1600, European Central Bank.
- Bartosz Mackowiak, 2015. "Granger-Causal-Priority and Choice of Variables in Vector Autoregressions," 2015 Meeting Papers 66, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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- Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Valentina Colombo & Gabriela Nodari, 2015.
"Estimating Fiscal Multipliers: News From A Non‐linear World,"
Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 0(584), pages 746-776, May.
- Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Valentina Colombo & Gabriela Nodari, 2014. "Estimating Fiscal Multipliers: News from a Nonlinear World," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2014n26, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
- Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Valentina Colombo & Gabriela Nodari, 2015. "Estimating Fiscal Multipliers:News From a Nonlinear World," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 1196, The University of Melbourne.
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"Real-Time Forecasts of the Real Price of Oil,"
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"Macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy in the European Union, with particular reference to transition countries,"
Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 41(1), pages 39-69.
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"Noisy News in Business cycles,"
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- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Marco Lippi & Luca Sala, 2014. "Noisy News in Business Cycles," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 097, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Luca Gambetti, 2014. "Noisy News in Business Cycles," 2014 Meeting Papers 1406, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Marco Lippi & Luca Sala, 2014. "Noisy News in Business Cycles," Working Papers 531, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Domenico Giannone & Martha Banbura & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010.
"Large Bayesian vector auto regressions,"
ULB Institutional Repository
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- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Large Bayesian VARs," Working Papers ECARES 2008_033, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Marta Bańbura, 2008. "Large Bayesian VARs," 2008 Meeting Papers 334, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta, 2007. "Bayesian VARs with Large Panels," CEPR Discussion Papers 6326, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marta Bańbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Large Bayesian vector auto regressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 71-92, January.
- Marta Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Large Bayesian vector auto regressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 71-92.
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"The Forcasting Performance of Dynamic Factor Models with Vintage Data,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
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"New Eurocoin: Tracking Economic Growth in Real Time,"
Center for Economic Research (RECent)
020, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
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"Nowcasting Norway,"
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"Forecasting and nowcasting real GDP: Comparing statistical models and subjective forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 411-436.
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- Dimitar EFTIMOSKI, 2019. "Improving Short-Term Forecasting of Macedonian GDP: Comparing the Factor Model with the Macroeconomic Structural Equation Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 32-53, June.
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"Phillips Curve Inflation Forecasts,"
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- Buss, Ginters, 2010. "A note on GDP now-/forecasting with dynamic versus static factor models along a business cycle," MPRA Paper 22147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Lombardi, Marco J. & Maier, Philipp, 2011. "Forecasting economic growth in the euro area during the Great Moderation and the Great Recession," Working Paper Series 1379, European Central Bank.
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- Poncela, Pilar & Ruiz, Esther & Miranda, Karen, 2021.
"Factor extraction using Kalman filter and smoothing: This is not just another survey,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1399-1425.
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- Jennifer Castle & David Hendry & Oleg Kitov, 2013. "Forecasting and Nowcasting Macroeconomic Variables: A Methodological Overview," Economics Series Working Papers 674, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Capasso, 2007. "A Multivariate Perspective for Modeling and Forecasting Inflation's Conditional Mean and Variance," LEM Papers Series 2007/21, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Viktors Ajevskis & Gundars Davidsons, 2008. "Dynamic Factor Models in Forecasting Latvia's Gross Domestic Product," Working Papers 2008/02, Latvijas Banka.
- Matteo Barigozzi, 2023. "Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation of High-Dimensional Factor Models: A Critical Review," Papers 2303.11777, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
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"Real-time nowcasting of GDP: Factor model versus professional forecasters,"
MPRA Paper
28819, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Liebermann, Joelle, 2011. "Real-Time Nowcasting of GDP: Factor Model versus Professional Forecasters," Research Technical Papers 3/RT/11, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Christian Schulz, 2008. "Forecasting economic activity for Estonia : The application of dynamic principal component analyses," Bank of Estonia Working Papers 2008-02, Bank of Estonia, revised 30 Oct 2008.
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"Revisiting useful approaches to data-rich macroeconomic forecasting,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 221-239.
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- Jan J.J. Groen & George Kapetanios, 2008. "Revisiting Useful Approaches to Data-Rich Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Papers 624, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Marco J. Lombardi & Philipp Maier, 2010. "‘Lean’ versus ‘Rich’ Data Sets: Forecasting during the Great Moderation and the Great Recession," Staff Working Papers 10-37, Bank of Canada.
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"Common Factors in Latin America?s Business Cycles,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
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- G. Rünstler & K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2009. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(7), pages 595-611.
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"Are disaggregate data useful for factor analysis in forecasting French GDP?,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1-2), pages 132-144.
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"Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP,"
Economics Working Papers
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- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & David Small, 2008. "Nowcasting: the real time informational content of macroeconomic data releases," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/6409, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Matteo Barigozzi & Matteo Luciani, 2019. "Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference of Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models via the EM algorithm," Papers 1910.03821, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
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- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2005. "Monetary Policy in Real Time," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2004, Volume 19, pages 161-224, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2005. "Monetary policy in real time," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/6401, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Lucrezia Reichlin & Domenico Giannone & Luca Sala, "undated". "Monetary policy in real time," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/10177, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2005. "Monetary Policy in Real Time," Working Papers 284, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
Cited by:
- Massimiliano Serati & Matteo Manera & Michele Plotegher, 2008.
"Modelling electricity prices: from the state of the art to a draft of a new proposal,"
LIUC Papers in Economics
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- Matteo Manera & Massimiliano Serati & Michele Plotegher, 2008. "Modeling Electricity Prices: From the State of the Art to a Draft of a New Proposal," Working Papers 2008.9, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Serati, Massimiliano & Manera, Matteo & Plotegher, Michele, 2008. "Modeling Electricity Prices: From the State of the Art to a Draft of a New Proposal," International Energy Markets Working Papers 44426, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
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"One Money, Many Markets - A Factor Model Approach to Monetary Policy in the Euro Area with High-Frequency Identification,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
1816, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Corsetti, Giancarlo & Duarte, Joao B. & Mann, Samuel, 2018. "One money, many markets: a factor model approach to monetary policy in the Euro Area with high-frequency identification," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87182, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Small, David, 2008.
"Nowcasting: The real-time informational content of macroeconomic data,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(4), pages 665-676, May.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Small, David, 2005. "Nowcasting GDP and Inflation: The Real Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases," CEPR Discussion Papers 5178, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & David H Small, 2007. "Nowcasting GDP and Inflation: The Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 164, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & David H. Small, 2005. "Nowcasting GDP and inflation: the real-time informational content of macroeconomic data releases," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2005-42, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- João Valle e Azevedo & Ana Pereira, 2008.
"Approximating and Forecasting Macroeconomic Signals in Real-Time,"
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- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2011.
"No News in Business Cycles,"
Working Papers
535, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2013. "No News in Business Cycles," Working Papers 491, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2014. "No News in Business Cycles," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 124(581), pages 1168-1191, December.
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2011. "No News in Business Cycles," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 862.11, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2011. "No news in business cycles," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 063, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Forni, Mario & Sala, Luca & Gambetti, Luca, 2011. "No News in Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 8274, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2011. "No News in Business Cycles," Working Papers 383, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2019.
"Money, Credit, Monetary Policy, and the Business Cycle in the Euro Area: What Has Changed Since the Crisis?,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(5), pages 137-173, December.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2019. "Money, credit, monetary policy, and the business cycle in the euro area: what has changed since the crisis?," Staff Reports 885, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2019. "Money, credit, monetary policy and the business cycle in the euro area: what has changed since the crisis?," Working Paper Series 2226, European Central Bank.
- Kuzin, Vladimir N. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2009.
"Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: an application to German GDP,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2009,03, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Schumacher, Christian & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kuzin, Vladimir, 2009. "Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: An application to German GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 7197, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Vladimir Kuzin & Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2009. "Pooling versus Model Selection for Nowcasting with Many Predictors: An Application to German GDP," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/13, European University Institute.
- Germán López, 2015. "Forecast Accuracy of Small and Large Scale Dynamic Factor Models in Developing Economies," Working Papers. Serie AD 2015-03, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Doz, Catherine & Giannone, Domenico, 2006.
"A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5724, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers ECARES 2008_034, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," Post-Print hal-00638440, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi–Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1014-1024, November.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00638440, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-00638440, HAL.
- Doz, Catherine & Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2006. "A quasi maximum likelihood approach for large approximate dynamic factor models," Working Paper Series 674, European Central Bank.
- Teresa Buchen & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013.
"Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting - Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
4148, CESifo.
- Klaus Wohlrabe & Teresa Buchen, 2014. "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting: Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area and Germany," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 231-242, July.
- Teresa, Buchen & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2014. "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting: Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100626, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Forni, Mario & Cavicchioli, Maddalena & Lippi, Marco & Zaffaroni, Paolo, 2016. "Eigenvalue Ratio Estimators for the Number of Common Factors," CEPR Discussion Papers 11440, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Irma Hindrayanto & Siem Jan Koopman & Jasper de Winter, 2014. "Nowcasting and Forecasting Economic Growth in the Euro Area using Principal Components," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-113/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Kollmann, Robert & Zeugner, Stefan, 2012.
"Leverage as a predictor for real activity and volatility,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 1267-1283.
- Robert Kollmann & Stefan Zeugner, 2011. "Leverage as a Predictor for Real Activity and Volatility," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2011-009, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Kollmann, Robert & Zeugner, Stefan, 2011. "Leverage as a Predictor for Real Activity and Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 8327, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mario Forni & Marc Hallin & Marco Lippi & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2012.
"Dynamic Factor Models with Infinite-Dimensional Factor Space: One-Sided Representations,"
Working Papers ECARES
ECARES 2012-046, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
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- Claudio Morana, 2010. "Heteroskedastic Factor Vector Autoregressive Estimation of Persistent and Non Persistent Processes Subject to Structural Breaks," ICER Working Papers - Applied Mathematics Series 36-2010, ICER - International Centre for Economic Research.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Domenico, Giannone & Surico, Paolo, 2006.
"(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability,"
Research Technical Papers
5/RT/06, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Paolo Surico, 2005. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," Macroeconomics 0510024, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Surico, Paolo & Giannone, Domenico & D'Agostino, Antonello, 2006. "(Un)Predictability and macroeconomic stability," Working Paper Series 605, European Central Bank.
- Giannone, Domenico & D’Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo, 2007. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," CEPR Discussion Papers 6594, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Rünstler, Gerhard & Bańbura, Marta, 2007.
"A look into the factor model black box: publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP,"
Working Paper Series
751, European Central Bank.
- Banbura, Marta & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2011. "A look into the factor model black box: Publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 333-346, April.
- Bańbura, Marta & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2011. "A look into the factor model black box: Publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 333-346.
- Barış Soybilgen, 2020. "Identifying US business cycle regimes using dynamic factors and neural network models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 827-840, August.
- Bragoli, Daniela & Modugno, Michele, 2017.
"A now-casting model for Canada: Do U.S. variables matter?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 786-800.
- Daniela Bragoli & Michele Modugno, 2016. "A Nowcasting Model for Canada: Do U.S. Variables Matter?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-036, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Matheson, Troy D., 2010.
"An analysis of the informational content of New Zealand data releases: The importance of business opinion surveys,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 304-314, January.
- Troy Matheson, 2007. "An analysis of the informational content of New Zealand data releases: the importance of business opinion surveys," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2007/13, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Laura E. Jackson & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang, 2015. "A Measure of Price Pressures," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 97(1), pages 25-52.
- Matteo Luciani, 2015.
"Monetary Policy and the Housing Market: A Structural Factor Analysis,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 199-218, March.
- Matteo LUCIANI, "undated". "Monetary Policy and the Housing Market: A Structural Factor Analysis," Working Papers wp2010-7, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
- Matteo Luciani, 2012. "Monetary Policy and the Housing Market: A Structural Factor Analysis," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-035, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Matteo Luciani, 2013. "Monetary Policy, and the Housing Market: A Structural Factor Analysis," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/153324, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Catherine Doz & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2011.
"A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering,"
Post-Print
hal-00844811, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2006. "A Two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," THEMA Working Papers 2006-23, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2011. "A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," Post-Print hal-00638009, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2011. "A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00638009, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2011. "A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-00638009, HAL.
- Doz, Catherine & Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2011. "A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 188-205, September.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Doz, Catherine & Giannone, Domenico, 2007. "A Two-Step Estimator for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models Based on Kalman Filtering," CEPR Discussion Papers 6043, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2009.
"Assessing the Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks Using Dynamic Factor Models,"
Working Paper series
35_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Dimitris Korompilis, 2009. "Assessing the Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks Using Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers 0914, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2009. "Assessing the transmission of monetary policy using dynamic factor models," MPRA Paper 27593, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Nov 2010.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2013. "Assessing the Transmission of Monetary Policy Using Time-varying Parameter Dynamic Factor Models-super-," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 75(2), pages 157-179, April.
- Laura Coroneo & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2016.
"Unspanned Macroeconomic Factors in the Yield Curve,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 472-485, July.
- Laura Coroneo & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2014. "Unspanned macroeconomic factors in the yield curve," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-57, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Laura Coroneo & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Modugno, 2013. "Unspanned Macroeconomic Factors in the Yields Curve," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2013-07, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Kaufmann, Daniel & Scheufele, Rolf, 2017.
"Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 878-893.
- Daniel Kaufmann & Rolf Scheufele, 2015. "Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations," KOF Working papers 15-378, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Jörg Breitung & Sandra Eickmeier, 2006.
"Dynamic Factor Models,"
Springer Books, in: Olaf Hübler & Jachim Frohn (ed.), Modern Econometric Analysis, chapter 3, pages 25-40,
Springer.
- Jörg Breitung & Sandra Eickmeier, 2006. "Dynamic factor models," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 90(1), pages 27-42, March.
- Breitung, Jörg & Eickmeier, Sandra, 2005. "Dynamic factor models," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2005,38, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Domenico Giannone & Martha Banbura & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010.
"Large Bayesian vector auto regressions,"
ULB Institutional Repository
2013/13388, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Large Bayesian VARs," Working Papers ECARES 2008_033, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Marta Bańbura, 2008. "Large Bayesian VARs," 2008 Meeting Papers 334, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta, 2007. "Bayesian VARs with Large Panels," CEPR Discussion Papers 6326, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marta Bańbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Large Bayesian vector auto regressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 71-92, January.
- Marta Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Large Bayesian vector auto regressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 71-92.
- Chudik, Alexander & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2015.
"Common correlated effects estimation of heterogeneous dynamic panel data models with weakly exogenous regressors,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 188(2), pages 393-420.
- Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2013. "Common correlated effects estimation of heterogeneous dynamic panel data models with weakly exogenous regressors," Globalization Institute Working Papers 146, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2013. "Common Correlated Effects Estimation of Heterogeneous Dynamic Panel Data Models with Weakly Exogenous Regressors," CESifo Working Paper Series 4232, CESifo.
- Pesaran, Hashem & Chudik, Alexander, 2013. "Common Correlated Effects Estimation of Heterogeneous Dynamic Panel Data Models with Weakly Exogenous Regressors," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1317, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2012. "Generalized Shrinkage Methods for Forecasting Using Many Predictors," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(4), pages 481-493, June.
- Carlo A. Favero & Linlin Niu & Luca Sala, 2007.
"Term Structure Forecasting: No-arbitrage Restrictions vs. Large Information Set,"
Working Papers
318, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Favero, Carlo A. & Sala, Luca & Niu, Linlin, 2007. "Term Structure Forecasting: No-Arbitrage Restrictions vs Large Information Set," CEPR Discussion Papers 6206, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze & G. Rünstler, 2008.
"Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets – A pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise,"
Working Paper Research
133, National Bank of Belgium.
- G. Rünstler & K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2008. "Short-Term Forecasting of GDP Using Large Monthly Datasets: A Pseudo Real-Time Forecast Evaluation Exercise," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 1, Bank of Lithuania.
- Barhoumi, K. & Rünstler, G. & Cristadoro, R. & Den Reijer, A. & Jakaitiene, A. & Jelonek, P. & Rua, A. & Ruth, K. & Benk, S. & Van Nieuwenhuyze, C., 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Working papers 215, Banque de France.
- Van Nieuwenhuyze, Christophe & Benk, Szilard & Rünstler, Gerhard & Cristadoro, Riccardo & Den Reijer, Ard & Jakaitiene, Audrone & Jelonek, Piotr & Rua, António & Ruth, Karsten & Barhoumi, Karim, 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Occasional Paper Series 84, European Central Bank.
- Faust, Jon & Wright, Jonathan H., 2009.
"Comparing Greenbook and Reduced Form Forecasts Using a Large Realtime Dataset,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 468-479.
- Jon Faust & Jonathan H. Wright, 2007. "Comparing Greenbook and Reduced Form Forecasts using a Large Realtime Dataset," NBER Working Papers 13397, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2006.
"Does information help recovering structural shocks from past observations?,"
Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 4(2-3), pages 455-465, 04-05.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico, 2006. "Does Information Help Recovering Structural Shocks from Past Observations?," CEPR Discussion Papers 5725, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2006. "Does information help recovering structural shocks from past observations?," Working Paper Series 632, European Central Bank.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2006. "Does information help recovering structural shocks from past observations?," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/166169, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Lu, Biao & Wu, Liuren, 2009. "Macroeconomic releases and the interest rate term structure," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 872-884, September.
- Baumann, Ursel & Albuquerque, Bruno & Krustev, Georgi, 2014.
"Has US household deleveraging ended? a model-based estimate of equilibrium debt,"
Working Paper Series
1643, European Central Bank.
- Ursel Baumann, 2014. "Has US Household Deleveraging Ended? A Model-Based Estimate of Equilibrium Debt," Working Papers w201404, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Alain Kabundi & Francisco Nadal De Simone, 2011.
"France in the global economy: a structural approximate dynamic factor model analysis,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 311-342, October.
- Mr. Francisco d Nadal De Simone & Alain N. Kabundi, 2007. "France in the Global Economy: A Structural Approximate Dynamic Factor Model Analysis," IMF Working Papers 2007/129, International Monetary Fund.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022.
"Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
- Lenza, Michele & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15854, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 2453, European Central Bank.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2008.
"Forecasting in vector autoregressions with many predictors,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Bayesian Econometrics, pages 403-431,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2008. "Forecasting in vector autoregressions with many predictors," MPRA Paper 21122, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Mario Forni & Marc Hallin & Marco Lippi & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2011.
"One-Sided Representations of Generalized Dynamic Factor Models,"
Working Papers ECARES
ECARES 2011-019, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Mario Forni & Marc Hallin & Marco Lippi & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2011. "One-Sided Representations of Generalized Dynamic Factor Models," EIEF Working Papers Series 1106, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Mar 2011.
- Mario Forni & Marc Hallin & Marco Lippi & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2011. "One-Sided Representations of Generalized Dynamic Factor Models," DSS Empirical Economics and Econometrics Working Papers Series 2011/5, Centre for Empirical Economics and Econometrics, Department of Statistics, "Sapienza" University of Rome.
- Bork, Lasse, 2009.
"Estimating US Monetary Policy Shocks Using a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression: An EM Algorithm Approach,"
Finance Research Group Working Papers
F-2009-03, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
- Lasse Bork, 2009. "Estimating US Monetary Policy Shocks Using a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression: An EM Algorithm Approach," CREATES Research Papers 2009-11, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Amstad, Marlene & Ye, Huan & Ma, Guonan, 2018. "Developing an underlying inflation gauge for China," BOFIT Discussion Papers 11/2018, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
- Luciana Juvenal & Ivan Petrella, 2012.
"Speculation in the oil market,"
Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Luciana Juvenal & Ivan Petrella, 2011. "Speculation in the oil market," Working Papers 2011-027, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Petrella, Ivan & Juvenal, Luciana, 2014. "Speculation in the Oil Market," CEPR Discussion Papers 9808, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Luciana Juvenal & Ivan Petrella, 2015. "Speculation in the Oil Market," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(4), pages 621-649, June.
- Chevallier, Julien, 2011.
"Macroeconomics, finance, commodities: Interactions with carbon markets in a data-rich model,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1-2), pages 557-567, January.
- Chevallier, Julien, 2011. "Macroeconomics, finance, commodities: Interactions with carbon markets in a data-rich model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 557-567.
- Julien Chevallier, 2011. "Macroeconomics, finance, commodities: Interactions with carbon markets in a data-rich model," Post-Print hal-00991961, HAL.
- Marlene Amstad & Simon Potter & Robert Rich, 2014.
"The FRBNY Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge: UIG,"
BIS Working Papers
453, Bank for International Settlements.
- Marlene Amstad & Simon M. Potter & Robert W. Rich, 2014. "The FRBNY staff underlying inflation gauge: UIG," Staff Reports 672, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Henzel, Steffen R. & Rengel, Malte, 2017.
"Dimensions of macroeconomic uncertainty: a common factor analysis,"
Munich Reprints in Economics
49932, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Steffen Henzel & Malte Rengel, 2014. "Dimensions of Macroeconomic Uncertainty: A Common Factor Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 4991, CESifo.
- Steffen R. Henzel & Malte Rengel, 2017. "Dimensions Of Macroeconomic Uncertainty: A Common Factor Analysis," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 55(2), pages 843-877, April.
- Steffen Henzel & Malte Rengel, 2013. "Dimensions of macroeconomic uncertainty: A common factor analysis," ifo Working Paper Series 167, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Brian Ironside & Robert J. Tetlow, 2006.
"Real-time model uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2006-08, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Tetlow, Robert J. & Ironside, Brian, 2006. "Real-time model uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003," Working Paper Series 610, European Central Bank.
- Tetlow, Robert J. & Ironside, Brian, 2005. "Real-Time Model Uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003," CEPR Discussion Papers 5305, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marc Hallin & Roman Liska, 2008.
"Dynamic Factors in the Presence of Block Structure,"
Working Papers ECARES
2008_012, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Marc Hallin & Roman Liska, 2008. "Dynamic Factors in the Presence of Block Structure," Economics Working Papers ECO2008/22, European University Institute.
- Chudik, Alexander & Pesaran, Hashem, 2009.
"Infinite-dimensional VARs and factor models,"
Working Paper Series
998, European Central Bank.
- Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2007. "Infinite Dimensional VARs and Factor Models," CESifo Working Paper Series 2176, CESifo.
- Chudik, Alexander & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2011. "Infinite-dimensional VARs and factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 163(1), pages 4-22, July.
- Chudik, Alexander & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2007. "Infinite Dimensional VARs and Factor Models," IZA Discussion Papers 3206, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Chudik , A. & Pesaran, M.H., 2007. "Infinite Dimensional VARs and Factor Models," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0757, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Mario Forni & Domenico Giannone & Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008.
"Opening the Black Box: Structural Factor Models with Large Cross-Sections,"
Working Papers ECARES
2008_036, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Forni, Mario & Giannone, Domenico & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2007. "Opening the black box: structural factor models with large cross-sections," Working Paper Series 712, European Central Bank.
- Forni, Mario & Giannone, Domenico & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2009. "Opening The Black Box: Structural Factor Models With Large Cross Sections," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(5), pages 1319-1347, October.
- Mario Forni & Domenico Giannone & Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2007. "Opening the Black Box: Structural Factor Models with Large Cross-Sections," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 008, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Hindrayanto, Irma & Koopman, Siem Jan & de Winter, Jasper, 2016. "Forecasting and nowcasting economic growth in the euro area using factor models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1284-1305.
- Barigozzi, Matteo & Conti, Antonio & Luciani, Matteo, 2012.
"Do Euro area countries respond asymmetrically to the common monetary policy?,"
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics
43344, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Matteo Luciani & Antoniomaria Conti & Matteo Barigozzi, 2013. "Do Euro Area Countries Respond Asymmetrically to the Common Monetary Policy?," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/153330, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Matteo Barigozzi & Antonio M. Conti & Matteo Luciani, 2013. "Do euro area countries respond asymmetrically to the common monetary policy?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 923, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Matteo Barigozzi & Antonio M. Conti & Matteo Luciani, 2014. "Do Euro Area Countries Respond Asymmetrically to the Common Monetary Policy?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(5), pages 693-714, October.
- Max Hanisch, 2017. "US Monetary Policy and the Euro Area," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1701, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Barnett, William A. & Tang, Biyan, 2015.
"Chinese Divisia monetary index and GDP nowcasting,"
MPRA Paper
67691, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- William A. Barnett & Biyan Tang, 2016. "Chinese Divisia Monetary Index and GDP Nowcasting," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(5), pages 825-849, November.
- William Barnett & Biyan Tang, 2015. "Chinese Divisia Monetary Index and GDP Nowcasting," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201506, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2015.
- Fischer, B. & Lenza, M. & Pill, H. & Reichlin, L., 2009. "Monetary analysis and monetary policy in the euro area 1999-2006," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(7), pages 1138-1164, November.
- Michal Andrle & Jan Bruha & Serhat Solmaz, 2016.
"On the Sources of Business Cycles: Implications for DSGE Models,"
Working Papers
2016/03, Czech National Bank.
- Andrle, Michal & Brůha, Jan & Solmaz, Serhat, 2017. "On the sources of business cycles: implications for DSGE models," Working Paper Series 2058, European Central Bank.
- Li, Hongjun & Li, Qi & Shi, Yutang, 2017. "Determining the number of factors when the number of factors can increase with sample size," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(1), pages 76-86.
- Helmut Lütkepohl, 2014.
"Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis in a Data Rich Environment: A Survey,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
SFB649DP2014-004, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Helmut Lütkepohl, 2014. "Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis in a Data Rich Environment: A Survey," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1351, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Forni, Mario & Gambetti, Luca, 2010.
"The dynamic effects of monetary policy: A structural factor model approach,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(2), pages 203-216, March.
- Forni, Mario & Gambetti, Luca, 2008. "The Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy: A Structural Factor Model Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 7098, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti, 2008. "The dynamic e ects of monetary policy: A structural factor model approach," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 026, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Corsetti, Giancarlo & Duarte, Joao B. & Mann, Samuel, 2020.
"One Money, Many Markets: Monetary Transmission and Housing Financing in the Euro Area,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
14968, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giancarlo Corsetti & Joao B. Duarte & Samuel Mann, 2020. "One Money, Many Markets: Monetary Transmission and Housing Financing in the Euro Area," IMF Working Papers 2020/108, International Monetary Fund.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo, 2008.
"Fiscal policy in real time,"
Working Paper Series
919, European Central Bank.
- Jacopo Cimadomo, 2012. "Fiscal Policy in Real Time," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 114(2), pages 440-465, June.
- Jacopo Cimadomo, 2007. "Fiscal Policy in Real Time," Working Papers 2007-10, CEPII research center.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico, 2009.
"Does Global Liquidity Help to Forecast U.S. Inflation?,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2-3), pages 479-489, March.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico, 2009. "Does Global Liquidity Help to Forecast U.S. Inflation?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2‐3), pages 479-489, March.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo, 2007. "Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation?," Research Technical Papers 10/RT/07, Central Bank of Ireland.
- D'Agostino, A & Surico, P, 2007. "Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation?," MPRA Paper 6283, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Rusnák, Marek, 2016.
"Nowcasting Czech GDP in real time,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 26-39.
- Marek Rusnak, 2013. "Nowcasting Czech GDP in Real Time," Working Papers 2013/06, Czech National Bank.
- Maria Gadea & Ana Gómez-Loscos & Antonio Montañés, 2012.
"Cycles inside cycles: Spanish regional aggregation,"
SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 3(4), pages 423-456, December.
- Maria Dolores Gadea & Ana Gomez Loscos & Antonio Montañes, 2011. "Cycles Inside Cycles. Spanish Regional Aggregation," WIFO Working Papers 390, WIFO.
- Ana Gomez Loscos & M. Dolores Gadea & Antonio Montañes, 2011. "Cycles inside cycles: Spanish regional aggregation," ERSA conference papers ersa11p99, European Regional Science Association.
- Jon Faust & Abhishek Gupta, 2012.
"Posterior Predictive Analysis for Evaluating DSGE Models,"
NBER Working Papers
17906, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Faust, Jon & Gupta, Abhishek, 2010. "Posterior Predictive Analysis for Evaluating DSGE Models," MPRA Paper 26721, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Bragoli, Daniela, 2017. "Now-casting the Japanese economy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 390-402.
- Lasse BORK & Hans DEWACHTER & Romain HOUSSA, 2009.
"Identification of macroeconomic factors in large panels,"
Working Papers of Department of Economics, Leuven
ces09.18, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Economics, Leuven.
- Lasse Bork & Hans Dewachter & Romain Houssa, 2009. "Identification of Macroeconomic Factors in Large Panels," CREATES Research Papers 2009-43, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Romain Houssa & Lasse Bork & Hans Dewachter, 2008. "Identification of Macroeconomic Factors in Large Panels," Working Papers 1010, University of Namur, Department of Economics.
- Jean Boivin & Marc P. Giannoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2016.
"Dynamic Effects of Credit Shocks in a Data-Rich Environment,"
CIRANO Working Papers
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"Short‐term forecasts of euro area GDP growth,"
Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 14(1), pages 25-44, February.
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MPRA Paper
15312, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 845-873.
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- Jacopo Cimadomo & Agnès Bénassy-Quéré, 2012. "Changing Patterns of Fiscal Policy Multipliers in Germany, the UK and the US," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00966144, HAL.
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- Peter Fuleky & L Ventura & Qianxue Zhao, 2013. "Common Correlated Effects and International Risk Sharing," Working Papers 201315, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
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Staff Reports
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"Trends and cycles in the euro area: how much heterogeneity and should we worry about it?,"
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"Euro area and US recessions: 1970-2003,"
ULB Institutional Repository
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"Financial Integration and the Construction of Historical Financial Data for the Euro Area,"
Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series
152, Economics, The University of Manchester.
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CAMA Working Papers
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"Global banking and international business cycles,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 407-426, April.
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"Financial Integration and the Construction of Historical Financial Data for the Euro Area,"
Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series
152, Economics, The University of Manchester.
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"Forecasting in Large Macroeconomic Panels using Bayesian Model Averaging,"
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"International Macroeconomic Dynamics: a Factor Vector Autoregressive Approach,"
ICER Working Papers
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- Belke, Ansgar & Polleit, Thorsten, 2006. "How the ECB and US Fed set interest rates," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 72, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
- Claudio Morana, 2010. "Heteroskedastic Factor Vector Autoregressive Estimation of Persistent and Non Persistent Processes Subject to Structural Breaks," ICER Working Papers - Applied Mathematics Series 36-2010, ICER - International Centre for Economic Research.
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"Monetary Policy and the Housing Market: A Structural Factor Analysis,"
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"Monetary policy in real time,"
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- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2005. "Monetary Policy in Real Time," Working Papers 284, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2005. "Monetary Policy in Real Time," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2004, Volume 19, pages 161-224, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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"France in the global economy: a structural approximate dynamic factor model analysis,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 311-342, October.
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"Dimensions of macroeconomic uncertainty: a common factor analysis,"
Munich Reprints in Economics
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Working Papers ECARES
2008_036, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Forni, Mario & Giannone, Domenico & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2007. "Opening the black box: structural factor models with large cross-sections," Working Paper Series 712, European Central Bank.
- Forni, Mario & Giannone, Domenico & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2009. "Opening The Black Box: Structural Factor Models With Large Cross Sections," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(5), pages 1319-1347, October.
- Mario Forni & Domenico Giannone & Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2007. "Opening the Black Box: Structural Factor Models with Large Cross-Sections," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 008, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Erdemlioglu, Deniz, 2009. "Macro Factors in UK Excess Bond Returns: Principal Components and Factor-Model Approach," MPRA Paper 28895, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2006.
"VARs, common factors and the empirical validation of equilibrium business cycle models,"
ULB Institutional Repository
2013/10127, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Domenica Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2004. "VARs, Common Factors and the Empirical Validation of Equilibrium Business Cycle Models," Working Papers 258, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Sala, Luca & Giannone, Domenico, 2002. "VARs, Common Factors and the Empirical Validation of Equilibrium Business Cycle Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 3701, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Sala, Luca, 2006. "VARs, common factors and the empirical validation of equilibrium business cycle models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 257-279, May.
- Mario Forni & Filippo Altissimo & Riccardo Cristadoro & Marco Lippi & Giovanni Veronese., 2008.
"New Eurocoin: Tracking Economic Growth in Real Time,"
Center for Economic Research (RECent)
020, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Filippo Altissimo & Riccardo Cristadoro & Mario Forni & Marco Lippi & Giovanni Veronese, 2007. "New Eurocoin: Tracking Economic Growth in Real Time," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 631, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Filippo Altissimo & Riccardo Cristadoro & Mario Forni & Marco Lippi & Giovanni Veronese, 2010. "New Eurocoin: Tracking Economic Growth in Real Time," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(4), pages 1024-1034, November.
- Lippi, Marco & Forni, Mario & Altissimo, Filippo & Cristadoro, Riccardo & Veronese, Giovanni, 2006. "New EuroCOIN: Tracking Economic Growth in Real Time," CEPR Discussion Papers 5633, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kapetanios, George, 2010.
"Factor-GMM Estimation with Large Sets of Possibly Weak Instruments,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7726, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kapetanios, George & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2010. "Factor-GMM estimation with large sets of possibly weak instruments," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2655-2675, November.
- George Kapetanios & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2006. "Factor-GMM Estimation with Large Sets of Possibly Weak Instruments," Working Papers 577, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Sterken, Elmer, 2003. "Monetary transmission, asset prices, and the business cycle indicator in Germany," CCSO Working Papers 200315, University of Groningen, CCSO Centre for Economic Research.
- Andreas Fischer & Marlene Amstad, 2004. "Sequential Information Flow and Real-Time Diagnosis of Swiss Inflation: Intra-Monthly DCF Estimates for a Low-Inflation Environment," Working Papers 04.06, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2005. "Implications of Dynamic Factor Models for VAR Analysis," NBER Working Papers 11467, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Massimiliano Serati & Gianni Amisano, 2008. "Building composite leading indexes in a dynamic factor model framework: a new proposal," LIUC Papers in Economics 212, Cattaneo University (LIUC).
- In Choi & Dukpa Kim & Yun Jung Kim & Noh‐Sun Kwark, 2018.
"A multilevel factor model: Identification, asymptotic theory and applications,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(3), pages 355-377, April.
- In Choi & Dukpa Kim & Yun Jung Kim & Noh-Sun Kwark, 2016. "A Multilevel Factor Model: Identification, Asymptotic Theory and Applications," Working Papers 1609, Nam Duck-Woo Economic Research Institute, Sogang University (Former Research Institute for Market Economy).
- Fabio Bagliano & Claudio Morana, 2008. "Factor vector autoregressive estimation: a new approach," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 3(1), pages 15-23, June.
- Eickmeier, Sandra, 2007.
"Business cycle transmission from the US to Germany--A structural factor approach,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 521-551, April.
- Eickmeier, Sandra, 2004. "Business Cycle Transmission from the US to Germany: a Structural Factor Approach," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2004,12, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Ms. Natalia T. Tamirisa & Alain N. Kabundi & Ms. Deniz O Igan & Mr. Francisco d Nadal De Simone & Marcelo Pinheiro, 2009. "Three Cycles: Housing, Credit, and Real Activity," IMF Working Papers 2009/231, International Monetary Fund.
- Houssa, Romain, 2008.
"Monetary union in West Africa and asymmetric shocks: A dynamic structural factor model approach,"
Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(1-2), pages 319-347, February.
- Romain Houssa, 2004. "Monetary Union in West Africa and Asymmetric Shocks: A Dynamic Structural Factor Model Approach," Development and Comp Systems 0409063, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2002.
"Factor Models in Large Cross-Sections of Time Series,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3285, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lucrezia Reichlin, 2003. "Factor models in large cross sections of time series," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/10179, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- McCallum, Andrew & Smets, Frank, 2007. "Real wages and monetary policy transmission in the euro area," Kiel Working Papers 1360, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Alain Kabundi & Elsabé Loots, 2010. "Patterns Of Co‐Movement Between South Africa And Germany: Evidence From The Period 1985 To 2006," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 78(4), pages 383-399, December.
- Alejandro Justiniano, 2004. "Sources and Propagation Mechanims of Foreign Disturbances in Small Open Economies: A Dynamic Factor Analysis," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 148, Econometric Society.
- De Bandt. O. & Bruneau, C. & Flageollet, B., 2006.
"Assessing Aggregate Comovements in France, Germany and Italy. Using a Non Stationary Factor Model of the Euro Area,"
Working papers
145, Banque de France.
- Olivier Bandt & Catherine Bruneau & Alexis Flageollet, 2006. "Assessing Aggregate Comovements in France, Germany and Italy Using a Non Stationary Factor Model of the Euro Area," Springer Books, in: Convergence or Divergence in Europe?, pages 95-120, Springer.
- Abdullah Al-Hassan, 2009. "A Coincident Indicator of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Business Cycle," IMF Working Papers 2009/073, International Monetary Fund.
- Eickmeier, Sandra & Breitung, Jörg, 2005. "How synchronized are central and east European economies with the euro area? Evidence from a structural factor model," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2005,20, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Jean Boivin & Marc Giannoni, 2006.
"DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment,"
NBER Working Papers
12772, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Marc P. Giannoni & Jean Boivin, 2005. "DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 431, Society for Computational Economics.
- Jean Boivin & Marc Giannoni, 2006. "DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment," NBER Technical Working Papers 0332, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Boivin, J. & Giannoni, M., 2007. "DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment," Working papers 162, Banque de France.
- Sandra Eickmeier & Joerg Breitung, 2006. "Business cycle transmission from the euro area to CEECs," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 229, Society for Computational Economics.
- Fabio C. Bagliano & Claudio Morana, 2006. "A New Approach to Factor Vector Autoregressive Estimation with an Application to Large-Scale Macroeconometric Modelling," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 28, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
- In Choi & Hanbat Jeong, 2019.
"Model selection for factor analysis: Some new criteria and performance comparisons,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(6), pages 577-596, July.
- In Choi, 2012. "Model Selection for Factor Analysis: Some New Criteria and Performance Comparisons," Working Papers 1209, Nam Duck-Woo Economic Research Institute, Sogang University (Former Research Institute for Market Economy).
- James N. Blignaut & Jan H. van Heerden, 2015. "Is Water Shedding Next?," Working Papers 50, Economic Research Southern Africa.
- Belviso Francesco & Milani Fabio, 2006.
"Structural Factor-Augmented VARs (SFAVARs) and the Effects of Monetary Policy,"
The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(3), pages 1-46, December.
- Francesco Belviso & Fabio Milani, 2005. "Structural Factor-Augmented VAR (SFAVAR) and the Effects of Monetary Policy," Macroeconomics 0503023, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Andrea Beltratti & Claudio Morana, 2008. "International shocks and national house prices," ICER Working Papers - Applied Mathematics Series 14-2008, ICER - International Centre for Economic Research.
- Alain Kabundi, 2009. "Synchronisation Between South Africa And The U.S.: A Structural Dynamic Factor Analysis," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 77(1), pages 1-27, March.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kapetanios, George, 2006.
"Impulse Response Functions from Structural Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Evaluation,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5621, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & George Kapetanios, 2006. "Impulse Response Functions from Structural Dynamic Factor Models:A Monte Carlo Evaluation," Working Papers 306, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Elmer Sterken, 2004.
"The Role of the IFO Business Climate Indicator and Asset Prices in German Monetary Policy,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
1204, CESifo.
- Elmer Sterken, 2005. "The Role of the Ifo Business Climate Indicator and Asset Prices in German Monetary Policy," Contributions to Economics, in: Jan-Egbert Sturm & Timo Wollmershäuser (ed.), Ifo Survey Data in Business Cycle and Monetary Policy Analysis, pages 173-201, Springer.
- Alain Kabundi & Elsabé Loots, 2009. "Patterns of co-movement between a developed and emerging market economy: The case of South Africa and Germany," Working Papers 159, Economic Research Southern Africa.
- Ansgar Belke & Wim Kösters & Martin Leschke & Thorsten Polleit, 2005. "Back to the rules," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim 268/2005, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany.
- Kabundi, Alain & Nadal De Simone, Francisco, 2012. "Recent French relative export performance: Is there a competitiveness problem?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1408-1435.
- Juho Koistinen & Bernd Funovits, 2022. "Estimation of Impulse-Response Functions with Dynamic Factor Models: A New Parametrization," Papers 2202.00310, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
- Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Forni, Mario, 2003. "Opening the Black Box: Structural Factor Models versus Structural VARs," CEPR Discussion Papers 4133, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Eickmeier, Sandra, 2005. "Common stationary and non-stationary factors in the euro area analyzed in a large-scale factor model," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2005,02, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Jean Boivin & Serena Ng, 2003.
"Are More Data Always Better for Factor Analysis?,"
NBER Working Papers
9829, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Boivin, Jean & Ng, Serena, 2006. "Are more data always better for factor analysis?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 169-194, May.
- Sandra Eickmeier, 2009. "Comovements and heterogeneity in the euro area analyzed in a non-stationary dynamic factor model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(6), pages 933-959.
- MOLTENI, Francesco, PAPPA, Evi, 2017.
"The Combination of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Shocks: A TVP-FAVAR Approach,"
Economics Working Papers
MWP 2017/13, European University Institute.
- Pappa, Evi & Molteni, Francesco, 2017. "The Combination of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Shocks: A TVP-FAVAR Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 12541, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- In Choi, 2011. "Efficient Estimation of Nonstationary Factor Models," Working Papers 1101, Nam Duck-Woo Economic Research Institute, Sogang University (Former Research Institute for Market Economy), revised Jun 2011.
- Benoit Mojon, 2007. "Monetary policy, output composition and the Great Moderation," Working Paper Series WP-07-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Fladung, Michael, 2007. "Spill-over effects of monetary policy: a progress report on interest rate convergence in Europe," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2007,27, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Blaes, Barno, 2009. "Money and monetary policy transmission in the euro area: evidence from FAVAR- and VAR approaches," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2009,18, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Eickmeier, Sandra & Breitung, Jorg, 2006. "How synchronized are new EU member states with the euro area? Evidence from a structural factor model," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 538-563, September.
- Tais Carestiato Da Silva & Helder Ferreira De Mendonça, 2011. "Setting The Interest Rate For Twooutlier Countries," Anais do XXXVIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 38th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 207, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
- Gary Koop & Simon Potter, 2003.
"Forecasting in Large Macroeconomic Panels using Bayesian Model Averaging,"
Discussion Papers in Economics
04/16, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Sala, Luca & Giannone, Domenico, 2002.
"VARs, Common Factors and the Empirical Validation of Equilibrium Business Cycle Models,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3701, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Sala, Luca, 2006. "VARs, common factors and the empirical validation of equilibrium business cycle models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 257-279, May.
- Domenica Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2004. "VARs, Common Factors and the Empirical Validation of Equilibrium Business Cycle Models," Working Papers 258, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2006. "VARs, common factors and the empirical validation of equilibrium business cycle models," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/10127, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Cited by:
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2011.
"No News in Business Cycles,"
Working Papers
535, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2013. "No News in Business Cycles," Working Papers 491, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2014. "No News in Business Cycles," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 124(581), pages 1168-1191, December.
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2011. "No News in Business Cycles," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 862.11, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2011. "No news in business cycles," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 063, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Forni, Mario & Sala, Luca & Gambetti, Luca, 2011. "No News in Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 8274, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2011. "No News in Business Cycles," Working Papers 383, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Forni, Mario & Cavicchioli, Maddalena & Lippi, Marco & Zaffaroni, Paolo, 2016. "Eigenvalue Ratio Estimators for the Number of Common Factors," CEPR Discussion Papers 11440, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Zsolt Darvas & György Szapáry, 2008.
"Business Cycle Synchronization in the Enlarged EU,"
Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 1-19, February.
- Szapáry, György & Darvas, Zsolt, 2005. "Business Cycle Sychronization in the Enlarged EU," CEPR Discussion Papers 5179, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Zsolt Darvas & György Szapáry, 2006. "Business Cycle Synchronization in the Enlarged EU," Working Papers 0604, Department of Mathematical Economics and Economic Analysis, Corvinus University of Budapest.
- Lucia Alessi & Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Capasso, 2009. "A Robust Criterion for Determining the Number of Factors in Approximate Factor Models," Working Papers ECARES 2009_023, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Michele Modugno, 2015.
"Nowcasting Business Cycles: a Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2015-66, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Antonello D’Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Michele Modugno, 2016. "Nowcasting Business Cycles: A Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 569-594, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Jeroen V.K. Rombouts & Jakob Guldbæk Mikkelsen, 2017. "Testing for time-varying loadings in dynamic factor models," CREATES Research Papers 2017-22, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Tibor Szendrei & Katalin Varga, 2020. "FISS – A Factor-based Index of Systemic Stress in the Financial System," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 79(1), pages 3-34, March.
- Chevallier, Julien, 2011.
"Macroeconomics, finance, commodities: Interactions with carbon markets in a data-rich model,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1-2), pages 557-567, January.
- Chevallier, Julien, 2011. "Macroeconomics, finance, commodities: Interactions with carbon markets in a data-rich model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 557-567.
- Julien Chevallier, 2011. "Macroeconomics, finance, commodities: Interactions with carbon markets in a data-rich model," Post-Print hal-00991961, HAL.
- Davide Brignone & Alessandro Franconi & Marco Mazzali, 2023. "Robust Impulse Responses using External Instruments: the Role of Information," Papers 2307.06145, arXiv.org.
- Francesco Lamperti, 2018. "Empirical validation of simulated models through the GSL-div: an illustrative application," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 13(1), pages 143-171, April.
- Özer Karagedikli & Troy Matheson & Christie Smith & Shaun P. Vahey, 2007.
"RBCs and DSGEs:The Computational Approach to Business Cycle Theory and Evidence,"
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series
DP2007/15, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Özer Karagedikli & Troy Matheson & Christie Smith & Shaun Vahey, 2008. "RBCs and DSGEs: The Computational Approach to Business Cycle Theory and Evidence," Working Paper 2008/17, Norges Bank.
- Özer Karagedikli & Troy Matheson & Christie Smith & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010. "RBCs AND DSGEs: THE COMPUTATIONAL APPROACH TO BUSINESS CYCLE THEORY AND EVIDENCE," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(1), pages 113-136, February.
- Marc Hallin & Roman Liska, 2008.
"Dynamic Factors in the Presence of Block Structure,"
Working Papers ECARES
2008_012, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Marc Hallin & Roman Liska, 2008. "Dynamic Factors in the Presence of Block Structure," Economics Working Papers ECO2008/22, European University Institute.
- Mario Forni & Domenico Giannone & Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008.
"Opening the Black Box: Structural Factor Models with Large Cross-Sections,"
Working Papers ECARES
2008_036, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Forni, Mario & Giannone, Domenico & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2007. "Opening the black box: structural factor models with large cross-sections," Working Paper Series 712, European Central Bank.
- Forni, Mario & Giannone, Domenico & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2009. "Opening The Black Box: Structural Factor Models With Large Cross Sections," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(5), pages 1319-1347, October.
- Mario Forni & Domenico Giannone & Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2007. "Opening the Black Box: Structural Factor Models with Large Cross-Sections," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 008, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2014.
"Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth,"
Discussion Papers
1604, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), revised Jan 2016.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2017. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 81869, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86243, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2017. "Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 99(2), pages 343-356, May.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," Bank of England working papers 587, Bank of England.
- Fabio Canova & Filippo Ferroni, 2009.
"Multiple filtering devices for the estimation of cyclical DSGE models,"
Economics Working Papers
1135, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Sep 2010.
- Fabio Canova & Filippo Ferroni, 2011. "Multiple filtering devices for the estimation of cyclical DSGE models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 2(1), pages 73-98, March.
- Fabio Canova & Filippo Ferroni, 2010. "Multiple Filtering Devices for the Estimation of Cyclical DSGE Models," Working Papers 498, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Gregor B urle, 2008. "Priors from DSGE Models for Dynamic Factor Analysis," Diskussionsschriften dp0803, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
- Forni, Mario & Gambetti, Luca, 2010.
"The dynamic effects of monetary policy: A structural factor model approach,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(2), pages 203-216, March.
- Forni, Mario & Gambetti, Luca, 2008. "The Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy: A Structural Factor Model Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 7098, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti, 2008. "The dynamic e ects of monetary policy: A structural factor model approach," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 026, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- AMMOURI, Bilel & TOUMI, Hassen & Zitouna, Habib, 2015. "Forecasting Inflation in Tunisia Using Dynamic Factors Model," MPRA Paper 65514, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kyriaki-Argyro Tsioptsia & Eleni Zafeiriou & Dimitrios Niklis & Nikolaos Sariannidis & Constantin Zopounidis, 2022. "The Corporate Economic Performance of Environmentally Eligible Firms Nexus Climate Change: An Empirical Research in a Bayesian VAR Framework," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-16, October.
- Forni, Mario & Gambetti, Luca, 2010.
"Macroeconomic Shocks and the Business Cycle: Evidence from a Structural Factor Model,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7692, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti, 2010. "Macroeconomic Shocks and the Business Cycle: Evidence from a Structural Factor Model," Working Papers 440, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti, 2010. "Macroeconomic Shocks and the Business Cycle: Evidence from a Structural Factor Model," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 850.10, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti, 2010. "Macroeconomic Shocks and the Business Cycle: Evidence from a Structural Factor Model," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 040, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Francesco Lamperti, 2016. "Empirical Validation of Simulated Models through the GSL-div: an Illustrative Application," LEM Papers Series 2016/18, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Simon Freyaldenhoven, 2019.
"A Generalized Factor Model with Local Factors,"
Working Papers
19-23, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Simon Freyaldenhoven, 2017. "A Generalized Factor Model with Local Factors," 2017 Papers pfr361, Job Market Papers.
- Eric M. Leeper & Todd B. Walker & Shu-Chun Susan Yang, 2008.
"Fiscal Foresight: Analytics and Econometrics,"
NBER Working Papers
14028, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Eric M. Leeper & Todd B. Walker & Shu-Chun Susan Yang, 2008. "Fiscal Foresight: Analytics and Econometrics," CAEPR Working Papers 2008-013, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
- Giancarlo Corsetti & Luca Dedola & Sylvain Leduc, 2006.
"Productivity, External Balance and Exchange Rates: Evidence on the Transmission Mechanism Among G7 Countries,"
NBER Working Papers
12483, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Corsetti, Giancarlo & Dedola, Luca & Leduc, Sylvain, 2006. "Productivity, External Balance and Exchange Rates: Evidence on the Transmission Mechanism among G7 Countries," CEPR Discussion Papers 5853, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giancarlo Corsetti & Luca Dedola & Sylvain Leduc, 2008. "Productivity, External Balance, and Exchange Rates: Evidence on the Transmission Mechanism among G7 Countries," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2006, pages 117-194, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Giancarlo Corsetti & Luca Dedola & Sylvain Leduc, 2006. "Productivity, external balance and exchange rates: evidence on the transmission mechanism among G7 countries," Economics Working Papers ECO2006/39, European University Institute.
- Francesco Lamperti, 2015. "An Information Theoretic Criterion for Empirical Validation of Time Series Models," LEM Papers Series 2015/02, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Dupaigne, M. & Fève, P. & Matheron, J., 2005.
"Technology Shock and Employment: Do We Really Need DSGE Models with a Fall in Hours?,"
Working papers
124, Banque de France.
- Dupaigne, Martial & Fève, Patrick & Matheron, Julien, 2005. "Technology Shocks and Employment: Do We Really Need DSGE Models with a Fall in Hours?," IDEI Working Papers 349, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse.
- Lucia Alessi & Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Capasso, 2007.
"A Review of Nonfundamentalness and Identification in Structural VAR Models,"
LEM Papers Series
2007/22, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Alessi, Lucia & Barigozzi, Matteo & Capasso, Marco, 2008. "A review of nonfundamentalness and identification in structural VAR models," Working Paper Series 922, European Central Bank.
- Luca Sala & Luca Gambetti & Mario Forni, 2016.
"VAR Information and the Empirical Validation of DSGE Models,"
2016 Meeting Papers
260, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Forni, Mario & Gambetti, Luca & Sala, Luca, 2016. "VAR Information and the Empirical Validation of DSGE Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 11178, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2016. "VAR Information and the Empirical Validation of DSGE Models," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 119, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Giancarlo Corsetti & Luca Dedola & Sylvain Leduc, 2007. "Productivity and the dollar," Working Paper Series 2007-27, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Bodnar, Taras & Reiß, Markus, 2016. "Exact and asymptotic tests on a factor model in low and large dimensions with applications," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 125-151.
- Minxian Yang, 2017. "Effects of idiosyncratic shocks on macroeconomic time series," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 1441-1461, December.
- Francesco Bianchi & Giovanni Nicolo & Dongho Song, 2023. "Inflation and Real Activity over the Business Cycle," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-038, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & marco Lippi & Luca Sala, 2020.
"Common Components Structural VARs,"
Center for Economic Research (RECent)
147, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Forni, Mario & Gambetti, Luca & Lippi, Marco & Sala, Luca, 2020. "Common Component Structural VARs," CEPR Discussion Papers 15529, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2018. "Fundamentalness, Granger Causality and Aggregation," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 139, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Petrella, Ivan & Drechsel, Thomas & Antolin-Diaz, Juan, 2014. "Following the Trend: Tracking GDP when Long-Run Growth is Uncertain," CEPR Discussion Papers 10272, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- António Rua & Francisco Craveiro Dias, 2008. "Determining the number of factors in approximate factor models with global and group-specific factors," Working Papers w200809, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Dias Francisco & Rua António & Pinheiro Maximiano, 2013. "Determining the number of global and country-specific factors in the euro area," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(5), pages 573-617, December.
- Lamperti, Francesco, 2018. "An information theoretic criterion for empirical validation of simulation models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 83-106.
- Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Forni, Mario, 2003. "Opening the Black Box: Structural Factor Models versus Structural VARs," CEPR Discussion Papers 4133, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Piyachart Phiromswad & Takeshi Yagihashi, 2016. "Empirical identification of factor models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 621-658, September.
- Raffaella Giacomini, 2013. "The relationship between DSGE and VAR models," CeMMAP working papers CWP21/13, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Hallin, Marc & Liska, Roman, 2011. "Dynamic factors in the presence of blocks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 163(1), pages 29-41, July.
- rea cipollini & giuseppe missaglia, 2005. "Business cycle effects on Portfolio Credit Risk: scenario generation through Dynamic Factor analysis," Finance 0502010, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Raffaella Giacomini, 2013. "The relationship between DSGE and VAR models," CeMMAP working papers 21/13, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Renee Fry & Adrian Pagan, 2005. "Some Issues In Using Vars For Macroeconometric Research," CAMA Working Papers 2005-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Darvas, Zsolt & Szapáry, György, 2004. "Konjunktúraciklusok együttmozgása a régi és új EU-tagországokban [Business cycle harmonization in new and old EU member-states]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(5), pages 415-448.
- Barhoumi, K. & Darné, O. & Ferrara, L., 2013.
"Dynamic Factor Models: A review of the Literature ,"
Working papers
430, Banque de France.
- Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2014. "Dynamic factor models: A review of the literature," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2013(2), pages 73-107.
- Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2013. "Dynamic factor models: A review of the literature," Post-Print hal-01385974, HAL.
- Wang, Zongrun & Zhou, Ling & Mi, Yunlong & Shi, Yong, 2022. "Measuring dynamic pandemic-related policy effects: A time-varying parameter multi-level dynamic factor model approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
- Daniel Wochner, 2020. "Dynamic Factor Trees and Forests – A Theory-led Machine Learning Framework for Non-Linear and State-Dependent Short-Term U.S. GDP Growth Predictions," KOF Working papers 20-472, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Zhao Zhao & Guowei Cui & Shaoping Wang, 2017. "A Monte Carlo comparison of estimating the number of dynamic factors," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(3), pages 1217-1241, November.
- Dordonnat, Virginie & Koopman, Siem Jan & Ooms, Marius, 2012. "Dynamic factors in periodic time-varying regressions with an application to hourly electricity load modelling," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3134-3152.
Articles
- Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo & Ferreira, Thiago R.T. & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele, 2024.
"Back to the present: Learning about the euro area through a now-casting model,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 661-686.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2021. "Back to the Present: Learning about the Euro Area through a Now-casting Model," International Finance Discussion Papers 1313, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022.
"Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Lenza, Michele & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15854, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 2453, European Central Bank.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2021.
"Economic Predictions With Big Data: The Illusion of Sparsity,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(5), pages 2409-2437, September.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2018. "Economic Predictions with Big Data: The Illusion of Sparsity," Liberty Street Economics 20180521, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2018. "Economic predictions with big data: the illusion of sparsity," Staff Reports 847, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2021. "Economic predictions with big data: the illusion of sparsity," Working Paper Series 2542, European Central Bank.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio, 2017. "Economic Predictions with Big Data: The Illusion Of Sparsity," CEPR Discussion Papers 12256, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Adams, Patrick A. & Adrian, Tobias & Boyarchenko, Nina & Giannone, Domenico, 2021.
"Forecasting macroeconomic risks,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1173-1191.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Adrian, Tobias & Adams, Patrick & Boyarchenko, Nina & Giannone, Domenico, 2020. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Risks," CEPR Discussion Papers 14436, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Patrick A. Adams & Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2020. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Risks," Staff Reports 914, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2021.
"Multimodality In Macrofinancial Dynamics,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 62(2), pages 861-886, May.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2019. "Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics," Staff Reports 903, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Boyarchenko, Nina & Adrian, Tobias & Giannone, Domenico, 2020. "Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers 15088, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2019.
"Money, Credit, Monetary Policy, and the Business Cycle in the Euro Area: What Has Changed Since the Crisis?,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(5), pages 137-173, December.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2019. "Money, credit, monetary policy, and the business cycle in the euro area: what has changed since the crisis?," Staff Reports 885, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2019. "Money, credit, monetary policy and the business cycle in the euro area: what has changed since the crisis?," Working Paper Series 2226, European Central Bank.
- Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2019.
"Vulnerable Growth,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(4), pages 1263-1289, April.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Adrian, Tobias & Boyarchenko, Nina & Giannone, Domenico, 2016. "Vulnerable Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 11583, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2018. "Vulnerable Growth," Liberty Street Economics 20180409, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone & Tobias Adrian, 2017. "Vulnerable Growth," 2017 Meeting Papers 1317, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2016. "Vulnerable growth," Staff Reports 794, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2019.
"Priors for the Long Run,"
Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 114(526), pages 565-580, April.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2017. "Priors for the long run," Staff Reports 832, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2018. "Priors for the long run," Working Paper Series 2132, European Central Bank.
- Primiceri, Giorgio & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2016. "Priors for the Long Run," CEPR Discussion Papers 11261, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Del Negro, Marco & Giannone, Domenico & Giannoni, Marc P. & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2019.
"Global trends in interest rates,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 248-262.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2018, pages 248-262, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
See citations under working paper version above.- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc P. Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," NBER Working Papers 25039, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," Working Papers 1812, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global trends in interest rates," Staff Reports 866, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Brandyn Bok & Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Eric Qian & Andrea Tambalotti, 2019. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," Liberty Street Economics 20190227, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Marco Del Negro & Andrea Tambalotti & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni, 2019. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," 2019 Meeting Papers 77, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Brandyn Bok & Daniele Caratelli & Domenico Giannone & Argia M. Sbordone & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018.
"Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data,"
Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 615-643, August.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Brandyn Bok & Daniele Caratelli & Domenico Giannone & Argia M. Sbordone & Andrea Tambalotti, 2017. "Macroeconomic nowcasting and forecasting with big data," Staff Reports 830, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Tambalotti, Andrea & Sbordone, Argia & Bok, Brandyn & Caratelli, Daniele, 2018. "Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 12589, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Delle Chiaie, Simona & Ferrara, Laurent & Giannone, Domenico, 2018.
"Common factors of commodity prices,"
Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 51.
- Simona Delle Chiaie & Laurent Ferrara & Domenico Giannone, 2022. "Common factors of commodity prices," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 461-476, April.
See citations under working paper version above.- Delle Chiaie, Simona & Ferrara, Laurent & Giannone, Domenico, 2017. "Common factors of commodity prices," Working Paper Series 2112, European Central Bank.
- Giannone, Domenico & Ferrara, Laurent & Delle Chiaie, Simona, 2018. "Common Factors of Commodity Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 12767, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- S. Delle Chiaie & L. Ferrara & D. Giannone, 2017. "Common Factors of Commodity Prices," Working papers 645, Banque de France.
- Altavilla, Carlo & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele, 2017.
"Low frequency effects of macroeconomic news on government bond yields,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 31-46.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2014. "Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-52, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2014. "Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields," CSEF Working Papers 372, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Modugno, 2014. "Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-34, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc P. Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2017.
"Safety, Liquidity, and the Natural Rate of Interest,"
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 48(1 (Spring), pages 235-316.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2017. "Safety, liquidity, and the natural rate of interest," Staff Reports 812, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Marc Giannoni & Domenico Giannone & Andrea Tambalotti & Marco Del Negro, 2017. "Safety, Liquidity, and the Natural Rate of Interest," 2017 Meeting Papers 803, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- A. Colangelo & D. Giannone & M. Lenza & H. Pill & L. Reichlin, 2017.
"The national segmentation of euro area bank balance sheets during the financial crisis,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 247-265, August.
Cited by:
- Marie‐Hélène Gagnon & Céline Gimet, 2023.
"One size may not fit all: Financial fragmentation and European monetary policies,"
Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 305-340, February.
- Marie‐hélène Gagnon & Céline Gimet, 2023. "One size may not fit all: Financial fragmentation and European monetary policies," Post-Print hal-03777950, HAL.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019.
"Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different,"
SciencePo Working papers Main
hal-03403269, HAL.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Caruso, Alberto & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Financial and Fiscal Interaction in the Euro Area Crisis: This Time was Different," CEPR Discussion Papers 13016, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," Post-Print hal-03403613, HAL.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different," Sciences Po publications 11, Sciences Po.
- Caruso, Alberto & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Financial and Fiscal Interaction in the Euro Area Crisis : This Time was Different," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1167, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Albert Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis : this time was different," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2019-11, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/4u5amfvji89, Sciences Po.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03403613, HAL.
- Caruso, Alberto & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 333-355.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different," Working Papers hal-03403269, HAL.
- Nikolay Hristov & Oliver Hülsewig & Johann Scharler, 2020.
"Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the Sovereign-Bank Nexus,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
8178, CESifo.
- Hristov, Nikolay & Hülsewig, Oliver & Scharler, Johann, 2020. "Unconventional monetary policy shocks in the euro area and the sovereign-bank nexus," Discussion Papers 19/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Nikolay Hristov & Oliver Hülsewig & Johann Scharler, 2021. "Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the Sovereign-Bank Nexus," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(3), pages 337-383, September.
- Andreas Beyer & Benoît Coeuré & Caterina Mendicino, 2017. "Foreword – The crisis, ten years after: Lessons learnt for monetary and financial research," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 494-495-4, pages 45-64.
- Marie‐Hélène Gagnon & Céline Gimet, 2023.
"One size may not fit all: Financial fragmentation and European monetary policies,"
Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 305-340, February.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone, 2017.
"The Effectiveness of Non‐Standard Monetary Policy Measures: Evidence from Survey Data,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(5), pages 952-964, August.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Altavilla, Carlo & Giannone, Domenico, 2016. "The effectiveness of non-standard monetary policy measures: evidence from survey data," Working Paper Series 1951, European Central Bank.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone, 2014. "The effectiveness of non-standard monetary policy measures: evidence from survey data," Working Papers CASMEF 1406, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
- Giannone, Domenico & Altavilla, Carlo, 2014. "The Effectiveness of Non-Standard Monetary Policy Measures: Evidence from Survey Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 10001, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone, 2014. "The Effectiveness of Non-Standard Monetary Policy Measures: Evidence from Survey Data," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-30, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone, 2015. "The effectiveness of nonstandard monetary policy measures: evidence from survey data," Staff Reports 752, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2016.
"The Financial and Macroeconomic Effects of the OMT Announcements,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 12(3), pages 29-57, September.
- Michele Lenza, 2015. "The financial and macroeconomic effects of OMT announcements," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 22, pages 12-16.
See citations under working paper version above.- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2014. "The Financial and Macroeconomic Effects of the OMT Announcements," CSEF Working Papers 352, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Altavilla, Carlo, 2014. "The Financial and Macroeconomic Effects of OMT Announcements," CEPR Discussion Papers 10025, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giannone, Domenico & Altavilla, Carlo & Lenza, Michele, 2014. "The financial and macroeconomic effects of OMT announcements," Working Paper Series 1707, European Central Bank.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza, 2014. "The Financial and Macroeconomic Effects of OMT Announcements," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-31, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2016.
"Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 201-215.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Domenico Giannone & Francesca Monti & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2015. "Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting," Staff Reports 751, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2014. "Exploiting the monthly data-flow in structural forecasting," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 57998, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti , Francesca & Reichlin , Lucrezia, 2014. "Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting," Bank of England working papers 509, Bank of England.
- Domenico Giannone & Francesca Monti & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2014. "Exploiting the monthly data-flow in structural forecasting," Discussion Papers 1416, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Laura Coroneo & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2016.
"Unspanned Macroeconomic Factors in the Yield Curve,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 472-485, July.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Laura Coroneo & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2014. "Unspanned macroeconomic factors in the yield curve," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-57, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Laura Coroneo & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Modugno, 2013. "Unspanned Macroeconomic Factors in the Yields Curve," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2013-07, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2015.
"Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(2), pages 436-451, May.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2012. "Prior selection for vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 1494, European Central Bank.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-002, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 8755, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," NBER Working Papers 18467, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Bańbura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2015.
"Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 739-756.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta & Lenza, Michele, 2014. "Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections," CEPR Discussion Papers 9931, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza, 2014. "Conditional Forecasts and Scenario Analysis with Vector Autoregressions for Large Cross-Sections," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-15, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Bańbura, Marta & Lenza, Michele, 2014. "Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections," Working Paper Series 1733, European Central Bank.
- Conflitti, Cristina & De Mol, Christine & Giannone, Domenico, 2015.
"Optimal combination of survey forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1096-1103.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Giannone, Domenico & De Mol, Christine & Conflitti, Cristina, 2012. "Optimal Combination of Survey Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 9096, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cristina Conflitti & Christine De Mol & Domenico Giannone, 2012. "Optimal Combination of Survey Forecasts," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-023, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Momferatou, Daphne & Onorante, Luca, 2014.
"Short-term inflation projections: A Bayesian vector autoregressive approach,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 635-644.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Onorante, Luca & Momferatou, Daphne, 2010. "Short-Term Inflation Projections: a Bayesian Vector Autoregressive approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 7746, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Daphné Momferatu & Luca Onorante, 2010. "Short-term inflation projections: a Bayesian vector autoregressive approach," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2010-011, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2013.
"Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 82-101, January.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Giannone, Domenico & D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2010. "Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change," Working Paper Series 1167, European Central Bank.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca & Giannone, Domenico & Giannone, Domenico, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Research Technical Papers 8/RT/09, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Giannone, Domenico & D’Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," CEPR Discussion Papers 7542, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Working Papers ECARES 2009_020, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Huw Pill & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012.
"The ECB and the Interbank Market,"
Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 122(564), pages 467-486, November.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Lenza, Michele, 2012. "The ECB and the interbank market," Working Paper Series 1496, European Central Bank.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Pill, Huw & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2012. "The ECB and the Interbank Market," CEPR Discussion Papers 8844, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Huw Pill & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "The ECB and the Interbank Market," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-005, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012.
"A Quasi–Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1014-1024, November.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00638440, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-00638440, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers ECARES 2008_034, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," Post-Print hal-00638440, HAL.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Doz, Catherine & Giannone, Domenico, 2006. "A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 5724, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Doz, Catherine & Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2006. "A quasi maximum likelihood approach for large approximate dynamic factor models," Working Paper Series 674, European Central Bank.
- Antonello D’ Agostino & Domenico Giannone, 2012.
"Comparing Alternative Predictors Based on Large‐Panel Factor Models,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 74(2), pages 306-326, April.
See citations under working paper version above.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Giannone, Domenico, 2006. "Comparing alternative predictors based on large-panel factor models," Working Paper Series 680, European Central Bank.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Giannone, Domenico, 2006. "Comparing Alternative Predictors Based on Large-Panel Factor Models," Research Technical Papers 14/RT/06, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Giannone, Domenico & D’Agostino, Antonello, 2007. "Comparing Alternative Predictors Based on Large-Panel Factor Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 6564, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Jérôme Henry & Magdalena Lalik & Michele Modugno, 2012.
"An Area-Wide Real-Time Database for the Euro Area,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1000-1013, November.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Henry, Jerome & Giannone, Domenico & Lalik, Magdalena & Modugno, Michele, 2010. "An Area-Wide Real-Time Database for the Euro Area," CEPR Discussion Papers 7673, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Jérôme Henry & Magdalena Lalik & Michèle Modugno, 2010. "An Area Wide Real Time Data Base for the Euro Area," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2010-026, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Henry, Jérôme & Lalik, Magdalena & Modugno, Michele, 2010. "An area-wide real-time database for the euro area," Working Paper Series 1145, European Central Bank.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2011.
"Market Freedom and the Global Recession,"
IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 59(1), pages 111-135, April.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2011. "Market freedom and the global recession," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/261757, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2010. "Market freedom and the global recession," CEPR Discussion Papers 7884, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Market Freedom and the Global Recession," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2010-020, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Doz, Catherine & Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2011.
"A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 188-205, September.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2011. "A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," Post-Print hal-00638009, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2011. "A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00638009, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2011. "A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," Post-Print hal-00844811, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2011. "A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-00638009, HAL.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Doz, Catherine & Giannone, Domenico, 2007. "A Two-Step Estimator for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models Based on Kalman Filtering," CEPR Discussion Papers 6043, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Catherine Doz & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2006. "A Two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering," THEMA Working Papers 2006-23, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
- Elena Angelini & Gonzalo Camba‐Mendez & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Gerhard Rünstler, 2011.
"Short‐term forecasts of euro area GDP growth,"
Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 14(1), pages 25-44, February.
- Elena Angelini & Gonzalo Camba‐Mendez & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Gerhard Rünstler, 2011. "Short‐term forecasts of euro area GDP growth," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 14, pages 25-44, February.
See citations under working paper version above.- Angelini, Elena & Camba-Méndez, Gonzalo & Rünstler, Gerhard & Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2008. "Short-term forecasts of euro area GDP growth," Working Paper Series 949, European Central Bank.
- Elena Angelini & Gonzalo Camba-Mendez & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Gerhard Rünstler, 2008. "Short-Term Forecasts of Euro Area GDP Growth," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2008-035, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Camba-Mendez, Gonzalo & Angelini, Elena & Rünstler, Gerhard & Giannone, Domenico, 2008. "Short-term Forecasts of Euro Area GDP Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 6746, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2010.
"The Feldstein-Horioka Fact,"
NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 6(1), pages 103-117.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2010. "The Feldstein-Horioka Fact," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2009, pages 103-117, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
See citations under working paper version above.- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza, 2009. "The Feldstein-Horioka Fact," Working Papers ECARES 2009_022, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2008. "The Feldstein-Horioka fact," Working Paper Series 873, European Central Bank.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2009. "The Feldstein-Horioka fact," NBER Working Papers 15519, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2004. "The Feldstein-Horioka Fact," CEPR Discussion Papers 4610, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marta Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010.
"Large Bayesian vector auto regressions,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 71-92.
- Marta Bańbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Large Bayesian vector auto regressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 71-92, January.
See citations under working paper version above.- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta, 2007. "Bayesian VARs with Large Panels," CEPR Discussion Papers 6326, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Martha Banbura & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Large Bayesian vector auto regressions," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/13388, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Large Bayesian VARs," Working Papers ECARES 2008_033, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Marta Bańbura, 2008. "Large Bayesian VARs," 2008 Meeting Papers 334, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Simonelli, Saverio, 2009.
"Nowcasting Euro Area Economic Activity in Real Time: The Role of Confidence Indicators,"
National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 210, pages 90-97, October.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Saverio Simonelli, 2009. "Nowcasting Euro Area Economic Activity In Real Time: The Role Of Confidence Indicators," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 210(1), pages 90-97, October.
See citations under working paper version above.- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Saverio Simonelli, 2009. "Nowcasting Euro Area Economic Activity in Real-Time: The Role of Confidence Indicators," CSEF Working Papers 240, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Saverio Simonelli, 2009. "Nowcasting Euro Area Economic Activity in Real-Time: The Role of Confidence Indicator," Working Papers ECARES 2009_021, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2009.
"Comments on "Forecasting economic and financial variables with global VARs","
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 684-686, October.
Cited by:
- Tomáš Slacík & Katharina Steiner & Julia Wörz, 2014. "Can Trade Partners Help Better FORCEE the Future? Impact of Trade Linkages on Economic Growth Forecasts in Selected CESEE Countries," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 36-56.
- Arnold Zellner & Jacques Kibambe Ngoie, 2015.
"Evaluation of the Effects of Reduced Personal and Corporate Tax Rates on the Growth Rates of the U.S. Economy,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1-2), pages 56-81, February.
- Arnold Zellner & Jacques K. Ngoie, 2012. "Evaluation of the Effects of Reduced Personal and Corporate Tax Rates on the Growth Rates of the U.S. Economy," Working Papers 280, Economic Research Southern Africa.
- Jacques Kibambe Ngoie & Arnold Zellner, 2012. "Evaluation of the Effects of Reduced Personal and Corporate Tax Rates on the Growth Rates of the U.S. Economy," Working Papers 201217, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Jesús Crespo Cuaresma & Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber, 2016. "Forecasting with Global Vector Autoregressive Models: a Bayesian Approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1371-1391, November.
- Gregor Bäurle & Elizabeth Steiner & Gabriel Züllig, 2021.
"Forecasting the production side of GDP,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 458-480, April.
- Dr. Gregor Bäurle & Elizabeth Steiner & Dr. Gabriel Züllig, 2018. "Forecasting the production side of GDP," Working Papers 2018-16, Swiss National Bank.
- Helmut Herwartz, 2011. "Forecast accuracy and uncertainty in applied econometrics: a recommendation of specific-to-general predictor selection," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 487-510, October.
- Yu Bai & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022.
"Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context,"
Working Papers
22-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Yu Bai & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi‐country context," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 1230-1255, September.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Bai, Yu & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2022. "Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context," CEPR Discussion Papers 16994, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Camehl, Annika, 2023. "Penalized estimation of panel vector autoregressive models: A panel LASSO approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1185-1204.
- Florian Huber & Jesus Crespo-Cuaresma & Martin Feldkircher, 2014. "Forecasting with Bayesian Global Vector Autoregressions," ERSA conference papers ersa14p25, European Regional Science Association.
- Jesús Crespo Cuaresma & Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber, 2014. "Forecasting with Bayesian Global Vector Autoregressive Models: A Comparison of Priors," Working Papers 189, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
- Forni, Mario & Giannone, Domenico & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2009.
"Opening The Black Box: Structural Factor Models With Large Cross Sections,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(5), pages 1319-1347, October.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Mario Forni & Domenico Giannone & Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2007. "Opening the Black Box: Structural Factor Models with Large Cross-Sections," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 008, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Mario Forni & Domenico Giannone & Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Opening the Black Box: Structural Factor Models with Large Cross-Sections," Working Papers ECARES 2008_036, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Forni, Mario & Giannone, Domenico & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2007. "Opening the black box: structural factor models with large cross-sections," Working Paper Series 712, European Central Bank.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2009.
"Business cycles in the euro area,"
Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 8, pages 5-7.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Business Cycles in the Euro Area," NBER Chapters, in: Europe and the Euro, pages 141-167, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
See citations under working paper version above.- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2009. "Business Cycles in the Euro Area," CEPR Discussion Papers 7124, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Business Cycles in the euro Area," Working Papers ECARES 2008_040, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Business Cycles in the Euro Area," NBER Working Papers 14529, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Small, David, 2008.
"Nowcasting: The real-time informational content of macroeconomic data,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(4), pages 665-676, May.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & David H. Small, 2005. "Nowcasting GDP and inflation: the real-time informational content of macroeconomic data releases," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2005-42, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Small, David, 2005. "Nowcasting GDP and Inflation: The Real Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases," CEPR Discussion Papers 5178, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & David H Small, 2007. "Nowcasting GDP and Inflation: The Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 164, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
- De Mol, Christine & Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2008.
"Forecasting using a large number of predictors: Is Bayesian shrinkage a valid alternative to principal components?,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 318-328, October.
See citations under working paper version above.
- De Mol, Christine & Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2006. "Forecasting using a large number of predictors: is Bayesian regression a valid alternative to principal components?," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2006,32, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & De Mol, Christine, 2006. "Forecasting Using a Large Number of Predictors: Is Bayesian Regression a Valid Alternative to Principal Components?," CEPR Discussion Papers 5829, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008.
"Explaining The Great Moderation: It Is Not The Shocks,"
Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(2-3), pages 621-633, 04-05.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Explaining the great moderation: it is not the shocks," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/6413, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2008. "Explaining the Great Moderation: it is not the shocks," Working Paper Series 865, European Central Bank.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2007. "Explaining The Great Moderation: It Is Not The Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 6600, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Troy D. Matheson, 2007.
"A New Core Inflation Indicator for New Zealand,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 3(4), pages 145-180, December.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Giannone, Domenico & Matheson, Troy, 2007. "A New Core Inflation Indicator for New Zealand," CEPR Discussion Papers 6469, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Troy Matheson, 2007. "A new core inflation indicator for New Zealand," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/6407, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Domenico Giannone & Troy Matheson, 2006. "A new core inflation indicator for New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2006/02, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2006.
"Does information help recovering structural shocks from past observations?,"
Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 4(2-3), pages 455-465, 04-05.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico, 2006. "Does Information Help Recovering Structural Shocks from Past Observations?," CEPR Discussion Papers 5725, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2006. "Does information help recovering structural shocks from past observations?," Working Paper Series 632, European Central Bank.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2006. "Does information help recovering structural shocks from past observations?," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/166169, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Sala, Luca, 2006.
"VARs, common factors and the empirical validation of equilibrium business cycle models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 257-279, May.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Sala, Luca & Giannone, Domenico, 2002. "VARs, Common Factors and the Empirical Validation of Equilibrium Business Cycle Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 3701, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenica Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2004. "VARs, Common Factors and the Empirical Validation of Equilibrium Business Cycle Models," Working Papers 258, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2006. "VARs, common factors and the empirical validation of equilibrium business cycle models," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/10127, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Chapters
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018.
"Global Trends in Interest Rates,"
NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2018, pages 248-262,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Del Negro, Marco & Giannone, Domenico & Giannoni, Marc P. & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2019. "Global trends in interest rates," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 248-262.
See citations under working paper version above.- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc P. Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," NBER Working Papers 25039, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," Working Papers 1812, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global trends in interest rates," Staff Reports 866, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Brandyn Bok & Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Eric Qian & Andrea Tambalotti, 2019. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," Liberty Street Economics 20190227, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Marco Del Negro & Andrea Tambalotti & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni, 2019. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," 2019 Meeting Papers 77, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Antonello D’Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Michele Modugno, 2016.
"Nowcasting Business Cycles: A Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 569-594,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Michele Modugno, 2015. "Nowcasting Business Cycles: a Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-66, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Bańbura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2013.
"Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 195-237,
Elsevier.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Modugno & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-026, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Bańbura, Marta & Modugno, Michele, 2013. "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," Working Paper Series 1564, European Central Bank.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Banbura, Marta, 2012. "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," CEPR Discussion Papers 9112, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2010.
"The Feldstein-Horioka Fact,"
NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2009, pages 103-117,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2010. "The Feldstein-Horioka Fact," NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 6(1), pages 103-117.
See citations under working paper version above.- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza, 2009. "The Feldstein-Horioka Fact," Working Papers ECARES 2009_022, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2008. "The Feldstein-Horioka fact," Working Paper Series 873, European Central Bank.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2009. "The Feldstein-Horioka fact," NBER Working Papers 15519, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2004. "The Feldstein-Horioka Fact," CEPR Discussion Papers 4610, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone, 2010.
"Comment on "Can Parameter Instability Explain the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle?","
NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2009, pages 180-190,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Cited by:
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2014.
"Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World,"
SIRE Discussion Papers
2014-021, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," Working Paper series 06_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Joseph Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho Ribeiro, 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," Papers 1403.0627, arXiv.org.
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2016. "Exchange rate predictability in a changing world," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1-24.
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," Working Papers 2014_03, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Byrne, Joseph P & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J, 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," MPRA Paper 53684, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2018.
"On The Sources Of Uncertainty In Exchange Rate Predictability,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 59(1), pages 329-357, February.
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2014. "On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability," Working Papers 2014_16, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2014. "On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-24, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Byrne, Joseph P & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J, 2014. "On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability," MPRA Paper 58956, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Mumtaz, Haroon & Sunder-Plassmann, Laura, 2010.
"Time-varying dynamics of the real exchange rate. A structural VAR analysis,"
Bank of England working papers
382, Bank of England.
- Haroon Mumtaz & Laura Sunder‐Plassmann, 2013. "Time‐Varying Dynamics Of The Real Exchange Rate: An Empirical Analysis," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 498-525, April.
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2014.
"Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World,"
SIRE Discussion Papers
2014-021, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010.
"Business Cycles in the Euro Area,"
NBER Chapters, in: Europe and the Euro, pages 141-167,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2009. "Business cycles in the euro area," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 8, pages 5-7.
See citations under working paper version above.- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2009. "Business Cycles in the Euro Area," CEPR Discussion Papers 7124, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Business Cycles in the euro Area," Working Papers ECARES 2008_040, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Business Cycles in the Euro Area," NBER Working Papers 14529, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2005.
"Monetary Policy in Real Time,"
NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2004, Volume 19, pages 161-224,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Sala, Luca & Giannone, Domenico, 2005. "Monetary Policy in Real Time," CEPR Discussion Papers 4981, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2005. "Monetary policy in real time," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/6401, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Lucrezia Reichlin & Domenico Giannone & Luca Sala, "undated". "Monetary policy in real time," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/10177, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2005. "Monetary Policy in Real Time," Working Papers 284, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.