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Acerca da importância da sincronização do ciclo económico português no contexto europeu

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  • António Caleiro

    (Universidade de Évora, Departamento de Economia & CEFAGE-UE)

Abstract

Uma análise retrospectiva da sincronização do ciclo económico nacional com alguns ciclos económicos de referência permite retirar conclusões que suportam a necessidade premente de se apostar na produção nacional que, pelas suas características, seja exportável e/ou substituta de importações. Deste ponto de vista, o acréscimo na competitividade resulta ser necessário no modelo global de desenvolvimento, enquanto factor de crescimento da produtividade, mas também, por via do acréscimo nas exportações, em resultado dos ganhos associados à sincronização do ciclo económico nacional com o ciclo económico europeu. Este segundo aspecto, não tão evidente, mas igualmente importante para uma trajectória sustentada de crescimento, é o foco principal deste trabalho.

Suggested Citation

  • António Caleiro, 2011. "Acerca da importância da sincronização do ciclo económico português no contexto europeu," Economics Working Papers 4_2011, University of Évora, Department of Economics (Portugal).
    • Handle: RePEc:evo:wpecon:4_2011
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Análise de Sincronização; Ciclos Económicos; Portugal;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C18 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Methodolical Issues: General
    • E02 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Institutions and the Macroeconomy
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination

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