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Acerca da importância da sincronização do ciclo económico português no contexto europeu

  • António Caleiro


    (Universidade de Évora, Departamento de Economia & CEFAGE-UE)

Uma análise retrospectiva da sincronização do ciclo económico nacional com alguns ciclos económicos de referência permite retirar conclusões que suportam a necessidade premente de se apostar na produção nacional que, pelas suas características, seja exportável e/ou substituta de importações. Deste ponto de vista, o acréscimo na competitividade resulta ser necessário no modelo global de desenvolvimento, enquanto factor de crescimento da produtividade, mas também, por via do acréscimo nas exportações, em resultado dos ganhos associados à sincronização do ciclo económico nacional com o ciclo económico europeu. Este segundo aspecto, não tão evidente, mas igualmente importante para uma trajectória sustentada de crescimento, é o foco principal deste trabalho.

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Paper provided by University of Évora, Department of Economics (Portugal) in its series Economics Working Papers with number 4_2011.

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Length: 17 pages
Date of creation: 2011
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:evo:wpecon:4_2011
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  16. Uhlig, H.F.H.V.S. & Ravn, M., 1997. "On Adjusting the H-P Filter for the Frequency of Observations," Discussion Paper 1997-50, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  17. Böwer, Uwe & Guillemineau, Catherine, 2006. "Determinants of business cycle synchronisation across euro area countries," Working Paper Series 0587, European Central Bank.
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