IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bdr/borrec/1115.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Effects of foreign participation in the colombian local public debt market on domestic financial conditions

Author

Listed:
  • Jose Vicente Romero

    () (Banco de la República de Colombia)

  • Hernando Vargas-Herrera

    () (Banco de la República de Colombia)

  • Pamela Cardozo

    () (Banco de la República de Colombia)

  • Andrés Murcia

    () (Banco de la República de Colombia)

Abstract

Since 2014 the Colombian local public bond market experienced a substantial increase in the participation of foreign investors due to a reduction of the tax rates on foreign portfolio investment returns and the increase in the weight of Colombia in the JP Morgan GBI-GD. Some evidence is presented suggesting that the resulting inflows reduced bond and loan interest rates and raised loan supply. There is also evidence of an increased sensitivity of local public bond yields to CDS and EMBI, although the influence of external financial conditions on domestic lending rates has remained subdued. Finally, no evidence is found of a shift in the transmisión of domestic monetary policy shocks to public bond and lending interest rates after the increase in foreign participation in the local bond market. **** RESUMEN: Desde 2014 el mercado de deuda pública colombiana experimentó un incremento sustancial en la participación de inversionistas extranjeros como resultado de la reducción de las tasas impositivas aplicables a las inversiones de portafolio y al incremento de la ponderación de Colombia en el índice GBI-GD de JP Morgan. En este artículo se presenta evidencia que sugiere que los flujos de inversión de portafolio redujeron las tasas de interés de los bonos y las tasas de interés activas, aumentando la oferta de crédito. También se presentan algunos resultados que sugieren un incremento en la sensibilidad de las tasas de interés de la deuda pública local a los CDS y al EMBI, aunque la influencia de factores externos hacia las tasas de interés activas locales se ha mantenido baja. Finalmente, no se encuentra evidencia que el incremento de la participación de los inversionistas extranjeros en el mercado de deuda pública local haya generado cambios en la transmisión de la política monetaria hacia las tasas de interés.

Suggested Citation

  • Jose Vicente Romero & Hernando Vargas-Herrera & Pamela Cardozo & Andrés Murcia, 2020. "Effects of foreign participation in the colombian local public debt market on domestic financial conditions," Borradores de Economia 1115, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:1115
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.32468/be.1115
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.32468/be.1115
    Download Restriction: no

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Serkan Arslanalp & Takahiro Tsuda, 2014. "Tracking Global Demand for Emerging Market Sovereign Debt," IMF Working Papers 14/39, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Christina D. Romer & David H. Romer, 2004. "A New Measure of Monetary Shocks: Derivation and Implications," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(4), pages 1055-1084, September.
    3. Tomas Williams, 2018. "Capital Inflows, Sovereign Debt and Bank Lending: Micro-Evidence from an Emerging Market," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(12), pages 4958-4994.
    4. Marta Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Large Bayesian vector auto regressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 71-92.
    5. Hernando Vargas & Andrés Gonzalez & Ignacio Lozano, 2012. "Macroeconomic effects of structural fiscal policy changes in Colombia," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.),Fiscal policy, public debt and monetary policy in emerging market economies, volume 67, pages 119-160, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. Hernando Vargas & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez, 2013. "Foreign exchange intervention in Colombia," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.),Sovereign risk: a world without risk-free assets?, volume 73, pages 95-125, Bank for International Settlements.
    7. Albrizio, Silvia & Choi, Sangyup & Furceri, Davide & Yoon, Chansik, 2020. "International bank lending channel of monetary policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    8. Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2015. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," Discussion Papers 1711, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), revised Feb 2017.
    9. Serkan Arslanalp & Takahiro Tsuda, 2012. "Tracking Global Demand for Advanced Economy Sovereign Debt," IMF Working Papers 12/284, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Ben S. Bernanke & Vincent R. Reinhart & Brian P. Sack, 2004. "Monetary Policy Alternatives at the Zero Bound: An Empirical Assessment," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 35(2), pages 1-100.
    11. Serkan Arslanalp & Tigran Poghosyan, 2016. "Foreign Investor Flows and Sovereign Bond Yields in Advanced Economies," Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 2(6), pages 45-67, June.
    12. Shanaka J Peiris, 2010. "Foreign Participation in Emerging Markets’ Local Currency Bond Markets," IMF Working Papers 10/88, International Monetary Fund.
    13. Elod Takáts & Abraham Vela, 2014. "International monetary policy transmission," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.),The transmission of unconventional monetary policy to the emerging markets, volume 78, pages 25-44, Bank for International Settlements.
    14. Ricardo Correa & Teodora Paligorova & Horacio Sapriza & Andrei Zlate, 2018. "Cross-Border Bank Flows and Monetary Policy," International Finance Discussion Papers 1241, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    15. Jochen R. Andritzky, 2012. "Government Bonds and their Investors; What Are the Facts and Do they Matter?," IMF Working Papers 12/158, International Monetary Fund.
    16. Marta Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Large Bayesian vector auto regressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 71-92.
    17. Beltran, Daniel O. & Kretchmer, Maxwell & Marquez, Jaime & Thomas, Charles P., 2013. "Foreign holdings of U.S. Treasuries and U.S. Treasury yields," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 1120-1143.
    18. Jaromir Benes & Andrew Berg & Rafael Portillo & David Vavra, 2015. "Modeling Sterilized Interventions and Balance Sheet Effects of Monetary Policy in a New-Keynesian Framework," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 81-108, February.
    19. Christian H Ebeke & Annette J Kyobe, 2015. "Global Financial Spillovers to Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Markets," IMF Working Papers 15/141, International Monetary Fund.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary Policy; Interest Rates and Transmission Mechanism; Portfolio Choice and Investment Decisions; Portfolio inflows; Política monetaria; tasas de interés y mecanismos de transmisión; decisiones de portafolio e inversión; flujos de inversión de portafolio;

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G19 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Other

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:1115. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Clorith Angélica Bahos Olivera). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/brcgvco.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.