IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bdi/wptemi/td_1428_23.html

Natural gas and the macroeconomy: not all energy shocks are alike

Author

Listed:
  • Piergiorgio Alessandri

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Andrea Gazzani

    (Bank of Italy)

Abstract

How do shifts in the supply of natural gas affect output and inflation? To answer this question, we construct an instrument for gas supply shocks using a large set of daily news on the European gas market over the 2010-2022 period and use the instrument within a Bayesian VAR model. We find that negative supply shocks are stagflationary and that their effects materialize over far longer horizons than those of oil supply shocks, with peaks (troughs) in core inflation (industrial production) that follow the shock by two years or more. This pattern is consistent with the structural features of the gas market, and it suggests that European economies are still grappling with the large price spikes that took place in 2022.

Suggested Citation

  • Piergiorgio Alessandri & Andrea Gazzani, 2023. "Natural gas and the macroeconomy: not all energy shocks are alike," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1428, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_1428_23
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.bancaditalia.it/pubblicazioni/temi-discussione/2023/2023-1428/en_tema_1428.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dario Caldara & Matteo Iacoviello, 2022. "Measuring Geopolitical Risk," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(4), pages 1194-1225, April.
    2. Anthony Garratt & Ivan Petrella, 2022. "Commodity prices and inflation risk," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 392-414, March.
    3. Rüdiger Bachmann & David Baqaee & Christian Bayer & Moritz Kuhn & Andreas Löschel & Benjamin Moll & Andreas Peichl & Karen Pittel & Moritz Schularick, 2022. "What if? The economic effects for Germany of a stop of energy imports from Russia," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03881469, HAL.
    4. Gazzani, Andrea & Venditti, Fabrizio & Veronese, Giovanni, 2024. "Oil price shocks in real time," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    5. Baumeister, Christiane, 2023. "Pandemic, War, Inflation: Oil Markets at a Crossroads?," CEPR Discussion Papers 18347, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    6. Julian di Giovanni & Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan & Alvaro Silva & Muhammed A. Yildirim, 2022. "Global Supply Chain Pressures, International Trade, and Inflation," Staff Reports 1024, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    7. Christiane Baumeister & Gert Peersman, 2013. "Time-Varying Effects of Oil Supply Shocks on the US Economy," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(4), pages 1-28, October.
    8. Serena Ng, 2021. "Modeling Macroeconomic Variations after Covid-19," NBER Working Papers 29060, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Adolfsen, Jakob Feveile & Ferrari Minesso, Massimo & Mork, Jente Esther & Van Robays, Ine, 2024. "Gas price shocks and euro area inflation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    10. Pieroni, Valerio, 2023. "Energy shortages and aggregate demand: Output loss and unequal burden from HANK," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    11. Ben Bernanke & Olivier Blanchard, 2025. "What Caused the US Pandemic-Era Inflation?," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 17(3), pages 1-35, July.
    12. Barnichon, Regis & Mesters, Geert, 2021. "The Phillips multiplier," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 689-705.
    13. Dao, Mai Chi & Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier & Leigh, Daniel & Mishra, Prachi, 2024. "Understanding the international rise and fall of inflation since 2020," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    14. Casoli, Chiara & Manera, Matteo & Valenti, Daniele, 2024. "Energy shocks in the Euro area: Disentangling the pass-through from oil and gas prices to inflation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    15. Nick, Sebastian & Thoenes, Stefan, 2014. "What drives natural gas prices? — A structural VAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 517-527.
    16. Giannone, Domenico & Primiceri, Giorgio, 2024. "The drivers of post-pandemic inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 19377, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    17. Hamilton, James D, 1983. "Oil and the Macroeconomy since World War II," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(2), pages 228-248, April.
    18. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2015. "Is the Phillips Curve Alive and Well after All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 197-232, January.
    19. Roberto Rigobon, 2003. "Identification Through Heteroskedasticity," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(4), pages 777-792, November.
    20. Valerie A. Ramey & Sarah Zubairy, 2018. "Government Spending Multipliers in Good Times and in Bad: Evidence from US Historical Data," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 126(2), pages 850-901.
    21. James D. Hamilton, 2009. "Daily Changes in Fed Funds Futures Prices," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(4), pages 567-582, June.
    22. Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson, 2018. "High-Frequency Identification of Monetary Non-Neutrality: The Information Effect," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 133(3), pages 1283-1330.
    23. Montiel Olea, José L. & Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W., 2021. "Inference in Structural Vector Autoregressions identified with an external instrument," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(1), pages 74-87.
    24. Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2022. "How to estimate a vector autoregression after March 2020," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 688-699, June.
    25. Rigobon, Roberto & Sack, Brian, 2004. "The impact of monetary policy on asset prices," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(8), pages 1553-1575, November.
    26. Luca Gagliardone & Mark Gertler, 2023. "Oil Prices, Monetary Policy and Inflation Surges," NBER Working Papers 31263, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    27. De Santis, Roberto A. & Tornese, Tommaso, 2023. "Energy supply shocks’ nonlinearities on output and prices," Working Paper Series 2834, European Central Bank.
    28. James D. Hamilton, 2009. "Daily Changes in Fed Funds Futures Prices," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(4), pages 567-582, June.
    29. Cristina Conflitti & Matteo Luciani, 2019. "Oil Price Pass-through into Core Inflation," The Energy Journal, , vol. 40(6), pages 221-248, November.
    30. Faust, Jon & Swanson, Eric T. & Wright, Jonathan H., 2004. "Identifying VARS based on high frequency futures data," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(6), pages 1107-1131, September.
    31. Kuttner, Kenneth N., 2001. "Monetary policy surprises and interest rates: Evidence from the Fed funds futures market," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 523-544, June.
    32. Thomas R. Cook & Amaze Lusompa & Jun Nie, 2022. "Disruptions to Russian Energy Supply Likely to Weigh on European Output," Economic Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue November , pages 1-4, November.
    33. Jochen Güntner & Magnus Reif & Maik Wolters, 2024. "Sudden stop: Supply and demand shocks in the German natural gas market," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(7), pages 1282-1300, November.
    34. Marek Jarociński & Peter Karadi, 2020. "Deconstructing Monetary Policy Surprises—The Role of Information Shocks," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 12(2), pages 1-43, April.
    35. Lutz Kilian, 2009. "Not All Oil Price Shocks Are Alike: Disentangling Demand and Supply Shocks in the Crude Oil Market," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(3), pages 1053-1069, June.
    36. Arce, Óscar & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Kornprobst, Antoine, 2024. "What caused the euro area post-pandemic inflation?," Occasional Paper Series 343, European Central Bank.
    37. Julian di Giovanni & Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan & Alvaro Silva & Muhammed A Yildirim, "undated". "Pandemic-era Inflation Drivers and Global Spillovers," RBA Annual Conference Papers acp2023-01, Reserve Bank of Australia, revised Nov 2023.
    38. Masten, Scott E & Crocker, Keith J, 1985. "Efficient Adaptation in Long-term Contracts: Take-or-Pay Provisions for Natural Gas," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 75(5), pages 1083-1093, December.
    39. Regis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2020. "Identifying Modern Macro Equations with Old Shocks," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 135(4), pages 2255-2298.
    40. Olivier J. Blanchard & Ben S. Bernanke, 2024. "An Analysis of Pandemic-Era Inflation in 11 Economies," NBER Working Papers 32532, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    41. Mr. Tao Wu & Mr. Michele Cavallo, 2012. "Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information," IMF Working Papers 2012/019, International Monetary Fund.
    42. Simone Emiliozzi & Fabrizio Ferriani & Andrea Gazzani, 2025. "The European Energy Crisis and the Consequences for the Global Natural Gas Market," The Energy Journal, , vol. 46(1), pages 119-145, January.
    43. Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Momferatou, Daphne & Onorante, Luca, 2014. "Short-term inflation projections: A Bayesian vector autoregressive approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 635-644.
    44. Ting Lan & Galen Sher & Jing Zhou, 2022. "The Economic Impacts on Germany of a Potential Russian Gas Shutoff," IMF Working Papers 2022/144, International Monetary Fund.
    45. repec:aen:journl:ej40-6-luciani is not listed on IDEAS
    46. Diego R. Känzig, 2021. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Oil Supply News: Evidence from OPEC Announcements," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(4), pages 1092-1125, April.
    47. Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Jordà, Òscar & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2025. "Decomposing the monetary policy multiplier," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    48. Matteo Alpino & Luca Citino & Annalisa Frigo, 2023. "The effects of the 2021 energy crisis on medium-sized and large industrial firms: evidence from Italy," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 776, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    49. Rubaszek, Michał & Szafranek, Karol & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2021. "The dynamics and elasticities on the U.S. natural gas market. A Bayesian Structural VAR analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    50. Constantino Hevia & Ivan Petrella & Martin Sola, 2018. "Risk premia and seasonality in commodity futures," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(6), pages 853-873, September.
    51. Fabra, Natalia, 2023. "Reforming European electricity markets: Lessons from the energy crisis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    52. Chan, Jenny & Diz, Sebastian & Kanngiesser, Derrick, 2024. "Energy prices and household heterogeneity: Monetary policy in a Gas-TANK," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(S).
    53. Piazzesi, Monika & Swanson, Eric T., 2008. "Futures prices as risk-adjusted forecasts of monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(4), pages 677-691, May.
    54. Mikkel Plagborg‐Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2021. "Local Projections and VARs Estimate the Same Impulse Responses," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(2), pages 955-980, March.
    55. Francesco Corsello & Marco Flaccadoro & Stefania Villa, 2023. "Quantity versus price dynamics: the role of energy and bottlenecks in the Italian industrial sector," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 781, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    56. Christiane Baumeister & James D. Hamilton, 2019. "Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(5), pages 1873-1910, May.
    57. Mai Chi Dao & Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Daniel Leigh & Prachi Mishra, 2024. "Understanding the International Rise & Fall of inflation since 2020," Working Papers 119, Ashoka University, Department of Economics.
    58. Mark Gertler & Peter Karadi, 2015. "Monetary Policy Surprises, Credit Costs, and Economic Activity," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 44-76, January.
    59. Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2019. "Structural VARs and noninvertible macroeconomic models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(2), pages 221-246, March.
    60. Knut Are Aastveit & Hilde C. Bjørnland & Jamie L. Cross, 2023. "Inflation Expectations and the Pass-Through of Oil Prices," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 105(3), pages 733-743, May.
    61. Paul Beaudry & Thomas J. Carter & Amartya Lahiri, 2023. "The Central Bank's Dilemma: Look Through Supply Shocks or Control Inflation Expectations?," NBER Working Papers 31741, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    62. Caldara, Dario & Cavallo, Michele & Iacoviello, Matteo, 2019. "Oil price elasticities and oil price fluctuations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 1-20.
    63. Krippner, Leo, 2013. "Measuring the stance of monetary policy in zero lower bound environments," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 118(1), pages 135-138.
    64. Sims, Christopher A & Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1990. "Inference in Linear Time Series Models with Some Unit Roots," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 58(1), pages 113-144, January.
    65. Di Bella, Gabriel & Flanagan, Mark & Foda, Karim & Maslova, Svitlana & Pienkowski, Alex & Stuermer, Martin & Toscani, Frederik, 2024. "Natural gas in Europe: The potential impact of disruptions to supply," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    66. Karel Mertens & Morten O. Ravn, 2013. "The Dynamic Effects of Personal and Corporate Income Tax Changes in the United States," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(4), pages 1212-1247, June.
    67. Auclert, Adrien & Monnery, Hugo & Rognlie, Matthew & Straub, Ludwig, 2023. "Managing an Energy Shock: Fiscal and Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 18340, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hinterlang, Natascha & Jäger, Marius & Stähler, Nikolai & Strobel, Johannes, 2025. "Transfers or subsidies? Comparing mitigation strategies for energy price shocks in a production network model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    2. López, Lucia & Odendahl, Florens & Párraga Rodríguez, Susana & Silgado-Gómez, Edgar, 2026. "The pass-through to inflation of gas price shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    3. Boeck, Maximilian & Zörner, Thomas O., 2025. "Natural gas prices, inflation expectations, and the pass-through to euro area inflation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    4. Adolfsen, Jakob Feveile & Ferrari Minesso, Massimo & Mork, Jente Esther & Van Robays, Ine, 2024. "Gas price shocks and euro area inflation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    5. Martin T. Bohl & Niklas Humann & Pierre L. Siklos, 2026. "The Monetary Policy–Commodities Nexus: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(2), pages 1050-1082, April.
    6. Zhangying Li & O-Chia Chuang & Rangan Gupta, 2026. "The Shifting Dynamics of Energy Supply Shocks: Natural Gas as the New Driver of European Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202609, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Barauskaitė Griškevičienė, Kristina & Brand, Claus & Nguyen, Anh Dinh Minh, 2026. "Pandemic-era inflation dynamics in the euro area: the role of policy and non-policy demand and energy and non-energy supply factors," Working Paper Series 3201, European Central Bank.
    8. Corrado, L. & Grassi, S. & Paolillo, A. & Ravazzolo, F., 2026. "Oil, Gas, Pandemics, and War: The Drivers of Inflation," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2629, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    9. Daniele Colombo & Francesco Toni, 2025. "Understanding Gas Price Shocks: Elasticities, Volatility and Macroeconomic Transmission," GREDEG Working Papers 2025-20, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France.
    10. Luisa Corrado & Stefano Grassi & Aldo Paolillo & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2024. "Oil, Gas, Pandemics, and War: The Drivers of Inflation," CEIS Research Paper 582, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 28 Apr 2026.
    11. Nikou, Vasilis, 2025. "From exit to exposure: Gas import shocks and macroeconomic asymmetries in the wake of Europe's coal phaseout," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 335(C).
    12. Fierro, Luca Eduardo & Martinoli, Mario, 2025. "An empirical inquiry into the distributional consequences of energy price shocks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    13. Davide Delle Monache & Claudia Pacella, 2024. "The drivers of inflation dynamics in Italy over the period 2021-2023," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 873, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    14. Beatrice Pataracchia & Philipp Pfeiffer & Marco Ratto & Jan Teresiński, 2025. "Energy Commodity Price Shocks in the Euro Area Evidence from a Large-Scale Structural Model," European Economy - Discussion Papers 233, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    15. Carl Grekou & Thomas Grjebine & Florian Morvillier, 2025. "Energy and Fiscal Shocks: Reassessing Industrial Competitiveness," Working Papers 2025-19, CEPII research center.
    16. Balthazar de Vaulchier & Lionel Fontagné & Yu Zheng, 2026. "What if? Revisiting the Macroeconomic Impact of the Energy Crisis with Peak-load Electricity," Working Papers 2026-03, CEPII research center.
    17. Casoli, Chiara & Manera, Matteo & Valenti, Daniele, 2024. "Energy shocks in the Euro area: Disentangling the pass-through from oil and gas prices to inflation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    18. Su, Xiaomei & Razi, Ummara & Zhao, Shangmei & Li, Wei & Gu, Xiao & Yan, Jiale, 2025. "Geopolitical risk and energy markets in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    19. Daniele Colombo & Francesco Toni, 2025. "Understanding Gas Price Shocks: Elasticities, Volatilities, and Macroeconomic Transmission," LEM Papers Series 2025/20, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    20. Stefano Neri, 2024. "There has been an awakening. The rise (and fall) of inflation in the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 834, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    21. Nickel, Christiane & Kilponen, Juha & Moral-Benito, Enrique & Koester, Gerrit & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Enders, Almira & Holton, Sarah & Landau, Bettina & Venditti, Fabrizio & Bobeica, Elena & Brand, Cla, 2025. "A strategic view on the economic and inflation environment in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 371, European Central Bank.
    22. Curatola-Melo, Alisson & Guimaraes, Bernardo, 2026. "The causal effects of commodity shocks," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    23. Giuseppe Pagano Giorgianni, 2025. "Gas supply shocks, uncertainty and price setting: evidence from Italian firms," Papers 2510.03792, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2025.
    24. López, Lucia & Odendahl, Florens & Parraga Rodriguez, Susana & Silgado-Gómez, Edgar, 2024. "The pass-through to inflation of gas price shocks," Working Paper Series 2968, European Central Bank.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Daniele Colombo & Francesco Toni, 2025. "Understanding Gas Price Shocks: Elasticities, Volatility and Macroeconomic Transmission," GREDEG Working Papers 2025-20, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France.
    2. Daniele Colombo & Francesco Toni, 2025. "Understanding Gas Price Shocks: Elasticities, Volatilities, and Macroeconomic Transmission," LEM Papers Series 2025/20, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    3. Martin T. Bohl & Niklas Humann & Pierre L. Siklos, 2026. "The Monetary Policy–Commodities Nexus: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(2), pages 1050-1082, April.
    4. Diego R. Känzig, 2021. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Oil Supply News: Evidence from OPEC Announcements," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(4), pages 1092-1125, April.
    5. Fierro, Luca Eduardo & Martinoli, Mario, 2025. "An empirical inquiry into the distributional consequences of energy price shocks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    6. Wataru Miyamoto & Thuy Lan Nguyen & Dmitry Sergeyev, 2023. "How Oil Shocks Propagate: Evidence on the Monetary Policy Channel," Working Paper Series 2024-06, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    7. Qureshi, Irfan A. & Ahmad, Ghufran, 2025. "Oil price shocks and US business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    8. De Santis, Roberto A. & Tornese, Tommaso, 2025. "Macroeconomic regime change and the size of supply chain disruption and energy supply shocks," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    9. Luigi Infante & Francesca Lilla & Michela E. Pasetto, 2025. "Energy price shocks and their effects on the main macroeconomic variables: a Bayesian SVAR analysis," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 926, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    10. Guillermo Verduzco-Bustos & Francesco Zanetti, 2026. "The Effects of Geopolitical Oil Price Shocks," CAMA Working Papers 2026-24, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    11. Boeck, Maximilian & Zörner, Thomas O., 2025. "Natural gas prices, inflation expectations, and the pass-through to euro area inflation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    12. Adolfsen, Jakob Feveile & Ferrari Minesso, Massimo & Mork, Jente Esther & Van Robays, Ine, 2024. "Gas price shocks and euro area inflation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    13. Casoli, Chiara & Manera, Matteo & Valenti, Daniele, 2024. "Energy shocks in the Euro area: Disentangling the pass-through from oil and gas prices to inflation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    14. Lukas Hack & Davud Rostam-Afschar, 2024. "Understanding Firm Dynamics with Daily Data," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2024_593, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    15. Beatrice Pataracchia & Philipp Pfeiffer & Marco Ratto & Jan Teresiński, 2025. "Energy Commodity Price Shocks in the Euro Area Evidence from a Large-Scale Structural Model," European Economy - Discussion Papers 233, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    16. De Santis, Roberto A. & Tornese, Tommaso, 2025. "Energy supply shocks’ nonlinearities on output and prices," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    17. Ramey, V.A., 2016. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Their Propagation," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 71-162, Elsevier.
    18. Morão, Hugo, 2025. "Fuel price surges and rising inflation expectations in the Euro Area," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    19. Gazzani, Andrea & Venditti, Fabrizio & Veronese, Giovanni, 2024. "Oil price shocks in real time," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    20. Barauskaitė Griškevičienė, Kristina & Brand, Claus & Nguyen, Anh Dinh Minh, 2026. "Pandemic-era inflation dynamics in the euro area: the role of policy and non-policy demand and energy and non-energy supply factors," Working Paper Series 3201, European Central Bank.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • Q35 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Hydrocarbon Resources
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_1428_23. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/bdigvit.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.