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Are Weekly Inflation Forecasts Informative?

  • Marlene Amstad
  • Andreas M. Fischer

Are weekly inflation forecasts informative? Although several central banks review and discuss monetary policy issues on a bi-weekly basis, there have been no attempts by analysts to construct systematic estimates of core inflation that supports such a decision-making schedule. The timeliness of news releases are recognized to be an important information source in real-time estimation. We incorporate real-time information from macroeconomic releases and revisions into our weekly updates of monthly Swiss core inflation using a common factor procedure. The weekly estimates for Swiss core inflation show that it is worthwhile to update the forecast at least twice a month. Copyright (c) Blackwell Publishing Ltd and the Department of Economics, University of Oxford, 2008.

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Article provided by Department of Economics, University of Oxford in its journal Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics.

Volume (Year): 71 (2009)
Issue (Month): 2 (04)
Pages: 237-252

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Handle: RePEc:bla:obuest:v:71:y:2009:i:2:p:237-252
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