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The Effect Of Monetary Policy On House Price Inflation: A Factor Augmented Vector Autoregression (Favar) Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Rangan Gupta

    (Department of Economics, University of Pretoria)

  • Alain Kabundi

    (Department of Economics and Econometrics, University of Johannesburg)

Abstract

This paper assesses the impact of monetary policy on house price inflation for the nine census divisions of the US economy using a factor-augmented VAR (FAVAR), estimated a large data set comprising of 126 quarterly series over the period 1976:01 to 2005:02. The results based on the impulse response functions indicate that, in general, house price inflation responds negatively to monetary policy shock, but the responses are heterogeneous across the census divisions. In addition, our findings suggests the importance of South Atlantic, East South Central, West South Central, Mountain and the Pacific divisions, in particular, in shaping the dynamics of US house price inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2009. "The Effect Of Monetary Policy On House Price Inflation: A Factor Augmented Vector Autoregression (Favar) Approach," Working Papers 200903, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:pre:wpaper:200903
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    Cited by:

    1. Masron, tajul & Mohd Nor, Abu Hassan Shaari, 2016. "Foreign Investment in Real Estate and Housing Affordability," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 50(1), pages 15-28.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Marius Jurgilas & Alan Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Monetary Policy and Housing Sector Dynamics in a Large-Scale Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Mode," Working Papers 0919, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Mampho Modise, 2010. "Has the SARB become more effective post inflation targeting?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 43(3), pages 187-204, August.
    4. Maria Christidou & Panagiotis Konstantinou, 2011. "Housing Market and the Transmission of Monetary Policy: Evidence from U.S. States," Discussion Paper Series 2011_14, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Sep 2011.
    5. Christophe Andre & Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda, 2012. "Do House Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate? Evidence from OECD Countries using an Agnostic Identification Procedure," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 58(1), pages 19-70.
    6. Musso, Alberto & Neri, Stefano & Stracca, Livio, 2011. "Housing, consumption and monetary policy: How different are the US and the euro area?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 3019-3041, November.
    7. Su, Chi-Wei & Wang, Xiao-Qing & Tao, Ran & Chang, Hsu-Ling, 2019. "Does money supply drive housing prices in China?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 85-94.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • R2 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis

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