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Factor Models with Local Factors—Determining the Number of Relevant Factors

Author

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  • Simon Freyaldenhoven

Abstract

We extend the theory on factor models by incorporating “local” factors into the model. Local factors affect only an unknown subset of the observed variables. This implies a continuum of eigenvalues of the covariance matrix, as is commonly observed in applications. We de-rive which factors are pervasive enough to be economically important and which factors are pervasive enough to be estimable using the common principal component estimator. We then introduce a new class of estimators to determine the number of those relevant factors. Un-like existing estimators, our estimators use not only the eigenvalues of the covariance matrix, but also its eigenvectors. We find that incorporating partial sums of the eigenvectors into our estimators leads to significant gains in performance in simulations.

Suggested Citation

  • Simon Freyaldenhoven, 2021. "Factor Models with Local Factors—Determining the Number of Relevant Factors," Working Papers 21-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedpwp:90903
    DOI: 10.21799/frbp.wp.2021.15
    Note: Supersedes Working Paper 19-23 – A Generalized Factor Model with Local Factors
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    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Barigozzi & Marc Hallin, 2026. "The Dynamic, the Static, and the Weak: Factor Models and the Analysis of High‐Dimensional Time Series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(1), pages 201-219, January.
    2. Bai, Jushan & Ng, Serena, 2023. "Approximate factor models with weaker loadings," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1893-1916.
    3. Natalia Bailey & George Kapetanios & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2021. "Measurement of factor strength: Theory and practice," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 587-613, August.
    4. Jie Wei & Yonghui Zhang, 2023. "Does Principal Component Analysis Preserve the Sparsity in Sparse Weak Factor Models?," Papers 2305.05934, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
    5. Fu, Zhonghao & Hong, Yongmiao & Wang, Xia, 2023. "Testing for structural changes in large dimensional factor models via discrete Fourier transform," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 233(1), pages 302-331.
    6. Luca Margaritella & Ovidijus Stauskas, 2024. "New Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy for Factor-Augmented Regressions with Weaker Loadings," Papers 2409.20415, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2025.
    7. Saman Banafti & Tae-Hwy Lee, 2022. "Inferential Theory for Granular Instrumental Variables in High Dimensions," Working Papers 202203, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    8. Guo, Xiao & Chen, Yu & Tang, Cheng Yong, 2023. "Information criteria for latent factor models: A study on factor pervasiveness and adaptivity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 233(1), pages 237-250.
    9. Matteo Barigozzi, 2023. "Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation of High-Dimensional Factor Models: A Critical Review," Papers 2303.11777, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
    10. Jianqing Fan & Yuling Yan & Yuheng Zheng, 2024. "When can weak latent factors be statistically inferred?," Papers 2407.03616, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
    11. Cen, Zetai & Lam, Clifford, 2025. "Tensor time series imputation through tensor factor modelling," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 249(PB).
    12. Gregory Cox, 2022. "Weak Identification in Low-Dimensional Factor Models with One or Two Factors," Papers 2211.00329, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
    13. Shilong Xi & Xiaohui Wang & Kejun Lin, 2025. "The Impact of Carbon Emissions Trading Pilot Policies on High-Quality Agricultural Development: An Empirical Assessment Using Double Machine Learning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(5), pages 1-28, February.
    14. Songnian Chen & Junlong Feng, 2025. "Universal Factor Models," Papers 2501.15761, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2025.
    15. Anna Bykhovskaya & Vadim Gorin & Sasha Sodin, 2025. "How weak are weak factors? Uniform inference for signal strength in signal plus noise models," Papers 2507.18554, arXiv.org.
    16. Paul Haimerl & Stephan Smeekes & Ines Wilms, 2025. "Estimation of Latent Group Structures in Time-Varying Panel Data Models," Papers 2503.23165, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2025.
    17. Sylvia Kaufmann & Markus Pape, 2023. "Bayesian (non-)unique sparse factor modelling," Working Papers 23.04, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
    18. Wanbo Lu & Guanglin Huang & Kris Boudt, 2024. "Estimation of Non-Gaussian Factors Using Higher-order Multi-cumulants in Weak Factor Models," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 24/1085, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    19. Christian Bayer & Luis Calderon & Moritz Kuhn, 2025. "Distributional Dynamics," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 351, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    20. Diego Fresoli & Pilar Poncela & Esther Ruiz, 2024. "Dealing with idiosyncratic cross-correlation when constructing confidence regions for PC factors," Papers 2407.06883, arXiv.org.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C38 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Classification Methdos; Cluster Analysis; Principal Components; Factor Analysis
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • C55 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Large Data Sets: Modeling and Analysis

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