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A Market Microstructure Analysis of Foreign Exchange Intervention

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  • Vitale, Paolo

Abstract

We formulate a market microstructure model of exchange determination we employ to investigate the impact of foreign exchange intervention on exchange rates and on foreign exchange (FX) market conditions. With our formulation we show i) how foreign exchange intervention in°uences exchange rates via both a portfolio-balance and a signalling channel and ii) derive a series of testable implications which are coherent with a large body of empirical research. Our investigation also proposes some normative recommendations, as we show that central bank intervention can be destabilizing for the functioning of FX markets and that the route chosen for the implementation of o±cial intervention has important implications for its impact on exchange rates and on market conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Vitale, Paolo, 2006. "A Market Microstructure Analysis of Foreign Exchange Intervention," CEPR Discussion Papers 5468, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:5468
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    Cited by:

    1. Fatum, Rasmus & Pedersen, Jesper, 2009. "Real-time effects of central bank intervention in the euro market," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(1), pages 11-20, June.
    2. Lukas Menkhoff, 2010. "High-Frequency Analysis Of Foreign Exchange Interventions: What Do We Learn?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(1), pages 85-112, February.
    3. Alexis Stenfors & Masayuki Susai, 2017. "Liquidity Withdrawal in the FX Spot Market: A Cross-Country Study Using High-Frequency Data," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2017-06, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
    4. Alexis Stenfors & Masayuki Susai, 2017. "Algorithmic Trading Behaviour and High-Frequency Liquidity Withdrawal in the FX Spot Market," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2017-04, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
    5. Capraro Rodríguez Santiago & Perrotini Hernández Ignacio, 2012. "Intervenciones cambiarias esterilizadas, teoría y evidencia:el caso de México," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 57(2), pages 11-44, abril-jun.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    exchange rate dynamics; foreign exchange microstructure; official intervention; order flow;

    JEL classification:

    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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