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Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2010: Deutschland im Aufschwung – Wirtschaftspolitik vor wichtigen Entscheidungen

  • Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose
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    Am 14. Oktober 2010 stellten die Wirtschaftsforschungsinstitute der Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose in Berlin ihr Herbstgutachten der Presse vor. Nach Ansicht der Institute hat sich im Verlauf des Jahres 2010 die Erholung der Weltwirtschaft verlangsamt. Der im Winterhalbjahr stürmische Wiederaufschwung des Welthandels hat nach und nach an Tempo eingebüßt. Die deutsche Wirtschaft befindet sich im Aufschwung. Sie ist auf gutem Weg, den krisenbedingten Produktionseinbruch wett zu machen. Dabei hat die Erholung an Breite gewonnen. So wird die Expansion – anders als im Verlauf des Vorjahres – nicht mehr allein von einem Anstieg der Exporte und einem Umschwung bei den Lagerinvestitionen getrieben. Vielmehr ist in diesem Jahr auch die Binnenkonjunktur angesprungen, sowohl die privaten Konsumausgaben als auch die Unternehmensinvestitionen legten spürbar zu.

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    File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/portal/page/portal/DocBase_Content/ZS/ZS-ifo_Schnelldienst/zs-sd-2010/zs-sd-2010-20/ifosd_2010_20_1.pdf
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    Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

    Volume (Year): 63 (2010)
    Issue (Month): 20 (October)
    Pages: 03-61

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    Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:63:y:2010:i:20:p:03-61
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    1. Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & David Small, 2005. "Nowcasting GDP and inflation: the real-time informational content of macroeconomic data releases," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2005-42, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2010. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2010: Erholung setzt sich fort – Risiken bleiben groß," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(08), pages 03-78, 04.
    3. Rottmann, Horst & Wollmershäuser, Timo, 2013. "A micro data approach to the identification of credit crunches," Munich Reprints in Economics 19741, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
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    5. Kristina vanDeuverden & Sabine Freye, 2010. "Schuldenbremse: Bisherige Beschlüsse stellen Gelingen auf Länderebene infrage," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research, vol. 16(9), pages 438-447.
    6. Christian Breuer & Thiess Büttner, 2010. "Auf Sand gebaut: Das strukturelle Defizit im Auf und Ab der Konjunktur," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(11), pages 28-31, 06.
    7. Marcelle Chauvet & Simon Potter, 2001. "Forecasting recessions using the yield curve," Staff Reports 134, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    8. Krebs, Tom & Scheffel, Martin, 2010. "A macroeconomic model for the evaluation of labor market reforms," ZEW Discussion Papers 10-050, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.
    9. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 8973.
    10. Diemo Dietrich & Oliver Holtemöller & Axel Lindner, 2010. "Wege aus der Schulden- und Vertrauenskrise in der Europäischen Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research, vol. 16(8), pages 370-375.
    11. Heinz Gebhardt & Rainer Kambeck, 2009. "Anstieg der Staatsverschuldung stellt Finanzpolitik vor große Herausforderungen," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer, vol. 89(7), pages 466-472, July.
    12. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2009. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2009: Zögerliche Belebung – steigende Staatsschulden," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(20), pages 03-64, October.
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