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The Recovery Continues - Considerable Risks Remain

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  • Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose

Abstract

Am 15. April 2010 stellte die Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose in Berlin ihr Frühjahrsgutachten der Presse vor. Ihrer Ansicht nach erholt sich die Weltwirtschaft, und die Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise der Jahre 2008 und 2009 wird allmählich überwunden. Allerdings ist das Tempo der Expansion in den einzelnen Weltregionen sehr unterschiedlich. In einigen Schwellenländern, vor allem in Asien, ist es ausgesprochen hoch, und vereinzelt besteht sogar die Gefahr einer konjunkturellen Überhitzung. Dagegen ist in den Industrieländern die Auslastung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Kapazitäten weiterhin gering. Hier hat sich die Erholung noch nicht gefestigt, sondern wird nach wie vor maßgeblich von der expansiven Wirtschaftspolitik getragen.

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  • Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2010. "The Recovery Continues - Considerable Risks Remain," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(08), pages 03-78, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:63:y:2010:i:08:p:03-78
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    1. aus dem Moore, Nils, 2010. "Eine Wirtschaftsregierung für Europa? Die EU braucht bessere governance, aber kein gouvernement économique," RWI Positionen 41, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung.
    2. Christian Breuer & Thiess Büttner, 2010. "Built on sand: The structural deficit in the ups and downs of the economy," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(11), pages 28-31, June.
    3. Bauer, Thomas K. & Gebhardt, Heinz & Matz, Florian & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schmidt, Torsten & Siemers, Lars-H., 2010. "Ermittlung der Konjunkturkomponenten für die Länderhaushalte zur Umsetzung der in der Föderalismuskommission II vereinbarten Verschuldungsbegrenzung: Endbericht - Juni 2010," RWI Projektberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, number 69915.
    4. Rietzler, Katja & Truger, Achim, 2018. "Is the debt brake behind Germany's successful fiscal consolidation?," IPE Working Papers 105/2018, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    5. Eicker-Wolf, Kai. & Truger, Achim., 2014. "Demystifying a "shining example" : German public finances under the debt brake," ILO Working Papers 994845193402676, International Labour Organization.
    6. Roland Döhrn & Tobias Kitlinski & Martin Micheli & Torsten Schmidt & Simeon Vosen & György Barabas & Heinz Gebhardt & Lina Zimmermann, 2010. "Die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung im Inland zur Jahresmitte 2010 - Aufschwung verliert an Fahrt," RWI Konjunkturbericht, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, pages 46, 09.
    7. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2012. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Aufwind – Europäische Schuldenkrise schwelt weiter," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(08), pages 03-72, April.
    8. Brügelmann, Ralph, 2010. "Die Wirkung von Konjunkturprogrammen," IW-Trends – Vierteljahresschrift zur empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, vol. 37(4), pages 67-80.
    9. Döhrn, Roland & Barabas, György & Gebhardt, Heinz & Kitlinski, Tobias & Micheli, Martin & Schmidt, Torsten & Vosen, Simeon & Zimmermann, Lina, 2010. "Die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung im Inland: Aufschwung verliert an Fahrt," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 61(2), pages 37-82.
    10. Brügelmann, Ralph & Fuest, Winfried & Grömling, Michael & Hüther, Michael & Jäger, Manfred & Kroker, Rolf & Pimpertz, Jochen & Römer, Christof & Schäfer, Holger & Schröder, Christoph, 2010. "Gewohnte Wachstumskräfte gewinnen die Oberhand: IW-Konjunkturprognose Frühjahr 2010," IW-Trends – Vierteljahresschrift zur empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, vol. 37(2), pages 19-57.
    11. Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72.
    12. repec:zbw:rwipos:041 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Nils aus dem Moore, 2010. "Eine Wirtschaftsregierung für Europa? – Die EU braucht bessere governance, aber kein gouvernement économique," RWI Positionen, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, pages 24, December.
    14. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2010. "Economic Upswing in Germany - Major Decisions Facing Economic Policy," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(20), pages 03-61, October.

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    • F00 - International Economics - - General - - - General
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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