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Schwache Konjunktur im Euroraum: Nur langsamer Abbau der Ungleichgewichte

  • Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens
  • Dovern, Jonas
  • Gern, Klaus-Jürgen
  • Meier, Carsten-Patrick
  • Scheide, Joachim

Nach dem Einbruch im Winterhalbjahr 2008/09 stabilisierte sich die Produktion im Euroraum im weiteren Verlauf des Jahres 2009. Trotz der weiterhin expansiv ausgerichteten Geldpolitik zeichnet sich im Prognosezeitraum aber nur eine schwache Belebung ab. Die Wirtschaft wird von den Folgen von Verschuldungskrisen in einigen Mitgliedsländern belastet. Für das laufende Jahr erwarten wir einen Anstieg der Produktion um 0,7 Prozent. Im Euroraum ohne Deutschland wird die Dynamik noch etwas schwächer sein. Daran dürfte sich auch im Jahr 2011 kein starker Aufschwung anschließen. Mit Zuwachsraten des Bruttoinlandsprodukts von 1,5 Prozent im Euroraum und 1,4 Prozent im übrigen Euroraum wird sich die Konjunktur aber wohl leicht beleben.

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Paper provided by Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) in its series Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy with number 45583.

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Date of creation: 2010
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Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkie:45583
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