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The production function methodology for calculating potential growth rates and output gaps

Author

Listed:
  • Francesca D'Auria
  • Cécile Denis
  • Karel Havik
  • Kieran Mc Morrow
  • Christophe Planas
  • Rafal Raciborski
  • Werner Roger
  • Alessandro Rossi

Abstract

Summary for non-specialistsAs a result of the financial crisis, cyclically corrected indicators have taken on a greater degree of significance and are firmly back at the forefront of economic policy making. This heightened level of policy interest not only reflects the anxiousness of policy makers to avoid the well-documented mistakes made in assessing the supply side impact of historical crises but is also linked with the primary role of such indicators in calculating cyclically adjusted budget balances & in designing successful "exit strategies" from the current crisis (and especially the requirement to unwind the large increases in EU public debt).

Suggested Citation

  • Francesca D'Auria & Cécile Denis & Karel Havik & Kieran Mc Morrow & Christophe Planas & Rafal Raciborski & Werner Roger & Alessandro Rossi, 2010. "The production function methodology for calculating potential growth rates and output gaps," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 420, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
  • Handle: RePEc:euf:ecopap:0420
    as

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    File URL: http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/economic_paper/2010/pdf/ecp420_en.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, P., 1974. "Spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 111-120, July.
    2. Per Krusell & Lee E. Ohanian & JosÈ-Victor RÌos-Rull & Giovanni L. Violante, 2000. "Capital-Skill Complementarity and Inequality: A Macroeconomic Analysis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(5), pages 1029-1054, September.
    3. Leon-Ledesma, Miguel A, 2002. "Unemployment Hysteresis in the US States and the EU: A Panel Approach," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 54(2), pages 95-103, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Macro-economic coordination fiscal policy and public finances structural policies growth and jobs stability and convergence programmes excessive deficit procedure Production function methodology potential growth output gaps;

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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