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How to Solve the Price Puzzle? A Meta-Analysis

Abstract

The short-run increase in prices following an unexpected tightening of monetary policy represents a frequently reported puzzle. Yet the puzzle is easy to explain away when all published models are quantitatively reviewed. We collect and examine about 1,000 point estimates of impulse responses from 70 articles using vector autoregressive models to study monetary transmission in various countries. We find some evidence of publication selection against the price puzzle in the literature, but our results also suggest that the reported puzzle is mostly caused by model misspecifications. Finally, the long-run response of prices to monetary policy shocks depends on the characteristics of the economy.

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Paper provided by Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies in its series Working Papers IES with number 2011/24.

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Length: 34
Date of creation: Jul 2011
Date of revision: Jul 2011
Handle: RePEc:fau:wpaper:wp2011_24
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Keywords: Monetary policy transmission; Price puzzle; Meta-analysis; Publication selection bias;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
  • C83 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Survey Methods; Sampling Methods
  • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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  1. Meta-analyzing the price puzzle
    by Economic Logician in Economic Logic on 2011-11-21 15:45:00
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