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The dynamic relationships among CO2 emissions, renewable and non-renewable energy sources, and economic growth in India: Evidence from time-varying Bayesian VAR model

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  • Kang, Sang Hoon
  • Islam, Faridul
  • Kumar Tiwari, Aviral

Abstract

We apply a three-variable VAR model with probabilistic variability using a time-varying parametric approach to determine the dynamic interactions among GDP growth, energy use by renewable energy sources (RES, wind, solar, or hydro) and non-renewable energy sources (NRES, hydroelectric or coal) and CO2 emission. Further, we characterize and quantify the impact of the nexus on the CO2 emissions, energy sources (RES and NRES) vis-à-vis India's economic growth and fluctuations during 1965Q1-2015Q4. We contribute to the literature by finding that stochastic volatility for RES and NRES appear to be U-shaped besides using TVP-VAR model to the Indian context. This U-shaped pattern seems to be related to economic growth. We also observe the time-varying patterns of the impact transmission mechanisms among energy sources, CO2 emissions, and GDP. In addition, the impulse response of GDP from a positive shock to CO2 varies with the type of energy use in different time horizons.

Suggested Citation

  • Kang, Sang Hoon & Islam, Faridul & Kumar Tiwari, Aviral, 2019. "The dynamic relationships among CO2 emissions, renewable and non-renewable energy sources, and economic growth in India: Evidence from time-varying Bayesian VAR model," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 90-101.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:streco:v:50:y:2019:i:c:p:90-101
    DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2019.05.006
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Renewable and non-renewable energy; CO2 emission; Economic growth; TVP-VAR model; Stochastic volatility; India;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
    • Q2 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation
    • Q3 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation
    • Q4 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy

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