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International dynamic risk sharing

Author

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  • Giuseppe Cavaliere

    ()

  • Luca Fanelli

    ()

  • Attilio Gardini

    ()

Abstract

In this paper we examine the formal implications of international risk sharing among a set of countries in the presence of market frictions and forward-looking behaviour. We show that if frictions prevent consumption to adjust instantaneously to its optimal long run level, consumption streams in the countries belonging to the risk sharing pool change over time according to a dynamic disequilibrium model which can be nested within an error-correcting vector autoregressive process. Econometric methods for testing the restrictions imposed by the theory at both short and long horizons are proposed and discussed. The empirical analysis of a set of core European countries suggest that consumption data do not seem to contrast neither with the existence of risk sharing against permanent income fluctuations and integrated capital markets, nor with a gradual and interrelated process of adjustment towards the equilibrium. The apparent lack of risk sharing in Europe documented in earlier works might depend not only on the misspecification of the short run dynamics of consumption, but also on the relatively low speed of adjustment toward the equilibrium.

Suggested Citation

  • Giuseppe Cavaliere & Luca Fanelli & Attilio Gardini, 2006. "International dynamic risk sharing," Quaderni di Dipartimento 1, Department of Statistics, University of Bologna.
  • Handle: RePEc:bot:quadip:wpaper:1
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    File URL: http://amsacta.cib.unibo.it/archive/00002256/
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Franchi, Massimo & Paruolo, Paolo, 2011. "A characterization of vector autoregressive processes with common cyclical features," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 163(1), pages 105-117, July.
    2. Giuseppe Cavaliere & Luca Fanelli & Attilio Gardini, 2009. "Consumption risk sharing and adjustment costs," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(2), pages 1117-1126.
    3. Pilar Poncela & Filippo Pericoli & Anna Manca & Filippo Michela Nardo, 2016. "Risk Sharing in Europe," JRC Working Papers JRC104621, Joint Research Centre (Seville site).
    4. Giuseppe Cavaliere & A. M. Robert Taylor & Carsten Trenkler, 2015. "Bootstrap Co-integration Rank Testing: The Effect of Bias-Correcting Parameter Estimates," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(5), pages 740-759, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Adjustment costs; Consumption risk sharing; Cointegrated; VAR models; Financial market integration; Market frictions.;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth

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