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Inflation mechanisms, expectations and monetary policy

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  • Bank for International Settlements

Abstract

Inflation has been off-target for some time in many economies, both advanced and emerging. Whereas advanced economies have mostly been experiencing inflation below target, the experience among emerging market economies has been more mixed. Inflation has been below target in several EMEs in Asia and Central and Eastern Europe, but above target in some Latin American economies as well as in Russia, South Africa and Turkey. This volume explores the reasons behind this diverse inflation performance in EMEs and analyses possible changes to the inflation mechanism.

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Suggested Citation

  • Bank for International Settlements, 2016. "Inflation mechanisms, expectations and monetary policy," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 89, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:bis:bisbps:89
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Paolo Giordani, 2004. "Evaluating New‐Keynesian Models of a Small Open Economy," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 66(s1), pages 713-733, September.
    2. Prasertnukul, Weera & Kim, Donghun & Kakinaka, Makoto, 2010. "Exchange rates, price levels, and inflation targeting: Evidence from Asian countries," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 173-182, August.
    3. Hakan KARA & Fethi ÖĞÜNÇ, 2012. "Döviz kuru ve ithalat fiyatlarının yurt içi fiyatlara etkisi," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 27(317), pages 09-28.
    4. Cushman, David O. & Zha, Tao, 1997. "Identifying monetary policy in a small open economy under flexible exchange rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 433-448, August.
    5. Helmut Franken & Guillermo Le Fort & Eric Parrado, 2006. "Business Cycle Responses and the Resilence of the Chilean Economy," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Ricardo Caballero & César Calderón & Luis Felipe Céspedes & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Sc (ed.),External Vulnerability and Preventive Policies, edition 1, volume 10, chapter 4, pages 071-108, Central Bank of Chile.
    6. Hoffmaister, Alexander W. & Roldos, Jorge E., 2001. "The Sources of Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Developing Countries: Brazil and Korea," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 213-239, April.
    7. Fabio Canova, 2005. "The transmission of US shocks to Latin America," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(2), pages 229-251.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gaetano Perone, 2020. "The impact of agribusiness crimes on food prices: evidence from Italy," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 37(3), pages 877-909, October.
    2. Cengiz Tunç, 2017. "A Survey on Exchange Rate Pass through in Emerging Markets," Bulletin of Economic Theory and Analysis, BETA Journals, vol. 2(3), pages 205-233.
    3. Angeline B. Rohoia & Parmendra Sharma, 2021. "Do Inflation Expectations Matter for Small, Open Economies? Empirical Evidence from the Solomon Islands," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-18, September.
    4. Kolasa, Marcin & Wesołowski, Grzegorz, 2020. "International spillovers of quantitative easing," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    5. Ginn, William & Pourroy, Marc, 2020. "Should a central bank react to food inflation? Evidence from an estimated model for Chile," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 221-234.
    6. Temperley Patricio, 2024. "La medición de las expectativas de inflación en Argentina: consultoras económicas versus mercados financieros," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4766, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    7. Iregui, Ana María & Núñez, Héctor M. & Otero, Jesús, 2021. "Testing the efficiency of inflation and exchange rate forecast revisions in a changing economic environment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 290-314.

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