Nowcasting causality in mixed frequency vector autoregressive models
This paper introduces the notion of nowcasting causality for mixed-frequency VARs as the mixed-frequency version of instantaneous causality. We analyze the relationship between nowcasting and Granger causality in the mixed-frequency VAR setting of Ghysels 2012 and illustrate that nowcasting causality can have a crucial impact on the significance of contemporaneous or lagged high-frequency variables in standard MIDAS regression models.
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- Foroni, Claudia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2012.
"U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
8828, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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"The MIDAS Touch: Mixed Data Sampling Regression Models,"
CIRANO Working Papers
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- Fulvio Corsi, 2009. "A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 7(2), pages 174-196, Spring.
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