Food and energy price shocks: what other prices are affected?
Sharp rises in energy and other commodity prices have recently ignited concerns about inflation. Will these price increases spill over to other prices more generally? We study the typical responses of different price shocks and assess whether the recent behavior of producer and consumer prices is consistent with historical norms. Our analysis shows that the behavior of various producer and consumer prices since late 2009 has generally matched up with historical patterns. Overall, our findings suggest that effects of the recent energy and commodity price shocks on core consumer prices will be modest going forward.
Volume (Year): (2011)
Issue (Month): Aug ()
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- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Daphné Momferatu & Luca Onorante, 2010.
"Short-term inflation projections: a Bayesian vector autoregressive approach,"
Working Papers ECARES
ECARES 2010-011, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Momferatou, Daphne & Onorante, Luca, 2014. "Short-term inflation projections: A Bayesian vector autoregressive approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 635-644.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Momferatou, Daphne & Onorante, Luca, 2010. "Short-Term Inflation Projections: a Bayesian Vector Autoregressive approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 7746, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kenneth R. Beauchemin, 2011. "Shocks and the economic outlook," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue June.
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