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Penny wise and pound foolish? On the income from Germany’s foreign investments

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  • Thomas A. Knetsch

    (Deutsche Bundesbank)

  • Arne J. Nagengast

    (Deutsche Bundesbank)

Abstract

Recently, Germany’s current account surpluses have been a cause of concern both in the public debate as well as in policy circles. Although accumulating net foreign assets appears reasonable against the background of population ageing, one of the criticisms that has been voiced repeatedly in this regard is that Germany’s savings are being squandered abroad. In order to disentangle the dynamics of the German investment income balance, we apply a novel decomposition framework to a rich German dataset spanning 11 different asset classes between 1999 and 2014. First, we show that Germany gained a yield privilege in this time period and that it would not have been more profitable to invest German savings in domestic assets. Second, the accumulation of net foreign assets accounted for 60% of the rise in the investment income balance. Third, the global decline in interest rates in the aftermath of the global financial crisis led to an appreciable dent in net investment income receipts, which leaves scope for a risk sharing interpretation.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas A. Knetsch & Arne J. Nagengast, 2017. "Penny wise and pound foolish? On the income from Germany’s foreign investments," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 153(4), pages 753-778, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:weltar:v:153:y:2017:i:4:d:10.1007_s10290-017-0283-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s10290-017-0283-3
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    Cited by:

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    2. Vincent Vicard, 2019. "The Exorbitant Privilege of High Tax Countries," Working Papers 2019-06, CEPII research center.
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    5. Joyce, Joseph, 2021. "The International Distribution of FDI Income And Its Impact on Income Inequality," MPRA Paper 106448, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Thomas A. Knetsch & Arne J. Nagengast, 2017. "Penny wise and pound foolish? On the income from Germany’s foreign investments," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 153(4), pages 753-778, November.
    7. Vincent Vicard, 2023. "Profit Shifting, Returns on Foreign Direct Investments and Investment Income Imbalances," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(2), pages 369-414, June.
    8. Guido Baldi & Björn Bremer & Thore Schlaak, 2017. "Internationale Investitionen und Leistungsbilanzungleichgewichte: Die Bedeutung von Wertschwankungen," DIW Roundup: Politik im Fokus 117, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    9. Giacomo Oddo & Enrico Tosti, 2017. "The evolution of Italy�s investment income balance," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 386, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    10. Jannsen, Nils & Potjagailo, Galina, 2018. "Mittelfristige Projektion der Vermögenseinkommen aus grenzüberschreitenden Kapitalanlagen," Kiel Insight 2018.14, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    11. Nierhaus. Wolfgang, 2017. "Quarterly Real Value of GDP and Terms of Trade: Oil Price Increase Dampens Expansion," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(09), pages 39-42, May.
    12. Duncan van Limbergen, 2020. "Revisiting the income balance. What makes EU tax havens different?," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Bridging measurement challenges and analytical needs of external statistics: evolution or revolution?, volume 52, Bank for International Settlements.
    13. Fiedler, Salomon & Görg, Holger & Hornok, Cecília & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Marchal, Léa & Potjagailo, Galina, 2018. "Direktinvestitionen im Ausland - Effekte auf die deutsche Leistungsbilanz und Spillovers in den Empfängerländern," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 16, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    14. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina, 2018. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2018 - Deutsche Wirtschaft: Aufschwungskräfte tragen noch [German Economy Autumn 2018 - Germany's boom is maturing]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 47, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Investment income balance; Return differential; Exorbitant privilege; International risk sharing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F45 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Macroeconomic Issues of Monetary Unions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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