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The evolution of Italy’s investment income balance

Author

Listed:
  • Giacomo Oddo

    () (Bank of Italy)

  • Enrico Tosti

    () (Bank of Italy)

Abstract

This paper analyses the evolution of Italian investment income flows in relation to the corresponding financial stocks in the international investment position. The period under scrutiny is from 1999 to 2016, covering all developments since the beginning of monetary union. The analysis is based on a decomposition framework which allows us to disentangle investment income changes into three elements: (i) variations due to changes in the international investment position (stock effect); (ii) variations due to changes in the yields accruing to the underlying stocks (yield effect), and (iii) variations due to changes in the financial instrument composition of assets and liabilities (composition effect). The most important driver of Italy’s investment income balance variations is the yield effect. The stock and the composition effects are less significant: the former effect contributed to the worsening balance of payments in the first half of the period but waned thereafter; the latter effect strengthened after 2008. Applying this analytical framework to the other three main euro-area countries confirms the key role of the yield effect in shaping the short-term dynamics, and shows the different role of stock and composition effects in shaping the longer-term dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Giacomo Oddo & Enrico Tosti, 2017. "The evolution of Italy’s investment income balance," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 386, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  • Handle: RePEc:bdi:opques:qef_386_17
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    File URL: http://www.bancaditalia.it/pubblicazioni/qef/2017-0386/QEF_386_17.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Martina Cecioni & Giuseppe Ferrero, 2012. "Determinants of TARGET2 imbalances," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 136, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    2. Eichengreen, Barry, 2012. "Exorbitant Privilege: The Rise and Fall of the Dollar," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199642472.
    3. repec:spr:weltar:v:153:y:2017:i:4:d:10.1007_s10290-017-0283-3 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Thomas A. Knetsch & Arne J. Nagengast, 2017. "Penny wise and pound foolish? On the income from Germany’s foreign investments," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 153(4), pages 753-778, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    investment income; international investment position; balance of payments;

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements

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