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Zu den Auswirkungen von Rohstoffpreisänderungen auf den Leistungsbilanzsaldo

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  • Christian Grimme
  • Timo Wollmershäuser

Abstract

Der deutsche Leistungsbilanzüberschuss ist in den vergangenen Jahren auf über 8% in Relation zum nominalen Bruttoinlandsprodukt gestiegen. Damit übersteigt er den von der Europäischen Kommission im Rahmen der Überwachung von makroökonomischen Ungleichgewichten ausgegebenen Schwellenwert von 6%. Dieser starke Anstieg ist maßgeblich auf den Rückgang der Preise für importiertes Erdöl und Erdgas zurückzuführen. Für sich genommen hat dieser Preiseffekt in den Jahren von 2013 bis 2016 den Leistungsbilanzüberschuss um 1,4 Prozentpunkte des nominalen Bruttoinlandsprodukts steigen lassen.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Grimme & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2017. "Zu den Auswirkungen von Rohstoffpreisänderungen auf den Leistungsbilanzsaldo," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(14), pages 44-46, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:70:y:2017:i:14:p:44-46
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    1. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Oliver Hülsewig & Klaus Abberger & Teresa Buchen & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Johannes Mayr & Wolfg, 2009. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2010: Deutsche Wirtschaft ohne Dynamik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(24), pages 17-64, December.
    2. Thomas A. Knetsch & Arne J. Nagengast, 2017. "Penny wise and pound foolish? On the income from Germany’s foreign investments," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 153(4), pages 753-778, November.
    3. Gabriel Felbermayr & Clemens Fuest & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2017. "The German Current Account Surplus: Where Does It Come From, Is It Harmful and Should Germany Do Something about It?," EconPol Policy Reports 2, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    4. Timo Wollmershäuser & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Nikolay Hristov & Dorine Boumans & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & S. Lauterbacher & Robert Lehmann & Wolfgang Meister & Andreas Peichl & Magnus Reif & F, 2017. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2017/2018: Deutsche Wirtschaft stark und stabil," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(12), pages 30-83, June.
    5. Nierhaus. Wolfgang, 2017. "Vierteljährlicher Realwert des BIP und Terms of Trade: Ölpreisanstieg dämpft Expansion," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(09), pages 39-42, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Timo Wollmershäuser & Silvia Delrio & Clemens Fuest & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Carla Krolage & Stefan Lautenbacher & Robert Lehmann & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Andreas Peichl & Magnus Reif & Rad, 2017. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2017–2019: Deutsche Wirtschaft auf dem Weg in die Hochkonjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(24), pages 28-81, December.
    2. Christina Graf & Christian Grimme, 2017. "Der Einfluss der Vermögenseinkommen auf den deutschen Leistungsbilanzüberschuss," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(22), pages 38-44, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Rohstoffmarkt; Leistungsbilanz; Außenwirtschaftliches Gleichgewicht; Internationaler Wettbewerb; Deutschland;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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