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Rangan Gupta

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "“Ripple Effects” and Forecasting Home Prices In Los Angeles, Las Vegas, and Phoenix," Working Papers 200901, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Pittsburgh, phoenix
      by ryan in The bellows on 2009-02-04 01:31:56
  2. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Forecasting the US Real House Price Index: Structural and Non-Structural Models with and without Fundamentals," Working Papers 200927, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Mentioned in:

    1. DSGE models and forecasting
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2009-12-21 06:35:25

Working papers

  1. Elie Bouri & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Ruipeng Liu, 2024. "Supply Chain Constraints and the Predictability of the Conditional Distribution of International Stock Market Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 202440, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mawuli Segnon & Bjorn Schulte-Tillmann & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "Deglobalization and Foreign Exchange Volatility: The Role of Supply Chain Pressures," Working Papers 202506, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  2. Goodness C. Aye & Prosper E. Edoja & Sarah Enwa & Rangan Gupta & Emmanuel Eshoforen, 2024. "Role of Inflation and Exchange Rates in Shaping the Country's Food Security Landscape: Nigeria's Food Price Puzzle," Working Papers 202430, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Khwazi Magubane, 2025. "The Stability of the Financial Cycle: Insights from a Markov Switching Regression in South Africa," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 18(2), pages 1-30, February.

  3. Yunhan Zhang & Qiang Ji & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "How Connected is the Oil-Bank Network? Firm-Level and High-Frequency Evidence," Working Papers 202405, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Liu, Zhenhua & Wang, Yushu & Yuan, Xinting & Ding, Zhihua & Ji, Qiang, 2025. "Geopolitical risk and vulnerability of energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).

  4. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Multi-Task Forecasting of the Realized Volatilities of Agricultural Commodity Prices," Working Papers 202423, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Financial Stress and Realized Volatility: The Case of Agricultural Commodities," Working Papers 202320, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  5. Onur Polat & Juncal Cunado & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Oil Price Shocks and the Connectedness of US State-Level Financial Markets," Working Papers 202438, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Aaron J. Amburgey, 2025. "How Election Shocks Move Markets: Evidence from Sectoral Stock Prices," Papers 2504.02731, arXiv.org.
    2. Jiawen Luo & Shengjie Fu & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The Role of Uncertainty in Forecasting Realized Covariance of US State-Level Stock Returns: A Reverse-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202501, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  6. Onur Polat & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Can Municipal Bonds Hedge US State-Level Climate Risks?," Working Papers 202419, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Christian Pierdzioch & Onur Polat, 2024. "Climate Risks and Real Gold Returns over 750 Years," Working Papers 202436, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  7. O-Chia Chuang & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Buliao Shu, 2024. "Financial Uncertainty and Gold Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach with Variable Selection," Working Papers 202441, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Do Shortages Forecast Aggregate and Sectoral U.S. Stock Market Realized Variance? Evidence from a Century of Data," Working Papers 202450, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  8. Vassilios Babalos & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Does the Introduction of US Spot Bitcoin ETFs Affect Spot Returns and Volatility of Major Cryptocurrencies?," Working Papers 202416, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Thanos Drossos & Daniel Kirste & Niclas Kannengie{ss}er & Ali Sunyaev, 2025. "Automated Market Makers: Toward More Profitable Liquidity Provisioning Strategies," Papers 2501.07828, arXiv.org.

  9. Wenting Liao & Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar, 2024. "Extreme Weather Shocks and State-Level Inflation of the United States," Working Papers 202402, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Jiawen Luo & Shengjie Fu & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Climate Risks and Forecastability of US Inflation: Evidence from Dynamic Quantile Model Averaging," Working Papers 202420, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  10. Christophe Andre & Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Fiscal Policy and Stock Markets at the Effective Lower Bound," Working Papers 202309, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Predicting Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries: The Role of Oil Price Uncertainty," Working Papers 202332, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Centinaio, Alessandra & Pacicco, Fausto & Serati, Massimiliano & Venegoni, Andrea, 2024. "Government decisions and macroeconomic stability: Fiscal policies and financial market fluctuations," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    3. Wu, You & Xu, Gang & Wang, Xing & Wang, Shengqi & Zhu, Wenhan, 2025. "The impact of internet use and life satisfaction on household consumption expenditure: Based on empirical data from Chinese surveys," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).

  11. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Forecasting the Realized Volatility of Agricultural Commodity Prices: Does Sentiment Matter?," Working Papers 202316, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Multi-Task Forecasting of the Realized Volatilities of Agricultural Commodity Prices," Working Papers 202423, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Financial Stress and Realized Volatility: The Case of Agricultural Commodities," Working Papers 202320, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Forecasting Realized US Stock Market Volatility: Is there a Role for Economic Policy Uncertainty?," Working Papers 202408, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  12. Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Realized Volatility of Oil Price Returns," Working Papers 202325, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gurdip Bakshi & Xiaohui Gao & Zhaowei Zhang, 2024. "What Insights Do Short-Maturity (7DTE) Return Predictive Regressions Offer about Risk Preferences in the Oil Market?," Commodities, MDPI, vol. 3(2), pages 1-23, May.
    2. Xiao, Xunyong & Li, Aixi & Kchouri, Bilal & Shan, Shan, 2024. "Tracing the dynamic impact of energy transitions on equity market volatility in an era of financial turbulence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).

  13. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2023. "The Effects of Disaggregate Oil Shocks on Aggregate Expected Skewness of the United States," Working Papers 202302, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Foglia & Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Multi-Layer Spillovers between Volatility and Skewness in International Stock Markets Over a Century of Data: The Role of Disaster Risks," Working Papers 202337, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Oil Price Returns Skewness and Forecastability of International Stock Returns Over One Century of Data," Working Papers 202339, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  14. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni & Petre Caraiani, 2023. "Oil Shocks and State-Level Stock Market Volatility of the United States: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202327, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Do Shortages Forecast Aggregate and Sectoral U.S. Stock Market Realized Variance? Evidence from a Century of Data," Working Papers 202450, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  15. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2023. "Time-Varying Effects of Extreme Weather Shocks on Output Growth of the United States," Working Papers 202324, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Modeling the presidential approval ratings of the United States using machine-learning: Does climate policy uncertainty matter?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).

  16. Elie Bouri & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Harald Kinateder, 2023. "Geopolitical Risk and Inflation Spillovers across European and North American Economies," Working Papers 202304, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. António Afonso & José Alves & Sofia Monteiro, 2023. "Beyond Borders: Assessing the Influence of Geopolitical Tensions on Sovereign Risk Dynamics," Working Papers REM 2023/0300, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    2. Korzeb, Zbigniew & Niedziółka, Paweł & Nistor, Simona, 2023. "Sovereign creditworthiness and bank foreign ownership. An empirical investigation of the European banking sector," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    3. Wang, Anqi & Ding, Shusheng & Cui, Tianxiang, 2025. "Green bond market stability and Russia Ukraine conflict: The role of green inclusive finance," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    4. Aharon, David Y. & Aziz, Mukhriz Izraf Azman & Nor, Safwan Mohd, 2023. "Cross-country study of the linkages between COVID-19, oil prices, and inflation in the G7 countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    5. Bouri, Elie & Nekhili, Ramzi & Kinateder, Harald & Choudhury, Tonmoy, 2023. "Expected inflation and U.S. stock sector indices: A dynamic time-scale tale from inflationary and deflationary crisis periods," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    6. Aljohani, Bader M. & Fadul, Abubaker & Asiri, Maram S. & Alkhathami, Abdulrahman D. & Hasan, Fakhrul, 2024. "Volatility transmission in the property market during two inflationary periods: The 2008–2009 global financial crisis and the COVID-19 crisis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).

  17. Santino Del Fava & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "Forecasting International Financial Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Climate Risks and Prediction of Sectoral REITs Volatility: International Evidence," Working Papers 202434, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Christian Pierdzioch & Onur Polat, 2024. "Climate Risks and Real Gold Returns over 750 Years," Working Papers 202436, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Massimiliano Caporin & Petre Caraiani & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Predicting the Conditional Distribution of US Stock Market Systemic Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202407, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Modeling the presidential approval ratings of the United States using machine-learning: Does climate policy uncertainty matter?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    5. Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Climate Policy Uncertainty and Financial Stress: Evidence for China," Working Papers 202428, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Asingamaanda Liphadzi & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Forecasting Stock Returns Volatility of the G7 Over Centuries: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202424, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Foglia, Matteo & Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2025. "Long-span multi-layer spillovers between moments of advanced equity markets: The role of climate risks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    8. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2025. "Unraveling Financial Fragility of Global Markets Using Machine Learning," Working Papers 202511, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Petre Caraiani & Onur Polat & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2025. "Climate Risks and Predictability of Financial Risks in the US Banking Sector," Working Papers 202507, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Ana Telma Pereira & Carolina Cabaços & Cristiana C. Marques & Ana Isabel Araújo & António Macedo, 2024. "Perfectionism and Cognitive and Emotional Reactions to Climate Change and Psychological Distress," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(21), pages 1-15, October.

  18. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Energy-Related Uncertainty and International Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202336, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Li, Xin & Su, Chi Wei, 2024. "Evaluating the impact of multiple uncertainty shocks on China's airline stocks volatility: A novel joint quantile perspective," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    2. Pacelli, Vincenzo & Di Tommaso, Caterina & Foglia, Matteo & Povia, Maria Melania, 2025. "Spillover effects between energy uncertainty and financial risk in the Eurozone banking sector," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    3. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Energy Market Uncertainties and Exchange Rate Volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202418, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Wang, Jying-Nan & Vigne, Samuel A. & Liu, Hung-Chun & Hsu, Yuan-Teng, 2024. "Divergent jump characteristics in brown and green cryptocurrencies: The role of energy-related uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Bank-Level Stock Returns Volatility of the United States: A Mixed-Frequency Perspective," Working Papers 202444, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  19. Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji & Christian Pierdzioch & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2023. "Forecasting the Conditional Distribution of Realized Volatility of Oil Price Returns: The Role of Skewness over 1859 to 2023," Working Papers 202318, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Feipeng & Gao, Hongfu & Yuan, Di, 2024. "The asymmetric effect of G7 stock market volatility on predicting oil price volatility: Evidence from quantile autoregression model," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    2. Thanoj K. Muddana & Komal S.R. Bhimireddy & Anandamayee Majumdar & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Forecasting Gold Returns Volatility Over 1258-2023: The Role of Moments," Working Papers 202421, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Matteo Foglia & Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Multi-Layer Spillovers between Volatility and Skewness in International Stock Markets Over a Century of Data: The Role of Disaster Risks," Working Papers 202337, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Polat, Onur, 2024. "Forecasting U.S. recessions using over 150 years of data: Stock-market moments versus oil-market moments," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Oil Price Returns Skewness and Forecastability of International Stock Returns Over One Century of Data," Working Papers 202339, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Asingamaanda Liphadzi & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Forecasting Stock Returns Volatility of the G7 Over Centuries: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202424, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Wen, Danyan & Wang, Huihui & Wang, Yudong & Xiao, Jihong, 2024. "Crude oil futures and the short-term price predictability of petroleum products," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 307(C).

  20. Rangan Gupta & Yuvana Jaichand & Christian Pierdzioch & Renee van Eyden, 2023. "Realized Stock-Market Volatility of the United States and the Presidential Approval Rating," Working Papers 202311, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Political Geography and Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Political Alignment across Sentiment Regimes," Working Papers 202414, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Wenting Liao & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2023. "Economic Conditions and Predictability of US Stock Returns Volatility: Local Factor versus National Factor in a GARCH-MIDAS Model," Working Papers 202323, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Modeling the presidential approval ratings of the United States using machine-learning: Does climate policy uncertainty matter?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).

  21. Haohua Li & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Libing Fang, 2023. "Return Volatility, Correlation, and Hedging of Green and Brown Stocks: Is there a Role for Climate Risk Factors?," Working Papers 202301, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ge, Jiamin & Min Du, Anna & Lin, Boqiang, 2025. "“Volatility in a Mug Cup”: Spillovers among cocoa, coffee, sugar futures and the role of climate policy risk," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
    2. Yun-Shi Dai & Peng-Fei Dai & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2024. "The impact of geopolitical risk on the international agricultural market: Empirical analysis based on the GJR-GARCH-MIDAS model," Papers 2404.01641, arXiv.org.
    3. Iqbal, Najaf & Bouri, Elie & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Alsagr, Naif, 2024. "Asymmetric impacts of Chinese climate policy uncertainty on Chinese asset prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    4. Mohammad Enamul Hoque & M. Kabir Hassan & Luca Pezzo, 2024. "Managing risk and reaping rewards: Climate‐change futures as a game‐changer for energy futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(8), pages 1338-1356, August.
    5. Naseer, Mirza Muhammad & Guo, Yongsheng & Bagh, Tanveer & Zhu, Xiaoxian, 2024. "Sustainable investments in volatile times: Nexus of climate change risk, ESG practices, and market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    6. Mohammed I. Shuaibu & Suleiman O. Mamman & Jamilu Iliyasu & Wang Zhanqin, 2024. "Asymmetric pricing of climate policy uncertainty under heterogeneous stocks market conditions in China: evidence from GARCH and quantile models," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 1-14, December.
    7. Tedeschi, Marco & Foglia, Matteo & Bouri, Elie & Dai, Peng-Fei, 2024. "How does climate policy uncertainty affect financial markets? Evidence from Europe," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    8. Xinqi Chen & Yilei Luo & Qing Yan, 2024. "Does Extreme Weather Impact Performance in Capital Markets? Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-22, August.
    9. Chia‐Hsien Tang & Yen‐Hsien Lee & Hung‐Chun Liu & Guan‐Gzhe Zeng, 2024. "Exploring the unpredictable nature of climate policy uncertainty: An empirical analysis of its impact on commodity futures returns in the United States," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(7), pages 1277-1292, July.
    10. Esparcia, Carlos & Diaz, Antonio & Alonso, Daniel, 2023. "How important is green awareness in energy investment decisions? An environmentally-based rebalancing portfolio study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    11. Wang, Yihan & Goutte, Stephane & Bouri, Elie & Sokhanvar, Amin, 2024. "Climate risks and the realized higher-order moments of financial markets: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 1064-1087.

  22. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Technological Shocks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202308, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Arash Sioofy Khoojine & Ziyun Feng & Mahboubeh Shadabfar & Negar Sioofy Khoojine, 2023. "Analyzing volatility patterns in the Chinese stock market using partial mutual information-based distances," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 96(12), pages 1-21, December.

  23. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Financial Stress and Realized Volatility: The Case of Agricultural Commodities," Working Papers 202320, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Multi-Task Forecasting of the Realized Volatilities of Agricultural Commodity Prices," Working Papers 202423, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  24. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Testing the Forecasting Power of Global Economic Conditions for the Volatility of International REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202211, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Zouhaier Dhifaoui & Sami Ben Jabeur & Rabeh Khalfaoui & Muhammad Ali Nasir, 2023. "Time‐varying partial‐directed coherence approach to forecast global energy prices with stochastic volatility model," Post-Print hal-04296385, HAL.
    2. Hanif, Waqas & Andraz, Jorge Miguel & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2024. "Are REITS hedge or safe haven against oil price fall?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1-16.

  25. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Mark E. Wohar, 2022. "Is Real Interest Rate a Monetary Phenomenon in Advanced Economies? Time-Varying Evidence from Over 700 Years of Data," Working Papers 202245, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Edvinsson, Rodney & Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2023. "Does Money Growth Predict Inflation? Evidence from Vector Autoregressions Using Four Centuries of Data," Working Papers 2023:3, Örebro University, School of Business.

  26. Sergey Ivashchenko & Semih Emre Cekin & Rangan Gupta & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2022. "Real-Time Forecast of DSGE Models with Time-Varying Volatility in GARCH Form," Working Papers 202204, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Pan, Changchun & Huang, Yuzhe & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2024. "The dynamic effects of oil supply shock on China: Evidence from the TVP-Proxy-VAR approach," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    2. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Shao, David Xuefeng & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2024. "Asymmetric relationship between carbon market and energy markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 313(C).
    3. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Yahya, Farzan, 2024. "Mitigating energy instability: The influence of trilemma choices, financial development, and technology advancements," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    4. Zhu, Qingyuan & Xu, Chengzhen & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2024. "Trade-induced carbon-economic inequality within China: Measurement, sources, and determinants," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    5. Luo, Kang & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Zeng, Mingli & Hu, Weihui, 2024. "How does the development of digital economy in central cities promote the coordinated development of regions? Evidence from 19 urban agglomerations in China," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

  27. Jiawen Luo & Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Forecasting Multivariate Volatilities with Exogenous Predictors: An Application to Industry Diversification Strategies," Working Papers 202258, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Niu, Zibo & Demirer, Riza & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & Zhang, Hongwei & Zhu, Xuehong, 2024. "Do industries predict stock market volatility? Evidence from machine learning models," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).

  28. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Afees A. Salisu & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Predictability of Economic Slowdowns in Advanced Countries over Eight Centuries: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202237, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Jingfeng Zhao & Fan Sun, 2023. "Study on the Influence Mechanism and Adjustment Path of Climate Risk on China’s High-Quality Economic Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-19, June.
    2. Liao, Wenting & Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Karmakar, Sayar, 2024. "Extreme weather shocks and state-level inflation of the United States," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
    3. Azizbek Tokhirov, 2024. "Income Fluctuations and Subjective Well-being: The Mediating Effects of Occupational Switching and Remittances," Journal of Happiness Studies, Springer, vol. 25(8), pages 1-37, December.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Christian Pierdzioch & Onur Polat, 2024. "Climate Risks and Real Gold Returns over 750 Years," Working Papers 202436, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Cepni, Oguzhan, 2024. "Time-Varying effects of extreme weather shocks on output growth of the United States," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    6. Santino Del Fava & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "Forecasting International Financial Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Foglia, Matteo & Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2025. "Long-span multi-layer spillovers between moments of advanced equity markets: The role of climate risks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    8. Rangan Gupta & Sarah Nandnaba & Wei Jiang, 2024. "Climate Change and Growth Dynamics," Working Papers 202404, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  29. Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Monetary Policy and Bubbles in G7 Economies: Evidence from a Panel VAR Approach," Working Papers 202230, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "US Monetary Policy and BRICS Stock Market Bubbles," Working Papers 202243, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  30. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Climate Risks and Realized Volatility of Major Commodity Currency Exchange Rates," Working Papers 202210, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mohammad Abdullah & Mohammad Ashraful Ferdous Chowdhury & Ajim Uddin & Syed Moudud‐Ul‐Huq, 2023. "Forecasting nonperforming loans using machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1664-1689, November.
    2. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "Climate risks and state-level stock market realized volatility," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    3. Wang, Jiqian & Li, Liang, 2023. "Climate risk and Chinese stock volatility forecasting: Evidence from ESG index," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    4. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Christian Pierdzioch & Onur Polat, 2024. "Climate Risks and Real Gold Returns over 750 Years," Working Papers 202436, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Sheikh, Umaid A. & Tabash, Mosab I. & Jiao, Zhilun, 2024. "Shock transmission between climate policy uncertainty, financial stress indicators, oil price uncertainty and industrial metal volatility: Identifying moderators, hedgers and shock transmitters," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    6. Hyder Ali & Salma Naz, 2025. "Forecasting Equity Premium in the Face of Climate Policy Uncertainty," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(2), pages 513-546, March.
    7. Karim, Sitara & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Shafiullah, Muhammad & Lucey, Brian M. & Ashraf, Sania, 2023. "Asymmetric relationship between climate policy uncertainty and energy metals: Evidence from cross-quantilogram," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    8. Ma, Yong & Zhou, Mingtao & Li, Shuaibing, 2024. "Weathering market swings: Does climate risk matter for agricultural commodity price predictability?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    9. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Energy Market Uncertainties and Exchange Rate Volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202418, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Yuqin Zhou & Shan Wu & Zhenhua Liu & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "The asymmetric effects of climate risk on higher-moment connectedness among carbon, energy and metals markets," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-16, December.
    11. Yin, Libo & Cao, Hong, 2024. "The propagation effect of climate risks on global stock markets: Evidence from the time and space domains," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    12. Karmakar, Sayar & Gupta, Rangan & Cepni, Oguzhan & Rognone, Lavinia, 2023. "Climate risks and predictability of the trading volume of gold: Evidence from an INGARCH model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    13. Wang, Kai-Hua & Wang, Zu-Shan & Yunis, Manal & Kchouri, Bilal, 2023. "Spillovers and connectedness among climate policy uncertainty, energy, green bond and carbon markets: A global perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    14. Naseer, Mirza Muhammad & Guo, Yongsheng & Bagh, Tanveer & Zhu, Xiaoxian, 2024. "Sustainable investments in volatile times: Nexus of climate change risk, ESG practices, and market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    15. Kim, Incheol & Lee, Suin & Ryou, Jiwoo, 2024. "Does climate risk influence analyst forecast accuracy?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    16. Gong, Xue & Xu, Weijun & Li, Xiaodan & Gong, Xue, 2024. "Presidential economic approval rating and global foreign exchange market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    17. Carè, R. & Fatima, R. & Boitan, I.A., 2024. "Central banks and climate risks: Where we are and where we are going?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 1200-1229.
    18. Santino Del Fava & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "Forecasting International Financial Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Shanghui Jia & Xinhui Chen & Liyan Han & Jiayu Jin, 2023. "Global climate change and commodity markets: A hedging perspective," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(10), pages 1393-1422, October.
    20. Zhang, Yaojie & He, Mengxi & Wang, Yudong & Wen, Danyan, 2025. "Model specification for volatility forecasting benchmark," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    21. Pham, Linh & Kamal, Javed Bin, 2024. "Blessings or curse: How do media climate change concerns affect commodity tail risk spillovers?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    22. Tufail, Saira & Alvi, Shahzad & Hoang, Viet-Ngu & Wilson, Clevo, 2024. "The effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policies of the US, EU, and China on global green investment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    23. Xiang, Diling & Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Nasr Isfahani, Mohammad & Vasa, László, 2024. "Would really long-only climate-transition strategies in commodities bring lower market risk for sustainable markets in the long run? The Islamic sustainable market versus the global sustainability lea," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 1271-1295.
    24. Shafiullah, Muhammad & Senthilkumar, Arunachalam & Lucey, Brian M. & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2024. "Deciphering asymmetric spillovers in US industries: Insights from higher-order moments," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    25. Chia‐Hsien Tang & Yen‐Hsien Lee & Hung‐Chun Liu & Guan‐Gzhe Zeng, 2024. "Exploring the unpredictable nature of climate policy uncertainty: An empirical analysis of its impact on commodity futures returns in the United States," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(7), pages 1277-1292, July.
    26. Guo, Kun & Liu, Yu & Cao, Shanwei & Zhai, Xiangyang & Ji, Qiang, 2025. "Can climate factors improve the forecasting of electricity price volatility? Evidence from Australia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 315(C).
    27. Qiao, Sen & Chang, Yuan & Mai, Xi Xi & Dang, Yi Jing, 2024. "Climate policy uncertainty, clean energy and energy metals: A quantile time-frequency spillover study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    28. Kejin Wu & Sayar Karmakar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century in an Emerging Market Economy: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 202326, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  31. Keagile Lesame & Geoffrey Ngene & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Herding in International REITs Markets around the COVID-19 Pandemic," Working Papers 202218, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Dutta, Anupam & Park, Donghyun & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Kanjilal, Kakali & Ghosh, Sajal, 2024. "Do dirty and clean energy investments react to infectious disease-induced uncertainty?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).

  32. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Bernd Wilfling, 2022. "Forecasting Stock Market Volatility with Regime-Switching GARCH-MIDAS: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 202203, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mensi, Walid & Lee, Yeonjeong & Al-Kharusi, Sami & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2024. "Switching spillovers and connectedness between Sukuk and international Islamic stock markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    2. Peng, Lijuan & Liang, Chao & Yang, Baoying & Wang, Lu, 2024. "Crude oil volatility forecasting: Insights from a novel time-varying parameter GARCH-MIDAS model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    3. Yun-Shi Dai & Peng-Fei Dai & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2024. "The impact of geopolitical risk on the international agricultural market: Empirical analysis based on the GJR-GARCH-MIDAS model," Papers 2404.01641, arXiv.org.
    4. Vincenzo Candila & Oguzhan Cepni & Giampiero M. Gallo & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Influence of Local and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty on the Volatility of US State-Level Equity Returns: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach with Shrinkage and Cluster Analysis," Working Papers 202437, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Jiawen Luo & Shengjie Fu & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The Role of Uncertainty in Forecasting Realized Covariance of US State-Level Stock Returns: A Reverse-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202501, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Salisu, Afees A. & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2024. "Technological shocks and stock market volatility over a century," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    7. Liu, Zhenhua & Wang, Yushu & Yuan, Xinting & Ding, Zhihua & Ji, Qiang, 2025. "Geopolitical risk and vulnerability of energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    8. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2024. "Energy-related uncertainty and international stock market volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 280-293.
    9. Wang, Lu & Wu, Jiangbin & Cao, Yang & Hong, Yanran, 2022. "Forecasting renewable energy stock volatility using short and long-term Markov switching GARCH-MIDAS models: Either, neither or both?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    10. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E.Oghonna & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2024. "Energy Market Uncertainties and US State-Level Stock Market Volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202409, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  33. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Investor Sentiment and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries," Working Papers 202256, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Foglia, Matteo & Miglietta, Federica, 2024. "Does every cloud (bubble) have a silver lining? An investigation of ESG financial markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    2. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    3. Ateeb Akhter Shah Syed & Kevin Haeseung Lee & Mohsin Waheed & Sarah Saleh, 2025. "Measuring the financial stability sentiments and evaluating their impacts on financial soundness, financial stability, and the macroeconomy of Pakistan," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 27-56, March.
    4. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Predicting Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries: The Role of Oil Price Uncertainty," Working Papers 202332, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua, 2024. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bubbles in global stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    6. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles in an Emerging Country: The Case of India," Working Papers 202305, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Huang, Leping & Zhang, Kuo & Wang, Jingxin & Zhu, Yingfu, 2023. "Examining the interplay of green bonds and fossil fuel markets: The influence of investor sentiments," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    8. Dettoni, Robinson & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Yaya, OlaOluwa S., 2024. "Stock market prices and Dividends in the US: Bubbles or Long-run equilibria relationships?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    9. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Stock Market Volatility and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles," Working Papers 202310, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratio and the Predictability of Bubbles in Financial Markets," Working Papers 202317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2025. "Stock market volatility and multi-scale positive and negative bubbles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    12. Tzika, Paraskevi & Pantelidis, Theologos, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty as an indicator of abrupt movements in the US stock market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 93-103.

  34. Xolani Sibande & Riza Demirer & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "On the Pricing Effects of Bitcoin Mining in the Fossil Fuel Market: The Case of Coal," Working Papers 202239, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Wei & Liu, Jie & Peng, Wenqing & Zhao, Yanlin & Luo, Shilin & Wan, Wen & Wu, Qiuhong & Wang, Yuanzeng & Li, Shengnan & Tang, Xiaoyu & Zeng, Xiantao & Wu, Xiaofan & Zhou, Yu & Xie, Senlin, 2023. "Aging deterioration of mechanical properties on coal-rock combinations considering hydro-chemical corrosion," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    2. Dong, Xiyong & Jiang, Zhuhua & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2024. "Impact of global financial and energy markets, uncertainty, and climate change attention on Bitcoin carbon footprint," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).

  35. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Working Papers 202217, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    2. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Predicting Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries: The Role of Oil Price Uncertainty," Working Papers 202332, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Oil Price Returns Skewness and Forecastability of International Stock Returns Over One Century of Data," Working Papers 202339, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Foglia, Matteo & Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2025. "Long-span multi-layer spillovers between moments of advanced equity markets: The role of climate risks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E.Oghonna & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2024. "Energy Market Uncertainties and US State-Level Stock Market Volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202409, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  36. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "US Monetary Policy and BRICS Stock Market Bubbles," Working Papers 202243, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Foglia, Matteo & Miglietta, Federica, 2024. "Does every cloud (bubble) have a silver lining? An investigation of ESG financial markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    2. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    3. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Predicting Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries: The Role of Oil Price Uncertainty," Working Papers 202332, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua, 2024. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bubbles in global stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    5. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles in an Emerging Country: The Case of India," Working Papers 202305, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Dettoni, Robinson & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Yaya, OlaOluwa S., 2024. "Stock market prices and Dividends in the US: Bubbles or Long-run equilibria relationships?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    7. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Stock Market Volatility and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles," Working Papers 202310, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Liao, Xin & Li, Qin & Chan, Stephen & Chu, Jeffrey & Zhang, Yuanyuan, 2024. "Interconnections and contagion among cryptocurrencies, DeFi, NFT and traditional financial assets: Some new evidence from tail risk driven network," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 647(C).
    9. Dettoni, Robinson & Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko, 2023. "Testing the hypothesis of duration dependence in the U.S. housing market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PD).
    10. Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratio and the Predictability of Bubbles in Financial Markets," Working Papers 202317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2025. "Stock market volatility and multi-scale positive and negative bubbles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    12. Geraldo E. Silva jr. & Sidney M. Caetano, 2024. "Inception-expansion-bursting bubbles in the BRICS-dollar exchange rates," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 44(3), pages 961-974.

  37. Serda Selin Ozturk & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Climate Uncertainty and Carbon Emissions Prices: The Relative Roles of Transition and Physical Climate Risks," Working Papers 202215, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Zhao, Wanli & Zhai, Xiangyang & Ji, Qiang & Liu, Zhenhua, 2024. "Measuring crisis from climate risk spillovers in European electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    2. Li, Rui & Fang, Debin & Xu, Jiajun, 2025. "Does climate policy uncertainty (CPU) hinder carbon reduction? Evidence using the city-level CPU index in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    3. Ayad, Hicham & Abbas, Shujaat & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi & Jibir, Adamu & Shahzad, Umer, 2023. "Industrial growth, health care policy uncertainty and carbon emissions: Do trade and tax policy uncertainties matter for sustainable development in the USA?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 151-160.
    4. Wang, Kai-Hua & Wang, Zu-Shan & Yunis, Manal & Kchouri, Bilal, 2023. "Spillovers and connectedness among climate policy uncertainty, energy, green bond and carbon markets: A global perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    5. Dong, Xiyong & Zhang, John F., 2024. "Heterogeneity of regional carbon emission markets in China: Evidence from multidimensional determinants," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    6. Tedeschi, Marco & Foglia, Matteo & Bouri, Elie & Dai, Peng-Fei, 2024. "How does climate policy uncertainty affect financial markets? Evidence from Europe," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    7. Pham, Linh & Kamal, Javed Bin, 2024. "Blessings or curse: How do media climate change concerns affect commodity tail risk spillovers?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    8. Ji, Qiang & Ma, Dandan & Zhai, Pengxiang & Fan, Ying & Zhang, Dayong, 2024. "Global climate policy uncertainty and financial markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    9. Ma, Dandan & Zhang, Yunhan & Ji, Qiang & Zhao, Wan-Li & Zhai, Pengxiang, 2024. "Heterogeneous impacts of climate change news on China's financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    10. Donglan Liu & Xin Liu & Kun Guo & Qiang Ji & Yingxian Chang, 2023. "Spillover Effects among Electricity Prices, Traditional Energy Prices and Carbon Market under Climate Risk," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(2), pages 1-18, January.
    11. Goodell, John W. & Nammouri, Hela & Saâdaoui, Foued & Ben Jabeur, Sami, 2023. "Carbon allowances amid climate change concerns: Fresh insights from wavelet multiscale analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).

  38. Sayar Karmakar & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni & Lavinia Rognone, 2022. "Climate Risks and Predictability of the Trading Volume of Gold: Evidence from an INGARCH Model," Working Papers 202241, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sun, Yiqun & Ji, Hao & Cai, Xiurong & Li, Jiangchen, 2023. "Joint extreme risk of energy prices-evidence from European energy markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    2. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Christian Pierdzioch & Onur Polat, 2024. "Climate Risks and Real Gold Returns over 750 Years," Working Papers 202436, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Hyder Ali & Salma Naz, 2025. "Forecasting Equity Premium in the Face of Climate Policy Uncertainty," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(2), pages 513-546, March.
    4. Santino Del Fava & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "Forecasting International Financial Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Kejin Wu & Sayar Karmakar & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "GARCHX-NoVaS: A Model-free Approach to Incorporate Exogenous Variables," Papers 2308.13346, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
    6. Adeabah, David & Pham, Thu Phuong, 2025. "Asymmetric tail risk spillover and co-movement between climate risk and the international energy market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).

  39. Jacobus Nel & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Climate Risks and Predictability of Commodity Returns and Volatility: Evidence from Over 750 Years of Data," Working Papers 202242, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Pham, Linh & Kamal, Javed Bin, 2024. "Blessings or curse: How do media climate change concerns affect commodity tail risk spillovers?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).

  40. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "Persistence of State-Level Uncertainty of the United States: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202208, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Afees A. Salisu & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Predictability of Economic Slowdowns in Advanced Countries over Eight Centuries: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202237, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Liao, Wenting & Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Karmakar, Sayar, 2024. "Extreme weather shocks and state-level inflation of the United States," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
    3. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "Climate risks and state-level stock market realized volatility," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    4. Feng, Lingbing & Huang, Dasen & Chen, Fengwen & Liao, Fangnan, 2024. "Leveraging climate risk disclosure for enhanced corporate innovation: Pathways to sustainable and resilient business practices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    5. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Modeling the presidential approval ratings of the United States using machine-learning: Does climate policy uncertainty matter?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    6. Afees Salisu & Tirimisiyu Oloko, 2023. "Climate Risk Measures - A Review," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 4(1), pages 1-4.
    7. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Cepni, Oguzhan, 2024. "Time-Varying effects of extreme weather shocks on output growth of the United States," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    8. Oguzhan Cepni & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Forecasting National Recessions of the United States with State-Level Climate Risks: Evidence from Model Averaging in Markov-Switching Models," Working Papers 202252, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Santino Del Fava & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "Forecasting International Financial Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Oguzhan Cepni & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Onur Polat, 2024. "Time-Variation in the Persistence of Carbon Price Uncertainty: The Role of Carbon Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 202446, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Wenting Liao & Oguzhan Cepni, 2024. "The Effects of Uncertainty on Economic Conditions across US States: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202410, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Wenting Liao & Jun Ma, 2022. "Climate Risks and Forecastability of the Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions of the United States," Working Papers 202251, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Zhang, Pengcheng & Kong, Deli & Xu, Kunpeng & Qi, Jiayin, 2024. "Global economic policy uncertainty and the stability of cryptocurrency returns: The role of liquidity volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    14. Lin, Boqiang & Zhao, Hengsong, 2023. "Tracking policy uncertainty under climate change," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    15. Kejin Wu & Sayar Karmakar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century in an Emerging Market Economy: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 202326, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E.Oghonna & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2024. "Energy Market Uncertainties and US State-Level Stock Market Volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202409, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  41. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Luca Rossini, 2022. "The Role of the Monthly ENSO in Forecasting the Daily Baltic Dry Index," Working Papers 202229, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Alain Hecq & Marie Ternes & Ines Wilms, 2023. "Hierarchical Regularizers for Reverse Unrestricted Mixed Data Sampling Regressions," Papers 2301.10592, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.

  42. Oguzhan Cepni & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Forecasting National Recessions of the United States with State-Level Climate Risks: Evidence from Model Averaging in Markov-Switching Models," Working Papers 202252, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Liao, Wenting & Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Karmakar, Sayar, 2024. "Extreme weather shocks and state-level inflation of the United States," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
    2. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Cepni, Oguzhan, 2024. "Time-Varying effects of extreme weather shocks on output growth of the United States," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    3. Santino Del Fava & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "Forecasting International Financial Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  43. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel, 2022. "Rare Disaster Risks and Gold over 700 Years: Evidence from Nonparametric Quantile Regressions," Working Papers 202231, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Christian Pierdzioch & Onur Polat, 2024. "Climate Risks and Real Gold Returns over 750 Years," Working Papers 202436, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Thanoj K. Muddana & Komal S.R. Bhimireddy & Anandamayee Majumdar & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Forecasting Gold Returns Volatility Over 1258-2023: The Role of Moments," Working Papers 202421, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Santino Del Fava & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "Forecasting International Financial Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).

  44. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Sisa Shiba, 2022. "Contagious Diseases and Gold: Over 700 Years of Evidence from Quantile Regressions," Working Papers 202233, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Christian Pierdzioch & Onur Polat, 2024. "Climate Risks and Real Gold Returns over 750 Years," Working Papers 202436, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Thanoj K. Muddana & Komal S.R. Bhimireddy & Anandamayee Majumdar & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Forecasting Gold Returns Volatility Over 1258-2023: The Role of Moments," Working Papers 202421, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Karmakar, Sayar & Gupta, Rangan & Cepni, Oguzhan & Rognone, Lavinia, 2023. "Climate risks and predictability of the trading volume of gold: Evidence from an INGARCH model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    4. Bruno Coric & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Economic Disasters and Inequality," Working Papers 202255, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Feng, Qianbin & Ge, Ying & Zhao, Lexin, 2024. "Tax incentives and corporate digital transformation: Evidence from China’s accelerated depreciation policy," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    6. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus, 2022. "Rare disaster risks and gold over 700 years: Evidence from nonparametric quantile regressions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    7. Feng, Qianbin & Hu, Xiao & Deng, Xinyi & Lu, Jun, 2023. "Anti-corruption campaign and capacity utilization of state-owned enterprises: Evidence from China’s central committee inspection," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 319-346.
    8. Bruno Ćorić & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Economic disasters and inequality: a note," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 3527-3543, October.

  45. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Wenting Liao & Jun Ma, 2022. "Climate Risks and Forecastability of the Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions of the United States," Working Papers 202251, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Massimiliano Caporin & Petre Caraiani & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Predicting the Conditional Distribution of US Stock Market Systemic Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202407, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Onur Polat & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Can Municipal Bonds Hedge US State-Level Climate Risks?," Working Papers 202419, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Jiawen Luo & Shengjie Fu & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The Role of Uncertainty in Forecasting Realized Covariance of US State-Level Stock Returns: A Reverse-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202501, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Modeling the presidential approval ratings of the United States using machine-learning: Does climate policy uncertainty matter?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    5. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Cepni, Oguzhan, 2024. "Time-Varying effects of extreme weather shocks on output growth of the United States," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    6. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Asingamaanda Liphadzi & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Forecasting Stock Returns Volatility of the G7 Over Centuries: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202424, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Wenting Liao & Oguzhan Cepni, 2024. "The Effects of Uncertainty on Economic Conditions across US States: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202410, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  46. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility Revisited: The Predictive Role of Signal Quality," Working Papers 202232, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Yun-Shi Dai & Peng-Fei Dai & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2024. "The impact of geopolitical risk on the international agricultural market: Empirical analysis based on the GJR-GARCH-MIDAS model," Papers 2404.01641, arXiv.org.
    2. Vincenzo Candila & Oguzhan Cepni & Giampiero M. Gallo & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Influence of Local and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty on the Volatility of US State-Level Equity Returns: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach with Shrinkage and Cluster Analysis," Working Papers 202437, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Salisu, Afees A. & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2024. "Technological shocks and stock market volatility over a century," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    4. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Forecasting Realized US Stock Market Volatility: Is there a Role for Economic Policy Uncertainty?," Working Papers 202408, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2024. "Energy-related uncertainty and international stock market volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 280-293.
    6. Tian, Guangning & Peng, Yuchao & Du, Huancheng & Meng, Yuhao, 2024. "Forecasting crude oil returns in different degrees of ambiguity: Why machine learn better?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    7. Shovon Sengupta & Tanujit Chakraborty & Sunny Kumar Singh, 2023. "Forecasting CPI inflation under economic policy and geopolitical uncertainties," Papers 2401.00249, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
    8. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E.Oghonna & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2024. "Energy Market Uncertainties and US State-Level Stock Market Volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202409, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Bank-Level Stock Returns Volatility of the United States: A Mixed-Frequency Perspective," Working Papers 202444, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  47. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "The Effects of Climate Risks on Economic Activity in a Panel of US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202207, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Nicholas Ngepah & Charles Raoul Tchuinkam Djemo & Charles Shaaba Saba, 2022. "Forecasting the Economic Growth Impacts of Climate Change in South Africa in the 2030 and 2050 Horizons," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-18, July.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Afees A. Salisu & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Predictability of Economic Slowdowns in Advanced Countries over Eight Centuries: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202237, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Liao, Wenting & Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Karmakar, Sayar, 2024. "Extreme weather shocks and state-level inflation of the United States," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
    4. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "Climate risks and state-level stock market realized volatility," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    5. Massimiliano Caporin & Petre Caraiani & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Predicting the Conditional Distribution of US Stock Market Systemic Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202407, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Angelidis, Timotheos & Sakkas, Athanasios & Spiliotopoulos, George, 2023. "Climate uncertainty and marginal climate capital needs," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    7. Li, Zerong & Xu, Liang & Humbatova, Sugra & Ibragimov, Ganijon, 2024. "Analyzing the dynamic interplay of natural resources, environmental factors, and green growth," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    8. Karim, Sitara & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Shafiullah, Muhammad & Lucey, Brian M. & Ashraf, Sania, 2023. "Asymmetric relationship between climate policy uncertainty and energy metals: Evidence from cross-quantilogram," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    9. Ali, Fahad & Khurram, Muhammad Usman & Sensoy, Ahmet & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2024. "Green cryptocurrencies and portfolio diversification in the era of greener paths," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    10. Joseph P. Byrne & Prince Asare Vitenu-Sackey, 2024. "The Macroeconomic Impact of Global and Country-Specific Climate Risk," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 87(3), pages 655-682, March.
    11. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Modeling the presidential approval ratings of the United States using machine-learning: Does climate policy uncertainty matter?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    12. Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Climate Policy Uncertainty and Financial Stress: Evidence for China," Working Papers 202428, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Afees Salisu & Tirimisiyu Oloko, 2023. "Climate Risk Measures - A Review," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 4(1), pages 1-4.
    14. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Cepni, Oguzhan, 2024. "Time-Varying effects of extreme weather shocks on output growth of the United States," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    15. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wang, Chih-Wei & Thinh, Bui Tien, 2023. "Green development, climate risks, and cash flow: International evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    16. Oguzhan Cepni & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Forecasting National Recessions of the United States with State-Level Climate Risks: Evidence from Model Averaging in Markov-Switching Models," Working Papers 202252, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Ren, Xiaohang & Li, Jingyao & He, Feng & Lucey, Brian, 2023. "Impact of climate policy uncertainty on traditional energy and green markets: Evidence from time-varying granger tests," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    18. Carè, R. & Fatima, R. & Boitan, I.A., 2024. "Central banks and climate risks: Where we are and where we are going?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 1200-1229.
    19. Santino Del Fava & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "Forecasting International Financial Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    20. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Business Applications and State-Level Stock Market Realized Volatility: A Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202247, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Wenting Liao & Oguzhan Cepni, 2024. "The Effects of Uncertainty on Economic Conditions across US States: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202410, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Yang,Jangho & Christian Schoder, 2025. "Impact of Temperature Uncertainty on Firm Growth : A Grid-Level Analysis," Policy Research Working Paper Series 11020, The World Bank.
    23. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Wenting Liao & Jun Ma, 2022. "Climate Risks and Forecastability of the Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions of the United States," Working Papers 202251, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2025. "Unraveling Financial Fragility of Global Markets Using Machine Learning," Working Papers 202511, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    25. Zhang, Yongji & Liu, Lingxi & Lan, Minghui & Su, Zhi & Wang, Ke, 2024. "Climate change and economic policy uncertainty: Evidence from major countries around the world," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1045-1060.
    26. Rilwan Sakariyahu & Olayinka Oyekola & Rasheed Adigun & Temitope Fagbemi & Oluwagbenga Seyingbo & Rodiat Lawal, 2023. "Heterogeneous and time varying nexus between climate change and quality of life in Africa," Discussion Papers 2308, University of Exeter, Department of Economics.
    27. Rangan Gupta & Sarah Nandnaba & Wei Jiang, 2024. "Climate Change and Growth Dynamics," Working Papers 202404, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    28. Lin, Boqiang & Zhao, Hengsong, 2023. "Tracking policy uncertainty under climate change," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    29. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Özer, Zeynep Sueda & Rahman, Molla Ramizur & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2024. "How does the time-varying dynamics of spillover between clean and brown energy ETFs change with the intervention of climate risk and climate policy uncertainty?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 442-468.

  48. Sisa Shiba & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Samrat Goswami, 2022. "Infectious Diseases-Related Uncertainty and the Predictability of Foreign Exchange and Bitcoin Futures Realised Volatility," Working Papers 202225, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Reganti Lavanya & Rajesh Mamilla, 2023. "Bibliometric Characteristics of Cryptocurrency through Citation Network Analysis," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 27(2), pages 46-74, June.

  49. Elie Bouri & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Forecasting Returns of Major Cryptocurrencies: Evidence from Regime-Switching Factor Models," Working Papers 202213, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Parthajit Kayal & Sumanjay Dutta, 2024. "Regime switching and causal network analysis of cryptocurrency volatility: evidence from pre-COVID and post-COVID analysis," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 6(2), pages 319-340, June.
    2. Fayssal Jamhamed & Franck Martin & Fabien Rondeau & Josué Thélissaint & Stéphane Tufféry, 2024. "Regime-Specific Dynamics and Informational Efficiency in Cryptomarkets: Evidence from Gaussian Mixture Models," Economics Working Paper Archive (University of Rennes & University of Caen) 2024-13, Center for Research in Economics and Management (CREM), University of Rennes, University of Caen and CNRS.
    3. Feng, Wenjun & Zhang, Zhengjun, 2023. "Risk-weighted cryptocurrency indices," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    4. Tomas Pečiulis & Nisar Ahmad & Angeliki N. Menegaki & Aqsa Bibi, 2024. "Forecasting of cryptocurrencies: Mapping trends, influential sources, and research themes," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 1880-1901, September.
    5. He, Mengxi & Shen, Lihua & Zhang, Yaojie & Zhang, Yi, 2023. "Predicting cryptocurrency returns for real-world investments: A daily updated and accessible predictor," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    6. Josué Thélissaint, 2024. "Assessing Cryptomarket Risks: Macroeconomic Forces, Market Shocks and Behavioural Dynamics," Economics Working Paper Archive (University of Rennes & University of Caen) 2024-14, Center for Research in Economics and Management (CREM), University of Rennes, University of Caen and CNRS.
    7. Jirou, Ismail & Jebabli, Ikram & Lahiani, Amine, 2025. "A hybrid deep learning model for cryptocurrency returns forecasting: Comparison of the performance of financial markets and impact of external variables," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
    8. Liu, Yujun & Li, Zhongfei & Nekhili, Ramzi & Sultan, Jahangir, 2023. "Forecasting cryptocurrency returns with machine learning," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).

  50. Sisa Shiba & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Samrat Goswami, 2022. "Forecastability of Agricultural Commodity Futures Realised Volatility with Daily Infectious Disease-Related Uncertainty," Working Papers 202249, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Forecasting the Realized Volatility of Agricultural Commodity Prices: Does Sentiment Matter?," Working Papers 202316, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Multi-Task Forecasting of the Realized Volatilities of Agricultural Commodity Prices," Working Papers 202423, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Financial Stress and Realized Volatility: The Case of Agricultural Commodities," Working Papers 202320, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  51. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Daniel Pienaar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Forecasting the Realized Variance of Oil-Price Returns Using Machine-Learning: Is there a Role for U.S. State-Level Uncertainty?," Working Papers 202205, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Jean-Michel Sahut & Petr Hajek & Vladimir Olej & Lubica Hikkerova, 2025. "The role of news-based sentiment in forecasting crude oil price during the Covid-19 pandemic," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 345(2), pages 861-884, February.
    2. Mohammad Abdullah & Mohammad Ashraful Ferdous Chowdhury & Ajim Uddin & Syed Moudud‐Ul‐Huq, 2023. "Forecasting nonperforming loans using machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1664-1689, November.
    3. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    4. Xu, Zhiwei & Gan, Shiqi & Hua, Xia & Xiong, Yujie, 2024. "Can the sentiment of the official media predict the return volatility of the Chinese crude oil futures?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    5. Gunnarsson, Elias Søvik & Isern, Håkon Ramon & Kaloudis, Aristidis & Risstad, Morten & Vigdel, Benjamin & Westgaard, Sjur, 2024. "Prediction of realized volatility and implied volatility indices using AI and machine learning: A review," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    6. Amar Rao & Marco Tedeschi & Kamel Si Mohammed & Umer Shahzad, 2024. "Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Energy Commodities Prices Forecasting: Evidence from a Hybrid Deep Learning Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(6), pages 3295-3315, December.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    8. Cheng, Zishu & Li, Mingchen & Sun, Yuying & Hong, Yongmiao & Wang, Shouyang, 2024. "Climate change and crude oil prices: An interval forecast model with interval-valued textual data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    9. Haas, Christian & Budin, Constantin & d’Arcy, Anne, 2024. "How to select oil price prediction models — The effect of statistical and financial performance metrics and sentiment scores," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    10. Işık, Cem & Kuziboev, Bekhzod & Ongan, Serdar & Saidmamatov, Olimjon & Mirkhoshimova, Mokhirakhon & Rajabov, Alibek, 2024. "The volatility of global energy uncertainty: Renewable alternatives," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 297(C).
    11. Dutta, Anupam & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Sheng, Lin Wen & Park, Donghyun & Zhu, Xuening, 2024. "Volatility dynamics of agricultural futures markets under uncertainties," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    12. Yin, Libo & Yang, Sen, 2023. "Oil price returns and firm's fixed investment: A production pattern," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    13. Duras, Toni & Javed, Farrukh & Månsson, Kristofer & Sjölander, Pär & Söderberg, Magnus, 2023. "Using machine learning to select variables in data envelopment analysis: Simulations and application using electricity distribution data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).

  52. Christophe Andre & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Revisiting International House Price Convergence Using House Price Level Data," Working Papers 202226, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Meiyu Lu & Karsten Staehr, 2025. "Revisiting economic growth and real convergence in the post-communist countries," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 15(1), pages 89-123, March.

  53. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Climate Risks and State-Level Stock-Market Realized Volatility," Working Papers 202246, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ge, Jiamin & Min Du, Anna & Lin, Boqiang, 2025. "“Volatility in a Mug Cup”: Spillovers among cocoa, coffee, sugar futures and the role of climate policy risk," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
    2. Li, Xiaodan & Gong, Xue & Xing, Lu, 2024. "The impact of presidential economic approval rating on stock volatility: An industrial perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    3. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Christian Pierdzioch & Onur Polat, 2024. "Climate Risks and Real Gold Returns over 750 Years," Working Papers 202436, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Massimiliano Caporin & Petre Caraiani & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Predicting the Conditional Distribution of US Stock Market Systemic Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202407, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Wenting Liao & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2023. "Economic Conditions and Predictability of US Stock Returns Volatility: Local Factor versus National Factor in a GARCH-MIDAS Model," Working Papers 202323, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Ma, Yong & Zhou, Mingtao & Li, Shuaibing, 2024. "Weathering market swings: Does climate risk matter for agricultural commodity price predictability?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    7. Gong, Xue & Lai, Ping & He, Mengxi & Wen, Danyan, 2024. "Climate risk and energy futures high frequency volatility prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 307(C).
    8. Özkan, Oktay & Meo, Muhammad Saeed & Younus, Mehak, 2024. "Unearthing the hedge and safe-haven potential of green investment funds for energy commodities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    9. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Modeling the presidential approval ratings of the United States using machine-learning: Does climate policy uncertainty matter?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    10. Carè, R. & Fatima, R. & Boitan, I.A., 2024. "Central banks and climate risks: Where we are and where we are going?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 1200-1229.
    11. Santino Del Fava & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "Forecasting International Financial Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Foglia, Matteo & Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2025. "Long-span multi-layer spillovers between moments of advanced equity markets: The role of climate risks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    13. Liu, Yuying, 2024. "Climate risk perception, female directors and greenwashing," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).

  54. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "El Nino, La Nina, and Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Agricultural Commodity Prices: Evidence from a Machine Learning Approach," Working Papers 202179, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Santino Del Fava & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "Forecasting International Financial Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Financial Stress and Realized Volatility: The Case of Agricultural Commodities," Working Papers 202320, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  55. Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Revisiting the Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Tunisia: Carbon Dioxide vs. Ecological Footprint," Working Papers 202171, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Farooq, Umar & Dar, Arif Billah, 2022. "Is there a Kuznets curve for forest product footprint? – empirical evidence from India," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    2. Ni, Xiewen, 2023. "Natural resources and COP26 targets of developed countries: Pandemic perspective of natural resources extraction," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    3. Djedaiet, Aissa & Ayad, Hicham & Ben-Salha, Ousama, 2024. "Oil prices and the load capacity factor in African oil-producing OPEC members: Modeling the symmetric and asymmetric effects," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    4. Chen, Xia & Rahaman, Md Atikur & Murshed, Muntasir & Mahmood, Haider & Hossain, Md Afzal, 2023. "Causality analysis of the impacts of petroleum use, economic growth, and technological innovation on carbon emissions in Bangladesh," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    5. Hikma Bachegour & Ahlam Qafas, 2023. "Does External Debt Worsen Environmental Pollution? Evidence from Morocco," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 68-76, March.
    6. Giuseppe Craparo & Elisa Isabel Cano Montero & Jesús Fernando Santos Peñalver, 2024. "Trends in the circular economy applied to the agricultural sector in the framework of the SDGs," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(10), pages 26699-26729, October.

  56. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Fredj Jawadi, 2021. "Does inequality help in forecasting equity premium in a panel of G7 countries?," Post-Print hal-04478772, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    2. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2018. "Forecasting Stock Market (Realized) Volatility in the United Kingdom: Is There a Role for Economic Inequality?," Working Papers 201880, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Sergey Dianov & Lyudmila Koroleva & Natalia Pokrovskaia & Natalia Victorova & Andrey Zaytsev, 2022. "The Influence of Taxation on Income Inequality: Analysis of the Practice in the EU Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-19, July.
    4. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Vivian, Andrew J. & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "The predictive value of inequality measures for stock returns: An analysis of long-span UK data using quantile random forests," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 315-322.
    5. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2022. "Forecasting stock market (realized) volatility in the United Kingdom: Is there a role of inequality?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2146-2152, April.
    8. Bruno Ćorić & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Economic disasters and inequality: a note," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 3527-3543, October.

  57. Sayar Karmakar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Bitcoin Mining Activity and Volatility Dynamics in the Power Market," Working Papers 202166, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Yazıcı, Ali Fırat & Olcay, Ali Bahadır & Arkalı Olcay, Gökçen, 2023. "A framework for maintaining sustainable energy use in Bitcoin mining through switching efficient mining hardware," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    2. Sibande, Xolani & Demirer, Riza & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan, 2023. "On the pricing effects of bitcoin mining in the fossil fuel market: The case of coal," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    3. Anatolyy Dzyuba & Irina Solovyeva & Dmitry Konopelko, 2023. "Managing Electricity Costs in Industrial Mining and Cryptocurrency Data Centers," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(4), pages 76-90, July.
    4. Lu, Xunfa & Huang, Nan & Mo, Jianlei, 2024. "Time-varying causalities from the COVID-19 media coverage to the dynamic spillovers among the cryptocurrency, the clean energy, and the crude oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    5. Cynthia Weiyi Cai & Rui Xue & Bi Zhou, 2023. "Cryptocurrency puzzles: a comprehensive review and re-introduction," Journal of Accounting Literature, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 46(1), pages 26-50, June.
    6. Kejin Wu & Sayar Karmakar & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "GARCHX-NoVaS: A Model-free Approach to Incorporate Exogenous Variables," Papers 2308.13346, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
    7. Qin, Meng & Wu, Tong & Ma, Xuecheng & Albu, Lucian Liviu & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "Are energy consumption and carbon emission caused by Bitcoin? A novel time-varying technique," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 109-120.
    8. Sarker, Provash Kumer & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Pradhan, Ashis Kumar, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of climate policy uncertainty and energy prices on bitcoin prices," Innovation and Green Development, Elsevier, vol. 2(2).
    9. Kliber, Agata & Będowska-Sójka, Barbara, 2024. "Proof-of-work versus proof-of-stake coins as possible hedges against green and dirty energy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).

  58. Cepni, Oguzhan & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2021. "Interest Rate Uncertainty and the Predictability of Bank Revenues," Working Papers 2-2021, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mohammad Abdullah & Mohammad Ashraful Ferdous Chowdhury & Ajim Uddin & Syed Moudud‐Ul‐Huq, 2023. "Forecasting nonperforming loans using machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1664-1689, November.
    2. Xie, Xin & Mirza, Nawazish & Umar, Muhammad & Ji, Xiaoman, 2024. "Covid-19 and market discipline: Evidence from the banking sector in emerging markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 612-621.

  59. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "The Financial US Uncertainty Spillover Multiplier: Evidence from a GVAR Model," Working Papers 202145, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Huidan Xue & Chenguang Li & Liming Wang & Wen-Hao Su, 2021. "Spatial Price Transmission and Price Dynamics of Global Butter Export Market under Economic Shocks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-24, August.
    2. Ali, Sara & Badshah, Ihsan & Demirer, Riza, 2022. "Value-at-risk and the cross section of emerging market hedge fund returns," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    3. Afees Adebare Salisu, 2024. "India And The Rest Of The World: Analyses Of International Monetary Policy Spillovers," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 27(3), pages 573-600, July.
    4. Santino Del Fava & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "Forecasting International Financial Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Considine, Jennifer & Galkin, Phillip & Hatipoglu, Emre & Aldayel, Abdullah, 2023. "The effects of a shock to critical minerals prices on the world oil price and inflation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    6. Salisu, Afees & Hammed, Yinka S., 2025. "International monetary policy spillovers between Japan and the Rest of the World: A GVAR Framework," MPRA Paper 123529, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  60. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Andre & Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Fiscal Policy and Stock Markets at the Effective Lower Bound," Working Papers 202309, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Jin, Yi & Wang, Shuo & Bu, Lin & Zhai, Pengxiang, 2023. "Unconventional, conventional monetary policies, and optimal energy supply structure in China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    3. Roudari, Soheil & Mensi, Walid & Kharusi, Sami Al & Ahmadian-Yazdi, Farzaneh, 2023. "Impacts of oil shocks on stock markets in Norway and Japan: Does monetary policy's effectiveness matter?," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 343-358.
    4. Dridi, Ichrak & Boughrara, Adel, 2023. "Flexible inflation targeting and stock market volatility: Evidence from emerging market economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    5. Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "Monetary policy and bubbles in G7 economies using a panel VAR approach: Implications for sustainable development," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 133-155.

  61. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Abeeb Olaniran, 2021. "The Effect of Oil Uncertainty Shock on Real GDP of 33 Countries: A Global VAR Approach," Working Papers 202153, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    2. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2023. "The Effects of Disaggregate Oil Shocks on the Aggregate Expected Skewness of the United States," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-9, October.
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Dinci J. Penzin & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2024. "Global economic contraction, climate change and the gold market volatility: A GARCH‐MIDAS approach," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(4), pages 712-728, December.
    5. Afees Adebare Salisu, 2024. "India And The Rest Of The World: Analyses Of International Monetary Policy Spillovers," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 27(3), pages 573-600, July.
    6. Salisu, Afees A. & Adediran, Idris & Omoke, Philip C. & Tchankam, Jean Paul, 2023. "Gold and tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    7. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    8. Zhang, Tianding & Zeng, Song, 2023. "Dynamic comovement and extreme risk spillovers between international crude oil and China's non-ferrous metal futures market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    9. Salisu, Afees & Hammed, Yinka S., 2025. "International monetary policy spillovers between Japan and the Rest of the World: A GVAR Framework," MPRA Paper 123529, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Oil tail risks and the realized variance of consumer prices in advanced economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    11. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and the U.K. Unemployment Rate: A Forecasting Experiment with Random Forests Using 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 202095, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    13. Tan, Yan & Uprasen, Utai, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on income inequality in ASEAN countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).

  62. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta & David Gabauer, 2021. "Forecasting Stock-Market Tail Risk and Connectedness in Advanced Economies Over a Century: The Role of Gold-to-Silver and Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratios," Working Papers 202161, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kyriazis, Nikolaos & Corbet, Shaen, 2024. "Evaluating the dynamic connectedness of financial assets and bank indices during black-swan events: A Quantile-VAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    2. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua, 2024. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bubbles in global stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    3. Zhang, Yi & Zhou, Long & Wu, Baoxiu & Liu, Fang, 2024. "Tail risk transmission from the United States to emerging stock Markets: Empirical evidence from multivariate quantile analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    4. Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratio and the Predictability of Bubbles in Financial Markets," Working Papers 202317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Kyriazis, Nikolaos A. & Papadamou, Stephanos & Tzeremes, Panayiotis, 2023. "Are benchmark stock indices, precious metals or cryptocurrencies efficient hedges against crises?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    6. Wang, Jiashun & Wang, Jiqian & Ma, Feng, 2024. "International commodity market and stock volatility predictability: Evidence from G7 countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 62-71.
    7. Choi, Insu & Kim, Woo Chang, 2023. "Estimating Historical Downside Risks of Global Financial Market Indices via Inflation Rate-Adjusted Dependence Graphs," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).

  63. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Drivers of Realized Volatility for Emerging Countries with a Focus on South Africa: Fundamentals versus Sentiment," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-26, March.

  64. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Sakiru Adebola Solarin & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Productivity and GDP: International Evidence of Persistence and Trends Over 130 Years of Data," Working Papers 202170, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Solarin, Sakiru Adebola & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Hernández-Herrera, María, 2024. "Persistence of human capital development in OECD countries over 150 years: Evidence from linear and nonlinear fractional integration methods," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(3).
    2. Xiao, Anran & Xu, Zeshui & Wu, Tong & Qin, Yong & Skare, Marinko, 2024. "Technological progress and economic dynamics: Unveiling the long memory of total factor productivity," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 326-343.

  65. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of International REITs: The Role of Realized Skewness and Realized Kurtosis," Working Papers 202114, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Li XU & Liviu Marian Matac & Juan Felipe Espinosa Cristia & Rui Dias & Codruta-Daniela Pavel, 2025. "Utilizing the real estate investment trusts for portfolio optimisation by application of genetic algorithm," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
    2. Mensi, Walid & Ko, Hee-Un & Sensoy, Ahmet & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2024. "Higher-order moment connectedness between stock and commodity markets and portfolio management," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    3. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Time-frequency dependence and connectedness among global oil markets: Fresh evidence from higher-order moment perspective," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Testing the Forecasting Power of Global Economic Conditions for the Volatility of International REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202211, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    6. Jiqian Wang & Rangan Gupta & Oğuzhan Çepni & Feng Ma, 2023. "Forecasting international REITs volatility: the role of oil-price uncertainty," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(14), pages 1579-1597, September.
    7. Matteo Foglia & Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Multi-Layer Spillovers between Volatility and Skewness in International Stock Markets Over a Century of Data: The Role of Disaster Risks," Working Papers 202337, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Zhang, Hongwei & Zhao, Xinyi & Gao, Wang & Niu, Zibo, 2023. "The role of higher moments in predicting China's oil futures volatility: Evidence from machine learning models," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    9. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Asingamaanda Liphadzi & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Forecasting Stock Returns Volatility of the G7 Over Centuries: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202424, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Zhang, Yaojie & He, Mengxi & Wang, Yudong & Wen, Danyan, 2025. "Model specification for volatility forecasting benchmark," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    11. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on US REITs Moments: Evidence from VARs with Functional Shocks," Working Papers 202219, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Li, Xiaodan & Gong, Xue & Ge, Futing & Huang, Jingjing, 2024. "Forecasting stock volatility using pseudo-out-of-sample information," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 123-135.
    13. Waqas Hanif & Hee-Un Ko & Linh Pham & Sang Hoon Kang, 2023. "Dynamic connectedness and network in the high moments of cryptocurrency, stock, and commodity markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-40, December.
    14. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Higher-order moment risk connectedness and optimal investment strategies between international oil and commodity futures markets: Insights from the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia-Ukraine conflict," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    15. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham & Liao, Dijia, 2024. "Risk connectedness between international oil and stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine conflict: Fresh evidence from the higher-order moments," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).

  66. Nicholas Apergis & Konstantinos Gavriilidis & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Does Climate Policy Uncertainty Affect Tourism Demand? Evidence from Time-Varying Causality Tests," Working Papers 202186, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Lukman Lasisi & Philip C. Omoke & Afees A. Salisu, 2024. "Climate Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 5(2), pages 1-6.
    2. Lukman A. Lasisi & Franklin N. Ngwu & Mohammed K. Taliat & Abeeb O. Olaniran & Kelechi C. Nnamdi, 2025. "Modelling commodity market volatility with climate policy uncertainty: a GARCH-MIDAS approach," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 5(3), pages 1-21, March.

  67. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "Global Financial Cycle and the Predictability of Oil Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Model," Working Papers 202121, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Xu, Zhiwei & Gan, Shiqi & Hua, Xia & Xiong, Yujie, 2024. "Can the sentiment of the official media predict the return volatility of the Chinese crude oil futures?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    2. Zouhaier Dhifaoui & Sami Ben Jabeur & Rabeh Khalfaoui & Muhammad Ali Nasir, 2023. "Time‐varying partial‐directed coherence approach to forecast global energy prices with stochastic volatility model," Post-Print hal-04296385, HAL.
    3. Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Nasr Isfahani, Mohammad & Mohammadi, Mahsa, 2024. "How does the mineral resource exploitation sector interact with Islamic and traditional ventures? Insights amidst the impact of green reforms and state-of-the-art technological advancements," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    4. Liu, Tao & Guan, Xinyue & Wei, Yigang & Xue, Shan & Xu, Liang, 2023. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on the volatility of China's emission trading scheme pilots," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "The Financial US Uncertainty Spillover Multiplier: Evidence from a GVAR Model," Working Papers 202145, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Liang, Chao & Xia, Zhenglan & Lai, Xiaodong & Wang, Lu, 2022. "Natural gas volatility prediction: Fresh evidence from extreme weather and extended GARCH-MIDAS-ES model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    7. Huawei Niu & Tianyu Liu, 2024. "Forecasting the volatility of European Union allowance futures with macroeconomic variables using the GJR-GARCH-MIDAS model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(1), pages 75-96, July.
    8. Luo, Tao & Sun, Huaping & Zhang, Lixia & Bai, Jiancheng, 2024. "Do the dynamics of macroeconomic attention drive the yen/dollar exchange market volatility?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 597-611.
    9. Li, Wei & Zhang, Junchao & Cao, Xiangye & Han, Wei, 2024. "Is the prediction of precious metal market volatility influenced by internet searches regarding uncertainty?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PB).
    10. Batten, Jonathan A. & Mo, Di & Pourkhanali, Armin, 2024. "Can inflation predict energy price volatility?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    11. Harrison, Andre & Liu, Xiaochun & Stewart, Shamar L., 2023. "Structural sources of oil market volatility and correlation dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    12. Liu, Feng & Shao, Shuai & Li, Xin & Pan, Na & Qi, Yu, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty, jump dynamics, and oil price volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    13. Ding, Shusheng & Cui, Tianxiang & Zhang, Yongmin, 2022. "Futures volatility forecasting based on big data analytics with incorporating an order imbalance effect," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    14. Zhang, Lixia & Bai, Jiancheng & Zhang, Yueyan & Cui, Can, 2023. "Global economic uncertainty and the Chinese stock market: Assessing the impacts of global indicators," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    15. Salisu, Afees A. & Isah, Kazeem & Oloko, Tirimisiyu O., 2024. "Technology shocks and crude oil market connection: The role of climate change," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    16. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Lasisi, Lukman & Olaniran, Abeeb, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and stock market volatility in emerging markets: A GARCH – MIDAS approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    17. Roy, Archi & Soni, Anchal & Deb, Soudeep, 2023. "A wavelet-based methodology to compare the impact of pandemic versus Russia–Ukraine conflict on crude oil sector and its interconnectedness with other energy and non-energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    18. Chen, Chun-Da & Demirer, Rıza, 2022. "Oil beta uncertainty and global stock returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    19. Guo, Kun & Liu, Fengqi & Sun, Xiaolei & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "Predicting natural gas futures’ volatility using climate risks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    20. Wang, Lu & Zhao, Chenchen & Liang, Chao & Jiu, Song, 2022. "Predicting the volatility of China's new energy stock market: Deep insight from the realized EGARCH-MIDAS model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).

  68. Afees A. Salisu & Taofeek O. Ayinde & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Global Evidence of the COVID-19 Shock on Real Equity Prices and Real Exchange Rates: A Counterfactual Analysis with a Threshold-Augmented GVAR Model," Working Papers 202154, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Naveed, Hafiz Muhammad & HongXing, Yao & Memon, Bilal Ahmed & Ali, Shoaib & Alhussam, Mohammed Ismail & Sohu, Jan Muhammad, 2023. "Artificial neural network (ANN)-based estimation of the influence of COVID-19 pandemic on dynamic and emerging financial markets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).

  69. Carolyn Chisadza & Matthew Clance & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Government Effectiveness and Covid-19 Pandemic," Working Papers 202104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Hsin-Yu Kuo & Su-Yen Chen & Yu-Ting Lai, 2021. "Investigating COVID-19 News before and after the Soft Lockdown: An Example from Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-23, October.
    2. Peter Karacsony & Kornél Krupánszki & Imrich Antalík, 2022. "Analysis of the Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis on the Hungarian Employees," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-14, February.
    3. Thomas Hale & Noam Angrist & Andrew J Hale & Beatriz Kira & Saptarshi Majumdar & Anna Petherick & Toby Phillips & Devi Sridhar & Robin N Thompson & Samuel Webster & Yuxi Zhang, 2021. "Government responses and COVID-19 deaths: Global evidence across multiple pandemic waves," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(7), pages 1-14, July.
    4. Laureti, Lucio & Costantiello, Alberto & Leogrande, Angelo, 2023. "The Role of Government Effectiveness in the Light of ESG Data at Global Level," MPRA Paper 115998, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Andrej Privara, 2022. "Economic growth and labour market in the European Union: lessons from COVID-19," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 13(2), pages 355-377, June.

  70. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Working Papers 202135, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Yan, Xiang & Bai, Jiancheng & Li, Xiafei & Chen, Zhonglu, 2022. "Can dimensional reduction technology make better use of the information of uncertainty indices when predicting volatility of Chinese crude oil futures?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    2. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    3. Shi, Chunpei & Wei, Yu & Li, Xiafei & Liu, Yuntong, 2023. "Combination forecasts of China's oil futures returns based on multiple uncertainties and their connectedness with oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    4. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "A Note on Forecasting the Historical Realized Variance of Oil-Price Movements: The Role of Gold-to-Silver and Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratios," Working Papers 202158, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Charteris, Ailie & Obojska, Lidia, 2023. "Do commodity markets catch a cold from stock markets? Modelling uncertainty spillovers using Google search trends and wavelet coherence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    7. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    8. Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2022. "Emerging Trends in Energy Economics," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-2, July.

  71. Xin Sheng & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "The Non-Linear Response of US State-Level Tradable and Non-Tradable Inflation to Oil Shocks: The Role of Oil-Dependence," Working Papers 202174, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Liao, Wenting & Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Karmakar, Sayar, 2024. "Extreme weather shocks and state-level inflation of the United States," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
    2. Zhang, Lixia & Bai, Jiancheng & Zhang, Yueyan & Cui, Can, 2023. "Global economic uncertainty and the Chinese stock market: Assessing the impacts of global indicators," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).

  72. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Investor Confidence and Forecastability of US Stock Market Realized Volatility : Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202118, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "Climate risks and state-level stock market realized volatility," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Wenting Liao & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2023. "Economic Conditions and Predictability of US Stock Returns Volatility: Local Factor versus National Factor in a GARCH-MIDAS Model," Working Papers 202323, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Tang, Pan & Xu, Wei & Wang, Haosen, 2024. "Network-Based prediction of financial cross-sector risk spillover in China: A deep learning approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    4. Gunnarsson, Elias Søvik & Isern, Håkon Ramon & Kaloudis, Aristidis & Risstad, Morten & Vigdel, Benjamin & Westgaard, Sjur, 2024. "Prediction of realized volatility and implied volatility indices using AI and machine learning: A review," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    5. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Business Applications and State-Level Stock Market Realized Volatility: A Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202247, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Cai, Yi & Tang, Zhenpeng & Chen, Ying, 2024. "Can real-time investor sentiment help predict the high-frequency stock returns? Evidence from a mixed-frequency-rolling decomposition forecasting method," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    7. Etaf Alshawarbeh & Alanazi Talal Abdulrahman & Eslam Hussam, 2023. "Statistical Modeling of High Frequency Datasets Using the ARIMA-ANN Hybrid," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-17, November.
    8. Yuvana Jaichand & Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Presidential Approval Ratings and Stock Market Performance in Latin America," Working Papers 202411, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Zeng, Qing & Lu, Xinjie & Xu, Jin & Lin, Yu, 2024. "Macro-Driven Stock Market Volatility Prediction: Insights from a New Hybrid Machine Learning Approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    10. Martina Halouskov'a & v{S}tefan Ly'ocsa, 2025. "Forecasting U.S. equity market volatility with attention and sentiment to the economy," Papers 2503.19767, arXiv.org.
    11. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Do Shortages Forecast Aggregate and Sectoral U.S. Stock Market Realized Variance? Evidence from a Century of Data," Working Papers 202450, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  73. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Forecasting Oil Price over 150 Years: The Role of Tail Risks," Working Papers 202120, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Haithem Awijen & Hachmi Ben Ameur & Zied Ftiti & Waël Louhichi, 2025. "Forecasting oil price in times of crisis: a new evidence from machine learning versus deep learning models," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 345(2), pages 979-1002, February.
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2021. "Climate Risks and U.S. Stock-Market Tail Risks: A Forecasting Experiment Using over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202165, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Olusanya E. Olubusoye, 2021. "Tail Risks and Stock Return Predictability - Evidence From Asia-Pacific," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(3), pages 1-6.
    4. Qian, Lihua & Zeng, Qing & Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng, 2022. "Global tail risk and oil return predictability," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    5. Idris A. Adediran, 2021. "Can Tail Risk Predict Asia-Pacific Exchange Rates Out of Sample?," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(3), pages 1-6.
    6. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan & Gabauer, David, 2022. "Forecasting stock-market tail risk and connectedness in advanced economies over a century: The role of gold-to-silver and gold-to-platinum price ratios," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    7. Adediran, Idris A. & Swaray, Raymond, 2023. "Carbon trading amidst global uncertainty: The role of policy and geopolitical uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    8. Liu, Zongming & Shi, Wenhui, 2024. "Oil price disaster risk, macroeconomic dynamics and monetary policy," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    9. Amaro, Raphael & Pinho, Carlos, 2022. "Energy commodities: A study on model selection for estimating Value-at-Risk," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 68, pages 5-27.
    10. Salisu, Afees A. & Olaniran, Abeeb & Tchankam, Jean Paul, 2022. "Oil tail risk and the tail risk of the US Dollar exchange rates," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    11. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Geopolitical Risk and Forecastability of Tail Risk in the Oil Market: Evidence from Over a Century of Monthly Data," Working Papers 202122, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Oil tail risks and the realized variance of consumer prices in advanced economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    13. Vicknair, David & Tansey, Michael & O'Brien, Thomas E., 2022. "Measuring fossil fuel reserves: A simulation and review of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    14. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Predictability of tail risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The role of spillovers and oil tail Risks☆," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    15. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    16. Zhao, Lu-Tao & Wang, Dai-Song & Ren, Zhong-Yuan, 2024. "The impact of joint events on oil price volatility: Evidence from a dynamic graphical news analysis model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    17. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Predictability of Tail Risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The Role of Spillovers and Oil Tail Risks," Working Papers 202127, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  74. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "The Impact of Oil Price Shocks on Income Inequality: Evidence from State-Level Data of the United States," Working Papers 202128, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Akinlo, Anthony Enisan, 2024. "Oil Price Shocks and Income Inequality in Nigeria: Evidence from Nonlinear ARDL Approach," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 12(01), March.

  75. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  76. Geoffrey M. Ngene & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Impact of Housing Policy Uncertainty on Herding Behavior: Evidence from UK's Regional Housing Markets," Working Papers 202115, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kola Ijasan & Peterson Owusu Junior & George Tweneboah & Tunbosun Oyedokun & Anokye M. Adam, 2021. "Analysing the relationship between global REITs and exchange rates: Fresh evidence from frequency-based quantile regressions," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(3), pages 58-91, September.

  77. Keagile Lesame & Elie Bouri & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "On the Dynamics of International Real Estate Investment Trust Propagation Mechanisms: Evidence from Time-Varying Return and Volatility Connectedness Measures," Working Papers 202152, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Yihan & Bouri, Elie & Fareed, Zeeshan & Dai, Yuhui, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and the systemic risk in the commodity markets under the war in Ukraine," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    2. Mensi, Walid & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2023. "Spillover and connectedness among G7 real estate investment trusts: The effects of investor sentiment and global factors," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    3. Liu, Jian & Chen, Yan & Liao, Shufei & Cheng, Cheng & Fu, Yongge, 2023. "Information spillovers in Hong Kong REITs and related asset markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 215-229.
    4. Armah, Mohammed & Amewu, Godfred, 2024. "Quantile dependence and asymmetric connectedness between global financial market stress and REIT returns: Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    5. Walid Mensi & Mariya Gubareva & Hee-Un Ko & Xuan Vinh Vo & Sang Hoon Kang, 2023. "Tail spillover effects between cryptocurrencies and uncertainty in the gold, oil, and stock markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, December.
    6. Li, Houjian & Li, Yanjiao & Guo, Lili, 2023. "Extreme risk spillover effect and dynamic linkages between uncertainty and commodity markets: A comparison between China and America," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    7. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on US REITs Moments: Evidence from VARs with Functional Shocks," Working Papers 202219, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin J., 2023. "On the connection between international REITs and oil markets: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    9. Kim Hiang Liow, 2022. "Exploring a Three-Factor Dependence Structure of Conditional Volatilities: Some Quantile Regression Evidence from Real Estate Investment Trusts," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-13, May.
    10. Hanif, Waqas & Andraz, Jorge Miguel & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2024. "Are REITS hedge or safe haven against oil price fall?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1-16.
    11. Zhang, Wenting & He, Xie & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2022. "Volatility spillover and investment strategies among sustainability-related financial indexes: Evidence from the DCC-GARCH-based dynamic connectedness and DCC-GARCH t-copula approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    12. Xiaoyang Chen & Liguo Zhou & Lin Wang & Yuelong Zheng, 2023. "Risk spillover in China’s real estate industry chain: a DCC-EGARCH-ΔCoVaR model," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-16, December.
    13. Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Soo-Wah, Low & Billah, Mabruk, 2023. "Time-frequency connectedness and spillover among carbon, climate, and energy futures: Determinants and portfolio risk management implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    14. Elroi Hadad & Thai Hong Le & Anh Tram Luong, 2024. "Quantile Spillovers and Connectedness Between Real Estate Investment Trust, the Housing Market, and Investor Sentiment," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-22, November.
    15. Sihyun An & Jihae Kim & Gahyun Choi & Hanwool Jang & Kwangwon Ahn, 2024. "The effect of rare events on information-leading role: evidence from real estate investment trusts and overall stock markets," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-10, December.

  78. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2021. "Climate Risks and U.S. Stock-Market Tail Risks: A Forecasting Experiment Using over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202165, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Christian Pierdzioch & Onur Polat, 2024. "Climate Risks and Real Gold Returns over 750 Years," Working Papers 202436, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Massimiliano Caporin & Petre Caraiani & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Predicting the Conditional Distribution of US Stock Market Systemic Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202407, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Hyder Ali & Salma Naz, 2025. "Forecasting Equity Premium in the Face of Climate Policy Uncertainty," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(2), pages 513-546, March.
    4. Onur Polat & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Can Municipal Bonds Hedge US State-Level Climate Risks?," Working Papers 202419, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Santino Del Fava & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "Forecasting International Financial Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Asingamaanda Liphadzi & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Forecasting Stock Returns Volatility of the G7 Over Centuries: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202424, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Foglia, Matteo & Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2025. "Long-span multi-layer spillovers between moments of advanced equity markets: The role of climate risks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    8. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2025. "Unraveling Financial Fragility of Global Markets Using Machine Learning," Working Papers 202511, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Kejin Wu & Sayar Karmakar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century in an Emerging Market Economy: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 202326, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  79. Jiqian Wang & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni & Feng Ma, 2021. "Forecasting International REITs Volatility: The Role of Oil-Price Uncertainty," Working Papers 202173, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Wu, Hanlin & Li, Pan & Cao, Jiawei & Xu, Zijian, 2024. "Forecasting the Chinese crude oil futures volatility using jump intensity and Markov-regime switching model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    2. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2024. "Energy-related uncertainty and international stock market volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 280-293.
    3. Zeng, Qing & Zhang, Jixiang & Zhong, Juandan, 2024. "China's futures market volatility and sectoral stock market volatility prediction," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).

  80. Juncal Cunado & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Realized Volatility Spillovers between Energy and Metal Markets: A Time-Varying Connectedness Approach," Working Papers 202180, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sisa Shiba & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Predictability of the Realised Volatility of International Stock Markets Amid Uncertainty Related to Infectious Diseases," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-18, January.
    2. Juncal Cunado & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Realized Volatility Spillovers between Energy and Metal Markets: A Time-Varying Connectedness Approach," Working Papers 202180, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Ali, Shoaib & Ijaz, Muhammad Shahzad & Yousaf, Imran, 2023. "Dynamic spillovers and portfolio risk management between defi and metals: Empirical evidence from the Covid-19," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    4. Younis, Ijaz & Du, Anna Min & Gupta, Himani & Shah, Waheed Ullah, 2024. "Dynamic spillover effects and interconnectedness of DeFi assets, commodities, and Islamic stock markets during crises," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    5. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Dam, Mehmet Metin & Altıntaş, Halil & Bekun, Festus Victor, 2025. "The dynamic connectedness between oil price shocks and emerging market economies stock markets: Evidence from new approaches," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    6. Ghosh, Bikramaditya & Pham, Linh & Teplova, Tamara & Umar, Zaghum, 2023. "COVID-19 and the quantile connectedness between energy and metal markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).

  81. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Geopolitical Risk and Forecastability of Tail Risk in the Oil Market: Evidence from Over a Century of Monthly Data," Working Papers 202122, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Oil tail risks and the forecastability of the realized variance of oil-price: Evidence from over 150 years of data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    2. Loc Dong Truong & Nhien Tuyet Doan & Anh Thi Kim Nguyen, 2024. "The Effects of Geopolitical Risks on Oil Price Volatility," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(1), pages 427-432, January.
    3. Faheem Aslam & Paulo Ferreira & Haider Ali & Ana Ercília José, 2022. "Application of Multifractal Analysis in Estimating the Reaction of Energy Markets to Geopolitical Acts and Threats," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-23, May.
    4. Wang, Zhe & Teng, Yin-Pei & Wu, Shuzhao & Liu, Yuxiang & Liu, Xianchang, 2023. "Geopolitical risk, financial system and natural resources extraction: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2021. "Climate Risks and U.S. Stock-Market Tail Risks: A Forecasting Experiment Using over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202165, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    8. Matteo Foglia & Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Multi-Layer Spillovers between Volatility and Skewness in International Stock Markets Over a Century of Data: The Role of Disaster Risks," Working Papers 202337, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Xiao, Jihong & Wen, Fenghua & He, Zhifang, 2023. "Impact of geopolitical risks on investor attention and speculation in the oil market: Evidence from nonlinear and time-varying analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    10. Xiao, Jihong & Liu, Hong, 2023. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty on oil market fear: Does climate policy uncertainty matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    11. Wu, Jie & Zhao, Ruizeng & Sun, Jiasen & Zhou, Xuewei, 2023. "Impact of geopolitical risks on oil price fluctuations: Based on GARCH-MIDAS model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    12. Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2023. "Integration and risk transmission in the market for crude oil: New evidence from a time-varying parameter frequency connectedness approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    13. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Polat, Ali Yavuz & Tekin, Hasan & Tunalı, Ahmet Semih, 2022. "The Ascent of Geopolitics: Scientometric Analysis and Ramifications of Geopolitical Risk," MPRA Paper 112741, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan & Gabauer, David, 2022. "Forecasting stock-market tail risk and connectedness in advanced economies over a century: The role of gold-to-silver and gold-to-platinum price ratios," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    15. Lyu, Yongjian & Qin, Fanshu & Ke, Rui & Yang, Mo & Chang, Jianing, 2024. "Forecasting the VaR of the crude oil market: A combination of mixed data sampling and extreme value theory," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    16. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    17. Salisu, Afees A. & Olaniran, Abeeb & Tchankam, Jean Paul, 2022. "Oil tail risk and the tail risk of the US Dollar exchange rates," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    18. Tin Hei Alpha Yuen & Wai Kee Thomas Yuen, 2022. "Relationship Between Geopolitical Risk In Major Oil Producing Countries and Oil Price," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 117-123, September.
    19. Tamilselvan, M. & Halder, Abhishek & Kannadhasan, M., 2024. "Exploring the ingredients, mixtures, and inclinations of geopolitical risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 187-206.
    20. Hengzhen Lu & Qiujin Gao & Ling Xiao & Gurjeet Dhesi, 2024. "Forecasting EUA futures volatility with geopolitical risk: evidence from GARCH-MIDAS models," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 18(7), pages 1917-1943, July.
    21. Yu, Yue & Wang, Jianzhou & Jiang, He & Lu, Haiyan, 2025. "How to manage a multifactor-driven crude oil market more effectively? A revisit based on the multiple criteria perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    22. Liu, Jiahao & Zhu, Bo & Hu, Xin, 2024. "Systemic risk spillovers among global energy firms: Does geopolitical risk matter?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    23. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Predictability of tail risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The role of spillovers and oil tail Risks☆," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    24. Zhang, Hongwei & Wang, Wentao & Niu, Zibo, 2024. "Geopolitical risks and crude oil futures volatility: Evidence from machine learning," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    25. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    26. Zhang, Jialin & Shi, Shaodong, 2023. "Extraction of natural resources and geopolitical risk revisited: A novel perspective of research and development with financial development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    27. Qin, Yun & Zhang, Zitao, 2024. "Transmission mechanisms of the effects of geopolitical risk on energy returns and volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).
    28. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Predictability of Tail Risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The Role of Spillovers and Oil Tail Risks," Working Papers 202127, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  82. Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Integration and Risk Transmission in the Market for Crude Oil: A Time-Varying Parameter Frequency Connectedness Approach," Working Papers 202147, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Wan, Jieru & Yin, Libo & Wu, You, 2024. "Return and volatility connectedness across global ESG stock indexes: Evidence from the time-frequency domain analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 397-428.
    2. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Time-frequency dependence and connectedness among global oil markets: Fresh evidence from higher-order moment perspective," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    3. Gabauer, David & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Stenfors, Alexis, 2023. "Model-free connectedness measures," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    4. Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Soo-Wah, Low & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Akhter, Tahmina, 2023. "Time and frequency domain connectedness and spillover among categorical and regional financial stress, gold and bitcoin market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    5. Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Sahabuddin, Mohammad & Bilgili, Faik, 2024. "Volatility interconnectedness among financial and geopolitical markets: Evidence from COVID-19 and Ukraine-Russia crises," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 303-320.
    6. Furuoka, Fumitaka & Yaya, OlaOluwa Simon & Ling, Pui Kiew & Al-Faryan, Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh & Islam, M. Nazmul, 2023. "Transmission of risks between energy and agricultural commodities: Frequency time-varying VAR, asymmetry and portfolio management," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    7. Ye, Rendao & Xiao, Jian & Zhang, Yilan, 2024. "Risk spillover effect of the new energy market and its hedging effectiveness: New evidence from industry chain," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 1061-1079.
    8. Cagli, Efe Caglar, 2023. "The volatility spillover between battery metals and future mobility stocks: Evidence from the time-varying frequency connectedness approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    9. Akbulut Nesrin & Ari Yakup, 2023. "TVP-VAR Frequency Connectedness Between the Foreign Exchange Rates of Non-Euro Area Member Countries," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 23(2), pages 1-23, December.
    10. Bhattacherjee, Purba & Mishra, Sibanjan & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2024. "Extreme time-frequency connectedness across U.S. sector stock and commodity futures markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 1176-1197.
    11. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Brahim, Mariem & Carlotti, Jean-Etienne & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Mensi, Walid, 2024. "Extreme downside risk connectedness and portfolio hedging among the G10 currencies," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    12. Gao, Wang & Zhang, Haizhen & Zhang, Hongwei & Yang, Shixiong, 2024. "The role of G7 and BRICS country risks on critical metals: Evidence from time- and frequency-domain approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    13. Xu, Danyang & Hu, Yang & Corbet, Shaen & Lang, Chunlin, 2024. "Return connectedness of green bonds and financial investment channels in China: Implications for hedging and regulation," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    14. Adewuyi, Adeolu O. & Adeleke, Musefiu A. & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Aikins Abakah, Emmanuel Joel, 2023. "Dynamic linkages between shipping and commodity markets: Evidence from a novel asymmetric time-frequency method," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    15. Juncal Cunado & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2025. "On the propagation mechanism of international real interest rate spillovers: evidence from more than 200 years of data," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(7), pages 790-804, February.
    16. Huang, Jionghao & Chen, Baifan & Xu, Yushi & Xia, Xiaohua, 2023. "Time-frequency volatility transmission among energy commodities and financial markets during the COVID-19 pandemic: A Novel TVP-VAR frequency connectedness approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    17. Stenfors, Alexis & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Gabauer, David, 2022. "Independent policy, dependent outcomes: A game of cross-country dominoes across European yield curves," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    18. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    19. Jinxin Cui & Aktham Maghyereh, 2022. "Time–frequency co-movement and risk connectedness among cryptocurrencies: new evidence from the higher-order moments before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-56, December.
    20. Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Ben Jabeur, Sami & Nammouri, Hela & Bel Hadj Miled, Kamel, 2024. "Dynamic connectedness of quantum computing, artificial intelligence, and big data stocks on renewable and sustainable energy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    21. Suwan (Cheng) Long & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer & Brian Lucey, 2024. "Do social media sentiments drive cryptocurrency intraday price volatility? New evidence from asymmetric TVP-VAR frequency connectedness measures," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(13), pages 1470-1489, September.
    22. Hu, Yang & Lang, Chunlin & Corbet, Shaen & Wang, Junchuan, 2024. "The impact of COVID-19 on the volatility connectedness of the Chinese tourism sector," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    23. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Billah, Mabruk & Goodell, John W. & Hadhri, Sinda, 2024. "Examining connections between the fourth industrial revolution and energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    24. Wu, You & Ren, Wenting & Wan, Jieru & Liu, Xiaoxue, 2023. "Time-frequency volatility connectedness between fossil energy and agricultural commodities: Comparing the COVID-19 pandemic with the Russia-Ukraine conflict," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    25. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Higher-order moment risk connectedness and optimal investment strategies between international oil and commodity futures markets: Insights from the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia-Ukraine conflict," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    26. Billah, Mabruk & Enamul Hoque, Mohammad & Hadhri, Sinda & Do, Hung Xuan, 2025. "Tail risk connectedness between DeFi and Islamic assets and their determinants," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    27. Lo, Gaye-Del & Marcelin, Isaac & Bassène, Théophile & Lo, Assane, 2024. "Connectedness and risk spillovers among sub-Saharan Africa and MENA equity markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    28. Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Soo-Wah, Low & Billah, Mabruk, 2023. "Time-frequency connectedness and spillover among carbon, climate, and energy futures: Determinants and portfolio risk management implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    29. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham & Liao, Dijia, 2024. "Risk connectedness between international oil and stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine conflict: Fresh evidence from the higher-order moments," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    30. Sahoo, Satyaban, 2024. "Harmony in diversity: Exploring connectedness and portfolio strategies among crude oil, gold, traditional and sustainable index," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    31. Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Billah, Mabruk & Alam, Md Rafayet & Lucey, Brian, 2024. "Does news related to digital economy and central bank digital currency affect digital economy ETFs? Evidence from TVP-VAR connectedness and wavelet local multiple correlation analyses," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    32. Karim Belcaid & Sara El Aoufi & Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan, 2024. "Dynamics of Contagion Risk Among World Markets in Times of Crises: A Financial Network Perspective," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(4), pages 1007-1033, December.
    33. Qian Wang & Yu Wei & Yifeng Zhang & Yuntong Liu, 2023. "Evaluating the Safe-Haven Abilities of Bitcoin and Gold for Crude Oil Market: Evidence During the COVID-19 Pandemic," Evaluation Review, , vol. 47(3), pages 391-432, June.

  83. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Theodosios Anastasios Perifanis, 2022. "The Macroeconomic Results of Diligent Resource Revenues Management: The Norwegian Case," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-14, February.
    2. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    3. Ren, Yinghua & Wang, Nairong & Zhu, Huiming, 2025. "Dynamic connectedness of climate risks, oil shocks, and China’s energy futures market: Time-frequency evidence from Quantile-on-Quantile regression," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    4. Mengxi He & Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang & Danyan Wen, 2024. "Modelling and forecasting crude oil price volatility with climate policy uncertainty," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-10, December.
    5. Santino Del Fava & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "Forecasting International Financial Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Wang, Kai-Hua & Kan, Jia-Min & Qiu, Lianhong & Xu, Shulin, 2023. "Climate policy uncertainty, oil price and agricultural commodity: From quantile and time perspective," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 256-272.
    7. Siddique, Md. Abubakar & Nobanee, Haitham & Hasan, Md. Bokhtiar & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Hossain, Md. Naiem & Park, Donghyun, 2023. "How do energy markets react to climate policy uncertainty? Fossil vs. renewable and low-carbon energy assets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    8. Gian Luca Vriz & Luigi Grossi, 2024. "Green bubbles: a four-stage paradigm for detection and propagation," Papers 2410.06564, arXiv.org.
    9. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    10. Salisu, Afees A. & Olaniran, Abeeb & Lasisi, Lukman, 2023. "Climate risk and gold," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    11. Guo, Kun & Liu, Fengqi & Sun, Xiaolei & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "Predicting natural gas futures’ volatility using climate risks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    12. Xie, Biqing & Xie, Bibo, 2024. "Assessing the impact of climate policy on energy security in developed economies," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 265-282.
    13. Rao, Amar & Lucey, Brian & Kumar, Satish, 2023. "Climate risk and carbon emissions: Examining their impact on key energy markets through asymmetric spillovers," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    14. Wei, Yu & Zhang, Jiahao & Bai, Lan & Wang, Yizhi, 2023. "Connectedness among El Niño-Southern Oscillation, carbon emission allowance, crude oil and renewable energy stock markets: Time- and frequency-domain evidence based on TVP-VAR model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 289-309.

  84. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Oil Tail Risks and the Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Oil-Price: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 202146, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Khan, Nasir & Saleem, Asima & Ozkan, Oktay, 2023. "Do geopolitical oil price risk influence stock market returns and volatility of Pakistan: Evidence from novel non-parametric quantile causality approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    2. Cheng, WeiJin & Ming, Kai & Ullah, Mirzat, 2024. "Oil price volatility prediction using out-of-sample analysis – Prediction efficiency of individual models, combination methods, and machine learning based shrinkage methods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 300(C).
    3. Qian, Lihua & Zeng, Qing & Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng, 2022. "Global tail risk and oil return predictability," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    4. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan & Gabauer, David, 2022. "Forecasting stock-market tail risk and connectedness in advanced economies over a century: The role of gold-to-silver and gold-to-platinum price ratios," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    5. Liu, Zongming & Shi, Wenhui, 2024. "Oil price disaster risk, macroeconomic dynamics and monetary policy," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    6. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Oil tail risks and the realized variance of consumer prices in advanced economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    7. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).

  85. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Won Joong Kim, 2021. "Exchange Rate Predictability with Nine Alternative Models for BRICS Countries," Working Papers 202116, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kumar, Utkarsh & Ahmad, Wasim & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2024. "Bayesian Markov switching model for BRICS currencies' exchange rates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 122816, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Wu, Yimin, 2024. "Estimating the precise form of uncovered interest parity under the Stock–Watson dynamic OLS approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).

  86. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Christophe Andre & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Housing Returns and Volatility: Evidence from US State-Level Data," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2021_008, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.

    Cited by:

    1. Charles Leung, 2021. "Handbook of Real Estate and Macroeconomics: An Introduction," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2021_029, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    2. Joe Cho Yiu Ng & Charles Ka Yui Leung & Suikang Chen, 2024. "Corporate Real Estate Holding and Stock Returns: Testing Alternative Theories with International Listed Firms," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 68(1), pages 74-102, January.

  87. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty, Spillovers, and Forecasts of the Realized Variance of Gold Returns," Working Papers 202137, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Thanoj K. Muddana & Komal S.R. Bhimireddy & Anandamayee Majumdar & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Forecasting Gold Returns Volatility Over 1258-2023: The Role of Moments," Working Papers 202421, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  88. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & He Li & Yu You, 2021. "Financial Vulnerability and Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence from GARCH-MIDAS Models," Working Papers 202112, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Financial Turbulence, Systemic Risk and the Predictability of Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202162, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  89. Sisa Shiba & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Predictability of the Realised Volatility of International Stock Markets Amid Uncertainty Related to Infectious Diseases," Working Papers 202181, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Guo, Changrong & Zhang, Xiangyu & Raza, Syed Ali & Masood, Amna, 2024. "Asymmetrical connectedness between infectious diseases-related equity market volatility and prices of precious metals," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).

  90. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2021. "Tail Risks and Forecastability of Stock Returns of Advanced Economies: Evidence from Centuries of Data," Working Papers 202117, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sanjay Sehgal & Tarunika Jain Agrawal & Florent Deisting, 2025. "The tale of two tails and stock returns for two major emerging markets," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 163-189, January.
    2. Onur Polat & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Can Municipal Bonds Hedge US State-Level Climate Risks?," Working Papers 202419, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Lu, Xinjie & Zeng, Qing & Zhong, Juandan & Zhu, Bo, 2024. "International stock market volatility: A global tail risk sight," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    4. Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Olusanya E. Olubusoye, 2021. "Tail Risks and Stock Return Predictability - Evidence From Asia-Pacific," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(3), pages 1-6.
    5. Matteo Foglia & Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Multi-Layer Spillovers between Volatility and Skewness in International Stock Markets Over a Century of Data: The Role of Disaster Risks," Working Papers 202337, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Oil Price Returns Skewness and Forecastability of International Stock Returns Over One Century of Data," Working Papers 202339, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Idris A. Adediran, 2021. "Can Tail Risk Predict Asia-Pacific Exchange Rates Out of Sample?," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(3), pages 1-6.
    8. Salisu, Afees A. & Adediran, Idris & Omoke, Philip C. & Tchankam, Jean Paul, 2023. "Gold and tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    9. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Asingamaanda Liphadzi & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Forecasting Stock Returns Volatility of the G7 Over Centuries: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202424, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Foglia, Matteo & Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2025. "Long-span multi-layer spillovers between moments of advanced equity markets: The role of climate risks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    11. Salisu, Afees A. & Olaniran, Abeeb & Tchankam, Jean Paul, 2022. "Oil tail risk and the tail risk of the US Dollar exchange rates," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    12. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Predictability of tail risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The role of spillovers and oil tail Risks☆," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    13. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices over 150 years: The role of tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    14. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Predictability of Tail Risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The Role of Spillovers and Oil Tail Risks," Working Papers 202127, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  91. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and Forecastability of the Realized Volatility of Gold and Other Metal Prices," Working Papers 202172, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ge, Jiamin & Min Du, Anna & Lin, Boqiang, 2025. "“Volatility in a Mug Cup”: Spillovers among cocoa, coffee, sugar futures and the role of climate policy risk," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
    2. Ma, Yong & Zhou, Mingtao & Li, Shuaibing, 2024. "Weathering market swings: Does climate risk matter for agricultural commodity price predictability?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    3. Yuqin Zhou & Shan Wu & Zhenhua Liu & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "The asymmetric effects of climate risk on higher-moment connectedness among carbon, energy and metals markets," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-16, December.
    4. Karmakar, Sayar & Gupta, Rangan & Cepni, Oguzhan & Rognone, Lavinia, 2023. "Climate risks and predictability of the trading volume of gold: Evidence from an INGARCH model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    5. Santino Del Fava & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "Forecasting International Financial Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Dong, Feng & Li, Zhicheng & Huang, Zihuang & Liu, Yu, 2024. "Extreme weather, policy uncertainty, and risk spillovers between energy, financial, and carbon markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    7. Pham, Linh & Kamal, Javed Bin, 2024. "Blessings or curse: How do media climate change concerns affect commodity tail risk spillovers?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    8. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2025. "Unraveling Financial Fragility of Global Markets Using Machine Learning," Working Papers 202511, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Chia‐Hsien Tang & Yen‐Hsien Lee & Hung‐Chun Liu & Guan‐Gzhe Zeng, 2024. "Exploring the unpredictable nature of climate policy uncertainty: An empirical analysis of its impact on commodity futures returns in the United States," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(7), pages 1277-1292, July.
    10. Raza, Syed Ali & Khan, Komal Akram, 2024. "Climate policy uncertainty and its relationship with precious metals price volatility: Comparative analysis pre and during COVID-19," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    11. Salisu, Afees A. & Olaniran, Abeeb & Lasisi, Lukman, 2023. "Climate risk and gold," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    12. Salisu, Afees A. & Ndako, Umar B. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Transition risk, physical risk, and the realized volatility of oil and natural gas prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).

  92. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Idris A. Adediran, 2021. "The Effect of US Uncertainty Shock on International Equity Markets: The Role of the Global Financial Cycle," Working Papers 202136, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Raymond L. Aor & Afees A. Salisu & Isah J. Okpe, 2021. "A Comparative Assessment of the Global Effects of US Monetary and Fiscal Policy Uncertainty Shocks," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(4), pages 89-114, December.

  93. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2021_017, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Christian Pierdzioch & Onur Polat, 2024. "Climate Risks and Real Gold Returns over 750 Years," Working Papers 202436, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Yousaf, Imran & Ohikhuare, Obaika M. & Li, Yong & Li, Yanshuang, 2024. "Interconnectedness between electricity and artificial intelligence-based markets during the crisis periods: Evidence from the TVP-VAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    4. Thanoj K. Muddana & Komal S.R. Bhimireddy & Anandamayee Majumdar & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Forecasting Gold Returns Volatility Over 1258-2023: The Role of Moments," Working Papers 202421, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. O-Chia Chuang & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Buliao Shu, 2024. "Financial Uncertainty and Gold Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach with Variable Selection," Working Papers 202441, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua, 2024. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bubbles in global stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    8. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Uncertainty and forecastability of regional output growth in the UK: Evidence from machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1049-1064, September.
    9. Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Charteris, Ailie & Obojska, Lidia, 2023. "Do commodity markets catch a cold from stock markets? Modelling uncertainty spillovers using Google search trends and wavelet coherence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    10. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Rangan Gupta & Sisa Shiba, 2024. "Energy Market Uncertainties and Gold Return Volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202431, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and the U.K. Unemployment Rate: A Forecasting Experiment with Random Forests Using 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 202095, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Wang, Zhe & Yao-Ping Peng, Michael & Anser, Muhammad Khalid & Chen, Zhong, 2023. "Research on the impact of green finance and renewable energy on energy efficiency: The case study E−7 economies," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 166-173.
    13. Xiaodong Huang & Chang Lei, 2023. "Covid-19 impact on financial growth and guidelines for green recovery in BRICS: fresh insights from econometric analysis," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 1243-1261, April.

  94. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Financial Turbulence, Systemic Risk and the Predictability of Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202162, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Souto Hugo Gobato & Moradi Amir, 2023. "Forecasting realized volatility through financial turbulence and neural networks," Economics and Business Review, Sciendo, vol. 9(2), pages 133-159, April.
    2. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "Climate risks and state-level stock market realized volatility," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    3. Afees A. Salisu & Wenting Liao & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2023. "Economic Conditions and Predictability of US Stock Returns Volatility: Local Factor versus National Factor in a GARCH-MIDAS Model," Working Papers 202323, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Ghosh, Indranil & Jana, Rabin K. & David, Roubaud & Grebinevych, Oksana & Wanke, Peter & Tan, Yong, 2024. "Modelling financial stress during the COVID-19 pandemic: Prediction and deeper insights," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 680-698.
    5. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Business Applications and State-Level Stock Market Realized Volatility: A Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202247, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Dong, Xiyong & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2023. "Effect of weather and environmental attentions on financial system risks: Evidence from Chinese high- and low-carbon assets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    7. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2024. "Energy-related uncertainty and international stock market volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 280-293.

  95. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Elie Bouri, 2021. "The (Asymmetric) Effect of El Nino and La Nina on Gold and Silver Prices in a GVAR Model," Working Papers 202132, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Pierre Boutros & Ali Fakih & Sara Kassab & Zeina Lizzaik, 2022. "Does the Number of Publications Matter for Academic Promotion in Higher Education? Evidence from Lebanon," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-23, October.
    2. Zhu, Jiaji & Han, Wei & Zhang, Junchao, 2023. "Does climate risk matter for gold price volatility?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    3. Pham, Linh & Kamal, Javed Bin, 2024. "Blessings or curse: How do media climate change concerns affect commodity tail risk spillovers?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    4. Zhang, Li & Li, Yan & Yu, Sixin & Wang, Lu, 2023. "Risk transmission of El Niño-induced climate change to regional Green Economy Index," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 860-872.
    5. Zhu, Xuehong & Zhang, Shishi & Ding, Qian, 2024. "Does extreme climate change drive the connectedness among global gold markets? Evidence from TVP-VAR and causality-in-quantiles techniques," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    6. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Luca Rossini, 2022. "The Role of the Monthly ENSO in Forecasting the Daily Baltic Dry Index," Working Papers 202229, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Bayaa, Yasmeen & Qadan, Mahmoud, 2024. "The shape of the Treasury yield curve and commodity prices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    8. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Sisa Shiba, 2022. "Contagious Diseases and Gold: Over 700 Years of Evidence from Quantile Regressions," Working Papers 202233, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Qin, Meng & Su, Chi-Wei & Umar, Muhammad & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Manta, Alina Georgiana, 2023. "Are climate and geopolitics the challenges to sustainable development? Novel evidence from the global supply chain," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 748-763.

  96. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Jacobus Nel & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2021. "Geopolitical Risks and the High-Frequency Movements of the US Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers 202150, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  97. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "A Note on Forecasting the Historical Realized Variance of Oil-Price Movements: The Role of Gold-to-Silver and Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratios," Working Papers 202158, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Renchu Guan & Aoqing Wang & Yanchun Liang & Jiasheng Fu & Xiaosong Han, 2022. "International Natural Gas Price Trends Prediction with Historical Prices and Related News," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-14, May.
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Cui, Moyang & Wong, Wing-Keung & Wisetsri, Worakamol & Mabrouk, Fatma & Muda, Iskandar & Li, Zeyun & Hassan, Marria, 2023. "Do oil, gold and metallic price volatilities prove gold as a safe haven during COVID-19 pandemic? Novel evidence from COVID-19 data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    4. Peipei, Wang & James, William, 2024. "Predicting oil price fluctuations: Integrating external indicators and advanced regression techniques," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    5. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan & Gabauer, David, 2022. "Forecasting stock-market tail risk and connectedness in advanced economies over a century: The role of gold-to-silver and gold-to-platinum price ratios," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    6. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    7. Cheng, Hui-Ching & Shu, Ming-Hung & Huang, Jui-Chan, 2024. "Economic strategies for efficient use of natural resources: The impact of carbon taxation and fiscal policy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    8. Dan Sun, 2024. "RETRACTED ARTICLE: The role of green technology and green utility performance in advancing energy utilities' commitment to sustainability," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1-24, April.
    9. Zhang, Xiheng & Liu, Jiayu & Zhang, Kaiqi & Robert, James, 2023. "Analysis of firm performance in presence of oil price shocks: Importance of skilled management," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).

  98. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Siphesihle Ntyikwe & Riza Demirer, 2021. "Gold and the Global Financial Cycle," Working Papers 202129, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Karmakar, Sayar & Gupta, Rangan & Cepni, Oguzhan & Rognone, Lavinia, 2023. "Climate risks and predictability of the trading volume of gold: Evidence from an INGARCH model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).

  99. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "The Time-Varying Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on the Comovement of Regional Housing Prices of the United Kingdom," Working Papers 202168, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Baek, Ingul & Liu, Jia & Noh, Sanha, 2024. "Real estate uncertainty and financial conditions over the business cycle," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 656-675.

  100. Afees A. Salisu & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Out-of-Sample Predictability of Gold Market Volatility: The Role of US Nonfarm Payroll," Working Papers 202143, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Thanoj K. Muddana & Komal S.R. Bhimireddy & Anandamayee Majumdar & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Forecasting Gold Returns Volatility Over 1258-2023: The Role of Moments," Working Papers 202421, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. O-Chia Chuang & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Buliao Shu, 2024. "Financial Uncertainty and Gold Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach with Variable Selection," Working Papers 202441, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Ayinde, Taofeek O. & Olaniran, Abeeb O. & Abolade, Onomeabure C. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula Ephraim, 2023. "Technology shocks - Gold market connection: Is the effect episodic to business cycle behaviour?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    4. Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Adekoya, Oluwasegun Babatunde & Rashidi, Muhammad Mahdi & Oliyide, Johnson Ayobami & Rajab, Sahel, 2024. "A new approach to forecasting Islamic and conventional oil and gas stock prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).

  101. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2021. "El Nino and Forecastability of Oil-Price Realized Volatility," Working Papers 202105, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Zeng, Hongjun & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Upreti, Vineet, 2024. "Does climate risk as barometers for specific clean energy indices? Insights from quartiles and time-frequency perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    2. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Oil tail risks and the forecastability of the realized variance of oil-price: Evidence from over 150 years of data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    3. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    4. Khan, Nasir & Saleem, Asima & Ozkan, Oktay, 2023. "Do geopolitical oil price risk influence stock market returns and volatility of Pakistan: Evidence from novel non-parametric quantile causality approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    5. Zhu, Jiaji & Han, Wei & Zhang, Junchao, 2023. "Does climate risk matter for gold price volatility?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    6. Elie Bouri & Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "The predictive power of Bitcoin prices for the realized volatility of US stock sector returns," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    7. Hong, Yanran & Yu, Jize & Su, Yuquan & Wang, Lu, 2023. "Southern oscillation: Great value of its trends for forecasting crude oil spot price volatility," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 358-368.
    8. Wei, Yu & Zhang, Jiahao & Chen, Yongfei & Wang, Yizhi, 2022. "The impacts of El Niño-southern oscillation on renewable energy stock markets: Evidence from quantile perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    9. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    10. Pham, Linh & Kamal, Javed Bin, 2024. "Blessings or curse: How do media climate change concerns affect commodity tail risk spillovers?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    11. Zhang, Li & Li, Yan & Yu, Sixin & Wang, Lu, 2023. "Risk transmission of El Niño-induced climate change to regional Green Economy Index," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 860-872.
    12. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of International REITs: The Role of Realized Skewness and Realized Kurtosis," Working Papers 202114, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    14. Zhang, Xiheng & Liu, Jiayu & Zhang, Kaiqi & Robert, James, 2023. "Analysis of firm performance in presence of oil price shocks: Importance of skilled management," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    15. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    16. Wei, Yu & Zhang, Jiahao & Bai, Lan & Wang, Yizhi, 2023. "Connectedness among El Niño-Southern Oscillation, carbon emission allowance, crude oil and renewable energy stock markets: Time- and frequency-domain evidence based on TVP-VAR model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 289-309.
    17. Salisu, Afees A. & Ndako, Umar B. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Transition risk, physical risk, and the realized volatility of oil and natural gas prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).

  102. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Afees A. Salisu & Elie Bouri, 2021. "OPEC News and Exchange Rate Forecasting Using Dynamic Bayesian Learning," Working Papers 202101, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Taufeeque Ahmad Siddiqui & Haseen Ahmed & Mohammad Naushad & Uzma Khan, 2023. "The Relationship between Oil Prices and Exchange Rate: A Systematic Literature Review," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(3), pages 566-578, May.
    2. Gulati, Vishal, 2023. "Bibliometric review of research on exchange rate predictability and fundamentals," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).

  103. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock-Market Returns in Advanced Economies Over a Century," Working Papers 202183, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Christian Pierdzioch & Onur Polat, 2024. "Climate Risks and Real Gold Returns over 750 Years," Working Papers 202436, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Massimiliano Caporin & Petre Caraiani & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Predicting the Conditional Distribution of US Stock Market Systemic Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202407, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Hyder Ali & Salma Naz, 2025. "Forecasting Equity Premium in the Face of Climate Policy Uncertainty," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(2), pages 513-546, March.
    4. Onur Polat & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Can Municipal Bonds Hedge US State-Level Climate Risks?," Working Papers 202419, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Asingamaanda Liphadzi & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Forecasting Stock Returns Volatility of the G7 Over Centuries: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202424, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Foglia, Matteo & Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2025. "Long-span multi-layer spillovers between moments of advanced equity markets: The role of climate risks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    7. Kejin Wu & Sayar Karmakar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century in an Emerging Market Economy: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 202326, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  104. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "El Nino, La Nina, and the Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Heating Oil Price Movements," Working Papers 202138, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Wei, Yu & Zhang, Jiahao & Chen, Yongfei & Wang, Yizhi, 2022. "The impacts of El Niño-southern oscillation on renewable energy stock markets: Evidence from quantile perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    3. Pham, Linh & Kamal, Javed Bin, 2024. "Blessings or curse: How do media climate change concerns affect commodity tail risk spillovers?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    4. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "El Nino, La Nina, and Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Agricultural Commodity Prices: Evidence from a Machine Learning Approach," Working Papers 202179, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Wei, Yu & Zhang, Jiahao & Bai, Lan & Wang, Yizhi, 2023. "Connectedness among El Niño-Southern Oscillation, carbon emission allowance, crude oil and renewable energy stock markets: Time- and frequency-domain evidence based on TVP-VAR model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 289-309.

  105. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Working Papers 202126, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Andre & Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Fiscal Policy and Stock Markets at the Effective Lower Bound," Working Papers 202309, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Time-Varying Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks on U.S. Stock Returns: The Role of Investor Sentiment," Working Papers 202039, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Investor Sentiment and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries," Working Papers 202256, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Predicting Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries: The Role of Oil Price Uncertainty," Working Papers 202332, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua, 2024. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bubbles in global stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    6. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles in an Emerging Country: The Case of India," Working Papers 202305, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Pradhan, H.K. & Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Sensoy, Ahmet & Dann, Susan, 2024. "Anatomy of sovereign yield behaviour using textual news," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    8. Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratio and the Predictability of Bubbles in Financial Markets," Working Papers 202317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "Monetary policy and bubbles in G7 economies using a panel VAR approach: Implications for sustainable development," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 133-155.

  106. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "The Effect of Oil Price Uncertainty Shock on International Equity Markets: Evidence from a GVAR Model," Working Papers 202160, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.

  107. Xin Sheng & Won Joong Kim & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "The Impacts of Oil Price Volatility on Financial Stress: Is the COVID-19 Period Different?," Working Papers 202184, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Sheikh, Umaid A. & Tabash, Mosab I. & Jiao, Zhilun, 2024. "Shock transmission between climate policy uncertainty, financial stress indicators, oil price uncertainty and industrial metal volatility: Identifying moderators, hedgers and shock transmitters," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    2. Sheikh, Umaid A. & Asadi, Mehrad & Roubaud, David & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2024. "Global uncertainties and Australian financial markets: Quantile time-frequency connectedness," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    3. Marina Yu. Malkina & Rodion V. Balakin, 2023. "The Relation of Financial and Industrial Stresses to Monetary Policy Parameters in the Russian Economy," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 3, pages 104-121, June.
    4. Maghyereh, Aktham & Ziadat, Salem Adel & Al Rababa'a, Abdel Razzaq A., 2024. "Exploring the dynamic connections between oil price shocks and bond yields in developed nations: A TVP-SVAR-SV approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    5. Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Climate Policy Uncertainty and Financial Stress: Evidence for China," Working Papers 202428, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Santino Del Fava & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "Forecasting International Financial Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Armah, Mohammed & Amewu, Godfred, 2024. "Quantile dependence and asymmetric connectedness between global financial market stress and REIT returns: Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    8. Radu Valentin & Neacsu Andrei-Costin & Neacsu George-Alexandru & Bichir Antonela & Tabirca Alina-Iuliana & Croitoru Ionut-Marius & Mihai Danut-Georgian, 2024. "Economic Impacts Of Energy Price Shocks In The Eu Driven By Crises," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 3, pages 127-140, June.
    9. Kim, Won Joong & Ko, Juyoung & Kwon, Won Soon & Piao, Chunyan, 2025. "Time-varying sources of fluctuations in global inflation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    10. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Financial Stress and Realized Volatility: The Case of Agricultural Commodities," Working Papers 202320, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2025. "Unraveling Financial Fragility of Global Markets Using Machine Learning," Working Papers 202511, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Zhang, Dongyang & Bai, Dingchuan & Chen, Xingyu, 2024. "Can crude oil futures market volatility motivate peer firms in competing ESG performance? An exploration of Shanghai International Energy Exchange," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    13. Chen, Ruoyu & Iqbal, Najaf & Irfan, Muhammad & Shahzad, Farrukh & Fareed, Zeeshan, 2022. "Does financial stress wreak havoc on banking, insurance, oil, and gold markets? New empirics from the extended joint connectedness of TVP-VAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).

  108. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Uncertainty and Predictability of Real Housing Returns in the United Kingdom: A Regional Analysis," Working Papers 202102, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the co-movement of regional housing prices of the United Kingdom," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-22, December.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Gizem Uzuner & Festus Victor Bekun & Mark E. Wohar, 2023. "Housing price uncertainty and housing prices in the UK in a time-varying environment," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 523-549, May.
    3. Baek, Ingul & Liu, Jia & Noh, Sanha, 2024. "Real estate uncertainty and financial conditions over the business cycle," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 656-675.

  109. Jiawen Luo & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Forecasting Oil and Gold Volatilities with Sentiment Indicators Under Structural Breaks," Working Papers 202130, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kyriazis, Nikolaos & Papadamou, Stephanos & Tzeremes, Panayiotis & Corbet, Shaen, 2024. "Examining spillovers and connectedness among commodities, inflation, and uncertainty: A quantile-VAR framework," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    2. Li, Dongxin & Zhang, Li & Li, Lihong, 2023. "Forecasting stock volatility with economic policy uncertainty: A smooth transition GARCH-MIDAS model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    3. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    4. Xu, Zhiwei & Gan, Shiqi & Hua, Xia & Xiong, Yujie, 2024. "Can the sentiment of the official media predict the return volatility of the Chinese crude oil futures?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    5. Sherzod N. Tashpulatov, 2022. "Modeling Electricity Price Dynamics Using Flexible Distributions," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-15, May.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Thanoj K. Muddana & Komal S.R. Bhimireddy & Anandamayee Majumdar & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Forecasting Gold Returns Volatility Over 1258-2023: The Role of Moments," Working Papers 202421, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. O-Chia Chuang & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Buliao Shu, 2024. "Financial Uncertainty and Gold Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach with Variable Selection," Working Papers 202441, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Li, Sufang & Xu, Qiufan & Lv, Yixue & Yuan, Di, 2022. "Public attention, oil and gold markets during the COVID-19: Evidence from time-frequency analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    12. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Climate risks and forecastability of the realized volatility of gold and other metal prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    13. Li, Kaixin & Zhang, Zhikai & Wang, Yudong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2024. "Forecasting crude oil returns with oil-related industry ESG indices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    14. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility Revisited: The Predictive Role of Signal Quality," Working Papers 202232, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Shang, Yue & Wei, Yu & Chen, Yongfei, 2022. "Cryptocurrency policy uncertainty and gold return forecasting: A dynamic Occam's window approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    16. Chun, Dohyun & Cho, Hoon & Kim, Jihun, 2022. "The relationship between carbon-intensive fuel and renewable energy stock prices under the emissions trading system," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    17. Salisu, Afees A. & Adediran, Idris & Omoke, Philip C. & Tchankam, Jean Paul, 2023. "Gold and tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    18. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    19. Tang, Yusui & Zhong, Juandan, 2023. "Predicting gold volatility: Exploring the impact of extreme risk in the international commodity market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).
    20. Ye, Chuxin & Lv, Jiamin & Xue, Yinsong & Luo, Xingguo, 2023. "Intraday volatility predictability in china gold futures market: The case of last half-hour realized volatility forecasting," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    21. Zhuhua Jiang & Walid Mensi & Seong-Min Yoon, 2023. "Risks in Major Cryptocurrency Markets: Modeling the Dual Long Memory Property and Structural Breaks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-15, January.
    22. Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Upward/downward multifractality and efficiency in metals futures markets: The impacts of financial and oil crises," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    23. Cheng, Zishu & Li, Mingchen & Cui, Ruhong & Wei, Yunjie & Wang, Shouyang & Hong, Yongmiao, 2024. "The impact of COVID-19 on global financial markets: A multiscale volatility spillover analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    24. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    25. Salisu, Afees A. & Akinsomi, Omokolade & Ametefe, Frank Kwakutse & Hammed, Yinka S., 2024. "Gold market volatility and REITs' returns during tranquil and turbulent episodes," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).
    26. Werner Kristjanpoller, 2024. "A hybrid econometrics and machine learning based modeling of realized volatility of natural gas," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-32, December.

  110. Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Christian Pierdzioch & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Disaggregated Oil Shocks and Stock-Market Tail Risks: Evidence from a Panel of 48 Countries," Working Papers 202106, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2022. "Extreme dependence between structural oil shocks and stock markets in GCC countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    2. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2023. "The Effects of Disaggregate Oil Shocks on the Aggregate Expected Skewness of the United States," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-9, October.
    3. Yang, Yang & Liu, Zhen & Saydaliev, Hayot Berk & Iqbal, Sajid, 2022. "Economic impact of crude oil supply disruption on social welfare losses and strategic petroleum reserves," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    4. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    5. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan & Gabauer, David, 2022. "Forecasting stock-market tail risk and connectedness in advanced economies over a century: The role of gold-to-silver and gold-to-platinum price ratios," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    6. Salisu, Afees A. & Olaniran, Abeeb & Tchankam, Jean Paul, 2022. "Oil tail risk and the tail risk of the US Dollar exchange rates," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    7. Kliber, Agata & Łęt, Blanka & Řezáč, Pavel, 2024. "Can a boost in oil prices suspend the evolution of the green transportation market? Relationships between green indices and Brent oil," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    8. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Predictability of tail risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The role of spillovers and oil tail Risks☆," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    9. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Predictability of Tail Risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The Role of Spillovers and Oil Tail Risks," Working Papers 202127, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  111. Alex Plastun & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Price Effects after One-Day Abnormal Returns in Developed and Emerging Markets: ESG versus Traditional Indices," Working Papers 202119, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ruiyu Dong & Chaofeng Shao & Shuqi Xin & Zhirui Lu, 2023. "A Sustainable Development Evaluation Framework for Chinese Electricity Enterprises Based on SDG and ESG Coupling," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-26, June.
    2. Zynobia Barson & Kwame Simpe Ofori & Peterson Owusu Junior & Kwabena G. Boakye & George Oppong Appiagyei Ampong, 2024. "Time-varying Connectedness Between ESG Stocks and BRVM Traditional Stocks," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 23(3), pages 306-335, September.
    3. Xu, Danyang & Corbet, Shaen & Lang, Chunlin & Hu, Yang, 2024. "Understanding dynamic return connectedness and portfolio strategies among international sustainable exchange-traded funds," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    4. Dhasmana, Samriddhi & Ghosh, Sajal & Kanjilal, Kakali, 2023. "Does investor sentiment influence ESG stock performance? Evidence from India," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    5. de Boyrie, Maria E. & Pavlova, Ivelina, 2024. "Connectedness with commodities in emerging markets: ESG leaders vs. conventional indexes," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    6. Boglarka Bianka Kovacs & Gábor Neszveda & Eszter Baranyai & Adam Zaremba, 2024. "ESG unpacked: Environmental, social, and governance pillars and the stock price reaction to the invasion of Ukraine," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 14(3), pages 755-777, September.
    7. Yin, Zhujia & Deng, Rantian & Xia, Jiejin & Zhao, Lili, 2024. "Climate risk and corporate ESG performance: Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    8. Inova Fitri Siregar & Tubagus Ismail & Muhammad Taqi & Nurhayati Soleha, 2024. "Influence of ESG on Sustainability Reporting: Mediation Rule of Green Innovation and Investor Sentiment," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(1), pages 452-463, January.

  112. Rangan Gupta & Sowmya Subramaniam & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "Infectious Disease-Related Uncertainty and the Safe-Haven Characteristic of US Treasury Securities," Working Papers 202078, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Semei Coronado & Jose N. Martinez & Victor Gualajara & Rafael Romero-Meza & Omar Rojas, 2023. "Time-Varying Granger Causality of COVID-19 News on Emerging Financial Markets: The Latin American Case," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-18, January.
    2. Sisa Shiba & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Predictability of the Realised Volatility of International Stock Markets Amid Uncertainty Related to Infectious Diseases," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-18, January.
    3. Wang, Jying-Nan & Lee, Yen-Hsien & Liu, Hung-Chun & Lee, Ming-Chih, 2022. "The determinants of positive feedback trading behaviors in Bitcoin markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    4. Tachibana, Minoru, 2022. "Safe haven assets for international stock markets: A regime-switching factor copula approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    5. Fateh Belaid & Amine Ben Amar & Stéphane Goutte & Khaled Guesmi, 2023. "Emerging and advanced economies markets behaviour during the COVID‐19 crisis era," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1563-1581, April.
    6. Umar, Zaghum & Iqbal, Najaf & Teplova, Tamara & Tan, Duojiao, 2024. "Dynamic impact of the US yield curve on green bonds: Navigating through recent crises," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    7. Guo, Changrong & Zhang, Xiangyu & Raza, Syed Ali & Masood, Amna, 2024. "Asymmetrical connectedness between infectious diseases-related equity market volatility and prices of precious metals," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    8. Castillo, Brenda & León, Ángel & Ñíguez, Trino-Manuel, 2021. "Backtesting VaR under the COVID-19 sudden changes in volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    9. Gök, Remzi & Bouri, Elie & Gemici, Eray, 2022. "Can Twitter-based economic uncertainty predict safe-haven assets under all market conditions and investment horizons?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    10. Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Charteris, Ailie & Bwanya, Princess Rutendo & Brzeszczyński, Janusz, 2022. "The impact and role of COVID-19 uncertainty: A global industry analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    11. Al Rababa'a, Abdel Razzaq & Alomari, Mohammad & Mensi, Walid & Matar, Ali & Saidat, Zaid, 2021. "Does tracking the infectious diseases impact the gold, oil and US dollar returns and correlation? A quantile regression approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    12. Bouteska, Ahmed & Hassan, M. Kabir & Rashid, Mamunur & Bilgin, Mehmet Hüseyin, 2024. "The dynamics of bonds, commodities and bitcoin based on NARDL approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 58-70.
    13. Pham, Linh & Nguyen, Canh Phuc, 2021. "Asymmetric tail dependence between green bonds and other asset classes," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    14. Uddin, Mohammad Riaz & Hasan, Mostafa Monzur & Abadi, Nour, 2022. "Do intangible assets provide corporate resilience? New evidence from infectious disease pandemics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    15. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Peng, Zhe & Bouri, Elie & Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad & Karim, Sitara, 2022. "Examining the asymmetries between equity and commodity ETFs during COVID-19," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    16. Celso-Arellano, Pedro & Gualajara, Victor & Coronado, Semei & Martinez, Jose N. & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2023. "Impact of the global fear index (covid-19 panic) on the S&P global indices associated with natural resources, agribusiness, energy, metals and mining: Granger Causality and Shannon and Rényi Transfer ," MPRA Paper 117138, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Feb 2023.
    17. Xiao, Jihong & Wen, Fenghua & He, Zhifang, 2023. "Impact of geopolitical risks on investor attention and speculation in the oil market: Evidence from nonlinear and time-varying analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    18. Xiao, Jihong & Liu, Hong, 2023. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty on oil market fear: Does climate policy uncertainty matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    19. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Farid, Saqib & Ferrer, Román & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2021. "Comparative efficiency of green and conventional bonds pre- and during COVID-19: An asymmetric multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    20. Bossman, Ahmed & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "EU sectoral stocks amid geopolitical risk, market sentiment, and crude oil implied volatility: An asymmetric analysis of the Russia-Ukraine tensions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    21. Ahmed Bossman & Mariya Gubareva & Tamara Teplova, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk, market sentiment, and regional stocks: asymmetric analyses of the EU sectors," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 13(3), pages 321-372, December.
    22. Giofré, Maela, 2022. "Foreign investment in times of COVID-19: How strong is the flight to advanced economies?," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    23. Jamiu Olamilekan Badmus & Sodiq Olaide Bisiriyu & Oluwadamilola Samuel Alawode, 2022. "Does COVID-19 shock endanger the flows of FDI in OECD? Empirical evidence based on AMG panel estimator," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-14, December.
    24. Assaf, Ata & Mokni, Khaled & Yousaf, Imran & Bhandari, Avishek, 2023. "Long memory in the high frequency cryptocurrency markets using fractal connectivity analysis: The impact of COVID-19," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    25. Etienne Harb & Charbel Bassil & Talie Kassamany & Roland Baz, 2024. "Volatility Interdependence Between Cryptocurrencies, Equity, and Bond Markets," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(3), pages 951-981, March.
    26. Najaf Iqbal & Elie Bouri & Guangrui Liu & Ashish Kumar, 2024. "Volatility spillovers during normal and high volatility states and their driving factors: A cross‐country and cross‐asset analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 975-995, January.
    27. Raza, Syed Ali & Shah, Nida & Guesmi, Khaled & Msolli, Badreddine, 2022. "How does COVID-19 influence dynamic spillover connectedness between cryptocurrencies? Evidence from non-parametric causality-in-quantiles techniques," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    28. Tian, Hao & Long, Shaobo & Li, Zixuan, 2022. "Asymmetric effects of climate policy uncertainty, infectious diseases-related uncertainty, crude oil volatility, and geopolitical risks on green bond prices," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    29. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Rare Disaster Risks and Volatility of the Term-Structure of US Treasury Securities: The Role of El Nino and La Nina Events," Working Papers 202155, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    30. Ma, Rufei & Liu, Zhenhua & Zhai, Pengxiang, 2022. "Does economic policy uncertainty drive volatility spillovers in electricity markets: Time and frequency evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    31. Imran Yousaf & Vasilios Plakandaras & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Hedge and Safe Haven Properties of Gold, US Treasury, Bitcoin, and Dollar/CHF against the FAANA Companies and S&P 500," Working Papers 202227, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    32. Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Charteris, Ailie & Bwanya, Princess Rutendo & Brzeszczyński, Janusz, 2023. "Which COVID-19 information really impacts stock markets?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    33. Yousaf, Imran & Plakandaras, Vasilios & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan, 2023. "Hedge and safe-haven properties of FAANA against gold, US Treasury, bitcoin, and US Dollar/CHF during the pandemic period," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    34. Dey, Asim K. & Hoque, G.M. Toufiqul & Das, Kumer P. & Panovska, Irina, 2022. "Impacts of COVID-19 local spread and Google search trend on the US stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 589(C).
    35. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Investors' Uncertainty and Forecasting Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202090, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    36. Abuzayed, Bana & Al-Fayoumi, Nedal, 2021. "Risk spillover from crude oil prices to GCC stock market returns: New evidence during the COVID-19 outbreak," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    37. Hunjra, Ahmed Imran & Kijkasiwat, Ploypailin & Arunachalam, Murugesh & Hammami, Helmi, 2021. "Covid-19 health policy intervention and volatility of Asian capital markets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    38. Bȩdowska-Sójka, Barbara & Kliber, Agata, 2022. "Impact of COVID-19 on sovereign risk: Latin America versus Asia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    39. Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Naqvi, Bushra & Mirza, Nawazish & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "Safe haven properties of green, Islamic, and crypto assets and investor's proclivity towards treasury and gold," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    40. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Elie Bouri & Mobeen Ur Rehman & David Roubaud, 2022. "The hedge asset for BRICS stock markets: Bitcoin, gold or VIX," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(1), pages 292-316, January.
    41. Demiralay, Sercan & Gencer, Hatice Gaye & Bayraci, Selcuk, 2021. "How do Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Stocks co-move with traditional and alternative assets in the age of the 4th industrial revolution? Implications and Insights for the COVID-19 period," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    42. Caporin, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2022. "Time-varying Granger causality tests in the energy markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    43. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Uncertainty due to Infectious Diseases and Forecastability of the Realized Variance of US REITs: A Note," Working Papers 202099, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    44. Chen, Lin & Min, Feng & Liu, Wenhua & Wen, Fenghua, 2022. "The Impact of the Infectious diseases and Commodity on Stock Markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    45. Dutta, Anupam & Park, Donghyun & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Kanjilal, Kakali & Ghosh, Sajal, 2024. "Do dirty and clean energy investments react to infectious disease-induced uncertainty?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).

  113. Deven Bathia & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2020. "Unemployment fluctuations and currency returns in the United Kingdom: Evidence from over one and a half century of data," School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series 2020-01, School of Economics, University of Cape Town.

    Cited by:

    1. Caporina, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2021. "Time-varying granger causality tests for applications in global crude oil markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," SAFE Working Paper Series 324, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    2. Caporin, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2022. "Time-varying Granger causality tests in the energy markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).

  114. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel, 2020. "COVID-19 Pandemic and Investor Herding in International Stock Markets," Working Papers 202089, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Júlio Lobão, 2022. "Herding Behavior in the Market for Green Cryptocurrencies: Evidence from CSSD and CSAD Approaches," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-17, October.
    2. Nikolai I. Berzon & Maksim M. Novikov & Elena L. Pozharskaya & Yulia I. Bakhturina, 2022. "Monitoring the Modern Experience of Financial Risk Management in Russia Based on Corporate Social Responsibility for Sustainable Development," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-16, April.
    3. Mohamed Albaity & Ray Saadaoui Mallek & Hasan Mustafa, 2022. "Bank Stock Return Reactions to the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Role of Investor Sentiment in MENA Countries," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-15, February.
    4. Yi-Chang Chen & Hung-Che Wu & Yuanyuan Zhang & Shih-Ming Kuo, 2021. "A Transmission of Beta Herding during Subprime Crisis in Taiwan’s Market: DCC-MIDAS Approach," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-16, December.
    5. Yener, Coskun & Akinsomi, Omokolade & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Yaya, OlaOluwa S, 2023. "Stock Market Responses to COVID-19: The Behaviors of Mean Reversion, Dependence and Persistence," MPRA Paper 117002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Md Qamar Azam & Nazia Iqbal Hashmi & Iqbal Thonse Hawaldar & Md Shabbir Alam & Mirza Allim Baig, 2022. "The COVID-19 Pandemic and Overconfidence Bias: The Case of Cyclical and Defensive Sectors," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-15, March.
    7. Pedro Antonio González & José Luis Gallizo, 2021. "Impact of COVID-19 on the Stock Market by Industrial Sector in Chile: An Adverse Overreaction," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-24, November.
    8. Alexey S. Kharlanov & Yuliya V. Bazhdanova & Teimuraz A. Kemkhashvili & Natalia G. Sapozhnikova, 2022. "The Case Experience of Integrating the SDGs into Corporate Strategies for Financial Risk Management Based on Social Responsibility (with the Example of Russian TNCs)," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-19, January.
    9. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Financial Turbulence, Systemic Risk and the Predictability of Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202162, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Eugenia Grecu, 2023. "Government Interventions and Sovereign Bond Market Volatility during COVID-19: A Quantile Analysis," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-14, February.
    11. Kayani, Umar & Ullah, Mirzat & Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Nazir, Sidra & Frempong, Josephine, 2024. "Quantile connectedness among digital assets, traditional assets, and renewable energy prices during extreme economic crisis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    12. Siniša Bogdan & Natali Brmalj & Elvis Mujačević, 2023. "Impact of Liquidity and Investors Sentiment on Herd Behavior in Cryptocurrency Market," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-17, July.
    13. An Pham Ngoc Nguyen & Martin Crane & Thomas Conlon & Marija Bezbradica, 2024. "Herding Unmasked: Insights into Cryptocurrencies, Stocks and US ETFs," Papers 2407.08069, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2024.
    14. Olga Em & Georgi Georgiev & Sergey Radukanov & Mariana Petrova, 2022. "Assessing the Market Risk on the Government Debt of Kazakhstan and Bulgaria in Conditions of Turbulence," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-18, April.
    15. Parul Kumar & Md. Aminul Islam & Rekha Pillai & Mosab I. Tabash, 2024. "Risk Perception-Perceived Investor Performance Nexus: Evaluating the Mediating Effects of Heuristics and Prospects With Gender as a Moderator," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(2), pages 21582440241, May.
    16. Sayar Karmakar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Bitcoin Mining Activity and Volatility Dynamics in the Power Market," Working Papers 202166, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Lesame, Keagile & Ngene, Geoffrey & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2024. "Herding in international REITs markets around the COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    18. Rubesam, Alexandre & Raimundo, Gerson de Souza, 2022. "Covid-19 and herding in global equity markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    19. Richard T. Ampofo & Eric N. Aidoo & Bernard O. Ntiamoah & Ophelia Frimpong & Daniel Sasu, 2023. "An empirical investigation of COVID-19 effects on herding behaviour in USA and UK stock markets using a quantile regression approach," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(2), pages 517-540, June.
    20. Josua Sinaga & Ting Wu & Yu-wang Chen, 2022. "Impact of government interventions on the stock market during COVID-19: a case study in Indonesia," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(9), pages 1-35, September.
    21. Blasco, Natividad & Casas, Luis & Ferreruela, Sandra, 2024. "Does war spread the herding effect in stock markets? Evidence from emerging and developed markets during the Russia-Ukraine war," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    22. Schlosky, Minh Tam Tammy & Karadas, Serkan & Stivers, Adam, 2024. "Forecasting U.S. Stock Returns Conditional on Geopolitical Risk and Business Cycles," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    23. Tang, Chia-Hsien & Lee, Yen-Hsien & Chen, Chan-Shin & Huang, Ya-Ling, 2025. "The COVID-19 pandemic and feedback trading dynamics: Unveiling global patterns," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PB).
    24. Faisal Alnori & Moid U. Ahmad, 2022. "Herd Mentality Amongst Equity Investors During COVID-19: Evidences from Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 12(4), pages 40-46, July.
    25. Ali, Sara & Badshah, Ihsan & Demirer, Riza, 2023. "Anti-herding by hedge funds and its implications for expected returns," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 31-48.
    26. Samuel Tabot Enow, 2023. "Detecting the Herding Behaviour in the South African Stock Market and its Implications," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 88-92, March.
    27. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham & Liao, Dijia, 2024. "Risk connectedness between international oil and stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine conflict: Fresh evidence from the higher-order moments," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    28. Elena G. Popkova & Bruno S. Sergi, 2021. "Dataset Modelling of the Financial Risk Management of Social Entrepreneurship in Emerging Economies," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-20, November.
    29. Renata Legenzova & Gintarė Leck&# & Justė Juknevičiūtė, 2025. "Do Global Disruptive Events Induce Herding Behaviour during Upward and Downward Market Movements? The Evidence from Nordic and Baltic Stock Markets," Central European Business Review, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2025(1), pages 57-73.
    30. Hong, Hui & Jiang, Lijun & Zhang, Cheng & Yue, Zhonggang, 2024. "Do conventional and new energy stock markets herd differently? Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    31. Cosmin Octavian Cepoi & Victor Dragotă & Ruxandra Trifan & Andreea Iordache, 2023. "Probability of informed trading during the COVID-19 pandemic: the case of the Romanian stock market," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, December.

  115. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2020. "Point and Density Forecasting of Macroeconomic and Financial Uncertainties of the United States," Working Papers 202058, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Salisu, Afees A. & Tchankam, Jean Paul, 2022. "US Stock return predictability with high dimensional models," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).

  116. Siphumlile Mangisa & Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Analysing the Impact of Brexit on Global Uncertainty Using Functional Linear Regression with Point of Impact: The Role of Currency and Equity Markets," Working Papers 202012, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kohnert, Dirk, 2020. "L'impact du Brexit sur l'Afrique en période de crise Corona : le cas de l'Afrique du Sud, du Nigeria, du Ghana et du Kenya," AfricArxiv qtmc3, Center for Open Science.

  117. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Macroeconomic Volatility in the United Kingdom," Working Papers 202041, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Laine, Olli-Matti, 2022. "Evidence about the transmission of monetary policy," Bank of Finland Scientific Monographs, Bank of Finland, volume 0, number e53, December.

  118. Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2020. "Time-Varying Impact of Pandemics on Global Output Growth," Working Papers 202062, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Xu, Yongan & Wang, Jianqiong & Chen, Zhonglu & Liang, Chao, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns: New evidence," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Salisu, Afees A. & van Eyden, Reneé, 2023. "Firm-level business uncertainty and the predictability of the aggregate U.S. stock market volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 295-302.
    6. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Uncertainty due to Infectious Diseases and Forecastability of the Realized Variance of US REITs: A Note," Working Papers 202099, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. İbrahim Özmen & Selçuk Bali & Festus Victor Bekun, 2024. "Is Abrams curve a myth or reality? Evidence from two Baltic countries," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 2709-2733, June.

  119. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Saban Nazlioglu & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Causality between Bond and Oil Markets of the United States: Evidence from Over One and Half Centuries of Data," Working Papers 202006, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Chevaughn van der Westhuizen & Renee van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye, 2022. "Is Inflation Uncertainty a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy? The Inflation-Inflation Uncertainty Nexus and Inflation Targeting in South Africa," Working Papers 202254, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2023. "The role of oil and risk shocks in the high‐frequency movements of the term structure of interest rates: Evidence from the U.S. Treasury market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1845-1857, April.
    3. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Cenk C. Karahan & Brian M. Lucey, 2020. "Oil Price Shocks and Yield Curve Dynamics in Emerging Markets," Working Papers 202036, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gül, Selçuk & Hacıhasanoğlu, Yavuz Selim & Yılmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2020. "Global uncertainties and portfolio flow dynamics of the BRICS countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    5. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "The Role of Oil and Risk Shocks in the High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States," Working Papers 202063, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Wang, Jianuo & Enilov, Martin & Kizys, Renatas, 2024. "Does M&A activity spin the cycle of energy prices?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    7. Zhou, Xiaoran & Enilov, Martin & Parhi, Mamata, 2024. "Does oil spin the commodity wheel? Quantile connectedness with a common factor error structure across energy and agricultural markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    8. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States: The Role of Oil Market Uncertainty," Working Papers 202085, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  120. Afees A. Salisu & Juncal Cunado & Kazeem Isah & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Stock Markets and Exchange Rate Behaviour of the BRICS," Working Papers 202086, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Climate Risks and Prediction of Sectoral REITs Volatility: International Evidence," Working Papers 202434, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Qabhobho, Thobekile & Moyo, Clement & Tsaurai, Kunofiwa, 2023. "Complementarity or Substitutability between Outward FDI and Exporting in Influencing Economic Growth: The BRICS Countries Analysis," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 76(2), pages 275-296.
    3. Khyati Kathuria & Nand Kumar, 2022. "Pandemic‐induced fear and government policy response as a measure of uncertainty in the foreign exchange market: Evidence from (a)symmetric wild bootstrap likelihood ratio test," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(4), pages 361-379, October.
    4. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong, 2022. "Exchange rate predictability with nine alternative models for BRICS countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    5. Sokhanvar, Amin & Çiftçioğlu, Serhan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2024. "Comparative analysis of the exchange rates-stock returns nexus in commodity-exporters and -importers before and during the war in Ukraine," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    6. Oleksandr Castello & Marina Resta, 2022. "Modeling the Yield Curve of BRICS Countries: Parametric vs. Machine Learning Techniques," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-18, February.
    7. Kumar, Utkarsh & Ahmad, Wasim & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2024. "Bayesian Markov switching model for BRICS currencies' exchange rates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 122816, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    8. Peter Arhenful & Richard Fosu & Mathew Owusu-Mensah, 2022. "Exchange Rate and Stock Price Nexus: Evidence from Ghana," Journal of Social and Development Sciences, AMH International, vol. 12(4), pages 9-15.
    9. Thobekile Qabhobho & Anokye M. Adam & Emmanuel Asafo-Adjei, 2023. "Do Local and International Shocks Matter in the Interconnectedness amid Exchange Rates and Energy Commodities? Insights into BRICS Economies," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(6), pages 666-678, November.
    10. Pami Dua & Rajiv Ranjan & Deepika Goel, 2023. "Forecasting the INR/USD Exchange Rate: A BVAR Framework," Springer Books, in: Pami Dua (ed.), Macroeconometric Methods, chapter 0, pages 183-224, Springer.

  121. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Forecasting Realized Stock-Market Volatility: Do Industry Returns have Predictive Value?," Working Papers 2020107, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Luo, Jiawen & Cepni, Oguzhan & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2025. "Forecasting multivariate volatilities with exogenous predictors: An application to industry diversification strategies," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    2. Lamine Diane & Pradeep Brijlal, 2024. "Forecasting Stock Market Realized Volatility using Random Forest and Artificial Neural Network in South Africa," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(2), pages 5-14, March.

  122. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2020. "Jumps in Geopolitical Risk and the Cryptocurrency Market: The Singularity of Bitcoin," Working Papers 202015, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Faheem Aslam & Paulo Ferreira & Haider Ali & Ana Ercília José, 2022. "Application of Multifractal Analysis in Estimating the Reaction of Energy Markets to Geopolitical Acts and Threats," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-23, May.
    2. Eugene Msizi Buthelezi, 2024. "Navigating Global Uncertainty: Examining the Effect of Geopolitical Risks on Cryptocurrency Prices and Volatility in a Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(4), pages 564-590, October.
    3. Andrea Delle Foglie & Gianni Pola, 2021. "Make the Best from Comparing Conventional and Islamic Asset Classes: A Design of an All-Seasons Combined Portfolio," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-17, October.
    4. Selmi, Refk & Bouoiyour, Jamal & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "“Digital Gold” and geopolitics," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    5. Mercik, Aleksander & Słoński, Tomasz & Karaś, Marta, 2024. "Understanding crypto-asset exposure: An investigation of its impact on performance and stock sensitivity among listed companies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    6. Long, Huaigang & Demir, Ender & Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Zaremba, Adam & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2022. "Is geopolitical risk priced in the cross-section of cryptocurrency returns?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    7. Mustafa Tevfik Kartal & Mustafa Kevser & Fatih Ayhan, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of global factors on return of cryptocurrencies by novel nonlinear quantile approaches," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1515-1535, June.
    8. Chen, Yan & Zhang, Lei & Bouri, Elie, 2024. "Co-Bubble transmission across clean and dirty Cryptocurrencies: Network and portfolio analysis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    9. Chi Keung Lau & Alaa M. Soliman & Dongna Zhang, 2024. "Energy Price Inflation, Geopolitical Risk, and Bitcoin Dependence Structure: Evidence from BRICS," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 60(12), pages 2631-2645, September.
    10. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Polat, Ali Yavuz & Tekin, Hasan & Tunalı, Ahmet Semih, 2022. "The Ascent of Geopolitics: Scientometric Analysis and Ramifications of Geopolitical Risk," MPRA Paper 112741, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Jana, Rabin K., 2024. "Are metaverse coins more prone to geopolitical risk than traditional crypto assets?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 436-447.
    12. Mirzat Ullah, 2024. "Dynamic Connectedness between Crypto and Conventional Financial Assets: Novel Findings from Russian Financial Market," Journal of Applied Economic Research, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, vol. 23(1), pages 110-135.
    13. Bouri, Elie & Jalkh, Naji, 2023. "Spillovers of joint volatility-skewness-kurtosis of major cryptocurrencies and their determinants," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    14. Νikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "The effects of geopolitical uncertainty on cryptocurrencies and other financial assets," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 1-14, January.
    15. Kristjanpoller, Werner & Nekhili, Ramzi & Bouri, Elie, 2024. "Blockchain ETFs and the cryptocurrency and Nasdaq markets: Multifractal and asymmetric cross-correlations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 637(C).
    16. Ben Nouir, Jihed & Ben Haj Hamida, Hayet, 2023. "How do economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk drive Bitcoin volatility?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    17. Zhang, Zhengyong & Bouri, Elie & Klein, Tony & Jalkh, Naji, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and the returns and volatility of global defense companies: A new race to arms?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    18. Anupam Dutta & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Outliers and Time-Varying Jumps in the Cryptocurrency Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-7, March.
    19. Foglia, Matteo & Palomba, Giulio & Tedeschi, Marco, 2023. "Disentangling the geopolitical risk and its effects on commodities. Evidence from a panel of G8 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    20. Manel Mahjoubi & Jamel Eddine Henchiri, 2024. "The effect of policy uncertainty on the volatility of bitcoin," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 16(4), pages 429-441, May.

  123. Konstantinos Gkillas & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2020. "Spillovers in Higher-Order Moments of Crude Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin," Working Papers 202068, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Haffar, Adlane & Le Fur, Éric, 2022. "Time-varying dependence of Bitcoin," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 211-220.
    2. Zhang, Hongwei & Jin, Chen & Bouri, Elie & Gao, Wang & Xu, Yahua, 2023. "Realized higher-order moments spillovers between commodity and stock markets: Evidence from China," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    3. Mensi, Walid & Ko, Hee-Un & Sensoy, Ahmet & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2024. "Higher-order moment connectedness between stock and commodity markets and portfolio management," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    4. Walid Mensi & Anoop S. Kumar & Hee-Un Ko & Sang Hoon Kang, 2024. "Intraday spillovers in high-order moments among main cryptocurrency markets: the role of uncertainty indexes," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 14(2), pages 507-538, June.
    5. Yu, Xiaoling & Cifuentes-Faura, Javier, 2024. "Information spillover among cryptocurrency and traditional financial assets: Evidence from complex networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 646(C).
    6. Nurkhodzha Akbulaev & Tural Abdulhasanov, 2023. "Analyzing the Connection between Energy Prices and Cryptocurrency throughout the Pandemic Period," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(1), pages 227-234, January.
    7. Bouri, Elie & Lei, Xiaojie & Jalkh, Naji & Xu, Yahua & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "Spillovers in higher moments and jumps across US stock and strategic commodity markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    8. Dai, Zhifeng & Zhu, Haoyang, 2023. "Dynamic risk spillover among crude oil, economic policy uncertainty and Chinese financial sectors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 421-450.
    9. Zhu, Huiming & Xia, Xiling & Hau, Liya & Zeng, Tian & Deng, Xi, 2024. "Time-frequency higher-order moment Co-movement and connectedness between Chinese stock and commodity markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    10. Yan, Wan-Lin & Cheung, Adrian (Wai Kong), 2024. "Connectedness among Chinese climate policy uncertainty, exchange rate, Chinese and international crude oil markets: Insights from time and frequency domain analyses of high order moments," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    11. Bouri, Elie & Lei, Xiaojie & Xu, Yahua & Zhang, Hongwei, 2023. "Connectedness in implied higher-order moments of precious metals and energy markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PB).
    12. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Dionisio, Andreia & Sensoy, Ahmet & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Extant linkages between Shanghai crude oil and US energy futures: Insights from spillovers of higher-order moments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    13. Asil Azimli, 2024. "Time-varying spillovers in high-order moments among cryptocurrencies," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-39, December.
    14. Elie Bouri & Ladislav Kristoufek & Nehme Azoury, 2022. "Bitcoin and S&P500: Co-movements of high-order moments in the time-frequency domain," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(11), pages 1-15, November.
    15. Heinlein, Reinhold & Legrenzi, Gabriella D. & Mahadeo, Scott M.R., 2021. "Crude oil and stock markets in the COVID-19 crisis: Evidence from oil exporters and importers," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 223-229.
    16. Mensi, Walid & Shafiullah, Muhammad & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Asymmetric spillovers and connectedness between crude oil and currency markets using high-frequency data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    17. Cao, Guangxi & Xie, Wenhao, 2021. "The impact of the shutdown policy on the asymmetric interdependence structure and risk transmission of cryptocurrency and China’s financial market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    18. Iqbal, Najaf & Umar, Zaghum & Shaoyong, Zhang & Sokolova, Tatiana, 2025. "Higher moments interaction between the US treasury yields, energy assets, and green cryptos: Dynamic analysis with portfolio implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    19. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham & Goh, Mark & Zou, Huiwen, 2022. "Risk spillovers and time-varying links between international oil and China’s commodity futures markets: Fresh evidence from the higher-order moments," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PB).
    20. He, Xie & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2024. "Asymmetric Higher-Moment spillovers between sustainable and traditional investments," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    21. Pham, Son Duy & Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Do, Hung Xuan, 2022. "Dynamic volatility connectedness between thermal coal futures and major cryptocurrencies: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    22. Salisu, Afees A. & Ndako, Umar B. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Oil price and the Bitcoin market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    23. Liu, Jian & Chen, Yan & Liao, Shufei & Cheng, Cheng & Fu, Yongge, 2023. "Information spillovers in Hong Kong REITs and related asset markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 215-229.
    24. Zhu, Huiming & Li, Shuang & Huang, Zishan, 2023. "Frequency domain quantile dependence and connectedness between crude oil and exchange rates: Evidence from oil-importing and exporting countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 1-30.
    25. Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Hu, Yang & Oxley, Les, 2022. "The growth of oil futures in China: Evidence of market maturity through global crises," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    26. Hao, Wei & Pham, Linh, 2024. "Dynamic connectedness in the higher moments between clean energy and oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    27. Ben Osman, Myriam & Galariotis, Emilios & Guesmi, Khaled & Hamdi, Haykel & Naoui, Kamel, 2024. "Are markets sentiment driving the price bubbles in the virtual?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 272-285.
    28. Nekhili, Ramzi & Bouri, Elie, 2023. "Higher-order moments and co-moments' contribution to spillover analysis and portfolio risk management," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    29. Guliyev, Hasraddin & Mustafayev, Eldayag, 2022. "Predicting the changes in the WTI crude oil price dynamics using machine learning models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    30. Ma, Yu & Luan, Zhiqian, 2022. "Ethereum synchronicity, upside volatility and Bitcoin crash risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    31. Zhang, Hongwei & Hong, Huojun & Guo, Yaoqi & Yang, Cai, 2022. "Information spillover effects from media coverage to the crude oil, gold, and Bitcoin markets during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from the time and frequency domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 267-285.
    32. Apergis, Nicholas, 2023. "Realized higher-order moments spillovers across cryptocurrencies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    33. Bassam A. Ibrahim & Ahmed A. Elamer & Thamir H. Alasker & Marwa A. Mohamed & Hussein A. Abdou, 2024. "Volatility contagion between cryptocurrencies, gold and stock markets pre-and-during COVID-19: evidence using DCC-GARCH and cascade-correlation network," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-28, December.
    34. Anh Ngoc Quang Huynh & Duy Duong & Tobias Burggraf & Hien Thi Thu Luong & Nam Huu Bui, 2022. "Energy Consumption and Bitcoin Market," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 29(1), pages 79-93, March.
    35. Zhang, HongWei & Xie, Yuan, 2024. "Assessing natural resources, rebounding trends, digital economic structure and green recovery dynamics in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    36. Khaki, Audil & Prasad, Mason & Al-Mohamad, Somar & Bakry, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Re-evaluating portfolio diversification and design using cryptocurrencies: Are decentralized cryptocurrencies enough?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    37. Beckmann, Joscha & Geldner, Teo & Wüstenfeld, Jan, 2024. "The relevance of media sentiment for small and large scale bitcoin investors," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    38. Jiang, Shangrong & Li, Yuze & Lu, Quanying & Wang, Shouyang & Wei, Yunjie, 2022. "Volatility communicator or receiver? Investigating volatility spillover mechanisms among Bitcoin and other financial markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    39. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2022. "Higher Moments Actually Matter: Spillover Approach for Case of CESEE Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(24), pages 1-34, December.
    40. Kawakami, Tabito, 2023. "Quantile prediction for Bitcoin returns using financial assets’ realized measures," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    41. Choudhary, Sangita & Jain, Anshul & Biswal, Pratap Chandra, 2024. "Dynamic linkages among bitcoin, equity, gold and oil: An implied volatility perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PB).
    42. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Higher-order moment risk connectedness and optimal investment strategies between international oil and commodity futures markets: Insights from the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia-Ukraine conflict," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    43. Yang, Jen-Wei & Chiu, Shih-Yung & Yen, Kuang-Chieh, 2023. "Does the realized distribution-based measure dominate particular moments? Evidence from cryptocurrency markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    44. Yang, Kun & Wei, Yu & Li, Shouwei & Liu, Liang & Wang, Lei, 2021. "Global financial uncertainties and China’s crude oil futures market: Evidence from interday and intraday price dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    45. Yu, Peining & Zhou, Luohui & Chen, Zejun & Li, Chujin, 2025. "Risk spillover changes among commodity futures, stock and ESG markets: A study based on multidimensional higher order moment perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    46. Serda Selin Ozturk, 2020. "Dynamic Connectedness between Bitcoin, Gold, and Crude Oil Volatilities and Returns," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-14, November.

  124. Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Speculative Spillovers in Financial Markets," Working Papers 202032, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Mi & Sensoy, Ahmet & Cheng, Feiyang & Zhao, Xuankai, 2022. "Three channels of monetary policy international transmission: Identifying spillover effects from the US to China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    2. Cao, Fangzhi & Su, Chi-Wei & Sun, Dian & Qin, Meng & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "U.S. monetary policy: The pushing hands of crude oil price?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    3. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Investor Sentiment and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries," Working Papers 202256, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Wu, Nan & Zhang, Zuopeng & Lin, Boqiang, 2024. "Responses of financial stress and monetary policy to global warming: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    5. Umar, Zaghum & Adekoya, Oluwasegun Babatunde & Oliyide, Johnson Ayobami & Gubareva, Mariya, 2021. "Media sentiment and short stocks performance during a systemic crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    6. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & Pierdzioch, Christian & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Disaggregated oil shocks and stock-market tail risks: Evidence from a panel of 48 economics," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    7. Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Christian Pierdzioch & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Disaggregated Oil Shocks and Stock-Market Tail Risks: Evidence from a Panel of 48 Countries," Working Papers 202106, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Karim, Sitara & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2022. "Quantifying systemic risk in US industries using neural network quantile regression," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    9. Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "Monetary policy and bubbles in G7 economies using a panel VAR approach: Implications for sustainable development," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 133-155.

  125. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Bitcoin: The Role of the Trade War," Working Papers 202003, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Investor Confidence and Forecastability of US Stock Market Realized Volatility : Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202118, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Teterin, Maksim & Peresetsky, Anatoly, 2025. "Can Ethereum predict Bitcoin’s volatility?," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 77, pages 74-90.
    3. Sapkota, Niranjan, 2022. "News-based sentiment and bitcoin volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    4. Efstathios Polyzos & Costas Siriopoulos, 2024. "Autoregressive Random Forests: Machine Learning and Lag Selection for Financial Research," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(1), pages 225-262, July.
    5. Gunnarsson, Elias Søvik & Isern, Håkon Ramon & Kaloudis, Aristidis & Risstad, Morten & Vigdel, Benjamin & Westgaard, Sjur, 2024. "Prediction of realized volatility and implied volatility indices using AI and machine learning: A review," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    6. Lei Wang & Provash Kumer Sarker & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Short- and Long-Term Interactions Between Bitcoin and Economic Variables: Evidence from the US," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(4), pages 1305-1330, April.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Stock Market Volatility and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles," Working Papers 202310, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Yousaf, Imran & Cui, Jinxin & Ali, Shoaib, 2024. "Dynamic spillover between green cryptocurrencies and stocks: A portfolio implication," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    9. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Uncertainty and forecastability of regional output growth in the UK: Evidence from machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1049-1064, September.
    10. Vasu Kalariya & Pushpendra Parmar & Patel Jay & Sudeep Tanwar & Maria Simona Raboaca & Fayez Alqahtani & Amr Tolba & Bogdan-Constantin Neagu, 2022. "Stochastic Neural Networks-Based Algorithmic Trading for the Cryptocurrency Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-15, April.
    11. Kuo-Shing Chen & Yu-Chuan Huang, 2021. "Detecting Jump Risk and Jump-Diffusion Model for Bitcoin Options Pricing and Hedging," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(20), pages 1-24, October.
    12. Fahad Mostafa & Pritam Saha & Mohammad Rafiqul Islam & Nguyet Nguyen, 2021. "GJR-GARCH Volatility Modeling under NIG and ANN for Predicting Top Cryptocurrencies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-22, September.
    13. Konstantinos Gkillas & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2020. "Spillovers in Higher-Order Moments of Crude Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin," Working Papers 202068, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Xiaolong Tang & Yuping Song & Xingrui Jiao & Yankun Sun, 2024. "On Forecasting Realized Volatility for Bitcoin Based on Deep Learning PSO–GRU Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(5), pages 2011-2033, May.
    15. Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2021. "Machine Learning in Economics and Finance," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 1-4, January.
    16. Weige Huang & Xiang Gao, 2023. "Forecasting Bitcoin Futures: A Lasso-BMA Two-Step Predictor Selection for Investment and Hedging Strategies," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(1), pages 21582440231, January.
    17. Muhammad Ikhlas Rosele & Abdul Muneem & Azizi Bin Che Seman & Luqman Bin Haji Abdullah & Noor Naemah Binti Abdul Rahman & Mohd Edil Bin Abd Sukor & Abdul Karim Bin Ali, 2022. "The Concept of Wealth (mÄ l) in the SharÄ«Ê¿ah and Its Relation to Digital Assets," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, June.
    18. Jiqian Wang & Feng Ma & Elie Bouri & Yangli Guo, 2023. "Which factors drive Bitcoin volatility: Macroeconomic, technical, or both?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 970-988, July.
    19. Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2025. "Stock market volatility and multi-scale positive and negative bubbles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    20. Walid M. A. Ahmed, 2024. "On the robust drivers of cryptocurrency liquidity: the case of Bitcoin," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-32, December.
    21. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Do Shortages Forecast Aggregate and Sectoral U.S. Stock Market Realized Variance? Evidence from a Century of Data," Working Papers 202450, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Teterin, M. & Peresetsky, A., 2024. "Google Trends and Bitcoin volatility forecast," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 65(4), pages 118-135.
    23. Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda, 2024. "Forecasting of clean energy market volatility: The role of oil and the technology sector," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    24. Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda, 2024. "What drives the uranium sector risk? The role of attention, economic and geopolitical uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    25. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Forecasting Realized Stock-Market Volatility: Do Industry Returns have Predictive Value?," Working Papers 2020107, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    26. Arthur Jin Lin, 2023. "Volatility Contagion from Bulk Shipping and Petrochemical Industries to Oil Futures Market during the Economic Uncertainty," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-19, August.

  126. Igor Fedotenkov & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "The Effects of Public Expenditures on Labour Productivity in Europe," Working Papers 202038, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Andrew Phiri & Chuma Mbaleki & Christian Nsiah, 2022. "Fiscal expenditures, revenues and labour productivity in South Africa," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 2062912-206, December.
    2. Mengying Wang & Stuart Gilmour & Chunhai Tao & Kaixuan Zhuang, 2020. "Does Scale and Efficiency of Government Health Expenditure Promote Development of the Health Industry?," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(15), pages 1-19, July.

  127. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Time-Varying Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks on U.S. Stock Returns: The Role of Investor Sentiment," Working Papers 202039, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Andre & Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Fiscal Policy and Stock Markets at the Effective Lower Bound," Working Papers 202309, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Investor Sentiment and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries," Working Papers 202256, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Predicting Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries: The Role of Oil Price Uncertainty," Working Papers 202332, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2023. "International spillovers of U.S. monetary uncertainty and equity market volatility to China’s stock markets," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    5. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua, 2024. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bubbles in global stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    6. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles in an Emerging Country: The Case of India," Working Papers 202305, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2024. "High-Frequency Contagion between Aggregate and Regional Housing Markets of the United States with Financial Assets: Evidence from Multichannel Tests," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(2), pages 253-276, August.
    8. Xiao, Jihong & Jiang, Jiajie & Zhang, Yaojie, 2024. "Policy uncertainty, investor sentiment, and good and bad volatilities in the stock market: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    9. Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratio and the Predictability of Bubbles in Financial Markets," Working Papers 202317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2022. "Higher Moments Actually Matter: Spillover Approach for Case of CESEE Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(24), pages 1-34, December.
    11. Roudari, Soheil & Mensi, Walid & Kharusi, Sami Al & Ahmadian-Yazdi, Farzaneh, 2023. "Impacts of oil shocks on stock markets in Norway and Japan: Does monetary policy's effectiveness matter?," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 343-358.
    12. Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "Monetary policy and bubbles in G7 economies using a panel VAR approach: Implications for sustainable development," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 133-155.
    13. Shaikh, Imlak & Vallabh, Priyanka, 2022. "Monetary policy uncertainty and gold price in India: Evidence from Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) review," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).

  128. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2020. "A Note on Oil Price Shocks and the Forecastability of Gold Realized Volatility," Working Papers 202010, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2022. "Extreme dependence between structural oil shocks and stock markets in GCC countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    4. Thanoj K. Muddana & Komal S.R. Bhimireddy & Anandamayee Majumdar & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Forecasting Gold Returns Volatility Over 1258-2023: The Role of Moments," Working Papers 202421, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    6. Salisu, Afees A. & Akinsomi, Omokolade & Ametefe, Frank Kwakutse & Hammed, Yinka S., 2024. "Gold market volatility and REITs' returns during tranquil and turbulent episodes," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).

  129. Hardik A. Marfatia & Christophe Andre & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Predicting Housing Market Sentiment: The Role of Financial, Macroeconomic and Real Estate Uncertainties," Working Papers 202061, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Yunus, Nafeesa, 2023. "Long-run and short-run impact of the U.S. economy on stock, bond and housing markets: An evaluation of U.S. and six major economies," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 211-232.
    2. Biktimirov, Ernest N. & Sokolyk, Tatyana & Ayanso, Anteneh, 2024. "Unpacking the relation between media sentiment and house prices: A topic modeling approach," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).

  130. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei, 2020. "High-Frequency Predictability of Housing Market Movements of the United States: The Role of Economic Sentiment," Working Papers 202066, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rinsuna Shivambu, 2020. "Uncertainty and Daily Predictability of Housing Returns and Volatility of the United States: Evidence from a Higher-Order Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 202071, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Forecasting Growth-at-Risk of the United States: Housing Price versus Housing Sentiment or Attention," Working Papers 202401, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    5. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Jacobus Nel, 2022. "Do Climate Risks Predict US Housing Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Quantiles-Based Approach," Working Papers 202240, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Bingdao Feng & Fangyu Cheng & Yanfei Liu & Xinglong Chang & Xiaobao Wang & Di Jin, 2024. "Community Detection on Social Networks With Sentimental Interaction," International Journal on Semantic Web and Information Systems (IJSWIS), IGI Global, vol. 20(1), pages 1-23, January.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Damien Moodley, 2023. "Housing Search Activity and Quantiles-Based Predictability of Housing Price Movements in the United States," Working Papers 202335, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Biktimirov, Ernest N. & Sokolyk, Tatyana & Ayanso, Anteneh, 2024. "Unpacking the relation between media sentiment and house prices: A topic modeling approach," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    9. Hakan Yıldırım & Festus Victor Bekun, 2023. "Predicting volatility of bitcoin returns with ARCH, GARCH and EGARCH models," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-8, December.

  131. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "The Role of Global Economic Conditions in Forecasting Gold Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202043, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Xidonas, Panos & Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Goutte, Stéphane, 2023. "Gold and CoVid-19: Uncovering the safe haven hypothesis with dynamic MSR modeling," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    2. Das, Debojyoti & Bhatia, Vaneet & Kumar, Surya Bhushan & Basu, Sankarshan, 2022. "Do precious metals hedge crude oil volatility jumps?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    3. Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich & Burkhanov, Aktam Usmanovich & Usmonov, Bunyod & Khajimuratov, Nizomjon Shukurullaevich & Khurramova, Madina Mansur qizi, 2024. "The role of sudden variance shifts in predicting volatility in bioenergy crop markets under structural breaks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    4. Tarchella, Salma & Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2024. "The safe haven, hedging, and diversification properties of oil, gold, and cryptocurrency for the G7 equity markets: Evidence from the pre- and post-COVID-19 periods," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    5. Ding, Qian & Huang, Jianbai & Gao, Wang & Zhang, Hongwei, 2022. "Does political risk matter for gold market fluctuations? A structural VAR analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Testing the Forecasting Power of Global Economic Conditions for the Volatility of International REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202211, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Liu, Tao & Guan, Xinyue & Wei, Yigang & Xue, Shan & Xu, Liang, 2023. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on the volatility of China's emission trading scheme pilots," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    9. Liang, Chao & Xia, Zhenglan & Lai, Xiaodong & Wang, Lu, 2022. "Natural gas volatility prediction: Fresh evidence from extreme weather and extended GARCH-MIDAS-ES model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    10. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Ayinde, Taofeek O. & Olaniran, Abeeb O. & Abolade, Onomeabure C. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula Ephraim, 2023. "Technology shocks - Gold market connection: Is the effect episodic to business cycle behaviour?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    12. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "Global Financial Cycle and the Predictability of Oil Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Model," Working Papers 202121, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Salisu, Afees A. & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Out-of-sample predictability of gold market volatility: The role of US Nonfarm Payroll," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 482-488.
    14. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    15. Guo, Yangli & Ma, Feng & Li, Haibo & Lai, Xiaodong, 2022. "Oil price volatility predictability based on global economic conditions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    16. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Climate risks and forecastability of the realized volatility of gold and other metal prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    17. Li, Wei & Zhang, Junchao & Cao, Xiangye & Han, Wei, 2024. "Is the prediction of precious metal market volatility influenced by internet searches regarding uncertainty?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PB).
    18. Liu, Feng & Shao, Shuai & Li, Xin & Pan, Na & Qi, Yu, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty, jump dynamics, and oil price volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    19. Salisu, Afees A. & Cuñado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Geopolitical risks and historical exchange rate volatility of the BRICS," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 179-190.
    20. Klayme, Tania & Gokmenoglu, Korhan K. & Rustamov, Bezhan, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty, COVID-19 and corporate investment: Evidence from the gold mining industry," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    21. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Mixed‐frequency forecasting of crude oil volatility based on the information content of global economic conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 134-157, January.
    22. Zhang, Lixia & Bai, Jiancheng & Zhang, Yueyan & Cui, Can, 2023. "Global economic uncertainty and the Chinese stock market: Assessing the impacts of global indicators," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    23. Salisu, Afees A. & Isah, Kazeem & Oloko, Tirimisiyu O., 2024. "Technology shocks and crude oil market connection: The role of climate change," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    24. Khaskheli, Asadullah & Zhang, Hongyu & Raza, Syed Ali & Khan, Komal Akram, 2022. "Assessing the influence of news indicator on volatility of precious metals prices through GARCH-MIDAS model: A comparative study of pre and during COVID-19 period," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    25. Wang, Lu & Wu, Rui & Ma, WeiChun & Xu, Weiju, 2023. "Examining the volatility of soybean market in the MIDAS framework: The importance of bagging-based weather information," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    26. Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Hu, Yang & Oxley, Les, 2021. "An analysis of investor behaviour and information flows surrounding the negative WTI oil price futures event," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).

  132. Joao F. Caldeira & Rangan Gupta & Hudson S. Torrent, 2020. "Forecasting U.S. Aggregate Stock Market Excess Return: Do Functional Data Analysis Add Economic Value?," Working Papers 202087, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Helida Nurcahayani & I Nyoman Budiantara & Ismaini Zain, 2021. "The Curve Estimation of Combined Truncated Spline and Fourier Series Estimators for Multiresponse Nonparametric Regression," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-22, May.

  133. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2020. "Forecasting Charge-Off Rates with a Panel Tobit Model: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202092, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Carlos Canizares Martinez, 2023. "Leaning against housing booms fueled by credit," Working Papers 513, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics.

  134. Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2020. "Dynamic Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy on International REITs," Working Papers 202020, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Testing the Forecasting Power of Global Economic Conditions for the Volatility of International REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202211, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Jiqian Wang & Rangan Gupta & Oğuzhan Çepni & Feng Ma, 2023. "Forecasting international REITs volatility: the role of oil-price uncertainty," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(14), pages 1579-1597, September.
    3. Salisu, Afees A. & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Out-of-sample predictability of gold market volatility: The role of US Nonfarm Payroll," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 482-488.
    4. Mensi, Walid & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2023. "Spillover and connectedness among G7 real estate investment trusts: The effects of investor sentiment and global factors," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    5. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on US REITs Moments: Evidence from VARs with Functional Shocks," Working Papers 202219, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Hanif, Waqas & Andraz, Jorge Miguel & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2024. "Are REITS hedge or safe haven against oil price fall?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1-16.
    7. Pejman Peykani & Mostafa Sargolzaei & Amir Takaloo & Shahla Valizadeh, 2023. "The Effects of Monetary Policy on Macroeconomic Variables through Credit and Balance Sheet Channels: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-21, March.

  135. Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price," Working Papers 202009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    2. Peipei, Wang & James, William, 2024. "Predicting oil price fluctuations: Integrating external indicators and advanced regression techniques," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    3. Sapkota, Niranjan, 2022. "News-based sentiment and bitcoin volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    4. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "Forecasting Oil Volatility Using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach: The Role of Global Economic Conditions," Working Papers 202051, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "Global Financial Cycle and the Predictability of Oil Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Model," Working Papers 202121, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    8. Sami Ben Jabeur & Rabeh Khalfaoui & Wissal Ben Arfi, 2021. "The effect of green energy, global environmental indexes, and stock markets in predicting oil price crashes: Evidence from explainable machine learning," Post-Print hal-03797577, HAL.
    9. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "The predictive power of oil price shocks on realized volatility of oil: A note," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    10. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    11. Yaojie Zhang & Mengxi He & Danyan Wen & Yudong Wang, 2022. "Forecasting Bitcoin volatility: A new insight from the threshold regression model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 633-652, April.
    12. Yan, Juan & Haroon, Muhammad, 2023. "Financing efficiency in natural resource markets mobilizing private and public capital for a green recovery," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    13. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    14. Guliyev, Hasraddin & Mustafayev, Eldayag, 2022. "Predicting the changes in the WTI crude oil price dynamics using machine learning models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    15. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Mixed‐frequency forecasting of crude oil volatility based on the information content of global economic conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 134-157, January.
    16. Kuang, Wei, 2022. "The economic value of high-frequency data in equity-oil hedge," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PA).
    17. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    18. Mei Huang & Qiuping Mou & Xiang Xian, 2024. "RETRACTED ARTICLE: Public administration reforms for effective energy transition governance: case studies and evaluations," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 1-21, June.
    19. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    20. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Infectious Diseases, Market Uncertainty and Oil Market Volatility," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-8, August.
    21. Mohsin, Muhammad & Jamaani, Fouad, 2023. "A novel deep-learning technique for forecasting oil price volatility using historical prices of five precious metals in context of green financing – A comparison of deep learning, machine learning, an," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).

  136. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "The Role of Oil and Risk Shocks in the High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States," Working Papers 202063, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States: The Role of Oil Market Uncertainty," Working Papers 202085, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  137. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Jacobus A Nel & Xin Sheng, 2020. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty Spillovers in Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 202005, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Usman, Ojonugwa & Ozkan, Oktay & Koy, Ayben & Adebayo, Tomiwa Sunday, 2024. "Energy-related uncertainty shocks and inflation dynamics in the U.S: A multivariate quantile-on-quantile regression approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 235-247.
    2. Tong, Yuan & Wan, Ning & Dai, Xingyu & Bi, Xiaoyi & Wang, Qunwei, 2022. "China's energy stock market jumps: To what extent does the COVID-19 pandemic play a part?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    3. Guo, Junjie & Li, Xuelian & Zhang, Weiran & Li, Youshu, 2024. "Monetary policy spillovers among five systemic economies: Evidence from the time and frequency domains," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    4. Lakdawala, Aeimit & Moreland, Timothy & Schaffer, Matthew, 2021. "The international spillover effects of US monetary policy uncertainty," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    5. Raza, Syed Ali & Sharif, Arshian & Kumar, Satish & Ahmed, Maiyra, 2023. "Connectedness between monetary policy uncertainty and sectoral stock market returns: Evidence from asymmetric TVP-VAR approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    6. Guo, Junjie & Li, Youshu & Shao, Qinglong, 2022. "Cross-category spillover effects of economic policy uncertainty between China and the US: Time and frequency evidence," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    7. Ren, Yi-Shuai & Klein, Tony & Jiang, Yong, 2024. "Monetary policy uncertainty and green investment decisions: A cross-national spillover perspective," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).

  138. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Micheal Kofi Boachie & Tahir Suleman & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Structure Dependence between Oil and Agricultural Commodities Returns: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 202079, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2022. "Extreme dependence between structural oil shocks and stock markets in GCC countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    2. Yun-Shi Dai & Ngoc Quang Anh Huynh & Qing-Huan Zheng & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2023. "Correlation structure analysis of the global agricultural futures market," Papers 2310.16849, arXiv.org.
    3. Liu, Ling & Shahrour, Mohamad H. & Wojewodzki, Michal & Rohani, Alireza, 2025. "Decoding energy market turbulence: A TVP-VAR connectedness analysis of climate policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk shocks," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    4. Huseyin Tayyar Guldal & Ozdal Koksal & Osman Orkan Ozer & Onur Terzi & Erdogan Gunes & Aysegul Selisik, 2024. "Unravelling risk factors in Turkish wheat in a changing global landscape," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 70(11), pages 527-540.
    5. Zhang, Zhikai & Wang, Yudong & Xiao, Jihong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "Not all geopolitical shocks are alike: Identifying price dynamics in the crude oil market under tensions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    6. Yoon, Seong-Min, 2022. "On the interdependence between biofuel, fossil fuel and agricultural food prices: Evidence from quantile tests," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C), pages 536-545.
    7. Long, Shaobo & Guo, Jiaqi, 2022. "Infectious disease equity market volatility, geopolitical risk, speculation, and commodity returns: Comparative analysis of five epidemic outbreaks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    8. Chen, Xiangyu & Tongurai, Jittima, 2024. "Price spillovers and interdependences in China's agricultural commodity futures market: Evidence from the US-China trade dispute," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    9. Okhrin, Yarema & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Yahya, Muhammad, 2023. "Nonlinear and asymmetric interconnectedness of crude oil with financial and commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    10. Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Shahzad, Umer & Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Ben Jabeur, Sami, 2023. "Investigating the spillovers between energy, food, and agricultural commodity markets: New insights from the quantile coherency approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 63-80.
    11. Hyeon-Seok Kim & Hui-Sang Kim & Sun-Yong Choi, 2024. "Investigating the Impact of Agricultural, Financial, Economic, and Political Factors on Oil Forward Prices and Volatility: A SHAP Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(5), pages 1-24, February.
    12. Wang, Yihan & Bouri, Elie & Fareed, Zeeshan & Dai, Yuhui, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and the systemic risk in the commodity markets under the war in Ukraine," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    13. Yang, Cai & Niu, Zibo & Gao, Wang, 2022. "The time-varying effects of trade policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks shocks on the commodity market prices: Evidence from the TVP-VAR-SV approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    14. Asadi, Mehrad & Roudari, Soheil & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Roubaud, David, 2023. "Scrutinizing commodity markets by quantile spillovers: A case study of the Australian economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    15. Karkowska, Renata & Urjasz, Szczepan, 2024. "Importance of geopolitical risk in volatility structure: New evidence from biofuels, crude oil, and grains commodity markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    16. Zhuo Chen & Bo Yan & Hanwen Kang, 2022. "Dynamic correlation between crude oil and agricultural futures markets," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3), pages 1798-1849, August.
    17. Ding, Qian & Huang, Jianbai & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "The time-varying effects of financial and geopolitical uncertainties on commodity market dynamics: A TVP-SVAR-SV analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    18. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Adewuyi, Adeolu O. & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2022. "Quantile risk spillovers between energy and agricultural commodity markets: Evidence from pre and during COVID-19 outbreak," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    19. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gabauer, David & Umar, Zaghum, 2021. "Crude Oil futures contracts and commodity markets: New evidence from a TVP-VAR extended joint connectedness approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    20. Karel Janda & Ladislav Krištoufek & Barbora Schererová & David Zilberman, 2021. "Price transmission in biofuel-related global agricultural networks," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 67(10), pages 399-408.
    21. Ke Liu & Qiang Fu, 2024. "Does Geopolitical Risk Affect Agricultural Exports? Chinese Evidence from the Perspective of Agricultural Land," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-15, March.
    22. Shao, Liuguo & Cao, Saisha & Zhang, Hua, 2024. "The impact of geopolitical risk on strategic emerging minerals prices: Evidence from MODWT-based Granger causality test," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    23. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Polat, Ali Yavuz & Tekin, Hasan & Tunalı, Ahmet Semih, 2022. "The Ascent of Geopolitics: Scientometric Analysis and Ramifications of Geopolitical Risk," MPRA Paper 112741, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    25. Zhao, Jing, 2023. "Time-varying impact of geopolitical risk on natural resources prices: Evidence from the hybrid TVP-VAR model with large system," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    26. Daxuan Cheng & Yin Liao & Zheyao Pan, 2023. "The geopolitical risk premium in the commodity futures market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(8), pages 1069-1090, August.
    27. Mastroeni, Loretta & Mazzoccoli, Alessandro & Vellucci, Pierluigi, 2024. "Wavelet entropy and complexity–entropy curves approach for energy commodity price predictability amid the transition to alternative energy sources," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    28. Lo, Gaye-Del & Marcelin, Isaac & Bassène, Théophile & Sène, Babacar, 2022. "The Russo-Ukrainian war and financial markets: the role of dependence on Russian commodities," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    29. Ata Assaf & Ender Demir & Oguz Ersan, 2025. "What drives the return and volatility spillover between DeFis and cryptocurrencies?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 1302-1318, April.
    30. Hung, Ngo Thai, 2021. "Oil prices and agricultural commodity markets: Evidence from pre and during COVID-19 outbreak," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    31. Ying-Hui Shao & Xing-Lu Gao & Yan-Hong Yang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2025. "Joint multifractality in cross-correlations between grains & oilseeds indices and external uncertainties," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-32, December.
    32. Shahzad, Umer & Mohammed, Kamel Si & Tiwari, Sunil & Nakonieczny, Joanna & Nesterowicz, Renata, 2023. "Connectedness between geopolitical risk, financial instability indices and precious metals markets: Novel findings from Russia Ukraine conflict perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    33. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Geopolitical Risk and Forecastability of Tail Risk in the Oil Market: Evidence from Over a Century of Monthly Data," Working Papers 202122, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    34. Zhang, Zhikai & Wang, Yudong & Li, Bin, 2023. "Asymmetric spillover of geopolitical risk and oil price volatility: A global perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    35. Gong, Xu & Xu, Jun, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and dynamic connectedness between commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    36. Mastroeni, Loretta & Mazzoccoli, Alessandro & Quaresima, Greta & Vellucci, Pierluigi, 2022. "Wavelet analysis and energy-based measures for oil-food price relationship as a footprint of financialisation effect," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    37. Mo, Bin & Nie, He & Zhao, Rongjie, 2024. "Dynamic nonlinear effects of geopolitical risks on commodities: Fresh evidence from quantile methods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    38. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Owusu Junior, Peterson & Ahmad, Nasir & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Time-varying risk analysis for commodity futures," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    39. Jana, Rabin K. & Ghosh, Indranil, 2023. "Time-varying relationship between geopolitical uncertainty and agricultural investment," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    40. Abrhám, Josef & Vošta, Milan & Čajka, Peter & Rubáček, Filip, 2021. "The specifics of selected agricultural commodities in international trade," Agricultural and Resource Economics: International Scientific E-Journal, Agricultural and Resource Economics: International Scientific E-Journal, vol. 7(2), June.
    41. Laubsch, Joshua & Smales, Lee A. & Vo, Duc, 2024. "The influence of uncertainty on commodity futures returns and trading behaviour," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    42. Polat, Onur & Ertuğrul, Hasan Murat & Sakarya, Burçhan & Akgül, Ali, 2024. "TVP-VAR based time and frequency domain food & energy commodities connectedness an analysis for financial/geopolitical turmoil episodes," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
    43. Kristína Hudecová & Miroslava Rajčániová, 2023. "The impact of geopolitical risk on agricultural commodity prices," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 69(4), pages 129-139.

  139. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "OPEC News and Jumps in the Oil Market," Working Papers 202053, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Tong, Yuan & Wan, Ning & Dai, Xingyu & Bi, Xiaoyi & Wang, Qunwei, 2022. "China's energy stock market jumps: To what extent does the COVID-19 pandemic play a part?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    2. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua, 2024. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bubbles in global stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    3. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles in an Emerging Country: The Case of India," Working Papers 202305, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Wang, Cheng & Bouri, Elie & Xu, Yahua & Zhang, Dingsheng, 2023. "Intraday and overnight tail risks and return predictability in the crude oil market: Evidence from oil-related regular news and extreme shocks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    5. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Stock Market Volatility and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles," Working Papers 202310, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Zhang, Yuan-Yuan & Zhang, Yue-Jun, 2022. "The impact of institutional analyst forecast divergence on crude oil market: Evidence from the mixed frequency models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    7. Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratio and the Predictability of Bubbles in Financial Markets," Working Papers 202317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Fiszeder, Piotr & Fałdziński, Marcin & Molnár, Peter, 2023. "Attention to oil prices and its impact on the oil, gold and stock markets and their covariance," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    9. Cao, Fangzhi & Su, Chi-Wei & Qin, Meng & Moldovan, Nicoleta-Claudia, 2024. "The investment of renewable energy: Is green bond a safe-haven to hedge U.S. monetary policy uncertainty?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 307(C).
    10. Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2025. "Stock market volatility and multi-scale positive and negative bubbles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    11. Ghorbani, Yousef & Zhang, Steven E. & Bourdeau, Julie E. & Chipangamate, Nelson S. & Rose, Derek H. & Valodia, Imraan & Nwaila, Glen T., 2024. "The strategic role of lithium in the green energy transition: Towards an OPEC-style framework for green energy-mineral exporting countries (GEMEC)," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).

  140. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Oil-Shocks and Directional Predictability of Macroeconomic Uncertainties of Developed Economies: Evidence from High-Frequency Data," Working Papers 202031, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ngo Thai Hung & Vo Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Asymmetric impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on foreign exchange markets: Evidence from an extreme quantile approach," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 12(1), pages 20-32.

  141. Alex Plastun & Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Evolution of Price Effects After One-Day of Abnormal Returns in the US Stock Market," Working Papers 202016, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Plastun, Alex & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Price effects after one-day abnormal returns in developed and emerging markets: ESG versus traditional indices," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    2. Alex Plastun & Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Price Effects After One-Day Abnormal Returns and Crises in the Stock Markets," Working Papers 202222, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Can Yang & Junjie Zhai & Helong Li, 2022. "The upper bound of cumulative return of a trading series," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(4), pages 1-12, April.
    4. Weng Hoe Lam & Weng Siew Lam & Kah Fai Liew & Pei Fun Lee, 2023. "Decision Analysis on the Financial Performance of Companies Using Integrated Entropy-Fuzzy TOPSIS Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-18, January.

  142. Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "A Note on Investor Happiness and the Predictability of Realized Volatility of Gold," Working Papers 202004, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Bouri, Elie & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Forecasting power of infectious diseases-related uncertainty for gold realized variance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    4. Peipei, Wang & James, William, 2024. "Predicting oil price fluctuations: Integrating external indicators and advanced regression techniques," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    5. Sapkota, Niranjan, 2022. "News-based sentiment and bitcoin volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    6. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Thanoj K. Muddana & Komal S.R. Bhimireddy & Anandamayee Majumdar & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Forecasting Gold Returns Volatility Over 1258-2023: The Role of Moments," Working Papers 202421, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "Forecasting Oil Volatility Using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach: The Role of Global Economic Conditions," Working Papers 202051, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "Global Financial Cycle and the Predictability of Oil Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Model," Working Papers 202121, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    11. Sami Ben Jabeur & Rabeh Khalfaoui & Wissal Ben Arfi, 2021. "The effect of green energy, global environmental indexes, and stock markets in predicting oil price crashes: Evidence from explainable machine learning," Post-Print hal-03797577, HAL.
    12. Li, Sufang & Xu, Qiufan & Lv, Yixue & Yuan, Di, 2022. "Public attention, oil and gold markets during the COVID-19: Evidence from time-frequency analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    13. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "The predictive power of oil price shocks on realized volatility of oil: A note," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    14. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    15. ?ikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2023. "Twitter‘s happiness sentiment index impacts on financial markets: an integrated overview of empirical findings," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 47-66.
    16. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Climate risks and forecastability of the realized volatility of gold and other metal prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    17. Shu, Qi & Xiong, Heng & Jiang, Wenjun & Mamon, Rogemar, 2023. "A novel perspective on forecasting non-ferrous metals’ volatility: Integrating deep learning techniques with econometric models," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    18. Văn, Lê & Bảo, Nguyễn Khắc Quốc, 2022. "The relationship between global stock and precious metals under Covid-19 and happiness perspectives," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    19. Yan, Juan & Haroon, Muhammad, 2023. "Financing efficiency in natural resource markets mobilizing private and public capital for a green recovery," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    20. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    21. Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Investor Sentiment and (Anti) Herding in the Currency Market: Evidence from Twitter Feed Data," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 56-72, January.
    22. Guliyev, Hasraddin & Mustafayev, Eldayag, 2022. "Predicting the changes in the WTI crude oil price dynamics using machine learning models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    23. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Mixed‐frequency forecasting of crude oil volatility based on the information content of global economic conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 134-157, January.
    24. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    25. Mei Huang & Qiuping Mou & Xiang Xian, 2024. "RETRACTED ARTICLE: Public administration reforms for effective energy transition governance: case studies and evaluations," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 1-21, June.
    26. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    27. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Infectious Diseases, Market Uncertainty and Oil Market Volatility," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-8, August.
    28. Liu, Min & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2021. "Capturing the dynamics of the China crude oil futures: Markov switching, co-movement, and volatility forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    29. Mohsin, Muhammad & Jamaani, Fouad, 2023. "A novel deep-learning technique for forecasting oil price volatility using historical prices of five precious metals in context of green financing – A comparison of deep learning, machine learning, an," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    30. Chu, Xiaojun & Wan, Xinmin & Qiu, Jianying, 2023. "The relative importance of overnight sentiment versus trading-hour sentiment in volatility forecasting," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).

  143. Afees A. Salisu & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Geopolitical Risks and Historical Exchange Rate Volatility of the BRICS," Working Papers 2020105, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Huang, Shoujun & Bossman, Ahmed & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2024. "International transmission of shocks and African forex markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    2. António Afonso & José Alves & João Jalles & Sofia Monteiro & João Tovar Jalles, 2024. "Energy Price Dynamics in the Face of Uncertainty Shocks and the Role of Exchange Rate Regimes: A Global Cross-Country Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 11384, CESifo.
    3. Jia, Lijun & Xu, Ruoyu & Wu, Jian & Song, Malin & Chen, Xueli, 2023. "Impacts of geopolitical risk and economic policy uncertainty on metal futures price volatility: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(PB).
    4. Eugene Msizi Buthelezi, 2024. "Navigating Global Uncertainty: Examining the Effect of Geopolitical Risks on Cryptocurrency Prices and Volatility in a Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(4), pages 564-590, October.
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Testing the Forecasting Power of Global Economic Conditions for the Volatility of International REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202211, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Kwame Ofori Asomaning & Shah Hamayoon & Emmanuel Uche, 2024. "A TVP-VAR assessment of the spillover effects of geopolitical risk shocks on macroeconomic variability: a study of the Ghanaian economy," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 1-13, December.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Yousaf, Imran & Ohikhuare, Obaika M. & Li, Yong & Li, Yanshuang, 2024. "Interconnectedness between electricity and artificial intelligence-based markets during the crisis periods: Evidence from the TVP-VAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    9. He, Shi & Yu, Huijuan & Luo, Zihao & Yan, Jiahong, 2024. "Currency tail risk measurement and spillovers: An improved TENET approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    10. Huang, Shoujun & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara & Bossman, Ahmed, 2024. "African forex markets: Modeling their predictability and the asymmetric effects of oil and geopolitical risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    11. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Sensoy, Ahmet & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Volatility connectedness between geopolitical risk and financial markets: Insights from pandemic and military crisis periods," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PC).
    12. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Energy Market Uncertainties and Exchange Rate Volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202418, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Shabir, Mohsin & Jiang, Ping & Shahab, Yasir & Wang, Peng, 2023. "Geopolitical, economic uncertainty and bank risk: Do CEO power and board strength matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    15. Long, Huaigang & Demir, Ender & Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Zaremba, Adam & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2022. "Is geopolitical risk priced in the cross-section of cryptocurrency returns?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    16. Liu, Han & Yang, Peng & He, Yongda & Oxley, Les & Guo, Pengwei, 2024. "Exploring the influence of the geopolitical risks on the natural resource price volatility and correlation: Evidence from DCC-MIDAS-X model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    17. Jana, Rabin K., 2024. "Are metaverse coins more prone to geopolitical risk than traditional crypto assets?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 436-447.
    18. Ohikhuare, Obaika M., 2023. "How geopolitical risk drives spillover interconnectedness between crude oil and exchange rate markets: Evidence from the Russia-Ukraine war," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    19. Bossman, Ahmed & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of geopolitical risk on major currencies: Russia-Ukraine tensions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    20. Adediran, Idris A. & Swaray, Raymond, 2023. "Carbon trading amidst global uncertainty: The role of policy and geopolitical uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    21. Ben Nouir, Jihed & Ben Haj Hamida, Hayet, 2023. "How do economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk drive Bitcoin volatility?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    22. Ahmed, Shamima & Assaf, Rima & Rahman, Molla Ramizur & Tabassum, Fariha, 2023. "Is geopolitical risk interconnected? Evidence from Russian-Ukraine crisis," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    23. Liu, Xi & Zhang, Xueyong, 2024. "Geopolitical risk and currency returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    24. Ahmed BenSaïda, 2023. "The linkage between Bitcoin and foreign exchanges in developed and emerging markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, December.
    25. Mirzat Ullah & Kazi Sohag & Farrukh Nawaz & Oleg Mariev & Umar Kayani & Igor Mayburov & Svetlana Doroshenko, 2024. "Impact of Oil Price Shocks on Crypto and Conventional Financial Assets during Financial Crises: Evidence from the Russian Financial Market," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(4), pages 472-483, July.
    26. Wang, Fan & Pan, Changchun & Wang, Weiqiang, 2023. "Impact of US monetary policy uncertainty on RMB exchange rate volatility:The role of international capital flows," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).

  144. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Asli Yuksel & Aydin Yuksel, 2020. "The U.S. Term Structure and Return Volatility in Global REIT Markets," Working Papers 202069, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Xiuqun Chen & Shun-Chi Yu & Xuemei Sun & Dan Wang, 2023. "Investigating the Influence of Brand Communication and Brand Trust on Customer Commitment: An Examination from the Perspective of Customer Perception," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 27(2), pages 166-195, June.

  145. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2020. "A Note on Uncertainty due to Infectious Diseases and Output Growth of the United States: A Mixed-Frequency Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202050, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Time-varying impact of pandemics on global output growth," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).

  146. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2020. "The Impacts of Structural Oil Shocks on Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Evidence from a Large Panel of 45 Countries," Working Papers 202024, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Fasanya, Ismail & Makanda, Samantha, 2024. "Disentangled oil shocks and macroeconomic policy uncertainty in South Africa," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    2. Rufei Zhang & Haizhen Zhang & Wang Gao & Ting Li & Shixiong Yang, 2022. "The Dynamic Effects of Oil Price Shocks on Exchange Rates—From a Time-Varying Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-20, July.
    3. Boqiang Lin & Siquan Wang, 2023. "Mechanism analysis of the influence of oil price uncertainty on strategic investment of renewable energy enterprises," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4176-4193, October.
    4. Peipei, Wang & James, William, 2024. "Predicting oil price fluctuations: Integrating external indicators and advanced regression techniques," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    5. Lin, Chao & Cai, Peipei, 2023. "Analyzing the impacts of natural resource utilization and green economic growth in China: Evidence from a econometric analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    6. Wu, Wei & Xu, Meiqi & Su, Ruiqian & Ullah, Kaleem, 2024. "Modeling crude oil volatility using economic sentiment analysis and opinion mining of investors via deep learning and machine learning models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 289(C).
    7. Khan, Nasir & Saleem, Asima & Ozkan, Oktay, 2023. "Do geopolitical oil price risk influence stock market returns and volatility of Pakistan: Evidence from novel non-parametric quantile causality approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    8. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    9. Wu, Fei & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Systemic risk and financial contagion across top global energy companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    10. Yildirim, Zekeriya & Guloglu, Hasan, 2024. "Macro-financial transmission of global oil shocks to BRIC countries — International financial (uncertainty) conditions matter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    11. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    12. Yu, Yang & Guo, SongLin & Chang, XiaoChen, 2022. "Oil prices volatility and economic performance during COVID-19 and financial crises of 2007–2008," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    13. Zhao, Yiran & Gao, Xiangyun & Zheng, Huiling & Zhang, Yupeng & Sun, Qingru & Wang, Anjian & An, HaiZhong, 2025. "Identifying influence pathways of oil price shocks on inflation based on impulse response networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 314(C).
    14. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Elie Bouri & Mobeen Ur Rehman & Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Tareq Saeed, 2022. "Oil price risk exposure of BRIC stock markets and hedging effectiveness," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 145-170, June.
    15. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    16. Kassouri, Yacouba & Kacou, Kacou Yves Thierry & Alola, Andrew Adewale, 2021. "Are oil-clean energy and high technology stock prices in the same straits? Bubbles speculation and time-varying perspectives," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    17. Chelghoum, Amirouche & Boumimez, Fayçal & Alsamara, Mouyad, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on the demand for money in Algeria," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 1-11.
    18. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & Pierdzioch, Christian & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Disaggregated oil shocks and stock-market tail risks: Evidence from a panel of 48 economics," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    19. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2021. "The effect of structural oil shocks on bank systemic risk in the GCC countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    20. Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Christian Pierdzioch & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Disaggregated Oil Shocks and Stock-Market Tail Risks: Evidence from a Panel of 48 Countries," Working Papers 202106, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The non-linear response of US state-level tradable and non-tradable inflation to oil shocks: The role of oil-dependence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    22. Bruna, Karel & Van Tran, Quang, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on EUR/USD exchange rate and structural shock decomposition in a BVAR model with sign restriction," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    23. Martina Pilloni & József Kádár & Tareq Abu Hamed, 2022. "The Impact of COVID-19 on Energy Start-Up Companies: The Use of Global Financial Crisis (GFC) as a Lesson for Future Recovery," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-15, May.
    24. Grzegorz Zimon, 2023. "Prospects for the Development of Transport in Poland during the Energy Crisis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(3), pages 56-60, May.
    25. Constantin Anghelache & Madalina-Gabriela Anghel & Stefan Virgil Iacob, 2022. "Energy Resources Decrease And It Is Necessary To Conserve And Save Them," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 4, pages 158-164, August.
    26. Ma, Rufei & Liu, Zhenhua & Zhai, Pengxiang, 2022. "Does economic policy uncertainty drive volatility spillovers in electricity markets: Time and frequency evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    27. Kliber, Agata & Łęt, Blanka & Řezáč, Pavel, 2024. "Can a boost in oil prices suspend the evolution of the green transportation market? Relationships between green indices and Brent oil," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    28. Mahmoud Ayoub & Mahmoud Qadan, 2024. "Financial ambiguity and oil prices," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-23, December.
    29. Zhenhua Liu & Tingting Zhu & Zhaoping Duan & Shanqi Xuan & Zhihua Ding & Shan Wu, 2023. "Time-varying impacts of oil price shocks on China’s stock market under economic policy uncertainty," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(9), pages 963-989, February.
    30. Tayebeh Sadat Tabatabaei & Pedram Asef, 2021. "Evaluation of Energy Price Liberalization in Electricity Industry: A Data-Driven Study on Energy Economics," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-19, November.
    31. Dufrénot Gilles & Ginn William & Pourroy Marc & Sullivan Adam, 2025. "Does State Dependence Matter in Relation to Oil Price Shocks on Global Economic Conditions?," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 29(2), pages 247-264.
    32. Zhang, Yunhan & Ji, Qiang & Zhang, Dayong & Guo, Kun, 2024. "How does Shanghai crude oil futures affect top global oil companies: The role of multi-uncertainties," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    33. Liu, Xiaoqin & Wojewodzki, Michal & Cai, Yifei & Sharma, Satish, 2023. "The dynamic relationships between carbon prices and policy uncertainties," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    34. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein & Al-Shboul, Mohammad, 2022. "Oil structural shocks, bank-level characteristics, and systemic risk: Evidence from dual banking systems," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(4).
    35. Jin Shang & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2024. "The response of oil-importing and oil-exporting countries’ macroeconomic aggregates to crude oil price shocks: some international evidence," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 14(4), pages 933-980, December.
    36. Demirer, Riza & Polat, Onur & Sokhanvar, Amin, 2025. "Do oil price shocks drive systematic risk premia in stock markets? A novel investment application," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
    37. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Naifar, Nader & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Wang, Gang-Jin, 2023. "Multilayer information spillover networks between oil shocks and banking sectors: Evidence from oil-rich countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    38. Ikhlaas Gurrib & Olga Starkova & Dalia Hamdan, 2024. "Trading Momentum in the U.S. Crude Oil Futures Market," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(5), pages 593-604, September.
    39. Tan, Yan & Uprasen, Utai, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on income inequality in ASEAN countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).

  147. Xin Sheng & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2020. "House Price Synchronization across the US States: The Role of Structural Oil Shocks," Working Papers 202076, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "Estimating U.S. Housing Price Network Connectedness: Evidence from Dynamic Elastic Net, Lasso, and Ridge Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Papers 202065, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hesam Ghodsi & Muris Hadzic, 2021. "On the Link between House Prices and House Permits: Asymmetric Evidence from 51 States of the United States of America," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 24(3), pages 323-361.
    4. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    5. Carolyn Chisadza & Matthew Clance & Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Climate Change and Inequality: Evidence from the United States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-11, March.
    6. Nyakundi M. Michieka & Richard S. Gearhart & Noha A. Razek, 2024. "Oil Price Dynamics and Housing Demand in Oil Producing Counties in the U.S," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 48(2), pages 483-512, June.
    7. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the co-movement of regional housing prices of the United Kingdom," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-22, December.
    8. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    9. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The non-linear response of US state-level tradable and non-tradable inflation to oil shocks: The role of oil-dependence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    10. Zheng Zheng Li & Chi-Wei Su, 2023. "How does real estate market react to the iron ore boom in Australian capital cities?," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 71(2), pages 517-537, October.
    11. Hanif, Waqas & Andraz, Jorge Miguel & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2024. "Are REITS hedge or safe haven against oil price fall?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1-16.
    12. Stenvall, David & Hedström, Axel & Yoshino, Naoyuki & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2022. "Nonlinear tail dependence between the housing and energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).

  148. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Historical Forecasting of Interest Rate Mean and Volatility of the United States: Is there a Role of Uncertainty?," Working Papers 202075, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  149. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Forecasting Power of Infectious Diseases-Related Uncertainty for Gold Realized Volatility," Working Papers 202049, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Oil tail risks and the forecastability of the realized variance of oil-price: Evidence from over 150 years of data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    2. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    3. Celso-Arellano, Pedro & Gualajara, Victor & Coronado, Semei & Martinez, Jose N. & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2023. "Impact of the global fear index (covid-19 panic) on the S&P global indices associated with natural resources, agribusiness, energy, metals and mining: Granger Causality and Shannon and Rényi Transfer ," MPRA Paper 117138, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Feb 2023.
    4. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).

  150. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Theshne Kisten, 2020. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks in South Africa: The Role of Financial Regimes," Working Papers 202046, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "The Financial US Uncertainty Spillover Multiplier: Evidence from a GVAR Model," Working Papers 202145, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Aygun, Gurcan & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "The macroeconomic impact of economic uncertainty and financial shocks under low and high financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).

  151. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Basse, Tobias & Desmyter, Steven & Saft, Danilo & Wegener, Christoph, 2023. "Leading indicators for the US housing market: New empirical evidence and thoughts about implications for risk managers and ESG investors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    2. MeiChi Huang, 2025. "Revisiting housing asset pricing: uncertainty and business-cycle factors in US state-level housing markets," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 74(1), pages 1-25, March.
    3. Kishor, N. Kundan, 2023. "Forecasting House Prices: The Role of Fundamentals, Credit Conditions, and Supply Indicators," MPRA Paper 116819, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2024. "High-Frequency Contagion between Aggregate and Regional Housing Markets of the United States with Financial Assets: Evidence from Multichannel Tests," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(2), pages 253-276, August.
    5. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Christophe Andre & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Housing Returns and Volatility: Evidence from US State-Level Data," Working Papers 202131, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Alan Tidwell & Yan (Olivia) Lu & Junsoo Lee & Piyali Banerjee, 2023. "Nature of comovements in US state and MSA housing prices," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 51(4), pages 959-989, July.
    7. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Uncertainty and Predictability of Real Housing Returns in the United Kingdom: A Regional Analysis," Working Papers 202102, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Rangan Gupta & Damien Moodley, 2023. "Housing Search Activity and Quantiles-Based Predictability of Housing Price Movements in the United States," Working Papers 202335, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  152. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "Time-Varying Risk Aversion and Forecastability of the US Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers 202098, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Xu, Xin & Xu, Xiaoguang, 2023. "Monetary policy transmission modeling and policy responses," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Guidolin, Massimo & Hansen, Erwin & Cabrera, Gabriel, 2025. "Time-varying risk aversion and international stock returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    3. Su, Li & Zhu, Jingjing, 2024. "Term structures and firm dynamics: A FAVAR approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).

  153. Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng, 2020. "The Effects of Oil Shocks on Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Evidence from a Large Panel Dataset of US States," Working Papers 202048, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Yildirim, Zekeriya & Guloglu, Hasan, 2024. "Macro-financial transmission of global oil shocks to BRIC countries — International financial (uncertainty) conditions matter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    2. Yu, Yang & Guo, SongLin & Chang, XiaoChen, 2022. "Oil prices volatility and economic performance during COVID-19 and financial crises of 2007–2008," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    3. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The non-linear response of US state-level tradable and non-tradable inflation to oil shocks: The role of oil-dependence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    4. Constantin Anghelache & Madalina-Gabriela Anghel & Stefan Virgil Iacob, 2022. "Energy Resources Decrease And It Is Necessary To Conserve And Save Them," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 4, pages 158-164, August.
    5. Mahmoud Ayoub & Mahmoud Qadan, 2024. "Financial ambiguity and oil prices," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-23, December.

  154. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Hong, Yanran & Yu, Jize & Su, Yuquan & Wang, Lu, 2023. "Southern oscillation: Great value of its trends for forecasting crude oil spot price volatility," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 358-368.
    2. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Rare Disaster Risks and Volatility of the Term-Structure of US Treasury Securities: The Role of El Nino and La Nina Events," Working Papers 202155, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  155. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Investors' Uncertainty and Forecasting Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202090, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Dai, Zhifeng & Zhang, Xiaotong & Li, Tingyu, 2023. "Forecasting stock return volatility in data-rich environment: A new powerful predictor," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Li, Xiaodan & Gong, Xue & Xing, Lu, 2024. "The impact of presidential economic approval rating on stock volatility: An industrial perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    3. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Song, Ziyu & Gong, Xiaomin & Zhang, Cheng & Yu, Changrui, 2023. "Investor sentiment based on scaled PCA method: A powerful predictor of realized volatility in the Chinese stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 528-545.
    5. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "Climate risks and state-level stock market realized volatility," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    6. Zhikai Zhang & Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang & Qunwei Wang, 2024. "The predictability of carbon futures volatility: New evidence from the spillovers of fossil energy futures returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 557-584, April.
    7. Guo, Yangli & Ma, Feng & Li, Haibo & Lai, Xiaodong, 2022. "Oil price volatility predictability based on global economic conditions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    8. He, Mengxi & Wang, Yudong & Zeng, Qing & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "Forecasting aggregate stock market volatility with industry volatilities: The role of spillover index," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    9. Yuan, Xianghui & Li, Xiang, 2022. "Delta-hedging demand and intraday momentum: Evidence from China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 600(C).
    10. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Yu, Xing & Li, Yanyan & Gong, Xue & Zhang, Nan, 2022. "Evaluating the performance of futures hedging using factors-driven realized volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    12. Zhang, Zhikai & He, Mengxi & Zhang, Yaojie & Wang, Yudong, 2021. "Realized skewness and the short-term predictability for aggregate stock market volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    13. Gong, Xue & Zhang, Weiguo & Wang, Junbo & Wang, Chao, 2022. "Investor sentiment and stock volatility: New evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    14. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Business Applications and State-Level Stock Market Realized Volatility: A Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202247, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Technological Shocks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202308, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Ghani, Maria & Guo, Qiang & Ma, Feng & Li, Tao, 2022. "Forecasting Pakistan stock market volatility: Evidence from economic variables and the uncertainty index," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1180-1189.
    17. Salisu, Afees A. & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2024. "Technological shocks and stock market volatility over a century," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    18. Etaf Alshawarbeh & Alanazi Talal Abdulrahman & Eslam Hussam, 2023. "Statistical Modeling of High Frequency Datasets Using the ARIMA-ANN Hybrid," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-17, November.
    19. Li, Xiaodan & Gong, Xue & Ge, Futing & Huang, Jingjing, 2024. "Forecasting stock volatility using pseudo-out-of-sample information," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 123-135.
    20. Muhammad Kamran Khan & Jian‐Zhou Teng & Muhammad Imran Khan & Muhammad Fayaz Khan, 2023. "Stock market reaction to macroeconomic variables: An assessment with dynamic autoregressive distributed lag simulations," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 2436-2448, July.
    21. Ruipeng Liu & Mawuli Segnon & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Forecasting Volatility of Commodity, Currency, and Stock Markets: Evidence from Markov Switching Multifractal Models," Working Papers 202340, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Danyan Wen & Mengxi He & Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang, 2022. "Forecasting realized volatility of Chinese stock market: A simple but efficient truncated approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 230-251, March.
    23. Wang, Zhenxin & Wang, Shaoping & Yan, Yayi & Xia, Yingcun, 2025. "Examining Chinese volume–volatility nexus: A regime-switching perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).

  156. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Sentiment and Financial Market Connectedness: The Role of Investor Happiness," Working Papers 202022, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Niţoi, Mihai & Pochea, Maria Miruna, 2022. "The nexus between bank connectedness and investors’ sentiment," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).

  157. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "Forecasting Oil Volatility Using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach: The Role of Global Economic Conditions," Working Papers 202051, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "Global Financial Cycle and the Predictability of Oil Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Model," Working Papers 202121, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Philip C. Omoke & Abdulsalam Abidemi Sikiru, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and global financial cycle: Some forecasting experiments," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 3-16, January.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.

  158. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Yigit Onay, 2020. "The Role of Investor Sentiment in Forecasting Housing Returns in China: A Machine Learning Approach," Working Papers 202055, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mohammad Abdullah & Mohammad Ashraful Ferdous Chowdhury & Ajim Uddin & Syed Moudud‐Ul‐Huq, 2023. "Forecasting nonperforming loans using machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1664-1689, November.
    2. Basse, Tobias & Desmyter, Steven & Saft, Danilo & Wegener, Christoph, 2023. "Leading indicators for the US housing market: New empirical evidence and thoughts about implications for risk managers and ESG investors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    3. Jin Shao & Lean Yu & Jingke Hong & Xianzhu Wang, 2025. "Forecasting house price index with social media sentiment: A decomposition–ensemble approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(1), pages 216-241, January.
    4. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Pradhan, H.K. & Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Sensoy, Ahmet & Dann, Susan, 2024. "Anatomy of sovereign yield behaviour using textual news," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    5. Grudniewicz, Jan & Ślepaczuk, Robert, 2023. "Application of machine learning in algorithmic investment strategies on global stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).

  159. Elie Bouri & Oguzhan Cepni & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Return Connectedness across Asset Classes around the COVID-19 Outbreak," Working Papers 202047, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Shi, Huai-Long & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2022. "Factor volatility spillover and its implications on factor premia," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    2. Xiao, Yao, 2024. "Financial availability and rural household asset allocation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PB).
    3. Wei, Yu & Wang, Yizhi & Vigne, Samuel A. & Ma, Zhenyu, 2023. "Alarming contagion effects: The dangerous ripple effect of extreme price spillovers across crude oil, carbon emission allowance, and agriculture futures markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    4. Narayan, Shivani & Kumar, Dilip, 2024. "Unveiling interconnectedness and risk spillover among cryptocurrencies and other asset classes," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    5. Zheng, Jinlin & Wen, Baoyu & Jiang, Yaohui & Wang, Xiaohan & Shen, Yue, 2023. "Risk spillovers across geopolitical risk and global financial markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    6. Vidal-Tomás, David, 2022. "The new crypto niche: NFTs, play-to-earn, and metaverse tokens," MPRA Paper 111351, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Kang, Sang Hoon & Arreola Hernandez, Jose & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2023. "Spillovers and hedging between US equity sectors and gold, oil, islamic stocks and implied volatilities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    8. Yen-Chang Chen & Ying-Sing Liu, 2023. "Market Efficiency and Stock Investment Loss Aversion Guide During COVID-19 Pandemic Events: The Case for Applying Data Mining," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, December.
    9. Bastidon, Cécile & Jawadi, Fredj, 2024. "Trade fragmentation and volatility-of-volatility networks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    10. Hasan, Mohammad Maruf & Du, Fang, 2023. "The role of foreign trade and technology innovation on economic recovery in China: The mediating role of natural resources development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    11. Rubbaniy, Ghulame & Khalid, Ali Awais & Syriopoulos, Konstantinos & Samitas, Aristeidis, 2022. "Safe-haven properties of soft commodities during times of Covid-19," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    12. Abuzayed, Bana & Bouri, Elie & Al-Fayoumi, Nedal & Jalkh, Naji, 2021. "Systemic risk spillover across global and country stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 180-197.
    13. Shah, Adil Ahmad & Dar, Arif Billah, 2021. "Exploring diversification opportunities across commodities and financial markets: Evidence from time-frequency based spillovers," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    14. Tunc, Ahmet, 2024. "ETFs amidst the COVID-induced technological transformation: Sectoral insights from time-varying dynamics of tail risk transmissions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    15. Willem Thorbecke, 2022. "Understanding the transmission of COVID-19 news to French financial markets in early 2020," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 170, pages 103-114.
    16. Hongjun Zeng & Ran Lu & Abdullahi D. Ahmed, 2023. "Dynamic dependencies and return connectedness among stock, gold and Bitcoin markets: Evidence from South Asia and China," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 18(1), pages 49-87, March.
    17. Goodell, John W. & Yadav, Miklesh Prasad & Ruan, Junhu & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Malhotra, Nidhi, 2023. "Traditional assets, digital assets and renewable energy: Investigating connectedness during COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    18. Wan, Jieru & Yin, Libo & Wu, You, 2024. "Return and volatility connectedness across global ESG stock indexes: Evidence from the time-frequency domain analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 397-428.
    19. Shi, Chunpei & Wei, Yu & Li, Xiafei & Liu, Yuntong, 2023. "Combination forecasts of China's oil futures returns based on multiple uncertainties and their connectedness with oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    20. Z. Umar & O.B. Adekoya & M. Gubareva & Sabri Boubaker, 2023. "Returns and Volatility Connectedness among the EurozoDne Equity Markets," Post-Print hal-04434044, HAL.
    21. Migliavacca, Milena & Goodell, John W. & Paltrinieri, Andrea, 2023. "A bibliometric review of portfolio diversification literature," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    22. Cocca, Teodoro & Gabauer, David & Pomberger, Stefan, 2024. "Clean energy market connectedness and investment strategies: New evidence from DCC-GARCH R2 decomposed connectedness measures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    23. Varga, Katalin & Szendrei, Tibor, 2025. "Non-stationary financial risk factors and macroeconomic vulnerability for the UK," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    24. Ouyang, Zisheng & Zhou, Xuewei, 2023. "Interconnected networks: Measuring extreme risk connectedness between China’s financial sector and real estate sector," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    25. Ding, Qian & Huang, Jianbai & Chen, Jinyu, 2021. "Dynamic and frequency-domain risk spillovers among oil, gold, and foreign exchange markets: Evidence from implied volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    26. Carlos David Cardona-Arenas & Rafael Gómez-Gómez & Eliana Morales-Zuluaga, 2023. "COVID-19 and its short-term informational impact on the stock markets of the Pacific Alliance countries," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(5), pages 1-23, May.
    27. Yousaf, Imran & Ali, Shoaib & Marei, Mohamed & Gubareva, Mariya, 2024. "Spillovers and hedging effectiveness between islamic cryptocurrency and metal markets: Evidence from the COVID-19 outbreak," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 1126-1151.
    28. Huang, Zishan & Zhu, Huiming & Hau, Liya & Deng, Xi, 2023. "Time-frequency co-movement and network connectedness between green bond and financial asset markets: Evidence from multiscale TVP-VAR analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    29. Bouri, Elie & Lei, Xiaojie & Jalkh, Naji & Xu, Yahua & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "Spillovers in higher moments and jumps across US stock and strategic commodity markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    30. Karol Szafranek & Michał Rubaszek & Gazi Salah Uddin, 2023. "The role of uncertainty and sentiment for intraday volatility connectedness between oil and financial markets," KAE Working Papers 2023-095, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    31. Sudhi Sharma & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Samia Nasreen, 2024. "Are FinTech, Robotics, and Blockchain index funds providing diversification opportunities with emerging markets?Lessons from pre and postoutbreak of COVID-19," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 341-370, March.
    32. Patel, Ritesh & Kumar, Sanjeev & Bouri, Elie & Iqbal, Najaf, 2023. "Spillovers between green and dirty cryptocurrencies and socially responsible investments around the war in Ukraine," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 143-162.
    33. Zhang, Zhiyuan & Sun, Qinglin & Ma, Yongfan, 2022. "The hedge and safe haven properties of non-fungible tokens (NFTs): Evidence from the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    34. Bouri, Elie & Lei, Xiaojie & Xu, Yahua & Zhang, Hongwei, 2023. "Connectedness in implied higher-order moments of precious metals and energy markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PB).
    35. Subhash Karmakar & Gautam Bandyopadhyay & Jayanta Nath Mukhopadhyay, 2024. "Systemic Risk in Indian Financial Institutions: A Probabilistic Approach," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(3), pages 579-656, September.
    36. Castillo, Brenda & León, Ángel & Ñíguez, Trino-Manuel, 2021. "Backtesting VaR under the COVID-19 sudden changes in volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    37. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    38. Umar, Zaghum & Adekoya, Oluwasegun Babatunde & Oliyide, Johnson Ayobami & Gubareva, Mariya, 2021. "Media sentiment and short stocks performance during a systemic crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    39. Maghyereh, Aktham & Awartani, Basel & Virk, Nader S., 2022. "Asymmetric risk transmissions between oil, gold and US equities: Recent evidence from the realized variance of the futures prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    40. Okhrin, Yarema & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Yahya, Muhammad, 2023. "Nonlinear and asymmetric interconnectedness of crude oil with financial and commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    41. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Karim, Sitara & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Junttila, Juha, 2022. "Small fish in big ponds: Connections of green finance assets to commodity and sectoral stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    42. Wang, Kai-Hua & Wen, Cui-Ping & Long, Hai & Moldovan, Nicoleta-Claudia, 2024. "Towards sustainable development: Exploring the spillover effects of green technology innovation on energy markets and economic cycles," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    43. Jiasha Fu & Hui Qiao, 2022. "The Time-Varying Connectedness Between China’s Crude Oil Futures and International Oil Markets: A Return and Volatility Spillover Analysis," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 341-376, December.
    44. Lang, Chunlin & Xu, Danyang & Corbet, Shaen & Hu, Yang & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Global financial risk and market connectedness: An empirical analysis of COVOL and major financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    45. Yang, Ming-Yuan & Chen, Zhanghangjian & Liang, Zongzheng & Li, Sai-Ping, 2023. "Dynamic and asymmetric connectedness in the global “Carbon-Energy-Stock” system under shocks from exogenous events," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    46. Joanna Górka & Katarzyna Kuziak, 2024. "Dynamic Connectedness Among Alternative and Conventional Energy ETFs Based on the TVP-VAR Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(23), pages 1-29, November.
    47. Mensi, Walid & Ziadat, Salem Adel & Rababa'a, Abdel Razzaq Al & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2024. "Oil, gold and international stock markets: Extreme spillovers, connectedness and its determinants," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 1-17.
    48. Guo, Jie & Zhang, Xinlong & Ling, Wenhao, 2024. "Multilevel social insurance needs and household financial asset allocation," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    49. Binlin Li & Nils Haneklaus & Mohammad Mafizur Rahman, 2024. "Dynamic connectedness and hedging opportunities of the commodity and stock markets in China: evidence from the TVP-VAR and cDCC-FIAPARCH," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-30, December.
    50. González, Maria de la O. & Jareño, Francisco & Skinner, Frank S., 2021. "Asymmetric interdependencies between large capital cryptocurrency and Gold returns during the COVID-19 pandemic crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    51. Enilov, Martin & Mensi, Walid & Stankov, Petar, 2023. "Does safe haven exist? Tail risks of commodity markets during COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    52. Liang, Chao & Goodell, John W. & Li, Xiafei, 2024. "Impacts of carbon market and climate policy uncertainties on financial and economic stability: Evidence from connectedness network analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    53. Mohd Ziaur Rehman & Shabeer Khan & Ghulam Abbas & Mohammed Alhashim, 2023. "Novel COVID-19 Outbreak and Global Uncertainty in the Top-10 Affected Countries: Evidence from Wavelet Coherence Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-20, March.
    54. Juan Antonio Galán-Gutiérrez & Rodrigo Martín-García, 2022. "Fundamentals vs. Financialization during Extreme Events: From Backwardation to Contango, a Copper Market Analysis during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-23, February.
    55. Asadi, Mehrad & Balcilar, Mehmet & Sheikh, Umaid A. & Roubaud, David & Ghasemi, Hamid Reza, 2023. "Are there inextricable connections among automobile stocks, crude oil, steel, and the US dollar?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    56. Pham, Son Duy & Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Do, Hung Xuan & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Portfolio diversification during the COVID-19 pandemic: Do vaccinations matter?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    57. Yang, Xiao & Yang, Shudong, 2024. "Executives’ income tax burden, earnings management and stock reduction," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    58. Yousaf, Imran & Hunjra, Ahmed Imran & Alshater, Muneer M. & Bouri, Elie & Li, Yanshuang, 2023. "Multidimensional connectedness among the volatility of global financial markets around the Russian-Ukrainian conflict," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    59. Iqbal, Najaf & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Suleman, Muhammed Tahir, 2022. "Quantifying the asymmetric spillovers in sustainable investments," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    60. Farid, Saqib & Kayani, Ghulam Mujtaba & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2021. "Intraday volatility transmission among precious metals, energy and stocks during the COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    61. Cui Zhang & Xiongjin Feng & Yanzhen Wang, 2022. "Technology Spillovers among Innovation Agents from the Perspective of Network Connectedness," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(16), pages 1-17, August.
    62. Luo, Keyu & Guo, Qiang & Li, Xiafei, 2022. "Can the return connectedness indices from grey energy to natural gas help to forecast the natural gas returns?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    63. Chen, Bin-xia & Sun, Yan-lin, 2024. "Risk characteristics and connectedness in cryptocurrency markets: New evidence from a non-linear framework," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
    64. Dong, Zibing & Li, Yanshuang & Zhuang, Xintian & Wang, Jian, 2022. "Impacts of COVID-19 on global stock sectors: Evidence from time-varying connectedness and asymmetric nexus analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    65. Abrar, Afsheen & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Karim, Sitara & Lucey, Brian M. & Vigne, Samuel A., 2024. "Shining in or fading out: Do precious metals sparkle for cryptocurrencies?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    66. Elena Farahbakhsh Touli & Hoang Nguyen & Olha Bodnar, 2025. "Monitoring the Dynamic Networks of Stock Returns with an Application to the Swedish Stock Market," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 65(3), pages 1741-1758, March.
    67. Qi, Haozhi & Ma, Lijun & Peng, Pin & Chen, Hao & Li, Kang, 2022. "Dynamic connectedness between clean energy stock markets and energy commodity markets during times of COVID-19: Empirical evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    68. Yin, Libo & Cao, Hong & Xin, Yu, 2024. "Impact of crude oil price innovations on global stock market volatility: Evidence across time and space," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    69. Pedro Antonio González & José Luis Gallizo, 2021. "Impact of COVID-19 on the Stock Market by Industrial Sector in Chile: An Adverse Overreaction," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-24, November.
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    71. Adriana AnaMaria Davidescu & Eduard Mihai Manta & Razvan Gabriel Hapau & Mihaela Gruiescu & Oana Mihaela Vacaru (Boita), 2023. "Exploring the Contagion Effect from Developed to Emerging CEE Financial Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-50, January.
    72. Zheng, Tingguo & Ye, Shiqi & Hong, Yongmiao, 2023. "Fast estimation of a large TVP-VAR model with score-driven volatilities," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
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    74. Ouyang, Zisheng & Zhou, Xuewei & Lu, Min & Liu, Ke, 2024. "Imported financial risk in global stock markets: Evidence from the interconnected network," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
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    76. Wei, Yu & Wang, Zhuo & Li, Dongxin & Chen, Xiaodan, 2022. "Can infectious disease pandemic impact the long-term volatility and correlation of gold and crude oil markets?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
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    78. Yarovaya, Larisa & Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Goodell, John W. & Lucey, Brian & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2022. "Rethinking financial contagion: Information transmission mechanism during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
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    88. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Financial Turbulence, Systemic Risk and the Predictability of Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202162, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    89. Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Aarzoo Sharma & Dorika Jeremiah Mwamtambulo, 2022. "Extreme Connectedness between Green Bonds, Government Bonds, Corporate Bonds and Other Asset Classes: Insights for Portfolio Investors," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-17, October.
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    225. Zeng, Hongjun & Huang, Qingcheng & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Ahmed, Abdullahi D. & Lucey, Brian, 2025. "Connectedness and frequency connection among green bond, cryptocurrency and green energy-related metals around the COVID-19 outbreak," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
    226. Román Ferrer & Rafael Benítez & Vicente J. Bolós, 2021. "Interdependence between Green Financial Instruments and Major Conventional Assets: A Wavelet-Based Network Analysis," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-20, April.
    227. Ismail Fasanya & Oluwatomisin Oyewole, 2021. "Infectious Diseases-Energy Futures Nexus - A Quantile-on-Quantile Approach," Energy RESEARCH LETTERS, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 1(1), pages 1-4.
    228. Bouri, Elie & Lucey, Brian & Saeed, Tareq & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "The realized volatility of commodity futures: Interconnectedness and determinants#," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 139-151.
    229. Yousaf, Imran & Assaf, Ata & Demir, Ender, 2024. "Relationship between real estate tokens and other asset classes: Evidence from quantile connectedness approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    230. Yang Liu & Xueqing Yang & Mei Wang, 2021. "Global Transmission of Returns among Financial, Traditional Energy, Renewable Energy and Carbon Markets: New Evidence," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-32, November.
    231. Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Le, Thi Ngoc Lan & Ghabri, Yosra & Huynh, Luu Duc Toan, 2023. "Sovereign bonds and flight to safety: Implications of the COVID-19 crisis for sovereign debt markets in the G-7 and E-7 economies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    232. Zhang, Qun & Zhang, Zhendong & Luo, Jiawen, 2024. "Asymmetric and high-order risk transmission across VIX and Chinese futures markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    233. Mishra, Aswini Kumar & Ghate, Kshitish, 2022. "Dynamic connectedness in non-ferrous commodity markets: Evidence from India using TVP-VAR and DCC-GARCH approaches," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    234. Chen, Jinyu & Wang, Yilin & Ren, Xiaohang, 2022. "Asymmetric effects of non-ferrous metal price shocks on clean energy stocks: Evidence from a quantile-on-quantile method," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    235. Chen, Ruoyu & Iqbal, Najaf & Irfan, Muhammad & Shahzad, Farrukh & Fareed, Zeeshan, 2022. "Does financial stress wreak havoc on banking, insurance, oil, and gold markets? New empirics from the extended joint connectedness of TVP-VAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    236. Yakup Arı, 2022. "TVP-VAR Based CARR-Volatility Connectedness: Evidence from The Russian-Ukraine Conflict," Journal of Research in Economics, Politics & Finance, Ersan ERSOY, vol. 7(3), pages 590-607.
    237. Kumar, Pawan & Singh, Vipul Kumar, 2022. "Systemic spillover dynamics of crude oil with Indian Financial indicators in post WPI revision and COVID era," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    238. An, Jaehyung & Mikhaylov, Alexey & Chang, Tsangyao, 2024. "Relationship between the popularity of a platform and the price of NFT assets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    239. Wei, Yu & Zhang, Jiahao & Bai, Lan & Wang, Yizhi, 2023. "Connectedness among El Niño-Southern Oscillation, carbon emission allowance, crude oil and renewable energy stock markets: Time- and frequency-domain evidence based on TVP-VAR model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 289-309.
    240. Rabbani, Mustafa Raza & Billah, Syed Mabruk & Shaik, Muneer & Rahman, Mashuk & Boujlil, Rhada, 2023. "Dynamic connectedness, spillover, and optimal hedging strategy among FinTech, Sukuk, and Islamic equity markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    241. Muneer M. Alshater & Rim El Khoury & Bashar Almansour, 2024. "Navigating uncertainty: a study of the S&P GCC composite index’s connectedness during times of crises," Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 15(8), pages 1359-1383, June.
    242. Qiao, Xingzhi & Zhu, Huiming & Zhang, Zhongqingyang & Mao, Weifang, 2022. "Time-frequency transmission mechanism of EPU, investor sentiment and financial assets: A multiscale TVP-VAR connectedness analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    243. Mishra, Aswini Kumar & Anand K, Kamesh & Venkatasai Kappagantula, Akhil, 2025. "Unveiling asymmetric return spillovers with portfolio implications among Indian stock sectors during Covid-19 pandemic," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    244. Dutta, Anupam & Park, Donghyun & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Kanjilal, Kakali & Ghosh, Sajal, 2024. "Do dirty and clean energy investments react to infectious disease-induced uncertainty?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    245. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin & Dauda, Mariam, 2023. "Uncertainty due to infectious diseases and bitcoin-gold nexus: Evidence from a non-parametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    246. Dinçer, Hasan & Yüksel, Serhat & An, Jaehyung & Mikhaylov, Alexey, 2024. "Quantum and AI-based uncertainties for impact-relation map of multidimensional NFT investment decisions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    247. Sha, Yezhou & Wu, Xi, 2024. "Downward pressure, investment style and performance persistence of institutional investors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    248. Al-Shboul, Mohammad & Assaf, Ata & Mokni, Khaled, 2022. "When bitcoin lost its position: Cryptocurrency uncertainty and the dynamic spillover among cryptocurrencies before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).

  160. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Gizem Uzuner & Festus Victor Bekun & Mark E. Wohar, 2023. "Housing price uncertainty and housing prices in the UK in a time-varying environment," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 523-549, May.

  161. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2020. "The Predictive Power of Oil Price Shocks on Realized Volatility of Oil: A Note," Working Papers 202044, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    2. Xu, Zhiwei & Gan, Shiqi & Hua, Xia & Xiong, Yujie, 2024. "Can the sentiment of the official media predict the return volatility of the Chinese crude oil futures?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    3. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    5. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Predicting Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries: The Role of Oil Price Uncertainty," Working Papers 202332, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Jiqian Wang & Rangan Gupta & Oğuzhan Çepni & Feng Ma, 2023. "Forecasting international REITs volatility: the role of oil-price uncertainty," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(14), pages 1579-1597, September.
    7. Chen, Yan & Qiao, Gaoxiu & Zhang, Feipeng, 2022. "Oil price volatility forecasting: Threshold effect from stock market volatility," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    8. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "A Note on Forecasting the Historical Realized Variance of Oil-Price Movements: The Role of Gold-to-Silver and Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratios," Working Papers 202158, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Gao Tianming & Vasilii Erokhin & Aleksandr Arskiy & Mikail Khudzhatov, 2021. "Has the COVID-19 Pandemic Affected Maritime Connectivity? An Estimation for China and the Polar Silk Road Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-39, March.
    10. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    11. Yaojie Zhang & Mengxi He & Danyan Wen & Yudong Wang, 2022. "Forecasting Bitcoin volatility: A new insight from the threshold regression model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 633-652, April.
    12. Darko B. Vuković & Senanu Dekpo-Adza & Vladislav Khmelnitskiy & Mustafa Özer, 2023. "Spillovers across the Asian OPEC+ Financial Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-23, September.
    13. Ali, Muhammad Kashif & Zahoor, Muhammad Khurram & Saeed, Asif & Nosheen, Safia & Thanakijsombat, Thanarerk, 2023. "Institutional and country level determinants of vertical integration: New evidence from the oil and gas industry," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    14. Wu, Jie & Zhao, Ruizeng & Sun, Jiasen & Zhou, Xuewei, 2023. "Impact of geopolitical risks on oil price fluctuations: Based on GARCH-MIDAS model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    15. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    16. Guliyev, Hasraddin & Mustafayev, Eldayag, 2022. "Predicting the changes in the WTI crude oil price dynamics using machine learning models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    17. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "The Effect of Oil Price Uncertainty Shock on International Equity Markets: Evidence from a GVAR Model," Working Papers 202160, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Salah A. Alawadhi & Adedayo E. Longe, 2024. "Oil Price Fluctuation and their Impact on the Macroeconomic Variables: The Case of Kuwait," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(3), pages 375-386, May.
    19. Luo, Qin & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jiqian & Wu, You, 2024. "Changing determinant driver and oil volatility forecasting: A comprehensive analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    20. Kuang, Wei, 2022. "The economic value of high-frequency data in equity-oil hedge," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PA).
    21. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    22. Apostolos G. Christopoulos & Petros Kalantonis & Ioannis Katsampoxakis & Konstantinos Vergos, 2021. "COVID-19 and the Energy Price Volatility," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-15, October.
    23. Taicir Mezghani & Mouna Boujelbène Abbes, 2023. "Forecast the Role of GCC Financial Stress on Oil Market and GCC Financial Markets Using Convolutional Neural Networks," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(3), pages 505-530, September.
    24. Liang, Xuedong & Luo, Peng & Li, Xiaoyan & Wang, Xia & Shu, Lingli, 2023. "Crude oil price prediction using deep reinforcement learning," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    25. Alola, Andrew A. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2022. "Outlook of oil prices and volatility from 1970 to 2040 through global energy mix-security from production to reserves: A nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    26. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    27. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Infectious Diseases, Market Uncertainty and Oil Market Volatility," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-8, August.
    28. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    29. Mhd Ruslan, Siti Marsila & Mokhtar, Kasypi, 2021. "Stock market volatility on shipping stock prices: GARCH models approach," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).

  162. Carolyn Chisadza & Matthew Clance & Rangan Gupta & Peter Wanke, 2020. "Uncertainty and Tourism in Africa," Working Papers 202019, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Anobua Acha Arnaud Martial & Huang Dechun & Liton Chandra Voumik & Md. Jamsedul Islam & Shapan Chandra Majumder, 2023. "Investigating the Influence of Tourism, GDP, Renewable Energy, and Electricity Consumption on Carbon Emissions in Low-Income Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-21, June.
    2. Jonathan E. Ogbuabor & Ekene ThankGod Emeka & Emmanuel O. Nwosu, 2023. "Effects of terrorism and economic policy uncertainty on economic complexity in Africa: A study of the moderating role of governance institutions," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 91(4), pages 528-557, December.
    3. Rufei Zhang & Haizhen Zhang & Qingzhu Fan & Wang Gao & Xue Luo & Shixiong Yang, 2022. "Partisan Conflict, National Security Policy Uncertainty and Tourism," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-22, August.
    4. Zsuzsanna Bacsi & Mesfin Bekele Gebbisa & Lóránt Dénes Dávid & Zsolt Hollósy, 2023. "Pastoralism and Tourism in Eastern Africa—Quantitative Analysis from 2004 to 2018," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-18, June.
    5. Liton Chandra Voumik & Md. Hasanur Rahman & Shohel Md. Nafi & Md. Akter Hossain & Abdul Rahim Ridzuan & Nora Yusma Mohamed Yusoff, 2023. "Modelling Sustainable Non-Renewable and Renewable Energy Based on the EKC Hypothesis for Africa’s Ten Most Popular Tourist Destinations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-19, February.
    6. James E Payne & Saban Nazlioglu & Andrea Mervar, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty and international tourist arrivals: A disaggregated analysis of the Croatian Adriatic coast," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(4), pages 986-1004, June.
    7. Gizem Uzuner & Sudeshna Ghosh, 2021. "Do pandemics have an asymmetric effect on tourism in Italy?," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 55(5), pages 1561-1579, October.
    8. Muhammad Zaheer Akhtar & Khalid Zaman & Muhammad Azhar Khan, 2024. "Tourism triumphs: unraveling the essence of Asia’s allure through governance, FDI, and natural bounties," Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, Springer;Association of Environmental Studies and Sciences, vol. 14(2), pages 269-286, June.
    9. Jawadi, Fredj & Pondie, Thierry M., 2024. "Political uncertainty and macro-financial dynamics in the BRICS," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).

  163. Oguzhan Cepni & Wiehan Dul & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "The Dynamics of U.S. REITs Returns to Uncertainty Shocks: A Proxy SVAR Approach," Working Papers 202001, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Karim, Sitara & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2022. "Quantifying systemic risk in US industries using neural network quantile regression," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    5. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on US REITs Moments: Evidence from VARs with Functional Shocks," Working Papers 202219, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  164. Edmond Berisha & Carolyn Chisadza & Matthew Clance & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Income Inequality and Oil Resources: Panel Evidence from the United States," Working Papers 2020103, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Theo Drossidis & Haroon Mumtaz & Angeliki Theophilopoulou, 2024. "The Distributional Effects of Oil Supply New Shocks," Working Papers 975, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    2. Henri Njangang & Simplice A. Asongu & Sosson Tadadjeu & Yann Nounamo & Brice Kamguia, 2021. "Governance in mitigating the effect of oil wealth on wealth inequality: a cross-country analysis of policy thresholds," Research Africa Network Working Papers 21/049, Research Africa Network (RAN).
    3. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Du, Lixia & Wang, Chang-song, 2024. "Carbon blessing or carbon curse? The role of fiscal policy," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 1097-1114.
    4. Lotfalipour, Mohammad Reza & sargolzaie, Ali & Salehnia, Narges, 2022. "Natural resources: A curse on welfare?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    5. Ponce, Pablo & Yunga, Fernando & Larrea-Silva, Jhohana & Aguirre, Nikolay, 2023. "Spatial determinants of income inequality at the global level: The role of natural resources," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    6. Liu, Jing & Wang, Xiao Dan, 2024. "Mining industry development, enforcement intensity of security policy and intra-city development disparity," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    7. Carolyn Chisadza & Matthew Clance & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2024. "Giant oil discoveries and conflicts," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(6), pages 15681-15710, June.
    8. Lulu Wang & Leyi Chen, 2024. "Resource dependence and air pollution in China: Do the digital economy, income inequality, and industrial upgrading matter?," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 2069-2109, January.
    9. Sawadogo, Relwendé & Ouoba, Youmanli, 2024. "Do natural resources rents reduce income inequality? A finite mixture of regressions approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    10. Asgari, Heshmatolah & Moridian, Ali, 2023. "Investigating the Role of Human Capital and Shadow Economy in the Impact of Natural Resource Rent on Income Inequality with Regime Change (in Persian)," The Journal of Planning and Budgeting (٠صلنامه برنامه ریزی و بودجه), Institute for Management and Planning studies, vol. 28(4), pages 75-110, December.
    11. Bulat Mukhamediyev & Sayat Zhamanbayev & Aliya Mukhamediyeva, 2024. "Central Bank Independence and Oil Prices Impact on Macroeconomic Indicators," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(3), pages 9-17, May.
    12. Bosede Ngozi Adeleye, 2024. "Does institutional quality moderate the human capital–inequality dynamics? Comparative evidence from LAC and SSA countries," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 36(1), pages 153-169, March.
    13. Teng, Wei & Mamman, Suieiman O. & Xiao, Chengyou & Abbas, Shujaat, 2024. "Impact of natural resources on income equality in Gulf Cooperation Council: Evidence from machine learning approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    14. Bosede Ngozi Adeleye, 2024. "Income Inequality, Human Capital and Institutional Quality in Sub-Saharan Africa," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 171(1), pages 133-157, January.

  165. Elie Bouri & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2020. "Volatility Connectedness of Major Cryptocurrencies: The Role of Investor Happiness," Working Papers 202059, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Elie Bouri & Mahdi Ghaemi Asl & Sahar Darehshiri & David Gabauer, 2024. "Asymmetric connectedness between conventional and Islamic cryptocurrencies: Evidence from good and bad volatility spillovers," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-26, December.
    2. Youssef, Mouna & Waked, Sami Sobhi, 2022. "Herding behavior in the cryptocurrency market during COVID-19 pandemic: The role of media coverage," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    3. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin J. & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2022. "Investors' sentiments and the dynamic connectedness between cryptocurrency and precious metals markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 347-364.
    4. Thomas F. P. Wiesen & Lakshya Bharadwaj, 2023. "Cryptocurrency Connectedness: Does Controlling for the Cross-Correlations Matter?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(20), pages 2873-2880, November.
    5. Bejaoui, Azza & Frikha, Wajdi & Jeribi, Ahmed & Bariviera, Aurelio F., 2023. "Connectedness between emerging stock markets, gold, cryptocurrencies, DeFi and NFT: Some new evidence from wavelet analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 619(C).
    6. Tam Hoang-Nhat Dang & Nhan Thien Nguyen & Duc Hong Vo, 2023. "Sectoral volatility spillovers and their determinants in Vietnam," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 681-700, February.
    7. Alshammari, Saad & Andriosopoulos, Kostas & Kaabia, Olfa & Mohamed, Kamel Si & Urom, Christian, 2024. "The interplay among corporate bonds, geopolitical risks, equity market, and economic uncertainties," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).
    8. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Dionisio, Andreia & Almeida, Dora & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2022. "Nonlinear nexus between cryptocurrency returns and COVID-19 news sentiment," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    9. Wang, Gang-Jin & Xiong, Lu & Zhu, You & Xie, Chi & Foglia, Matteo, 2022. "Multilayer network analysis of investor sentiment and stock returns," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    10. Bouteska, Ahmed & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Dang, Trung, 2022. "Predictive power of investor sentiment for Bitcoin returns: Evidence from COVID-19 pandemic," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    11. Kumar, Ashish & Iqbal, Najaf & Mitra, Subrata Kumar & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "Connectedness among major cryptocurrencies in standard times and during the COVID-19 outbreak," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    12. Esparcia, Carlos & Escribano, Ana & Jareño, Francisco, 2024. "Assessing the crypto market stability after the FTX collapse: A study of high frequency volatility and connectedness," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    13. Urom, Christian & Ndubuisi, Gideon & Del Lo, Gaye & Yuni, Denis, 2023. "Global commodity and equity markets spillovers to Africa during the COVID-19 pandemic," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    14. Pham, Linh & Karim, Sitara & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Long, Cheng, 2022. "A tale of two tails among carbon prices, green and non-green cryptocurrencies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    15. Tuğba Güz & İlayda İsabetli Fidan, 2022. "The Characteristics of Cryptocurrency Market Volatility: Empirical Study For Five Cryptocurrency," Alphanumeric Journal, Bahadir Fatih Yildirim, vol. 10(2), pages 69-84, December.
    16. Urom, Christian & Guesmi, Khaled & Abid, Ilyes & Dagher, Leila, 2023. "Dynamic integration and transmission channels among interest rates and oil price shocks," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 296-317.
    17. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark, 2024. "Volatility spillovers across the spot and futures oil markets after news announcements," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
    18. Xu, Lei & Kinkyo, Takuji, 2023. "Hedging effectiveness of bitcoin and gold: Evidence from G7 stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    19. Su, Chi-Wei & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Naqvi, Bushra & Mirza, Nawazish & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "COVID19: A blessing in disguise for European stock markets?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    20. Derya Güler, 2023. "The Impact of Investor Sentiment on Bitcoin Returns and Conditional Volatilities during the Era of Covid-19," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(3), pages 276-289, July.
    21. Peng‐Fei Dai & John W. Goodell & Luu Duc Toan Huynh & Zhifeng Liu & Shaen Corbet, 2023. "Understanding the transmission of crash risk between cryptocurrency and equity markets," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 58(3), pages 539-573, August.
    22. Ahmet Faruk Aysan & Erhan Muğaloğlu & Ali Yavuz Polat & Hasan Tekin, 2023. "Whether and when did bitcoin sentiment matter for investors? Before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-24, December.
    23. Saggu, Aman, 2022. "The Intraday Bitcoin Response to Tether Minting and Burning Events: Asymmetry, Investor Sentiment, and “Whale Alerts” on Twitter," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    24. Adel Benhamed & Ahlem Selma Messai & Ghassen El Montasser, 2023. "On the Determinants of Bitcoin Returns and Volatility: What We Get from Gets?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-21, January.
    25. Zhang, Wenting & He, Xie & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2022. "Volatility spillover and investment strategies among sustainability-related financial indexes: Evidence from the DCC-GARCH-based dynamic connectedness and DCC-GARCH t-copula approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    26. Wang, Xuetong & Fang, Fang & Ma, Shiqun & Xiang, Lijin & Xiao, Zumian, 2024. "Dynamic volatility spillover among cryptocurrencies and energy markets: An empirical analysis based on a multilevel complex network," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
    27. Fasanya, Ismail & Adekoya, Oluwasegun & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin & Adegboyega, Soliu, 2022. "Investor sentiment and energy futures predictability: Evidence from Feasible Quasi Generalized Least Squares," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    28. Wang, Jying-Nan & Liu, Hung-Chun & Hsu, Yuan-Teng, 2024. "A U-shaped relationship between the crypto fear-greed index and the price synchronicity of cryptocurrencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    29. Mishra, Aswini Kumar & Ghate, Kshitish, 2022. "Dynamic connectedness in non-ferrous commodity markets: Evidence from India using TVP-VAR and DCC-GARCH approaches," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    30. Behera, Chinmaya & Rath, Badri Narayan, 2024. "The interconnectedness between crude oil prices and stock returns in G20 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    31. Zhang, Wenting & Liu, Tiantian & Zhang, Yulian & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2024. "Can NFTs hedge the risk of traditional assets after the COVID-19 pandemic?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    32. Gunay, Samet & Sraieb, Mohamed M. & Muhammed, Shahnawaz, 2024. "Decrypting Metaverse crypto Market: A nonlinear analysis of investor sentiment," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    33. Esparcia, Carlos & Escribano, Ana & Jareño, Francisco, 2023. "Did cryptomarket chaos unleash Silvergate's bankruptcy? investigating the high-frequency volatility and connectedness behind the collapse," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    34. Onur Özdemir, 2022. "Cue the volatility spillover in the cryptocurrency markets during the COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from DCC-GARCH and wavelet analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-38, December.
    35. Osman, Myriam Ben & Urom, Christian & Guesmi, Khaled & Benkraiem, Ramzi, 2024. "Economic sentiment and the cryptocurrency market in the post-COVID-19 era," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    36. Al-Shboul, Mohammad & Assaf, Ata & Mokni, Khaled, 2022. "When bitcoin lost its position: Cryptocurrency uncertainty and the dynamic spillover among cryptocurrencies before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).

  166. Edmond Berisha & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau, 2020. "Time-Varying Influence of Household Debt on Inequality in United Kingdom," Working Papers 202017, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Deng, Xin & Yu, Mingzhe, 2021. "Does the marginal child increase household debt? – Evidence from the new fertility policy in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    2. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gül, Selçuk & Hacıhasanoğlu, Yavuz Selim & Yılmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2020. "Global uncertainties and portfolio flow dynamics of the BRICS countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    3. Cepni, Oguzhan & Emirmahmutoglu, Furkan & Guney, Ibrahim Ethem & Yilmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2023. "Do the carry trades respond to geopolitical risks? Evidence from BRICS countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(2).

  167. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rinsuna Shivambu, 2020. "Uncertainty and Daily Predictability of Housing Returns and Volatility of the United States: Evidence from a Higher-Order Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 202071, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin J. & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2022. "Investors' sentiments and the dynamic connectedness between cryptocurrency and precious metals markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 347-364.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the co-movement of regional housing prices of the United Kingdom," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-22, December.
    4. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Christophe Andre & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Housing Returns and Volatility: Evidence from US State-Level Data," Working Papers 202131, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Jacobus Nel, 2022. "Do Climate Risks Predict US Housing Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Quantiles-Based Approach," Working Papers 202240, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Uncertainty and Predictability of Real Housing Returns in the United Kingdom: A Regional Analysis," Working Papers 202102, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  168. Yue-Jun Zhang & Elie Bouri & Shu-Jiao Ma & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Risk Spillover between Bitcoin and Conventional Financial Markets: An Expectile-Based Approach," Working Papers 202027, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Liu, Xueyong & Chen, Zhihua & Chen, Zhensong & Yao, Yinhong, 2022. "The time-varying spillover effect of China’s stock market during the COVID-19 pandemic," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 603(C).
    2. Vuković, Darko B. & Frömmel, Michael & Vigne, Samuel A. & Zinovev, Vyacheslav, 2025. "Spillovers between cryptocurrencies and financial markets in a global framework," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    3. Ata Assaf & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana & Khaled Mokni, 2022. "True or spurious long memory in the cryptocurrency markets: evidence from a multivariate test and other Whittle estimation methods," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 1543-1570, September.
    4. Beatrice Foroni & Luca Merlo & Lea Petrella, 2023. "Expectile hidden Markov regression models for analyzing cryptocurrency returns," Papers 2301.09722, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    5. Dong, Xiyong & Jiang, Zhuhua & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2024. "Impact of global financial and energy markets, uncertainty, and climate change attention on Bitcoin carbon footprint," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    6. Zhao, Mingguo & Park, Hail, 2024. "Quantile time-frequency spillovers among green bonds, cryptocurrencies, and conventional financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    7. Ben Khelifa, Soumaya & Guesmi, Khaled & Urom, Christian, 2021. "Exploring the relationship between cryptocurrencies and hedge funds during COVID-19 crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    8. Elie Bouri & Ladislav Kristoufek & Nehme Azoury, 2022. "Bitcoin and S&P500: Co-movements of high-order moments in the time-frequency domain," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(11), pages 1-15, November.
    9. Abid, Ilyes & Bouri, Elie & Galariotis, Emilios & Guesmi, Khaled & Mzoughi, Hela, 2023. "Bitcoin vs. fiat currencies: Insights from extreme dependence and risk spillover analysis with financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    10. BenMabrouk, Houda & Sassi, Syrine & Soltane, Feriel & Abid, Ilyes, 2024. "Connectedness and portfolio hedging between NFTs segments, American stocks and cryptocurrencies Nexus," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    11. Xie, Wenhao & Cao, Guangxi, 2024. "Volatility and returns connectedness between cryptocurrency and China’s financial markets: A TVP-VAR extended joint connectedness approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    12. Dunbar, Kwamie & Owusu-Amoako, Johnson, 2022. "Cryptocurrency returns under empirical asset pricing," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    13. Patel, Ritesh & Gubareva, Mariya & Chishti, Muhammad Zubair & Teplova, Tamara, 2024. "Connectedness between healthcare cryptocurrencies and major asset classes: Implications for hedging and investments strategies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    14. Mzoughi, Hela & Amar, Amine Ben & Guesmi, Khaled & Benkraiem, Ramzi, 2024. "Blockchain markets, green finance investments, and environmental impacts," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    15. Cao, Guangxi & Xie, Wenhao, 2021. "The impact of the shutdown policy on the asymmetric interdependence structure and risk transmission of cryptocurrency and China’s financial market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    16. Bhuiyan, Rubaiyat Ahsan & Husain, Afzol & Zhang, Changyong, 2021. "A wavelet approach for causal relationship between bitcoin and conventional asset classes," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    17. Lei Wang & Provash Kumer Sarker & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Short- and Long-Term Interactions Between Bitcoin and Economic Variables: Evidence from the US," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(4), pages 1305-1330, April.
    18. Jiang, Wen & Xu, Qiuhua & Zhang, Ruige, 2022. "Tail-event driven network of cryptocurrencies and conventional assets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    19. Xu, Fang & Bouri, Elie & Cepni, Oguzhan, 2022. "Blockchain and crypto-exposed US companies and major cryptocurrencies: The role of jumps and co-jumps," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    20. Dimitrios Koutmos & Timothy King & Constantin Zopounidis, 2021. "Hedging uncertainty with cryptocurrencies: Is bitcoin your best bet?," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 44(4), pages 815-837, December.
    21. Muhammad Owais Qarni & Saiqb Gulzar, 2021. "Portfolio diversification benefits of alternative currency investment in Bitcoin and foreign exchange markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-37, December.
    22. Liao, Xin & Li, Qin & Chan, Stephen & Chu, Jeffrey & Zhang, Yuanyuan, 2024. "Interconnections and contagion among cryptocurrencies, DeFi, NFT and traditional financial assets: Some new evidence from tail risk driven network," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 647(C).
    23. Hongjun Zeng & Abdullahi D. Ahmed & Ran Lu, 2024. "The Bitcoin‐agricultural commodities nexus: Fresh insight from COVID‐19 and 2022 Russia–Ukraine war," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 68(3), pages 653-677, July.
    24. Wüstenfeld, Jan & Geldner, Teo, 2022. "Economic uncertainty and national bitcoin trading activity," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    25. Mario I. Contreras-Valdez & José Antonio Núñez & Guillermo Benavides Perales, 2022. "Bitcoin in Portfolio Selection: A Multivariate Distribution Approach," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, May.
    26. Karl Oton Rudolf & Samer Ajour El Zein & Nicola Jackman Lansdowne, 2021. "Bitcoin as an Investment and Hedge Alternative. A DCC MGARCH Model Analysis," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-22, August.
    27. Jiang, Shangrong & Li, Yuze & Lu, Quanying & Wang, Shouyang & Wei, Yunjie, 2022. "Volatility communicator or receiver? Investigating volatility spillover mechanisms among Bitcoin and other financial markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    28. Wei Wang & Haibo Wang & Wendy Wang & Martin Enilov, 2024. "Interconnected Markets: Exploring the Dynamic Relationship Between BRICS Stock Markets and Cryptocurrency," Papers 2406.07641, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2025.
    29. Kyriazis, Nikolaos & Papadamou, Stephanos & Tzeremes, Panayiotis & Corbet, Shaen, 2023. "Can cryptocurrencies provide a viable hedging mechanism for benchmark index investors?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    30. Walid Mensi & Xuan Vinh Vo & Sang Hoon Kang, 2024. "Upward and Downward Multifractality and Efficiency of Chinese and Hong Kong Stock Markets," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(6), pages 3207-3242, December.
    31. Cao, Guangxi & Xie, Wenhao, 2022. "Asymmetric dynamic spillover effect between cryptocurrency and China's financial market: Evidence from TVP-VAR based connectedness approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    32. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z, 2023. "Cryptocurrencies Are Becoming Part of the World Global Financial Market," Papers 2303.00495, arXiv.org.
    33. Seyram P. Kumah, 2024. "Cryptocurrency and African fiat currencies: A peaceful coexistence?," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 53(1), February.
    34. Yi Fang & Qirui Tang & Yanru Wang, 2024. "Geopolitical Risk and Cryptocurrency Market Volatility," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 60(14), pages 3254-3270, November.
    35. Paeng, Seongcheol & Senteney, Dave & Yang, Taewon, 2024. "Spillover effects, lead and lag relationships, and stable coins time series," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 45-60.
    36. R. K. Jana & Indranil Ghosh & Debojyoti Das, 2021. "A differential evolution-based regression framework for forecasting Bitcoin price," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 306(1), pages 295-320, November.

  169. Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Renee van Eyden & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "The Impact of Disaggregated Oil Shocks on State-Level Real Housing Returns of the United States: The Role of Oil Dependence," Working Papers 202096, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Nyakundi M. Michieka & Richard S. Gearhart & Noha A. Razek, 2024. "Oil Price Dynamics and Housing Demand in Oil Producing Counties in the U.S," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 48(2), pages 483-512, June.
    2. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The non-linear response of US state-level tradable and non-tradable inflation to oil shocks: The role of oil-dependence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    3. Hanif, Waqas & Andraz, Jorge Miguel & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2024. "Are REITS hedge or safe haven against oil price fall?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1-16.
    4. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    5. Stenvall, David & Hedström, Axel & Yoshino, Naoyuki & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2022. "Nonlinear tail dependence between the housing and energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).

  170. Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Qiang Ji, 2020. "Movements in Real Estate Uncertainty in the United States: The Role of Oil Shocks," Working Papers 202035, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The impacts of structural oil shocks on macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from a large panel of 45 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    2. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    3. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).

  171. Mehmet Balcilar & Edmond Berisha & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Time-Varying Evidence of Predictability of Financial Stress in the United States over a Century: The Role of Inequality," Working Papers 202054, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Huynh, Cong Minh & Tran, Hoai Nam, 2022. "Financial development, income inequality and institutional quality: A multi-dimensional analysis," MPRA Paper 112829, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Chevaughn van der Westhuizen & Renee van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye, 2022. "Is Inflation Uncertainty a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy? The Inflation-Inflation Uncertainty Nexus and Inflation Targeting in South Africa," Working Papers 202254, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Chevaughn van der Westhuizen & Reneé van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye, 2023. "Is inflation uncertainty a self‐fulfilling prophecy in South Africa?," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 91(3), pages 306-329, September.
    4. Ghosh, Indranil & Jana, Rabin K. & David, Roubaud & Grebinevych, Oksana & Wanke, Peter & Tan, Yong, 2024. "Modelling financial stress during the COVID-19 pandemic: Prediction and deeper insights," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 680-698.
    5. Cepni, Oguzhan & Emirmahmutoglu, Furkan & Guney, Ibrahim Ethem & Yilmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2023. "Do the carry trades respond to geopolitical risks? Evidence from BRICS countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(2).
    6. Gaies, Brahim, 2024. "In search of lost social finance: How do financial instability and inequality interact?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PA).

  172. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Do Oil-Price Shocks Predict the Realized Variance of U.S. REITs?," Working Papers 2020100, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2022. "Extreme dependence between structural oil shocks and stock markets in GCC countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Testing the Forecasting Power of Global Economic Conditions for the Volatility of International REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202211, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Walid Mensi & Zhuhua Jiang & Xuan Vinh Vo & Seong‐Min Yoon, 2023. "Asymmetric volatility transmission and hedging strategies among REIT, stock, and oil markets," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(4), pages 597-615, December.
    4. Mensi, Walid & Nekhili, Ramzi & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Quantile connectedness and spillovers analysis between oil and international REIT markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    5. Aharon, David Y. & Ali, Shoaib & Brahim, Mariem, 2024. "Connectedness at extremes between real estate tokens and real estate stocks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    6. Liu, Jian & Chen, Yan & Liao, Shufei & Cheng, Cheng & Fu, Yongge, 2023. "Information spillovers in Hong Kong REITs and related asset markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 215-229.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    8. Mensi, Walid & Reboredo, Juan C. & Ugolini, Andrea & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Switching connectedness between real estate investment trusts, oil, and gold markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    9. Popkova, Elena G. & Sergi, Bruno S., 2024. "Energy infrastructure: Investment, sustainability and AI," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    10. Hanif, Waqas & Andraz, Jorge Miguel & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2024. "Are REITS hedge or safe haven against oil price fall?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1-16.
    11. Salisu, Afees A. & Akinsomi, Omokolade & Ametefe, Frank Kwakutse & Hammed, Yinka S., 2024. "Gold market volatility and REITs' returns during tranquil and turbulent episodes," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).

  173. Oguzhan Cepni & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Khuliso Ramabulana, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillover of US Trade War on the Growth of Emerging Economies," Working Papers 202002, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gül, Selçuk & Hacıhasanoğlu, Yavuz Selim & Yılmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2020. "Global uncertainties and portfolio flow dynamics of the BRICS countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    2. Layal Mansour-Ichrakieh, 2021. "The Impact of Israeli and Saudi Arabian Geopolitical Risks on the Lebanese Financial Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-24, February.

  174. Jorge Antunes & Rangan Gupta & Zinnia Mukherjee & Peter Wanke, 2020. "Information Entropy, Continuous Improvement, and US Energy Performance: A Novel Stochastic-Entropic Analysis for Ideal Solutions (SEA-IS)," Working Papers 2020110, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rabin K. Jana & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Claudiu Albulescu, 2022. "Financial modeling, risk management of energy and environmental instruments and derivatives: past, present, and future," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 1-7, June.

  175. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Cenk C. Karahan & Brian M. Lucey, 2020. "Oil Price Shocks and Yield Curve Dynamics in Emerging Markets," Working Papers 202036, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Khan, Nasir & Saleem, Asima & Ozkan, Oktay, 2023. "Do geopolitical oil price risk influence stock market returns and volatility of Pakistan: Evidence from novel non-parametric quantile causality approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    2. Yildirim, Zekeriya & Guloglu, Hasan, 2024. "Macro-financial transmission of global oil shocks to BRIC countries — International financial (uncertainty) conditions matter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    3. Iania, Leonardo & Lyrio, Marco & Nersisyan, Liana, 2024. "Oil price shocks and bond risk premia: Evidence from a panel of 15 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    4. Iania, Leonardo & Lyrio, Marco & Nersisyan, Liana, 2023. "Oil Price Shocks and Bond Risk Premia: Evidence from a Panel of 15 Countries," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2023002, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).

  176. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Yue-Jun Zhang, 2020. "Bear, Bull, Sidewalk, and Crash: The Evolution of the US Stock Market Using Over a Century of Daily Data," Working Papers 202097, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kirby, Chris, 2023. "A closer look at the regime-switching evidence of bull and bear markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    2. Abhishek Pal Majumder, 2024. "Long time behavior of semi-Markov modulated perpetuity and some related processes," Papers 2410.15824, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2025.

  177. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Jumps in Energy and Non-Energy Commodities," Working Papers 202018, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Hamouda, Foued & Karim, Sitara, 2024. "Tail risk spillover effects in commodity markets: A comparative study of crisis periods," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    2. Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang & Feng Ma & Yu Wei, 2022. "To jump or not to jump: momentum of jumps in crude oil price volatility prediction," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-31, December.
    3. Ignatieva, Katja & Wong, Patrick, 2024. "Empirical analysis of crude oil dynamics using affine vs. non-affine jump-diffusion models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

  178. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Besma Hkiri & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillover between Currency and Stock Markets in the United States: More than Two Centuries of Historical Evidence," Working Papers 202060, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Semei Coronado & Jose N. Martinez & Victor Gualajara & Rafael Romero-Meza & Omar Rojas, 2023. "Time-Varying Granger Causality of COVID-19 News on Emerging Financial Markets: The Latin American Case," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-18, January.
    2. Celso-Arellano, Pedro & Gualajara, Victor & Coronado, Semei & Martinez, Jose N. & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2023. "Impact of the global fear index (covid-19 panic) on the S&P global indices associated with natural resources, agribusiness, energy, metals and mining: Granger Causality and Shannon and Rényi Transfer ," MPRA Paper 117138, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Feb 2023.
    3. Caporina, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2021. "Time-varying granger causality tests for applications in global crude oil markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," SAFE Working Paper Series 324, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    4. Caporin, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2022. "Time-varying Granger causality tests in the energy markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).

  179. Afees A. Salisu & Juncal Cunado & Kazeem Isah & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Oil Price and Exchange Rate Behaviour of the BRICS for Over a Century," Working Papers 202064, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Afees A. Salisu & Elie Bouri, 2021. "OPEC News and Exchange Rate Forecasting Using Dynamic Bayesian Learning," Working Papers 202101, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Juncal Cuñado & Kazeem Isah & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Stock markets and exchange rate behavior of the BRICS," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(8), pages 1581-1595, December.
    3. Fan Zhang & Paresh Kumar Narayan & Neluka Devpura, 2021. "Has COVID-19 changed the stock return-oil price predictability pattern?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-10, December.
    4. Yin, Xiao-Cui & Li, Xin & Wang, Min-Hui & Qin, Meng & Shao, Xue-Feng, 2021. "Do economic policy uncertainty and its components predict China's housing returns?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    5. Salisu, Afees A. & Olaniran, Abeeb & Tchankam, Jean Paul, 2022. "Oil tail risk and the tail risk of the US Dollar exchange rates," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    6. Afees Salisu & Sulaiman Salisu & Subair Salisu, 2024. "A news-based economic policy uncertainty index for Nigeria," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 4987-5002, October.
    7. Afees A. Salisu & Abdulsalam Abidemi Sikiru, 2021. "Palm Oil Price–Exchange Rate Nexus In Indonesia And Malaysia," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 24(2), pages 169-180, June.

  180. Heni Boubaker & Giorgio Canarella & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "Hybrid ARFIMA Wavelet Artificial Neural Network Model for DJIA Index Forecasting," Working Papers 202056, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Loizidis, Stylianos & Kyprianou, Andreas & Georghiou, George E., 2024. "Electricity market price forecasting using ELM and Bootstrap analysis: A case study of the German and Finnish Day-Ahead markets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 363(C).
    2. Salisu, Afees A. & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2024. "Technological shocks and stock market volatility over a century," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).

  181. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Theodoridis, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark E, 2020. "Is there a National Housing Market Bubble Brewing in the United States?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2020/3, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Cited by:

    1. Jinwoong Lee, 2024. "What factors drive house prices in the USA? Sign restricted VAR approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(6), pages 2533-2556, June.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "House price synchronization across the US states: The role of structural oil shocks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    4. Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2024. "High-Frequency Contagion between Aggregate and Regional Housing Markets of the United States with Financial Assets: Evidence from Multichannel Tests," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(2), pages 253-276, August.
    5. Christophe Andre & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillovers between Housing Sentiment and Housing Market in the United States," Working Papers 202091, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rinsuna Shivambu, 2020. "Uncertainty and Daily Predictability of Housing Returns and Volatility of the United States: Evidence from a Higher-Order Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 202071, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the co-movement of regional housing prices of the United Kingdom," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-22, December.
    8. André, Christophe & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Time-varying spillovers between housing sentiment and housing market in the United States☆," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).

  182. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rangan Gupta & Eric Olson, 2020. "Investor Sentiment and Dollar-Pound Exchange Rate Returns: Evidence from Over a Century of Data Using a Cross-Quantilogram Approach," Working Papers 202008, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Yang, Kun & Cheng, Zishu & Li, Mingchen & Wang, Shouyang & Wei, Yunjie, 2024. "Fortify the investment performance of crude oil market by integrating sentiment analysis and an interval-based trading strategy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PA).
    2. Ni, Zhongxin & Wang, Linyu, 2023. "The predictability of skewness risk premium on stock returns: Evidence from Chinese market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 576-594.
    3. Raggad, Bechir, 2023. "Can implied volatility predict returns on oil market? Evidence from Cross-Quantilogram Approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    4. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil shocks and directional predictability of macroeconomic uncertainties of developed economies: Evidence from high‐frequency data†," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 69(2), pages 169-185, May.
    5. Zhang, Jiahao & Chen, Xiaodan & Wei, Yu & Bai, Lan, 2023. "Does the connectedness among fossil energy returns matter for renewable energy stock returns? Fresh insights from the Cross-Quantilogram analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    6. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Sohag, Kazi & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2024. "Oil shocks and financial stability in MENA countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    7. Liu, Yiye & Han, Liyan & Wu, You & Yin, Libo, 2022. "Do terrorist attacks matter for currency excess returns?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    8. Li, Jia & Yang, Jianfei, 2024. "Financial shocks, investor sentiment, and heterogeneous firms’ output volatility: Evidence from credit asset securitization markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).

  183. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and the U.K. Unemployment Rate: A Forecasting Experiment with Random Forests Using 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 202095, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Andre & Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Fiscal Policy and Stock Markets at the Effective Lower Bound," Working Papers 202309, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Urmat Dzhunkeev, 2022. "Forecasting Unemployment in Russia Using Machine Learning Methods," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 81(1), pages 73-87, March.
    3. Fang, Heng & Li, Yuannong & Gu, Xiaobo & Du, Yadan & Chen, Pengpeng & Hu, Hongxiang, 2024. "Evapotranspiration, water use efficiency, and yield for film mulched maize under different nitrogen-fertilization rates and climate conditions," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    4. Liu, Xinheng & Pan, Sishi & Li, Shuxian & Yang, Xin & Huang, Chuangxia, 2024. "Unraveling the causal impact: Oil price uncertainty on firms’ productivity in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    5. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Ma, Yong & Li, Shuaibing & Zhou, Mingtao, 2024. "Forecasting crude oil prices: Does global financial uncertainty matter?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PC).
    7. Li, Ye & Chen, Yiyan & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2024. "Geopolitical risk and crude oil price predictability: Novel decomposition ensemble approach based ternary interval number series," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    8. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Polat, Onur, 2024. "Forecasting U.S. recessions using over 150 years of data: Stock-market moments versus oil-market moments," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
    9. Baek, Jungho, 2024. "Oil shocks and unemployment dynamics in Alaska: The source of shocks matters," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    10. Benjamin Musiita & Frederick Nsambu Kijjambu & Asaph Kaburura Katarangi, 2024. "Factor Input Prices and Unemployment in Uganda," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 16(1), pages 52-66.
    11. Sen, Doruk & Hamurcuoglu, K. Irem & Ersoy, Melisa Z. & Tunç, K.M. Murat & Günay, M. Erdem, 2023. "Forecasting long-term world annual natural gas production by machine learning," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    12. An, Zhengzhen & Zhao, Yue & Zhang, Yanfei, 2023. "Mineral exploration and the green transition: Opportunities and challenges for the mining industry," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    13. Mirza, Nawazish & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Naqvi, Bushra & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "Inflation prediction in emerging economies: Machine learning and FX reserves integration for enhanced forecasting," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    14. Ahmed, M. Iqbal & Farah, Quazi Fidia & Kishan, Ruby P., 2023. "Oil price uncertainty and unemployment dynamics: Nonlinearities matter," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).

  184. Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Renee van Eyden & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "The Impact of Disaggregated Oil Shocks on State-Level Consumption of the United States," Working Papers 202045, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    2. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    3. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The non-linear response of US state-level tradable and non-tradable inflation to oil shocks: The role of oil-dependence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).

  185. Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer & Elie Bouri, 2020. "Investor Sentiment and (Anti-)Herding in the Currency Market: Evidence from Twitter Feed Data," Working Papers 202088, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel, 2020. "COVID-19 Pandemic and Investor Herding in International Stock Markets," Working Papers 202089, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Yang, Ni & Fernandez-Perez, Adrian & Indriawan, Ivan, 2024. "Spillover between investor sentiment and volatility: The role of social media," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    3. Ali, Sara & Badshah, Ihsan & Demirer, Riza, 2023. "Anti-herding by hedge funds and its implications for expected returns," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 31-48.
    4. Scharnowski, Stefan & Shi, Yanghua, 2024. "Intraday herding and attention around the clock," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).

  186. Elie Bouri & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Naji Jalkh, 2020. "Geopolitical Risks and Stock Market Volatility in the G7 Countries: A Century of Evidence from a Time-Varying Nonparametric Panel Data Model," Working Papers 202029, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  187. Matthew W. Clance & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei, 2020. "Predicting Firm-Level Volatility in the United States: The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 202007, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Salisu, Afees A. & van Eyden, Reneé, 2023. "Firm-level business uncertainty and the predictability of the aggregate U.S. stock market volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 295-302.

  188. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "Estimating U.S. Housing Price Network Connectedness: Evidence from Dynamic Elastic Net, Lasso, and Ridge Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Papers 202065, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Xiang, Youtao & Borjigin, Sumuya, 2024. "Multilayer networks for measuring interconnectedness among global stock markets through the lens of trading volume-price relationship," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    2. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Aikins Abakah, Emmanuel Joel & Gabauer, David & Dwumfour, Richard Adjei, 2022. "Dynamic spillover effects among green bond, renewable energy stocks and carbon markets during COVID-19 pandemic: Implications for hedging and investments strategies," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    3. Gabauer, David & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Stenfors, Alexis, 2023. "Model-free connectedness measures," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    4. Umar, Zaghum & Iqbal, Najaf & Teplova, Tamara & Tan, Duojiao, 2024. "Dynamic impact of the US yield curve on green bonds: Navigating through recent crises," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    5. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Sensoy, Ahmet & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Volatility spillovers and hedging strategies between impact investing and agricultural commodities," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    6. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Sensoy, Ahmet & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Volatility connectedness between geopolitical risk and financial markets: Insights from pandemic and military crisis periods," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PC).
    7. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Brahim, Mariem & Carlotti, Jean-Etienne & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Mensi, Walid, 2024. "Extreme downside risk connectedness and portfolio hedging among the G10 currencies," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    8. Chen, Yu-Fen & Lin, Fu-Lai & Yeh, Wen-Hung, 2024. "Intra- and inter-sector spillover effects within a supply chain: Evidence from Taiwan electric motorcycle industry," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    9. Alexis Stenfors & Lilian Muchimba, 2023. "The Transmission Mechanism of Stress in the International Banking System," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2023-03, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
    10. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gabauer, David & Umar, Zaghum, 2021. "Crude Oil futures contracts and commodity markets: New evidence from a TVP-VAR extended joint connectedness approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    11. Nong, Huifu, 2024. "Analyzing the Role of the Real Estate Sector in the Sectoral Network of the Chinese Economy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 567-580.
    12. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the co-movement of regional housing prices of the United Kingdom," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-22, December.
    13. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Christophe Andre & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Housing Returns and Volatility: Evidence from US State-Level Data," Working Papers 202131, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Stenfors, Alexis & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Gabauer, David, 2022. "Independent policy, dependent outcomes: A game of cross-country dominoes across European yield curves," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    15. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Pradhan, H.K. & Sensoy, Ahmet & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Assessing the US financial sector post three bank collapses: Signals from fintech and financial sector ETFs," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    16. Xu, Danyang & Hu, Yang & Oxley, Les & Lin, Boqiang & He, Yongda, 2025. "Exploring the connectedness between major volatility indexes and worldwide sustainable investments," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    17. Pham, Linh & Hao, Wei & Truong, Ha & Trinh, Hai Hong, 2023. "The impact of climate policy on U.S. environmentally friendly firms: A firm-level examination of stock return, volatility, volume, and connectedness," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    18. Wu, Shan & Liu, Yilong & Song, Ziyu & Zhou, Yuqin & Guo, Wenjing, 2024. "Network structure, dynamic evolution and block characteristics of sovereign debt risk: The global evidence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PA).
    19. Liu, Jiahao & Zhu, Bo & Hu, Xin, 2024. "Systemic risk spillovers among global energy firms: Does geopolitical risk matter?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    20. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar, 2024. "Environmental sustainability and the time-varying changing dynamics of green and brown energy ETFs," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PB).
    21. Balli, Faruk & Balli, Hatice Ozer & Dang, Tam Hoang Nhat & Gabauer, David, 2023. "Contemporaneous and lagged R2 decomposed connectedness approach: New evidence from the energy futures market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    22. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Özer, Zeynep Sueda & Rahman, Molla Ramizur & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2024. "How does the time-varying dynamics of spillover between clean and brown energy ETFs change with the intervention of climate risk and climate policy uncertainty?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 442-468.
    23. Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Gabauer, David & Gozgor, Giray, 2023. "Oil price shocks and exchange rate dynamics: Evidence from decomposed and partial connectedness measures for oil importing and exporting economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).

  189. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Oil Price Uncertainty and Movements in the US Government Bond Risk Premia," Working Papers 201919, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2023. "The role of oil and risk shocks in the high‐frequency movements of the term structure of interest rates: Evidence from the U.S. Treasury market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1845-1857, April.
    2. Yin, Libo & Su, Zhi & Lu, Man, 2022. "Is oil risk important for commodity-related currency returns?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    3. Karol Szafranek & Michał Rubaszek & Gazi Salah Uddin, 2023. "The role of uncertainty and sentiment for intraday volatility connectedness between oil and financial markets," KAE Working Papers 2023-095, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    4. Khan, Nasir & Saleem, Asima & Ozkan, Oktay, 2023. "Do geopolitical oil price risk influence stock market returns and volatility of Pakistan: Evidence from novel non-parametric quantile causality approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    5. Ummara Razi & Calvin W. H. Cheong & Sahar Afshan & Arshian Sharif, 2025. "The ripple effects of energy price volatility on equity and debt markets: a Morlet wavelet analysis," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 15(1), pages 197-223, March.
    6. Mensi, Walid & Hamed Al-Yahyaee, Khamis & Vinh Vo, Xuan & Hoon Kang, Sang, 2021. "Dynamic spillover and connectedness between oil futures and European bonds," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    7. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Cenk C. Karahan & Brian M. Lucey, 2020. "Oil Price Shocks and Yield Curve Dynamics in Emerging Markets," Working Papers 202036, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Dai, Zhifeng & Kang, Jie, 2021. "Bond yield and crude oil prices predictability," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    9. Gök, Remzi & Bouri, Elie & Gemici, Eray, 2022. "Can Twitter-based economic uncertainty predict safe-haven assets under all market conditions and investment horizons?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    10. Yildirim, Zekeriya & Guloglu, Hasan, 2024. "Macro-financial transmission of global oil shocks to BRIC countries — International financial (uncertainty) conditions matter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    11. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Li, Yong-Yi, 2021. "Oil price shocks, geopolitical risks, and green bond market dynamics," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    12. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Saban Nazlioglu & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Causality between Bond and Oil Markets of the United States: Evidence from Over One and Half Centuries of Data," Working Papers 202006, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "The Role of Oil and Risk Shocks in the High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States," Working Papers 202063, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    15. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Umar, Zaghum & Hadhri, Sinda & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Usman, Muhammad & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "Return and volatility spillovers among oil price shocks and international green bond markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    17. Maghyereh, Aktham & Ziadat, Salem Adel & Al Rababa'a, Abdel Razzaq A., 2024. "Exploring the dynamic connections between oil price shocks and bond yields in developed nations: A TVP-SVAR-SV approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    18. Ziadat, Salem Adel & Al Rababa'a, Abdel Razzaq A. & Rehman, Mobeen & McMillan, David G., 2023. "Oil price shocks and stock–bond correlation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    19. Richter, Sylvia & Heyde, Frank & Horsch, Andreas & Wünsche, Andreas, 2021. "Determinants of project bond prices – Insights into infrastructure and energy capital markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    20. Bouri, Elie & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bond risk premia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    21. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States: The Role of Oil Market Uncertainty," Working Papers 202085, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Guney, I. Ethem & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "The role of an aligned investor sentiment index in predicting bond risk premia of the U.S," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    23. Umar, Zaghum & Abrar, Afsheen & Hadhri, Sinda & Sokolova, Tatiana, 2023. "The connectedness of oil shocks, green bonds, sukuks and conventional bonds," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    24. André, Marine C. & Armijo, Alberto & Espidio, Sebastián Medina & Sandoval, Jamel, 2023. "Policy mix in a small open emerging economy with commodity prices," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(1).
    25. Song, Xinyu & Yang, Baochen, 2022. "Oil price uncertainty, corporate governance and firm performance," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 469-487.

  190. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2019. "A Moving Average Heterogeneous Autoregressive Model for Forecasting the Realized Volatility of the US Stock Market: Evidence from Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 201978, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Political Geography and Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Political Alignment across Sentiment Regimes," Working Papers 202414, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Investor Confidence and Forecastability of US Stock Market Realized Volatility : Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202118, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "Climate risks and state-level stock market realized volatility," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    4. Rangan Gupta & Yuvana Jaichand & Christian Pierdzioch & Reneé van Eyden, 2023. "Realized Stock-Market Volatility of the United States and the Presidential Approval Rating," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-27, July.
    5. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Business Applications and State-Level Stock Market Realized Volatility: A Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202247, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Salisu, Afees A. & van Eyden, Reneé, 2023. "Firm-level business uncertainty and the predictability of the aggregate U.S. stock market volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 295-302.
    8. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Technological Shocks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202308, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Salisu, Afees A. & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2024. "Technological shocks and stock market volatility over a century," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    10. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & He Li & Yu You, 2021. "Financial Vulnerability and Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence from GARCH-MIDAS Models," Working Papers 202112, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Do Shortages Forecast Aggregate and Sectoral U.S. Stock Market Realized Variance? Evidence from a Century of Data," Working Papers 202450, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Forecasting Realized Stock-Market Volatility: Do Industry Returns have Predictive Value?," Working Papers 2020107, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  191. Samrat Goswami & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Historical Volatility of Advanced Equity Markets: The Role of Local and Global Crises," Working Papers 201931, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    2. Pierdomenico Duttilo & Stefano Antonio Gattone & Tonio Di Battista, 2021. "Volatility Modeling: An Overview of Equity Markets in the Euro Area during COVID-19 Pandemic," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-18, May.

  192. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Is the Housing Market in the United States Really Weakly-Efficient?," Working Papers 201934, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2024. "High-Frequency Contagion between Aggregate and Regional Housing Markets of the United States with Financial Assets: Evidence from Multichannel Tests," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(2), pages 253-276, August.
    2. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rinsuna Shivambu, 2020. "Uncertainty and Daily Predictability of Housing Returns and Volatility of the United States: Evidence from a Higher-Order Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 202071, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  193. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Moments-Based Spillovers across Gold and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201966, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Bouri, Elie & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Forecasting power of infectious diseases-related uncertainty for gold realized variance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    2. Zhang, Hongwei & Jin, Chen & Bouri, Elie & Gao, Wang & Xu, Yahua, 2023. "Realized higher-order moments spillovers between commodity and stock markets: Evidence from China," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    3. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2022. "On the higher-order moment interdependence of stock and commodity markets: A wavelet coherence analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 135-151.
    4. Ding, Qian & Huang, Jianbai & Chen, Jinyu, 2021. "Dynamic and frequency-domain risk spillovers among oil, gold, and foreign exchange markets: Evidence from implied volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    5. Xingyu Dai & Dongna Zhang & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Qunwei Wang, 2023. "Multiobjective portfolio optimization: Forecasting and evaluation under investment horizon heterogeneity," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 2167-2196, December.
    6. Bouri, Elie & Lei, Xiaojie & Jalkh, Naji & Xu, Yahua & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "Spillovers in higher moments and jumps across US stock and strategic commodity markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    7. Dai, Zhifeng & Zhu, Haoyang, 2023. "Dynamic risk spillover among crude oil, economic policy uncertainty and Chinese financial sectors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 421-450.
    8. Zhang, Dongna & Dai, Xingyu & Wang, Qunwei & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2023. "Impacts of weather conditions on the US commodity markets systemic interdependence across multi-timescales," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    9. Zhu, Huiming & Xia, Xiling & Hau, Liya & Zeng, Tian & Deng, Xi, 2024. "Time-frequency higher-order moment Co-movement and connectedness between Chinese stock and commodity markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    10. Yan, Wan-Lin & Cheung, Adrian (Wai Kong), 2024. "Connectedness among Chinese climate policy uncertainty, exchange rate, Chinese and international crude oil markets: Insights from time and frequency domain analyses of high order moments," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    11. Bouri, Elie & Lei, Xiaojie & Xu, Yahua & Zhang, Hongwei, 2023. "Connectedness in implied higher-order moments of precious metals and energy markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PB).
    12. Su, Chi Wei & Song, Xin Yue & Qin, Meng & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2024. "Is copper a safe haven for oil?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    13. Semeyutin, Artur & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Xu, Bing, 2021. "Effects of idiosyncratic jumps and co-jumps on oil, gold, and copper markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    14. Pu, Yingjian & Yang, Baochen, 2022. "The commodity futures' historical basis in trading strategy and portfolio investment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    15. Goutte, Stéphane & Mhadhbi, Mayssa, 2024. "Analyzing Crisis Dynamics: How metal-energy Markets influence green electricity investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    16. Wang, Xinya & Lucey, Brian & Huang, Shupei, 2022. "Can gold hedge against oil price movements: Evidence from GARCH-EVT wavelet modeling," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    17. Mohammad Al-Shboul & Aktham Maghyereh, 2023. "Did real economic uncertainty drive risk connectedness in the oil–stock nexus during the COVID-19 outbreak? A partial wavelet coherence analysis," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 12(1), pages 1-23, December.
    18. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    19. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham & Goh, Mark & Zou, Huiwen, 2022. "Risk spillovers and time-varying links between international oil and China’s commodity futures markets: Fresh evidence from the higher-order moments," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PB).
    20. Deng, Jing & Xu, Zihan & Xing, Xiaoyun, 2024. "Extreme risk contagions among fossil energy companies in China: Insights from a multilayer dynamic network analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    21. Dai, Xingyu & Xiao, Ling & Wang, Qunwei & Dhesi, Gurjeet, 2021. "Multiscale interplay of higher-order moments between the carbon and energy markets during Phase III of the EU ETS," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    22. Hao, Wei & Pham, Linh, 2024. "Dynamic connectedness in the higher moments between clean energy and oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    23. Nekhili, Ramzi & Bouri, Elie, 2023. "Higher-order moments and co-moments' contribution to spillover analysis and portfolio risk management," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    24. Hanif, Waqas & Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh & BenSaïda, Ahmed & Hernandez, Jose Arreola & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2023. "Dependence and risk management of portfolios of metals and agricultural commodity futures," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    25. Jinxin Cui & Aktham Maghyereh, 2022. "Time–frequency co-movement and risk connectedness among cryptocurrencies: new evidence from the higher-order moments before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-56, December.
    26. Apergis, Nicholas, 2023. "Realized higher-order moments spillovers across cryptocurrencies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    27. Cunado, Juncal & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Gabauer, David & de Gracia, Fernando Perez & Hardik, Marfatia, 2023. "Dynamic spillovers across precious metals and oil realized volatilities: Evidence from quantile extended joint connectedness measures," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    28. Fei Ren & Mei-Ling Cai & Sai-Ping Li & Xiong Xiong & Zhang-HangJian Chen, 2023. "A Multi-market Comparison of the Intraday Lead–Lag Relations Among Stock Index-Based Spot, Futures and Options," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(1), pages 1-28, June.
    29. Shafiullah, Muhammad & Senthilkumar, Arunachalam & Lucey, Brian M. & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2024. "Deciphering asymmetric spillovers in US industries: Insights from higher-order moments," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    30. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2022. "Higher Moments Actually Matter: Spillover Approach for Case of CESEE Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(24), pages 1-34, December.
    31. Liao, Jianhui & Zhu, Xuehong & Chen, Jinyu, 2021. "Dynamic spillovers across oil, gold and stock markets in the presence of major public health emergencies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    32. Liu, Zixin & Hu, Jun & Zhang, Shuguang & He, Zhipeng, 2024. "Risk spillovers among oil, gold, stock, and foreign exchange markets: Evidence from G20 economies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    33. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Higher-order moment risk connectedness and optimal investment strategies between international oil and commodity futures markets: Insights from the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia-Ukraine conflict," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    34. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "The Role of Global Economic Conditions in Forecasting Gold Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202043, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    35. Yang, Kun & Wei, Yu & Li, Shouwei & Liu, Liang & Wang, Lei, 2021. "Global financial uncertainties and China’s crude oil futures market: Evidence from interday and intraday price dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    36. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham & Liao, Dijia, 2024. "Risk connectedness between international oil and stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine conflict: Fresh evidence from the higher-order moments," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    37. Bouri, Elie, 2023. "Spillovers in the joint system of conditional higher-order moments: US evidence from green energy, brown energy, and technology stocks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 507-523.
    38. Xue, Jianhao & Dai, Xingyu & Zhang, Dongna & Nghiem, Xuan-Hoa & Wang, Qunwei, 2024. "Tail risk spillover network among green bond, energy and agricultural markets under extreme weather scenarios," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PC).
    39. Zhang, Hongwei & Zhang, Yubo & Gao, Wang & Li, Yingli, 2023. "Extreme quantile spillovers and drivers among clean energy, electricity and energy metals markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).

  194. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "How do Housing Returns in Emerging Countries Respond to Oil Shocks? A MIDAS Touch," Working Papers 201946, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Salisu, Afees A. & Adediran, Idris, 2020. "Gold as a hedge against oil shocks: Evidence from new datasets for oil shocks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    2. Nyakundi M. Michieka & Richard S. Gearhart & Noha A. Razek, 2024. "Oil Price Dynamics and Housing Demand in Oil Producing Counties in the U.S," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 48(2), pages 483-512, June.
    3. Salisu, Afees A. & Cuñado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Geopolitical risks and historical exchange rate volatility of the BRICS," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 179-190.
    4. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Yigit Onay, 2022. "The role of investor sentiment in forecasting housing returns in China: A machine learning approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1725-1740, December.

  195. Giorgio Canarella & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller & Tolga Omay, 2019. "Does U.K.’s Real GDP have a Unit Root? Evidence from a Multi-Century Perspective," Working Papers 201926, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kassouri, Yacouba, 2022. "Boom-bust cycles in oil consumption: The role of explosive bubbles and asymmetric adjustments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).

  196. Alex Plastun & Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Rise and Fall of Calendar Anomalies over a Century," Working Papers 201902, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Qadan, Mahmoud & Nisani, Doron & Eichel, Ron, 2022. "Irregularities in forward-looking volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 489-501.
    2. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Vortelinos, Dimitrios I. & Babalos, Vassilios & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Day-of-the-week effect and spread determinants: Some international evidence from equity markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 268-288.
    3. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun & Ahniia Havrylina, 2022. "Persistence in the Passion Investment Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 9586, CESifo.
    4. Alex Plastun & Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Price Gap Anomaly in the US Stock Market: The Whole Story," Working Papers 201963, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Khushboo Aggarwal & Mithilesh Kumar Jha, 2023. "Stock returns seasonality in emerging asian markets," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(1), pages 109-130, March.
    6. Shehadeh, Ali A. & Zheng, Min, 2023. "Calendar anomalies in stock market returns: Evidence from Middle East countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 962-980.
    7. Plastun, Alex & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Price effects after one-day abnormal returns in developed and emerging markets: ESG versus traditional indices," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    8. Alex Plastun & Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Historical Evolution of Monthly Anomalies in International Stock Markets," Working Papers 201950, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Nuray Tosunoğlu & Hilal Abacı & Gizem Ateş & Neslihan Saygılı Akkaya, 2023. "Artificial neural network analysis of the day of the week anomaly in cryptocurrencies," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-24, December.
    10. Potrykus Marcin & Augustynowicz Urszula, 2024. "The “autumn effect” in the gold market—does it contradict the Adaptive Market Hypothesis?," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 60(3), pages 157-172.
    11. Kim, Jae H. & Shamsuddin, Abul, 2023. "Stock market anomalies: An extreme bounds analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    12. Shanaev, Savva & Shuraeva, Arina & Fedorova, Svetlana, 2022. "The Groundhog Day stock market anomaly," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    13. Alex Plastun & Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Evolution of Price Effects After One-Day of Abnormal Returns in the US Stock Market," Working Papers 202016, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Kristjanpoller, Werner & Miranda Tabak, Benjamin, 2025. "Day of the week effect on the cryptomarket: A high-frequency asymmetric multifractal analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 658(C).
    15. Stefanescu Razvan & Dumitriu Ramona, 2021. "The Extended Holiday Effects on Bucharest Stock Exchange during Coronavirus Pandemic," Risk in Contemporary Economy, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, pages 293-303.
    16. Yasmeen Idilbi-Bayaa & Mahmoud Qadan, 2022. "Tell Me Why I Do Not Like Mondays," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-22, May.
    17. Benjamin R. Auer, 2022. "On false discoveries of standard t-tests in investment management applications," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 751-768, April.
    18. Plastun, Alex & Bouri, Elie & Havrylina, Ahniia & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Calendar anomalies in passion investments: Price patterns and profit opportunities," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).

  197. Alex Plastun & Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Halloween Effect in Developed Stock Markets: A US Perspective," Working Papers 201914, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Foglia & Eliana Angelini, 2024. "A Riskmas Carol," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 25(2_suppl), pages 121-137, April.
    2. Dennis Murekachiro, 2025. "Stock Market Calendar Anomalies in Sub-Saharan Africa Stock Markets," International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation, International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation (IJRSI), vol. 12(2), pages 42-49, February.

  198. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "High-Frequency Volatility Forecasting of US Housing Markets," Working Papers 201977, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Climate Risks and Prediction of Sectoral REITs Volatility: International Evidence," Working Papers 202434, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    3. Kishor, N. Kundan, 2023. "Forecasting House Prices: The Role of Fundamentals, Credit Conditions, and Supply Indicators," MPRA Paper 116819, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Jiqian Wang & Rangan Gupta & Oğuzhan Çepni & Feng Ma, 2023. "Forecasting international REITs volatility: the role of oil-price uncertainty," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(14), pages 1579-1597, September.
    5. Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2024. "High-Frequency Contagion between Aggregate and Regional Housing Markets of the United States with Financial Assets: Evidence from Multichannel Tests," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(2), pages 253-276, August.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Damien Moodley, 2023. "Housing Search Activity and Quantiles-Based Predictability of Housing Price Movements in the United States," Working Papers 202335, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of International REITs: The Role of Realized Skewness and Realized Kurtosis," Working Papers 202114, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  199. Alex Plastun & Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Price Gap Anomaly in the US Stock Market: The Whole Story," Working Papers 201963, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Su, Zhifang & Bao, Haohua & Li, Qifang & Xu, Boyu & Cui, Xin, 2022. "The prediction of price gap anomaly in Chinese stock market: Evidence from the dependent functional logit model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).

  200. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Predicting Bitcoin Returns: Comparing the Roles of Newspaper- and Internet Search-Based Measures of Uncertainty," Working Papers 201955, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The impacts of structural oil shocks on macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from a large panel of 45 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    2. Elie Bouri & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Forecasting Returns of Major Cryptocurrencies: Evidence from Regime-Switching Factor Models," Working Papers 202213, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Ren, Yi-Shuai & Ma, Chao-Qun & Kong, Xiao-Lin & Baltas, Konstantinos & Zureigat, Qasim, 2022. "Past, present, and future of the application of machine learning in cryptocurrency research," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    4. Su, Chi-Wei & Qin, Meng & Tao, Ran & Umar, Muhammad, 2020. "Financial implications of fourth industrial revolution: Can bitcoin improve prospects of energy investment?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    5. Su, Chi-Wei & Qin, Meng & Tao, Ran & Shao, Xue-Feng & Albu, Lucian Liviu & Umar, Muhammad, 2020. "Can Bitcoin hedge the risks of geopolitical events?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    6. Dunbar, Kwamie & Owusu-Amoako, Johnson, 2023. "Predictability of crypto returns: The impact of trading behavior," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    7. Tobias Burggraf, 2020. "Bitcoin and Global Political Uncertainty – Evidence from the U.S. Election Cycle," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 727-742.
    8. Khalid Khan & Jiluo Sun & Sinem Derindere Koseoglu & Ashfaq U. Rehman, 2021. "Revisiting Bitcoin Price Behavior Under Global Economic Uncertainty," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(3), pages 21582440211, August.
    9. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Dionisio, Andreia & Almeida, Dora & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2022. "Nonlinear nexus between cryptocurrency returns and COVID-19 news sentiment," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    10. Smales, L.A., 2022. "Investor attention in cryptocurrency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    11. Bampinas, Georgios & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2024. "How would the war and the pandemic affect the stock and cryptocurrency cross-market linkages?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    12. Nguyen, Khanh Quoc & Nguyen, Thanh Huong & Do, Bao Linh, 2023. "Narrative attention and related cryptocurrency returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    13. Selmi, Refk & Bouoiyour, Jamal & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "“Digital Gold” and geopolitics," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    14. Gök, Remzi & Bouri, Elie & Gemici, Eray, 2022. "Can Twitter-based economic uncertainty predict safe-haven assets under all market conditions and investment horizons?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    15. Fan Fang & Carmine Ventre & Michail Basios & Leslie Kanthan & David Martinez-Rego & Fan Wu & Lingbo Li, 2022. "Cryptocurrency trading: a comprehensive survey," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-59, December.
    16. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Shu-Jiao, 2021. "Risk spillover between Bitcoin and conventional financial markets: An expectile-based approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    17. Andrew Phiri, 2022. "Can wavelets produce a clearer picture of weak-form market efficiency in Bitcoin?," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(3), pages 373-386, September.
    18. Cynthia Weiyi Cai & Rui Xue & Bi Zhou, 2023. "Cryptocurrency puzzles: a comprehensive review and re-introduction," Journal of Accounting Literature, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 46(1), pages 26-50, June.
    19. Umar, Muhammad & Shahzad, Fakhar & Ullah, Irfan & Fanghua, Tong, 2023. "A comparative analysis of cryptocurrency returns and economic policy uncertainty pre- and post-Covid-19," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    20. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Bouri, Elie & Ahmad, Tanveer & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "The pricing of bad contagion in cryptocurrencies: A four-factor pricing model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    21. Lin, Zih-Ying, 2021. "Investor attention and cryptocurrency performance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    22. David L. John & Sebastian Binnewies & Bela Stantic, 2024. "Cryptocurrency Price Prediction Algorithms: A Survey and Future Directions," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-35, August.
    23. Ihsan Erdem Kayral & Ahmed Jeribi & Sahar Loukil, 2023. "Are Bitcoin and Gold a Safe Haven during COVID-19 and the 2022 Russia–Ukraine War?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-22, April.
    24. Fahad Mostafa & Pritam Saha & Mohammad Rafiqul Islam & Nguyet Nguyen, 2021. "GJR-GARCH Volatility Modeling under NIG and ANN for Predicting Top Cryptocurrencies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-22, September.
    25. Antonín Korauš & Miroslav Gombár & Alena Vagaská & Radovan Bačík & Peter Korba & Filip Černák, 2021. "Bitcoin price as one of basic cryptocurrencies in relation to the basic stock market's indicators," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 9(2), pages 552-569, December.
    26. Saggu, Aman, 2022. "The Intraday Bitcoin Response to Tether Minting and Burning Events: Asymmetry, Investor Sentiment, and “Whale Alerts” on Twitter," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    27. Weige Huang & Xiang Gao, 2023. "Forecasting Bitcoin Futures: A Lasso-BMA Two-Step Predictor Selection for Investment and Hedging Strategies," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(1), pages 21582440231, January.
    28. Tomas Pečiulis & Nisar Ahmad & Angeliki N. Menegaki & Aqsa Bibi, 2024. "Forecasting of cryptocurrencies: Mapping trends, influential sources, and research themes," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 1880-1901, September.
    29. Dey, Asim K. & Hoque, G.M. Toufiqul & Das, Kumer P. & Panovska, Irina, 2022. "Impacts of COVID-19 local spread and Google search trend on the US stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 589(C).
    30. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Bitcoin: The Role of the Trade War," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 29-53, January.
    31. Bui, Mai & Pham, Huy & Nguyen Thanh, Binh & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2024. "Revisiting the determinants of cryptocurrency excess return: Does scarcity matter?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PC).
    32. Zhang, Pengcheng & Kong, Deli & Xu, Kunpeng & Qi, Jiayin, 2024. "Global economic policy uncertainty and the stability of cryptocurrency returns: The role of liquidity volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    33. Gerritsen, Dirk F. & Lugtigheid, Rick A.C. & Walther, Thomas, 2022. "Can Bitcoin Investors Profit from Predictions by Crypto Experts?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    34. Kumar Kulbhaskar, Anamika & Subramaniam, Sowmya, 2023. "Breaking news headlines: Impact on trading activity in the cryptocurrency market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    35. Umar, Muhammad & Su, Chi-Wei & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Shao, Xue-Feng, 2021. "Bitcoin: A safe haven asset and a winner amid political and economic uncertainties in the US?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    36. Ngo Thai Hung & Toan Luu Duc Huynh & Muhammad Ali Nasir, 2024. "Cryptocurrencies in an uncertain world: Comprehensive insights from a wide range of uncertainty indices," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 3811-3825, July.
    37. Mokni, Khaled & Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen & Bouri, Elie & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and the Bitcoin-US stock nexus," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 57.
    38. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "The Nexus of Sophisticated Digital Assets with Economic Policy Uncertainty: A Survey of Empirical Findings and an Empirical Investigation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-25, May.

  201. Massimiliano Caporin & Rangan Gupta & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2019. "Contagion between Real Estate and Financial Markets: A Bayesian Quantile-on-Quantile Approach," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS61, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Iacopini & Francesco Ravazzolo & Luca Rossini, 2022. "Bayesian Multivariate Quantile Regression with alternative Time-varying Volatility Specifications," Papers 2211.16121, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
    2. Montassar Riahi & Sophie Nivoix & Olfa Belhassine, 2025. "A wavelet coherence approach to analyze contagion between equity markets during three major crises," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 45(1), pages 139-149.
    3. Walid Mensi & Zhuhua Jiang & Xuan Vinh Vo & Seong‐Min Yoon, 2023. "Asymmetric volatility transmission and hedging strategies among REIT, stock, and oil markets," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(4), pages 597-615, December.
    4. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2024. "High-Frequency Contagion between Aggregate and Regional Housing Markets of the United States with Financial Assets: Evidence from Multichannel Tests," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(2), pages 253-276, August.
    6. Kola Ijasan & Peterson Owusu Junior & George Tweneboah & Tunbosun Oyedokun & Anokye M. Adam, 2021. "Analysing the relationship between global REITs and exchange rates: Fresh evidence from frequency-based quantile regressions," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(3), pages 58-91, September.
    7. Wang, Peiwan & Zong, Lu, 2020. "Contagion effects and risk transmission channels in the housing, stock, interest rate and currency markets: An Empirical Study in China and the U.S," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    8. Cheng, Tingting & Liu, Fei & Liu, Junli & Yao, Wenying, 2024. "Tail connectedness: Measuring the volatility connectedness network of equity markets during crises," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    9. Zheng Zheng Li & Chi-Wei Su, 2023. "How does real estate market react to the iron ore boom in Australian capital cities?," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 71(2), pages 517-537, October.
    10. Wen Chang, Hao & Chang, Tsangyao, 2023. "How oil price and exchange rate affect stock price in China using Bayesian Quantile_on_Quantile with GARCH approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    11. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin J., 2023. "On the connection between international REITs and oil markets: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    12. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin & Özkan, Oktay, 2024. "Is geopolitical oil price uncertainty forcing the world to use energy more efficiently? Evidence from advanced statistical methods," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 908-919.
    13. Asima Siddique & Ghulam Mujtaba Kayani & Saira Ashfaq, 2021. "Does Heterogeneity in COVID-19 News Affect Asset Market? Monte-Carlo Simulation Based Wavelet Transform," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-16, October.
    14. Yousaf, Imran & Assaf, Ata & Demir, Ender, 2024. "Relationship between real estate tokens and other asset classes: Evidence from quantile connectedness approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).

  202. Asai, M. & Gupta, R. & McAleer, M.J., 2019. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2019-16, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price," Working Papers 202009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020. "Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
    3. Bouri, Elie & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Forecasting power of infectious diseases-related uncertainty for gold realized variance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "El Nino, La Nina, and the Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Heating Oil Price Movements," Working Papers 202138, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    7. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Multi-Task Forecasting of the Realized Volatilities of Agricultural Commodity Prices," Working Papers 202423, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Khan, Asad ul Islam & Mubarak, Muhammad Shujaat, 2023. "Roling-window bounds testing approach to analyze the relationship between oil prices and metal prices," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 388-395.
    9. Donghua Wang & Tianhui Fang, 2022. "Forecasting Crude Oil Prices with a WT-FNN Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-21, March.
    10. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Riza Demirer & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Risk aversion and the predictability of crude oil market volatility: A forecasting experiment with random forests," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 73(8), pages 1755-1767, August.
    12. Bonato, Matteo & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "A note on investor happiness and the predictability of realized volatility of gold," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    13. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    14. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "The predictive power of oil price shocks on realized volatility of oil: A note," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    16. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    17. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Climate risks and forecastability of the realized volatility of gold and other metal prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    18. Song, Yuping & Huang, Jiefei & Zhang, Qichao & Xu, Yang, 2024. "Heterogeneity effect of positive and negative jumps on the realized volatility: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    19. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    20. Hanif, Waqas & Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh & BenSaïda, Ahmed & Hernandez, Jose Arreola & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2023. "Dependence and risk management of portfolios of metals and agricultural commodity futures," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    21. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Moments-Based Spillovers across Gold and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201966, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "OPEC News and Jumps in the Oil Market," Working Papers 202053, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus, 2022. "Rare disaster risks and gold over 700 years: Evidence from nonparametric quantile regressions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    24. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    25. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2021. "A note on oil price shocks and the forecastability of gold realized volatility," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(21), pages 1889-1897, December.
    26. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    27. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Infectious Diseases, Market Uncertainty and Oil Market Volatility," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-8, August.
    28. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "The Role of Global Economic Conditions in Forecasting Gold Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202043, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).

  203. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2019. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Volatility Jumps in Advanced Equity Markets," Working Papers 201939, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Matthew W. Clance & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei, 2020. "Predicting Firm-Level Volatility in the United States: The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 202007, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  204. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Oil-Price Volatility: The Role of Financial Stress and Asymmetric Loss," Working Papers 201903, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price," Working Papers 202009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Yan, Xiang & Bai, Jiancheng & Li, Xiafei & Chen, Zhonglu, 2022. "Can dimensional reduction technology make better use of the information of uncertainty indices when predicting volatility of Chinese crude oil futures?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    3. Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020. "Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
    4. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu, 2020. "Coronavirus and oil price crash," Working Papers hal-02507184, HAL.
    5. Christos Floros & Konstantinos Gkillas & Christoforos Konstantatos & Athanasios Tsagkanos, 2020. "Realized Measures to Explain Volatility Changes over Time," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-19, June.
    6. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Oil tail risks and the forecastability of the realized variance of oil-price: Evidence from over 150 years of data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    7. Xu, Zhiwei & Gan, Shiqi & Hua, Xia & Xiong, Yujie, 2024. "Can the sentiment of the official media predict the return volatility of the Chinese crude oil futures?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    8. Rangan Gupta & Yuvana Jaichand & Christian Pierdzioch & Reneé van Eyden, 2023. "Realized Stock-Market Volatility of the United States and the Presidential Approval Rating," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-27, July.
    9. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2024. "Unveiling interconnectedness: Exploring higher-order moments among energy, precious metals, industrial metals, and agricultural commodities in the context of geopolitical risks and systemic stress," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    11. Oumayma GHARBI & Yousra TRICHILI & Mouna BOUJELBENE ABBES, 2022. "Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the relationship between uncertainty factors, investor’s behavioral biases and the stock market reaction of US Fintech companies," Journal of Academic Finance, RED research unit, university of Gabes, Tunisia, vol. 13(1), pages 101-122, June.
    12. Riza Demirer & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Risk aversion and the predictability of crude oil market volatility: A forecasting experiment with random forests," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 73(8), pages 1755-1767, August.
    13. Hong, Yanran & Li, Pan & Wang, Lu & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "New evidence of extreme risk transmission between financial stress and international crude oil markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    14. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "Forecasting Oil Volatility Using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach: The Role of Global Economic Conditions," Working Papers 202051, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Konstantatos, Christoforos & Floros, Christos & Tsagkanos, Athanasios, 2021. "Realized volatility spillovers between US spot and futures during ECB news: Evidence from the European sovereign debt crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    16. Cao, Yanyan & Xiang, Shihui, 2023. "Natural resources volatility and causal associations for BRICS countries: Evidence from Covid-19 data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    17. Cheng, WeiJin & Ming, Kai & Ullah, Mirzat, 2024. "Oil price volatility prediction using out-of-sample analysis – Prediction efficiency of individual models, combination methods, and machine learning based shrinkage methods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 300(C).
    18. O-Chia Chuang & Chenxu Yang, 2022. "Identifying the Determinants of Crude Oil Market Volatility by the Multivariate GARCH-MIDAS Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-14, April.
    19. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "Global Financial Cycle and the Predictability of Oil Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Model," Working Papers 202121, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    20. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    21. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Mengxi He & Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang & Danyan Wen, 2024. "Modelling and forecasting crude oil price volatility with climate policy uncertainty," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-10, December.
    23. Ding, Qian & Huang, Jianbai & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "The time-varying effects of financial and geopolitical uncertainties on commodity market dynamics: A TVP-SVAR-SV analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    24. He, Huizi & Sun, Mei & Li, Xiuming & Mensah, Isaac Adjei, 2022. "A novel crude oil price trend prediction method: Machine learning classification algorithm based on multi-modal data features," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 244(PA).
    25. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "A Note on Forecasting the Historical Realized Variance of Oil-Price Movements: The Role of Gold-to-Silver and Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratios," Working Papers 202158, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    26. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "The predictive power of oil price shocks on realized volatility of oil: A note," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    27. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    28. Atri, Hanen & Kouki, Saoussen & Gallali, Mohamed imen, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 news, panic and media coverage on the oil and gold prices: An ARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    29. Wen-Jie Liu & Yu-Ting Bai & Xue-Bo Jin & Ting-Li Su & Jian-Lei Kong, 2022. "Adaptive Broad Echo State Network for Nonstationary Time Series Forecasting," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(17), pages 1-21, September.
    30. Chen, Jinyu & Wang, Yilin & Ren, Xiaohang, 2023. "Asymmetric effect of financial stress on China’s precious metals market: Evidence from a quantile-on-quantile regression," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    31. Zhang, Hongwei & Wang, Peijin, 2021. "Does Bitcoin or gold react to financial stress alike? Evidence from the U.S. and China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 629-648.
    32. Liu, Min, 2022. "The driving forces of green bond market volatility and the response of the market to the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 288-309.
    33. Dagher, Leila & Hasanov, Fakhri, 2022. "Oil Market Shocks and Financial Instability in Asian Countries," MPRA Paper 116079, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    34. Liang, Chao & Luo, Qin & Li, Yan & Huynh, Luu Duc Toan, 2023. "Global financial stress index and long-term volatility forecast for international stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    35. Hong, Yanran & Yu, Jize & Su, Yuquan & Wang, Lu, 2023. "Southern oscillation: Great value of its trends for forecasting crude oil spot price volatility," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 358-368.
    36. Yan, Juan & Haroon, Muhammad, 2023. "Financing efficiency in natural resource markets mobilizing private and public capital for a green recovery," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    37. Evangelos Liaras & Michail Nerantzidis & Antonios Alexandridis, 2024. "Machine learning in accounting and finance research: a literature review," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 1431-1471, November.
    38. Chi, Yeguang & El-Jahel, Lina & Vu, Thanh, 2024. "Novel and old news sentiment in commodity futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    39. Xiao, Jihong & Wang, Yudong, 2022. "Good oil volatility, bad oil volatility, and stock return predictability," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 953-966.
    40. Guliyev, Hasraddin & Mustafayev, Eldayag, 2022. "Predicting the changes in the WTI crude oil price dynamics using machine learning models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    41. Awasthi, Kritika & Ahmad, Wasim & Rahman, Abdul & Phani, B.V., 2020. "When US sneezes, clichés spread: How do the commodity index funds react then?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    42. Ali, Mohsin & Alam, Nafis & Rizvi, Syed Aun R., 2020. "Coronavirus (COVID-19) — An epidemic or pandemic for financial markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    43. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Moments-Based Spillovers across Gold and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201966, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    44. Konstantinos Gkillas & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2020. "Spillovers in Higher-Order Moments of Crude Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin," Working Papers 202068, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    45. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "OPEC News and Jumps in the Oil Market," Working Papers 202053, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    46. Hong, Yanran & Wang, Lu & Liang, Chao & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "Impact of financial instability on international crude oil volatility: New sight from a regime-switching framework," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    47. Ma, Yong & Li, Shuaibing & Zhou, Mingtao, 2025. "Twitter-based market uncertainty and global stock volatility predictability," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    48. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Mixed‐frequency forecasting of crude oil volatility based on the information content of global economic conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 134-157, January.
    49. Wen, Jun & Mughal, Nafeesa & Kashif, Maryam & Jain, Vipin & Ramos Meza, Carlos Samuel & Cong, Phan The, 2022. "Volatility in natural resources prices and economic performance: Evidence from BRICS economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    50. Choi, Sun-Yong, 2024. "Sectoral responses to economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk in the US stock market," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    51. Niu, Zibo & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Hongwei, 2022. "The role of uncertainty measures in volatility forecasting of the crude oil futures market before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    52. Shahzad, Umer & Mohammed, Kamel Si & Tiwari, Sunil & Nakonieczny, Joanna & Nesterowicz, Renata, 2023. "Connectedness between geopolitical risk, financial instability indices and precious metals markets: Novel findings from Russia Ukraine conflict perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    53. Fiszeder, Piotr & Fałdziński, Marcin & Molnár, Peter, 2023. "Attention to oil prices and its impact on the oil, gold and stock markets and their covariance," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    54. Cui, Lianbiao & Weng, Shimei & Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Bashir, Muhammad Adnan & Rjoub, Husam & Zhou, Yuanxiang, 2021. "Exploring the role of natural resources, natural gas and oil production for economic growth of China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    55. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    56. Huang, Jionghao & Li, Ziruo & Xia, Xiaohua, 2021. "Network diffusion of international oil volatility risk in China's stock market: Quantile interconnectedness modelling and shock decomposition analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 1-39.
    57. Taicir Mezghani & Mouna Boujelbène Abbes, 2023. "Forecast the Role of GCC Financial Stress on Oil Market and GCC Financial Markets Using Convolutional Neural Networks," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(3), pages 505-530, September.
    58. Liang, Xuedong & Luo, Peng & Li, Xiaoyan & Wang, Xia & Shu, Lingli, 2023. "Crude oil price prediction using deep reinforcement learning," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    59. Sha Zhu & Fujun Lai & Jie Deng & Qian Wang, 2021. "Do Mutual Funds’ Exposure to Financial Stress Predict Their Future Returns? Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(4), pages 21582440211, October.
    60. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark, 2021. "Financial stress, economic policy uncertainty, and oil price uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    61. Mei Huang & Qiuping Mou & Xiang Xian, 2024. "RETRACTED ARTICLE: Public administration reforms for effective energy transition governance: case studies and evaluations," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 1-21, June.
    62. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Bitcoin: The Role of the Trade War," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 29-53, January.
    63. Eirini Kostaridou & Nikolaos Siatis & Eleni Zafeiriou, 2024. "Resource Price Interconnections and the Impact of Geopolitical Shocks Using Granger Causality: A Case Study of Ukraine–Russia Unrest," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(6), pages 1-20, June.
    64. Alfeus, Mesias & Nikitopoulos, Christina Sklibosios, 2022. "Forecasting volatility in commodity markets with long-memory models," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    65. Li, Yan & Huynh, Luu Duc Toan & Xu, Yongan & Liang, Hao, 2023. "The forecast ability of a belief-based momentum indicator in full-day, daytime, and nighttime volatilities of Chinese oil futures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    66. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    67. Icaza, Daniel & Borge-Diez, David & Galindo, Santiago Pulla, 2022. "Analysis and proposal of energy planning and renewable energy plans in South America: Case study of Ecuador," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 314-342.
    68. Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2022. "Oil price volatility forecasts: What do investors need to know?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    69. Li, Xiafei & Liang, Chao & Chen, Zhonglu & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "Forecasting crude oil volatility with uncertainty indicators: New evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    70. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Infectious Diseases, Market Uncertainty and Oil Market Volatility," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-8, August.
    71. Liu, Min & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2021. "Capturing the dynamics of the China crude oil futures: Markov switching, co-movement, and volatility forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    72. Liang, Chao & Huynh, Luu Duc Toan & Li, Yan, 2023. "Market momentum amplifies market volatility risk: Evidence from China’s equity market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    73. Yang, Kun & Wei, Yu & Li, Shouwei & Liu, Liang & Wang, Lei, 2021. "Global financial uncertainties and China’s crude oil futures market: Evidence from interday and intraday price dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    74. Das, Debojyoti & Maitra, Debasish & Dutta, Anupam & Basu, Sankarshan, 2022. "Financial stress and crude oil implied volatility: New evidence from continuous wavelet transformation framework," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    75. Liu, Min & Liu, Hong-Fei & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2024. "An empirical study on the response of the energy market to the shock from the artificial intelligence industry," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    76. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    77. Mohsin, Muhammad & Jamaani, Fouad, 2023. "A novel deep-learning technique for forecasting oil price volatility using historical prices of five precious metals in context of green financing – A comparison of deep learning, machine learning, an," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    78. Xu, Yahua & Bouri, Elie & Saeed, Tareq & Wen, Zhuzhu, 2020. "Intraday return predictability: Evidence from commodity ETFs and their related volatility indices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    79. Konstantinos Gkillas & Christoforos Konstantatos & Costas Siriopoulos, 2021. "Uncertainty Due to Infectious Diseases and Stock–Bond Correlation," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-18, April.
    80. Danyan Wen & Mengxi He & Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang, 2022. "Forecasting realized volatility of Chinese stock market: A simple but efficient truncated approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 230-251, March.
    81. Muhammad Luqman & Yafei Li, 2024. "Can oil prices affect economic uncertainty and financial stress? Quantile-based evidence from France and Germany," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(6), pages 1-23, December.
    82. Li, Li & Chen, Hongyi & Xiang, Jingjie, 2023. "Oil price uncertainty, financial distress and real economic activities: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).

  205. Yener Coskun & Christos Bouras & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Multi-Horizon Financial and Housing Wealth Effects across the U.S. States," Working Papers 201958, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Pierfrancesco De Paola & Francesco Tajani & Marco Locurcio, 2021. "Sustainable Real Estate: Management, Assessment and Innovations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-6, April.

  206. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Contagion between Stock and Real Estate Markets: International Evidence from a Local Gaussian Correlation Approach," Working Papers 201917, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Imran Yousaf & Shoaib Ali, 2020. "Integration between real estate and stock markets: new evidence from Pakistan," International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(5), pages 887-900, April.
    3. Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2024. "High-Frequency Contagion between Aggregate and Regional Housing Markets of the United States with Financial Assets: Evidence from Multichannel Tests," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(2), pages 253-276, August.
    4. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin J., 2023. "On the connection between international REITs and oil markets: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).

  207. Rangan Gupta & Philton Makena, 2019. "Inflation Aversion and the Growth-Inflation Relationship," Working Papers 201920, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Biškupec Petra Popek & Ružić Ivan, 2023. "Confronting the Inflationary Pressures of Introducing the Euro with the Effects of Negative External Shocks," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 23(1), pages 194-207, June.

  208. Semih Emre Cekin & Besma Hkiri & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "The Relationship between Monetary Policy and Uncertainty in Advanced Economies: Evidence from Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 201904, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2023. "The role of oil and risk shocks in the high‐frequency movements of the term structure of interest rates: Evidence from the U.S. Treasury market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1845-1857, April.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Huseyin Ozdemir & Gurcan Aygun & Mark E. Wohar, 2022. "Effectiveness of monetary policy under the high and low economic uncertainty states: evidence from the major Asian economies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 1741-1769, October.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "The Role of Oil and Risk Shocks in the High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States," Working Papers 202063, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  209. Alex Plastun & Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Historical Evolution of Monthly Anomalies in International Stock Markets," Working Papers 201950, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Qadan, Mahmoud & Nisani, Doron & Eichel, Ron, 2022. "Irregularities in forward-looking volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 489-501.
    2. Potrykus Marcin & Augustynowicz Urszula, 2024. "The “autumn effect” in the gold market—does it contradict the Adaptive Market Hypothesis?," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 60(3), pages 157-172.
    3. Ivan S. Blahun & Lesia Dmytryshyn & Ivan I. Blahun & Semen Blahun, 2022. "Stock Indices as Indicators of Market Efficiency and Interaction," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 8, pages 87-106.
    4. Plastun, Alex & Bouri, Elie & Havrylina, Ahniia & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Calendar anomalies in passion investments: Price patterns and profit opportunities," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).

  210. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Gold Volatility: Is there a Role of Geopolitical Risks?," Working Papers 201943, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020. "Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
    2. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium using news-based economic policy uncertainty: Not all uncertainty changes are equally important," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    3. Bouri, Elie & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Forecasting power of infectious diseases-related uncertainty for gold realized variance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    4. Christos Floros & Konstantinos Gkillas & Christoforos Konstantatos & Athanasios Tsagkanos, 2020. "Realized Measures to Explain Volatility Changes over Time," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-19, June.
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "El Nino, La Nina, and the Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Heating Oil Price Movements," Working Papers 202138, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Ren, Xiaohang & Cao, Yuxuan & Liu, Pei Jose & Han, Dun, 2023. "Does geopolitical risk affect firms' idiosyncratic volatility? Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    8. Li, Yingli & Huang, Jianbai & Chen, Jinyu, 2021. "Dynamic spillovers of geopolitical risks and gold prices: New evidence from 18 emerging economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    9. Faheem Aslam & Paulo Ferreira & Haider Ali & Ana Ercília José, 2022. "Application of Multifractal Analysis in Estimating the Reaction of Energy Markets to Geopolitical Acts and Threats," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-23, May.
    10. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Khan, Asad ul Islam & Mubarak, Muhammad Shujaat, 2023. "Roling-window bounds testing approach to analyze the relationship between oil prices and metal prices," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 388-395.
    11. Li, Xiafei & Liao, Yin & Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng, 2022. "An oil futures volatility forecast perspective on the selection of high-frequency jump tests," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    12. Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Demir, Ender & Zaremba, Adam, 2022. "Hedging Geopolitical Risks with Different Asset Classes: A Focus on the Russian Invasion of Ukraine," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    13. Guo, Changrong & Zhang, Xiangyu & Raza, Syed Ali & Masood, Amna, 2024. "Asymmetrical connectedness between infectious diseases-related equity market volatility and prices of precious metals," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    14. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    16. Thanoj K. Muddana & Komal S.R. Bhimireddy & Anandamayee Majumdar & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Forecasting Gold Returns Volatility Over 1258-2023: The Role of Moments," Working Papers 202421, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Sisa Shiba & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Samrat Goswami, 2022. "Forecastability of Agricultural Commodity Futures Realised Volatility with Daily Infectious Disease-Related Uncertainty," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-15, November.
    18. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2022. "A moving average heterogeneous autoregressive model for forecasting the realized volatility of the US stock market: Evidence from over a century of data," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 384-400, January.
    19. Kamal, Javed Bin & Wohar, Mark & Kamal, Khaled Bin, 2022. "Do gold, oil, equities, and currencies hedge economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks during covid crisis?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    20. Bonato, Matteo & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "A note on investor happiness and the predictability of realized volatility of gold," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    21. Li, Songsong & Zhang, Weiqian & Zhang, Wei, 2023. "Dynamic time-frequency connectedness and risk spillover between geopolitical risks and natural resources," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    22. Li, Xin & Tong, Yan & Zhong, Kai & Xu, Guoquan & Zhao, Wenyi, 2024. "Geopolitical risk and foreign subsidiary performance of emerging market multinationals," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    23. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "A Note on Forecasting the Historical Realized Variance of Oil-Price Movements: The Role of Gold-to-Silver and Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratios," Working Papers 202158, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    25. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Climate risks and forecastability of the realized volatility of gold and other metal prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    26. Chen, Wang & Lu, Xinjie & Wang, Jiqian, 2022. "Modeling and managing stock market volatility using MRS-MIDAS model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 625-635.
    27. Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "Predicting equity premium out-of-sample by conditioning on newspaper-based uncertainty measures: A comparative study," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    28. Theophilus Teye Osah & Andre Varella Mollick, 2023. "Stock and oil price returns in international markets: Identifying short and long-run effects," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(1), pages 116-141, March.
    29. Văn, Lê & Bảo, Nguyễn Khắc Quốc, 2022. "The relationship between global stock and precious metals under Covid-19 and happiness perspectives," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    30. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Tran, Vuong Thao & Iyke, Bernard Njindan, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and bank stability," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    31. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Polat, Ali Yavuz & Tekin, Hasan & Tunalı, Ahmet Semih, 2022. "The Ascent of Geopolitics: Scientometric Analysis and Ramifications of Geopolitical Risk," MPRA Paper 112741, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    32. Shang, Yue & Wei, Yu & Chen, Yongfei, 2022. "Cryptocurrency policy uncertainty and gold return forecasting: A dynamic Occam's window approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    33. Song, Yuping & Huang, Jiefei & Zhang, Qichao & Xu, Yang, 2024. "Heterogeneity effect of positive and negative jumps on the realized volatility: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    34. Salisu, Afees A. & Adediran, Idris & Omoke, Philip C. & Tchankam, Jean Paul, 2023. "Gold and tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    35. Zhou, Mei-Jing & Huang, Jian-Bai & Chen, Jin-Yu, 2022. "Time and frequency spillovers between political risk and the stock returns of China's rare earths," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    36. Li, Xiafei & Guo, Qiang & Liang, Chao & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "Forecasting gold volatility with geopolitical risk indices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    37. Song, Yu & Song, Yanqiu & Chang, Shiwei & He, Lele, 2024. "The role of gold in terrorism: Risk aversion or financing source?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    38. Xiafei Li & Dongxin Li & Xuhui Zhang & Guiwu Wei & Lan Bai & Yu Wei, 2021. "Forecasting regular and extreme gold price volatility: The roles of asymmetry, extreme event, and jump," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(8), pages 1501-1523, December.
    39. Zhang, Yaojie & He, Mengxi & Wang, Yudong & Wen, Danyan, 2025. "Model specification for volatility forecasting benchmark," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    40. Yang, Jianlei & Yang, Chunpeng, 2021. "The impact of mixed-frequency geopolitical risk on stock market returns," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 226-240.
    41. Meng QIN, 2024. "The essential role of U.S.-China tensions: a fresh insight into the gold market," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(4(641), W), pages 227-246, Winter.
    42. Wang, Xueting & Wang, Man & Wu, Haoran, 2024. "Geopolitical risk and corporate cash Holdings in China: Precautionary motive and agency problem perspectives," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    43. Salisu, Afees A. & Cuñado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Geopolitical risks and historical exchange rate volatility of the BRICS," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 179-190.
    44. Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jianqiong & Dong, Dayong, 2022. "Singlehanded or joint race? Stock market volatility prediction," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 734-754.
    45. Cheng, Sheng & Zhang, Zongyou & Cao, Yan, 2022. "Can precious metals hedge geopolitical risk? Fresh sight using wavelet coherence analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    46. Konstantinos Gkillas & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2020. "Spillovers in Higher-Order Moments of Crude Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin," Working Papers 202068, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    47. Ye, Chuxin & Lv, Jiamin & Xue, Yinsong & Luo, Xingguo, 2023. "Intraday volatility predictability in china gold futures market: The case of last half-hour realized volatility forecasting," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    48. Haque, Tariq & Pham, Thu Phuong & Yang, Jiaxin, 2023. "Geopolitical risk, financial constraints, and tax avoidance," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    49. Zhang, Hongwei & Demirer, Riza & Huang, Jianbai & Huang, Wanjun & Tahir Suleman, Muhammad, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and gold return dynamics: Evidence from high-frequency data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    50. Zaremba, Adam & Cakici, Nusret & Demir, Ender & Long, Huaigang, 2022. "When bad news is good news: Geopolitical risk and the cross-section of emerging market stock returns," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    51. Zhou, Mei-Jing & Huang, Jian-Bai & Chen, Jin-Yu, 2020. "The effects of geopolitical risks on the stock dynamics of China's rare metals: A TVP-VAR analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    52. Cheng, Sheng & Han, Lingyu & Cao, Yan & Jiang, Qisheng & Liang, Ruibin, 2022. "Gold-oil dynamic relationship and the asymmetric role of geopolitical risks: Evidence from Bayesian pdBEKK-GARCH with regime switching," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    53. Foglia, Matteo & Palomba, Giulio & Tedeschi, Marco, 2023. "Disentangling the geopolitical risk and its effects on commodities. Evidence from a panel of G8 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    54. Christian Pierdzioch & Sebastian Rohloff & Roland von Campe, 2023. "The stance of U.S. monetary policy and the realized variance of gold-price returns," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(2), pages 719-732.
    55. Gong, Xu & Xu, Jun, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and dynamic connectedness between commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    56. Mo, Bin & Zeng, Haiyu & Meng, Juan & Ding, Shaokai, 2024. "The connectedness between uncertainty and exchange rates of oil import countries: new evidence from time and frequency perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    57. Reboredo, Juan C. & Ugolini, Andrea, 2024. "The impact of uncertainty shocks on energy transition metal prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    58. Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Revisiting the Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Tunisia: Carbon Dioxide vs. Ecological Footprint," Working Papers 202171, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    59. Díaz, Juan D. & Hansen, Erwin & Cabrera, Gabriel, 2023. "Gold risk premium estimation with machine learning methods," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    60. Pattnaik, Debidutta & Hassan, M. Kabir & DSouza, Arun & Ashraf, Ali, 2023. "Investment in gold: A bibliometric review and agenda for future research," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    61. Wang, Lu & Wu, Jiangbin & Cao, Yang & Hong, Yanran, 2022. "Forecasting renewable energy stock volatility using short and long-term Markov switching GARCH-MIDAS models: Either, neither or both?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    62. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2021. "A note on oil price shocks and the forecastability of gold realized volatility," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(21), pages 1889-1897, December.
    63. Li, Yingli & Huang, Jianbai & Gao, Wang & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "Analyzing the time-frequency connectedness among oil, gold prices and BRICS geopolitical risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    64. Gunay, Samet & Kirimhan, Destan & Cevik, Emrah Ismail, 2024. "Commodity market downturn: Systemic risk and spillovers during left tail events," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    65. Choi, Sun-Yong, 2022. "Evidence from a multiple and partial wavelet analysis on the impact of geopolitical concerns on stock markets in North-East Asian countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    66. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "The Role of Global Economic Conditions in Forecasting Gold Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202043, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    67. Liu, Yanqiong & Guo, Yaoqi & Wei, Qing, 2024. "Time-varying and multi-scale analysis of copper price influencing factors based on LASSO and EMD methods," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    68. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Forecasting Realized Stock-Market Volatility: Do Industry Returns have Predictive Value?," Working Papers 2020107, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    69. Xu, Yahua & Bouri, Elie & Saeed, Tareq & Wen, Zhuzhu, 2020. "Intraday return predictability: Evidence from commodity ETFs and their related volatility indices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    70. Hu, Min & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang & Wei, Lijian, 2020. "Macro factors and the realized volatility of commodities: A dynamic network analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    71. Evrim Mandaci, Pınar & Azimli, Asil & Mandaci, Nazif, 2023. "The impact of geopolitical risks on connectedness among natural resource commodities: A quantile vector autoregressive approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    72. Fiorillo, Paolo & Meles, Antonio & Pellegrino, Luigi Raffaele & Verdoliva, Vincenzo, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and stock liquidity," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

  211. Joao F. Caldeira & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Hudson S. Torrent, 2019. "Forecasting the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the BRICS: Evidence from a Nonparametric Functional Data Analysis," Working Papers 201911, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2023. "The role of oil and risk shocks in the high‐frequency movements of the term structure of interest rates: Evidence from the U.S. Treasury market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1845-1857, April.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "The Role of Oil and Risk Shocks in the High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States," Working Papers 202063, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States: The Role of Oil Market Uncertainty," Working Papers 202085, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  212. Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2019. "125 Years of Time-Varying Effects of Fiscal Policy on Financial Markets," Working Papers 201956, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Andre & Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Fiscal Policy and Stock Markets at the Effective Lower Bound," Working Papers 202309, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Working Papers 202126, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Hardik A. Marfatia & Christophe André & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Predicting Housing Market Sentiment: The Role of Financial, Macroeconomic and Real Estate Uncertainties," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 189-209, May.
    5. Polyzos, Efstathios, 2022. "Examining the asymmetric impact of macroeconomic policy in the UAE: Evidence from quartile impulse responses and machine learning," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    6. Centinaio, Alessandra & Pacicco, Fausto & Serati, Massimiliano & Venegoni, Andrea, 2024. "Government decisions and macroeconomic stability: Fiscal policies and financial market fluctuations," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).

  213. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Variants of Consumption-Wealth Ratios and Predictability of U.S. Government Bond Risk Premia: Old is still Gold," Working Papers 201912, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Bouri, Elie & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bond risk premia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    3. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Guney, I. Ethem & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "The role of an aligned investor sentiment index in predicting bond risk premia of the U.S," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).

  214. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Bitcoin Returns: Tail Events and Asymmetric Loss," Working Papers 201905, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sapkota, Niranjan, 2022. "News-based sentiment and bitcoin volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. Efstathios Polyzos & Costas Siriopoulos, 2024. "Autoregressive Random Forests: Machine Learning and Lag Selection for Financial Research," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(1), pages 225-262, July.
    3. Maki, Daiki, 2024. "Forecasting downside and upside realized volatility: The role of asymmetric information," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    4. Rao, Amar & Dev, Dhairya & Kharbanda, Aeshna & Parihar, Jaya Singh & Sala, Dariusz, 2024. "Mineral policy and sustainable development goals: Volatility forecasting in the Global South's minerals market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    5. Skander Slim & Ibrahim Tabche & Yosra Koubaa & Mohamed Osman & Andreas Karathanasopoulos, 2023. "Forecasting realized volatility of Bitcoin: The informative role of price duration," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1909-1929, November.
    6. Lei Wang & Provash Kumer Sarker & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Short- and Long-Term Interactions Between Bitcoin and Economic Variables: Evidence from the US," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(4), pages 1305-1330, April.
    7. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Uncertainty and forecastability of regional output growth in the UK: Evidence from machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1049-1064, September.
    8. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Business Applications and State-Level Stock Market Realized Volatility: A Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202247, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Xiaolong Tang & Yuping Song & Xingrui Jiao & Yankun Sun, 2024. "On Forecasting Realized Volatility for Bitcoin Based on Deep Learning PSO–GRU Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(5), pages 2011-2033, May.
    10. Ma, Yong & Li, Shuaibing & Zhou, Mingtao, 2025. "Twitter-based market uncertainty and global stock volatility predictability," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    11. Suwan (Cheng) Long & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer & Brian Lucey, 2024. "Do social media sentiments drive cryptocurrency intraday price volatility? New evidence from asymmetric TVP-VAR frequency connectedness measures," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(13), pages 1470-1489, September.
    12. Muhammad Ikhlas Rosele & Abdul Muneem & Azizi Bin Che Seman & Luqman Bin Haji Abdullah & Noor Naemah Binti Abdul Rahman & Mohd Edil Bin Abd Sukor & Abdul Karim Bin Ali, 2022. "The Concept of Wealth (mÄ l) in the SharÄ«Ê¿ah and Its Relation to Digital Assets," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, June.
    13. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Bitcoin: The Role of the Trade War," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 29-53, January.
    14. Konstantinos Gkillas & Christoforos Konstantatos & Costas Siriopoulos, 2021. "Uncertainty Due to Infectious Diseases and Stock–Bond Correlation," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-18, April.
    15. Arthur Jin Lin, 2023. "Volatility Contagion from Bulk Shipping and Petrochemical Industries to Oil Futures Market during the Economic Uncertainty," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-19, August.

  215. Mehmet Balcilar & George Ike & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Output Growth in Emerging Markets: A Mixed-Frequency Granger Causality Approach," Working Papers 201975, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Eugene Msizi Buthelezi, 2023. "Dynamics of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Economic Growth in the Presence of Fiscal Consolidation in South Africa from 1994 to 2022," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-24, April.
    2. Rasool Dehghanzadeh Shahabad & Mehmet Balcilar, 2022. "Modelling the Dynamic Interaction between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Commodity Prices in India: The Dynamic Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-21, May.
    3. Hong, Yanran & Xu, Pengfei & Wang, Lu & Pan, Zhigang, 2022. "Relationship between the news-based categorical economic policy uncertainty and US GDP: A mixed-frequency Granger-causality analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).

  216. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Spillovers across Macroeconomic, Financial and Real Estate Uncertainties: A Time-Varying Approach," Working Papers 201944, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Giannellis, Nikolaos, 2022. "On bank return and volatility spillovers: Identifying transmitters and receivers during crisis periods," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 156-176.
    2. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Konstantatos, Christoforos & Floros, Christos & Tsagkanos, Athanasios, 2021. "Realized volatility spillovers between US spot and futures during ECB news: Evidence from the European sovereign debt crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    3. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Brahim, Mariem & Carlotti, Jean-Etienne & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Mensi, Walid, 2024. "Extreme downside risk connectedness and portfolio hedging among the G10 currencies," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    5. Golitsis, Petros & Gkasis, Pavlos & Bellos, Sotirios K., 2022. "Dynamic spillovers and linkages between gold, crude oil, S&P 500, and other economic and financial variables. Evidence from the USA," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    6. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Dogah, Kingsley E., 2021. "Effect of trade and economic policy uncertainties on regional systemic risk: Evidence from ASEAN," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    8. Nong, Huifu, 2024. "Analyzing the Role of the Real Estate Sector in the Sectoral Network of the Chinese Economy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 567-580.
    9. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Christophe Andre & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Housing Returns and Volatility: Evidence from US State-Level Data," Working Papers 202131, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil shocks and directional predictability of macroeconomic uncertainties of developed economies: Evidence from high‐frequency data†," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 69(2), pages 169-185, May.
    11. Chen, Yanhui & Zhou, Xiaoyu & Chen, Shun & Mi, Jackson Jinhong, 2024. "LNG freight rate and LNG price, carbon price, geopolitical risk: A dynamic connectedness analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
    12. Ren, Xiaohang & Xiao, Ya & Duan, Kun & Urquhart, Andrew, 2024. "Spillover effects between fossil energy and green markets: Evidence from informational inefficiency," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    13. Wang, Kai-Hua & Kan, Jia-Min & Qiu, Lianhong & Xu, Shulin, 2023. "Climate policy uncertainty, oil price and agricultural commodity: From quantile and time perspective," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 256-272.
    14. Cagli, Efe Caglar & Mandaci, Pinar Evrim, 2023. "Time and frequency connectedness of uncertainties in cryptocurrency, stock, currency, energy, and precious metals markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    15. Benjamin Kwakye & Chan Tze Haw, 2020. "Interplay of the Macroeconomy and Real Estate: Systematic Review of Literature," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 262-271.
    16. Mário Nuno Mata & Muhammad Najib Razali & Sónia R. Bentes & Isabel Vieira, 2021. "Volatility Spillover Effect of Pan-Asia’s Property Portfolio Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-20, June.
    17. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark, 2021. "Financial stress, economic policy uncertainty, and oil price uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    18. Lukasz Mach & Dariusz Zmarzly & Ireneusz Dabrowski & Pawel Fracz, 2020. "Comparison on Subannual Seasonality of Building Construction in European Countries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 241-257.
    19. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin J., 2023. "On the connection between international REITs and oil markets: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    20. Le, Thai Hong & Luong, Anh Tram, 2022. "Dynamic spillovers between oil price, stock market, and investor sentiment: Evidence from the United States and Vietnam," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    21. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Jacobus A Nel & Xin Sheng, 2020. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty Spillovers in Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 202005, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Zhang, Yulian & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2021. "Do news sentiment and the economic uncertainty caused by public health events impact macroeconomic indicators? Evidence from a TVP-VAR decomposition approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 145-162.
    23. Bouri, Elie & Saeed, Tareq & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Roubaud, David, 2021. "Quantile connectedness in the cryptocurrency market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    24. Zhang, Jiahao & Zhang, Yifeng & Wei, Yu & Wang, Zhuo, 2024. "Normal and extreme impact and connectedness between fossil energy futures markets and uncertainties: Does El Niño-Southern Oscillation matter?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 188-215.

  217. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Micheal Kofi Boachie & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Network Analysis of Economic and Financial Uncertainties in Advanced Economies: Evidence from Graph-Theory," Working Papers 201982, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Wei, Haoqiang & Yue, Guiling & Khan, Noor Ullah, 2024. "Uncovering the impact of Fintech, Natural Resources, Green Finance and Green Growth on Environment sustainability in BRICS: An MMQR analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    2. Feng, Jie & Gao, Junhong, 2023. "Natural resource curse hypothesis and governance: Understanding the role of rule of law and political risk in the context of China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    3. Song, Yi & Hao, Yuqing, 2024. "Understanding the relationship between Fintech, Natural Resources, Green Finance, and Environmental Sustainability in China: A BARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    4. Zeng, Li & Wong, Wing-Keung & Fu, Hu & Mahmoud, Haitham A. & Cong, Phan The & Thuy, Dinh Thi Thanh & Bach, Pham Xuan, 2024. "FinTech and sustainable financing for low carbon energy transitions: A biodiversity and natural resource perspective in BRICS economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    5. Feng, Shanshan & Li, Jianfeng & Nawi, Hafizah Mat & Alhamdi, Fuad Mohammed & Shamansurova, Zilola, 2024. "Assessing the nexus between fintech, natural resources, government effectiveness, and environmental pollution in China: A QARDL study," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    6. Ze, Fu & Wong, Wing-Keung & Alhasan, Tariq kamal & Al Shraah, Ata & Ali, Anis & Muda, Iskandar, 2023. "Economic development, natural resource utilization, GHG emissions and sustainable development: A case study of China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    7. Li, Xuetao & Jiang, Yufen & Xin, Xing & Nassani, Abdelmohsen A. & Yang, Chengying, 2024. "The asymmetric role of natural resources, fintech and green innovations in the Chinese economy. Evidence from QARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    8. Shan, Haipeng & Wong, Wing-Keung & Hu, Haichuan & Shraah, Ata Al & Alromaihi, Abdullah & The Cong, Phan & Thi Minh Uyen, Pham, 2024. "Fintech innovation for sustainable environment: Understanding the role of natural resources and human capital in BRICS using MMQR," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    9. Pu, Ganlin & Wong, Wing-Keung & Du, Qiang & Al Shraah, Ata & Alromaihi, Abdullah & Muda, Iskandar, 2024. "Asymmetric impact of natural resources, fintech, and digital banking on climate change and environmental sustainability in BRICS countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    10. Yang, Haili & Zou, Jiantao & Luo, Yueyue & Wang, Yuan & Qiu, Yunhua & Guo, Hao, 2024. "The role of fintech, natural resources, and energy use in shaping environmental sustainability in China: A QARDL perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    11. He, Bo & Jie, Wen & He, Haihong & Alsubih, Majed & Arnone, Gioia & Makhmudov, Samariddin, 2024. "From resources to resilience: How green innovation, fintech and natural resources shape sustainability in OECD countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    12. Gong, Xiaohui & Wong, Wing-Keung & Peng, Yiling & Khamdamov, Shoh-Jakhon & Albasher, Gadah & Hoa, Vu Tam & Thanh Nhan, Nguyen Thi, 2023. "Exploring an interdisciplinary approach to sustainable economic development in resource-rich regions: An investigation of resource productivity, technological innovation, and ecosystem resilience," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(PA).
    13. Yu, Dan & Wang, Shenghu & Yi, Yuting & Ren, Yu, 2024. "The role of fintech, natural resources and trade policy uncertainty towards SDGs in China: New insights from nonlinear approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    14. Deng, Ying & Cao, Zhitao & Yang, Na, 2024. "Understanding the nexus between fintech, natural resources, green investment, and environmental sustainability in China: A DYNARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    15. Li, Aihong & Li, Shuyan & Chen, Shuai & Sun, Xiaoqin, 2024. "The role of Fintech, natural resources, and renewable energy consumption in Shaping environmental sustainability in China: A NARDL perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    16. Wang, Feipeng & Wong, Wing-Keung & Wang, Zheng & Albasher, Gadah & Alsultan, Nouf & Fatemah, Ambreen, 2023. "Emerging pathways to sustainable economic development: An interdisciplinary exploration of resource efficiency, technological innovation, and ecosystem resilience in resource-rich regions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    17. Zhang, Mingming & Wong, Wing-Keung & Kim Oanh, Thai Thi & Muda, Iskandar & Islam, Saiful & Hishan, Sanil S. & Abduvaxitovna, Shamansurova Zilola, 2023. "Regulating environmental pollution through natural resources and technology innovation: Revisiting the environment Kuznet curve in China through quantile-based ARDL estimations," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    18. Wang, Xiang & Yin, Jian & Yang, Yao & Muda, Iskandar & Abduvaxitovna, Shamansurova Zilola & AlWadi, Belal Mahmoud & Castillo-Picon, Jorge & Abdul-Samad, Zulkiflee, 2023. "Relationship between the resource curse, Forest management and sustainable development and the importance of R&D Projects," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    19. Wei, Xuecheng & Hu, Weihua, 2023. "Revisiting resources curse hypothesis in China: Exploring the asymmetric effect of green investment and green innovation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    20. Xu, Anfeng & Jin, Lei & Yang, Jingzi, 2024. "Balancing tourism growth, Fintech, natural resources, and environmental sustainability: Findings from top tourist destinations using MMQR approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    21. Wu, Yingjia & Cao, Nannan & Muda, Iskandar & Rady, Ahmed & Abduvaxitovna, Shamansurova Zilola, 2024. "Financial development and natural resource nexus: Evaluating the importance of mineral in BRICS economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    22. Zhe, Dong & Su, Nan & Zhu, Xianglei & Mahmoud, Haitham A. & Akhtar, Tazeem, 2024. "Non-linear relationship between FinTech, natural resources, green innovation and environmental sustainability: Evidence from panel smooth transition regression model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    23. Li, Yi & Liu, Christy Ying Ni & Lao, Ut & Dang, Jiangtong, 2024. "Navigating the path to environmental sustainability: Exploring the role of fintech, natural resources and green energy in Belt and Road countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    24. Kai, Zhang & Sharaf, Mohamed & Wei, Siao-Yun & Shraah, Ata Al & Le, Luan Thanh & Arvind Bedekar, Dr Abhay & Bani Ahmad, Ahmad Y.A., 2024. "Exploring the asymmetric relationship between natural resources, fintech, remittance and environmental pollution for BRICS nations: New insights from MMQR approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    25. Dong, Yangzi & Wong, Wing-Keung & Muda, Iskandar & Cong, Phan The & Duong Hoang, Anh & Ghardallou, Wafa & Ha, Ngo Ngan, 2023. "Do natural resources utilization and economic development reduce greenhouse gas emissions through consuming renewable and Clean Technology? A case study of China towards sustainable development goals," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    26. Bu, Fan & wu, Hong & Mahmoud, Haitham A. & Alzoubi, Haitham M. & Ramazanovna, Nargiza Kuzieva & Gao, Yirui, 2023. "Do financial inclusion, natural resources and urbanization affect the sustainable environment in emerging economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(PA).
    27. Liu, Jiexian, 2024. "Analyzing the Co-movement of FinTech market efficiency and oil Resource efficiency: An Input-Output study," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    28. Wang, Xiaoran & Ibrahim, Haslindar, 2024. "Unveiling the effects of mineral markets, fintech and governance on business performance: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).

  218. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & I. Ethem Guney & M. Hasan Yilmaz, 2019. "Forecasting Local Currency Bond Risk Premia of Emerging Markets: The Role of Cross-Country Macro-Financial Linkages," Working Papers 201957, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Lien, Donald & Zhang, Jiewen & Yu, Xiaojian, 2022. "Effects of economic policy uncertainty: A regime switching connectedness approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    2. Ge, Futing & Zhang, Weiguo, 2022. "The determinants of cross-border bond risk premia," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).

  219. Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Time-Varying Risk Aversion and the Predictability of Bond Premia," Working Papers 201906, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Dai, Zhifeng & Chang, Xiaoming, 2021. "Forecasting stock market volatility: Can the risk aversion measure exert an important role?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    2. Xiao, Jihong & Wang, Yudong & Wen, Danyan, 2023. "The predictive effect of risk aversion on oil returns under different market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    3. Dai, Zhifeng & Kang, Jie, 2021. "Bond yield and crude oil prices predictability," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    4. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Subramaniam, Sowmya, 2021. "Time-varying risk aversion and forecastability of the US term structure of interest rates," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    5. Guidolin, Massimo & Hansen, Erwin & Cabrera, Gabriel, 2025. "Time-varying risk aversion and international stock returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    6. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & I. Ethem Guney & M. Hasan Yilmaz, 2019. "Forecasting Local Currency Bond Risk Premia of Emerging Markets: The Role of Cross-Country Macro-Financial Linkages," Working Papers 201957, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Bouri, Elie & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bond risk premia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    8. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Guney, I. Ethem & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "The role of an aligned investor sentiment index in predicting bond risk premia of the U.S," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    9. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wang, Shixuan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    10. Wu, Xinyu & Xie, Haibin & Zhang, Huanming, 2022. "Time-varying risk aversion and renminbi exchange rate volatility: Evidence from CARR-MIDAS model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).

  220. Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "Forecasting Volatility and Co-volatility of Crude Oil and Gold Futures: Effects of Leverage, Jumps, Spillovers, and Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 201951, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Xiao-Qing & Wu, Tong & Zhong, Huaming & Su, Chi-Wei, 2023. "Bubble behaviors in nickel price: What roles do geopolitical risk and speculation play?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    2. Assaf, Ata & Charif, Husni & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between uncertainty and energy markets: Do investor sentiments matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    3. Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price," Working Papers 202009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Bouri, Elie & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Forecasting power of infectious diseases-related uncertainty for gold realized variance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    5. Zheng, Jinlin & Wen, Baoyu & Jiang, Yaohui & Wang, Xiaohan & Shen, Yue, 2023. "Risk spillovers across geopolitical risk and global financial markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "El Nino, La Nina, and the Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Heating Oil Price Movements," Working Papers 202138, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Li, Yingli & Huang, Jianbai & Chen, Jinyu, 2021. "Dynamic spillovers of geopolitical risks and gold prices: New evidence from 18 emerging economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    9. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Oil tail risks and the forecastability of the realized variance of oil-price: Evidence from over 150 years of data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    10. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    11. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Khan, Asad ul Islam & Mubarak, Muhammad Shujaat, 2023. "Roling-window bounds testing approach to analyze the relationship between oil prices and metal prices," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 388-395.
    12. Long, Shaobo & Guo, Jiaqi, 2022. "Infectious disease equity market volatility, geopolitical risk, speculation, and commodity returns: Comparative analysis of five epidemic outbreaks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    13. Ngo, Vu Minh & Nguyen, Phuc Van & Hoang, Yen Hai, 2024. "The impacts of geopolitical risks on gold, oil and financial reserve management," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    14. Wang, Zhe & Teng, Yin-Pei & Wu, Shuzhao & Liu, Yuxiang & Liu, Xianchang, 2023. "Geopolitical risk, financial system and natural resources extraction: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    15. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Vo, Duc Hong & Tran, Minh Phuoc-Bao, 2024. "Volatility spillovers between energy and agriculture markets during the ongoing food & energy crisis: Does uncertainty from the Russo-Ukrainian conflict matter?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    18. Thanoj K. Muddana & Komal S.R. Bhimireddy & Anandamayee Majumdar & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Forecasting Gold Returns Volatility Over 1258-2023: The Role of Moments," Working Papers 202421, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Riza Demirer & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Risk aversion and the predictability of crude oil market volatility: A forecasting experiment with random forests," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 73(8), pages 1755-1767, August.
    20. Yang, Cai & Niu, Zibo & Gao, Wang, 2022. "The time-varying effects of trade policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks shocks on the commodity market prices: Evidence from the TVP-VAR-SV approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    21. O-Chia Chuang & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Buliao Shu, 2024. "Financial Uncertainty and Gold Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach with Variable Selection," Working Papers 202441, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Nikitopoulos, Christina Sklibosios & Thomas, Alice Carole & Wang, Jianxin, 2023. "The economic impact of daily volatility persistence on energy markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    23. Luo, Keyu & Guo, Qiang & Li, Xiafei, 2022. "Can the return connectedness indices from grey energy to natural gas help to forecast the natural gas returns?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    24. Qin, Yun & Hong, Kairong & Chen, Jinyu & Zhang, Zitao, 2020. "Asymmetric effects of geopolitical risks on energy returns and volatility under different market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    25. Bonato, Matteo & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "A note on investor happiness and the predictability of realized volatility of gold," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    26. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    27. Li, Xiaoqian & Ma, Xiaoqi, 2023. "Jumps and gold futures volatility prediction," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    28. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Gabauer, David & Perez de Gracia, Fernando, 2022. "Tail risk connectedness in the refined petroleum market: A first look at the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    30. Mengxi He & Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang & Danyan Wen, 2024. "Modelling and forecasting crude oil price volatility with climate policy uncertainty," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-10, December.
    31. Ding, Qian & Huang, Jianbai & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "The time-varying effects of financial and geopolitical uncertainties on commodity market dynamics: A TVP-SVAR-SV analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    32. Du, Pei & Guo, Ju’e & Sun, Shaolong & Wang, Shouyang & Wu, Jing, 2021. "Multi-step metal prices forecasting based on a data preprocessing method and an optimized extreme learning machine by marine predators algorithm," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    33. Jiawen Luo & Shengjie Fu & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The Role of Uncertainty in Forecasting Realized Covariance of US State-Level Stock Returns: A Reverse-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202501, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    34. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "The predictive power of oil price shocks on realized volatility of oil: A note," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    35. Abid, Ilyes & Dhaoui, Abderrazak & Kaabia, Olfa & Tarchella, Salma, 2023. "Geopolitical risk on energy, agriculture, livestock, precious and industrial metals: New insights from a Markov Switching model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    36. Cheng, Sheng & Deng, MingJie & Liang, Ruibin & Cao, Yan, 2023. "Asymmetric volatility spillover among global oil, gold, and Chinese sectors in the presence of major emergencies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    37. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    38. Yaojie Zhang & Mengxi He & Danyan Wen & Yudong Wang, 2022. "Forecasting Bitcoin volatility: A new insight from the threshold regression model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 633-652, April.
    39. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Climate risks and forecastability of the realized volatility of gold and other metal prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    40. Yan Ding & Yue Liu & Pierre Failler, 2022. "The Impact of Uncertainties on Crude Oil Prices: Based on a Quantile-on-Quantile Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-35, May.
    41. Zixin Liu & Shuguang Zhang, 2024. "RETRACTED ARTICLE: How does environmental performance ensured energy transition? Impact of ecological change," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1-27, April.
    42. Văn, Lê & Bảo, Nguyễn Khắc Quốc, 2022. "The relationship between global stock and precious metals under Covid-19 and happiness perspectives," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    43. Zhang, Li & Wang, Lu & Peng, Lijuan & Luo, Keyu, 2023. "Measuring the response of clean energy stock price volatility to extreme shocks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 1289-1300.
    44. Song, Yuping & Huang, Jiefei & Zhang, Qichao & Xu, Yang, 2024. "Heterogeneity effect of positive and negative jumps on the realized volatility: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    45. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    46. Zhao, Jing, 2023. "Time-varying impact of geopolitical risk on natural resources prices: Evidence from the hybrid TVP-VAR model with large system," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    47. Xiafei Li & Dongxin Li & Xuhui Zhang & Guiwu Wei & Lan Bai & Yu Wei, 2021. "Forecasting regular and extreme gold price volatility: The roles of asymmetry, extreme event, and jump," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(8), pages 1501-1523, December.
    48. Asai Manabu & So Mike K. P., 2023. "Realized BEKK-CAW Models," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(1), pages 49-77, January.
    49. Le, Thanh Ha, 2023. "Quantile time-frequency connectedness between cryptocurrency volatility and renewable energy volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic and Ukraine-Russia conflicts," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 613-625.
    50. Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "Forecasting crude oil price volatility out-of-sample using news-based geopolitical risk index: What forms of nonlinearity help improve forecast accuracy the most?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    51. Syed Kumail Abbas Rizvi & Bushra Naqvi & Nawazish Mirza, 2022. "Is green investment different from grey? Return and volatility spillovers between green and grey energy ETFs," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 495-524, June.
    52. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "OPEC News and Jumps in the Oil Market," Working Papers 202053, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    53. Niu, Zibo & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Hongwei, 2022. "The role of uncertainty measures in volatility forecasting of the crude oil futures market before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    54. Yanqiong Liu & Zhenghui Li & Yanyan Yao & Hao Dong, 2021. "Asymmetry of Risk Evolution in Crude Oil Market: From the Perspective of Dual Attributes of Oil," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-22, July.
    55. Sun, Guanglin & Li, Jianfeng & Shang, Zezhong, 2022. "Return and volatility linkages between international energy markets and Chinese commodity market," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    56. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus, 2022. "Rare disaster risks and gold over 700 years: Evidence from nonparametric quantile regressions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    57. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    58. Zhang, Jilu & Guxue, Kaicheng, 2024. "Fostering sustainability: Exploring natural resources, mineral resources, and their impact on carbon reduction, economic growth," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    59. Berlinger, Edina & Bihary, Zsolt & Dömötör, Barbara, 2024. "Dynamic margin optimization," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    60. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Geopolitical Risk and Forecastability of Tail Risk in the Oil Market: Evidence from Over a Century of Monthly Data," Working Papers 202122, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    61. Foglia, Matteo & Palomba, Giulio & Tedeschi, Marco, 2023. "Disentangling the geopolitical risk and its effects on commodities. Evidence from a panel of G8 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    62. Usha Rekha Chinthapalli, 2021. "A Comparative Analysis on Probability of Volatility Clusters on Cryptocurrencies, and FOREX Currencies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-23, July.
    63. Gong, Xu & Xu, Jun, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and dynamic connectedness between commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    64. Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Revisiting the Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Tunisia: Carbon Dioxide vs. Ecological Footprint," Working Papers 202171, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    65. Tamilselvan, M. & Halder, Abhishek & Kannadhasan, M., 2024. "Exploring the ingredients, mixtures, and inclinations of geopolitical risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 187-206.
    66. Ignatieva, Katja & Wong, Patrick, 2024. "Empirical analysis of crude oil dynamics using affine vs. non-affine jump-diffusion models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    67. Mo, Bin & Nie, He & Zhao, Rongjie, 2024. "Dynamic nonlinear effects of geopolitical risks on commodities: Fresh evidence from quantile methods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    68. Song, Yixuan & He, Mengxi & Wang, Yudong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2022. "Forecasting crude oil market volatility: A newspaper-based predictor regarding petroleum market volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    69. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    70. Li, Yingli & Huang, Jianbai & Gao, Wang & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "Analyzing the time-frequency connectedness among oil, gold prices and BRICS geopolitical risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    71. Choi, Sun-Yong, 2022. "Evidence from a multiple and partial wavelet analysis on the impact of geopolitical concerns on stock markets in North-East Asian countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    72. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Infectious Diseases, Market Uncertainty and Oil Market Volatility," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-8, August.
    73. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "The Role of Global Economic Conditions in Forecasting Gold Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202043, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    74. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    75. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Sisa Shiba, 2022. "Contagious Diseases and Gold: Over 700 Years of Evidence from Quantile Regressions," Working Papers 202233, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    76. Zhang, Jialin & Shi, Shaodong, 2023. "Extraction of natural resources and geopolitical risk revisited: A novel perspective of research and development with financial development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    77. Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Hao, Jianyang & Gao, Xinxin, 2021. "Forecasting crude oil volatility with geopolitical risk: Do time-varying switching probabilities play a role?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    78. Danyan Wen & Mengxi He & Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang, 2022. "Forecasting realized volatility of Chinese stock market: A simple but efficient truncated approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 230-251, March.
    79. Borg, Elin & Kits, Ilya & Junttila, Juha & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2022. "Dependence between renewable energy related critical metal futures and producer equity markets across varying market conditions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 879-892.
    80. Evrim Mandaci, Pınar & Azimli, Asil & Mandaci, Nazif, 2023. "The impact of geopolitical risks on connectedness among natural resource commodities: A quantile vector autoregressive approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).

  221. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2019. "Movements in International Bond Markets: The Role of Oil Prices," Working Papers 201935, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2023. "The role of oil and risk shocks in the high‐frequency movements of the term structure of interest rates: Evidence from the U.S. Treasury market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1845-1857, April.
    2. Karol Szafranek & Michał Rubaszek & Gazi Salah Uddin, 2023. "The role of uncertainty and sentiment for intraday volatility connectedness between oil and financial markets," KAE Working Papers 2023-095, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    3. Nicholas Apergis & Umit Bulut & Gulbahar Ucler & Serife Ozsahin, 2021. "The causal linkage between inflation and inflation uncertainty under structural breaks: Evidence from Turkey," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 89(3), pages 259-275, June.
    4. Ummara Razi & Calvin W. H. Cheong & Sahar Afshan & Arshian Sharif, 2025. "The ripple effects of energy price volatility on equity and debt markets: a Morlet wavelet analysis," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 15(1), pages 197-223, March.
    5. Mensi, Walid & Hamed Al-Yahyaee, Khamis & Vinh Vo, Xuan & Hoon Kang, Sang, 2021. "Dynamic spillover and connectedness between oil futures and European bonds," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    6. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Cenk C. Karahan & Brian M. Lucey, 2020. "Oil Price Shocks and Yield Curve Dynamics in Emerging Markets," Working Papers 202036, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Bouri, Elie & Hernandez, Jose Areola & Roubaud, David, 2021. "Causal nexus between crude oil and US corporate bonds," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 577-589.
    8. Satish Kumar & Rabeh Khalfaoui & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2021. "Does geopolitical risk improve the directional predictability from oil to stock returns? Evidence from oil-exporting and oil-importing countries," Post-Print hal-03797578, HAL.
    9. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Yildirim, Zekeriya & Guloglu, Hasan, 2024. "Macro-financial transmission of global oil shocks to BRIC countries — International financial (uncertainty) conditions matter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    11. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Saban Nazlioglu & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Causality between Bond and Oil Markets of the United States: Evidence from Over One and Half Centuries of Data," Working Papers 202006, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "The Role of Oil and Risk Shocks in the High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States," Working Papers 202063, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Silva, Thiago Christiano & Braz, Tercio & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda, 2024. "Mapping the landscape of energy markets research: A bibliometric analysis and predictive assessment using machine learning," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    14. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Maghyereh, Aktham & Ziadat, Salem Adel & Al Rababa'a, Abdel Razzaq A., 2024. "Exploring the dynamic connections between oil price shocks and bond yields in developed nations: A TVP-SVAR-SV approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    16. AlGhazali, Abdullah & Belghouthi, Houssem Eddine & Mensi, Walid & Mclver, Ron & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2024. "Oil price shocks, sustainability index, and green bond market spillovers and connectedness during bear and bull market conditions," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 1470-1489.
    17. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States: The Role of Oil Market Uncertainty," Working Papers 202085, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Jingjian, Si & Xiangyun, Gao & Jinsheng, Zhou & Anjian, Wang & Xiaotian, Sun & Yiran, Zhao & Hongyu, Wei, 2023. "The impact of oil price shocks on energy stocks from the perspective of investor attention," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PB).
    19. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Elie Bouri & Mobeen Ur Rehman & Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Tareq Saeed, 2022. "Oil price risk exposure of BRIC stock markets and hedging effectiveness," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 145-170, June.
    20. Akyildirim, Erdinc & Cepni, Oguzhan & Molnár, Peter & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2022. "Connectedness of energy markets around the world during the COVID-19 pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    21. Umar, Zaghum & Abrar, Afsheen & Hadhri, Sinda & Sokolova, Tatiana, 2023. "The connectedness of oil shocks, green bonds, sukuks and conventional bonds," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    22. Lu, Xunfa & He, Pengchao & Zhang, Zhengjun & Apergis, Nicholas & Roubaud, David, 2024. "Extreme co-movements between decomposed oil price shocks and sustainable investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    23. Goldstein, Michael A. & Namin, Elmira Shekari, 2023. "Corporate bond liquidity and yield spreads: A review," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    24. Saeed, Tareq & Bouri, Elie & Alsulami, Hamed, 2021. "Extreme return connectedness and its determinants between clean/green and dirty energy investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    25. Luo, Shikong & Yan, Xinyan & Yang, Haoyi, 2021. "Let’s take a smooth break: Stock return predictability revisited," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 300-314.
    26. Chinnadurai Kathiravan & Murugesan Selvam & Balasundram Maniam & Leo Paul Dana & Manivannan Babu, 2023. "The Effects of Crude Oil Price Surprises on National Income: Evidence from India," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-16, January.
    27. Francisco Jareño & Ana Escribano & Zaghum Umar, 2023. "The impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on the connectedness of the BRICS’s term structure," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
    28. Umar, Zaghum & Aharon, David Y. & Esparcia, Carlos & AlWahedi, Wafa, 2022. "Spillovers between sovereign yield curve components and oil price shocks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    29. Badics, Milan Csaba & Huszar, Zsuzsa R. & Kotro, Balazs B., 2023. "The impact of crisis periods and monetary decisions of the Fed and the ECB on the sovereign yield curve network," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    30. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Naifar, Nader & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Wang, Gang-Jin, 2023. "Multilayer information spillover networks between oil shocks and banking sectors: Evidence from oil-rich countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    31. Su, Zhi & Liu, Peng & Fang, Tong, 2022. "Uncertainty matters in US financial information spillovers: Evidence from a directed acyclic graph approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 229-242.

  222. Heni Boubaker & Juncal Cunado & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Global Crises and Gold as a Safe Haven: Evidence from Over Seven and a Half Centuries of Data," Working Papers 201941, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Xidonas, Panos & Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Goutte, Stéphane, 2023. "Gold and CoVid-19: Uncovering the safe haven hypothesis with dynamic MSR modeling," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    2. Bouri, Elie & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Forecasting power of infectious diseases-related uncertainty for gold realized variance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    3. Narayan, Shivani & Kumar, Dilip, 2024. "Unveiling interconnectedness and risk spillover among cryptocurrencies and other asset classes," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    4. Md Akhtaruzzaman & Sabri Boubaker & Brian M Lucey & Ahmet Sensoy, 2021. "Is gold a hedge or a safe-haven asset in the COVID–19 crisis?," Post-Print hal-04998990, HAL.
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Christian Pierdzioch & Onur Polat, 2024. "Climate Risks and Real Gold Returns over 750 Years," Working Papers 202436, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Guo, Changrong & Zhang, Xiangyu & Raza, Syed Ali & Masood, Amna, 2024. "Asymmetrical connectedness between infectious diseases-related equity market volatility and prices of precious metals," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    8. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Thanoj K. Muddana & Komal S.R. Bhimireddy & Anandamayee Majumdar & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Forecasting Gold Returns Volatility Over 1258-2023: The Role of Moments," Working Papers 202421, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2023. "Tail risks and forecastability of stock returns of advanced economies: evidence from centuries of data," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 466-481, March.
    12. O-Chia Chuang & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Buliao Shu, 2024. "Financial Uncertainty and Gold Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach with Variable Selection," Working Papers 202441, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Karmakar, Sayar & Gupta, Rangan & Cepni, Oguzhan & Rognone, Lavinia, 2023. "Climate risks and predictability of the trading volume of gold: Evidence from an INGARCH model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    15. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "A Note on Forecasting the Historical Realized Variance of Oil-Price Movements: The Role of Gold-to-Silver and Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratios," Working Papers 202158, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Climate risks and forecastability of the realized volatility of gold and other metal prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    17. Bentes, Sónia R., 2023. "Is gold a safe haven for the CIVETS countries under extremely adverse market conditions? Some new evidence from the MF-DCCA analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 623(C).
    18. Yang, Cai & Wang, Xinyi & Gao, Wang, 2022. "Is Bitcoin a better hedging and safe-haven investment than traditional assets against currencies? Evidence from the time-frequency domain approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    19. Walid Mensi & Debasish Maitra & Refk Selmi & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2023. "Extreme dependencies and spillovers between gold and stock markets: evidence from MENA countries," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, December.
    20. Echaust, Krzysztof & Just, Małgorzata & Kliber, Agata, 2024. "To hedge or not to hedge? Cryptocurrencies, gold and oil against stock market risk," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    21. Juncal Cunado & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2025. "On the propagation mechanism of international real interest rate spillovers: evidence from more than 200 years of data," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(7), pages 790-804, February.
    22. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan & Gabauer, David, 2022. "Forecasting stock-market tail risk and connectedness in advanced economies over a century: The role of gold-to-silver and gold-to-platinum price ratios," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    23. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    24. Salisu, Afees A. & Raheem, Ibrahim D. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "Assessing the safe haven property of the gold market during COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    25. Ye, Chuxin & Lv, Jiamin & Xue, Yinsong & Luo, Xingguo, 2023. "Intraday volatility predictability in china gold futures market: The case of last half-hour realized volatility forecasting," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    26. Kaczmarek, Tomasz & Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Grobelny, Przemysław & Perez, Katarzyna, 2022. "False Safe Haven Assets: Evidence From the Target Volatility Strategy Based on Recurrent Neural Network," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    27. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    28. Nonejad, Nima, 2023. "Conditional out-of-sample predictability of aggregate equity returns and aggregate equity return volatility using economic variables," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 91-122.
    29. Noman, Abu Hanifa Md & Karim, Muhammad Mahmudul & Hassan, Mohammad Kabir & Khan, Muhammad Asif & Pervin, Sajeda, 2023. "COVID-19 pandemic and the dynamics of major investable assets: What gives shelter to investors?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 14-30.
    30. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus, 2022. "Rare disaster risks and gold over 700 years: Evidence from nonparametric quantile regressions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    31. Ahmed, Maruf Yakubu & Sarkodie, Samuel Asumadu, 2021. "COVID-19 pandemic and economic policy uncertainty regimes affect commodity market volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    32. Sato, Ayano & Nakata, Hayato & Percy, Jay, 2024. "Time-variant safe haven currencies," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 316-328.
    33. Su, Chi-Wei & Pang, Lidong & Umar, Muhammad & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Moldovan, Nicoleta-Claudia, 2022. "Does gold's hedging uncertainty aura fade away?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    34. Zeinedini, Shabnam & Karimi, Mohammad Sharif & Khanzadi, Azad & Falahati, Ali, 2024. "Impact of oil and gold prices on Bitcoin price during Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Gaza wars," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    35. Chi-Wei Su & Lidong Pang & Muhammad Umar & Oana-Ramona Lobonţ, 2022. "Will Gold Always Shine amid World Uncertainty?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(12), pages 3425-3438, September.
    36. Echaust, Krzysztof & Just, Małgorzata, 2022. "Is gold still a safe haven for stock markets? New insights through the tail thickness of portfolio return distributions," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    37. Hassan, M. Kabir & Kamran, Muhammad & Djajadikerta, Hadrian Geri & Choudhury, Tonmoy, 2022. "Search for safe havens and resilience to global financial volatility: Response of GCC equity indexes to GFC and Covid-19," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).

  223. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Trade Uncertainties and the Hedging Abilities of Bitcoin," Working Papers 201948, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Elie Bouri & Sang Hoon Kang & Tareq Saeed, 2021. "Regime specific spillover across cryptocurrencies and the role of COVID-19," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-24, December.
    2. Bruno Ferreira Frascaroli, 2020. "Bitcoin's innovative aspects, return volatility and uncertainty shocks," International Journal of Financial Markets and Derivatives, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 7(3), pages 224-245.
    3. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung marco Lau & David Roubaud, 2021. "Risk aversion and Bitcoin returns in extreme quantiles," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(3), pages 1374-1386.
    4. Khalid Khan & Jiluo Sun & Sinem Derindere Koseoglu & Ashfaq U. Rehman, 2021. "Revisiting Bitcoin Price Behavior Under Global Economic Uncertainty," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(3), pages 21582440211, August.
    5. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Dionisio, Andreia & Almeida, Dora & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2022. "Nonlinear nexus between cryptocurrency returns and COVID-19 news sentiment," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    6. Gök, Remzi & Bouri, Elie & Gemici, Eray, 2022. "Can Twitter-based economic uncertainty predict safe-haven assets under all market conditions and investment horizons?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    7. Ma, Chaoqun & Tian, Yonggang & Hsiao, Shisong & Deng, Liurui, 2022. "Monetary policy shocks and Bitcoin prices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    8. Caferra, Rocco, 2020. "Good vibes only: The crypto-optimistic behavior," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    9. Xu, Danyang & Hu, Yang & Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Oxley, Les, 2024. "Green bonds and traditional and emerging investments: Understanding connectedness during crises," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    10. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Bouri, Elie & Ahmad, Tanveer & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "The pricing of bad contagion in cryptocurrencies: A four-factor pricing model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    11. Dimitrios Koutmos & Timothy King & Constantin Zopounidis, 2021. "Hedging uncertainty with cryptocurrencies: Is bitcoin your best bet?," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 44(4), pages 815-837, December.
    12. Inzamam Ul Haq & Apichit Maneengam & Supat Chupradit & Wanich Suksatan & Chunhui Huo, 2021. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Cryptocurrency Market as a Risk Management Avenue: A Systematic Review," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-24, September.
    13. Vasilios Plakandaras & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Forecasting Bitcoin Returns: Is there a Role for the U.S. – China Trade War?," Working Papers 201980, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Ihsan Erdem Kayral & Ahmed Jeribi & Sahar Loukil, 2023. "Are Bitcoin and Gold a Safe Haven during COVID-19 and the 2022 Russia–Ukraine War?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-22, April.
    15. Konstantinos Gkillas & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2020. "Spillovers in Higher-Order Moments of Crude Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin," Working Papers 202068, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Wang, Peijin & Zhang, Hongwei & Yang, Cai & Guo, Yaoqi, 2021. "Time and frequency dynamics of connectedness and hedging performance in global stock markets: Bitcoin versus conventional hedges," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    17. Derya Güler, 2023. "The Impact of Investor Sentiment on Bitcoin Returns and Conditional Volatilities during the Era of Covid-19," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(3), pages 276-289, July.
    18. Wael Hemrit & Noureddine Benlagha & Racha Ben Arous & Mounira Ben Arab, 2023. "Exploring the time‐frequency connectedness among non‐fungible tokens and developed stock markets," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(4), pages 192-207, October.
    19. Yu Song & Bo Chen & Xin-Yi Wang, 2023. "Cryptocurrency technology revolution: are Bitcoin prices and terrorist attacks related?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-20, December.
    20. Konstantinos Gkillas & Paraskevi Katsiampa & Dimitrios I. Vortelinos & Mark E. Wohar, 2023. "Greek government‐debt crisis events and European financial markets: News surprises on Greek bond yields and inter‐relations of European financial markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4037-4054, October.
    21. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Bitcoin: The Role of the Trade War," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 29-53, January.
    22. Kumar Kulbhaskar, Anamika & Subramaniam, Sowmya, 2023. "Breaking news headlines: Impact on trading activity in the cryptocurrency market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    23. Khaled Mokni & Elie Bouri & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2021. "Does Bitcoin Hedge Categorical Economic Uncertainty? A Quantile Analysis," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(2), pages 21582440211, May.
    24. Umar, Muhammad & Su, Chi-Wei & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Shao, Xue-Feng, 2021. "Bitcoin: A safe haven asset and a winner amid political and economic uncertainties in the US?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    25. Konstantinos Gkillas & Christoforos Konstantatos & Costas Siriopoulos, 2021. "Uncertainty Due to Infectious Diseases and Stock–Bond Correlation," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-18, April.
    26. Mokni, Khaled & Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen & Bouri, Elie & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and the Bitcoin-US stock nexus," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 57.

  224. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Konstantinos Gkillas, 2019. "Gold-Oil Dependence Dynamics and the Role of Geopolitical Risks: Evidence from a Markov-Switching Time-Varying Copula Model," Working Papers 201918, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Das, Debojyoti & Bhatia, Vaneet & Kumar, Surya Bhushan & Basu, Sankarshan, 2022. "Do precious metals hedge crude oil volatility jumps?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    2. Bouri, Elie & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Forecasting power of infectious diseases-related uncertainty for gold realized variance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    3. Li, Yingli & Huang, Jianbai & Chen, Jinyu, 2021. "Dynamic spillovers of geopolitical risks and gold prices: New evidence from 18 emerging economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    4. Rubbaniy, Ghulame & Khalid, Ali Awais & Syriopoulos, Konstantinos & Samitas, Aristeidis, 2022. "Safe-haven properties of soft commodities during times of Covid-19," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    5. Ding, Qian & Huang, Jianbai & Chen, Jinyu, 2021. "Dynamic and frequency-domain risk spillovers among oil, gold, and foreign exchange markets: Evidence from implied volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    6. Ding, Qian & Huang, Jianbai & Gao, Wang & Zhang, Hongwei, 2022. "Does political risk matter for gold market fluctuations? A structural VAR analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    7. Min Bai & Ly Ho, 2023. "How do gold and oil react to the COVID-19 pandemic: A review," Energy & Environment, , vol. 34(7), pages 2876-2902, November.
    8. Raza, Syed Ali & Masood, Amna & Benkraiem, Ramzi & Urom, Christian, 2023. "Forecasting the volatility of precious metals prices with global economic policy uncertainty in pre and during the COVID-19 period: Novel evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    9. Gaete, Michael & Herrera, Rodrigo, 2023. "Diversification benefits of commodities in portfolio allocation: A dynamic factor copula approach," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    10. Jin Shang & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2023. "Differential Tail Dependence between Crude Oil and Forex Markets in Oil-Importing and Oil-Exporting Countries during Recent Crisis Periods," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-24, October.
    11. Mokni, Khaled & Al-Shboul, Mohammed & Assaf, Ata, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and dynamic spillover among precious metals under market conditions: Does COVID-19 have any effects?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    12. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Pham, Linh & Senthilkumar, Arunachalam & Karim, Sitara, 2022. "Oil shocks and BRIC markets: Evidence from extreme quantile approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    14. Yaya, OlaOluwa S. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Adesina, Oluwaseun A. & Alobaloke, Kafayat A. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Time-variation between metal commodities and oil, and the impact of oil shocks: GARCH-MIDAS and DCC-MIDAS analyses," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    15. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Kamal, Javed Bin & Wohar, Mark & Kamal, Khaled Bin, 2022. "Do gold, oil, equities, and currencies hedge economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks during covid crisis?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    17. Oliyide, Johnson A. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Khan, Muhammad A., 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and the volatility connectedness between oil shocks and metal market: An extension," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 136-150.
    18. Li, Songsong & Zhang, Weiqian & Zhang, Wei, 2023. "Dynamic time-frequency connectedness and risk spillover between geopolitical risks and natural resources," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    19. Boubaker, Heni & Cunado, Juncal & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Global crises and gold as a safe haven: Evidence from over seven and a half centuries of data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    20. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Ibrahim D. Raheem & Seref Bozoklu & Shawkat Hammoudeh, 2022. "The Oil Price‐Macroeconomic fundamentals nexus for emerging market economies: Evidence from a wavelet analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1569-1590, January.
    21. Wang, Xinya & Lucey, Brian & Huang, Shupei, 2022. "Can gold hedge against oil price movements: Evidence from GARCH-EVT wavelet modeling," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    22. Mokni, Khaled & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen & Youssef, Manel, 2020. "Does economic policy uncertainty drive the dynamic connectedness between oil price shocks and gold price?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    23. Mohamed Arbi Madani & Zied Ftiti, 2022. "Is gold a hedge or safe haven against oil and currency market movements? A revisit using multifractal approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 367-400, June.
    24. Mensi, Walid & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Spillovers and co-movements between precious metals and energy markets: Implications on portfolio management," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    25. Kuang, Hewu & Liang, Yiyan & Zhao, Wenjia & Cai, Jiahong, 2023. "Impact of natural resources and technology on economic development and sustainable environment – Analysis of resources-energy-growth-environment linkages in BRICS," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    26. Han, Xuyuan & Liu, Zhenya & Wang, Shixuan, 2022. "An R-vine copula analysis of non-ferrous metal futures with application in Value-at-Risk forecasting," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    27. Khurshid, Adnan & Khan, Khalid & Rauf, Abdur & Cifuentes-Faura, Javier, 2024. "Effect of geopolitical risk on resources prices in the global and Russian-Ukrainian context: A novel Bayesian structural model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    28. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Polat, Ali Yavuz & Tekin, Hasan & Tunalı, Ahmet Semih, 2022. "The Ascent of Geopolitics: Scientometric Analysis and Ramifications of Geopolitical Risk," MPRA Paper 112741, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    29. Mohsin, Muhammad & Jamaani, Fouad, 2023. "Green finance and the socio-politico-economic factors’ impact on the future oil prices: Evidence from machine learning," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    30. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Bonsu, Christiana Osei & Karikari, Nana Kwasi & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2022. "The effects of public sentiments and feelings on stock market behavior: Evidence from Australia," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 443-472.
    31. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    32. Salisu, Afees A. & Adediran, Idris & Omoke, Philip C. & Tchankam, Jean Paul, 2023. "Gold and tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    33. Zhao, Jing, 2023. "Time-varying impact of geopolitical risk on natural resources prices: Evidence from the hybrid TVP-VAR model with large system," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    34. Guliyev, Hasraddin & Mustafayev, Eldayag, 2022. "Predicting the changes in the WTI crude oil price dynamics using machine learning models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    35. Li, Xiafei & Guo, Qiang & Liang, Chao & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "Forecasting gold volatility with geopolitical risk indices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    36. Dutta, Anupam & Soytas, Ugur & Das, Debojyoti & Bhattacharyya, Asit, 2022. "In search of time-varying jumps during the turmoil periods: Evidence from crude oil futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    37. Hemrit, Wael & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi, 2021. "Insurance and geopolitical risk: Fresh empirical evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 320-334.
    38. Dutta, Anupam & Bouri, Elie & Saeed, Tareq, 2021. "News-based equity market uncertainty and crude oil volatility," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    39. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wang, Fuhao & Lou, Runchi, 2022. "Digital financial inclusion and carbon neutrality: Evidence from non-linear analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    40. Song, Yu & Song, Yanqiu & Chang, Shiwei & He, Lele, 2024. "The role of gold in terrorism: Risk aversion or financing source?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    41. Hanif, Waqas & Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh & BenSaïda, Ahmed & Hernandez, Jose Arreola & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2023. "Dependence and risk management of portfolios of metals and agricultural commodity futures," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    42. Yang, Jianlei & Yang, Chunpeng, 2021. "The impact of mixed-frequency geopolitical risk on stock market returns," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 226-240.
    43. Abdullah, Mohammad & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Wali Ullah, G M & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Khan, Isma, 2023. "Tail risk contagion across electricity markets in crisis periods," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    44. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Moments-Based Spillovers across Gold and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201966, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    45. Feng Ma & Xinjie Lu & Bo Zhu, 2025. "Uncertainty and fluctuation in crude oil price: evidence from machine learning models," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 345(2), pages 725-755, February.
    46. Zhang, Hongwei & Demirer, Riza & Huang, Jianbai & Huang, Wanjun & Tahir Suleman, Muhammad, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and gold return dynamics: Evidence from high-frequency data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    47. Ma, Yan-Ran & Ji, Qiang & Wu, Fei & Pan, Jiaofeng, 2021. "Financialization, idiosyncratic information and commodity co-movements," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    48. Huang, Jianbai & Dong, Xuesong & Zhang, Hongwei & Liu, Jia & Gao, Wang, 2022. "Dynamic and frequency-domain spillover among within and cross-country policy uncertainty, crude oil and gold market: Evidence from US and China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    49. Fiszeder, Piotr & Fałdziński, Marcin & Molnár, Peter, 2023. "Attention to oil prices and its impact on the oil, gold and stock markets and their covariance," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    50. Zhang, Jilu & Guxue, Kaicheng, 2024. "Fostering sustainability: Exploring natural resources, mineral resources, and their impact on carbon reduction, economic growth," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    51. Izzeldin, Marwan & Muradoğlu, Yaz Gülnur & Pappas, Vasileios & Sivaprasad, Sheeja, 2021. "The impact of Covid-19 on G7 stock markets volatility: Evidence from a ST-HAR model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    52. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Geopolitical Risk and Forecastability of Tail Risk in the Oil Market: Evidence from Over a Century of Monthly Data," Working Papers 202122, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    53. Conlon, Thomas & Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Hu, Yang & Oxley, Les, 2024. "Seeking a shock haven: Hedging extreme upward oil price changes," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    54. Cheng, Sheng & Han, Lingyu & Cao, Yan & Jiang, Qisheng & Liang, Ruibin, 2022. "Gold-oil dynamic relationship and the asymmetric role of geopolitical risks: Evidence from Bayesian pdBEKK-GARCH with regime switching," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    55. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Aikins Abakah, Emmanuel Joel & Trabelsi, Nader & Wohar, Mark, 2024. "Do shipping freight markets impact commodity markets?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 986-1014.
    56. Fei Su & Feifan Wang & Yahua Xu, 2025. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Volatility Spillovers Among International Stock Market Indices During the COVID-19 Outbreak," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 32(1), pages 237-266, March.
    57. Tamilselvan, M. & Halder, Abhishek & Kannadhasan, M., 2024. "Exploring the ingredients, mixtures, and inclinations of geopolitical risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 187-206.
    58. Liao, Jianhui & Zhu, Xuehong & Chen, Jinyu, 2021. "Dynamic spillovers across oil, gold and stock markets in the presence of major public health emergencies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    59. Liu, Zixin & Hu, Jun & Zhang, Shuguang & He, Zhipeng, 2024. "Risk spillovers among oil, gold, stock, and foreign exchange markets: Evidence from G20 economies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    60. Mo, Bin & Nie, He & Zhao, Rongjie, 2024. "Dynamic nonlinear effects of geopolitical risks on commodities: Fresh evidence from quantile methods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    61. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2021. "A note on oil price shocks and the forecastability of gold realized volatility," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(21), pages 1889-1897, December.
    62. Li, Yingli & Huang, Jianbai & Gao, Wang & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "Analyzing the time-frequency connectedness among oil, gold prices and BRICS geopolitical risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    63. Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Naqvi, Bushra & Mirza, Nawazish & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "Safe haven properties of green, Islamic, and crypto assets and investor's proclivity towards treasury and gold," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    64. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "The Role of Global Economic Conditions in Forecasting Gold Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202043, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    65. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Le, TN-Lan & Leyva-de la Hiz, Dante I., 2021. "Markov-switching dependence between artificial intelligence and carbon price: The role of policy uncertainty in the era of the 4th industrial revolution and the effect of COVID-19 pandemic," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    66. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Lee, Hsiang-Tai, 2023. "Optimal portfolio diversification with a multi-chain regime-switching spillover GARCH model," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    67. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Karikari, Nana Kwasi & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2022. "Time-varying dependence dynamics between international commodity prices and Australian industry stock returns: a Perspective for portfolio diversification," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    68. Kais Tissaoui & Taha Zaghdoudi & Abdelaziz Hakimi & Ousama Ben-Salha & Lamia Ben Amor, 2022. "Does Uncertainty Forecast Crude Oil Volatility before and during the COVID-19 Outbreak? Fresh Evidence Using Machine Learning Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-20, August.
    69. Turgut Yokuş, 2024. "Early Warning Systems for World Energy Crises," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-18, March.
    70. Jiayin Bi & Ying Qi, 2024. "RETRACTED ARTICLE: The convergence of digital finance and green investments: opportunities, risks, energy transitions and regulatory considerations," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 1-31, June.
    71. Evrim Mandaci, Pınar & Azimli, Asil & Mandaci, Nazif, 2023. "The impact of geopolitical risks on connectedness among natural resource commodities: A quantile vector autoregressive approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).

  225. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & David Roubaud, 2019. "Risk Aversion and Bitcoin Returns in Normal, Bull, and Bear Markets," Working Papers 201927, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Jareño, Francisco & González, María de la O & Tolentino, Marta & Sierra, Karen, 2020. "Bitcoin and gold price returns: A quantile regression and NARDL analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    2. Aharon, David Y. & Demir, Ender & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Zaremba, Adam, 2022. "Twitter-Based uncertainty and cryptocurrency returns," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    3. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Mbarki, Imen & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2021. "Predictive role of online investor sentiment for cryptocurrency market: Evidence from happiness and fears," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 496-514.

  226. Deven Bathia & Christos Bouras & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Cross-Border Capital Flows and Return Dynamics in Emerging Stock Markets: Relative Roles of Equity and Debt Flows," Working Papers 201937, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

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    1. Li, Shuqi & Xu, Nuo, 2024. "Fair Competition Review System and cross-regional capital flow: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    2. Rob Hayward & Andros Gregoriou, 2021. "International Capital Flows and Speculation," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-12, April.
    3. Jaroslav Horvath & Guanyi Yang, 2024. "Global Financial Risk, Equity Returns and Economic Activity in Emerging Countries," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 86(3), pages 672-689, June.
    4. Yu, Xiaojian & Li, Zhiyong & Lien, Donald & Hu, Jinqiang, 2024. "Identifying crucial financial markets in the flows of cross-border capital – evidence from China's financial risk network," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    5. Kábrt, Tomáš & Brůna, Karel, 2022. "Asymmetric effects of foreign capital on income inequality: The case of the Post-China 16 countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 613-626.
    6. Hang Zhang & Evangelos Giouvris, 2022. "Measures of Volatility, Crises, Sentiment and the Role of U.S. ‘Fear’ Index (VIX) on Herding in BRICS (2007–2021)," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-42, March.
    7. Zarghami, Seyed Ashkan, 2025. "The role of economic policies in achieving sustainable development goal 7: Insights from OECD and European countries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 377(PB).
    8. Bathia, Deven & Demirer, Riza & Ferrer, Román & Raheem, Ibrahim D., 2023. "Cross-border capital flows and information spillovers across the equity and currency markets in emerging economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    9. Hossain, Md. Jamal & Akter, Sadia & Ismail, Mohd Tahir, 2021. "Performance Analysis of GARCH Family Models in Three Time-frames," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 55(2), pages 15-28.
    10. Tiago Araújo & Óscar Afonso & Pedro Cunha Neves & Elena Sochirca, 2025. "International spillovers of unconventional monetary policy: A meta-analysis," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 24(2), pages 205-224, May.

  227. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2019. "The Predictability of Stock Market Volatility in Emerging Economies: Relative Roles of Local, Regional and Global Business Cycles," Working Papers 201938, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

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    1. Jeevan Kumar Bhattarai & Ramji Gautam & Keshab Khatri Chettri, 2024. "Stock Market Development and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Nepal," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 25(6), pages 1510-1524, December.
    2. Plastun, Alex & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Price effects after one-day abnormal returns in developed and emerging markets: ESG versus traditional indices," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    3. Biswas, Priti & Jain, Prachi & Maitra, Debasish, 2024. "Are shocks in the stock markets driven by commodity markets? Evidence from Russia-Ukraine war," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    4. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "US Monetary Policy and BRICS Stock Market Bubbles," Working Papers 202243, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Li, Haibo & Wang, Jianqiong, 2023. "INE oil futures volatility prediction: Exchange rates or international oil futures volatility?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    7. Mohammad Sahabuddin & Md. Aminul Islam & Mosab I. Tabash & Suhaib Anagreh & Rozina Akter & Md. Mizanur Rahman, 2022. "Co-Movement, Portfolio Diversification, Investors’ Behavior and Psychology: Evidence from Developed and Emerging Countries’ Stock Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-15, July.
    8. Mehmet Sahiner & David G. McMillan & Dimos Kambouroudis, 2023. "Do artificial neural networks provide improved volatility forecasts: Evidence from Asian markets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(3), pages 723-762, September.
    9. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Mehmet Sahiner, 2022. "Forecasting volatility in Asian financial markets: evidence from recursive and rolling window methods," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(10), pages 1-74, October.
    11. Mengxi He & Xianfeng Hao & Yaojie Zhang & Fanyi Meng, 2021. "Forecasting stock return volatility using a robust regression model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(8), pages 1463-1478, December.
    12. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2025. "Stock market volatility and multi-scale positive and negative bubbles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    14. Zhang, Yulian & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2022. "A connectedness analysis among BRICS’s geopolitical risks and the US macroeconomy," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 182-203.
    15. Maria Ghani & Usman Ghani, 2024. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Emerging Stock Market Volatility," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(1), pages 165-181, March.

  228. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv, 2019. "Threshold Effects of Inequality on Economic Growth in the US States: The Role of Human Capital to Physical Capital Ratio," Working Papers 201968, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Wei Ma & Philton Makena, 2018. "Income Inequality and Economic Growth: A Re-Examination of Theory and Evidence," Working Papers 201844, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Bruno Ćorić & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Economic disasters and inequality: a note," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 3527-3543, October.

  229. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Mohamed A. Hajji & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "The Benefits of Diversification between Bitcoin, Bonds, Equities and the US Dollar: A Matter of Portfolio Construction," Working Papers 201959, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Susovon Jana & Tarak N. Sahu, 2023. "Is the cryptocurrency market a hedge against stock market risk? A Wavelet and GARCH approach," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 52(3), November.
    2. Khaled Mokni & Ghassen El Montasser & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Elie Bouri, 2024. "On the efficiency and its drivers in the cryptocurrency market: the case of Bitcoin and Ethereum," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-25, December.
    3. Fahad Mostafa & Pritam Saha & Mohammad Rafiqul Islam & Nguyet Nguyen, 2021. "GJR-GARCH Volatility Modeling under NIG and ANN for Predicting Top Cryptocurrencies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-22, September.
    4. Karl Oton Rudolf & Samer Ajour El Zein & Nicola Jackman Lansdowne, 2021. "Bitcoin as an Investment and Hedge Alternative. A DCC MGARCH Model Analysis," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-22, August.
    5. Danilo Petti & Ivan Sergio, 2024. "Bank Crisis Boosts Bitcoin Price," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(4), pages 1-16, March.
    6. Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Raheem, Ibrahim D. & Rashidi, Muhammad Mahdi, 2023. "Do stochastic risks flow between industrial and precious metals, Islamic stocks, green bonds, green stocks, clean investments, major foreign exchange rates, and Bitcoin?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    7. Paeng, Seongcheol & Senteney, Dave & Yang, Taewon, 2024. "Spillover effects, lead and lag relationships, and stable coins time series," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 45-60.

  230. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Eric Olson, 2019. "Effect of Uncertainty on U.S. Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from Over Eighty Years of High-Frequency Data," Working Papers 201942, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Eugene Msizi Buthelezi, 2024. "Navigating Global Uncertainty: Examining the Effect of Geopolitical Risks on Cryptocurrency Prices and Volatility in a Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(4), pages 564-590, October.
    3. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    4. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2020. "Dynamic Connectedness And Spillovers Across Sectors: Evidence From The Indian Stock Market," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2020-04, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
    6. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States: The Role of Oil Market Uncertainty," Working Papers 202085, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rinsuna Shivambu, 2020. "Uncertainty and Daily Predictability of Housing Returns and Volatility of the United States: Evidence from a Higher-Order Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 202071, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Investors' Uncertainty and Forecasting Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202090, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  231. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Oil Shocks and Stock Market Volatility of the BRICS: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 201976, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Umar, Muhammad & Mirza, Nawazish & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Furqan, Mehreen, 2023. "Asymmetric volatility structure of equity returns: Evidence from an emerging market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 330-336.
    2. Ali, Shoaib & Al-Nassar, Nassar S. & Naveed, Muhammad, 2024. "Bridging the gap: Uncovering static and dynamic relationships between digital assets and BRICS equity markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    3. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Drivers of Realized Volatility for Emerging Countries with a Focus on South Africa: Fundamentals versus Sentiment," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-26, March.
    4. Hong, Yanran & Cao, Shijiao & Xu, Pengfei & Pan, Zhigang, 2024. "Interpreting the effect of global economic risks on crude oil market: A supply-demand perspective," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Testing the Forecasting Power of Global Economic Conditions for the Volatility of International REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202211, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. John Weirstrass Muteba Mwamba & Sutene Mwambetania Mwambi, 2021. "Assessing Market Risk in BRICS and Oil Markets: An Application of Markov Switching and Vine Copula," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-22, May.
    7. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Pham, Linh & Senthilkumar, Arunachalam & Karim, Sitara, 2022. "Oil shocks and BRIC markets: Evidence from extreme quantile approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    8. Yaya, OlaOluwa S. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Adesina, Oluwaseun A. & Alobaloke, Kafayat A. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Time-variation between metal commodities and oil, and the impact of oil shocks: GARCH-MIDAS and DCC-MIDAS analyses," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    9. Yildirim, Zekeriya & Guloglu, Hasan, 2024. "Macro-financial transmission of global oil shocks to BRIC countries — International financial (uncertainty) conditions matter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    10. Ayinde, Taofeek O. & Olaniran, Abeeb O. & Abolade, Onomeabure C. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula Ephraim, 2023. "Technology shocks - Gold market connection: Is the effect episodic to business cycle behaviour?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    11. Umar, Zaghum & Hadhri, Sinda & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Usman, Muhammad & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "Return and volatility spillovers among oil price shocks and international green bond markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    12. Wu, Xinyu & Zhao, An & Cheng, Tengfei, 2023. "A Real-Time GARCH-MIDAS model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    13. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni & Petre Caraiani, 2023. "Oil Shocks and State-Level Stock Market Volatility of the United States: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202327, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Financial Turbulence, Systemic Risk and the Predictability of Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202162, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Yaya, OlaOluwa S. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Oil shocks and volatility of green investments: GARCH-MIDAS analyses," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    16. Liu, Han & Yang, Peng & He, Yongda & Oxley, Les & Guo, Pengwei, 2024. "Exploring the influence of the geopolitical risks on the natural resource price volatility and correlation: Evidence from DCC-MIDAS-X model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    17. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Hong, Yanran & Yu, Jize & Su, Yuquan & Wang, Lu, 2023. "Southern oscillation: Great value of its trends for forecasting crude oil spot price volatility," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 358-368.
    19. Zhang, Li & Wang, Lu & Peng, Lijuan & Luo, Keyu, 2023. "Measuring the response of clean energy stock price volatility to extreme shocks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 1289-1300.
    20. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Sharma, Gagan Deep & Rao, Amar & Hossain, Mohammad Razib & Dev, Dhairya, 2024. "Unraveling the crystal ball: Machine learning models for crude oil and natural gas volatility forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    21. Kuang, Wei, 2023. "The equity-oil hedge: A comparison between volatility and alternative risk frameworks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
    22. Zhang, Jiaming & Xiang, Yitian & Zou, Yang & Guo, Songlin, 2024. "Volatility forecasting of Chinese energy market: Which uncertainty have better performance?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    23. Adediran, Idris A. & Swaray, Raymond, 2023. "Carbon trading amidst global uncertainty: The role of policy and geopolitical uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    24. Lukman Lasisi & Philip C. Omoke & Afees A. Salisu, 2024. "Climate Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 5(2), pages 1-6.
    25. Wang, Ningli & You, Wanhai, 2023. "New insights into the role of global factors in BRICS stock markets: A quantile cointegration approach," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(2).
    26. Sadeghi, Abdorasoul & Roudari, Soheil, 2022. "Heterogeneous effects of oil structure and oil shocks on stock prices in different regimes: Evidence from oil-exporting and oil-importing countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    27. Peng Yang & Haiyan Song & Long Wen & Han Liu, 2024. "Modeling and forecasting listed tourism firms’ risk in China using a trend asymmetric GARCH-MIDAS model," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(6), pages 1404-1422, September.
    28. Hanif, Waqas & Hadhri, Sinda & El Khoury, Rim, 2024. "Quantile spillovers and connectedness between oil shocks and stock markets of the largest oil producers and consumers," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    29. Ghani, Usman & Zhu, Bo & Ghani, Maria & Khan, Nasir & khan, Raja Danish Akbar, 2023. "Role of oil shocks in US stock market volatility: A new insight from GARCH-MIDAS perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    30. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    31. Damien Kunjal & Faeezah Peerbhai & Paul-Francois Muzindutsi, 2022. "Political, economic, and financial country risks and the volatility of the South African Exchange Traded Fund market: A GARCH-MIDAS approach," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(3), pages 236-258, September.
    32. Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Adekoya, Oluwasegun Babatunde & Rashidi, Muhammad Mahdi & Ghasemi Doudkanlou, Mohammad & Dolatabadi, Ali, 2022. "Forecast of Bayesian-based dynamic connectedness between oil market and Islamic stock indices of Islamic oil-exporting countries: Application of the cascade-forward backpropagation network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    33. Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jiqian & Zhu, Bo, 2021. "Oil shocks and stock market volatility: New evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    34. Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Xu, Jin & Zhang, Zehui, 2022. "Oil futures volatility predictability: New evidence based on machine learning models11All the authors contribute to the paper equally," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    35. Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & McIver, Ron & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Asymmetric volatility connectedness between Islamic stock and commodity markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    36. Zhang, Li & Wang, Lu & Wang, Xunxiao & Zhang, Yaojie & Pan, Zhigang, 2022. "How macro-variables drive crude oil volatility? Perspective from the STL-based iterated combination method," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    37. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2024. "Energy-related uncertainty and international stock market volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 280-293.
    38. Tong Fang & Deyu Miao & Zhi Su & Libo Yin, 2023. "Uncertainty‐driven oil volatility risk premium and international stock market volatility forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 872-904, July.
    39. Khaskheli, Asadullah & Zhang, Hongyu & Raza, Syed Ali & Khan, Komal Akram, 2022. "Assessing the influence of news indicator on volatility of precious metals prices through GARCH-MIDAS model: A comparative study of pre and during COVID-19 period," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    40. Xie, Qichang & Tang, Guoqiang, 2022. "Do market conditions interfere with the transmission of uncertainty from oil market to stock market? Evidence from a modified quantile-on-quantile approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    41. Chang, Lei & Mohsin, Muhammad & Gao, Zhennan & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2023. "Asymmetric impact of oil price on current account balance: Evidence from oil importing countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    42. Jamiu Badmus & Sodiq Bisiriyu & Oluwadamilola Alawode, 2023. "Modeling Oil shocks-Green Investments Nexus - A Global Evidence Based on Wavelet Coherence Technique," Energy RESEARCH LETTERS, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 4(2), pages 1-5.
    43. Tumala, Mohammed M. & Salisu, Afees A. & Gambo, Ali I., 2023. "Disentangled oil shocks and stock market volatility in Nigeria and South Africa: A GARCH-MIDAS approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 707-717.
    44. Jiang, Kunliang & Ye, Wuyi, 2022. "Does the asymmetric dependence volatility affect risk spillovers between the crude oil market and BRICS stock markets?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    45. Zhang, Xincheng, 2024. "Country-level energy-related uncertainties and stock market returns: Insights from the U.S. and China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    46. Pierdomenico Duttilo & Stefano Antonio Gattone & Tonio Di Battista, 2021. "Volatility Modeling: An Overview of Equity Markets in the Euro Area during COVID-19 Pandemic," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-18, May.
    47. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Lee, Hsiang-Tai, 2023. "Optimal portfolio diversification with a multi-chain regime-switching spillover GARCH model," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    48. Lukman A. Lasisi & Franklin N. Ngwu & Mohammed K. Taliat & Abeeb O. Olaniran & Kelechi C. Nnamdi, 2025. "Modelling commodity market volatility with climate policy uncertainty: a GARCH-MIDAS approach," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 5(3), pages 1-21, March.
    49. Yang, Junqi & Geng, Jiang-Bo & Liang, Ziwei, 2024. "Time-varying effects of structural oil price shocks on financial market uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    50. Mensi, Walid & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Frequency dependence between oil futures and international stock markets and the role of gold, bonds, and uncertainty indices: Evidence from partial and multivariate wavelet approaches," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    51. Li, Zepei & Huang, Haizhen, 2023. "Challenges for volatility forecasts of US fossil energy spot markets during the COVID-19 crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 31-45.

  232. Christina Christou & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi-Keung (Marco) Lau, 2019. "Are Uncertainties across the World Convergent?," Working Papers 201907, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Micheal Kofi Boachie & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Network Analysis of Economic and Financial Uncertainties in Advanced Economies: Evidence from Graph-Theory," Working Papers 201982, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi-Keung (Marco) & Sheng, Xin, 2020. "Graph theory-based network analysis of regional uncertainties of the US Economy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Uncertainty and forecastability of regional output growth in the UK: Evidence from machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1049-1064, September.
    5. Bonga, Wellington Garikai, 2019. "Measuring Macroeconomic Uncertainty in Zimbabwe," MPRA Paper 94759, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.

  233. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Christophe Andre & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Spillovers between US Real Estate and Financial Assets in Time and Frequency Domains," Working Papers 201947, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Krittika Banerjee & Ashima Goyal, 2020. "Monetary spillovers and real exchange rate misalignments in emerging markets," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2020-030, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Testing the Forecasting Power of Global Economic Conditions for the Volatility of International REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202211, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    4. Cepni, Oguzhan & Dul, Wiehan & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The dynamics of U.S. REITs returns to uncertainty shocks: A proxy SVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    5. Wang, Peiwan & Zong, Lu, 2020. "Contagion effects and risk transmission channels in the housing, stock, interest rate and currency markets: An Empirical Study in China and the U.S," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    6. Chen, Yanhui & Zhou, Xiaoyu & Chen, Shun & Mi, Jackson Jinhong, 2024. "LNG freight rate and LNG price, carbon price, geopolitical risk: A dynamic connectedness analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
    7. Le, TN-Lan & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2021. "Time and frequency domain connectedness and spill-over among fintech, green bonds and cryptocurrencies in the age of the fourth industrial revolution," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    8. Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Fiza Qureshi & Saqib Farid & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Mohamed Elheddad, 2024. "Time-frequency information transmission among financial markets: evidence from implied volatility," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 334(1), pages 701-729, March.
    9. Bossman, Ahmed & Umar, Zaghum & Agyei, Samuel Kwaku & Junior, Peterson Owusu, 2022. "A new ICEEMDAN-based transfer entropy quantifying information flow between real estate and policy uncertainty," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(3), pages 189-205.
    10. Yousaf, Imran & Assaf, Ata & Demir, Ender, 2024. "Relationship between real estate tokens and other asset classes: Evidence from quantile connectedness approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).

  234. Christina Christou & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time-Varying Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on Macroeconomic Variables of the United Kingdom: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Monthly Data," Working Papers 201962, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Assaf, Ata & Charif, Husni & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between uncertainty and energy markets: Do investor sentiments matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Ding, Xiaoli & Cheng, Sang & Qin, Wenjing & Gu, Xin, 2023. "Does uncertainty affect graduates’ decision to relocate for work? Evidence at China’s city level," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 10-19.
    4. Qin, Yun & Chen, Jinyu & Dong, Xuesong, 2021. "Oil prices, policy uncertainty and travel and leisure stocks in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    5. Esmaeili, Parisa & Rafei, Meysam, 2021. "Dynamics analysis of factors affecting electricity consumption fluctuations based on economic conditions: Application of SVAR and TVP-VAR models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    6. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the co-movement of regional housing prices of the United Kingdom," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-22, December.
    8. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Uncertainty and forecastability of regional output growth in the UK: Evidence from machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1049-1064, September.
    9. Bush, Georgia & López Noria, Gabriela, 2021. "Uncertainty and exchange rate volatility: Evidence from Mexico," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 704-722.
    10. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and the U.K. Unemployment Rate: A Forecasting Experiment with Random Forests Using 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 202095, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  235. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Gold, Platinum and the Predictability of Bond Risk Premia," Working Papers 201967, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua, 2024. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bubbles in global stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    2. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "A Note on Forecasting the Historical Realized Variance of Oil-Price Movements: The Role of Gold-to-Silver and Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratios," Working Papers 202158, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan & Gabauer, David, 2022. "Forecasting stock-market tail risk and connectedness in advanced economies over a century: The role of gold-to-silver and gold-to-platinum price ratios," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    4. Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratio and the Predictability of Bubbles in Financial Markets," Working Papers 202317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Jixiang, Zhang & Feng, Ma, 2024. "Video apps user engagement and stock market volatility: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    6. Duc Huynh, Toan Luu & Burggraf, Tobias & Wang, Mei, 2020. "Gold, platinum, and expected Bitcoin returns," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    7. Wang, Jiashun & Wang, Jiqian & Ma, Feng, 2024. "International commodity market and stock volatility predictability: Evidence from G7 countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 62-71.

  236. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Nicholas Apergis & Umit Bulut & Gulbahar Ucler & Serife Ozsahin, 2021. "The causal linkage between inflation and inflation uncertainty under structural breaks: Evidence from Turkey," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 89(3), pages 259-275, June.
    2. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    3. Walid Mensi & Zhuhua Jiang & Xuan Vinh Vo & Seong‐Min Yoon, 2023. "Asymmetric volatility transmission and hedging strategies among REIT, stock, and oil markets," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(4), pages 597-615, December.
    4. Jiqian Wang & Rangan Gupta & Oğuzhan Çepni & Feng Ma, 2023. "Forecasting international REITs volatility: the role of oil-price uncertainty," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(14), pages 1579-1597, September.
    5. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "House price synchronization across the US states: The role of structural oil shocks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    6. Mensi, Walid & Nekhili, Ramzi & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Quantile connectedness and spillovers analysis between oil and international REIT markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    7. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    8. Çelik, Ali Kemal & Yalçınkaya, Ömer & Kutlu, Muhammet, 2025. "The causal relationship between air transport and economic growth: Evidence from top ten countries with the largest air transport volume," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 521-532.
    9. Yu-Min Lian & Chia-Hsuan Li & Yi-Hsuan Wei, 2021. "Machine Learning and Time Series Models for VNQ Market Predictions," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 11(5), pages 1-2.
    10. Mensi, Walid & Reboredo, Juan C. & Ugolini, Andrea & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Switching connectedness between real estate investment trusts, oil, and gold markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    11. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin J., 2023. "On the connection between international REITs and oil markets: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    12. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of International REITs: The Role of Realized Skewness and Realized Kurtosis," Working Papers 202114, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Aldenis Vásquez & Rafael Alvarado & Brayan Tillaguango & Cem Işık & Muntasir Murshed, 2023. "Impact of Social and Institutional Indicators on the Homicide Rate in Ecuador: An Analysis Using Advanced Time Series Techniques," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 169(1), pages 1-22, September.
    14. Hanif, Waqas & Andraz, Jorge Miguel & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2024. "Are REITS hedge or safe haven against oil price fall?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1-16.

  237. Vasilios Plakandaras & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Forecasting Bitcoin Returns: Is there a Role for the U.S. – China Trade War?," Working Papers 201980, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Tobias Burggraf, 2020. "Bitcoin and Global Political Uncertainty – Evidence from the U.S. Election Cycle," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 727-742.
    2. Fahad Mostafa & Pritam Saha & Mohammad Rafiqul Islam & Nguyet Nguyen, 2021. "GJR-GARCH Volatility Modeling under NIG and ANN for Predicting Top Cryptocurrencies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-22, September.

  238. Oguzhan Cepni & Selcuk Gul & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Local Currency Bond Risk Premia of Emerging Markets: The Role of Local and Global Factors," Working Papers 201901, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Ojonugwa Usman & Mark Wohar & David Roubaud & Hasan Gungor, 2024. "Global liquidity effect of quantitative easing on emerging markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(6), pages 2449-2461, December.
    2. Noureddine Benlagha & Wael Hemrit, 2022. "Does economic policy uncertainty matter to explain connectedness within the international sovereign bond yields?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(1), pages 1-21, January.
    3. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa & Gungor, Hasan & Roubaud, David & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Role of global, regional, and advanced market economic policy uncertainty on bond spreads in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    4. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & I. Ethem Guney & M. Hasan Yilmaz, 2019. "Forecasting Local Currency Bond Risk Premia of Emerging Markets: The Role of Cross-Country Macro-Financial Linkages," Working Papers 201957, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Lien, Donald & Zhang, Jiewen & Yu, Xiaojian, 2022. "Effects of economic policy uncertainty: A regime switching connectedness approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    6. Ge, Futing & Zhang, Weiguo, 2022. "The determinants of cross-border bond risk premia," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).

  239. Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Esin Cakan, 2019. "Dynamic Impact of the U.S. Monetary Policy on Oil Market Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201916, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Yue, Tian & Li, Lu-Lu & Ruan, Xinfeng & Zhang, Jin E., 2024. "Smirking in the energy market: Evidence from the Chinese crude oil options market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).

  240. Riza Demirer & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Risk Aversion and the Predictability of Crude Oil Market Volatility: A Forecasting Experiment with Random Forests," Working Papers 201972, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    2. Wu, Xinyu & He, Qizhi & Xie, Haibin, 2023. "Forecasting VIX with time-varying risk aversion," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 458-475.
    3. Xiao, Jihong & Wang, Yudong & Wen, Danyan, 2023. "The predictive effect of risk aversion on oil returns under different market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    4. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    5. Gong, Jue & Wang, Gang-Jin & Xie, Chi & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2024. "How do market volatility and risk aversion sentiment inter-influence over time? Evidence from Chinese SSE 50 ETF options," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    6. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    7. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Bitcoin: The Role of the Trade War," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 29-53, January.
    8. Guo, Kun & Liu, Yu & Cao, Shanwei & Zhai, Xiangyang & Ji, Qiang, 2025. "Can climate factors improve the forecasting of electricity price volatility? Evidence from Australia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 315(C).
    9. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    10. Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda, 2024. "What drives the uranium sector risk? The role of attention, economic and geopolitical uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).

  241. Esin Cakan & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Josine Uwilingiye, 2019. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Herding Behavior: Evidence from the South African Housing Market," Working Papers 201921, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Tai-Yuen Hon & Massoud Moslehpour & Kai-Yin Woo, 2021. "Review on Behavioral Finance with Empirical Evidence," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(4), pages 15-41, December.
    2. Geoffrey M. Ngene & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Impact of Housing Policy Uncertainty on Herding Behavior: Evidence from UK's Regional Housing Markets," Working Papers 202115, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Sibande, Xolani, 2024. "Herding behaviour and monetary policy: Evidence from the ZAR market," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    4. Xolani Sibande, 2023. "Monetary policy and herding behaviour in the ZAR market," Working Papers 11053, South African Reserve Bank.

  242. Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2019. "Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on Housing Prices in the United States: The Role of Sentiment," Working Papers 201953, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Theodoridis, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark E., 2023. "Is there a national housing market bubble brewing in the United States?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(8), pages 2191-2228, December.
    2. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2021. "Dynamic impact of the U.S. monetary policy on oil market returns and volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 159-169.
    3. Rui Wang, 2021. "Evaluating the Unconventional Monetary Policy of the Bank of Japan: A DSGE Approach," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-18, June.
    4. Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2021. "Dynamic Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy on International REITs," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-19, September.
    5. Wang, Xinyu & Fang, Zhuangzhi & Wang, Zhenxin, 2025. "The dual role of sentiment on housing prices in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    6. Biktimirov, Ernest N. & Sokolyk, Tatyana & Ayanso, Anteneh, 2024. "Unpacking the relation between media sentiment and house prices: A topic modeling approach," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    7. Stephanos Papadamou & Νikolaos A. Kyriazis & Panayiotis G. Tzeremes, 2020. "US non-linear causal effects on global equity indices in Normal times versus unconventional eras," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 381-407, May.

  243. Besma Hkiri & Juncal Cunado & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time-Varying Relationship between Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies and Risk Aversion: International Evidence from Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 201965, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Guo, Junjie & Li, Xuelian & Zhang, Weiran & Li, Youshu, 2024. "Monetary policy spillovers among five systemic economies: Evidence from the time and frequency domains," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    2. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "Persistence of State-Level Uncertainty of the United States: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202208, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  244. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Juncal Cunado & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Testing the White Noise Hypothesis in High-Frequency Housing Returns of the United States," Working Papers 201952, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2024. "High-Frequency Contagion between Aggregate and Regional Housing Markets of the United States with Financial Assets: Evidence from Multichannel Tests," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(2), pages 253-276, August.

  245. Rangan Gupta & Philton Makena, 2019. "Growth Dynamics, Multiple Equilibria, and Local Indeterminacy in an Endogenous Growth Model of Money, Banking and Inflation Targeting," Working Papers 201960, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Eisei Ohtaki, 2023. "Climate change, financial intermediation, and monetary policy," Working Papers e179, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Sarah Nandnaba & Wei Jiang, 2024. "Climate Change and Growth Dynamics," Working Papers 202404, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  246. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "What can Fifty-Two Collateralizable Wealth Measures tell us about Future Housing Market Returns? Evidence from U.S. State-Level Data," Working Papers 201974, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Lake, A., 2020. "Behavioural Finance at Home: Testing Deviations of House Prices from their Fundamental Values," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20104, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  247. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Impact of Oil Price Volatility on State-Level Consumption of the United States: The Role of Oil Dependence," Working Papers 201969, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Bernd Hayo, 2023. "Does the ECB’s Monetary Policy Affect Personal Finances and Economic Inequality? A Household Perspective from Germany," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202023, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).

  248. Sonali Das & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Siphumlile Mangisa, 2019. "The Effect of Global Crises on Stock Market Correlations: Evidence from Scalar Regressions via Functional Data Analysis," Working Papers 201908, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Yousaf, Imran & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2022. "Static and dynamic connectedness between NFTs, Defi and other assets: Portfolio implication," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    2. Wu, Tao & Gao, Xiangyun & An, Sufang & Liu, Siyao, 2021. "Time-varying pattern causality inference in global stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    3. Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Lucey, Brian M. & Kumar, Satish, 2023. "Border disputes, conflicts, war, and financial markets research: A systematic review," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    4. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    5. Andr'es Garc'ia-Medina & Toan Luu Duc Huynh3, 2021. "What drives bitcoin? An approach from continuous local transfer entropy and deep learning classification models," Papers 2109.01214, arXiv.org.
    6. Wang, You & Gong, Xu, 2020. "Does financial development have a non-linear impact on energy consumption? Evidence from 30 provinces in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    7. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Testing the Forecasting Power of Global Economic Conditions for the Volatility of International REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202211, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Hossein Hassani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "The ENSO cycle and forecastability of global inflation and output growth: Evidence from standard and mixed‐frequency multivariate singular spectrum analyses," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1690-1707, November.
    9. Ali, Shoaib & Ijaz, Muhammad Shahzad & Yousaf, Imran, 2023. "Dynamic spillovers and portfolio risk management between defi and metals: Empirical evidence from the Covid-19," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    10. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Investor Sentiment and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries," Working Papers 202256, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Amirali Nasouri, 2025. "The Impact of Geopolitical Risks on Equity Markets and Financial Stress: A Comparative Analysis of Emerging and Advanced Economies," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(1), pages 30-41.
    12. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    13. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2023. "Tail risks and forecastability of stock returns of advanced economies: evidence from centuries of data," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 466-481, March.
    14. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "Forecasting Oil Volatility Using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach: The Role of Global Economic Conditions," Working Papers 202051, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "Global Financial Cycle and the Predictability of Oil Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Model," Working Papers 202121, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua, 2024. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bubbles in global stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    18. Yousaf, Imran & Beljid, Makram & Chaibi, Anis & Ajlouni, Ahmed AL, 2022. "Do volatility spillover and hedging among GCC stock markets and global factors vary from normal to turbulent periods? Evidence from the global financial crisis and Covid-19 pandemic crisis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    19. Yaya, OlaOluwa S. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Oil shocks and volatility of green investments: GARCH-MIDAS analyses," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    20. Zhang, Yi & Zhou, Long & Wu, Baoxiu & Liu, Fang, 2024. "Tail risk transmission from the United States to emerging stock Markets: Empirical evidence from multivariate quantile analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    21. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility Revisited: The Predictive Role of Signal Quality," Working Papers 202232, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Working Papers 202126, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan & Gabauer, David, 2022. "Forecasting stock-market tail risk and connectedness in advanced economies over a century: The role of gold-to-silver and gold-to-platinum price ratios," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    25. Santino Del Fava & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "Forecasting International Financial Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    26. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    27. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Asingamaanda Liphadzi & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Forecasting Stock Returns Volatility of the G7 Over Centuries: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202424, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    28. Foglia, Matteo & Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2025. "Long-span multi-layer spillovers between moments of advanced equity markets: The role of climate risks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    29. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Technological Shocks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202308, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    30. Salisu, Afees A. & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2024. "Technological shocks and stock market volatility over a century," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    31. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Mixed‐frequency forecasting of crude oil volatility based on the information content of global economic conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 134-157, January.
    32. Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratio and the Predictability of Bubbles in Financial Markets," Working Papers 202317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Oil shocks and stock market volatility of the BRICS: A GARCH-MIDAS approach," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    34. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Geopolitical Risk and Forecastability of Tail Risk in the Oil Market: Evidence from Over a Century of Monthly Data," Working Papers 202122, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    35. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & He Li & Yu You, 2021. "Financial Vulnerability and Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence from GARCH-MIDAS Models," Working Papers 202112, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    36. Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2025. "Stock market volatility and multi-scale positive and negative bubbles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    37. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Luca Rossini, 2022. "The Role of the Monthly ENSO in Forecasting the Daily Baltic Dry Index," Working Papers 202229, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    38. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Lasisi, Lukman & Olaniran, Abeeb, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and stock market volatility in emerging markets: A GARCH – MIDAS approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    39. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Predictability of tail risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The role of spillovers and oil tail Risks☆," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    40. Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "Monetary policy and bubbles in G7 economies using a panel VAR approach: Implications for sustainable development," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 133-155.
    41. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "The Role of Global Economic Conditions in Forecasting Gold Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202043, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    42. Fonseca, Carla L.G. & de Resende, Charlene C. & Fernandes, Danilo H.C. & Cardoso, Rodrigo T.N. & de Magalhães, A.R. Bosco, 2021. "Is the choice of the candlestick dimension relevant in econophysics?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 582(C).
    43. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Predictability of Tail Risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The Role of Spillovers and Oil Tail Risks," Working Papers 202127, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  249. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "The Role of Real Estate Uncertainty in Predicting US Home Sales Growth: Evidence from a Quantiles-Based Bayesian Model Averaging Approach," Working Papers 201936, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Stolbov, Mikhail & Shchepeleva, Maria, 2022. "Modeling global real economic activity: Evidence from variable selection across quantiles," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    2. Baek, Ingul & Liu, Jia & Noh, Sanha, 2024. "Real estate uncertainty and financial conditions over the business cycle," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 656-675.

  250. Vasilios Plakandaras & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2019. "Spillover of Sentiment in the European Union: Evidence from Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 201909, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Investor Sentiment and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries," Working Papers 202256, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Mbarki, Imen & Omri, Abdelwahed & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2022. "From sentiment to systemic risk: Information transmission in Asia-Pacific stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    3. Buchetti, Bruno & Bouteska, Ahmed & Harasheh, Murad & Santoni, Alessandro, 2025. "Investor sentiment and dynamic connectedness in European markets: insights from the covid-19 and Russia-Ukraine conflict," Working Paper Series 3050, European Central Bank.
    4. Zhang, Hongwei & Hong, Huojun & Guo, Yaoqi & Yang, Cai, 2022. "Information spillover effects from media coverage to the crude oil, gold, and Bitcoin markets during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from the time and frequency domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 267-285.
    5. Li, Yingli & Huang, Jianbai & Gao, Wang & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "Analyzing the time-frequency connectedness among oil, gold prices and BRICS geopolitical risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    6. Sheng Cheng & Wei Liu & Qisheng Jiang & Yan Cao, 2023. "Multi–Scale Risk Connectedness Between Economic Policy Uncertainty of China and Global Oil Prices in Time–Frequency Domains," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(4), pages 1593-1616, April.

  251. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hossein Hassani & Xu Huang, 2019. "Time-Varying Risk Aversion and the Profitability of Carry Trades: Evidence from the Cross-Quantilogram," Working Papers 201979, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mohamad, Azhar & Stavroyiannis, Stavros, 2022. "Do birds of a feather flock together? Evidence from time-varying herding behaviour of bitcoin and foreign exchange majors during Covid-19," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    2. Gordon Schulze, 2021. "Carry Trade Returns and Segmented Risk Pricing," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 49(1), pages 23-40, March.

  252. Christophe André & Petre Caraiani & Adrian Cantemir Čalin & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Can Monetary Policy Lean against Housing Bubbles?," Working Papers 201877, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Petre Caraiani & Adrian Cantemir Călin, 2019. "Monetary Policy Effects on Energy Sector Bubbles," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-13, February.
    2. Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Monetary Policy and Bubbles in G7 Economies: Evidence from a Panel VAR Approach," Working Papers 202230, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2022. "Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on Housing Prices in the United States: The Role of Sentiment," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 241-261, July.
    4. Lupu, Radu & Călin, Adrian Cantemir & Dumitrescu, Dan Gabriel & Lupu, Iulia, 2025. "Introducing a novel fragility index for assessing financial stability amid asset bubble episodes," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    5. Petre Caraiani & Adrian Cantemir Călin, 2020. "Housing markets, monetary policy, and the international co‐movement of housing bubbles," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 365-375, May.
    6. Renzhi, Nuobu, 2022. "Do house prices play a role in unconventional monetary policy transmission in Japan?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    7. Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2024. "High-Frequency Contagion between Aggregate and Regional Housing Markets of the United States with Financial Assets: Evidence from Multichannel Tests," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(2), pages 253-276, August.
    8. Ben-Gad, M. & Pearlman, J. & Sabuga, I., 2021. "An Analysis of Monetary and Macroprudential Policies in a DSGE Model with Reserve Requirements and Mortgage Lending," Working Papers 21/04, Department of Economics, City University London.
    9. Chokri Zehri & Zagros Madjd‐Sadjadi, 2024. "Capital flow management and monetary policy to control credit growth," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(2), pages 637-676, July.
    10. Yildirim, Zekeriya, 2022. "Global financial risk, the risk-taking channel, and monetary policy in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    11. Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "Monetary policy and bubbles in G7 economies using a panel VAR approach: Implications for sustainable development," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 133-155.

  253. Libing Fang & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2018. "Does Global Economic Uncertainty Matter for the Volatility and Hedging Effectiveness of Bitcoin?," Working Papers 201858, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Matkovskyy, Roman & Jalan, Akanksha & Dowling, Michael, 2020. "Effects of economic policy uncertainty shocks on the interdependence between Bitcoin and traditional financial markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 150-155.
    2. Wu, Shan & Tong, Mu & Yang, Zhongyi & Derbali, Abdelkader, 2019. "Does gold or Bitcoin hedge economic policy uncertainty?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 171-178.
    3. Bouri, Elie & Lucey, Brian & Roubaud, David, 2020. "Cryptocurrencies and the downside risk in equity investments," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    4. Ghabri, Yosra & Ben Rhouma, Oussama & Gana, Marjène & Guesmi, Khaled & Benkraiem, Ramzi, 2022. "Information transmission among energy markets, cryptocurrencies, and stablecoins under pandemic conditions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    5. Xiao, Yao, 2024. "Financial availability and rural household asset allocation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PB).
    6. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2022. "Risk transmissions between bitcoin and traditional financial assets during the COVID-19 era: The role of global uncertainties," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    7. Kumah, Seyram Pearl & Odei-Mensah, Jones, 2021. "Are Cryptocurrencies and African stock markets integrated?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 330-341.
    8. Jareño, Francisco & González, María de la O & Tolentino, Marta & Sierra, Karen, 2020. "Bitcoin and gold price returns: A quantile regression and NARDL analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    9. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2022. "Jumps in Geopolitical Risk and the Cryptocurrency Market: The Singularity of Bitcoin," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 150-161, February.
    10. Silky Vigg Kushwah & Shab Hundal & Payal Goel, 2024. "Unveiling Interconnectedness and Volatility Transmission: A Novel GARCH Analysis of Leading Global Cryptocurrencies," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(3), pages 132-139, May.
    11. Kreuzer, Christian & Laschinger, Ralf & Priberny, Christopher & Benninghoff, Sven, 2024. "Cryptocurrencies as a vehicle for capital exodus: Evidence from the Russian–Ukrainian crisis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
    12. Bruno Ferreira Frascaroli, 2020. "Bitcoin's innovative aspects, return volatility and uncertainty shocks," International Journal of Financial Markets and Derivatives, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 7(3), pages 224-245.
    13. Das, Sonali & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Mangisa, Siphumlile, 2019. "The effect of global crises on stock market correlations: Evidence from scalar regressions via functional data analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 132-147.
    14. Aharon, David Y. & Demir, Ender & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Zaremba, Adam, 2022. "Twitter-Based uncertainty and cryptocurrency returns," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    15. Yousaf, Imran & Abrar, Afsheen & Yousaf, Umair Bin & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Environmental attention and uncertainties of cryptocurrency market: Examining linkages with crypto-mining stocks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    16. Julien Chevallier & Dominique Guégan & Stéphane Goutte, 2021. "Is It Possible to Forecast the Price of Bitcoin?," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(2), pages 1-44, May.
    17. Parthajit Kayal & Purnima Rohilla, 2021. "Bitcoin in the economics and finance literature: a survey," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(7), pages 1-21, July.
    18. Ender Demir & Mehmet Huseyin Bilgin & Gokhan Karabulut & Asli Cansin Doker, 2020. "The relationship between cryptocurrencies and COVID-19 pandemic," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 10(3), pages 349-360, September.
    19. Dai, Peng-Fei & Xiong, Xiong & Duc Huynh, Toan Luu & Wang, Jiqiang, 2022. "The impact of economic policy uncertainties on the volatility of European carbon market," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    20. Wu, Wanshan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Gozgor, Giray & Leping, Huang, 2021. "Does economic policy uncertainty affect cryptocurrency markets? Evidence from Twitter-based uncertainty measures," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    21. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung marco Lau & David Roubaud, 2021. "Risk aversion and Bitcoin returns in extreme quantiles," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(3), pages 1374-1386.
    22. Tzeng, Kae-Yih & Su, Yi-Kai, 2024. "Can U.S. macroeconomic indicators forecast cryptocurrency volatility?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    23. Eugene Msizi Buthelezi, 2024. "Navigating Global Uncertainty: Examining the Effect of Geopolitical Risks on Cryptocurrency Prices and Volatility in a Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(4), pages 564-590, October.
    24. Jiang, Yonghong & Wu, Lanxin & Tian, Gengyu & Nie, He, 2021. "Do cryptocurrencies hedge against EPU and the equity market volatility during COVID-19? – New evidence from quantile coherency analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    25. Chengying He & Yong Li & Tianqi Wang & Salman Ali Shah, 2024. "Is cryptocurrency a hedging tool during economic policy uncertainty? An empirical investigation," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-10, December.
    26. Su, Chi-Wei & Qin, Meng & Tao, Ran & Umar, Muhammad, 2020. "Financial implications of fourth industrial revolution: Can bitcoin improve prospects of energy investment?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    27. Su, Chi-Wei & Qin, Meng & Tao, Ran & Shao, Xue-Feng & Albu, Lucian Liviu & Umar, Muhammad, 2020. "Can Bitcoin hedge the risks of geopolitical events?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    28. Tobias Burggraf, 2020. "Bitcoin and Global Political Uncertainty – Evidence from the U.S. Election Cycle," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 727-742.
    29. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & David Roubaud, 2019. "Risk Aversion and Bitcoin Returns in Normal, Bull, and Bear Markets," Working Papers 201927, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    30. Khalid Khan & Jiluo Sun & Sinem Derindere Koseoglu & Ashfaq U. Rehman, 2021. "Revisiting Bitcoin Price Behavior Under Global Economic Uncertainty," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(3), pages 21582440211, August.
    31. Choi, Sun-Yong, 2020. "Industry volatility and economic uncertainty due to the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from wavelet coherence analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    32. Emon Kalyan Chowdhury & Mohammad Nayeem Abdullah, 2024. "Gauging Demand for Cryptocurrency over the Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(1), pages 37-55, July.
    33. Smales, L.A., 2022. "Investor attention in cryptocurrency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    34. Bampinas, Georgios & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2024. "How would the war and the pandemic affect the stock and cryptocurrency cross-market linkages?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    35. Panos Kouvelis & Danko Turcic, 2021. "Supporting Operations with Financial Hedging: Cash Hedging Vs. Cost Hedging in an Automotive Industry," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(3), pages 738-749, March.
    36. Bai, Lan & Wei, Yu & Wei, Guiwu & Li, Xiafei & Zhang, Songyun, 2021. "Infectious disease pandemic and permanent volatility of international stock markets: A long-term perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    37. Helder Miguel Correia Virtuoso Sebastião & Paulo José Osório Rupino Da Cunha & Pedro Manuel Cortesão Godinho, 2021. "Cryptocurrencies and blockchain. Overview and future perspectives," International Journal of Economics and Business Research, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 21(3), pages 305-342.
    38. Gök, Remzi & Bouri, Elie & Gemici, Eray, 2022. "Can Twitter-based economic uncertainty predict safe-haven assets under all market conditions and investment horizons?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    39. Chao Liang & Yaojie Zhang & Xiafei Li & Feng Ma, 2022. "Which predictor is more predictive for Bitcoin volatility? And why?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 1947-1961, April.
    40. Aurelio F. Bariviera & Ignasi Merediz‐Solà, 2021. "Where Do We Stand In Cryptocurrencies Economic Research? A Survey Based On Hybrid Analysis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 377-407, April.
    41. Jihed Majdoub & Salim Ben Sassi & Azza Bejaoui, 2021. "Can fiat currencies really hedge Bitcoin? Evidence from dynamic short-term perspective," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(2), pages 789-816, December.
    42. Salisu, Afees & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula & Oloko, Tirimisiyu, 2020. "Pandemics and cryptocurrencies," MPRA Paper 109597, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    43. Karanasos, M. & Yfanti, S., 2021. "On the Economic fundamentals behind the Dynamic Equicorrelations among Asset classes: Global evidence from Equities, Real estate, and Commodities," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    44. Ma, Chaoqun & Tian, Yonggang & Hsiao, Shisong & Deng, Liurui, 2022. "Monetary policy shocks and Bitcoin prices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    45. OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Nurudeen Abu & Tayo P. Ogundunmade, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty in G7 countries: evidence of long-range dependence and cointegration," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 541-556, May.
    46. Yue, Yao & Li, Xuerong & Zhang, Dingxuan & Wang, Shouyang, 2021. "How cryptocurrency affects economy? A network analysis using bibliometric methods," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    47. Svetoslav Borisov, 2024. "Bitcoin – Hedge or Speculative Asset: Analysis of Its Role and Nature," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 5, pages 148-170.
    48. Skander Slim & Ibrahim Tabche & Yosra Koubaa & Mohamed Osman & Andreas Karathanasopoulos, 2023. "Forecasting realized volatility of Bitcoin: The informative role of price duration," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1909-1929, November.
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    51. Charfeddine, Lanouar & Benlagha, Noureddine & Maouchi, Youcef, 2020. "Investigating the dynamic relationship between cryptocurrencies and conventional assets: Implications for financial investors," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 198-217.
    52. Yin, Libo & Nie, Jing & Han, Liyan, 2021. "Understanding cryptocurrency volatility: The role of oil market shocks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 233-253.
    53. Rym Regaieg & Wajdi Moussa & Nidhal Mgadmi, 2024. "Can We Reckon Bitcoin as a Hedge, a Safe Haven or a Diversifier for US Dollars?," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 25(2_suppl), pages 138-150, April.
    54. Fang, Tong & Su, Zhi & Yin, Libo, 2020. "Economic fundamentals or investor perceptions? The role of uncertainty in predicting long-term cryptocurrency volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    55. Chi Keung Lau & Alaa M. Soliman & Dongna Zhang, 2024. "Energy Price Inflation, Geopolitical Risk, and Bitcoin Dependence Structure: Evidence from BRICS," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 60(12), pages 2631-2645, September.
    56. Chu, Jeffrey & Chan, Stephen & Zhang, Yuanyuan, 2021. "Bitcoin versus high-performance technology stocks in diversifying against global stock market indices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 580(C).
    57. Feng Ma & Chao Liang & Yuanhui Ma & M.I.M. Wahab, 2020. "Cryptocurrency volatility forecasting: A Markov regime‐switching MIDAS approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(8), pages 1277-1290, December.
    58. Lei Wang & Provash Kumer Sarker & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Short- and Long-Term Interactions Between Bitcoin and Economic Variables: Evidence from the US," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(4), pages 1305-1330, April.
    59. Liu, Wei & Semeyutin, Artur & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Gozgor, Giray, 2020. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk of Cryptocurrencies with RiskMetrics type models," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    60. Chowdhury, Md Shahedur R. & Damianov, Damian S., 2024. "Uncertainty and bubbles in cryptocurrencies: Evidence from newly developed uncertainty indices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
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    62. Abdollah Ah Mand, 2025. "Cryptocurrency returns and cryptocurrency uncertainty: a time–frequency analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-29, December.
    63. Dimitrios Koutmos & Timothy King & Constantin Zopounidis, 2021. "Hedging uncertainty with cryptocurrencies: Is bitcoin your best bet?," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 44(4), pages 815-837, December.
    64. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Predicting Bitcoin returns: Comparing the roles of newspaper- and internet search-based measures of uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    65. Huynh, Toan Luu Duc, 2021. "Does Bitcoin React to Trump’s Tweets?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
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    68. Hashem A. AlNemer & Besma Hkiri & Muhammed Asif Khan, 2021. "Time-Varying Nexus between Investor Sentiment and Cryptocurrency Market: New Insights from a Wavelet Coherence Framework," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-19, June.
    69. Assaf, Ata & Demir, Ender & Mokni, Khaled, 2024. "Exploring connectedness among cryptocurrency, technology communication, and FinTech through dynamic and fractal analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
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    71. Vasilios Plakandaras & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Forecasting Bitcoin Returns: Is there a Role for the U.S. – China Trade War?," Working Papers 201980, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    72. Yosra Ghabri & Luu Duc Toan Huynh & Muhammad Ali Nasir, 2024. "Volatility spillovers, hedging and safe‐havens under pandemics: All that glitters is not gold!," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 1318-1344, April.
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    73. Choi, Sun-Yong, 2022. "Evidence from a multiple and partial wavelet analysis on the impact of geopolitical concerns on stock markets in North-East Asian countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    74. Zhang, Yulian & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2022. "A connectedness analysis among BRICS’s geopolitical risks and the US macroeconomy," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 182-203.
    75. Kisswani, Khalid M., 2021. "(A)symmetric time-varying effects of uncertainty fluctuations on oil price volatility: A nonlinear ARDL investigation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    76. Zhang, Jialin & Shi, Shaodong, 2023. "Extraction of natural resources and geopolitical risk revisited: A novel perspective of research and development with financial development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    77. Sohag, Kazi & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Mariev, Oleg & Safonova, Yulia, 2022. "Do geopolitical events transmit opportunity or threat to green markets? Decomposed measures of geopolitical risks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    78. Olanipekun, Ifedolapo Olabisi & Ozkan, Oktay & Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin, 2023. "Is renewable energy use lowering resource-related uncertainties?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
    79. Evrim Mandaci, Pınar & Azimli, Asil & Mandaci, Nazif, 2023. "The impact of geopolitical risks on connectedness among natural resource commodities: A quantile vector autoregressive approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    80. Kisswani, Khalid M. & Fikru, Mahelet G., 2025. "The dynamic nexus between economic policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and natural resource rents of ASEAN-5 countries: Insights from the novel Fourier augmented ARDL method (FAARDL)," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).

  255. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Forecasting Interest Rate Volatility of the United Kingdom: Evidence from over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201873, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rita Pimentel & Morten Risstad & Sjur Westgaard, 2022. "Predicting interest rate distributions using PCA & quantile regression," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 4(4), pages 291-311, December.
    2. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Historical Forecasting Of Interest Rate Mean And Volatility Of The United States: Is There A Role Of Uncertainty?," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(04), pages 1-17, December.
    3. Hajirahimi, Zahra & Khashei, Mehdi & Etemadi, Sepideh, 2022. "A novel class of reliability-based parallel hybridization (RPH) models for time series forecasting," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    4. Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Ruth Omotosho & Festus Victor Bekun, 2024. "Interest Rate Volatility and Economic Growth in Nigeria: New Insight from the Quantile Autoregressive Distributed Lag (QARDL) Model," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(4), pages 20172-20195, December.

  256. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2018. "Geopolitical Risks and the Predictability of Regional Oil Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201860, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ene Giorgiana-Roxana, 2024. "The Impact of Multiple Crises on the Economy. A Comparative Analysis of GFC, COVID-19 and the Ukraine War Period," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 18(1), pages 3143-3166.
    2. Dutta, Anupam & Soytas, Ugur & Das, Debojyoti & Bhattacharyya, Asit, 2022. "In search of time-varying jumps during the turmoil periods: Evidence from crude oil futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    3. Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Tang, Yingkai & Zhang, Yaojie, 2019. "Geopolitical risk and oil volatility: A new insight," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Geopolitical Risk and Forecastability of Tail Risk in the Oil Market: Evidence from Over a Century of Monthly Data," Working Papers 202122, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Revisiting the Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Tunisia: Carbon Dioxide vs. Ecological Footprint," Working Papers 202171, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  257. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Zinnia Mukherjee & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2018. "A Wavelet Analysis of the Relationship between Oil and Natural Gas Prices," Working Papers 201831, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Li, Boying & Zheng, Mingbo & Zhao, Xinxin & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2021. "An assessment of the effect of partisan ideology on shale gas production and the implications for environmental regulations," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(3).
    2. Younis, Ijaz & Du, Anna Min & Gupta, Himani & Shah, Waheed Ullah, 2024. "Dynamic spillover effects and interconnectedness of DeFi assets, commodities, and Islamic stock markets during crises," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    3. Wei, Zhaohao & Chai, Jian & Dong, Jichang & Lu, Quanying, 2022. "Understanding the linkage-dependence structure between oil and gas markets: A new perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    4. Faisal, Faisal & Rahman, Sami Ur & Chander, Rajnesh & Ali, Adnan & Ramakrishnan, Suresh & Ozatac, Nesrin & Ullah, Mr Noor & Tursoy, Turgut, 2021. "Investigating the nexus between GDP, oil prices, FDI, and tourism for emerging economy: Empirical evidence from the novel fourier ARDL and hidden cointegration," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    5. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Cunado, Juncal & Hatemi-J, Abdulnasser & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Oil price-inflation pass-through in the United States over 1871 to 2018: A wavelet coherency analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 51-55.
    6. Mehmet Balcilar & Usman Ojonugwa, 2018. "Exchange rate and oil price pass-through to inflation in BRICS countries: Evidence from the spillover index and rolling-sample analysis," Working Papers 15-45, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    7. Szafranek Karol & Rubaszek Michał, 2024. "Have European natural gas prices decoupled from crude oil prices? Evidence from TVP-VAR analysis," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 28(3), pages 507-530.
    8. Deng, Xiang & Xu, Fang, 2024. "Asymmetric effects of international oil prices on China's PPI in different industries——Research based on NARDL model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    9. Kumar, Satish & Pradhan, Ashis Kumar & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2019. "Correlations and volatility spillovers between oil, natural gas, and stock prices in India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 282-291.
    10. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Peng, Zhe & Bouri, Elie & Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad & Karim, Sitara, 2022. "Examining the asymmetries between equity and commodity ETFs during COVID-19," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    11. Mensi, Walid & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Maitra, Debasish & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "Oil, natural gas and BRICS stock markets: Evidence of systemic risks and co-movements in the time-frequency domain," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    12. Du, Zhili & Zhang, Guowei & Lin, Boqiang, 2024. "Exploring vehicle preference dynamics: Analyzing the influence of oil price volatility on consumer car purchase decisions - A comparative survey experiment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 312(C).
    13. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa, 2021. "Exchange rate and oil price pass-through in the BRICS countries: Evidence from the spillover index and rolling-sample analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    14. Dejan Živkov & Suzana Balaban & Marko Pećanac, 2021. "Assessing the multiscale “meteor shower” effect from oil to the central and eastern European stock indices," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 1855-1870, April.
    15. Long, Huidian & Cao, Yafei, 2024. "A wavelet analysis of the relationship between carbon emissions rights and crude oil prices in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    16. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Mihai Ioan Mutascu, 2021. "Fuel price co-movements among France, Germany and Italy: A time-frequency investigation," Post-Print hal-03529585, HAL.
    17. Su, Chi Wei & Qin, Meng & Chang, Hsu-Ling & Țăran, Alexandra-Mădălina, 2023. "Which risks drive European natural gas bubbles? Novel evidence from geopolitics and climate," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    18. Pan, Xunzhang & Wang, Lining & Dai, Jiaquan & Zhang, Qi & Peng, Tianduo & Chen, Wenying, 2020. "Analysis of China’s oil and gas consumption under different scenarios toward 2050: An integrated modeling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    19. Asadi, Mehrad & Roubaud, David & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2022. "Volatility spillovers amid crude oil, natural gas, coal, stock, and currency markets in the US and China based on time and frequency domain connectedness," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    20. Qi, Yajie & Li, Huajiao & Liu, Yanxin & Feng, Sida & Li, Yang & Guo, Sui, 2020. "Granger causality transmission mechanism of steel product prices under multiple scales—The industrial chain perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    21. Jiang, Zhuhua & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2020. "Dynamic co-movement between oil and stock markets in oil-importing and oil-exporting countries: Two types of wavelet analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    22. Tadahiro Nakajima & Yuki Toyoshima, 2019. "Measurement of Connectedness and Frequency Dynamics in Global Natural Gas Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-15, October.
    23. Marwa Elsherif, 2024. "Modelling Inflation Dynamics and Global Oil Price Shocks in OAPEC Countries: TVP-VAR," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(3), pages 51-69, May.
    24. Zhao, Yiran & Gao, Xiangyun & An, Haizhong & Xi, Xian & Sun, Qingru & Jiang, Meihui, 2020. "The effect of the mined cobalt trade dependence Network's structure on trade price," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    25. Oleksandr Castello & Marina Resta, 2023. "A Machine-Learning-Based Approach for Natural Gas Futures Curve Modeling," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-22, June.
    26. Mastroeni, Loretta & Mazzoccoli, Alessandro & Quaresima, Greta & Vellucci, Pierluigi, 2022. "Wavelet analysis and energy-based measures for oil-food price relationship as a footprint of financialisation effect," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    27. Chen, Rongda & Wang, Shengnan & Ye, Mengya & Jin, Chenglu & Ren, He & Chen, Shu, 2022. "Cross-Market Investor Sentiment of Energy Futures and Return Comovements," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    28. Choi, Sun-Yong, 2022. "Credit risk interdependence in global financial markets: Evidence from three regions using multiple and partial wavelet approaches," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    29. Sudeshna Ghosh & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Buhari Doğan & Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah, 2024. "The Dynamic Relationship Between Gas and Crude Oil Markets and the Causal Impact of US Shale Gas," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(6), pages 2501-2524, June.
    30. Fasanya, Ismail & Adekoya, Oluwasegun & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin & Adegboyega, Soliu, 2022. "Investor sentiment and energy futures predictability: Evidence from Feasible Quasi Generalized Least Squares," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    31. Kumar, Sourabh & Barua, Mukesh Kumar, 2022. "A modeling framework and analysis of challenges faced by the Indian petroleum supply chain," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PE).

  258. Qiang Ji & Rangan Gupta & Festus Victor Bekun & Mehmet Balcilar, 2018. "Spillover of Mortgage Default Risks in the United States: Evidence from Metropolitan Statistical Areas and States," Working Papers 201850, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Duc Hong Vo, 2025. "Long-term effects of institutional quality on financial inclusion in Asia–Pacific countries," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, December.
    2. Chenjun Zhang & Hailiang Huang & Changfeng Shi & Jingru Xu & Yung-ho Chiu, 2024. "Spatial pattern and driving factors for interprovincial water use in China: Based on SNA and LMDI," Energy & Environment, , vol. 35(4), pages 2198-2227, June.

  259. Nikolaos Antonakakis & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2018. "Dynamic Connectedness of Uncertainty across Developed Economies: A Time-Varying Approach," Working Papers 201802, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Bouri, Elie & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Return connectedness across asset classes around the COVID-19 outbreak," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    2. Dai, Zhifeng & Zhu, Haoyang & Zhang, Xinhua, 2022. "Dynamic spillover effects and portfolio strategies between crude oil, gold and Chinese stock markets related to new energy vehicle," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    3. Tan, Xueping & Zhong, Yiran & Vivian, Andrew & Geng, Yong & Wang, Ziyi & Zhao, Difei, 2024. "Towards an era of multi-source uncertainty: A systematic and bibliometric analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    4. Su, Tong & Lin, Boqiang, 2024. "Reassessing the information transmission and pricing influence of Shanghai crude oil futures: A time-varying perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    5. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2022. "Risk transmissions between bitcoin and traditional financial assets during the COVID-19 era: The role of global uncertainties," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    6. Cui Jinxin & Zou Huiwen, 2020. "Connectedness Among Economic Policy Uncertainties: Evidence from the Time and Frequency Domain Perspectives," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 8(5), pages 401-433, October.
    7. Jaewon Jung, 2023. "Multinational Firms and Economic Integration: The Role of Global Uncertainty," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-18, February.
    8. Aharon, David Y. & Alon, Ilan & Vakhromov, Oleg, 2024. "Metaverse tokens or metaverse stocks – Who’s the boss?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    9. Dai, Zhifeng & Peng, Yongxin, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market sector time-varying spillover effect: Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    10. Z. Umar & O.B. Adekoya & M. Gubareva & Sabri Boubaker, 2023. "Returns and Volatility Connectedness among the EurozoDne Equity Markets," Post-Print hal-04434044, HAL.
    11. Iqbal, Najaf & Umar, Zaghum & Ruman, Asif M. & Jiang, Shaohua, 2024. "The term structure of yield curve and connectedness among ESG investments," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    12. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Greek economic policy uncertainty: Does it matter for Europe? Evidence from a dynamic connectedness decomposition approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    13. Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Integration and Risk Transmission in the Market for Crude Oil: A Time-Varying Parameter Frequency Connectedness Approach," Working Papers 202147, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Micheal Kofi Boachie & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Network Analysis of Economic and Financial Uncertainties in Advanced Economies: Evidence from Graph-Theory," Working Papers 201982, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Time-frequency dependence and connectedness among global oil markets: Fresh evidence from higher-order moment perspective," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    16. Gabauer, David & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Stenfors, Alexis, 2023. "Model-free connectedness measures," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    17. Duan, Kun & Zhao, Yanqi & Urquhart, Andrew & Huang, Yingying, 2023. "Do clean and dirty cryptocurrencies connect with financial assets differently? The role of economic policy uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    18. Dai, Zhifeng & Zhu, Haoyang, 2023. "Dynamic risk spillover among crude oil, economic policy uncertainty and Chinese financial sectors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 421-450.
    19. Chang, Kuang-Liang, 2021. "Do U.S. and Japanese uncertainty shocks play important roles in affecting transition mechanisms of Japanese stock market?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    20. Zhengyang Chi & Junbin Gao & Chao Wang, 2024. "Graph Signal Processing for Global Stock Market Realized Volatility Forecasting," Papers 2410.22706, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2025.
    21. Zhu, Huiming & Xia, Xiling & Hau, Liya & Zeng, Tian & Deng, Xi, 2024. "Time-frequency higher-order moment Co-movement and connectedness between Chinese stock and commodity markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    22. Qi, Xiaohong & Zhang, Guofu, 2022. "Dynamic connectedness of China’s green bonds and asset classes," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    23. Evrim Mandacı, Pınar & Cagli, Efe Çaglar & Taşkın, Dilvin, 2020. "Dynamic connectedness and portfolio strategies: Energy and metal markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    24. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2021. "How COVID-19 drives connectedness among commodity and financial markets: Evidence from TVP-VAR and causality-in-quantiles techniques," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    25. Hong, Yun & Qu, Bo & Yang, Zhuohang & Jiang, Yanhui, 2023. "The contagion of fake news concern and extreme stock market risks during the COVID-19 period," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    26. Gong, Yuting & He, Zhongzhi & Xue, Wenjun, 2022. "EPU spillovers and stock return predictability: A cross-country study," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    27. Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Spillovers across macroeconomic, financial and real estate uncertainties: A time-varying approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 167-173.
    28. Muneer Shaik & Mustafa Raza Rabbani & Mohd Atif & Ahmet Faruk Aysan & Mohammad Noor Alam & Umar Nawaz Kayani, 2024. "The dynamic volatility nexus of geo-political risks, stocks, bond, bitcoin, gold and oil during COVID-19 and Russian-Ukraine war," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 19(2), pages 1-16, February.
    29. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Idris A. Adediran, 2021. "The Effect of US Uncertainty Shock on International Equity Markets: The Role of the Global Financial Cycle," Working Papers 202136, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    30. Siphumlile Mangisa & Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Analyzing The Impact Of Brexit On Global Uncertainty Using Functional Linear Regression With Point Of Impact: The Role Of Currency And Equity Markets," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 67(04), pages 1377-1388, June.
    31. Pawan Kumar & Vipul Kumar Singh, 2023. "Examining the Time Varying Spillover Dynamics of Indian Financial Indictors from Global and Local Economic Uncertainty," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 21(1), pages 99-121, March.
    32. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "The Financial US Uncertainty Spillover Multiplier: Evidence from a GVAR Model," Working Papers 202145, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Hu, Yang & Oxley, Les & Xu, Danyang, 2021. "Pandemic-related financial market volatility spillovers: Evidence from the Chinese COVID-19 epicentre," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 55-81.
    34. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Giannellis, Nikolaos, 2022. "On bank return and volatility spillovers: Identifying transmitters and receivers during crisis periods," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 156-176.
    35. Rana Mosharrafa & Mohammad Sahabuddin & Nipa Saha, 2024. "Migrant Workforces, Foreign Remittance, and Economic Growth Nexus in an Emerging Country," Journal of International Migration and Integration, Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 2321-2337, December.
    36. Kyriazis, Nikolaos & Papadamou, Stephanos & Tzeremes, Panayiotis & Corbet, Shaen, 2024. "Quantifying spillovers and connectedness among commodities and cryptocurrencies: Evidence from a Quantile-VAR analysis," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    37. Li, Yueshan & Chen, Shoudong & Sensoy, Ahmet & Wang, Lu, 2024. "Over-expected shocks and financial market security: Evidence from China's markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    38. Zhou, Yuqin & Liu, Zhenhua & Wu, Shan, 2022. "The global economic policy uncertainty spillover analysis: In the background of COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    39. Aharon, David Y. & Kizys, Renatas & Umar, Zaghum & Zaremba, Adam, 2023. "Did David win a battle or the war against Goliath? Dynamic return and volatility connectedness between the GameStop stock and the high short interest indices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    40. Yousaf, Imran & Hunjra, Ahmed Imran & Alshater, Muneer M. & Bouri, Elie & Li, Yanshuang, 2023. "Multidimensional connectedness among the volatility of global financial markets around the Russian-Ukrainian conflict," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    41. Julián Andrada-Félix & Adrian Fernandez-Perez & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2021. "Stress Spillovers among Financial Markets: Evidence from Spain," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-21, November.
    42. Besma Hkiri & Juncal Cunado & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time-Varying Relationship between Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies and Risk Aversion: International Evidence from Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 201965, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    43. Luo, Keyu & Guo, Qiang & Li, Xiafei, 2022. "Can the return connectedness indices from grey energy to natural gas help to forecast the natural gas returns?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    44. Chen, Bin-xia & Sun, Yan-lin, 2024. "Risk characteristics and connectedness in cryptocurrency markets: New evidence from a non-linear framework," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
    45. Dong, Zibing & Li, Yanshuang & Zhuang, Xintian & Wang, Jian, 2022. "Impacts of COVID-19 on global stock sectors: Evidence from time-varying connectedness and asymmetric nexus analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    46. Aharon, David Y. & Umar, Zaghum & Aziz, Mukhriz Izraf Azman & Vo, Xuan vinh, 2022. "COVID-19 related media sentiment and the yield curve of G-7 economies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    47. Oliyide, Johnson A. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Khan, Muhammad A., 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and the volatility connectedness between oil shocks and metal market: An extension," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 136-150.
    48. Qi, Haozhi & Ma, Lijun & Peng, Pin & Chen, Hao & Li, Kang, 2022. "Dynamic connectedness between clean energy stock markets and energy commodity markets during times of COVID-19: Empirical evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    49. Andrada-Félix, Julián & Fernandez-Perez, Adrian & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón, 2020. "Distant or close cousins: Connectedness between cryptocurrencies and traditional currencies volatilities," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    50. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Brahim, Mariem & Carlotti, Jean-Etienne & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Mensi, Walid, 2024. "Extreme downside risk connectedness and portfolio hedging among the G10 currencies," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    51. Wan, Yang & He, Shi, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness of currencies in G7 countries: A Bayesian time-varying approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    52. Mahdi Ghaemi Asl & Oluwasegun B. Adekoya & Muhammad Mahdi Rashidi, 2023. "Quantiles dependence and dynamic connectedness between distributed ledger technology and sectoral stocks: enhancing the supply chain and investment decisions with digital platforms," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 327(1), pages 435-464, August.
    53. Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Gabauer, David & Perez de Gracia, Fernando, 2022. "Tail risk connectedness in the refined petroleum market: A first look at the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    54. Liu, Pan & Power, Gabriel J. & Vedenov, Dmitry, 2021. "Fair-weather Friends? Sector-specific volatility connectedness and transmission," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 712-736.
    55. OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Nurudeen Abu & Tayo P. Ogundunmade, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty in G7 countries: evidence of long-range dependence and cointegration," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 541-556, May.
    56. Chen, Yu-Fen & Lin, Fu-Lai & Yeh, Wen-Hung, 2024. "Intra- and inter-sector spillover effects within a supply chain: Evidence from Taiwan electric motorcycle industry," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    57. Dai, Zhifeng & Zhu, Haoyang, 2022. "Time-varying spillover effects and investment strategies between WTI crude oil, natural gas and Chinese stock markets related to belt and road initiative," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    58. Aharon, David Y. & Qadan, Mahmoud, 2022. "Infection, invasion, and inflation: Recent lessons," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    59. Li, Jingpeng & Umar, Muhammad & Huo, Jiale, 2023. "The spillover effect between Chinese crude oil futures market and Chinese green energy stock market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    60. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    61. Christophe Andre & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillovers between Housing Sentiment and Housing Market in the United States," Working Papers 202091, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    62. Chan, Ying Tung & Qiao, Hui, 2023. "Volatility spillover between oil and stock prices: Structural connectedness based on a multi-sector DSGE model approach with Bayesian estimation," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 265-286.
    63. Chen, Hao & Xu, Chao & Peng, Yun, 2022. "Time-frequency connectedness between energy and nonenergy commodity markets during COVID-19: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
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    184. Bonaccolto, Giovanni & Caporin, Massimiliano & Iacopini, Matteo, 2024. "Extreme time-varying spillovers between high carbon emission stocks, green bond and crude oil: Comment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    185. Mishra, Aswini Kumar & Anand K, Kamesh & Venkatasai Kappagantula, Akhil, 2025. "Unveiling asymmetric return spillovers with portfolio implications among Indian stock sectors during Covid-19 pandemic," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).

  260. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Wei Ma & Philton Makena, 2018. "Income Inequality and Economic Growth: A Re-Examination of Theory and Evidence," Working Papers 201844, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Shahid Iqbal & Abdul Qayyum Khan & Muhammad Yar Khan & Lamya Al-Aali, 2021. "The Dynamics of Financial Development, Government Quality, and Economic Growth in Different Groups of Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-14, July.
    2. Odhiambo, Nicholas M, 2022. "Information technology,income inequality and economic growth in Sub-Saharan African countries," Working Papers 29011, University of South Africa, Department of Economics.
    3. Obaid Ullah & Zia Ur Rahman & Aijun Guo & Ali Zeb, 2024. "Disaggregated Public Spending, Income Inequality and its Effect on Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Developing Countries," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(4), pages 20823-20850, December.
    4. Ibrahim Mohamed Ali Ali, 2023. "Income inequality, economic growth, and structural changes in Egypt: new insights from quantile cointegration approach," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 379-407, February.
    5. Fan Chen & Can Zhang & Wenna Wang & Hong Wei, 2023. "Internet use and higher farmer participation in domestic waste sorting: micro-survey data from 2126 farming households in rural China," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
    6. Alex O. Acheampong & Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo & Janet Dzator & Isaac Koomson, 2023. "Income inequality and economic growth in BRICS: insights from non-parametric techniques," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 21(3), pages 619-640, September.
    7. N.M. Odhiambo, 2022. "Information Technology, Income Inequality and Economic Growth in sub-Saharan African Countries," Working Papers AESRI-2022-14, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI), revised Jan 2022.
    8. Bruno Ćorić & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Economic disasters and inequality: a note," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 3527-3543, October.

  261. Giorgio Canarella & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2018. "Persistence and Cyclical Dynamics of US and UK House Prices: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201838, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana, 2023. "U.S. House Prices by Census Division: Persistence, Trends and Structural Breaks," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 29(1), pages 79-90, May.
    2. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alfonso Dominguez & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana, 2025. "Testing for Persistence in Real House Prices in 47 Countries from the OECD Database," CESifo Working Paper Series 11662, CESifo.
    3. Ren, Xiaohang & Xiao, Ya & Duan, Kun & Urquhart, Andrew, 2024. "Spillover effects between fossil energy and green markets: Evidence from informational inefficiency," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    4. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana, 2023. "Long-Run Trends and Cycles in US House Prices," CESifo Working Paper Series 10751, CESifo.
    5. Abebe Hailemariam & Sefa Awaworyi Churchill & Russell Smyth & Kingsley Tetteh Baako, 2021. "Income inequality and housing prices in the very long‐run," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 88(1), pages 295-321, July.

  262. Wendy Nyakabawo & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2018. "High-Frequency Impact of Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Surprises on US MSAs and Aggregate US Housing Returns and Volatility: A GJR-GARCH Approach," Working Papers 201817, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Changing Dynamics of the U.S. REITs Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-12, May.
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Testing the Forecasting Power of Global Economic Conditions for the Volatility of International REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202211, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Radoslaw Wolniak & Marcin Olkiewicz & Marta Szymczewska & Anna Olkiewicz, 2020. "The Functioning of the Real Estate Market: Dynamics of Price Formation and the Sale of Apartments," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2), pages 281-307.
    4. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2021. "Dynamic Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy on International REITs," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-19, September.
    6. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rinsuna Shivambu, 2020. "Uncertainty and Daily Predictability of Housing Returns and Volatility of the United States: Evidence from a Higher-Order Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 202071, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Cepni, Oguzhan & Dul, Wiehan & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The dynamics of U.S. REITs returns to uncertainty shocks: A proxy SVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    9. Chong-Chuo Chang & Kuen-Shiou Yang, 2021. "Loose monetary policy and firm uncertainty," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(3), pages 1-27, March.
    10. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang, 2022. "Nonlinear contagion between stock and real estate markets: International evidence from a local Gaussian correlation approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2089-2109, April.

  263. Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Is the Response of the Bank of England to Exchange Rate Movements Frequency-Dependent?," Working Papers 201883, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Zamarripa, Rene, 2024. "Parameter instabilities and monetary policy in a small open economy: Evidence from an estimated model for the UK," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).

  264. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Firm-Level Political Risk and Asymmetric Volatility," Working Papers 201861, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Al-Thaqeb, Saud Asaad & Algharabali, Barrak Ghanim, 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty: A literature review," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    2. Saima Latif & Faheem Aslam & Paulo Ferreira & Sohail Iqbal, 2024. "Integrating Macroeconomic and Technical Indicators into Forecasting the Stock Market: A Data-Driven Approach," Economies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-28, December.
    3. Shehub Bin Hasan & Md Samsul Alam & Sudharshan Reddy Paramati & Md Shahidul Islam, 2022. "Does firm-level political risk affect cash holdings?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 311-337, July.
    4. Riza Demirer & Asli Yuksel & Aydin Yuksel, 2020. "The U.S. term structure and return volatility in emerging stock markets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 44(4), pages 687-707, October.
    5. Maki, Daiki, 2024. "Forecasting downside and upside realized volatility: The role of asymmetric information," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    6. Jiang, Yong & Al-Nassar, Nassar S. & Ren, Yi-Shuai & Ma, Chao-Qun & Yang, Xiao-Guang, 2024. "Tail connectedness between category-specific policy uncertainty, sovereign debt risk, and stock volatility during a high inflation period," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
    7. Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Wu, Junjie & Duong, An Trong, 2020. "Information Asymmetry and firm value: Is Vietnam different?," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 21(C).
    8. Aliyev, Fuzuli & Ajayi, Richard & Gasim, Nijat, 2020. "Modelling asymmetric market volatility with univariate GARCH models: Evidence from Nasdaq-100," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    9. Jiasheng Yu & Maojun Zhang & Ruoyu Liu & Guodong Wang, 2023. "Dynamic Effects of Climate Policy Uncertainty on Green Bond Volatility: An Empirical Investigation Based on TVP-VAR Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-17, January.
    10. Wang, Bin & Wang, Liang & Gong, Bairong & Yan, Zhengwei & Hu, Pan, 2023. "Does broadband internet infrastructure mitigate firm-level economic policy uncertainty? Evidence from the Broadband China Pilot Policy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    11. Virbickaitė, Audronė & Frey, Christoph & Macedo, Demian N., 2020. "Bayesian sequential stock return prediction through copulas," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    12. Kundan Kumar & Rajendra Narayan Paramanik & Anoop S. Kumar, 2023. "Nexus among Indian business cycle–financial cycle and Policy Uncertainty Index," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(12), pages 1-19, December.
    13. Liu, Peipei & Huang, Wei-Qiang, 2024. "Spatial analysis of sovereign risk from the perspective of EPU spillovers," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 427-443.

  265. Aye, G.C. & Clance, M. & Gupta, R., 2018. "The Effectiveness of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Shocks on U.S. Inequality: The Role of Uncertainty," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277037, International Association of Agricultural Economists.

    Cited by:

    1. Alyona Nelyubina, 2022. "Monetary Policy Impact on Income Inequality in the Russian Regions," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 81(2), pages 3-19, June.
    2. Obiakor, Rowland & Akpa, Emeka & Okwu, Andy, 2022. "Economic Size, Uncertainty, and Income Inequality in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 113637, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Mark Edem Kunawotor & Godfred Alufar Bokpin & Patrick O. Asuming & Kofi A. Amoateng, 2022. "The distributional effects of fiscal and monetary policies in Africa," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 24(1), pages 127-146, June.
    4. Goodness C. Aye, 2019. "Fiscal Policy Uncertainty and Economic Activity in South Africa: An Asymmetric Analysis," Working Papers 201922, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. José Alves & Tomás Silva, 2021. "An Empirical Assessment of Monetary Policy Channels in Income and Wealth Disparities," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 63(3), pages 432-449, September.
    6. Goodness C. Aye, 2021. "Effects of Fiscal and Monetary Policy Uncertainty on Economic Activity in South Africa," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(1), pages 167-187, March.
    7. Aye, Goodness, 2021. "Effect of Fiscal and Monetary Policies on Economic Activities in South Africa: The Role of Policy Uncertainty," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 314953, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    8. Mikołaj Raczyński, 2022. "Monetary policy and economic inequality: a literature review," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 53(2), pages 231-278.
    9. Apanisile, Olumuyiwa Tolulope, 2021. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Income Inequality in Nigeria: Do Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated Shocks Differ?," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 9(2), April.
    10. Goodness C. Aye & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Dynamic and Asymmetric Response of Inequality to Income Volatility: The Case of the United Kingdom," Working Papers 201821, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Aye, Goodness C. & Kotur, Lydia N., 2022. "Effect of economic policy uncertainty on agricultural growth in Nigeria," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 17(2), June.
    12. Lopez-Buenache, German, 2019. "The evolution of monetary policy effectiveness under macroeconomic instability," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 221-233.
    13. Makram El-Shagi & Steven Yamarik, 2024. "The Effect of Monetary Policy Shocks on Income Inequality across US states," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2024/4, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
    14. Goodness C. Aye, 2020. "Effect of Fiscal and Monetary Policies on Economic Activities in South Africa: The Role of Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 202082, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Andrea Boitani & Lorenzo Di Domenico & Giorgio Ricchiuti, 2024. "Monetary policy and inequality: an heterogenous agents’ approach," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza def133, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
    16. Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schnabel, Isabel & Truger, Achim & Wieland, Volker, 2019. "Den Strukturwandel meistern. Jahresgutachten 2019/20 [Dealing with Structural Change. Annual Report 2019/20]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201920, January.
    17. Goodness C. Aye, 2019. "Short and Long Run Asymmetric Effects of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Uncertainty on Economic Activity in the U.S," Working Papers 201923, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Ferhat Pehlivanoğlu & Saffet Akdağ & Andrew Adewale Alola, 2021. "The causal nexus of geopolitical risks, consumer and producer confidence indexes: evidence from selected economies," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1261-1273, August.

  266. Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Changing Dynamics of the U.S. REITs Sector," Working Papers 201849, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ying Li & Yue Xia & Yang-Che Wu & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "The Sustainability of Energy Substitution in the Chinese Electric Power Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-16, July.
    2. Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Uzuner, Gizem & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Housing sector and economic policy uncertainty: A GMM panel VAR approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 114-126.
    3. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Cepni, Oguzhan & Dul, Wiehan & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The dynamics of U.S. REITs returns to uncertainty shocks: A proxy SVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    5. Andy Wui-Wing Cheng & Nikolai Sheung-Chi Chow & David Kam-Hung Chui & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "The Three Musketeers Relationships between Hong Kong, Shanghai and Shenzhen Before and After Shanghai–Hong Kong Stock Connect," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-20, July.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Vasilios Plakandaras & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "The Role of Housing Sentiment in Forecasting US Home Sales Growth: Evidence from a Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201842, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Benjamin Kwakye & Chan Tze Haw, 2020. "Interplay of the Macroeconomy and Real Estate: Systematic Review of Literature," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 262-271.
    8. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on US REITs Moments: Evidence from VARs with Functional Shocks," Working Papers 202219, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    10. Wenjing Xie & João Paulo Vieito & Ephraim Clark & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "Could Mergers Become More Sustainable? A Study of the Stock Exchange Mergers of NASDAQ and OMX," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-25, October.
    11. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin J., 2023. "On the connection between international REITs and oil markets: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    12. Hassan Jalil Shah & Jenho Peter Ou & Saman Attiq & Muhammad Umer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2022. "Does Inclusive Leadership Improve the Sustainability of Employee Relations? Test of Justice Theory and Employee Perceived Insider Status," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-19, November.
    13. Hanif, Waqas & Andraz, Jorge Miguel & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2024. "Are REITS hedge or safe haven against oil price fall?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1-16.
    14. Kwangwon Ahn & Hanwool Jang & Jinu Kim & Inug Ryu, 2024. "COVID-19 and REITs Crash: Predictability and Market Conditions," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(3), pages 1159-1172, March.

  267. Manoel Bittencourt & Rangan Gupta & Philton Makena & Lardo Stander, 2018. "Socio-Political Instability and Growth Dynamics," Working Papers 201855, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Zhu, Jiaji & Han, Wei & Zhang, Junchao, 2023. "Does climate risk matter for gold price volatility?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    2. Rangan Gupta & Sarah Nandnaba & Wei Jiang, 2024. "Climate Change and Growth Dynamics," Working Papers 202404, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  268. Semih Emre Cekin & Ashis Kumar Pradhan & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Measuring Co-Dependencies of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Latin American Countries using Vine Copulas," Working Papers 201867, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2020. "Economic Policy Uncertainty: Persistence and Cross-Country Linkages," CESifo Working Paper Series 8289, CESifo.
    2. Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Spillovers across macroeconomic, financial and real estate uncertainties: A time-varying approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 167-173.
    3. Siphumlile Mangisa & Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Analyzing The Impact Of Brexit On Global Uncertainty Using Functional Linear Regression With Point Of Impact: The Role Of Currency And Equity Markets," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 67(04), pages 1377-1388, June.
    4. Zhou, Yuqin & Liu, Zhenhua & Wu, Shan, 2022. "The global economic policy uncertainty spillover analysis: In the background of COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    5. Christina Christou & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung Marco Lau, 2020. "Are Uncertainties across the World Convergent?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 855-862.
    6. Gupta, Rangan & Sun, Xiaojin, 2020. "Forecasting economic policy uncertainty of BRIC countries using Bayesian VARs," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    7. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Jacobus A Nel & Xin Sheng, 2020. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty Spillovers in Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 202005, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  269. Christina Christou & Ruthira Naraidoo & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Reaction to Uncertainty in Advanced Economies: Evidence from Quantile Regressions," Working Papers 201839, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Christina Christou & Ruthira Naraidoo & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2019. "Monetary Policy Reaction to Uncertainty in Japan: Evidence from a Quantile-on-Quantile Interest Rate Rule," Working Papers 201929, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Semih Emre Cekin & Besma Hkiri & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "The Relationship between Monetary Policy and Uncertainty in Advanced Economies: Evidence from Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 201904, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Long, Shaobo & Zuo, Yulan & Tian, Hao, 2023. "Asymmetries in multi-target monetary policy rule and the role of uncertainty: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 278-296.

  270. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and the Comovement in Buying versus Renting in the United States," Working Papers 201832, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.

  271. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Chi-Chuan Lee & Chien-Chiang Lee & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Insurance Activity and Economic Performance: Fresh Evidence from Asymmetric Panel Causality Tests," Working Papers 201828, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Hatemi-J, Abdulnasser, 2011. "Asymmetric Panel Causality Tests with an Application to the Impact of Fiscal Policy on Economic Performance in Scandinavia," MPRA Paper 55527, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Clement Olalekan Olaniyi & Olaolu Richard Olayeni, 2020. "A new perspective into the relationship between CEO pay and firm performance: evidence from Nigeria’s listed firms," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 22(2), pages 250-277, December.
    3. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Li, Yong-Yi, 2021. "Oil price shocks, geopolitical risks, and green bond market dynamics," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    4. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2020. "Insurance activity, real output, and geopolitical risk: Fresh evidence from BRICS," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 207-215.
    5. Pavitra Dhamija, 2020. "Economic Development and South Africa: 25 Years Analysis (1994 to 2019)," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(3), pages 298-322, September.
    6. Rodriguez Gonzalez, Miguel & Wegener, Christoph & Basse, Tobias, 2022. "Re-investigating the insurance-growth nexus using common factors," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    7. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin, 2020. "Insurance and economic policy uncertainty," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

  272. Zintle Twala & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Does Liquidity Risk Explain the Time-Variation in Asset Correlations? Evidence from Stocks, Bonds and Commodities," Working Papers 201808, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Onur Polat & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Can Municipal Bonds Hedge US State-Level Climate Risks?," Working Papers 202419, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Badshah, Ihsan & Demirer, Riza & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir, 2019. "The effect of economic policy uncertainty on stock-commodity correlations and its implications on optimal hedging," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    3. Urom, Christian & Anochiwa, Lasbrey & Yuni, Denis & Idume, Gabriel, 2019. "Asymmetric linkages among precious metals, global equity and bond yields: The role of volatility and business cycle factors," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).

  273. Sergey Ivashchenko & Semih Emre Cekin & Kevin Kotze & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Forecasting with second-order approximations and Markov-switching DSGE models," School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series 2018-10, School of Economics, University of Cape Town.

    Cited by:

    1. Sergey Ivashchenko & Semih Emre Cekin & Rangan Gupta & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2022. "Real-Time Forecast of DSGE Models with Time-Varying Volatility in GARCH Form," Working Papers 202204, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  274. Shinhye Chang & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Growth Volatility and Inequality in the U.S.: A Wavelet Analysis," Working Papers 201819, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Edmond Berisha & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Time-Varying Evidence of Predictability of Financial Stress in the United States over a Century: The Role of Inequality," Working Papers 202054, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Cai, Guixin & Zhang, Hao & Chen, Ziyue, 2019. "Comovement between commodity sectors," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 1247-1258.
    3. João Martins, 2022. "Bond Yields Movement Similarities and Synchronization in the G7: A Time–Frequency Analysis," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(2), pages 189-214, July.
    4. Canh, Nguyen Phuc & Schinckus, Christophe & Thanh, Su Dinh & Hui Ling, Felicia Chong, 2020. "Effects of the internet, mobile, and land phones on income inequality and The Kuznets curve: Cross country analysis," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(10).

  275. Adnen Ben Nasr & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Seyi Saint Akadiri, 2018. "Asymmetric Effects of Inequality on Per Capita Real GDP of the United States," Working Papers 201820, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv, 2019. "Threshold Effects of Inequality on Economic Growth in the US States: The Role of Human Capital to Physical Capital Ratio," Working Papers 201968, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  276. Yanele Nyamela & Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Frequency-Dependent Real-Time Effects of Uncertainty in the United States: Evidence from Daily Data," Working Papers 201833, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Webel, Karsten, 2022. "A review of some recent developments in the modelling and seasonal adjustment of infra-monthly time series," Discussion Papers 31/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.

  277. Elie Bouri & Mahamitra Das & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2018. "Spillovers between Bitcoin and other Assets during Bear and Bull Markets," Working Papers 201812, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Huang, Yingying & Duan, Kun & Urquhart, Andrew, 2023. "Time-varying dependence between Bitcoin and green financial assets: A comparison between pre- and post-COVID-19 periods," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. Elgammal, Mohammed M. & Ahmed, Walid M.A. & Alshami, Abdullah, 2021. "Price and volatility spillovers between global equity, gold, and energy markets prior to and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    3. Lee A. Smales, 2021. "Volatility Spillovers among Cryptocurrencies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-12, October.
    4. Kumah, Seyram Pearl & Odei-Mensah, Jones, 2021. "Are Cryptocurrencies and African stock markets integrated?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 330-341.
    5. Omane-Adjepong, Maurice & Ababio, Kofi Agyarko & Alagidede, Imhotep Paul, 2019. "Time-frequency analysis of behaviourally classified financial asset markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 54-69.
    6. Narayan, Shivani & Kumar, Dilip, 2024. "Unveiling interconnectedness and risk spillover among cryptocurrencies and other asset classes," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    7. Atil, Ahmed & Nawaz, Kishwar & Lahiani, Amine & Roubaud, David, 2020. "Are natural resources a blessing or a curse for financial development in Pakistan? The importance of oil prices, economic growth and economic globalization," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    8. Vuković, Darko B. & Frömmel, Michael & Vigne, Samuel A. & Zinovev, Vyacheslav, 2025. "Spillovers between cryptocurrencies and financial markets in a global framework," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    9. Silky Vigg Kushwah & Shab Hundal & Payal Goel, 2024. "Unveiling Interconnectedness and Volatility Transmission: A Novel GARCH Analysis of Leading Global Cryptocurrencies," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(3), pages 132-139, May.
    10. Josef Kurka, 2017. "Do Cryptocurrencies and Traditional Asset Classes Influence Each Other?," Working Papers IES 2017/29, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Dec 2017.
    11. Garcia-Jorcano, Laura & Benito, Sonia, 2020. "Studying the properties of the Bitcoin as a diversifying and hedging asset through a copula analysis: Constant and time-varying," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    12. Telli, Şahin & Chen, Hongzhuan, 2020. "Multifractal behavior in return and volatility series of Bitcoin and gold in comparison," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    13. Li, Xin & Li, Shenghong & Xu, Chong, 2020. "Price clustering in Bitcoin market—An extension," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    14. Parthajit Kayal & G. Balasubramanian, 2021. "Excess Volatility in Bitcoin: Extreme Value Volatility Estimation," IIM Kozhikode Society & Management Review, , vol. 10(2), pages 222-231, July.
    15. Telli, Şahin & Chen, Hongzhuan, 2020. "Structural breaks and trend awareness-based interaction in crypto markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 558(C).
    16. White, Reilly & Marinakis, Yorgos & Islam, Nazrul & Walsh, Steven, 2020. "Is Bitcoin a currency, a technology-based product, or something else?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    17. Takuji Kinkyo, 2022. "Hedging capabilities of Bitcoin for Asian currencies," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 1769-1784, April.
    18. Long, Shaobo & Guo, Jiaqi, 2022. "Infectious disease equity market volatility, geopolitical risk, speculation, and commodity returns: Comparative analysis of five epidemic outbreaks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    19. Nurkhodzha Akbulaev & Tural Abdulhasanov, 2023. "Analyzing the Connection between Energy Prices and Cryptocurrency throughout the Pandemic Period," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(1), pages 227-234, January.
    20. Duan, Kun & Zhang, Liya & Urquhart, Andrew & Yao, Kai & Peng, Long, 2024. "Do clean and dirty cryptocurrencies connect financial assets differently? The perspective of market inefficiency," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
    21. Samet Gunay & Kerem Kaskaloglu & Shahnawaz Muhammed, 2021. "Bitcoin and Fiat Currency Interactions: Surprising Results from Asian Giants," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-18, June.
    22. Giannellis, Nikolaos, 2022. "Cryptocurrency market connectedness in Covid-19 days and the role of Twitter: Evidence from a smooth transition regression model," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    23. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2021. "How COVID-19 drives connectedness among commodity and financial markets: Evidence from TVP-VAR and causality-in-quantiles techniques," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    24. Assamoi, Vincent K. & Ekponon, Adelphe & Guo, Zihan, 2025. "Are cryptocurrencies priced in the cross-section? A portfolio approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    25. Zhao, Mingguo & Park, Hail, 2024. "Quantile time-frequency spillovers among green bonds, cryptocurrencies, and conventional financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    26. Tobias Burggraf, 2020. "Bitcoin and Global Political Uncertainty – Evidence from the U.S. Election Cycle," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 727-742.
    27. Kazeem Isah & Ibrahim D. Raheem, 2018. "The Hidden Predictive Power of Cryptocurrencies: Evidence from US Stock Market," Working Papers 056, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    28. Corbet, Shaen & Katsiampa, Paraskevi & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2020. "Measuring quantile dependence and testing directional predictability between Bitcoin, altcoins and traditional financial assets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    29. Hongjun Zeng & Abdullahi D. Ahmed, 2022. "Market integration and volatility spillover across major East Asian stock and Bitcoin markets: an empirical assessment," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 19(4), pages 772-802, August.
    30. Virginie Terraza & Aslı Boru İpek & Mohammad Mahdi Rounaghi, 2024. "The nexus between the volatility of Bitcoin, gold, and American stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from VAR-DCC-EGARCH and ANN models," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-34, December.
    31. Zhang, Chuanhai & Zhang, Zhengjun & Xu, Mengyu & Peng, Zhe, 2023. "Good and bad self-excitation: Asymmetric self-exciting jumps in Bitcoin returns," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    32. Asil Azimli, 2024. "Time-varying spillovers in high-order moments among cryptocurrencies," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-39, December.
    33. Achraf Ghorbel & Wajdi Frikha & Yasmine Snene Manzli, 2022. "Testing for asymmetric non-linear short- and long-run relationships between crypto-currencies and stock markets," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(3), pages 387-425, September.
    34. Noureddine Benlagha & Wael Hemrit, 2022. "Does economic policy uncertainty matter to explain connectedness within the international sovereign bond yields?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(1), pages 1-21, January.
    35. Mariem Bouzguenda & Anis Jarboui, 2025. "Quantile connectivity between cryptocurrency, commodities, gold and BRICS index: what is the best investment strategy?," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 15(1), pages 125-161, March.
    36. Qiang Ji & Ronald D. Ripple & Dayong Zhang & Yuqian Zhao, 2022. "Cryptocurrency Bubble on the Systemic Risk in Global Energy Companies," The Energy Journal, , vol. 43(1_suppl), pages 1-24, June.
    37. Isah, Kazeem O. & Raheem, Ibrahim D., 2019. "The hidden predictive power of cryptocurrencies and QE: Evidence from US stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
    38. Umar, Muhammad & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Naqvi, Bushra, 2021. "Dance with the devil? The nexus of fourth industrial revolution, technological financial products and volatility spillovers in global financial system," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    39. Darko Vukovic & Moinak Maiti & Zoran Grubisic & Elena M. Grigorieva & Michael Frömmel, 2021. "COVID-19 Pandemic: Is the Crypto Market a Safe Haven? The Impact of the First Wave," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-17, July.
    40. Zhou, Yang & Xie, Chi & Wang, Gang-Jin & Zhu, You & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2023. "Analysing and forecasting co-movement between innovative and traditional financial assets based on complex network and machine learning," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    41. Hu, Yitong & Li, Xiao & Shen, Dehua, 2020. "Attention allocation and international stock return comovement: Evidence from the Bitcoin market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    42. Wang, Gang-Jin & Xie, Chi & Wen, Danyan & Zhao, Longfeng, 2019. "When Bitcoin meets economic policy uncertainty (EPU): Measuring risk spillover effect from EPU to Bitcoin," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    43. Besma Hkiri & Juncal Cunado & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time-Varying Relationship between Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies and Risk Aversion: International Evidence from Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 201965, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    44. Jihed Majdoub & Salim Ben Sassi & Azza Bejaoui, 2021. "Can fiat currencies really hedge Bitcoin? Evidence from dynamic short-term perspective," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(2), pages 789-816, December.
    45. Mensi, Walid & Ur Rehman, Mobeen & Maitra, Debasish & Hamed Al-Yahyaee, Khamis & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2020. "Does bitcoin co-move and share risk with Sukuk and world and regional Islamic stock markets? Evidence using a time-frequency approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    46. Umar, Zaghum & Trabelsi, Nader & Alqahtani, Faisal, 2021. "Connectedness between cryptocurrency and technology sectors: International evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 910-922.
    47. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Agan, Busra, 2022. "Effects of COVID-19 on cryptocurrency and emerging market connectedness: Empirical evidence from quantile, frequency, and lasso networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 604(C).
    48. Mo, Bin & Meng, Juan & Zheng, Liping, 2022. "Time and frequency dynamics of connectedness between cryptocurrencies and commodity markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    49. Yue, Yao & Li, Xuerong & Zhang, Dingxuan & Wang, Shouyang, 2021. "How cryptocurrency affects economy? A network analysis using bibliometric methods," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    50. Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Hille, Erik & Nasir, Muhammad Ali, 2020. "Diversification in the age of the 4th industrial revolution: The role of artificial intelligence, green bonds and cryptocurrencies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    51. Xu, Qiuhua & Zhang, Yixuan & Zhang, Ziyang, 2021. "Tail-risk spillovers in cryptocurrency markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    52. Roberto Cellini & Tiziana Cuccia & Johan Lyrvall, 2023. "On the price dynamics of non-fungible tokens: The ‘Bored Apes’ case," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 18(11), pages 1-20, November.
    53. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Shu-Jiao, 2021. "Risk spillover between Bitcoin and conventional financial markets: An expectile-based approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    54. Zdravka Aljinoviæ & Tea Šestanoviæ & Blanka Škrabiæ Periæ, 2022. "A New Evidence of the Relationship between Cryptocurrencies and other Assets from the COVID-19 Crisis," Journal of Economics / Ekonomicky casopis, Institute of Economic Research, Slovak Academy of Sciences, vol. 70(7-8), pages 603-621, July.
    55. Yi, Shuyue & Xu, Zishuang & Wang, Gang-Jin, 2018. "Volatility connectedness in the cryptocurrency market: Is Bitcoin a dominant cryptocurrency?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 98-114.
    56. Chi Keung Lau & Alaa M. Soliman & Dongna Zhang, 2024. "Energy Price Inflation, Geopolitical Risk, and Bitcoin Dependence Structure: Evidence from BRICS," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 60(12), pages 2631-2645, September.
    57. A. Hachicha & F. Hachicha, 2021. "Analysis of the bitcoin stock market indexes using comparative study of two models SV with MCMC algorithm," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 647-673, February.
    58. Pham, Son Duy & Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Do, Hung Xuan, 2022. "Dynamic volatility connectedness between thermal coal futures and major cryptocurrencies: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    59. Wenjie Lan, 2024. "A Dynamic Spillover Effect Investigation on Cryptocurrency Market Before and After Pandemic," Papers 2412.19983, arXiv.org.
    60. Afees A. Salisu & Lateef O. Akanni & Rasheed O. Azeez, 2018. "Could this be a fiction? Bitcoin forecasts most tradable currency pairs better than ARFIMA," Working Papers 051, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    61. Li, Leon & Miu, Peter, 2023. "Are cryptocurrencies a safe haven for stock investors? A regime-switching approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 367-385.
    62. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Raheem, Ibrahim Dolapo & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2019. "Time-varying dynamic conditional correlation between stock and cryptocurrency markets using the copula-ADCC-EGARCH model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    63. Qureshi, Saba & Aftab, Muhammad & Bouri, Elie & Saeed, Tareq, 2020. "Dynamic interdependence of cryptocurrency markets: An analysis across time and frequency," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 559(C).
    64. Fabian Woebbeking, 2021. "Cryptocurrency volatility markets," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 273-298, December.
    65. Chowdhury, Md Shahedur R. & Damianov, Damian S., 2024. "Uncertainty and bubbles in cryptocurrencies: Evidence from newly developed uncertainty indices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    66. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2021. "Stock market reactions to upside and downside volatility of Bitcoin: A quantile analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    67. Md Akther Uddin & Md Hakim Ali & Mansur Masih, 2020. "Bitcoin—A hype or digital gold? Global evidence," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(3), pages 215-231, September.
    68. Zhuhua Jiang & Rim El Khoury & Muneer M. Alshater & Seong‐Min Yoon, 2024. "Impact of global macroeconomic factors on spillovers among Australian sector markets: Fresh findings from a wavelet‐based analysis," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(1), pages 78-105, March.
    69. Lucey, Brian & Ren, Boru, 2023. "Time-varying tail risk connectedness among sustainability-related products and fossil energy investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
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    71. Di, Michael & Xu, Ke, 2022. "COVID-19 vaccine and post-pandemic recovery: Evidence from Bitcoin cross-asset implied volatility spillover," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
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    73. Muhammad Owais Qarni & Saiqb Gulzar, 2021. "Portfolio diversification benefits of alternative currency investment in Bitcoin and foreign exchange markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-37, December.
    74. Okorie, David Iheke & Lin, Boqiang, 2020. "Crude oil price and cryptocurrencies: Evidence of volatility connectedness and hedging strategy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    75. Kliber, Agata & Marszałek, Paweł & Musiałkowska, Ida & Świerczyńska, Katarzyna, 2019. "Bitcoin: Safe haven, hedge or diversifier? Perception of bitcoin in the context of a country’s economic situation — A stochastic volatility approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 524(C), pages 246-257.
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    77. Chemkha, Rahma & BenSaïda, Ahmed & Ghorbel, Ahmed, 2021. "Connectedness between cryptocurrencies and foreign exchange markets: Implication for risk management," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
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    82. Lin, Mei-Yin & An, Che-Lun, 2021. "The relationship between Bitcoin and resource commodity futures: Evidence from NARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
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    84. Iqbal, Najaf & Fareed, Zeeshan & Wan, Guangcai & Shahzad, Farrukh, 2021. "Asymmetric nexus between COVID-19 outbreak in the world and cryptocurrency market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
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    93. Aibai, Abuduwali & Julaiti, Jiansuer & Gou, Shangde, 2024. "The asymmetric effects of upside and downside risks in cryptocurrency markets: Insights from the LUNA and FTX crises," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    94. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2019. "A Survey on Empirical Findings about Spillovers in Cryptocurrency Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-17, November.
    95. Zhou, Siwen, 2018. "Exploring the Driving Forces of the Bitcoin Exchange Rate Dynamics: An EGARCH Approach," MPRA Paper 89445, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    96. Musholombo, Bashige, 2023. "Cryptocurrencies and stock market fluctuations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
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    98. Majid Mirzaee Ghazani & Ali Akbar Momeni Malekshah & Reza Khosravi, 2024. "Analyzing time–frequency connectedness between cryptocurrencies, stock indices, and benchmark crude oils during the COVID-19 pandemic," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-28, December.
    99. Foued Hamouda & Imran Yousaf & Muhammad Abubakr Naeem, 2024. "Exploring the Dynamics of Equity and Cryptocurrency Markets: Fresh Evidence from the Russia–Ukraine War," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(6), pages 3555-3576, December.
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    102. Das, Mahamitra & Kundu, Srikanta & Sarkar, Nityananda, 2019. "Mean and Volatility Spillovers between REIT and Stocks Returns A STVAR-BTGARCH-M Model," MPRA Paper 94707, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    103. Lennart Ante, 2022. "The Non-Fungible Token (NFT) Market and Its Relationship with Bitcoin and Ethereum," FinTech, MDPI, vol. 1(3), pages 1-9, June.
    104. Sofiane Aboura, 2022. "A note on the Bitcoin and Fed Funds rate," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(5), pages 2577-2603, November.
    105. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Katsiampa, Paraskevi & Zeitun, Rami & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Conditional dependence structure and risk spillovers between Bitcoin and fiat currencies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
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    108. Goodell, John W. & Alon, Ilan & Chiaramonte, Laura & Dreassi, Alberto & Paltrinieri, Andrea & Piserà, Stefano, 2023. "Risk substitution in cryptocurrencies: Evidence from BRICS announcements," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
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    110. Urom, Christian & Abid, Ilyes & Guesmi, Khaled & Chevallier, Julien, 2020. "Quantile spillovers and dependence between Bitcoin, equities and strategic commodities," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 230-258.
    111. Shaen Corbet & John W. Goodell & Samet Gunay & Kerem Kaskaloglu, 2023. "Are DeFi tokens a separate asset class from conventional cryptocurrencies?," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 322(2), pages 609-630, March.
    112. Ebers, Axel & Thomsen, Stephan L., 2021. "How do warnings affect retail demand for Bitcoin? Evidence from an international survey experiment," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-683, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
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    122. Osman, Myriam Ben & Urom, Christian & Guesmi, Khaled & Benkraiem, Ramzi, 2024. "Economic sentiment and the cryptocurrency market in the post-COVID-19 era," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
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    Cited by:

    1. Ying Li & Yue Xia & Yang-Che Wu & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "The Sustainability of Energy Substitution in the Chinese Electric Power Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-16, July.
    2. Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Political Geography and Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Political Alignment across Sentiment Regimes," Working Papers 202414, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2019. "The Predictability of Stock Market Volatility in Emerging Economies: Relative Roles of Local, Regional and Global Business Cycles," Working Papers 201938, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Imran Yousaf & Shoaib Ali & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "Return and Volatility Transmission between World-Leading and Latin American Stock Markets: Portfolio Implications," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-19, July.
    5. Sayyed Sadaqat Hussain Shah & Muhammad Asif Khan & Natanya Meyer & Daniel F. Meyer & Judit Oláh, 2019. "Does Herding Bias Drive the Firm Value? Evidence from the Chinese Equity Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-20, October.
    6. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Financial Turbulence, Systemic Risk and the Predictability of Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202162, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Kim-Hung Pho & Tuan-Kiet Tran & Thi Diem-Chinh Ho & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Optimal Solution Techniques in Decision Sciences A Review," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(1), pages 114-161, March.
    9. Andy Wui-Wing Cheng & Nikolai Sheung-Chi Chow & David Kam-Hung Chui & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "The Three Musketeers Relationships between Hong Kong, Shanghai and Shenzhen Before and After Shanghai–Hong Kong Stock Connect," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-20, July.
    10. Wenjing Xie & João Paulo Vieito & Ephraim Clark & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "Could Mergers Become More Sustainable? A Study of the Stock Exchange Mergers of NASDAQ and OMX," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-25, October.
    11. Sherif, Mohamed, 2020. "The impact of Coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak on faith-based investments: An original analysis," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    12. Nguyen Huu Hau & Tran Trung Tinh & Hoa Anh Tuong & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "Review of Matrix Theory with Applications in Education and Decision Sciences," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(1), pages 28-69, March.
    13. Hassan Jalil Shah & Jenho Peter Ou & Saman Attiq & Muhammad Umer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2022. "Does Inclusive Leadership Improve the Sustainability of Employee Relations? Test of Justice Theory and Employee Perceived Insider Status," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-19, November.
    14. Kim-Hung Pho & Thi Diem-Chinh Ho & Tuan-Kiet Tran & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Moment Generating Function, Expectation And Variance Of Ubiquitous Distributions With Applications In Decision Sciences: A Review," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(2), pages 65-150, June.

  279. Kola Akinsomi & Yener Coskun & Rangan Gupta & Marco Lau Chi Keung, 2018. "Impact of Volatility and Equity Market Uncertainty on Herd Behaviour: Evidence from UK REITs," ERES eres2018_52, European Real Estate Society (ERES).

    Cited by:

    1. Esin Cakan & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Josine Uwilingiye, 2019. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Herding Behavior Evidence from the South African Housing Market," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(1), pages 88-113, March.
    2. OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Nurudeen Abu & Tayo P. Ogundunmade, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty in G7 countries: evidence of long-range dependence and cointegration," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 541-556, May.
    3. Akshita Singh & Shailendra Kumar & Utkarsh Goel & Amar Johri, 2023. "Behavioural biases in real estate investment: a literature review and future research agenda," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-17, December.
    4. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Is the Housing Market in the United States Really Weakly-Efficient?," Working Papers 201934, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Sercan Demiralay & Erhan Kilincarslan, 2024. "Uncertainty Measures and Sector-Specific REITs in a Regime-Switching Environment," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(3), pages 545-584, October.
    6. Liu, Jian & Chen, Yan & Liao, Shufei & Cheng, Cheng & Fu, Yongge, 2023. "Information spillovers in Hong Kong REITs and related asset markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 215-229.
    7. Geoffrey M. Ngene & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Impact of Housing Policy Uncertainty on Herding Behavior: Evidence from UK's Regional Housing Markets," Working Papers 202115, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Lesame, Keagile & Ngene, Geoffrey & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2024. "Herding in international REITs markets around the COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    9. Solarin, Sakiru Adebola & Gil-Alana, Luis A., 2021. "The persistence of economic policy uncertainty: Evidence of long range dependence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 568(C).
    10. Coskun, Esra Alp & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Kahyaoglu, Hakan, 2020. "Uncertainty and herding behavior: evidence from cryptocurrencies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

  280. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Oil Shocks and Volatility Jumps," Working Papers 201825, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price," Working Papers 202009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Christos Floros & Konstantinos Gkillas & Christoforos Konstantatos & Athanasios Tsagkanos, 2020. "Realized Measures to Explain Volatility Changes over Time," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-19, June.
    3. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The impacts of structural oil shocks on macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from a large panel of 45 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    4. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Muhammad Tahir Suleman, 2020. "Jumps beyond the realms of cricket: India's performance in One Day Internationals and stock market movements," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(6), pages 1109-1127, April.
    5. Dutta, Anupam & Soytas, Ugur & Das, Debojyoti & Bhattacharyya, Asit, 2022. "In search of time-varying jumps during the turmoil periods: Evidence from crude oil futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    6. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Konstantatos, Christoforos & Tsagkanos, Athanasios & Siriopoulos, Costas, 2021. "Do economic news releases affect tail risk? Evidence from an emerging market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    7. Konstantinos Gkillas & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2020. "Spillovers in Higher-Order Moments of Crude Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin," Working Papers 202068, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "OPEC News and Jumps in the Oil Market," Working Papers 202053, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Oladosu, Gbadebo, 2022. "Bubbles in US gasoline prices: Assessing the role of hurricanes and anti–price gouging laws," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).

  281. Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Manager Sentiment and Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 201853, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mustak, Mekhail & Hallikainen, Heli & Laukkanen, Tommi & Plé, Loïc & Hollebeek, Linda D. & Aleem, Majid, 2024. "Using machine learning to develop customer insights from user-generated content," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    2. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Wendy Nyakabawo, 2018. "Predicting Aggregate and State-Level US House Price Volatility: The Role of Sentiment," Working Papers 201866, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  282. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2018. "Forecasting (Good and Bad) Realized Exchange-Rate Volatility: Is there a Role for Realized Skewness and Kurtosis?," Working Papers 201879, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Demirer, Riza & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Time-varying risk aversion and realized gold volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    2. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of International REITs: The Role of Realized Skewness and Realized Kurtosis," Working Papers 202114, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  283. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Dimitrios Vortelinos, 2018. "Uncertainty and Volatility Jumps in the Pound-Dollar Exchange Rate: Evidence from Over One Century of Data," Working Papers 201843, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "OPEC News and Jumps in the Oil Market," Working Papers 202053, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  284. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Andrew J. Vivian & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Predictive Value of Inequality Measures for Stock Returns: An Analysis of Long-Span UK Data Using Quantile Random Forests," Working Papers 201809, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Drivers of Realized Volatility for Emerging Countries with a Focus on South Africa: Fundamentals versus Sentiment," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-26, March.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    3. Riza Demirer & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Risk aversion and the predictability of crude oil market volatility: A forecasting experiment with random forests," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 73(8), pages 1755-1767, August.
    4. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Does Inequality Really Matter in Forecasting Real Housing Returns of the United Kingdom?," Working Papers 201859, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Chia-Cheng Chen & Chun-Hung Chen & Ting-Yin Liu, 2020. "Investment Performance of Machine Learning: Analysis of S&P 500 Index," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(1), pages 59-66.
    6. Fazlollah Soleymani & Houman Masnavi & Stanford Shateyi, 2020. "Classifying a Lending Portfolio of Loans with Dynamic Updates via a Machine Learning Technique," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-15, December.
    7. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    8. Taussig, Roi D., 2021. "Competition risk and expected stock returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    9. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2022. "Forecasting stock market (realized) volatility in the United Kingdom: Is there a role of inequality?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2146-2152, April.
    11. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Bitcoin: The Role of the Trade War," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 29-53, January.
    12. Chin-Sheng Huang & Yi-Sheng Liu, 2019. "Machine Learning on Stock Price Movement Forecast: The Sample of the Taiwan Stock Exchange," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 189-201.
    13. Mingchen Li & Kun Yang & Wencan Lin & Yunjie Wei & Shouyang Wang, 2024. "An interval constraint-based trading strategy with social sentiment for the stock market," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-31, December.
    14. Chia-Cheng Chen & Yisheng Liu & Ting-Hsin Hsu, 2019. "An Analysis on Investment Performance of Machine Learning: An Empirical Examination on Taiwan Stock Market," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(4), pages 1-10.

  285. Juncal Cunado & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Persistence in Trends and Cycles of Gold and Silver Prices: Evidence from Historical Data," Working Papers 201816, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Agnese, Pablo & Garcia-del-Barrio, Pedro & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & de Gracia, Fernando Perez, 2023. "Precious Metal Prices: A Tale of Four U.S. Recessions," IZA Discussion Papers 16012, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Trabelsi, Nader & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Jiao, Zhilun, 2021. "Relationship between green investments, energy markets, and stock markets in the aftermath of the global financial crisis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    3. Zeng, Sheng & Liu, Xinchun & Li, Xiafei & Wei, Qi & Shang, Yue, 2019. "Information dominance among hedging assets: Evidence from return and volatility directional spillovers in time and frequency domains," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
    4. Awaworyi-Churchill, Sefa & Inekwe, John & Ivanovski, Kris & Smyth, Russell, 2022. "Breaks, trends and correlations in commodity prices in the very long-run," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    5. Shen, Na & Chen, Jiayi, 2023. "Asymmetric multifractal spectrum distribution based on detrending moving average cross-correlation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 615(C).
    6. Oluwasegun B. Adekoya, 2021. "Persistence and efficiency of OECD stock markets: linear and nonlinear fractional integration approaches," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 1415-1433, September.
    7. Shahid, Muhammad Naeem & Azmi, Wajahat & Ali, Mohsin & Islam, Muhammad Umar & Rizvi, Syed Aun R., 2023. "Uncovering risk transmission between socially responsible investments, alternative energy investments and the implied volatility of major commodities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    8. Apergis, Nicholas & Carmona-González, Nieves & Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko, 2020. "Persistence in silver prices and the influence of solar energy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).

  286. Mamothoana Difeto & Reneé van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Oil Price Volatility and Economic Growth: Evidence from Advanced OECD Countries using over One Century of Data," Working Papers 201813, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Alfred Moyo, 2019. "Evaluating the impact of global oil prices on the SADC and the potential for increased trade in biofuels and natural gas within the region," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2019-36, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. N. P. Ravindra Deyshappriya & I. A. D. D. W. Rukshan & N. P. Dammika Padmakanthi, 2023. "Impact of Oil Price on Economic Growth of OECD Countries: A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-14, March.

  287. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2018. "Herding Behaviour in the Cryptocurrency Market," Working Papers 201834, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. da Gama Silva, Paulo Vitor Jordão & Klotzle, Marcelo Cabus & Pinto, Antonio Carlos Figueiredo & Gomes, Leonardo Lima, 2019. "Herding behavior and contagion in the cryptocurrency market," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 41-50.
    2. Corbet, Shaen & Lucey, Brian & Urquhart, Andrew & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2019. "Cryptocurrencies as a financial asset: A systematic analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 182-199.
    3. Wang, Pengfei & Zhang, Wei & Li, Xiao & Shen, Dehua, 2019. "Is cryptocurrency a hedge or a safe haven for international indices? A comprehensive and dynamic perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 1-18.
    4. Ji, Qiang & Bouri, Elie & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Dynamic connectedness and integration in cryptocurrency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 257-272.
    5. Ballis, Antonis & Drakos, Konstantinos, 2020. "Testing for herding in the cryptocurrency market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    6. Kim, Alisa & Trimborn, Simon & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2021. "VCRIX — A volatility index for crypto-currencies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    7. Sokhombela, Andiswa Luncedo Lwandile & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo & Manguzvane, Mathias Mandla, 2024. "Assessing the performance of safe haven assets during major crises," MPRA Paper 123066, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Kumar, Anoop S. & Anandarao, S., 2019. "Volatility spillover in crypto-currency markets: Some evidences from GARCH and wavelet analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 524(C), pages 448-458.
    9. Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Rojo, María Fátima Romero, 2020. "Cryptocurrencies and stock market indices. Are they related?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    10. Yi, Shuyue & Xu, Zishuang & Wang, Gang-Jin, 2018. "Volatility connectedness in the cryptocurrency market: Is Bitcoin a dominant cryptocurrency?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 98-114.
    11. Dora Almeida & Andreia Dionísio & Paulo Ferreira & Isabel Vieira, 2023. "Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Cryptocurrency Markets: A DCCA Analysis," FinTech, MDPI, vol. 2(2), pages 1-17, May.
    12. Philippas, Dionisis & Philippas, Nikolaos & Tziogkidis, Panagiotis & Rjiba, Hatem, 2020. "Signal-herding in cryptocurrencies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    13. Stavroyiannis, Stavros & Babalos, Vassilios, 2019. "Herding behavior in cryptocurrencies revisited: Novel evidence from a TVP model," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 57-63.
    14. Corbet, Shaen & Eraslan, Veysel & Lucey, Brian & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2019. "The effectiveness of technical trading rules in cryptocurrency markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 32-37.
    15. Kaiser, Lars & Stöckl, Sebastian, 2020. "Cryptocurrencies: Herding and the transfer currency," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    16. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Lucey, Brian, 2019. "Is Bitcoin a better safe-haven investment than gold and commodities?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 322-330.
    17. Zięba, Damian & Kokoszczyński, Ryszard & Śledziewska, Katarzyna, 2019. "Shock transmission in the cryptocurrency market. Is Bitcoin the most influential?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 102-125.
    18. Vidal-Tomás, David & Ibáñez, Ana M. & Farinós, José E., 2019. "Herding in the cryptocurrency market: CSSD and CSAD approaches," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 181-186.

  288. Manoel Bittencourt & Shinhye Chang & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2018. "Does Financial Development Affect Income Inequality in the U.S. States? A Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers 201803, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Manoel Bittencourt & Shinhye Chang & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2018. "Does Financial Development Affect Income Inequality in the U.S. States? A Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers 201803, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Koçak Emrah & Uzay Nısfet, 2019. "The effect of financial development on income inequality in Turkey: An estimate of the Greenwood-Jovanovic hypothesis," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 19(4), pages 319-344, December.
    3. Barhoom Faeyzh, 2023. "Revisiting the Financial Development and Income Inequality Nexus: Evidence from Hungary," Acta Universitatis Sapientiae, Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 11(1), pages 227-257, October.
    4. Nokulunga Mbona, 2022. "Impacts of Overall Financial Development, Access and Depth on Income Inequality," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-23, May.

  289. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Amine Lahiani & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2018. "Testing for asymmetric nonlinear short- and long-run relationships between bitcoin, aggregate commodity and gold prices," Post-Print hal-03533197, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Robert Mudida & Nuruddeen Abu, 2021. "Market efficiency and volatility persistence of cryptocurrency during pre‐ and post‐crash periods of Bitcoin: Evidence based on fractional integration," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1318-1335, January.
    2. Ghabri, Yosra & Ben Rhouma, Oussama & Gana, Marjène & Guesmi, Khaled & Benkraiem, Ramzi, 2022. "Information transmission among energy markets, cryptocurrencies, and stablecoins under pandemic conditions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    3. Jareño, Francisco & González, María de la O & Tolentino, Marta & Sierra, Karen, 2020. "Bitcoin and gold price returns: A quantile regression and NARDL analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    4. Satish Kumar & Aviral K. Tiwari & Ibrahim D. Raheem & Qiang Ji, 2019. "Dependence risk analysis in energy, agricultural and precious metals commodities: A pair vine copula approach," Research Africa Network Working Papers 19/092, Research Africa Network (RAN).
    5. Bouri, Elie & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Saeed, Tareq, 2021. "Return equicorrelation in the cryptocurrency market: Analysis and determinants," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    6. Jena, Sangram Keshari & Lahiani, Amine & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Roubaud, David, 2021. "Uncovering the complex asymmetric relationship between trading activity and commodity futures price: Evidenced from QNARDL study," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    7. Salisu, Afees A. & Adekunle, Wasiu & Alimi, Wasiu A. & Emmanuel, Zachariah, 2019. "Predicting exchange rate with commodity prices: New evidence from Westerlund and Narayan (2015) estimator with structural breaks and asymmetries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 33-56.
    8. Mensi, Walid & Sensoy, Ahmet & Aslan, Aylin & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2019. "High-frequency asymmetric volatility connectedness between Bitcoin and major precious metals markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    9. Walid Mensi & Anoop S. Kumar & Hee-Un Ko & Sang Hoon Kang, 2024. "Intraday spillovers in high-order moments among main cryptocurrency markets: the role of uncertainty indexes," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 14(2), pages 507-538, June.
    10. White, Reilly & Marinakis, Yorgos & Islam, Nazrul & Walsh, Steven, 2020. "Is Bitcoin a currency, a technology-based product, or something else?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    11. Wen, Danyan & Wang, Yudong & Ma, Chaoqun & Zhang, Yaojie, 2020. "Information transmission between gold and financial assets: Mean, volatility, or risk spillovers?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    12. Corbet, Shaen & Lucey, Brian & Urquhart, Andrew & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2019. "Cryptocurrencies as a financial asset: A systematic analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 182-199.
    13. Ji, Qiang & Bouri, Elie & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Dynamic connectedness and integration in cryptocurrency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 257-272.
    14. Papadamou, Stephanos & Kyriazis, Nikolaos A. & Tzeremes, Panayiotis G., 2021. "Non-linear causal linkages of EPU and gold with major cryptocurrencies during bull and bear markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    15. Frode Kjærland & Aras Khazal & Erlend A. Krogstad & Frans B. G. Nordstrøm & Are Oust, 2018. "An Analysis of Bitcoin’s Price Dynamics," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-18, October.
    16. Ha, Le Thanh & Nham, Nguyen Thi Hong, 2022. "An application of a TVP-VAR extended joint connected approach to explore connectedness between WTI crude oil, gold, stock and cryptocurrencies during the COVID-19 health crisis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    17. Demir, Ender & Simonyan, Serdar & García-Gómez, Conrado-Diego & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2021. "The asymmetric effect of bitcoin on altcoins: evidence from the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    18. Kristjanpoller, Werner & Bouri, Elie & Takaishi, Tetsuya, 2020. "Cryptocurrencies and equity funds: Evidence from an asymmetric multifractal analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
    19. Yaya, OlaOluwa S & Ogbonna, Ephraim A & Olubusoye, Olusanya E, 2018. "How Persistent and Dependent are Pricing of Bitcoin to other Cryptocurrencies Before and After 2017/18 Crash?," MPRA Paper 91253, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Zhang, Dongna & Chen, Xihui Haviour & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Xu, Bing, 2023. "Implications of cryptocurrency energy usage on climate change," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    21. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Dionisio, Andreia & Almeida, Dora & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2022. "Nonlinear nexus between cryptocurrency returns and COVID-19 news sentiment," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    22. Atsalakis, George S. & Atsalaki, Ioanna G. & Pasiouras, Fotios & Zopounidis, Constantin, 2019. "Bitcoin price forecasting with neuro-fuzzy techniques," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 276(2), pages 770-780.
    23. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Dene Hurley & Román Ferrer, 2021. "U.S. stock prices and macroeconomic fundamentals: Fresh evidence using the quantile ARDL approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3569-3587, July.
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    60. Iqbal, Najaf & Fareed, Zeeshan & Wan, Guangcai & Shahzad, Farrukh, 2021. "Asymmetric nexus between COVID-19 outbreak in the world and cryptocurrency market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    61. Konstantinos Gkillas & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2020. "Spillovers in Higher-Order Moments of Crude Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin," Working Papers 202068, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    62. Tissaoui, Kais & Hkiri, Besma & Talbi, Mariem & Alghassab, Waleed & Alfreahat, Khaled Issa, 2021. "Market volatility and illiquidity during the COVID-19 outbreak: Evidence from the Saudi stock exchange through the wavelet coherence approaches," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhong, Changbiao & Xie, Lijuan & Shi, Yu & Xu, Xiangyun, 2023. "Macro-prudential policy, its alignment with monetary policy and house price growth: A cross-country study," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 51-62.
    2. Cai, Yifei & Chang, Hao-Wen & Chang, Tsangyao, 2023. "Evaluating time-varying granger causality between US-China political relation changes and China stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    3. Zeqiraj, Veton & Gurdgiev, Constantin & Sohag, Kazi & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2024. "Economic uncertainty, public debt and non-performing loans in the Eurozone: Three systemic crises," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    4. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Theodoridis, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark E., 2023. "Is there a national housing market bubble brewing in the United States?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(8), pages 2191-2228, December.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Ye, Kewei & Wang, Han & Ma, Xiaobing, 2023. "A generalized dynamic stress-strength interference model under δ-failure criterion for self-healing protective structure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    7. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rinsuna Shivambu, 2020. "Uncertainty and Daily Predictability of Housing Returns and Volatility of the United States: Evidence from a Higher-Order Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 202071, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the co-movement of regional housing prices of the United Kingdom," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-22, December.
    9. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Christophe Andre & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Housing Returns and Volatility: Evidence from US State-Level Data," Working Papers 202131, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Lu, Yunzhi & Li, Jie & Yang, Haisheng, 2023. "Time-varying impacts of monetary policy uncertainty on China's housing market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    11. Hardik A. Marfatia & Christophe André & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Predicting Housing Market Sentiment: The Role of Financial, Macroeconomic and Real Estate Uncertainties," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 189-209, May.
    12. Chi-Young Choi & Alexander Chudik & Aaron Smallwood, 2024. "Time-varying Persistence of House Price Growth: The Role of Expectations and Credit Supply," Globalization Institute Working Papers 426, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    13. Lukasz Mach & Dariusz Zmarzly & Ireneusz Dabrowski & Pawel Fracz, 2020. "Comparison on Subannual Seasonality of Building Construction in European Countries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 241-257.
    14. Linyan Dai & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Impact of Uncertainty on State-Level Housing Markets of the United States: The Role of Social Cohesion," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-9, March.
    15. Gholipour, Hassan F. & Tajaddini, Reza & Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza & Yam, Sharon, 2021. "Responses of REITs index and commercial property prices to economic uncertainties: A VAR analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).

  291. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Point and Density Forecasts of Oil Returns: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 201847, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

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    1. Assaf, Ata & Charif, Husni & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between uncertainty and energy markets: Do investor sentiments matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    2. Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020. "Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
    3. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium using news-based economic policy uncertainty: Not all uncertainty changes are equally important," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    4. Zhang, Zhikai & Wang, Yudong & Xiao, Jihong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "Not all geopolitical shocks are alike: Identifying price dynamics in the crude oil market under tensions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    5. Li, Yingli & Huang, Jianbai & Chen, Jinyu, 2021. "Dynamic spillovers of geopolitical risks and gold prices: New evidence from 18 emerging economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    6. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2018. "Geopolitical Risks and the Predictability of Regional Oil Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201860, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Shi, Chunpei & Wei, Yu & Li, Xiafei & Liu, Yuntong, 2023. "Combination forecasts of China's oil futures returns based on multiple uncertainties and their connectedness with oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    8. Loc Dong Truong & Nhien Tuyet Doan & Anh Thi Kim Nguyen, 2024. "The Effects of Geopolitical Risks on Oil Price Volatility," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(1), pages 427-432, January.
    9. Faheem Aslam & Paulo Ferreira & Haider Ali & Ana Ercília José, 2022. "Application of Multifractal Analysis in Estimating the Reaction of Energy Markets to Geopolitical Acts and Threats," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-23, May.
    10. Jia, Lijun & Xu, Ruoyu & Wu, Jian & Song, Malin & Chen, Xueli, 2023. "Impacts of geopolitical risk and economic policy uncertainty on metal futures price volatility: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(PB).
    11. Wang, Zhe & Teng, Yin-Pei & Wu, Shuzhao & Liu, Yuxiang & Liu, Xianchang, 2023. "Geopolitical risk, financial system and natural resources extraction: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    12. Boying Li & Chun-Ping Chang & Yin Chu & Bo Sui, 2020. "Oil prices and geopolitical risks: What implications are offered via multi-domain investigations?," Energy & Environment, , vol. 31(3), pages 492-516, May.
    13. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Tang, Huayun & Li, Ding, 2022. "The roles of oil shocks and geopolitical uncertainties on China’s green bond returns," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 494-505.
    14. Wen, Danyan & Liu, Li & Wang, Yudong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2022. "Forecasting crude oil market returns: Enhanced moving average technical indicators," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    15. Cai, Yifei & Wu, Yanrui, 2021. "Time-varying interactions between geopolitical risks and renewable energy consumption," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 116-137.
    16. Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "An interesting finding about the ability of geopolitical risk to forecast aggregate equity return volatility out-of-sample," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    17. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Yang, Cai & Niu, Zibo & Gao, Wang, 2022. "The time-varying effects of trade policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks shocks on the commodity market prices: Evidence from the TVP-VAR-SV approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    19. Sarit Maitra, 2023. "Impact of Economic Uncertainty, Geopolitical Risk, Pandemic, Financial & Macroeconomic Factors on Crude Oil Returns -- An Empirical Investigation," Papers 2310.01123, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    20. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Li, Yong-Yi, 2021. "Oil price shocks, geopolitical risks, and green bond market dynamics," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    21. Qin, Yun & Hong, Kairong & Chen, Jinyu & Zhang, Zitao, 2020. "Asymmetric effects of geopolitical risks on energy returns and volatility under different market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    22. Wang, Zhuqing & Wang, Xinyu & Cheng, Qiuying & Shi, Song, 2024. "Heterogeneous impact of economic and political uncertainty on green bond volatility: Evidence from the MRS-GARCH-MIDAS-Skewed T model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    23. Zhang, Bin & Liu, Zuyao & Wang, Zhaohua & Zhang, Shuang, 2023. "The impact of geopolitical risk on energy security: Evidence from a GMM panel VAR approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    24. Guo, Jingjun & Zhao, Zhengling & Sun, Jingyun & Sun, Shaolong, 2022. "Multi-perspective crude oil price forecasting with a new decomposition-ensemble framework," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    25. Cheikh, Nidhaleddine Ben & Zaied, Younes Ben, 2023. "Investigating the dynamics of crude oil and clean energy markets in times of geopolitical tensions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    26. Si Mohammed, Kamel & Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Doğan, Buhari & Sharma, Gagan Deep & Mentel, Urszula, 2023. "The reaction of the metal and gold resource planning in the post-COVID-19 era and Russia-Ukrainian conflict: Role of fossil fuel markets for portfolio hedging strategies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    27. Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "Predicting equity premium out-of-sample by conditioning on newspaper-based uncertainty measures: A comparative study," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    28. Muğaloğlu, Erhan & Kuşkaya, Sevda & Aldieri, Luigi & Alnour, Mohammed & Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Magazzino, Cosimo & Bilgili, Faik, 2023. "Dynamic regime differences in the market behavior of primary natural resources in response to geopolitical risk and economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(PB).
    29. Ahmed, Faroque & Gurdgiev, Constantin & Sohag, Kazi & Islam, Md. Monirul & Zeqiraj, Veton, 2024. "Global, local, or glocal? Unravelling the interplay of geopolitical risks and financial stress," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    30. Ma, Yong & Li, Shuaibing & Zhou, Mingtao, 2024. "Forecasting crude oil prices: Does global financial uncertainty matter?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PC).
    31. Xiao, Jihong & Wen, Fenghua & He, Zhifang, 2023. "Impact of geopolitical risks on investor attention and speculation in the oil market: Evidence from nonlinear and time-varying analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    32. Xiao, Jihong & Liu, Hong, 2023. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty on oil market fear: Does climate policy uncertainty matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    33. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Polat, Ali Yavuz & Tekin, Hasan & Tunalı, Ahmet Semih, 2022. "The Ascent of Geopolitics: Scientometric Analysis and Ramifications of Geopolitical Risk," MPRA Paper 112741, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    34. Klepikov, Vladimir Pavlovich & Klepikov, Vladimir Vladimirovich, 2020. "Quantitative approach to estimating crude oil supply in Southern Europe," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    35. Salisu, Afees A. & Adediran, Idris & Omoke, Philip C. & Tchankam, Jean Paul, 2023. "Gold and tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    36. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting the return on the spot price of crude oil out-of-sample by conditioning on news-based uncertainty measures: Some new empirical results," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    37. Tang, Yumei & Chen, Xihui Haviour & Sarker, Provash Kumer & Baroudi, Sarra, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of geopolitical risks and uncertainties on green bond markets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    38. Sohag, Kazi & Karass, Vsevolod & Alam, Khorshed, 2025. "European industrial production in the face of energy dynamics and geopolitical shocks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 316(C).
    39. Layal Mansour-Ichrakieh, 2021. "The Impact of Israeli and Saudi Arabian Geopolitical Risks on the Lebanese Financial Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-24, February.
    40. Ding, Shusheng & Wang, Kaihao & Cui, Tianxiang & Du, Min, 2023. "The time-varying impact of geopolitical risk on natural resource prices: The post-COVID era evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    41. Le, Thanh Ha, 2023. "Quantile time-frequency connectedness between cryptocurrency volatility and renewable energy volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic and Ukraine-Russia conflicts," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 613-625.
    42. Yang, Jianlei & Yang, Chunpeng, 2021. "The impact of mixed-frequency geopolitical risk on stock market returns," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 226-240.
    43. Grzegorz Przekota & Anna Szczepańska-Przekota, 2025. "Directions of Price Transmission on the Diesel Oil Market in Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(1), pages 1-25, January.
    44. Νikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "The effects of geopolitical uncertainty on cryptocurrencies and other financial assets," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 1-14, January.
    45. Jiang, Wei & Chen, Yunfei, 2022. "The time-frequency connectedness among metal, energy and carbon markets pre and during COVID-19 outbreak," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    46. Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Tang, Yingkai & Zhang, Yaojie, 2019. "Geopolitical risk and oil volatility: A new insight," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    47. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Geopolitical Risk and Forecastability of Tail Risk in the Oil Market: Evidence from Over a Century of Monthly Data," Working Papers 202122, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    48. Zhang, Zhikai & Wang, Yudong & Li, Bin, 2023. "Asymmetric spillover of geopolitical risk and oil price volatility: A global perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    49. Zhang, Zhikai & He, Mengxi & Zhang, Yaojie & Wang, Yudong, 2022. "Geopolitical risk trends and crude oil price predictability," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
    50. Foglia, Matteo & Palomba, Giulio & Tedeschi, Marco, 2023. "Disentangling the geopolitical risk and its effects on commodities. Evidence from a panel of G8 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    51. Gong, Xu & Sun, Yi & Du, Zhili, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and China's oil security," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    52. Xiafei Li & Yu Wei & Xiaodan Chen & Feng Ma & Chao Liang & Wang Chen, 2022. "Which uncertainty is powerful to forecast crude oil market volatility? New evidence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4279-4297, October.
    53. Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Revisiting the Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Tunisia: Carbon Dioxide vs. Ecological Footprint," Working Papers 202171, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    54. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Oil tail risks and the realized variance of consumer prices in advanced economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    55. Li, Sufang & Tu, Dalun & Zeng, Yan & Gong, Chenggang & Yuan, Di, 2022. "Does geopolitical risk matter in crude oil and stock markets? Evidence from disaggregated data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    56. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin & Özkan, Oktay, 2024. "Is geopolitical oil price uncertainty forcing the world to use energy more efficiently? Evidence from advanced statistical methods," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 908-919.
    57. Mo, Bin & Nie, He & Zhao, Rongjie, 2024. "Dynamic nonlinear effects of geopolitical risks on commodities: Fresh evidence from quantile methods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    58. Song, Yixuan & He, Mengxi & Wang, Yudong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2022. "Forecasting crude oil market volatility: A newspaper-based predictor regarding petroleum market volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    59. Aloui, Donia & Benkraiem, Ramzi & Guesmi, Khaled & Mzoughi, Hela, 2023. "Managing natural resource prices in a geopolitical risk environment," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    60. Li, Yingli & Huang, Jianbai & Gao, Wang & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "Analyzing the time-frequency connectedness among oil, gold prices and BRICS geopolitical risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    61. Gunay, Samet & Kirimhan, Destan & Cevik, Emrah Ismail, 2024. "Commodity market downturn: Systemic risk and spillovers during left tail events," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    62. Guo, Yating & Wong, Wing-Keung & Su, Nan & Ghardallou, Wafa & Orosco Gavilán, Juan Carlos & Uyen, Pham Thi Minh & Cong, Phan The, 2023. "Resource curse hypothesis and economic growth: A global analysis using bootstrapped panel quantile regression analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    63. Choi, Sun-Yong, 2022. "Evidence from a multiple and partial wavelet analysis on the impact of geopolitical concerns on stock markets in North-East Asian countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    64. Gong, Xiao-Li & Feng, Yong-Kang & Liu, Jian-Min & Xiong, Xiong, 2023. "Study on international energy market and geopolitical risk contagion based on complex network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    65. Wu, Chunying & Wang, Jianzhou & Hao, Yan, 2022. "Deterministic and uncertainty crude oil price forecasting based on outlier detection and modified multi-objective optimization algorithm," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    66. Wang, Ziyang & Dong, Zhiliang, 2024. "Volatility spillover effects among geopolitical risks and international and Chinese crude oil markets——A study utilizing time-varying networks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    67. Zhang, Jialin & Shi, Shaodong, 2023. "Extraction of natural resources and geopolitical risk revisited: A novel perspective of research and development with financial development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    68. Wang, Kai-Hua & Su, Chi-Wei & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Geopolitical risk and crude oil security: A Chinese perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    69. Sohag, Kazi & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Mariev, Oleg & Safonova, Yulia, 2022. "Do geopolitical events transmit opportunity or threat to green markets? Decomposed measures of geopolitical risks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    70. Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Hao, Jianyang & Gao, Xinxin, 2021. "Forecasting crude oil volatility with geopolitical risk: Do time-varying switching probabilities play a role?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    71. Hu, Min & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang & Wei, Lijian, 2020. "Macro factors and the realized volatility of commodities: A dynamic network analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    72. Ding, Lili & Zhao, Zhongchao & Han, Meng, 2021. "Probability density forecasts for steam coal prices in China: The role of high-frequency factors," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    73. Evrim Mandaci, Pınar & Azimli, Asil & Mandaci, Nazif, 2023. "The impact of geopolitical risks on connectedness among natural resource commodities: A quantile vector autoregressive approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).

  292. Nikolaos Antonakakis & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Greek Economic Policy Uncertainty: Does it Matter for the European Union?," Working Papers 201840, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Siphumlile Mangisa & Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Analyzing The Impact Of Brexit On Global Uncertainty Using Functional Linear Regression With Point Of Impact: The Role Of Currency And Equity Markets," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 67(04), pages 1377-1388, June.
    2. Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi-Keung (Marco) & Sheng, Xin, 2020. "Graph theory-based network analysis of regional uncertainties of the US Economy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    3. Christina Christou & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung Marco Lau, 2020. "Are Uncertainties across the World Convergent?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 855-862.
    4. Liew, Ping-Xin & Lim, Kian-Ping & Goh, Kim-Leng, 2022. "The dynamics and determinants of liquidity connectedness across financial asset markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 341-358.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Jacobus A Nel & Xin Sheng, 2020. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty Spillovers in Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 202005, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Chi-Keung (Marco) Lau & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty Connections across the US States: Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical Structural VAR (BGSVAR) Model," Working Papers 201910, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika, 2018. "Volatility spillovers among uncertainty measures. The case of EU member states," MPRA Paper 90319, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  293. Rangan Gupta & Florian Huber & Philipp Piribauer, 2018. "Predicting International Equity Returns: Evidence from Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Papers 201826, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Knüppel, Malte & Krüger, Fabian & Pohle, Marc-Oliver, 2022. "Score-based calibration testing for multivariate forecast distributions," Discussion Papers 50/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    3. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2023. "Tail risks and forecastability of stock returns of advanced economies: evidence from centuries of data," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 466-481, March.
    4. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Working Papers 202126, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  294. Sowmya Subramaniam & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "On the Transmission Mechanism of Asia-Pacific Yield Curve Characteristics," Working Papers 201864, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Qin, Weiping & Cho, Sungjun & Hyde, Stuart, 2023. "Time-varying bond market integration and the impact of financial crises," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    2. Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2020. "Dynamic Connectedness And Spillovers Across Sectors: Evidence From The Indian Stock Market," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2020-04, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
    3. Badics, Milan Csaba & Huszar, Zsuzsa R. & Kotro, Balazs B., 2023. "The impact of crisis periods and monetary decisions of the Fed and the ECB on the sovereign yield curve network," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).

  295. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Time-Varying Predictability of Oil Market Movements Over a Century of Data: The Role of US Financial Stress," Working Papers 201848, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Oil-Price Volatility: The Role of Financial Stress and Asymmetric Loss," Working Papers 201903, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Cai, Yifei & Chang, Hao-Wen & Chang, Tsangyao, 2023. "Evaluating time-varying granger causality between US-China political relation changes and China stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    3. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Hong, Yanran & Li, Pan & Wang, Lu & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "New evidence of extreme risk transmission between financial stress and international crude oil markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    5. Hu, Genhua & Jiang, Haifeng, 2023. "Time-varying jumps in China crude oil futures market impacted by COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    6. Yang Hu & Yanran Hong & Kai Feng & Jikai Wang, 2023. "Evaluating the Importance of Monetary Policy Uncertainty: The Long- and Short-Term Effects and Responses," Evaluation Review, , vol. 47(2), pages 264-286, April.
    7. Zhang, Hongwei & Wang, Peijin, 2021. "Does Bitcoin or gold react to financial stress alike? Evidence from the U.S. and China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 629-648.
    8. Ozcelebi, Oguzhan, 2020. "Assessing the impacts of financial stress index of developed countries on the exchange market pressure index of emerging countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 288-302.
    9. Dagher, Leila & Hasanov, Fakhri, 2022. "Oil Market Shocks and Financial Instability in Asian Countries," MPRA Paper 116079, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Caporina, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2021. "Time-varying granger causality tests for applications in global crude oil markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," SAFE Working Paper Series 324, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    11. Wan, Xiaoli & Yan, Yuruo & Zeng, Zhixiong, 2020. "Exchange rate regimes and market integration: evidence from the dynamic relations between renminbi onshore and offshore markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    12. Liang, Chao & Luo, Qin & Li, Yan & Huynh, Luu Duc Toan, 2023. "Global financial stress index and long-term volatility forecast for international stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    13. Dutta, Anupam & Soytas, Ugur & Das, Debojyoti & Bhattacharyya, Asit, 2022. "In search of time-varying jumps during the turmoil periods: Evidence from crude oil futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    14. Hong, Yanran & Wang, Lu & Liang, Chao & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "Impact of financial instability on international crude oil volatility: New sight from a regime-switching framework," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    15. Taicir Mezghani & Mouna Boujelbène Abbes, 2023. "Forecast the Role of GCC Financial Stress on Oil Market and GCC Financial Markets Using Convolutional Neural Networks," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(3), pages 505-530, September.
    16. Yang, Kun & Wei, Yu & Li, Shouwei & Liu, Liang & Wang, Lei, 2021. "Global financial uncertainties and China’s crude oil futures market: Evidence from interday and intraday price dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    17. Das, Debojyoti & Maitra, Debasish & Dutta, Anupam & Basu, Sankarshan, 2022. "Financial stress and crude oil implied volatility: New evidence from continuous wavelet transformation framework," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    18. Caporin, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2022. "Time-varying Granger causality tests in the energy markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).

  296. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Tahir Suleman, 2018. "Jumps Beyond the Realms of Cricket: India’s Performance in One Day Internationals and Stock Market Movements," Working Papers 201871, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Christos Floros & Konstantinos Gkillas & Christoforos Konstantatos & Athanasios Tsagkanos, 2020. "Realized Measures to Explain Volatility Changes over Time," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-19, June.
    2. Yang, Kun & Wei, Yu & Li, Shouwei & Liu, Liang & Wang, Lei, 2021. "Global financial uncertainties and China’s crude oil futures market: Evidence from interday and intraday price dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).

  297. Matthew W. Clance & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Geopolitical Risks and Recessions in a Panel of Advanced Economies: Evidence from Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 201807, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. António Afonso & José Alves & Sofia Monteiro, 2024. "Echoes of Instability: How Geopolitical Risks Shape Government Debt Holdings," Working Papers REM 2024/0333, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    2. Su, Chi-Wei & Qin, Meng & Tao, Ran & Shao, Xue-Feng & Albu, Lucian Liviu & Umar, Muhammad, 2020. "Can Bitcoin hedge the risks of geopolitical events?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    3. Zhu, Sha & Xia, Yuqin & Li, Qiuxuan & Chen, Yunjia, 2025. "Global geopolitical risk and financial stability: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    4. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Nguyen, Thanh Cong & Thuy, Tien Ho, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and the cost of bank loans," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    6. Tam NguyenHuu & Deniz Karaman Orsal, 2022. "Geopolitical risks and financial stress in emerging economies," Working Papers 2022.09, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    7. Li, Xin & Tong, Yan & Zhong, Kai & Xu, Guoquan & Zhao, Wenyi, 2024. "Geopolitical risk and foreign subsidiary performance of emerging market multinationals," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    8. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Tran, Vuong Thao & Iyke, Bernard Njindan, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and bank stability," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    9. Cepni, Oguzhan & Emirmahmutoglu, Furkan & Guney, Ibrahim Ethem & Yilmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2023. "Do the carry trades respond to geopolitical risks? Evidence from BRICS countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(2).
    10. Shen, Huayu & Liang, Yue & Li, Hanwen & Liu, Jie & Lu, Guangxi, 2021. "Does geopolitical risk promote mergers and acquisitions of listed companies in energy and electric power industries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    11. Wang, Xueting & Wang, Man & Wu, Haoran, 2024. "Geopolitical risk and corporate cash Holdings in China: Precautionary motive and agency problem perspectives," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    12. Haque, Tariq & Pham, Thu Phuong & Yang, Jiaxin, 2023. "Geopolitical risk, financial constraints, and tax avoidance," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    13. Lucchetta, Marcella, 2024. "International aggregate risk: Effects on financial stability," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    14. Fiorillo, Paolo & Meles, Antonio & Pellegrino, Luigi Raffaele & Verdoliva, Vincenzo, 2024. "Geopolitical risk and stock price crash risk: The mitigating role of ESG performance," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    15. Alam, Ahmed W. & Houston, Reza & Farjana, Ashupta, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and corporate investment: How do politically connected firms respond?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    16. Alqahtani, Abdullah & Bouri, Elie & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Predictability of GCC stock returns: The role of geopolitical risk and crude oil returns," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 239-249.
    17. Hille, Erik, 2023. "Europe's energy crisis: Are geopolitical risks in source countries of fossil fuels accelerating the transition to renewable energy?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    18. Yaghoubi, Mona, 2024. "Executive characteristics as moderators: Exploring the impact of geopolitical risk on capital structure decisions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    19. Fiorillo, Paolo & Meles, Antonio & Pellegrino, Luigi Raffaele & Verdoliva, Vincenzo, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and stock liquidity," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

  298. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Volatility Jumps: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 201805, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Oil-Price Volatility: The Role of Financial Stress and Asymmetric Loss," Working Papers 201903, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020. "Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
    3. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2022. "Jumps in Geopolitical Risk and the Cryptocurrency Market: The Singularity of Bitcoin," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 150-161, February.
    4. Zheng, Jinlin & Wen, Baoyu & Jiang, Yaohui & Wang, Xiaohan & Shen, Yue, 2023. "Risk spillovers across geopolitical risk and global financial markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    5. António Afonso & José Alves & Sofia Monteiro, 2023. "Beyond Borders: Assessing the Influence of Geopolitical Tensions on Sovereign Risk Dynamics," Working Papers REM 2023/0300, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    6. Hakan Yilmazkuday, 2024. "Geopolitical Risk and Stock Prices," Working Papers 2407, Florida International University, Department of Economics.
    7. Wen, Jun & Zhao, Xin-Xin & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2021. "The impact of extreme events on energy price risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    8. Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "The role of time‐varying rare disaster risks in predicting bond returns and volatility," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(3), pages 327-340, July.
    9. Long, Shaobo & Guo, Jiaqi, 2022. "Infectious disease equity market volatility, geopolitical risk, speculation, and commodity returns: Comparative analysis of five epidemic outbreaks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    10. Khan, Nasir & Saleem, Asima & Ozkan, Oktay, 2023. "Do geopolitical oil price risk influence stock market returns and volatility of Pakistan: Evidence from novel non-parametric quantile causality approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    11. Li, Zerong & Xu, Liang & Humbatova, Sugra & Ibragimov, Ganijon, 2024. "Analyzing the dynamic interplay of natural resources, environmental factors, and green growth," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    12. Cheng, Xian & Wu, Peng & Liao, Stephen Shaoyi & Wang, Xuelian, 2023. "An integrated model for crude oil forecasting: Causality assessment and technical efficiency," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    13. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Konstantinos Gkillas, 2019. "Gold-Oil Dependence Dynamics and the Role of Geopolitical Risks: Evidence from a Markov-Switching Time-Varying Copula Model," Working Papers 201918, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Baur, Dirk G. & Smales, Lee A., 2020. "Hedging geopolitical risk with precious metals," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    15. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Sensoy, Ahmet & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Volatility connectedness between geopolitical risk and financial markets: Insights from pandemic and military crisis periods," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PC).
    16. Besma Hkiri & Juncal Cunado & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time-Varying Relationship between Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies and Risk Aversion: International Evidence from Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 201965, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Ronnie Figueiredo & Mohammad Soliman & Alamir N. Al-Alawi & Maria José Sousa, 2022. "The Impacts of Geopolitical Risks on the Energy Sector: Micro-Level Operative Analysis in the European Union," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-12, November.
    18. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Seong-Min Yoon, 2017. "OPEC News Announcement Effect on Volatility in the Crude Oil Market: A Reconsideration," Working Papers 201754, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Kannadhasan, M. & Das, Debojyoti, 2020. "Do Asian emerging stock markets react to international economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk alike? A quantile regression approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    20. Pham, Linh & Hsu, Kuang-Chung, 2025. "Metals of the future in a world in crisis: Geopolitical disruptions and the cleantech metal industry," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    21. Zeng, Sheng & Liu, Xinchun & Li, Xiafei & Wei, Qi & Shang, Yue, 2019. "Information dominance among hedging assets: Evidence from return and volatility directional spillovers in time and frequency domains," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
    22. Muhammad Anas & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Larisa Yarovaya, 2024. "The use of high-frequency data in cryptocurrency research: a meta-review of literature with bibliometric analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-31, December.
    23. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Polat, Ali Yavuz & Tekin, Hasan & Tunalı, Ahmet Semih, 2022. "The Ascent of Geopolitics: Scientometric Analysis and Ramifications of Geopolitical Risk," MPRA Paper 112741, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Muhammad Tahir Suleman, 2020. "Jumps beyond the realms of cricket: India's performance in One Day Internationals and stock market movements," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(6), pages 1109-1127, April.
    25. Guo, Peng & Shi, Jing, 2024. "Geopolitical risks, investor sentiment and industry stock market volatility in China: Evidence from a quantile regression approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    26. Mensi, Walid & Lee, Yun-Jung & Vinh Vo, Xuan & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2021. "Does oil price variability affect the long memory and weak form efficiency of stock markets in top oil producers and oil Consumers? Evidence from an asymmetric MF-DFA approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    27. Dutta, Anupam & Soytas, Ugur & Das, Debojyoti & Bhattacharyya, Asit, 2022. "In search of time-varying jumps during the turmoil periods: Evidence from crude oil futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    28. Zhang, Yaojie & He, Jiaxin & He, Mengxi & Li, Shaofang, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and stock market volatility: A global perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    29. Satish Kumar & Amar Rao, 2024. "Assessing And Mitigating The Impact Of Geopolitical Risk Uncertainty On The Indian Financial Sector: A Policy Perspective," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 27(3), pages 483-526, July.
    30. Zhang, Ying & Liu, Baoliu & Xue, Jinjun & Chen, Yiming & Zhao, Fang, 2025. "Would geopolitical risks be the new driver of the energy transition? An empirical study on renewable energy technology innovation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    31. Khraiche, Maroula & Boudreau, James W. & Chowdhury, Md Shahedur R., 2023. "Geopolitical risk and stock market development," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    32. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Demir, Ender & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2019. "Effects of the geopolitical risks on Bitcoin returns and volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 511-518.
    33. Canh Phuc Nguyen & Thanh Dinh Su, 2022. "When ‘uncertainty’ becomes ‘unknown’: Influences of economic uncertainty on the shadow economy," Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 93(3), pages 677-716, September.
    34. Yue Liu & Hao Dong & Pierre Failler, 2019. "The Oil Market Reactions to OPEC’s Announcements," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-15, August.
    35. Salisu, Afees A. & Cuñado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Geopolitical risks and historical exchange rate volatility of the BRICS," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 179-190.
    36. Konstantinos Gkillas & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2020. "Spillovers in Higher-Order Moments of Crude Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin," Working Papers 202068, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    37. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Oil shocks and volatility jumps," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 247-272, January.
    38. Jiasheng Yu & Maojun Zhang & Ruoyu Liu & Guodong Wang, 2023. "Dynamic Effects of Climate Policy Uncertainty on Green Bond Volatility: An Empirical Investigation Based on TVP-VAR Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-17, January.
    39. Νikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "The effects of geopolitical uncertainty on cryptocurrencies and other financial assets," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 1-14, January.
    40. Wang, Kai-Hua & Wen, Cui-Ping & Liu, Hong-Wen & Liu, Lu, 2023. "Promotion or hindrance? Exploring the bidirectional causality between geopolitical risk and green bonds from an energy perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    41. Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Tang, Yingkai & Zhang, Yaojie, 2019. "Geopolitical risk and oil volatility: A new insight," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    42. Zhou, Mei-Jing & Huang, Jian-Bai & Chen, Jin-Yu, 2020. "The effects of geopolitical risks on the stock dynamics of China's rare metals: A TVP-VAR analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    43. Foglia, Matteo & Palomba, Giulio & Tedeschi, Marco, 2023. "Disentangling the geopolitical risk and its effects on commodities. Evidence from a panel of G8 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    44. Gong, Xu & Xu, Jun, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and dynamic connectedness between commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    45. Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Revisiting the Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Tunisia: Carbon Dioxide vs. Ecological Footprint," Working Papers 202171, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    46. Li, Sufang & Tu, Dalun & Zeng, Yan & Gong, Chenggang & Yuan, Di, 2022. "Does geopolitical risk matter in crude oil and stock markets? Evidence from disaggregated data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    47. Tamilselvan, M. & Halder, Abhishek & Kannadhasan, M., 2024. "Exploring the ingredients, mixtures, and inclinations of geopolitical risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 187-206.
    48. Kotcharin, Suntichai & Maneenop, Sakkakom, 2020. "Geopolitical risk and corporate cash holdings in the shipping industry," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    49. He, Zhifang, 2023. "Geopolitical risks and investor sentiment: Causality and TVP-VAR analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    50. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chen, Mei-Ping, 2020. "Do natural disasters and geopolitical risks matter for cross-border country exchange-traded fund returns?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    51. Coën, Alain & Desfleurs, Aurélie, 2024. "Geopolitical risk and the dynamics of REITs returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    52. Konstantinos Gkillas & Dimitrios Vortelinos & Christos Floros & Athanasios Tsagkanos, 2019. "Economic News Releases and Financial Markets in South Africa," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-13, November.
    53. Wang, Kai-Hua & Su, Chi-Wei & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Geopolitical risk and crude oil security: A Chinese perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    54. Smales, L.A., 2021. "Geopolitical risk and volatility spillovers in oil and stock markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 358-366.

  299. Ender Demir & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Huseyin Kaya, 2018. "Effects of Geopolitical Risks on Trade Flows: Evidence from the Gravity Model," Working Papers 201835, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rene Belderbos & Vincent Van Roy & Leo Sleuwaegen, 2020. "Does trade participation limit domestic firms’ productivity gains from inward foreign direct investment?," Working Papers of Department of Management, Strategy and Innovation, Leuven 661062, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Management, Strategy and Innovation, Leuven.
    2. Zhong, Zhangqi & Guo, Zhifang & Zhang, Jianwu, 2021. "Does the participation in global value chains promote interregional carbon emissions transferring via trade? Evidence from 39 major economies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    3. Pan, Lijun & Wang, Yangjie & Sun, Xiaofei & Sadiq, Muhammad & Dagestani, Abd Alwahed, 2023. "Natural resources: A determining factor of geopolitical risk in Russia? Revisiting conflict-based perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    4. António Afonso & José Alves & Sofia Monteiro, 2024. "Echoes of Instability: How Geopolitical Risks Shape Government Debt Holdings," Working Papers REM 2024/0333, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    5. António Afonso & José Alves & Sofia Monteiro, 2023. "Beyond Borders: Assessing the Influence of Geopolitical Tensions on Sovereign Risk Dynamics," Working Papers REM 2023/0300, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    6. Hakan Yilmazkuday, 2024. "Geopolitical Risk and Stock Prices," Working Papers 2407, Florida International University, Department of Economics.
    7. Martin Hodula & Jan Janku & Simona Malovana & Ngoc Anh Ngo, 2024. "Geopolitical Risks and Their Impact on Global Macro-Financial Stability: Literature and Measurements," Working Papers 2024/8, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    8. Guo, Yaoqi & Li, Yingli & Liu, Yongheng & Zhang, Hongwei, 2023. "The impact of geopolitical relations on the evolution of cobalt trade network from the perspective of industrial chain," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    9. Ngo, Vu Minh & Nguyen, Phuc Van & Hoang, Yen Hai, 2024. "The impacts of geopolitical risks on gold, oil and financial reserve management," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    10. Liu, Ke & Fu, Qiang & Ma, Qing & Ren, Xiang, 2024. "Does geopolitical risk affect exports? Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1558-1569.
    11. Anderton Charles H. & Anderton Roxane A., 2021. "The Trade Disruption Hypothesis Fails for State-Sponsored Genocides and Mass Atrocities: Why It Matters," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 27(2), pages 143-168, May.
    12. Osama D. Sweidan, 2023. "Geopolitical Risk and Income Inequality: Evidence from the US Economy," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 169(1), pages 575-597, September.
    13. Nguyen, Trung Thanh & Do, Manh Hung, 2021. "Impact of economic sanctions and counter-sanctions on the Russian Federation’s trade," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 267-278.
    14. Oh, Saera & Lim, Sunghun, 2024. "Geopolitical Risks and Agricultural Trade Diversification in Southern Africa: Port-level Evidence from the Russia-UkraineWar," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343735, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Anna Matzner & Birgit Meyer & Harald Oberhofer, 2023. "Trade in Times of Uncertainty," WIFO Working Papers 659, WIFO.
    16. Wang, Fanyi & Zhang, Weiwei & Zhang, Du, 2024. "The time-varying impact of geopolitical risks on financial stress in China: A TVP-VAR analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
    17. Shen, Huayu & Liang, Yue & Li, Hanwen & Liu, Jie & Lu, Guangxi, 2021. "Does geopolitical risk promote mergers and acquisitions of listed companies in energy and electric power industries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    18. Osama D. Sweidan, 2023. "The Effect of Geopolitical Risk on Income Inequality: Evidence from a Panel Analysis," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 167(1), pages 47-66, June.
    19. Floros Flouros & Victoria Pistikou & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2022. "Geopolitical Risk as a Determinant of Renewable Energy Investments," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-21, February.
    20. Christina Christou & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung Marco Lau, 2020. "Are Uncertainties across the World Convergent?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 855-862.
    21. Zhang, Ying & Liu, Baoliu & Xue, Jinjun & Chen, Yiming & Zhao, Fang, 2025. "Would geopolitical risks be the new driver of the energy transition? An empirical study on renewable energy technology innovation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    22. Adediran, Idris A. & Swaray, Raymond, 2023. "Carbon trading amidst global uncertainty: The role of policy and geopolitical uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    23. Layal Mansour-Ichrakieh, 2021. "The Impact of Israeli and Saudi Arabian Geopolitical Risks on the Lebanese Financial Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-24, February.
    24. Fen Li & Zhehao Huang & Junhao Zhong & Khaldoon Albitar, 2020. "Do Tense Geopolitical Factors Drive Crude Oil Prices?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-20, August.
    25. Salisu, Afees A. & Cuñado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Geopolitical risks and historical exchange rate volatility of the BRICS," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 179-190.
    26. Muhammad Athar Nadeem & Zhiying Liu & Yi Xu & Kishwar Nawaz & Muhammad Yousaf Malik & Amna Younis, 2020. "Impacts of terrorism, governance structure, military expenditures and infrastructures upon tourism: empirical evidence from an emerging economy," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 10(1), pages 185-206, March.
    27. António Afonso & José Alves & Sofia Monteiro, 2024. "The Pressure Is On: How Geopolitical Tensions Impact Institutional Fiscal and External Stability Responses," CESifo Working Paper Series 11067, CESifo.
    28. Shahzad, Umer & Mohammed, Kamel Si & Tiwari, Sunil & Nakonieczny, Joanna & Nesterowicz, Renata, 2023. "Connectedness between geopolitical risk, financial instability indices and precious metals markets: Novel findings from Russia Ukraine conflict perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    29. Sudeshna Ghosh & Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo, 2024. "The effect of world policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk factors on export-led growth for Japan: novel insights by wavelet local multiple correlation methods," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 3605-3633, August.
    30. Carlos Abreo & Ricardo Bustillo & Carlos Rodriguez, 2021. "The role of institutional quality in the international trade of a Latin American country: evidence from Colombian export performance," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 10(1), pages 1-21, December.
    31. Sakiru Adebola Solarin & Luis A. Gil‐Alana & Maria Jesus Gonzalez‐Blanch, 2023. "Persistence and dependence in geopolitical risks in various developed and developing countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1488-1496, April.
    32. Sweidan, Osama D. & Elbargathi, Khadiga, 2023. "Economic diversification in Saudi Arabia: Comparing the impact of oil prices, geopolitical risk, and government expenditures," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 13-24.
    33. Duc Hong Vo & Tam Hoang‐Nhat Dang, 2024. "The geopolitical risk spillovers across BRICS countries: A quantile frequency connectedness approach," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 71(1), pages 132-143, February.
    34. Feng, Yanchao & Pan, Yuxi & Lu, Shan & Shi, Jiaxin, 2024. "Identifying the multiple nexus between geopolitical risk, energy resilience, and carbon emissions: Evidence from global data," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    35. Islam, Md. Monirul & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Samargandi, Nahla, 2024. "The nexus between Russian uranium exports and US nuclear-energy consumption: Do the spillover effects of geopolitical risks matter?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    36. Ender Demir & Giray Gozgor & Sudharshan Reddy Paramati, 2019. "Do geopolitical risks matter for inbound tourism?," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 9(2), pages 183-191, June.
    37. Zouhaier Dhifaoui & Kaies Ncibi & Faicel Gasmi & Abulmajeed Abdallah Alqarni, 2023. "The Nexus between Climate Change and Geopolitical Risk Index in Saudi Arabia Based on the Fourier-Domain Transfer Entropy Spectrum Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-22, September.
    38. Liu, Jiahao & Zhu, Bo & Hu, Xin, 2024. "Systemic risk spillovers among global energy firms: Does geopolitical risk matter?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    39. Karabulut, Gokhan & Bilgin, Mehmet Huseyin & Doker, Asli Cansin, 2020. "The relationship between commodity prices and world trade uncertainty," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 276-281.
    40. Chien-Chiang Lee & Farzan Yahya, 2024. "Have Dynamic Spillovers and the Connectedness of Trade Policy Uncertainty Changed During the COVID-19 Pandemic and Sino-US Trade Frictions?," Working Papers DP-2023-35, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    41. Ferhat Pehlivanoğlu & Saffet Akdağ & Andrew Adewale Alola, 2021. "The causal nexus of geopolitical risks, consumer and producer confidence indexes: evidence from selected economies," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1261-1273, August.
    42. Nashwan M. A. Saif & Jianping Ruan & Bojan Obrenovic, 2021. "Sustaining Trade during COVID-19 Pandemic: Establishing a Conceptual Model Including COVID-19 Impact," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-20, May.
    43. Khan, Khalid & Khurshid, Adnan & Cifuentes-Faura, Javier, 2023. "Investigating the relationship between geopolitical risks and economic security: Empirical evidence from central and Eastern European countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    44. Demir, Ender & Danisman, Gamze Ozturk, 2021. "The impact of economic uncertainty and geopolitical risks on bank credit," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    45. Anna Golovko & Hasan Sahin, 2021. "Analysis of international trade integration of Eurasian countries: gravity model approach," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(3), pages 519-548, September.

  300. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Xin Sheng, 2018. "Is There a Role for Uncertainty in Forecasting Output Growth in OECD Countries? Evidence from a Time Varying Parameter-Panel Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201823, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Historical Forecasting Of Interest Rate Mean And Volatility Of The United States: Is There A Role Of Uncertainty?," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(04), pages 1-17, December.
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Matthew W. Clance & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau, 2019. "The Relationship between Economic Uncertainty and Corporate Tax Rates," Working Papers 201945, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & George Ike & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Output Growth in Emerging Markets: A Mixed-Frequency Granger Causality Approach," Working Papers 201975, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Time-varying impact of pandemics on global output growth," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    6. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Gupta, Rangan & Sun, Xiaojin, 2020. "Forecasting economic policy uncertainty of BRIC countries using Bayesian VARs," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    8. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and the U.K. Unemployment Rate: A Forecasting Experiment with Random Forests Using 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 202095, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  301. Petre Caraiani & Adrian Cantemir Călin & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Monetary Policy and Bubbles in US REITs," Working Papers 201845, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Theodoridis, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark E., 2023. "Is there a national housing market bubble brewing in the United States?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(8), pages 2191-2228, December.
    2. Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2022. "Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on Housing Prices in the United States: The Role of Sentiment," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 241-261, July.
    3. Kola Ijasan & Peterson Owusu Junior & George Tweneboah & Tunbosun Oyedokun & Anokye M. Adam, 2021. "Analysing the relationship between global REITs and exchange rates: Fresh evidence from frequency-based quantile regressions," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(3), pages 58-91, September.
    4. Cepni, Oguzhan & Dul, Wiehan & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The dynamics of U.S. REITs returns to uncertainty shocks: A proxy SVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    5. Yanlin Shi, 2023. "A new unique impulse response function in linear vector autoregressive models," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 460-468, June.
    6. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on US REITs Moments: Evidence from VARs with Functional Shocks," Working Papers 202219, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "Monetary policy and bubbles in G7 economies using a panel VAR approach: Implications for sustainable development," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 133-155.

  302. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Juncal Cunado & Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Oil Price-Inflation Pass-Through in the United States over 1871 to 2018: A Wavelet Coherency Analysis," Working Papers 201865, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin & Özkan, Oktay, 2023. "Geopolitical oil price uncertainty transmission into core inflation: Evidence from two of the biggest global players," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    2. Aharon, David Y. & Azman Aziz, Mukhriz Izraf & Kallir, Ido, 2023. "Oil price shocks and inflation: A cross-national examination in the ASEAN5+3 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    3. Cheikh, Nidhaleddine Ben & Zaied, Younes Ben & Mattoussi, Wided, 2023. "Oil price shocks in the age of surging inflation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    4. Huang, Xuan & Liu, Xueyong, 2022. "The time-frequency evolution of multidimensional relations between global oil prices and China's general price level," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 244(PA).
    5. Sarit Maitra, 2023. "Impact of Economic Uncertainty, Geopolitical Risk, Pandemic, Financial & Macroeconomic Factors on Crude Oil Returns -- An Empirical Investigation," Papers 2310.01123, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    6. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa, 2021. "Exchange rate and oil price pass-through in the BRICS countries: Evidence from the spillover index and rolling-sample analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    7. Sang Hoon Kang & Salim Lahmiri & Gazi Salah Uddin & Jose Arreola Hernandez & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "Inflation cycle synchronization in ASEAN countries," Post-Print hal-02779489, HAL.
    8. Ge, Zhenyu & Sun, Yang, 2024. "Asymmetric impact of oil price shocks on inflation: Evidence from quantile-on-quantile regression," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    9. Liu, Donghui & Meng, Lingjie & Wang, Yudong, 2021. "The asymmetric effects of oil price changes on China’s exports: New evidence from a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    10. Pal, Debdatta & Mitra, Subrata Kumar, 2019. "Asymmetric oil price transmission to the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar: A multiple threshold NARDL modelling approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    11. Nguyen, Thanh Pham Thien & Nghiem, Son & Tripe, David, 2021. "Does oil price aggravate the impact of economic policy uncertainty on bank performance in India?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    12. Jiang, Zhuhua & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2020. "Dynamic co-movement between oil and stock markets in oil-importing and oil-exporting countries: Two types of wavelet analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    13. İbrahim Özmen & Şerife Özşahin, 2023. "Effects of global energy and price fluctuations on Turkey's inflation: new evidence," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 2695-2728, August.
    14. Youshu Li & Junjie Guo, 2022. "The asymmetric impacts of oil price and shocks on inflation in BRICS: a multiple threshold nonlinear ARDL model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(12), pages 1377-1395, March.
    15. Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Usman, Ojonugwa & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Moving out of the linear rut: A period-specific and regime-dependent exchange rate and oil price pass-through in the BRICS countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    16. Fazal, Rizwan & Rehman, Syed Aziz Ur & Bhatti, M. Ishaq, 2022. "Graph theoretic approach to expose the energy-induced crisis in Pakistan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    17. Ouyang, Zi-sheng & Liu, Meng-tian & Huang, Su-su & Yao, Ting, 2022. "Does the source of oil price shocks matter for the systemic risk?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    18. Roy, Rudra Prosad & Sinha Roy, Saikat, 2022. "Commodity futures prices pass-through and monetary policy in India: Does asymmetry matter?," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    19. Köse, Nezir & Ünal, Emre, 2021. "The effects of the oil price and oil price volatility on inflation in Turkey," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    20. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices over 150 years: The role of tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    21. Dinmukhamed Kelesbayev & Kundyz Myrzabekkyzy & Artur Bolganbayev & Sabit Baimaganbetov, 2022. "The Effects of the Oil Price Shock on Inflation: The Case of Kazakhstan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 477-481, May.
    22. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2021. "Inflation synchronization among the G7and China: The important role of oil inflation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).

  303. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Does Inequality Really Matter in Forecasting Real Housing Returns of the United Kingdom?," Working Papers 201859, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Historical Forecasting Of Interest Rate Mean And Volatility Of The United States: Is There A Role Of Uncertainty?," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(04), pages 1-17, December.
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "How do Housing Returns in Emerging Countries Respond to Oil Shocks? A MIDAS Touch," Working Papers 201946, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Marilena Mironiuc & Elena Ionașcu & Maria Carmen Huian & Alina Țaran, 2021. "Reflecting the Sustainability Dimensions on the Residential Real Estate Prices," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-28, March.
    4. Edmond Berisha & John Meszaros & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Income Inequality and House Prices across US States," Working Papers 202134, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Abebe Hailemariam & Sefa Awaworyi Churchill & Russell Smyth & Kingsley Tetteh Baako, 2021. "Income inequality and housing prices in the very long‐run," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 88(1), pages 295-321, July.

  304. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Persistence of Economic Uncertainty: A Comprehensive Analysis," Working Papers 201810, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Nurudeen Abu & Tayo P. Ogundunmade, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty in G7 countries: evidence of long-range dependence and cointegration," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 541-556, May.
    3. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "Persistence of State-Level Uncertainty of the United States: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202208, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. de Oliveira Lima Cagliari Marques, Guilherme & Gonzalez de Freitas Pinto, Mateus, 2024. "Dynamics of persistence in Brazilian economic uncertainty, expectation, and confidence indexes," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    5. Jacobus Nel & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Climate Risks And Predictability Of Commodity Returns And Volatility: Evidence From Over 750 Years Of Data," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(04), pages 1-40, November.
    6. Christina Christou & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung Marco Lau, 2020. "Are Uncertainties across the World Convergent?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 855-862.
    7. Oguzhan Cepni & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Onur Polat, 2024. "Time-Variation in the Persistence of Carbon Price Uncertainty: The Role of Carbon Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 202446, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2022. "Commodity and financial markets’ fear before and during COVID-19 pandemic: Persistence and causality analyses," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    9. Solarin, Sakiru Adebola & Gil-Alana, Luis A., 2021. "The persistence of economic policy uncertainty: Evidence of long range dependence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 568(C).
    10. Gupta, Rangan & Sun, Xiaojin, 2020. "Forecasting economic policy uncertainty of BRIC countries using Bayesian VARs," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).

  305. Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Equity Market Volatility of the United Kingdom: Evidence from over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201851, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Matthew W. Clance & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei, 2020. "Predicting Firm-Level Volatility in the United States: The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 202007, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Raza, Syed Ali & Sharif, Arshian & Kumar, Satish & Ahmed, Maiyra, 2023. "Connectedness between monetary policy uncertainty and sectoral stock market returns: Evidence from asymmetric TVP-VAR approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    3. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  306. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Chien-Chiang Lee & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams, 2018. "Insurance-Growth Nexus in Africa," Working Papers 201801, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gabriela Mihaela Mure?an & Cristian Mihai Dragos & Codru?a Mare & Simona Laura Dragos & Alexandra Pintea, 2021. "Socio-Economic and Macro-Financial Determinants and Spatial Effects on European Private Health Insurance Markets," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 23(56), pages 290-290, February.
    2. Hemrit, Wael & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi, 2021. "Insurance and geopolitical risk: Fresh empirical evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 320-334.
    3. Xiang, Feiyun & Fu, Yimang, 2024. "The asymmetric and time-varying effects of trade policy uncertainty on the insurance premiums in China: Evidence from cross-quantilogram," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).

  307. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Presidential Cycles and Time-Varying Bond-Stock Correlations: Evidence from More than Two Centuries of Data," Working Papers 201811, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Political Geography and Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Political Alignment across Sentiment Regimes," Working Papers 202414, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Chang, Kai & Ye, Zhifang & Wang, Weihong, 2019. "Volatility spillover effect and dynamic correlation between regional emissions allowances and fossil energy markets: New evidence from China’s emissions trading scheme pilots," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 1314-1324.
    3. Dai, Zhifeng & Kang, Jie, 2021. "Bond yield and crude oil prices predictability," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    4. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Saban Nazlioglu & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Causality between Bond and Oil Markets of the United States: Evidence from Over One and Half Centuries of Data," Working Papers 202006, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Time-Varying Risk Aversion and the Predictability of Bond Premia," Working Papers 201906, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Variants of consumption‐wealth ratios and predictability of U.S. government bond risk premia," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 661-674, June.
    7. Bouri, Elie & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bond risk premia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    8. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Guney, I. Ethem & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "The role of an aligned investor sentiment index in predicting bond risk premia of the U.S," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    9. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Variants of Consumption-Wealth Ratios and Predictability of U.S. Government Bond Risk Premia: Old is still Gold," Working Papers 201912, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  308. Rangan Gupta & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2018. "Efficiency in BRICS Currency Markets using Long-Spans of Data: Evidence from Model-Free Tests of Directional Predictability," Working Papers 201836, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Juncal Cunado & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Testing the White Noise Hypothesis in High-Frequency Housing Returns of the United States," Working Papers 201952, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Lin Liu, 2022. "Economic Uncertainty and Exchange Market Pressure: Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440211, January.

  309. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Chien-Chiang Lee & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams, 2018. "The Synergistic Effect of Insurance and Banking Sector Activities on Economic Growth in Africa," Working Papers 201818, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kulvinder Purewal & Hazwan Haini, 2022. "Re-examining the effect of financial markets and institutions on economic growth: evidence from the OECD countries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 311-333, February.
    2. Larissa Batrancea & Malar Mozhi Rathnaswamy & Ioan Batrancea, 2021. "A Panel Data Analysis of Economic Growth Determinants in 34 African Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-15, June.
    3. Enisan, Akinlo Anthony & Taiwo, Akinlo, 2024. "Insurance Development and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does Institutional Quality Matter?," Journal of Economic Development, The Economic Research Institute, Chung-Ang University, vol. 49(4), pages 71-98, December.
    4. Gaganis, Chrysovalantis & Hasan, Iftekhar & Pasiouras, Fotios, 2020. "Cross-country evidence on the relationship between regulations and the development of the life insurance sector," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 256-272.
    5. Emmanuel Asafo-Adjei & Ebenezer Boateng & Zangina Isshaq & Anthony Adu-Asare Idun & Peterson Owusu Junior & Anokye M Adam, 2021. "Financial sector and economic growth amid external uncertainty shocks: Insights into emerging economies," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(11), pages 1-26, November.
    6. Akinlo Taiwo & Idachaba Daniel Adukwu, 2024. "Insurance and economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa: Institutional quality threshold effect," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 69(241), pages 7-39, April – J.
    7. Dagim Taddese Bekele & Adisu Abebaw Degu, 2023. "The effect of financial sector development on economic growth of selected sub‐Saharan Africa countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 2834-2842, July.
    8. Meytang Cédric & Ongo Nkoa Bruno Emmanuel, 2024. "Infrastructure development in sub-Saharan African countries: does insurance matter?," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 49(4), pages 747-778, October.
    9. Obiora, Sandra Chukwudumebi & Zeng, Yong & Li, Qiang & Liu, Hao & Adjei, Peter Darko & Csordas, Tamas, 2022. "The effect of economic growth on banking system performance: An interregional and comparative study of Sub-Saharan Africa and developed economies," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(1).
    10. Husam Abbas Ali & Hiba Youssef Taha, 2023. "The Impact of the Development of the Banking Sector in Rentier Countries on Economic Growth in Light of Recurrent Crises," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 13(3), pages 113-130.
    11. Xiaoye Liu & Kedong Yin & Yun Cao, 2021. "Contribution of the Optimization of Financial Structure to the Real Economy: Evidence from China’s Financial System Using TVP-VAR Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(18), pages 1-21, September.
    12. Li, Xiaolong & Ozturk, Ilhan & Ullah, Sana & Andlib, Zubaria & Hafeez, Muhammad, 2022. "Can top-pollutant economies shift some burden through insurance sector development for sustainable development?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 326-336.
    13. Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan & Jassem Alokla, 2023. "Do Publicly Listed Insurance Firms in Saudi Arabia Have Strong Corporate Governance?," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-41, January.
    14. Houlda Fambo & Ge Shunqi, 2024. "Driving economic growth in African countries: Do Chinese OFDI sectors matter?," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 105(3), pages 726-743, May.
    15. Martin Hodula & Jan Janků & Martin Časta & Adam Kučera, 2023. "On the macrofinancial determinants of life and non-life insurance premiums," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 48(4), pages 760-798, October.

  310. Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Time-Varying Causal Relationship between Stock Market and Unemployment in the United Kingdom: Historical Evidence from 1855 to 2017," Working Papers 201863, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Caporina, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2021. "Time-varying granger causality tests for applications in global crude oil markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," SAFE Working Paper Series 324, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    2. Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Emmanouil Sofianos, 2022. "Forecasting unemployment in the euro area with machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 551-566, April.
    3. Shoukun Jiao & Wuyi Ye, 2022. "Dependence and Systemic Risk Analysis Between S&P 500 Index and Sector Indexes: A Conditional Value-at-Risk Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(3), pages 1203-1229, March.
    4. Caporin, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2022. "Time-varying Granger causality tests in the energy markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).

  311. Goodness C. Aye & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Dynamic and Asymmetric Response of Inequality to Income Volatility: The Case of the United Kingdom," Working Papers 201821, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Osama D. Sweidan, 2023. "Geopolitical Risk and Income Inequality: Evidence from the US Economy," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 169(1), pages 575-597, September.
    2. Shinhye Chang & Matthew W. Clance & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "A Reconsideration of Kuznets Curve across Countries: Evidence from the Co-summability Approach," Working Papers 201970, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Osama D. Sweidan, 2023. "The Effect of Geopolitical Risk on Income Inequality: Evidence from a Panel Analysis," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 167(1), pages 47-66, June.
    4. Alshubiri, Faris, 2021. "Financial deepening indicators and income inequality of OECD and ASIAN countries," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    5. Darehshiri, Mahsa & Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Babatunde Adekoya, Oluwasegun & Shahzad, Umer, 2022. "Cross-spectral coherence and dynamic connectedness among contactless digital payments and digital communities, enterprise collaboration, and virtual reality firms," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    6. Yasmeen, Rizwana & Shah, Wasi Ul Hassan, 2025. "Impact of business cycles on energy poverty: Exploring the significance with sustainable development goals in newly industrialized economies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 378(PA).
    7. Brice Kamguia & Ronald Djeunankan & Sosson Tadadjeu & Henri Njangang, 2024. "Does macroeconomic instability hamper access to electricity? Evidence from developing countries," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(2), pages 387-414, April.
    8. Seher Gülşah Topuz, 2022. "The Relationship Between Income Inequality and Economic Growth: Are Transmission Channels Effective?," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 162(3), pages 1177-1231, August.

  312. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Stock Market Efficiency Analysis using Long Spans of Data: A Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Approach," Working Papers 201824, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Belhoula, Mohamed Malek & Mensi, Walid & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed, 2024. "Dynamic speculation and efficiency in European natural gas markets during the COVID-19 and Russia-Ukraine crises," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    2. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Juncal Cunado & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Testing the White Noise Hypothesis in High-Frequency Housing Returns of the United States," Working Papers 201952, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Pengbo Wan & Ghulam Mujtaba & Saira Ashfaq & Song Liangrong & Rana Muhammad Nasir, 2025. "Are rare earth stocks efficient? Novel insights using asymmetric MF-DFA," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-17, December.
    4. Samuel T. Ogunjo, 2023. "The impact of the 2007–2008 global financial crisis on the multifractality of the Nigerian Stock Exchange," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 1-17, January.
    5. Khaled Mokni & Ghassen El Montasser & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Elie Bouri, 2024. "On the efficiency and its drivers in the cryptocurrency market: the case of Bitcoin and Ethereum," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-25, December.
    6. Plastun, Alex & Sibande, Xolani & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Rise and fall of calendar anomalies over a century," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 181-205.
    7. Ashok Chanabasangouda Patil & Shailesh Rastogi, 2019. "Time-Varying Price–Volume Relationship and Adaptive Market Efficiency: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-18, June.
    8. Alex Plastun & Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Price Gap Anomaly in the US Stock Market: The Whole Story," Working Papers 201963, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. José A. Roldán-Casas & Mª B. García-Moreno García, 2022. "A procedure for testing the hypothesis of weak efficiency in financial markets: a Monte Carlo simulation," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 31(5), pages 1289-1327, December.
    10. Lin Xiao & Vesarach Aumeboonsuke, 2022. "Co-Integration among COVID-19, Investor Sentiment, and the Stock Market," Humanities and Social Sciences Letters, Conscientia Beam, vol. 10(4), pages 492-510.
    11. Tatijana Stosic & Ivana Tošić & Irida Lazić & Milica Tošić & Lazar Filipović & Vladimir Djurdjević & Borko Stosic, 2024. "Multifractal Analysis of Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index in Serbia in the Context of Climate Change," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-18, November.
    12. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Asl, Mahdi Ghaemi & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Izadi, Parviz, 2023. "Multifractality and cross-correlation between the crude oil and the European and non-European stock markets during the Russia-Ukraine war," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    13. Diniz-Maganini, Natalia & Diniz, Eduardo H. & Rasheed, Abdul A., 2021. "Bitcoin’s price efficiency and safe haven properties during the COVID-19 pandemic: A comparison," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    14. Chowdhury, Mohammad Ashraful Ferdous & Abdullah, Mohammad & Alam, Masud & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Shi, Baofeng, 2023. "NFTs, DeFi, and other assets efficiency and volatility dynamics: An asymmetric multifractality analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    15. Zhou, Wei & Gu, Ruitao & Lu, Shuai, 2020. "Penetrating the real performance of SSE STAR enterprises: A double-market investigation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    16. Diniz-Maganini, Natalia & Rasheed, Abdul A. & Sheng, Hsia Hua, 2021. "Exchange rate regimes and price efficiency: Empirical examination of the impact of financial crisis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    17. Raza, Syed Ali & Shah, Nida & Suleman, Muhammed Tahir, 2024. "A multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis of Islamic and conventional financial markets efficiency during the COVID-19 pandemic," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    18. Diniz-Maganini, Natalia & Rasheed, Abdul A. & Sheng, Hsia Hua, 2023. "Price efficiency of the foreign exchange rates of BRICS countries: A comparative analysis," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(1).
    19. Deniz Erer & Elif Erer & Selim Güngör, 2023. "The aggregate and sectoral time-varying market efficiency during crisis periods in Turkey: a comparative analysis with COVID-19 outbreak and the global financial crisis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-25, December.
    20. Maciel, Leandro, 2021. "A new approach to portfolio management in the Brazilian equity market: Does assets efficiency level improve performance?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 38-56.
    21. Oliveira, Alexandre Silva de & Ceretta, Paulo Sergio & Albrecht, Peter, 2023. "Performance comparison of multifractal techniques and artificial neural networks in the construction of investment portfolios," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    22. Emna Mnif & Anis Jarboui, 2021. "Islamic, Green, And Conventional Cryptocurrency Market Efficiency During The Covid-19 Pandemic," Journal of Islamic Monetary Economics and Finance, Bank Indonesia, vol. 7(Special I), pages 167-184, March.
    23. Aktham Maghyereh & Mohammad Al-Shboul, 2024. "Have the extraordinary circumstances of the COVID-19 outbreak and the Russian–Ukrainian conflict impacted the efficiency of cryptocurrencies?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-28, December.
    24. Tao Yin & Yiming Wang, 2021. "Market Efficiency and Nonlinear Analysis of Soybean Futures," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-10, January.
    25. Ghazani, Majid Mirzaee & Ebrahimi, Seyed Babak, 2019. "Testing the adaptive market hypothesis as an evolutionary perspective on market efficiency: Evidence from the crude oil prices," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 60-68.
    26. Umar, Zaghum & Yousaf, Imran & Aharon, David Y., 2021. "The relationship between yield curve components and equity sectorial indices: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    27. Amairi, Haifa & Zantour, Ahlem & Saadi, Samir, 2021. "Information dissemination and price discovery," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    28. Shrestha, Keshab & Naysary, Babak & Philip, Sheena Sara Suresh, 2023. "Fintech market efficiency: A multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    29. Suchetana Sadhukhan & Poulomi Sadhukhan, 2022. "Sector-wise analysis of Indian stock market: Long and short-term risk and stability analysis," Papers 2210.09619, arXiv.org.
    30. Ashok Chanabasangouda Patil & Shailesh Rastogi, 2020. "Multifractal Analysis of Market Efficiency across Structural Breaks: Implications for the Adaptive Market Hypothesis," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-18, October.
    31. Han, Chenyu & Wang, Yiming & Ning, Ye, 2019. "Comparative analysis of the multifractality and efficiency of exchange markets: Evidence from exchange rates dynamics of major world currencies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).

  313. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Vasilios Plakandaras & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "The Role of Housing Sentiment in Forecasting US Home Sales Growth: Evidence from a Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201842, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Hamid Ahaggach & Lylia Abrouk & Eric Lebon, 2024. "Systematic Mapping Study of Sales Forecasting: Methods, Trends, and Future Directions," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-31, July.

  314. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "On the Transmission Mechanism of Country-Specific and International Economic Uncertainty Spillovers: Evidence from a TVP-VAR Connectedness Decomposition Approach," Working Papers 201829, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Bouri, Elie & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Return connectedness across asset classes around the COVID-19 outbreak," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    2. Huang, Shoujun & Bossman, Ahmed & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2024. "International transmission of shocks and African forex markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    3. Liming Chen & Zhi Zhang & Ziqing Du & Lingling Deng, 2021. "Heterogeneous determinants of the exchange rate market in China with structural breaks," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(59), pages 6839-6854, December.
    4. Shi, Huai-Long & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2022. "Factor volatility spillover and its implications on factor premia," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    5. Assaf, Ata & Charif, Husni & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between uncertainty and energy markets: Do investor sentiments matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    6. Tan, Xueping & Zhong, Yiran & Vivian, Andrew & Geng, Yong & Wang, Ziyi & Zhao, Difei, 2024. "Towards an era of multi-source uncertainty: A systematic and bibliometric analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    7. Kocaarslan, Baris, 2024. "Dynamic spillovers between oil market, monetary policy, and exchange rate dynamics in the US," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
    8. Li, Hailing & Pei, Xiaoyun & Yang, Yimin & Zhang, Hua, 2024. "Assessing the impact of energy-related uncertainty on G20 stock market returns: A decomposed contemporaneous and lagged R2 connectedness approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    9. Yousaf, Imran & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2022. "Static and dynamic connectedness between NFTs, Defi and other assets: Portfolio implication," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    10. Elie Bouri & Mahdi Ghaemi Asl & Sahar Darehshiri & David Gabauer, 2024. "Asymmetric connectedness between conventional and Islamic cryptocurrencies: Evidence from good and bad volatility spillovers," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-26, December.
    11. Cui Jinxin & Zou Huiwen, 2020. "Connectedness Among Economic Policy Uncertainties: Evidence from the Time and Frequency Domain Perspectives," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 8(5), pages 401-433, October.
    12. Anindya Sen & Dennis Wesselbaum, 2023. "On the International Spillover Effects of Uncertainty," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 541-554, July.
    13. Wan, Jieru & Yin, Libo & Wu, You, 2024. "Return and volatility connectedness across global ESG stock indexes: Evidence from the time-frequency domain analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 397-428.
    14. Shi, Chunpei & Wei, Yu & Li, Xiafei & Liu, Yuntong, 2023. "Combination forecasts of China's oil futures returns based on multiple uncertainties and their connectedness with oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    15. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Greek economic policy uncertainty: Does it matter for Europe? Evidence from a dynamic connectedness decomposition approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    16. Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Integration and Risk Transmission in the Market for Crude Oil: A Time-Varying Parameter Frequency Connectedness Approach," Working Papers 202147, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Time-frequency dependence and connectedness among global oil markets: Fresh evidence from higher-order moment perspective," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
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    137. Gupta, Rangan & Sun, Xiaojin, 2020. "Forecasting economic policy uncertainty of BRIC countries using Bayesian VARs," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    138. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark, 2021. "Financial stress, economic policy uncertainty, and oil price uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    139. Guo, Junjie & Li, Youshu & Shao, Qinglong, 2022. "Cross-category spillover effects of economic policy uncertainty between China and the US: Time and frequency evidence," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    140. Yao Xiao & Zibing Dong & Shihua Huang & Yanshuang Li & Jian Wang & Xintian Zhuang & Stefan Cristian Gherghina, 2023. "Time-Frequency Volatility Spillovers among Major International Financial Markets: Perspective from Global Extreme Events," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2023, pages 1-20, May.
    141. Sikorska-Pastuszka, Magdalena & Papież, Monika, 2023. "Dynamic volatility connectedness in the European electricity market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    142. He, Feng & Wang, Ziwei & Yin, Libo, 2020. "Asymmetric volatility spillovers between international economic policy uncertainty and the U.S. stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    143. Azmi, Wajahat & Anwer, Zaheer & Azmi, Shujaat Naeem & Nobanee, Haitham, 2023. "How did major global asset classes respond to Silicon Valley Bank failure?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    144. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Zhou, Hegang & Xu, Chao & Zhang, Xiaoming, 2023. "Dynamic spillover effects among international crude oil markets from the time-frequency perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    145. Umar, Zaghum & Manel, Youssef & Riaz, Yasir & Gubareva, Mariya, 2021. "Return and volatility transmission between emerging markets and US debt throughout the pandemic crisis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    146. Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2025. "Stock market volatility and multi-scale positive and negative bubbles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    147. Xiaqing Su & Zhe Liu, 2021. "Sector Volatility Spillover and Economic Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from China’s Stock Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-22, June.
    148. Francisco Jareño & Ana Escribano & Zaghum Umar, 2023. "The impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on the connectedness of the BRICS’s term structure," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
    149. Balash, Vladimir & Faizliev, Alexey, 2024. "Volatility spillovers across Russian oil and gas sector. Evidence of the impact of global markets and extraordinary events," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    150. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Jacobus A Nel & Xin Sheng, 2020. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty Spillovers in Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 202005, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    151. Wu, Fenglin & Shi, Yongdong & Xiong, Xiong & Li, Yanshuang & Dong, Zibing, 2024. "Benefiting from the frightened herd: Dynamic asset allocation amid panic sentiment," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    152. André, Christophe & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Time-varying spillovers between housing sentiment and housing market in the United States☆," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    153. Ramzi Nekhili & Mohammad Alomari & Walid Mensi & Jahangir Sultan, 2024. "Return spillovers between decentralized finance and centralized finance markets," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 14(2), pages 487-506, June.
    154. Mudassar Hasan & Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Muhammad Arif & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Safwan Mohd Nor, 2020. "Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in the Connectedness of Cross-Country Stock Market Volatilities," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-17, October.
    155. Mohammed Ahmar Uddin & Bisharat Hussain Chang & Salem Hamad Aldawsari & Ruoyu Li, 2025. "The Interplay Between Green Finance, Policy Uncertainty and Carbon Market Volatility: A Time Frequency Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(3), pages 1-28, February.
    156. Li, bing & Lu, pu & Wang, yong, 2024. "Decomposing uncertainty: How foreign policy risks shape Chinese stock market dynamics," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    157. Genc, Ismail H., 2022. "Are Indian Subcontinent remittance markets connected to each other?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    158. Chien-Chiang Lee & Farzan Yahya, 2024. "Have Dynamic Spillovers and the Connectedness of Trade Policy Uncertainty Changed During the COVID-19 Pandemic and Sino-US Trade Frictions?," Working Papers DP-2023-35, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    159. Baptista Palazzi, Rafael & Van Huellen, Sophie, 2024. "Can Fuel Policies Tame Exchange Rate Volatility? Fuel Policy Legacy in Brazil," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343668, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    160. Manel Youssef & Khaled Mokni & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between stock markets in the presence of the COVID-19 pandemic: does economic policy uncertainty matter?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-27, December.
    161. Liu, Tangyong & Gong, Xu, 2020. "Analyzing time-varying volatility spillovers between the crude oil markets using a new method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    162. Zhang, Yulian & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2021. "Do news sentiment and the economic uncertainty caused by public health events impact macroeconomic indicators? Evidence from a TVP-VAR decomposition approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 145-162.
    163. Sowmya Subramaniam & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "On the Transmission Mechanism of Asia-Pacific Yield Curve Characteristics," Working Papers 201864, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    164. Jiang, Yonghong & Zhu, Zixuan & Tian, Gengyu & Nie, He, 2019. "Determinants of within and cross-country economic policy uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from US and China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    165. Sahoo, Satyaban, 2024. "Harmony in diversity: Exploring connectedness and portfolio strategies among crude oil, gold, traditional and sustainable index," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    166. Chengzhuo Wu & Li Zhuo & Zhuo Chen & Haiyan Tao, 2021. "Spatial Spillover Effect and Influencing Factors of Information Flow in Urban Agglomerations—Case Study of China Based on Baidu Search Index," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-17, July.
    167. Bouri, Elie & Lucey, Brian & Saeed, Tareq & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "The realized volatility of commodity futures: Interconnectedness and determinants#," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 139-151.
    168. Mishra, Aswini Kumar & Ghate, Kshitish, 2022. "Dynamic connectedness in non-ferrous commodity markets: Evidence from India using TVP-VAR and DCC-GARCH approaches," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    169. Lee A. Smales, 2022. "The influence of policy uncertainty on exchange rate forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 997-1016, August.
    170. Luo, Changqing & Qu, Yi & Su, Yaya & Dong, Liang, 2024. "Risk spillover from international crude oil markets to China’s financial markets: Evidence from extreme events and U.S. monetary policy," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    171. He, Feng & Ma, Feng & Wang, Ziwei & Yang, Bohan, 2021. "Asymmetric volatility spillover between oil-importing and oil-exporting countries' economic policy uncertainty and China's energy sector," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    172. Wei, Yu & Zhang, Jiahao & Bai, Lan & Wang, Yizhi, 2023. "Connectedness among El Niño-Southern Oscillation, carbon emission allowance, crude oil and renewable energy stock markets: Time- and frequency-domain evidence based on TVP-VAR model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 289-309.
    173. Yuting Gong & Chia-Hsun Chang & Paul Tae-Woo Lee & Jingbo Yin & Wenming Shi, 2024. "Unveiling the mystery of the responsiveness of inbound tourism to economic policy uncertainty: New evidence from Australia," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(8), pages 2159-2180, December.
    174. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer, 2019. "A Regional Decomposition of US Housing Prices and Volume: Market Dynamics and Economic Diversification Opportunities," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2019-06, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
    175. Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Gabauer, David & Gozgor, Giray, 2023. "Oil price shocks and exchange rate dynamics: Evidence from decomposed and partial connectedness measures for oil importing and exporting economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    176. Hwang, So Jung & Suh, Hyunduk, 2021. "Overall and time-varying effects of global and domestic uncertainty on the Korean economy," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    177. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Menelaos Karanasos & Stavroula Yfanti, 2019. "Macro-Financial Linkages in the High-Frequency Domain: The Effects of Uncertainty on Realized Volatility," CESifo Working Paper Series 8000, CESifo.
    178. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin & Dauda, Mariam, 2023. "Uncertainty due to infectious diseases and bitcoin-gold nexus: Evidence from a non-parametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).

  315. Qiang Ji & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Information Spillover across International Real Estate Investment Trusts: Evidence from an Entropy-Based Network Analysis," Working Papers 201815, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Terence Tai Leung Chong & Yueer Wu & Jue Su, 2020. "The Unusual Trading Volume and Earnings Surprises in China’s Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-17, October.
    2. Liow, Kim Hiang & Song, Jeong Seop, 2022. "Frequency volatility connectedness and market integration in international real estate investment trusts," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    3. Radoslaw Wolniak & Marcin Olkiewicz & Marta Szymczewska & Anna Olkiewicz, 2020. "The Functioning of the Real Estate Market: Dynamics of Price Formation and the Sale of Apartments," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2), pages 281-307.
    4. Xia, Tongshui & Yao, Chen-Xi & Geng, Jiang-Bo, 2020. "Dynamic and frequency-domain spillover among economic policy uncertainty, stock and housing markets in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    5. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Ahmad, Nasir & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Dependence dynamics of US REITs," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    6. Chang, Kai & Ding, Jiehuan & Lou, Qichun & Li, Zesheng & Yang, Jiahui, 2021. "The impact of capital leverage on green firms’ investment: New evidence regarding the size and age effects of Chinese green industries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    7. Liu, Jian & Chen, Yan & Liao, Shufei & Cheng, Cheng & Fu, Yongge, 2023. "Information spillovers in Hong Kong REITs and related asset markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 215-229.
    8. Sawsen Bouker & Faysal Mansouri, 2022. "Sovereign contagion risk measure across financial markets in the eurozone: a bivariate copulas and Markov Regime Switching ARMA based approaches," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 158(2), pages 615-711, May.
    9. Sun, Xiaolei & Chen, Xiuwen & Wang, Jun & Li, Jianping, 2020. "Multi-scale interactions between economic policy uncertainty and oil prices in time-frequency domains," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    10. Boubaker, Heni & Larbi, Ons Ben, 2022. "Dynamic dependence and hedging strategies in BRICS stock markets with oil during crises," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 263-279.
    11. Miyakoshi, Tatsuyoshi & Li, Kui-Wai & Shimada, Junji & Tsukuda, Yoshihiko, 2020. "The impact of quantitative easing and carry trade on the real estate market in Hong Kong," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 958-976.
    12. Niu, Hongli & Hu, Ziang, 2021. "Information transmission and entropy-based network between Chinese stock market and commodity futures market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    13. Xiurong Chen & Aimin Hao & Yali Li, 2020. "The impact of financial contagion on real economy-An empirical research based on combination of complex network technology and spatial econometrics model," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(3), pages 1-20, March.
    14. Lin, Ling & Zhou, Zhongbao & Jiang, Yong & Ou, Yangchen, 2021. "Risk spillovers and hedge strategies between global crude oil markets and stock markets: Do regime switching processes combining long memory and asymmetry matter?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    15. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on US REITs Moments: Evidence from VARs with Functional Shocks," Working Papers 202219, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Marfatia, Hardik & Zhao, Wan-Li & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "Uncovering the global network of economic policy uncertainty," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    17. Luo, Jiawen & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Ji, Qiang & Klein, Tony, 2023. "Co-volatility and asymmetric transmission of risks between the global oil and China's futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    18. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Contagion between Stock and Real Estate Markets: International Evidence from a Local Gaussian Correlation Approach," Working Papers 201917, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Sun, Xiaolei & Wang, Jun & Yao, Yanzhen & Li, Jingyu & Li, Jianping, 2020. "Spillovers among sovereign CDS, stock and commodity markets: A correlation network perspective," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    20. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang, 2022. "Nonlinear contagion between stock and real estate markets: International evidence from a local Gaussian correlation approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2089-2109, April.
    21. Hu, Genhua & Fan, Gang-Zhi, 2022. "Empirical evidence of risk contagion across regional housing markets in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    22. Agyemang, Abraham & Chowdhury, Iftekhar & Balli, Faruk, 2021. "Quantifying Return Spillovers in Global Real Estate Markets," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).

  316. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Are BRICS Exchange Rates Chaotic?," Working Papers 201822, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Omane-Adjepong, Maurice & Alagidede, Imhotep Paul, 2020. "High- and low-level chaos in the time and frequency market returns of leading cryptocurrencies and emerging assets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    2. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Juncal Cunado & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Testing the White Noise Hypothesis in High-Frequency Housing Returns of the United States," Working Papers 201952, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2019. "The Predictability of Stock Market Volatility in Emerging Economies: Relative Roles of Local, Regional and Global Business Cycles," Working Papers 201938, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Joao F. Caldeira & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Hudson S. Torrent, 2019. "Forecasting the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the BRICS: Evidence from a Nonparametric Functional Data Analysis," Working Papers 201911, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Oguzhan Cepni & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Khuliso Ramabulana, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillover of US Trade War on the Growth of Emerging Economies," Working Papers 202002, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Ata Ozkaya & Omer Altun, 2024. "Domestic and Global Causes for Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence From Turkey," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(2), pages 21582440241, April.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2018. "Efficiency in BRICS Currency Markets using Long-Spans of Data: Evidence from Model-Free Tests of Directional Predictability," Working Papers 201836, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Stock market efficiency analysis using long spans of Data: A multifractal detrended fluctuation approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 398-411.
    9. Suman Das & Saikat Sinha Roy, 2021. "Predicting regime switching in BRICS currency volatility: a Markov switching autoregressive approach," DECISION: Official Journal of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Springer;Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, vol. 48(2), pages 165-180, June.

  317. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Deven Bathia & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Investor Sentiment Connectedness: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Causality Approaches," Working Papers 201814, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ateeb Akhter Shah Syed & Kevin Haeseung Lee & Mohsin Waheed & Sarah Saleh, 2025. "Measuring the financial stability sentiments and evaluating their impacts on financial soundness, financial stability, and the macroeconomy of Pakistan," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 27-56, March.
    2. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Investor Sentiment and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries," Working Papers 202256, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Mbarki, Imen & Omri, Abdelwahed & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2022. "From sentiment to systemic risk: Information transmission in Asia-Pacific stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    4. Kingstone Nyakurukwa & Yudhvir Seetharam, 2025. "Investor sentiment networks: mapping connectedness in DJIA stocks," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-19, December.
    5. Buchetti, Bruno & Bouteska, Ahmed & Harasheh, Murad & Santoni, Alessandro, 2025. "Investor sentiment and dynamic connectedness in European markets: insights from the covid-19 and Russia-Ukraine conflict," Working Paper Series 3050, European Central Bank.
    6. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "Spillover of sentiment in the European Union: Evidence from time- and frequency-domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 105-130.

  318. Rangan Gupta & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Impact of US Uncertainty Shocks on a Panel of Advanced and Emerging Market Economies: The Role of Exchange Rate, Trade and Financial Channels," Working Papers 201857, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Theshne Kisten, 2020. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks in South Africa: The Role of Financial Regimes," Working Papers 202046, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Titus Ayobami Ojeyinka & Dauda Olalekan Yinusa, 2023. "External Shocks and Their Transmission Channels in Nigeria: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 15(1), pages 132-153, January.
    3. Oguzhan Cepni & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Khuliso Ramabulana, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillover of US Trade War on the Growth of Emerging Economies," Working Papers 202002, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Selçuk Gül & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Time‐varying impact of global, region‐, and country‐specific uncertainties on the volatility of international trade," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 39(4), pages 691-700, October.
    5. Siphumlile Mangisa & Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Analyzing The Impact Of Brexit On Global Uncertainty Using Functional Linear Regression With Point Of Impact: The Role Of Currency And Equity Markets," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 67(04), pages 1377-1388, June.
    6. Woraphon Yamaka & Rangan Gupta & Sukrit Thongkairat & Paravee Maneejuk, 2021. "Structural and Predictive Analyses with a Mixed Copula-Based Vector Autoregression Model," Working Papers 202108, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2020. "Point and Density Forecasting of Macroeconomic and Financial Uncertainties of the United States," Working Papers 202058, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Christina Christou & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung Marco Lau, 2020. "Are Uncertainties across the World Convergent?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 855-862.
    10. Selçuk Gul & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "A Note on the Time-Varying Impact of Global, Region- and Country-Specific Uncertainties on the Volatility of International Trade," Working Papers 202025, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  319. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Predicting Stock Market Movements in the United States: The Role of Presidential Approval Ratings," Working Papers 201830, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Semei Coronado & Jose N. Martinez & Victor Gualajara & Rafael Romero-Meza & Omar Rojas, 2023. "Time-Varying Granger Causality of COVID-19 News on Emerging Financial Markets: The Latin American Case," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-18, January.
    2. Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Political Geography and Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Political Alignment across Sentiment Regimes," Working Papers 202414, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Yuvana Jaichand & Christian Pierdzioch & Reneé van Eyden, 2023. "Realized Stock-Market Volatility of the United States and the Presidential Approval Rating," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-27, July.
    4. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Modeling the presidential approval ratings of the United States using machine-learning: Does climate policy uncertainty matter?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    5. Celso-Arellano, Pedro & Gualajara, Victor & Coronado, Semei & Martinez, Jose N. & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2023. "Impact of the global fear index (covid-19 panic) on the S&P global indices associated with natural resources, agribusiness, energy, metals and mining: Granger Causality and Shannon and Rényi Transfer ," MPRA Paper 117138, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Feb 2023.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Aviral K. Tiwari, 2024. "Gasoline Prices and Presidential Approval Ratings of the United States," Working Papers 202427, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Caporin, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2022. "Time-varying Granger causality tests in the energy markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).

  320. Adnen Ben Nasr & Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Investor Sentiment and Crash Risk in Safe Havens," Working Papers 201804, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Das, Sonali & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Mangisa, Siphumlile, 2019. "The effect of global crises on stock market correlations: Evidence from scalar regressions via functional data analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 132-147.
    2. Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2016. "Gold Futures Returns and Realized Moments: A Forecasting Experiment Using a Quantile-Boosting Approach," Working Papers 201645, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Mustak, Mekhail & Hallikainen, Heli & Laukkanen, Tommi & Plé, Loïc & Hollebeek, Linda D. & Aleem, Majid, 2024. "Using machine learning to develop customer insights from user-generated content," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    4. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles in an Emerging Country: The Case of India," Working Papers 202305, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Moments-Based Spillovers across Gold and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201966, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  321. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2018. "Time-Varying Risk Aversion and Realized Gold Volatility," Working Papers 201881, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020. "Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
    2. Bouri, Elie & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Forecasting power of infectious diseases-related uncertainty for gold realized variance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    3. Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures," Working Papers 201925, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Christos Floros & Konstantinos Gkillas & Christoforos Konstantatos & Athanasios Tsagkanos, 2020. "Realized Measures to Explain Volatility Changes over Time," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-19, June.
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Khan, Asad ul Islam & Mubarak, Muhammad Shujaat, 2023. "Roling-window bounds testing approach to analyze the relationship between oil prices and metal prices," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 388-395.
    7. Dunbar, Kwamie & Owusu-Amoako, Johnson, 2023. "Role of hedging on crypto returns predictability: A new habit-based explanation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
    8. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hossein Hassani & Xu Huang, 2020. "Time-Varying Risk Aversion and the Profitability of Carry Trades: Evidence from the Cross-Quantilogram," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-12, March.
    9. Xiao, Jihong & Wang, Yudong & Wen, Danyan, 2023. "The predictive effect of risk aversion on oil returns under different market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    10. Demirer, Riza & Yuksel, Asli & Yuksel, Aydin, 2022. "Time-varying risk aversion and currency excess returns," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    11. Riza Demirer & Konstantinos Gkillas & Christos Kountzakis & Amaryllis Mavragani, 2020. "Risk Appetite and Jumps in Realized Correlation," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(12), pages 1-11, December.
    12. Thanoj K. Muddana & Komal S.R. Bhimireddy & Anandamayee Majumdar & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Forecasting Gold Returns Volatility Over 1258-2023: The Role of Moments," Working Papers 202421, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Bonato, Matteo & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "A note on investor happiness and the predictability of realized volatility of gold," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    14. Li, Xiaoqian & Ma, Xiaoqi, 2023. "Jumps and gold futures volatility prediction," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    15. Li, Wenlan & Cheng, Yuxiang & Fang, Qiang, 2020. "Forecast on silver futures linked with structural breaks and day-of-the-week effect," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    16. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    17. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Climate risks and forecastability of the realized volatility of gold and other metal prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    18. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham & Goh, Mark & Zou, Huiwen, 2022. "Risk spillovers and time-varying links between international oil and China’s commodity futures markets: Fresh evidence from the higher-order moments," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PB).
    19. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Qureshi, Fiza & Arif, Muhammad & Balli, Faruk, 2021. "Asymmetric relationship between gold and Islamic stocks in bearish, normal and bullish market conditions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    20. Chen, Peng & Miao, Xinru & Tee, Kai-Hong, 2023. "Do gold prices respond more to uncertainty shocks at the zero lower bound?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    21. Gemici, Eray & Gök, Remzi & Bouri, Elie, 2023. "Predictability of risk appetite in Turkey: Local versus global factors," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    22. Li, Xiafei & Guo, Qiang & Liang, Chao & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "Forecasting gold volatility with geopolitical risk indices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    23. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Moments-Based Spillovers across Gold and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201966, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Konstantinos Gkillas & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2020. "Spillovers in Higher-Order Moments of Crude Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin," Working Papers 202068, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    25. Zhang, Hongwei & Demirer, Riza & Huang, Jianbai & Huang, Wanjun & Tahir Suleman, Muhammad, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and gold return dynamics: Evidence from high-frequency data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    26. Gong, Jue & Wang, Gang-Jin & Xie, Chi & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2024. "How do market volatility and risk aversion sentiment inter-influence over time? Evidence from Chinese SSE 50 ETF options," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    27. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "The Role of Global Economic Conditions in Forecasting Gold Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202043, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    28. Umar, Zaghum & Bossman, Ahmed & Choi, Sun-Yong & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "The relationship between global risk aversion and returns from safe-haven assets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    29. Xu, Yahua & Bouri, Elie & Saeed, Tareq & Wen, Zhuzhu, 2020. "Intraday return predictability: Evidence from commodity ETFs and their related volatility indices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    30. Wu, Xinyu & Xie, Haibin & Zhang, Huanming, 2022. "Time-varying risk aversion and renminbi exchange rate volatility: Evidence from CARR-MIDAS model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    31. Sobti, Neharika & Sehgal, Sanjay & Ilango, Balakrishnan, 2021. "How do macroeconomic news surprises affect round-the-clock price discovery of gold?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

  322. Esin Cakan & Rıza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2017. "Oil Speculation and Herding Behavior in Emerging Stock Markets," Working Papers 201749, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Saadaoui Mallek, Ray & Albaity, Mohamed & Molyneux, Philip, 2022. "Herding behaviour heterogeneity under economic and political risks: Evidence from GCC," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 345-361.
    2. Esin Cakan & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Josine Uwilingiye, 2019. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Herding Behavior Evidence from the South African Housing Market," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(1), pages 88-113, March.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "US Monetary Policy and BRICS Stock Market Bubbles," Working Papers 202243, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Zhen, Xueping & (George) Cai, Gangshu & Song, Reo & Jang, Sungha, 2019. "The effects of herding and word of mouth in a two-period advertising signaling model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 275(1), pages 361-373.
    6. Boubaker, Heni & Larbi, Ons Ben, 2022. "Dynamic dependence and hedging strategies in BRICS stock markets with oil during crises," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 263-279.
    7. Mouna Youssef & Khaled Mokni, 2023. "Herding behavior in stock markets of oil-importing and oil-exporting countries: the role of oil price," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(1), pages 44-58, February.
    8. Lin, Ling & Zhou, Zhongbao & Jiang, Yong & Ou, Yangchen, 2021. "Risk spillovers and hedge strategies between global crude oil markets and stock markets: Do regime switching processes combining long memory and asymmetry matter?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    9. Richard T. Ampofo & Eric N. Aidoo & Bernard O. Ntiamoah & Ophelia Frimpong & Daniel Sasu, 2023. "An empirical investigation of COVID-19 effects on herding behaviour in USA and UK stock markets using a quantile regression approach," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(2), pages 517-540, June.
    10. Marfatia, Hardik & Zhao, Wan-Li & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "Uncovering the global network of economic policy uncertainty," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    11. Papadamou, Stephanos & Kyriazis, Nikolaos A. & Tzeremes, Panayiotis & Corbet, Shaen, 2021. "Herding behaviour and price convergence clubs in cryptocurrencies during bull and bear markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).

  323. Patrick Kanda & Michael Burke & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Time-Varying Causality between Equity and Currency Returns in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Over Two Centuries of Data," Working Papers 201778, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Semei Coronado & Jose N. Martinez & Victor Gualajara & Rafael Romero-Meza & Omar Rojas, 2023. "Time-Varying Granger Causality of COVID-19 News on Emerging Financial Markets: The Latin American Case," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-18, January.
    2. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Besma Hkiri & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillovers between Currency and Stock Markets in the USA: Historical Evidence From More than Two Centuries," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(4), pages 44-76, December.
    3. Celso-Arellano, Pedro & Gualajara, Victor & Coronado, Semei & Martinez, Jose N. & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2023. "Impact of the global fear index (covid-19 panic) on the S&P global indices associated with natural resources, agribusiness, energy, metals and mining: Granger Causality and Shannon and Rényi Transfer ," MPRA Paper 117138, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Feb 2023.
    4. Caporina, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2021. "Time-varying granger causality tests for applications in global crude oil markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," SAFE Working Paper Series 324, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    5. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Besma Hkiri & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillover between Currency and Stock Markets in the United States: More than Two Centuries of Historical Evidence," Working Papers 202060, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Erdoğan, Seyfettin & Gedikli, Ayfer & Kırca, Mustafa, 2019. "A note on time-varying causality between natural gas consumption and economic growth in Turkey," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    7. Caporin, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2022. "Time-varying Granger causality tests in the energy markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).

  324. Shinhye Chang & Hsiao-Ping Chu & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2017. "Causality between Output and Income Inequality across US States: Evidence from a Heterogeneous Mixed Panel Approach," Working Papers 201706, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv, 2019. "Threshold Effects of Inequality on Economic Growth in the US States: The Role of Human Capital to Physical Capital Ratio," Working Papers 201968, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  325. Lanouar Charfeddine & Karim Ben Khediri & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Time-Varying Efficiency of Developed and Emerging Bond Markets: Evidence from Long-Spans of Historical Data," Working Papers 201771, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ozkan, Oktay, 2021. "Impact of COVID-19 on stock market efficiency: Evidence from developed countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    2. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Umar, Zaghum & Alqahtani, Faisal, 2021. "Existence of long memory in crude oil and petroleum products: Generalised Hurst exponent approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    3. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Juncal Cunado & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Testing the White Noise Hypothesis in High-Frequency Housing Returns of the United States," Working Papers 201952, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Maghyereh, Aktham & Ziadat, Salem Adel & Al Rababa'a, Abdel Razzaq A., 2024. "Exploring the dynamic connections between oil price shocks and bond yields in developed nations: A TVP-SVAR-SV approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    5. Adefemi A. OBALADE & Akona TSHUTSHA & Lungelo MVUYANA & Nothando NDLOVU & Paul-Francois MUZINDUTSI, 2022. "Are Frontier African Markets Inefficient or Adaptive? Application of Rolling GARCH Models," Journal of Economics and Financial Analysis, Tripal Publishing House, vol. 6(1), pages 19-35.
    6. Sikhosana, Ayanda & Aye, Goodness C., 2018. "Asymmetric volatility transmission between the real exchange rate and stock returns in South Africa," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-8.
    7. Subhamitra Patra & Gourishankar S. Hiremath, 2022. "An Entropy Approach to Measure the Dynamic Stock Market Efficiency," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 20(2), pages 337-377, June.
    8. Rangan Gupta & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2018. "Efficiency in BRICS Currency Markets using Long-Spans of Data: Evidence from Model-Free Tests of Directional Predictability," Working Papers 201836, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Yasir Rasool & Du Jianguo & Kishwar Ali, 2024. "Exploring the linkage between globalization and environmental degradation: a disaggregate analysis of Indonesia," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(7), pages 16887-16915, July.
    10. Ben Moews & Gbenga Ibikunle, 2020. "Predictive intraday correlations in stable and volatile market environments: Evidence from deep learning," Papers 2002.10385, arXiv.org.
    11. Moews, Ben & Ibikunle, Gbenga, 2020. "Predictive intraday correlations in stable and volatile market environments: Evidence from deep learning," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 547(C).
    12. Charfeddine, Lanouar & Khediri, Karim Ben & Mrabet, Zouhair, 2019. "The forward premium anomaly in the energy futures markets: A time-varying approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 600-615.
    13. Adefemi A. Obalade & Paul-Francois Muzindutsi, 2021. "Are African Stock Markets Inefficient or Adaptive? Empirical Literature," Chapters, in: Vito Bobek & Chee-Heong Quah (ed.), Emerging Markets, IntechOpen.

  326. Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2017. "Predicting Stock Market Movements with a Time-Varying Consumption-Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 201756, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Marina Kolosnitsyna & Anna Philippova, 2017. "Family Benefits and Poverty: The Case of Russia," HSE Working papers WP BRP 03/PSP/2017, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Variants of consumption‐wealth ratios and predictability of U.S. government bond risk premia," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 661-674, June.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Eric Olson, 2020. "Effect of uncertainty on U.S. stock returns and volatility: evidence from over eighty years of high-frequency data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(16), pages 1305-1311, September.
    5. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Variants of Consumption-Wealth Ratios and Predictability of U.S. Government Bond Risk Premia: Old is still Gold," Working Papers 201912, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Hui Hong & Zhicun Bian & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2021. "COVID-19 and instability of stock market performance: evidence from the U.S," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-18, December.

  327. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2017. "A Note on the Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks in the US on Emerging Market REITs: A Qual VAR Approach," Working Papers 201736, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin J., 2023. "On the connection between international REITs and oil markets: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).

  328. Rangan Gupta & Seong-Min Yoon, 2017. "OPEC News and Predictability of Oil Futures Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201726, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Afees A. Salisu & Elie Bouri, 2021. "OPEC News and Exchange Rate Forecasting Using Dynamic Bayesian Learning," Working Papers 202101, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2018. "Geopolitical Risks and the Predictability of Regional Oil Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201860, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Gupta, Rangan & Kanda, Patrick & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Time-varying predictability of oil market movements over a century of data: The role of US financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    4. Khan, Nasir & Saleem, Asima & Ozkan, Oktay, 2023. "Do geopolitical oil price risk influence stock market returns and volatility of Pakistan: Evidence from novel non-parametric quantile causality approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    5. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2021. "Dynamic impact of the U.S. monetary policy on oil market returns and volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 159-169.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Seong-Min Yoon, 2017. "OPEC News Announcement Effect on Volatility in the Crude Oil Market: A Reconsideration," Working Papers 201754, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Wang, Cheng & Bouri, Elie & Xu, Yahua & Zhang, Dingsheng, 2023. "Intraday and overnight tail risks and return predictability in the crude oil market: Evidence from oil-related regular news and extreme shocks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    8. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wang, Shixuan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    9. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting the return on the spot price of crude oil out-of-sample by conditioning on news-based uncertainty measures: Some new empirical results," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    10. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Point and Density Forecasts of Oil Returns: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 201847, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Yue Liu & Hao Dong & Pierre Failler, 2019. "The Oil Market Reactions to OPEC’s Announcements," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-15, August.
    12. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "OPEC News and Jumps in the Oil Market," Working Papers 202053, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Shao, Liuguo & Zhang, Hua & Chen, Jinyu & Zhu, Xuehong, 2021. "Effect of oil price uncertainty on clean energy metal stocks in China: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 407-419.
    14. Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Revisiting the Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Tunisia: Carbon Dioxide vs. Ecological Footprint," Working Papers 202171, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Infectious Diseases, Market Uncertainty and Oil Market Volatility," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-8, August.
    16. Konstantinos Gkillas & Dimitrios Vortelinos & Christos Floros & Athanasios Tsagkanos, 2019. "Economic News Releases and Financial Markets in South Africa," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-13, November.

  329. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Refk Selmi & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Does Partisan Conflict Predict a Reduction in US Stock Market (Realized) Volatility? Evidence from a Quantile-on-Quantile Regression Model," Working Papers 201744, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Refk Selmi & Walid Mensi & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Jamal Bouoiyour, 2018. "Is Bitcoin a hedge, a safe haven or a diversifier for oil price movements? A comparison with gold," Post-Print hal-01879667, HAL.
    2. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Mark Wohar, 2018. "Measuring the response of gold prices to uncertainty: An analysis beyond the mean," Post-Print hal-01817067, HAL.

  330. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Christos Kollias & Stephanos Papadamou, 2017. "Geopolitical Risks and the Oil-Stock Nexus Over 1899-2016," Working Papers 201702, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Assaf, Ata & Charif, Husni & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between uncertainty and energy markets: Do investor sentiments matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    2. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Bernd Wilfling, 2022. "Forecasting Stock Market Volatility with Regime-Switching GARCH-MIDAS: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 202203, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Fasanya, Ismail & Makanda, Samantha, 2024. "Disentangled oil shocks and macroeconomic policy uncertainty in South Africa," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    4. António Afonso & José Alves & João Jalles & Sofia Monteiro & João Tovar Jalles, 2024. "Energy Price Dynamics in the Face of Uncertainty Shocks and the Role of Exchange Rate Regimes: A Global Cross-Country Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 11384, CESifo.
    5. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2022. "Jumps in Geopolitical Risk and the Cryptocurrency Market: The Singularity of Bitcoin," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 150-161, February.
    6. Pan, Lijun & Wang, Yangjie & Sun, Xiaofei & Sadiq, Muhammad & Dagestani, Abd Alwahed, 2023. "Natural resources: A determining factor of geopolitical risk in Russia? Revisiting conflict-based perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    7. Liu, Ling & Shahrour, Mohamad H. & Wojewodzki, Michal & Rohani, Alireza, 2025. "Decoding energy market turbulence: A TVP-VAR connectedness analysis of climate policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk shocks," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    8. Li, Beibei & Chen, Yiming & Wu, Haipeng & Mao, Xuefeng, 2025. "Macroeconomics, geopolitical risk, and resource commodity price bubbles," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    9. Wael Hemrit, 2022. "Does insurance demand react to economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk? Evidence from Saudi Arabia," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 47(2), pages 460-492, April.
    10. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin & Özkan, Oktay, 2023. "Geopolitical oil price uncertainty transmission into core inflation: Evidence from two of the biggest global players," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    11. Ren, Xiaohang & Cao, Yuxuan & Liu, Pei Jose & Han, Dun, 2023. "Does geopolitical risk affect firms' idiosyncratic volatility? Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    12. Li, Yingli & Huang, Jianbai & Chen, Jinyu, 2021. "Dynamic spillovers of geopolitical risks and gold prices: New evidence from 18 emerging economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    13. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    14. Szafranek, Karol & Szafrański, Grzegorz & Leszczyńska-Paczesna, Agnieszka, 2024. "Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 789-810.
    15. Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour & Amal Miftah, 2020. "Oil price jumps and the uncertainty of oil supplies in a geopolitical perspective: The role of OPEC’s spare capacity," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 164, pages 18-35.
    16. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2018. "Geopolitical Risks and the Predictability of Regional Oil Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201860, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Shi, Chunpei & Wei, Yu & Li, Xiafei & Liu, Yuntong, 2023. "Combination forecasts of China's oil futures returns based on multiple uncertainties and their connectedness with oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    18. Faheem Aslam & Paulo Ferreira & Haider Ali & Ana Ercília José, 2022. "Application of Multifractal Analysis in Estimating the Reaction of Energy Markets to Geopolitical Acts and Threats," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-23, May.
    19. Long, Shaobo & Guo, Jiaqi, 2022. "Infectious disease equity market volatility, geopolitical risk, speculation, and commodity returns: Comparative analysis of five epidemic outbreaks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    20. Karol Szafranek & Michał Rubaszek & Gazi Salah Uddin, 2023. "The role of uncertainty and sentiment for intraday volatility connectedness between oil and financial markets," KAE Working Papers 2023-095, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    21. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Tang, Huayun & Li, Ding, 2022. "The roles of oil shocks and geopolitical uncertainties on China’s green bond returns," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 494-505.
    22. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mark E Wohar, 2019. "What are the categories of geopolitical risks that could drive oil prices higher? Acts or threats?," Post-Print hal-02409062, HAL.
    23. Khan, Nasir & Saleem, Asima & Ozkan, Oktay, 2023. "Do geopolitical oil price risk influence stock market returns and volatility of Pakistan: Evidence from novel non-parametric quantile causality approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    24. Bouri, Elie & Hammoud, Rami & Kassm, Christina Abou, 2023. "The effect of oil implied volatility and geopolitical risk on GCC stock sectors under various market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    25. Zheng, Deyuan & Zhao, Chunguang & Hu, Jiaying, 2023. "Impact of geopolitical risk on the volatility of natural resource commodity futures prices in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    26. Lau, Chi Keung & Soliman, Alaa M. & Albasu, Joseph & Gozgor, Giray, 2023. "Dependence structures among geopolitical risks, energy prices, and carbon emissions prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    27. Amirali Nasouri, 2025. "The Impact of Geopolitical Risks on Equity Markets and Financial Stress: A Comparative Analysis of Emerging and Advanced Economies," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(1), pages 30-41.
    28. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Konstantinos Gkillas, 2019. "Gold-Oil Dependence Dynamics and the Role of Geopolitical Risks: Evidence from a Markov-Switching Time-Varying Copula Model," Working Papers 201918, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Pan, Changchun & Zhang, Weiqi & Wang, Weiqiang, 2023. "Global geopolitical risk and volatility connectedness among China's sectoral stock markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    30. Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour, 2020. "Arab geopolitics in turmoil: Implications of Qatar-Gulf crisis for business," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 161, pages 100-119.
    31. Abbass, Kashif & Sharif, Arshian & Song, Huaming & Ali, Malik Tayyab & Khan, Farina & Amin, Nabila, 2022. "Do geopolitical oil price risk, global macroeconomic fundamentals relate Islamic and conventional stock market? Empirical evidence from QARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    32. Piotr Fiszeder & Marta Ma³ecka, 2022. "Forecasting volatility during the outbreak of Russian invasion of Ukraine: application to commodities, stock indices, currencies, and cryptocurrencies," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 17(4), pages 939-967, December.
    33. Lei, Wei & Yang, Jiaxin, 2022. "Does economic, political, and financial risk cause volatility in natural resources? Comparative study of China and Brazil," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
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    10. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Tahir, Hammad, 2021. "What do we know about the inflation-hedging property of precious metals in Africa? The case of leading producers of the commodities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    11. Li, Songsong & Zhang, Weiqian & Zhang, Wei, 2023. "Dynamic time-frequency connectedness and risk spillover between geopolitical risks and natural resources," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    12. Maria Malmierca-Ordoqui & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Manuel Monge, 2024. "Fractional cointegration between energy imports to the EURO area and exchange rates to the US dollar," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(2), pages 859-882, February.
    13. Juncal Cunado & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Persistence in Trends and Cycles of Gold and Silver Prices: Evidence from Historical Data," Working Papers 201816, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Monge, Manuel & Claudio-Quiroga, Gloria & Poza, Carlos, 2024. "Chinese economic behavior in times of covid-19. A new leading economic indicator based on Google trends," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    15. Galán-Gutiérrez, Juan Antonio & Labeaga, José M. & Martín-García, Rodrigo, 2023. "Cointegration between high base metals prices and backwardation: Getting ready for the metals super-cycle," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    16. Cheng, Sheng & Deng, MingJie & Liang, Ruibin & Cao, Yan, 2023. "Asymmetric volatility spillover among global oil, gold, and Chinese sectors in the presence of major emergencies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    17. Ustaoglu, Erkan, 2023. "Diversification, hedge, and safe-haven properties of gold and bitcoin with portfolio implications during the Russia–Ukraine war," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    18. Awaworyi-Churchill, Sefa & Inekwe, John & Ivanovski, Kris & Smyth, Russell, 2022. "Breaks, trends and correlations in commodity prices in the very long-run," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    19. Mensi, Walid & Sensoy, Ahmet & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2020. "Impact of COVID-19 outbreak on asymmetric multifractality of gold and oil prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    20. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Olubiyi, Ebenezer A. & Adedeji, Adedayo O., 2023. "The inflation-hedging performance of industrial metals in the world's most industrialized countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    21. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    22. Nekhili, Ramzi & Sultan, Jahangir & Mensi, Walid, 2021. "Co-movements among precious metals and implications for portfolio management: A multivariate wavelet-based dynamic analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    23. Salisu, Afees A. & Ndako, Umar B. & Oloko, Tirimisiyu F., 2019. "Assessing the inflation hedging of gold and palladium in OECD countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 357-377.
    24. Valadkhani, Abbas & Nguyen, Jeremy & Chiah, Mardy, 2022. "When is gold an effective hedge against inflation?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    25. Chen, Peng & Miao, Xinru & Tee, Kai-Hong, 2023. "Do gold prices respond more to uncertainty shocks at the zero lower bound?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    26. Zhong, Wanxing & Kong, Rui & Chen, Guang, 2019. "Gold prices fluctuation of co-movement forecast between China and Russia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 218-230.
    27. Song, Yu & Song, Yanqiu & Chang, Shiwei & He, Lele, 2024. "The role of gold in terrorism: Risk aversion or financing source?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    28. Zhang, Hongwei & Demirer, Riza & Huang, Jianbai & Huang, Wanjun & Tahir Suleman, Muhammad, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and gold return dynamics: Evidence from high-frequency data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    29. Li, Jingwen & Wang, Yue & Song, Yubing & Su, Chi Wei, 2023. "How resistant is gold to stress? New evidence from global supply chain," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    30. Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & McIver, Ron & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Asymmetric volatility connectedness between Islamic stock and commodity markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    31. Cheng, Sheng & Han, Lingyu & Cao, Yan & Jiang, Qisheng & Liang, Ruibin, 2022. "Gold-oil dynamic relationship and the asymmetric role of geopolitical risks: Evidence from Bayesian pdBEKK-GARCH with regime switching," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    32. Oloko, Tirimisiyu F. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Adedeji, Abdulfatai A. & Lakhani, Noman, 2021. "Oil price shocks and inflation rate persistence: A Fractional Cointegration VAR approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 259-275.
    33. Monge, Manuel & Poza, Carlos & Borgia, Sofía, 2022. "A proposal of a suspicion of tax fraud indicator based on Google trends to foresee Spanish tax revenues," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 1-12.
    34. Jiang, Yonghong & Fu, Yuyuan & Ruan, Weihua, 2019. "Risk spillovers and portfolio management between precious metal and BRICS stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
    35. Pattnaik, Debidutta & Hassan, M. Kabir & DSouza, Arun & Ashraf, Ali, 2023. "Investment in gold: A bibliometric review and agenda for future research," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    36. Liao, Jianhui & Zhu, Xuehong & Chen, Jinyu, 2021. "Dynamic spillovers across oil, gold and stock markets in the presence of major public health emergencies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    37. Li, Yu & Gao, Xiangyun & An, Sufang & Zheng, Huiling & Wu, Tao, 2021. "Network approach to the dynamic transformation characteristics of the joint impacts of gold and oil on copper," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    38. Rizwan Ali & Inayat Ullah Mangla & Ramiz Ur Rehman & Wuzhao Xue & Muhammad Akram Naseem & Muhammad Ishfaq Ahmad, 2020. "Exchange Rate, Gold Price, and Stock Market Nexus: A Quantile Regression Approach," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-16, August.
    39. Bravo Caro, José Manuel & Golpe, Antonio A. & Iglesias, Jesús & Vides, José Carlos, 2020. "A new way of measuring the WTI – Brent spread. Globalization, shock persistence and common trends," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    40. Akkoc, Ugur & Civcir, Irfan, 2019. "Dynamic linkages between strategic commodities and stock market in Turkey: Evidence from SVAR-DCC-GARCH model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 231-239.
    41. Bhatia, Madhur, 2023. "On the efficiency of the gold returns: An econometric exploration for India, USA and Brazil," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    42. Apergis, Nicholas & Carmona-González, Nieves & Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko, 2020. "Persistence in silver prices and the influence of solar energy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    43. Liu, Yanqiong & Guo, Yaoqi & Wei, Qing, 2024. "Time-varying and multi-scale analysis of copper price influencing factors based on LASSO and EMD methods," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    44. Valadkhani, Abbas & O'Mahony, Barry, 2024. "Dynamic hedging responses of gold and silver to inflation: A Markov regime-switching VAR analysis∗," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PC).
    45. Qin, Meng & Su, Chi-Wei & Pirtea, Marilen Gabriel & Dumitrescu Peculea, Adelina, 2023. "The essential role of Russian geopolitics: A fresh perception into the gold market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    46. Monge, Manuel & Romero Rojo, María Fátima & Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko, 2023. "The impact of geopolitical risk on the behavior of oil prices and freight rates," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    47. Monge, Manuel & Lazcano, Ana & Parada, José Luis, 2023. "Growth vs value investing: Persistence and time trend before and after COVID-19," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    48. Jambotkar Mrunali Manohar & Guntur Anjana Raju, 2021. "Does Gold Retain its Hedge and Safe Haven Role for Energy Sector Indices During COVID-19 Pandemic? A Crossquantilogram Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 233-240.

  332. Rıza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Rare Disaster Risks, Oil Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201762, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price," Working Papers 202009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020. "Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
    3. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "El Nino, La Nina, and the Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Heating Oil Price Movements," Working Papers 202138, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Oil tail risks and the forecastability of the realized variance of oil-price: Evidence from over 150 years of data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    5. Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour & Amal Miftah, 2020. "Oil price jumps and the uncertainty of oil supplies in a geopolitical perspective: The role of OPEC’s spare capacity," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 164, pages 18-35.
    6. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2018. "Geopolitical Risks and the Predictability of Regional Oil Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201860, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Shi, Chunpei & Wei, Yu & Li, Xiafei & Liu, Yuntong, 2023. "Combination forecasts of China's oil futures returns based on multiple uncertainties and their connectedness with oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    8. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Zhong, Juandan & Cao, Wenhan & Tang, Yusui, 2023. "Tail risk of international equity market and oil volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    10. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    11. Vassilios Babalos & Xolani Sibande & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "Do Investors in Clean Energy ETFs Herd? The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202512, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Yang, Cai & Niu, Zibo & Gao, Wang, 2022. "The time-varying effects of trade policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks shocks on the commodity market prices: Evidence from the TVP-VAR-SV approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    13. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Li, Yong-Yi, 2021. "Oil price shocks, geopolitical risks, and green bond market dynamics," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    14. Qin, Yun & Hong, Kairong & Chen, Jinyu & Zhang, Zitao, 2020. "Asymmetric effects of geopolitical risks on energy returns and volatility under different market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    15. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Christos Floros & Emilios Galariotis & Konstantinos Gkillas & Efstathios Magerakis & Constantin Zopounidis, 2024. "Time-varying firm cash holding and economic policy uncertainty nexus: a quantile regression approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 341(2), pages 859-895, October.
    17. Chen, Zhuoyi & Liu, Yuanyuan & Zhang, Hongwei, 2024. "Can geopolitical risks impact the long-run correlation between crude oil and clean energy markets? Evidence from a regime-switching analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    18. Darko B. Vuković & Senanu Dekpo-Adza & Vladislav Khmelnitskiy & Mustafa Özer, 2023. "Spillovers across the Asian OPEC+ Financial Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-23, September.
    19. Zhang, Qingjun & Chen, Rong & Ma, Sijie & Liang, Anran, 2024. "Nord stream 2, geopolitical conflicts and energy security: Evidence from EU regions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 313(C).
    20. Ahmed, Faroque & Gurdgiev, Constantin & Sohag, Kazi & Islam, Md. Monirul & Zeqiraj, Veton, 2024. "Global, local, or glocal? Unravelling the interplay of geopolitical risks and financial stress," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    21. Chen, Jinyu & Zhu, Xuehong & Li, Hailing, 2020. "The pass-through effects of oil price shocks on China's inflation: A time-varying analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    22. Chai, Li & Wang, Yuqi & Qi, Xiaohong, 2024. "Cross-category connectedness between Shanghai crude oil futures and Chinese stock markets related to the Belt and Road Initiative," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    23. Hong, Yanran & Yu, Jize & Su, Yuquan & Wang, Lu, 2023. "Southern oscillation: Great value of its trends for forecasting crude oil spot price volatility," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 358-368.
    24. Wei, Yu & Zhang, Jiahao & Chen, Yongfei & Wang, Yizhi, 2022. "The impacts of El Niño-southern oscillation on renewable energy stock markets: Evidence from quantile perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    25. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting the return on the spot price of crude oil out-of-sample by conditioning on news-based uncertainty measures: Some new empirical results," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    26. Tang, Yumei & Chen, Xihui Haviour & Sarker, Provash Kumer & Baroudi, Sarra, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of geopolitical risks and uncertainties on green bond markets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    27. Sohag, Kazi & Karass, Vsevolod & Alam, Khorshed, 2025. "European industrial production in the face of energy dynamics and geopolitical shocks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 316(C).
    28. Sun, Jie & Zhao, Xiaojun & Xu, Chao, 2021. "Crude oil market autocorrelation: Evidence from multiscale quantile regression analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    29. Ding, Shusheng & Wang, Kaihao & Cui, Tianxiang & Du, Min, 2023. "The time-varying impact of geopolitical risk on natural resource prices: The post-COVID era evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    30. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Point and Density Forecasts of Oil Returns: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 201847, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    31. Ivanovski, Kris & Hailemariam, Abebe, 2022. "Time-varying geopolitical risk and oil prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 206-221.
    32. Salisu, Afees A. & Cuñado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Geopolitical risks and historical exchange rate volatility of the BRICS," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 179-190.
    33. Shao, Liuguo & Zhang, Hua & Chen, Jinyu & Zhu, Xuehong, 2021. "Effect of oil price uncertainty on clean energy metal stocks in China: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 407-419.
    34. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2018. "Forecasting (Good and Bad) Realized Exchange-Rate Volatility: Is there a Role for Realized Skewness and Kurtosis?," Working Papers 201879, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    35. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Geopolitical Risk and Forecastability of Tail Risk in the Oil Market: Evidence from Over a Century of Monthly Data," Working Papers 202122, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    36. Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Revisiting the Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Tunisia: Carbon Dioxide vs. Ecological Footprint," Working Papers 202171, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    37. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Oil tail risks and the realized variance of consumer prices in advanced economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    38. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of International REITs: The Role of Realized Skewness and Realized Kurtosis," Working Papers 202114, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    39. Merrill, Ryan K. & Orlando, Anthony W., 2020. "Oil at risk: Political violence and accelerated carbon extraction in the Middle East and North Africa," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    40. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chen, Mei-Ping, 2020. "Do natural disasters and geopolitical risks matter for cross-border country exchange-traded fund returns?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    41. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices over 150 years: The role of tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    42. Yang, Kun & Wei, Yu & Li, Shouwei & Liu, Liang & Wang, Lei, 2021. "Global financial uncertainties and China’s crude oil futures market: Evidence from interday and intraday price dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    43. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    44. Sohag, Kazi & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Mariev, Oleg & Safonova, Yulia, 2022. "Do geopolitical events transmit opportunity or threat to green markets? Decomposed measures of geopolitical risks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    45. Arshian Sharif & Eyup Dogan & Ameenullah Aman & Hafizah Hammad Ahmad Khan & Isma Zaighum, 2020. "Rare disaster and renewable energy in the USA: new insights from wavelet coherence and rolling-window analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(3), pages 2731-2755, September.
    46. Konstantinos Gkillas & Christoforos Konstantatos & Costas Siriopoulos, 2021. "Uncertainty Due to Infectious Diseases and Stock–Bond Correlation," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-18, April.
    47. Smales, L.A., 2021. "Geopolitical risk and volatility spillovers in oil and stock markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 358-366.

  333. Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Working Papers 201732, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Yue-Jun Zhang, 2020. "Bear, Bull, Sidewalk, and Crash: The Evolution of the US Stock Market Using Over a Century of Daily Data," Working Papers 202097, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Goodness C. Aye & Matthew W. Clance & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Effect of Economic Uncertainty on the Housing Market Cycle," Working Papers 201757, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Goodness C. Aye & Matthew W. Clance & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Effectiveness of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Shocks on U.S. Inequality: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 201782, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Working Papers 202126, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices over 150 years: The role of tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).

  334. Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Esin Cakan, 2017. "The International REIT's Time-Varying Response to the U.S. Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Surprises," Working Papers 201712, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Climate Risks and Prediction of Sectoral REITs Volatility: International Evidence," Working Papers 202434, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Asli Yuksel & Aydin Yuksel, 2020. "The U.S. Term Structure and Return Volatility in Global REIT Markets," Working Papers 202069, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Changing Dynamics of the U.S. REITs Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-12, May.
    4. Duc Hong Vo & Ha Minh Nguyen & Tan Manh Vo & Michael McAleer, 2020. "Information Sharing, Bank Penetration and Tax Evasion in Emerging Markets," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-16, April.
    5. Petre Caraiani & Adrian C. Călin & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Monetary policy and bubbles in US REITs," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 675-687, June.
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Testing the Forecasting Power of Global Economic Conditions for the Volatility of International REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202211, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Marfatia, Hardik A., 2020. "Investors’ risk perceptions in the US and global stock market integration," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    8. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    9. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2021. "Dynamic impact of the U.S. monetary policy on oil market returns and volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 159-169.
    10. Jiqian Wang & Rangan Gupta & Oğuzhan Çepni & Feng Ma, 2023. "Forecasting international REITs volatility: the role of oil-price uncertainty," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(14), pages 1579-1597, September.
    11. Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2022. "Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on Housing Prices in the United States: The Role of Sentiment," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 241-261, July.
    12. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Ji, Qiang & Marfatia, Hardik & Gupta, Rangan, 2018. "Information spillover across international real estate investment trusts: Evidence from an entropy-based network analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 103-113.
    14. Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2021. "Dynamic Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy on International REITs," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-19, September.
    15. Cepni, Oguzhan & Dul, Wiehan & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The dynamics of U.S. REITs returns to uncertainty shocks: A proxy SVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    16. Oluwasegun B. Adekoya & Gabriel O. Oduyemi & Johnson A. Oliyide, 2021. "Price and volatility persistence of the US REITs market," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-10, December.
    17. Hardik A. Marfatia & Christophe André & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Predicting Housing Market Sentiment: The Role of Financial, Macroeconomic and Real Estate Uncertainties," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 189-209, May.
    18. Wendy Nyakabawo & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2018. "High-Frequency Impact of Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Surprises on US MSAs and Aggregate US Housing Returns and Volatility: A GJR-GARCH Approach," Working Papers 201817, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Masud Alam, 2024. "Volatility in U.S. Housing Sector and the REIT Equity Return," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(3), pages 505-544, October.
    20. Miyakoshi, Tatsuyoshi & Li, Kui-Wai & Shimada, Junji & Tsukuda, Yoshihiko, 2020. "The impact of quantitative easing and carry trade on the real estate market in Hong Kong," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 958-976.
    21. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on US REITs Moments: Evidence from VARs with Functional Shocks," Working Papers 202219, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    23. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin J., 2023. "On the connection between international REITs and oil markets: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    24. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of International REITs: The Role of Realized Skewness and Realized Kurtosis," Working Papers 202114, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    25. Masud Alam, 2021. "Time Varying Risk in U.S. Housing Sector and Real Estate Investment Trusts Equity Return," Papers 2107.10455, arXiv.org.
    26. Hanif, Waqas & Andraz, Jorge Miguel & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2024. "Are REITS hedge or safe haven against oil price fall?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1-16.
    27. Salisu, Afees A. & Akinsomi, Omokolade & Ametefe, Frank Kwakutse & Hammed, Yinka S., 2024. "Gold market volatility and REITs' returns during tranquil and turbulent episodes," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).
    28. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Uncertainty due to Infectious Diseases and Forecastability of the Realized Variance of US REITs: A Note," Working Papers 202099, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Wendy Nyakabawo & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2018. "High Frequency Impact Of Monetary Policy And Macroeconomic Surprises On Us Msas, Aggregate Us Housing Returns And Asymmetric Volatility," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 22(1), pages 204-229, December.

  335. Mehmet Balcilar & Seyi Saint Akadiri & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2017. "Partisan Conflict and Income Distribution in the United States: A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201741, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Cai, Yifei & Wu, Yanrui, 2019. "Time-varied causality between US partisan conflict shock and crude oil return," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    2. Seyi Saint Akadiri & Ada Chigozie Akadiri, 2018. "Growth and Inequality in Africa: Reconsideration," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 4(3), pages 76-86, September.
    3. Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta & Hossein Hassani & Emmanuel Silva, 2018. "Forecasting Changes of Economic Inequality: A Boosting Approach," Working Papers 201868, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  336. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & David Roubaud, 2017. "Does Bitcoin hedge global uncertainty? Evidence from wavelet-based quantile-in-quantile regressions," Post-Print hal-02008552, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Matkovskyy, Roman & Jalan, Akanksha & Dowling, Michael, 2020. "Effects of economic policy uncertainty shocks on the interdependence between Bitcoin and traditional financial markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 150-155.
    2. Wu, Shan & Tong, Mu & Yang, Zhongyi & Derbali, Abdelkader, 2019. "Does gold or Bitcoin hedge economic policy uncertainty?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 171-178.
    3. Kamal, Javed Bin & Hassan, M. Kabir, 2022. "Asymmetric connectedness between cryptocurrency environment attention index and green assets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    4. Gideon Boako & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & David Roubaud, 2019. "Vine copula-based dependence and portfolio value-at-risk analysis of the cryptocurrency market," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 158, pages 77-90.
    5. Panagiotidis, Theodore & Papapanagiotou, Georgios & Stengos, Thanasis, 2022. "On the volatility of cryptocurrencies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    6. OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Robert Mudida & Nuruddeen Abu, 2021. "Market efficiency and volatility persistence of cryptocurrency during pre‐ and post‐crash periods of Bitcoin: Evidence based on fractional integration," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1318-1335, January.
    7. Fang, Libing & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Does global economic uncertainty matter for the volatility and hedging effectiveness of Bitcoin?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 29-36.
    8. Ross C Phillips & Denise Gorse, 2018. "Cryptocurrency price drivers: Wavelet coherence analysis revisited," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(4), pages 1-21, April.
    9. Shi, Zheng, 2023. "The impact of regional ICT development on job quality of the employee in China," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(6).
    10. Jevgeni Tarassov & Nicolas Houlié, 2022. "Bitcoin: A life in crises," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(9), pages 1-16, September.
    11. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2022. "Risk transmissions between bitcoin and traditional financial assets during the COVID-19 era: The role of global uncertainties," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    12. Kumah, Seyram Pearl & Odei-Mensah, Jones, 2021. "Are Cryptocurrencies and African stock markets integrated?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 330-341.
    13. Jareño, Francisco & González, María de la O & Tolentino, Marta & Sierra, Karen, 2020. "Bitcoin and gold price returns: A quantile regression and NARDL analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    14. Refk Selmi & Walid Mensi & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Jamal Bouoiyour, 2018. "Is Bitcoin a hedge, a safe haven or a diversifier for oil price movements? A comparison with gold," Post-Print hal-01879667, HAL.
    15. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2022. "Jumps in Geopolitical Risk and the Cryptocurrency Market: The Singularity of Bitcoin," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 150-161, February.
    16. Νikolaos A. Kyriazis & Paraskevi Prassa, 2019. "Which Cryptocurrencies Are Mostly Traded in Distressed Times?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-12, August.
    17. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Woo-Young Kang, 2020. "Bitcoin Price Co-Movements and Culture," CESifo Working Paper Series 8076, CESifo.
    18. Thampanya, Natthinee & Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Huynh, Toan Luu Duc, 2020. "Asymmetric correlation and hedging effectiveness of gold & cryptocurrencies: From pre-industrial to the 4th industrial revolution✰," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    19. Narayan, Shivani & Kumar, Dilip, 2024. "Unveiling interconnectedness and risk spillover among cryptocurrencies and other asset classes," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    20. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Roubaud, David & Wang, Shixuan, 2018. "Bitcoin and global financial stress: A copula-based approach to dependence and causality in the quantiles," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 297-307.
    21. Elie Bouri & Mahdi Ghaemi Asl & Sahar Darehshiri & David Gabauer, 2024. "Asymmetric connectedness between conventional and Islamic cryptocurrencies: Evidence from good and bad volatility spillovers," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-26, December.
    22. Bouri, Elie & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Saeed, Tareq, 2021. "Return equicorrelation in the cryptocurrency market: Analysis and determinants," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    23. Telli, Şahin & Chen, Hongzhuan, 2020. "Multifractal behavior in return and volatility series of Bitcoin and gold in comparison," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    24. Ata Assaf & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana & Khaled Mokni, 2022. "True or spurious long memory in the cryptocurrency markets: evidence from a multivariate test and other Whittle estimation methods," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 1543-1570, September.
    25. Singh, Sanjeet & Bansal, Pooja & Bhardwaj, Nav, 2022. "Correlation between geopolitical risk, economic policy uncertainty, and Bitcoin using partial and multiple wavelet coherence in P5 + 1 nations," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    26. Hossain, Mohammed Sawkat, 2021. "A revisit of capital structure puzzle: Global evidence and analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 657-678.
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    29. Hasan, Mohammad Maruf & Du, Fang, 2023. "The role of foreign trade and technology innovation on economic recovery in China: The mediating role of natural resources development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    30. Matkovskyy, Roman, 2019. "Centralized and decentralized bitcoin markets: Euro vs USD vs GBP," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 270-279.
    31. Aharon, David Y. & Alon, Ilan & Vakhromov, Oleg, 2024. "Metaverse tokens or metaverse stocks – Who’s the boss?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
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    33. Osamah Al-Khazali & Elie Bouri & David Roubaud, 2018. "The impact of positive and negative macroeconomic news surprises: Gold versus Bitcoin," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(1), pages 373-382.
    34. Tunc, Ahmet, 2024. "ETFs amidst the COVID-induced technological transformation: Sectoral insights from time-varying dynamics of tail risk transmissions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
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    40. Bejaoui, Azza & Frikha, Wajdi & Jeribi, Ahmed & Bariviera, Aurelio F., 2023. "Connectedness between emerging stock markets, gold, cryptocurrencies, DeFi and NFT: Some new evidence from wavelet analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 619(C).
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    43. Corbet, Shaen & Lucey, Brian & Urquhart, Andrew & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2019. "Cryptocurrencies as a financial asset: A systematic analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 182-199.
    44. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E., 2022. "The return volatility of cryptocurrencies during the COVID-19 pandemic: Assessing the news effect," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    45. Asl, Mahdi Ghaemi & Canarella, Giorgio & Miller, Stephen M., 2021. "Dynamic asymmetric optimal portfolio allocation between energy stocks and energy commodities: Evidence from clean energy and oil and gas companies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    46. Huilian Huang & Tao Xiong, 2023. "A good hedge or safe haven? The hedging ability of China's commodity futures market under extreme market conditions," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(7), pages 968-1035, July.
    47. Bouteska, Ahmed & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Hajek, Petr & Yuan, Kunpeng, 2024. "Cryptocurrency price forecasting – A comparative analysis of ensemble learning and deep learning methods," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    48. Ren, Yi-Shuai & Ma, Chao-Qun & Kong, Xiao-Lin & Baltas, Konstantinos & Zureigat, Qasim, 2022. "Past, present, and future of the application of machine learning in cryptocurrency research," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    49. Duan, Kun & Zhang, Liya & Urquhart, Andrew & Yao, Kai & Peng, Long, 2024. "Do clean and dirty cryptocurrencies connect financial assets differently? The perspective of market inefficiency," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
    50. Wu, Wanshan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Gozgor, Giray & Leping, Huang, 2021. "Does economic policy uncertainty affect cryptocurrency markets? Evidence from Twitter-based uncertainty measures," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
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    2. Gideon Boako & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & David Roubaud, 2019. "Vine copula-based dependence and portfolio value-at-risk analysis of the cryptocurrency market," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 158, pages 77-90.
    3. OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Robert Mudida & Nuruddeen Abu, 2021. "Market efficiency and volatility persistence of cryptocurrency during pre‐ and post‐crash periods of Bitcoin: Evidence based on fractional integration," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1318-1335, January.
    4. Ross C Phillips & Denise Gorse, 2018. "Cryptocurrency price drivers: Wavelet coherence analysis revisited," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(4), pages 1-21, April.
    5. Yeguang Chi & Qionghua & Chu & Wenyan Hao, 2024. "Return-forecasting and Volatility-forecasting Power of On-chain Activities in the Cryptocurrency Market," Papers 2411.06327, arXiv.org.
    6. Lars Hornuf & Paul P. Momtaz & Rachel J. Nam & Ye Yuan, 2023. "Cybercrime on the Ethereum Blockchain," CESifo Working Paper Series 10598, CESifo.
    7. Jareño, Francisco & González, María de la O & Tolentino, Marta & Sierra, Karen, 2020. "Bitcoin and gold price returns: A quantile regression and NARDL analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
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    9. Νikolaos A. Kyriazis & Paraskevi Prassa, 2019. "Which Cryptocurrencies Are Mostly Traded in Distressed Times?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-12, August.
    10. Rodrigo Hakim das Neves, 2020. "Bitcoin pricing: impact of attractiveness variables," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-18, December.
    11. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Woo-Young Kang, 2020. "Bitcoin Price Co-Movements and Culture," CESifo Working Paper Series 8076, CESifo.
    12. Thampanya, Natthinee & Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Huynh, Toan Luu Duc, 2020. "Asymmetric correlation and hedging effectiveness of gold & cryptocurrencies: From pre-industrial to the 4th industrial revolution✰," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    13. Smaniotto, Emanuelle Nava & Neto, Giacomo Balbinotto, 2022. "Speculative trading in Bitcoin: A Brazilian market evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 47-54.
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    17. Grym, Aleksi, 2018. "The great illusion of digital currencies," BoF Economics Review 1/2018, Bank of Finland.
    18. Josef Kurka, 2017. "Do Cryptocurrencies and Traditional Asset Classes Influence Each Other?," Working Papers IES 2017/29, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Dec 2017.
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    278. Inés Jiménez & Andrés Mora-Valencia & Trino-Manuel Ñíguez & Javier Perote, 2020. "Portfolio Risk Assessment under Dynamic (Equi)Correlation and Semi-Nonparametric Estimation: An Application to Cryptocurrencies," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(12), pages 1-24, November.
    279. Neveen Ahmed & Omar Farooq & Nidaa Hamed, 2023. "Relation Between Bitcoin and Its Forks: An Empirical Investigation," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 49(2), pages 249-261, April.
    280. Ahmad Harith Ashrofie Hanafi & Mohd Shahid Azim Mohd Saufi & Muhammad Zarunnaim Haji Wahab & Suheil Che Sobry & Mohd Hilal Muhammad, 2024. "Bridging the Gap: A Bibliometric Review of Cryptocurrency and Conventional Market Interactions in Academic Research," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(9), pages 1114-1131, September.
    281. Byström, Hans & Krygier, Dominika, 2018. "What Drives Bitcoin Volatility?," Working Papers 2018:24, Lund University, Department of Economics.
    282. Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Mensi, Walid & Al-Jarrah, Idries Mohammad Wanas & Hamdi, Atef & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2019. "Volatility forecasting, downside risk, and diversification benefits of Bitcoin and oil and international commodity markets: A comparative analysis with yellow metal," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 104-120.
    283. Gaies, Brahim & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi & Sahut, Jean Michel & Guesmi, Khaled, 2021. "Is Bitcoin rooted in confidence? – Unraveling the determinants of globalized digital currencies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    284. Shimeng Shi & Yukun Shi, 2021. "Bitcoin futures: trade it or ban it?," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(4-5), pages 381-396, March.
    285. Tang, Tao & Wang, Yanchen, 2022. "Liquidity Shocks, Price Volatilities, and Risk-managed Strategy: Evidence from Bitcoin and Beyond," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    286. Thomas Günter Fischer & Christopher Krauss & Alexander Deinert, 2019. "Statistical Arbitrage in Cryptocurrency Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-15, February.
    287. Tan, Shay-Kee & Chan, Jennifer So-Kuen & Ng, Kok-Haur, 2020. "On the speculative nature of cryptocurrencies: A study on Garman and Klass volatility measure," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    288. Corbet, Shaen & Meegan, Andrew & Larkin, Charles & Lucey, Brian & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2018. "Exploring the dynamic relationships between cryptocurrencies and other financial assets," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 28-34.
    289. Cheraghali, Hamid & Molnár, Peter & Storsveen, Mattis & Veliqi, Florent, 2024. "The impact of cryptocurrency-related cyberattacks on return, volatility, and trading volume of cryptocurrencies and traditional financial assets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    290. Yousaf, Imran & Abrar, Afsheen & Ali, Shoaib & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Connectedness between energy cryptocurrencies and US equity markets: A quantile-based analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    291. Kao, Yu-Sheng & Day, Min-Yuh & Chou, Ke-Hsin, 2024. "A comparison of bitcoin futures return and return volatility based on news sentiment contemporaneously or lead-lag," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    292. Umar, Muhammad & Su, Chi-Wei & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Shao, Xue-Feng, 2021. "Bitcoin: A safe haven asset and a winner amid political and economic uncertainties in the US?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    293. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2022. "Robust drivers of Bitcoin price movements: An extreme bounds analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    294. Bouri, Elie & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Lucey, Brian & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Trading volume and the predictability of return and volatility in the cryptocurrency market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 340-346.
    295. David Neto, 2023. "Penalized leads-and-lags cointegrating regression: a simulation study and two empirical applications," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(2), pages 949-971, August.
    296. Jirou, Ismail & Jebabli, Ikram & Lahiani, Amine, 2025. "A hybrid deep learning model for cryptocurrency returns forecasting: Comparison of the performance of financial markets and impact of external variables," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
    297. Wei, Wang Chun, 2018. "The impact of Tether grants on Bitcoin," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 19-22.
    298. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Adewuyi, Adeolu O. & Albulescu, Claudiu T. & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Empirical evidence of extreme dependence and contagion risk between main cryptocurrencies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    299. Prosper Lamothe-Fernández & David Alaminos & Prosper Lamothe-López & Manuel A. Fernández-Gámez, 2020. "Deep Learning Methods for Modeling Bitcoin Price," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-13, July.
    300. Zhang, Wei & Wang, Pengfei & Li, Xiao & Shen, Dehua, 2018. "The inefficiency of cryptocurrency and its cross-correlation with Dow Jones Industrial Average," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 510(C), pages 658-670.
    301. Pengfei Wang & Wei Zhang & Xiao Li & Dehua Shen, 2019. "Trading volume and return volatility of Bitcoin market: evidence for the sequential information arrival hypothesis," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 14(2), pages 377-418, June.
    302. Stjepan Beguv{s}i'c & Zvonko Kostanjv{c}ar & H. Eugene Stanley & Boris Podobnik, 2018. "Scaling properties of extreme price fluctuations in Bitcoin markets," Papers 1803.08405, arXiv.org.
    303. Dejian Yu & Libo Sheng, 2020. "Knowledge diffusion paths of blockchain domain: the main path analysis," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 125(1), pages 471-497, October.
    304. Li, Houjian & Luo, Fangyuan & Guo, Lili, 2024. "Harbor in the storm: How Bitcoin navigates challenges of climate change and global uncertainties," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    305. Gradojevic, Nikola & Kukolj, Dragan & Adcock, Robert & Djakovic, Vladimir, 2023. "Forecasting Bitcoin with technical analysis: A not-so-random forest?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 1-17.
    306. Yaman Omer Erzurumlu & Tunc Oygur & Alper Kirik, 2020. "One size does not fit all: external driver of the cryptocurrency world," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 37(3), pages 545-560, June.
    307. Zvonko Merkaš & Vlasta Roška, 2021. "The Impact of Unsystematic Factors on Bitcoin Value," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-17, November.
    308. Zhang, Shuai & Hou, Xinyu & Ba, Shusong, 2021. "What determines interest rates for bitcoin lending?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    309. Ze Shen & Qing Wan & David J. Leatham, 2021. "Bitcoin Return Volatility Forecasting: A Comparative Study between GARCH and RNN," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-18, July.
    310. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema & Eki Rahman, R. & Setiawan, Iwan, 2019. "Bitcoin price growth and Indonesia's monetary system," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 364-376.
    311. Alaoui, Marwane El & Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Bitcoin price–volume: A multifractal cross-correlation approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    312. Helder Sebastião & Pedro Godinho, 2021. "Forecasting and trading cryptocurrencies with machine learning under changing market conditions," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-30, December.
    313. Baş Tuğba & Özaydın Orhan & Dura Yahya Can, 2023. "Does Bitcoin Affect Term Deposits? Evidence from MINT Countries," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-13.
    314. Constandina Koki & Stefanos Leonardos & Georgios Piliouras, 2019. "A Peek into the Unobservable: Hidden States and Bayesian Inference for the Bitcoin and Ether Price Series," Papers 1909.10957, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
    315. Stosic, Darko & Stosic, Dusan & Ludermir, Teresa B. & Stosic, Tatijana, 2019. "Multifractal behavior of price and volume changes in the cryptocurrency market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 520(C), pages 54-61.
    316. Andrea Flori, 2019. "Cryptocurrencies In Finance: Review And Applications," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(05), pages 1-22, August.
    317. Cevik, Emrah Ismail & Gunay, Samet & Dibooglu, Sel & Yıldırım, Durmuş Çağrı, 2023. "The impact of expected and unexpected events on Bitcoin price development: Introduction of futures market and COVID-19," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    318. Wang, Chen & Shen, Dehua & Li, Youwei, 2022. "Aggregate Investor Attention and Bitcoin Return: The Long Short-term Memory Networks Perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    319. Osman, Myriam Ben & Urom, Christian & Guesmi, Khaled & Benkraiem, Ramzi, 2024. "Economic sentiment and the cryptocurrency market in the post-COVID-19 era," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    320. Lee Alan Smales, 2020. "One Cryptocurrency to Explain Them All? Understanding the Importance of Bitcoin in Cryptocurrency Returns," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 39(2), pages 118-132, June.
    321. Melisa Ozdamar & Levent Akdeniz & Ahmet Sensoy, 2021. "Lottery-like preferences and the MAX effect in the cryptocurrency market," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-27, December.

  338. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Seong-Min Yoon, 2017. "OPEC News Announcement Effect on Volatility in the Crude Oil Market: A Reconsideration," Working Papers 201754, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Srilakshminarayana G, 2021. "Tail Behaviour of the Nifty-50 Stocks during Crises Periods," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(4), pages 115-151, December.
    2. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "OPEC News and Jumps in the Oil Market," Working Papers 202053, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  339. Walid Bahloul & Mehmet Balcilar & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Role of Economic and Financial Uncertainties in Predicting Commodity Futures Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201725, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Forecasting the Realized Volatility of Agricultural Commodity Prices: Does Sentiment Matter?," Working Papers 202316, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Tan, Xueping & Zhong, Yiran & Vivian, Andrew & Geng, Yong & Wang, Ziyi & Zhao, Difei, 2024. "Towards an era of multi-source uncertainty: A systematic and bibliometric analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    3. Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price," Working Papers 202009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Oil-Price Volatility: The Role of Financial Stress and Asymmetric Loss," Working Papers 201903, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020. "Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
    6. Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures," Working Papers 201925, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Chen, Xiaoyu & Chiang, Thomas C., 2020. "Empirical investigation of changes in policy uncertainty on stock returns—Evidence from China’s market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    8. Batten, Jonathan A. & Kinateder, Harald & Szilagyi, Peter G. & Wagner, Niklas F., 2019. "Time-varying energy and stock market integration in Asia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 777-792.
    9. Czudaj Robert L., 2020. "The role of uncertainty on agricultural futures markets momentum trading and volatility," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(3), pages 1-39, June.
    10. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Multi-Task Forecasting of the Realized Volatilities of Agricultural Commodity Prices," Working Papers 202423, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Raza, Syed Ali & Masood, Amna & Benkraiem, Ramzi & Urom, Christian, 2023. "Forecasting the volatility of precious metals prices with global economic policy uncertainty in pre and during the COVID-19 period: Novel evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    12. Huang, Xinya & Wang, Yufeng & Li, Houjian, 2024. "Exploring the asymmetric influence of economic policy uncertainty on the nonlinear relationship between exchange rate and carbon prices in China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    13. Sinem Guler Kangalli Uyar & Umut Uyar & Emrah Balkan, 2024. "Fundamental predictors of price bubbles in precious metals: a machine learning analysis," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 37(1), pages 65-87, March.
    14. Feng, Hao & Gao, Da & Duan, Kun & Urquhart, Andrew, 2023. "Does Bitcoin affect decomposed oil shocks differently? Evidence from a quantile-based framework," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    15. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2021. "Dynamic impact of the U.S. monetary policy on oil market returns and volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 159-169.
    16. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Wang Gao & Jiajia Wei & Shixiong Yang, 2023. "The Asymmetric Effects of Extreme Climate Risk Perception on Coal Futures Return Dynamics: Evidence from Nonparametric Causality-In-Quantiles Tests," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-19, May.
    19. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Saban Nazlioglu & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Causality between Bond and Oil Markets of the United States: Evidence from Over One and Half Centuries of Data," Working Papers 202006, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    20. Syeda Beena Zaidi & Abidullah Khan & Shabeer Khan & Mohd Ziaur Rehman & Wadi B. Alonazi & Abul Ala Noman, 2023. "Connectedness between Pakistan’s Stock Markets with Global Factors: An Application of Quantile VAR Network Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-17, October.
    21. Li, Songsong & Zhang, Weiqian & Zhang, Wei, 2023. "Dynamic time-frequency connectedness and risk spillover between geopolitical risks and natural resources," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    22. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    24. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham & Goh, Mark & Zou, Huiwen, 2022. "Risk spillovers and time-varying links between international oil and China’s commodity futures markets: Fresh evidence from the higher-order moments," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PB).
    25. Gao, Wang & Zhang, Hongwei, 2024. "The role of education attention on high-tech markets in an emerging economy: Evidence from QQR and NCQ techniques," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    26. Li, Xiao, 2021. "Does Chinese investor sentiment predict Asia-pacific stock markets? Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    27. Nazlioglu, Saban & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2020. "Movements in international bond markets: The role of oil prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 47-58.
    28. Qin, Meng & Su, Chi-Wei & Tao, Ran & Umar, Muhammad, 2020. "Is factionalism a push for gold price?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    29. Chi, Yeguang & El-Jahel, Lina & Vu, Thanh, 2024. "Novel and old news sentiment in commodity futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    30. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wang, Shixuan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    31. Santino Del Fava & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "Forecasting International Financial Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    32. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    33. Ren, Yinghua & Tan, Anqi & Zhu, Huiming & Zhao, Wanru, 2022. "Does economic policy uncertainty drive nonlinear risk spillover in the commodity futures market?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    34. Song, Lu & Tian, Gengyu & Jiang, Yonghong, 2022. "Connectedness of commodity, exchange rate and categorical economic policy uncertainties — Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    35. Hedi Ben Haddad & Imed Mezghani & Abdessalem Gouider, 2021. "The Dynamic Spillover Effects of Macroeconomic and Financial Uncertainty on Commodity Markets Uncertainties," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-22, June.
    36. Awasthi, Kritika & Ahmad, Wasim & Rahman, Abdul & Phani, B.V., 2020. "When US sneezes, clichés spread: How do the commodity index funds react then?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    37. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Moments-Based Spillovers across Gold and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201966, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    38. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "OPEC News and Jumps in the Oil Market," Working Papers 202053, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    39. Hong, Yanran & Wang, Lu & Liang, Chao & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "Impact of financial instability on international crude oil volatility: New sight from a regime-switching framework," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    40. Solarin, Sakiru Adebola & Gil-Alana, Luis A., 2021. "The persistence of economic policy uncertainty: Evidence of long range dependence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 568(C).
    41. Yilanci, Veli & Kilci, Esra N., 2021. "The role of economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk in predicting prices of precious metals: Evidence from a time-varying bootstrap causality test," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    42. Christian Pierdzioch & Sebastian Rohloff & Roland von Campe, 2023. "The stance of U.S. monetary policy and the realized variance of gold-price returns," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(2), pages 719-732.
    43. Jiang, Yonghong & Ao, Zhiming & Mo, Bin, 2023. "The risk spillover between China’s economic policy uncertainty and commodity markets: Evidence from frequency spillover and quantile connectedness approaches," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    44. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin J., 2023. "On the connection between international REITs and oil markets: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    45. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Owusu Junior, Peterson & Ahmad, Nasir & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Time-varying risk analysis for commodity futures," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    46. Lim, Kian Guan, 2022. "Endogeneity of commodity price in freight cost models," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    47. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    48. Chen, Yanan & Qi, Haozhi, 2024. "Dynamic interplay between Chinese energy, renewable energy stocks, and commodity markets: Time-frequency causality study," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    49. Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2022. "Oil price volatility forecasts: What do investors need to know?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    50. Aggarwal, Divya & Kalia, Deepali, 2022. "Examining comovement and causality between producer price index for P&C insurance premium and uncertainty indices: Wavelet and non-parametric quantile causality approach," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 141-148.
    51. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Infectious Diseases, Market Uncertainty and Oil Market Volatility," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-8, August.
    52. Yang, Kun & Wei, Yu & Li, Shouwei & Liu, Liang & Wang, Lei, 2021. "Global financial uncertainties and China’s crude oil futures market: Evidence from interday and intraday price dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    53. Trabelsi, Nader & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2022. "Spillovers and directional predictability between international energy commodities and their implications for optimal portfolio and hedging," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).

  340. Sergey Ivashchenko & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Near-Rational Expectations: How Far are Surveys from Rationality?," EERI Research Paper Series EERI RP 2017/04, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.

    Cited by:

    1. Emilian DOBRESCU, 2020. "Self-fulfillment degree of economic expectations within an integrated space: The European Union case study," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 5-32, December.

  341. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2017. "Forecasting the U.S. Real House Price Index," Papers 1707.04868, arXiv.org.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Mortgage Default Risks and High-Frequency Predictability of the U.S. Housing Market: A Reconsideration," Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 111-117, December.
    2. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Constantinos Katrakilidis & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Role of Macroeconomic Shocks on House Prices in the US and UK: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201765, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Vasilios Plakandaras & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Informational Content of the Term Spread in Forecasting the US Inflation Rate: A Nonlinear Approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(2), pages 109-121, March.
    4. Vasilios Plakandaras & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "The Term Premium as a Leading Macroeconomic Indicator," Working Papers 201613, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Kaijian He & Rui Zha & Jun Wu & Kin Keung Lai, 2016. "Multivariate EMD-Based Modeling and Forecasting of Crude Oil Price," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-11, April.
    6. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Does Inequality Really Matter in Forecasting Real Housing Returns of the United Kingdom?," Working Papers 201859, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Ti-Ching Peng, 2021. "The effect of hazard shock and disclosure information on property and land prices: a machine-learning assessment in the case of Japan," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 41(1), pages 1-32, February.
    8. George Milunovich, 2020. "Forecasting Australia's real house price index: A comparison of time series and machine learning methods," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(7), pages 1098-1118, November.
    9. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Papadimitriou, Theophilos & Gogas, Periklis, 2019. "Forecasting transportation demand for the U.S. market," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 195-214.
    10. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Is the Housing Market in the United States Really Weakly-Efficient?," Working Papers 201934, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Sommervoll, Åvald & Sommervoll, Dag Einar, 2019. "Learning from man or machine: Spatial fixed effects in urban econometrics," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 239-252.
    12. Vasilios Plakandaras & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Forecasting Bitcoin Returns: Is there a Role for the U.S. – China Trade War?," Working Papers 201980, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. McGurk, Zachary, 2020. "US real estate inflation prediction: Exchange rates and net foreign assets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 53-66.
    14. Yu Zhao & Xi Zhang & Zhongshun Shi & Lei He, 2017. "Grain Price Forecasting Using a Hybrid Stochastic Method," Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research (APJOR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 34(05), pages 1-24, October.
    15. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Wendy Nyakabawo, 2018. "Predicting Aggregate and State-Level US House Price Volatility: The Role of Sentiment," Working Papers 201866, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2016. "Modelling cross-dependencies between Spain’s regional tourism markets with an extension of the Gaussian process regression model," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 7(3), pages 341-357, August.
    17. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Ahmed, Huson Ali & Narayan, Seema, 2017. "Can investors gain from investing in certain sectors?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 160-177.
    18. Sinha, Ankur & Kedas, Satishwar & Kumar, Rishu & Malo, Pekka, 2019. "Buy, Sell or Hold: Entity-Aware Classification of Business News," IIMA Working Papers WP 2019-04-02, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    19. Sun, Tianyu & Chand, Satish & Sharpe, Keiran, 2018. "Effect of Aging on Urban Land Prices in China," MPRA Paper 89237, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  342. Refk Selmi & Christos Kollias & Stephanos Papadamou & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "A Copula-Based Quantile-on-Quantile Regression Approach to Modeling Dependence Structure between Stock and Bond Returns: Evidence from Historical Data of India, South Africa, UK and US," Working Papers 201747, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Mensi, Walid & Maitra, Debasish & Al-Jarrah, Idries Mohammad Wanas, 2019. "Portfolio management and dependencies among precious metal markets: Evidence from a Copula quantile-on-quantile approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).

  343. Christina Christou & Ruthira Naraidoo & Rangan Gupta & Won Joong Kim, 2017. "Monetary Policy Reaction Functions of the TICKs: A Quantile Regression Approach," Working Papers 201738, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Christina Christou & Ruthira Naraidoo & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2019. "Monetary Policy Reaction to Uncertainty in Japan: Evidence from a Quantile-on-Quantile Interest Rate Rule," Working Papers 201929, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  344. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Seyedmehdi Hosseini & Chi Keung Marco Lau, 2017. "Does Global Fear Predict Fear in BRICS Stock Markets? Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical VAR Model," Working Papers 201704, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ifedolapo Olabisi Olanipekun & Hasan Güngör & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams, 2019. "Unraveling the Causal Relationship Between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Exchange Market Pressure in BRIC Countries: Evidence From Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality," SAGE Open, , vol. 9(2), pages 21582440198, June.
    2. Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Sheng, Xin, 2018. "Inter- and intra-regional analysis on spillover effects across international stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 420-429.
    3. Muhammad Ali Nasir & Muhammad Shahbaz & Trinh Thi Mai & Moade Shubita, 2021. "Development of Vietnamese stock market: Influence of domestic macroeconomic environment and regional markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1435-1458, January.
    4. Babak Fazelabdolabadi, 2019. "Uncertainty and energy-sector equity returns in Iran: a Bayesian and quasi-Monte Carlo time-varying analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 1-20, December.
    5. Eissa, Mohamed Abdelaziz & Al Refai, Hisham & Chortareas, Georgios, 2024. "Heterogeneous impacts of geopolitical risk factors on stock markets in the Middle East: A quantile regression analysis across four emerging economies," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).

  345. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Wendy Nyakabawo & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Do House Prices Hedge Inflation in the US? A Quantile Cointegration Approach," Working Papers 201707, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Salisu, Afees A. & Raheem, Ibrahim D. & Ndako, Umar B., 2020. "The inflation hedging properties of gold, stocks and real estate: A comparative analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    2. Jiang, Zhuhua & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2024. "Interdependence between foreign exchange rate and international reserves: Fresh evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    3. Dimitra Kontana & Stilianos Fountas, 2021. "Consumption, personal income, financial wealth, housing wealth, and long-term interest rates: A panel cointegration approach for 50 US states," Discussion Paper Series 2021_10, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Sep 2021.
    4. Fehrle, Daniel, 2022. "Hedging Against Inflation: Housing vs. Equity," VfS Annual Conference 2022 (Basel): Big Data in Economics 264044, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    5. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    6. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Olubiyi, Ebenezer A. & Adedeji, Adedayo O., 2023. "The inflation-hedging performance of industrial metals in the world's most industrialized countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    7. Benjamin Kwakye & Chan Tze Haw, 2020. "Interplay of the Macroeconomy and Real Estate: Systematic Review of Literature," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 262-271.
    8. Yasmine Zouari & Aya Nasreddine, 2023. "Housing in the Greater Paris Area as an Inflation Hedge?," Post-Print hal-04956272, HAL.
    9. Fennee Chong & Venus Khim-Shen Liew, 2020. "New Zealand's Residential Price Dynamics: Do capability to consume and government policies matter?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(3), pages 2262-2274.
    10. Aqsha, Nur Suhairah & Masih, Mansur, 2018. "Is residential property the ultimate hedge against inflation ? new evidence from Malaysia based on ARDL and nonlinear ARDL," MPRA Paper 91508, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Vasilios Plakandaras & Ioannis Pragidis & Paris Karypidis, 2024. "Deciphering the U.S. metropolitan house price dynamics," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 52(2), pages 434-485, March.
    12. Tsai, I-Chun, 2020. "Alternative explanation of the money illusion: The effect of unexpected low inflation," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 110-123.
    13. Salisu, Afees A. & Akinsomi, Omokolade & Ametefe, Frank Kwakutse & Hammed, Yinka S., 2024. "Gold market volatility and REITs' returns during tranquil and turbulent episodes," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).

  346. Walid Bahloul & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Impact of Macroeconomic News Surprises and Uncertainty of Major Economies on Returns and Volatility of Oil Futures," Working Papers 201715, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Yousaf, Imran & Youssef, Manel & Goodell, John W., 2022. "Quantile connectedness between sentiment and financial markets: Evidence from the S&P 500 twitter sentiment index," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    2. Shi, Chunpei & Wei, Yu & Li, Xiafei & Liu, Yuntong, 2023. "Combination forecasts of China's oil futures returns based on multiple uncertainties and their connectedness with oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    3. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2021. "Dynamic impact of the U.S. monetary policy on oil market returns and volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 159-169.
    4. Antonios Persakis, 2024. "The impact of climate policy uncertainty on ESG performance, carbon emission intensity and firm performance: evidence from Fortune 1000 firms," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(9), pages 24031-24081, September.
    5. Hüseyin İlker Erçen & Hüseyin Özdeşer & Turgut Türsoy, 2022. "The Impact of Macroeconomic Sustainability on Exchange Rate: Hybrid Machine-Learning Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-19, April.
    6. Tunc, Ahmet & Kocoglu, Mustafa & Aslan, Alper, 2022. "Time-varying characteristics of the simultaneous interactions between economic uncertainty, international oil prices and GDP: A novel approach for Germany," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    7. Ecenur Ugurlu‐Yildirim & Baris Kocaarslan & Beyza M. Ordu‐Akkaya, 2021. "Monetary policy uncertainty, investor sentiment, and US stock market performance: New evidence from nonlinear cointegration analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 1724-1738, April.
    8. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2020. "The tail dependence structure between investor sentiment and commodity markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    9. Alqaralleh, Huthaifa & Almajali Mutah, Awon & Canepa, Alessandra, 2024. "Navigating Energy Market Cycles: Insights from a Comprehensive Analysis," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 202422, University of Turin.
    10. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    11. Wang, Jiqiang & Dai, Peng-Fei & Zhang, Xuewen, 2024. "Untangling the entanglement of US monetary policy uncertainty and European natural gas and carbon prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    12. Taicir Mezghani & Mouna Boujelbène Abbes, 2023. "Forecast the Role of GCC Financial Stress on Oil Market and GCC Financial Markets Using Convolutional Neural Networks," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(3), pages 505-530, September.
    13. Wang, Gaoshan & Yu, Guangjin & Shen, Xiaohong, 2021. "The effect of online environmental news on green industry stocks: The mediating role of investor sentiment," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 573(C).
    14. Bouzgarrou, Houssam & Ftiti, Zied & Louhichi, Waël & Yousfi, Mohamed, 2023. "What can we learn about the market reaction to macroeconomic surprise? Evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    15. Konstantinos Gkillas & Dimitrios Vortelinos & Christos Floros & Athanasios Tsagkanos, 2019. "Economic News Releases and Financial Markets in South Africa," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-13, November.
    16. Bonnier, Jean-Baptiste, 2022. "Forecasting crude oil volatility with exogenous predictors: As good as it GETS?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    17. Soriano, Pilar & Torró, Hipòlit, 2022. "The response of Brent crude oil to the European central bank monetary policy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).

  347. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Stephen M. Miller & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "U.S. Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices: The Role of Partisan Conflict," Working Papers 201742, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Andre & Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Fiscal Policy and Stock Markets at the Effective Lower Bound," Working Papers 202309, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. William B. Hankins & Anna‐Leigh Stone & Chak Hung Jack Cheng & Ching‐Wai (Jeremy) Chiu, 2020. "Corporate decision making in the presence of political uncertainty: The case of corporate cash holdings," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 55(2), pages 307-337, May.
    3. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "A Note on State-Level Nonlinear Effects of Government Spending Shocks in the US: The Role of Partisan Conflict," Working Papers 202187, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Qin, Meng & Su, Chi-Wei & Tao, Ran & Umar, Muhammad, 2020. "Is factionalism a push for gold price?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    5. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    6. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Investors' Uncertainty and Forecasting Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202090, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Centinaio, Alessandra & Pacicco, Fausto & Serati, Massimiliano & Venegoni, Andrea, 2024. "Government decisions and macroeconomic stability: Fiscal policies and financial market fluctuations," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).

  348. Adnen Ben Nasr & Mehmet Balcilar & Seyi Saint Akadiri & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Kuznets Curve for the US: A Reconsideration Using Cosummability," Working Papers 201763, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Shinhye Chang & Matthew W. Clance & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "A Reconsideration of Kuznets Curve across Countries: Evidence from the Co-summability Approach," Working Papers 201970, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv, 2019. "Threshold Effects of Inequality on Economic Growth in the US States: The Role of Human Capital to Physical Capital Ratio," Working Papers 201968, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Diego Martínez-Navarro & Ignacio Amate-Fortes & Almudena Guarnido-Rueda, 2020. "Inequality and development: is the Kuznets curve in effect today?," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 37(3), pages 703-735, October.
    4. Sudeshna Ghosh, 2022. "Effects of tourism on carbon dioxide emissions, a panel causality analysis with new data sets," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 3884-3906, March.
    5. Seyi Saint Akadiri & Ada Chigozie Akadiri, 2018. "Growth and Inequality in Africa: Reconsideration," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 4(3), pages 76-86, September.
    6. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Impact of Oil Price Volatility on State-Level Consumption of the United States: The Role of Oil Dependence," Working Papers 201969, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  349. Sheung-Chi Chow & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Wing-Keung Wong, 2017. "Long-Run Movement and Predictability of Bond Spread for BRICS and PIIGS: The Role of Economic, Financial and Political Risks," Working Papers 201773, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Adhiraj Sodhi & Cesario Mateus & Irina Mateus & Aleksandar Stojanovic, 2023. "Determinants of Repurchase Size: Evidence from the UK," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-29, September.
    2. Kim-Hung Pho & Tuan-Kiet Tran & Thi Diem-Chinh Ho & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Optimal Solution Techniques in Decision Sciences A Review," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(1), pages 114-161, March.
    3. Andy Wui-Wing Cheng & Nikolai Sheung-Chi Chow & David Kam-Hung Chui & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "The Three Musketeers Relationships between Hong Kong, Shanghai and Shenzhen Before and After Shanghai–Hong Kong Stock Connect," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-20, July.
    4. Wenjing Xie & João Paulo Vieito & Ephraim Clark & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "Could Mergers Become More Sustainable? A Study of the Stock Exchange Mergers of NASDAQ and OMX," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-25, October.
    5. Nguyen Huu Hau & Tran Trung Tinh & Hoa Anh Tuong & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "Review of Matrix Theory with Applications in Education and Decision Sciences," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(1), pages 28-69, March.
    6. Kim-Hung Pho & Thi Diem-Chinh Ho & Tuan-Kiet Tran & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Moment Generating Function, Expectation And Variance Of Ubiquitous Distributions With Applications In Decision Sciences: A Review," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(2), pages 65-150, June.

  350. Rangan Gupta & Christos Kollias & Stephanos Papadamou & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "News Implied Volatility and the Stock-Bond Nexus: Evidence from Historical Data for the USA and the UK Markets," Working Papers 201730, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Aloui, Chaker & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Hkiri, Besma & Hela, Ben Hamida & Khan, Muhammad Asif, 2021. "On the investors' sentiments and the Islamic stock-bond interplay across investments' horizons," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    2. Liu, Xueyong & Chen, Zhihua & Chen, Zhensong & Yao, Yinhong, 2022. "The time-varying spillover effect of China’s stock market during the COVID-19 pandemic," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 603(C).
    3. Karkowska, Renata & Urjasz, Szczepan, 2021. "Connectedness structures of sovereign bond markets in Central and Eastern Europe," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    4. Refk Selmi & Christos Kollias & Stephanos Papadamou & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "A Copula-Based Quantile-on-Quantile Regression Approach to Modeling Dependence Structure between Stock and Bond Returns: Evidence from Historical Data of India, South Africa, UK and US," Working Papers 201747, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Onur Polat & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Can Municipal Bonds Hedge US State-Level Climate Risks?," Working Papers 202419, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Dai, Zhifeng & Kang, Jie, 2021. "Bond yield and crude oil prices predictability," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    7. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Saban Nazlioglu & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Causality between Bond and Oil Markets of the United States: Evidence from Over One and Half Centuries of Data," Working Papers 202006, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Jin, Jiayu & Han, Liyan & Xu, Yang, 2022. "Does the SDR stabilize investing in commodities?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 160-172.
    9. Nepp, Alexander & Okhrin, Ostap & Egorova, Julia & Dzhuraeva, Zarnigor & Zykov, Alexander, 2022. "What threatens stock markets more - The coronavirus or the hype around it?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 519-539.
    10. Mensi, Walid & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2024. "COVID-19 and time-frequency spillovers between oil and sectoral stocks and portfolio implications: Evidence from China and US economies," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    11. Bouri, Elie & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bond risk premia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    12. Mohammad Alomari & Abdel Razzaq Al rababa’a & Ghaith El-Nader & Ahmad Alkhataybeh, 2021. "Who’s behind the wheel? The role of social and media news in driving the stock–bond correlation," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 959-1007, October.
    13. Su, Zhi & Liu, Peng & Fang, Tong, 2022. "Uncertainty matters in US financial information spillovers: Evidence from a directed acyclic graph approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 229-242.

  351. Rangan Gupta & Jun Ma & Marian Risse & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Common Business Cycles and Volatilities in US States and MSAs: The Role of Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers 201766, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "The role of real estate uncertainty in predicting US home sales growth: evidence from a quantiles-based Bayesian model averaging approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(5), pages 528-536, January.
    2. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Historical Forecasting Of Interest Rate Mean And Volatility Of The United States: Is There A Role Of Uncertainty?," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(04), pages 1-17, December.
    3. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Wu, Bi-Bo, 2021. "The dynamics of oil on China’s commodity sectors: What can we learn from a quantile perspective?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
    5. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Theodoridis, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark E., 2023. "Is there a national housing market bubble brewing in the United States?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(8), pages 2191-2228, December.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Greek economic policy uncertainty: Does it matter for Europe? Evidence from a dynamic connectedness decomposition approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    8. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Micheal Kofi Boachie & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Network Analysis of Economic and Financial Uncertainties in Advanced Economies: Evidence from Graph-Theory," Working Papers 201982, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Spillovers across macroeconomic, financial and real estate uncertainties: A time-varying approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 167-173.
    10. Afees A. Salisu & Wenting Liao & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2023. "Economic Conditions and Predictability of US Stock Returns Volatility: Local Factor versus National Factor in a GARCH-MIDAS Model," Working Papers 202323, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. MeiChi Huang, 2025. "Revisiting housing asset pricing: uncertainty and business-cycle factors in US state-level housing markets," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 74(1), pages 1-25, March.
    12. Oguzhan Cepni & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Khuliso Ramabulana, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillover of US Trade War on the Growth of Emerging Economies," Working Papers 202002, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Selçuk Gül & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Time‐varying impact of global, region‐, and country‐specific uncertainties on the volatility of international trade," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 39(4), pages 691-700, October.
    14. Siphumlile Mangisa & Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Analyzing The Impact Of Brexit On Global Uncertainty Using Functional Linear Regression With Point Of Impact: The Role Of Currency And Equity Markets," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 67(04), pages 1377-1388, June.
    15. Matthew W. Clance & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei, 2020. "Predicting Firm-Level Volatility in the United States: The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 202007, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "The Financial US Uncertainty Spillover Multiplier: Evidence from a GVAR Model," Working Papers 202145, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Nikolaos Antonakakis & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2018. "Dynamic Connectedness of Uncertainty across Developed Economies: A Time-Varying Approach," Working Papers 201802, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Besma Hkiri & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillovers between Currency and Stock Markets in the USA: Historical Evidence From More than Two Centuries," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(4), pages 44-76, December.
    19. Christou Christina & Naraidoo Ruthira & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Conventional and unconventional monetary policy reaction to uncertainty in advanced economies: evidence from quantile regressions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(3), pages 1-17, June.
    20. Aamir Aijaz Syed & Muhammad Abdul Kamal & Assad Ullah & Simon Grima, 2022. "An Asymmetric Analysis of the Influence That Economic Policy Uncertainty, Institutional Quality, and Corruption Level Have on India’s Digital Banking Services and Banking Stability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-21, March.
    21. Aharon, David Y. & Umar, Zaghum & Aziz, Mukhriz Izraf Azman & Vo, Xuan vinh, 2022. "COVID-19 related media sentiment and the yield curve of G-7 economies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    22. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2020. "Forecasting State- and MSA-Level Housing Returns of the US: The Role of Mortgage Default Risks," Working Papers 202037, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2018. "Forecasting Stock Market (Realized) Volatility in the United Kingdom: Is There a Role for Economic Inequality?," Working Papers 201880, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Samuel F. Onipede & Nafiu A. Bashir & Jamaladeen Abubakar, 2023. "Small open economies and external shocks: an application of Bayesian global vector autoregression model," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1673-1699, April.
    25. Golitsis, Petros & Gkasis, Pavlos & Bellos, Sotirios K., 2022. "Dynamic spillovers and linkages between gold, crude oil, S&P 500, and other economic and financial variables. Evidence from the USA," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    26. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "Persistence of State-Level Uncertainty of the United States: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202208, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    27. Woraphon Yamaka & Rangan Gupta & Sukrit Thongkairat & Paravee Maneejuk, 2021. "Structural and Predictive Analyses with a Mixed Copula-Based Vector Autoregression Model," Working Papers 202108, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    28. Christina Christou & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time-Varying Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on Macroeconomic Variables of the United Kingdom: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Monthly Data," Working Papers 201962, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    30. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    31. Canh Phuc Nguyen & Su Dinh Thanh & Bach Nguyen, 2022. "Economic uncertainty and tourism consumption," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(4), pages 920-941, June.
    32. Huang, MeiChi, 2024. "A greater crisis? Investigating MSA-level housing markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    33. Yang, Dong-Xiao & Wu, Bi-Bo & Tong, Jing-Yang, 2021. "Dynamics and causality of oil price shocks on commodities: Quantile-on-quantile and causality-in-quantiles methods," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    34. Xu, Can, 2023. "Do households react to policy uncertainty by increasing savings?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 770-785.
    35. Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2023. "Spillovers and connectedness in foreign exchange markets: The role of trade policy uncertainty," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 191-199.
    36. Nikolaos Antonakakis & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Greek Economic Policy Uncertainty: Does it Matter for the European Union?," Working Papers 201840, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    37. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rinsuna Shivambu, 2020. "Uncertainty and Daily Predictability of Housing Returns and Volatility of the United States: Evidence from a Higher-Order Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 202071, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    38. Ahmed Ali & Granberg Mark & Troster Victor & Uddin Gazi Salah, 2022. "Asymmetric dynamics between uncertainty and unemployment flows in the United States," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 26(1), pages 155-172, February.
    39. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Besma Hkiri & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillover between Currency and Stock Markets in the United States: More than Two Centuries of Historical Evidence," Working Papers 202060, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    40. Cepni, Oguzhan & Dul, Wiehan & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The dynamics of U.S. REITs returns to uncertainty shocks: A proxy SVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    41. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the co-movement of regional housing prices of the United Kingdom," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-22, December.
    42. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2020. "Point and Density Forecasting of Macroeconomic and Financial Uncertainties of the United States," Working Papers 202058, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    43. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Christophe Andre & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Housing Returns and Volatility: Evidence from US State-Level Data," Working Papers 202131, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    44. Jacobus Nel & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Climate Risks And Predictability Of Commodity Returns And Volatility: Evidence From Over 750 Years Of Data," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(04), pages 1-40, November.
    45. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Uncertainty and forecastability of regional output growth in the UK: Evidence from machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1049-1064, September.
    46. Christina Christou & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung Marco Lau, 2020. "Are Uncertainties across the World Convergent?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 855-862.
    47. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil shocks and directional predictability of macroeconomic uncertainties of developed economies: Evidence from high‐frequency data†," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 69(2), pages 169-185, May.
    48. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "On the Transmission Mechanism of Country-Specific and International Economic Uncertainty Spillovers: Evidence from a TVP-VAR Connectedness Decomposition Approach," Working Papers 201829, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    49. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    50. Alan Tidwell & Yan (Olivia) Lu & Junsoo Lee & Piyali Banerjee, 2023. "Nature of comovements in US state and MSA housing prices," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 51(4), pages 959-989, July.
    51. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Salisu, Afees A. & van Eyden, Reneé, 2023. "Firm-level business uncertainty and the predictability of the aggregate U.S. stock market volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 295-302.
    52. Canh Phuc Nguyen & Thanh Dinh Su, 2022. "When ‘uncertainty’ becomes ‘unknown’: Influences of economic uncertainty on the shadow economy," Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 93(3), pages 677-716, September.
    53. Hedi Ben Haddad & Imed Mezghani & Imed Medhioub & Sohale Altamimi, 2024. "Spillover effects of disaggregated macroeconomic uncertainties on U.S. real activity: evidence from the quantile vector autoregressive connectedness approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(2), pages 829-858, February.
    54. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2021. "Point and density forecasting of macroeconomic and financial uncertainties of the USA," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 700-707, July.
    55. Ji, Qiang & Gupta, Rangan & Bekun, Festus Victor & Balcilar, Mehmet, 2019. "Spillover of mortgage default risks in the United States: Evidence from metropolitan statistical areas and states," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 1-1.
    56. Haque, Tariq & Pham, Thu Phuong & Yang, Jiaxin, 2023. "Geopolitical risk, financial constraints, and tax avoidance," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    57. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Wenting Liao & Jun Ma, 2022. "Climate Risks and Forecastability of the Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions of the United States," Working Papers 202251, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    58. Rangan Gupta & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Impact of US Uncertainty Shocks on a Panel of Advanced and Emerging Market Economies: The Role of Exchange Rate, Trade and Financial Channels," Working Papers 201857, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    59. Khoo, Joye & Cheung, Adrian (Wai Kong), 2021. "Does geopolitical uncertainty affect corporate financing? Evidence from MIDAS regression," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    60. Selçuk Gul & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "A Note on the Time-Varying Impact of Global, Region- and Country-Specific Uncertainties on the Volatility of International Trade," Working Papers 202025, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    61. Solarin, Sakiru Adebola & Gil-Alana, Luis A., 2021. "The persistence of economic policy uncertainty: Evidence of long range dependence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 568(C).
    62. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    63. Canh Phuc Nguyen & Christophe Schinckus & Thanh Dinh Su, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and demand for international tourism: An empirical study," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(8), pages 1415-1430, December.
    64. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Dąbrowski, Marek A., 2019. "How important are different aspects of uncertainty in driving industrial production in the CEE countries?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 252-266.
    65. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    66. Gupta, Rangan & Sun, Xiaojin, 2020. "Forecasting economic policy uncertainty of BRIC countries using Bayesian VARs," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    67. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2022. "Forecasting stock market (realized) volatility in the United Kingdom: Is there a role of inequality?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2146-2152, April.
    68. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Investors' Uncertainty and Forecasting Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202090, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    69. Linyan Dai & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Impact of Uncertainty on State-Level Housing Markets of the United States: The Role of Social Cohesion," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-9, March.
    70. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Jacobus A Nel & Xin Sheng, 2020. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty Spillovers in Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 202005, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    71. Kundan Kumar & Rajendra Narayan Paramanik & Anoop S. Kumar, 2023. "Nexus among Indian business cycle–financial cycle and Policy Uncertainty Index," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(12), pages 1-19, December.
    72. Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta & Hossein Hassani & Emmanuel Silva, 2018. "Forecasting Changes of Economic Inequality: A Boosting Approach," Working Papers 201868, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  352. Balcilar, Mehmet & Katzke, Nico & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Date-stamping US housing market explosivity," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-44, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

    Cited by:

    1. Xie, Zixiong & Chen, Shyh-Wei & Wu, An-Chi, 2019. "Asymmetric adjustment, non-linearity and housing price bubbles: New international evidence," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    2. Evren Ceritoglu & Seyit Mumin Cilasun & Ufuk Demiroglu & Aytul Ganioglu, 2019. "An analysis to detect exuberance and implosion in regional house prices in Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 19(2), pages 67-82.
    3. Butt, Muhammad Danial & Ahmed, Mumtaz, 2019. "Testing for Multiple Bubbles in Inflation for Pakistan," MPRA Paper 96847, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Butt, Muhammad Danial & Ahmed, Mumtaz, 2019. "Testing for Multiple Bubbles in Inflation for Pakistan," MPRA Paper 96705, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  353. Martijn Bos & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2017. "Oil Returns and Volatility: The Role of Mergers and Acquisitions," Working Papers 201775, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Qingbang Mu & Wanxiao Zhang & Wenxiu Hu, 2023. "Enterprise Transformation and Innovation: A Study of Performance Compensation from the Perspective of Information Asymmetry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-23, August.
    2. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & de Araújo, Fernando H.A. & Silva, Igor E.M., 2020. "The (in)efficiency of NYMEX energy futures: A multifractal analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 556(C).
    3. Şevkat Özgür & Franz Wirl, 2020. "Cross-Border Mergers and Acquisitions in the Oil and Gas Industry: An Overview," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-25, October.
    4. Wang, Jianuo & Enilov, Martin & Kizys, Renatas, 2024. "Does M&A activity spin the cycle of energy prices?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    5. Guo, Yue & Yang, Yu & Wang, Chang, 2021. "Global energy networks: Geographies of mergers and acquisitions of worldwide oil companies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    6. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wang, Shixuan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    7. Sun, Jie & Zhao, Xiaojun & Xu, Chao, 2021. "Crude oil market autocorrelation: Evidence from multiscale quantile regression analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    8. Chen, Shi & Zhao, Yonghong & Chang, Chuen-Ping & Lin, Jyh-Horng & Chang, Ching-Hui, 2024. "Vertical acquisition and carbon capture and storage choices under cap-and-trade regulation with sustainable finance," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).

  354. Riza Demirer & Guilherme Demos & Rangan Gupta & Didier Sornette, 2017. "On the Predictability of Stock Market Bubbles: Evidence from LPPLS ConfidenceTM Multi-scale Indicators," Working Papers 201752, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Foglia, Matteo & Miglietta, Federica, 2024. "Does every cloud (bubble) have a silver lining? An investigation of ESG financial markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    2. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    3. Ruiqiang Song & Min Shu & Wei Zhu, 2021. "The 2020 Global Stock Market Crash: Endogenous or Exogenous?," Papers 2101.00327, arXiv.org.
    4. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Investor Sentiment and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries," Working Papers 202256, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Foglia, Matteo & Di Tommaso, Caterina & Wang, Gang-Jin & Pacelli, Vincenzo, 2024. "Interconnectedness between stock and credit markets: The role of European G-SIBs in a multilayer perspective," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    6. Rebecca Westphal & Didier Sornette, 2019. "Market Impact and Performance of Arbitrageurs of Financial Bubbles in An Agent-Based Model," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 19-29, Swiss Finance Institute.
    7. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Predicting Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries: The Role of Oil Price Uncertainty," Working Papers 202332, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Song, Ruiqiang & Shu, Min & Zhu, Wei, 2022. "The 2020 global stock market crash: Endogenous or exogenous?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 585(C).
    10. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "US Monetary Policy and BRICS Stock Market Bubbles," Working Papers 202243, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Shu, Min & Zhu, Wei, 2020. "Detection of Chinese stock market bubbles with LPPLS confidence indicator," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 557(C).
    12. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua, 2024. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bubbles in global stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    13. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles in an Emerging Country: The Case of India," Working Papers 202305, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Min Shu & Ruiqiang Song & Wei Zhu, 2021. "The 2021 Bitcoin Bubbles and Crashes—Detection and Classification," Stats, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-21, November.
    15. Gharib, Cheima & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Serret, Vanessa & Ben Jabeur, Sami, 2021. "Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on crude oil prices: Evidence from Econophysics approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    16. Min Shu & Ruiqiang Song & Wei Zhu, 2021. "The 'COVID' Crash of the 2020 U.S. Stock Market," Papers 2101.03625, arXiv.org.
    17. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Stock Market Volatility and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles," Working Papers 202310, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Schmitt, Noemi & Schwartz, Ivonne & Westerhoff, Frank H., 2020. "Heterogeneous speculators and stock market dynamics: A simple agent-based computational model," BERG Working Paper Series 160, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    19. Fang, Ming & Lin, Yizhou & Chang, Chiu-Lan, 2023. "Positive and negative price bubbles of Chinese agricultural commodity futures," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 456-471.
    20. Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratio and the Predictability of Bubbles in Financial Markets," Working Papers 202317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Yang, Hui & Ferrer, Román, 2023. "Explosive behavior in the Chinese stock market: A sectoral analysis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    22. Shu, Min & Song, Ruiqiang & Zhu, Wei, 2021. "The ‘COVID’ crash of the 2020 U.S. Stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    23. Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2025. "Stock market volatility and multi-scale positive and negative bubbles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    24. Hideyuki Takagi, 2021. "Exploring the Endogenous Nature of Meme Stocks Using the Log-Periodic Power Law Model and Confidence Indicator," Papers 2110.06190, arXiv.org.
    25. Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "Monetary policy and bubbles in G7 economies using a panel VAR approach: Implications for sustainable development," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 133-155.
    26. Elyasiani, Elyas & Movaghari, Hadi, 2024. "Money demand function with time-varying coefficients," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    27. Yang, Jinyu & Dong, Dayong & Liang, Chao & Cao, Yang, 2024. "Monetary policy uncertainty and the price bubbles in energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    28. Westphal, Rebecca & Sornette, Didier, 2020. "Market impact and performance of arbitrageurs of financial bubbles in an agent-based model," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1-23.

  355. Christophe André & Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Mulatu F. Zerihun, 2017. "Asymmetric Behaviour in Nominal and Real Housing Prices: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Economies," Working Papers 201711, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Trond-Arne Borgersen & Anne Wenche Emblem, 2022. "Mortgage Market Induced Booms and Busts in the Housing Market in a Modified DiPasquale-Wheaton Model," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 25(3), pages 281-306.
    2. Lan, Hao & Moreira, Fernando & Zhao, Sheng, 2023. "Can a house resale restriction policy curb speculation? Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 841-859.

  356. Qiang Ji & Bing-Yue Liu & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Risk Spillover between the US and the Remaining G7 Stock Markets Using Time-Varying Copulas with Markov Switching: Evidence from Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 201759, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Bouteska, Ahmed & Sharif, Taimur & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2023. "COVID-19 and stock returns: Evidence from the Markov switching dependence approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Chang, Kuang-Liang, 2023. "The low-magnitude and high-magnitude asymmetries in tail dependence structures in international equity markets and the role of bilateral exchange rate," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    3. Li, Xiafei & Liao, Yin & Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng, 2022. "An oil futures volatility forecast perspective on the selection of high-frequency jump tests," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    4. Shaowei Chen & Long Guo & Weike Zhang, 2023. "Financial Risk Measurement and Spatial Spillover Effects Based on an Imported Financial Risk Network: Evidence from Countries along the Belt and Road," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-25, March.
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2023. "Tail risks and forecastability of stock returns of advanced economies: evidence from centuries of data," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 466-481, March.
    6. Warshaw, Evan, 2019. "Extreme dependence and risk spillovers across north american equity markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 237-251.
    7. Matteo Foglia & Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Multi-Layer Spillovers between Volatility and Skewness in International Stock Markets Over a Century of Data: The Role of Disaster Risks," Working Papers 202337, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Wei Zhou & Jin Guo & Ning Chen & Shuai Lu, 2023. "Key market identification, mechanism transmission, and extreme shock during the risk spillover process: an empirical study of the G20 FOREX markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(6), pages 2549-2582, December.
    9. Foglia, Matteo & Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2025. "Long-span multi-layer spillovers between moments of advanced equity markets: The role of climate risks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    10. Chiang, Shu-hen & Chen, Chien-Fu, 2022. "From systematic to systemic risk among G7 members: Do the stock or real estate markets matter?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    11. Shabir Mohsin Hashmi & Muhammad Akram Gilal & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "Sustainability of Global Economic Policy and Stock Market Returns in Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-18, May.
    12. Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jianqiong & Dong, Dayong, 2022. "Singlehanded or joint race? Stock market volatility prediction," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 734-754.
    13. Manner, Hans & Rodríguez, Gabriel & Stöckler, Florian, 2024. "A changepoint analysis of exchange rate and commodity price risks for Latin American stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1385-1403.
    14. Sun, Qingru & Gao, Xiangyun & An, Haizhong & Guo, Sui & Liu, Xueyong & Wang, Ze, 2021. "Which time-frequency domain dominates spillover in the Chinese energy stock market?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    15. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Predictability of tail risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The role of spillovers and oil tail Risks☆," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    16. Yao, Can-Zhong & Li, Min-Jian, 2023. "GARCH-MIDAS-GAS-copula model for CoVaR and risk spillover in stock markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    17. Ana Monteiro & Nuno Silva & Helder Sebastião, 2023. "Industry return lead-lag relationships between the US and other major countries," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-48, December.
    18. Zhao, Hong & Li, Jiayi & Lei, Yiqing & Zhou, Mingming, 2022. "Risk spillover of banking across regions: Evidence from the belt and road countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    19. Shuting Liu & Qifa Xu & Cuixia Jiang, 2021. "Systemic risk of China’s commercial banks during financial turmoils in 2010-2020: A MIDAS-QR based CoVaR approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(18), pages 1600-1609, October.
    20. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Predictability of Tail Risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The Role of Spillovers and Oil Tail Risks," Working Papers 202127, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  357. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Wing-Keung Wong & Zhenzhen Zhu, 2017. "Is Wine a Good Choice for Investment?," Working Papers 201781, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Das, Sonali & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Mangisa, Siphumlile, 2019. "The effect of global crises on stock market correlations: Evidence from scalar regressions via functional data analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 132-147.
    2. Kai-Yin Woo & Chulin Mai & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "Review on Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-51, March.
    3. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun & Ahniia Havrylina, 2022. "Persistence in the Passion Investment Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 9586, CESifo.
    4. Massimiliano Caporin & Rangan Gupta & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2019. "Contagion between Real Estate and Financial Markets: A Bayesian Quantile-on-Quantile Approach," Working Papers 201913, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Masset, Philippe & Weisskopf, Jean-Philippe & Cardebat, Jean-Marie & Faye, Benoît & Le Fur, Eric, 2021. "Analyzing the risks of an illiquid and global asset: The case of fine wine," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 1-25.
    6. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Mensi, Walid & Nekhili, Ramzi & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Quantile connectedness and spillovers analysis between oil and international REIT markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    8. Zhihui Lv & Amanda M. Y. Chu & Wing Keung Wong & Thomas C. Chiang, 2021. "The maximum-return-and-minimum-volatility effect: evidence from choosing risky and riskless assets to form a portfolio," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(1), pages 97-122, June.
    9. Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Decision Sciences, Economics, Finance, Business, Computing, And Big Data: Connections," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 22(1), pages 36-94, December.
    10. Gilles Boevi Koumou, 2020. "Diversification and portfolio theory: a review," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 34(3), pages 267-312, September.
    11. Kim-Hung Pho & Tuan-Kiet Tran & Thi Diem-Chinh Ho & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Optimal Solution Techniques in Decision Sciences A Review," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(1), pages 114-161, March.
    12. Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Decision Sciences, Economics, Finance, Business, Computing, and Big Data: Connections," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-024/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    13. Wing-Keung Wong & Hooi Hooi Lean & Michael McAleer & Feng-Tse Tsai, 2018. "Why Are Warrant Markets Sustained in Taiwan but Not in China?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-17, October.
    14. Samitas, Aristeidis & Papathanasiou, Spyros & Koutsokostas, Drosos & Kampouris, Elias, 2022. "Volatility spillovers between fine wine and major global markets during COVID-19: A portfolio hedging strategy for investors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 629-642.
    15. Eric Le Fur & Jean-François Outreville, 2019. "Fine wine returns: a review of the literature," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(3), pages 196-214, May.
    16. Masset, Philippe & Maurer, Frantz, 2021. "Mitigating downside risk of portfolio diversification: Wine versus other tangible assets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    17. Nguyen Huu Hau & Tran Trung Tinh & Hoa Anh Tuong & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "Review of Matrix Theory with Applications in Education and Decision Sciences," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(1), pages 28-69, March.
    18. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin J., 2023. "On the connection between international REITs and oil markets: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    19. Joyce P. Jacobsen, 2024. "Wine as an Investment," Wesleyan Economics Working Papers 2024-007, Wesleyan University, Department of Economics.
    20. Kim-Hung Pho & Thi Diem-Chinh Ho & Tuan-Kiet Tran & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Moment Generating Function, Expectation And Variance Of Ubiquitous Distributions With Applications In Decision Sciences: A Review," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(2), pages 65-150, June.
    21. Zongxin Li & Xinge Li & Yongchang Hui & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Maslow Portfolio Selection for Individuals with Low Financial Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-11, April.
    22. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Contagion between Stock and Real Estate Markets: International Evidence from a Local Gaussian Correlation Approach," Working Papers 201917, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Fromentin, Vincent & Pecchioli, Bruno & Moroz, David, 2024. "Time-varying causality among whisky, wine, and equity markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    24. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang, 2022. "Nonlinear contagion between stock and real estate markets: International evidence from a local Gaussian correlation approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2089-2109, April.
    25. Fur, Eric Le, 2021. "Fine Wines in a Diversified Portfolio of Collectibles," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315852, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    26. Plastun, Alex & Bouri, Elie & Havrylina, Ahniia & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Calendar anomalies in passion investments: Price patterns and profit opportunities," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).

  358. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis & Tahir Suleman, 2017. "The Role of Economic Uncertainty in Forecasting Exchange Rate Returns and Realized Volatility: Evidence from Quantile Predictive Regressions," Working Papers 201774, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Historical Forecasting Of Interest Rate Mean And Volatility Of The United States: Is There A Role Of Uncertainty?," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(04), pages 1-17, December.
    2. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Afees A. Salisu & Elie Bouri, 2021. "OPEC News and Exchange Rate Forecasting Using Dynamic Bayesian Learning," Working Papers 202101, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Khyati Kathuria & Nand Kumar, 2022. "Pandemic‐induced fear and government policy response as a measure of uncertainty in the foreign exchange market: Evidence from (a)symmetric wild bootstrap likelihood ratio test," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(4), pages 361-379, October.
    4. Yi‐Ting Peng & Tsangyao Chang & Omid Ranjbar, 2022. "Analyzing the degree of persistence of economic policy uncertainty using linear and non‐linear fourier quantile unit root tests," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 90(4), pages 453-471, July.
    5. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "Climate risks and realized volatility of major commodity currency exchange rates," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    6. Han, Liyan & Wan, Li & Xu, Yang, 2020. "Can the Baltic Dry Index predict foreign exchange rates?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    7. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Energy Market Uncertainties and Exchange Rate Volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202418, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Xing Yu & Yanyan Li & Xinxin Wang, 2024. "RMB exchange rate forecasting using machine learning methods: Can multimodel select powerful predictors?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 644-660, April.
    9. Luo, Tao & Sun, Huaping & Zhang, Lixia & Bai, Jiancheng, 2024. "Do the dynamics of macroeconomic attention drive the yen/dollar exchange market volatility?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 597-611.
    10. Gkillas Konstantinos & Gupta Rangan & Vortelinos Dimitrios I., 2023. "Uncertainty and realized jumps in the pound-dollar exchange rate: evidence from over one century of data," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 27(1), pages 25-47, February.
    11. Tong, Chen & Huang, Zhuo & Wang, Tianyi & Zhang, Cong, 2023. "The effects of economic uncertainty on financial volatility: A comprehensive investigation," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 369-389.
    12. Chandan Sharma & Rupika Khanna, 2024. "Risk, Uncertainty and Exporting: Evidence from a Developing Economy," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 22(1), pages 151-177, March.
    13. Maud Korley & Evangelos Giouvris, 2023. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Explain Exchange Rate Movements in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS): A Panel ARDL Approach," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-22, November.
    14. Gong, Xue & Xu, Weijun & Li, Xiaodan & Gong, Xue, 2024. "Presidential economic approval rating and global foreign exchange market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    15. Rangan Gupta & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2018. "Efficiency in BRICS Currency Markets using Long-Spans of Data: Evidence from Model-Free Tests of Directional Predictability," Working Papers 201836, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Abir ABID & Christophe RAULT, 2020. "On the Exchange Rates Volatility and Economic Policy Uncertainty Nexus: A Panel VAR Approach for Emerging Markets," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2894, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    17. Mengxi He & Xianfeng Hao & Yaojie Zhang & Fanyi Meng, 2021. "Forecasting stock return volatility using a robust regression model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(8), pages 1463-1478, December.
    18. Xu, Ke-Li, 2021. "On the serial correlation in multi-horizon predictive quantile regression," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    19. Salisu, Afees A. & Cuñado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Geopolitical risks and historical exchange rate volatility of the BRICS," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 179-190.
    20. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2018. "Forecasting (Good and Bad) Realized Exchange-Rate Volatility: Is there a Role for Realized Skewness and Kurtosis?," Working Papers 201879, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Pastorek, Daniel, 2023. "Euro area uncertainty and Euro exchange rate volatility: Exploring the role of transnational economic policy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    22. Abid, Abir & Rault, Christophe, 2020. "On the Exchange Rate and Economic Policy Uncertainty Nexus: A Panel VAR Approach for Emerging Markets," IZA Discussion Papers 13365, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    23. Solarin, Sakiru Adebola & Gil-Alana, Luis A., 2021. "The persistence of economic policy uncertainty: Evidence of long range dependence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 568(C).
    24. Xue Gong & Weiguo Zhang & Weijun Xu & Zhe Li, 2022. "Uncertainty index and stock volatility prediction: evidence from international markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-44, December.
    25. Yin, Libo, 2020. "Can the intermediary capital risk predict foreign exchange rates?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    26. Lin Liu, 2022. "Economic Uncertainty and Exchange Market Pressure: Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440211, January.
    27. Anna A. Gainetdinova, 2023. "Asymmetric Impact of Geopolitical Risk and Economic Policy Uncertainty on Russian Ruble Exchange Rate," Journal of Applied Economic Research, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, vol. 22(2), pages 270-293.
    28. Abir ABID & Christophe RAULT, 2020. "On the Exchange Rates Volatility and Economic Policy Uncertainty Nexus: A Panel VAR Approach for Emerging Markets," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2816, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    29. Chaturvedi, Priya & Kumar, Kuldeep, 2022. "Econometric modelling of exchange rate volatility using mixed-frequency data," MPRA Paper 115222, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    30. Lee A. Smales, 2022. "The influence of policy uncertainty on exchange rate forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 997-1016, August.

  359. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Wealth-to-Income Ratio and Stock Market Movements: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality Test," Working Papers 201731, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Eric Olson, 2020. "Effect of uncertainty on U.S. stock returns and volatility: evidence from over eighty years of high-frequency data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(16), pages 1305-1311, September.
    3. Mauro Costantini & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2020. "Consumption, asset wealth, equity premium, term spread, and flight to quality," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 26(3), pages 778-807, June.

  360. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & David Roubaud & Shixuan Wang, 2017. "Bitcoin and Global Financial Stress: A Copula-Based Approach to Dependence and Causality-in-Quantiles," Working Papers 201750, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Wu, Shan & Tong, Mu & Yang, Zhongyi & Derbali, Abdelkader, 2019. "Does gold or Bitcoin hedge economic policy uncertainty?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 171-178.
    2. Ghabri, Yosra & Ben Rhouma, Oussama & Gana, Marjène & Guesmi, Khaled & Benkraiem, Ramzi, 2022. "Information transmission among energy markets, cryptocurrencies, and stablecoins under pandemic conditions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    3. Haffar, Adlane & Le Fur, Éric, 2022. "Time-varying dependence of Bitcoin," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 211-220.
    4. Jareño, Francisco & González, María de la O & Tolentino, Marta & Sierra, Karen, 2020. "Bitcoin and gold price returns: A quantile regression and NARDL analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    5. Garcia-Jorcano, Laura & Benito, Sonia, 2020. "Studying the properties of the Bitcoin as a diversifying and hedging asset through a copula analysis: Constant and time-varying," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    6. Belanes, Amel & Saâdaoui, Foued & Amirat, Amina & Rabbouch, Hana, 2024. "Safety assessment of cryptocurrencies as risky assets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 651(C).
    7. Singh, Sanjeet & Bansal, Pooja & Bhardwaj, Nav, 2022. "Correlation between geopolitical risk, economic policy uncertainty, and Bitcoin using partial and multiple wavelet coherence in P5 + 1 nations," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    8. Elie Bouri & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Forecasting Returns of Major Cryptocurrencies: Evidence from Regime-Switching Factor Models," Working Papers 202213, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Hau, Liya & Zhu, Huiming & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Sun, Wuqin, 2021. "Does transaction activity predict Bitcoin returns? Evidence from quantile-on-quantile analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    10. Jin, Changlun & Tian, Xiujuan, 2024. "Enhanced safe-haven status of Bitcoin: Evidence from the Silicon Valley Bank collapse," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    11. Matkovskyy, Roman, 2019. "Centralized and decentralized bitcoin markets: Euro vs USD vs GBP," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 270-279.
    12. Kreuzer, Christian & Laschinger, Ralf & Priberny, Christopher & Benninghoff, Sven, 2024. "Cryptocurrencies as a vehicle for capital exodus: Evidence from the Russian–Ukrainian crisis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
    13. Zhu, Huiming & Deng, Xi & Ren, Yinghua & Huang, Xi, 2024. "Time-frequency co-movement and cross-quantile connectedness of exchange rates: Evidence from ASEAN+3 Countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    14. Mensi, Walid & Sensoy, Ahmet & Aslan, Aylin & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2019. "High-frequency asymmetric volatility connectedness between Bitcoin and major precious metals markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    15. White, Reilly & Marinakis, Yorgos & Islam, Nazrul & Walsh, Steven, 2020. "Is Bitcoin a currency, a technology-based product, or something else?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    16. John W Goodell & Stéphane Goutte, 2020. "Co-movement of COVID-19 and Bitcoin: Evidence from wavelet coherence analysis," Working Papers halshs-02613277, HAL.
    17. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung marco Lau & David Roubaud, 2021. "Risk aversion and Bitcoin returns in extreme quantiles," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(3), pages 1374-1386.
    18. Qiang Ji & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2017. "Network Causality Structures among Bitcoin and other Financial Assets: A Directed Acyclic Graph Approach," Working Papers 201729, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Walid Bakry & Audil Rashid & Somar Al-Mohamad & Nasser El-Kanj, 2021. "Bitcoin and Portfolio Diversification: A Portfolio Optimization Approach," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-24, June.
    20. Chengying He & Yong Li & Tianqi Wang & Salman Ali Shah, 2024. "Is cryptocurrency a hedging tool during economic policy uncertainty? An empirical investigation," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-10, December.
    21. Mokni, Khaled & Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen, 2021. "Cryptocurrencies vs. US dollar: Evidence from causality in quantiles analysis," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 238-252.
    22. Elie Bouri & Mahamitra Das & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2018. "Spillovers between Bitcoin and other Assets during Bear and Bull Markets," Working Papers 201812, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Corbet, Shaen & Katsiampa, Paraskevi & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2020. "Measuring quantile dependence and testing directional predictability between Bitcoin, altcoins and traditional financial assets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    24. Zhang, Dongna & Chen, Xihui Haviour & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Xu, Bing, 2023. "Implications of cryptocurrency energy usage on climate change," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    25. Khalid Khan & Jiluo Sun & Sinem Derindere Koseoglu & Ashfaq U. Rehman, 2021. "Revisiting Bitcoin Price Behavior Under Global Economic Uncertainty," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(3), pages 21582440211, August.
    26. Aggarwal, Divya & Chandrasekaran, Shabana & Annamalai, Balamurugan, 2020. "A complete empirical ensemble mode decomposition and support vector machine-based approach to predict Bitcoin prices," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    27. Feng, Hao & Gao, Da & Duan, Kun & Urquhart, Andrew, 2023. "Does Bitcoin affect decomposed oil shocks differently? Evidence from a quantile-based framework," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    28. Zhenghui Li & Zhiming Ao & Bin Mo, 2021. "Revisiting the Valuable Roles of Global Financial Assets for International Stock Markets: Quantile Coherence and Causality-in-Quantiles Approaches," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(15), pages 1-18, July.
    29. Dibooglu, Sel & Cevik, Emrah I. & Gillman, Max, 2022. "Gold, silver, and the US dollar as harbingers of financial calm and distress," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 200-210.
    30. Nguyen, Khanh Quoc & Nguyen, Thanh Huong & Do, Bao Linh, 2023. "Narrative attention and related cryptocurrency returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    31. Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Kliber, Agata, 2021. "Is there one safe-haven for various turbulences? The evidence from gold, Bitcoin and Ether," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    32. Abid, Ilyes & Bouri, Elie & Galariotis, Emilios & Guesmi, Khaled & Mzoughi, Hela, 2023. "Bitcoin vs. fiat currencies: Insights from extreme dependence and risk spillover analysis with financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    33. Nguyen, Bao Khac Quoc & Pham, Dung Thi Ngoc, 2025. "Investing during a Fintech revolution: The hedge and safe haven properties of Bitcoin and Ethereum," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
    34. Wang, Gang-Jin & Xie, Chi & Wen, Danyan & Zhao, Longfeng, 2019. "When Bitcoin meets economic policy uncertainty (EPU): Measuring risk spillover effect from EPU to Bitcoin," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    35. Salisu, Afees & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula & Oloko, Tirimisiyu, 2020. "Pandemics and cryptocurrencies," MPRA Paper 109597, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    36. Dunbar, Kwamie & Owusu-Amoako, Johnson, 2022. "Cryptocurrency returns under empirical asset pricing," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    37. Fu, Zheng & Chen, Zhiguo & Sharif, Arshian & Razi, Ummara, 2022. "The role of financial stress, oil, gold and natural gas prices on clean energy stocks: Global evidence from extreme quantile approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    38. Svetoslav Borisov, 2024. "Bitcoin – Hedge or Speculative Asset: Analysis of Its Role and Nature," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 5, pages 148-170.
    39. Ha, Le Thanh & Bouteska, Ahmed & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & The Anh, Pham, 2023. "Fluctuations in gold prices in Vietnam during the COVID-19 pandemic: Insights from a time-varying parameter autoregression model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    40. Das, Debojyoti & Le Roux, Corlise Liesl & Jana, R.K. & Dutta, Anupam, 2020. "Does Bitcoin hedge crude oil implied volatility and structural shocks? A comparison with gold, commodity and the US Dollar," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    41. Zhang, Hongwei & Wang, Peijin, 2021. "Does Bitcoin or gold react to financial stress alike? Evidence from the U.S. and China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 629-648.
    42. Hung, Jui-Cheng & Liu, Hung-Chun & Yang, J. Jimmy, 2021. "Trading activity and price discovery in Bitcoin futures markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 107-120.
    43. Ozcelebi, Oguzhan, 2020. "Assessing the impacts of financial stress index of developed countries on the exchange market pressure index of emerging countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 288-302.
    44. Ghosh, Indranil & Jana, Rabin K. & David, Roubaud & Grebinevych, Oksana & Wanke, Peter & Tan, Yong, 2024. "Modelling financial stress during the COVID-19 pandemic: Prediction and deeper insights," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 680-698.
    45. Gaies, Brahim & Chaâbane, Najeh & Bouzouita, Nesrine, 2024. "Navigating the storm: Time-frequency quantile dependence and non-linear causality between crypto-currency market volatility and financial instability," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 43-70.
    46. Umar, Muhammad & Shahzad, Fakhar & Ullah, Irfan & Fanghua, Tong, 2023. "A comparative analysis of cryptocurrency returns and economic policy uncertainty pre- and post-Covid-19," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    47. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Raheem, Ibrahim Dolapo & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2019. "Time-varying dynamic conditional correlation between stock and cryptocurrency markets using the copula-ADCC-EGARCH model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    48. Chen, Yu & Lin, Boqiang, 2022. "Quantifying the extreme spillovers on worldwide ESG leaders' equity," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    49. Gaies, Brahim & Chaâbane, Najeh & Arfaoui, Nadia & Sahut, Jean-Michel, 2024. "On the resilience of cryptocurrencies: A quantile-frequency analysis of bitcoin and ethereum reactions in times of inflation and financial instability," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    50. John W Goodell & Stéphane Goutte, 2021. "Cryptocurrencies and COVID-19: What have we learned?," Working Papers halshs-03211702, HAL.
    51. Liang, Chao & Luo, Qin & Li, Yan & Huynh, Luu Duc Toan, 2023. "Global financial stress index and long-term volatility forecast for international stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    52. Dimitrios Koutmos & Timothy King & Constantin Zopounidis, 2021. "Hedging uncertainty with cryptocurrencies: Is bitcoin your best bet?," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 44(4), pages 815-837, December.
    53. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Predicting Bitcoin returns: Comparing the roles of newspaper- and internet search-based measures of uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    54. Adediran, Idris A. & Yinusa, Olalekan D. & Lakhani, Kanwal Hammad, 2021. "Where lies the silver lining when uncertainty hang dark clouds over the global financial markets?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    55. Akanksha Jalan & Roman Matkovskyy & Andrew Urquhart & Larisa Yarovaya, 2023. "The role of interpersonal trust in cryptocurrency adoption," Post-Print hal-03946536, HAL.
    56. Khanh Hoang & Cuong C. Nguyen & Kongchheng Poch & Thang X. Nguyen, 2020. "Does Bitcoin Hedge Commodity Uncertainty?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-14, June.
    57. Kliber, Agata & Marszałek, Paweł & Musiałkowska, Ida & Świerczyńska, Katarzyna, 2019. "Bitcoin: Safe haven, hedge or diversifier? Perception of bitcoin in the context of a country’s economic situation — A stochastic volatility approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 524(C), pages 246-257.
    58. Vasilios Plakandaras & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Forecasting Bitcoin Returns: Is there a Role for the U.S. – China Trade War?," Working Papers 201980, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    59. Lin, Zih-Ying, 2021. "Investor attention and cryptocurrency performance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    60. Ihsan Erdem Kayral & Ahmed Jeribi & Sahar Loukil, 2023. "Are Bitcoin and Gold a Safe Haven during COVID-19 and the 2022 Russia–Ukraine War?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-22, April.
    61. Wen, Danyan & Wang, Gang-Jin & Ma, Chaoqun & Wang, Yudong, 2019. "Risk spillovers between oil and stock markets: A VAR for VaR analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 524-535.
    62. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Demir, Ender & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2019. "Effects of the geopolitical risks on Bitcoin returns and volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 511-518.
    63. Pınar Kaya Soylu & Mustafa Okur & Özgür Çatıkkaş & Z. Ayca Altintig, 2020. "Long Memory in the Volatility of Selected Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-21, May.
    64. Xu, Lei & Kinkyo, Takuji, 2023. "Hedging effectiveness of bitcoin and gold: Evidence from G7 stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    65. Erdinc Akyildirim & Ahmet Goncu & Ahmet Sensoy, 2021. "Prediction of cryptocurrency returns using machine learning," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 297(1), pages 3-36, February.
    66. Iqbal, Najaf & Fareed, Zeeshan & Wan, Guangcai & Shahzad, Farrukh, 2021. "Asymmetric nexus between COVID-19 outbreak in the world and cryptocurrency market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    67. Haffar, Adlane & Le Fur, Eric, 2021. "Structural vector error correction modelling of Bitcoin price," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 170-178.
    68. Wu, Chang-Che & Ho, Shu-Ling & Wu, Chih-Chiang, 2022. "The determinants of Bitcoin returns and volatility: Perspectives on global and national economic policy uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    69. Moussa, Wajdi & Mgadmi, Nidhal & Béjaoui, Azza & Regaieg, Rym, 2021. "Exploring the dynamic relationship between Bitcoin and commodities: New insights through STECM model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    70. Bouri, Elie & Jalkh, Naji, 2023. "Spillovers of joint volatility-skewness-kurtosis of major cryptocurrencies and their determinants," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    71. Kliber, Agata, 2022. "Looking for a safe haven against American stocks during COVID-19 pandemic," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    72. Gozgor, Giray & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Demir, Ender & Akron, Sagi, 2019. "The relationship between Bitcoin returns and trade policy uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 75-82.
    73. Wang, Lu & Guan, Li & Ding, Qian & Zhang, Hongwei, 2023. "Asymmetric impact of COVID-19 news on the connectedness of the green energy, dirty energy, and non-ferrous metal markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    74. Jie Cheng, 2023. "Modelling and forecasting risk dependence and portfolio VaR for cryptocurrencies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(2), pages 899-924, August.
    75. Qin, Meng & Su, Chi-Wei & Tao, Ran, 2021. "BitCoin: A new basket for eggs?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 896-907.
    76. David E. Allen, 2022. "Cryptocurrencies, Diversification and the COVID-19 Pandemic," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-25, February.
    77. Mokni, Khaled & Youssef, Manel & Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen, 2022. "COVID-19 pandemic and economic policy uncertainty: The first test on the hedging and safe haven properties of cryptocurrencies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    78. Zhou, Siwen, 2018. "Exploring the Driving Forces of the Bitcoin Exchange Rate Dynamics: An EGARCH Approach," MPRA Paper 89445, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    79. Sha Zhu & Fujun Lai & Jie Deng & Qian Wang, 2021. "Do Mutual Funds’ Exposure to Financial Stress Predict Their Future Returns? Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(4), pages 21582440211, October.
    80. Walther, Thomas & Klein, Tony & Bouri, Elie, 2019. "Exogenous drivers of Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency volatility – A mixed data sampling approach to forecasting," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    81. Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "When, where, and how economic policy uncertainty predicts Bitcoin returns and volatility? A quantiles-based analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 65-73.
    82. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Bitcoin: The Role of the Trade War," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 29-53, January.
    83. Aissa Djedaiet & Hassan Guenichi & Hicham Ayad, 2024. "Do asymmetric oil shocks impact gold and Bitcoin returns symmetrically? A comparison between the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russo-Ukrainian war," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 48(4), pages 1187-1213, December.
    84. Pho, Kim Hung & Ly, Sel & Lu, Richard & Hoang, Thi Hong Van & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2021. "Is Bitcoin a better portfolio diversifier than gold? A copula and sectoral analysis for China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    85. Alhonita Yatie, 2022. "Crypto-assets better safe-havens than Gold during Covid-19: The case of European indices," Papers 2202.10760, arXiv.org.
    86. Jin, Xuejun & Zhu, Keer & Yang, Xiaolan & Wang, Shouyang, 2021. "Estimating the reaction of Bitcoin prices to the uncertainty of fiat currency," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    87. Tan, Sook-Rei & Li, Changtai & Yeap, Xiu Wei, 2022. "A time-varying copula approach for constructing a daily financial systemic stress index," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    88. Urom, Christian & Abid, Ilyes & Guesmi, Khaled & Chevallier, Julien, 2020. "Quantile spillovers and dependence between Bitcoin, equities and strategic commodities," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 230-258.
    89. Gaies, Brahim & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi & Sahut, Jean Michel & Guesmi, Khaled, 2021. "Is Bitcoin rooted in confidence? – Unraveling the determinants of globalized digital currencies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    90. Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Billah, Mabruk & Alam, Md Rafayet & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2024. "Gold-backed cryptocurrencies: A hedging tool against categorical and regional financial stress," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    91. Ştefan Cristian Gherghina & Liliana Nicoleta Simionescu, 2023. "Exploring the asymmetric effect of COVID-19 pandemic news on the cryptocurrency market: evidence from nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag approach and frequency domain causality," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-58, December.
    92. Jareño, Francisco & González, María de la O. & López, Raquel & Ramos, Ana Rosa, 2021. "Cryptocurrencies and oil price shocks: A NARDL analysis in the COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    93. Dunbar, Kwamie & Owusu-Amoako, Johnson, 2022. "Hedging the extreme risk of cryptocurrency," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    94. Bouri, Elie & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Lucey, Brian & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Trading volume and the predictability of return and volatility in the cryptocurrency market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 340-346.
    95. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Adewuyi, Adeolu O. & Albulescu, Claudiu T. & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Empirical evidence of extreme dependence and contagion risk between main cryptocurrencies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    96. Dastgir, Shabbir & Demir, Ender & Downing, Gareth & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2019. "The causal relationship between Bitcoin attention and Bitcoin returns: Evidence from the Copula-based Granger causality test," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 160-164.
    97. R. K. Jana & Indranil Ghosh & Debojyoti Das, 2021. "A differential evolution-based regression framework for forecasting Bitcoin price," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 306(1), pages 295-320, November.
    98. Muhammad Ali Nasir & Toan Luu Duc Huynh & Sang Phu Nguyen & Duy Duong, 2019. "Forecasting cryptocurrency returns and volume using search engines," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 1-13, December.
    99. Osman, Myriam Ben & Urom, Christian & Guesmi, Khaled & Benkraiem, Ramzi, 2024. "Economic sentiment and the cryptocurrency market in the post-COVID-19 era," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    100. Ahmed Bossman & Mariya Gubareva & Samuel Kwaku Agyei & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2024. "When you need them, they are not there: hedge capacities of cryptocurrencies disappear in downtrend markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-38, December.

  361. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Constantinos Katrakilidis & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Role of Macroeconomic Shocks on House Prices in the US and UK: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201765, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Changing Dynamics of the U.S. REITs Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-12, May.
    2. Jinwoong Lee, 2024. "What factors drive house prices in the USA? Sign restricted VAR approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(6), pages 2533-2556, June.
    3. Petre Caraiani & Adrian C. Călin & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Monetary policy and bubbles in US REITs," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 675-687, June.
    4. MeiChi Huang, 2025. "Revisiting housing asset pricing: uncertainty and business-cycle factors in US state-level housing markets," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 74(1), pages 1-25, March.
    5. Holmes, Mark J. & Otero, Jesús & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2019. "Property heterogeneity and convergence club formation among local house prices," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 1-13.
    6. Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2022. "Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on Housing Prices in the United States: The Role of Sentiment," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 241-261, July.
    7. Huang, MeiChi, 2024. "A greater crisis? Investigating MSA-level housing markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    8. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the co-movement of regional housing prices of the United Kingdom," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-22, December.
    9. Wendy Nyakabawo & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2018. "High-Frequency Impact of Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Surprises on US MSAs and Aggregate US Housing Returns and Volatility: A GJR-GARCH Approach," Working Papers 201817, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Mehmet Balcilar & Gizem Uzuner & Festus Victor Bekun & Mark E. Wohar, 2023. "Housing price uncertainty and housing prices in the UK in a time-varying environment," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 523-549, May.
    11. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Uncertainty and Predictability of Real Housing Returns in the United Kingdom: A Regional Analysis," Working Papers 202102, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Mikhail Stolbov & Maria Shchepeleva, 2023. "Sentiment-based indicators of real estate market stress and systemic risk: international evidence," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 355-382, September.
    13. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    14. Wendy Nyakabawo & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2018. "High Frequency Impact Of Monetary Policy And Macroeconomic Surprises On Us Msas, Aggregate Us Housing Returns And Asymmetric Volatility," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 22(1), pages 204-229, December.

  362. Christophe André & Tsangyao Chang & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Current Account Sustainability in G7 and BRICS: Evidence from a Long Memory Model with Structural Breaks," Working Papers 201705, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Monastiriotis, Vassilis & Tunali, Cigdem Borke, 2020. "The sustainability of external imbalances in the European periphery," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 101540, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. António Afonso & José Alves & José Carlos Coelho & Jamel Saadaoui, 2025. "Fiscal and External Sustainability: A Two-Step Time-Varying Granger Causality Assessment," CESifo Working Paper Series 11694, CESifo.
    3. Erhan Oruç, 2024. "Sustainability of the Current Account in Developing Countries: A Fourier Wavelet-Based Unit Root Test," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-14, August.
    4. Antonio Afonso & Florence Huart & João Tovar Jalles & Piotr Stanek, 2019. "Long-run relationship between exports and imports: current account sustainability tests for the EU," Post-Print hal-02499351, HAL.
    5. Zhai, Weiyang & Yoshida, Yushi, 2020. "Revisiting the Glick-Rogoff Current Account Model: An Application to the Current Accounts of BRICS Countries," MPRA Paper 99446, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  363. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Volatility Spillovers across Global Asset Classes: Evidence from Time and Frequency Domains," Working Papers 201780, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Volker Seiler, 2024. "The relationship between Chinese and FOB prices of rare earth elements – Evidence in the time and frequency domain," Post-Print hal-04549980, HAL.
    2. Samrat Goswami & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Historical Volatility of Advanced Equity Markets: The Role of Local and Global Crises," Working Papers 201931, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Christophe André & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Spillovers between US real estate and financial assets in time and frequency domains," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 38(6), pages 525-537, April.
    4. Gök, Remzi & Bouri, Elie & Gemici, Eray, 2023. "Volatility spillovers between sovereign CDS and futures markets in various volatility states: Evidence from an emerging economy around the pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    5. Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020. "Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
    6. Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures," Working Papers 201925, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Honghai Yu & Wangyu Chu & Yu’ang Ding & Xuezhou Zhao, 2021. "Risk contagion of global stock markets under COVID‐19:A network connectedness method," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(4), pages 5745-5782, December.
    8. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Investor Confidence and Forecastability of US Stock Market Realized Volatility : Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202118, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Liow, Kim Hiang & Song, Jeong Seop, 2022. "Frequency volatility connectedness and market integration in international real estate investment trusts," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    10. Mitra, Subrata Kumar & Chattopadhyay, Manojit & Jana, R.K., 2019. "Spillover analysis of tourist movements within Europe," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    11. Huang, Wei-Qiang & Liu, Peipei, 2023. "Cross-market risk spillovers among sovereign CDS, stock, foreign exchange and commodity markets: An interacting network perspective," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    12. Lovcha, Yuliya & Perez-Laborda, Alejandro, 2020. "Dynamic frequency connectedness between oil and natural gas volatilities," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 181-189.
    13. Bouri, Elie & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2021. "Volatility connectedness of major cryptocurrencies: The role of investor happiness," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    14. Kang, Sang Hoon & Maitra, Debasish & Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Brooks, Robert, 2019. "Dynamic spillovers and connectedness between stock, commodities, bonds, and VIX markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    15. Yimin Wu & Rosmanjawati Abdul Rahman & Qiuju Yu, 2025. "Can the price fluctuations of Shanghai crude oil futures affect Asian financial markets? Evidence from the time and frequency dynamics analysis of spillover connectedness," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 24(2), pages 241-269, May.
    16. Muneer Shaik & Mohd Ziaur Rehman, 2023. "The Dynamic Volatility Connectedness of Major Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Stock Indices: Evidence Based on DCC-GARCH Model," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(1), pages 231-246, March.
    17. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Aloui, Chaker & Jammazi, Rania, 2020. "On the interplay between US sectoral CDS, stock and VIX indices: Fresh insights from wavelet approaches," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    18. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    19. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    20. Linh Pham, 2021. "How Integrated are Regional Green Equity Markets? Evidence from a Cross-Quantilogram Approach," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-58, January.
    21. Iwanicz-Drozdowska, Małgorzata & Rogowicz, Karol & Kurowski, Łukasz & Smaga, Paweł, 2021. "Two decades of contagion effect on stock markets: Which events are more contagious?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    22. Achraf Ghorbel & Wajdi Frikha & Yasmine Snene Manzli, 2022. "Testing for asymmetric non-linear short- and long-run relationships between crypto-currencies and stock markets," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(3), pages 387-425, September.
    23. Chien-Fu Chen & Shu-hen Chiang, 2020. "Time-varying spillovers among first-tier housing markets in China," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 57(4), pages 844-864, March.
    24. Disli, Mustafa & Nagayev, Ruslan & Salim, Kinan & Rizkiah, Siti K. & Aysan, Ahmet F., 2021. "In search of safe haven assets during COVID-19 pandemic: An empirical analysis of different investor types," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    25. Warshaw, Evan, 2020. "Asymmetric volatility spillover between European equity and foreign exchange markets: Evidence from the frequency domain," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 1-14.
    26. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    27. Mensi, Walid & Nekhili, Ramzi & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Quantile connectedness and spillovers analysis between oil and international REIT markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    28. ALIU Florin & NUHIU Artor & KNAPKOVA Adriana & LUBISHTANI Ermal & TRAN Khang, 2021. "Do Cryptocurrencies Offer Diversification Benefits For Equity Portfolios?," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 16(2), pages 5-18, August.
    29. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Saban Nazlioglu & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Causality between Bond and Oil Markets of the United States: Evidence from Over One and Half Centuries of Data," Working Papers 202006, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    30. Cui, Jinxin & Goh, Mark & Li, Binlin & Zou, Huiwen, 2021. "Dynamic dependence and risk connectedness among oil and stock markets: New evidence from time-frequency domain perspectives," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    31. Peterson Owusu Junior & Imhotep Alagidede & George Tweneboah, 2020. "Shape-shift contagion in emerging markets equities: evidence from frequency- and time-domain analysis," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 9(3), pages 146-156.
    32. Yin, Libo & Cao, Hong, 2024. "The propagation effect of climate risks on global stock markets: Evidence from the time and space domains," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    33. Tangyong Liu & Xu Gong & Boqiang Lin, 2021. "Analyzing the frequency dynamics of volatility spillovers across precious and industrial metal markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(9), pages 1375-1396, September.
    34. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    35. Mukhriz Izraf Azman Aziz & Norzalina Ahmad & Jin Zichu & Safwan Mohd Nor, 2022. "The Impact of COVID-19 on the Connectedness of Stock Index in ASEAN+3 Economies," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-22, April.
    36. António Afonso & José Alves & Wojciech Grabowski & Sofia Monteiro, 2025. "Stock and Sovereign Returns Linkages: Time-Varying Causality and Extreme-Quantile Determinants," CESifo Working Paper Series 11667, CESifo.
    37. Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Rojo, María Fátima Romero, 2020. "Cryptocurrencies and stock market indices. Are they related?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    38. He, Xie & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2024. "Asymmetric Higher-Moment spillovers between sustainable and traditional investments," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    39. Tiantian Liu & Tadahiro Nakajima & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2022. "The impact of economic uncertainty caused by COVID-19 on renewable energy stocks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 1495-1515, April.
    40. Vaclav Broz & Evzen Kocenda, 2019. "Mortgage-Related Bank Penalties and Systemic Risk Among U.S. Banks," Working Papers IES 2019/25, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Sep 2019.
    41. Nazlioglu, Saban & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2020. "Movements in international bond markets: The role of oil prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 47-58.
    42. Yuki Toyoshima & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2018. "Measuring the Time-Frequency Dynamics of Return and Volatility Connectedness in Global Crude Oil Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-18, October.
    43. Zhuhua Jiang & Rim El Khoury & Muneer M. Alshater & Seong‐Min Yoon, 2024. "Impact of global macroeconomic factors on spillovers among Australian sector markets: Fresh findings from a wavelet‐based analysis," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(1), pages 78-105, March.
    44. Imran Yousaf & Manel Youssef & Mariya Gubareva, 2024. "Return and volatility spillovers between non-fungible tokens and conventional currencies: evidence from the TVP-VAR model," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-22, December.
    45. Tangyong Liu & Xu Gong & Lizhi Tang, 2022. "The uncertainty spillovers of China's economic policy: Evidence from time and frequency domains," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4541-4555, October.
    46. Ehsan Bagheri & Seyed Babak Ebrahimi & Arman Mohammadi & Mahsa Miri & Stelios Bekiros, 2022. "The Dynamic Volatility Connectedness Structure of Energy Futures and Global Financial Markets: Evidence From a Novel Time–Frequency Domain Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(3), pages 1087-1111, March.
    47. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wang, Shixuan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    48. Baklaci, Hasan Fehmi & Aydoğan, Berna & Yelkenci, Tezer, 2020. "Impact of stock market trading on currency market volatility spillovers," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    49. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Dam, Mehmet Metin & Altıntaş, Halil & Bekun, Festus Victor, 2025. "The dynamic connectedness between oil price shocks and emerging market economies stock markets: Evidence from new approaches," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    50. Liew, Ping-Xin & Lim, Kian-Ping & Goh, Kim-Leng, 2022. "The dynamics and determinants of liquidity connectedness across financial asset markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 341-358.
    51. Siran Fang & Yunjie Wei & Shouyang Wang, 2024. "30 years of exchange rate analysis and forecasting: A bibliometric review," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(3), pages 973-1007, July.
    52. Spyros Papathanasiou & Dimitris Kenourgios & Drosos Koutsokostas & Georgios Pergeris, 2023. "Can treasury inflation-protected securities safeguard investors from outward risk spillovers? A portfolio hedging strategy through the prism of COVID-19," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(3), pages 198-211, May.
    53. Ringstad, Ingrid Emilie Flessum & Tselika, Kyriaki, 2024. "Connectedness between green bonds, clean energy markets and carbon quota prices: Time and frequency dynamics," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    54. Ana Alzate-Ortega & Natalia Garzón & Jesús Molina-Muñoz, 2024. "Volatility Spillovers in Emerging Markets: Oil Shocks, Energy, Stocks, and Gold," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-19, January.
    55. Kai Shi, 2021. "Spillovers of Stock Markets among the BRICS: New Evidence in Time and Frequency Domains before the Outbreak of COVID-19 Pandemic," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-37, March.
    56. Umar, Zaghum & Abrar, Afsheen & Hadhri, Sinda & Sokolova, Tatiana, 2023. "The connectedness of oil shocks, green bonds, sukuks and conventional bonds," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    57. Jiang, Wei & Dong, Lingfei & Liu, Xinyi, 2023. "How does COVID-19 affect the spillover effects of green finance, carbon markets, and renewable/non-renewable energy markets? Evidence from China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
    58. Papathanasiou, Spyros & Dokas, Ioannis & Koutsokostas, Drosos, 2022. "Value investing versus other investment strategies: A volatility spillover approach and portfolio hedging strategies for investors," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    59. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Billah, Mabruk & Alam, Md. Kausar, 2024. "Connectedness across meme assets and sectoral markets: Determinants and portfolio management," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    60. Cevik, Emrah Ismail & Gunay, Samet & Zafar, Muhammad Wasif & Destek, Mehmet Akif & Bugan, Mehmet Fatih & Tuna, Fatih, 2022. "The impact of digital finance on the natural resource market: Evidence from DeFi, oil, and gold," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    61. Samitas, Aristeidis & Papathanasiou, Spyros & Koutsokostas, Drosos & Kampouris, Elias, 2022. "Volatility spillovers between fine wine and major global markets during COVID-19: A portfolio hedging strategy for investors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 629-642.
    62. Ali, Sajid & Raza, Naveed & Vinh Vo, Xuan & Le, Van, 2022. "Modelling the joint dynamics of financial assets using MGARCH family models: Insights into hedging and diversification strategies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    63. Jiang, Junhua & Piljak, Vanja & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Äijö, Janne, 2020. "Frequency volatility connectedness across different industries in China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    64. Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Fiza Qureshi & Saqib Farid & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Mohamed Elheddad, 2024. "Time-frequency information transmission among financial markets: evidence from implied volatility," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 334(1), pages 701-729, March.
    65. Nader Trabelsi, 2018. "Are There Any Volatility Spill-Over Effects among Cryptocurrencies and Widely Traded Asset Classes?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-17, October.
    66. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Hamouda, Foued & Karim, Sitara & Vigne, Samuel A., 2023. "Return and volatility spillovers among global assets: Comparing health crisis with geopolitical crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 557-575.
    67. Xie He & Tetsuya Takiguchi & Tadahiro Nakajima & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2020. "Spillover effects between energies, gold, and stock: the United States versus China," Energy & Environment, , vol. 31(8), pages 1416-1447, December.
    68. Shah, Adil Ahmad & Dar, Arif Billah, 2022. "Asymmetric, time and frequency-based spillover transmission in financial and commodity markets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    69. He, Xie & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2021. "Is volatility spillover enough for investor decisions? A new viewpoint from higher moments," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    70. Mário Nuno Mata & Muhammad Najib Razali & Sónia R. Bentes & Isabel Vieira, 2021. "Volatility Spillover Effect of Pan-Asia’s Property Portfolio Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-20, June.
    71. Iwanicz-Drozdowska Małgorzata & Rogowicz Karol & Smaga Paweł, 2023. "Market-moving events and their role in portfolio optimization of generations X, Y, and Z," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 59(4), pages 371-397, December.
    72. Tiantian Liu & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2020. "Spillovers to Renewable Energy Stocks in the US and Europe: Are They Different?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-28, June.
    73. Roy, Archi & Soni, Anchal & Deb, Soudeep, 2023. "A wavelet-based methodology to compare the impact of pandemic versus Russia–Ukraine conflict on crude oil sector and its interconnectedness with other energy and non-energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    74. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Jacobus A Nel & Xin Sheng, 2020. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty Spillovers in Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 202005, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    75. Sun, Qingru & Gao, Xiangyun & An, Haizhong & Guo, Sui & Liu, Xueyong & Wang, Ze, 2021. "Which time-frequency domain dominates spillover in the Chinese energy stock market?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    76. Li, Haiping & Semeyutin, Artur & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Gozgor, Giray, 2020. "The relationship between oil and financial markets in emerging economies: The significant role of Kazakhstan as the oil exporting country," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    77. Ivanovski, Kris & Hailemariam, Abebe, 2023. "Forecasting the stock-cryptocurrency relationship: Evidence from a dynamic GAS model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 97-111.
    78. Billah, Mabruk & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Hadhri, Sinda, 2023. "Asymmetric relationship between green bonds and Sukuk markets: The role of global risk factors," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    79. Anwer, Zaheer & Khan, Ashraf & Kabir Hassan, M. & Rashid, Mamunur, 2022. "Does the regional proximity lead to exchange rate spillover?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    80. Wenting Zhang & Xie He & Tadahiro Nakajima & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2020. "How Does the Spillover among Natural Gas, Crude Oil, and Electricity Utility Stocks Change over Time? Evidence from North America and Europe," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-26, February.
    81. Ferrer, Román & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & López, Raquel & Jareño, Francisco, 2018. "Time and frequency dynamics of connectedness between renewable energy stocks and crude oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 1-20.
    82. Su, Zhi & Liu, Peng & Fang, Tong, 2022. "Uncertainty matters in US financial information spillovers: Evidence from a directed acyclic graph approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 229-242.
    83. Li, Zheng-Zheng & Li, Yameng & Huang, Chia-Yun & Peculea, Adelina Dumitrescu, 2023. "Volatility spillover across Chinese carbon markets: Evidence from quantile connectedness method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    84. Bai, Lan & Zhang, Xuhui & Liu, Yuntong & Wang, Qian, 2019. "Economic risk contagion among major economies: New evidence from EPU spillover analysis in time and frequency domains," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    85. Sangram Keshari Jena & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Ashutosh Dash & Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah, 2021. "Volatility Spillover Dynamics between Large-, Mid-, and Small-Cap Stocks in the Time-Frequency Domain: Implications for Portfolio Management," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-22, November.

  364. Francis Leni Anguyo & Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2017. "Monetary Policy and Financial Frictions in a Small Open-Economy Model for Uganda," School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series 2017-01, School of Economics, University of Cape Town.

    Cited by:

    1. Mohamed, Abdoulaye Aboubacari & de Araujo, Jevuks Matheus & Cintado, Alejandro C. García, 2024. "Navigating post-Covid-19 economic recovery in WAEMU: A DSGE approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 707-724.

  365. Goodness C. Aye & Matthew W. Clance & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Effect of Economic Uncertainty on the Housing Market Cycle," Working Papers 201757, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "House price synchronization across the US states: The role of structural oil shocks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    3. Carolyn Chisadza, 2020. "Leaders and Tenures in Sub‐Saharan Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(3), pages 323-340, September.
    4. Nyakundi M. Michieka & Richard S. Gearhart & Noha A. Razek, 2024. "Oil Price Dynamics and Housing Demand in Oil Producing Counties in the U.S," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 48(2), pages 483-512, June.
    5. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the co-movement of regional housing prices of the United Kingdom," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-22, December.
    6. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Christophe Andre & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Housing Returns and Volatility: Evidence from US State-Level Data," Working Papers 202131, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    8. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "How do Housing Returns in Emerging Countries Respond to Oil Shocks? A MIDAS Touch," Working Papers 201946, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Uncertainty and Predictability of Real Housing Returns in the United Kingdom: A Regional Analysis," Working Papers 202102, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    11. Linyan Dai & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Impact of Uncertainty on State-Level Housing Markets of the United States: The Role of Social Cohesion," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-9, March.
    12. Taufiq Choudhry, 2020. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and House Prices: Evidence from Geographical Regions of England and Wales," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 48(2), pages 504-529, June.
    13. Huang, Wei-Ling & Lin, Wen-Yuan & Ning, Shao-Lin, 2020. "The effect of economic policy uncertainty on China’s housing market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

  366. Giorgio Canarella & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller & Stephen K. Pollard, 2017. "Unemployment Rate Hysteresis and the Great Recession: Exploring the Metropolitan Evidence," Working Papers 201740, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Juan Carlos Cuestas & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2022. "Unemployment hysteresis by sex and education attainment in the EU," Working Papers 2022/06, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    2. Dilem Yıldırım & Dilan Aydın, 2021. "One Crisis After Another: A Dynamic Unemployment Persistence Analysis For The Gips Countries," ERC Working Papers 2102, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Apr 2021.
    3. Klinger, Sabine & Weber, Enzo, 2015. "Detecting unemployment hysteresis : a simultaneous unobserved components model with Markov switching," IAB-Discussion Paper 201528, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    4. Klinger, Sabine & Weber, Enzo, 2015. "GDP-Employment Decoupling and the Productivity Puzzle in Germany," University of Regensburg Working Papers in Business, Economics and Management Information Systems 485, University of Regensburg, Department of Economics.
    5. Klinger, Sabine & Weber, Enzo, 2019. "GDP-Employment decoupling and the slow-down of productivity growth in Germany," IAB-Discussion Paper 201912, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    6. Iman Cheratian & Saleh Goltabar & Luis A. Gil-Alaña, 2023. "The unemployment hysteresis by territory, gender, and age groups in Iran," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 1-18, February.
    7. Klinger, Sabine & Weber, Enzo, 2020. "GDP-employment decoupling in Germany," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 82-98.
    8. Ifedolapo Olabisi Olanipekun & Seyi Saint Akadiri & Osundina Olawumi & Festus Victor Bekun, 2017. "Does Labor Market Hysteresis Hold in Low Income Countries?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 19-23.

  367. Esin Cakan & Rıza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Josine Uwilingiye, 2017. "A Note on the Technology Herd: Evidence from Large Institutional Investors," Working Papers 201761, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Bao, Te & Ma, Mengzhong & Wen, Yonggang, 2023. "Herding in the non-fungible token (NFT) market," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    2. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel, 2020. "COVID-19 Pandemic and Investor Herding in International Stock Markets," Working Papers 202089, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Andrikopoulos, Panagiotis & Gebka, Bartosz & Kallinterakis, Vasileios, 2021. "Regulatory mood-congruence and herding: Evidence from cannabis stocks," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 842-864.

  368. Adnen Ben Nasr & Juncal Cunado & Rıza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Country Risk Ratings and Stock Market Returns in BRICS Countries: A Nonlinear Dynamic Approach," Working Papers 201758, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Hasan Dinçer & Serhat Yüksel & Seçil Şenel, 2018. "Analyzing the Global Risks for the Financial Crisis after the Great Depression Using Comparative Hybrid Hesitant Fuzzy Decision-Making Models: Policy Recommendations for Sustainable Economic Growth," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-15, September.

  369. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Persistence, Mean Reversion and Nonlinearities in Inflation Rates of Developed and Developing Countries Using Over One Century of Data," Working Papers 201713, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Nuruddeen Usman & Luis Alberiko Gil‐Alana, 2025. "Inflation Persistence in the G7: The Effects of the Covid‐19 Pandemic and of the Russia‐Ukraine War," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 93(3), pages 281-288, June.
    2. Nicholas Apergis, 2024. "Euro area inflation in the era of COVID‐19: A permanent or a transitory phenomenon?," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 92(3), pages 231-245, June.

  370. Qiang Ji & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2017. "Network Causality Structures among Bitcoin and other Financial Assets: A Directed Acyclic Graph Approach," Working Papers 201729, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Bouri, Elie & Lucey, Brian & Roubaud, David, 2020. "Cryptocurrencies and the downside risk in equity investments," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    2. Fang, Libing & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Does global economic uncertainty matter for the volatility and hedging effectiveness of Bitcoin?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 29-36.
    3. Ghabri, Yosra & Ben Rhouma, Oussama & Gana, Marjène & Guesmi, Khaled & Benkraiem, Ramzi, 2022. "Information transmission among energy markets, cryptocurrencies, and stablecoins under pandemic conditions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    4. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Herding behaviour in cryptocurrencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 216-221.
    5. Haffar, Adlane & Le Fur, Éric, 2022. "Time-varying dependence of Bitcoin," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 211-220.
    6. Jareño, Francisco & González, María de la O & Tolentino, Marta & Sierra, Karen, 2020. "Bitcoin and gold price returns: A quantile regression and NARDL analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    7. Omane-Adjepong, Maurice & Ababio, Kofi Agyarko & Alagidede, Imhotep Paul, 2019. "Time-frequency analysis of behaviourally classified financial asset markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 54-69.
    8. Narayan, Shivani & Kumar, Dilip, 2024. "Unveiling interconnectedness and risk spillover among cryptocurrencies and other asset classes," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    9. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Roubaud, David & Wang, Shixuan, 2018. "Bitcoin and global financial stress: A copula-based approach to dependence and causality in the quantiles," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 297-307.
    10. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Elie Bouri & Sang Hoon Kang & Tareq Saeed, 2021. "Regime specific spillover across cryptocurrencies and the role of COVID-19," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-24, December.
    11. Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad & Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David & Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2020. "Safe haven, hedge and diversification for G7 stock markets: Gold versus bitcoin," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 212-224.
    12. Bouri, Elie & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Saeed, Tareq, 2021. "Return equicorrelation in the cryptocurrency market: Analysis and determinants," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    13. Telli, Şahin & Chen, Hongzhuan, 2020. "Multifractal behavior in return and volatility series of Bitcoin and gold in comparison," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    14. Singh, Sanjeet & Bansal, Pooja & Bhardwaj, Nav, 2022. "Correlation between geopolitical risk, economic policy uncertainty, and Bitcoin using partial and multiple wavelet coherence in P5 + 1 nations," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    15. Jin, Changlun & Tian, Xiujuan, 2024. "Enhanced safe-haven status of Bitcoin: Evidence from the Silicon Valley Bank collapse," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    16. Matkovskyy, Roman, 2019. "Centralized and decentralized bitcoin markets: Euro vs USD vs GBP," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 270-279.
    17. Mensi, Walid & Sensoy, Ahmet & Aslan, Aylin & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2019. "High-frequency asymmetric volatility connectedness between Bitcoin and major precious metals markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    18. Mohamed Yousfi & Abderrazak Dhaoui & Houssam Bouzgarrou, 2021. "Risk Spillover during the COVID-19 Global Pandemic and Portfolio Management," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-29, May.
    19. Telli, Şahin & Chen, Hongzhuan, 2020. "Structural breaks and trend awareness-based interaction in crypto markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 558(C).
    20. Yang Zhou & Chi Xie & Gang-Jin Wang & Jue Gong & You Zhu, 2025. "Forecasting cryptocurrency volatility: a novel framework based on the evolving multiscale graph neural network," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-52, December.
    21. Corbet, Shaen & Lucey, Brian & Urquhart, Andrew & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2019. "Cryptocurrencies as a financial asset: A systematic analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 182-199.
    22. Bouteska, Ahmed & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Hajek, Petr & Yuan, Kunpeng, 2024. "Cryptocurrency price forecasting – A comparative analysis of ensemble learning and deep learning methods," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    23. Beatrice Foroni & Luca Merlo & Lea Petrella, 2023. "Expectile hidden Markov regression models for analyzing cryptocurrency returns," Papers 2301.09722, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    24. Ji, Qiang & Bouri, Elie & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Dynamic connectedness and integration in cryptocurrency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 257-272.
    25. Walid Bakry & Audil Rashid & Somar Al-Mohamad & Nasser El-Kanj, 2021. "Bitcoin and Portfolio Diversification: A Portfolio Optimization Approach," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-24, June.
    26. Bouteska, Ahmed & Sharif, Taimur & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2023. "Volatility spillovers and other dynamics between cryptocurrencies and the energy and bond markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 1-13.
    27. Kristjanpoller, Werner & Bouri, Elie & Takaishi, Tetsuya, 2020. "Cryptocurrencies and equity funds: Evidence from an asymmetric multifractal analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
    28. Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Tomasz Stanisz & Marcin Wk{a}torek, 2020. "Complexity in economic and social systems: cryptocurrency market at around COVID-19," Papers 2009.10030, arXiv.org.
    29. Elie Bouri & Mahamitra Das & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2018. "Spillovers between Bitcoin and other Assets during Bear and Bull Markets," Working Papers 201812, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    30. Zhao, Mingguo & Park, Hail, 2024. "Quantile time-frequency spillovers among green bonds, cryptocurrencies, and conventional financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    31. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Amine Lahiani & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2018. "Testing for asymmetric nonlinear short- and long-run relationships between bitcoin, aggregate commodity and gold prices," Post-Print hal-03533197, HAL.
    32. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & David Roubaud, 2019. "Risk Aversion and Bitcoin Returns in Normal, Bull, and Bear Markets," Working Papers 201927, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Aggarwal, Divya & Chandrasekaran, Shabana & Annamalai, Balamurugan, 2020. "A complete empirical ensemble mode decomposition and support vector machine-based approach to predict Bitcoin prices," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    34. Achraf Ghorbel & Wajdi Frikha & Yasmine Snene Manzli, 2022. "Testing for asymmetric non-linear short- and long-run relationships between crypto-currencies and stock markets," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(3), pages 387-425, September.
    35. Enilov, Martin & Mensi, Walid & Stankov, Petar, 2023. "Does safe haven exist? Tail risks of commodity markets during COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    36. Nguyen, Bao Khac Quoc & Pham, Dung Thi Ngoc, 2025. "Investing during a Fintech revolution: The hedge and safe haven properties of Bitcoin and Ethereum," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
    37. Wang, Gang-Jin & Xie, Chi & Wen, Danyan & Zhao, Longfeng, 2019. "When Bitcoin meets economic policy uncertainty (EPU): Measuring risk spillover effect from EPU to Bitcoin," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    38. Jihed Majdoub & Salim Ben Sassi & Azza Bejaoui, 2021. "Can fiat currencies really hedge Bitcoin? Evidence from dynamic short-term perspective," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(2), pages 789-816, December.
    39. Hung, Jui-Cheng & Liu, Hung-Chun & Jimmy Yang, J., 2024. "The economic value of Bitcoin: A volatility timing perspective with portfolio rebalancing," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    40. Bouri, Elie & Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad & Roubaud, David, 2020. "Cryptocurrencies as hedges and safe-havens for US equity sectors," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 294-307.
    41. Kun Guo & Yuxin Kang & Qiang Ji & Dayong Zhang, 2024. "Cryptocurrencies under climate shocks: a dynamic network analysis of extreme risk spillovers," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-39, December.
    42. Mo, Bin & Meng, Juan & Zheng, Liping, 2022. "Time and frequency dynamics of connectedness between cryptocurrencies and commodity markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    43. Shi, Yongjing & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Gozgor, Giray & Lu, Zhou, 2020. "Correlations among cryptocurrencies: Evidence from multivariate factor stochastic volatility model," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    44. Svetoslav Borisov, 2024. "Bitcoin – Hedge or Speculative Asset: Analysis of Its Role and Nature," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 5, pages 148-170.
    45. Esther Cabezas-Rivas & Felipe S'anchez-Coll & Isaac Tormo-Xaixo, 2023. "Chance or Chaos? Fractal geometry aimed to inspect the nature of Bitcoin," Papers 2309.00390, arXiv.org.
    46. Charfeddine, Lanouar & Benlagha, Noureddine & Maouchi, Youcef, 2020. "Investigating the dynamic relationship between cryptocurrencies and conventional assets: Implications for financial investors," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 198-217.
    47. Nguyen, Thai Vu Hong & Nguyen, Binh Thanh & Nguyen, Kien Son & Pham, Huy, 2019. "Asymmetric monetary policy effects on cryptocurrency markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 335-339.
    48. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Shu-Jiao, 2021. "Risk spillover between Bitcoin and conventional financial markets: An expectile-based approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    49. Katsiampa, Paraskevi & Corbet, Shaen & Lucey, Brian, 2019. "High frequency volatility co-movements in cryptocurrency markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 35-52.
    50. Fang, Tong & Su, Zhi & Yin, Libo, 2020. "Economic fundamentals or investor perceptions? The role of uncertainty in predicting long-term cryptocurrency volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    51. Yi, Shuyue & Xu, Zishuang & Wang, Gang-Jin, 2018. "Volatility connectedness in the cryptocurrency market: Is Bitcoin a dominant cryptocurrency?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 98-114.
    52. Chu, Jeffrey & Chan, Stephen & Zhang, Yuanyuan, 2021. "Bitcoin versus high-performance technology stocks in diversifying against global stock market indices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 580(C).
    53. Pham, Son Duy & Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Do, Hung Xuan, 2022. "Dynamic volatility connectedness between thermal coal futures and major cryptocurrencies: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    54. Berndt Jesenko & Christian Schlögl, 2021. "The effect of web of science subject categories on clustering: the case of data-driven methods in business and economic sciences," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 126(8), pages 6785-6801, August.
    55. Kristjanpoller, Werner & Bouri, Elie, 2019. "Asymmetric multifractal cross-correlations between the main world currencies and the main cryptocurrencies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 1057-1071.
    56. Sawsen Bouker & Faysal Mansouri, 2022. "Sovereign contagion risk measure across financial markets in the eurozone: a bivariate copulas and Markov Regime Switching ARMA based approaches," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 158(2), pages 615-711, May.
    57. Qureshi, Saba & Aftab, Muhammad & Bouri, Elie & Saeed, Tareq, 2020. "Dynamic interdependence of cryptocurrency markets: An analysis across time and frequency," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 559(C).
    58. Lamia Kalai, 2022. "Time Varying Dependence in the Cryptocurrency Market and COVID 19 Panic Index: An Empirical Investigation," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 12(2), pages 37-51, March.
    59. Philippas, Dionisis & Philippas, Nikolaos & Tziogkidis, Panagiotis & Rjiba, Hatem, 2020. "Signal-herding in cryptocurrencies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    60. Xiaochun Guo, 2024. "Exploring Bitcoin dynamics against the backdrop of COVID-19: an investigation of major global events," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-25, December.
    61. Li, Xingyi & Gan, Kai & Zhou, Qi, 2023. "Dynamic volatility connectedness among cryptocurrencies and China's financial assets in standard times and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    62. Rasoul Amirzadeh & Asef Nazari & Dhananjay Thiruvady & Mong Shan Ee, 2023. "Modelling Determinants of Cryptocurrency Prices: A Bayesian Network Approach," Papers 2303.16148, arXiv.org.
    63. Li, Zhenghui & Mo, Bin & Nie, He, 2023. "Time and frequency dynamic connectedness between cryptocurrencies and financial assets in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 46-57.
    64. Okorie, David Iheke & Lin, Boqiang, 2020. "Crude oil price and cryptocurrencies: Evidence of volatility connectedness and hedging strategy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    65. Chemkha, Rahma & BenSaïda, Ahmed & Ghorbel, Ahmed, 2021. "Connectedness between cryptocurrencies and foreign exchange markets: Implication for risk management," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    66. Zhu, Chunli & Wu, Jianping & Liu, Mingyu & Wang, Linyang & Li, Duowei & Kouvelas, Anastasios, 2021. "Recovery preparedness of global air transport influenced by COVID-19 pandemic: Policy intervention analysis," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 54-63.
    67. Ren, Boru & Lucey, Brian, 2022. "A clean, green haven?—Examining the relationship between clean energy, clean and dirty cryptocurrencies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    68. Yosra Ghabri & Luu Duc Toan Huynh & Muhammad Ali Nasir, 2024. "Volatility spillovers, hedging and safe‐havens under pandemics: All that glitters is not gold!," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 1318-1344, April.
    69. Ihsan Erdem Kayral & Ahmed Jeribi & Sahar Loukil, 2023. "Are Bitcoin and Gold a Safe Haven during COVID-19 and the 2022 Russia–Ukraine War?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-22, April.
    70. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Demir, Ender & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2019. "Effects of the geopolitical risks on Bitcoin returns and volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 511-518.
    71. Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Do Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies jump together?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 396-409.
    72. Haffar, Adlane & Le Fur, Eric, 2021. "Structural vector error correction modelling of Bitcoin price," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 170-178.
    73. Konstantinos Gkillas & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2020. "Spillovers in Higher-Order Moments of Crude Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin," Working Papers 202068, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    74. Jiang, Yonghong & Lie, Jiayi & Wang, Jieru & Mu, Jinqi, 2021. "Revisiting the roles of cryptocurrencies in stock markets: A quantile coherency perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 21-34.
    75. Moussa, Wajdi & Mgadmi, Nidhal & Béjaoui, Azza & Regaieg, Rym, 2021. "Exploring the dynamic relationship between Bitcoin and commodities: New insights through STECM model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    76. Bazán-Palomino, Walter, 2023. "The increased interest in Bitcoin and the immediate and long-term impact of Bitcoin volatility on global stock markets," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1080-1095.
    77. Sercan Demiralay & Selçuk Bayracı, 2021. "Should stock investors include cryptocurrencies in their portfolios after all? Evidence from a conditional diversification benefits measure," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 6188-6204, October.
    78. Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Marcin Wk{a}torek & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z, 2021. "Cryptocurrency Market Consolidation in 2020--2021," Papers 2112.06552, arXiv.org.
    79. Apergis, Nicholas, 2023. "Realized higher-order moments spillovers across cryptocurrencies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    80. Sokhanvar, Amin & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2024. "Comparative analysis of responses of risky and safe haven assets to stock market risk before and after the yield curve inversions in the U.S," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    81. Seyed Alireza Athari & Ngo Thai Hung, 2022. "Time–frequency return co-movement among asset classes around the COVID-19 outbreak: portfolio implications," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(4), pages 736-756, October.
    82. Zeng, Ting & Yang, Mengying & Shen, Yifan, 2020. "Fancy Bitcoin and conventional financial assets: Measuring market integration based on connectedness networks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 209-220.
    83. Bassam A. Ibrahim & Ahmed A. Elamer & Thamir H. Alasker & Marwa A. Mohamed & Hussein A. Abdou, 2024. "Volatility contagion between cryptocurrencies, gold and stock markets pre-and-during COVID-19: evidence using DCC-GARCH and cascade-correlation network," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-28, December.
    84. Bouri, Elie & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Roubaud, David & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Lucey, Brian, 2020. "Bitcoin, gold, and commodities as safe havens for stocks: New insight through wavelet analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 156-164.
    85. Böyükaslan, Adem & Ecer, Fatih, 2021. "Determination of drivers for investing in cryptocurrencies through a fuzzy full consistency method-Bonferroni (FUCOM-F’B) framework," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    86. Sun, Xiaolei & Liu, Mingxi & Sima, Zeqian, 2020. "A novel cryptocurrency price trend forecasting model based on LightGBM," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    87. Marcin Pietrzak, 2023. "What can monetary policy tell us about Bitcoin?," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 545-559, December.
    88. Xiurong Chen & Aimin Hao & Yali Li, 2020. "The impact of financial contagion on real economy-An empirical research based on combination of complex network technology and spatial econometrics model," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(3), pages 1-20, March.
    89. Chemkha, Rahma & BenSaïda, Ahmed & Ghorbel, Ahmed & Tayachi, Tahar, 2021. "Hedge and safe haven properties during COVID-19: Evidence from Bitcoin and gold," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 71-85.
    90. Paweł Sakowski & Anna Turovtseva, 2020. "Verification of Investment Opportunities on the Cryptocurrency Market within the Markowitz Framework," Working Papers 2020-41, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    91. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Mbarki, Imen & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2021. "Predictive role of online investor sentiment for cryptocurrency market: Evidence from happiness and fears," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 496-514.
    92. David E. Allen, 2022. "Cryptocurrencies, Diversification and the COVID-19 Pandemic," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-25, February.
    93. Hanif, Waqas & Areola Hernandez, Jose & Troster, Victor & Kang, Sang Hoon & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2022. "Nonlinear dependence and spillovers between cryptocurrency and global/regional equity markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    94. Rubaiyat Ahsan Bhuiyan & Afzol Husain & Changyong Zhang, 2023. "Diversification evidence of bitcoin and gold from wavelet analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-36, December.
    95. Guo, Xiaochun & Lu, Fengbin & Wei, Yunjie, 2021. "Capture the contagion network of bitcoin – Evidence from pre and mid COVID-19," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    96. Ji, Qiang & Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David & Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2019. "Information interdependence among energy, cryptocurrency and major commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1042-1055.
    97. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Lucey, Brian, 2019. "Is Bitcoin a better safe-haven investment than gold and commodities?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 322-330.
    98. Waqas Hanif & Hee-Un Ko & Linh Pham & Sang Hoon Kang, 2023. "Dynamic connectedness and network in the high moments of cryptocurrency, stock, and commodity markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-40, December.
    99. Flori, Andrea, 2019. "News and subjective beliefs: A Bayesian approach to Bitcoin investments," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 336-356.
    100. Muhammad MOHSIN & Sobia NASEEM & Larisa IVAȘCU & Lucian-Ionel CIOCA & Muddassar SARFRAZ & Nicolae Cristian STĂNICĂ, 2021. "Gauging the Effect of Investor Sentiment on Cryptocurrency Market: An Analysis of Bitcoin Currency," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 87-102, December.
    101. Toan Luu Duc Huynh, 2019. "Spillover Risks on Cryptocurrency Markets: A Look from VAR-SVAR Granger Causality and Student’s-t Copulas," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-19, April.
    102. Pho, Kim Hung & Ly, Sel & Lu, Richard & Hoang, Thi Hong Van & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2021. "Is Bitcoin a better portfolio diversifier than gold? A copula and sectoral analysis for China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    103. Zhang, Lei & Bouri, Elie & Chen, Yan, 2023. "Co-jump dynamicity in the cryptocurrency market: A network modelling perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).
    104. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z, 2023. "Cryptocurrencies Are Becoming Part of the World Global Financial Market," Papers 2303.00495, arXiv.org.
    105. BRIK, Hatem & El OUAKDI, Jihene & FTITI, Zied, 2022. "Roles of stable versus nonstable cryptocurrencies in Bitcoin market dynamics," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    106. Kim, Hyeonoh & Ha, Chang Yong & Ahn, Kwangwon, 2022. "Preference heterogeneity in Bitcoin and its forks' network," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    107. Marina Resta & Paolo Pagnottoni & Maria Elena De Giuli, 2020. "Technical Analysis on the Bitcoin Market: Trading Opportunities or Investors’ Pitfall?," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-15, May.
    108. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2019. "A Survey on Efficiency and Profitable Trading Opportunities in Cryptocurrency Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-17, April.
    109. Urom, Christian & Abid, Ilyes & Guesmi, Khaled & Chevallier, Julien, 2020. "Quantile spillovers and dependence between Bitcoin, equities and strategic commodities," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 230-258.
    110. Sun, Xiaolei & Wang, Jun & Yao, Yanzhen & Li, Jingyu & Li, Jianping, 2020. "Spillovers among sovereign CDS, stock and commodity markets: A correlation network perspective," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    111. Kumar Kulbhaskar, Anamika & Subramaniam, Sowmya, 2023. "Breaking news headlines: Impact on trading activity in the cryptocurrency market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    112. Kou, Mingting & Yang, Yuanqi & Chen, Kaihua, 2024. "Financial technology research: Past and future trajectories," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 162-181.
    113. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Le, TN-Lan & Leyva-de la Hiz, Dante I., 2021. "Markov-switching dependence between artificial intelligence and carbon price: The role of policy uncertainty in the era of the 4th industrial revolution and the effect of COVID-19 pandemic," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    114. Wang, Xuetong & Fang, Fang & Ma, Shiqun & Xiang, Lijin & Xiao, Zumian, 2024. "Dynamic volatility spillover among cryptocurrencies and energy markets: An empirical analysis based on a multilevel complex network," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
    115. Ahmed BenSaïda, 2023. "The linkage between Bitcoin and foreign exchanges in developed and emerging markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, December.
    116. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Ludovico Minati & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Marek Stanuszek, 2020. "Multiscale characteristics of the emerging global cryptocurrency market," Papers 2010.15403, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    117. Kwon, Ji Ho, 2020. "Tail behavior of Bitcoin, the dollar, gold and the stock market index," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    118. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2022. "Robust drivers of Bitcoin price movements: An extreme bounds analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    119. Levulytė, Laura & Šapkauskienė, Alfreda, 2021. "Cryptocurrency in context of fiat money functions," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 44-54.
    120. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Karikari, Nana Kwasi & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2022. "Time-varying dependence dynamics between international commodity prices and Australian industry stock returns: a Perspective for portfolio diversification," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    121. Zhang, Shuai & Hou, Xinyu & Ba, Shusong, 2021. "What determines interest rates for bitcoin lending?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    122. Bouri, Elie & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Saeed, Tareq & Wang, Shixuan & Zhao, Yuqian, 2021. "On the intraday return curves of Bitcoin: Predictability and trading opportunities," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    123. Bedi, Prateek & Nashier, Tripti, 2020. "On the investment credentials of Bitcoin: A cross-currency perspective," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    124. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Asghar, Nadia & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2020. "Do Islamic indices provide diversification to bitcoin? A time-varying copulas and value at risk application," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    125. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin & Dauda, Mariam, 2023. "Uncertainty due to infectious diseases and bitcoin-gold nexus: Evidence from a non-parametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    126. Andrea Flori, 2019. "Cryptocurrencies In Finance: Review And Applications," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(05), pages 1-22, August.
    127. Nguyen, Thai Vu Hong & Nguyen, Binh Thanh & Nguyen, Thanh Cong & Nguyen, Quang Quoc, 2019. "Bitcoin return: Impacts from the introduction of new altcoins," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 420-425.
    128. Nguyen, Thach V.H. & Nguyen, Thai Vu Hong & Nguyen, Thanh Cong & Pham, Thu Thi Anh & Nguyen, Quan M.P., 2022. "Stablecoins versus traditional cryptocurrencies in response to interbank rates," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).

  371. Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility: The Role of Time-Varying Rare Disaster Risks," Working Papers 201767, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Liming Chen & Zhi Zhang & Ziqing Du & Lingling Deng, 2021. "Heterogeneous determinants of the exchange rate market in China with structural breaks," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(59), pages 6839-6854, December.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "El Nino, La Nina, and the Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Heating Oil Price Movements," Working Papers 202138, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "The role of time‐varying rare disaster risks in predicting bond returns and volatility," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(3), pages 327-340, July.
    4. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "Climate risks and realized volatility of major commodity currency exchange rates," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    5. Zhong, Juandan & Cao, Wenhan & Tang, Yusui, 2023. "Tail risk of international equity market and oil volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    6. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Dąbrowski, Marek A. & Janus, Jakub, 2021. "Does the interest parity puzzle hold for Central and Eastern European economies?," MPRA Paper 107558, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    9. Renee van Eyden & Geoffrey Ngene & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "The Heterogeneous Impact of Temperature Growth on Real House Price Returns across the US States," Working Papers 202236, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2018. "Forecasting (Good and Bad) Realized Exchange-Rate Volatility: Is there a Role for Realized Skewness and Kurtosis?," Working Papers 201879, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus, 2022. "Rare disaster risks and gold over 700 years: Evidence from nonparametric quantile regressions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    12. Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Revisiting the Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Tunisia: Carbon Dioxide vs. Ecological Footprint," Working Papers 202171, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of International REITs: The Role of Realized Skewness and Realized Kurtosis," Working Papers 202114, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices over 150 years: The role of tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    15. Arshian Sharif & Eyup Dogan & Ameenullah Aman & Hafizah Hammad Ahmad Khan & Isma Zaighum, 2020. "Rare disaster and renewable energy in the USA: new insights from wavelet coherence and rolling-window analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(3), pages 2731-2755, September.

  372. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman, 2017. "Geopolitical Risks, Returns and Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence from a Panel GARCH Model," Working Papers 201777, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Bernd Wilfling, 2022. "Forecasting Stock Market Volatility with Regime-Switching GARCH-MIDAS: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 202203, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Zheng, Jinlin & Wen, Baoyu & Jiang, Yaohui & Wang, Xiaohan & Shen, Yue, 2023. "Risk spillovers across geopolitical risk and global financial markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    3. Wang, Kai-Hua & Xiong, De-Ping & Mirza, Nawazish & Shao, Xue-Feng & Yue, Xiao-Guang, 2021. "Does geopolitical risk uncertainty strengthen or depress cash holdings of oil enterprises? Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    4. Amirali Nasouri, 2025. "The Impact of Geopolitical Risks on Equity Markets and Financial Stress: A Comparative Analysis of Emerging and Advanced Economies," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(1), pages 30-41.
    5. Pan, Changchun & Zhang, Weiqi & Wang, Weiqiang, 2023. "Global geopolitical risk and volatility connectedness among China's sectoral stock markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    6. Theodoros Bratis & Georgios P. Kouretas & Nikiforos T. Laopodis & Prodromos Vlamis, 2024. "Sovereign credit and geopolitical risks during and after the EMU crisis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 3692-3712, July.
    7. Lee, Geesun, 2024. "The impact of North Korean nuclear threat on stock market linkages in Northeast Asia: The case of South Korea, China, and Japan," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    8. Manel Mahjoubi & Jamel Eddine Henchiri, 2023. "Policy Uncertainty and the Volatility of the S&P 500: Before and After the Launch of the S&P 500 ESG," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 15(11), pages 1-28, November.
    9. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Volatility jumps: The role of geopolitical risks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 247-258.
    10. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Cunado, Juncal & Filis, George & Gabauer, David & de Gracia, Fernando Perez, 2023. "Dynamic connectedness among the implied volatilities of oil prices and financial assets: New evidence of the COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 114-123.
    11. Arango-Castillo, Lenin & Orraca, María José & Molina, G. Stefano, 2023. "The global component of headline and core inflation in emerging market economies and its ability to improve forecasting performance," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    12. Shen, Huayu & Liang, Yue & Li, Hanwen & Liu, Jie & Lu, Guangxi, 2021. "Does geopolitical risk promote mergers and acquisitions of listed companies in energy and electric power industries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    13. Liu, Jie & Chen, Zhenshan & Lin, Gengyan & Zhu, Yinglun, 2024. "Riding the geopolitical storm or dodging bullets: Geopolitical risk timing of mutual funds," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    14. Mamman, Suleiman O. & Wang, Zhanqin & Iliyasu, Jamilu, 2023. "Commonality in BRICS stock markets’ reaction to global economic policy uncertainty: Evidence from a panel GARCH model with cross sectional dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    15. Guo, Peng & Shi, Jing, 2024. "Geopolitical risks, investor sentiment and industry stock market volatility in China: Evidence from a quantile regression approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    16. Zhang, Yaojie & He, Jiaxin & He, Mengxi & Li, Shaofang, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and stock market volatility: A global perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    17. Afees A. Salisu & Philip C. Omoke & Abdulsalam Abidemi Sikiru, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and global financial cycle: Some forecasting experiments," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 3-16, January.
    18. Godil, Danish Iqbal & Sarwat, Salman & Sharif, Arshian & Jermsittiparsert, Kittisak, 2020. "How oil prices, gold prices, uncertainty and risk impact Islamic and conventional stocks? Empirical evidence from QARDL technique," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    19. Apostolakis, George N. & Giannellis, Nikolaos, 2024. "Monetary policy and uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from a wavelet and frequency connectedness analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PC).
    20. Zhang, Ying & Liu, Baoliu & Xue, Jinjun & Chen, Yiming & Zhao, Fang, 2025. "Would geopolitical risks be the new driver of the energy transition? An empirical study on renewable energy technology innovation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    21. Layal Mansour-Ichrakieh, 2021. "The Impact of Israeli and Saudi Arabian Geopolitical Risks on the Lebanese Financial Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-24, February.
    22. Alqahtani, Abdullah & Klein, Tony, 2021. "Oil price changes, uncertainty, and geopolitical risks: On the resilience of GCC countries to global tensions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    23. Anthony N. Rezitis & Ourania A. Tremma, 2022. "The linkage between international dairy commodity prices and volatility: a panel-GARCH analysis," Journal of Agribusiness in Developing and Emerging Economies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(5), pages 685-705, April.
    24. Ahmed H. Elsayed & Mohamad Husam Helmi, 2021. "Volatility transmission and spillover dynamics across financial markets: the role of geopolitical risk," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 305(1), pages 1-22, October.
    25. Duc Hong Vo & Minh Phuoc-Bao Tran, 2023. "Do geopolitical risks from the economic powers dominate world gold return? Evidence from the quantile connectedness approach," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(6), pages 4661-4688, December.
    26. Zhou, Mei-Jing & Huang, Jian-Bai & Chen, Jin-Yu, 2020. "The effects of geopolitical risks on the stock dynamics of China's rare metals: A TVP-VAR analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    27. Salachas, Evangelos & Kouretas, Georgios P. & Laopodis, Nikiforos T. & Vlamis, Prodromos, 2024. "Stock market spillovers of global risks and hedging opportunities," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    28. Ahmet Ihsan Kaya & Lutfi Erden, 2023. "Capital‐flow volatility in emerging markets: A panel GARCH approach," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 172-188, August.
    29. He, Zhifang, 2023. "Geopolitical risks and investor sentiment: Causality and TVP-VAR analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    30. Mohammad Enamul Hoque & Mohd Azlan Shah Zaidi & M. Kabir Hassan, 2021. "Geopolitical Uncertainties and Malaysian Stock Market Returns: Do Market Conditions Matter?," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(19), pages 1-16, September.
    31. Niu, Zibo & Wang, Chenlu & Zhang, Hongwei, 2023. "Forecasting stock market volatility with various geopolitical risks categories: New evidence from machine learning models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    32. Choi, Sun-Yong, 2022. "Evidence from a multiple and partial wavelet analysis on the impact of geopolitical concerns on stock markets in North-East Asian countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    33. Sohag, Kazi & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Mariev, Oleg & Safonova, Yulia, 2022. "Do geopolitical events transmit opportunity or threat to green markets? Decomposed measures of geopolitical risks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    34. Asai, Manabu, 2023. "Feasible Panel GARCH Models: Variance-Targeting Estimation and Empirical Application," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 23-38.
    35. Ferhat Pehlivanoğlu & Saffet Akdağ & Andrew Adewale Alola, 2021. "The causal nexus of geopolitical risks, consumer and producer confidence indexes: evidence from selected economies," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1261-1273, August.

  373. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Do Bivariate Multifractal Models Improve Volatility Forecasting in Financial Time Series? An Application to Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets," Working Papers 201728, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Financial Turbulence, Systemic Risk and the Predictability of Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202162, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Belasen, Ariel R. & Demirer, Rıza, 2019. "Commodity-currencies or currency-commodities: Evidence from causality tests," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 162-168.

  374. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keng Marco Lau & Ruipeng Liu & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2017. "Price Jumps in Developed Stock Markets: The Role of Monetary Policy Committee Meetings," Working Papers 201727, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Bernd Wilfling, 2022. "Forecasting Stock Market Volatility with Regime-Switching GARCH-MIDAS: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 202203, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Terence Tai Leung Chong & Yueer Wu & Jue Su, 2020. "The Unusual Trading Volume and Earnings Surprises in China’s Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-17, October.
    3. Shamrez Ali, Sundus Waqar, Muhammad Haris, 2019. "The Nexus between Political & Institutional Corruption Events with the Stock Market: A Study of Pakistan," Journal of Finance and Economics Research, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 4(1), pages 59-71, March.
    4. Yang, Tianle & Zhou, Fangxing & Du, Min & Du, Qunyang & Zhou, Shirong, 2023. "Fluctuation in the global oil market, stock market volatility, and economic policy uncertainty: A study of the US and China," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 377-387.
    5. Ma, Chaoqun & Tian, Yonggang & Hsiao, Shisong & Deng, Liurui, 2022. "Monetary policy shocks and Bitcoin prices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    6. Rui Wang, 2021. "Evaluating the Unconventional Monetary Policy of the Bank of Japan: A DSGE Approach," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-18, June.
    7. Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2021. "Dynamic Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy on International REITs," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-19, September.
    8. Yunus, Nafeesa, 2023. "Long-run and short-run impact of the U.S. economy on stock, bond and housing markets: An evaluation of U.S. and six major economies," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 211-232.

  375. Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "The Role of Time-Varying Rare Disaster Risks in Predicting Bond Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201770, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Juan Pablo Bermúdez-Cespedes & Luis Fernando Melo-Velandia & Daniel Parra-Amado, 2025. "Sovereign Risk and Stock Market Response to Natural Disasters in Emerging Economies," Borradores de Economia 1303, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    2. Su, Hao & Ying, Chengwei & Zhu, Xiaoneng, 2022. "Disaster risk matters in the bond market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    3. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    4. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2018. "Forecasting (Good and Bad) Realized Exchange-Rate Volatility: Is there a Role for Realized Skewness and Kurtosis?," Working Papers 201879, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus, 2022. "Rare disaster risks and gold over 700 years: Evidence from nonparametric quantile regressions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    6. Ana Belén Alonso-Conde & Javier Rojo-Suárez, 2020. "Nuclear Hazard and Asset Prices: Implications of Nuclear Disasters in the Cross-Sectional Behavior of Stock Returns," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-24, November.
    7. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices over 150 years: The role of tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).

  376. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Chien-Chiang Lee & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams, 2017. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Insurance," Working Papers 201776, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2018. "Asymmetric Dynamics of Insurance Premium: The Impact of Monetary Policy Uncertainty on Insurance Premiums in Japan," Working Papers 15-39, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    2. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Christophe Andre & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Housing Returns and Volatility: Evidence from US State-Level Data," Working Papers 202131, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Decision Sciences, Economics, Finance, Business, Computing, and Big Data: Connections," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-024/III, Tinbergen Institute.

  377. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Is Wine a Safe-Haven? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201708, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kola Ijasan & Peterson Owusu Junior & George Tweneboah & Tunbosun Oyedokun & Anokye M. Adam, 2021. "Analysing the relationship between global REITs and exchange rates: Fresh evidence from frequency-based quantile regressions," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(3), pages 58-91, September.

  378. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Are Stock Returns an Inflation Hedge for the UK? Evidence from a Wavelet Analysis Using Over Three Centuries of Data," Working Papers 201735, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Neifar, Malika, 2023. "Macroeconomic Factors and UK Stock Market: Evidence through the Non-Linear ARDL model," MPRA Paper 116298, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Besma Hkiri & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillovers between Currency and Stock Markets in the USA: Historical Evidence From More than Two Centuries," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(4), pages 44-76, December.
    3. Bilgili, Faik & Kocak, Emrah & Kuskaya, Sevda & Bulut, Umit, 2022. "Co-movements and causalities between ethanol production and corn prices in the USA: New evidence from wavelet transform analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    4. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Besma Hkiri & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillover between Currency and Stock Markets in the United States: More than Two Centuries of Historical Evidence," Working Papers 202060, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Working Papers 202126, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Bošnjak Mile & Novak Ivan & Bašić Maja, 2021. "Capital Market Returns and Inflation Nexus in Croatia: Wavelet Coherence Analysis," Business Systems Research, Sciendo, vol. 12(2), pages 253-267, December.
    7. Kregždė Arvydas & Kišonaitė Karolina, 2018. "Co-movements of Lithuanian and Central European Stock Markets Across Different Time Horizons: A Wavelet Approach," Ekonomika (Economics), Sciendo, vol. 97(2), pages 55-69, December.
    8. NEIFAR, MALIKA & HACHICHA, Fatma, 2022. "GFH validity for Canada, UK, and Suisse stock markets: Evidence ‎from univariate and panel ARDL models," MPRA Paper 114613, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Aggarwal, Divya & Kalia, Deepali, 2022. "Examining comovement and causality between producer price index for P&C insurance premium and uncertainty indices: Wavelet and non-parametric quantile causality approach," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 141-148.

  379. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2017. "Geopolitical Risks and Movements in Islamic Bond and Equity Markets: A Note," Working Papers 201743, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Aloui, Chaker & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Hkiri, Besma & Hela, Ben Hamida & Khan, Muhammad Asif, 2021. "On the investors' sentiments and the Islamic stock-bond interplay across investments' horizons," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    2. Hu, Zinan & Borjigin, Sumuya, 2024. "The amplifying role of geopolitical Risks, economic policy Uncertainty, and climate risks on Energy-Stock market volatility spillover across economic cycles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    3. Ender Demir & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Huseyin Kaya, 2018. "Effects of Geopolitical Risks on Trade Flows: Evidence from the Gravity Model," Working Papers 201835, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks, Returns, and Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence from a Panel GARCH Model," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(8), pages 1841-1856, June.
    5. Bouri, Elie & Hammoud, Rami & Kassm, Christina Abou, 2023. "The effect of oil implied volatility and geopolitical risk on GCC stock sectors under various market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    6. Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Demir, Ender & Zaremba, Adam, 2022. "Hedging Geopolitical Risks with Different Asset Classes: A Focus on the Russian Invasion of Ukraine," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    7. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Abbass, Kashif & Sharif, Arshian & Song, Huaming & Ali, Malik Tayyab & Khan, Farina & Amin, Nabila, 2022. "Do geopolitical oil price risk, global macroeconomic fundamentals relate Islamic and conventional stock market? Empirical evidence from QARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    9. Biswas, Priti & Jain, Prachi & Maitra, Debasish, 2024. "Are shocks in the stock markets driven by commodity markets? Evidence from Russia-Ukraine war," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    10. Sarit Maitra, 2023. "Impact of Economic Uncertainty, Geopolitical Risk, Pandemic, Financial & Macroeconomic Factors on Crude Oil Returns -- An Empirical Investigation," Papers 2310.01123, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    11. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Li, Yong-Yi, 2021. "Oil price shocks, geopolitical risks, and green bond market dynamics," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    12. Wang, Zhuqing & Wang, Xinyu & Cheng, Qiuying & Shi, Song, 2024. "Heterogeneous impact of economic and political uncertainty on green bond volatility: Evidence from the MRS-GARCH-MIDAS-Skewed T model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    13. Darko B. Vuković & Senanu Dekpo-Adza & Vladislav Khmelnitskiy & Mustafa Özer, 2023. "Spillovers across the Asian OPEC+ Financial Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-23, September.
    14. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2020. "Insurance activity, real output, and geopolitical risk: Fresh evidence from BRICS," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 207-215.
    15. Zhang, Qingjun & Chen, Rong & Ma, Sijie & Liang, Anran, 2024. "Nord stream 2, geopolitical conflicts and energy security: Evidence from EU regions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 313(C).
    16. Khurshid, Adnan & Khan, Khalid & Rauf, Abdur & Cifuentes-Faura, Javier, 2024. "Effect of geopolitical risk on resources prices in the global and Russian-Ukrainian context: A novel Bayesian structural model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    17. Ray Saadaoui Mallek & Mohamed Albaity & Mahfuzur Rahman, 2025. "Economic freedom, economic sustainability, and herding behavior: Does the ubiquity of information communication technology matter?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-29, December.
    18. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Polat, Ali Yavuz & Tekin, Hasan & Tunalı, Ahmet Semih, 2022. "The Ascent of Geopolitics: Scientometric Analysis and Ramifications of Geopolitical Risk," MPRA Paper 112741, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Tang, Yumei & Chen, Xihui Haviour & Sarker, Provash Kumer & Baroudi, Sarra, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of geopolitical risks and uncertainties on green bond markets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    20. Godil, Danish Iqbal & Sarwat, Salman & Sharif, Arshian & Jermsittiparsert, Kittisak, 2020. "How oil prices, gold prices, uncertainty and risk impact Islamic and conventional stocks? Empirical evidence from QARDL technique," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    21. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Demir, Ender & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2019. "Effects of the geopolitical risks on Bitcoin returns and volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 511-518.
    22. Naif Alsagr & Stefan F. Van Hemmen Almazor, 2020. "Oil Rent, Geopolitical Risk and Banking Sector Performance," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 305-314.
    23. Alqahtani, Abdullah & Klein, Tony, 2021. "Oil price changes, uncertainty, and geopolitical risks: On the resilience of GCC countries to global tensions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    24. Xia, Mingli & Zhu, Guangfeng, 2024. "The importance of intellectual property: Analyzing the impact of resource efficiency improvements in the mineral sector," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    25. Sheenan, Lisa, 2023. "Green bonds, conventional bonds and geopolitical risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    26. Apergis, Nicholas & Fahmy, Hany, 2024. "Geopolitical risk and energy price crash risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    27. Wenlong Yang & Wentian Shi & Dongcheng Chen, 2024. "Unveiling the nexus: exploring the influence of terrorism on energy trade in China and the Belt and Road countries," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-16, December.
    28. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Geopolitical Risk and Forecastability of Tail Risk in the Oil Market: Evidence from Over a Century of Monthly Data," Working Papers 202122, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Umar B. Ndako & Afees A. Salisu & Muritala O. Ogunsiji, 2021. "Geopolitical Risk and the Return Volatility of Islamic Stocks in Indonesia and Malaysia - A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(3), pages 1-5.
    30. Gyamerah, Samuel Asante & Agbi-Kaiser, Henry Ofoe & Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko, 2024. "Do climate policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk transmit opportunity or threat to the green market? Evidence from non-linear ARDL," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    31. Raheem, Ibrahim D. & le Roux, Sara, 2023. "Geopolitical risks and tourism stocks: New evidence from causality-in-quantile approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1-7.
    32. Bouri, Elie & Gök, Remzi & Gemi̇ci̇, Eray & Kara, Erkan, 2024. "Do geopolitical risk, economic policy uncertainty, and oil implied volatility drive assets across quantiles and time-horizons?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 137-154.
    33. Zainudin, Ahmad Danial & Mohamad, Azhar, 2021. "Financial contagion in the futures markets amidst global geo-economic events," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 288-308.
    34. Li, Sufang & Tu, Dalun & Zeng, Yan & Gong, Chenggang & Yuan, Di, 2022. "Does geopolitical risk matter in crude oil and stock markets? Evidence from disaggregated data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    35. Tamilselvan, M. & Halder, Abhishek & Kannadhasan, M., 2024. "Exploring the ingredients, mixtures, and inclinations of geopolitical risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 187-206.
    36. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chen, Mei-Ping, 2020. "Do natural disasters and geopolitical risks matter for cross-border country exchange-traded fund returns?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    37. Alqahtani, Abdullah & Bouri, Elie & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Predictability of GCC stock returns: The role of geopolitical risk and crude oil returns," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 239-249.
    38. Hasan, Md. Bokhtiar & Hassan, M. Kabir & Alhomaidi, Asem, 2023. "How do sectoral Islamic equity markets react to geopolitical risk, economic policy uncertainty, and oil price shocks?," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    39. Yang, Kun & Wei, Yu & Li, Shouwei & Liu, Liang & Wang, Lei, 2021. "Global financial uncertainties and China’s crude oil futures market: Evidence from interday and intraday price dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    40. Salisu, Afees A. & Shaik, Muneer, 2022. "Islamic Stock indices and COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 282-293.
    41. Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda, 2024. "What drives the uranium sector risk? The role of attention, economic and geopolitical uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    42. Sohag, Kazi & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Mariev, Oleg & Safonova, Yulia, 2022. "Do geopolitical events transmit opportunity or threat to green markets? Decomposed measures of geopolitical risks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    43. Ferhat Pehlivanoğlu & Saffet Akdağ & Andrew Adewale Alola, 2021. "The causal nexus of geopolitical risks, consumer and producer confidence indexes: evidence from selected economies," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1261-1273, August.

  380. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Olanrewaju I. Shittu & OlaOluwa S. Yaya, 2016. "Market Efficiency of Baltic Stock Markets: A Fractional Integration Approach," Working Papers 201617, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Robert Mudida & Nuruddeen Abu, 2021. "Market efficiency and volatility persistence of cryptocurrency during pre‐ and post‐crash periods of Bitcoin: Evidence based on fractional integration," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1318-1335, January.
    2. Chenyu Han & Yiming Wang & Yingying Xu, 2019. "Efficiency and Multifractality Analysis of the Chinese Stock Market: Evidence from Stock Indices before and after the 2015 Stock Market Crash," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-15, March.
    3. OlaOluwa Yaya & Rafiu Akano & Oluwasegun Adekoya, 2023. "Market Efficiency and Volatility Persistence of Green Investments Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 4(1), pages 1-6.
    4. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Asl, Mahdi Ghaemi & Jalalifar, Saba, 2021. "Financing the green projects: Market efficiency and volatility persistence of green versus conventional bonds, and the comparative effects of health and financial crises," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    5. Salisu, Afees A. & Ndako, Umar B. & Adediran, Idris A. & Swaray, Raymond, 2020. "A fractional cointegration VAR analysis of Islamic stocks: A global perspective," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    6. Yuanyuan Zhang & Stephen Chan & Jeffrey Chu & Hana Sulieman, 2020. "On the Market Efficiency and Liquidity of High-Frequency Cryptocurrencies in a Bull and Bear Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-14, January.
    7. Oluwasegun B. Adekoya & Gabriel O. Oduyemi & Johnson A. Oliyide, 2021. "Price and volatility persistence of the US REITs market," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-10, December.
    8. Coskun, Yener & Akinsomi, Omokolade & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Yaya, OlaOIuwa S., 2021. "Stock Market Responses to COVID-19: Mean Reversion, Dependence and Persistence Behaviours," MPRA Paper 109827, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Adediran, Idris & Salisu, Afees & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E, 2020. "To “ECO” or not to “ECO”? Evidence for the single currency agenda of ECOWAS," MPRA Paper 109680, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Vilija Aleknevičienė & Vaida Klasauskaitė & Eglė Aleknevičiūtė, 2022. "Behavior of calendar anomalies and the adaptive market hypothesis: evidence from the Baltic stock markets," Journal of Baltic Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(2), pages 187-210, April.
    11. Zhao, Jun, 2019. "Nonstationary response of a nonlinear economic cycle model under random disturbance," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 517(C), pages 409-421.

  381. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Mark Wohar, 2016. "Terror Attacks and Stock-Market Fluctuations: Evidence Based on a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test for the G7 Countries," Working Papers 201608, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ismail O Fasanya & Oluwatomisin J Oyewole & Taofeek Agbatogun, 2021. "How Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Connect With the Volatility Spillovers in Asia-Pacific Markets?," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(2), pages 1-6.
    2. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Bernd Wilfling, 2022. "Forecasting Stock Market Volatility with Regime-Switching GARCH-MIDAS: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 202203, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Wang, Fanyi & Ma, Wanying & Mirza, Nawazish & Altuntaş, Mehmet, 2023. "Green financing, financial uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and oil prices volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    4. Wael Hemrit, 2022. "Does insurance demand react to economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk? Evidence from Saudi Arabia," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 47(2), pages 460-492, April.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "The role of time‐varying rare disaster risks in predicting bond returns and volatility," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(3), pages 327-340, July.
    6. Rıza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Rare Disaster Risks, Oil Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201762, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Parthajit Kayal & G. Balasubramanian, 2021. "Excess Volatility in Bitcoin: Extreme Value Volatility Estimation," IIM Kozhikode Society & Management Review, , vol. 10(2), pages 222-231, July.
    8. Balcilar, Mehmet & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2017. "Can volume predict Bitcoin returns and volatility? A quantiles-based approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 74-81.
    9. Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do terror attacks predict gold returns? Evidence from a quantile-predictive-regression approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 276-284.
    10. Jalloul, Maya & Miescu, Mirela, 2023. "Equity market connectedness across regimes of geopolitical risks: Historical evidence and theory," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    11. Eugene Msizi Buthelezi, 2024. "Navigating Global Uncertainty: Examining the Effect of Geopolitical Risks on Cryptocurrency Prices and Volatility in a Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(4), pages 564-590, October.
    12. Bos, Martijn & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2018. "Oil returns and volatility: The role of mergers and acquisitions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 62-69.
    13. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks, Returns, and Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence from a Panel GARCH Model," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(8), pages 1841-1856, June.
    14. Boido, Claudio & Aliano, Mauro, 2023. "Digital art and non-fungible-token: Bubble or revolution?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    15. Baur, Dirk G. & Smales, Lee A., 2020. "Hedging geopolitical risk with precious metals," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    16. Feng, Hao & Gao, Da & Duan, Kun & Urquhart, Andrew, 2023. "Does Bitcoin affect decomposed oil shocks differently? Evidence from a quantile-based framework," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    17. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2016. "Can Volume Predict Bitcoin Returns and Volatility? A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201662, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Iwanicz-Drozdowska, Małgorzata & Rogowicz, Karol & Kurowski, Łukasz & Smaga, Paweł, 2021. "Two decades of contagion effect on stock markets: Which events are more contagious?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    19. Chang, Tsangyao & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Predicting stock market movements with a time-varying consumption-aggregate wealth ratio," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 458-467.
    20. Chen, Yanan & Qi, Haozhi, 2024. "COVID-19 pandemic-related news and Chinese commodities futures: Time-frequency connectedness and causality-in-quantiles approaches," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
    21. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks and Movements in Islamic Bond and Equity Markets: A Note," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 367-379, April.
    22. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Adetokunbo, Abiodun M., 2021. "On the connection between oil and global foreign exchange markets: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    23. Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Manager Sentiment and Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 201853, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Mokni, Khaled & Bouteska, Ahmed & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi, 2022. "Investor sentiment and Bitcoin relationship: A quantile-based analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    25. Walid Bahloul & Mehmet Balcilar & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Role of Economic and Financial Uncertainties in Predicting Commodity Futures Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201725, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    26. Li, Xiao, 2021. "Does Chinese investor sentiment predict Asia-pacific stock markets? Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    27. Cepni, Oguzhan & Emirmahmutoglu, Furkan & Guney, Ibrahim Ethem & Yilmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2023. "Do the carry trades respond to geopolitical risks? Evidence from BRICS countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(2).
    28. Ismail O. Fasanya & Oluwatomisin J. Oyewole & Johnson A. Oliyide, 2021. "Can Uncertainty Due to Pandemic Predict Asia-Pacific Energy Stock Markets?," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(1), pages 1-7.
    29. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Stock Market Volatility and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles," Working Papers 202310, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    30. Ohikhuare, Obaika M., 2023. "How geopolitical risk drives spillover interconnectedness between crude oil and exchange rate markets: Evidence from the Russia-Ukraine war," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    31. Arfaoui, Nadia & Naoui, Kamel, 2022. "Terrorism, investor sentiment, and stock market reaction: Evidence from the British and the French markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    32. Song, Yu & Song, Yanqiu & Chang, Shiwei & He, Lele, 2024. "The role of gold in terrorism: Risk aversion or financing source?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    33. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "OPEC News and Jumps in the Oil Market," Working Papers 202053, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    34. Zhang, Zhengyong & Bouri, Elie & Klein, Tony & Jalkh, Naji, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and the returns and volatility of global defense companies: A new race to arms?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    35. Duan, Kun & Liu, Yang & Yan, Cheng & Huang, Yingying, 2023. "Differences in carbon risk spillovers with green versus traditional assets: Evidence from a full distributional analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    36. Saffet Akdag & Ömer İskenderoglu & Andrew Adewale Alola, 2020. "The volatility spillover effects among risk appetite indexes: insight from the VIX and the rise," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 49-65, April.
    37. Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Revisiting the Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Tunisia: Carbon Dioxide vs. Ecological Footprint," Working Papers 202171, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    38. Li, Sufang & Tu, Dalun & Zeng, Yan & Gong, Chenggang & Yuan, Di, 2022. "Does geopolitical risk matter in crude oil and stock markets? Evidence from disaggregated data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    39. Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2025. "Stock market volatility and multi-scale positive and negative bubbles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    40. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Wendy Nyakabawo, 2018. "Predicting Aggregate and State-Level US House Price Volatility: The Role of Sentiment," Working Papers 201866, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    41. Nicholas Apergis & Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Does Geopolitical Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility of Leading Defense Companies? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201671, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    42. Ali, Syed Riaz Mahmood & Anik, Kaysul Islam & Hasan, Mohammad Nurul & Kamal, Md Rajib, 2023. "Geopolitical threats, equity returns, and optimal hedging," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).

  382. Nicholas Apergis & Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Does Geopolitical Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility of Leading Defense Companies? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201671, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ender Demir & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Huseyin Kaya, 2018. "Effects of Geopolitical Risks on Trade Flows: Evidence from the Gravity Model," Working Papers 201835, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks, Returns, and Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence from a Panel GARCH Model," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(8), pages 1841-1856, June.
    3. Refk Selmi & Christos Kollias & Stephanos Papadamou & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "A Copula-Based Quantile-on-Quantile Regression Approach to Modeling Dependence Structure between Stock and Bond Returns: Evidence from Historical Data of India, South Africa, UK and US," Working Papers 201747, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks and Movements in Islamic Bond and Equity Markets: A Note," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 367-379, April.
    5. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Volatility jumps: The role of geopolitical risks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 247-258.
    6. Layal Mansour-Ichrakieh, 2021. "The Impact of Israeli and Saudi Arabian Geopolitical Risks on the Lebanese Financial Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-24, February.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Christos Kollias & Stephanos Papadamou & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "News Implied Volatility and the Stock-Bond Nexus: Evidence from Historical Data for the USA and the UK Markets," Working Papers 201730, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Kotcharin, Suntichai & Maneenop, Sakkakom, 2020. "Geopolitical risk and corporate cash holdings in the shipping industry," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    9. Ender Demir & Giray Gozgor & Sudharshan Reddy Paramati, 2019. "Do geopolitical risks matter for inbound tourism?," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 9(2), pages 183-191, June.
    10. Ferhat Pehlivanoğlu & Saffet Akdağ & Andrew Adewale Alola, 2021. "The causal nexus of geopolitical risks, consumer and producer confidence indexes: evidence from selected economies," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1261-1273, August.

  383. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Trends and Cycles in Historical Gold and Silver Prices," NCID Working Papers 05/2016, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.

    Cited by:

    1. Bouri, Elie & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Forecasting power of infectious diseases-related uncertainty for gold realized variance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    2. Liu, Guo-Dong & Su, Chi-Wei, 2019. "The dynamic causality between gold and silver prices in China market: A rolling window bootstrap approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 101-106.
    3. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun & Ahniia Havrylina, 2022. "Persistence in the Passion Investment Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 9586, CESifo.
    4. Agnese, Pablo & Garcia-del-Barrio, Pedro & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & de Gracia, Fernando Perez, 2023. "Precious Metal Prices: A Tale of Four U.S. Recessions," IZA Discussion Papers 16012, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    5. Juncal Cunado & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Persistence in Trends and Cycles of Gold and Silver Prices: Evidence from Historical Data," Working Papers 201816, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Wu, Chih-Chiang & Chiu, Junmao, 2017. "Economic evaluation of asymmetric and price range information in gold and general financial markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 53-68.
    7. Li, Wenlan & Cheng, Yuxiang & Fang, Qiang, 2020. "Forecast on silver futures linked with structural breaks and day-of-the-week effect," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    8. Vigne, Samuel A. & Lucey, Brian M. & O’Connor, Fergal A. & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2017. "The financial economics of white precious metals — A survey," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 292-308.
    9. Goodness C. Aye & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2016. "The Efficiency of the Art Market: Evidence from Variance Ratio Tests, Linear and Nonlinear Fractional Integration Approaches," Working Papers 201610, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Salisu, Afees A. & Ndako, Umar B. & Oloko, Tirimisiyu F., 2019. "Assessing the inflation hedging of gold and palladium in OECD countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 357-377.
    11. Muhammad Abdullah & Hussein A. Abdou & Christopher Godfrey & Ahmed A. Elamer & Yousry Ahmed, 2023. "Assessing the Use of Gold as a Zero-Beta Asset in Empirical Asset Pricing: Application to the US Equity Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-48, March.
    12. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2021. "A note on oil price shocks and the forecastability of gold realized volatility," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(21), pages 1889-1897, December.
    13. Apergis, Nicholas & Carmona-González, Nieves & Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko, 2020. "Persistence in silver prices and the influence of solar energy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    14. Jan Beran & Jeremy Näscher & Fabian Pietsch & Stephan Walterspacher, 2024. "Testing for periodicity at an unknown frequency under cyclic long memory, with applications to respiratory muscle training," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 108(4), pages 705-731, December.

  384. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The impacts of structural oil shocks on macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from a large panel of 45 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Liang, Chin Chia & Troy, Carol & Rouyer, Ellen, 2020. "U.S. uncertainty and Asian stock prices: Evidence from the asymmetric NARDL model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    4. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Greek economic policy uncertainty: Does it matter for Europe? Evidence from a dynamic connectedness decomposition approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    6. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Micheal Kofi Boachie & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Network Analysis of Economic and Financial Uncertainties in Advanced Economies: Evidence from Graph-Theory," Working Papers 201982, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Maryam Abid & Danish Ahmed Siddique, 2020. "Impact of Financial Market Uncertainty on Market Returns: A Global Analysis," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 10(3), pages 216-244, September.
    8. Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Spillovers across macroeconomic, financial and real estate uncertainties: A time-varying approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 167-173.
    9. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Idris A. Adediran, 2021. "The Effect of US Uncertainty Shock on International Equity Markets: The Role of the Global Financial Cycle," Working Papers 202136, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Oguzhan Cepni & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Khuliso Ramabulana, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillover of US Trade War on the Growth of Emerging Economies," Working Papers 202002, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Selçuk Gül & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Time‐varying impact of global, region‐, and country‐specific uncertainties on the volatility of international trade," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 39(4), pages 691-700, October.
    12. Siphumlile Mangisa & Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Analyzing The Impact Of Brexit On Global Uncertainty Using Functional Linear Regression With Point Of Impact: The Role Of Currency And Equity Markets," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 67(04), pages 1377-1388, June.
    13. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "The Financial US Uncertainty Spillover Multiplier: Evidence from a GVAR Model," Working Papers 202145, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2022. "Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on Housing Prices in the United States: The Role of Sentiment," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 241-261, July.
    15. Oscar Claveria, 2020. "Measuring and assessing economic uncertainty," IREA Working Papers 202011, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jul 2020.
    16. Samuel F. Onipede & Nafiu A. Bashir & Jamaladeen Abubakar, 2023. "Small open economies and external shocks: an application of Bayesian global vector autoregression model," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1673-1699, April.
    17. Woraphon Yamaka & Rangan Gupta & Sukrit Thongkairat & Paravee Maneejuk, 2021. "Structural and Predictive Analyses with a Mixed Copula-Based Vector Autoregression Model," Working Papers 202108, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Christina Christou & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time-Varying Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on Macroeconomic Variables of the United Kingdom: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Monthly Data," Working Papers 201962, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    20. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi-Keung (Marco) & Sheng, Xin, 2020. "Graph theory-based network analysis of regional uncertainties of the US Economy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    22. Nikolaos Antonakakis & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Greek Economic Policy Uncertainty: Does it Matter for the European Union?," Working Papers 201840, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Cepni, Oguzhan & Dul, Wiehan & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The dynamics of U.S. REITs returns to uncertainty shocks: A proxy SVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    24. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2020. "Point and Density Forecasting of Macroeconomic and Financial Uncertainties of the United States," Working Papers 202058, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    25. Jacobus Nel & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Climate Risks And Predictability Of Commodity Returns And Volatility: Evidence From Over 750 Years Of Data," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(04), pages 1-40, November.
    26. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Uncertainty and forecastability of regional output growth in the UK: Evidence from machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1049-1064, September.
    27. Christina Christou & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung Marco Lau, 2020. "Are Uncertainties across the World Convergent?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 855-862.
    28. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil shocks and directional predictability of macroeconomic uncertainties of developed economies: Evidence from high‐frequency data†," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 69(2), pages 169-185, May.
    29. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "On the Transmission Mechanism of Country-Specific and International Economic Uncertainty Spillovers: Evidence from a TVP-VAR Connectedness Decomposition Approach," Working Papers 201829, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    30. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    31. Oscar Claveria, 2021. "Uncertainty indicators based on expectations of business and consumer surveys," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(2), pages 483-505, May.
    32. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2021. "Point and density forecasting of macroeconomic and financial uncertainties of the USA," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 700-707, July.
    33. Oscar Claveria, 2021. "On the Aggregation of Survey-Based Economic Uncertainty Indicators Between Different Agents and Across Variables," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(1), pages 1-26, April.
    34. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Spillover among financial, industrial and consumer uncertainties. The case of EU member states," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    35. Selçuk Gul & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "A Note on the Time-Varying Impact of Global, Region- and Country-Specific Uncertainties on the Volatility of International Trade," Working Papers 202025, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    36. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    37. Chin Chia Liang & Carol Troy & Ellen Rouyer, 2020. "The Stock Price Impact of Domestic and Foreign Economic Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from China," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(2), pages 1747-1755.
    38. Hammed, Yinka S & Salisu, Afees & Akume, Michael, 2025. "The international spillover effects of US Quality of Political Signals: A Global VAR approach," MPRA Paper 123530, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    39. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Investors' Uncertainty and Forecasting Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202090, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    40. Linyan Dai & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Impact of Uncertainty on State-Level Housing Markets of the United States: The Role of Social Cohesion," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-9, March.
    41. Rangan Gupta & Chi-Keung (Marco) Lau & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty Connections across the US States: Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical Structural VAR (BGSVAR) Model," Working Papers 201910, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    42. Genc, Ismail H., 2022. "Are Indian Subcontinent remittance markets connected to each other?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    43. Oscar Claveria, 2021. "Disagreement on expectations: firms versus consumers," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(12), pages 1-23, December.

  385. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Juncal Cunado & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Is Inflation Persistence Different in Reality?," Working Papers 201663, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ibrahim Abdulhamid Danlami, 2019. "Inflation Persistence in the West African Commonwealth Countries," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 5(3), pages 80-89, September.
    2. Oloko, Tirimisiyu F. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Adedeji, Abdulfatai A. & Lakhani, Noman, 2021. "Fractional cointegration between gold price and inflation rate: Implication for inflation rate persistence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    3. Andrew Phiri, 2017. "Inflation persistence in BRICS countries: A quantile autoregressive (QAR) approach," Working Papers 1702, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University, revised Jul 2017.
    4. Cássio R. A. Alves & Márcio P. Laurini, 2022. "Measuring inflation persistence under time-varying inflation target and stochastic volatility with jumps," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(2), pages 342-349.
    5. Godday Uwawunkonye Ebuh & Afees Salisu & Victor Oboh & Nuruddeen Usman, 2023. "A test for the contributions of urban and rural inflation to inflation persistence in Nigeria," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(2), pages 222-246, May.
    6. Tule, Moses K. & Salisu, Afees A. & Ebuh, Godday U., 2020. "A test for inflation persistence in Nigeria using fractional integration & fractional cointegration techniques," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 225-237.
    7. Afees A. Salisu & Elias A. Udeaja & Silva Opuala-Charles, 2022. "Central Bank Independence And Price Stability Under Alternative Political Regimes: A Global Evidence," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 25(2), pages 155-172, August.
    8. Phiri, Andrew, 2017. "Inflation persistence in BRICS countries: A quantile autoregressive (QAR) model," MPRA Paper 79956, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Oloko, Tirimisiyu F. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Adedeji, Abdulfatai A. & Lakhani, Noman, 2021. "Oil price shocks and inflation rate persistence: A Fractional Cointegration VAR approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 259-275.
    10. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Yadollah Dadgar & Rouhollah Nazari, 2019. "Iranian inflation: peristence and structural breaks," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 43(2), pages 398-408, April.

  386. Vasilios Plakandaras & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Do Leading Indicators Forecast U.S. Recessions? A Nonlinear Re-Evaluation Using Historical Data," Working Papers 201685, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Kanda, Patrick & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Time-varying predictability of oil market movements over a century of data: The role of US financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).

  387. Christina Christou & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Price Convergence Patterns across U.S. States," Working Papers 201629, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Andre & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Revisiting International House Price Convergence Using House Price Level Data," Working Papers 202226, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  388. Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "The role of real estate uncertainty in predicting US home sales growth: evidence from a quantiles-based Bayesian model averaging approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(5), pages 528-536, January.
    2. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The impacts of structural oil shocks on macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from a large panel of 45 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    3. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Historical Forecasting Of Interest Rate Mean And Volatility Of The United States: Is There A Role Of Uncertainty?," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(04), pages 1-17, December.
    4. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Is Wine a Safe-Haven? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201708, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Costola, Michele & Lorusso, Marco, 2021. "Spillovers among Energy Commodities and the Russian Stock Market," MPRA Paper 108990, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Transmission of US and EU Economic Policy Uncertainty Shock to Asian Economies in Bad and Good Times," IZA Discussion Papers 13274, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    8. Chang, Kuang-Liang, 2021. "Do U.S. and Japanese uncertainty shocks play important roles in affecting transition mechanisms of Japanese stock market?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    9. Jiang, Yonghong & Wu, Lanxin & Tian, Gengyu & Nie, He, 2021. "Do cryptocurrencies hedge against EPU and the equity market volatility during COVID-19? – New evidence from quantile coherency analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    10. Giovanni Bonaccolto & Massimiliano Caporin & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "The Dynamic Impact of Uncertainty in Causing and Forecasting the Distribution of Oil Returns and Risk," Working Papers 201564, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Idris A. Adediran, 2021. "The Effect of US Uncertainty Shock on International Equity Markets: The Role of the Global Financial Cycle," Working Papers 202136, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    13. Nikolaos Antonakakis & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2018. "Dynamic Connectedness of Uncertainty across Developed Economies: A Time-Varying Approach," Working Papers 201802, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & David Roubaud, 2017. "Does Bitcoin hedge global uncertainty? Evidence from wavelet-based quantile-in-quantile regressions," Post-Print hal-02008552, HAL.
    15. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa & Gungor, Hasan & Roubaud, David & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Role of global, regional, and advanced market economic policy uncertainty on bond spreads in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    16. Wilson Donzwa & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Volatility Spillovers between Interest Rates and Equity Markets of Developed Economies," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 8(3), pages 39-50.
    17. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Wang, Gang-Jin & Xie, Chi & Wen, Danyan & Zhao, Longfeng, 2019. "When Bitcoin meets economic policy uncertainty (EPU): Measuring risk spillover effect from EPU to Bitcoin," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    19. Christina Christou & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time-Varying Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on Macroeconomic Variables of the United Kingdom: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Monthly Data," Working Papers 201962, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    20. Gurdgiev, Constantin & O’Loughlin, Daniel, 2020. "Herding and anchoring in cryptocurrency markets: Investor reaction to fear and uncertainty," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    21. Gkillas Konstantinos & Gupta Rangan & Vortelinos Dimitrios I., 2023. "Uncertainty and realized jumps in the pound-dollar exchange rate: evidence from over one century of data," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 27(1), pages 25-47, February.
    22. Fang, Yi & Jing, Zhongbo & Shi, Yukun & Zhao, Yang, 2021. "Financial spillovers and spillbacks: New evidence from China and G7 countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 184-200.
    23. Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi-Keung (Marco) & Sheng, Xin, 2020. "Graph theory-based network analysis of regional uncertainties of the US Economy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    24. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    25. Sercan Demiralay & Erhan Kilincarslan, 2024. "Uncertainty Measures and Sector-Specific REITs in a Regime-Switching Environment," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(3), pages 545-584, October.
    26. Tan, Xueping & Geng, Yong & Vivian, Andrew & Wang, Xinyu, 2021. "Measuring risk spillovers between oil and clean energy stocks: Evidence from a systematic framework," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    27. Kang, Wensheng & de Gracia, Fernando Perez & Ratti, Ronald A., 2019. "The asymmetric response of gasoline prices to oil price shocks and policy uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 66-79.
    28. Dong, Xiyong & Li, Changhong & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2020. "Asymmetric dependence structures for regional stock markets: An unconditional quantile regression approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    29. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States: The Role of Oil Market Uncertainty," Working Papers 202085, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    30. Cepni, Oguzhan & Dul, Wiehan & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The dynamics of U.S. REITs returns to uncertainty shocks: A proxy SVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    31. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2020. "Point and Density Forecasting of Macroeconomic and Financial Uncertainties of the United States," Working Papers 202058, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    32. Wang, Xinyu & Luo, Yi & Wang, Zhuqing & Xu, Yan & Wu, Congxin, 2021. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty on volatility of China’s financial stocks: An empirical analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    33. Wilson Donzwa & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Volatility Spillovers between Interest Rates and Equity Markets of Developed Economies: A Note," Working Papers 201764, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    34. Jacobus Nel & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Climate Risks And Predictability Of Commodity Returns And Volatility: Evidence From Over 750 Years Of Data," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(04), pages 1-40, November.
    35. Serdar Ongan & Ismet Gocer, 2017. "Testing The Causalities Between Economic Policy Uncertainty And The Us Stock Indices: Applications Of Linear And Nonlinear Approaches," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(04), pages 1-20, December.
    36. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wang, Shixuan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    37. Cakici, Nusret & Zaremba, Adam, 2023. "Misery on Main Street, victory on Wall Street: Economic discomfort and the cross-section of global stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    38. Christina Christou & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung Marco Lau, 2020. "Are Uncertainties across the World Convergent?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 855-862.
    39. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil shocks and directional predictability of macroeconomic uncertainties of developed economies: Evidence from high‐frequency data†," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 69(2), pages 169-185, May.
    40. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "On the Transmission Mechanism of Country-Specific and International Economic Uncertainty Spillovers: Evidence from a TVP-VAR Connectedness Decomposition Approach," Working Papers 201829, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    41. Benzid, Lamia & Bakari, Sayef, 2021. "Modeling the Asymmetric Relationship between the Covid-19 and the U.S Dollar Exchange Rate: an Empirical Analysis via the NARDL Approach," MPRA Paper 105566, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    42. Abid, Abir, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and exchange rates in emerging markets: Short and long runs evidence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    43. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2021. "Point and density forecasting of macroeconomic and financial uncertainties of the USA," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 700-707, July.
    44. Shabir Mohsin Hashmi & Muhammad Akram Gilal & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "Sustainability of Global Economic Policy and Stock Market Returns in Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-18, May.
    45. Mikhail Stolbov & Alexander Karminsky & Maria Shchepeleva, 2018. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Lead Systemic Risk? A Comparative Analysis of Selected European Countries," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 60(3), pages 332-360, September.
    46. Resul Aydemir & Huzeyfe Zahit Atan & Bulent Guloglu, 2022. "How do the global equity and bond markets affect Islamic and conventional banks? A comparative cross-country analysis using multivariate regression quantiles," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(1), pages 95-114, March.
    47. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2022. "Financial spillovers, spillbacks, and the scope for international macroprudential policy coordination," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 79-127, February.
    48. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Persistence of Economic Uncertainty: A Comprehensive Analysis," Working Papers 201810, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    49. LI, Yang & Luo, Jingqiu & Jiang, Yongmu, 2021. "Policy uncertainty spillovers and financial risk contagion in the Asia-Pacific network," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    50. Rangan Gupta & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Impact of US Uncertainty Shocks on a Panel of Advanced and Emerging Market Economies: The Role of Exchange Rate, Trade and Financial Channels," Working Papers 201857, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    51. Wang, Haibo & Sua, Lutfu S. & Huang, Jun & Ortiz, Jaime & Alidaee, Bahram, 2024. "Will Southeast Asia be the next global manufacturing hub? A multiway cointegration, causality, and dynamic connectedness analyses," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    52. Md Gyasuddin Ansari & Rudra Sensarma, 2019. "US Monetary Policy, Oil and Gold Prices: Which has a greater impact on BRICS Stock Markets?," Working papers 343, Indian Institute of Management Kozhikode.
    53. Makushkin, Mikhail & Lapshin, Victor, 2020. "Modelling tail dependencies between Russian and foreign stock markets: Application for market risk valuation," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 57, pages 30-52.
    54. Han, Liyan & Liu, Yang & Yin, Libo, 2019. "Uncertainty and currency performance: A quantile-on-quantile approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 702-729.
    55. Mikhail Stolbov & Maria Shchepeleva, 2021. "Macrofinancial linkages in Europe: Evidence from quantile local projections," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5557-5569, October.
    56. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    57. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Tran, Vuong Thao, 2018. "Can economic policy uncertainty predict stock returns? Global evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 134-150.
    58. Nguyen, Dat Thanh & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Anglingkusumo, Reza & Sasongko, Aryo, 2021. "US government shutdowns and Indonesian stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    59. Muhammad Mar’I & Mehdi Seraj & Turgut Tursoy, 2024. "The Impact of Financial Stress and Uncertainty on Green and Conventional Bonds and Stocks: A Nonlinear and Nonparametric Quantile Analysis," Risks, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-18, July.
    60. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Investors' Uncertainty and Forecasting Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202090, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    61. Dou, Yue & Li, Yiying & Dong, Kangyin & Ren, Xiaohang, 2022. "Dynamic linkages between economic policy uncertainty and the carbon futures market: Does Covid-19 pandemic matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    62. Boskabadi, Elahe, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and forecast bias in the survey of professional forecasters," MPRA Paper 115081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    63. Linyan Dai & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Impact of Uncertainty on State-Level Housing Markets of the United States: The Role of Social Cohesion," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-9, March.
    64. Nguyen, Giang & Vo, Vinh, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty around the world: Implications for Vietnam," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    65. Rangan Gupta & Chi-Keung (Marco) Lau & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty Connections across the US States: Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical Structural VAR (BGSVAR) Model," Working Papers 201910, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    66. Jiang, Yonghong & Zhu, Zixuan & Tian, Gengyu & Nie, He, 2019. "Determinants of within and cross-country economic policy uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from US and China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    67. Wen, Fenghua & Shui, Aojie & Cheng, Yuxiang & Gong, Xu, 2022. "Monetary policy uncertainty and stock returns in G7 and BRICS countries: A quantile-on-quantile approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 457-482.
    68. Cheuathonghua, Massaporn & de Boyrie, Maria E. & Pavlova, Ivelina & Wongkantarakorn, Jutamas, 2022. "Extreme risk spillovers from commodity indexes to sovereign CDS spreads of commodity dependent countries: A VAR quantile analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    69. Balli, Faruk & Hasan, Mudassar & Ozer-Balli, Hatice & Gregory-Allen, Russell, 2021. "Why do U.S. uncertainties drive stock market spillovers? International evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 288-301.
    70. Athira, A. & Ramesh, Vishnu K., 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty and tax avoidance: International evidence," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).

  389. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Mawuli K. Segnon, 2016. "Revisiting the Twin Deficits Hypothesis: A Quantile Cointegration Analysis over the Period of 1791-2013," Working Papers 201607, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Nikolina Kosteletou & Panagiotis Palaios & Evangelia Papapetrou, 2023. "New Evidence on the Asymmetric Linkages Between Fiscal and Current Account Balances," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(4), pages 4145-4169, December.
    2. Murshed, Muntasir & Nijhum, Nawrin Khan, 2019. "The Fiscal and Current Account Imbalances: An Empirical analysis of the Twin Deficits Hypothesis in Bangladesh," MPRA Paper 97115, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  390. Mehmet Balcilar & Shinhye Chang & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2016. "The Relationship between the Inflation Rate and Inequality across US States: A Semiparametric Approach," Working Papers 201682, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Huynh, Cong Minh & Tran, Hoai Nam, 2022. "Financial development, income inequality and institutional quality: A multi-dimensional analysis," MPRA Paper 112829, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Berisha, Edmond & Gupta, Rangan & Meszaros, John, 2020. "The impact of macroeconomic factors on income inequality: Evidence from the BRICS," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 559-567.
    3. Edmond Berisha & Orkideh Gharehgozli & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Inflation-Inequality Puzzle: Is it Still Apparent?," Working Papers 202206, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Edmond Berisha & Ram Sewak Dubey & Orkideh Gharehgozli, 2023. "Inflation and income inequality: does the level of income inequality matter?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(37), pages 4319-4330, August.
    5. Zheng, Zhijie & Wan, Xi & Huang, Chien-Yu, 2023. "Inflation and income inequality in a Schumpeterian economy with heterogeneous wealth and skills," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    6. Manoel Bittencourt & Shinhye Chang & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2018. "Does Financial Development Affect Income Inequality in the U.S. States? A Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers 201803, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Bagchi, Sutirtha & Curran, Michael & Fagerstrom, Matthew J., 2019. "Monetary growth and wealth inequality," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 23-25.
    8. Kim, Dong-Hyeon & Lin, Shu-Chin, 2023. "Income inequality, inflation and financial development," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 468-487.
    9. Zheng, Zhijie & Huang, Chien-Yu & Wan, Xi, 2020. "Human Capital and Income Inequality in a Monetary Schumpeterian Growth Model," MPRA Paper 101912, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Linda Glawe & Helmut Wagner, 2024. "Inflation and inequality: new evidence from a dynamic panel threshold analysis," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 297-309, May.
    11. Bettarelli, Luca & Estefania-Flores, Julia & Furceri, Davide & Loungani, Prakash & Pizzuto, Pietro, 2023. "Energy inflation and consumption inequality," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    12. Sima Siami‐Namini & Conrad Lyford & A. Alexandre Trindade, 2020. "The Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Income Inequality Across U.S. States," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 39(3), pages 204-221, September.
    13. Bittencourt, Manoel & Chang, Shinhye & Gupta, Rangan & Miller, Stephen M., 2019. "Does financial development affect income inequality in the U.S. States?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(6), pages 1043-1056.
    14. Miller, Stephen M. & Teryoshin, Yevgeniy, 2024. "Income inequality and monetary policy regimes," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    15. Edmond Berisha & Rangan Gupta & John Meszaros, 2019. "Fisher Variables and Income Inequality in the BRICS," Working Papers 201933, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Kim, Dong-Hyeon & Lin, Shu-Chin, 2024. "Inflation and wealth inequality," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 893-907.

  391. Christina Christou & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2016. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Returns in Pacific-Rim Countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian Panel VAR Model," Working Papers 201661, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Chiang, Thomas C., 2021. "Spillovers of U.S. market volatility and monetary policy uncertainty to global stock markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    2. Yingying Xu & Jichang Zhao, 2022. "Can sentiments on macroeconomic news explain stock returns? Evidence form social network data," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2073-2088, April.
    3. Yonghong Jiang & Gengyu Tian & Yiqi Wu & Bin Mo, 2022. "Impacts of geopolitical risks and economic policy uncertainty on Chinese tourism‐listed company stock," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 320-333, January.
    4. Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Mensi, Walid, 2020. "Tail dependence structures between economic policy uncertainty and foreign exchange markets: Nonparametric quantiles methods," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 66-82.
    5. Muhammad Asif Khan & Masood Ahmed & József Popp & Judit Oláh, 2020. "US Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Nexus Revisited through Dynamic ARDL Simulation and Threshold Modelling," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-20, November.
    6. Mehmet Balcilar & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2018. "Asymmetric Dynamics of Insurance Premium: The Impact of Monetary Policy Uncertainty on Insurance Premiums in Japan," Working Papers 15-39, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    7. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Raza, Naveed & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ali, Sajid & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2017. "Can economic policy uncertainty and investors sentiment predict commodities returns and volatility?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 208-218.
    8. Chen, Xiaoyu & Chiang, Thomas C., 2020. "Empirical investigation of changes in policy uncertainty on stock returns—Evidence from China’s market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    9. Xiaoxiao Liu & Wei Wang, 2025. "Improving Sliding Window Effect of LSTM in Stock Prediction Based on Econometrics Theory," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 65(4), pages 2057-2080, April.
    10. Chang, Kuang-Liang, 2021. "Do U.S. and Japanese uncertainty shocks play important roles in affecting transition mechanisms of Japanese stock market?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    11. Kamal, Javed Bin & Wohar, Mark, 2023. "Heterogenous responses of stock markets to covid related news and sentiments: Evidence from the 1st year of pandemic," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 68-85.
    12. Al-Thaqeb, Saud Asaad & Algharabali, Barrak Ghanim, 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty: A literature review," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    13. Bales, Stephan & Burghartz, Kaspar & Burghof, Hans-Peter & Hitz, Lukas, 2023. "Does the source of uncertainty matter? The impact of financial, newspaper and Twitter-based measures on U.S. banks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    14. Bouri, Elie & Hammoud, Rami & Kassm, Christina Abou, 2023. "The effect of oil implied volatility and geopolitical risk on GCC stock sectors under various market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    15. Jiang, Yonghong & Wu, Lanxin & Tian, Gengyu & Nie, He, 2021. "Do cryptocurrencies hedge against EPU and the equity market volatility during COVID-19? – New evidence from quantile coherency analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    16. Gong, Yuting & He, Zhongzhi & Xue, Wenjun, 2022. "EPU spillovers and stock return predictability: A cross-country study," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    17. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Idris A. Adediran, 2021. "The Effect of US Uncertainty Shock on International Equity Markets: The Role of the Global Financial Cycle," Working Papers 202136, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. He, Feng & Ma, Yaming & Zhang, Xiaojie, 2020. "How does economic policy uncertainty affect corporate Innovation?–Evidence from China listed companies," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 225-239.
    19. Ranajit Kumar Bairagi, 2022. "Dynamic Impacts of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Australian Stock Market: An Intercontinental Evidence," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 21(1), pages 64-91, March.
    20. Bampinas, Georgios & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2024. "How would the war and the pandemic affect the stock and cryptocurrency cross-market linkages?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    21. Desalegn, Tigist Abebe & Zhu, Hongquan, 2021. "Does economic policy uncertainty affect bank earnings opacity? Evidence from China," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(5), pages 1000-1015.
    22. Zhou, Yuqin & Liu, Zhenhua & Wu, Shan, 2022. "The global economic policy uncertainty spillover analysis: In the background of COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    23. Federico Esposito & Marcelo Bianconi & Marco Sammon, 2020. "Trade Policy Uncertainty and Stock Returns," Discussion Papers Series, Department of Economics, Tufts University 0834, Department of Economics, Tufts University.
    24. Fontaine, Idriss & Razafindravaosolonirina, Justinien & Didier, Laurent, 2018. "Chinese policy uncertainty shocks and the world macroeconomy: Evidence from STVAR," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 1-19.
    25. Das, Debojyoti & Kannadhasan, M. & Bhattacharyya, Malay, 2019. "Do the emerging stock markets react to international economic policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk and financial stress alike?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 1-19.
    26. Bakhtiar Javaheri & Fateh habibi & Ramin Amani, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and the US stock market trading: non-ARDL evidence," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-10, December.
    27. Ying-Hui Shao & Yan-Hong Yang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2021. "How does economic policy uncertainty comove with stock markets: New evidence from symmetric thermal optimal path method," Papers 2106.04421, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
    28. OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Nurudeen Abu & Tayo P. Ogundunmade, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty in G7 countries: evidence of long-range dependence and cointegration," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 541-556, May.
    29. Yi, Sun & Raghutla, Chandrashekar & Chittedi, Krishna Reddy & Fareed, Zeeshan, 2023. "How economic policy uncertainty and financial development contribute to renewable energy consumption? The importance of economic globalization," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 1357-1367.
    30. Kannadhasan, M. & Das, Debojyoti, 2020. "Do Asian emerging stock markets react to international economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk alike? A quantile regression approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    31. Salokhiddin Avazkhodjaev & Farkhod Mukhamedov & Jaloliddin Usmonov, 2022. "Do Energy and Gold Markets Interact with Islamic Stocks? Evidence from the Asia-Pacific Markets," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 197-208, May.
    32. Glebocki, Helena & Saha, Sujata, 2024. "Global uncertainty and exchange rate conditions: Assessing the impact of uncertainty shocks in emerging markets and advanced economies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    33. Nusair, Salah A. & Al-Khasawneh, Jamal A., 2022. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on the stock markets of the G7 Countries:A nonlinear ARDL approach," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    34. Pym Manopimoke & Suthawan Prukumpai & Yuthana Sethapramote, 2018. "Dynamic Connectedness in Emerging Asian Equity Markets," PIER Discussion Papers 82, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    35. Gu, Rongbao & Liu, Shengnan, 2022. "Nonlinear analysis of economic policy uncertainty: Based on the data in China, the US and the global," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 593(C).
    36. Ray Saadaoui Mallek & Mohamed Albaity & Mahfuzur Rahman, 2025. "Economic freedom, economic sustainability, and herding behavior: Does the ubiquity of information communication technology matter?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-29, December.
    37. Chiang, Thomas C., 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty, risk and stock returns: Evidence from G7 stock markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 41-49.
    38. Ftiti, Zied & Hadhri, Sinda, 2019. "Can economic policy uncertainty, oil prices, and investor sentiment predict Islamic stock returns? A multi-scale perspective," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 40-55.
    39. Imlak Shaikh, 2019. "On the Relationship between Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Implied Volatility Index," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-11, March.
    40. Wang, Xinyu & Luo, Yi & Wang, Zhuqing & Xu, Yan & Wu, Congxin, 2021. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty on volatility of China’s financial stocks: An empirical analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    41. Serdar Ongan & Ismet Gocer, 2017. "Testing The Causalities Between Economic Policy Uncertainty And The Us Stock Indices: Applications Of Linear And Nonlinear Approaches," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(04), pages 1-20, December.
    42. Jatin Trivedi & Cristi Spulbar & Ramona Birau & Amir Mehdiabadi & Ion Florescu, 2022. "Do European, Middle-East and Asian Stock Markets Impact on Indian Stock Market? A Case Study Based on NIFTY Stock Index Forecasting," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 69(4), pages 599-613, December.
    43. Sabani, Nazmie & Bales, Stephan & Burghof, Hans-Peter, 2024. "On the different impact of local and national sources of policy uncertainty on sectoral stock volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PB).
    44. Ziadat, Salem Adel & McMillan, David G. & Herbst, Patrick, 2022. "Oil shocks and equity returns during bull and bear markets: The case of oil importing and exporting nations," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    45. Basher, Syed Abul & Haug, Alfred A. & Sadorsky, Perry, 2019. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty and commodity prices on CARB country stock market volatility," MPRA Paper 96577, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    46. Yu, Xiaoling & Huang, Yirong, 2021. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty on stock volatility: Evidence from GARCH–MIDAS approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 570(C).
    47. Omar, Ayman M.A. & Lambe, Brendan J & Wisniewski, Tomasz Piotr, 2021. "Perceptions of the threat to national security and the stock market," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 504-522.
    48. Shabir Mohsin Hashmi & Muhammad Akram Gilal & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "Sustainability of Global Economic Policy and Stock Market Returns in Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-18, May.
    49. Yifei Cai, 2018. "Predictive Power of us Monetary Policy Uncertainty Shock on Stock Returns in Australia and New Zealand," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(4), pages 470-488, December.
    50. Tihana Škrinjarić & Zrinka Orlović, 2020. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Spillovers: Case of Selected CEE Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-33, July.
    51. Mikhail Stolbov & Alexander Karminsky & Maria Shchepeleva, 2018. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Lead Systemic Risk? A Comparative Analysis of Selected European Countries," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 60(3), pages 332-360, September.
    52. Wang, Ziwei & Li, Youwei & He, Feng, 2020. "Asymmetric volatility spillovers between economic policy uncertainty and stock markets: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    53. LI, Yang & Luo, Jingqiu & Jiang, Yongmu, 2021. "Policy uncertainty spillovers and financial risk contagion in the Asia-Pacific network," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    54. Rangan Gupta & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Impact of US Uncertainty Shocks on a Panel of Advanced and Emerging Market Economies: The Role of Exchange Rate, Trade and Financial Channels," Working Papers 201857, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    55. Arunava Bandyopadhyay & Prabina Rajib, 2023. "The impact of Sino–US trade war on price discovery of soybean: A double‐edged sword?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(7), pages 858-879, July.
    56. Danisman, Gamze Ozturk & Ersan, Oguz & Demir, Ender, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and bank credit growth: Evidence from European banks," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 57.
    57. Ngo Thai Hung, 2021. "Directional Spillover Effects Between BRICS Stock Markets and Economic Policy Uncertainty," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 28(3), pages 429-448, September.
    58. Liang, Qi & Lu, Yanchen & Li, Zheng, 2020. "Business connectedness or market risk? Evidence from financial institutions in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    59. Wannakomol Supachart, 2019. "The Economic Policy Uncertainty in China, the United States, and Europe: The Empirical Impact on Chinese Stock Markets," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 6(5), pages 131-144, September.
    60. Thach Pham & Deepa Bannigidadmath & Robert Powell, 2025. "Industry return predictability using health policy uncertainty," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-42, December.
    61. Rababa’a, Abdel Razzaq Al & Alomari, Mohammad & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & McMillan, David & Hendawi, Raed, 2022. "Multiscale relationship between economic policy uncertainty and sectoral returns: Implications for portfolio management," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    62. Nguyen, Dat Thanh & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Anglingkusumo, Reza & Sasongko, Aryo, 2021. "US government shutdowns and Indonesian stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    63. Shams, Syed & Gunaskerage, Abeyratna & Velayutham, Eswaran, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and acquisition performance: Australian evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 286-308.
    64. Yaya, OlaOluwa S. & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "How fearful are commodities and US stocks in response to global fear? Persistence and cointegration analyses," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    65. Hammed, Yinka S & Salisu, Afees & Akume, Michael, 2025. "The international spillover effects of US Quality of Political Signals: A Global VAR approach," MPRA Paper 123530, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    66. Fei Su & Feifan Wang & Yahua Xu, 2025. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Volatility Spillovers Among International Stock Market Indices During the COVID-19 Outbreak," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 32(1), pages 237-266, March.
    67. He, Feng & Wang, Ziwei & Yin, Libo, 2020. "Asymmetric volatility spillovers between international economic policy uncertainty and the U.S. stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    68. Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "When, where, and how economic policy uncertainty predicts Bitcoin returns and volatility? A quantiles-based analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 65-73.
    69. Kubra Saka Ilgin, 2022. "Examining the Relationship Between National Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Indices: An Empirical Analysis for Selected European Countries," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 9(2), pages 455-474, July.
    70. Saud Asaad Al‐Thaqeb & Barrak Ghanim Algharabali & Khaled Tareq Alabdulghafour, 2022. "The pandemic and economic policy uncertainty," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 2784-2794, July.
    71. Lambe, Brendan & Li, Zhiyong & Qin, Weiping, 2022. "Uncertain times and the insider perspective," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    72. Helseth, Marius Aleksander Emblem & Krakstad, Svein Olav & Molnár, Peter & Norlin, Karl-Martin, 2020. "Can policy and financial risk predict stock markets?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 701-719.
    73. Batabyal, Sourav & Killins, Robert, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns: Evidence from Canada," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    74. Kundu, Srikanta & Paul, Amartya, 2022. "Effect of economic policy uncertainty on stock market return and volatility under heterogeneous market characteristics," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 597-612.
    75. Cristiane Gea & Marcelo Cabus Klotzle & Luciano Vereda & Antonio Carlos Figueiredo Pinto, 2023. "Pricing uncertainty in the Brazilian stock market: do size and sustainability matter?," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 1-37, January.
    76. Lv, Wendai & Qi, Jipeng & Feng, Jing, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty and environmental governance company volatility: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    77. Maria Ghani & Usman Ghani, 2024. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Emerging Stock Market Volatility," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(1), pages 165-181, March.
    78. Manel Youssef & Khaled Mokni & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between stock markets in the presence of the COVID-19 pandemic: does economic policy uncertainty matter?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-27, December.
    79. Nguyen, Canh Phuc & Le, Thai-Ha & Su, Thanh Dinh, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and credit growth: Evidence from a global sample," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    80. Huang, Yisu & Ma, Feng & Bouri, Elie & Huang, Dengshi, 2023. "A comprehensive investigation on the predictive power of economic policy uncertainty from non-U.S. countries for U.S. stock market returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    81. Hong, Yun & Zhang, Rushan & Zhang, Feipeng, 2024. "Time-varying causality impact of economic policy uncertainty on stock market returns: Global evidence from developed and emerging countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    82. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Ogunbowale, Gideon O. & Akinseye, Ademola B. & Oduyemi, Gabriel O., 2021. "Improving the predictability of stock returns with global financial cycle and oil price in oil-exporting African countries," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 166-181.
    83. Yaming Ma & Ziwei Wang & Feng He, 2022. "How do economic policy uncertainties affect stock market volatility? Evidence from G7 countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2303-2325, April.

  392. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2016. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Forecast Real Housing Returns in a Panel of OECD Countries? A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 201637, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Cui Jinxin & Zou Huiwen, 2020. "Connectedness Among Economic Policy Uncertainties: Evidence from the Time and Frequency Domain Perspectives," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 8(5), pages 401-433, October.
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty And The Comovement In Buying Versus Renting In The Usa," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(3), pages 93-121, September.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Uzuner, Gizem & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Housing sector and economic policy uncertainty: A GMM panel VAR approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 114-126.
    5. MeiChi Huang, 2025. "Revisiting housing asset pricing: uncertainty and business-cycle factors in US state-level housing markets," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 74(1), pages 1-25, March.
    6. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and the Comovement in Buying versus Renting in the United States," Working Papers 201832, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Xia, Tongshui & Yao, Chen-Xi & Geng, Jiang-Bo, 2020. "Dynamic and frequency-domain spillover among economic policy uncertainty, stock and housing markets in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    8. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Does Inequality Really Matter in Forecasting Real Housing Returns of the United Kingdom?," Working Papers 201859, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Farid, Saqib & Zafar, Quratulain, 2024. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on global carbon emissions," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(2).
    10. Karanasos, M. & Yfanti, S., 2021. "On the Economic fundamentals behind the Dynamic Equicorrelations among Asset classes: Global evidence from Equities, Real estate, and Commodities," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    11. Wang, Xinya, 2023. "Unveiling the multiscale impact of economic policy uncertainty on China's housing market spillovers: Evidence from different uncertainty measurements," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PD).
    12. Kyriaki I. Kafka, 2024. "Under the Veil of Uncertainty: Assessing the Greek Economy’s Resilience and Vulnerability in the Face of Different Uncertainty Types," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(2), pages 9288-9321, June.
    13. OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Hammed A. Olayinka & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2024. "Dynamic connectedness of economic policy uncertainty in G7 countries and the influence of the USA and UK on non-G7 countries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1-27, April.
    14. Huang, MeiChi, 2024. "A greater crisis? Investigating MSA-level housing markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    15. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rinsuna Shivambu, 2020. "Uncertainty and Daily Predictability of Housing Returns and Volatility of the United States: Evidence from a Higher-Order Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 202071, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the co-movement of regional housing prices of the United Kingdom," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-22, December.
    17. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Christophe Andre & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Housing Returns and Volatility: Evidence from US State-Level Data," Working Papers 202131, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Hardik A. Marfatia & Christophe André & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Predicting Housing Market Sentiment: The Role of Financial, Macroeconomic and Real Estate Uncertainties," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 189-209, May.
    19. Sabani, Nazmie & Bales, Stephan & Burghof, Hans-Peter, 2024. "On the different impact of local and national sources of policy uncertainty on sectoral stock volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PB).
    20. Yin, Xiao-Cui & Li, Xin & Wang, Min-Hui & Qin, Meng & Shao, Xue-Feng, 2021. "Do economic policy uncertainty and its components predict China's housing returns?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    21. Godil, Danish Iqbal & Sarwat, Salman & Sharif, Arshian & Jermsittiparsert, Kittisak, 2020. "How oil prices, gold prices, uncertainty and risk impact Islamic and conventional stocks? Empirical evidence from QARDL technique," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    22. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Uncertainty and Predictability of Real Housing Returns in the United Kingdom: A Regional Analysis," Working Papers 202102, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    24. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Tran, Vuong Thao, 2018. "Can economic policy uncertainty predict stock returns? Global evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 134-150.
    25. Andrew Adewale Alola, 2021. "Evidence of speculative bubbles and regime switch in real estate market and crude oil price: Insight from Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3473-3483, July.
    26. Yao, Can-Zhong & Sun, Bo-Yi, 2018. "The study on the tail dependence structure between the economic policy uncertainty and several financial markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 245-265.
    27. Dou, Yue & Li, Yiying & Dong, Kangyin & Ren, Xiaohang, 2022. "Dynamic linkages between economic policy uncertainty and the carbon futures market: Does Covid-19 pandemic matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    28. Helseth, Marius Aleksander Emblem & Krakstad, Svein Olav & Molnár, Peter & Norlin, Karl-Martin, 2020. "Can policy and financial risk predict stock markets?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 701-719.
    29. Hadhri, Sinda, 2023. "News-based economic policy uncertainty and financial contagion: An international evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 63-76.
    30. Huang, Wei-Ling & Lin, Wen-Yuan & Ning, Shao-Lin, 2020. "The effect of economic policy uncertainty on China’s housing market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    31. Batabyal, Sourav & Killins, Robert, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns: Evidence from Canada," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    32. Laubsch, Joshua & Smales, Lee A. & Vo, Duc, 2024. "The influence of uncertainty on commodity futures returns and trading behaviour," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    33. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Menelaos Karanasos & Stavroula Yfanti, 2019. "Macro-Financial Linkages in the High-Frequency Domain: The Effects of Uncertainty on Realized Volatility," CESifo Working Paper Series 8000, CESifo.

  393. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Mark Wohar, 2016. "The Role of Current Account Balance in Forecasting the US Equity Premium: Evidence from a Quantile Predictive Regression Approach," Working Papers 201612, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Predicting Stock Market Movements in the United States: The Role of Presidential Approval Ratings," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 324-335, March.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    3. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2023. "Tail risks and forecastability of stock returns of advanced economies: evidence from centuries of data," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 466-481, March.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    5. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Gupta, Rangan & Huber, Florian & Piribauer, Philipp, 2020. "Predicting international equity returns: Evidence from time-varying parameter vector autoregressive models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    8. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).

  394. Omokolade Akinsomi & Yener Coskun & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Analysis of Herding in REITs of an Emerging Market: The Case of Turkey," Working Papers 201666, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Esin Cakan & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Josine Uwilingiye, 2019. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Herding Behavior Evidence from the South African Housing Market," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(1), pages 88-113, March.
    2. Kola Akinsomi & Yener Coskun & Rangan Gupta & Marco Lau Chi Keung, 2018. "Impact of Volatility and Equity Market Uncertainty on Herd Behaviour: Evidence from UK REITs," ERES eres2018_52, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    3. Yener Coskun & Isil Erol & Giacomo Morri, 2021. "Why do Turkish REITs trade at discount to net asset value?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(5), pages 2227-2259, May.
    4. Yener Cos‚kun & A. Sevtap Selcuk-Kestel & Bilgi Yilmaz, 2017. "Diversification benefit and return performance of REITs using CAPM and Fama-French: Evidence from Turkey," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 17(4), pages 199-215, December.

  395. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Periodically Collapsing Bubbles in the South African Stock Market," Working Papers 201624, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Carol Thiago Costa & Wesley Vieirada Silva & Lauro Britode Almeida & Claudimar Pereirada Veiga, 2017. "Empirical evidence of the existence of speculative bubbles in the prices of stocks traded on the São Paulo Stock Exchange," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 62(4), pages 1317-1334, Octubre-D.
    2. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    3. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Investor Sentiment and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries," Working Papers 202256, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Xie, Zixiong & Chen, Shyh-Wei & Wu, An-Chi, 2019. "Asymmetric adjustment, non-linearity and housing price bubbles: New international evidence," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    5. Chen, Shyh-Wei & Xie, Zixiong, 2017. "Asymmetric adjustment and smooth breaks in dividend yields: Evidence from international stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 339-354.
    6. Kassouri, Yacouba, 2022. "Boom-bust cycles in oil consumption: The role of explosive bubbles and asymmetric adjustments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    7. Iliyasu, Jamilu & Rafindadi Sanusi, Aliyu & Suleiman, Dahiru, 2019. "Testing For Multiple Bubble Episodes In Nigerian Stock Exchange Market," Ilorin Journal of Economic Policy, Department of Economics, University of Ilorin, vol. 6(6), pages 13-26, June.
    8. Ayesha Liaqat & Mian Sajid Nazir & Iftikhar Ahmad, 2019. "Identification of multiple stock bubbles in an emerging market: application of GSADF approach," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 301-326, August.
    9. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "US Monetary Policy and BRICS Stock Market Bubbles," Working Papers 202243, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua, 2024. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bubbles in global stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    12. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles in an Emerging Country: The Case of India," Working Papers 202305, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Zeren Feyyaz & Yilanci Veli, 2019. "Are there Multiple Bubbles in the Stock Markets? Further Evidence from Selected Countries," Ekonomika (Economics), Sciendo, vol. 98(1), pages 81-95, June.
    14. Adedoyin Isola Lawal & Adeniyi Olayanju & Afeez Adebare Salisu & Abiola John Asaleye & Olatunde Dahunsi & Oluwasogo Dada & Oluwasola Emmanel Omoju & Olabisi Rasheedat Popoola, 2019. "Examining Rational Bubbles in Oil Prices: Evidence From Frequency Domain Estimates," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 166-173.
    15. Adél Bosch & Steven F. Koch, 2020. "The South African Financial Cycle and its Relation to Household Deleveraging," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(2), pages 145-173, June.
    16. Riza Demirer & Guilherme Demos & Rangan Gupta & Didier Sornette, 2017. "On the Predictability of Stock Market Bubbles: Evidence from LPPLS ConfidenceTM Multi-scale Indicators," Working Papers 201752, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2025. "Stock market volatility and multi-scale positive and negative bubbles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    18. Ayesha Liaqat & Mian Sajid Nazir & Iftikhar Ahmad & Hammad Hassan Mirza & Farooq Anwar, 2020. "Do stock price bubbles correlate between China and Pakistan? An inquiry of pre‐ and post‐Chinese investment in Pakistani capital market under China‐Pakistan Economic Corridor regime," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(3), pages 323-335, July.
    19. Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "Monetary policy and bubbles in G7 economies using a panel VAR approach: Implications for sustainable development," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 133-155.
    20. Bago, Jean-Louis & Souratié, Wamadini M. & Ouédraogo, Moussa & Ouédraogo, Ernest & Dembélé, Alou, 2019. "Financial Bubbles : New Evidence from South Africa’s Stock Market," MPRA Paper 95685, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Binge, Laurie H. & Boshoff, Willem H., 2021. "Measuring alternative asset prices in an emerging market: The case of the South African art market," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    22. Wesson, N. & Smit, E.v.d.M. & Kidd, M. & Hamman, W.D., 2018. "Determinants of the choice between share repurchases and dividend payments," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 180-196.

  396. Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2016. "Gold Futures Returns and Realized Moments: A Forecasting Experiment Using a Quantile-Boosting Approach," Working Papers 201645, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Demirer, Riza & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Time-varying risk aversion and realized gold volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    2. Jian, Zhihong & Li, Xupei & Zhu, Zhican, 2022. "Extreme risk transmission channels between the stock index futures and spot markets: Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    3. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Nguyen, Quynh Nga & Bedoui, Rihab & Majdoub, Najemeddine & Guesmi, Khaled & Chevallier, Julien, 2020. "Hedging and safe-haven characteristics of Gold against currencies: An investigation based on multivariate dynamic copula theory," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    6. Shang, Yue & Wei, Yu & Chen, Yongfei, 2022. "Cryptocurrency policy uncertainty and gold return forecasting: A dynamic Occam's window approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    7. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    8. Yongmei Fang & Bo Guan & Shangjuan Wu & Saeed Heravi, 2020. "Optimal forecast combination based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition for agricultural commodity futures prices," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 877-886, September.
    9. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus, 2022. "Rare disaster risks and gold over 700 years: Evidence from nonparametric quantile regressions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    10. Christian Pierdzioch & Sebastian Rohloff & Roland von Campe, 2023. "The stance of U.S. monetary policy and the realized variance of gold-price returns," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(2), pages 719-732.

  397. Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "The Predictive Power of Industrial Electricity Usage Revisited: Evidence from Nonparametric Causality Tests," Working Papers 201679, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sayar Karmakar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Bitcoin Mining Activity and Volatility Dynamics in the Power Market," Working Papers 202166, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  398. Sheung-Chi Chow & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Wing-Keung Wong, 2016. "Causal Relationships between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Housing Market Returns in China and India: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Panel and Time Series Models," Working Papers 201674, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty And The Comovement In Buying Versus Renting In The Usa," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(3), pages 93-121, September.
    2. Kai-Yin Woo & Chulin Mai & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "Review on Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-51, March.
    3. Zhihui Lv & Amanda M. Y. Chu & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Modelling Economic Growth, Carbon Emissions, and Fossil Fuel Consumption in China: Cointegration and Multivariate Causality," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(21), pages 1-35, October.
    4. Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Uzuner, Gizem & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Housing sector and economic policy uncertainty: A GMM panel VAR approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 114-126.
    5. Chow, Sheung Chi & Vieito, João Paulo & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2018. "Do both demand-following and supply-leading theories hold true in developing countries?," MPRA Paper 87641, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and the Comovement in Buying versus Renting in the United States," Working Papers 201832, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Xia, Tongshui & Yao, Chen-Xi & Geng, Jiang-Bo, 2020. "Dynamic and frequency-domain spillover among economic policy uncertainty, stock and housing markets in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    8. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Equity Return Dispersion and Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from Multivariate Linear and Nonlinear Causality Tests," Working Papers 201846, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Decision Sciences, Economics, Finance, Business, Computing, And Big Data: Connections," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 22(1), pages 36-94, December.
    10. Kim-Hung Pho & Tuan-Kiet Tran & Thi Diem-Chinh Ho & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Optimal Solution Techniques in Decision Sciences A Review," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(1), pages 114-161, March.
    11. Ahmed Ali & Granberg Mark & Troster Victor & Uddin Gazi Salah, 2022. "Asymmetric dynamics between uncertainty and unemployment flows in the United States," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 26(1), pages 155-172, February.
    12. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the co-movement of regional housing prices of the United Kingdom," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-22, December.
    13. Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Decision Sciences, Economics, Finance, Business, Computing, and Big Data: Connections," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-024/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    14. Yin, Xiao-Cui & Li, Xin & Wang, Min-Hui & Qin, Meng & Shao, Xue-Feng, 2021. "Do economic policy uncertainty and its components predict China's housing returns?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    15. Andy Wui-Wing Cheng & Nikolai Sheung-Chi Chow & David Kam-Hung Chui & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "The Three Musketeers Relationships between Hong Kong, Shanghai and Shenzhen Before and After Shanghai–Hong Kong Stock Connect," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-20, July.
    16. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Uncertainty and Predictability of Real Housing Returns in the United Kingdom: A Regional Analysis," Working Papers 202102, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Yigit Onay, 2022. "The role of investor sentiment in forecasting housing returns in China: A machine learning approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1725-1740, December.
    18. Wenjing Xie & João Paulo Vieito & Ephraim Clark & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "Could Mergers Become More Sustainable? A Study of the Stock Exchange Mergers of NASDAQ and OMX," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-25, October.
    19. Xiaoguang Liu & Jian Yu & Tsun Se Cheong & Michal Wojewodzki, 2022. "The Future Evolution of Housing Price-to-Income Ratio in 171 Chinese Cities," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 23(1), pages 159-196, May.
    20. Gizem Uzuner & Sudeshna Ghosh, 2021. "Do pandemics have an asymmetric effect on tourism in Italy?," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 55(5), pages 1561-1579, October.
    21. Kim-Hung Pho & Thi Diem-Chinh Ho & Tuan-Kiet Tran & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Moment Generating Function, Expectation And Variance Of Ubiquitous Distributions With Applications In Decision Sciences: A Review," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(2), pages 65-150, June.
    22. Linyan Dai & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Impact of Uncertainty on State-Level Housing Markets of the United States: The Role of Social Cohesion," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-9, March.
    23. Chu, Amanda M.Y. & Lv, Zhihui & Wagner, Niklas F. & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2020. "Linear and nonlinear growth determinants: The case of Mongolia and its connection to China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).

  399. Kola Akinsomi & Mehmet Balcilar & Rıza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "The Effect of Gold Market Speculation on REIT Returns in South Africa: A Behavioral Perspective," Working Papers 201643, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Esin Cakan & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Josine Uwilingiye, 2019. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Herding Behavior Evidence from the South African Housing Market," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(1), pages 88-113, March.
    2. Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Esin Cakan, 2017. "The International REIT's Time-Varying Response to the U.S. Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Surprises," Working Papers 201712, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Kola Ijasan & George Tweneboah & Maurice Omane-Adjepong & Peterson Owusu Junior, 2019. "On the global integration of REITs market returns: A multiresolution analysis," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 1690211-169, January.
    4. Kola Akinsomi & Yener Coskun & Rangan Gupta & Marco Lau Chi Keung, 2018. "Impact of Volatility and Equity Market Uncertainty on Herd Behaviour: Evidence from UK REITs," ERES eres2018_52, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    5. Ji, Qiang & Marfatia, Hardik & Gupta, Rangan, 2018. "Information spillover across international real estate investment trusts: Evidence from an entropy-based network analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 103-113.
    6. Mehmet Balcilar & Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Geopolitical Risks and Stock Market Dynamics of the BRICS," Working Papers 201648, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Li, Sufang & Xu, Qiufan & Lv, Yixue & Yuan, Di, 2022. "Public attention, oil and gold markets during the COVID-19: Evidence from time-frequency analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    8. Kola Ijasan & Peterson Owusu Junior & George Tweneboah & Tunbosun Oyedokun & Anokye M. Adam, 2021. "Analysing the relationship between global REITs and exchange rates: Fresh evidence from frequency-based quantile regressions," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(3), pages 58-91, September.
    9. Chan, Kam C. & Chan, Leo H. & Nguyen, Chi M., 2020. "Forecasting oil futures market volatility in a financialized world: Why speculative activities matter," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    10. Liu, Jian & Chen, Yan & Liao, Shufei & Cheng, Cheng & Fu, Yongge, 2023. "Information spillovers in Hong Kong REITs and related asset markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 215-229.
    11. Geoffrey M. Ngene & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Impact of Housing Policy Uncertainty on Herding Behavior: Evidence from UK's Regional Housing Markets," Working Papers 202115, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Christian Pierdzioch & Marian Risse & Rangan Gupta & Wendy Nyakabawo, 2016. "On REIT Returns and (Un-) Expected Inflation: Empirical Evidence Based on Bayesian Additive Regression Trees," Working Papers 201677, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Contagion between Stock and Real Estate Markets: International Evidence from a Local Gaussian Correlation Approach," Working Papers 201917, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Hanif, Waqas & Andraz, Jorge Miguel & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2024. "Are REITS hedge or safe haven against oil price fall?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1-16.
    15. Charteris, Ailie & Kallinterakis, Vasileios, 2021. "Feedback trading in retail-dominated assets: Evidence from the gold bullion coin market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    16. Salisu, Afees A. & Akinsomi, Omokolade & Ametefe, Frank Kwakutse & Hammed, Yinka S., 2024. "Gold market volatility and REITs' returns during tranquil and turbulent episodes," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).
    17. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang, 2022. "Nonlinear contagion between stock and real estate markets: International evidence from a local Gaussian correlation approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2089-2109, April.
    18. Fabian Moodley & Sune Ferreira-Schenk & Kago Matlhaku, 2024. "Time–Frequency Co-Movement of South African Asset Markets: Evidence from an MGARCH-ADCC Wavelet Analysis," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(10), pages 1-26, October.

  400. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Tsangyao Chang & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "The Relationship between Commodity Markets and Commodity Mutual Funds: A Wavelet-Based Analysis," Working Papers 201619, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Satish Kumar & Aviral K. Tiwari & Ibrahim D. Raheem & Qiang Ji, 2019. "Dependence risk analysis in energy, agricultural and precious metals commodities: A pair vine copula approach," Research Africa Network Working Papers 19/092, Research Africa Network (RAN).
    2. Cosimo Magazzino & Syed Kafait Hussain Naqvi & Lorenzo Giolli, 2024. "Co-Movement Among Electricity Consumption, Economic Growth and Financial Development in Portugal, Italy, Greece, and Spain: A Wavelet Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(24), pages 1-19, December.
    3. Tule, Moses K. & Salisu, Afees A. & Chiemeke, Charles C., 2019. "Can agricultural commodity prices predict Nigeria's inflation?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(C).
    4. Bernardina Algieri & Arturo Leccadito, 2020. "CARL and His POT: Measuring Risks in Commodity Markets," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-15, March.
    5. Lei Wang & Provash Kumer Sarker & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Short- and Long-Term Interactions Between Bitcoin and Economic Variables: Evidence from the US," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(4), pages 1305-1330, April.
    6. Apostolakis, George N. & Giannellis, Nikolaos, 2024. "Monetary policy and uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from a wavelet and frequency connectedness analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PC).
    7. Pejman Bahramian & Andisheh Saliminezhad, 2021. "Does Capacity Utilization Predict Inflation? A Wavelet Based Evidence from United States," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 58(4), pages 1103-1125, December.
    8. Elroi Hadad & Davinder Malhotra & Srinivas Nippani, 2024. "Trading commodity ETFs: Price behavior, investment insights, and performance analysis," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(7), pages 1257-1276, July.

  401. Elie Bouri & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2016. "Modelling Long Memory Volatility in the Bitcoin Market: Evidence of Persistence and Structural Breaks," Working Papers 201654, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Huang, Yingying & Duan, Kun & Urquhart, Andrew, 2023. "Time-varying dependence between Bitcoin and green financial assets: A comparison between pre- and post-COVID-19 periods," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Robert Mudida & Nuruddeen Abu, 2021. "Market efficiency and volatility persistence of cryptocurrency during pre‐ and post‐crash periods of Bitcoin: Evidence based on fractional integration," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1318-1335, January.
    3. Lee A. Smales, 2021. "Volatility Spillovers among Cryptocurrencies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-12, October.
    4. Hung, Jui-Cheng & Liu, Hung-Chun & Yang, J. Jimmy, 2020. "Improving the realized GARCH’s volatility forecast for Bitcoin with jump-robust estimators," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    5. Yao, Can-Zhong & Li, Hong-Yu, 2021. "A study on the bursting point of Bitcoin based on the BSADF and LPPLS methods," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    6. Telli, Şahin & Chen, Hongzhuan, 2020. "Multifractal behavior in return and volatility series of Bitcoin and gold in comparison," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    7. Thanh Ha, Le & Bouteska, Ahmed & Harasheh, Murad, 2024. "Dynamic connectedness between FinTech and energy markets: Evidence from fat tails, serial dependence, and Bayesian approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 574-586.
    8. Telli, Şahin & Chen, Hongzhuan, 2020. "Structural breaks and trend awareness-based interaction in crypto markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 558(C).
    9. Duan, Kun & Li, Zeming & Urquhart, Andrew & Ye, Jinqiang, 2021. "Dynamic efficiency and arbitrage potential in Bitcoin: A long-memory approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    10. White, Reilly & Marinakis, Yorgos & Islam, Nazrul & Walsh, Steven, 2020. "Is Bitcoin a currency, a technology-based product, or something else?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    11. Balcilar, Mehmet & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2017. "Can volume predict Bitcoin returns and volatility? A quantiles-based approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 74-81.
    12. Bouri, Elie & Molnár, Peter & Azzi, Georges & Roubaud, David & Hagfors, Lars Ivar, 2017. "On the hedge and safe haven properties of Bitcoin: Is it really more than a diversifier?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 192-198.
    13. Rasim Özcan & Asad ul Islam KHAN & Sundas Iftikhar, 2024. "Whether The Cr Whether The Crypto Market Is Efficient? E et Is Efficient? Evidence F vidence From Testing The Validity Of The Efficient Market Hypothesis," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 27(1), pages 113-132, March.
    14. Khaled Mokni & Ghassen El Montasser & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Elie Bouri, 2024. "On the efficiency and its drivers in the cryptocurrency market: the case of Bitcoin and Ethereum," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-25, December.
    15. Alessandra Cretarola & Gianna Figà-Talamanca & Cyril Grunspan, 2021. "Blockchain and cryptocurrencies: economic and financial research," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(2), pages 781-787, December.
    16. Duan, Kun & Zhang, Liya & Urquhart, Andrew & Yao, Kai & Peng, Long, 2024. "Do clean and dirty cryptocurrencies connect financial assets differently? The perspective of market inefficiency," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
    17. Natalya Apopo & Andrew Phiri, 2019. "On the (in)efficiency of cryptocurrencies: Have they taken daily or weekly random walks?," Working Papers 1904, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University, revised Jun 2019.
    18. Tzeng, Kae-Yih & Su, Yi-Kai, 2024. "Can U.S. macroeconomic indicators forecast cryptocurrency volatility?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    19. Nguyen Hong Yen & Le Thanh Ha, 2023. "Interlinkages of cryptocurrency and stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic by applying a QVAR model," European Journal of Management and Business Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 33(1), pages 74-95, March.
    20. Ha, Le Thanh & Nham, Nguyen Thi Hong, 2022. "An application of a TVP-VAR extended joint connected approach to explore connectedness between WTI crude oil, gold, stock and cryptocurrencies during the COVID-19 health crisis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    21. Bouteska, Ahmed & Sharif, Taimur & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2023. "Volatility spillovers and other dynamics between cryptocurrencies and the energy and bond markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 1-13.
    22. Kristjanpoller, Werner & Bouri, Elie & Takaishi, Tetsuya, 2020. "Cryptocurrencies and equity funds: Evidence from an asymmetric multifractal analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
    23. Wei Jiang & Yanyu Zhang, 2023. "Carbon assets and Bitcoin: Hedging roles in global stock markets during the tranquil and turbulent periods?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(9), pages 1183-1203, September.
    24. Rudkin, Simon & Rudkin, Wanling & Dłotko, Paweł, 2023. "On the topology of cryptocurrency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    25. Figà-Talamanca, Gianna & Focardi, Sergio & Patacca, Marco, 2021. "Regime switches and commonalities of the cryptocurrencies asset class," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    26. Bikramaditya Ghosh & Spyros Papathanasiou & Georgios Pergeris, 2022. "Did cryptocurrencies exhibit log‐periodic power law signature during the second wave of COVID‐19?," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 51(3), November.
    27. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2016. "Can Volume Predict Bitcoin Returns and Volatility? A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201662, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    28. Fantazzini, Dean & Zimin, Stephan, 2019. "A multivariate approach for the simultaneous modelling of market risk and credit risk for cryptocurrencies," MPRA Paper 95988, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    29. Le Thanh Ha, 2022. "Interlinkages of cryptocurrency and stock markets during COVID-19 pandemic by applying a TVP-VAR extended joint connected approach," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 50(3), pages 407-428, March.
    30. Stefano Martinazzi & Daniele Regoli & Andrea Flori, 2020. "A Tale of Two Layers: The Mutual Relationship between Bitcoin and Lightning Network," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-18, December.
    31. Tim Leung & Theodore Zhao, 2022. "Adaptive complementary ensemble EMD and energy-frequency spectra of cryptocurrency prices," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(01), pages 1-23, March.
    32. Zhiyong Tu & Lan Ju, 2019. "A Normative Dual-value Theory for Bitcoin and other Cryptocurrencies," Papers 1904.05028, arXiv.org.
    33. Gianna Figá-Talamanca & Sergio Focardi & Marco Patacca, 2021. "Common dynamic factors for cryptocurrencies and multiple pair-trading statistical arbitrages," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(2), pages 863-882, December.
    34. H. Kent Baker & Satish Kumar & Kirti Goyal & Prashant Gupta, 2023. "International journal of finance and economics: A bibliometric overview," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 9-46, January.
    35. Aharon, David Y. & Butt, Hassan Anjum & Jaffri, Ali & Nichols, Brian, 2023. "Asymmetric volatility in the cryptocurrency market: New evidence from models with structural breaks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    36. Bruno Spilak & Wolfgang Karl Härdle, 2022. "Tail-Risk Protection: Machine Learning Meets Modern Econometrics," Springer Books, in: Cheng-Few Lee & Alice C. Lee (ed.), Encyclopedia of Finance, edition 0, chapter 92, pages 2177-2211, Springer.
    37. C. Y. Tan & Y. B. Koh & K. H. Ng & K. H. Ng, 2019. "Structural Change Analysis of Active Cryptocurrency Market," Papers 1909.10679, arXiv.org.
    38. Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Rojo, María Fátima Romero, 2020. "Cryptocurrencies and stock market indices. Are they related?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    39. Pham, Son Duy & Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Do, Hung Xuan, 2022. "Dynamic volatility connectedness between thermal coal futures and major cryptocurrencies: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    40. Sang Hoon Kang & Seong-Min Yoon & Stelios Bekiros & Gazi S. Uddin, 2020. "Bitcoin as Hedge or Safe Haven: Evidence from Stock, Currency, Bond and Derivatives Markets," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(2), pages 529-545, August.
    41. Telli, Şahin & Chen, Hongzhuan, 2021. "Multifractal behavior relationship between crypto markets and Wikipedia-Reddit online platforms," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    42. Huang, Zih-Chun & Sangiorgi, Ivan & Urquhart, Andrew, 2024. "Forecasting Bitcoin volatility using machine learning techniques," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    43. Ahmed, Mohamed Shaker & El-Masry, Ahmed A. & Al-Maghyereh, Aktham I. & Kumar, Satish, 2024. "Cryptocurrency volatility: A review, synthesis, and research agenda," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    44. Panagiotidis, Theodore & Stengos, Thanasis & Vravosinos, Orestis, 2019. "The effects of markets, uncertainty and search intensity on bitcoin returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 220-242.
    45. Duan, Kun & Gao, Yang & Mishra, Tapas & Satchell, Stephen, 2023. "Efficiency dynamics across segmented Bitcoin Markets: Evidence from a decomposition strategy," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    46. Pradipta Kumar Sahoo & Badri Narayan Rath, 2024. "COVID-19 Pandemic and Bitcoin Returns - Evidence From Time and Frequency Domain Causality Analysis," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 5(2), pages 1-4.
    47. Pınar Kaya Soylu & Mustafa Okur & Özgür Çatıkkaş & Z. Ayca Altintig, 2020. "Long Memory in the Volatility of Selected Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-21, May.
    48. Etienne Harb & Charbel Bassil & Talie Kassamany & Roland Baz, 2024. "Volatility Interdependence Between Cryptocurrencies, Equity, and Bond Markets," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(3), pages 951-981, March.
    49. Bruno Spilak & Wolfgang Karl Hardle, 2020. "Tail-risk protection: Machine Learning meets modern Econometrics," Papers 2010.03315, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    50. Omane-Adjepong, Maurice & Alagidede, Paul & Akosah, Nana Kwame, 2019. "Wavelet time-scale persistence analysis of cryptocurrency market returns and volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 514(C), pages 105-120.
    51. Sercan Demiralay & Selçuk Bayracı, 2021. "Should stock investors include cryptocurrencies in their portfolios after all? Evidence from a conditional diversification benefits measure," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 6188-6204, October.
    52. Wang, Peijin & Zhang, Hongwei & Yang, Cai & Guo, Yaoqi, 2021. "Time and frequency dynamics of connectedness and hedging performance in global stock markets: Bitcoin versus conventional hedges," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    53. Leandro Maciel, 2021. "Cryptocurrencies value‐at‐risk and expected shortfall: Do regime‐switching volatility models improve forecasting?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4840-4855, July.
    54. Wüstenfeld, Jan & Geldner, Teo, 2022. "Economic uncertainty and national bitcoin trading activity," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    55. Lahmiri, Salim & Bekiros, Stelios, 2020. "The impact of COVID-19 pandemic upon stability and sequential irregularity of equity and cryptocurrency markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    56. José Antonio Núñez-Mora & Mario Iván Contreras-Valdez & Roberto Joaquín Santillán-Salgado, 2023. "Risk Premium of Bitcoin and Ethereum during the COVID-19 and Non-COVID-19 Periods: A High-Frequency Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-20, October.
    57. Kristjanpoller, Werner & Nekhili, Ramzi & Bouri, Elie, 2024. "Blockchain ETFs and the cryptocurrency and Nasdaq markets: Multifractal and asymmetric cross-correlations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 637(C).
    58. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Yaya, OlaOluwa S. & Akinsomi, Omokolade & Coskun, Yener, 2020. "How do stocks in BRICS co-move with real estate stocks?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 93-101.
    59. Bouri, Elie & Azzi, Georges & Dyhrberg, Anne Haubo, 2017. "On the return-volatility relationship in the Bitcoin market around the price crash of 2013," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 11, pages 1-16.
    60. Chikumbi, Lydia & Muchapondwa, Edwin & Thiam, Djiby, 2020. "Volatility Linkages between Energy and Wine Prices in South Africa," EfD Discussion Paper 20-7, Environment for Development, University of Gothenburg.
    61. Mahmut Bağcı & Pınar Kaya Soylu, 2024. "Optimal portfolio selection with volatility information for a high frequency rebalancing algorithm," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-28, December.
    62. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alex Plastun & Viktor Oliinyk, 2019. "Bitcoin fluctuations and the frequency of price overreactions," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 33(2), pages 109-131, June.
    63. Dooruj Rambaccussing & Murat Mazibas, 2020. "True versus Spurious Long Memory in Cryptocurrencies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-11, August.
    64. Ghosh, Bikramaditya & Bouri, Elie & Wee, Jung Bum & Zulfiqar, Noshaba, 2023. "Return and volatility properties: Stylized facts from the universe of cryptocurrencies and NFTs," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    65. Shimeng Shi & Jia Zhai & Yingying Wu, 2024. "Informational inefficiency on bitcoin futures," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(6), pages 642-667, April.
    66. Jiqian Wang & Feng Ma & Elie Bouri & Yangli Guo, 2023. "Which factors drive Bitcoin volatility: Macroeconomic, technical, or both?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 970-988, July.
    67. Constandina Koki & Stefanos Leonardos & Georgios Piliouras, 2020. "Exploring the Predictability of Cryptocurrencies via Bayesian Hidden Markov Models," Papers 2011.03741, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
    68. Gyana Ranjan Patra & Mihir Narayan Mohanty, 2023. "Price Prediction of Cryptocurrency Using a Multi-Layer Gated Recurrent Unit Network with Multi Features," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(4), pages 1525-1544, December.
    69. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Bitcoin: The Role of the Trade War," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 29-53, January.
    70. Fousekis, Panos & Tzaferi, Dimitra, 2021. "Returns and volume: Frequency connectedness in cryptocurrency markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 13-20.
    71. Tayyaba Ahsan & Krystian Zawadzki & Mubashir Khan, 2024. "Cryptocurrencies as a Speculative Asset: How Much Uncertainty is Included in Cryptocurrency Price?," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(2), pages 21582440241, June.
    72. Gregor Dorfleitner & Carina Lung, 2018. "Cryptocurrencies from the perspective of euro investors: a re-examination of diversification benefits and a new day-of-the-week effect," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 19(7), pages 472-494, December.
    73. Flori, Andrea, 2019. "News and subjective beliefs: A Bayesian approach to Bitcoin investments," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 336-356.
    74. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Katsiampa, Paraskevi & Zeitun, Rami & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Conditional dependence structure and risk spillovers between Bitcoin and fiat currencies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    75. Koki, Constandina & Leonardos, Stefanos & Piliouras, Georgios, 2022. "Exploring the predictability of cryptocurrencies via Bayesian hidden Markov models," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    76. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2019. "A Survey on Efficiency and Profitable Trading Opportunities in Cryptocurrency Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-17, April.
    77. Khaled Mokni & Elie Bouri & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2021. "Does Bitcoin Hedge Categorical Economic Uncertainty? A Quantile Analysis," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(2), pages 21582440211, May.
    78. Li, Zhenghui & Chen, Liming & Dong, Hao, 2021. "What are bitcoin market reactions to its-related events?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 1-10.
    79. Tan, Chia-Yen & Koh, You-Beng & Ng, Kok-Haur & Ng, Kooi-Huat, 2021. "Dynamic volatility modelling of Bitcoin using time-varying transition probability Markov-switching GARCH model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    80. Gradojevic, Nikola & Kukolj, Dragan & Adcock, Robert & Djakovic, Vladimir, 2023. "Forecasting Bitcoin with technical analysis: A not-so-random forest?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 1-17.
    81. Suvvari ANANDARAO & Balaga Mohana RAO & Anoop S KUMAR, 2023. "An enquiry into extreme price movements of the cryptocurrencies in the backdrop of COVID-19," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(2(635), S), pages 231-238, Summer.
    82. Andrea Flori, 2019. "Cryptocurrencies In Finance: Review And Applications," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(05), pages 1-22, August.

  402. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Raza, Syed Ali & Masood, Amna & Benkraiem, Ramzi & Urom, Christian, 2023. "Forecasting the volatility of precious metals prices with global economic policy uncertainty in pre and during the COVID-19 period: Novel evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2023. "Tail risks and forecastability of stock returns of advanced economies: evidence from centuries of data," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 466-481, March.
    3. Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "Predicting equity premium out-of-sample by conditioning on newspaper-based uncertainty measures: A comparative study," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    5. Aslam, Faheem & Zil-e-huma, & Bibi, Rashida & Ferreira, Paulo, 2022. "Cross-correlations between economic policy uncertainty and precious and industrial metals: A multifractal cross-correlation analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    6. Charles Ka Yui Leung & Edward Chi Ho Tang, 2023. "The dynamics of the house price‐to‐income ratio: Theory and evidence," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 41(1), pages 61-78, January.
    7. Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Maitra, Debasish, 2021. "Do oil and gas prices influence economic policy uncertainty differently: Multi-country evidence using time-frequency approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 397-420.
    8. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  403. Qunzhi Zhang & Didier Sornette & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Zeynel A. Ozdemir & Hakan Yetkiner, 2016. "LPPLS Bubble Indicators over Two Centuries of the S&P 500 Index," Working Papers 201606, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Yao, Can-Zhong & Li, Hong-Yu, 2021. "A study on the bursting point of Bitcoin based on the BSADF and LPPLS methods," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    2. Foglia, Matteo & Miglietta, Federica, 2024. "Does every cloud (bubble) have a silver lining? An investigation of ESG financial markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    3. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Periodically Collapsing Bubbles in the South African Stock Market," Working Papers 201624, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Huseyin Ozdemir, 2021. "Dynamic return and volatility spillovers among S&P 500, crude oil, and gold," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 153-170, January.
    6. Papastamatiou, Konstantinos & Karakasidis, Theodoros, 2022. "Bubble detection in Greek Stock Market: A DS-LPPLS model approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 587(C).
    7. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Investor Sentiment and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries," Working Papers 202256, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Rebecca Westphal & Didier Sornette, 2019. "Market Impact and Performance of Arbitrageurs of Financial Bubbles in An Agent-Based Model," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 19-29, Swiss Finance Institute.
    9. Balcilar, Mehmet & Katzke, Nico & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Date-stamping US housing market explosivity," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-44, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    10. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "US Monetary Policy and BRICS Stock Market Bubbles," Working Papers 202243, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua, 2024. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bubbles in global stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    13. Grobys, Klaus, 2024. "No reward—no effort: Will Bitcoin collapse near to the year 2140?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    14. Zhou, Wei & Huang, Yang & Chen, Jin, 2018. "The bubble and anti-bubble risk resistance analysis on the metal futures in China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 947-957.
    15. Riza Demirer & Guilherme Demos & Rangan Gupta & Didier Sornette, 2017. "On the Predictability of Stock Market Bubbles: Evidence from LPPLS ConfidenceTM Multi-scale Indicators," Working Papers 201752, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Grobys, Klaus, 2023. "A finite-time singularity in the dynamics of the US equity market: Will the US equity market eventually collapse?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    17. Bikramaditya Ghosh & Krishna MC, 2020. "Econophysical bourse volatility – Global Evidence," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(2), pages 87-107.
    18. Xing, Dun-Zhong & Li, Hai-Feng & Li, Jiang-Cheng & Long, Chao, 2021. "Forecasting price of financial market crash via a new nonlinear potential GARCH model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 566(C).
    19. Wątorek Marcin & Stawiarski Bartosz, 2016. "Log-Periodic Power Law and Generalized Hurst Exponent Analysis in Estimating an Asset Bubble Bursting Time," Financial Internet Quarterly (formerly e-Finanse), Sciendo, vol. 12(3), pages 49-58, October.
    20. Yang, Hui & Ferrer, Román, 2023. "Explosive behavior in the Chinese stock market: A sectoral analysis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    21. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Bedriye Tunçsiper & Huseyin Ozdemir & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2020. "On the nexus among carbon dioxide emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in G-7 countries: new insights from the historical decomposition approach," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(8), pages 8097-8134, December.
    22. Ji, Hongyun & Zhang, Han, 2024. "Application of the LPPL model in the identification and measurement of structural bubbles in the Chinese stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    23. Nathan Burks & Adetokunbo Fadahunsi & Ann Marie Hibbert, 2021. "Financial Contagion: A Tale of Three Bubbles," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-14, May.
    24. Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2025. "Stock market volatility and multi-scale positive and negative bubbles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    25. Pierluigi Vellucci, 2021. "A critique of financial neoliberalism: a perspective combining multidisciplinary methods and commodity markets," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(3), pages 1-11, March.
    26. Chen, Yanan & Qi, Haozhi, 2024. "Dynamic interplay between Chinese energy, renewable energy stocks, and commodity markets: Time-frequency causality study," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    27. Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "Monetary policy and bubbles in G7 economies using a panel VAR approach: Implications for sustainable development," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 133-155.
    28. Westphal, Rebecca & Sornette, Didier, 2020. "Market impact and performance of arbitrageurs of financial bubbles in an agent-based model," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1-23.

  404. Lumengo Bonga-Bonga & Jean Luc Erero & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Impact of Activity Tax in the Property-Owning and Subletting of Fixed Property Sectors on the South African Economy: A CGE Analysis," Working Papers 201611, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kambale Kavese & Andrew Phiri, 2020. "A partial general equilibrium analysis of fiscal policy injection on inequality in South Africa," Working Papers 2001, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University, revised Jan 2020.

  405. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2016. "Forecasting South African Macroeconomic Variables with a Markov-Switching Small Open-Economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model," School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series 2016-05, School of Economics, University of Cape Town.

    Cited by:

    1. Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotze & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa, vol. 0.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Rudi Steinbach, 2020. "Forecasting output growth using a DSGE-based decomposition of the South African yield curve," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 351-378, January.
    3. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "The Effectiveness Of Monetary Policy In South Africa Under Inflation Targeting: Evidence from a Time-Varying Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive Model," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 54(4), pages 55-73, October-D.
    4. Francis Leni Anguyo & Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2017. "Monetary Policy, Financial Frictions and Structural Changes: A Markov-Switching DSGE approach," School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series 2017-05, School of Economics, University of Cape Town.

  406. Tsangyao Chang & Hsiao-Ping Chu & Frederick W. Deale & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2016. "The Relationship between Population Growth and Standard-of-Living Growth Over 1870-2013: Evidence from a Bootstrapped Panel Granger Causality Test," Working papers 2016-17, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ziesemer, Thomas, 2019. "Can we have growth when population is stagnant? Testing linear growth rate formulas and their cross-unit cointegration of non-scale endogenous growth models," MERIT Working Papers 2019-021, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    2. Alvarez-Dias, Marcos & D'Hombres, Beatrice & Ghisetti, Claudia & Pontarollo, Nicola & Dijkstra, Lewis, 2018. "The Determinants of Population Growth: Literature review and empirical analysis," JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2018-10, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    3. Khalid Khan & Chi-Wei Su & Ran Tao & Lin-Na Hao, 2020. "Urbanization and carbon emission: causality evidence from the new industrialized economies," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(8), pages 7193-7213, December.
    4. Silvia London & Gastón Cayssials & Fernando Antonio Ignacio González, 2022. "Population growth and economic growth: a panel causality analysis," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4574, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.

  407. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Components of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Predictability of US Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantile Approach," Working Papers 201639, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The impacts of structural oil shocks on macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from a large panel of 45 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    2. Kamal, Javed Bin & Wohar, Mark & Kamal, Khaled Bin, 2022. "Do gold, oil, equities, and currencies hedge economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks during covid crisis?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    3. António Portugal Duarte & Fátima Sol Murta & Nuno Baetas Silva, 2025. "Will the euro replace the U.S. dollar as the leading international currency? A volatility analysis," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 15(1), pages 1-27, March.
    4. Chow Sheung-Chi & Cunado Juncal & Gupta Rangan & Wong Wing-Keung, 2018. "Causal relationships between economic policy uncertainty and housing market returns in China and India: evidence from linear and nonlinear panel and time series models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(2), pages 1-15, April.
    5. Christina Christou & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time-Varying Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on Macroeconomic Variables of the United Kingdom: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Monthly Data," Working Papers 201962, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Mokni, Khaled & Bouteska, Ahmed & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi, 2022. "Investor sentiment and Bitcoin relationship: A quantile-based analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    8. Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi-Keung (Marco) & Sheng, Xin, 2020. "Graph theory-based network analysis of regional uncertainties of the US Economy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    9. Rangan Gupta & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2018. "Efficiency in BRICS Currency Markets using Long-Spans of Data: Evidence from Model-Free Tests of Directional Predictability," Working Papers 201836, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Do Bivariate Multifractal Models Improve Volatility Forecasting in Financial Time Series? An Application to Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets," Working Papers 201728, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Christina Christou & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2016. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Returns in Pacific-Rim Countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian Panel VAR Model," Working Papers 201661, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Abid, Abir & Rault, Christophe, 2020. "On the Exchange Rate and Economic Policy Uncertainty Nexus: A Panel VAR Approach for Emerging Markets," IZA Discussion Papers 13365, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    13. Zeng, Qing & Lu, Xinjie & Dong, Dayong & Li, Pan, 2022. "Category-specific EPU indices, macroeconomic variables and stock market return predictability," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    14. Caixe, Daniel Ferreira, 2022. "Corporate governance and investment sensitivity to policy uncertainty in Brazil," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(PB).
    15. Liya Hau & Huiming Zhu & Muhammad Shahbaz & Ke Huang, 2023. "Quantile Dependence between Crude Oil and China’s Biofuel Feedstock Commodity Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-17, June.
    16. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of Oil Shocks in a Small Open Economy New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for South Africa," Working Papers 201652, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  408. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Reneé van Eyden, 2016. "Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: The Role of US Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201620, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Stephen M. Miller & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "U.S. Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices: The Role of Partisan Conflict," Working Papers 201742, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Hamza Bennani, 2018. "Media Coverage and ECB Policy-Making: Evidence from an Augmented Taylor Rule," Post-Print hal-01773570, HAL.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2015. "Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks in OECD Countries: How Important is the Extent of Policy Uncertainty?," Working Papers 201587, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Nelson R. Ramírez-Rondán & Luis Yépez, 2024. "Effectiveness of monetary policy under economic uncertainty regimes," Working Papers 204, Peruvian Economic Association.
    6. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    7. Seabelo T Nyawo & Roscoe Bertrum van Wyk, 2018. "The Impact of Policy Uncertainty on Macro-Economy of Developed and Developing Countries," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 10(1), pages 33-41.

  409. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Forecasting US GNP Growth: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 201667, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Yudong & Liu, Li & Wu, Chongfeng, 2020. "Forecasting commodity prices out-of-sample: Can technical indicators help?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 666-683.
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87, May.
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2022. "A Note On Uncertainty Due To Infectious Diseases And Output Growth Of The United States: A Mixed-Frequency Forecasting Experiment," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(02), pages 1-9, June.
    5. Martina Hengge, 2019. "Uncertainty as a Predictor of Economic Activity," IHEID Working Papers 19-2019, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Ahmed Ali & Granberg Mark & Troster Victor & Uddin Gazi Salah, 2022. "Asymmetric dynamics between uncertainty and unemployment flows in the United States," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 26(1), pages 155-172, February.
    8. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Uncertainty and forecastability of regional output growth in the UK: Evidence from machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1049-1064, September.
    9. Reif Magnus, 2021. "Macroeconomic uncertainty and forecasting macroeconomic aggregates," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 25(2), pages 1-20, April.
    10. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    11. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2023. "Credit-to-GDP Gap Estimates in Real Time: A Stable Indicator for Macroprudential Policy Making in Croatia," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 65(3), pages 582-614, September.
    12. Heinrich, Markus, 2020. "Does the Current State of the Business Cycle matter for Real-Time Forecasting? A Mixed-Frequency Threshold VAR approach," EconStor Preprints 219312, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    13. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and the U.K. Unemployment Rate: A Forecasting Experiment with Random Forests Using 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 202095, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Agata Kliber & Magdalena Szyszko & Mariusz Próchniak & Aleksandra Rutkowska, 2023. "Impact of uncertainty on inflation forecast errors in Central and Eastern European countries," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 13(3), pages 535-574, December.
    15. Uribe, Jorge M. & Chuliá, Helena & Guillén, Montserrat, 2017. "Uncertainty, systemic shocks and the global banking sector: Has the crisis modified their relationship?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 52-68.

  410. Amine Lahiani & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Linkages between financial sector CDS spreads and macroeconomic influence in a nonlinear setting," Post-Print hal-03531142, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Balcilar, Mehmet & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Toparli, Elif Akay, 2018. "On the risk spillover across the oil market, stock market, and the oil related CDS sectors: A volatility impulse response approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 813-827.
    2. Gaies, Brahim & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi & Sahut, Jean-Michel, 2022. "What are the effects of economic globalization on CO2 emissions in MENA countries?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    3. Liang, Chin Chia & Troy, Carol & Rouyer, Ellen, 2020. "U.S. uncertainty and Asian stock prices: Evidence from the asymmetric NARDL model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    4. Hkiri, Besma & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Aloui, Chaker & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2018. "The interconnections between U.S. financial CDS spreads and control variables: New evidence using partial and multivariate wavelet coherences," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 237-257.
    5. Zhao, Ziming & Chen, Jinyu, 2024. "Non-linear effects of three core mineral resources, energy uncertainty, and inclusive digitalization on economic growth: A comparative analysis of US and China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    6. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Nor, Safwan Mohd & Ferrer, Roman & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2017. "Asymmetric determinants of CDS spreads: U.S. industry-level evidence through the NARDL approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 211-230.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Amine Lahiani & Chi-Chuan Lee & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2019. "Asymmetric dynamics of insurance premium: the impacts of output and economic policy uncertainty," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(6), pages 1959-1978, December.
    8. Naveed Raza & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Muhammad Shahbaz & Aviral kumar Tiwari, 2017. "Modeling the nexus between oil shocks, inflation and commodity prices: Do Asymmetries really matter?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(4), pages 2374-2383.
    9. Prashant Parab, 2022. "Exchange rate pass-through in India," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2022-012, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    10. Pawan Kumar & Vipul Kumar Singh, 2025. "Quadrant categorization of spillover determinants of sovereign risk of BRICIT nations: a Bayesian approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-22, December.
    11. Ozgur Bor & Nihat Dagistan, 2024. "The impact of fluctuating international fertiliser prices and exchange rates on domestic fertiliser prices in Türkiye," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 70(1), pages 12-23.
    12. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Bouri, Elie & Eraslan, Veysel & Kumar, Satish, 2019. "Energy and non-energy commodities: An asymmetric approach towards portfolio diversification in the commodity market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-1.
    13. Valensi Corbinian Kyara & Mohammad Mafizur Rahman & Rasheda Khanam, 2022. "Is Tanzania’s economic growth leaving the poor behind? A nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag assessment," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(7), pages 1-19, July.
    14. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Naifar, Nader & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Roubaud, David, 2017. "Directional predictability from oil market uncertainty to sovereign credit spreads of oil-exporting countries: Evidence from rolling windows and crossquantilogram analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 327-339.
    15. Mensi, Walid & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Hkiri, Besma & Hamed Al Yahyaee, Khamis, 2019. "Long-run relationships between US financial credit markets and risk factors: Evidence from the quantile ARDL approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 101-110.
    16. Besma Hkiri & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Chaker Aloui, 2016. "Strength of co-movement between sector CDS indexes and relationship with major economic and financial variables over time and during investment horizons," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(48), pages 4635-4654, October.
    17. Khaled Guesmi & Abderrazak Dhaoui & Stéphane Goutte & Ilyes Abid, 2018. "On the determinants of industry-CDS index spreads: Evidence from a nonlinear setting," Post-Print halshs-02148926, HAL.
    18. Bajaj, Vimmy & Kumar, Pawan & Singh, Vipul Kumar, 2023. "Systemwide directional connectedness from Crude Oil to sovereign credit risk," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    19. Taniya Ghosh & Prashant Mehul Parab, 2021. "Assessing India's productivity trends and endogenous growth: New evidence from technology, human capital and foreign direct investment," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2021-004, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    20. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Safwan Mohd Nor & Nur Azura Sanusi & Ronald Ravinesh Kumar, 2018. "The Determinants of Credit Risk: Analysis of US Industry-level Indices," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(5), pages 1152-1165, October.
    21. Yang, Lu & Yang, Lei & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2018. "Determinants of dependence structures of sovereign credit default swap spreads between G7 and BRICS countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 19-34.
    22. Dhaoui Abderrazak & Chevallier Julien & Ma Feng, 2021. "Identifying asymmetric responses of sectoral equities to oil price shocks in a NARDL model," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 25(2), pages 1-19, April.
    23. M'beirick, Abdallahi & Haddou, Samira, 2024. "The asymmetric response of sovereign credit default swaps spreads to risk aversion, investor sentiment and monetary policy shocks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 244-272.
    24. Huthaifa Sameeh Alqaralleh, 2024. "From volatility to stability: understanding the role of macroeconomic factors in sovereign CDS spreads," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 14(3), pages 665-707, September.
    25. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Vinh Vo, Xuan, 2020. "Cryptocurrencies and precious metals: A closer look from diversification perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    26. Sabkha, Saker & de Peretti, Christian & Hmaied, Dorra, 2019. "Nonlinearities in the oil effects on the sovereign credit risk: A self-exciting threshold autoregression approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 106-133.
    27. Depren, Özer & Kartal, Mustafa Tevfik & Kılıç Depren, Serpil, 2021. "Changes of gold prices in COVID-19 pandemic: Daily evidence from Turkey's monetary policy measures with selected determinants," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    28. Wang, Qunwei & Liu, Mengmeng & Xiao, Ling & Dai, Xingyu & Li, Matthew C. & Wu, Fei, 2022. "Conditional sovereign CDS in market basket risk scenario: A dynamic vine-copula analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    29. Trabelsi, Nader & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2022. "Spillovers and directional predictability between international energy commodities and their implications for optimal portfolio and hedging," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).

  411. Pramod Kumar Naik & Rangan Gupta & Puja Padhi, 2016. "The Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and Trading Volume: Evidence from South Africa," Working Papers 201689, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Johann Lussange & Ivan Lazarevich & Sacha Bourgeois-Gironde & Stefano Palminteri & Boris Gutkin, 2021. "Modelling Stock Markets by Multi-agent Reinforcement Learning," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 113-147, January.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Drivers of Realized Volatility for Emerging Countries with a Focus on South Africa: Fundamentals versus Sentiment," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-26, March.
    3. Alessio Emanuele Biondo, 2019. "Order book modeling and financial stability," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 14(3), pages 469-489, September.
    4. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2019. "The Predictability of Stock Market Volatility in Emerging Economies: Relative Roles of Local, Regional and Global Business Cycles," Working Papers 201938, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Mesias Alfeus & Justin Harvey & Phuthehang Maphatsoe, 2025. "Improving realised volatility forecast for emerging markets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 49(1), pages 299-342, March.
    6. Lorraine Muguto & Paul-Francois Muzindutsi, 2022. "A Comparative Analysis of the Nature of Stock Return Volatility in BRICS and G7 Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-27, February.
    7. Talla M Aldeehani, 2019. "Have Stock Markets Become Less Volatile After the Great Recession?," Research in World Economy, Research in World Economy, Sciedu Press, vol. 10(3), pages 10-25, December.
    8. Johann Lussange & Stefano Vrizzi & Stefano Palminteri & Boris Gutkin, 2024. "Modelling crypto markets by multi-agent reinforcement learning," Papers 2402.10803, arXiv.org.
    9. Ngene, Geoffrey M. & Mungai, Ann Nduati, 2022. "Stock returns, trading volume, and volatility: The case of African stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    10. Jaber Yasmina, 2020. "Transactions Volume, Exchange Direction and Asymmetry of Volatility in Emerging Market: Evidence From Tunisian Stock Exchange," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(6), pages 318-336, December.
    11. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Malay K. Dey & Chaoyan Wang, 2022. "Asymmetric volume volatility causality in dual listing H-shares," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(5), pages 419-428, September.
    13. Johann Lussange & Stefano Vrizzi & Stefano Palminteri & Boris Gutkin, 2024. "Mesoscale effects of trader learning behaviors in financial markets: A multi-agent reinforcement learning study," Post-Print hal-04790290, HAL.
    14. Johann Lussange & Stefano Vrizzi & Sacha Bourgeois-Gironde & Stefano Palminteri & Boris Gutkin, 2022. "Stock Price Formation: Precepts from a Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning Model," Post-Print hal-03827363, HAL.
    15. Jean-Pierre Gueyie & Mouhamadou Saliou Diallo & Mamadou Fadel Diallo, 2022. "Relationship between Stock Returns and Trading Volume at the Bourse Régionale des Valeurs Mobilières, West Africa," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-16, December.
    16. Karima Saci, 2022. "Modelling the Relationship Between Trading Volume and Stock Returns Volatility for Islamic and Conventional Banks: The Case of Saudi Arabia نمذجة العلاقة بين حجم التداول وتقلب عوائد الأسهم للبنوك الإس," Journal of King Abdulaziz University: Islamic Economics, King Abdulaziz University, Islamic Economics Institute., vol. 35(1), pages 41-55, January.
    17. Lamine Diane & Pradeep Brijlal, 2024. "Forecasting Stock Market Realized Volatility using Random Forest and Artificial Neural Network in South Africa," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(2), pages 5-14, March.
    18. Kejin Wu & Sayar Karmakar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century in an Emerging Market Economy: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 202326, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  412. Rangan Gupta & Amine Lahiani & Chi-Chuan Lee & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2016. "Asymmetric dynamics of insurance premium: The impacts of output and economic policy uncertainty," Working Papers 201673, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2018. "Asymmetric Dynamics of Insurance Premium: The Impact of Monetary Policy Uncertainty on Insurance Premiums in Japan," Working Papers 15-39, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    2. Wael Hemrit, 2022. "Does insurance demand react to economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk? Evidence from Saudi Arabia," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 47(2), pages 460-492, April.
    3. Rudra P. Pradhan & Sahar Bahmani & Rebecca Abraham & John H. Hall, 2023. "Insurance Market and Economic Growth in an Information-Driven Economy: Evidence from a Panel of High- and Middle-Income Countries?," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(3), pages 587-620, September.
    4. Clement Olalekan Olaniyi & James Temitope Dada & Nicholas Mbaya Odhiambo & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2023. "Modelling asymmetric structure in the finance-poverty nexus: empirical insights from an emerging market economy," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 453-487, February.
    5. Zhao, Ziming & Chen, Jinyu, 2024. "Non-linear effects of three core mineral resources, energy uncertainty, and inclusive digitalization on economic growth: A comparative analysis of US and China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    6. Soyoung Lim & Phouphet Kyophilavong & Phongsili Soukchalern, 2024. "Insurance Development, Global Economic Policy Uncertainty and Geopolitical Risk: The Asymmetric Relationship Evidence from ASEAN-5," Journal of Asian Economic Integration, , vol. 6(2), pages 154-168, September.
    7. Chien-Chiang Lee & Chun-Wei Lin & Chi-Chuan Lee, 2021. "The impact of peer effects and economic policy-related uncertainty on U.S. life insurers' investment decisions," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 46(1), pages 22-52, January.
    8. Xiang, Feiyun & Chang, Tsangyao & Jiang, Shi-jie, 2023. "Economic and climate policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk and life insurance premiums in China: A quantile ARDL approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    9. Ahmed, Danish & Xuhua, Hu & Goldstein, Michael A. & Xie, Yuantao, 2024. "Do global uncertainties impede insurance activity? An empirical evidence from top two economies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    10. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Li, Yong-Yi, 2021. "Oil price shocks, geopolitical risks, and green bond market dynamics," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    11. OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Nurudeen Abu & Tayo P. Ogundunmade, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty in G7 countries: evidence of long-range dependence and cointegration," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 541-556, May.
    12. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2020. "Insurance activity, real output, and geopolitical risk: Fresh evidence from BRICS," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 207-215.
    13. Nguyen Phuc Canh & Udomsak Wongchoti & Su Dinh Thanh, 2021. "Does economic policy uncertainty matter for insurance development? Evidence from 16 OECD countries," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 46(4), pages 614-648, October.
    14. Sabani, Nazmie & Bales, Stephan & Burghof, Hans-Peter, 2024. "On the different impact of local and national sources of policy uncertainty on sectoral stock volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PB).
    15. Hemrit, Wael & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi, 2021. "Insurance and geopolitical risk: Fresh empirical evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 320-334.
    16. Mamadou Bah & Nelson Abila, 2024. "Institutional determinants of insurance penetration in Africa," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 49(1), pages 138-179, January.
    17. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Xiao, Shunyi, 2021. "Policy-related risk and corporate financing behavior: Evidence from China’s listed companies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 539-547.
    18. Xiang, Feiyun & Fu, Yimang, 2024. "The asymmetric and time-varying effects of trade policy uncertainty on the insurance premiums in China: Evidence from cross-quantilogram," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    19. Martin Hodula & Jan Janků & Martin Časta & Adam Kučera, 2023. "On the macrofinancial determinants of life and non-life insurance premiums," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 48(4), pages 760-798, October.
    20. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin, 2020. "Insurance and economic policy uncertainty," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

  413. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Aviral K. Tiwari, 2016. "Time-Varying Correlations between Inflation and Stock Prices in the United States over the Last Two Centuries," Working Papers 201605, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Vietha Devia Sagita Sumantri, 2020. "Analysis Factors Affecting Indonesia Stock Market (Case Studies on Consumer Goods Index)," ACTA VSFS, University of Finance and Administration, vol. 14(1), pages 10-23.
    2. Zarei, Samira, 2020. "Analyzing the Asymmetric Effects of Inflation and Exchange Rate Misalignments on the Petrochemical Stock index: The Case of Iran," MPRA Paper 99101, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  414. Xu Huang & Hossein Hassani & Mansi Ghodsi & Zinnia Mukherjee & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Do Trend Extraction Approaches Affect Causality Detection in Climate Change Studies?," Working Papers 201660, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ren, Weijie & Li, Baisong & Han, Min, 2020. "A novel Granger causality method based on HSIC-Lasso for revealing nonlinear relationship between multivariate time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 541(C).
    2. Hossein Hassani & Jan Coreman & Saeed Heravi & Joshy Easaw, 2018. "Forecasting Inflation Rate: Professional Against Academic, Which One is More Accurate," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 16(3), pages 631-646, September.
    3. Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Ghodsi, Zara & Ghodsi, Mansi & Heravi, Saeed & Hassani, Hossein, 2017. "Cross country relations in European tourist arrivals," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 151-168.
    4. Huang, Xu & Maçaira, Paula Medina & Hassani, Hossein & Cyrino Oliveira, Fernando Luiz & Dhesi, Gurjeet, 2019. "Hydrological natural inflow and climate variables: Time and frequency causality analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 516(C), pages 480-495.

  415. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros, 2016. "Chaos in G7 Stock Markets using Over One Century of Data: A Note," Working Papers 201678, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Hamdi, Besma & Aloui, Mouna & Alqahtani, Faisal & Tiwari, Aviral, 2019. "Relationship between the oil price volatility and sectoral stock markets in oil-exporting economies: Evidence from wavelet nonlinear denoised based quantile and Granger-causality analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 536-552.
    2. Tatyana A. Alexeeva & William A. Barnett & Nikolay V. Kuznetsov & Timur N. Mokaev, 2020. "Dynamics of the Shapovalov mid-size firm model," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202007, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2020.
    3. Giuseppe Orlando & Michele Bufalo, 2021. "Empirical Evidences on the Interconnectedness between Sampling and Asset Returns’ Distributions," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-35, May.
    4. Baogui Xin & Wei Peng & Yekyung Kwon, 2019. "A fractional-order difference Cournot duopoly game with long memory," Papers 1903.04305, arXiv.org.
    5. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Phouphet Kyophilavong, 2021. "Nonlinearities and Chaos: A New Analysis of CEE Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-13, March.

  416. Hossein Asgharian & Charlotte Christiansen & Rangan Gupta & Ai Jun Hou, 2016. "Effects of Economic Policy Uncertainty Shocks on the Long-Run US-UK Stock Market Correlation," CREATES Research Papers 2016-29, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.

    Cited by:

    1. Ngo Thai Hung, 2021. "Directional Spillover Effects Between BRICS Stock Markets and Economic Policy Uncertainty," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 28(3), pages 429-448, September.
    2. Belcaid, Karim & El Ghini, Ahmed, 2019. "U.S., European, Chinese economic policy uncertainty and Moroccan stock market volatility," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).

  417. Mehmet Balcilar & Esin Cakan & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Does U.S. News Impact Asian Emerging Markets? Evidence from Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201631, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Singh, Jitendra & Ahmad, Wasim & Mishra, Anil, 2019. "Coherence, connectedness and dynamic hedging effectiveness between emerging markets equities and commodity index funds," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 441-460.
    2. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2021. "Dynamic impact of the U.S. monetary policy on oil market returns and volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 159-169.
    3. Silvio John, Camilleri & Nicolanne, Scicluna & Ye, Bai, 2019. "Do Stock Markets Lead or Lag Macroeconomic Variables? Evidence from Select European Countries," MPRA Paper 95299, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Luo, Shunjun & Zhang, Shaohui, 2022. "How R&D expenditure intermediate as a new determinants for low carbon energy transition in Belt and Road Initiative economies," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 101-109.

  418. Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2016. "The Role of Oil Prices in the Forecasts of South African Interest Rates: A Bayesian Approach," School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series 2016-01, School of Economics, University of Cape Town.

    Cited by:

    1. Lyu, Yongjian & Zhang, Xinyu & Cao, Jin & Liu, Jiatao & Yang, Mo, 2024. "Quantitative easing and the spillover effects from the crude oil market to other financial markets: Evidence from QE1 to QE3," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    2. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of Oil Shocks in a Small Open Economy New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for South Africa," Working Papers 201652, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  419. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ýsmail H. Gençb, 2016. "The links between crude oil prices and GCC stock markets: Evidence from time-varying Granger causality tests," Working Papers 15-30, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Vassilios Babalos & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Nikolaos Philippas, 2014. "Revisiting Herding Behavior in REITs: A RegimeSwitching Approach," Working Papers 15-15, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    2. Balcilar, Mehmet & Demirer, Rıza & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2013. "Investor herds and regime-switching: Evidence from Gulf Arab stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 295-321.
    3. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Ahmed Khalifa, 2013. "Do Global Shocks Drive Investor Herds in Oil-Rich Frontier Markets?," Working Papers 819, Economic Research Forum, revised Dec 2013.
    4. Balcılar, Mehmet & Demirer, Rıza & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2015. "Regional and global spillovers and diversification opportunities in the GCC equity sectors," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 160-187.
    5. Elie I Bouri, 2013. "Correlation and Volatility of the MENA Equity Markets in Turbulent Periods, and Portfolio Implications," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(2), pages 1575-1593.
    6. Balcilar, Mehmet & Demirer, Rıza & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2014. "What drives herding in oil-rich, developing stock markets? Relative roles of own volatility and global factors," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 418-440.

  420. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in South Africa under Inflation Targeting: Evidence from a Time-Varying Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201653, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Seung Kyum Kim, 2020. "The Economic Effects of Climate Change Adaptation Measures: Evidence from Miami-Dade County and New York City," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-19, February.
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting the Probability of Recessions in South Africa: The Role of Decomposed Term-Spread and Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201680, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  421. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Christina Christou & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Convergence Patterns in Sovereign Bond Yield Spreads: Evidence from the Euro Area," Working Papers 201616, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer, 2019. "EMU-Risk Synchronisation and Financial Fragility Through the Prism of Dynamic Connectedness," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2019-07, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
    2. Mateusz Tomal, 2024. "A review of Phillips‐Sul approach‐based club convergence tests," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(3), pages 899-930, July.
    3. Christina Christou & Konstantinos Eleftheriou & Patroklos Patsoulis, 2024. "Convergence behavior of sovereign bond yields in the EU and COVID-19 government responses," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 1-16, December.
    4. Matysiak, George & Olszewski, Krzysztof, 2019. "A Panel Analysis of Polish Regional Cities Residential Price Convergence in the Primary Market," MPRA Paper 94660, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Christophe Andre & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Revisiting International House Price Convergence Using House Price Level Data," Working Papers 202226, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Cavallaro, Eleonora & Villani, Ilaria, 2022. "Beyond financial deepening: Rethinking the finance-growth relationship in an uneven world," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    7. Qin, Weiping & Cho, Sungjun & Hyde, Stuart, 2023. "Time-varying bond market integration and the impact of financial crises," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    8. Mita Bhattacharya & John Inekwe, 2021. "Convergence in Sovereign Debt Defaults: Quantifying the Roles of Institutions," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(3), pages 792-811, June.
    9. Nicholas Apergis & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2018. "Convergence in Income Inequality: Further Evidence from the Club Clustering Methodology across States in the U.S," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 24(2), pages 147-161, May.
    10. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer, 2021. "The impact of Euro through time: Exchange rate dynamics under different regimes," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1375-1408, January.
    11. Gilles Dufrénot & Fredj Jawadi & Zied Ftiti, 2022. "Sovereign bond market integration in the euro area: a new empirical conceptualization," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 318(1), pages 147-161, November.
    12. Holmes, Mark J. & Iregui, Ana María & Otero, Jesús, 2019. "Interest rate convergence across maturities: Evidence from bank data in an emerging market economy," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 57-70.
    13. Wojciech Grabowski & Ewa Stawasz-Grabowska, 2019. "News Releases, Credit Rating Announcements, and Anti-Crisis Measures as Determinants of Sovereign Bond Spreads in the Peripheral Euro-Area Countries," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 69(2), pages 149-173, April.
    14. Gabauer, David, 2021. "Dynamic measures of asymmetric & pairwise connectedness within an optimal currency area: Evidence from the ERM I system," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    15. Agnieszka Głodowska, 2017. "Business Environment and Economic Growth in the European Union Countries: What Can Be Explained for the Convergence?," Entrepreneurial Business and Economics Review, Centre for Strategic and International Entrepreneurship at the Cracow University of Economics., vol. 5(4), pages 189-204.

  422. Heni Boubaker & Giorgio Canarella & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2016. "Time-Varying Persistence of Inflation: Evidence from a Wavelet-Based Approach," Working Papers 201647, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Giorgio Canarella & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "Modeling US historical time-series prices and inflation using alternative long-memory approaches," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1491-1511, April.
    2. Heni Boubaker & Giorgio Canarella & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2018. "Long-Memory Modeling and Forecasting: Evidence from the U.S. Historical Series of Inflation," Working Papers 201869, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Giorgio Canarella & Luis A. Gil-Alaña & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2017. "Modeling U.S. Historical Time-Series Prices and Inflation Using Various Linear and Nonlinear Long-Memory Approaches," Working papers 2017-13, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    4. Živkov, Dejan & Balaban, Suzana & Simić, Milica, 2024. "Hedging gas in a multi-frequency semiparametric CVaR portfolio," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).

  423. Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2016. "Housing Market Spillovers in South Africa: Evidence from an Estimated Small Open Economy DSGE Model," Working Papers 201641, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Guangling Liu & Thabang Molise, 2019. "The effectiveness of the counter-cyclical loan-to-value regulation: Generic versus sector-specific rules," Working Papers 21/2019, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    2. Lenhle Dlamini & Harold Ngalawa, 2022. "Macroprudential policy and house prices in an estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model for South Africa," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(2), pages 304-336, June.
    3. Mustafa Ozan Yıldırım & Mehmet İvrendi, 2021. "Turkish Housing Market Dynamics: An Estimated DSGE Model," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 15(2), pages 238-267, May.
    4. Liu, Guangling & Molise, Thabang, 2019. "Housing and credit market shocks: Exploring the role of rule-based Basel III counter-cyclical capital requirements," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 264-279.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of Oil Shocks in a Small Open Economy New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for South Africa," Working Papers 201652, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Guangling Liu & Thabang Molise, 2018. "Is Basel III counter-cyclical: The case of South Africa?," Working Papers 10/2018, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.

  424. Mehmet Balcilar & Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Geopolitical Risks and Stock Market Dynamics of the BRICS," Working Papers 201648, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Bernd Wilfling, 2022. "Forecasting Stock Market Volatility with Regime-Switching GARCH-MIDAS: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 202203, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. António Afonso & José Alves & João Jalles & Sofia Monteiro & João Tovar Jalles, 2024. "Energy Price Dynamics in the Face of Uncertainty Shocks and the Role of Exchange Rate Regimes: A Global Cross-Country Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 11384, CESifo.
    3. Yonghong Jiang & Gengyu Tian & Yiqi Wu & Bin Mo, 2022. "Impacts of geopolitical risks and economic policy uncertainty on Chinese tourism‐listed company stock," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 320-333, January.
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    121. Wang, Kai-Hua & Su, Chi-Wei & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Geopolitical risk and crude oil security: A Chinese perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    122. Sohag, Kazi & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Mariev, Oleg & Safonova, Yulia, 2022. "Do geopolitical events transmit opportunity or threat to green markets? Decomposed measures of geopolitical risks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    123. Ahmad, Wasim & Mishra, Anil V. & Daly, Kevin, 2018. "Heterogeneous dependence and dynamic hedging between sectors of BRIC and global markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 117-133.
    124. Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Charteris, Ailie & Obojska, Lidia & Brzeszczyński, Janusz, 2024. "Recession fears and stock markets: An application of directional wavelet coherence and a machine learning-based economic agent-determined Google fear index," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PA).
    125. Ferhat Pehlivanoğlu & Saffet Akdağ & Andrew Adewale Alola, 2021. "The causal nexus of geopolitical risks, consumer and producer confidence indexes: evidence from selected economies," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1261-1273, August.

  425. Vasilios Plakandaras & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "The Term Premium as a Leading Macroeconomic Indicator," Working Papers 201613, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Joao F. Caldeira & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Hudson S. Torrent, 2019. "Forecasting the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the BRICS: Evidence from a Nonparametric Functional Data Analysis," Working Papers 201911, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Rudi Steinbach, 2020. "Forecasting output growth using a DSGE-based decomposition of the South African yield curve," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 351-378, January.
    3. Bouri, Elie & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bond risk premia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).

  426. Sergey Ivashchenko & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting using a Nonlinear DSGE Model," Working Papers 201659, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kuo‐Hsuan Chin, 2022. "Forecast evaluation of DSGE models: Linear and nonlinear likelihood," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1099-1130, September.

  427. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of Oil Shocks in a Small Open Economy New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for South Africa," Working Papers 201652, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Omotosho, Babatunde S. & Yang, Bo, 2024. "Oil price shocks and macroeconomic dynamics in resource-rich emerging economies under regime shifts," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    2. Omotosho, Babatunde S., 2020. "Oil price shocks, fuel subsidies and macroeconomic (in)stability in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 105464, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Vo Phuong Mai Le & Ruthira Naraidoo, 2019. "Monetary policy in a Model with Commodity and Financial Markets," Working Papers 201928, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Omotosho, Babatunde S., 2019. "Business Cycle Fluctuations in Nigeria: Some Insights from an Estimated DSGE Model," MPRA Paper 98351, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. van Eyden, Reneé & Difeto, Mamothoana & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Oil price volatility and economic growth: Evidence from advanced economies using more than a century’s data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233, pages 612-621.

  428. Esin Cakan & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Does U.S. Macroeconomic News Make the South African Stock Market Riskier?," Working Papers 201646, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Drivers of Realized Volatility for Emerging Countries with a Focus on South Africa: Fundamentals versus Sentiment," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-26, March.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Geopolitical Risks and Stock Market Dynamics of the BRICS," Working Papers 201648, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Ligita Gasparėnienė & Rita Remeikienė & Aleksejus Sosidko & Vigita Vėbraitė & Evaldas Raistenskis, 2020. "Modeling of EURO STOXX 50 index price returns based on industrial production surprises: basic and machine learning approach," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 8(2), pages 1305-1320, December.
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Bouzgarrou, Houssam & Ftiti, Zied & Louhichi, Waël & Yousfi, Mohamed, 2023. "What can we learn about the market reaction to macroeconomic surprise? Evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    7. Konstantinos Gkillas & Dimitrios Vortelinos & Christos Floros & Athanasios Tsagkanos, 2019. "Economic News Releases and Financial Markets in South Africa," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-13, November.
    8. Kejin Wu & Sayar Karmakar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century in an Emerging Market Economy: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 202326, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  429. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Mark Wohar, 2016. "Do Terror Attacks Affect the Dollar-Pound Exchange Rate? A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Analysis," Working Papers 201615, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do terror attacks predict gold returns? Evidence from a quantile-predictive-regression approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 276-284.
    2. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks, Returns, and Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence from a Panel GARCH Model," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(8), pages 1841-1856, June.
    3. Chang, Tsangyao & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Predicting stock market movements with a time-varying consumption-aggregate wealth ratio," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 458-467.
    4. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks and Movements in Islamic Bond and Equity Markets: A Note," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 367-379, April.
    5. Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Manager Sentiment and Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 201853, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Mehmet Balcilar, 2018. "The Long-run Effect of Geopolitical Risks on Insurance Premiums," Working Papers 15-44, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    7. Salisu, Afees A. & Cuñado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Geopolitical risks and historical exchange rate volatility of the BRICS," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 179-190.
    8. Nicholas Apergis & Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Does Geopolitical Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility of Leading Defense Companies? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201671, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  430. Peter Wanke & Andrew Maredza & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Merger and Acquisitions in South African Banking: A Network DEA Model," Working Papers 201665, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ashima Verma & Rachna Agrawal, 2024. "Has the Product Patent Regime Impacted Mergers and Acquisitions? Unveiling with a Systematic Literature Review," FIIB Business Review, , vol. 13(4), pages 414-427, August.
    2. Chen, Zhongfei & Wanke, Peter & Tsionas, Mike G., 2018. "Assessing the strategic fit of potential M&As in Chinese banking: A novel Bayesian stochastic frontier approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 254-263.
    3. Qingxian An & Xuyang Liu & Yongli Li & Beibei Xiong, 2019. "Resource planning of Chinese commercial banking systems using two-stage inverse data envelopment analysis with undesirable outputs," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(6), pages 1-20, June.
    4. Chun-Yueh Lin, 2023. "Integrating the two-stage of non-radial DEA model and BCG methods to evaluate the performance with strategic trajectory: a case study of securities industry," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 22(3), pages 439-455, September.
    5. Yung‐ho Chiu & Tai‐Yu Lin & Tzu‐Han Chang & Yi‐Nuo Lin & Shih‐Yung Chiu, 2021. "Prevaluating efficiency gains from potential mergers and acquisitions in the financial industry with the Resample Past–Present–Future data envelopment analysis approach," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 369-384, March.
    6. Abreu, Emmanuel Sousa de & Kimura, Herbert & Sobreiro, Vinicius Amorim, 2019. "What is going on with studies on banking efficiency?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 195-219.
    7. Chang, Tsung-Sheng & Lin, Ji-Gang & Ouenniche, Jamal, 2023. "DEA-based Nash bargaining approach to merger target selection," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 305(2), pages 930-945.
    8. Bayiley, Yitbarek Takele & Redae, Haben Mehari, 2022. "Domestic Bank Merger and Acquisition in Ethiopia: a prudent strategy for efficiency and synergy gain," Ethiopian Journal of Economics, Ethiopian Economics Association, vol. 26(01), April.
    9. Pinto, Claudio, 2019. "Model and measure the relative efficiency of a four-stage production process. An NDEA multiplier relational model under different systems of resource distribution preferences between sub-processes," MPRA Paper 92617, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Shirasu, Yoko, 2018. "Long-term strategic effects of mergers and acquisitions in Asia-Pacific banks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 73-80.
    11. Petridis, Konstantinos & Tampakoudis, Ioannis & Drogalas, George & Kiosses, Nikolaos, 2022. "A Support Vector Machine model for classification of efficiency: An application to M&A," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    12. Li, Hui & Wu, Dongdong, 2024. "Online investor attention and firm restructuring performance: Insights from an event-based DEA-Tobit model," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    13. Li, Jingyu & Guo, Xiangyuan & Xie, Qiwei & Sun, Xiaolei, 2024. "Green credit efficiency of commercial banks in China: Evidence from a multi-period leader-follower model with preference," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    14. Li Jia & Wang Ping & Tao Xiangyang & Wen Yao, 2021. "Productivity Analysis for Banks’ Merger and Acquisition Using Two-Stage DEA: Evidence from China," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 9(6), pages 627-659, December.

  431. Goodness C. Aye & Tsangyao Chang & Wen-Yi Chen & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2016. "Testing the Efficiency of the Art Market using Quantile-Based Unit Root Tests with Sharp and Smooth Breaks," Working Papers 201625, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Assaf, Ata, 2018. "Testing for bubbles in the art markets: An empirical investigation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 340-355.

  432. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Christian Pierdzioch & Mark Wohar, 2016. "Do Terror Attacks Predict Gold Returns? Evidence from a Quantile-Predictive-Regression Approach," Working Papers 201626, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Guojin & Liu, Yanzhen & Zhang, Yu, 2020. "Can systemic risk measures predict economic shocks? Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mark E Wohar, 2019. "What are the categories of geopolitical risks that could drive oil prices higher? Acts or threats?," Post-Print hal-02409062, HAL.
    3. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks, Returns, and Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence from a Panel GARCH Model," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(8), pages 1841-1856, June.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks and Movements in Islamic Bond and Equity Markets: A Note," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 367-379, April.
    7. Mehmet Balcilar & Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Geopolitical Risks and Stock Market Dynamics of the BRICS," Working Papers 201648, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Chen, Zhuoyi & Liu, Yuanyuan & Zhang, Hongwei, 2024. "Can geopolitical risks impact the long-run correlation between crude oil and clean energy markets? Evidence from a regime-switching analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    9. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Vivian, Andrew J. & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "The predictive value of inequality measures for stock returns: An analysis of long-span UK data using quantile random forests," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 315-322.
    10. Cepni, Oguzhan & Emirmahmutoglu, Furkan & Guney, Ibrahim Ethem & Yilmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2023. "Do the carry trades respond to geopolitical risks? Evidence from BRICS countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(2).
    11. Chen, Jinyu & Huang, Yuxin & Ren, Xiaohang & Qu, Jingxiao, 2022. "Time-varying spillovers between trade policy uncertainty and precious metal markets: Evidence from China-US trade conflict," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    12. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    13. Liu, Yang & Han, Liyan & Xu, Yang, 2021. "The impact of geopolitical uncertainty on energy volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    14. Song, Yu & Song, Yanqiu & Chang, Shiwei & He, Lele, 2024. "The role of gold in terrorism: Risk aversion or financing source?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    15. Demirer, Riza & Pierdzioch, Christian & Zhang, Huacheng, 2017. "On the short-term predictability of stock returns: A quantile boosting approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 35-41.
    16. Yilanci, Veli & Kilci, Esra N., 2021. "The role of economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk in predicting prices of precious metals: Evidence from a time-varying bootstrap causality test," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    17. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Rahman, Md Lutfur & Lucey, Brian M. & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2021. "Re-examining the real option characteristics of gold for gold mining companies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    18. Cheng, Sheng & Han, Lingyu & Cao, Yan & Jiang, Qisheng & Liang, Ruibin, 2022. "Gold-oil dynamic relationship and the asymmetric role of geopolitical risks: Evidence from Bayesian pdBEKK-GARCH with regime switching," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    19. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Intrinsic decompositions in gold forecasting," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    20. Li, Sufang & Tu, Dalun & Zeng, Yan & Gong, Chenggang & Yuan, Di, 2022. "Does geopolitical risk matter in crude oil and stock markets? Evidence from disaggregated data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    21. Nicholas Apergis & Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Does Geopolitical Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility of Leading Defense Companies? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201671, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Dichtl, Hubert, 2020. "Forecasting excess returns of the gold market: Can we learn from stock market predictions?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 19(C).
    23. Mazhar Ummad, 2019. "Terrorism and Firm Performance: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 19(1), pages 1-17, January.
    24. Christian Pierdzioch & Marian Risse, 2020. "Forecasting precious metal returns with multivariate random forests," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1167-1184, March.

  433. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Depreciation of the Pound Post-Brexit: Could it have been Predicted?," Working Papers 201670, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ning, Ye & Han, Chenyu & Wang, Yiming, 2018. "The multifractal properties of Euro and Pound exchange rates and comparisons," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 578-587.
    2. Dao, Thong M. & McGroarty, Frank & Urquhart, Andrew, 2019. "The Brexit vote and currency markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 153-164.
    3. Gunnarsson, Elias Søvik & Isern, Håkon Ramon & Kaloudis, Aristidis & Risstad, Morten & Vigdel, Benjamin & Westgaard, Sjur, 2024. "Prediction of realized volatility and implied volatility indices using AI and machine learning: A review," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    4. Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Exchange rate returns and volatility: the role of time-varying rare disaster risks," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2), pages 190-203, January.
    5. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis & Tahir Suleman, 2018. "The role of economic uncertainty in forecasting exchange rate returns and realized volatility: Evidence from quantile predictive regressions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(7), pages 705-719, November.
    6. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis & Emmanouil M. L. Economou, 2017. "Brexit Decision Effects on European Derivatives Markets: A Sectoral Analysis," Bulletin of Political Economy, Bulletin of Political Economy, vol. 11(1), pages 45-58, June.
    7. Xue, Dong & Minford, Patrick & Meenagh, David, 2018. "How Important are International Financial Market Imperfections for Foreign Exchange Rate Dynamics: A Study of the Sterling Exchange Rate," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/11, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    8. Akram Alkhatib & Murad Harasheh, 2018. "Performance of Exchange Traded Funds during the Brexit Referendum: An Event Study," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-12, July.
    9. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "Spillover of sentiment in the European Union: Evidence from time- and frequency-domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 105-130.
    10. Abuzayed, Bana & Al-Fayoumi, Nedal & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "Hedging UK stock portfolios with gold and oil: The impact of Brexit," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    11. Darvas, Zsolt & Schepp, Zoltán, 2025. "Forecasting the daily exchange rate of the UK pound sterling against the US dollar," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    12. Han, Chenyu & Wang, Yiming & Ning, Ye, 2019. "Comparative analysis of the multifractality and efficiency of exchange markets: Evidence from exchange rates dynamics of major world currencies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    13. Huang, Yisu & Ma, Feng & Bouri, Elie & Huang, Dengshi, 2023. "A comprehensive investigation on the predictive power of economic policy uncertainty from non-U.S. countries for U.S. stock market returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).

  434. Tahir Suleman & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2016. "Does Country Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201675, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks, Returns, and Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence from a Panel GARCH Model," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(8), pages 1841-1856, June.
    2. Refk Selmi & Christos Kollias & Stephanos Papadamou & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "A Copula-Based Quantile-on-Quantile Regression Approach to Modeling Dependence Structure between Stock and Bond Returns: Evidence from Historical Data of India, South Africa, UK and US," Working Papers 201747, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Adam Zaremba, 2019. "The Cross Section of Country Equity Returns: A Review of Empirical Literature," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-26, October.
    4. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Li, Yong-Yi, 2021. "Oil price shocks, geopolitical risks, and green bond market dynamics," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    5. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks and Movements in Islamic Bond and Equity Markets: A Note," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 367-379, April.
    6. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Volatility jumps: The role of geopolitical risks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 247-258.
    7. Hemrit, Wael & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi, 2021. "Insurance and geopolitical risk: Fresh empirical evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 320-334.
    8. Mehmet Sahiner, 2024. "Volatility Spillovers and Contagion During Major Crises: An Early Warning Approach Based on a Deep Learning Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(6), pages 2435-2499, June.
    9. Rangan Gupta & Christos Kollias & Stephanos Papadamou & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "News Implied Volatility and the Stock-Bond Nexus: Evidence from Historical Data for the USA and the UK Markets," Working Papers 201730, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Zhang, Hongwei & Wang, Ying & Yang, Cai & Guo, Yaoqi, 2021. "The impact of country risk on energy trade patterns based on complex network and panel regression analyses," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    11. Dong, Qingyuan & Du, Qunyang & Min Du, Anna, 2024. "Interplay between oil prices, country risks, and stock returns in the context of global conflict: A PVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PB).
    12. Qazi, Abroon, 2023. "Exploring Global Competitiveness Index 4.0 through the lens of country risk," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).

  435. Rangan Gupta & John W. Muteba Mwamba & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Role of Partisan Conflict in Forecasting the U.S. Equity Premium: A Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201686, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Predicting Stock Market Movements in the United States: The Role of Presidential Approval Ratings," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 324-335, March.
    2. Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Lucey, Brian M. & Kumar, Satish, 2023. "Border disputes, conflicts, war, and financial markets research: A systematic review," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    3. Cheng, Chak Hung Jack & Chiu, Ching-Wai (Jeremy) & Hankins, William B. & Stone, Anna-Leigh, 2018. "Partisan conflict, policy uncertainty and aggregate corporate cash holdings," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 78-90.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    5. Xianzheng Zhou & Hui Zhou & Huaigang Long, 2023. "Forecasting the equity premium: Do deep neural network models work?," Modern Finance, Modern Finance Institute, vol. 1(1), pages 1-11.
    6. Cakici, Nusret & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Zaremba, Adam, 2024. "Machine learning and the cross-section of cryptocurrency returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    7. Cai, Yifei & Wu, Yanrui, 2019. "Time-varied causality between US partisan conflict shock and crude oil return," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    8. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    9. Yong Jiang & Yi-Shuai Ren & Chao-Qun Ma & Jiang-Long Liu & Basil Sharp, 2018. "Does the price of strategic commodities respond to U.S. Partisan Conflict?," Papers 1810.08396, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
    10. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Demiralay, Sercan, 2020. "Political uncertainty and the us tourism index returns," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    12. Jonathan A. Batten & Harald Kinateder & Niklas Wagner, 2022. "Beating the Average: Equity Premium Variations, Uncertainty, and Liquidity," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 58(3), pages 567-588, September.
    13. Jia, Boxiang & Goodell, John W. & Shen, Dehua, 2021. "US partisan conflict and high-yield exchange rates," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    14. Jiang, Yong & Ren, Yi-Shuai & Ma, Chao-Qun & Liu, Jiang-Long & Sharp, Basil, 2020. "Does the price of strategic commodities respond to U.S. partisan conflict?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    15. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Refk Selmi & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Does Partisan Conflict Predict a Reduction in US Stock Market (Realized) Volatility? Evidence from a Quantile-on-Quantile Regression Model," Working Papers 201744, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  436. Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting the Probability of Recessions in South Africa: The Role of Decomposed Term-Spread and Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201680, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Joao F. Caldeira & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Hudson S. Torrent, 2019. "Forecasting the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the BRICS: Evidence from a Nonparametric Functional Data Analysis," Working Papers 201911, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Johannes W. Fedderke, 2020. "Is the Phillips curve framework still useful for understanding inflation dynamics in South Africa," Working Papers 10142, South African Reserve Bank.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Uncertainty and forecastability of regional output growth in the UK: Evidence from machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1049-1064, September.
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and the U.K. Unemployment Rate: A Forecasting Experiment with Random Forests Using 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 202095, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Yizheng Fu & Zhifang Su & Aihua Lin, 2024. "Functional Cointegration Test for Expectation Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in China," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(4), pages 799-820, December.

  437. Nicholas Apergis & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Zinnia Mukherjee, 2016. "An Analysis of the Relationship between U.S. State Level Carbon Dioxide Emissions and Health Care Expenditure," Working Papers 201618, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Minhas Akbar & Ammar Hussain & Ahsan Akbar & Irfan Ullah, 2021. "The dynamic association between healthcare spending, CO2 emissions, and human development index in OECD countries: evidence from panel VAR model," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(7), pages 10470-10489, July.

  438. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Differences of Opinion and Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201668, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Manager Sentiment and Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 201853, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility Revisited: The Predictive Role of Signal Quality," Working Papers 202232, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Muhammad Tahir Suleman, 2020. "Jumps beyond the realms of cricket: India's performance in One Day Internationals and stock market movements," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(6), pages 1109-1127, April.
    4. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Business Applications and State-Level Stock Market Realized Volatility: A Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202247, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Wendy Nyakabawo, 2018. "Predicting Aggregate and State-Level US House Price Volatility: The Role of Sentiment," Working Papers 201866, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  439. Christian Pierdzioch & Marian Risse & Rangan Gupta & Wendy Nyakabawo, 2016. "On REIT Returns and (Un-) Expected Inflation: Empirical Evidence Based on Bayesian Additive Regression Trees," Working Papers 201677, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Das, Mahamitra & Sarkar, Nityananda, 2017. "Re-investigating the anomalous relationship between inflation and equity REIT returns: A regime-switching approach," MPRA Paper 95135, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Nov 2018.
    2. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Do house prices hedge inflation in the US? A quantile cointegration approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 15-26.
    3. Das, Mahamitra & Sarkar, Nityananda, 2019. "Revisiting the Anomalous Relationship between Inflation and REIT Returns in Presence of Structural Breaks: Empirical Evidence from the USA and the UK," MPRA Paper 95130, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Nov 2019.
    4. Shi, Qi, 2023. "The RP-PCA factors and stock return predictability: An aligned approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    5. Bouri, Elie & Nekhili, Ramzi & Kinateder, Harald & Choudhury, Tonmoy, 2023. "Expected inflation and U.S. stock sector indices: A dynamic time-scale tale from inflationary and deflationary crisis periods," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).

  440. Christophe Andre & Rangan Gupta & John W. Muteba Mwamba, 2016. "Are Housing Price Cycles Asymmetric? Evidence from the US States and Metropolitan Areas," Working Papers 201635, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Jin Hu & Xuelei Xiong & Yuanyuan Cai & Feng Yuan, 2020. "The Ripple Effect and Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Intra-Urban Housing Prices at the Submarket Level in Shanghai, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-17, June.
    2. Christophe André & Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Mulatu F. Zerihun, 2017. "Asymmetric Behaviour in Nominal and Real Housing Prices: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Economies," Working Papers 201711, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Wendy Nyakabawo, 2018. "Predicting Aggregate and State-Level US House Price Volatility: The Role of Sentiment," Working Papers 201866, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  441. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Do Sustainable Stocks Offer Diversification Benefits for Conventional Portfolios? An Empirical Analysis of Risk Spillovers and Dynamic Correlations," Working Papers 201609, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mustafa Hakan Eratalay & Ariana Paola Cortés à ngel, 2022. "The Impact Of Esg Ratings On The Systemic Risk Of European Blue-Chip Firms," University of Tartu - Faculty of Economics and Business Administration Working Paper Series 139, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, University of Tartu (Estonia).
    2. N. Denuwara & A. Kim & V. Atree & P. Newenhisen & C. Gibson & D. Schork & M. Hakovirta, 2022. "Corporate economic performance and sustainability indices: a study based on the Dow Jones Sustainability Index," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(7), pages 1-22, July.
    3. Emil Andersson & Mahim Hoque & Md Lutfur Rahman & Gazi Salah Uddin & Ranadeva Jayasekera, 2022. "ESG investment: What do we learn from its interaction with stock, currency and commodity markets?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 3623-3639, July.
    4. Iqbal, Najaf & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Suleman, Muhammed Tahir, 2022. "Quantifying the asymmetric spillovers in sustainable investments," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    5. Ahad, Muhammad & Imran, Zulfiqar Ali & Shahzad, Khurram, 2024. "Safe haven between European ESG and energy sector under Russian-Ukraine war: Role of sustainable investments for portfolio diversification," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    6. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    7. Urom, Christian & Ndubuisi, Gideon, 2023. "Do geopolitical risks and global market factors influence the dynamic dependence among regional sustainable investments and major commodities?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 94-111.
    8. Yuwen Dai, 2025. "Sustainable investing in emerging markets: Evidence from the Sustainable Stock Exchanges initiative," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 2001-2015, April.
    9. de Boyrie, Maria E. & Pavlova, Ivelina, 2024. "Connectedness with commodities in emerging markets: ESG leaders vs. conventional indexes," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    10. Kılıç, Yunus & Destek, Mehmet Akif & Cevik, Emrah Ismail & Bugan, Mehmet Fatih & Korkmaz, Oya & Dibooglu, Sel, 2022. "Return and Risk Spillovers between ESG Global Index and Stock Markets: Evidence from Time and Frequency Analysis," MPRA Paper 117557, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Mansi Jain & Gagan Deep Sharma & Mrinalini Srivastava, 2019. "Can Sustainable Investment Yield Better Financial Returns: A Comparative Study of ESG Indices and MSCI Indices," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-18, February.
    12. Nicholas Apergis & Vassilios Babalos & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Are there Really Long-Run Diversification Benefits from Sustainable Investments?," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 18(2), pages 141-163, September.
    13. Drudi, Francesco & Moench, Emanuel & Holthausen, Cornelia & Weber, Pierre-François & Ferrucci, Gianluigi & Setzer, Ralph & Adao, Bernardino & Dées, Stéphane & Alogoskoufis, Spyros & Téllez, Mar Delgad, 2021. "Climate change and monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 271, European Central Bank.
    14. Yousaf, Imran & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & Demirer, Riza, 2022. "Green investments: A luxury good or a financial necessity?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    15. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Moments-Based Spillovers across Gold and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201966, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Andrea Jacob & Martin Nerlinger, 2021. "Investors’ Delight? Climate Risk in Stock Valuation during COVID-19 and Beyond," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-17, November.
    17. Oscar V. De la Torre-Torres & Francisco Venegas-Martínez & Mᵃ Isabel Martínez-Torre-Enciso, 2021. "Enhancing Portfolio Performance and VIX Futures Trading Timing with Markov-Switching GARCH Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-22, January.
    18. Lu, Xunfa & He, Pengchao & Zhang, Zhengjun & Apergis, Nicholas & Roubaud, David, 2024. "Extreme co-movements between decomposed oil price shocks and sustainable investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    19. Naqvi, Bushra & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Hasnaoui, Amir & Shao, Xuefeng, 2022. "Going beyond sustainability: The diversification benefits of green energy financial products," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    20. Iván Arribas & María Dolores Espinós-Vañó & Fernando García & Paula Beatriz Morales-Bañuelos, 2019. "The Inclusion of Socially Irresponsible Companies in Sustainable Stock Indices," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-14, April.
    21. Basel Maraqa & Murad Bein, 2020. "Dynamic Interrelationship and Volatility Spillover among Sustainability Stock Markets, Major European Conventional Indices, and International Crude Oil," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-14, May.
    22. Olofsson, Petter & Råholm, Anna & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Troster, Victor & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Ethical and unethical investments under extreme market conditions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    23. Ramiz ur Rehman & Muhammad Zain ul Abidin & Rizwan Ali & Safwan Mohd Nor & Muhammad Akram Naseem & Mudassar Hasan & Muhammad Ishfaq Ahmad, 2021. "The Integration of Conventional Equity Indices with Environmental, Social, and Governance Indices: Evidence from Emerging Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-27, January.
    24. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).

  442. Goodness C. Aye & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2016. "The Efficiency of the Art Market: Evidence from Variance Ratio Tests, Linear and Nonlinear Fractional Integration Approaches," Working Papers 201610, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Juncal Cunado & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Testing the White Noise Hypothesis in High-Frequency Housing Returns of the United States," Working Papers 201952, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun & Ahniia Havrylina, 2022. "Persistence in the Passion Investment Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 9586, CESifo.
    3. Madhavi Latha Challa & Venkataramanaiah Malepati & Siva Nageswara Rao Kolusu, 2020. "S&P BSE Sensex and S&P BSE IT return forecasting using ARIMA," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-19, December.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2018. "Efficiency in BRICS Currency Markets using Long-Spans of Data: Evidence from Model-Free Tests of Directional Predictability," Working Papers 201836, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Wang, Fang, 2023. "Do emerging art market segments have their own price dynamics? Evidence from the Chinese art market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 318-331.
    6. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Stock market efficiency analysis using long spans of Data: A multifractal detrended fluctuation approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 398-411.
    7. Goodness C. Aye & Tsangyao Chang & Wen-Yi Chen & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2016. "Testing the Efficiency of the Art Market using Quantile-Based Unit Root Tests with Sharp and Smooth Breaks," Working Papers 201625, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Assaf, Ata & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Demir, Ender & Kumar Mitra, Subrata, 2021. "Market efficiency in the art markets using a combination of long memory, fractal dimension, and approximate entropy measures," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    9. Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Emmanuel Kwesi Arthur & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana, 2023. "The influence of economic policy uncertainty shocks on art market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(29), pages 3404-3421, June.

  443. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2016. "Can Volume Predict Bitcoin Returns and Volatility? A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201662, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Bouri, Elie & Molnár, Peter & Azzi, Georges & Roubaud, David & Hagfors, Lars Ivar, 2017. "On the hedge and safe haven properties of Bitcoin: Is it really more than a diversifier?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 192-198.
    2. Panagiotidis, Theodore & Stengos, Thanasis & Vravosinos, Orestis, 2019. "The effects of markets, uncertainty and search intensity on bitcoin returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 220-242.
    3. Lim, Siok Jin & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Exploring portfolio diversification opportunities in Islamic capital markets through bitcoin: evidence from MGARCH-DCC and Wavelet approaches," MPRA Paper 79752, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  444. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2015. "Common Cycles and Common Trends in the Stock and Oil markets: Evidence from More than 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201572, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Atil, Ahmed & Nawaz, Kishwar & Lahiani, Amine & Roubaud, David, 2020. "Are natural resources a blessing or a curse for financial development in Pakistan? The importance of oil prices, economic growth and economic globalization," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    2. Huthaifa Sameeh Alqaralleh & Ahmad Al-Saraireh & Alessandra Canepa, 2021. "Energy Market Risk Management under Uncertainty: A VaR Based on Wavelet Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(5), pages 130-137.
    3. Batten, Jonathan A. & Kinateder, Harald & Szilagyi, Peter G. & Wagner, Niklas F., 2019. "Time-varying energy and stock market integration in Asia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 777-792.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2023. "The role of oil and risk shocks in the high‐frequency movements of the term structure of interest rates: Evidence from the U.S. Treasury market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1845-1857, April.
    5. Bos, Martijn & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2018. "Oil returns and volatility: The role of mergers and acquisitions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 62-69.
    6. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Pawe{l} O'swic{e}cimka & Marek Stanuszek, 2018. "Multifractal cross-correlations between the World Oil and other Financial Markets in 2012-2017," Papers 1812.08548, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2019.
    7. Batten, Jonathan A. & Kinateder, Harald & Szilagyi, Peter G. & Wagner, Niklas F., 2021. "Hedging stocks with oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    8. Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark, 2017. "Forecasting oil and stock returns with a Qual VAR using over 150years off data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 181-186.
    9. Batten, Jonathan A. & Kinateder, Harald & Szilagyi, Peter G. & Wagner, Niklas F., 2017. "Can stock market investors hedge energy risk? Evidence from Asia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 559-570.
    10. Dutta, Anupam, 2018. "Oil and energy sector stock markets: An analysis of implied volatility indexes," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 61-68.
    11. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2021. "Dynamic impact of the U.S. monetary policy on oil market returns and volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 159-169.
    12. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "House price synchronization across the US states: The role of structural oil shocks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    13. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Saban Nazlioglu & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Causality between Bond and Oil Markets of the United States: Evidence from Over One and Half Centuries of Data," Working Papers 202006, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Zhou, Wei & Chen, Yan & Chen, Jin, 2022. "Risk spread in multiple energy markets: Extreme volatility spillover network analysis before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    15. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "The Role of Oil and Risk Shocks in the High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States," Working Papers 202063, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Xu, Jia & Tan, Xiujie & He, Gang & Liu, Yu, 2019. "Disentangling the drivers of carbon prices in China's ETS pilots — An EEMD approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 1-9.
    18. Gupta, Rangan & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2018. "OPEC news and predictability of oil futures returns and volatility: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 206-214.
    19. Batten, Jonathan A. & Kinateder, Harald & Szilagyi, Peter G. & Wagner, Niklas F., 2018. "Addressing COP21 using a stock and oil market integration index," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 127-136.
    20. Massimiliano Caporin & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2016. "Are the S&P 500 Index and Crude Oil, Natural Gas and Ethanol Futures related for Intra-Day Data?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-006/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    21. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Polat, Onur, 2024. "Forecasting U.S. recessions using over 150 years of data: Stock-market moments versus oil-market moments," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
    22. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Oil Price Returns Skewness and Forecastability of International Stock Returns Over One Century of Data," Working Papers 202339, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Mont'Alverne Duarte, Angelo & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor, 2021. "Commodity prices and global economic activity: A derived-demand approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    24. Vatsa, Puneet & Basnet, Hem C., 2020. "The dynamics of energy prices and the Norwegian economy: A common trends and common cycles analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    25. Vatsa, Puneet, 2020. "Comovement amongst the demand for New Zealand tourism," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    26. Walid Bahloul & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Impact of macroeconomic news surprises and uncertainty for major economies on returns and volatility of oil futures," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 156, pages 247-253.
    27. Corbet, Shaen & Goodell, John W. & Günay, Samet, 2020. "Co-movements and spillovers of oil and renewable firms under extreme conditions: New evidence from negative WTI prices during COVID-19," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    28. Kim, Jong-Min & Jung, Hojin, 2017. "Can asymmetric conditional volatility imply asymmetric tail dependence?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 409-418.
    29. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices over 150 years: The role of tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    30. Zhu, Zhaobo & Ji, Qiang & Sun, Licheng & Zhai, Pengxiang, 2020. "Oil price shocks, investor sentiment, and asset pricing anomalies in the oil and gas industry," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    31. Orlowski, Lucjan T., 2017. "Volatility of commodity futures prices and market-implied inflation expectations," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 133-141.

  445. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2015. "On Exchange-Rate Movements and Gold-Price Fluctuations: Evidence for Gold-Producing Countries from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201598, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2016. "Gold Futures Returns and Realized Moments: A Forecasting Experiment Using a Quantile-Boosting Approach," Working Papers 201645, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Chang, Tsangyao & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Predicting stock market movements with a time-varying consumption-aggregate wealth ratio," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 458-467.
    3. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Gold Volatility: Is there a Role of Geopolitical Risks?," Working Papers 201943, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Ojonugwa Usman & Osama Mohammed Elsalih, 2018. "Testing the Effects of Real Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Unemployment in Brazil," Economies, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-13, September.
    5. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Rahman, Md Lutfur & Lucey, Brian M. & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2021. "Re-examining the real option characteristics of gold for gold mining companies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    6. Pattnaik, Debidutta & Hassan, M. Kabir & DSouza, Arun & Ashraf, Ali, 2023. "Investment in gold: A bibliometric review and agenda for future research," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    7. Rasool Dehghanzadeh Shahabad & Mehmet Balcilar, 2022. "Modelling the Dynamic Interaction between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Commodity Prices in India: The Dynamic Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-21, May.
    8. Christian Pierdzioch & Marian Risse, 2020. "Forecasting precious metal returns with multivariate random forests," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1167-1184, March.

  446. Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2015. "Forecasting Oil and Stock Returns with a Qual VAR using over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201589, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Xia, Tongshui & Ji, Qiang & Geng, Jiang-Bo, 2020. "Nonlinear dependence and information spillover between electricity and fuel source markets: New evidence from a multi-scale analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 537(C).
    2. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2018. "Geopolitical Risks and the Predictability of Regional Oil Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201860, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2023. "The role of oil and risk shocks in the high‐frequency movements of the term structure of interest rates: Evidence from the U.S. Treasury market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1845-1857, April.
    4. Gupta, Rangan & Kanda, Patrick & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Time-varying predictability of oil market movements over a century of data: The role of US financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    5. Bos, Martijn & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2018. "Oil returns and volatility: The role of mergers and acquisitions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 62-69.
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Raymond Swaray & Tirimisyu F. Oloko, 2017. "A multi-factor predictive model for oil-US stock nexus with persistence, endogeneity and conditional heteroscedasticity effects," Working Papers 024, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    7. Tian, Guangning & Peng, Yuchao & Meng, Yuhao, 2023. "Forecasting crude oil prices in the COVID-19 era: Can machine learn better?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    8. Ramzi Benkraiem & Thi Hong Van Hoang & Amine Lahiani & Anthony Miloudi, 2018. "Crude oil and equity markets in major European countries: New evidence," Post-Print hal-01914607, HAL.
    9. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    10. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2021. "Dynamic impact of the U.S. monetary policy on oil market returns and volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 159-169.
    11. Mustanen, Dmitri & Maaitah, Ahmad & Mishra, Tapas & Parhi, Mamata, 2022. "The power of investors’ optimism and pessimism in oil market forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    12. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "House price synchronization across the US states: The role of structural oil shocks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    13. Karasu, Seçkin & Altan, Aytaç, 2022. "Crude oil time series prediction model based on LSTM network with chaotic Henry gas solubility optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    14. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Saban Nazlioglu & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Causality between Bond and Oil Markets of the United States: Evidence from Over One and Half Centuries of Data," Working Papers 202006, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "The Role of Oil and Risk Shocks in the High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States," Working Papers 202063, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "The predictive power of oil price shocks on realized volatility of oil: A note," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    19. Gupta, Rangan & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2018. "OPEC news and predictability of oil futures returns and volatility: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 206-214.
    20. Ma, Yong & Li, Shuaibing & Zhou, Mingtao, 2024. "Forecasting crude oil prices: Does global financial uncertainty matter?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PC).
    21. Li, Di & Wu, Zhige & Tang, Yixuan, 2024. "Do climate risks affect dirty–clean energy stock price dynamic correlations?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    22. Chai, Jian & Xing, Li-Min & Zhou, Xiao-Yang & Zhang, Zhe George & Li, Jie-Xun, 2018. "Forecasting the WTI crude oil price by a hybrid-refined method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 114-127.
    23. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Polat, Onur, 2024. "Forecasting U.S. recessions using over 150 years of data: Stock-market moments versus oil-market moments," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
    24. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Oil Price Returns Skewness and Forecastability of International Stock Returns Over One Century of Data," Working Papers 202339, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    25. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    26. Yue, Tian & Li, Lu-Lu & Ruan, Xinfeng & Zhang, Jin E., 2024. "Smirking in the energy market: Evidence from the Chinese crude oil options market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    27. Drachal, Krzysztof, 2021. "Forecasting crude oil real prices with averaging time-varying VAR models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    28. Shian-Chang Huang & Cheng-Feng Wu, 2018. "Energy Commodity Price Forecasting with Deep Multiple Kernel Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-16, November.
    29. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Point and Density Forecasts of Oil Returns: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 201847, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    30. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Oil shocks and volatility jumps," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 247-272, January.
    31. Geng, Jiang-Bo & Chen, Fu-Rui & Ji, Qiang & Liu, Bing-Yue, 2021. "Network connectedness between natural gas markets, uncertainty and stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    32. Walid Bahloul & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Impact of macroeconomic news surprises and uncertainty for major economies on returns and volatility of oil futures," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 156, pages 247-253.
    33. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Aviral K. Tiwari, 2024. "Gasoline Prices and Presidential Approval Ratings of the United States," Working Papers 202427, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    34. Linlin Zhao & Jasper Mbachu & Zhansheng Liu, 2019. "Exploring the Trend of New Zealand Housing Prices to Support Sustainable Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-18, April.
    35. Qi Zhang & Yi Hu & Jianbin Jiao & Shouyang Wang, 2022. "Exploring the Trend of Commodity Prices: A Review and Bibliometric Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-22, August.
    36. Manickavasagam, Jeevananthan & Visalakshmi, S. & Apergis, Nicholas, 2020. "A novel hybrid approach to forecast crude oil futures using intraday data," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    37. Cortazar, Gonzalo & Ortega, Hector & Valencia, Consuelo, 2021. "How good are analyst forecasts of oil prices?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    38. Tian, Guangning & Peng, Yuchao & Du, Huancheng & Meng, Yuhao, 2024. "Forecasting crude oil returns in different degrees of ambiguity: Why machine learn better?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    39. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices over 150 years: The role of tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    40. Ivanovski, Kris & Hailemariam, Abebe, 2021. "Forecasting the dynamic relationship between crude oil and stock prices since the 19th century," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).

  447. Hossein Hassani & Emmanuel Sirimal Silva & Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2015. "Predicting Global Temperature Anomaly: A Definitive Investigation Using an Ensemble of Twelve Competing Forecasting Models," Working Papers 201561, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Hossein Hassani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "The ENSO cycle and forecastability of global inflation and output growth: Evidence from standard and mixed‐frequency multivariate singular spectrum analyses," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1690-1707, November.
    2. Hassani, Hossein & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal, 2018. "Forecasting UK consumer price inflation using inflation forecasts," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(3), pages 367-378.
    3. Jenny Cifuentes & Geovanny Marulanda & Antonio Bello & Javier Reneses, 2020. "Air Temperature Forecasting Using Machine Learning Techniques: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-28, August.
    4. Hossein Hassani & Rangan Gupta & Xu Huang & Mansi Ghodsi, 2014. "Does Sunspot Numbers Cause Global Temperatures? A Reconsideration Using a Non-Parametric Causality Test," Working Papers 201427, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Hassani, Hossein & Rua, António & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Thomakos, Dimitrios, 2019. "Monthly forecasting of GDP with mixed-frequency multivariate singular spectrum analysis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1263-1272.
    6. Alexandra M. Schmidt & Marco A. Rodríguez, 2022. "Discussion on “A combined estimate of global temperature”," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(3), May.
    7. Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Hassani, Hossein, 2022. "‘Modelling’ UK tourism demand using fashion retail sales," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    8. Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Hassani, Hossein & Heravi, Saeed & Huang, Xu, 2019. "Forecasting tourism demand with denoised neural networks," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 134-154.
    9. Simon Liebermann & Jung-Sup Um & YoungSeok Hwang & Stephan Schlüter, 2021. "Performance Evaluation of Neural Network-Based Short-Term Solar Irradiation Forecasts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-21, May.

  448. Claudiu T. Albulescu & Aviral Kumar Twari & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Time-Frequency Relationship between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty for the U.S.: Evidence from Historical Data," Working Papers 201591, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Cornel Oros, 2020. "Inflation, uncertainty, and labour market conditions in the US," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(52), pages 5770-5782, November.
    2. Jiranyakul, Komain, 2020. "The Linkages between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in Selected Asian Economies: Evidence from Quantile Regression," MPRA Paper 99868, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Alimi, R. Santos, 2017. "Association between inflation rates and inflation uncertainty in quantile regression," MPRA Paper 79683, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  449. Mehmet Balcilar & NICO KATZKE & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Do Precious Metal Prices Help in Forecasting South African Inflation?," Working Papers 15-05, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Das, Sonali & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Mangisa, Siphumlile, 2019. "The effect of global crises on stock market correlations: Evidence from scalar regressions via functional data analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 132-147.
    2. Chang, Carolyn W. & Wang, Yu-Jen & Yu, Min-Teh, 2020. "Catastrophe bond spread and hurricane arrival frequency," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    3. Panpan Zhu & Qingjie Zhou & Yinpeng Zhang, 2024. "Investor attention and consumer price index inflation rate: Evidence from the United States," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.

  450. Marcos Álvarez-Díaz & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Forecasting the US CPI: Does Nonlinearity Matter?," Working Papers 201512, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Vasilios Plakandaras & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Informational Content of the Term Spread in Forecasting the US Inflation Rate: A Nonlinear Approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(2), pages 109-121, March.
    2. Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting CPI in Myanmar: An application of ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 92420, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Analyzing CPI dynamics in Italy," MPRA Paper 92421, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Denis Shibitov & Mariam Mamedli, 2021. "Forecasting Russian Cpi With Data Vintages And Machine Learning Techniques," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps70, Bank of Russia.
    5. Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Predicting consumer price index in Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 92422, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting CPI in Iran: A univariate analysis," MPRA Paper 92454, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting CPI in Mauritius," MPRA Paper 92423, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  451. Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "The Informational Content of the Term-Spread in Forecasting the U.S. Inflation Rate: A Nonlinear Approach," Working Papers 201548, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Li, Zheng & Zhou, Bo & Hensher, David A., 2022. "Forecasting automobile gasoline demand in Australia using machine learning-based regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PD).
    2. Joao F. Caldeira & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Hudson S. Torrent, 2019. "Forecasting the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the BRICS: Evidence from a Nonparametric Functional Data Analysis," Working Papers 201911, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Cenk C. Karahan & Brian M. Lucey, 2020. "Oil Price Shocks and Yield Curve Dynamics in Emerging Markets," Working Papers 202036, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Bouri, Elie & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bond risk premia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    5. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Guney, I. Ethem & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "The role of an aligned investor sentiment index in predicting bond risk premia of the U.S," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    6. Francisco Jareño & Ana Escribano & Zaghum Umar, 2023. "The impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on the connectedness of the BRICS’s term structure," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
    7. Yizheng Fu & Zhifang Su & Aihua Lin, 2024. "Functional Cointegration Test for Expectation Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in China," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(4), pages 799-820, December.

  452. Simplice A. Asongu & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Trust and Quality of Growth: A Note," Research Africa Network Working Papers 15/026, Research Africa Network (RAN).

    Cited by:

    1. Simplice A. Asongu & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2017. "Mobile banking usage, quality of growth, inequality and poverty in developing countries," Research Africa Network Working Papers 17/046, Research Africa Network (RAN).
    2. Simplice A. Asongu & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2018. "Human development thresholds for inclusive mobile banking in developing countries," African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(6), pages 735-744, September.
    3. Simplice A. Asongu & Jacinta C. Nwachukwu, 2017. "Quality of Growth Empirics: Comparative Gaps, Benchmarking and Policy Syndromes," Research Africa Network Working Papers 17/034, Research Africa Network (RAN).
    4. Simplice Asongu & Sara Le Roux & Nicholas Biekpe, 2017. "Enhancing ICT for Environmental Sustainability in Sub-Saharan Africa," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 17/039, African Governance and Development Institute..
    5. Efobi, Uchenna & Asongu, Simplice & Okafor, Chinelo & Tchamyou, Vanessa & Tanankem, Belmondo, 2019. "Remittances, Finance and Industrialisation in Africa," MPRA Paper 93533, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Isaac K. Ofori & Camara K. Obeng & Simplice A. Asongu, 2024. "What Really Drives Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa? Evidence from the Lasso Regularization and Inferential Techniques," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(1), pages 144-179, March.
    7. Simplice Asongu & Jacinta C. Nwachukwu & Chris Pyke, 2018. "The Comparative Economics of ICT, Environmental Degradation and Inclusive Human Development in Sub-Saharan Africa," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 18/037, African Governance and Development Institute..
    8. Awa Traoré & Cheikh T. Ndour & Simplice A. Asongu, 2023. "Promoting Environmental Sustainability in Africa: Evidence from Governance Synergy," Working Papers 23/002, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
    9. Simplice Asongu & Lieven De Moor, 2015. "Financial globalisation dynamic thresholds for financial development: evidence from Africa," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 15/035, African Governance and Development Institute..
    10. Uchenna Efobi & Ibukun Beecroft & Simplice Asongu, 2019. "Foreign Aid and Corruption: Clarifying Murky Empirical Conclusions," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 54(3), pages 253-263, August.

  453. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "International Stock Return Predictability: Is the Role of U.S. Time-Varying?," Working Papers 15-07, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Predicting Stock Market Movements in the United States: The Role of Presidential Approval Ratings," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 324-335, March.
    2. Das, Sonali & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Mangisa, Siphumlile, 2019. "The effect of global crises on stock market correlations: Evidence from scalar regressions via functional data analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 132-147.
    3. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Idris A. Adediran, 2021. "The Effect of US Uncertainty Shock on International Equity Markets: The Role of the Global Financial Cycle," Working Papers 202136, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2023. "Tail risks and forecastability of stock returns of advanced economies: evidence from centuries of data," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 466-481, March.
    6. Balcilar, Mehmet & Bathia, Deven & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Credit ratings and predictability of stock return dynamics of the BRICS and the PIIGS: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 290-302.
    7. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Fredj Jawadi, 2017. "Does Inequality Help in Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of G7 Countries?," Working Papers 201720, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Vivian, Andrew J. & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "The predictive value of inequality measures for stock returns: An analysis of long-span UK data using quantile random forests," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 315-322.
    9. Cai, Yifei & Wu, Yanrui, 2019. "Time-varied causality between US partisan conflict shock and crude oil return," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    10. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Working Papers 202126, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Ji, Qiang & Liu, Bing-Yue & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Risk spillover between the US and the remaining G7 stock markets using time-varying copulas with Markov switching: Evidence from over a century of data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    12. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2022. "Oil Price Uncertainty Shocks and Global Equity Markets: Evidence from a GVAR Model," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-26, August.
    13. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Festus V. Bekun, 2021. "Flexible Time-Varying Betas in a Novel Mixture Innovation Factor Model with Latent Threshold," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-20, April.
    14. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "The Effect of Oil Price Uncertainty Shock on International Equity Markets: Evidence from a GVAR Model," Working Papers 202160, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    16. Yi-Chieh Wen & Bin Li, 2020. "Lagged country returns and international stock return predictability during business cycle recession periods," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(46), pages 5005-5019, October.
    17. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Gupta, Rangan & Huber, Florian & Piribauer, Philipp, 2020. "Predicting international equity returns: Evidence from time-varying parameter vector autoregressive models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    19. Zhang, Zhengyong & Bouri, Elie & Klein, Tony & Jalkh, Naji, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and the returns and volatility of global defense companies: A new race to arms?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    20. Jonathan Iworiso & Spyridon Vrontos, 2020. "On the directional predictability of equity premium using machine learning techniques," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 449-469, April.
    21. Tahir Suleman & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2016. "Does Country Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201675, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Nicholas Apergis & Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Does Geopolitical Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility of Leading Defense Companies? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201671, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Mehmet Balcilar & Deven Bathia & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Credit Ratings and Predictability of Stock Returns and Volatility of the BRICS and the PIIGS: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201719, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Ana Monteiro & Nuno Silva & Helder Sebastião, 2023. "Industry return lead-lag relationships between the US and other major countries," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-48, December.
    25. Mejri, Sami & Aloui, Chaker & Khan, Nasir, 2024. "The gold stock nexus: Assessing the causality dynamics based on advanced multiscale approaches," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).

  454. Carlos P. Barros & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Development, Poverty and Inequality: A Spatial Analysis of South African Provinces," Working Papers 201583, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Byron Quito & María de la Cruz del Río‐Rama & José Álvarez‐García & Ronny Correa‐Quezada, 2022. "Impact factors and space‐time characteristics of income inequality in a global sample," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(6), pages 1850-1868, December.

  455. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2015. "Does Uncertainty Move the Gold Price? New Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201592, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mustafa Tevfik Kartal & Ugur Korkut Pata, 2023. "The Function of Geopolitical Risk on Carbon Neutrality Under the Shadow of Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Evidence from Russia's Sectoral CO2 Emissions by High-Frequency Data and Quantile-Based Methods," Journal of Sustainable Development Issues (JOSDI), SDIjournals, vol. 1(1), pages 1-12, December.
    2. Refk Selmi & Walid Mensi & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Jamal Bouoiyour, 2018. "Is Bitcoin a hedge, a safe haven or a diversifier for oil price movements? A comparison with gold," Post-Print hal-01879667, HAL.
    3. Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020. "Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
    4. Demirer, Riza & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Time-varying risk aversion and realized gold volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    5. Ming Fang & Chiu-Lan Chang, 2022. "Nexus between fiscal imbalances, green fiscal spending, and green economic growth: empirical findings from E-7 economies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 2423-2443, November.
    6. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Nasreen, Samia & Gabauer, David, 2024. "The impact of oil shocks on green, clean, and socially responsible markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    7. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Wael Hemrit, 2022. "Does insurance demand react to economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk? Evidence from Saudi Arabia," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 47(2), pages 460-492, April.
    9. Youssef, Manel & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Oil-gold nexus: Evidence from regime switching-quantile regression approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    10. Kisswani, Khalid M. & Lahiani, Amine & Mefteh-Wali, Salma, 2022. "An analysis of OPEC oil production reaction to non-OPEC oil supply," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    11. Cui, Moyang & Wong, Wing-Keung & Wisetsri, Worakamol & Mabrouk, Fatma & Muda, Iskandar & Li, Zeyun & Hassan, Marria, 2023. "Do oil, gold and metallic price volatilities prove gold as a safe haven during COVID-19 pandemic? Novel evidence from COVID-19 data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    12. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Is Wine a Safe-Haven? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201708, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour & Amal Miftah, 2020. "Oil price jumps and the uncertainty of oil supplies in a geopolitical perspective: The role of OPEC’s spare capacity," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 164, pages 18-35.
    14. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Muhammad Shahbaz & Serkan Gunes, 2018. "Does inflation cause gold market price changes? evidence on the G7 countries from the tests of nonparametric quantile causality in mean and variance," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(17), pages 1891-1909, April.
    15. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark Wohar, 2015. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201599, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo & Seyi Saint Akadiri & Usenobong Akpan & Bisola Aladenika, 2023. "Asymmetric effect of financial globalization on carbon emissions in G7 countries: Fresh insight from quantile-on-quantile regression," Energy & Environment, , vol. 34(5), pages 1285-1304, August.
    17. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Huseyin Ozdemir, 2021. "Dynamic return and volatility spillovers among S&P 500, crude oil, and gold," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 153-170, January.
    18. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mark E Wohar, 2019. "What are the categories of geopolitical risks that could drive oil prices higher? Acts or threats?," Post-Print hal-02409062, HAL.
    19. Zhang, Hao & Cai, Guixin & Yang, Dongxiao, 2020. "The impact of oil price shocks on clean energy stocks: Fresh evidence from multi-scale perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
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    1. Wen, Jun & Khalid, Samia & Mahmood, Hamid & Zakaria, Muhammad, 2021. "Symmetric and asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty on food prices in China: A new evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    2. Jihoon Lee & Hong Chong Cho, 2021. "Impact of Structural Oil Price Shock Factors on the Gasoline Market and Macroeconomy in South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-23, February.
    3. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium using news-based economic policy uncertainty: Not all uncertainty changes are equally important," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "The Role of News-Based Uncertainty Indices in Predicting Oil Markets: A Hybrid Nonparametric Quantile Causality Method," Working Papers 201522, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Shi, Chunpei & Wei, Yu & Li, Xiafei & Liu, Yuntong, 2023. "Combination forecasts of China's oil futures returns based on multiple uncertainties and their connectedness with oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    6. Krzysztof Drachal, 2018. "Determining Time-Varying Drivers of Spot Oil Price in a Dynamic Model Averaging Framework," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-24, May.
    7. Bos, Martijn & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2018. "Oil returns and volatility: The role of mergers and acquisitions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 62-69.
    8. Yi‐Ting Peng & Tsangyao Chang & Omid Ranjbar, 2022. "Analyzing the degree of persistence of economic policy uncertainty using linear and non‐linear fourier quantile unit root tests," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 90(4), pages 453-471, July.
    9. Gaoke Liao & Zhenghui Li & Ziqing Du & Yue Liu, 2019. "The Heterogeneous Interconnections between Supply or Demand Side and Oil Risks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-17, June.
    10. Giovanni Bonaccolto & Massimiliano Caporin & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "The Dynamic Impact of Uncertainty in Causing and Forecasting the Distribution of Oil Returns and Risk," Working Papers 201564, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "A time–frequency comovement and causality relationship between Bitcoin hashrate and energy commodity markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    12. Ender Demir & Giray Gozgor, 2016. "The Impact Of Economic Policy Uncertainty On The Vehicle Miles Traveled (Vmt) In The U.S," Eurasian Journal of Business and Management, Eurasian Publications, vol. 4(3), pages 39-48.
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    29. Dutta, Anupam & Soytas, Ugur & Das, Debojyoti & Bhattacharyya, Asit, 2022. "In search of time-varying jumps during the turmoil periods: Evidence from crude oil futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
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    33. Dutta, Anupam & Bouri, Elie & Saeed, Tareq, 2021. "News-based equity market uncertainty and crude oil volatility," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    34. F. Dilvin Taşkin & Efe Çağlar Çağlı & Umut Halaç, 2016. "The impact of oil price shocks on the volatility of the Turkish stock market," International Journal of Accounting and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 6(1), pages 1-23.
    35. Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Degiannakis, Stavros & Delis, Panagiotis & Filis, George, 2019. "Can spillover effects provide forecasting gains? The case of oil price volatility," MPRA Paper 96266, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    36. Yang, Lu, 2019. "Connectedness of economic policy uncertainty and oil price shocks in a time domain perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 219-233.
    37. Yang, Lu & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2021. "Systemic risk and economic policy uncertainty: International evidence from the crude oil market," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 142-158.
    38. Hosseini, Seyed Hossein & Shakouri G., Hamed & Kazemi, Aliyeh, 2021. "Oil price future regarding unconventional oil production and its near-term deployment: A system dynamics approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
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    40. Gu, Xin & Zhu, Zixiang & Yu, Minli, 2021. "The macro effects of GPR and EPU indexes over the global oil market—Are the two types of uncertainty shock alike?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    41. Feng Ma & Xinjie Lu & Bo Zhu, 2025. "Uncertainty and fluctuation in crude oil price: evidence from machine learning models," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 345(2), pages 725-755, February.
    42. Das, Debojyoti & Kannadhasan, M., 2020. "The asymmetric oil price and policy uncertainty shock exposure of emerging market sectoral equity returns: A quantile regression approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 563-581.
    43. Yong Jiang & Yi-Shuai Ren & Chao-Qun Ma & Jiang-Long Liu & Basil Sharp, 2018. "Does the price of strategic commodities respond to U.S. Partisan Conflict?," Papers 1810.08396, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
    44. Uddin, Gazi Salah & Bekiros, Stelios & Ahmed, Ali, 2018. "The nexus between geopolitical uncertainty and crude oil markets: An entropy-based wavelet analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 495(C), pages 30-39.
    45. Dong, Minyi & Chang, Chun-Ping & Gong, Qiang & Chu, Yin, 2019. "Revisiting global economic activity and crude oil prices: A wavelet analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 134-149.
    46. César Castro & Rebeca Jiménez-Rodríguez & Pilar Poncela & Eva Senra, 2017. "A new look at oil price pass-through into inflation: evidence from disaggregated European data," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 34(1), pages 55-82, April.
    47. Wei, Yu & Liu, Jing & Lai, Xiaodong & Hu, Yang, 2017. "Which determinant is the most informative in forecasting crude oil market volatility: Fundamental, speculation, or uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 141-150.
    48. Ruixin Su & Jianguo Du & Fakhar Shahzad & Xingle Long, 2020. "Unveiling the Effect of Mean and Volatility Spillover between the United States Economic Policy Uncertainty and WTI Crude Oil Price," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-12, August.
    49. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hanafiah Harvey & Farhang Niroomand, 2018. "On the Impact of Policy Uncertainty on Oil Prices: An Asymmetry Analysis," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-11, January.
    50. Gizem Uzuner & Sudeshna Ghosh, 2021. "Do pandemics have an asymmetric effect on tourism in Italy?," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 55(5), pages 1561-1579, October.
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    53. Alola, Andrew A. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2022. "Outlook of oil prices and volatility from 1970 to 2040 through global energy mix-security from production to reserves: A nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
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    56. Krzysztof Drachal & Michał Pawłowski, 2024. "Forecasting Selected Commodities’ Prices with the Bayesian Symbolic Regression," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-56, March.
    57. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Kofi Agyarko Ababio & Jules Mba & Ur Koumba & Makgale Molepo, 2018. "Risk, Uncertainty and Exchange Rate Behavior in South Africa," Journal of African Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 262-278, April.
    58. Fan, Liwei & Pan, Sijia & Li, Zimin & Li, Huiping, 2016. "An ICA-based support vector regression scheme for forecasting crude oil prices," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 245-253.

  457. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark Wohar, 2015. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201599, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

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    1. Yonghong Jiang & Gengyu Tian & Yiqi Wu & Bin Mo, 2022. "Impacts of geopolitical risks and economic policy uncertainty on Chinese tourism‐listed company stock," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 320-333, January.
    2. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Majid Maki-Nayeri, 2019. "Asymmetric Effects of Policy Uncertainty on Domestic Investment in G7 Countries," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(4), pages 675-693, September.
    3. Li, Xiao-Lin & Li, Xin & Si, Deng-Kui, 2020. "Investigating asymmetric determinants of the CNY–CNH exchange rate spreads: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    4. Khyati Kathuria & Nand Kumar, 2022. "Pandemic‐induced fear and government policy response as a measure of uncertainty in the foreign exchange market: Evidence from (a)symmetric wild bootstrap likelihood ratio test," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(4), pages 361-379, October.
    5. Kazutaka Kurasawa, 2016. "Policy Uncertainty and Foreign Exchange Rates: The DCC-GARCH Model of the US / Japanese Foreign Exchange Rate," International Journal of Economic Sciences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 5(4), pages 1-19, December.
    6. Balcilar, Mehmet & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2017. "Can volume predict Bitcoin returns and volatility? A quantiles-based approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 74-81.
    7. Boqiang Lin & Tong Su, 2023. "Uncertainties and green bond markets: Evidence from tail dependence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4458-4475, October.
    8. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Transmission of US and EU Economic Policy Uncertainty Shock to Asian Economies in Bad and Good Times," IZA Discussion Papers 13274, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    9. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Are BRICS Exchange Rates Chaotic?," Working Papers 201822, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Al-Thaqeb, Saud Asaad & Algharabali, Barrak Ghanim, 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty: A literature review," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    11. Giovanni Bonaccolto & Massimiliano Caporin & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "The Dynamic Impact of Uncertainty in Causing and Forecasting the Distribution of Oil Returns and Risk," Working Papers 201564, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Mehmet Balcilar & George Ike & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Output Growth in Emerging Markets: A Mixed-Frequency Granger Causality Approach," Working Papers 201975, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Pham, Son Duy & Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Li, Xiao-Ming, 2024. "Stabilizing global foreign exchange markets in the time of COVID-19: The role of vaccinations," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    14. Feng, Hao & Gao, Da & Duan, Kun & Urquhart, Andrew, 2023. "Does Bitcoin affect decomposed oil shocks differently? Evidence from a quantile-based framework," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    15. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "Climate risks and realized volatility of major commodity currency exchange rates," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    16. Thobekile Qabhobho, 2023. "Assessing the Asymmetric Effect of Local Realized Exchange Rate Volatility and Implied Volatilities in Energy Market on Exchange Rate Returns in BRICS," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 231-239, March.
    17. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2016. "Can Volume Predict Bitcoin Returns and Volatility? A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201662, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Ahmed, Mansoora & Khaskheli, Asadullah & Raza, Syed Ali & Hassan, M. Kabir, 2024. "Eco-tech fusion: Unraveling the nonparametric causal effects of fintech, natural resources, digital infrastructure, and economic growth on environmental sustainability from a quantile perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    19. Adedokun Adeniyi J. & Falayi Olabusuyi R. & Adeyemi Francis O. & Kumeka Terver T., 2022. "Global Economic Uncertainties and Exchange Rate Management in Africa: A Panel Study," Acta Universitatis Sapientiae, Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 10(1), pages 161-184, September.
    20. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2020. "Volatility forecasting with bivariate multifractal models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 155-167, March.
    21. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "The Role of Current Account Balance in Forecasting the US Equity Premium: Evidence From a Quantile Predictive Regression Approach," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(1), pages 47-59, February.
    22. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa & Gungor, Hasan & Roubaud, David & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Role of global, regional, and advanced market economic policy uncertainty on bond spreads in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    23. Wangfang Xu & Wenjia Rao & Longbao Wei & Qianqian Wang, 2023. "A Normalized Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Index from Unsupervised Machine Learning," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-10, July.
    24. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Energy Market Uncertainties and Exchange Rate Volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202418, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    25. Kamal, Javed Bin & Wohar, Mark & Kamal, Khaled Bin, 2022. "Do gold, oil, equities, and currencies hedge economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks during covid crisis?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
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    32. Christina Christou & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time-Varying Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on Macroeconomic Variables of the United Kingdom: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Monthly Data," Working Papers 201962, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Mehmet Balcilar & Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Geopolitical Risks and Stock Market Dynamics of the BRICS," Working Papers 201648, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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    36. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis & Tahir Suleman, 2018. "The role of economic uncertainty in forecasting exchange rate returns and realized volatility: Evidence from quantile predictive regressions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(7), pages 705-719, November.
    37. Mehmet Balcilar & Esin Cakan & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Does U.S. News Impact Asian Emerging Markets? Evidence from Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201631, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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    46. Wei, Yu & Zhang, Jiahao & Chen, Yongfei & Wang, Yizhi, 2022. "The impacts of El Niño-southern oscillation on renewable energy stock markets: Evidence from quantile perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    47. Martha Flores‐Sosa & Ezequiel Avilés‐Ochoa & José M. Merigó, 2022. "Exchange rate and volatility: A bibliometric review," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1419-1442, January.
    48. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wang, Shixuan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    49. Gong, Yuting & He, Zhongzhi & Xue, Wenjun, 2025. "EPU spillovers and exchange rate volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    50. Rangan Gupta & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2018. "Efficiency in BRICS Currency Markets using Long-Spans of Data: Evidence from Model-Free Tests of Directional Predictability," Working Papers 201836, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    51. Yahui Yang & Zhe Peng, 2024. "Openness and Real Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence from China," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 35(1), pages 121-158, February.
    52. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "The depreciation of the pound post-Brexit: Could it have been predicted?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 206-213.
    53. Bush, Georgia & López Noria, Gabriela, 2021. "Uncertainty and exchange rate volatility: Evidence from Mexico," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 704-722.
    54. Song, Lu & Tian, Gengyu & Jiang, Yonghong, 2022. "Connectedness of commodity, exchange rate and categorical economic policy uncertainties — Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    55. Wang, Zhuo & Wei, Yu & Shang, Yue & Wang, Qian & Zhao, Cheng, 2025. "Do economic policy uncertainties matter for economic growth? Evidence from MIDAS approaches," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    56. Abir ABID & Christophe RAULT, 2020. "On the Exchange Rates Volatility and Economic Policy Uncertainty Nexus: A Panel VAR Approach for Emerging Markets," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2894, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    57. Yu, Xiaoling & Huang, Yirong, 2021. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty on stock volatility: Evidence from GARCH–MIDAS approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 570(C).
    58. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Do Bivariate Multifractal Models Improve Volatility Forecasting in Financial Time Series? An Application to Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets," Working Papers 201728, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    59. Raza, Syed Ali & Shah, Nida & Guesmi, Khaled & Msolli, Badreddine, 2022. "How does COVID-19 influence dynamic spillover connectedness between cryptocurrencies? Evidence from non-parametric causality-in-quantiles techniques," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    60. Yue Liu & Pierre Failler & Jiaying Peng & Yuhang Zheng, 2020. "Time-Varying Relationship between Crude Oil Price and Exchange Rate in the Context of Structural Breaks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-17, May.
    61. Shao, Liuguo & Zhang, Hua & Chen, Jinyu & Zhu, Xuehong, 2021. "Effect of oil price uncertainty on clean energy metal stocks in China: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 407-419.
    62. Long, Shaobo & Zhang, Rui & Hao, Jing, 2022. "Asymmetric impact of Sino-US interest rate differentials and economic policy uncertainty ratio on RMB exchange rate," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    63. Oğuz Tümtürk, 2023. "Key Macroeconomic Variables under Exchange Rate Volatility: Time-Varying Causality in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Nonlinearity," EKOIST Journal of Econometrics and Statistics, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 0(39), pages 49-64, December.
    64. Cagli, Efe Caglar & Mandaci, Pinar Evrim, 2023. "Time and frequency connectedness of uncertainties in cryptocurrency, stock, currency, energy, and precious metals markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    65. Christina Christou & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2016. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Returns in Pacific-Rim Countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian Panel VAR Model," Working Papers 201661, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    66. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Trade uncertainties and the hedging abilities of Bitcoin," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 49(3), September.
    67. Bogdan DIMA & Marius Sorin DINCĂ & Ştefana Maria DIMA & Gheorghiţa DINCĂ, 2017. "Does Economic Policies Uncertainty affect Economic Activity? Evidences from the United States of America," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 60-74, March.
    68. Pastorek, Daniel, 2023. "Euro area uncertainty and Euro exchange rate volatility: Exploring the role of transnational economic policy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    69. Abid, Abir & Rault, Christophe, 2020. "On the Exchange Rate and Economic Policy Uncertainty Nexus: A Panel VAR Approach for Emerging Markets," IZA Discussion Papers 13365, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    70. Ifedolapo Olabisi Olanipekun & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Hasan Güngör, 2019. "Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Exchange Market Pressure," SAGE Open, , vol. 9(3), pages 21582440198, September.
    71. Wei-long Wu & Changqi Shao, 2023. "How does home and host-country policy uncertainty affect outward FDI? Firm-level evidence from China," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 40(2), pages 495-515, July.
    72. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa & Duman, Gazi Murat, 2024. "Nonlinear network connectedness: Assessing financial risk transmission in MENA and influence of external financial conditions," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    73. Xinqian Du & Tian Pu, 2025. "U.S. economic uncertainty shocks and extreme capital flows episodes: An empirical analysis of emerging and developing economies," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 352-368, January.
    74. Lin Liu, 2022. "Economic Uncertainty and Exchange Market Pressure: Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440211, January.
    75. Alola, Andrew A. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2022. "Outlook of oil prices and volatility from 1970 to 2040 through global energy mix-security from production to reserves: A nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    76. Zeng, Qing & Lu, Xinjie & Dong, Dayong & Li, Pan, 2022. "Category-specific EPU indices, macroeconomic variables and stock market return predictability," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    77. Caixe, Daniel Ferreira, 2022. "Corporate governance and investment sensitivity to policy uncertainty in Brazil," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(PB).
    78. Saud Asaad Al‐Thaqeb & Barrak Ghanim Algharabali & Khaled Tareq Alabdulghafour, 2022. "The pandemic and economic policy uncertainty," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 2784-2794, July.
    79. Yonghong JIANG & Juan MENG & He NIE, 2018. "Visiting the Economic Policy Uncertainty Shocks - Economic Growth Relationship: Wavelet-based Granger-Causality in Quantiles Approac," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 80-94, December.
    80. Liya Hau & Huiming Zhu & Muhammad Shahbaz & Ke Huang, 2023. "Quantile Dependence between Crude Oil and China’s Biofuel Feedstock Commodity Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-17, June.
    81. Bartsch, Zachary, 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty and dollar-pound exchange rate return volatility," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 1-1.
    82. Terver Theophilus Kumeka & Olabusuyi Rufus Falayi & Adeniyi Jimmy Adedokun & Francis Olayinka Adeyemi, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty and exchange market pressure in Nigeria: a quantile regression analysis," International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 15(2), pages 135-166.
    83. Abir ABID & Christophe RAULT, 2020. "On the Exchange Rates Volatility and Economic Policy Uncertainty Nexus: A Panel VAR Approach for Emerging Markets," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2816, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    84. Bathia, Deven & Demirer, Riza & Ferrer, Román & Raheem, Ibrahim D., 2023. "Cross-border capital flows and information spillovers across the equity and currency markets in emerging economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    85. Nicholas Apergis & Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Does Geopolitical Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility of Leading Defense Companies? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201671, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    86. Yang, Kun & Wei, Yu & Li, Shouwei & Liu, Liang & Wang, Lei, 2021. "Global financial uncertainties and China’s crude oil futures market: Evidence from interday and intraday price dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    87. Ololade Periola-Fatunsin & Johnson A. Oliyide & Ismail O. Fasanya, 2021. "Uncertainty Due to Pandemic and the Volatility Connectedness Among Asian REITs Market," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(2), pages 1-5.
    88. S. M. Woahid Murad, 2022. "The role of domestic and foreign economic uncertainties in determining the foreign exchange rates: an extended monetary approach," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(4), pages 666-677, October.
    89. Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo & Seyi Saint Akadiri & Ilham Haouas & Husam Rjoub, 2023. "A Time-Varying Analysis between Financial Development and Carbon Emissions: Evidence from the MINT countries," Energy & Environment, , vol. 34(5), pages 1207-1227, August.
    90. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2016. "Does uncertainty move the gold price? New evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 74-80.
    91. Yin DAI & Jing-wen ZHANG & Xiu-zhen YU & Xin LI, 2017. "Causality between economic policy uncertainty and exchange rate in China with considering quantile differences," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(3(612), A), pages 29-38, Autumn.
    92. Terver T. Kumeka & Olabusuyi R. Falayi & Adeniyi J. Adedokun & Francis O. Adeyemi, 2022. "An econometric analysis of economic policy uncertainty and exchange market pressure of the three largest economies in West Africa," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(11), pages 1-33, November.
    93. Chen, Hao & Xu, Chao, 2022. "The impact of cryptocurrencies on China's carbon price variation during COVID-19: A quantile perspective," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    94. Lee A. Smales, 2022. "The influence of policy uncertainty on exchange rate forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 997-1016, August.
    95. Chen, Jinyu & Wang, Yilin & Ren, Xiaohang, 2022. "Asymmetric effects of non-ferrous metal price shocks on clean energy stocks: Evidence from a quantile-on-quantile method," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    96. Wu, Xinyu & Xie, Haibin & Zhang, Huanming, 2022. "Time-varying risk aversion and renminbi exchange rate volatility: Evidence from CARR-MIDAS model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    97. Chen, Liming & Du, Ziqing & Hu, Zhihao, 2020. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on exchange rate volatility of China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    98. Kisswani, Khalid M. & Elian, Mohammad I., 2021. "Analyzing the (a)symmetric impacts of oil price, economic policy uncertainty, and global geopolitical risk on exchange rate," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    99. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin, 2020. "Insurance and economic policy uncertainty," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    100. Idilbi-Bayaa, Yasmeen & Qadan, Mahmoud, 2022. "What the current yield curve says, and what the future prices of energy do," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).

  458. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Christophe Andre & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Dynamic Spillovers in the United States: Stock Market, Housing, Uncertainty and the Macroeconomy," Working Papers 201521, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Stilianos Fountas & Dimitra Kontana & Paraskevi Tzika, 2024. "Uncertainty and financial asset return spillovers: are they related? Empirical evidence from three continents," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(5), pages 1891-1918, November.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark, 2017. "Forecasting oil and stock returns with a Qual VAR using over 150years off data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 181-186.
    4. Huthaifa Alqaralleh & Gazi Salah Uddin & Canepa, Alessandra, 2022. "Time-frequency connectedness across housing markets, stock market and uncertainty: A Wavelet-Time Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 202204, University of Turin.
    5. Wang, Yu-Min & Lin, Che-Chun & Tsai, I-Chun, 2023. "State transformation of information spillover in asset markets and effective dynamic hedging strategies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    6. Alqaralleh, Huthaifa & Canepa, Alessandra & Salah Uddin, Gazi, 2023. "Dynamic relations between housing Markets, stock Markets, and uncertainty in global Cities: A Time-Frequency approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    7. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the co-movement of regional housing prices of the United Kingdom," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-22, December.
    8. Chen, Yanhui & Zhou, Xiaoyu & Chen, Shun & Mi, Jackson Jinhong, 2024. "LNG freight rate and LNG price, carbon price, geopolitical risk: A dynamic connectedness analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
    9. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Aygun, Gurcan & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "How Does the Economic Uncertainty Affect Asset Prices under Normal and Financial Distress Times?," IZA Discussion Papers 15296, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    10. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Uncertainty and Predictability of Real Housing Returns in the United Kingdom: A Regional Analysis," Working Papers 202102, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Shafiullah, Muhammad & Senthilkumar, Arunachalam & Lucey, Brian M. & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2024. "Deciphering asymmetric spillovers in US industries: Insights from higher-order moments," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    12. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2022. "Higher Moments Actually Matter: Spillover Approach for Case of CESEE Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(24), pages 1-34, December.
    13. Bossman, Ahmed & Umar, Zaghum & Agyei, Samuel Kwaku & Junior, Peterson Owusu, 2022. "A new ICEEMDAN-based transfer entropy quantifying information flow between real estate and policy uncertainty," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(3), pages 189-205.

  459. Luis A Gil-Alana & Christophe André & Rangan Gupta & Tsangyao Chang & Omid Ranjbar, 2015. "The Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle in South Africa: A Fractional Cointegration Approach," Working Papers 201501, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Vasudeva N.R. Murthy & Natalya Ketenci, 2021. "The Feldstein–Horioka hypothesis for African countries: Evidence from recent panel error‐correction modelling," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5762-5774, October.
    2. Ibrahim Bakari Hassan, 2016. "International capital mobility in West Africa: A panel cointegration approach," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1256023-125, December.

  460. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & John W. Muteba Mwamba, 2015. "Dynamic Comovements between Housing and Oil Markets in the US over 1859 to 2013: A Note," Working Papers 201579, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Seyed Hesam Ghodsi, 2020. "On the Link between Oil Price and House Prices in the U.S.: Asymmetric Evidence from State Level Data," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 23(1), pages 65-106.
    2. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    3. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "House price synchronization across the US states: The role of structural oil shocks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    4. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Killins, Robert N. & Egly, Peter V. & Escobari, Diego, 2017. "The Impact of Oil Shocks on the Housing Market: Evidence from Canada and U.S," MPRA Paper 80529, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Nyakundi M. Michieka & Richard S. Gearhart & Noha A. Razek, 2024. "Oil Price Dynamics and Housing Demand in Oil Producing Counties in the U.S," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 48(2), pages 483-512, June.
    7. Khamis Hamed Al-Yahyaee & Walid Mensi & Hee-Un Ko & Massimiliano Caporin & Sang Hoon Kang, 2021. "Is the Korean housing market following Gangnam style?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 2041-2072, October.
    8. Tong Zhang & Paul J. Burke, 2022. "The effect of gasoline prices on suburban housing values in China," Departmental Working Papers 2022-01, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
    9. Ohikhuare, Obaika M., 2023. "How geopolitical risk drives spillover interconnectedness between crude oil and exchange rate markets: Evidence from the Russia-Ukraine war," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    10. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    11. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "How do Housing Returns in Emerging Countries Respond to Oil Shocks? A MIDAS Touch," Working Papers 201946, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Nguyen, Thi Thu Ha & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Balli, Faruk & Balli, Hatice Ozer & Syed, Iqbal, 2021. "Information transmission between oil and housing markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    13. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin J., 2023. "On the connection between international REITs and oil markets: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    14. Stenvall, David & Hedström, Axel & Yoshino, Naoyuki & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2022. "Nonlinear tail dependence between the housing and energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    15. Nafeesa Yunus, 2023. "Co‐movement among oil, stock, bond, and housing markets: An analysis of U.S., Asian, and European economies," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 393-436, June.
    16. Donadelli, M. & Jüppner, M. & Paradiso, A. & Ghisletti, M., 2020. "Tornado activity, house prices, and stock returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).

  461. Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2015. "On Economic Uncertainty, Stock Market Predictability and Nonlinear Spillover Effects," Working Papers 201508, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Duca, John V. & Saving, Jason L., 2018. "What drives economic policy uncertainty in the long and short runs: European and U.S. evidence over several decades," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 128-145.
    2. Tan, Xueping & Zhong, Yiran & Vivian, Andrew & Geng, Yong & Wang, Ziyi & Zhao, Difei, 2024. "Towards an era of multi-source uncertainty: A systematic and bibliometric analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    3. Li, Xiyang & Chen, Xiaoyue & Li, Bin & Singh, Tarlok & Shi, Kan, 2022. "Predictability of stock market returns: New evidence from developed and developing countries," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    4. Güngör Arifenur & Güngör Mahmut Sami, 2024. "The Nexus Between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility in the CEE-3 Countries," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 19(2), pages 60-81.
    5. Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar, 2015. "Incorporating Economic Policy Uncertainty in US Equity Premium Models: A Nonlinear Predictability Analysis," Working Papers 201545, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Liang, Chin Chia & Troy, Carol & Rouyer, Ellen, 2020. "U.S. uncertainty and Asian stock prices: Evidence from the asymmetric NARDL model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    7. Cró, Susana & Martins, António Miguel, 2017. "Structural breaks in international tourism demand: Are they caused by crises or disasters?," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 3-9.
    8. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Zhang, Meihui & Jia, Jinhong & Zheng, Xiangcheng, 2023. "Numerical approximation and fast implementation to a generalized distributed-order time-fractional option pricing model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    10. Douglas de Medeiros Franco, 2022. "Expectations, Economic Uncertainty, and Sentiment," RAC - Revista de Administração Contemporânea (Journal of Contemporary Administration), ANPAD - Associação Nacional de Pós-Graduação e Pesquisa em Administração, vol. 26(5), pages 210029-2100.
    11. Mensi, Walid & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kim, Won Joong, 2023. "How macroeconomic factors drive the linkages between inflation and oil markets in global economies? A multiscale analysis," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 212-232.
    12. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "The Role of Current Account Balance in Forecasting the US Equity Premium: Evidence From a Quantile Predictive Regression Approach," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(1), pages 47-59, February.
    13. Stelios Bekiros & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Jose Arreola-Hernandez & Mobeen Ur Rehman, 2018. "Directional predictability and time-varying spillovers between stock markets and economic cycles," Post-Print hal-01996787, HAL.
    14. Tunc, Ahmet & Kocoglu, Mustafa & Aslan, Alper, 2022. "Time-varying characteristics of the simultaneous interactions between economic uncertainty, international oil prices and GDP: A novel approach for Germany," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    15. Bakhtiar Javaheri & Fateh habibi & Ramin Amani, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and the US stock market trading: non-ARDL evidence," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-10, December.
    16. Ying-Hui Shao & Yan-Hong Yang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2021. "How does economic policy uncertainty comove with stock markets: New evidence from symmetric thermal optimal path method," Papers 2106.04421, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
    17. Wu, Chao & Zhao, Ke & Liu, Jinquan & Zhao, Xiuyi, 2024. "Cross-country spillovers of trade uncertainty and their formation mechanisms," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    18. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2017. "Oil price shocks and policy uncertainty: New evidence on the effects of US and non-US oil production," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 536-546.
    19. Bhatia, Vaneet & Das, Debojyoti & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Hasim, Haslifah M., 2018. "Do precious metal spot prices influence each other? Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 244-252.
    20. Kang, Wensheng & Perez de Gracia, Fernando & Ratti, Ronald A., 2017. "Oil price shocks, policy uncertainty, and stock returns of oil and gas corporations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 344-359.
    21. Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Xiao-Li Gong & Hao-Yang Ning & Xiong Xiong, 2025. "Research on the cross-contagion between international stock markets and geopolitical risks: the two-layer network perspective," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-32, December.
    23. You, Wanhai & Guo, Yawei & Zhu, Huiming & Tang, Yong, 2017. "Oil price shocks, economic policy uncertainty and industry stock returns in China: Asymmetric effects with quantile regression," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 1-18.
    24. Su, Zhi & Fang, Tong & Yin, Libo, 2019. "Understanding stock market volatility: What is the role of U.S. uncertainty?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 582-590.
    25. Wang, Xinyu & Luo, Yi & Wang, Zhuqing & Xu, Yan & Wu, Congxin, 2021. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty on volatility of China’s financial stocks: An empirical analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    26. Serdar Ongan & Ismet Gocer, 2017. "Testing The Causalities Between Economic Policy Uncertainty And The Us Stock Indices: Applications Of Linear And Nonlinear Approaches," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(04), pages 1-20, December.
    27. Basher, Syed Abul & Haug, Alfred A. & Sadorsky, Perry, 2019. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty and commodity prices on CARB country stock market volatility," MPRA Paper 96577, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    28. Radu Valentin & Neacsu Andrei-Costin & Neacsu George-Alexandru & Bichir Antonela & Tabirca Alina-Iuliana & Croitoru Ionut-Marius & Mihai Danut-Georgian, 2024. "Economic Impacts Of Energy Price Shocks In The Eu Driven By Crises," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 3, pages 127-140, June.
    29. Shabir Mohsin Hashmi & Muhammad Akram Gilal & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "Sustainability of Global Economic Policy and Stock Market Returns in Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-18, May.
    30. Ahmad, Wasim & Sharma, Sumit Kumar, 2018. "Testing output gap and economic uncertainty as an explicator of stock market returns," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 293-306.
    31. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong & Kyei, Clement, 2019. "The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 150-163.
    32. Christina Christou & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2016. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Returns in Pacific-Rim Countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian Panel VAR Model," Working Papers 201661, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Ismail Olaleke Fasanya Oluwatomisin Oyewole Taofeek Agbatogun, 2019. "Measuring Return and Volatility Spillovers among Sectoral Stocks in Nigeria," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, vol. 22(2), pages 71-94, November.
    34. Han, Liyan & Liu, Yang & Yin, Libo, 2019. "Uncertainty and currency performance: A quantile-on-quantile approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 702-729.
    35. Bernardina Algieri, 2021. "Fast & furious: Do psychological and legal factors affect commodity price volatility?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(4), pages 980-1017, April.
    36. Borjigin, Sumuya & Yang, Yating & Yang, Xiaoguang & Sun, Leilei, 2018. "Econometric testing on linear and nonlinear dynamic relation between stock prices and macroeconomy in China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 493(C), pages 107-115.
    37. Ruzhao Gao & Yancai Zhao & Bing Zhang, 2021. "The spillover effects of economic policy uncertainty on the oil, gold, and stock markets: Evidence from China," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2134-2141, April.
    38. Tahir Suleman & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2016. "Does Country Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201675, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    39. Li, Sufang & Tu, Dalun & Zeng, Yan & Gong, Chenggang & Yuan, Di, 2022. "Does geopolitical risk matter in crude oil and stock markets? Evidence from disaggregated data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    40. Edson VENGESAI & Adefemi A. OBALADE & Paul-Francois MUZINDUTSI, 2021. "Country Risk Dynamics and Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from the JSE Cross-Sector Analysis," Journal of Economics and Financial Analysis, Tripal Publishing House, vol. 5(2), pages 63-84.
    41. Zhang, Yahui & Liu, Li, 2018. "The lead-lag relationships between spot and futures prices of natural gas," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 203-211.
    42. Lei, Adrian C.H. & Song, Chen, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market activity: Evidence from China," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    43. Das, Debojyoti & Kumar, Surya Bhushan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Hasim, Haslifah M., 2018. "On the relationship of gold, crude oil, stocks with financial stress: A causality-in-quantiles approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 169-174.
    44. Guo-Feng Fan & Ruo-Tong Zhang & Cen-Cen Cao & Li-Ling Peng & Yi-Hsuan Yeh & Wei-Chiang Hong, 2024. "The volatility mechanism and intelligent fusion forecast of new energy stock prices," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-37, December.
    45. Helseth, Marius Aleksander Emblem & Krakstad, Svein Olav & Molnár, Peter & Norlin, Karl-Martin, 2020. "Can policy and financial risk predict stock markets?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 701-719.
    46. Nicholas Apergis & Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Does Geopolitical Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility of Leading Defense Companies? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201671, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    47. Ahmed Bouteska & Taimur Sharif & Mohammad Zoynul Abedin, 2024. "Does investor sentiment create value for asset pricing? An empirical investigation of the KOSPI‐listed firms," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 3487-3509, July.
    48. Mehmet Balcilar & Deven Bathia & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Credit Ratings and Predictability of Stock Returns and Volatility of the BRICS and the PIIGS: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201719, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    49. Su, Chi-Wei & Huang, Shi-Wen & Qin, Meng & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Does crude oil price stimulate economic policy uncertainty in BRICS?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    50. Kirikkaleli, Dervis, 2020. "The effect of domestic and foreign risks on an emerging stock market: A time series analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    51. Ma, Dan & Zhu, Yanjin, 2024. "The impact of economic uncertainty on carbon emission: Evidence from China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).

  462. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Is Economic Policy Uncertainty Related to Suicide Rates? Evidence from the United States," Working Papers 201573, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Abdou, Rawayda & Cassells, Damien & Berrill, Jenny & Hanly, Jim, 2022. "Revisiting the relationship between economic uncertainty and suicide: An alternative approach," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    2. Alishba Hania & Chien-Chiang Lee & Farzan Yahya, 2025. "Climate anxiety, economic policy uncertainty, and green growth," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 1-34, February.
    3. Kanavos, Panos & Vandoros, Sotiris, 2023. "Road traffic mortality and economic uncertainty: Evidence from the United States," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
    4. Kyriopoulos, Ilias & Nikoloski, Zlatko & Mossialos, Elias, 2019. "Does economic recession impact newborn health? Evidence from Greece," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 237(C), pages 1-1.
    5. Solarin, Sakiru Adebola & Gil-Alana, Luis A., 2021. "The persistence of economic policy uncertainty: Evidence of long range dependence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 568(C).
    6. Claveria, Oscar, 2022. "Global economic uncertainty and suicide: Worldwide evidence," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    7. Apergis, Emmanuel & Apergis, Iraklis & Apergis, Nicholas, 2019. "A new macro stress testing approach for financial realignment in the Eurozone," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 52-80.
    8. Tao, Hung-Lin & Cheng, Hui-Pei, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty and subjective health: A gender perspective," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 334(C).
    9. Ichiro Kawachi & Ilias Kyriopoulos & Sotiris Vandoros, 2023. "Economic uncertainty and cardiovascular disease mortality," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(7), pages 1550-1560, July.
    10. Huang, Wei & Lei, Xiaoyan & Yu, Miao, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty, health status, and mortality," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 362(C).

  463. Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Open Access publications 10197/7351, School of Economics, University College Dublin.

    Cited by:

    1. Franz Ruch & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Mampho P. Modise & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Forecasting Core Inflation: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 15-08, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    2. Byron J. Idrovo-Aguirre & Javier E. Contreras-Reyes, 2019. "Backcasting cement production and characterizing cement’s economic cycles for Chile 1991–2015," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(5), pages 1829-1852, November.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2015. "The Role of Oil Prices in the Forecasts of South African Interest Rates: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 201531, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Idrovo Aguirre, Byron & Contreras, Javier, 2015. "Back-splicing of cement production and characterization of its economic cycle: The case of Chile (1991-2015)," MPRA Paper 67387, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Sep 2015.

  464. Tolga Omay & Rangan Gupta & Giovanni Bonaccolto, 2015. "The US Real GNP is Trend-Stationary After All," Working Papers 201581, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Andrew Phiri, 2018. "Is Swaziland on a path of convergence towards her main trading partners?," Working Papers 1830, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University.
    2. Hoa Thanh Phan Le & Ha Pham & Nga Thi Thu Do & Khoa Dang Duong, 2024. "Foreign direct investment, total factor productivity, and economic growth: evidence in middle-income countries," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-11, December.
    3. Shinhye Chang & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Growth Volatility and Inequality in the U.S.: A Wavelet Analysis," Working Papers 201819, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Luis A. Gil-Alana & OlaOluwa S. Yaya, 2021. "Testing fractional unit roots with non-linear smooth break approximations using Fourier functions," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(13-15), pages 2542-2559, November.
    5. David de Villiers & Andrew Phiri, 2019. "Towards resolving the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) ‘puzzle’ in Newly Industrialized Countries (NIC’s)," Working Papers 1908, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University, revised Sep 2019.
    6. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana, 2023. "Exponential Time Trends in a Fractional Integration Model," CESifo Working Paper Series 10774, CESifo.
    7. Giorgio Canarella & Luis A. Gil‐Alana & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2022. "The behaviour of real interest rates: New evidence from a 'suprasecular' perspective," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(1), pages 46-64, April.

  465. Christophe André & Lumengo Bonga-Bonga & Rangan Gupta & John W. Muteba Mwamba, 2015. "The Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on US Real Housing Returns and their Volatility: A Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201582, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Andrew Adewale Alola, 2021. "Evidence of speculative bubbles and regime switch in real estate market and crude oil price: Insight from Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3473-3483, July.

  466. Periklis Gogas & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Georgios Antonios Sarantitis, 2015. "Income Inequality: A State-by-State Complex Network Analysis," Working Papers 201534, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Seyi Saint Akadiri & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2019. "Partisan Conflict and Income Inequality in the United States: A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 142(1), pages 65-82, February.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Seyi Saint Akadiri & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2017. "Partisan Conflict and Income Distribution in the United States: A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working papers 2017-11, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.

  467. Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar, 2015. "Incorporating Economic Policy Uncertainty in US Equity Premium Models: A Nonlinear Predictability Analysis," Working Papers 201545, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Assaf, Ata & Charif, Husni & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between uncertainty and energy markets: Do investor sentiments matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    2. Tan, Xueping & Zhong, Yiran & Vivian, Andrew & Geng, Yong & Wang, Ziyi & Zhao, Difei, 2024. "Towards an era of multi-source uncertainty: A systematic and bibliometric analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    3. Bulent Diclehan Cadirci & Mustafa Tekdere, 2022. "The Effect of Economic Uncertainty on the Tax Wedge: The Case of Selected OECD Countries," Istanbul Journal of Economics-Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 72(72-2), pages 787-822, December.
    4. Yonghong Jiang & Gengyu Tian & Yiqi Wu & Bin Mo, 2022. "Impacts of geopolitical risks and economic policy uncertainty on Chinese tourism‐listed company stock," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 320-333, January.
    5. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium using news-based economic policy uncertainty: Not all uncertainty changes are equally important," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    6. Hu, Zinan & Borjigin, Sumuya, 2024. "The amplifying role of geopolitical Risks, economic policy Uncertainty, and climate risks on Energy-Stock market volatility spillover across economic cycles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    7. Ming Fang & Chiu-Lan Chang, 2022. "Nexus between fiscal imbalances, green fiscal spending, and green economic growth: empirical findings from E-7 economies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 2423-2443, November.
    8. Li, Dakai & Zhang, Fan & Li, Xuezhi, 2022. "Can U.S. trade policy uncertainty help in predicting stock market excess return?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    9. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Differences of Opinion and Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201668, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Balcilar, Mehmet & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2017. "Can volume predict Bitcoin returns and volatility? A quantiles-based approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 74-81.
    11. Matthew W. Clance & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau, 2019. "The Relationship between Economic Uncertainty and Corporate Tax Rates," Working Papers 201945, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Shabir, Mohsin & Jiang, Ping & Hashmi, Shujahat Haider & Bakhsh, Satar, 2022. "Non-linear nexus between economic policy uncertainty and bank lending," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 657-679.
    13. Chen, Juan & Ma, Feng & Qiu, Xuemei & Li, Tao, 2023. "The role of categorical EPU indices in predicting stock-market returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 365-378.
    14. Arshian Sharif & Subhan Ullah & Muhammad Shahbaz & Mantu Kumar Mahalik, 2021. "Sustainable tourism development and globalization: Recent insights from the United States," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(5), pages 957-973, September.
    15. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "A time–frequency comovement and causality relationship between Bitcoin hashrate and energy commodity markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    17. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2016. "Can Volume Predict Bitcoin Returns and Volatility? A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201662, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    19. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "The Role of Current Account Balance in Forecasting the US Equity Premium: Evidence From a Quantile Predictive Regression Approach," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(1), pages 47-59, February.
    20. Chen, Wen-Yi & Chen, Mei-Ping, 2022. "Twitter’s daily happiness sentiment, economic policy uncertainty, and stock index fluctuations," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    21. Salokhiddin Avazkhodjaev & Jaloliddin Usmonov & M ria Bohdalov & Wee-Yeap Lau, 2022. "The Causal Nexus between Renewable Energy, CO2 Emissions, and Economic Growth: New Evidence from CIS Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(6), pages 248-260, November.
    22. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Li, Yong-Yi, 2021. "Oil price shocks, geopolitical risks, and green bond market dynamics," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    23. Gupta, Rangan & Risse, Marian & Volkman, David A. & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "The role of term spread and pattern changes in predicting stock returns and volatility of the United Kingdom: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test using over 250 years of data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 391-405.
    24. Cakici, Nusret & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Zaremba, Adam, 2024. "Machine learning and the cross-section of cryptocurrency returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    25. Mishra, Shekhar & Sharif, Arshian & Khuntia, Sashikanta & Meo, Muhammad Saeed & Rehman Khan, Syed Abdul, 2019. "Does oil prices impede Islamic stock indices? Fresh insights from wavelet-based quantile-on-quantile approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 292-304.
    26. Mehmet Balcilar & Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Geopolitical Risks and Stock Market Dynamics of the BRICS," Working Papers 201648, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    27. Rangan Gupta & John W. Muteba Mwamba & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Role of Partisan Conflict in Forecasting the U.S. Equity Premium: A Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201686, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    28. Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Giray Gozgor & Ender Demir, 2017. "Excess stock returns, oil shocks, and policy uncertainty in the U.S," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 741-755.
    30. Salokhiddin Avazkhodjaev & Farkhod Mukhamedov & Jaloliddin Usmonov, 2022. "Do Energy and Gold Markets Interact with Islamic Stocks? Evidence from the Asia-Pacific Markets," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 197-208, May.
    31. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2020. "Insurance activity, real output, and geopolitical risk: Fresh evidence from BRICS," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 207-215.
    32. Mehmet Balcilar & Esin Cakan & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Does U.S. News Impact Asian Emerging Markets? Evidence from Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201631, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "Predicting equity premium out-of-sample by conditioning on newspaper-based uncertainty measures: A comparative study," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    34. Mohammad Arashi & Mohammad Mahdi Rounaghi, 2022. "Analysis of market efficiency and fractal feature of NASDAQ stock exchange: Time series modeling and forecasting of stock index using ARMA-GARCH model," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-12, December.
    35. Mudassar Hasan & Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Muhammad Arif & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Safwan Mohd Nor, 2020. "Geopolitical Risk and Tourism Stocks of Emerging Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-21, November.
    36. Rehman, Mobeen Ur, 2018. "Do oil shocks predict economic policy uncertainty?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 498(C), pages 123-136.
    37. Aariya Sen & Swarn Rajan, 2024. "You are uncertain and we are at stress! How does monetary policy uncertainty affect financial stress? The case of the US and G7," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 749-769, October.
    38. Gu, Rongbao & Liu, Shengnan, 2022. "Nonlinear analysis of economic policy uncertainty: Based on the data in China, the US and the global," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 593(C).
    39. Kang, Wensheng & de Gracia, Fernando Perez & Ratti, Ronald A., 2019. "The asymmetric response of gasoline prices to oil price shocks and policy uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 66-79.
    40. Jun Wen & Samia Khalid & Hamid Mahmood & Xiuyun Yang, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and growth nexus in Pakistan: a new evidence using NARDL model," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 1701-1715, August.
    41. Badshah, Ihsan & Demirer, Riza & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir, 2019. "The effect of economic policy uncertainty on stock-commodity correlations and its implications on optimal hedging," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    42. Basher, Syed Abul & Haug, Alfred A. & Sadorsky, Perry, 2019. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty and commodity prices on CARB country stock market volatility," MPRA Paper 96577, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    43. Song, Lu & Tian, Gengyu & Jiang, Yonghong, 2022. "Connectedness of commodity, exchange rate and categorical economic policy uncertainties — Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    44. Godil, Danish Iqbal & Sarwat, Salman & Sharif, Arshian & Jermsittiparsert, Kittisak, 2020. "How oil prices, gold prices, uncertainty and risk impact Islamic and conventional stocks? Empirical evidence from QARDL technique," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    45. Zhao, Linhai & Chau, Ka Yin & Tran, Trung Kien & Sadiq, Muhammad & Xuyen, Nguyen Thi My & Phan, Thi Thu Hien, 2022. "Enhancing green economic recovery through green bonds financing and energy efficiency investments," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 488-501.
    46. Alqahtani, Abdullah & Klein, Tony, 2021. "Oil price changes, uncertainty, and geopolitical risks: On the resilience of GCC countries to global tensions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    47. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Sensoy, Ahmet & Eraslan, Veysel & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "Sensitivity of US equity returns to economic policy uncertainty and investor sentiments," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    48. Golab, Anna & Bannigidadmath, Deepa & Pham, Thach Ngoc & Thuraisamy, Kannan, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and industry return predictability – Evidence from the UK," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 433-447.
    49. Tanveer Bagh & Abdul Waheed & Muhammad Asif Khan & Mirza Muhammad Naseer, 2023. "Effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on China’s Stock Price Index: A Comprehensive Analysis Using Wavelet Coherence Approach," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, December.
    50. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong & Kyei, Clement, 2019. "The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 150-163.
    51. Christina Christou & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2016. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Returns in Pacific-Rim Countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian Panel VAR Model," Working Papers 201661, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    52. Michele Costola & Michael Donadelli & Luca Gerotto & Ivan Gufler, 2022. "Global risks, the macroeconomy, and asset prices," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(5), pages 2357-2388, November.
    53. Gupta, Rangan & Huber, Florian & Piribauer, Philipp, 2020. "Predicting international equity returns: Evidence from time-varying parameter vector autoregressive models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    54. Nonejad, Nima, 2023. "Modeling the out-of-sample predictive relationship between equity premium, returns on the price of crude oil and economic policy uncertainty using multivariate time-varying dimension models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    55. Dang, Dandan & Fang, Hongsheng & He, Minyuan, 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty, tax quotas and corporate tax burden: Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-1.
    56. Han, Liyan & Liu, Yang & Yin, Libo, 2019. "Uncertainty and currency performance: A quantile-on-quantile approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 702-729.
    57. Junxiao Gui & Nathee Naktnasukanjn & Xi Yu & Siva Shankar Ramasamy, 2024. "Research on the Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Investor Sentiment on the Growth Enterprise Market Return in China—An Empirical Study Based on TVP-SV-VAR Model," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-20, October.
    58. Salokhiddin Avazkhodjaev & Nont Dhiensiri & Farkhod Mukhamedov, 2024. "Does Green Energy Investment Effects on Islamic and Conventional Stock Markets? New Evidence from Advanced Economies," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(1), pages 592-602, January.
    59. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Tran, Vuong Thao, 2018. "Can economic policy uncertainty predict stock returns? Global evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 134-150.
    60. Ruzhao Gao & Yancai Zhao & Bing Zhang, 2021. "The spillover effects of economic policy uncertainty on the oil, gold, and stock markets: Evidence from China," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2134-2141, April.
    61. Tahir Suleman & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2016. "Does Country Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201675, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    62. Nicholas Apergis & Tasawar Hayat & Tareq Saeed, 2021. "Cyclicality of commodity markets with respect to the U.S. economic policy uncertainty based on granger causality in quantiles," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 50(1), February.
    63. Pavitra Dhamija, 2020. "Economic Development and South Africa: 25 Years Analysis (1994 to 2019)," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(3), pages 298-322, September.
    64. Sun, Xiaolei & Yao, Xiaoyang & Wang, Jun, 2017. "Dynamic interaction between economic policy uncertainty and financial stress: A multi-scale correlation framework," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 214-221.
    65. Zeng, Qing & Lu, Xinjie & Dong, Dayong & Li, Pan, 2022. "Category-specific EPU indices, macroeconomic variables and stock market return predictability," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    66. Helseth, Marius Aleksander Emblem & Krakstad, Svein Olav & Molnár, Peter & Norlin, Karl-Martin, 2020. "Can policy and financial risk predict stock markets?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 701-719.
    67. Tsai, I-Chun, 2018. "Flash crash and policy uncertainty," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 248-260.
    68. Huang, Wei-Ling & Lin, Wen-Yuan & Ning, Shao-Lin, 2020. "The effect of economic policy uncertainty on China’s housing market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    69. Batabyal, Sourav & Killins, Robert, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns: Evidence from Canada," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    70. Yu, Honghai & Fang, Libing & Du, Donglei & Yan, Panpan, 2017. "How EPU drives long-term industry beta," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 249-258.
    71. Nicholas Apergis & Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Does Geopolitical Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility of Leading Defense Companies? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201671, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    72. Sinha, Avik & Mishra, Shekhar & Sharif, Arshian & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2021. "Does Green Financing help to improve the Environmental & Social Responsibility? Designing SDG framework through Advanced Quantile modelling," MPRA Paper 108150, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2021.
    73. Mehmet Balcilar & Deven Bathia & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Credit Ratings and Predictability of Stock Returns and Volatility of the BRICS and the PIIGS: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201719, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    74. Salisu, Afees A. & Shaik, Muneer, 2022. "Islamic Stock indices and COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 282-293.
    75. Salokhiddin Avazkhodjaev & Mavluda Askarova & Nargiza Achilova & Madina Jalolova & Sitora Amirdjanova & Charoskhon Otajonova, 2024. "Assessing the Role of Sharia-Compliant Investments in Promoting Clean Energy and Sustainable Economic Development: A Study of Asia’s Financial and Renewable Energy Sectors," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(6), pages 513-522, November.
    76. Kais Tissaoui & Taha Zaghdoudi & Abdelaziz Hakimi & Ousama Ben-Salha & Lamia Ben Amor, 2022. "Does Uncertainty Forecast Crude Oil Volatility before and during the COVID-19 Outbreak? Fresh Evidence Using Machine Learning Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-20, August.
    77. Hong, Yun & Zhang, Rushan & Zhang, Feipeng, 2024. "Time-varying causality impact of economic policy uncertainty on stock market returns: Global evidence from developed and emerging countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).

  468. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2015. "The South African Economic Response to Monetary Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201551, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Chevaughn van der Westhuizen & Renee van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye, 2022. "Is Inflation Uncertainty a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy? The Inflation-Inflation Uncertainty Nexus and Inflation Targeting in South Africa," Working Papers 202254, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Goodness C. Aye, 2019. "Fiscal Policy Uncertainty and Economic Activity in South Africa: An Asymmetric Analysis," Working Papers 201922, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Christophe Andre & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Housing Returns and Volatility: Evidence from US State-Level Data," Working Papers 202131, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Aye, Goodness C., 2021. "Short and Long Run Asymmetric Effects of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Uncertainty on Economic Activity in the U.S," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 74(1), pages 83-96.
    5. Li, bing & Lu, pu & Wang, yong, 2024. "Decomposing uncertainty: How foreign policy risks shape Chinese stock market dynamics," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    6. Goodness C. Aye, 2019. "Short and Long Run Asymmetric Effects of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Uncertainty on Economic Activity in the U.S," Working Papers 201923, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  469. Vassilios Babalos & Stavros Stavroyiannis & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Do Commodities Herd? Evidence from a Time-Varying Stochastic Volatility Model," Working Papers 201554, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Carter, Colin A. & Steinbach, Sandro, 2024. "Did grain futures prices overreact to the Russia–Ukraine war due to herding?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    2. Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Xin Sheng, 2018. "Time-Varying Impact of Geopolitical Risks on Oil Prices," Working Papers 201841, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Luo, Jiawen & Ji, Qiang, 2018. "High-frequency volatility connectedness between the US crude oil market and China's agricultural commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 424-438.
    4. Juncal Cunado & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Persistence in Trends and Cycles of Gold and Silver Prices: Evidence from Historical Data," Working Papers 201816, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Walid Bahloul & Mehmet Balcilar & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Role of Economic and Financial Uncertainties in Predicting Commodity Futures Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201725, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Kang, Sang Hoon & Islam, Faridul & Kumar Tiwari, Aviral, 2019. "The dynamic relationships among CO2 emissions, renewable and non-renewable energy sources, and economic growth in India: Evidence from time-varying Bayesian VAR model," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 90-101.
    7. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Tsangyao Chang & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "The Relationship between Commodity Markets and Commodity Mutual Funds: A Wavelet-Based Analysis," Working Papers 201619, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Stavroyiannis, Stavros & Babalos, Vassilios, 2019. "Herding behavior in cryptocurrencies revisited: Novel evidence from a TVP model," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 57-63.
    9. Wen, Shaobo & An, Haizhong & Huang, Shupei & Liu, Xueyong, 2019. "Dynamic impact of China's stock market on the international commodity market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 564-571.
    10. Mohamad, Azhar, 2022. "Safe flight to which haven when Russia invades Ukraine? A 48-hour story," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    11. Kumar, Ashish & Badhani, K.N. & Bouri, Elie & Saeed, Tareq, 2021. "Herding behavior in the commodity markets of the Asia-Pacific region," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).

  470. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Olusanya E. Olubusoye & OlaOluwa S. Yaya, 2015. "Time Series Analysis of Persistence in Crude Oil Price Volatility across Bull and Bear Regimes," Working Papers 201580, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Yaya, OlaOluwa & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula, 2018. "Modelling crude oil-petroleum products’ price nexus using dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models," MPRA Paper 91227, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Heidari , Hassan & Refah-Kahriz, Arash & Hashemi Berenjabadi, Nayyer, 2018. "Dynamic Relationship between Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Return Volatility in Tehran Stock Exchange: Multivariate MS ARMA GARCH Approach," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 5(2), pages 223-250, August.
    3. Huang, Shupei & An, Haizhong & Wen, Shaobo & An, Feng, 2017. "Revisiting driving factors of oil price shocks across time scales," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 617-629.
    4. Adewuyi, Adeolu O. & Wahab, Bashir A. & Adeboye, Olusegun S., 2020. "Stationarity of prices of precious and industrial metals using recent unit root methods: Implications for markets’ efficiency," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    5. Furuoka, Fumitaka & Yaya, OlaOluwa Simon & Ling, Pui Kiew & Al-Faryan, Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh & Islam, M. Nazmul, 2023. "Transmission of risks between energy and agricultural commodities: Frequency time-varying VAR, asymmetry and portfolio management," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    6. Nima Nonejad, 2019. "Modeling Persistence and Parameter Instability in Historical Crude Oil Price Data Using a Gibbs Sampling Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(4), pages 1687-1710, April.
    7. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2020. "Volatility forecasting with bivariate multifractal models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 155-167, March.
    8. Yaya, OlaOluwa S. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Adesina, Oluwaseun A. & Alobaloke, Kafayat A. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Time-variation between metal commodities and oil, and the impact of oil shocks: GARCH-MIDAS and DCC-MIDAS analyses," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    9. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Nima Nonejad, 2021. "Should crude oil price volatility receive more attention than the price of crude oil? An empirical investigation via a large‐scale out‐of‐sample forecast evaluation of US macroeconomic data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 769-791, August.
    11. Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter, 2018. "Exploiting dependence: Day-ahead volatility forecasting for crude oil and natural gas exchange-traded funds," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 462-473.
    12. Sabri Boubaker & Zhenya Liu & Yaosong Zhan, 2022. "Risk management for crude oil futures: an optimal stopping-timing approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 9-27, June.
    13. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "The price of crude oil and (conditional) out-of-sample predictability of world industrial production," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
    14. Mahadeo, Scott M.R. & Heinlein, Reinhold & Legrenzi, Gabriella D., 2019. "Energy contagion analysis: A new perspective with application to a small petroleum economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 890-903.
    15. Nikkinen, Jussi & Rothovius, Timo, 2019. "The EIA WPSR release, OVX and crude oil internet interest," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 131-141.
    16. James Ming Chen & Mobeen Ur Rehman, 2021. "A Pattern New in Every Moment: The Temporal Clustering of Markets for Crude Oil, Refined Fuels, and Other Commodities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-58, September.
    17. Gong, Xu & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "Time-varying effects of oil supply and demand shocks on China's macro-economy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 424-437.
    18. Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "Equity premium prediction using the price of crude oil: Uncovering the nonlinear predictive impact," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    19. Sy, Charlle L. & Aviso, Kathleen B. & Ubando, Aristotle T. & Tan, Raymond R., 2016. "Target-oriented robust optimization of polygeneration systems under uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 116(P2), pages 1334-1347.
    20. Ordóñez, Javier & Monfort, Mercedes & Cuestas, Juan Carlos, 2019. "Oil prices, unemployment and the financial crisis in oil-importing countries: The case of Spain," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 625-634.
    21. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Do Bivariate Multifractal Models Improve Volatility Forecasting in Financial Time Series? An Application to Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets," Working Papers 201728, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Alaba, Oluwayemisi O. & Ojo, Oluwadare O. & Yaya, OlaOluwa S & Abu, Nurudeen & Ajobo, Saheed A., 2021. "Comparative Analysis of Market Efficiency and Volatility of Energy Prices Before and During COVID-19 Pandemic Periods," MPRA Paper 109825, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    23. Meng, Fanyi & Liu, Li, 2019. "Analyzing the economic sources of oil price volatility: An out-of-sample perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 476-486.
    24. Nonejad, Nima, 2018. "Déjà vol oil? Predicting S&P 500 equity premium using crude oil price volatility: Evidence from old and recent time-series data," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 260-270.
    25. Liu, Yuanyuan & Niu, Zibo & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & Yin, Libo & Zhang, Hongwei, 2022. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures: The role of oil investor attention and its regime switching characteristics under a high-frequency framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PA).
    26. Nima Nonejad, 2020. "Does the price of crude oil help predict the conditional distribution of aggregate equity return?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 313-349, January.
    27. Lovcha, Yuliya & Perez-Laborda, Alejandro, 2022. "Long-memory and volatility spillovers across petroleum futures," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    28. Jonathan Doh & Pawan Budhwar & Geoffrey Wood, 2021. "Long-term energy transitions and international business: Concepts, theory, methods, and a research agenda," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 52(5), pages 951-970, July.
    29. Liu, Siyao & Fang, Wei & Gao, Xiangyun & Wang, Ze & An, Feng & Wen, Shaobo, 2020. "Self-similar behaviors in the crude oil market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    30. Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "Understanding the conditional out-of-sample predictive impact of the price of crude oil on aggregate equity return volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    31. Lovcha, Yuliya & Pérez Laborda, Àlex, 2018. "Volatility Spillovers in a Long-Memory VAR: an Application to Energy Futures Returns," Working Papers 2072/307362, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.

  471. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Persistence, Mean-Reversion and Non-Linearities in Infant Mortality Rates," Working Papers 201574, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Juan Infante & Marta del Rio & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2023. "Persistence in UK Historical Data on Life Expectancy," CESifo Working Paper Series 10287, CESifo.
    2. Sakiru Adebola Solarin & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Maria Jesus Gonzalez-Blanch, 2021. "Fractional persistence in income poverty in Africa," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 155(2), pages 563-581, June.
    3. Yaya O. S. & Akintande O. J. & Ogbonna A. E. & Adegoke H. M., 2019. "Cpi Inflation In Africa: Fractional Persistence, Mean Reversion And Nonlinearity," Statistics in Transition New Series, Statistics Poland, vol. 20(3), pages 119-132, September.
    4. Ming-Chang Tsai & Tsui-o Tai, 2018. "How are Mothers Faring across the Globe? Constructing a new Mothers’ Well-Being Index and Assessing Its Validity," Applied Research in Quality of Life, Springer;International Society for Quality-of-Life Studies, vol. 13(3), pages 647-670, September.

  472. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Nico Frederick Katzke, 2015. "Identifying Periods of US Housing Market Explosivity," Working Papers 15-03, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Periodically Collapsing Bubbles in the South African Stock Market," Working Papers 201624, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Laurie Binge & Willem H Boshoff, 2016. "Modelling South African Art Prices: An analysis of post-2000 price behaviour," Working Papers 18/2016, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.

  473. Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2015. "Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks in OECD Countries: How Important is the Extent of Policy Uncertainty?," Working Papers 201587, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Balcilar, Mehmet & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & van Eyden, Reneé, 2017. "The impact of US policy uncertainty on the monetary effectiveness in the Euro area," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 1052-1064.
    2. Albertazzi, Ugo & Barbiero, Francesca & Marqués-Ibáñez, David & Popov, Alexander & Rodriguez d’Acri, Costanza & Vlassopoulos, Thomas, 2020. "Monetary policy and bank stability: the analytical toolbox reviewed," Working Paper Series 2377, European Central Bank.
    3. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Huseyin Ozdemir & Gurcan Aygun & Mark E. Wohar, 2022. "Effectiveness of monetary policy under the high and low economic uncertainty states: evidence from the major Asian economies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 1741-1769, October.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Reneé van Eyden, 2016. "Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: The Role of US Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201620, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Yang Hu & Yanran Hong & Kai Feng & Jikai Wang, 2023. "Evaluating the Importance of Monetary Policy Uncertainty: The Long- and Short-Term Effects and Responses," Evaluation Review, , vol. 47(2), pages 264-286, April.
    6. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Risse, Marian & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs: The role of economic uncertainty," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 317-337.
    7. Signe Rosenberg, 2018. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy on House Prices in the Scandinavian Countries," TUT Economic Research Series 44, Department of Finance and Economics, Tallinn University of Technology.
    8. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Working Papers 202126, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    11. Chevaughn van der Westhuizen & Renee van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye, 2023. "Monetary Policy Effectiveness in the Face of Uncertainty: The Real Macroeconomic Impact of a Monetary Policy Shock in South Africa during High and Low Uncertainty States," Working Papers 202331, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Stephanos Papadamou & Νikolaos A. Kyriazis & Panayiotis G. Tzeremes, 2020. "US non-linear causal effects on global equity indices in Normal times versus unconventional eras," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 381-407, May.
    13. Linyan Dai & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Impact of Uncertainty on State-Level Housing Markets of the United States: The Role of Social Cohesion," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-9, March.

  474. Ghassen El Montasser & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller, 2015. "The Time-Series Linkages between US Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices," Working Papers 201519, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Andre & Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Fiscal Policy and Stock Markets at the Effective Lower Bound," Working Papers 202309, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Stephen M. Miller & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "U.S. Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices: The Role of Partisan Conflict," Working Papers 201742, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Constantinos Katrakilidis & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Role of Macroeconomic Shocks on House Prices in the US and UK: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201765, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Changing Dynamics of the U.S. REITs Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-12, May.
    5. Gabriela-Victoria Anghelache & Stela Jakova & Dumitru-Cristian Oanea, 2016. "Fiscal Policy and Capital Market Performance: Evidence from EU Countries from Central and Eastern Europe," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 6(2), pages 34-43, April.
    6. BUI, Duy-Tung & LLORCA, Matthieu & BUI, Thi Mai Hoai, 2018. "Dynamics between stock market movements and fiscal policy: Empirical evidence from emerging Asian economies," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 65-74.
    7. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Miller, Stephen, 2020. "125 ​Years of time-varying effects of fiscal policy on financial markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 303-320.

  475. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Marian Risse, 2015. "On International Uncertainty Links: BART-Based Empirical Evidence for Canada," Working Papers 201594, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Jaewon Jung, 2023. "Multinational Firms and Economic Integration: The Role of Global Uncertainty," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-18, February.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark Wohar, 2015. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201599, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Spillovers across macroeconomic, financial and real estate uncertainties: A time-varying approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 167-173.
    4. Siphumlile Mangisa & Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Analyzing The Impact Of Brexit On Global Uncertainty Using Functional Linear Regression With Point Of Impact: The Role Of Currency And Equity Markets," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 67(04), pages 1377-1388, June.
    5. Nikolaos Antonakakis & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2018. "Dynamic Connectedness of Uncertainty across Developed Economies: A Time-Varying Approach," Working Papers 201802, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Trung, Nguyen Ba, 2019. "The spillover effects of US economic policy uncertainty on the global economy: A global VAR approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 90-110.
    7. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Hassapis, Christis, 2017. "Does economic policy uncertainty forecast real housing returns in a panel of OECD countries? A Bayesian approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 50-60.
    8. Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi-Keung (Marco) & Sheng, Xin, 2020. "Graph theory-based network analysis of regional uncertainties of the US Economy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    11. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Christina Christou & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung Marco Lau, 2020. "Are Uncertainties across the World Convergent?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 855-862.
    13. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "On the Transmission Mechanism of Country-Specific and International Economic Uncertainty Spillovers: Evidence from a TVP-VAR Connectedness Decomposition Approach," Working Papers 201829, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Christian Pierdzioch & Marian Risse & Rangan Gupta & Wendy Nyakabawo, 2016. "On REIT Returns and (Un-) Expected Inflation: Empirical Evidence Based on Bayesian Additive Regression Trees," Working Papers 201677, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Spillover among financial, industrial and consumer uncertainties. The case of EU member states," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    16. Gupta, Rangan & Sun, Xiaojin, 2020. "Forecasting economic policy uncertainty of BRIC countries using Bayesian VARs," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    17. Sun, Xiaolei & Yao, Xiaoyang & Wang, Jun, 2017. "Dynamic interaction between economic policy uncertainty and financial stress: A multi-scale correlation framework," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 214-221.
    18. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Jacobus A Nel & Xin Sheng, 2020. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty Spillovers in Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 202005, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Rangan Gupta & Chi-Keung (Marco) Lau & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty Connections across the US States: Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical Structural VAR (BGSVAR) Model," Working Papers 201910, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    20. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika, 2018. "Volatility spillovers among uncertainty measures. The case of EU member states," MPRA Paper 90319, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Genc, Ismail H., 2022. "Are Indian Subcontinent remittance markets connected to each other?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    22. Massaporn Cheuathonghua & Chaiyuth Padungsaksawasdi & Pattana Boonchoo & Jittima Tongurai, 2019. "Extreme spillovers of VIX fear index to international equity markets," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 33(1), pages 1-38, March.

  476. Giovanni Bonaccolto & Massimiliano Caporin & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "The Dynamic Impact of Uncertainty in Causing and Forecasting the Distribution of Oil Returns and Risk," Working Papers 201564, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium using news-based economic policy uncertainty: Not all uncertainty changes are equally important," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    2. Wen, Jun & Zhao, Xin-Xin & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2021. "The impact of extreme events on energy price risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    3. Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "The role of time‐varying rare disaster risks in predicting bond returns and volatility," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(3), pages 327-340, July.
    4. Rıza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Rare Disaster Risks, Oil Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201762, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Shi, Chunpei & Wei, Yu & Li, Xiafei & Liu, Yuntong, 2023. "Combination forecasts of China's oil futures returns based on multiple uncertainties and their connectedness with oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    6. Massimiliano Caporin & Petre Caraiani & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Predicting the Conditional Distribution of US Stock Market Systemic Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202407, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Bos, Martijn & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2018. "Oil returns and volatility: The role of mergers and acquisitions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 62-69.
    8. Mei, Dexiang & Zeng, Qing & Cao, Xiang & Diao, Xiaohua, 2019. "Uncertainty and oil volatility: New evidence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 155-163.
    9. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2021. "Dynamic impact of the U.S. monetary policy on oil market returns and volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 159-169.
    10. Chang, Tsangyao & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Predicting stock market movements with a time-varying consumption-aggregate wealth ratio," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 458-467.
    11. Mehmet Balcilar & Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "The Effect of Investor Sentiment on Gold Market Dynamics," Working Papers 201638, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua, 2024. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bubbles in global stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    14. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "The predictive power of oil price shocks on realized volatility of oil: A note," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    15. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2017. "On exchange-rate movements and gold-price fluctuations: evidence for gold-producing countries from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 691-700, October.
    16. Walid Bahloul & Mehmet Balcilar & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Role of Economic and Financial Uncertainties in Predicting Commodity Futures Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201725, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Mehmet Balcilar & Esin Cakan & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Does U.S. News Impact Asian Emerging Markets? Evidence from Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201631, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Eric Olson, 2020. "Effect of uncertainty on U.S. stock returns and volatility: evidence from over eighty years of high-frequency data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(16), pages 1305-1311, September.
    20. Cao, Yan & Cheng, Sheng & Li, Xinran, 2023. "How economic policy uncertainty affects asymmetric spillovers in food and oil prices: Evidence from wavelet analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    21. Bonaccolto, Giovanni & Caporin, Massimiliano & Panzica, Roberto, 2019. "Estimation and model-based combination of causality networks among large US banks and insurance companies," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 1-21.
    22. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wang, Shixuan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    23. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    24. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting the return on the spot price of crude oil out-of-sample by conditioning on news-based uncertainty measures: Some new empirical results," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    25. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil shocks and directional predictability of macroeconomic uncertainties of developed economies: Evidence from high‐frequency data†," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 69(2), pages 169-185, May.
    26. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2018. "Predicting Stock Returns And Volatility With Investor Sentiment Indices: A Reconsideration Using A Nonparametric Causality†In†Quantiles Test," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 70(1), pages 74-87, January.
    27. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Yan, Xing-Xing, 2020. "The impact of US economic policy uncertainty on WTI crude oil returns in different time and frequency domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 750-768.
    28. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong & Kyei, Clement, 2019. "The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 150-163.
    29. Hasan, Md. Bokhtiar & Kabir Hassan, M. & Gider, Zeynullah & Tahsin Rafia, Humaira & Rashid, Mamunur, 2023. "Searching hedging instruments against diverse global risks and uncertainties," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    30. Riadh El Abed & Abderrazek Ben Hamouda, 2024. "Time Frequency and Co-movements between Global Economic Policy Uncertainty, Precious Metals and Agricultural Prices: A Wavelet Coherence Analysis and Bootstrap Rolling Window Granger Causality," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(2), pages 546-561, March.
    31. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do cay and cayMS predict stock and housing returns? Evidence from a nonparametric causality test," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 269-279.
    32. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    33. Rangan Gupta & Damien Moodley, 2023. "Housing Search Activity and Quantiles-Based Predictability of Housing Price Movements in the United States," Working Papers 202335, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    34. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Wendy Nyakabawo, 2018. "Predicting Aggregate and State-Level US House Price Volatility: The Role of Sentiment," Working Papers 201866, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    35. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    36. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Infectious Diseases, Market Uncertainty and Oil Market Volatility," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-8, August.
    37. Yang, Kun & Wei, Yu & Li, Shouwei & Liu, Liang & Wang, Lei, 2021. "Global financial uncertainties and China’s crude oil futures market: Evidence from interday and intraday price dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    38. Yin, Libo & Wang, Yang, 2019. "Forecasting the oil prices: What is the role of skewness risk?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
    39. Sheng Cheng & Wei Liu & Qisheng Jiang & Yan Cao, 2023. "Multi–Scale Risk Connectedness Between Economic Policy Uncertainty of China and Global Oil Prices in Time–Frequency Domains," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(4), pages 1593-1616, April.

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    2. Cheema, Muhammad A. & Scrimgeour, Frank, 2019. "Oil prices and stock market anomalies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 578-587.
    3. Afees Salisu & Idris Adediran, 2021. "Uncertainty Due to Infectious Diseases and Energy Market Volatility," Energy RESEARCH LETTERS, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 1(1), pages 1-4.
    4. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Ning, Shao-Lin, 2017. "Dynamic relationship of oil price shocks and country risks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 571-581.
    5. Rafiq, Shudhasattwa & Sgro, Pasquale & Apergis, Nicholas, 2016. "Asymmetric oil shocks and external balances of major oil exporting and importing countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 42-50.
    6. Day, Min-Yuh & Ni, Yensen & Huang, Paoyu, 2019. "Trading as sharp movements in oil prices and technical trading signals emitted with big data concerns," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 349-372.
    7. Zhang, Guofu & Du, Ziping, 2017. "Co-movements among the stock prices of new energy, high-technology and fossil fuel companies in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 249-256.
    8. Marei Elbadri & Eralp Bektaş, 2022. "Dynamic relationship among the bank stability, oil, and gold prices: Evidence from the Islamic banks operating in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2153-2168, April.
    9. Mokni, Khaled & Youssef, Manel, 2019. "Measuring persistence of dependence between crude oil prices and GCC stock markets: A copula approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 14-33.
    10. Ma, Feng & Wang, Ruoxin & Lu, Xinjie & Wahab, M.I.M., 2021. "A comprehensive look at stock return predictability by oil prices using economic constraint approaches," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    11. Salisu, Afees A. & Raheem, Ibrahim D. & Ndako, Umar B., 2019. "A sectoral analysis of asymmetric nexus between oil price and stock returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 241-259.
    12. Frédérique Bec & Annabelle de Gaye, 2016. "How do oil price forecast errors impact inflation forecast errors? An empirical analysis from US, French and UK inflation forecasts," Post-Print hal-02980184, HAL.
    13. Kumar, Dilip, 2015. "Sudden changes in extreme value volatility estimator: Modeling and forecasting with economic significance analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 354-371.
    14. Devpura, Neluka & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2019. "Structural instability and predictability," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    15. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Salisu, Afees A. & Ademuyiwa, Idris & Isah, Kazeem O., 2018. "Revisiting the forecasting accuracy of Phillips curve: The role of oil price," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 334-356.
    17. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Liu, Ruipeng & Westerlund, Joakim, 2016. "A GARCH model for testing market efficiency," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 121-138.
    18. Dinh Hoang Bach Phan & Thi Thao Nguyen Nguyen & Dat Thanh Nguyen, 2019. "A Study Of Indonesia’S Stock Market: How Predictable Is It?," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 21(12th BMEB), pages 465-476, January.
    19. Chowdhury, Kushal Banik & Garg, Bhavesh, 2023. "Fresh evidence on the oil-stock interactions under heterogeneous market conditions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    20. Jean-Pierre Allegret & Valérie Mignon & Audrey Allegret, 2014. "Oil price shocks and global imbalances: Lessons from a model with trade and financial interdependencies," Working Papers hal-04141352, HAL.
    21. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Yao, Ting, 2016. "Interpreting the movement of oil prices: Driven by fundamentals or bubbles?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 226-240.
    22. Salisu, Afees A. & Adekunle, Wasiu & Alimi, Wasiu A. & Emmanuel, Zachariah, 2019. "Predicting exchange rate with commodity prices: New evidence from Westerlund and Narayan (2015) estimator with structural breaks and asymmetries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 33-56.
    23. Afees A. Salisu & Umar B. Ndako, 2017. "A new look at the stock price-exchange rate nexus," Working Papers 031, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    24. Rida Waheed & Chen Wei & Suleman Sarwar & Yulan Lv, 2018. "Impact of oil prices on firm stock return: industry-wise analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 765-780, September.
    25. Afees A. Salisu & Kazeem Isah, 2017. "Predicting US CPI-Inflation in the presence of asymmetries, persistence, endogeneity, and conditional heteroscedasticity," Working Papers 026, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    26. Afees A. Salisu & Juncal Cuñado & Kazeem Isah & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Stock markets and exchange rate behavior of the BRICS," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(8), pages 1581-1595, December.
    27. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium by conditioning on macroeconomic variables: A prediction selection strategy using the price of crude oil," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    28. Boying Li & Chun-Ping Chang & Yin Chu & Bo Sui, 2020. "Oil prices and geopolitical risks: What implications are offered via multi-domain investigations?," Energy & Environment, , vol. 31(3), pages 492-516, May.
    29. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Balli, Faruk & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & de Bruin, Anne, 2020. "Energy commodity uncertainties and the systematic risk of US industries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    30. Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Arora, Vipin, 2018. "Oil Prices and Stock Markets: A Review of the Theory and Empirical Evidence," MPRA Paper 96270, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    31. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Tang, Huayun & Li, Ding, 2022. "The roles of oil shocks and geopolitical uncertainties on China’s green bond returns," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 494-505.
    32. Imad Moosa & Kelly Burns, 2016. "The random walk as a forecasting benchmark: drift or no drift?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(43), pages 4131-4142, September.
    33. Bos, Martijn & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2018. "Oil returns and volatility: The role of mergers and acquisitions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 62-69.
    34. Kamal, Javed Bin & Wohar, Mark, 2023. "Heterogenous responses of stock markets to covid related news and sentiments: Evidence from the 1st year of pandemic," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 68-85.
    35. Salisu, Afees A. & Raheem, Ibrahim D. & Ndako, Umar B., 2020. "The inflation hedging properties of gold, stocks and real estate: A comparative analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    36. AhAtil, Ahmed & Bouheni, Faten Ben & Lahiani, Amine & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2019. "Factors influencing CO2 Emission in China: A Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lags Investigation," MPRA Paper 91190, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 02 Jan 2019.
    37. Ji, Qiang & Liu, Bing-Yue & Fan, Ying, 2019. "Risk dependence of CoVaR and structural change between oil prices and exchange rates: A time-varying copula model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 80-92.
    38. Zhang, Weiping & Zhuang, Xintian, 2019. "The stability of Chinese stock network and its mechanism," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 515(C), pages 748-761.
    39. Sarwar, Suleman & Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Waheed, Rida & Dastgerdi, Hamidreza Ghorbani, 2019. "Volatility spillovers and hedging: Evidence from Asian oil-importing countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 479-488.
    40. Batten, Jonathan A. & Kinateder, Harald & Szilagyi, Peter G. & Wagner, Niklas F., 2021. "Hedging stocks with oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    41. Nima Nonejad, 2019. "Modeling Persistence and Parameter Instability in Historical Crude Oil Price Data Using a Gibbs Sampling Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(4), pages 1687-1710, April.
    42. Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark, 2017. "Forecasting oil and stock returns with a Qual VAR using over 150years off data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 181-186.
    43. Nima Nonejad, 2022. "New Findings Regarding the Out-of-Sample Predictive Impact of the Price of Crude Oil on the United States Industrial Production," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(1), pages 1-35, March.
    44. Samet Evci & İrem Kefe & İlker Kefe, 2024. "The Impact of Energy Prices on the Performance of Banks in Türkiye," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(6), pages 492-500, November.
    45. Kayalar, Derya Ezgi & Küçüközmen, C. Coşkun & Selcuk-Kestel, A. Sevtap, 2017. "The impact of crude oil prices on financial market indicators: copula approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 162-173.
    46. Ma, Feng & Liu, Jing & Wahab, M.I.M. & Zhang, Yaojie, 2018. "Forecasting the aggregate oil price volatility in a data-rich environment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 320-332.
    47. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    48. Kazeem O. Isah & Abdulkader C. Mahomedy & Elias A. Udeaja & Ojo J. Adelakun & Yusuf Yakubu & Danmecca Musa, 2022. "Revisiting the accuracy of inflation forecasts in Nigeria: The oil price–exchange rate–asymmetry perspectives," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 90(3), pages 329-348, September.
    49. S. Arshad & S.A.R. Rizvi & O. Haroon & Fahad Mehmood & Q. Gong, 2021. "Are Oil Prices Efficient?," Post-Print hal-04317811, HAL.
    50. Sharma, Susan Sunila & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Iyke, Bernard, 2019. "Do oil prices predict Indonesian macroeconomy?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 2-12.
    51. Hassan, Aminu & Ibrahim, Masud Usman & Bala, Ahmed Jinjiri, 2024. "Vulnerability of a developing stock market to openness: One-way return and volatility transmissions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    52. Afees A. Salisu & Wasiu Adekunle & Zachariah Emmanuel & Wasiu A. Alimi, 2018. "Predicting exchange rate with commodity prices: The role of structural breaks and asymmetries," Working Papers 055, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    53. Isah, Kazeem O. & Raheem, Ibrahim D., 2019. "The hidden predictive power of cryptocurrencies and QE: Evidence from US stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
    54. Noguera-Santaella, José, 2016. "Geopolitics and the oil price," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 301-309.
    55. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2023. "Tail risks and forecastability of stock returns of advanced economies: evidence from centuries of data," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 466-481, March.
    56. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Gong, Qiang, 2021. "Terrorist attacks and oil prices: Hypothesis and empirical evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    57. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E., 2019. "Another look at the energy-growth nexus: New insights from MIDAS regressions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 69-84.
    58. Li, Dongxin & Zhang, Feipeng & Yuan, Di & Cai, Yuan, 2024. "Does COVID-19 impact the dependence between oil and stock markets? Evidence from RCEP countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 909-939.
    59. Tanin, Tauhidul Islam & Sarker, Ashutosh & Brooks, Robert & Do, Hung Xuan, 2022. "Does oil impact gold during COVID-19 and three other recent crises?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    60. Tule, Moses K. & Salisu, Afees A. & Chiemeke, Charles C., 2019. "Can agricultural commodity prices predict Nigeria's inflation?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(C).
    61. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2019. "Oil price shocks and Chinese banking performance: Do country risks matter?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 46-53.
    62. Salisu, Afees & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula & Oloko, Tirimisiyu, 2020. "Pandemics and cryptocurrencies," MPRA Paper 109597, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    63. Nima Nonejad, 2021. "Should crude oil price volatility receive more attention than the price of crude oil? An empirical investigation via a large‐scale out‐of‐sample forecast evaluation of US macroeconomic data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 769-791, August.
    64. Moses Tule & Afees A. Salisu & Charles Chimeke, 2018. "You are what you eat: The role of oil price in Nigeria inflation forecast," Working Papers 040, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    65. Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter, 2018. "Exploiting dependence: Day-ahead volatility forecasting for crude oil and natural gas exchange-traded funds," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 462-473.
    66. Moses Tule & Afees Salisu & Charles Chiemeke, 2020. "Improving Nigeria’s Inflation Forecast with Oil Price: The Role of Estimators," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(1), pages 191-229, March.
    67. Emmanuel Uche & Lionel Effiom, 2021. "Oil price, exchange rate and stock price in Nigeria: Fresh insights based on quantile ARDL model," ECONOMICS AND POLICY OF ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2021(1), pages 59-79.
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    83. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis & Tahir Suleman, 2018. "The role of economic uncertainty in forecasting exchange rate returns and realized volatility: Evidence from quantile predictive regressions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(7), pages 705-719, November.
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    86. Stanley Uche Akachukwu, 2022. "Oil price dynamics and firms' stock returns in the Nigeria stock market," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 34(4), pages 472-486, December.
    87. Afees A. Salisu & Abdulsalam Abidemi Sikiru & Philip C. Omoke, 2023. "COVID-19 pandemic and financial innovations," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(4), pages 3885-3904, August.
    88. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach, 2016. "Asset price bubbles and economic welfare," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 139-148.
    89. Theophilus Teye Osah & Andre Varella Mollick, 2023. "Stock and oil price returns in international markets: Identifying short and long-run effects," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(1), pages 116-141, March.
    90. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2015. "Stock return forecasting: Some new evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 38-51.
    91. Xu, Xin & Huang, Shupei & An, Haizhong, 2022. "The dynamic moderating function of the exchange rate market on the oil-stock nexus," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    92. Chien, Mei-Se & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Hu, Te-Chung & Hu, Hui-Ting, 2015. "Dynamic Asian stock market convergence: Evidence from dynamic cointegration analysis among China and ASEAN-5," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 84-98.
    93. Xiao, Jihong & Hu, Chunyan & Ouyang, Guangda & Wen, Fenghua, 2019. "Impacts of oil implied volatility shocks on stock implied volatility in China: Empirical evidence from a quantile regression approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 297-309.
    94. Salisu, Afees A. & Ndako, Umar B. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Oil price and the Bitcoin market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    95. Elie Bouri & Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "The predictive power of Bitcoin prices for the realized volatility of US stock sector returns," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    96. Saif-Alyousfi, Abdulazeez Y.H. & Saha, Asish & Md-Rus, Rohani & Taufil-Mohd, Kamarun Nisham, 2021. "Do oil and gas price shocks have an impact on bank performance?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    97. Akdoğan, Kurmaş, 2020. "Fundamentals versus speculation in oil market: The role of asymmetries in price adjustment?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    98. Muhammad Kamran Khan & Jian-Zhou Teng & Muhammad Imran Khan, 2019. "Asymmetric impact of oil prices on stock returns in Shanghai stock exchange: Evidence from asymmetric ARDL model," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(6), pages 1-14, June.
    99. Afees A. Salisu & Lateef O. Akanni & Rasheed O. Azeez, 2018. "Could this be a fiction? Bitcoin forecasts most tradable currency pairs better than ARFIMA," Working Papers 051, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    100. Tian, Meiyu & Li, Wanyang & Wen, Fenghua, 2021. "The dynamic impact of oil price shocks on the stock market and the USD/RMB exchange rate: Evidence from implied volatility indices," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    101. Sun-Yong Choi & Changsoo Hong, 2020. "Relationship between uncertainty in the oil and stock markets before and after the shale gas revolution: Evidence from the OVX, VIX, and VKOSPI volatility indices," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(5), pages 1-26, May.
    102. Yi, Yongsheng & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Yaojie & Huang, Dengshi, 2018. "Forecasting the prices of crude oil using the predictor, economic and combined constraints," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 237-245.
    103. Mojtaba Sedighi & Majid Mohammadi & Saeed Farahani Fard & Mehdi Sedighi, 2019. "The Nexus between Stock Returns of Oil Companies and Oil Price Fluctuations after Heavy Oil Upgrading: Toward Theoretical Progress," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-17, July.
    104. Syed Mujahid Hussain & Amjad Naveed & Sheraz Ahmed & Nisar Ahmad, 2022. "Disaggregating the impact of oil prices on European industrial equity indices: a spatial econometric analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(6), pages 2673-2692, June.
    105. Afees A. Salisu & Raymond Swaray, 2020. "Forecasting the Return Volatility of Energy Prices: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Stéphane Goutte & Duc Khuong Nguyen (ed.), HANDBOOK OF ENERGY FINANCE Theories, Practices and Simulations, chapter 3, pages 47-71, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    106. Salisu, Afees A. & Ebuh, Godday U. & Usman, Nuruddeen, 2020. "Revisiting oil-stock nexus during COVID-19 pandemic: Some preliminary results," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 280-294.
    107. Bannigidadmath, Deepa & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2021. "Commodity futures returns and policy uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 364-383.
    108. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Oil Price Returns Skewness and Forecastability of International Stock Returns Over One Century of Data," Working Papers 202339, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    109. Mishra, Shekhar & Mishra, Sibanjan, 2021. "Are Indian sectoral indices oil shock prone? An empirical evaluation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    110. Resat Ceylan & Mehmet Ivrendi & Muhammed Shahbaz & Tolga Omay, 2022. "Oil and stock prices: New evidence from a time varying homogenous panel smooth transition VECM for seven developing countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1085-1100, January.
    111. Liu, Li & Tan, Siming & Wang, Yudong, 2020. "Can commodity prices forecast exchange rates?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    112. Ni, Yensen & Wu, Manhwa & Day, Min-Yuh & Huang, Paoyu, 2020. "Do sharp movements in oil prices matter for stock markets?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 539(C).
    113. Elie Bouri & Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Bitcoin Prices and the Realized Volatility of US Sectoral Stock Returns," Working Papers 202224, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    114. Iglesias, Emma M., 2015. "Value at Risk and expected shortfall of firms in the main European Union stock market indexes: A detailed analysis by economic sectors and geographical situation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1-8.
    115. Yin, Libo & Feng, Jiabao & Liu, Li & Wang, Yudong, 2019. "It's not that important: The negligible effect of oil market uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 62-84.
    116. Salisu, Afees A. & Ndako, Umar B. & Oloko, Tirimisiyu F., 2019. "Assessing the inflation hedging of gold and palladium in OECD countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 357-377.
    117. Adekunle, Wasiu & Bagudo, Abubakar M. & Odumosu, Monsuru & Inuolaji, Suraj B., 2020. "Predicting stock returns using crude oil prices: A firm level analysis of Nigeria's oil and gas sector," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    118. Xiao, Jihong & Wang, Yudong, 2022. "Good oil volatility, bad oil volatility, and stock return predictability," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 953-966.
    119. Nasim, Asma & Ullah, Subhan & Kim, Ja Ryong & Hameed, Affan, 2023. "Energy shocks and bank efficiency in emerging economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    120. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Idris Adediran, 2021. "Stock‐induced Google trends and the predictability of sectoral stock returns," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 327-345, March.
    121. Ashfaq, Saleha & Tang, Yong & Maqbool, Rashid, 2020. "Dynamics of spillover network among oil and leading Asian oil trading countries’ stock markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    122. Salisu, Afees A. & Adediran, Idris & Omoke, Philip C. & Tchankam, Jean Paul, 2023. "Gold and tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    123. Bhagavatula Aruna & H. Rajesh Acharya, 2020. "Do Different Types of Oil Price Shocks Affect the Indian Stock Returns Differently at Firm-level? A Panel Structural Vector Autoregression Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(2), pages 238-249.
    124. Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "Equity premium prediction using the price of crude oil: Uncovering the nonlinear predictive impact," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    125. Raifu, Isiaka Akande & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E, 2021. "Safe-haven Effectiveness of Cryptocurrency: Evidence from Stock Markets of COVID-19 worst-hit African Countries," MPRA Paper 113139, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    126. Zhenhua Liu & Zhihua Ding & Tao Lv & Jy S. Wu & Wei Qiang, 2019. "Financial factors affecting oil price change and oil-stock interactions: a review and future perspectives," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 95(1), pages 207-225, January.
    127. Woo, Chiew Eng & Kun, Sek Siok, 2019. "Examining Asymmetric Oil Price Exposure to Assets Return in Malaysia: A Nonlinear ARDL Approach," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 53(3), pages 23-41.
    128. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting the return on the spot price of crude oil out-of-sample by conditioning on news-based uncertainty measures: Some new empirical results," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    129. Zeinedini, Sh & Karimi, M. Sh & Khanzadi, A., 2022. "Impact of global oil and gold prices on the Iran stock market returns during the Covid-19 pandemic using the quantile regression approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    130. Salissu, Afees & Raheem, Ibrahim & Eigbiremolen, Godstime, 2020. "The behaviour of U.S. stocks to financial and health risks," MPRA Paper 105354, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    131. Guo, Yawei & Li, Jianping & Li, Yehua & You, Wanhai, 2021. "The roles of political risk and crude oil in stock market based on quantile cointegration approach: A comparative study in China and US," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    132. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "How do Housing Returns in Emerging Countries Respond to Oil Shocks? A MIDAS Touch," Working Papers 201946, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    133. Urom, Christian & Anochiwa, Lasbrey & Yuni, Denis & Idume, Gabriel, 2019. "Asymmetric linkages among precious metals, global equity and bond yields: The role of volatility and business cycle factors," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    134. Afees A. Salisu & Philip C. Omoke & Abdulsalam Abidemi Sikiru, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and global financial cycle: Some forecasting experiments," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 3-16, January.
    135. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Nautiyal, Neeraj & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Ghardallou, Wafa & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2023. "Is the impact of oil shocks more pronounced during extreme market conditions?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    136. Afees A. Salisu & Kingsley Obiora, 2021. "COVID-19 pandemic and the crude oil market risk: hedging options with non-energy financial innovations," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-19, December.
    137. Wensheng Kang & Ronald A. Ratti & Kyung Hwan Yoon, 2015. "Time-varying effect of oil market shocks on the stock market," CAMA Working Papers 2015-35, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    138. Gupta, Kartick & Banerjee, Rajabrata, 2019. "Does OPEC news sentiment influence stock returns of energy firms in the United States?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 34-45.
    139. Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Niu, Tianjiao & Liang, Chao, 2021. "The importance of extreme shock: Examining the effect of investor sentiment on the crude oil futures market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    140. Wen, Danyan & Wang, Gang-Jin & Ma, Chaoqun & Wang, Yudong, 2019. "Risk spillovers between oil and stock markets: A VAR for VaR analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 524-535.
    141. Chen, Wei & Huang, Zhuo & Yi, Yanping, 2015. "Is there a structural change in the persistence of WTI–Brent oil price spreads in the post-2010 period?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 64-71.
    142. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Common cycles and common trends in the stock and oil markets: Evidence from more than 150years of data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 72-86.
    143. Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda, 2021. "What drives volatility of the U.S. oil and gas firms?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    144. Urom, Christian & Ndubuisi, Gideon & Ozor, Jude, 2021. "Economic activity, and financial and commodity markets’ shocks: An analysis of implied volatility indexes," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 51-66.
    145. Qin, Xiao & Zhou, Chunyang & Wu, Chongfeng, 2016. "Revisiting asymmetric price transmission in the U.S. oil-gasoline markets: A multiple threshold error-correction analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 583-591.
    146. Raphael Homayoun Boroumand & Stéphane Goutte & Simon Porcher & Thomas Porcher, 2016. "Asymmetric evidence of gasoline price responses in France: A Markov-switching approach," Post-Print hal-02145806, HAL.
    147. Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Niu, Tianjiao & He, Chengting, 2020. "Crude oil and BRICS stock markets under extreme shocks: New evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 54-68.
    148. Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Wang, Tianyang & Wen, Fenghua, 2023. "International stock market volatility: A data-rich environment based on oil shocks," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 184-215.
    149. Hadhri, Sinda, 2021. "The nexus, downside risk and asset allocation between oil and Islamic stock markets: A cross-country analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    150. Kumeka, Terver Theophilus & Uzoma-Nwosu, Damian Chidozie & David-Wayas, Maria Onyinye, 2022. "The effects of COVID-19 on the interrelationship among oil prices, stock prices and exchange rates in selected oil exporting economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    151. Mutiu A. Oyinlola & Abdulfatai A. Adedeji & Modupe O. Bolarinwa, 2020. "Exploring the nexus among natural resource rents, human capital and industrial development in the SSA region," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 87-111, February.
    152. Fenech, Jean-Pierre & Vosgha, Hamed, 2019. "Oil price and Gulf Corporation Council stock indices: New evidence from time-varying copula models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 81-91.
    153. Chien‐Chiang Lee & Chi‐Chuan Lee & Donald Lien, 2019. "Do country risk and financial uncertainty matter for energy commodity futures?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 366-383, March.
    154. Qian, Lihua & Zeng, Qing & Li, Tao, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and oil price volatility: Evidence from Markov-switching model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 29-38.
    155. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Oil shocks and volatility jumps," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 247-272, January.
    156. Lu Yang & Lei Yang & Kung-Cheng Ho & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2019. "Determinants of the Long-Term Correlation between Crude Oil and Stock Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-15, October.
    157. Golab, Anna & Bannigidadmath, Deepa & Pham, Thach Ngoc & Thuraisamy, Kannan, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and industry return predictability – Evidence from the UK," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 433-447.
    158. Prasad Bal, Debi & Narayan Rath, Badri, 2015. "Nonlinear causality between crude oil price and exchange rate: A comparative study of China and India," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 149-156.
    159. Olubusoye, Olusanya E & Yaya, OlaOluwa S. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula, 2021. "An Information-Based Index of Uncertainty and the predictability of Energy Prices," MPRA Paper 109839, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    160. Salisu, Afees A. & Olaniran, Abeeb & Tchankam, Jean Paul, 2022. "Oil tail risk and the tail risk of the US Dollar exchange rates," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    161. Afees A. Salisu & Elias A. Udeaja & Silva Opuala-Charles, 2022. "Central Bank Independence And Price Stability Under Alternative Political Regimes: A Global Evidence," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 25(2), pages 155-172, August.
    162. Luo, Keyu & Ye, Yong, 2024. "How responsive are retail electricity prices to crude oil fluctuations in the US? Time-varying and asymmetric perspectives," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    163. Afees Salisu & Sulaiman Salisu & Subair Salisu, 2024. "A news-based economic policy uncertainty index for Nigeria," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 4987-5002, October.
    164. Hanif, Waqas & Hadhri, Sinda & El Khoury, Rim, 2024. "Quantile spillovers and connectedness between oil shocks and stock markets of the largest oil producers and consumers," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    165. Qian Shen & Mohammad Sogir Hossain Khandoker & Joti Saha & Rafiqul Bhuyan, 2024. "The Impact of Crude Oil Price Shock: Evidence from Bangladesh," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(6), pages 257-266, October.
    166. Batten, Jonathan A. & Kinateder, Harald & Szilagyi, Peter G. & Wagner, Niklas F., 2019. "Liquidity, surprise volume and return premia in the oil market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 93-104.
    167. Xiao, Jihong & Zhou, Min & Wen, Fengming & Wen, Fenghua, 2018. "Asymmetric impacts of oil price uncertainty on Chinese stock returns under different market conditions: Evidence from oil volatility index," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 777-786.
    168. Babak Fazelabdolabadi, 2019. "Uncertainty and energy-sector equity returns in Iran: a Bayesian and quasi-Monte Carlo time-varying analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 1-20, December.
    169. Afees A. Salisu & Oluwatomisinn Oyewole & Ismail O. Fasanya, 2017. "Modelling Return and Volatility Spillovers in Global Foreign Exchange Markets," Working Papers 030, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    170. Wang, Lu & Ruan, Hang & Lai, Xiaodong & Li, Dongxin, 2024. "Economic extremes steering renewable energy trajectories: A time-frequency dissection of global shocks," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    171. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Uncertainty and Predictability of Real Housing Returns in the United Kingdom: A Regional Analysis," Working Papers 202102, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    172. Parminder KAUR & Ravi SINGLA, 2023. "Asymmetric Effects of Commodity Prices on Stock Returns of BRICS Countries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 145-164, March.
    173. Nikolaos Sariannidis & Grigoris Giannarakis & Eleni Zafeiriou & Ioannis Billias, 2016. "The Effect of Crude Oil Price Moments on Socially Responsible Firms in Eurozone," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(2), pages 356-363.
    174. Kristjanpoller, Werner D. & Concha, Diego, 2016. "Impact of fuel price fluctuations on airline stock returns," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 496-504.
    175. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Vo, Xuan Vinh & McIver, Ron & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Sensitivity of US sectoral returns to energy commodities under different investment horizons and market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    176. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    177. Mohamed Albaity & Hasan Mustafa, 2018. "International and Macroeconomic Determinants of Oil Price: Evidence from Gulf Cooperation Council Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(1), pages 69-81.
    178. Nonejad, Nima, 2023. "Conditional out-of-sample predictability of aggregate equity returns and aggregate equity return volatility using economic variables," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 91-122.
    179. Nasim, Asma & Downing, Gareth, 2023. "Energy shocks and bank performance in the advanced economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    180. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2025. "Climate risks and the REITs market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 1632-1648, April.
    181. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Awodimila, Crystal P., 2020. "Are commodity prices good predictors of inflation? The African perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    182. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Narayan, Seema, 2018. "Technology-investing countries and stock return predictability," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 159-179.
    183. Bouri, Elie & Chen, Qian & Lien, Donald & Lv, Xin, 2017. "Causality between oil prices and the stock market in China: The relevance of the reformed oil product pricing mechanism," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 34-48.
    184. Rashid Abdul & Jehan Zainab & Tahira Maria & Javed Amir, 2024. "Do Exchange Rates Respond Asymmetrically to Crude Oil Market Shocks? Insights from BRICS and Pakistan," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 27(1), pages 31-62.
    185. Nonejad, Nima, 2023. "Modeling the out-of-sample predictive relationship between equity premium, returns on the price of crude oil and economic policy uncertainty using multivariate time-varying dimension models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    186. Hassan, Kamrul & Hoque, Ariful & Gasbarro, Dominic, 2019. "Separating BRIC using Islamic stocks and crude oil: dynamic conditional correlation and volatility spillover analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 950-969.
    187. Xiaotao Zhang & Zihui Xia & Feng He & Jing Hao, 2025. "Forecasting crude oil prices with alternative data and a deep learning approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 345(2), pages 1165-1191, February.
    188. Martín-Barragán, Belén & Ramos, Sofía B. & Veiga, Helena, 2013. "Correlations between oil and stock markets : a wavelet-based approach," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws130504, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    189. Afees A. Salisu & Ibrahim D. Raheem & Umar B. Ndako, 2017. "A sectoral analysis of asymmetric nexus between oil and stock," Working Papers 033, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    190. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Trabelsi, Nader & Alqahtani, Faisal & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2019. "Analysing systemic risk and time-frequency quantile dependence between crude oil prices and BRICS equity markets indices: A new look," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 445-466.
    191. Lin, Boqiang & Su, Tong, 2020. "The linkages between oil market uncertainty and Islamic stock markets: Evidence from quantile-on-quantile approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    192. Nonejad, Nima, 2018. "Déjà vol oil? Predicting S&P 500 equity premium using crude oil price volatility: Evidence from old and recent time-series data," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 260-270.
    193. Salisu, Afees A. & Tchankam, Jean Paul, 2022. "US Stock return predictability with high dimensional models," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    194. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Tran, Vuong Thao, 2018. "Can economic policy uncertainty predict stock returns? Global evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 134-150.
    195. Naser, Hanan & Alaali, Fatema, 2015. "Can Oil Prices Help Predict US Stock Market Returns: An Evidence Using a DMA Approach," MPRA Paper 65295, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 25 Jun 2015.
    196. Afees A. Salisu & Kazeem Isah & Lateef O. Akanni, 2018. "Predicting the stock prices of G7 countries with Bitcoin prices," Working Papers 054, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    197. Hanan Naser & Fatema Alaali, 2018. "Can oil prices help predict US stock market returns? Evidence using a dynamic model averaging (DMA) approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1757-1777, December.
    198. Afees A. Salisu & Juncal Cunado & Kazeem Isah & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Oil Price and Exchange Rate Behaviour of the BRICS for Over a Century," Working Papers 202064, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    199. Devpura, Neluka & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2021. "Bond return predictability: Evidence from 25 OECD countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    200. Afees A. Salisu & Lateef O. Akanni & Ahamuefula Ephraim Ogbonna, 2018. "Forecasting CO2 emissions: Does the choice of estimator matter?," Working Papers 045, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    201. Nonejad, Nima, 2020. "Crude oil price volatility and equity return predictability: A comparative out-of-sample study," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    202. Azmi, Wajahat & Mohamad, Shamsher & Shah, Mohamed Eskandar, 2020. "Ethical investments and financial performance: An international evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    203. Achraf Ghorbel & Ahmed Jeribi, 2021. "Volatility spillovers and contagion between energy sector and financial assets during COVID-19 crisis period," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(3), pages 449-467, September.
    204. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Oil tail risks and the realized variance of consumer prices in advanced economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    205. Li, Sufang & Tu, Dalun & Zeng, Yan & Gong, Chenggang & Yuan, Di, 2022. "Does geopolitical risk matter in crude oil and stock markets? Evidence from disaggregated data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    206. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Trabelsi, Nader & Alqahtani, Faisal & Raheem, Ibrahim D., 2020. "Systemic risk spillovers between crude oil and stock index returns of G7 economies: Conditional value-at-risk and marginal expected shortfall approaches," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    207. Jiang, Yong & Wang, Gang-Jin & Ma, Chaoqun & Yang, Xiaoguang, 2021. "Do credit conditions matter for the impact of oil price shocks on stock returns? Evidence from a structural threshold VAR model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 1-15.
    208. Salisu, Afees A. & Isah, Kazeem & Oloko, Tirimisiyu O., 2024. "Technology shocks and crude oil market connection: The role of climate change," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    209. Ayad Hicham, 2021. "Oil Prices and the Algerian Exchange Rate: Is there any Difference with Hidden Co-Integration?," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 21(1), pages 1-17, June.
    210. Yip, Pick Schen & Brooks, Robert & Do, Hung Xuan & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "What drives cross-market correlations during the United States Q.E.?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    211. Ouyang, Zi-sheng & Liu, Meng-tian & Huang, Su-su & Yao, Ting, 2022. "Does the source of oil price shocks matter for the systemic risk?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    212. Jonathan A. Batten & Harald Kinateder & Niklas Wagner, 2022. "Beating the Average: Equity Premium Variations, Uncertainty, and Liquidity," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 58(3), pages 567-588, September.
    213. Nima Nonejad, 2020. "Does the price of crude oil help predict the conditional distribution of aggregate equity return?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 313-349, January.
    214. Devpura, Neluka & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2018. "Is stock return predictability time-varying?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 152-172.
    215. Mostafa, Mohamed M. & El-Masry, Ahmed A., 2016. "Oil price forecasting using gene expression programming and artificial neural networks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 40-53.
    216. Enwereuzoh, Precious Adaku & Odei-Mensah, Jones & Owusu Junior, Peterson, 2021. "Crude oil shocks and African stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    217. Yin, Libo & Feng, Jiabao, 2019. "Can investors attention on oil markets predict stock returns?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 786-800.
    218. Smyth, Russell & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2018. "What do we know about oil prices and stock returns?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 148-156.
    219. Wang, Yudong & Pan, Zhiyuan & Liu, Li & Wu, Chongfeng, 2019. "Oil price increases and the predictability of equity premium," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 43-58.
    220. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "Commodity Risk and Forecastability of International Stock Returns: The Role of Oil Returns Skewness," Risks, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-20, March.
    221. Afees A. Salisu & Abeeb Olaniran, 2022. "The U.S. Nonfarm Payroll and the out-of-sample predictability of output growth for over six decades," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(6), pages 4663-4673, December.
    222. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula Ephraim Ogbonna & Paul Adeoye Omosebi, 2018. "Does the choice of estimator matter for forecasting? A revisit," Working Papers 053, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    223. Oglend, Atle, 2022. "The commodities/equities beta term-structure," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    224. Ramaprasad Bhar & Anastasios G. Malliaris & Mary Malliaris, 2021. "What Has Driven the U.S. Monthly Oil Production Since 2009? Empirical Results from Two Modeling Approaches," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-11, February.
    225. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Predictability of tail risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The role of spillovers and oil tail Risks☆," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    226. Bwo-Nung Huang & Chi-Chuan Lee & Yu-Fang Chang & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2021. "Dynamic linkage between oil prices and exchange rates: new global evidence," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 719-742, August.
    227. Lin, Boqiang & Wang, Chonghao, 2021. "Impacts of coal prices on the performance of Chinese financial institutions: Does electricity consumption matter?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 884-896.
    228. Salisu, Afees A. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Predicting stock returns in the presence of COVID-19 pandemic: The role of health news," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    229. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices over 150 years: The role of tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    230. Alqahtani, Abdullah & Bouri, Elie & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Predictability of GCC stock returns: The role of geopolitical risk and crude oil returns," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 239-249.
    231. Salisu, Afees A. & Akinsomi, Omokolade & Ametefe, Frank Kwakutse & Hammed, Yinka S., 2024. "Gold market volatility and REITs' returns during tranquil and turbulent episodes," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).
    232. Salisu, Afees A. & Olaniran, Abeeb & Lasisi, Lukman, 2023. "Climate risk and gold," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    233. Mohammad Enamul Hoque & Soo-Wah Low & Mohd Azlan Shah Zaidi & Lain-Tze Tee & Noor Azlan Ghazali, 2023. "Asymmetric and Lag Effects of Industry Risk Factors on the Malaysian Oil and Gas Stocks," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(3), pages 21582440231, July.
    234. Burns, Kelly & Moosa, Imad A., 2015. "Enhancing the forecasting power of exchange rate models by introducing nonlinearity: Does it work?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 27-39.
    235. Afees A. Salisu & Kazeem O. Isah & Idris Ademuyiwa, 2017. "Testing for asymmetries in the predictive model for oil price-inflation nexus," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(3), pages 1797-1804.
    236. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Adewuyi, Adeolu, 2020. "Google trends and the predictability of precious metals," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    237. Zhang, Yaojie & Ma, Feng & Zhu, Bo, 2019. "Intraday momentum and stock return predictability: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 319-329.
    238. Suleman Sarwar & Rida Waheed & Mehnoor Amir & Muqaddas Khalid, 2018. "Role of Energy on Economy The Case of Micro to Macro Level Analysis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(4), pages 1905-1926.
    239. Balakumar, Suganya & Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Maitra, Debasish & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Do oil price shocks have any implications for stock return momentum?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 637-663.
    240. Chen, Wang & Chevallier, Julien & Wang, Jiqian & Zhong, Juandan, 2022. "Stock market return predictability revisited: Evidence from a new index constructing the oil market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    241. Salisu, Afees A. & Shaik, Muneer, 2022. "Islamic Stock indices and COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 282-293.
    242. Chou, Kuo-Wei & Tseng, Yi-Heng, 2016. "Oil prices, exchange rate, and the price asymmetry in the Taiwanese retail gasoline market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 733-741.
    243. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Ghodsi, Seyed Hesam & Hadzic, Muris, 2019. "Asymmetric causality between oil price and stock returns:A sectoral analysis," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 165-174.
    244. Ibrahim D. Raheem & Kazeem Isah, 2019. "The Jolly Ride of International Reserves and Commodity Prices: Evidence from Predictive Models," Working Papers 063, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    245. Ngo Thai Hung & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2023. "Multi-scale Features of Interdependence Between Oil Prices and Stock Prices," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(3), pages 475-504, September.
    246. Fasanya, Ismail & Adekoya, Oluwasegun & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin & Adegboyega, Soliu, 2022. "Investor sentiment and energy futures predictability: Evidence from Feasible Quasi Generalized Least Squares," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    247. Aktolkin Abubakirova & Aziza Syzdykova & Assan Dosmakhanbet & Lyazzat Kudabayeva & Gulnar Abdulina, 2021. "Relationship between Oil Prices and Stock Prices in BRICS-T Countries: Symmetric and Asymmetric Causality Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(3), pages 140-148.
    248. Nafeesa Yunus, 2023. "Co‐movement among oil, stock, bond, and housing markets: An analysis of U.S., Asian, and European economies," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 393-436, June.
    249. Mohsin, Muhammad & Jamaani, Fouad, 2023. "A novel deep-learning technique for forecasting oil price volatility using historical prices of five precious metals in context of green financing – A comparison of deep learning, machine learning, an," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    250. Cai, Yifei & Zhang, Yahua & Xu, Yuchao, 2025. "Assessing the influence of unplanned oil supply outages on airline stock connectedness," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    251. Afees A. Salisu & Abdulsalam Abidemi Sikiru, 2021. "Palm Oil Price–Exchange Rate Nexus In Indonesia And Malaysia," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 24(2), pages 169-180, June.
    252. Apergis, Nicholas, 2015. "Policy risks, technological risks and stock returns: New evidence from the US stock market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 359-365.
    253. Solikin M. Juhro & Dinh Hoang Bach Phan, 2018. "Can Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate And Its Volatility? Evidence From Asean Countries," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 21(2), pages 251-268, October.
    254. Nonejad, Nima, 2020. "A comprehensive empirical analysis of the predictive impact of the price of crude oil on aggregate equity return volatility," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    255. Behera, Chinmaya & Rath, Badri Narayan, 2024. "The interconnectedness between crude oil prices and stock returns in G20 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    256. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Raheem, Ibrahim D. & Zeitun, Rami & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Ahmad, Nasir, 2023. "Do oil shocks affect the green bond market?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    257. Afees A. Salisu & Raymond Swaray & Idris Adediran, 2018. "Improving the predictability of commodity prices in US inflation: The role of coffee price," Working Papers 041, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    258. Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "Understanding the conditional out-of-sample predictive impact of the price of crude oil on aggregate equity return volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    259. Salisu, Afees A. & Isah, Kazeem O. & Raheem, Ibrahim D., 2019. "Testing the predictability of commodity prices in stock returns of G7 countries: Evidence from a new approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    260. Afees A. Salisu & Kazeem Isah, 2017. "Predicting US Inflation: Evidence from a New Approach," Working Papers 039, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    261. Walid Mansour, Haykel Hamdi, Jihed Majdoub, Ikrame Ben Slimane, 2020. "Volatility spillover and hedging effectiveness among crude oil and Islamic markets: evidence from the Gulf region," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 17(1), pages 103-126, June.
    262. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Bannigidadmath, Deepa, 2017. "Does Financial News Predict Stock Returns? New Evidence from Islamic and Non-Islamic Stocks," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 24-45.
    263. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Predictability of Tail Risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The Role of Spillovers and Oil Tail Risks," Working Papers 202127, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    264. Chang, Bisharat Hussain & Sharif, Arshian & Aman, Ameenullah & Suki, Norazah Mohd & Salman, Asma & Khan, Syed Abdul Rehman, 2020. "The asymmetric effects of oil price on sectoral Islamic stocks: New evidence from quantile-on-quantile regression approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    265. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Ogunbowale, Gideon O. & Akinseye, Ademola B. & Oduyemi, Gabriel O., 2021. "Improving the predictability of stock returns with global financial cycle and oil price in oil-exporting African countries," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 166-181.
    266. Kou, Mingting & Zhang, Menglin & Yang, Yuanqi & Shao, Hanqing, 2024. "Energy finance research: What happens beneath the literature?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    267. Ivanovski, Kris & Hailemariam, Abebe, 2021. "Forecasting the dynamic relationship between crude oil and stock prices since the 19th century," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).

  478. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Tsangyao Chang & Wen-Yi Chen & Feng-Li Lin & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Asymmetric Granger Causality between Military Expenditures and Economic Growth in Top Six Defense Suppliers," Working Papers 201565, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gunay, Samet, 2020. "Seeking causality between liquidity risk and credit risk: TED-OIS spreads and CDS indexes," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).

  479. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Omid Ranjbar, 2015. "Characterising the South African Business Cycle: Is GDP Difference-Stationary or Trend-Stationary in a Markov-Switching Setup?," Working Papers 15-04, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Tolga Omay & Rangan Gupta & Giovanni Bonaccolto, 2015. "The US Real GNP is Trend-Stationary After All," Working Papers 201581, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  480. Lei Chen & Rangan Gupta & Zinnia Mukherjee & Peter Wanke, 2015. "Technical Efficiency of Connecticut Long Island Sound Lobster Fishery: A Nonparametric Approach to Aggregate Frontier Analysis," Working Papers 201578, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mohammed Al-Siyabi & Gholam R. Amin & Shekar Bose & Hussein Al-Masroori, 2019. "Peer-judgment risk minimization using DEA cross-evaluation with an application in fishery," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 274(1), pages 39-55, March.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Zinnia Mukherjee & Mike G. Tsionas & Peter Wanke, 2016. "Productive Efficiency of Connecticut Long Island Lobster Fishery Using a Finite Mixture Model," Working Papers 201614, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Zhiwen Su & Mingyu Zhang & Jianjun Sun & Wenbing Wu, 2023. "Agribusiness diversification and technological innovation efficiency: A U‐shaped relationship," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 322-346, March.

  481. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & STELIOS BEKIROS, 2015. "The Role Of News-Based Uncertainty Indices In Predicting Oil Markets: A Hybrid Nonparametric Quantile Causality Method," Working Papers 15-02, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Assaf, Ata & Charif, Husni & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between uncertainty and energy markets: Do investor sentiments matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    2. Anwer, Zaheer & Khan, Muhammad Arif & Hassan, M. Kabir & Singh, Manjeet Kaur Harnek, 2024. "Assessing dynamic co-movement of news based uncertainty indices and distance-to -default of global FinTech firms," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    3. Esmaeili, Parisa & Rafei, Meysam & Salari, Mahmoud & Balsalobre-Lorente, Daniel, 2024. "From oil surges to renewable shifts: Unveiling the dynamic impact of supply and demand shocks in global crude oil market on U.S. clean energy trends," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    4. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Nasreen, Samia & Gabauer, David, 2024. "The impact of oil shocks on green, clean, and socially responsible markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    5. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Is Wine a Safe-Haven? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201708, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "The role of time‐varying rare disaster risks in predicting bond returns and volatility," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(3), pages 327-340, July.
    7. Qingxiang Han & Mengxi He & Yaojie Zhang & Muhammad Umar, 2023. "Default return spread: A powerful predictor of crude oil price returns," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1786-1804, November.
    8. Wu, Bi-Bo, 2021. "The dynamics of oil on China’s commodity sectors: What can we learn from a quantile perspective?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
    9. Rıza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Rare Disaster Risks, Oil Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201762, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Muhammad Shahbaz & Serkan Gunes, 2018. "Does inflation cause gold market price changes? evidence on the G7 countries from the tests of nonparametric quantile causality in mean and variance," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(17), pages 1891-1909, April.
    11. Shi, Chunpei & Wei, Yu & Li, Xiafei & Liu, Yuntong, 2023. "Combination forecasts of China's oil futures returns based on multiple uncertainties and their connectedness with oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    12. Seyi Saint Akadiri & Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo & Obioma Chinenyenwa Asuzu & Ijeoma Christina Onuogu & Izuchukwu Oji-Okoro, 2023. "Testing the role of economic complexity on the ecological footprint in China: a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Energy & Environment, , vol. 34(7), pages 2290-2316, November.
    13. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Huseyin Ozdemir, 2021. "Dynamic return and volatility spillovers among S&P 500, crude oil, and gold," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 153-170, January.
    14. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Transmission of US and EU Economic Policy Uncertainty Shock to Asian Economies in Bad and Good Times," IZA Discussion Papers 13274, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    15. Zynobia Barson & Kwame Simpe Ofori & Peterson Owusu Junior & Kwabena G. Boakye & George Oppong Appiagyei Ampong, 2024. "Time-varying Connectedness Between ESG Stocks and BRVM Traditional Stocks," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 23(3), pages 306-335, September.
    16. Yuan, Di & Li, Sufang & Li, Rong & Zhang, Feipeng, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty, oil and stock markets in BRIC: Evidence from quantiles analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    17. Raza, Syed Ali & Masood, Amna & Benkraiem, Ramzi & Urom, Christian, 2023. "Forecasting the volatility of precious metals prices with global economic policy uncertainty in pre and during the COVID-19 period: Novel evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    18. Arshian Sharif & Subhan Ullah & Muhammad Shahbaz & Mantu Kumar Mahalik, 2021. "Sustainable tourism development and globalization: Recent insights from the United States," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(5), pages 957-973, September.
    19. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2018. "“A geometric approach to proxy economic uncertainty by a metric of disagreement among qualitative expectations”," AQR Working Papers 201803, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Jun 2018.
    20. Papadamou, Stephanos & Kyriazis, Nikolaos A. & Tzeremes, Panayiotis G., 2021. "Non-linear causal linkages of EPU and gold with major cryptocurrencies during bull and bear markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    21. Bos, Martijn & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2018. "Oil returns and volatility: The role of mergers and acquisitions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 62-69.
    22. Yi‐Ting Peng & Tsangyao Chang & Omid Ranjbar, 2022. "Analyzing the degree of persistence of economic policy uncertainty using linear and non‐linear fourier quantile unit root tests," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 90(4), pages 453-471, July.
    23. Khan, Nasir & Saleem, Asima & Ozkan, Oktay, 2023. "Do geopolitical oil price risk influence stock market returns and volatility of Pakistan: Evidence from novel non-parametric quantile causality approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    24. Al-Thaqeb, Saud Asaad & Algharabali, Barrak Ghanim, 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty: A literature review," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    25. Emmanuel Anoruo, 2019. "Asymmetric Causality Analysis of the Interactions Between Gold and REIT Returns," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 22(4), pages 513-534.
    26. Giovanni Bonaccolto & Massimiliano Caporin & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "The Dynamic Impact of Uncertainty in Causing and Forecasting the Distribution of Oil Returns and Risk," Working Papers 201564, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    27. Cheng, Xian & Wu, Peng & Liao, Stephen Shaoyi & Wang, Xuelian, 2023. "An integrated model for crude oil forecasting: Causality assessment and technical efficiency," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    28. Feng, Hao & Gao, Da & Duan, Kun & Urquhart, Andrew, 2023. "Does Bitcoin affect decomposed oil shocks differently? Evidence from a quantile-based framework," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    29. Mensi, Walid & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kim, Won Joong, 2023. "How macroeconomic factors drive the linkages between inflation and oil markets in global economies? A multiscale analysis," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 212-232.
    30. Zhenghui Li & Zhiming Ao & Bin Mo, 2021. "Revisiting the Valuable Roles of Global Financial Assets for International Stock Markets: Quantile Coherence and Causality-in-Quantiles Approaches," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(15), pages 1-18, July.
    31. Chang, Tsangyao & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Predicting stock market movements with a time-varying consumption-aggregate wealth ratio," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 458-467.
    32. Mehmet Balcilar & Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "The Effect of Investor Sentiment on Gold Market Dynamics," Working Papers 201638, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Yang, Cai & Niu, Zibo & Gao, Wang, 2022. "The time-varying effects of trade policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks shocks on the commodity market prices: Evidence from the TVP-VAR-SV approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    34. Hachmi Ben Ameur & Eric Le Fur & Julien Pillot, 2023. "The Influence of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Business Cycles on Fine Wine Prices," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(2), pages 589-608, August.
    35. Muhammad Umar & Abraham Ayobamiji Awosusi & Oluwatayomi Rereloluwa Adegboye & Opeoluwa Seun Ojekemi, 2024. "Geothermal energy and carbon emissions nexus in leading geothermal-consuming nations: Evidence from nonparametric analysis," Energy & Environment, , vol. 35(5), pages 2726-2752, August.
    36. Zhao, Xin & Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Rashidi, Muhammad Mahdi & Vasa, László & Shahzad, Umer, 2023. "Interoperability of the revolutionary blockchain architectures and Islamic and conventional technology markets: Case of Metaverse, HPB, and Bloknet," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 112-131.
    37. Oscar Claveria, 2020. "Measuring and assessing economic uncertainty," IREA Working Papers 202011, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jul 2020.
    38. Huabin Bian & Renhai Hua & Qingfu Liu & Ping Zhang, 2022. "Petroleum market volatility tracker in China," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(11), pages 2022-2040, November.
    39. Troster, Victor & Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David, 2019. "A quantile regression analysis of flights-to-safety with implied volatilities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 482-495.
    40. Pham, Hung Manh & Chu, Lan Khanh & Hoang, Dung Phuong, 2024. "What makes environment-related technologies less effective? The role of uncertainty," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(4).
    41. Farid, Saqib & Zafar, Quratulain, 2024. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on global carbon emissions," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(2).
    42. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks and Movements in Islamic Bond and Equity Markets: A Note," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 367-379, April.
    43. Gupta, Rangan & Risse, Marian & Volkman, David A. & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "The role of term spread and pattern changes in predicting stock returns and volatility of the United Kingdom: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test using over 250 years of data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 391-405.
    44. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Seong-Min Yoon, 2017. "OPEC News Announcement Effect on Volatility in the Crude Oil Market: A Reconsideration," Working Papers 201754, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    45. Mishra, Shekhar & Sharif, Arshian & Khuntia, Sashikanta & Meo, Muhammad Saeed & Rehman Khan, Syed Abdul, 2019. "Does oil prices impede Islamic stock indices? Fresh insights from wavelet-based quantile-on-quantile approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 292-304.
    46. Sami Ullah & Rundong Luo & Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo & Mustafa Tevfik Kartal, 2023. "Dynamics between environmental taxes and ecological sustainability: Evidence from top‐seven green economies by novel quantile approaches," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(2), pages 825-839, April.
    47. Koranteng, Barbara & You, Kefei, 2024. "Fintech and financial stability: Evidence from spatial analysis for 25 countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    48. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2020. "The tail dependence structure between investor sentiment and commodity markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    49. Zou, Fei & Huang, Lingyu & Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Delnavaz, Mohammad & Tiwari, Sunil, 2023. "Natural resources and green economic recovery in responsible investments: Role of ESG in context of Islamic sustainable investments," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    50. Gupta, Rangan & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2018. "OPEC news and predictability of oil futures returns and volatility: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 206-214.
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  482. Aviral K. Tiwari & Arif B. Dar & Niyati Bhanja & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "A Historical Analysis of the US Stock Price Index using Empirical Mode Decomposition over 1791-2015," Working Papers 201588, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

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    2. Yue-Jun Zhang & Han Zhang & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Forecasting the Artificial Intelligence Index Returns: A Hybrid Approach," Working Papers 202182, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Yue-Jun Zhang & Han Zhang & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "A new hybrid method with data-characteristic-driven analysis for artificial intelligence and robotics index return forecasting," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, December.

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    2. Christophe André & Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Mulatu F. Zerihun, 2017. "Asymmetric Behaviour in Nominal and Real Housing Prices: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Economies," Working Papers 201711, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  484. Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2015. "A Nonlinear Approach for Predicting Stock Returns and Volatility with the Use of Investor Sentiment Indices," Working Papers 201536, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Maitra, Debasish, 2018. "Does sentiment matter for stock returns? Evidence from Indian stock market using wavelet approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 32-39.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Investor Confidence and Forecastability of US Stock Market Realized Volatility : Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202118, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Zachary McGurk & Adam Nowak & Joshua C. Hall, 2019. "Stock Returns and Investor Sentiment: Textual Analysis and Social Media," Working Papers 19-03, Department of Economics, West Virginia University.
    4. Ftiti, Zied & Hadhri, Sinda, 2019. "Can economic policy uncertainty, oil prices, and investor sentiment predict Islamic stock returns? A multi-scale perspective," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 40-55.
    5. Yamini Yadav & Pramod Kumar Naik, 2024. "Investors’ Irrational Sentiment and Stock Market Returns: A Quantile Regression Approach Using Indian Data," Business Perspectives and Research, , vol. 12(1), pages 45-64, January.
    6. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Business Applications and State-Level Stock Market Realized Volatility: A Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202247, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2018. "Predicting Stock Returns And Volatility With Investor Sentiment Indices: A Reconsideration Using A Nonparametric Causality†In†Quantiles Test," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 70(1), pages 74-87, January.
    8. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Farid, Saqib & Faruk, Balli & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Can happiness predict future volatility in stock markets?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    9. Nabila Jawadi & Fredj Jawadi & Abdoulkarim Idi Cheffou, 2020. "Computing the Time-Varying Effects of Investor Attention in Islamic Stock Returns," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(1), pages 131-143, June.
    10. Chi-Wei Su & Xu-Yu Cai & Ran Tao, 2020. "Can Stock Investor Sentiment Be Contagious in China?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-16, February.
    11. Rilwan Sakariyahu & Mohamed Sherif & Audrey Paterson & Eleni Chatzivgeri, 2021. "Sentiment‐Apt investors and UK sector returns," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3321-3351, July.
    12. Rameeza Andleeb & Arshad Hassan, 2023. "Impact of Investor Sentiment on Contemporaneous and Future Equity Returns in Emerging Markets," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(3), pages 21582440231, August.
    13. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Wendy Nyakabawo, 2018. "Predicting Aggregate and State-Level US House Price Volatility: The Role of Sentiment," Working Papers 201866, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Deng, Chao & Zhou, Xiaoying & Peng, Cheng & Zhu, Huiming, 2022. "Going green: Insight from asymmetric risk spillover between investor attention and pro-environmental investment," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    15. Lao, Jiashun & Nie, He & Jiang, Yonghong, 2018. "Revisiting the investor sentiment–stock returns relationship: A multi-scale perspective using wavelets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 499(C), pages 420-427.

  485. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2015. "Predicting Stock Returns and Volatility with Investor Sentiment Indices: A Reconsideration using a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201575, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Marwane El Alaoui & Elie Bouri & Nehme Azoury, 2020. "The Determinants of the U.S. Consumer Sentiment: Linear and Nonlinear Models," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-13, July.
    2. Tihana Škrinjarić & Branka Marasović & Boško Šego, 2021. "Does the Croatian Stock Market Have Seasonal Affective Disorder?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-16, February.

  486. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Duc K. Nguyen & Mark E. Wohar, 2015. "Causal Effects of the United States and Japan on Pacific-Rim Stock Markets: Nonparametric Quantile Causality Approach," Working Papers 201595, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Mortgage Default Risks and High-Frequency Predictability of the U.S. Housing Market: A Reconsideration," Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 111-117, December.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "El Nino, La Nina, and the Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Heating Oil Price Movements," Working Papers 202138, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin & Özkan, Oktay, 2023. "Geopolitical oil price uncertainty transmission into core inflation: Evidence from two of the biggest global players," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    4. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2018. "Geopolitical Risks and the Predictability of Regional Oil Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201860, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Yuvana Jaichand & Christian Pierdzioch & Reneé van Eyden, 2023. "Realized Stock-Market Volatility of the United States and the Presidential Approval Rating," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-27, July.
    6. Khan, Nasir & Saleem, Asima & Ozkan, Oktay, 2023. "Do geopolitical oil price risk influence stock market returns and volatility of Pakistan: Evidence from novel non-parametric quantile causality approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    7. Bouri, Elie & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Liu, Ruipeng, 2025. "Supply chain constraints and the predictability of the conditional distribution of international stock market returns and volatility," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    8. Chuliá, Helena & Koser, Christoph & Uribe, Jorge M., 2021. "Analyzing the Nonlinear Pricing of Liquidity Risk according to the Market State," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    9. Balcilar, Mehmet & Bathia, Deven & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Credit ratings and predictability of stock return dynamics of the BRICS and the PIIGS: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 290-302.
    10. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa & Gungor, Hasan & Roubaud, David & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Role of global, regional, and advanced market economic policy uncertainty on bond spreads in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    11. Faisal Alqahtani & Nader Trabelsi & Nahla Samargandi & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2020. "Tail Dependence and Risk Spillover from the US to GCC Banking Sectors," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-18, November.
    12. Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Manager Sentiment and Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 201853, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua, 2024. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bubbles in global stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    15. Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Ifedola Olanipekun & Oktay Özkan, 2024. "Stock Market Response to Quantitative Easing: Evidence from the Novel Rolling Windows Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(2), pages 947-977, August.
    16. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Eric Olson, 2020. "Effect of uncertainty on U.S. stock returns and volatility: evidence from over eighty years of high-frequency data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(16), pages 1305-1311, September.
    20. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rinsuna Shivambu, 2020. "Uncertainty and Daily Predictability of Housing Returns and Volatility of the United States: Evidence from a Higher-Order Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 202071, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Stock Market Volatility and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles," Working Papers 202310, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    23. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wang, Shixuan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    24. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Jacobus Nel, 2022. "Do Climate Risks Predict US Housing Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Quantiles-Based Approach," Working Papers 202240, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    25. Pata, Ugur Korkut & Yilanci, Veli & Zhang, Qianxiao & Shah, Syed Ale Raza, 2022. "Does financial development promote renewable energy consumption in the USA? Evidence from the Fourier-wavelet quantile causality test," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 432-443.
    26. Bouri, Elie & Jalkh, Naji, 2023. "Spillovers of joint volatility-skewness-kurtosis of major cryptocurrencies and their determinants," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    27. Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratio and the Predictability of Bubbles in Financial Markets," Working Papers 202317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    28. Christina Christou & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2016. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Returns in Pacific-Rim Countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian Panel VAR Model," Working Papers 201661, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Agbatogun, Taofeek, 2021. "How does economic policy uncertainty connect with the dynamic spillovers between precious metals and bitcoin markets?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    30. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus, 2022. "Rare disaster risks and gold over 700 years: Evidence from nonparametric quantile regressions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    31. Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Equity Market Volatility of the United Kingdom: Evidence from over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201851, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    32. Rangan Gupta & Damien Moodley, 2023. "Housing Search Activity and Quantiles-Based Predictability of Housing Price Movements in the United States," Working Papers 202335, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Raggad, Bechir & Bouri, Elie, 2023. "Gold and crude oil: A time-varying causality across various market conditions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    34. Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2025. "Stock market volatility and multi-scale positive and negative bubbles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    35. Ugur Korkut Pata & Ojonugwa Usman & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Oktay Ozkan, 2024. "Stock Returns, Crude Oil and Gold Prices in Turkey: Evidence from Rolling Window-Based Nonparametric Quantile Causality Test," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(3), pages 779-797, September.
    36. Zhuhua Jiang & Rangan Gupta & Sowmya Subramaniam & Seong-Min Yoon, 2021. "The Effect of Air Quality and Weather on the Chinese Stock: Evidence from Shenzhen Stock Exchange," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-20, March.
    37. Massaporn Cheuathonghua & Chaiyuth Padungsaksawasdi & Pattana Boonchoo & Jittima Tongurai, 2019. "Extreme spillovers of VIX fear index to international equity markets," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 33(1), pages 1-38, March.
    38. Jose A. Pérez-Montiel & Andreu Sansó & Oguzhan Ozcelebi & Riccardo Pariboni, 2023. "Autonomous and induced demand in the United States: a long-run perspective," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 1237-1257, September.
    39. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer, 2022. "U.S. monetary policy and the predictability of global economic synchronization patterns," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(3), pages 473-492, July.
    40. Olanipekun, Ifedolapo Olabisi & Ozkan, Oktay & Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin, 2023. "Is renewable energy use lowering resource-related uncertainties?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).

  487. Rangan Gupta & Eric Olson & Mark E. Wohar, 2015. "Forecasting Key US Macroeconomic Variables with a Factor-Augmented Qual VAR," Working Papers 201585, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark, 2017. "Forecasting oil and stock returns with a Qual VAR using over 150years off data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 181-186.
    2. Hany Guirguis & Vaneesha Boney Dutra & Zoe McGreevy, 2022. "The impact of global economies on US inflation: A test of the Phillips curve," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(3), pages 575-592, July.
    3. Knut Lehre Seip & Dan Zhang, 2021. "The Yield Curve as a Leading Indicator: Accuracy and Timing of a Parsimonious Forecasting Model," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(2), pages 1-16, May.
    4. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Polat, Onur, 2024. "Forecasting U.S. recessions using over 150 years of data: Stock-market moments versus oil-market moments," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).

  488. Vassilios Babalos & Clement Kyei & Evangelos I. Poutos, 2015. "Causality and Contagion in EMU Sovereign Bonds Revisited: Novel Evidence from Nonlinear Causality Tests," Working Papers 201514, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. González-Sánchez, Mariano, 2018. "Causality in the EMU sovereign bond markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 281-290.

  489. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Vassilios Babalos & Clement Kyei, 2015. "Predictability of Sustainable Investments and the Role of Uncertainty: Evidence from a Non-Parametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201576, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Chang, Kuang-Liang, 2021. "Do U.S. and Japanese uncertainty shocks play important roles in affecting transition mechanisms of Japanese stock market?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    2. Mirza, Nawazish & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Ha Nguyen, Thi Thu & Arfaoui, Nadia & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2023. "Are sustainable investments interdependent? The international evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    3. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2017. "Oil price shocks and policy uncertainty: New evidence on the effects of US and non-US oil production," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 536-546.
    4. Kang, Wensheng & Perez de Gracia, Fernando & Ratti, Ronald A., 2017. "Oil price shocks, policy uncertainty, and stock returns of oil and gas corporations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 344-359.
    5. Nekhili, Ramzi & Ziadat, Salem Adel & Mensi, Walid, 2023. "Frequency interdependence and portfolio management between gold, oil and sustainability stock markets," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    6. Mansi Jain & Gagan Deep Sharma & Mrinalini Srivastava, 2019. "Can Sustainable Investment Yield Better Financial Returns: A Comparative Study of ESG Indices and MSCI Indices," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-18, February.
    7. Nicholas Apergis & Vassilios Babalos & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Are there Really Long-Run Diversification Benefits from Sustainable Investments?," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 18(2), pages 141-163, September.
    8. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Do Sustainable Stocks Offer Diversification Benefits for Conventional Portfolios? An Empirical Analysis of Risk Spillovers and Dynamic Correlations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-18, October.
    9. Felipe Arias Fogliano de Souza Cunha & Erick Meira de Oliveira & Renato J. Orsato & Marcelo Cabus Klotzle & Fernando Luiz Cyrino Oliveira & Rodrigo Goyannes Gusmão Caiado, 2020. "Can sustainable investments outperform traditional benchmarks? Evidence from global stock markets," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 682-697, February.
    10. Mobeen Ur Rehman & Wafa Ghardallou & Nasir Ahmad & Xuan Vinh Vo & Sang Hoon Kang, 2024. "Does effect of risk and uncertainties on US sectoral returns differ across different investment horizons and market conditions," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 26(1), pages 1-49, February.
    11. de Oliveira, Erick Meira & Cunha, Felipe Arias Fogliano de Souza & Palazzi, Rafael Baptista & Klotzle, Marcelo Cabus & Maçaira, Paula Medina, 2020. "On the effects of uncertainty measures on sustainability indices: An empirical investigation in a nonlinear framework," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    12. Ramiz ur Rehman & Muhammad Zain ul Abidin & Rizwan Ali & Safwan Mohd Nor & Muhammad Akram Naseem & Mudassar Hasan & Muhammad Ishfaq Ahmad, 2021. "The Integration of Conventional Equity Indices with Environmental, Social, and Governance Indices: Evidence from Emerging Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-27, January.
    13. Yonghong JIANG & Juan MENG & He NIE, 2018. "Visiting the Economic Policy Uncertainty Shocks - Economic Growth Relationship: Wavelet-based Granger-Causality in Quantiles Approac," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 80-94, December.

  490. Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Predicting Stock Returns and Volatility Using Consumption-Aggregate Wealth Ratios: A Nonlinear Approach," Working Papers 201505, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar, 2015. "Incorporating Economic Policy Uncertainty in US Equity Premium Models: A Nonlinear Predictability Analysis," Working Papers 201545, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Chang, Tsangyao & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Predicting stock market movements with a time-varying consumption-aggregate wealth ratio," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 458-467.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "The Role of Current Account Balance in Forecasting the US Equity Premium: Evidence From a Quantile Predictive Regression Approach," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(1), pages 47-59, February.
    4. Mohammad Arashi & Mohammad Mahdi Rounaghi, 2022. "Analysis of market efficiency and fractal feature of NASDAQ stock exchange: Time series modeling and forecasting of stock index using ARMA-GARCH model," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-12, December.
    5. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do cay and cayMS predict stock and housing returns? Evidence from a nonparametric causality test," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 269-279.
    6. Tissaoui, Kais & Azibi, Jamel, 2019. "International implied volatility risk indexes and Saudi stock return-volatility predictabilities," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 65-84.

  491. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Juncal Cunado & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "The Relationship between Healthcare Expenditure and Disposable Personal Income in the US States: A Fractional Integration and Cointegration Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 5407, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Apergis, Nicholas & Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Mukherjee, Zinnia, 2018. "U.S. state-level carbon dioxide emissions: Does it affect health care expenditure?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 521-530.
    2. Nicholas Apergis & Tsangyao Chang & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Convergence of Health Care Expenditures Across the US States: A Reconsideration," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 133(1), pages 303-316, August.
    3. Mehdi Barati & Hadiseh Fariditavana, 2020. "Asymmetric effect of income on the US healthcare expenditure: evidence from the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1979-2008, April.
    4. Jesús Clemente & Angelina Lázaro-Alquézar & Antonio Montañés, 2020. "Does the Great Recession Contribute to the Convergence of Health Care Expenditures in the US States?," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-7, January.
    5. Murthy, Vasudeva N.R. & Okunade, Albert A., 2016. "Determinants of U.S. health expenditure: Evidence from autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 67-73.
    6. Nicholas Apergis & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Zinnia Mukherjee, 2016. "An Analysis of the Relationship between U.S. State Level Carbon Dioxide Emissions and Health Care Expenditure," Working Papers 201618, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Mulatu F. Zerihun & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Are Health Care Expenditures and Personal Disposable Income Characterised by Asymmetric Behaviour? Evidence from US State-Level Data," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 131(2), pages 527-542, March.

  492. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Rudi Steinbach, 2015. "Forecasting Output Growth using a DSGE-Based Decomposition of the South African Yield Curve," Working Papers 201567, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Joao F. Caldeira & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Hudson S. Torrent, 2019. "Forecasting the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the BRICS: Evidence from a Nonparametric Functional Data Analysis," Working Papers 201911, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting the Probability of Recessions in South Africa: The Role of Decomposed Term-Spread and Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201680, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Ronald Ravinesh Kumar & Peter Josef Stauvermann & Hang Thi Thu Vu, 2021. "The Relationship between Yield Curve and Economic Activity: An Analysis of G7 Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-23, February.

  493. Franz Ruch & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Mampho P. Modise & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Forecasting Core Inflation: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 15-08, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotze & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa, vol. 0.
    2. Sukono & Riza Andrian Ibrahim & Moch Panji Agung Saputra & Yuyun Hidayat & Hafizan Juahir & Igif Gimin Prihanto & Nurfadhlina Binti Abdul Halim, 2022. "Modeling Multiple-Event Catastrophe Bond Prices Involving the Trigger Event Correlation, Interest, and Inflation Rates," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(24), pages 1-18, December.

  494. Hossein Hassani & Emmanuel Sirimal Silva & Nikolaos Antonakakis & George Filis & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Forecasting Accuracy Evaluation of Tourist Arrivals: Evidence from Parametric and Non-Parametric Techniques," Working Papers 201552, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Yılmaz, Engin, 2015. "Forecasting tourist arrivals to Turkey," MPRA Paper 68616, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  495. Goodness C. Aye & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Is Gold an Inflation-Hedge? Evidence from an Interrupted Markov-Switching Cointegration Model," Working Papers 201559, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "Copula-based local dependence among energy, agriculture and metal commodities markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    2. Salisu, Afees A. & Adediran, Idris A., 2019. "Assessing the inflation hedging potential of coal and iron ore in Australia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-1.
    3. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Muhammad Shahbaz & Serkan Gunes, 2018. "Does inflation cause gold market price changes? evidence on the G7 countries from the tests of nonparametric quantile causality in mean and variance," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(17), pages 1891-1909, April.
    4. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Oduyemi, Gabriel O., 2021. "How COVID-19 upturns the hedging potentials of gold against oil and stock markets risks: Nonlinear evidences through threshold regression and markov-regime switching models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    5. Claudiu Albulescu & Aviral Tiwari & Qiang Ji, 2020. "Copula-based local dependence between energy, agriculture and metal commodity markets," Papers 2003.04007, arXiv.org.
    6. Blau, Benjamin M. & Griffith, Todd G. & Whitby, Ryan J., 2021. "Inflation and Bitcoin: A descriptive time-series analysis," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    7. Bariviera, Aurelio F. & Font-Ferrer, Alejandro & Sorrosal-Forradellas, M. Teresa & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2019. "An information theory perspective on the informational efficiency of gold price," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    8. Salisu, Afees A. & Raheem, Ibrahim D. & Ndako, Umar B., 2020. "The inflation hedging properties of gold, stocks and real estate: A comparative analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    9. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Naveed Raza & David Roubaud & Jose Arreola Hernandez & Stelios Bekiros, 2019. "Gold as Safe Haven for G-7 Stocks and Bonds: A Revisit," Post-Print hal-02352004, HAL.
    10. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Konstantinos Gkillas, 2019. "Gold-Oil Dependence Dynamics and the Role of Geopolitical Risks: Evidence from a Markov-Switching Time-Varying Copula Model," Working Papers 201918, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Salisu, Afees A. & Adediran, Idris, 2020. "Gold as a hedge against oil shocks: Evidence from new datasets for oil shocks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    12. Yingying Xu & Zhi‐Xin Liu & Chi‐Wei Su & Jaime Ortiz, 2019. "Gold and inflation: Expected inflation effect or carrying cost effect?," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(3), pages 380-398, December.
    13. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Tahir, Hammad, 2021. "What do we know about the inflation-hedging property of precious metals in Africa? The case of leading producers of the commodities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    14. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Raza, Naveed & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Ali, Azwadi, 2017. "Dependence of Stock Markets with Gold and Bonds under Bullish and Bearish Market States," MPRA Paper 78595, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Apr 2017.
    15. Juncal Cunado & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Persistence in Trends and Cycles of Gold and Silver Prices: Evidence from Historical Data," Working Papers 201816, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Wen, Danyan & Wang, Yudong, 2021. "Volatility linkages between stock and commodity markets revisited: Industry perspective and portfolio implications," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    17. Huang, Xiaoyong & Jia, Fei & Xu, Xiangyun & Yu shi,, 2019. "The threshold effect of market sentiment and inflation expectations on gold price," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 77-83.
    18. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Olubiyi, Ebenezer A. & Adedeji, Adedayo O., 2023. "The inflation-hedging performance of industrial metals in the world's most industrialized countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    19. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    20. Salisu, Afees A. & Ndako, Umar B. & Oloko, Tirimisiyu F., 2019. "Assessing the inflation hedging of gold and palladium in OECD countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 357-377.
    21. Valadkhani, Abbas & Nguyen, Jeremy & Chiah, Mardy, 2022. "When is gold an effective hedge against inflation?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    22. Spyros Papathanasiou & Dimitris Kenourgios & Drosos Koutsokostas & Georgios Pergeris, 2023. "Can treasury inflation-protected securities safeguard investors from outward risk spillovers? A portfolio hedging strategy through the prism of COVID-19," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(3), pages 198-211, May.
    23. Song, Yu & Song, Yanqiu & Chang, Shiwei & He, Lele, 2024. "The role of gold in terrorism: Risk aversion or financing source?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    24. Salisu, Afees A. & Adediran, Idris A. & Oloko, Tirimisiyu O. & Ohemeng, William, 2020. "The heterogeneous behaviour of the inflation hedging property of cocoa," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    25. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Sohail, Asiya & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed, 2019. "Does gold act as a hedge against different nuances of inflation? Evidence from Quantile-on-Quantile and causality-in- quantiles approaches," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 602-615.
    26. Yong Jiang & Yi-Shuai Ren & Chao-Qun Ma & Jiang-Long Liu & Basil Sharp, 2018. "Does the price of strategic commodities respond to U.S. Partisan Conflict?," Papers 1810.08396, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
    27. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Muhammad Shahbaz & Serkan Gunes, 2017. "Does Inflation Cause Gold Prices? Evidence from G7 Countries," Working Papers 15-31, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    28. Omar Zulaica, 2020. "What share for gold? On the interaction of gold and foreign exchange reserve returns," BIS Working Papers 906, Bank for International Settlements.
    29. Salami, Monsurat Ayojimi & Tanrıvermiş, Harun & Tanrıvermiş, Yesim, 2024. "Influence of Ukraine invasion by Russia on Turkish markets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    30. Sahoo, Manoranjan & Nayak, Pragyan Parimita & Hanhaga, Manindra & Swain, Kiranbala & Mallick, Rajat Kumar, 2023. "Exploring the asymmetric effect of remittance inflows on gold import demand: Evidence from a large gold-consuming and remittance-receiving country," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    31. Pattnaik, Debidutta & Hassan, M. Kabir & DSouza, Arun & Ashraf, Ali, 2023. "Investment in gold: A bibliometric review and agenda for future research," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    32. Jiang, Yong & Ren, Yi-Shuai & Ma, Chao-Qun & Liu, Jiang-Long & Sharp, Basil, 2020. "Does the price of strategic commodities respond to U.S. partisan conflict?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    33. Goodness C. Aye & Hector Carcel & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Does Gold Act as a Hedge against Inflation in the UK? Evidence from a Fractional Cointegration Approach Over 1257 to 2016," Working Papers 201753, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    34. Valadkhani, Abbas & O'Mahony, Barry, 2024. "Dynamic hedging responses of gold and silver to inflation: A Markov regime-switching VAR analysis∗," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PC).
    35. Antonio N. Bojanic, 2021. "A Markov-Switching Model of Inflation in Bolivia," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-18, March.
    36. Akbar, Muhammad & Iqbal, Farhan & Noor, Farzana, 2019. "Bayesian analysis of dynamic linkages among gold price, stock prices, exchange rate and interest rate in Pakistan," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 154-164.
    37. Abdulsalam Abidemi Sikiru & Afees A. Salisu, 2023. "Hedging against risks associated with travel and tourism stocks during COVID‐19 pandemic: The role of gold," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1872-1882, April.
    38. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2020. "The hedging effectiveness of industrial metals against different oil shocks: Evidence from the four newly developed oil shocks datasets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).

  496. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise & John W. Muteba Mwamba, 2015. "Predicting South African Equity Premium using Domestic and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Indices: Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical Model," Working Papers 201596, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Apergis, Nicholas & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Can (unusual) weather conditions in New York predict South African stock returns?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 377-386.
    2. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Seyedmehdi Hosseini & Chi Keung Marco Lau, 2017. "Does Global Fear Predict Fear in BRICS Stock Markets? Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical VAR Model," Working Papers 201704, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Nicholas Apergis & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Can Weather Conditions in New York Predict South African Stock Returns?," Working Papers 201634, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  497. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Aviral Kumar Twari, 2015. "Time-Varying Correlations between Trade Balance and Stock Prices in the United States over the Period 1792 to 2013," Working Papers 2015100, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Komain Jiranyakul, 2017. "Asset Prices, Real Exchange Rate and Current Account Fluctuations: Some Structural VAR Evidence for Thailand," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 7(2), pages 163-177, December.
    2. Brian Opiyo Yalla & Ferdinand Okoth Othieno, 2023. "Modelling delayed correlation between interest rates and equity market returns," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 1-24, February.

  498. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Won Joong Kim & Clement Kyei, 2015. "The Role of Domestic and Global Economic Policy Uncertainties in Predicting Stock Returns and their Volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quant," Working Papers 201586, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark Wohar, 2015. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201599, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa & Gungor, Hasan & Roubaud, David & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Role of global, regional, and advanced market economic policy uncertainty on bond spreads in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    4. Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Serdar Ongan & Ismet Gocer, 2017. "Testing The Causalities Between Economic Policy Uncertainty And The Us Stock Indices: Applications Of Linear And Nonlinear Approaches," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(04), pages 1-20, December.

  499. Nicholas Apergis & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2015. "Hydroelectricity Consumption and Economic Growth Nexus: Evidence from a Panel of Ten Largest Hydroelectricity Consumers," Working Papers 201538, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Wadström, Christoffer & Wittberg, Emanuel & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Jayasekera, Ranadeva, 2019. "Role of renewable energy on industrial output in Canada," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 626-638.
    2. Farooq, Umar & Ahmed, Jaleel & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2022. "How various energy sources affect industrial investment? Empirical evidence from Asian economies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    3. Mohammad Mafizur Rahman & Istihak Rayhan & Nahid Sultana, 2023. "How Does Electricity Affect Economic Growth? Examining the Role of Government Policy to Selected Four South Asian Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-17, February.
    4. Destek, Mehmet Akif & Aslan, Alper, 2020. "Disaggregated renewable energy consumption and environmental pollution nexus in G-7 countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 1298-1306.
    5. Zhang, Chi & Zhou, Kaile & Yang, Shanlin & Shao, Zhen, 2017. "On electricity consumption and economic growth in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 353-368.
    6. Daniel Ştefan Armeanu & Georgeta Vintilă & Ştefan Cristian Gherghina, 2017. "Does Renewable Energy Drive Sustainable Economic Growth? Multivariate Panel Data Evidence for EU-28 Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-21, March.
    7. Khraief, Naceur & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Mallick, Hrushikesh & Loganathan, Nanthakumar, 2016. "Estimation of Electricity Demand Function for Algeria: Revisit of Time Series Analysis," MPRA Paper 74870, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Nov 2016.
    8. Solarin, Sakiru Adebola & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2019. "Sustainable economic development in China: Modelling the role of hydroelectricity consumption in a multivariate framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 516-531.
    9. Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo & Mary Oluwatoyin Agboola & Husam Rjoub & Ibrahim Adeshola & Ephraim Bonah Agyekum & Nallapaneni Manoj Kumar, 2021. "Linking Economic Growth, Urbanization, and Environmental Degradation in China: What Is the Role of Hydroelectricity Consumption?," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(13), pages 1-14, June.
    10. Bildirici, Melike E. & Gökmenoğlu, Seyit M., 2017. "Environmental pollution, hydropower energy consumption and economic growth: Evidence from G7 countries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 68-85.
    11. Feyyaz Zeren & Nazlıgül Gülcan & Samet Gürsoy & İbrahim Halil Ekşi & Mosab I. Tabash & Magdalena Radulescu, 2023. "The Relationship between Geothermal Energy Consumption, Foreign Direct Investment, and Economic Growth in Geothermal Consumer Countries: Evidence from Panel Fourier Causality Test," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-15, January.
    12. Jose Erazo & Guillermo Barragan & Modesto Pérez-Sánchez & Clotario Tapia & Marco Calahorrano & Victor Hidalgo, 2022. "Geometrical Optimization of Pelton Turbine Buckets for Enhancing Overall Efficiency by Using a Parametric Model—A Case Study: Hydroelectric Power Plant “Illuchi N2” from Ecuador," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-18, November.
    13. Tehmina Zahid & Noman Arshed & Mubbasher Munir & Kamran Hameed, 2021. "Role of energy consumption preferences on human development: a study of SAARC region," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 121-144, February.

  500. Riadh Aloui & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2015. "Uncertainty and Crude Oil Returns," Working Papers 201503, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Salem, Leila Ben & Nouira, Ridha & Jeguirim, Khaled & Rault, Christophe, 2022. "The Determinants of Crude Oil Prices: Evidence from ARDL and Nonlinear ARDL Approaches," IZA Discussion Papers 15666, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Hao-Lin Shao & Ying-Hui Shao & Yan-Hong Yang, 2021. "New insights into price drivers of crude oil futures markets: Evidence from quantile ARDL approach," Papers 2110.02693, arXiv.org.
    3. Claudiu Albulescu, 2020. "Do COVID-19 and crude oil prices drive the US economic policy uncertainty?," Papers 2003.07591, arXiv.org.
    4. Afees Salisu & Idris Adediran, 2021. "Uncertainty Due to Infectious Diseases and Energy Market Volatility," Energy RESEARCH LETTERS, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 1(1), pages 1-4.
    5. Assaf, Ata & Charif, Husni & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between uncertainty and energy markets: Do investor sentiments matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    6. Jihoon Lee & Hong Chong Cho, 2021. "Impact of Structural Oil Price Shock Factors on the Gasoline Market and Macroeconomy in South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-23, February.
    7. Yan, Xiang & Bai, Jiancheng & Li, Xiafei & Chen, Zhonglu, 2022. "Can dimensional reduction technology make better use of the information of uncertainty indices when predicting volatility of Chinese crude oil futures?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    8. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu, 2020. "Coronavirus and oil price crash," Working Papers hal-02507184, HAL.
    9. Dai, Xingyu & Dai, Peng-Fei & Wang, Qunwei & Ouyang, Zhi-Yi, 2023. "The impact of energy-exporting countries’ EPUs on China’s energy futures investors: Risk preference, investment position and investment horizon," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    10. Ding, Yishan, 2018. "A novel decompose-ensemble methodology with AIC-ANN approach for crude oil forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 328-336.
    11. Huthaifa Sameeh Alqaralleh & Ahmad Al-Saraireh & Alessandra Canepa, 2021. "Energy Market Risk Management under Uncertainty: A VaR Based on Wavelet Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(5), pages 130-137.
    12. Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour & Amal Miftah, 2020. "Oil price jumps and the uncertainty of oil supplies in a geopolitical perspective: The role of OPEC’s spare capacity," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 164, pages 18-35.
    13. Xing, Li-Min & Zhang, Yue-Jun, 2022. "Forecasting crude oil prices with shrinkage methods: Can nonconvex penalty and Huber loss help?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    14. Shi, Chunpei & Wei, Yu & Li, Xiafei & Liu, Yuntong, 2023. "Combination forecasts of China's oil futures returns based on multiple uncertainties and their connectedness with oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    15. Pick Schen Yip & Robert Brooks & Hung Xuan Do & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2019. "Dynamic Volatility Spillover Effect between Oil and Agricultural Products," Working Papers 2019-009, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    16. Batten, Jonathan A. & Kinateder, Harald & Szilagyi, Peter G. & Wagner, Niklas F., 2019. "Time-varying energy and stock market integration in Asia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 777-792.
    17. Scarcioffolo, Alexandre R. & Etienne, Xiaoli L., 2021. "Regime-switching energy price volatility: The role of economic policy uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 336-356.
    18. Yang Liu & Liyan Han & Libo Yin, 2018. "Does news uncertainty matter for commodity futures markets? Heterogeneity in energy and non‐energy sectors," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(10), pages 1246-1261, October.
    19. Yuan, Di & Li, Sufang & Li, Rong & Zhang, Feipeng, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty, oil and stock markets in BRIC: Evidence from quantiles analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    20. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mark E Wohar, 2019. "What are the categories of geopolitical risks that could drive oil prices higher? Acts or threats?," Post-Print hal-02409062, HAL.
    21. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2021. "How COVID-19 drives connectedness among commodity and financial markets: Evidence from TVP-VAR and causality-in-quantiles techniques," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    22. Giovanni Bonaccolto & Massimiliano Caporin & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "The Dynamic Impact of Uncertainty in Causing and Forecasting the Distribution of Oil Returns and Risk," Working Papers 201564, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Cheng, Xian & Wu, Peng & Liao, Stephen Shaoyi & Wang, Xuelian, 2023. "An integrated model for crude oil forecasting: Causality assessment and technical efficiency," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    24. Batten, Jonathan A. & Kinateder, Harald & Szilagyi, Peter G. & Wagner, Niklas F., 2017. "Can stock market investors hedge energy risk? Evidence from Asia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 559-570.
    25. Cao, Zhen & Han, Liyan & Wei, Xinbei & Zhang, Qunzi, 2022. "Fear in commodity return prediction," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    26. Adeniyi Adeosun, Opeoluwa & Anagreh, Suhaib & Tabash, Mosab I. & Adedokun, Adebayo, 2023. "Revisiting the connectedness between oil prices and uncertainty indicators in BRICS countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    27. Liu, Fangying & Su, Chi Wei & Tao, Ran & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2024. "Does economic and climate policy uncertainty matter the oil market?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    28. Hyeon-Seok Kim & Hui-Sang Kim & Sun-Yong Choi, 2024. "Investigating the Impact of Agricultural, Financial, Economic, and Political Factors on Oil Forward Prices and Volatility: A SHAP Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(5), pages 1-24, February.
    29. Gong, Mengqi & You, Zhe & Wang, Longle & Ruan, Dapeng, 2024. "Research of the non-linear dynamic relationship between global economic policy uncertainty and crude oil prices," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    30. Sharma, Chandan & Paramati, Sudharshan Reddy, 2021. "Does economic policy uncertainty dampen imports? Commodity-level evidence from India," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 139-149.
    31. Apergis, Nicholas & Hayat, Tasawar & Saeed, Tareq, 2021. "US partisan conflict uncertainty and oil prices," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    32. Li, Xiafei & Wei, Yu, 2018. "The dependence and risk spillover between crude oil market and China stock market: New evidence from a variational mode decomposition-based copula method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 565-581.
    33. Liu, Zhenhua & Zhang, Huiying & Ding, Zhihua & Lv, Tao & Wang, Xu & Wang, Deqing, 2022. "When are the effects of economic policy uncertainty on oil–stock correlations larger? Evidence from a regime-switching analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    34. Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Panagiotakopoulou, Sofia, 2018. "Oil price shocks and uncertainty: How stable is their relationship over time?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 42-53.
    35. Kamal, Javed Bin & Wohar, Mark & Kamal, Khaled Bin, 2022. "Do gold, oil, equities, and currencies hedge economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks during covid crisis?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    36. Oliyide, Johnson A. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Khan, Muhammad A., 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and the volatility connectedness between oil shocks and metal market: An extension," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 136-150.
    37. Karanasos, M. & Yfanti, S., 2021. "On the Economic fundamentals behind the Dynamic Equicorrelations among Asset classes: Global evidence from Equities, Real estate, and Commodities," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    38. Lyu, Yongjian & Yi, Heling & Hu, Yingyi & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Economic uncertainty shocks and China's commodity futures returns: A time-varying perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    39. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2017. "Oil price shocks and policy uncertainty: New evidence on the effects of US and non-US oil production," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 536-546.
    40. Selmi, Refk & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Kasmaoui, Kamal & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Errami, Youssef, 2022. "The dual shocks of the COVID-19 and the oil price collapse: A spark or a setback for the circular economy?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    41. Le, Thai-Ha & Boubaker, Sabri & Bui, Manh Tien & Park, Donghyun, 2023. "On the volatility of WTI crude oil prices: A time-varying approach with stochastic volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    42. Zhaohua Zhang & Roshini Brizmohun & Gang Li & Ping Wang, 2022. "Does economic policy uncertainty undermine stability of agricultural imports? Evidence from China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(3), pages 1-17, March.
    43. Kang, Wensheng & Perez de Gracia, Fernando & Ratti, Ronald A., 2017. "Oil price shocks, policy uncertainty, and stock returns of oil and gas corporations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 344-359.
    44. Atri, Hanen & Kouki, Saoussen & Gallali, Mohamed imen, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 news, panic and media coverage on the oil and gold prices: An ARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    45. Darko B. Vuković & Senanu Dekpo-Adza & Vladislav Khmelnitskiy & Mustafa Özer, 2023. "Spillovers across the Asian OPEC+ Financial Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-23, September.
    46. Jiang, Qisheng & Cheng, Sheng, 2021. "How the fiscal and monetary policy uncertainty of China respond to global oil price volatility: A multi-regime-on-scale approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    47. Chao Liang & Feng Ma & Lu Wang & Qing Zeng, 2021. "The information content of uncertainty indices for natural gas futures volatility forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1310-1324, November.
    48. Yan Ding & Yue Liu & Pierre Failler, 2022. "The Impact of Uncertainties on Crude Oil Prices: Based on a Quantile-on-Quantile Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-35, May.
    49. Mensi, Walid & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Maitra, Debasish & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "Oil, natural gas and BRICS stock markets: Evidence of systemic risks and co-movements in the time-frequency domain," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
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    52. Qian, Lihua & Zeng, Qing & Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng, 2022. "Global tail risk and oil return predictability," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
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    61. Katarzyna Czech & Michal Wielechowski, 2021. "Energy Commodity Price Response to COVID-19: Impact of Epidemic Status, Government Policy, and Stock Market Volatility," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(3), pages 443-453.
    62. Lyu, Yongjian & Wei, Yu & Hu, Yingyi & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Good volatility, bad volatility and economic uncertainty: Evidence from the crude oil futures market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    63. Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Maitra, Debasish, 2021. "Do oil and gas prices influence economic policy uncertainty differently: Multi-country evidence using time-frequency approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 397-420.
    64. Sun, Xiaolei & Chen, Xiuwen & Wang, Jun & Li, Jianping, 2020. "Multi-scale interactions between economic policy uncertainty and oil prices in time-frequency domains," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    65. Narasingha Das & Partha Gangopadhyay, 2023. "Did weekly economic index and volatility index impact US food sales during the first year of the pandemic?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, December.
    66. Dutta, Anupam & Soytas, Ugur & Das, Debojyoti & Bhattacharyya, Asit, 2022. "In search of time-varying jumps during the turmoil periods: Evidence from crude oil futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    67. Avik Sinha & Arshian Sharif & Arnab Adhikari & Ankit Sharma, 2022. "Dependence structure between Indian financial market and energy commodities: a cross-quantilogram based evidence," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 257-287, June.
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    110. Ruixin Su & Jianguo Du & Fakhar Shahzad & Xingle Long, 2020. "Unveiling the Effect of Mean and Volatility Spillover between the United States Economic Policy Uncertainty and WTI Crude Oil Price," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-12, August.
    111. Xiuwen Chen, 2023. "Are the shocks of EPU, VIX, and GPR indexes on the oil-stock nexus alike? A time-frequency analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(48), pages 5637-5652, October.
    112. Le, Thai-Ha & Le, Anh Tu & Le, Ha-Chi, 2021. "The historic oil price fluctuation during the Covid-19 pandemic: What are the causes?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    113. Cheng, Sheng & Han, Lingyu & Cao, Yan & Jiang, Qisheng & Liang, Ruibin, 2022. "Gold-oil dynamic relationship and the asymmetric role of geopolitical risks: Evidence from Bayesian pdBEKK-GARCH with regime switching," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    114. Foglia, Matteo & Palomba, Giulio & Tedeschi, Marco, 2023. "Disentangling the geopolitical risk and its effects on commodities. Evidence from a panel of G8 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
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    116. Xiafei Li & Yu Wei & Xiaodan Chen & Feng Ma & Chao Liang & Wang Chen, 2022. "Which uncertainty is powerful to forecast crude oil market volatility? New evidence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4279-4297, October.
    117. Gong, Xu & Xu, Jun, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and dynamic connectedness between commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    118. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark, 2021. "Financial stress, economic policy uncertainty, and oil price uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    119. Nicholas Apergis & Tasawar Hayat & Tareq Saeed, 2021. "Cyclicality of commodity markets with respect to the U.S. economic policy uncertainty based on granger causality in quantiles," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 50(1), February.
    120. Zhang, Li & Wang, Lu & Wang, Xunxiao & Zhang, Yaojie & Pan, Zhigang, 2022. "How macro-variables drive crude oil volatility? Perspective from the STL-based iterated combination method," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    121. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Oil tail risks and the realized variance of consumer prices in advanced economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    122. Fu, Tong & Huang, Dasen & Feng, Lingbing & Tang, Xiaoping, 2024. "More is better? The impact of predictor choice on the INE oil futures volatility forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    123. Kais Tissaoui & Ilyes Abidi & Nadia Azibi & Mariem Nsaibi, 2024. "Spillover Effects between Crude Oil Returns and Uncertainty: New Evidence from Time-Frequency Domain Approaches," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-24, January.
    124. Khan, Faridoon & Muhammadullah, Sara & Sharif, Arshian & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2024. "The role of green energy stock market in forecasting China's crude oil market: An application of IIS approach and sparse regression models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    125. Saeed, Tareq & Bouri, Elie & Alsulami, Hamed, 2021. "Extreme return connectedness and its determinants between clean/green and dirty energy investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    126. Xinwei Zhao & Xinsong Yang & Geng Peng & Shengjie Yue, 2023. "International Trade and Carbon Emissions: Evaluating the Role of Trade Rule Uncertainty," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-19, July.
    127. Alola, Andrew A. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2022. "Outlook of oil prices and volatility from 1970 to 2040 through global energy mix-security from production to reserves: A nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    128. Emmanuel Apergis & Nicholas Apergis, 2021. "Can the COVID-19 Pandemic and Oil Prices Drive the US Partisan Conflict Index," Energy RESEARCH LETTERS, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 1(1), pages 1-4.
    129. Rasool Dehghanzadeh Shahabad & Mehmet Balcilar, 2022. "Modelling the Dynamic Interaction between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Commodity Prices in India: The Dynamic Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-21, May.
    130. Wei, Wei & Hu, Haiqing & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2022. "Why the same degree of economic policy uncertainty can produce different outcomes in energy efficiency? New evidence from China," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 467-481.
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    132. Alola, Andrew Adewale & Özkan, Oktay & Obekpa, Hephzibah Onyeje, 2023. "Examining the patterns of disaggregate energy security risk and crude oil price: the USA scenario over 1970–2040," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
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    134. Yanhong Feng & Dilong Xu & Pierre Failler & Tinghui Li, 2020. "Research on the Time-Varying Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Crude Oil Price Fluctuation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-24, August.
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  501. Nicholas Apergis & Tsangyao Chang & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Convergence of Health Care Expenditures across the US States: A Reconsideration," Working Papers 201542, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

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    1. Mateusz Tomal, 2024. "A review of Phillips‐Sul approach‐based club convergence tests," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(3), pages 899-930, July.
    2. Kris Ivanovski & Sefa Awaworyi Churchill, 2021. "Has healthcare expenditure converged across Australian states and territories?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 3401-3417, December.
    3. Jesús Clemente & Angelina Lázaro-Alquézar & Antonio Montañés, 2020. "Does the Great Recession Contribute to the Convergence of Health Care Expenditures in the US States?," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-7, January.
    4. Clemente, Jesús & Lázaro-Alquézar, Angelina & Montañés, Antonio, 2019. "Convergence in Spanish Public health expenditure: Has the decentralization process generated disparities?," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(5), pages 503-507.
    5. Clemente, Jesús & Lázaro-Alquézar, Angelina & Montañés, Antonio, 2019. "US state health expenditure convergence: A revisited analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 210-220.
    6. Gülsüm AKARSU & Reyhan CAFRI & Hanife BIDIRDI, 2019. "Are Public-Private Components of Health Care Expenditures Converging Among OECD Countries? Evidence from a Nonlinear Panel Unit Root TestAbstract: Many countries devote an increasing proportion of the," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society.

  502. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Mawuli Segnon, 2015. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting U.S. Recessions: A Mixed-Frequency Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201558, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

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    1. Balcilar, Mehmet & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & van Eyden, Reneé, 2017. "The impact of US policy uncertainty on the monetary effectiveness in the Euro area," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 1052-1064.
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty And The Comovement In Buying Versus Renting In The Usa," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(3), pages 93-121, September.
    3. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2023. "Effect of Economic Uncertainty on Remittances Flows from Developed Countries," EconStor Preprints 279480, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    5. Kazutaka Kurasawa, 2016. "Policy Uncertainty and Foreign Exchange Rates: The DCC-GARCH Model of the US / Japanese Foreign Exchange Rate," International Journal of Economic Sciences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 5(4), pages 1-19, December.
    6. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 541-559, August.
    7. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark Wohar, 2015. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201599, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Whelsy Boungou & Charles Mawusi, 2021. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Banks' Interest Income: Empirical Evidence from an International Panel Dataset," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(3), pages 2003-2011.
    9. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Transmission of US and EU Economic Policy Uncertainty Shock to Asian Economies in Bad and Good Times," IZA Discussion Papers 13274, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    10. Al-Thaqeb, Saud Asaad & Algharabali, Barrak Ghanim, 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty: A literature review," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    11. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Uzuner, Gizem & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Housing sector and economic policy uncertainty: A GMM panel VAR approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 114-126.
    13. Mehmet Balcilar & George Ike & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Output Growth in Emerging Markets: A Mixed-Frequency Granger Causality Approach," Working Papers 201975, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Nikolaos Antonakakis & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2018. "Dynamic Connectedness of Uncertainty across Developed Economies: A Time-Varying Approach," Working Papers 201802, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and the Comovement in Buying versus Renting in the United States," Working Papers 201832, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87, May.
    17. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2022. "A Note On Uncertainty Due To Infectious Diseases And Output Growth Of The United States: A Mixed-Frequency Forecasting Experiment," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(02), pages 1-9, June.
    18. López Noria Gabriela & Bush Georgia, 2019. "Uncertainty and Exchange Rate Volatility: the Case of Mexico," Working Papers 2019-12, Banco de México.
    19. Hai-Jie Wang & Yong Geng & Xi-Qiang Xia & Quan-Jing Wang, 2021. "Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Carbon Emissions: Evidence from 137 Multinational Countries," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(1), pages 1-12, December.
    20. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Reneé van Eyden, 2016. "Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: The Role of US Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201620, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Risse, Marian & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs: The role of economic uncertainty," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 317-337.
    22. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Luu Duc Huynh, Toan, 2020. "The effect of uncertainty on the precious metals market: New insights from Transfer Entropy and Neural Network VAR," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    24. Martina Hengge, 2019. "Uncertainty as a Predictor of Economic Activity," IHEID Working Papers 19-2019, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    25. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    26. Shabir, Mohsin & Jiang, Ping & Bakhsh, Satar & Zhao, Zhongxiu, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and bank stability: Threshold effect of institutional quality and competition," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    27. Duppati, Geeta & Younes, Ben Zaied & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Hunjra, Ahmed Imran, 2023. "Time-varying effects of fuel prices on stock market returns during COVID-19 outbreak," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    28. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Uncertainty and forecastability of regional output growth in the UK: Evidence from machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1049-1064, September.
    29. Sabani, Nazmie & Bales, Stephan & Burghof, Hans-Peter, 2024. "On the different impact of local and national sources of policy uncertainty on sectoral stock volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PB).
    30. Reif Magnus, 2021. "Macroeconomic uncertainty and forecasting macroeconomic aggregates," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 25(2), pages 1-20, April.
    31. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    32. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Aygun, Gurcan & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "The macroeconomic impact of economic uncertainty and financial shocks under low and high financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    33. Yanele Nyamela & Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Frequency-dependent real-time effects of uncertainty in the United States: evidence from daily data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(19), pages 1562-1566, November.
    34. Salisu, Afees A. & Cuñado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Geopolitical risks and historical exchange rate volatility of the BRICS," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 179-190.
    35. Mikhail Stolbov & Alexander Karminsky & Maria Shchepeleva, 2018. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Lead Systemic Risk? A Comparative Analysis of Selected European Countries," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 60(3), pages 332-360, September.
    36. Zhang, Hongwei & Demirer, Riza & Huang, Jianbai & Huang, Wanjun & Tahir Suleman, Muhammad, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and gold return dynamics: Evidence from high-frequency data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    37. Cagli, Efe Caglar & Mandaci, Pinar Evrim, 2023. "Time and frequency connectedness of uncertainties in cryptocurrency, stock, currency, energy, and precious metals markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    38. Christina Christou & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2016. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Returns in Pacific-Rim Countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian Panel VAR Model," Working Papers 201661, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    39. Siwen Zhou, 2021. "Exploring the driving forces of the Bitcoin currency exchange rate dynamics: an EGARCH approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(2), pages 557-606, February.
    40. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Dąbrowski, Marek A., 2019. "How important are different aspects of uncertainty in driving industrial production in the CEE countries?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 252-266.
    41. Zhou, Siwen, 2018. "Exploring the Driving Forces of the Bitcoin Exchange Rate Dynamics: An EGARCH Approach," MPRA Paper 89445, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    42. Zhang, Lixia & Bai, Jiancheng & Zhang, Yueyan & Cui, Can, 2023. "Global economic uncertainty and the Chinese stock market: Assessing the impacts of global indicators," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    43. Lei, Adrian C.H. & Song, Chen, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market activity: Evidence from China," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    44. Saud Asaad Al‐Thaqeb & Barrak Ghanim Algharabali & Khaled Tareq Alabdulghafour, 2022. "The pandemic and economic policy uncertainty," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 2784-2794, July.
    45. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and the U.K. Unemployment Rate: A Forecasting Experiment with Random Forests Using 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 202095, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    46. Hang Su & Yong Geng & Xi-Qiang Xia & Quan-Jing Wang, 2022. "Economic Policy Uncertainty, Social Development, Political Regimes and Environmental Quality," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(4), pages 1-15, February.
    47. Agata Kliber & Magdalena Szyszko & Mariusz Próchniak & Aleksandra Rutkowska, 2023. "Impact of uncertainty on inflation forecast errors in Central and Eastern European countries," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 13(3), pages 535-574, December.
    48. Genc, Ismail H., 2022. "Are Indian Subcontinent remittance markets connected to each other?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    49. Yin DAI & Jing-wen ZHANG & Xiu-zhen YU & Xin LI, 2017. "Causality between economic policy uncertainty and exchange rate in China with considering quantile differences," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(3(612), A), pages 29-38, Autumn.
    50. Uribe, Jorge M. & Chuliá, Helena & Guillén, Montserrat, 2017. "Uncertainty, systemic shocks and the global banking sector: Has the crisis modified their relationship?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 52-68.

  503. Shinhye Chang & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2015. "Causality between Per Capita Real GDP and Income Inequality in the U.S.: Evidence from a Wavelet Analysis," Working Papers 201597, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Edmond Berisha & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Time-Varying Evidence of Predictability of Financial Stress in the United States over a Century: The Role of Inequality," Working Papers 202054, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Murat Cetin & Harun Demir & Selin Saygin, 2021. "Financial Development, Technological Innovation and Income Inequality: Time Series Evidence from Turkey," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 156(1), pages 47-69, July.
    3. Mihaela Simionescu & Bogdan Oancea, 2025. "Does Income Inequality Influence Energy Consumption in the European Union?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(4), pages 1-19, February.
    4. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv, 2019. "Threshold Effects of Inequality on Economic Growth in the US States: The Role of Human Capital to Physical Capital Ratio," Working Papers 201968, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Nai Chiek Aik & Qiurui Zhang, 2023. "Use of Theil for a Specific Duality Economy: Assessing the Impact of Digital Inclusive Finance on Urban-Rural Income Gap in Chongqing," FinTech, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-12, September.
    6. Fugui Li & Weiqi Mu & Siying Li & Xue Li & Jianxin Zhang & Chen Chen & MingJie Zhou, 2022. "Income and Subjective Well-being: Test of a Multilevel Moderated Mediation Model," Applied Research in Quality of Life, Springer;International Society for Quality-of-Life Studies, vol. 17(4), pages 2041-2058, August.
    7. Mehmet Balcilar & Seyi Saint Akadiri & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2019. "Partisan Conflict and Income Inequality in the United States: A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 142(1), pages 65-82, February.
    8. Mohamed Ali Chroufa & Nouri Chtourou, 2022. "Inequality and Growth in Tunisia: New Evidence from Threshold Regression," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 163(2), pages 901-924, September.
    9. Mehmet Balcilar & Seyi Saint Akadiri & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2017. "Partisan Conflict and Income Distribution in the United States: A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working papers 2017-11, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    10. Bruno Ćorić & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Economic disasters and inequality: a note," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 3527-3543, October.

  504. Reneé van Eyden & Tolga Omay & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Inflation-Growth Nexus in Africa: Evidence from a Pooled CCE Multiple Regime Panel Smooth Transition Model," Working Papers 201504, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ndoricimpa Arcade, 2017. "Working Paper 249 - Threshold Effects of Inflation on Economic Growth in Africa: Evidence from a Dynamic Panel Threshold Regression," Working Paper Series 2359, African Development Bank.
    2. Muhammad Azam & Saleem Khan, 2022. "Threshold effects in the relationship between inflation and economic growth: Further empirical evidence from the developed and developing world," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4224-4243, October.
    3. Meng Yan & Zhen An, 2017. "Foreign Direct Investment and Environmental Pollution: New Evidence from China," Econometrics Letters, Bilimsel Mektuplar Organizasyonu (Scientific letters), vol. 4(1), pages 1-17.

  505. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gupta, Rangan & Andre, Christophe, 2015. "Dynamic Co-movements between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Housing Market Returns," MPRA Paper 62464, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Christophe André & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Spillovers between US real estate and financial assets in time and frequency domains," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 38(6), pages 525-537, April.
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty And The Comovement In Buying Versus Renting In The Usa," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(3), pages 93-121, September.
    3. Kazutaka Kurasawa, 2016. "Policy Uncertainty and Foreign Exchange Rates: The DCC-GARCH Model of the US / Japanese Foreign Exchange Rate," International Journal of Economic Sciences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 5(4), pages 1-19, December.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Nicholas Apergis & James E. Payne, 2020. "Modeling the time varying volatility of housing returns: Further evidence from the U.S. metropolitan condominium markets," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(1), pages 24-33, January.
    6. Chang, Kuang-Liang, 2021. "Do U.S. and Japanese uncertainty shocks play important roles in affecting transition mechanisms of Japanese stock market?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    7. Goodness C. Aye & Matthew W. Clance & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Effect of Economic Uncertainty on the Housing Market Cycle," Working Papers 201757, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and the Comovement in Buying versus Renting in the United States," Working Papers 201832, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Hachmi Ben Ameur & Eric Le Fur & Julien Pillot, 2023. "The Influence of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Business Cycles on Fine Wine Prices," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(2), pages 589-608, August.
    10. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hesam Ghodsi & Muris Hadzic, 2021. "On the Link between House Prices and House Permits: Asymmetric Evidence from 51 States of the United States of America," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 24(3), pages 323-361.
    11. Chow Sheung-Chi & Cunado Juncal & Gupta Rangan & Wong Wing-Keung, 2018. "Causal relationships between economic policy uncertainty and housing market returns in China and India: evidence from linear and nonlinear panel and time series models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(2), pages 1-15, April.
    12. OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Nurudeen Abu & Tayo P. Ogundunmade, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty in G7 countries: evidence of long-range dependence and cointegration," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 541-556, May.
    13. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Hassapis, Christis, 2017. "Does economic policy uncertainty forecast real housing returns in a panel of OECD countries? A Bayesian approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 50-60.
    14. Wang, Yu-Min & Lin, Che-Chun & Tsai, I-Chun, 2023. "State transformation of information spillover in asset markets and effective dynamic hedging strategies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    15. Alqahtani, Abdullah & Klein, Tony & Khalid, Ali, 2019. "The impact of oil price uncertainty on GCC stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    16. Oguz Ersan & Sagi Akron & Ender Demir, 2019. "The effect of European and global uncertainty on stock returns of travel and leisure companies," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(1), pages 51-66, February.
    17. Sercan Demiralay & Erhan Kilincarslan, 2024. "Uncertainty Measures and Sector-Specific REITs in a Regime-Switching Environment," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(3), pages 545-584, October.
    18. Engin Bekar, 2022. "The Relationship Between Geopolitical Risks and Housing Returns in Türkiye: Evidence from the Cross – Quantilogram," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 14(2), pages 59-71, June.
    19. Kyriaki Begiazi & Paraskevi Katsiampa, 2019. "Modelling UK House Prices with Structural Breaks and Conditional Variance Analysis," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 290-309, February.
    20. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rinsuna Shivambu, 2020. "Uncertainty and Daily Predictability of Housing Returns and Volatility of the United States: Evidence from a Higher-Order Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 202071, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Ahmed Ali & Granberg Mark & Troster Victor & Uddin Gazi Salah, 2022. "Asymmetric dynamics between uncertainty and unemployment flows in the United States," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 26(1), pages 155-172, February.
    22. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the co-movement of regional housing prices of the United Kingdom," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-22, December.
    23. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Christophe Andre & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Housing Returns and Volatility: Evidence from US State-Level Data," Working Papers 202131, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Hardik A. Marfatia & Christophe André & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Predicting Housing Market Sentiment: The Role of Financial, Macroeconomic and Real Estate Uncertainties," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 189-209, May.
    25. Sabani, Nazmie & Bales, Stephan & Burghof, Hans-Peter, 2024. "On the different impact of local and national sources of policy uncertainty on sectoral stock volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PB).
    26. Liow, Kim Hiang & Liao, Wen-Chi & Huang, Yuting, 2018. "Dynamics of international spillovers and interaction: Evidence from financial market stress and economic policy uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 96-116.
    27. Yin, Xiao-Cui & Li, Xin & Wang, Min-Hui & Qin, Meng & Shao, Xue-Feng, 2021. "Do economic policy uncertainty and its components predict China's housing returns?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    28. Lacerda, Teresa C., 2018. "The Interplay Between Leadership and Adverse Context: The Paradox Explained," 6th International OFEL Conference on Governance, Management and Entrepreneurship. New Business Models and Institutional Entrepreneurs: Leading Disruptive Change (Dubrovnik, 2018), in: 6th International OFEL Conference on Governance, Management and Entrepreneurship. New Business Models and Institutional Entrepreneurs: Leading Disrupt, pages 149-165, Governance Research and Development Centre (CIRU), Zagreb.
    29. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Aygun, Gurcan & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "How Does the Economic Uncertainty Affect Asset Prices under Normal and Financial Distress Times?," IZA Discussion Papers 15296, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    30. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Uncertainty and Predictability of Real Housing Returns in the United Kingdom: A Regional Analysis," Working Papers 202102, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    31. Lacerda, Teresa C., 2019. "Crisis leadership in economic recession: A three-barrier approach to offset external constraints," Business Horizons, Elsevier, vol. 62(2), pages 185-197.
    32. Christophe André & Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Mulatu F. Zerihun, 2017. "Asymmetric Behaviour in Nominal and Real Housing Prices: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Economies," Working Papers 201711, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Alhussaini, Abdullah & Parhi, Mamata, 2022. "How do economies adjust speed at uncertain times?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    34. Liow, Kim Hiang & Huang, Yuting & Song, Jeonseop, 2019. "Relationship between the United States housing and stock markets: Some evidence from wavelet analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    35. Neharika Sobti, 2018. "Domestic intermarket linkages: measuring dynamic return and volatility connectedness among Indian financial markets," DECISION: Official Journal of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Springer;Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, vol. 45(4), pages 325-344, December.
    36. Christophe Andre & Rangan Gupta & John W. Muteba Mwamba, 2016. "Are Housing Price Cycles Asymmetric? Evidence from the US States and Metropolitan Areas," Working Papers 201635, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    37. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Christophe Andre & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Dynamic Spillovers in the United States: Stock Market, Housing, Uncertainty and the Macroeconomy," Working Papers 201521, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    38. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    39. Yao, Can-Zhong & Sun, Bo-Yi, 2018. "The study on the tail dependence structure between the economic policy uncertainty and several financial markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 245-265.
    40. Linyan Dai & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Impact of Uncertainty on State-Level Housing Markets of the United States: The Role of Social Cohesion," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-9, March.
    41. Gholipour, Hassan F. & Tajaddini, Reza & Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza & Yam, Sharon, 2021. "Responses of REITs index and commercial property prices to economic uncertainties: A VAR analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    42. Huang, Wei-Ling & Lin, Wen-Yuan & Ning, Shao-Lin, 2020. "The effect of economic policy uncertainty on China’s housing market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    43. Yang, Chih-Yuan & Chang, Chia-Chien, 2024. "Do economic uncertainty and persistence in housing prices matter on mortgage insurance?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 33-44.
    44. Tan, Sook-Rei & Yeap, Xiu Wei & Li, Changtai & Wang, Wei-Siang & Chia, Wai-Mun, 2024. "Determinants of international Economic Policy Uncertainty transmission: The role of economic openness," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    45. Bossman, Ahmed & Umar, Zaghum & Agyei, Samuel Kwaku & Junior, Peterson Owusu, 2022. "A new ICEEMDAN-based transfer entropy quantifying information flow between real estate and policy uncertainty," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(3), pages 189-205.

  506. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Fernando Perez de Gracia & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Modeling Persistence of Carbon Emission Allowance Prices," Working Papers 201515, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Federico Galán-Valdivieso & Elena Villar-Rubio & María-Dolores Huete-Morales, 2018. "The erratic behaviour of the EU ETS on the path towards consolidation and price stability," International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 18(5), pages 689-706, October.
    2. Fang, Sheng & Lu, Xinsheng & Li, Jianfeng & Qu, Ling, 2018. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis of carbon emission allowance and stock returns," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 551-566.
    3. Segnon, Mawuli & Lux, Thomas & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Modeling and forecasting the volatility of carbon dioxide emission allowance prices: A review and comparison of modern volatility models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 692-704.
    4. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Persistence, Mean-Reversion and Non-linearities in $$\hbox {CO2}$$ CO2 Emissions: Evidence from the BRICS and G7 Countries," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 67(4), pages 869-883, August.
    5. Xiaojian Su & Chao Deng, 2019. "The heterogeneous effects of exchange rate and stock market on CO2 emission allowance price in China: A panel quantile regression approach," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(8), pages 1-11, August.
    6. Chang, Kai & Chen, Rongda & Chevallier, Julien, 2018. "Market fragmentation, liquidity measures and improvement perspectives from China's emissions trading scheme pilots," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 249-260.
    7. Benschop, Thijs & López Cabrera, Brenda, 2017. "Realized volatility of CO2 futures," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2017-025, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    8. Cuihong Ye & Yiguo Chen & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Tsangyao Chang, 2020. "CO2 emissions converge in China and G7 countries? Further evidence from Fourier quantile unit root test," Energy & Environment, , vol. 31(2), pages 348-363, March.
    9. Vlad-Cosmin Bulai & Alexandra Horobet & Oana Cristina Popovici & Lucian Belascu & Sofia Adriana Dumitrescu, 2021. "A VaR-Based Methodology for Assessing Carbon Price Risk across European Union Economic Sectors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-21, December.
    10. Chang, Kai & Pei, Ping & Zhang, Chao & Wu, Xin, 2017. "Exploring the price dynamics of CO2 emissions allowances in China's emissions trading scheme pilots," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 213-223.
    11. Chang, Kai & Zhang, Chao, 2018. "Asymmetric dependence structure between emissions allowances and wholesale diesel/gasoline prices in emerging China's emissions trading scheme pilots," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 124-136.
    12. Chang, Kai & Ge, Fangping & Zhang, Chao & Wang, Weihong, 2018. "The dynamic linkage effect between energy and emissions allowances price for regional emissions trading scheme pilots in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 415-425.
    13. Hanif, Waqas & Arreola Hernandez, Jose & Mensi, Walid & Kang, Sang Hoon & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2021. "Nonlinear dependence and connectedness between clean/renewable energy sector equity and European emission allowance prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).

  507. Nicholas Apergis & Vassilios Babalos & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Identifying Asymmetries between Socially Responsible and Conventional Investments," Working Papers 201537, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Do Sustainable Stocks Offer Diversification Benefits for Conventional Portfolios? An Empirical Analysis of Risk Spillovers and Dynamic Correlations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-18, October.
    2. Joanna Górka & Katarzyna Kuziak, 2022. "Volatility Modeling and Dependence Structure of ESG and Conventional Investments," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-25, January.

  508. Thomas Lux & Mawuli K. Segnon & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Modeling and Forecasting Crude Oil Price Volatility: Evidence from Historical and Recent Data," Working Papers 201511, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Segnon, Mawuli & Lux, Thomas & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Modeling and Forecasting Carbon Dioxide Emission Allowance Spot Price Volatility: Multifractal vs. GARCH-type Volatility Models," FinMaP-Working Papers 46, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.

  509. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Shinhye Chang & Mehmet Balcilar & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Persistence of precious metal prices: a fractional integration approach with structural breaks," NCID Working Papers 06/2015, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.

    Cited by:

    1. Chikashi Tsuji, 2018. "Structural Breaks and Volatility Persistence of Stock Returns: Evidence from the US and UK Equity Markets," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 5(6), pages 76-83, November.
    2. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Trends and Cycles in Historical Gold and Silver Prices," NCID Working Papers 05/2016, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    3. Aikins Abakah, Emmanuel Joel & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Tripathy, Trilochan, 2022. "Stochastic structure of metal prices: Evidence from fractional integration non-linearities and breaks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    4. Liu, Guo-Dong & Su, Chi-Wei, 2019. "The dynamic causality between gold and silver prices in China market: A rolling window bootstrap approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 101-106.
    5. Yarovaya, Larisa & Matkovskyy, Roman & Jalan, Akanksha, 2022. "The COVID-19 black swan crisis: Reaction and recovery of various financial markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    6. Adewuyi, Adeolu O. & Wahab, Bashir A. & Adeboye, Olusegun S., 2020. "Stationarity of prices of precious and industrial metals using recent unit root methods: Implications for markets’ efficiency," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    7. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Monge, Manuel, 2019. "Lithium: Production and estimated consumption. Evidence of persistence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 198-202.
    8. Manuel Monge & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2020. "The Lithium Industry and Analysis of the Beta Term Structure of Oil Companies," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-17, December.
    9. Bao, Dun, 2020. "Dynamics and correlation of platinum-group metals spot prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    10. Naeem, Muhammad & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Mubashra, Sana & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2019. "Modeling volatility of precious metals markets by using regime-switching GARCH models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    11. Agnese, Pablo & Garcia-del-Barrio, Pedro & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & de Gracia, Fernando Perez, 2023. "Precious Metal Prices: A Tale of Four U.S. Recessions," IZA Discussion Papers 16012, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    12. Juncal Cunado & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Persistence in Trends and Cycles of Gold and Silver Prices: Evidence from Historical Data," Working Papers 201816, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2018. "The volatility effect on precious metals prices in a stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters," Working Papers 15-34, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    14. Vigne, Samuel A. & Lucey, Brian M. & O’Connor, Fergal A. & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2017. "The financial economics of white precious metals — A survey," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 292-308.
    15. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Climate risks and forecastability of the realized volatility of gold and other metal prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    16. Pham, Son Duy & Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Do, Hung Xuan, 2022. "Dynamic volatility connectedness between thermal coal futures and major cryptocurrencies: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    17. Wen, Fenghua & Gong, Xu & Cai, Shenghua, 2016. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using HAR-type models with structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 400-413.
    18. Salisu, Afees A. & Ndako, Umar B. & Oloko, Tirimisiyu F., 2019. "Assessing the inflation hedging of gold and palladium in OECD countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 357-377.
    19. Omane-Adjepong, Maurice & Boako, Gidoen & Alagidede, Paul, 2018. "Modelling heterogeneous speculation in Ghana’s foreign exchange market: Evidence from ARFIMA-FIGARCH and Semi-Parametric methods," MPRA Paper 86617, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko & Poza, Carlos, 2024. "Volatility persistence in metal prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    21. Yong Jiang & Yi-Shuai Ren & Chao-Qun Ma & Jiang-Long Liu & Basil Sharp, 2018. "Does the price of strategic commodities respond to U.S. Partisan Conflict?," Papers 1810.08396, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
    22. Kirkulak-Uludag, Berna & Lkhamazhapov, Zorikto, 2016. "The volatility dynamics of spot and futures gold prices: Evidence from Russia," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 474-484.
    23. Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Upward/downward multifractality and efficiency in metals futures markets: The impacts of financial and oil crises," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    24. Omane-Adjepong, Maurice & Boako, Gideon, 2017. "Long-range dependence in returns and volatility of global gold market amid financial crises," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 472(C), pages 188-202.
    25. An, Pengli & Li, Huajiao & Zhou, Jinsheng & Li, Yang & Sun, Bowen & Guo, Sui & Qi, Yajie, 2020. "Volatility spillover of energy stocks in different periods and clusters based on structural break recognition and network method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    26. Nicholas Apergis & Tasawar Hayat & Tareq Saeed, 2021. "Cyclicality of commodity markets with respect to the U.S. economic policy uncertainty based on granger causality in quantiles," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 50(1), February.
    27. Wahab, Bashir A. & Adewuyi, Adeolu O., 2021. "Analysis of major properties of metal prices using new methods: Structural breaks, non-linearity, stationarity and bubbles," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    28. Jiang, Yong & Ren, Yi-Shuai & Ma, Chao-Qun & Liu, Jiang-Long & Sharp, Basil, 2020. "Does the price of strategic commodities respond to U.S. partisan conflict?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    29. Bravo Caro, José Manuel & Golpe, Antonio A. & Iglesias, Jesús & Vides, José Carlos, 2020. "A new way of measuring the WTI – Brent spread. Globalization, shock persistence and common trends," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    30. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Evidence of persistence in U.S. short and long-term interest rates," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 775-789.
    31. Apergis, Nicholas & Carmona-González, Nieves & Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko, 2020. "Persistence in silver prices and the influence of solar energy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    32. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin, 2019. "The volatility effect on precious metals price returns in a stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
    33. Krzysztof Drachal, 2018. "Some Novel Bayesian Model Combination Schemes: An Application to Commodities Prices," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-27, August.
    34. Alper Kara & Dilem Yildirim & G. Ipek Tunc, 2023. "Market efficiency in non-renewable resource markets: evidence from stationarity tests with structural changes," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 36(2), pages 279-290, June.
    35. Alper Kara & Dilem Yıldırım & Gül İpek Tunç, 2021. "Market Efficiency In Non-Renewable Resource Markets: Evidence From Stationarity Tests With Structural Changes," ERC Working Papers 2103, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Apr 2021.

  510. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden & Kirsten Thompson, 2015. "Comparing the Forecasting Ability of Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 15-06, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & David Roubaud & Ojonugwa Usman & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Testing the asymmetric effects of exchange rate pass‐through in BRICS countries: Does the state of the economy matter?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 188-233, January.
    2. Alahverdi, Atefe & Daei-Karimzadeh, Saeed & Ghobadi, Sara, 2023. "Forecasting the Trend of Macroeconomic Variables in Terms of Financial Conditions Index in Iran: TVP-FAVAR Approach (in Persian)," The Journal of Planning and Budgeting (٠صلنامه برنامه ریزی و بودجه), Institute for Management and Planning studies, vol. 28(3), pages 161-185, December.
    3. Nima Nonejad, 2021. "An Overview Of Dynamic Model Averaging Techniques In Time‐Series Econometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 566-614, April.
    4. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Fed’s unconventional monetary policy and risk spillover in the US financial markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 42-52.
    5. Adél Bosch & Steven F. Koch, 2020. "The South African Financial Cycle and its Relation to Household Deleveraging," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(2), pages 145-173, June.
    6. Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Usman, Ojonugwa & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Moving out of the linear rut: A period-specific and regime-dependent exchange rate and oil price pass-through in the BRICS countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    7. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa & Duman, Gazi Murat, 2024. "Nonlinear network connectedness: Assessing financial risk transmission in MENA and influence of external financial conditions," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    8. Kaelo Ntwaepelo & Grivas Chiyaba, 2022. "Financial Stability Surveillance Tools: Evaluating the Performance of Stress Indices," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2022-06, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
    9. Lulu Yang & Yankai Gai & An Zhang & Lihui Wang, 2024. "Analysis of the Impact of U.S. Trade Policy Uncertainty on China’s Grain Trade," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-23, May.
    10. Mehmet Balcilar & David Roubaud & Ojonugwa Usman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Testing the Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate and Oil Price Pass-Through in BRICS Countries: Does the state of the economy matter?," Working Papers 15-49, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    11. Manamani SAHOO, 2017. "Financial conditions index (FCI), inflation and growth: Some evidence," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(3(612), A), pages 147-172, Autumn.

  511. Aviral K. Tiwari & Claudiu T. Albulescu & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Time-Frequency Relationship between U.S. Output with Commodity and Asset Prices," Working Papers 201523, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Białkowski, Jędrzej & Dang, Huong Dieu & Wei, Xiaopeng, 2022. "High policy uncertainty and low implied market volatility: An academic puzzle?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(3), pages 1185-1208.
    2. Oscar V. De la Torre-Torres & José Álvarez-García & María de la Cruz del Río-Rama, 2024. "An EM/MCMC Markov-Switching GARCH Behavioral Algorithm for Random-Length Lumber Futures Trading," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-20, February.
    3. Zhu, Huiming & Xia, Xiling & Hau, Liya & Zeng, Tian & Deng, Xi, 2024. "Time-frequency higher-order moment Co-movement and connectedness between Chinese stock and commodity markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    4. Manuel Monge & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2020. "The Lithium Industry and Analysis of the Beta Term Structure of Oil Companies," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-17, December.
    5. Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark, 2017. "Forecasting oil and stock returns with a Qual VAR using over 150years off data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 181-186.
    6. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & John W. Muteba Mwamba, 2016. "Dynamic Comovements Between Housing and Oil Markets in the US over 1859 to 2013: a Note," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 44(3), pages 377-386, September.
    7. Thomas Conlon & Brian M. Lucey & Gazi Salah Uddin, 2018. "Is gold a hedge against inflation? A wavelet time-scale perspective," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 317-345, August.
    8. Sharma, Gagan Deep & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Talan, Gaurav & Jain, Mansi, 2021. "Revisiting the sustainable versus conventional investment dilemma in COVID-19 times," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    9. Xu Zhang & Xiaoxing Liu & Jianqin Hang & Dengbao Yao, 2018. "The dynamic causality between commodity prices, inflation and output in China: a bootstrap rolling window approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(4), pages 407-425, January.
    10. Funashima, Yoshito, 2016. "Governmentally amplified output volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 462(C), pages 469-478.

  512. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2015. "South African Stock Returns Predictability using Domestic and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201570, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Uzuner, Gizem & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Housing sector and economic policy uncertainty: A GMM panel VAR approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 114-126.
    2. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa & Gungor, Hasan & Roubaud, David & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Role of global, regional, and advanced market economic policy uncertainty on bond spreads in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    3. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Adetokunbo, Abiodun M., 2021. "On the connection between oil and global foreign exchange markets: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    4. Abid, Ilyes & Dhaoui, Abderrazak & Kaabia, Olfa & Tarchella, Salma, 2023. "Geopolitical risk on energy, agriculture, livestock, precious and industrial metals: New insights from a Markov Switching model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    5. Serdar Ongan & Ismet Gocer, 2017. "Testing The Causalities Between Economic Policy Uncertainty And The Us Stock Indices: Applications Of Linear And Nonlinear Approaches," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(04), pages 1-20, December.
    6. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong & Kyei, Clement, 2019. "The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 150-163.
    7. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Agbatogun, Taofeek, 2021. "How does economic policy uncertainty connect with the dynamic spillovers between precious metals and bitcoin markets?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    8. Nguyen, Dat Thanh & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Anglingkusumo, Reza & Sasongko, Aryo, 2021. "US government shutdowns and Indonesian stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    9. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa & Duman, Gazi Murat, 2024. "Nonlinear network connectedness: Assessing financial risk transmission in MENA and influence of external financial conditions," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    10. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin & Dauda, Mariam, 2023. "Uncertainty due to infectious diseases and bitcoin-gold nexus: Evidence from a non-parametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    11. Nicholas Apergis & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Can Weather Conditions in New York Predict South African Stock Returns?," Working Papers 201634, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  513. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2015. "The Predictability of cay and cayMS for Stock and Housing Returns: A Nonparametric Causality in Quantile Test," Working Papers 201577, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Chang, Tsangyao & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Predicting stock market movements with a time-varying consumption-aggregate wealth ratio," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 458-467.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Eric Olson, 2020. "Effect of uncertainty on U.S. stock returns and volatility: evidence from over eighty years of high-frequency data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(16), pages 1305-1311, September.

  514. Ghassen El Montasser & Kenza Aggad & Louise Clark & Rangan Gupta & Shannon Kemp, 2014. "Causal Link between Oil Price and Uncertainty in India," Working Papers 201467, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Riadh Aloui & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2015. "Uncertainty and crude oil returns," Working papers 2015-03, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.

  515. Ahdi N. Ajmi & Rangan Gupta & Monique Kruger & Nicola Schoeman & Leoné Walters, 2014. "The Nonparametric Relationship between Oil and South African Agricultural Prices," Working Papers 201461, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Aye, Goodness C., 2016. "Causality between Oil Price and South Africa's Food Price: Time Varying Approach - Relazione di causalità tra prezzo del petrolio e pr ezzo dei prodotti alimentari in Sud Africa: un approccio time var," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 69(3), pages 193-212.

  516. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Won Joong Kim, 2014. "Forecasting the Price of Gold Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Papers 201415, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sahay, Arvind & Jaikumar, Saravana, 2016. "Does Pharmaceutical Price Regulation Result in Greater Access to Essential Medicines? Study of the impact of drug price control order on sales volume of drugs in India," IIMA Working Papers WP2016-02-01, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    2. Han, Liyan & Xu, Yang & Yin, Libo, 2017. "Does investor attention matter? The attention-return relation in gold futures market," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-37, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Jan Prüser, 2019. "Adaptive learning from model space," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(1), pages 29-38, January.
    4. Hassanniakalager, Arman & Sermpinis, Georgios & Stasinakis, Charalampos, 2021. "Trading the foreign exchange market with technical analysis and Bayesian Statistics," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 230-251.
    5. Yi-Ting Chen & Chu-An Liu, 2021. "Model Averaging for Asymptotically Optimal Combined Forecasts," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 21-A002, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
    6. Madziwa, Lawrence & Pillalamarry, Mallikarjun & Chatterjee, Snehamoy, 2022. "Gold price forecasting using multivariate stochastic model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    7. Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do terror attacks predict gold returns? Evidence from a quantile-predictive-regression approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 276-284.
    8. Yang Zhao & Charalampos Stasinakis & Georgios Sermpinis & Filipa Da Silva Fernandes, 2019. "Revisiting Fama–French factors' predictability with Bayesian modelling and copula‐based portfolio optimization," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 1443-1463, October.
    9. Krzysztof Drachal, 2018. "Determining Time-Varying Drivers of Spot Oil Price in a Dynamic Model Averaging Framework," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-24, May.
    10. Zhang, Pinyi & Ci, Bicong, 2020. "Deep belief network for gold price forecasting," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    11. Hassani, Hossein & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Filis, George & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Forecasting accuracy evaluation of tourist arrivals," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 112-127.
    12. Alahverdi, Atefe & Daei-Karimzadeh, Saeed & Ghobadi, Sara, 2023. "Forecasting the Trend of Macroeconomic Variables in Terms of Financial Conditions Index in Iran: TVP-FAVAR Approach (in Persian)," The Journal of Planning and Budgeting (٠صلنامه برنامه ریزی و بودجه), Institute for Management and Planning studies, vol. 28(3), pages 161-185, December.
    13. Nima Nonejad, 2021. "An Overview Of Dynamic Model Averaging Techniques In Time‐Series Econometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 566-614, April.
    14. Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Hossein Hassani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "The ENSO cycle and forecastability of global inflation and output growth: Evidence from standard and mixed‐frequency multivariate singular spectrum analyses," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1690-1707, November.
    15. Hossein Hassani & Emmanuel Sirimal Silva & Rangan Gupta & Mawuli K. Segnon, 2015. "Forecasting the price of gold," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(39), pages 4141-4152, August.
    16. Cheng, Xian & Wu, Peng & Liao, Stephen Shaoyi & Wang, Xuelian, 2023. "An integrated model for crude oil forecasting: Causality assessment and technical efficiency," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    17. Donghua Wang & Yang Xin & Xiaohui Chang & Xingze Su, 2021. "Realized volatility forecasting and volatility spillovers: Evidence from Chinese non‐ferrous metals futures," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2713-2731, April.
    18. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Liu, Jing & Wei, Yu & Ma, Feng & Wahab, M.I.M., 2017. "Forecasting the realized range-based volatility using dynamic model averaging approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 12-26.
    20. Bouri, Elie & Jalkh, Naji, 2024. "Flight-to-safety across time and market conditions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    21. Ender Demir & Giray Gozgor, 2016. "The Impact Of Economic Policy Uncertainty On The Vehicle Miles Traveled (Vmt) In The U.S," Eurasian Journal of Business and Management, Eurasian Publications, vol. 4(3), pages 39-48.
    22. Dibooglu, Sel & Cevik, Emrah I. & Gillman, Max, 2022. "Gold, silver, and the US dollar as harbingers of financial calm and distress," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 200-210.
    23. Drachal, Krzysztof, 2019. "Forecasting prices of selected metals with Bayesian data-rich models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    24. Fang, Libing & Yu, Honghai & Xiao, Wen, 2018. "Forecasting gold futures market volatility using macroeconomic variables in the United States," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 249-259.
    25. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    26. O'Connor, Fergal & Lucey, Brian & Batten, Jonathan & Baur, Dirk, 2015. "The Financial Economics of Gold - a survey," MPRA Paper 65484, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    27. Qian, Yao & Ralescu, Dan A. & Zhang, Bo, 2019. "The analysis of factors affecting global gold price," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    28. Mahdi Kalantari & Hossein Hassani, 2019. "Automatic Grouping in Singular Spectrum Analysis," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 1(1), pages 1-16, October.
    29. Pierdzioch, Christian & Risse, Marian & Rohloff, Sebastian, 2015. "A real-time quantile-regression approach to forecasting gold returns under asymmetric loss," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 299-306.
    30. Wang, Xinya & Lucey, Brian & Huang, Shupei, 2022. "Can gold hedge against oil price movements: Evidence from GARCH-EVT wavelet modeling," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    31. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium using dynamic model averaging. Does the state–space representation matter?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    32. Drachal, Krzysztof, 2016. "Forecasting spot oil price in a dynamic model averaging framework — Have the determinants changed over time?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 35-46.
    33. Chen, Jinyu & Wang, Yilin & Ren, Xiaohang, 2023. "Asymmetric effect of financial stress on China’s precious metals market: Evidence from a quantile-on-quantile regression," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    34. Liu, Weiping & Wang, Chengzhu & Li, Yonggang & Liu, Yishun & Huang, Keke, 2021. "Ensemble forecasting for product futures prices using variational mode decomposition and artificial neural networks," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    35. Baur, Dirk G. & Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2020. "The Relative Valuation Of Gold," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(6), pages 1346-1391, September.
    36. Nuri Hacıevliyagil & Krzysztof Drachal & Ibrahim Halil Eksi, 2022. "Predicting House Prices Using DMA Method: Evidence from Turkey," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-27, March.
    37. Andrew Urquhart, 2017. "How predictable are precious metal returns?," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(14), pages 1390-1413, November.
    38. Risse, Marian & Ohl, Ludwig, 2017. "Using dynamic model averaging in state space representation with dynamic Occam’s window and applications to the stock and gold market," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 158-176.
    39. Shang, Yue & Wei, Yu & Chen, Yongfei, 2022. "Cryptocurrency policy uncertainty and gold return forecasting: A dynamic Occam's window approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    40. Risse, Marian, 2019. "Combining wavelet decomposition with machine learning to forecast gold returns," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 601-615.
    41. Feng Ma & Xinjie Lu & Lu Wang & Julien Chevallier, 2021. "Global economic policy uncertainty and gold futures market volatility: Evidence from Markov regime‐switching GARCH‐MIDAS models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(6), pages 1070-1085, September.
    42. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    43. Hassani, Hossein & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Gupta, Rangan & Das, Sonali, 2018. "Predicting global temperature anomaly: A definitive investigation using an ensemble of twelve competing forecasting models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 121-139.
    44. Robert A. Hill & Paulo M. M. Rodrigues, 2022. "Forgetting approaches to improve forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1356-1371, November.
    45. Behnamian, Mehdi & Shojaee, Abdul Nasser & Haji, Gholamali, 2021. "Investigating the Effective Factors in the Growth of Private Sector Investment in Iran," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 7(4), pages 84-57, February.
    46. Dong, Xiyong & Zhang, John F., 2024. "Heterogeneity of regional carbon emission markets in China: Evidence from multidimensional determinants," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    47. Dong, Xiyong & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2019. "What global economic factors drive emerging Asian stock market returns? Evidence from a dynamic model averaging approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 204-215.
    48. Pierdzioch, Christian & Risse, Marian & Rohloff, Sebastian, 2016. "A quantile-boosting approach to forecasting gold returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 38-55.
    49. Liu, Qing & Liu, Min & Zhou, Hanlu & Yan, Feng, 2022. "A multi-model fusion based non-ferrous metal price forecasting," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    50. Yu Zhao & Xi Zhang & Zhongshun Shi & Lei He, 2017. "Grain Price Forecasting Using a Hybrid Stochastic Method," Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research (APJOR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 34(05), pages 1-24, October.
    51. Zhang, Hongwei & Demirer, Riza & Huang, Jianbai & Huang, Wanjun & Tahir Suleman, Muhammad, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and gold return dynamics: Evidence from high-frequency data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    52. Semeyutin, Artur & Downing, Gareth, 2022. "Co-jumps in the U.S. interest rates and precious metals markets and their implications for investors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    53. Perry Sadorsky, 2021. "Predicting Gold and Silver Price Direction Using Tree-Based Classifiers," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-21, April.
    54. Apergis, Nicholas & Eleftheriou, Sofia, 2016. "Gold returns: Do business cycle asymmetries matter? Evidence from an international country sample," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 164-170.
    55. Taicir Mezghani & Mouna Boujelbène Abbes, 2023. "Forecast the Role of GCC Financial Stress on Oil Market and GCC Financial Markets Using Convolutional Neural Networks," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(3), pages 505-530, September.
    56. Dong, Xiyong & Song, Li & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2021. "How have the dependence structures between stock markets and economic factors changed during the COVID-19 pandemic?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    57. Chaya Bagrecha & Kuldeep Singh & Geeti Sharma & P. B. Saranya, 2025. "Forecasting silver prices: a univariate ARIMA approach and a proposed model for future direction," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 38(1), pages 131-141, March.
    58. Wang, TianTian & Zhang, Dayong & Clive Broadstock, David, 2019. "Financialization, fundamentals, and the time-varying determinants of US natural gas prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 707-719.
    59. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Intrinsic decompositions in gold forecasting," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    60. Hossein Hassani & Mahdi Kalantari & Zara Ghodsi, 2019. "Evaluating the Performance of Multiple Imputation Methods for Handling Missing Values in Time Series Data: A Study Focused on East Africa, Soil-Carbonate-Stable Isotope Data," Stats, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-11, December.
    61. Díaz, Juan D. & Hansen, Erwin & Cabrera, Gabriel, 2023. "Gold risk premium estimation with machine learning methods," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    62. Pattnaik, Debidutta & Hassan, M. Kabir & DSouza, Arun & Ashraf, Ali, 2023. "Investment in gold: A bibliometric review and agenda for future research," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    63. Edson VENGESAI & Adefemi A. OBALADE & Paul-Francois MUZINDUTSI, 2021. "Country Risk Dynamics and Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from the JSE Cross-Sector Analysis," Journal of Economics and Financial Analysis, Tripal Publishing House, vol. 5(2), pages 63-84.
    64. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Owusu Junior, Peterson & Ahmad, Nasir & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Time-varying risk analysis for commodity futures," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    65. Zhongxin Ni & Xing Lu & Wenjun Xue, 2021. "Does the belt and road initiative resolve the steel overcapacity in China? Evidence from a dynamic model averaging approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 279-307, July.
    66. Dichtl, Hubert, 2020. "Forecasting excess returns of the gold market: Can we learn from stock market predictions?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 19(C).
    67. Zhang, Zhikai & Wang, Yudong & Zhang, Yaojie & Wang, Qunwei, 2024. "Forecasting carbon prices under diversified attention: A dynamic model averaging approach with common factors," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    68. Baur, Dirk G. & Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2016. "A melting pot — Gold price forecasts under model and parameter uncertainty," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 282-291.
    69. Shrestha, Keshab & Naysary, Babak, 2023. "ESG and economic policy uncertainty: A wavelet application," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PD).
    70. Krzysztof Drachal, 2018. "Some Novel Bayesian Model Combination Schemes: An Application to Commodities Prices," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-27, August.
    71. Vasilios Plakandaras & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2021. "Gold Against the Machine," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 5-28, January.
    72. Christian Pierdzioch & Marian Risse, 2020. "Forecasting precious metal returns with multivariate random forests," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1167-1184, March.

  517. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Evolution of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the US: The Role of Asset Returns," Working Papers 1405, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Stephen M. Miller & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "U.S. Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices: The Role of Partisan Conflict," Working Papers 201742, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Constantinos Katrakilidis & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Role of Macroeconomic Shocks on House Prices in the US and UK: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201765, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Changing Dynamics of the U.S. REITs Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-12, May.
    4. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Yue-Jun Zhang, 2020. "Bear, Bull, Sidewalk, and Crash: The Evolution of the US Stock Market Using Over a Century of Daily Data," Working Papers 202097, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Theodoridis, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark E., 2023. "Is there a national housing market bubble brewing in the United States?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(8), pages 2191-2228, December.
    6. Petre Caraiani & Adrian C. Călin & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Monetary policy and bubbles in US REITs," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 675-687, June.
    7. I-Chun Tsai & Che-Chun Lin, 2019. "Variations and Influences of Connectedness among US Housing Markets," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 22(1), pages 27-58.
    8. Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "125 Years of Time-Varying Effects of Fiscal Policy on Financial Markets," Working papers 2020-12, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    9. Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2022. "Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on Housing Prices in the United States: The Role of Sentiment," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 241-261, July.
    10. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Herwartz, Helmut & Maxand, Simone & Rohloff, Hannes, 2018. "Lean against the wind or float with the storm? Revisiting the monetary policy asset price nexus by means of a novel statistical identification approach," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 354, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    12. Chyi Lin Lee & Simon Stevenson & Ming‐Long Lee, 2018. "Low‐frequency volatility of real estate securities and macroeconomic risk," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 58(S1), pages 311-342, November.
    13. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Christophe Andre & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Dynamic Spillovers in the United States: Stock Market, Housing, Uncertainty and the Macroeconomy," Working Papers 201521, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    15. Felix S. Nyumuah, 2018. "An Empirical Analysis of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism of Developing Economies: Evidence from Ghana," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(4), pages 72-83, April.

  518. Hossein Hassani & Zara Ghodsi & Rangan Gupta & Mawuli K. Segnon, 2014. "Forecasting Home Sales in the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy Using Singular Spectrum Analysis," Working Papers 201482, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "The role of real estate uncertainty in predicting US home sales growth: evidence from a quantiles-based Bayesian model averaging approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(5), pages 528-536, January.
    2. Rosa Drift & Jan Haan & Peter Boelhouwer, 2024. "Forecasting House Prices through Credit Conditions: A Bayesian Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(6), pages 3381-3405, December.
    3. Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Hossein Hassani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "The ENSO cycle and forecastability of global inflation and output growth: Evidence from standard and mixed‐frequency multivariate singular spectrum analyses," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1690-1707, November.
    4. Moro Matheus Fernando & Weise Andreas Dittmar & Bornia Antonio Cezar, 2020. "Model Hybrid for Sales Forecast for the Housing Market of São Paulo," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 28(3), pages 45-64, September.
    5. MeiChi Huang, 2019. "A Nationwide or Localized Housing Crisis? Evidence from Structural Instability in US Housing Price and Volume Cycles," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(4), pages 1547-1563, April.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Vasilios Plakandaras & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "The Role of Housing Sentiment in Forecasting US Home Sales Growth: Evidence from a Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201842, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  519. Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander, 2014. "Endogenous Fluctuations in an Endogenous Growth Model with Inflation Targeting," Working Papers 201432, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

  520. Goodness C. Aye & Frederick W. Deale & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Does Debt Ceiling and Government Shutdown Help in Forecasting the US Equity Risk Premium?," Working Papers 201422, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Onur Polat & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Can Municipal Bonds Hedge US State-Level Climate Risks?," Working Papers 202419, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  521. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Ahdi N. Ajmi & Ghassen El Montasser & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Research Output and Economic Growth in G7 Countries: New Evidence from Asymmetric Panel Causality Testing," Working Papers 201438, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Hatemi-J, Abdulnasser, 2011. "Asymmetric Panel Causality Tests with an Application to the Impact of Fiscal Policy on Economic Performance in Scandinavia," MPRA Paper 55527, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Amine Lahiani & Chi-Chuan Lee & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2019. "Asymmetric dynamics of insurance premium: the impacts of output and economic policy uncertainty," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(6), pages 1959-1978, December.
    3. Peter Vinkler, 2018. "Structure of the scientific research and science policy," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 114(2), pages 737-756, February.
    4. Samuel Gyedu & Heng Tang & Michael Verner Menyah & George Duodu Kissi, 2024. "The Relationship Between Intellectual Property Rights, Innovation, and Economic Development in the G20 and Selected Developing Countries," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(4), pages 18223-18256, December.
    5. Clement Olalekan Olaniyi & Olaolu Richard Olayeni, 2020. "A new perspective into the relationship between CEO pay and firm performance: evidence from Nigeria’s listed firms," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 22(2), pages 250-277, December.
    6. Xu, Xu & Reed, Markum, 2021. "The impact of internet access on research output - a cross-country study," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    7. R. Inglesi-Lotz & A. Hakimi & A. Pouris, 2018. "Patents vs publications and R&D: three sides of the same coin? Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) for OECD and BRICS countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(45), pages 4912-4923, September.
    8. M. Gouveia & R. Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Examining the relationship between climate change-related research output and CO2 emissions," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 126(11), pages 9069-9111, November.
    9. Peng, Yi-Ting & Chang, Tsangyao & Ranjbar, Omid & Xiang, Feiyun, 2024. "Has the COVID-19 pandemic shock transmitted to the u.s. stock market: Evidence using bootstrap (A)symmetric fourier granger causality test in quantiles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    10. Julius Tan Gonzales, 2023. "Implications of AI innovation on economic growth: a panel data study," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 12(1), pages 1-37, December.
    11. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Rangan Gupta & Axel Kasongo & Thabo Mboweni & Ndivhuho Netshitenzhe, 2018. "Does tourism cause growth asymmetrically in a panel of G-7 countries? A short note," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 45(1), pages 49-57, February.
    12. Tânia Pinto & Aurora A. C. Teixeira, 2024. "Research output and economic growth in technological laggard contexts: a longitudinal analysis (1980–2019) by type of research," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 129(3), pages 1197-1230, March.
    13. Chien‐Chiang Lee & Chi‐Chuan Lee & Donald Lien, 2019. "Do country risk and financial uncertainty matter for energy commodity futures?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 366-383, March.
    14. Gyedu, Samuel & Heng, Tang & Ntarmah, Albert Henry & He, Yingqi & Frimppong, Emmanuel, 2021. "The impact of innovation on economic growth among G7 and BRICS countries: A GMM style panel vector autoregressive approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    15. Wanjun Xia & Buhari Doğan & Umer Shahzad & Festus Fatai Adedoyin & Abiodun Popoola & Muhammad Adnan Bashir, 2022. "An empirical investigation of tourism-led growth hypothesis in the European countries: evidence from augmented mean group estimator," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 21(2), pages 239-266, May.
    16. Saad Ahmed Javed & Sifeng Liu, 2018. "Predicting the research output/growth of selected countries: application of Even GM (1, 1) and NDGM models," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 115(1), pages 395-413, April.
    17. Henry Laverde-Rojas & Juan C. Correa, 2019. "Can scientific productivity impact the economic complexity of countries?," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 120(1), pages 267-282, July.
    18. Tânia Pinto & Aurora Teixeira, 2023. "Does scientific research output matter for Portugal’s economic growth?," GEE Papers 0174, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia, revised Jul 2023.
    19. Özşahin, Şerife & Üçler, Gülbahar, 2017. "Asymmetric Relationship between Institutional Quality and Remittance Inflows: Empirical Evidence for Turkey," Bulletin of Economic Theory and Analysis, BETA Journals, vol. 2(3), pages 189-204, July-Sept.
    20. Hongquan Shen & Juan Xie & Jiang Li & Ying Cheng, 2021. "The correlation between scientific collaboration and citation count at the paper level: a meta-analysis," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 126(4), pages 3443-3470, April.
    21. Tânia Pinto & Aurora A. C. Teixeira, 2020. "The impact of research output on economic growth by fields of science: a dynamic panel data analysis, 1980–2016," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 123(2), pages 945-978, May.
    22. Hamid Sepehrdoust & Mohsen Tartar & Razieh Davarikish, 2021. "Does Scientific Productivity Stimulate Intensified Technology Exports in Developing Economies," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 12(4), pages 2111-2135, December.

  522. Vassilios Babalos & Mehmet Balcilar & Tumisang B. Loate & Shingie Chisoro, 2014. "Did Baltic stock markets offer diversification benefits during the recent financial turmoil? Novel evidence from a nonparametric causality in quantiles test," Working Papers 201471, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Olanrewaju I. Shittu & OlaOluwa S. Yaya, 2016. "Market Efficiency of Baltic Stock Markets: A Fractional Integration Approach," Working Papers 201617, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  523. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2014. "Regime Switching Model of US Crude Oil and Stock Market Prices: 1859 to 2013," Working Papers 201429, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Lemeng & Lazrak, Skander & Wang, Yan & Welch, Robert, 2019. "Pure momentum is priced," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 75-89.
    2. Nidhaleddine Ben Cheikh & Sami Ben Naceur & Oussama Kanaan & Christophe Rault, 2018. "Oil Prices and GCC Stock Markets: New Evidence from Smooth Transition Models," CESifo Working Paper Series 7072, CESifo.
    3. Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2017. "Modeling systemic risk and dependence structure between oil and stock markets using a variational mode decomposition-based copula method," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 258-279.
    4. Kang, Sang Hoon & Arreola Hernandez, Jose & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2023. "Spillovers and hedging between US equity sectors and gold, oil, islamic stocks and implied volatilities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    5. Oscar V. De la Torre-Torres & Evaristo Galeana-Figueroa & José Álvarez-García, 2021. "A Markov-Switching VSTOXX Trading Algorithm for Enhancing EUR Stock Portfolio Performance," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-28, May.
    6. Mo, Xuan & Su, Zhi & Yin, Libo, 2019. "Can the skewness of oil returns affect stock returns? Evidence from China’s A-Share markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    7. Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Xin Sheng, 2018. "Time-Varying Impact of Geopolitical Risks on Oil Prices," Working Papers 201841, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Batten, Jonathan A. & Kinateder, Harald & Szilagyi, Peter G. & Wagner, Niklas F., 2019. "Time-varying energy and stock market integration in Asia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 777-792.
    9. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2023. "The role of oil and risk shocks in the high‐frequency movements of the term structure of interest rates: Evidence from the U.S. Treasury market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1845-1857, April.
    10. Mobeen Ur Rehman, 2020. "Dynamic correlation pattern amongst alternative energy market for diversification opportunities," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 9(1), pages 1-24, December.
    11. Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J. & Wang, Y., 2016. "Testing Co-Volatility Spillovers for Natural Gas Spot, Futures and ETF Spot using Dynamic Conditional Covariances," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2016-29, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    12. David E. Allen & Chialin Chang & Michael McAleer & Abhay K Singh, 2018. "A cointegration analysis of agricultural, energy and bio-fuel spot, and futures prices," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(7), pages 804-823, February.
    13. Saif Siddiqui & Preeti Roy, 2019. "Predicting Volatility and Dynamic Relation Between Stock Market, Exchange Rate and Select Commodities," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 67(6), pages 1597-1611.
    14. Gupta, Rangan & Kanda, Patrick & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Time-varying predictability of oil market movements over a century of data: The role of US financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    15. Mehmet Balcilar, David Roubaud, and Muhammad Shahbaz, 2019. "The Impact of Energy Market Uncertainty Shocks on Energy Transition in Europe," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(The New E).
    16. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Balli, Faruk & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & de Bruin, Anne, 2020. "Energy commodity uncertainties and the systematic risk of US industries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    17. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mark E Wohar, 2019. "What are the categories of geopolitical risks that could drive oil prices higher? Acts or threats?," Post-Print hal-02409062, HAL.
    18. Zhang, Hao & Cai, Guixin & Yang, Dongxiao, 2020. "The impact of oil price shocks on clean energy stocks: Fresh evidence from multi-scale perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    19. Bos, Martijn & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2018. "Oil returns and volatility: The role of mergers and acquisitions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 62-69.
    20. Jean Marcelin B. Brou & Mbodja Mougoué & Eugene Kouassi & Kebaabetswe Thulaganyo & Benjamin K. Acquah, 2022. "Effects of diamond price volatility on stock returns: Evidence from a developing economy," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1025-1043, January.
    21. Mokni, Khaled & Al-Shboul, Mohammed & Assaf, Ata, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and dynamic spillover among precious metals under market conditions: Does COVID-19 have any effects?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    22. Ben Cheikh, Nidhaleddine & Ben Naceur, Sami & Kanaan, Oussama & Rault, Christophe, 2020. "Investigating the Asymmetric Impact of Oil Prices on GCC Stock Markets," IZA Discussion Papers 13853, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    23. Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark, 2017. "Forecasting oil and stock returns with a Qual VAR using over 150years off data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 181-186.
    24. Bilgili, Faik & Kassouri, Yacouba & Kuşkaya, Sevda & Majok Garang, Aweng Peter, 2024. "The dynamic nexus of oil price fluctuations and banking sector in China: A continuous wavelet analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    25. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2021. "Dynamic impact of the U.S. monetary policy on oil market returns and volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 159-169.
    26. Ahmed, Osama, 2021. "Do future markets protect the spot markets in developing countries? The case of the Egyptian wheat market," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 20(5), pages 65-83.
    27. Raheem, Ibrahim D., 2022. "Different strokes for different folks: The case of oil shocks and emerging equity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    28. Huachen Li & Tiezheng Song, 2024. "Regime dependent dynamics of parallel and official exchange markets in China: evidence from cryptocurrency," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(41), pages 4952-4973, September.
    29. Liu, Yue & Sun, Huaping & Zhang, Jijian & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2020. "Detection of volatility regime-switching for crude oil price modeling and forecasting," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    30. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "House price synchronization across the US states: The role of structural oil shocks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    31. Li, Xiafei & Wei, Yu, 2018. "The dependence and risk spillover between crude oil market and China stock market: New evidence from a variational mode decomposition-based copula method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 565-581.
    32. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Zhang, Guofu & Liu, Wei, 2018. "Analysis of the international propagation of contagion between oil and stock markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PA), pages 469-486.
    34. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Saban Nazlioglu & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Causality between Bond and Oil Markets of the United States: Evidence from Over One and Half Centuries of Data," Working Papers 202006, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    35. Nima Nonejad, 2021. "Should crude oil price volatility receive more attention than the price of crude oil? An empirical investigation via a large‐scale out‐of‐sample forecast evaluation of US macroeconomic data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 769-791, August.
    36. Syed Abul, Basher & Alfred A, Haug & Perry, Sadorsky, 2015. "The impact of oil shocks on exchange rates: A Markov-switching approach," MPRA Paper 68232, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    37. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "The Role of Oil and Risk Shocks in the High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States," Working Papers 202063, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    38. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    39. Mohammadreza Mahmoudi & Hana Ghaneei, 2021. "Detection of Structural Regimes and Analyzing the Impact of Crude Oil Market on Canadian Stock Market: Markov Regime-Switching Approach," Papers 2109.01046, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.
    40. Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2015. "The Role of Oil Prices in the Forecasts of South African Interest Rates: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 201531, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    41. Serletis, Apostolos & Xu, Libo, 2019. "The ethanol mandate and crude oil and biofuel agricultural commodity price dynamics," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 1-1.
    42. Gupta, Rangan & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2018. "OPEC news and predictability of oil futures returns and volatility: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 206-214.
    43. Silvapulle, Param & Smyth, Russell & Zhang, Xibin & Fenech, Jean-Pierre, 2017. "Nonparametric panel data model for crude oil and stock market prices in net oil importing countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 255-267.
    44. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "The price of crude oil and (conditional) out-of-sample predictability of world industrial production," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
    45. Maud Korley & Evangelos Giouvris, 2021. "The Regime-Switching Behaviour of Exchange Rates and Frontier Stock Market Prices in Sub-Saharan Africa," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-30, March.
    46. Basher, Syed Abul & Haug, Alfred A. & Sadorsky, Perry, 2017. "The impact of oil-market shocks on stock returns in major oil-exporting countries: A Markov-switching approach," MPRA Paper 81638, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    47. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Polat, Onur, 2024. "Forecasting U.S. recessions using over 150 years of data: Stock-market moments versus oil-market moments," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
    48. Carlos Medel, 2017. "Geopolitical Tensions, OPEC News, and Oil Price: A Granger Causality Analysis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 805, Central Bank of Chile.
    49. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Oil Price Returns Skewness and Forecastability of International Stock Returns Over One Century of Data," Working Papers 202339, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    50. Abdollahi, Hooman, 2020. "A novel hybrid model for forecasting crude oil price based on time series decomposition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
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    64. Panayotis G. Papaioannou & George P. Papaioannou & George Evangelidis & George Gavalakis, 2024. "Detecting Structural breakpoints in natural gas and electricity wholesale prices via Bayesian ensemble approach, in the era of energy prices turmoil of 2022 period: the cases of ten European markets," Papers 2410.07224, arXiv.org.
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    73. Néjib Hachicha & Amine Ben Amar & Ikrame Ben Slimane & Makram Bellalah & Jean-Luc Prigent, 2022. "Dynamic connectedness and optimal hedging strategy among commodities and financial indices," Post-Print hal-03745047, HAL.
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    79. Samet Gunay & Bojan Georgievski, 2018. "Effectiveness of Interest Rate Policy of the Fed in Management of Subprime Mortgage Crisis," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-11, February.
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    1. Quande Qin & Xin Li & Li Li & Wei Zhen & Yi-Ming Wei, 2017. "Air emissions perspective on energy efficiency: An empirical analysis of China's coastal areas," CEEP-BIT Working Papers 98, Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research (CEEP), Beijing Institute of Technology.
    2. Jebali, Eya & Essid, Hédi & Khraief, Naceur, 2017. "The analysis of energy efficiency of the Mediterranean countries: A two-stage double bootstrap DEA approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 991-1000.
    3. Ying Li & Yung-ho Chiu & Tai-Yu Lin, 2019. "Energy and Environmental Efficiency in Different Chinese Regions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-26, February.
    4. Bashir, Muhammad Adnan & Sheng, Bin & Doğan, Buhari & Sarwar, Suleman & Shahzad, Umer, 2020. "Export product diversification and energy efficiency: Empirical evidence from OECD countries," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 232-243.
    5. Feng, Yanchao & Zhang, Juan & Geng, Yong & Jin, Shurui & Zhu, Ziyi & Liang, Zhou, 2023. "Explaining and modeling the reduction effect of low-carbon energy transition on energy intensity: Empirical evidence from global data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
    6. Clara Inés Pardo Martínez, 2009. "Energy efficiency developments in the manufacturing industries of Germany and Colombia, 1998-2005," Serie de Documentos en Economía y Violencia 6144, Centro de Investigaciones en Violencia, Instituciones y Desarrollo Económico (VIDE).
    7. Pei Xu & Zehu Jin & Huan Tang, 2022. "Influence Paths and Spillover Effects of Agricultural Agglomeration on Agricultural Green Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-16, May.
    8. Halkos, George & Bampatsou, Christina, 2016. "Driving forces of different productivity models," MPRA Paper 75398, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Halkos, George & Bampatsou, Christina, 2017. "Technical efficiency, productivity change and environmental degradation," MPRA Paper 77176, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Ying Li & Yung-Ho Chiu & Liang Chun Lu, 2018. "Regional Energy, CO 2 , and Economic and Air Quality Index Performances in China: A Meta-Frontier Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-20, August.
    11. Lina Sineviciene & Iryna Sotnyk & Oleksandr Kubatko, 2017. "Determinants of energy efficiency and energy consumption of Eastern Europe post-communist economies," Energy & Environment, , vol. 28(8), pages 870-884, December.
    12. Zhu, Ning & Hougaard, Jens Leth & Yu, Zhiqian & Wang, Bing, 2020. "Ranking Chinese commercial banks based on their expected impact on structural efficiency," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    13. Zhang, Junfeng & Fang, Hong & Wang, Hongxia & Jia, Mingshun & Wu, Junjie & Fang, Siran, 2017. "Energy efficiency of airlines and its influencing factors: A comparison between China and the United States," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 1-8.
    14. Mardani, Abbas & Zavadskas, Edmundas Kazimieras & Streimikiene, Dalia & Jusoh, Ahmad & Khoshnoudi, Masoumeh, 2017. "A comprehensive review of data envelopment analysis (DEA) approach in energy efficiency," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 1298-1322.
    15. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Ahmed, Khalid & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Jiao, Zhilun, 2019. "Resource Curse Hypothesis and Role of Oil Prices in USA," MPRA Paper 96633, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Oct 2019.
    16. Vaninsky, Alexander, 2018. "Energy-environmental efficiency and optimal restructuring of the global economy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 338-348.
    17. Wang, Ying & Deng, Xiangzheng & Zhang, Hongwei & Liu, Yujie & Yue, Tianxiang & Liu, Gang, 2022. "Energy endowment, environmental regulation, and energy efficiency: Evidence from China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    18. Wang, Zongrun & Cao, Xuxin & Ren, Xiaohang & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2024. "Can digital transformation affect coal utilization efficiency in China? Evidence from spatial econometric analyses," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    19. Gasser, Patrick, 2020. "A review on energy security indices to compare country performances," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    20. Jinchao Li & Yuwei Xiang & Huanyu Jia & Lin Chen, 2018. "Analysis of Total Factor Energy Efficiency and Its Influencing Factors on Key Energy-Intensive Industries in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-17, January.
    21. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Sinha, Avik & Ahmad, Shabbir & Jiao, Zhilun & Wang, Zhaohua, 2021. "Role of FDI in Decomposing of Scale and Technique Effects on China’s Energy Consumption," MPRA Paper 111231, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2021.
    22. Kounetas, Konstantinos & Stergiou, Eirini, 2019. "Technology heterogeneity in European industries' energy efficiency performance. The role of climate, greenhouse gases, path dependence and energy mix," MPRA Paper 92314, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    23. Xiangyu Teng & Danting Lu & Yung-ho Chiu, 2019. "Emission Reduction and Energy Performance Improvement with Different Regional Treatment Intensity in China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-18, January.
    24. Walheer, Barnabé, 2018. "Labour productivity growth and energy in Europe: A production-frontier approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 129-143.
    25. Tao Xu & Jianxin You & Hui Li & Luning Shao, 2020. "Energy Efficiency Evaluation Based on Data Envelopment Analysis: A Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-20, July.
    26. Eirini Stergiou & Kostas Kounetas, 2021. "European Industries’ Energy Efficiency under Different Technological Regimes: The Role of CO2 Emissions, Climate, Path Dependence and Energy Mix," The Energy Journal, , vol. 42(1), pages 93-128, January.
    27. Henriques, Carla Oliveira & Lima, Alexandre & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Neves, Maria Elisabete, 2024. "Assessing the vulnerability of oil-dependent countries in Europe," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    28. Patrick Gasser & Marco Cinelli & Anna Labijak & Matteo Spada & Peter Burgherr & Miłosz Kadziński & Božidar Stojadinović, 2020. "Quantifying Electricity Supply Resilience of Countries with Robust Efficiency Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-35, March.
    29. Guo, Qiu-tong & Dong, Yong & Feng, Biao & Zhang, Hao, 2023. "Can green finance development promote total-factor energy efficiency? Empirical evidence from China based on a spatial Durbin model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    30. Demiral, Elif E. & Sağlam, Ümit, 2021. "Eco-efficiency and Eco-productivity assessments of the states in the United States: A two-stage Non-parametric analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    31. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Sun, Ya-Fang & Huang, Junling, 2018. "Energy efficiency, carbon emission performance, and technology gaps: Evidence from CDM project investment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 119-130.
    32. Changhong Zhao & Haonan Zhang & Yurong Zeng & Fengyun Li & Yuanxin Liu & Chengju Qin & Jiahai Yuan, 2018. "Total-Factor Energy Efficiency in BRI Countries: An Estimation Based on Three-Stage DEA Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-15, January.
    33. Lai-Wang Wang & Ke-Duc Le & Thi-Duong Nguyen, 2019. "Assessment of the Energy Efficiency Improvement of Twenty-Five Countries: A DEA Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-14, April.
    34. Xiao Yu & Zhaoteng Zeng, 2024. "Impact of heterogeneous environmental regulation on total factor productivity: an empirical study based on China’s provincial data," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(7), pages 17813-17835, July.
    35. Chen, Jing & Lv, Yanqin & Gao, Feng, 2024. "Exploring the relationship between digital infrastructure and carbon emission efficiency: New insights from the resource curse and green technology innovation in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    36. Fazil Gokgoz & Serap Pelin Turkoglu, 2017. "Investigating the energy efficiencies of OECD countries via a slack-based undesirable output model," ECONOMICS AND POLICY OF ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2017(3), pages 73-94.
    37. Zhou, D.Q. & Wu, F. & Zhou, X. & Zhou, P., 2016. "Output-specific energy efficiency assessment: A data envelopment analysis approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 117-126.
    38. Ruyin Long & Qin Zhang & Hong Chen & Meifen Wu & Qianwen Li, 2020. "Measurement of the Energy Intensity of Human Well-Being and Spatial Econometric Analysis of Its Influencing Factors," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(1), pages 1-21, January.
    39. Walheer, Barnabé, 2018. "Economic growth and greenhouse gases in Europe: A non-radial multi-sector nonparametric production-frontier analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 51-62.
    40. Liu, Haomin & Zhang, Zaixu & Zhang, Tao & Wang, Liyang, 2020. "Revisiting China’s provincial energy efficiency and its influencing factors," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    41. Nelson Amowine & Zhiqiang Ma & Mingxing Li & Zhixiang Zhou & Benjamin Azembila Asunka & James Amowine, 2019. "Energy Efficiency Improvement Assessment in Africa: An Integrated Dynamic DEA Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-17, October.
    42. Dongdong Ma & Guifang Li & Feng He, 2021. "Exploring PM2.5 Environmental Efficiency and Its Influencing Factors in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(22), pages 1-15, November.
    43. Paramati, Sudharshan Reddy & Shahzad, Umer & Doğan, Buhari, 2022. "The role of environmental technology for energy demand and energy efficiency: Evidence from OECD countries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    44. Sedghi, Sepideh & Azizi, Shima & Canada, Katherine & Charles, Vincent & Trapp, Andrew C., 2025. "Performance evaluation of child welfare departments using Data Envelopment Analysis: A comparative study across US states," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    45. Yu, Shasha & Yuan, Xuanyu & Yao, Xinyan & Lei, Ming, 2022. "Carbon leakage and low-carbon performance: Heterogeneity of responsibility perspectives," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    46. Zhu, Xinhua & Li, Yan & Zhang, Peifeng & Wei, Yigang & Zheng, Xuyang & Xie, Lingling, 2019. "Temporal–spatial characteristics of urban land use efficiency of China’s 35mega cities based on DEA: Decomposing technology and scale efficiency," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    47. Leonidas Sotirios Kyrgiakos & George Vlontzos & Panos M. Pardalos, 2021. "Ranking EU Agricultural Sectors under the Prism of Alternative Widths on Window DEA," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-26, February.
    48. Sueyoshi, Toshiyuki & Yuan, Yan, 2016. "Marginal Rate of Transformation and Rate of Substitution measured by DEA environmental assessment: Comparison among European and North American nations," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 270-287.
    49. Wang, Zhaohua & He, Weijun & Wang, Bo, 2017. "Performance and reduction potential of energy and CO2 emissions among the APEC's members with considering the return to scale," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 552-562.
    50. Hsiao, Kai-Long, 2017. "To promote radiation electrical MHD activation energy thermal extrusion manufacturing system efficiency by using Carreau-Nanofluid with parameters control method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 486-499.
    51. Halkos, George & Bampatsou, Christina & Aslanidis, Panagiotis-Stavros, 2025. "Combining policy making tools for green transition: eco-efficiency benchmarking and club convergence," MPRA Paper 123341, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    52. Zanardo, Rafael Petri & Siluk, Julio Cezar Mairesse & de Souza Savian, Fernando & Schneider, Paulo Smith, 2018. "Energy audit model based on a performance evaluation system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 544-552.
    53. Haixia Cai & Ruguo Fan, 2019. "Regional Total Factor Energy Efficiency Evaluation of China: The Perspective of Social Welfare," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-16, July.
    54. Singpai, Bodin & Wu, Desheng Dash, 2021. "An integrative approach for evaluating the environmental economic efficiency," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(PB).
    55. Shu, Tianheng & Liao, Xia & Yang, Shuo & Yu, Taofang, 2024. "Towards sustainability: Evaluating energy efficiency with a super-efficiency SBM-DEA model across 168 economies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 376(PA).
    56. Shuangjie Li & Hongyu Diao & Liming Wang & Chunqi Li, 2021. "Energy Efficiency Measurement: A VO TFEE Approach and Its Application," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-18, February.
    57. Fang-Rong Ren & Ze Tian & Yu-Ting Shen & Yung-Ho Chiu & Tai-Yu Lin, 2019. "Energy, CO 2 , and AQI Efficiency and Improvement of the Yangtze River Economic Belt," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-17, February.
    58. Halkos, George & Bampatsou, Christina, 2016. "Investigating the effect of efficiency and technical changes on productivity," MPRA Paper 76287, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    59. Tiwari, Sunil & Cheong, Calvin W.H. & See Mey, Loy & Saji, T.G., 2024. "Does fintech really matter for energy, economy and environment? From the lenses of SDG-7, SDG-8, SDG-13, COP27 and COP28," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    60. Muhammad Shahbaz & Avik Sinha & Shabbir Ahmad & Zhilun Jiao & Zhaohua Wang, 2023. "Role of foreign direct investment in decomposing of scale and technique effects on China's energy consumption," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3370-3385, July.
    61. Barnabé Walheer, 2019. "Scale, congestion, and technical efficiency of European countries: a sector-based nonparametric approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(6), pages 2025-2078, June.
    62. Teng, Mingming & Shen, Minghao, 2023. "Fintech and energy efficiency: Evidence from OECD countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    63. Fang Zhang & Hong Fang & Junjie Wu & Damian Ward, 2016. "Environmental Efficiency Analysis of Listed Cement Enterprises in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(5), pages 1-19, May.

  525. Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Inflation Forecasts and Forecaster Herding: Evidence from South African Survey Data," Working Papers 201455, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

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    1. Demirer, Riza & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Time-varying risk aversion and realized gold volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    2. Michael Pedersen, 2020. "Surveying the survey: What can we learn about the effects of monetary policy on inflation expectations?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 889, Central Bank of Chile.
    3. Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Forecasting the South African Inflation Rate: On Asymmetric Loss and Forecast Rationality," Working Papers 201475, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "On the Directional Accuracy of Inflation Forecasts: Evidence from South African Survey Data," Working Papers 201463, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Meade, Nigel & Driver, Ciaran, 2023. "Differing behaviours of forecasters of UK GDP growth," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 772-790.
    6. Young Bin Ahn & Yoichi Tsuchiya, 2016. "Directional analysis of consumers’ forecasts of inflation in a small open economy: evidence from South Korea," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(10), pages 854-864, February.
    7. Şule GÜNDÜZ & Seçkin YILDIRIM & Mübeccel Banu DURUKAN, 2020. "An Investigation of the Factors Affecting Inflation Perceptions: A Case Study on Business and Economics Undergraduate Students Abstract: The aim of this study is to investigate the factors behind the ," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 28(45).
    8. John B. Broughton & Bento J. Lobo, 2018. "Herding and anchoring in macroeconomic forecasts: the case of the PMI," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 1337-1355, November.
    9. Christoph Buehren & Tim Meyer & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Experimental Evidence on Forecaster (anti-) Herding in Sports Markets," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202038, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).

  526. Mehmet Balcilar & Shinhye Chang & Rangan Gupta & Vanessa Kasongo & Clement Kyei, 2014. "The Relationship between Oil and Agricultural Commodity Prices: A Quantile Causality Approach," Working Papers 201468, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

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    1. Soylu, Pınar Kaya & Güloğlu, Bülent, 2019. "Financial contagion and flight to quality between emerging markets and U.S. bond market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    2. Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2015. "The Role of Oil Prices in the Forecasts of South African Interest Rates: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 201531, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Anu K. Toriola, 2022. "Effects of Agricultural Commodity Prices on Agricultural Output in Nigeria," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 4(3), pages 170-176.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Festus Victor Bekun, 2020. "Spillover dynamics across price inflation and selected agricultural commodity prices," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 9(1), pages 1-17, December.
    5. Sima Siami-Namini, 2019. "Volatility Transmission Among Oil Price, Exchange Rate and Agricultural Commodities Prices," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 6(4), pages 41-61, July.
    6. Mehmet Balcilar & Ojonugwa Usman & Busra Agan, 2024. "On the connectedness of commodity markets: A critical and selective survey of empirical studies and bibliometric analysis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(1), pages 97-136, February.
    7. Siami-Namini, Sima & Hudson, Darren, 2017. "Volatility Spillover Between Oil Prices, Us Dollar Exchange Rates And International Agricultural Commodities Prices," 2017 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2017, Mobile, Alabama 252845, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    8. Korhan K. Gokmenoglu & Hasan Güngör & Festus Victor Bekun, 2021. "Revisiting the linkage between oil and agricultural commodity prices: Panel evidence from an Agrarian state," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5610-5620, October.
    9. Aye, Goodness C., 2016. "Causality between Oil Price and South Africa's Food Price: Time Varying Approach - Relazione di causalità tra prezzo del petrolio e pr ezzo dei prodotti alimentari in Sud Africa: un approccio time var," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 69(3), pages 193-212.

  527. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2014. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Forecasting US Inflation Using a VARFIMA Model," Working Papers 15-12, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Wael Hemrit, 2022. "Does insurance demand react to economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk? Evidence from Saudi Arabia," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 47(2), pages 460-492, April.
    2. Kazutaka Kurasawa, 2016. "Policy Uncertainty and Foreign Exchange Rates: The DCC-GARCH Model of the US / Japanese Foreign Exchange Rate," International Journal of Economic Sciences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 5(4), pages 1-19, December.
    3. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark Wohar, 2015. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201599, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. López Noria Gabriela & Bush Georgia, 2019. "Uncertainty and Exchange Rate Volatility: the Case of Mexico," Working Papers 2019-12, Banco de México.
    5. Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2023. "The Asymmetric Impact of Economic Policy and Oil Price Uncertainty on Inflation: Evidence from Developed and Emerging Economies," CESifo Working Paper Series 10276, CESifo.
    6. Lei, Adrian C.H. & Song, Chen, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market activity: Evidence from China," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    7. Yin DAI & Jing-wen ZHANG & Xiu-zhen YU & Xin LI, 2017. "Causality between economic policy uncertainty and exchange rate in China with considering quantile differences," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(3(612), A), pages 29-38, Autumn.
    8. Kisswani, Khalid M. & Elian, Mohammad I., 2021. "Analyzing the (a)symmetric impacts of oil price, economic policy uncertainty, and global geopolitical risk on exchange rate," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).

  528. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar, 2014. "Forecasting US Real House Price Returns over 1831-2013: Evidence from Copula Models," Working Papers 201444, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "High-Frequency Volatility Forecasting of US Housing Markets," Working Papers 201977, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Huthaifa Alqaralleh & Gazi Salah Uddin & Canepa, Alessandra, 2022. "Time-frequency connectedness across housing markets, stock market and uncertainty: A Wavelet-Time Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 202204, University of Turin.
    3. Alqaralleh, Huthaifa & Canepa, Alessandra & Salah Uddin, Gazi, 2023. "Dynamic relations between housing Markets, stock Markets, and uncertainty in global Cities: A Time-Frequency approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    4. Kang, Sang Hoon & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Ahmed, Ali & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2018. "Multi-scale causality and extreme tail inter-dependence among housing prices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 301-309.
    5. Roman Matkovskyy, 2019. "Extremal Economic (Inter)Dependence Studies: A Case of the Eastern European Countries," Post-Print hal-02332090, HAL.
    6. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Fernando Perez de Gracia, 2016. "Persistence, mean reversion and non-linearities in the US housing prices over 1830--2013," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(34), pages 3244-3252, July.
    7. Sinha, Ankur & Kedas, Satishwar & Kumar, Rishu & Malo, Pekka, 2019. "Buy, Sell or Hold: Entity-Aware Classification of Business News," IIMA Working Papers WP 2019-04-02, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    8. Sun, Tianyu & Chand, Satish & Sharpe, Keiran, 2018. "Effect of Aging on Urban Land Prices in China," MPRA Paper 89237, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  529. Mehmet Balcilar & Kirsten Thompson & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2014. "Testing the Asymmetric Effects of Financial Conditions in South Africa: A Nonlinear Vector Autoregression Approach," Working Papers 15-11, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & David Roubaud & Ojonugwa Usman & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Testing the asymmetric effects of exchange rate pass‐through in BRICS countries: Does the state of the economy matter?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 188-233, January.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Theshne Kisten, 2020. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks in South Africa: The Role of Financial Regimes," Working Papers 202046, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Mansour Ishrakieh, Layal & Dagher, Leila & El Hariri, Sadika, 2018. "The Institute of Financial Economics Financial Stress Index (IFEFSI) for Lebanon," MPRA Paper 116054, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Fed’s unconventional monetary policy and risk spillover in the US financial markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 42-52.
    5. Layal MansourIshrakieh & Leila Dagher & Sadika El Hariri, 2020. "A financial stress index for a highly dollarized developing country : The case of Lebanon," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 20(2), pages 43-52.
    6. Evgenidis, Anastasios & Tsagkanos, Athanasios, 2017. "Asymmetric effects of the international transmission of US financial stress. A threshold-VAR approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 69-81.
    7. Kim, Joseph H.T. & Li, Johnny S.H., 2017. "Risk-neutral valuation of the non-recourse protection in reverse mortgages: A case study for Korea," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 133-154.
    8. Theshne Kisten, 2020. "A Financial Stress Index for South Africa: A Time-Varying Correlation Approach," Working Papers 202011, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Paetz, Michael & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "Stock Price Dynamics and the Business Cycle in an Estimated DSGE Model for South Africa," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series 18, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory.
    10. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Risse, Marian & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs: The role of economic uncertainty," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 317-337.
    11. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden & Kirsten Thompson, 2015. "Comparing the Forecasting Ability of Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 15-06, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    12. Alain Kabundi & Asithandile Mbelu, 2021. "Estimating a time-varying financial conditions index for South Africa," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(4), pages 1817-1844, April.
    13. Adél Bosch & Steven F. Koch, 2020. "The South African Financial Cycle and its Relation to Household Deleveraging," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(2), pages 145-173, June.
    14. Mansour-Ichrakieh, Layal & Zeaiter, Hussein, 2019. "The role of geopolitical risks on the Turkish economy opportunity or threat," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    15. Luo, Yi & Li, Xiaoming & Yu, Wei & Huang, Kun & Yang, Yihe & Huang, Yao, 2024. "Research on human dynamics characteristics under large-scale stock data perturbation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    16. Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Usman, Ojonugwa & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Moving out of the linear rut: A period-specific and regime-dependent exchange rate and oil price pass-through in the BRICS countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    17. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa & Duman, Gazi Murat, 2024. "Nonlinear network connectedness: Assessing financial risk transmission in MENA and influence of external financial conditions," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    18. Jiang, Yong & Wang, Gang-Jin & Ma, Chaoqun & Yang, Xiaoguang, 2021. "Do credit conditions matter for the impact of oil price shocks on stock returns? Evidence from a structural threshold VAR model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 1-15.
    19. Li, Zhenghui & Zhong, Junhao, 2020. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty shocks on China's financial conditions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    20. Ugur Korkut Pata & Ojonugwa Usman & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Oktay Ozkan, 2024. "Stock Returns, Crude Oil and Gold Prices in Turkey: Evidence from Rolling Window-Based Nonparametric Quantile Causality Test," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(3), pages 779-797, September.
    21. Mehmet Balcilar & David Roubaud & Ojonugwa Usman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Testing the Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate and Oil Price Pass-Through in BRICS Countries: Does the state of the economy matter?," Working Papers 15-49, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    22. Capasso Salvatore & Oreste Napolitano & Ana Laura Vivero, 2023. "The Financial Conditions Index as an additional tool for policymakers in developing countries: the Mexican case," CSEF Working Papers 664, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.

  530. Vassilios Babalos & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Nikolaos Philippas, 2014. "Revisiting Herding Behavior in REITs: A RegimeSwitching Approach," Working Papers 15-15, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kola Akinsomi & Yener Coskun & Rangan Gupta & Marco Lau Chi Keung, 2018. "Impact of Volatility and Equity Market Uncertainty on Herd Behaviour: Evidence from UK REITs," ERES eres2018_52, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    2. Omokolade Akinsomi & Yener Coskun & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Analysis of Herding in REITs of an Emerging Market: The Case of Turkey," Working Papers 201666, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  531. Ming Zhong & Tsangyao Chang & Samrat Goswami & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "The Nexus between Military Expenditures and Economic Growth in the BRICS and the US: A Bootstrap Panel Causality Test," Working Papers 201449, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Dash, Devi Prasad & Bal, Debi Prasad & Sahoo, Manoranjan, 2016. "Nexus between defense expenditure and economic growth in BRIC economies: An empirical investigation," MPRA Paper 77014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. çenberci, engin, 2020. "The Nexus Between Defense Spending and Growth: Empirical Analysis of First Euro Users," MPRA Paper 111273, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  532. Adnen Ben Nasr & Thomas Lux & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Forecasting the Volatility of the Dow Jones Islamic Stock Market Index: Long Memory vs. Regime Switching," Working Papers 2014-236, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.

    Cited by:

    1. Paltrinieri, Andrea & Hassan, Mohammad Kabir & Bahoo, Salman & Khan, Ashraf, 2023. "A bibliometric review of sukuk literature," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 897-918.
    2. Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Political Geography and Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Political Alignment across Sentiment Regimes," Working Papers 202414, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Investor Confidence and Forecastability of US Stock Market Realized Volatility : Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202118, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "Climate risks and state-level stock market realized volatility," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    5. Lu Wang & Feng Ma & Guoshan Liu, 2020. "Forecasting stock volatility in the presence of extreme shocks: Short‐term and long‐term effects," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 797-810, August.
    6. Mehmet Balcilar & Charl Jooste & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Rangan Gupta & Vassilios Babalos, 2014. "Are there Long-Run Diversification Gains from the Dow Jones Islamic Finance Index?," Working Papers 201433, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Karim, Muhammad Mahmudul & Kawsar, Najmul Haque & Ariff, Mohamed & Masih, Mansur, 2022. "Does implied volatility (or fear index) affect Islamic stock returns and conventional stock returns differently? Wavelet-based granger-causality, asymmetric quantile regression and NARDL approaches," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    8. Aikins Abakah, Emmanuel Joel & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Arthur, Emmanuel Kwesi & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2022. "Measuring volatility persistence in leveraged loan markets in the presence of structural breaks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 141-152.
    9. Khan, Abdullah & Rizvi, Syed Aun R. & Ali, Mohsin & Haroon, Omair, 2021. "A survey of Islamic finance research – Influences and influencers," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    10. Chazi, Abdelaziz & Samet, Anis & Azad, A.S.M. Sohel, 2023. "Volatility and correlation of Islamic and conventional indices during crises," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    11. Xin-Lan Fu & Xing-Lu Gao & Zheng Shan & Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2018. "Multifractal characteristics and return predictability in the Chinese stock markets," Papers 1806.07604, arXiv.org.
    12. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2020. "Volatility forecasting with bivariate multifractal models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 155-167, March.
    13. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks and Movements in Islamic Bond and Equity Markets: A Note," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 367-379, April.
    14. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2018. "Forecasting Stock Market (Realized) Volatility in the United Kingdom: Is There a Role for Economic Inequality?," Working Papers 201880, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Adekoya, Oluwasegun Babatunde & Rashidi, Muhammad Mahdi & Oliyide, Johnson Ayobami & Rajab, Sahel, 2024. "A new approach to forecasting Islamic and conventional oil and gas stock prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    16. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Ferrer, Román & Ballester, Laura & Umar, Zaghum, 2017. "Risk transmission between Islamic and conventional stock markets: A return and volatility spillover analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 9-26.
    17. Raza , Muhammad Wajid & Ashraf, Dawood, 2018. "Does the Application of Smart Beta Strategies Enhance Portfolio Performance? The Case of Islamic Equity Investments," Working Papers 2018-1, The Islamic Research and Teaching Institute (IRTI).
    18. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Charles, Amélie & Darné, Olivier, 2017. "Forecasting crude-oil market volatility: Further evidence with jumps," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 508-519.
    20. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Business Applications and State-Level Stock Market Realized Volatility: A Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202247, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Salisu, Afees A. & van Eyden, Reneé, 2023. "Firm-level business uncertainty and the predictability of the aggregate U.S. stock market volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 295-302.
    22. Md Safiullah & Abul Shamsuddin, 2021. "Asset pricing factors in Islamic equity returns," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 523-554, June.
    23. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Do Bivariate Multifractal Models Improve Volatility Forecasting in Financial Time Series? An Application to Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets," Working Papers 201728, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Technological Shocks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202308, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    25. Salisu, Afees A. & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2024. "Technological shocks and stock market volatility over a century," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    26. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong & Kyei, Clement, 2019. "The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 150-163.
    27. Lahmiri, Salim & Bekiros, Stelios & Stavroyiannis, Stavros & Babalos, Vassilios, 2018. "Modelling volatility persistence under stochasticity assumptions: evidence from common and alternative investments," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 158-163.
    28. Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Equity Market Volatility of the United Kingdom: Evidence from over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201851, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Manel Hamdi & Walid Chkili, 2019. "An artificial neural network augmented GARCH model for Islamic stock market volatility: Do asymmetry and long memory matter?," Working Papers 13, Economic Research Forum, revised 21 Aug 2019.
    30. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2022. "Forecasting stock market (realized) volatility in the United Kingdom: Is there a role of inequality?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2146-2152, April.
    31. Gao, Guangyuan & Ho, Kin-Yip & Shi, Yanlin, 2020. "Long memory or regime switching in volatility? Evidence from high-frequency returns on the U.S. stock indices," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    32. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Investors' Uncertainty and Forecasting Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202090, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & He Li & Yu You, 2021. "Financial Vulnerability and Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence from GARCH-MIDAS Models," Working Papers 202112, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    34. Hakan Yıldırım & Festus Victor Bekun, 2023. "Predicting volatility of bitcoin returns with ARCH, GARCH and EGARCH models," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-8, December.
    35. Liu, Yue & Tian, Lixin & Sun, Huaping & Zhang, Xiling & Kong, Chuimin, 2022. "Option pricing of carbon asset and its application in digital decision-making of carbon asset," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 310(C).
    36. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach, 2019. "A survey of Islamic banking and finance literature: Issues, challenges and future directions," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 484-496.
    37. Lei Ruan, 2018. "Research on Sustainable Development of the Stock Market Based on VIX Index," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-12, November.
    38. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Forecasting Realized Stock-Market Volatility: Do Industry Returns have Predictive Value?," Working Papers 2020107, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    39. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko & Madigu, Godfrey & Romero-Rojo, Fatima, 2020. "Volatility persistence in cryptocurrency markets under structural breaks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 680-691.

  533. Ghassen El Montasser & Rangan Gupta & Andre Luis Martins & Peter Wanke, 2014. "Are there Multiple Bubbles in the Ethanol-Gasoline Price Ratio of Brazil?," Working Papers 201479, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Barbosa, Társis Prado & Eckert, Jony Javorski & Roso, Vinícius Rückert & Pujatti, Fabrício José Pacheco & da Silva, Leonardo Adolpho Rodrigues & Horta Gutiérrez, Juan Carlos, 2021. "Fuel saving and lower pollutants emissions using an ethanol-fueled engine in a hydraulic hybrid passengers vehicle," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    2. Eckert, Jony Javorski & Silva, Fabrício L. & da Silva, Samuel Filgueira & Bueno, André Valente & de Oliveira, Mona Lisa Moura & Silva, Ludmila C.A., 2022. "Optimal design and power management control of hybrid biofuel–electric powertrain," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 325(C).
    3. Alola, Andrew Adewale, 2022. "The nexus of renewable energy equity and agricultural commodities in the United States: Evidence of regime-switching and price bubbles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PD).
    4. Xie, Zixiong & Chen, Shyh-Wei & Wu, An-Chi, 2019. "Asymmetric adjustment, non-linearity and housing price bubbles: New international evidence," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    5. Luo, Jiawen & Ji, Qiang, 2018. "High-frequency volatility connectedness between the US crude oil market and China's agricultural commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 424-438.
    6. Derick David Quintino & Heloisa Lee Burnquist & Paulo Ferreira, 2022. "Relative Prices of Ethanol-Gasoline in the Major Brazilian Capitals: An Analysis to Support Public Policies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-23, June.
    7. Hakan Yıldırım, 2022. "VIX or ınvestors scare?," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 769-777, April.
    8. Zhu, Bo & Lin, Renda & Deng, Yuanyue & Chen, Pingshe & Chevallier, Julien, 2021. "Intersectoral systemic risk spillovers between energy and agriculture under the financial and COVID-19 crises," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    9. Aloisio S. Nascimento Filho & Hugo Saba & Rafael G. O. dos Santos & João Gabriel A. Calmon & Marcio L. V. Araújo & Eduardo M. F. Jorge & Thiago B. Murari, 2021. "Analysis of Hydrous Ethanol Price Competitiveness after the Implementation of the Fossil Fuel Import Price Parity Policy in Brazil," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-12, September.
    10. Potrykus, Marcin, 2023. "Price bubbles in commodity market – A single time series and panel data analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 110-117.
    11. Tabak, Benjamin Miranda & e Silva, Igor Bettanin Dalla Riva & Quintino, Derick David & Silva, Thiago Christiano, 2025. "Fuel prices connectedness across Brazilian capitals: The case of ethanol and gasoline," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    12. Laurini, Márcio Poletti, 2017. "The spatio-temporal dynamics of ethanol/gasoline price ratio in Brazil," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 1-12.
    13. Luo, Jiawen & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Ji, Qiang & Klein, Tony, 2023. "Co-volatility and asymmetric transmission of risks between the global oil and China's futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).

  534. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Rangan Gupta & Axel Kasongo & Thabo Mboweni & Ndivhuho Netshitenzhe, 2014. "Are there Asymmetric Causal Relationships between Tourism and Economic Growth in a Panel of G-7 Countries?," Working Papers 201476, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Clement Olalekan Olaniyi & Olaolu Richard Olayeni, 2020. "A new perspective into the relationship between CEO pay and firm performance: evidence from Nigeria’s listed firms," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 22(2), pages 250-277, December.
    2. Hung-Che Wu & Angela Legohérel, 2024. "Impacts of Symmetric and Asymmetric Tourism Activities on Economic Development: Evidence from China’s Provinces," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(2), pages 5359-5381, June.
    3. Chien-Ming Wang & Tsung-Pao Wu, 2022. "Does tourism promote or reduce environmental pollution? Evidence from major tourist arrival countries," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 3334-3355, March.
    4. Bright Akwasi Gyamfi & Murad A. Bein & Festus Fatai Adedoyin & Festus Victor Bekun, 2022. "To what extent are pollutant emission intensified by international tourist arrivals? Starling evidence from G7 Countries," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(6), pages 7896-7917, June.
    5. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Ferrer, Román & Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad & Haouas, Ilham, 2017. "Is the tourism-economic growth nexus time-varying? Bootstrap rolling-window causality analysis for the top ten tourist destinations," MPRA Paper 82713, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Nov 2017.
    6. Muhammad Shahbaz & Román Ferrer & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Ilham Haouas, 2018. "Is the tourism–economic growth nexus time-varying? Bootstrap rolling-window causality analysis for the top 10 tourist destinations," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(24), pages 2677-2697, May.
    7. Jesús Iglesias & Manuel E Gegundez & Antonio A Golpe & José Carlos Vides, 2018. "How do foreign income shocks affect the magnitude of Spanish tourism?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 24(7), pages 839-871, November.
    8. Teti̇k, Metin, 2020. "Testing of leader-follower interaction between fed and emerging countries’ central banks," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    9. Osinubi Tolulope T. & Ajayi Adedoyin O. & Osinubi Olufemi B. & Olaniyi Clement O., 2021. "A New Intuition into Tourism-Inclusive Growth Nexus in Turkey and Nigeria (1995 – 2018)," Economics, Sciendo, vol. 9(1), pages 221-241, June.
    10. Andrew Phiri, 2016. "Tourism and Economic Growth in South Africa: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Cointegration Frameworks," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 14(1 (Spring), pages 31-53.

  535. Won Joong Kim & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Jun Seog Hyun & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Oil Price Shocks and China’s Economy: Reactions of the Monetary Policy to Oil Price Shocks," Working Papers 201481, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2022. "Extreme dependence between structural oil shocks and stock markets in GCC countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    2. Wen, Jun & Khalid, Samia & Mahmood, Hamid & Zakaria, Muhammad, 2021. "Symmetric and asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty on food prices in China: A new evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    3. Jin‐Yu Chen & Xue‐Hong Zhu & Mei‐Rui Zhong, 2021. "Time‐varying effects and structural change of oil price shocks on industrial output: Evidence from China's oil industrial chain," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3460-3472, July.
    4. Markus Brueckner & Haidi Hong & Joaquin Vespignani, 2023. "Regulation of Petrol and Diesel Prices and their Effects on GDP Growth: Evidence from China," CAMA Working Papers 2023-17, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    5. Youssef, Manel & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Oil-gold nexus: Evidence from regime switching-quantile regression approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    6. Rajesh H. Acharya & Anver C. Sadath, 2018. "Revisiting the relationship between oil price and macro economy: Evidence from India," ECONOMICS AND POLICY OF ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2018(1), pages 173-190.
    7. Cao, Fangzhi & Su, Chi-Wei & Sun, Dian & Qin, Meng & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "U.S. monetary policy: The pushing hands of crude oil price?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    8. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Abdullah, Mohammad & Adeabah, David & Sahay, Vinita S., 2024. "Time-varying relationship between international monetary policy and energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    9. Hofmann, Erik & Solakivi, Tomi & Töyli, Juuso & Zinn, Martin, 2018. "Oil price shocks and the financial performance patterns of logistics service providers," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 290-306.
    10. Ji, Qiang & Liu, Bing-Yue & Fan, Ying, 2019. "Risk dependence of CoVaR and structural change between oil prices and exchange rates: A time-varying copula model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 80-92.
    11. Pham, Thai-Binh & Sala, Hector, 2019. "The macroeconomic effects of oil price and risk-premium shocks on Vietnam: Evidence from an over-identifying SVAR analysis," MPRA Paper 96873, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Jul 2019.
    12. Maitra, Debasish & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Oil price volatility and the logistics industry: Dynamic connectedness with portfolio implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    13. Irina Kozlovtceva & Alexey Ponomarenko & Andrey Sinyakov & Stas Tatarintsev, 2019. "Financial Stability Implications of Policy Mix in a Small Open Commodity-Exporting Economy," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps42, Bank of Russia.
    14. Hong Thai Le & Marta Disegna, 2018. "Responses of macroeconomy and stock markets to structural oil price shocks: New evidence from Asian oil refinery," BAFES Working Papers BAFES25, Department of Accounting, Finance & Economic, Bournemouth University.
    15. Hasan, Mostafa Monzur & Wong, Jin Boon & Al Mamun, Mohammed Abdullah, 2022. "Oil shocks and corporate social responsibility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    16. Yildirim, Zekeriya & Guloglu, Hasan, 2024. "Macro-financial transmission of global oil shocks to BRIC countries — International financial (uncertainty) conditions matter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    17. Jin Boon Wong, 2021. "Stock market reactions to different types of oil shocks: Evidence from China," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 179-193, February.
    18. Sabri Boubaker & Zhenya Liu & Yaosong Zhan, 2022. "Risk management for crude oil futures: an optimal stopping-timing approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 9-27, June.
    19. Wong, Jin Boon & Hasan, Mostafa Monzur, 2021. "Oil shocks and corporate payouts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    20. Liu, Donghui & Meng, Lingjie & Wang, Yudong, 2020. "Oil price shocks and Chinese economy revisited: New evidence from SVAR model with sign restrictions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 20-32.
    21. Chen, Chun-Da & Cheng, Chiao-Ming & Demirer, Rıza, 2017. "Oil and stock market momentum," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 151-159.
    22. Mousavi, Mohammad Mahdi & Gozgor, Giray & Acheampong, Albert, 2024. "Do oil market shocks affect financial distress? Evidence from firm-level global data," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    23. CHAFIK, Omar, 2019. "Monetary policy in oil exporting countries with fixed exchange rate and open capital account: expectations matter," MPRA Paper 92558, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Qin, Yun & Chen, Jinyu & Dong, Xuesong, 2021. "Oil prices, policy uncertainty and travel and leisure stocks in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    25. Jiang, Qisheng & Cheng, Sheng, 2021. "How the fiscal and monetary policy uncertainty of China respond to global oil price volatility: A multi-regime-on-scale approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    26. Yang, Dong-Xiao & Wu, Bi-Bo & Tong, Jing-Yang, 2021. "Dynamics and causality of oil price shocks on commodities: Quantile-on-quantile and causality-in-quantiles methods," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    27. Zhu, Xuehong & Liao, Jianhui & Chen, Ying, 2021. "Time-varying effects of oil price shocks and economic policy uncertainty on the nonferrous metals industry: From the perspective of industrial security," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    28. Chen, Jinyu & Zhu, Xuehong & Li, Hailing, 2020. "The pass-through effects of oil price shocks on China's inflation: A time-varying analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    29. Yuehui Xia & Ting Zhang & Miaomiao Yu & Lingying Pan, 2020. "Regional Disparities and Transformation of Energy Consumption in China Based on a Hybrid Input-Output Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-27, October.
    30. Umar, Zaghum & Jareño, Francisco & Escribano, Ana, 2021. "Agricultural commodity markets and oil prices: An analysis of the dynamic return and volatility connectedness," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    31. Mishra, Shekhar & Mishra, Sibanjan, 2021. "Are Indian sectoral indices oil shock prone? An empirical evaluation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    32. Lin, Boqiang & Wu, Nan, 2022. "Do heterogeneous oil price shocks really have different effects on earnings management?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    33. Jingyu Chen & Faqi Jin & Guangda Ouyang & Jian Ouyang & Fenghua Wen, 2019. "Oil price shocks, economic policy uncertainty and industrial economic growth in China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(5), pages 1-19, May.
    34. Kozlovtceva, Irina & Ponomarenko, Alexey & Sinyakov, Andrey & Tatarintsev, Stas, 2020. "A case for leaning against the wind in a commodity-exporting economy," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 86-114.
    35. Yildirim, Zekeriya & Arifli, Arif, 2021. "Oil price shocks, exchange rate and macroeconomic fluctuations in a small oil-exporting economy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    36. Zhao, Zhao & Wen, Huwei & Li, Ke, 2021. "Identifying bubbles and the contagion effect between oil and stock markets: New evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 780-788.
    37. Xie, Qichang & Jiang, Yinghui & Jia, Nanfei & Wang, Hongtao, 2024. "Asymmetric impact of oil structural shocks on non-ferrous metals supply chains: A groundbreaking multidimensional quantile-on-quantile regression," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    38. Victoriia Alekhina & Naoyuki Yoshino, 2019. "Exogeneity of world oil prices to the Russian Federation’s economy and monetary policy," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 9(4), pages 531-555, December.
    39. Markus Brueckner & Haidi Hong & Joaquin Vespignani, 2023. "Effects of Government Regulation of Diesel and Petrol Prices on GDP Growth: Evidence from China," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2023-690, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
    40. Uğur Akkoç & Anıl Akçağlayan & Gamze Kargın Akkoç, 2021. "The impacts of oil price shocks in Turkey: sectoral evidence from the FAVAR approach," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1147-1171, November.
    41. Cheng, Dong & Shi, Xunpeng & Yu, Jian & Zhang, Dayong, 2019. "How does the Chinese economy react to uncertainty in international crude oil prices?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 147-164.
    42. Jinyu Chen & Xuehong Zhu, 2021. "The Effects of Different Types of Oil Price Shocks on Industrial PPI: Evidence from 36 Sub-industries in China," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(12), pages 3411-3434, September.
    43. Chen, Xian & Li, Yang & Xiao, Jihong & Wen, Fenghua, 2020. "Oil shocks, competition, and corporate investment: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    44. Roudari, Soheil & Mensi, Walid & Kharusi, Sami Al & Ahmadian-Yazdi, Farzaneh, 2023. "Impacts of oil shocks on stock markets in Norway and Japan: Does monetary policy's effectiveness matter?," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 343-358.
    45. Liao, Jianhui & Zhu, Xuehong & Chen, Jinyu, 2021. "Dynamic spillovers across oil, gold and stock markets in the presence of major public health emergencies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    46. Charles O. Manasseh & Nnenna G. Nwonye & Felicia C. Abada & Ogochukwu Okanya & Anuli R. Ogbuagu & Felicia U. Eze-Dike & Osmond N. Okonkwo & Otene Samson & Okechukwu J. Akamike & John O. Okoh & Peter O, 2022. "Evaluating Oil Price Movement and Revenue Generation in Nigeria during Covid-19 Pandemic: Experience from Pre and Post Era," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 57-65, May.
    47. Huang, Jianbai & Dong, Xuesong & Chen, Jinyu & Zhong, Meirui, 2022. "Do oil prices and economic policy uncertainty matter for precious metal returns? New insights from a TVP-VAR framework," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 433-445.
    48. Animashaun, Jubril & Wossink, Ada, 2024. "How do households cope during aggregate shocks? Evidence from the 2009–2015 oil crisis in Nigeria," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    49. Sanin, Maria Eugenia & Özkan, Ayşegül Uçkun, 2024. "Attractiveness of clean energy stocks in Europe," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    50. Wang, Kai-Hua & Su, Chi-Wei & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Geopolitical risk and crude oil security: A Chinese perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    51. Sanginabadi, Bahram, 2021. "Oil and Mortality," OSF Preprints j2xqw, Center for Open Science.

  536. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2014. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience," Working Papers 15-24, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Stephen M. Miller & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "U.S. Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices: The Role of Partisan Conflict," Working Papers 201742, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. David Su & Xin Li & Oana-Ramona Lobonþ & Yanping Zhao, 2016. "Economic policy uncertainty and housing returns in Germany: Evidence from a bootstrap rolling window," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 34(1), pages 43-61.
    3. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Adel Bosch & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Housing and the Business Cycle in South Africa," Working Papers 15-22, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    4. Ghassen El Montasser & Rangan Gupta & Jooste Charl & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "The Time-series Linkages between US Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices," Public Finance Review, , vol. 48(3), pages 303-339, May.
    5. Mustafa Ozan Yıldırım & Özge Filiz Yağcıbaşı, 2019. "The Dynamics Of House Prices And Fiscal Policy Shocks In Turkey," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 64(220), pages 39-60, January –.
    6. Josep Maria Raya Vilchez & Aleksander Kucel, 2023. "How fiscal policy affects housing market dynamics: Evidence from Spain," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(2), pages 323-347, April.
    7. F Chorley & C Liu, 2021. "Does UK social housing affect housing prices and economic growth? An application of the ARDL model," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 26(1), pages 21-43, March.
    8. Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2025. "The Impact of Governmental Regulations on Housing Market: Findings of a Meta-Study of Empirical Literature," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2113, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    9. Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Kanyane Matlou, 2013. "A Time-Varying Approach to Analysing Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices in South Africa," Working Papers 201303, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Alexander Zimper, 2014. "The minimal confidence levels of Basel capital regulation," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 15(2), pages 129-143, April.
    11. Isabel Ruiz & Carlos Vargas-Silva, 2016. "The impacts of fiscal policy shocks on the US housing market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 777-800, May.
    12. Liu, Chunping & Ou, Zhirong, 2024. "Has fiscal expansion inflated house prices in China? Evidence from an estimated DSGE model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    13. BUI, Duy-Tung & LLORCA, Matthieu & BUI, Thi Mai Hoai, 2018. "Dynamics between stock market movements and fiscal policy: Empirical evidence from emerging Asian economies," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 65-74.
    14. Javier Ferri & Francisca Herranz-Baez, 2023. "Building on fiscal policy: government consumption and the residential sector. When helping hurts," Working Papers 2023-01, FEDEA.
    15. Xiao-lin Li & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Tsangyao Chang, 2013. "The Causal Relationship between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Returns in China and India: Evidence from a Bootstrap Rolling-Window Approach," Working Papers 201345, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  537. Hossein Hassani & Rangan Gupta & Xu Huang & Mansi Ghodsi, 2014. "Does Sunspot Numbers Cause Global Temperatures? A Reconsideration Using a Non-Parametric Causality Test," Working Papers 201427, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Xu Huang & Hossein Hassani & Mansi Ghodsi & Zinnia Mukherjee & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Do Trend Extraction Approaches Affect Causality Detection in Climate Change Studies?," Working Papers 201660, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Ren, Weijie & Li, Baisong & Han, Min, 2020. "A novel Granger causality method based on HSIC-Lasso for revealing nonlinear relationship between multivariate time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 541(C).
    3. Hossein Hassani & Xu Huang & Mansi Ghodsi, 2018. "Big Data and Causality," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 133-156, June.
    4. Hassani, Hossein & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Gupta, Rangan & Das, Sonali, 2018. "Predicting global temperature anomaly: A definitive investigation using an ensemble of twelve competing forecasting models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 121-139.
    5. Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2017. "Has global warming modified the relationship between sunspot numbers and global temperatures?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 468(C), pages 351-358.
    6. Umberto Triacca, 2025. "Testing for galactic cosmic ray warming hypothesis using the notion of block‐exogeneity," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(1), January.
    7. Huang, Xu & Maçaira, Paula Medina & Hassani, Hossein & Cyrino Oliveira, Fernando Luiz & Dhesi, Gurjeet, 2019. "Hydrological natural inflow and climate variables: Time and frequency causality analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 516(C), pages 480-495.

  538. Tsangyao Chang & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Omid Ranjbar, 2014. "Testing for Multiple Bubbles in the BRICS Stock Markets," Working Papers 201407, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. KIRKPINAR, Aysegul & ERER, Elif & ERER, Deniz, 2019. "Is There A Rational Bubble In Bist 100 And Sector Indices?," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 23(3), pages 21-33, September.
    2. ZEREN, Feyyaz & ERGÜZEL, Oylum Şehvez, 2015. "Testing For Bubbles In The Housing Market: Further Evidence From Turkey," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 19(1), pages 40-52.
    3. Chen, Mei-Ping & Lin, Yu-Hui & Tseng, Chun-Yao & Chen, Wen-Yi, 2015. "Bubbles in health care: Evidence from the U.S., U.K., and German stock markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 193-205.
    4. Bago, Jean-Louis & Souratié, Wamadini M. & Ouédraogo, Moussa & Ouédraogo, Ernest & Dembélé, Alou, 2019. "Financial Bubbles : New Evidence from South Africa’s Stock Market," MPRA Paper 95685, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  539. Adnen Ben Nasr & Rangan Gupta & Joao Ricardo Sato, 2014. "Is there an Environmental Kuznets Curve for South Africa? A Co-Summability Approach Using a Century of Data," Working Papers 201466, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Claudia Nyarko Mensah & Lamini Dauda & Kofi Baah Boamah & Muhammad Salman, 2021. "One district one factory policy of Ghana, a transition to a low-carbon habitable economy?," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 703-721, January.
    2. Awaworyi Churchill, Sefa & Inekwe, John & Ivanovski, Kris & Smyth, Russell, 2020. "The Environmental Kuznets Curve across Australian states and territories," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    3. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Sinha, Avik, 2018. "Environmental Kuznets Curve for CO2 Emission: A Literature Survey," MPRA Paper 86281, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Apr 2018.
    4. Bouznit, Mohammed & Pablo-Romero, María del P., 2016. "CO2 emission and economic growth in Algeria," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 93-104.
    5. Erik Hille & Bernhard Lambernd & Aviral K. Tiwari, 2021. "Any Signs of Green Growth? A Spatial Panel Analysis of Regional Air Pollution in South Korea," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 80(4), pages 719-760, December.
    6. Wang, Xueyang & Sun, Xiumei & Ahmad, Mahmood & Chen, Jiawei, 2024. "Energy transition, ecological governance, globalization, and environmental sustainability: Insights from the top ten emitting countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    7. Maralgua Och, 2017. "Empirical Investigation of the Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Nitrous Oxide Emissions for Mongolia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 117-128.
    8. Abdulkadir Bulut & Nazmiye Tekdemir, 2025. "The Inverted N-Shaped Relationship Between Economic Growth And Co2 Emissions: Evidence From Oecd Countries," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 70(244), pages 7-33, January –.
    9. LAWSON, Laté A. & MARTINO, Roberto & NGUYEN-VAN, Phu, 2020. "Environmental convergence and environmental Kuznets curve: A unified empirical framework," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 437(C).
    10. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Sinha, Avik, 2019. "Environmental Kuznets Curve for CO2 emission: A survey of empirical literature," MPRA Paper 100257, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2019.
    11. Louis Sevitnenyi Nkwatoh, 2022. "Zero-pollution effect and economic development: standard and nested environmental Kuznets curve analyses for West Africa," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(10), pages 11895-11910, October.
    12. Nilüfer Kaya Kanlı & Bige Küçükefe, 2023. "Is the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis valid? A global analysis for carbon dioxide emissions," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(3), pages 2339-2367, March.
    13. Aslan Alper & Gozbasi Onur, 2016. "Environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis for sub-elements of the carbon emissions in China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 82(2), pages 1327-1340, June.
    14. Kristofer Månsson & B. M. Golam Kibria & Ghazi Shukur & Pär Sjölander, 2018. "On the Estimation of the CO 2 Emission, Economic Growth and Energy Consumption Nexus Using Dynamic OLS in the Presence of Multicollinearity," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-11, April.
    15. Taimur Sharif & Mirza Md Moyen Uddin & Constantinos Alexiou, 2025. "Testing the moderating role of trade openness on the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis: a novel approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 345(2), pages 597-635, February.
    16. Awad, Atif, 2019. "Does economic integration damage or benefit the environment? Africa's experience," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 991-999.
    17. Anh-Tu Nguyen & Shih-Hao Lu & Phuc Thanh Thien Nguyen, 2021. "Validating and Forecasting Carbon Emissions in the Framework of the Environmental Kuznets Curve: The Case of Vietnam," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-38, May.
    18. Seref Bozoklu & A. Oguz Demir & Sinan Ataer, 2020. "Reassessing the environmental Kuznets curve: a summability approach for emerging market economies," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 10(3), pages 513-531, September.
    19. Atif Awad, 2021. "Structural Transformation versus Environmental Quality: The Experience of the Low-income Countries in Sub Saharan Africa," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(6), pages 479-488.
    20. Atif Awad & Mohammed Hersi Warsame, 2017. "Climate Changes in Africa: Does Economic Growth Matter? A Semi-parametric Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 1-8.
    21. Deshan Li & Yanfen Zhao & Rongwei Wu & Jiefang Dong, 2019. "Spatiotemporal Features and Socioeconomic Drivers of PM 2.5 Concentrations in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-18, February.
    22. Ivanovski, Kris & Awaworyi Churchill, Sefa, 2020. "Convergence and determinants of greenhouse gas emissions in Australia: A regional analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).

  540. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar, 2014. "Forecasting Aggregate Retail Sales: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 15-21, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Uddin, Gazi Salah & Tang, Ou & Sahamkhadam, Maziar & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Yahya, Muhammad & Cerin, Pontus & Rehme, Jakob, 2021. "Analysis of Forecasting Models in an Electricity Market under Volatility," ADBI Working Papers 1212, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    2. Wesley Marcos Almeida & Claudimar Pereira Veiga, 2023. "Does demand forecasting matter to retailing?," Journal of Marketing Analytics, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(2), pages 219-232, June.
    3. Hoeltgebaum, Henrique & Borenstein, Denis & Fernandes, Cristiano & Veiga, Álvaro, 2021. "A score-driven model of short-term demand forecasting for retail distribution centers," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 97(4), pages 715-725.
    4. Fildes, Robert & Ma, Shaohui & Kolassa, Stephan, 2022. "Retail forecasting: Research and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 1283-1318.
    5. Melchior, Cristiane & Zanini, Roselaine Ruviaro & Guerra, Renata Rojas & Rockenbach, Dinei A., 2021. "Forecasting Brazilian mortality rates due to occupational accidents using autoregressive moving average approaches," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 825-837.
    6. Erjiang E & Ming Yu & Xin Tian & Ye Tao, 2022. "Dynamic Model Selection Based on Demand Pattern Classification in Retail Sales Forecasting," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(17), pages 1-16, September.
    7. Fildes, Robert & Ma, Shaohui & Kolassa, Stephan, 2019. "Retail forecasting: research and practice," MPRA Paper 89356, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Ma, Shaohui & Fildes, Robert, 2020. "Forecasting third-party mobile payments with implications for customer flow prediction," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 739-760.
    9. Arunraj, Nari Sivanandam & Ahrens, Diane, 2015. "A hybrid seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average and quantile regression for daily food sales forecasting," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(PA), pages 321-335.
    10. Tran Tuan Anh, 2015. "Assessing the development potential of modern retail in Vietnam," HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE - ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE, HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY, vol. 5(1), pages 31-40.
    11. Emir Zunic & Kemal Korjenic & Kerim Hodzic & Dzenana Donko, 2020. "Application of Facebook's Prophet Algorithm for Successful Sales Forecasting Based on Real-world Data," Papers 2005.07575, arXiv.org.
    12. Chantal Rootman, 2016. "How social media tools influence brand image and buying behaviour in the South African food retail industry," Proceedings of Business and Management Conferences 3405542, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    13. Kourentzes, Nikolaos & Barrow, Devon & Petropoulos, Fotios, 2019. "Another look at forecast selection and combination: Evidence from forecast pooling," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 226-235.

  541. John W. Muteba Mwamba & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Financial Tail Risks and the Shapes of the Extreme Value Distribution: A Comparison between Conventional and Sharia-Compliant Stock Indexes," Working Papers 201480, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks and Movements in Islamic Bond and Equity Markets: A Note," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 367-379, April.

  542. Ahdi N. Ajmi & Vassilios Babalos & Fotini Economou & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Real Estate Markets and Uncertainty Shocks: A Variance Causality Approach," Working Papers 201436, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "High-Frequency Volatility Forecasting of US Housing Markets," Working Papers 201977, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty And The Comovement In Buying Versus Renting In The Usa," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(3), pages 93-121, September.
    3. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Testing the Forecasting Power of Global Economic Conditions for the Volatility of International REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202211, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Goodness C. Aye & Matthew W. Clance & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Effect of Economic Uncertainty on the Housing Market Cycle," Working Papers 201757, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    6. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and the Comovement in Buying versus Renting in the United States," Working Papers 201832, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Hassapis, Christis, 2017. "Does economic policy uncertainty forecast real housing returns in a panel of OECD countries? A Bayesian approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 50-60.
    8. Cepni, Oguzhan & Dul, Wiehan & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The dynamics of U.S. REITs returns to uncertainty shocks: A proxy SVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    9. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    10. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Wendy Nyakabawo, 2018. "Predicting Aggregate and State-Level US House Price Volatility: The Role of Sentiment," Working Papers 201866, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Uncertainty due to Infectious Diseases and Forecastability of the Realized Variance of US REITs: A Note," Working Papers 202099, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  543. Ahdi N. Ajmi & Vassilios Babalos & Rangan Gupta & Roulof Hefer, 2014. "A Reinvestigation of the Oil Price and Consumer Price Nexus in South Africa: An Asymmetric Causality Approach," Working Papers 201423, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Reneé van Eyden & Josine Uwilingiye & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "The impact of oil price on South African GDP growth: A Bayesian Markov Switching-VAR analysis," Working Papers 201470, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  544. Hossein Hassani & Emmanuel Sirimal Silva & Rangan Gupta & Mawuli K. Segnon, 2014. "Forecasting the Price of Gold," Working Papers 201428, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sahay, Arvind & Jaikumar, Saravana, 2016. "Does Pharmaceutical Price Regulation Result in Greater Access to Essential Medicines? Study of the impact of drug price control order on sales volume of drugs in India," IIMA Working Papers WP2016-02-01, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    2. Han, Liyan & Xu, Yang & Yin, Libo, 2017. "Does investor attention matter? The attention-return relation in gold futures market," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-37, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Jan Prüser, 2019. "Adaptive learning from model space," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(1), pages 29-38, January.
    4. Hassanniakalager, Arman & Sermpinis, Georgios & Stasinakis, Charalampos, 2021. "Trading the foreign exchange market with technical analysis and Bayesian Statistics," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 230-251.
    5. Madziwa, Lawrence & Pillalamarry, Mallikarjun & Chatterjee, Snehamoy, 2022. "Gold price forecasting using multivariate stochastic model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    6. Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do terror attacks predict gold returns? Evidence from a quantile-predictive-regression approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 276-284.
    7. Yang Zhao & Charalampos Stasinakis & Georgios Sermpinis & Filipa Da Silva Fernandes, 2019. "Revisiting Fama–French factors' predictability with Bayesian modelling and copula‐based portfolio optimization," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 1443-1463, October.
    8. Hossein Hassani & Emmanuel Sirimal Silva, 2015. "A Kolmogorov-Smirnov Based Test for Comparing the Predictive Accuracy of Two Sets of Forecasts," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-20, August.
    9. Krzysztof Drachal, 2018. "Determining Time-Varying Drivers of Spot Oil Price in a Dynamic Model Averaging Framework," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-24, May.
    10. Zhang, Pinyi & Ci, Bicong, 2020. "Deep belief network for gold price forecasting," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    11. Thi Hong Van Hoang & Amine Lahiani & David Heller, 2016. "Is gold a hedge against inflation? New evidence from a nonlinear ARDL approach," Post-Print hal-02012307, HAL.
    12. Hassani, Hossein & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Filis, George & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Forecasting accuracy evaluation of tourist arrivals," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 112-127.
    13. Nima Nonejad, 2021. "An Overview Of Dynamic Model Averaging Techniques In Time‐Series Econometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 566-614, April.
    14. Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Hossein Hassani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "The ENSO cycle and forecastability of global inflation and output growth: Evidence from standard and mixed‐frequency multivariate singular spectrum analyses," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1690-1707, November.
    15. Nikolaos Giannellis & Minoas Koukouritakis, 2018. "Gold Price and Exchange Rates: A Panel Smooth Transition Regression Model for the G7 Countries," Working Papers 1806, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
    16. Donghua Wang & Yang Xin & Xiaohui Chang & Xingze Su, 2021. "Realized volatility forecasting and volatility spillovers: Evidence from Chinese non‐ferrous metals futures," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2713-2731, April.
    17. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Ender Demir & Giray Gozgor, 2016. "The Impact Of Economic Policy Uncertainty On The Vehicle Miles Traveled (Vmt) In The U.S," Eurasian Journal of Business and Management, Eurasian Publications, vol. 4(3), pages 39-48.
    19. Drachal, Krzysztof, 2019. "Forecasting prices of selected metals with Bayesian data-rich models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    20. Fang, Libing & Yu, Honghai & Xiao, Wen, 2018. "Forecasting gold futures market volatility using macroeconomic variables in the United States," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 249-259.
    21. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Tahir, Hammad, 2021. "What do we know about the inflation-hedging property of precious metals in Africa? The case of leading producers of the commodities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    23. O'Connor, Fergal & Lucey, Brian & Batten, Jonathan & Baur, Dirk, 2015. "The Financial Economics of Gold - a survey," MPRA Paper 65484, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Mahdi Kalantari & Hossein Hassani, 2019. "Automatic Grouping in Singular Spectrum Analysis," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 1(1), pages 1-16, October.
    25. Pierdzioch, Christian & Risse, Marian & Rohloff, Sebastian, 2015. "A real-time quantile-regression approach to forecasting gold returns under asymmetric loss," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 299-306.
    26. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium using dynamic model averaging. Does the state–space representation matter?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    27. Drachal, Krzysztof, 2016. "Forecasting spot oil price in a dynamic model averaging framework — Have the determinants changed over time?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 35-46.
    28. Liu, Weiping & Wang, Chengzhu & Li, Yonggang & Liu, Yishun & Huang, Keke, 2021. "Ensemble forecasting for product futures prices using variational mode decomposition and artificial neural networks," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    29. Baur, Dirk G. & Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2020. "The Relative Valuation Of Gold," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(6), pages 1346-1391, September.
    30. Shah, Adil Ahmad & Paul, Manas & Bhanja, Niyati & Dar, Arif Billah, 2021. "Dynamics of connectedness across crude oil, precious metals and exchange rate: Evidence from time and frequency domains," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    31. Nuri Hacıevliyagil & Krzysztof Drachal & Ibrahim Halil Eksi, 2022. "Predicting House Prices Using DMA Method: Evidence from Turkey," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-27, March.
    32. Andrew Urquhart, 2017. "How predictable are precious metal returns?," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(14), pages 1390-1413, November.
    33. Risse, Marian & Ohl, Ludwig, 2017. "Using dynamic model averaging in state space representation with dynamic Occam’s window and applications to the stock and gold market," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 158-176.
    34. Paul, Manas & Bhanja, Niyati & Dar, Arif Billah, 2019. "Gold, gold mining stocks and equities- partial wavelet coherence evidence from developed countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 378-384.
    35. Rana, Hafiz Muhammad Usman & O'Connor, Fergal, 2023. "Domestic macroeconomic determinants of precious metals prices in developed and emerging economies: An international analysis of the long and short run," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    36. Shang, Yue & Wei, Yu & Chen, Yongfei, 2022. "Cryptocurrency policy uncertainty and gold return forecasting: A dynamic Occam's window approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    37. Risse, Marian, 2019. "Combining wavelet decomposition with machine learning to forecast gold returns," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 601-615.
    38. Feng Ma & Xinjie Lu & Lu Wang & Julien Chevallier, 2021. "Global economic policy uncertainty and gold futures market volatility: Evidence from Markov regime‐switching GARCH‐MIDAS models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(6), pages 1070-1085, September.
    39. Hassani, Hossein & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Gupta, Rangan & Das, Sonali, 2018. "Predicting global temperature anomaly: A definitive investigation using an ensemble of twelve competing forecasting models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 121-139.
    40. Behnamian, Mehdi & Shojaee, Abdul Nasser & Haji, Gholamali, 2021. "Investigating the Effective Factors in the Growth of Private Sector Investment in Iran," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 7(4), pages 84-57, February.
    41. Dong, Xiyong & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2019. "What global economic factors drive emerging Asian stock market returns? Evidence from a dynamic model averaging approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 204-215.
    42. Hoang, Thi Hong Van & Lahiani, Amine & Heller, David, 2016. "Is gold a hedge against inflation? New evidence from a nonlinear ARDL approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 54-66.
    43. Pierdzioch, Christian & Risse, Marian & Rohloff, Sebastian, 2016. "A quantile-boosting approach to forecasting gold returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 38-55.
    44. Yu Zhao & Xi Zhang & Zhongshun Shi & Lei He, 2017. "Grain Price Forecasting Using a Hybrid Stochastic Method," Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research (APJOR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 34(05), pages 1-24, October.
    45. Zhang, Hongwei & Demirer, Riza & Huang, Jianbai & Huang, Wanjun & Tahir Suleman, Muhammad, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and gold return dynamics: Evidence from high-frequency data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    46. Semeyutin, Artur & Downing, Gareth, 2022. "Co-jumps in the U.S. interest rates and precious metals markets and their implications for investors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    47. Perry Sadorsky, 2021. "Predicting Gold and Silver Price Direction Using Tree-Based Classifiers," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-21, April.
    48. Apergis, Nicholas & Eleftheriou, Sofia, 2016. "Gold returns: Do business cycle asymmetries matter? Evidence from an international country sample," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 164-170.
    49. Dong, Xiyong & Song, Li & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2021. "How have the dependence structures between stock markets and economic factors changed during the COVID-19 pandemic?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    50. Dar, Arif Billah & Bhanja, Niyati & Paul, Manas, 2019. "Do gold mining stocks behave like gold or equities? Evidence from the UK and the US," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 369-384.
    51. Chaya Bagrecha & Kuldeep Singh & Geeti Sharma & P. B. Saranya, 2025. "Forecasting silver prices: a univariate ARIMA approach and a proposed model for future direction," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 38(1), pages 131-141, March.
    52. Paul, Manas & Bhanja, Niyati & Dar, Arif Billah, 2023. "On the similarities between precious metals, precious metal stocks and equities – International evidence for gold and silver," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    53. Wang, TianTian & Zhang, Dayong & Clive Broadstock, David, 2019. "Financialization, fundamentals, and the time-varying determinants of US natural gas prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 707-719.
    54. Hossein Hassani & Mahdi Kalantari & Zara Ghodsi, 2019. "Evaluating the Performance of Multiple Imputation Methods for Handling Missing Values in Time Series Data: A Study Focused on East Africa, Soil-Carbonate-Stable Isotope Data," Stats, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-11, December.
    55. Pattnaik, Debidutta & Hassan, M. Kabir & DSouza, Arun & Ashraf, Ali, 2023. "Investment in gold: A bibliometric review and agenda for future research," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    56. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Owusu Junior, Peterson & Ahmad, Nasir & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Time-varying risk analysis for commodity futures," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    57. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2021. "A note on oil price shocks and the forecastability of gold realized volatility," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(21), pages 1889-1897, December.
    58. Zhongxin Ni & Xing Lu & Wenjun Xue, 2021. "Does the belt and road initiative resolve the steel overcapacity in China? Evidence from a dynamic model averaging approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 279-307, July.
    59. Awartani, Basel & Hussain, Syed Mujahid & Virk, Nader, 2024. "How do the gold intra-day returns and volatility react to monetary policy shocks?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    60. Cristiana Tudor, 2016. "Predicting the Evolution of CO 2 Emissions in Bahrain with Automated Forecasting Methods," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-10, September.
    61. Dichtl, Hubert, 2020. "Forecasting excess returns of the gold market: Can we learn from stock market predictions?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 19(C).
    62. Baur, Dirk G. & Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2016. "A melting pot — Gold price forecasts under model and parameter uncertainty," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 282-291.
    63. Krzysztof Drachal, 2018. "Some Novel Bayesian Model Combination Schemes: An Application to Commodities Prices," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-27, August.
    64. Khan, Asad Ul Islam & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Napari, Ayuba, 2023. "Subsample stability, change detection and dynamics of oil and metal markets: A recursive approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    65. Vasilios Plakandaras & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2021. "Gold Against the Machine," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 5-28, January.
    66. Christian Pierdzioch & Marian Risse, 2020. "Forecasting precious metal returns with multivariate random forests," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1167-1184, March.

  545. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Adel Bosch & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Housing and the Business Cycle in South Africa," Working Papers 15-22, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Aye, Goodness C. & Balcilar, Mehmet & El Montasser, Ghassen & Gupta, Rangan & Manjez, Nangamso C., 2016. "Can debt ceiling and government shutdown predict us real stock returns? A bootstrap rolling window approach. - Gli effetti sui rendimenti azionari reali negli USA del tetto del debito pubblico e del b," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 69(1), pages 11-32.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Open Access publications 10197/7351, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    3. Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Uzuner, Gizem & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Housing sector and economic policy uncertainty: A GMM panel VAR approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 114-126.
    4. Gustafsson, Peter & Stockhammar, Pär & Österholm, Pär, 2015. "Macroeconomic Effects of a Decline in Housing Prices in Sweden," Working Papers 138, National Institute of Economic Research.
    5. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Does Inequality Really Matter in Forecasting Real Housing Returns of the United Kingdom?," Working Papers 201859, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2020. "Housing market spillovers in South Africa: evidence from an estimated small open economy DSGE model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2309-2332, May.
    7. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Hassapis, Christis, 2017. "Does economic policy uncertainty forecast real housing returns in a panel of OECD countries? A Bayesian approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 50-60.
    8. Laurie Binge & Willem H Boshoff, 2016. "Modelling South African Art Prices: An analysis of post-2000 price behaviour," Working Papers 18/2016, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    9. Lenhle Dlamini & Harold Ngalawa, 2022. "Macroprudential policy and house prices in an estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model for South Africa," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(2), pages 304-336, June.
    10. Hossein Hassani & Zara Ghodsi & Rangan Gupta & Mawuli K. Segnon, 2014. "Forecasting Home Sales in the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy Using Singular Spectrum Analysis," Working Papers 201482, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Adél Bosch & Steven F. Koch, 2020. "The South African Financial Cycle and its Relation to Household Deleveraging," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(2), pages 145-173, June.
    12. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "How do Housing Returns in Emerging Countries Respond to Oil Shocks? A MIDAS Touch," Working Papers 201946, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Vasilios Plakandaras & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "The Role of Housing Sentiment in Forecasting US Home Sales Growth: Evidence from a Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201842, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Mehmet Balcilar & Gizem Uzuner & Festus Victor Bekun & Mark E. Wohar, 2023. "Housing price uncertainty and housing prices in the UK in a time-varying environment," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 523-549, May.
    15. Christophe André & Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Mulatu F. Zerihun, 2017. "Asymmetric Behaviour in Nominal and Real Housing Prices: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Economies," Working Papers 201711, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mampho Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "DGSE Model-Based Forecasting of Modeled and Non-Modeled Inflation Variables in South Africa," Working Papers 259, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2013.
    17. Guangling Liu & Thabang Molise, 2020. "The Optimal Monetary and Macroprudential Policies for the South African Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(3), pages 368-404, September.
    18. Liu, Guangling & Molise, Thabang, 2019. "Housing and credit market shocks: Exploring the role of rule-based Basel III counter-cyclical capital requirements," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 264-279.
    19. Mustafa Özer & Inci Oya Coşkun & Mustafa Kırca, 2015. "Time Varying Causality Between Exchange Rates And Tourism Demand For Turkey," Tourism Research Institute, Journal of Tourism Research, vol. 10(1), pages 125-142, June.
    20. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Components of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Predictability of US Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantile Approach," Working Papers 201639, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Lee, Tsung-Hsien Michael & Chen, Wenjuan, 2015. "Is there an asymmetric impact of housing on output?," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2015-020, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    22. Aye, Goodness C., 2016. "Causality between Oil Price and South Africa's Food Price: Time Varying Approach - Relazione di causalità tra prezzo del petrolio e pr ezzo dei prodotti alimentari in Sud Africa: un approccio time var," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 69(3), pages 193-212.
    23. Guangling Liu & Thabang Molise, 2018. "Is Basel III counter-cyclical: The case of South Africa?," Working Papers 10/2018, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.

  546. Massimiliano Caporin & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Time-Varying Persistence in US Inflation," Working Papers 201457, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Wingert, Simon & Mboya, Mwasi Paza & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2020. "Distinguishing between breaks in the mean and breaks in persistence under long memory," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    2. Zhanshou Chen & Yanting Xiao & Fuxiao Li, 2021. "Monitoring memory parameter change-points in long-memory time series," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(5), pages 2365-2389, May.
    3. Boubaker Heni & Canarella Giorgio & Gupta Rangan & Miller Stephen M., 2017. "Time-varying persistence of inflation: evidence from a wavelet-based approach," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(4), pages 1-18, September.
    4. Hamidreza Ghorbani Dastgerdi, 2020. "Inflation Theories and Inflation Persistence in Iran," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, vol. 23(2), pages 1-20, November.
    5. Canepa, Alessandra, 2024. "Inflation dynamics and persistence: The importance of the uncertainty channel," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    6. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Do house prices hedge inflation in the US? A quantile cointegration approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 15-26.

  547. Nicholas Apergis & Ghassen El Montasser & Emmanuel Owusu-Sekyere & Ahdi N. Ajmi & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Dutch Disease Effect of Oil Rents on Agriculture Value Added in MENA Countries," Working Papers 201408, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Edouard Mien & Michaël Goujon, 2021. "40 Years of Dutch Disease Literature: Lessons for Developing Countries," Working Papers hal-03256078, HAL.
    2. Svein Oskar Lauvsnes, 2021. "Dutch disease in the Norwegian agricultural sector," Review of Agricultural, Food and Environmental Studies, Springer, vol. 102(1), pages 25-57, March.
    3. Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr & Lean, Hooi Hooi & Clark, Jeremy, 2017. "The evolution of the natural resource curse thesis: A critical literature survey," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 123-134.
    4. Emmanuel Apergis & Nicholas Apergis, 2018. "What is extracted from earth is gold: are rare earths telling a new tale to economic growth?," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 45(1), pages 177-192, January.
    5. Faudot, Adrien, 2019. "Saudi Arabia and the rentier regime trap: A critical assessment of the plan Vision 2030," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 94-101.
    6. Zhao, Ziming & Chen, Jinyu, 2024. "Non-linear effects of three core mineral resources, energy uncertainty, and inclusive digitalization on economic growth: A comparative analysis of US and China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    7. Chandan Sharma & Ritesh Kumar Mishra, 2022. "On the Good and Bad of Natural Resource, Corruption, and Economic Growth Nexus," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 82(4), pages 889-922, August.
    8. Ghlamallah, Ezzedine & Alexakis, Christos & Dowling, Michael & Piepenbrink, Anke, 2021. "The topics of Islamic economics and finance research," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 145-160.
    9. Frédéric Teulon & Dominique Bonet Fernandez, 2014. "Pays riche, population pauvre : quelle stratégie de développement pour l’Algérie ?," Working Papers 2014-244, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    10. Ben-Salha, Ousama & Dachraoui, Hajer & Sebri, Maamar, 2021. "Natural resource rents and economic growth in the top resource-abundant countries: A PMG estimation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    11. Galina Williams & Ruth Nikijuluw, 2020. "The economic and social benefit of coal mining: the case study of regional Queensland," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(4), pages 1113-1132, October.
    12. Udemba, Edmund Ntom & Yalçıntaş, Selin, 2022. "Unveiling the symptoms of Dutch disease: A comparative and sustainable analysis of two oil-rich countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    13. Ge, Wei & Kinnucan, Henry, 2016. "Does Dutch Disease Hit Mongolia?," 2016 Annual Meeting, February 6-9, 2016, San Antonio, Texas 229564, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    14. Rian Hilmawan & Jeremy Clark, 2018. "Resource Dependence and the Causes of Local Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation," Working Papers in Economics 18/12, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    15. Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr & Szulczyk, Kenneth R. & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2021. "Asymmetries in the effect of oil rent shocks on economic growth: A sectoral analysis from the perspective of the oil curse," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    16. Eric W. Djimeu & Luc-Désiré Omgba, 2018. "Oil windfalls might not be the problem in oil-producing countries: evidence from the impact of oil shocks on export diversification," EconomiX Working Papers 2018-18, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    17. Elizavetta Dorinet & Pierre-André Jouvet & Julien Wolfersberger, 2021. "Is The Agricultural Sector Cursed Too? Evidence From Sub-Saharan Africa [Le secteur agricole est-il lui aussi maudit ? Témoignages d'Afrique subsaharienne]," Post-Print hal-03036437, HAL.
    18. Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr & Lean, Hooi Hooi & Smyth, Russell, 2016. "Oil curse and finance–growth nexus in Malaysia: The role of investment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 154-165.
    19. Alssadek, Marwan & Benhin, James, 2023. "Natural resource curse: A literature survey and comparative assessment of regional groupings of oil-rich countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    20. Iman Cheratian & Mohammad Reza Farzanegan & Saleh Goltabar, 2019. "Oil Price Shocks and Unemployment Rate: New Evidence from the MENA Region," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201931, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    21. Titus Isaiah Zayone & Shida Rastegari Henneberry & Riza Radmehr, 2020. "Effects of Agricultural, Manufacturing, and Mineral Exports on Angola’s Economic Growth," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-17, March.
    22. Eric W. Djimeu & Luc-Désiré Omgba, 2018. "Oil windfalls and export diversification in oil-producing countries: evidence from oil booms," Post-Print hal-01946573, HAL.
    23. Ruba A. Aljarallah & Andrew Angus, 2020. "Dilemma of Natural Resource Abundance: A Case Study of Kuwait," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(1), pages 21582440198, January.
    24. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B., 2021. "Revisiting oil consumption-economic growth nexus: Resource-curse and scarcity tales," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    25. Behzad Fakari Sardehae & Naser Shahnoushi Foroushani & Saleh S. Tabrizy, 2023. "Exchange Rate and Agricultural Trade: Evidence from Iran," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(1), pages 302-308.
    26. Hasan, Mohammad Maruf & Nan, Su & Waris, Umra, 2024. "Assessing the dynamics among oil consumption, ecological footprint, and renewable energy: Role of institutional quality in major oil-consuming countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).

  548. Tsangyao Chang & Hsiao-Ping Chu & Frederick W. Deale & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Relationship between Happiness and Smoking: A Bootstrap Panel Causality Test," Working Papers 201443, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ke Wang & Jianjun Zhang & Yuhuan Geng & Lianxiang Xiao & Ze Xu & Yongheng Rao & Xiangli Zhou, 2020. "Differential spatial-temporal responses of carbon dioxide emissions to economic development: empirical evidence based on spatial analysis," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 237-260, February.

  549. Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "On the Directional Accuracy of Inflation Forecasts: Evidence from South African Survey Data," Working Papers 201463, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mr. Ken Miyajima & James Yetman, 2018. "Inflation Expectations Anchoring Across Different Types of Agents: the Case of South Africa," IMF Working Papers 2018/177, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Forecasting the South African Inflation Rate: On Asymmetric Loss and Forecast Rationality," Working Papers 201475, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Behrens, Christoph & Pierdzioch, Christian & Risse, Marian, 2018. "Testing the optimality of inflation forecasts under flexible loss with random forests," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 270-277.
    4. Maas, Benedikt, 2019. "Nowcasting and forecasting US recessions: Evidence from the Super Learner," MPRA Paper 96408, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    6. Weiling Liu & Emanuel Moench, 2014. "What predicts U.S. recessions?," Staff Reports 691, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    7. Babalos, Vassilios & Stavroyiannis, Stavros & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Do commodity investors herd? Evidence from a time-varying stochastic volatility model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(P2), pages 281-287.

  550. Goodness C. Aye & Olorato Gadinabokao & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Does the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) Respond to Oil Price Movements? Historical Evidence from the Frequency Domain," Working Papers 201425, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2015. "The Role of Oil Prices in the Forecasts of South African Interest Rates: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 201531, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of Oil Shocks in a Small Open Economy New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for South Africa," Working Papers 201652, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  551. Michael Paetz & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Stock Price Dynamics and the Business Cycle in an Estimated DSGE Model for South Africa," Working Papers 201441, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Georgios Georgiadis & Martina Jancokova, 2017. "Financial Globalisation, Monetary Policy Spillovers and Macro-modelling: Tales from 1001 Shocks," Globalization Institute Working Papers 314, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2020. "Housing market spillovers in South Africa: evidence from an estimated small open economy DSGE model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2309-2332, May.
    3. Shi, Guangping & Liu, Xiaoxing, 2020. "Stock price fluctuation and the business cycle in the BRICS countries: A nonparametric quantiles causality approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    4. Omotosho, Babatunde S., 2019. "Business Cycle Fluctuations in Nigeria: Some Insights from an Estimated DSGE Model," MPRA Paper 98351, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  552. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2014. "Analysing South Africa's Inflation Persistence Using an ARFIMA Model with Markov-Switching Fractional Differencing Parameter," Working Papers 15-09, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Francis Leni Anguyo & Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotzé, 2017. "Inflation Dynamics in Uganda: A Quantile Regression Approach," Working Papers 201772, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Andrew Phiri, 2017. "Inflation persistence in BRICS countries: A quantile autoregressive (QAR) approach," Working Papers 1702, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University, revised Jul 2017.
    3. Goran Petrevski, 2023. "Macroeconomic Effects of Inflation Targeting: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," Papers 2305.17474, arXiv.org.
    4. Fernando Zarzosa Valdivia, 2020. "Inflation Dynamics in the ABC (Argentina, Brazil and Chile) countries," Ensayos de Política Económica, Departamento de Investigación Francisco Valsecchi, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Pontificia Universidad Católica Argentina., vol. 3(2), pages 77-99, Octubre.
    5. Sihle Kubheka, 2023. "South African inflation modelling using bootstrapped long short-term memory methods," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(7), pages 1-11, July.
    6. Sakiru Adebola Solarin & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Carmen Lafuente, 2020. "Persistence of the Misery Index in African Countries," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 147(3), pages 825-841, February.
    7. Massimiliano Caporin & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Time-varying persistence in US inflation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 423-439, September.
    8. Phiri, Andrew, 2017. "Inflation persistence in BRICS countries: A quantile autoregressive (QAR) model," MPRA Paper 79956, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Ibrahim D. Raheem, 2018. "Inflation rate of 14–16% is fair for the sub-Saharan African dollarization," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 42(4), pages 779-794, October.
    10. Stan Plessis & Gideon Rand & Kevin Kotzé, 2015. "Measuring Core Inflation in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 83(4), pages 527-548, December.

  553. Tsangyao Chang & Hsiao-Ping Chu & Frederick W. Deale & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2014. "The Relationship between Population Growth and Economic Growth Over 1870-2013: Evidence from a Bootstrapped Panel-Granger Causality Test," Working Papers 201431, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Bucci, Alberto & Eraydın, Levent & Müller, Moritz, 2019. "Dilution effects, population growth and economic growth under human capital accumulation and endogenous technological change," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    2. Pýnar HAYALOÐLU & Seyfettin ARTAN & Selim Koray DEMÝREL, 2019. "Sürdürülebilir Geliþme Baðlamýnda Çevresel-Sosyal Faktörler ile Ekonomik Büyüme Arasýndaki Ýliþkiler," Isletme ve Iktisat Calismalari Dergisi, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 52-66.
    3. Rana Nabeel Ahmed & Kahlil Ahmad, 2016. "Impact of Population on Economic Growth: A Case Study of Pakistan," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 5(3), pages 162-176, September.

  554. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Ghassen El Montasser & Rangan Gupta & Nangamso C. Manjezi, 2014. "Can Debt Ceiling and Government Shutdown Predict US Real Stock Returns? A Boot-strap Rolling-Window Approach," Working Papers 201426, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  555. Mehmet Balcilar & Reneé van Eyden & Josine Uwilingiye & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "The impact of oil price on South African GDP growth: A Bayesian Markov Switching-VAR analysis," Working Papers 15-13, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Manamba Epaphra & Khatibu Kazungu, 2021. "Efficiency of Tanzania's foreign exchange market," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 33(2), pages 368-381, June.
    2. Ben Salem, Leila & Nouira, Ridha & Saafi, Sami & Rault, Christophe, 2024. "How do oil prices affect the GDP and its components? New evidence from a time-varying threshold model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    3. Mehmet Balcilar & David Roubaud & Ojonugwa Usman & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Testing the asymmetric effects of exchange rate pass‐through in BRICS countries: Does the state of the economy matter?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 188-233, January.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Usman Ojonugwa, 2018. "Exchange rate and oil price pass-through to inflation in BRICS countries: Evidence from the spillover index and rolling-sample analysis," Working Papers 15-45, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    5. Yuksel BAYRAKTAR, & Taha EGRI, & Furkan YILDIZ, 2016. "A Causal Relationship Between Oil Prices Current Account Deficit, And Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis From Fragile Five Countries," EcoForum, "Stefan cel Mare" University of Suceava, Romania, Faculty of Economics and Public Administration - Economy, Business Administration and Tourism Department., vol. 5(Special I), pages 1-3, august.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2015. "The Role of Oil Prices in the Forecasts of South African Interest Rates: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 201531, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Thomas Habanabakize, 2021. "Determining the Household Consumption Expenditure’s Resilience towards Petrol Price, Disposable Income and Exchange Rate Volatilities," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-15, June.
    8. Zhang, Qi & Hu, Yi & Jiao, Jianbin & Wang, Shouyang, 2023. "Is refined oil price regulation a “shock absorber” for crude oil price shocks?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    9. Stanley Uche Akachukwu, 2022. "Oil price dynamics and firms' stock returns in the Nigeria stock market," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 34(4), pages 472-486, December.
    10. Rasheed O. Alao & Abdulkareem Alhassan & Saheed Alao & Ifedolapo O. Olanipekun & Godwin O. Olasehinde-Williams & Ojonugwa Usman, 2023. "Symmetric and asymmetric GARCH estimations of the impact of oil price uncertainty on output growth: evidence from the G7," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 1-14, December.
    11. Léleng Kebalo, 2020. "Effects of oil price shocks on economic sectors of net oil-importing countries: case of Togo," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(4), pages 2689-2703.
    12. Solomon Abayomi Olakojo, 2020. "A Markov‐switching analysis of Nigeria's business cycles: Are election cycles important?," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 32(1), pages 67-79, March.
    13. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa, 2021. "Exchange rate and oil price pass-through in the BRICS countries: Evidence from the spillover index and rolling-sample analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    14. OSMANI, Md Ataul Gani & PANAIT, Mirela & APOSTU, Simona Andreea & JANJUA, Laeeq Razzak, 2022. "Are There Any Asymmetric Responses Of Oil Price Shocks To Gdp Growth? A Review Of Literature," Journal of Financial and Monetary Economics, Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 10(1), pages 276-283, October.
    15. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Oscar V. De la Torre-Torres & Francisco Venegas-Martínez & Mᵃ Isabel Martínez-Torre-Enciso, 2021. "Enhancing Portfolio Performance and VIX Futures Trading Timing with Markov-Switching GARCH Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-22, January.
    17. Akinsola Motunrayo O. & Odhiambo N. M., 2022. "The Impact of Oil Price on Economic Growth in Middle-Income Oil-Importing Countries: A Non-Linear Panel ARDL Approach," Acta Universitatis Sapientiae, Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 10(1), pages 29-48, September.
    18. Jahangir S M Rashed & Dural Betul Yuce, 2018. "Crude oil, natural gas, and economic growth: impact and causality analysis in Caspian Sea region," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 54(3), pages 169-184, September.
    19. Oscar V. De la Torre-Torres & Dora Aguilasocho-Montoya & María de la Cruz del Río-Rama, 2020. "A Two-Regime Markov-Switching GARCH Active Trading Algorithm for Coffee, Cocoa, and Sugar Futures," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(6), pages 1-19, June.
    20. Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Usman, Ojonugwa & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Moving out of the linear rut: A period-specific and regime-dependent exchange rate and oil price pass-through in the BRICS countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    21. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa & Duman, Gazi Murat, 2024. "Nonlinear network connectedness: Assessing financial risk transmission in MENA and influence of external financial conditions," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    22. Su, Hui & Zhou, Na & Wu, Qiaosheng & Bi, Zhiwei & Wang, Yuli, 2023. "Investigating price fluctuations in copper futures: Based on EEMD and Markov-switching VAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    23. Ebenezer Olamide & Kanayo Ogujiuba & Andrew Maredza, 2022. "Exchange Rate Volatility, Inflation and Economic Growth in Developing Countries: Panel Data Approach for SADC," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-19, March.
    24. Olanipekun, Ifedolapo O. & Usman, Ojonugwa, 2019. "Modelling Food and Nonfood Production in India: The Effects of Oil Price using Bayer-Hanck Combined Cointegration Approach," MPRA Paper 96336, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2019.
    25. Motunrayo O AKINSOLA & NM ODHIAMBO, 2020. "Oil Price And Economic Growth Of Oil-Importing Countries: A Review Of International Literature," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 20(1), pages 129-140.
    26. Mehmet Balcilar & David Roubaud & Ojonugwa Usman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Testing the Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate and Oil Price Pass-Through in BRICS Countries: Does the state of the economy matter?," Working Papers 15-49, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    27. Chen, Jinyu & Zhu, Xuehong & Zhong, Meirui, 2019. "Nonlinear effects of financial factors on fluctuations in nonferrous metals prices: A Markov-switching VAR analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 489-500.
    28. Falakahla, Lwazi, 2019. "The Mining Dynamics and Economic performance in South African Mineral Resources Using Quantile Regression," MPRA Paper 95284, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    29. Jonathan E. Ogbuabor & God'stime O. Eigbiremolen & Charles O. Manasseh & Ifeoma C. Mba, 2018. "Asymmetric Price Transmission and Rent‐seeking in Road Fuel Markets: A Comparative Study of South Africa and Selected Eurozone Countries," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 30(3), pages 278-290, September.
    30. Léleng Kebalo, 2020. "Effects of oil price shocks on economic sectors of net oil-importing countries: case of Togo," Post-Print hal-03157689, HAL.
    31. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of Oil Shocks in a Small Open Economy New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for South Africa," Working Papers 201652, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  556. Tsangyao Chang & Xiao-lin Li & Stephen M. Miller & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "The Co-Movement and Causality between the U.S. Real Estate and Stock Markets in the Time and Frequency Domains," Working Papers 1402, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Dar, Arif Billah & Bhanja, Niyati & Gupta, Rangan, 2016. "A historical analysis of the US stock price index using empirical mode decomposition over 1791-2015," Economics Discussion Papers 2016-9, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    2. Yonghong Jiang & Mengmeng Yu & Shabir Mohsin Hashmi, 2017. "The Financial Crisis and Co-Movement of Global Stock Markets—A Case of Six Major Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-18, February.
    3. Dong, Minyi & Chang, Chun-Ping & Gong, Qiang & Chu, Yin, 2019. "Revisiting global economic activity and crude oil prices: A wavelet analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 134-149.
    4. Chi-Wei SU & Zong-Liang YAO & Hsu-Ling CHANG, 2016. "The relationship between output and asset prices: A time – and frequency – varying approach," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(606), S), pages 57-76, Spring.
    5. Nazlioglu, Saban & Gormus, N. Alper & Soytas, Uğur, 2016. "Oil prices and real estate investment trusts (REITs): Gradual-shift causality and volatility transmission analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 168-175.

  557. Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Forecasting the South African Inflation Rate: On Asymmetric Loss and Forecast Rationality," Working Papers 201475, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Behrens, Christoph & Pierdzioch, Christian & Risse, Marian, 2018. "Testing the optimality of inflation forecasts under flexible loss with random forests," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 270-277.
    2. Christoph Behrens, 2019. "A Nonparametric Evaluation of the Optimality of German Export and Import Growth Forecasts under Flexible Loss," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-23, September.
    3. Siddhartha S. Bora & Ani L. Katchova & Todd H. Kuethe, 2021. "The Rationality of USDA Forecasts under Multivariate Asymmetric Loss," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(3), pages 1006-1033, May.
    4. Pierdzioch, Christian & Reid, Monique B. & Gupta, Rangan, 2016. "Inflation forecasts and forecaster herding: Evidence from South African survey data," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 42-50.

  558. Mehmet Balcilar & Josine Uwilingiye & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Dynamic Relationship between Oil Price and Inflation in South Africa," Working Papers 201430, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & David Roubaud & Ojonugwa Usman & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Testing the asymmetric effects of exchange rate pass‐through in BRICS countries: Does the state of the economy matter?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 188-233, January.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Usman Ojonugwa, 2018. "Exchange rate and oil price pass-through to inflation in BRICS countries: Evidence from the spillover index and rolling-sample analysis," Working Papers 15-45, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2015. "The Role of Oil Prices in the Forecasts of South African Interest Rates: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 201531, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Deng, Xiang & Xu, Fang, 2024. "Asymmetric effects of international oil prices on China's PPI in different industries——Research based on NARDL model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    5. Abdullah M. H. Alharbi, 2023. "Oil Shocks, Monetary Policy, and Stock Returns: A Case of Oil-based Economy," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(6), pages 56-63, November.
    6. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa, 2021. "Exchange rate and oil price pass-through in the BRICS countries: Evidence from the spillover index and rolling-sample analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    7. Coşkun Akdeniz & Abdurrahman Nazif Çatık & Esra Ballı, 2022. "Inflationary effects of oil price and exchange rate shocks in South Africa: Evidence from time‐varying pass‐through coefficients," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 90(3), pages 301-328, September.
    8. Gürkan Bozma & Murat Akadg & Rahman Aydin, 2021. "Dynamic Relationships between Oil Price, Inflation and Economic Growth: A VARMA, GARCH-in-mean, asymmetric BEKK Model for Turkey," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(3), pages 1266-1281.
    9. Bruna, Karel & Van Tran, Quang, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on EUR/USD exchange rate and structural shock decomposition in a BVAR model with sign restriction," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    10. Mabanga, Chris & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2020. "The effects of oil prices on equity market returns in BRICS grouping: A quantile-on-quantile approach," MPRA Paper 101403, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Alley, Ibrahim, 2018. "Oil price and USD-Naira exchange rate crash: Can economic diversification save the Naira?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 245-256.
    12. Rangan Gupta & Sowmya Subramaniam & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "Infectious Disease-Related Uncertainty and the Safe-Haven Characteristic of US Treasury Securities," Working Papers 202078, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Usman, Ojonugwa & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Moving out of the linear rut: A period-specific and regime-dependent exchange rate and oil price pass-through in the BRICS countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    15. Tianyao Chen & Xue Cheng & Jingping Yang, 2019. "Common Decomposition of Correlated Brownian Motions and its Financial Applications," Papers 1907.03295, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
    16. Mehmet Balcilar & David Roubaud & Ojonugwa Usman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Testing the Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate and Oil Price Pass-Through in BRICS Countries: Does the state of the economy matter?," Working Papers 15-49, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    17. Guhathakurta, Kousik & Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Maitra, Debasish, 2020. "Period specific volatility spillover based connectedness between oil and other commodity prices and their portfolio implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    18. Temitope L. A. Leshoro, 2023. "An Analysis of the Importance of Terms of Trade in South Africa Using Impulse Response Function," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 24(2), pages 243-257, April.
    19. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of Oil Shocks in a Small Open Economy New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for South Africa," Working Papers 201652, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  559. Pejman Bahramian & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. kanda, 2014. "Forecasting South African Inflation Using Non-Linear Models: A Weighted Loss-Based Evaluation," Working Papers 15-19, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotze & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa, vol. 0.
    2. Franz Ruch & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Mampho P. Modise & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Forecasting Core Inflation: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 15-08, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

  560. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta & Goodness C. Aye, 2014. "Time-Varying Effects of Housing and Stock Prices on U.S. Consumption," Working Papers 1404, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Chi-Wei Su & Xiao-Cui Yin & Ran Tao, 2018. "How do housing prices affect consumption in China? New evidence from a continuous wavelet analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(9), pages 1-14, September.
    2. Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Mehmet Balcilar & Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Causal relationship between asset prices and output in the US: Evidence from state-level panel Granger causality test," Working Papers 201411, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  561. Kola Akinsomi & Goodness C. Aye & Vassilios Babalos & Fotini Economou & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Real Estate Returns Predictability Revisited: Novel Evidence from the US REITs Market," Working Papers 201454, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Asli Yuksel & Aydin Yuksel, 2020. "The U.S. Term Structure and Return Volatility in Global REIT Markets," Working Papers 202069, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty And The Comovement In Buying Versus Renting In The Usa," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(3), pages 93-121, September.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Testing the Forecasting Power of Global Economic Conditions for the Volatility of International REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202211, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Chang, Kuang-Liang, 2021. "Do U.S. and Japanese uncertainty shocks play important roles in affecting transition mechanisms of Japanese stock market?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    6. Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Esin Cakan, 2017. "The International REIT's Time-Varying Response to the U.S. Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Surprises," Working Papers 201712, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Goodness C. Aye & Matthew W. Clance & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Effect of Economic Uncertainty on the Housing Market Cycle," Working Papers 201757, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    9. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and the Comovement in Buying versus Renting in the United States," Working Papers 201832, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Jiqian Wang & Rangan Gupta & Oğuzhan Çepni & Feng Ma, 2023. "Forecasting international REITs volatility: the role of oil-price uncertainty," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(14), pages 1579-1597, September.
    11. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Does Inequality Really Matter in Forecasting Real Housing Returns of the United Kingdom?," Working Papers 201859, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Kola Akinsomi & Yener Coskun & Rangan Gupta & Marco Lau Chi Keung, 2018. "Impact of Volatility and Equity Market Uncertainty on Herd Behaviour: Evidence from UK REITs," ERES eres2018_52, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    14. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Hassapis, Christis, 2017. "Does economic policy uncertainty forecast real housing returns in a panel of OECD countries? A Bayesian approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 50-60.
    15. Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2021. "Dynamic Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy on International REITs," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-19, September.
    16. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "What can Fifty-Two Collateralizable Wealth Measures tell us about Future Housing Market Returns? Evidence from U.S. State-Level Data," Working Papers 201974, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Nuri Hacıevliyagil & Krzysztof Drachal & Ibrahim Halil Eksi, 2022. "Predicting House Prices Using DMA Method: Evidence from Turkey," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-27, March.
    18. Huang, MeiChi, 2024. "A greater crisis? Investigating MSA-level housing markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    19. Sercan Demiralay & Erhan Kilincarslan, 2024. "Uncertainty Measures and Sector-Specific REITs in a Regime-Switching Environment," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(3), pages 545-584, October.
    20. Cepni, Oguzhan & Dul, Wiehan & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The dynamics of U.S. REITs returns to uncertainty shocks: A proxy SVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    21. Geoffrey M. Ngene & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Impact of Housing Policy Uncertainty on Herding Behavior: Evidence from UK's Regional Housing Markets," Working Papers 202115, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Mehmet Balcilar & Gizem Uzuner & Festus Victor Bekun & Mark E. Wohar, 2023. "Housing price uncertainty and housing prices in the UK in a time-varying environment," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 523-549, May.
    23. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on US REITs Moments: Evidence from VARs with Functional Shocks," Working Papers 202219, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    25. Wei, Yu & Cao, Yang, 2017. "Forecasting house prices using dynamic model averaging approach: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 147-155.
    26. Salisu, Afees A. & Akinsomi, Omokolade & Ametefe, Frank Kwakutse & Hammed, Yinka S., 2024. "Gold market volatility and REITs' returns during tranquil and turbulent episodes," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).
    27. Odusami, Babatunde O., 2021. "Volatility jumps and their determinants in REIT returns," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    28. Qiao, Xingzhi & Zhu, Huiming & Zhang, Zhongqingyang & Mao, Weifang, 2022. "Time-frequency transmission mechanism of EPU, investor sentiment and financial assets: A multiscale TVP-VAR connectedness analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).

  562. Stephen M. Miller & Luis F. Martins & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "A Time-Varying Approach of the US Welfare Cost of Inflation," Working Papers 201419, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. ALBULESCU, Claudiu Tiberiu & PÉPIN, Dominique & MILLER, Stephen M., 2019. "The micro-foundations of an open economy money demand: An application to central and eastern European countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 33-45.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2014. "The Growth-Inflation Nexus for the US over 1801-2013: A Semiparametric Approach," Working Papers 15-17, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    3. Jonathan Benchimol & Irfan Qureshi, 2020. "Time-varying money demand and real balance effects," Post-Print hal-02876657, HAL.
    4. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Karmakar, Sayar & Wohar, Mark E., 2023. "Are real interest rates a monetary phenomenon? Evidence from 700 years of data," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    5. Polbin, Andrey & Skrobotov, Anton, 2022. "On decrease in oil price elasticity of GDP and investment in Russia," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 66, pages 5-24.
    6. Serletis, Apostolos & Xu, Libo, 2023. "Consumer preferences, the demand for Divisia money, and the welfare costs of inflation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).

  563. Vasilios Plakandaras & Periklis Gogas & Rangan Gupta & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2014. "US Inflation Dynamics on Long Range Data," Working Papers 201452, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Chan, Stephen & Chandrashekhar, Durga & Almazloum, Ward & Zhang, Yuanyuan & Lord, Nicholas & Osterrieder, Joerg & Chu, Jeffrey, 2024. "Stylized facts of metaverse non-fungible tokens," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 653(C).
    2. Yingying XU & Zhixin LIU & Jaime ORTIZ, 2018. "Actual and Expected Inflation in the U.S.: A Time-Frequency View," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 42-62, December.
    3. S. Arshad & S.A.R. Rizvi & O. Haroon & Fahad Mehmood & Q. Gong, 2021. "Are Oil Prices Efficient?," Post-Print hal-04317811, HAL.
    4. Boubaker Heni & Canarella Giorgio & Gupta Rangan & Miller Stephen M., 2017. "Time-varying persistence of inflation: evidence from a wavelet-based approach," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(4), pages 1-18, September.
    5. Refk Selmi & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Shawkat Hammoudeh, 2018. "Efficiency or speculation? A dynamic analysis of the Bitcoin market," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(4), pages 2037-2046.
    6. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Persistence of Economic Uncertainty: A Comprehensive Analysis," Working Papers 201810, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Yingying Xu & Zhi-Xin Liu & Hsu-Ling Chang & Adelina Dumitrescu Peculea & Chi-Wei Su, 2017. "Does self-fulfilment of the inflation expectation exist?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(11), pages 1098-1113, March.

  564. Itamar Caspi & Nico Katzke & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Date Stamping Historical Oil Price Bubbles: 1876-2014," Working Papers 201445, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Iliyasu, Jamilu & Rafindadi Sanusi, Aliyu & Suleiman, Dahiru, 2019. "Testing For Multiple Bubble Episodes In Nigerian Stock Exchange Market," Ilorin Journal of Economic Policy, Department of Economics, University of Ilorin, vol. 6(6), pages 13-26, June.
    2. Panagiotis Petris & George Dotsis & Panayotis Alexakis, 2022. "Bubble tests in the London housing market: A borough level analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1044-1063, January.
    3. Figuerola-Ferretti, Isabel & McCrorie, J. Roderick & Paraskevopoulos, Ioannis, 2020. "Mild explosivity in recent crude oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    4. Ayben Koy, 2022. "Regime Switching Mechanism during Energy Futures Price Bubbles," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(1), pages 373-382.
    5. Gomis-Porqueras, Pedro & Shi, Shuping & Tan, David, 2022. "Gold as a financial instrument," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    6. Caramugan, Karlo Martin & Bayacag, Purisima, 2016. "Price Bubble in Selected ASEAN Agricultural Exports: An Application of the Generalized Supremum Augmented Dickey Fuller," MPRA Paper 74807, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Ghassen El Montasser & Rangan Gupta & Andre Luis Martins & Peter Wanke, 2014. "Are there Multiple Bubbles in the Ethanol-Gasoline Price Ratio of Brazil?," Working Papers 201479, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  565. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2014. "The Growth-Inflation Nexus for the US over 1801-2013: A Semiparametric Approach," Working Papers 15-17, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Shinhye Chang & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2018. "The relationship between the inflation rate and inequality across U.S. states: a semiparametric approach," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 52(5), pages 2413-2425, September.

  566. Adnen Ben Nasr & Mehmet Balcilar & Ahdi N. Ajmi & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Reneé van Eyden, 2014. "Causality between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in South Africa: Evidence from a Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201453, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Time-Frequency Relationship between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty for the U.S.: Evidence from Historical Data," Working papers 2016-12, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    2. Chevaughn van der Westhuizen & Renee van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye, 2022. "Is Inflation Uncertainty a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy? The Inflation-Inflation Uncertainty Nexus and Inflation Targeting in South Africa," Working Papers 202254, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Johannes Fedderke & Yang Liu, 2016. "Inflation in South Africa An Assessment of Alternative Inflation Models," Working Papers 7275, South African Reserve Bank.
    4. Zied Ftiti & Fredj Jawadi, 2019. "Forecasting Inflation Uncertainty in the United States and Euro Area," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 54(1), pages 455-476, June.
    5. Ravindra H. Dholakia, 2020. "A Theory of Growth and Threshold Inflation with Estimates," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(3), pages 471-493, September.
    6. William A. Barnett & Fredj Jawadi & Zied Ftiti, 2020. "Causal Relationships Between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202010, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2020.
    7. Chevaughn van der Westhuizen & Reneé van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye, 2023. "Is inflation uncertainty a self‐fulfilling prophecy in South Africa?," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 91(3), pages 306-329, September.
    8. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles in an Emerging Country: The Case of India," Working Papers 202305, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Said Zamin Shah & Said Zamin Shah & Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah & Muzafar Shah Habibullah & Law Siong Hook, 2017. "The Asymmetric Effects of Real and Nominal Uncertainty on Inflation and Output Growth: Empirical Evidence from Bangladesh," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 377-386.
    10. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time–frequency relationship between US inflation and inflation uncertainty: evidence from historical data," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 66(5), pages 673-702, November.
    11. Mehdi Hajamini, 2019. "Asymmetric Causality Between Inflation and Uncertainty: Evidences from 33 Developed and Developing Countries," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 17(2), pages 287-309, June.
    12. Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratio and the Predictability of Bubbles in Financial Markets," Working Papers 202317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2025. "Stock market volatility and multi-scale positive and negative bubbles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    14. Falahi , Mohammad Ali & Hajamini , Mehdi, 2015. "Relationship between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in Iran: An Application of SETAR-GARCH Model," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 10(2), pages 69-91, January.
    15. Jiranyakul, Komain, 2020. "The Linkages between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in Selected Asian Economies: Evidence from Quantile Regression," MPRA Paper 99868, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Alimi, R. Santos, 2017. "Association between inflation rates and inflation uncertainty in quantile regression," MPRA Paper 79683, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  567. Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Mehmet Balcilar & Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Causal relationship between asset prices and output in the US: Evidence from state-level panel Granger causality test," Working Papers 201411, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Constantinos Katrakilidis & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Role of Macroeconomic Shocks on House Prices in the US and UK: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201765, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Changing Dynamics of the U.S. REITs Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-12, May.
    3. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Juncal Cunado & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Testing the White Noise Hypothesis in High-Frequency Housing Returns of the United States," Working Papers 201952, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Fang, Zheng & Chang, Youngho, 2016. "Energy, human capital and economic growth in Asia Pacific countries — Evidence from a panel cointegration and causality analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 177-184.
    5. Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2022. "Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on Housing Prices in the United States: The Role of Sentiment," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 241-261, July.
    6. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "House price synchronization across the US states: The role of structural oil shocks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    7. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    8. Chi-Wei SU & Zong-Liang YAO & Hsu-Ling CHANG, 2016. "The relationship between output and asset prices: A time – and frequency – varying approach," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(606), S), pages 57-76, Spring.

  568. Nicholas Apergis & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Are there Environmental Kuznets Curves for US State-Level CO2 Emissions?," Working Papers 201474, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Dorina Lazăr & Alexandru Minea & Alexandra-Anca Purcel, 2019. "Pollution and economic growth: Evidence from Central and Eastern European countries," Post-Print hal-03182346, HAL.
    2. Awaworyi Churchill, Sefa & Inekwe, John & Ivanovski, Kris & Smyth, Russell, 2020. "The Environmental Kuznets Curve across Australian states and territories," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    3. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Shafiullah, Muhammad & Papavassiliou, Vassilios & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2017. "The CO2-Growth nexus revisited: A nonparametric analysis for G7 economies over nearly two centuries," MPRA Paper 79019, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 07 May 2017.
    4. Wang, Jinxing & Li, Wanming, 2024. "Natural resources-financial innovation-carbon neutrality nexus: The role of policy robustness," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    5. Manzoor Ahmad & Shoukat Iqbal Khattak, 2020. "Is Aggregate Domestic Consumption Spending (ADCS) Per Capita Determining CO2 Emissions in South Africa? A New Perspective," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 75(3), pages 529-552, March.
    6. Usman, Ojonugwa & Alola, Andrew Adewale & Akadiri, Seyi Saint, 2022. "Effects of domestic material consumption, renewable energy, and financial development on environmental sustainability in the EU-28: Evidence from a GMM panel-VAR," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 239-251.
    7. Daniel Armeanu & Georgeta Vintilă & Jean Vasile Andrei & Ştefan Cristian Gherghina & Mihaela Cristina Drăgoi & Cristian Teodor, 2018. "Exploring the link between environmental pollution and economic growth in EU-28 countries: Is there an environmental Kuznets curve?," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(5), pages 1-28, May.
    8. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Sinha, Avik, 2018. "Environmental Kuznets Curve for CO2 Emission: A Literature Survey," MPRA Paper 86281, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Apr 2018.
    9. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Hille, Erik & Mahalik, Mantu Kumar, 2020. "UK's net-zero carbon emissions target: Investigating the potential role of economic growth, financial development, and R&D expenditures based on historical data (1870–2017)," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    10. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Roubaud, David, 2018. "Environmental degradation in France: The effects of FDI, financial development, and energy innovations," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 843-857.
    11. Lingyun He & Zhangqi Zhong & Fang Yin & Deqing Wang, 2018. "Impact of Energy Consumption on Air Quality in Jiangsu Province of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-22, January.
    12. Halkos, George & Polemis, Michael, 2016. "Examining the impact of financial development on the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis," MPRA Paper 75368, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Sadia Bano & Mehtab Alam & Anwar Khan & Lu Liu, 2021. "The nexus of tourism, renewable energy, income, and environmental quality: an empirical analysis of Pakistan," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(10), pages 14854-14877, October.
    14. Alexandra Soberon & Irene D’Hers, 2020. "The Environmental Kuznets Curve: A Semiparametric Approach with Cross-Sectional Dependence," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-23, November.
    15. Sang, Meiyue & Shen, Liyin, 2024. "An international perspective on carbon peaking status between a sample of 154 countries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 369(C).
    16. Jihuan Zhang, 2021. "Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis on CO 2 Emissions: Evidence for China," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-16, February.
    17. LAWSON, Laté A. & MARTINO, Roberto & NGUYEN-VAN, Phu, 2020. "Environmental convergence and environmental Kuznets curve: A unified empirical framework," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 437(C).
    18. Haider Mahmood, 2020. "CO2 Emissions, Financial Development, Trade, and Income in North America: A Spatial Panel Data Approach," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(4), pages 21582440209, October.
    19. Andrew Phiri, 2019. "Economic growth, environmental degradation and business cycles in Eswatini," Working Papers 1901, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University, revised Jan 2019.
    20. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Huseyin Ozdemir & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2018. "Carbon dioxide emissions, energy consumption and economic growth: The historical decomposition evidence from G-7 countries," Working Papers 15-41, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    21. Daniel Ştefan Armeanu & Georgeta Vintilă & Ştefan Cristian Gherghina, 2017. "Does Renewable Energy Drive Sustainable Economic Growth? Multivariate Panel Data Evidence for EU-28 Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-21, March.
    22. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Sinha, Avik, 2019. "Environmental Kuznets Curve for CO2 emission: A survey of empirical literature," MPRA Paper 100257, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2019.
    23. Gangopadhyay, Partha & Das, Narasingha & Alam, G.M. Monirul & Khan, Uzma & Haseeb, Mohammad & Hossain, Md. Emran, 2023. "Revisiting the carbon pollution-inhibiting policies in the USA using the quantile ARDL methodology: What roles can clean energy and globalization play?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 710-721.
    24. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Gozgor, Giray & Adom, Philip Kofi & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2019. "The technical decomposition of carbon emissions and the concerns about FDI and trade openness effects in the United States," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 56-73.
    25. Sanglim Lee & Minkyung Kim & Jiwoong Lee, 2017. "Analyzing the Impact of Nuclear Power on CO 2 Emissions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-13, August.
    26. Azad Haider & Wimal Rankaduwa & Muhammad Iftikhar ul Husnain & Farzana Shaheen, 2022. "Nexus between Agricultural Land Use, Economic Growth and N 2 O Emissions in Canada: Is There an Environmental Kuznets Curve?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-23, July.
    27. Peiqi Hu & Kai Zhou & Haoxi Zhang & Zhong Ma & Jingyuan Li, 2023. "The Cause and Correlation Network of Air Pollution from a Spatial Perspective: Evidence from the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-21, February.
    28. Xuejiao Ma & Qichuan Jiang, 2019. "How to Balance the Trade-off between Economic Development and Climate Change?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-30, March.
    29. Churchill, Sefa Awaworyi & Inekwe, John & Ivanovski, Kris & Smyth, Russell, 2018. "The Environmental Kuznets Curve in the OECD: 1870–2014," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 389-399.
    30. Miguel Angel Esquivias & Lilik Sugiharti & Hilda Rohmawati & Omar Rojas & Narayan Sethi, 2022. "Nexus between Technological Innovation, Renewable Energy, and Human Capital on the Environmental Sustainability in Emerging Asian Economies: A Panel Quantile Regression Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-16, March.
    31. Yu Zhang & Xi Chen & Ya Wu & Chenyang Shuai & Liyin Shen & Gui Ye, 2020. "Peaks of transportation CO2 emissions of 119 countries for sustainable development: Results from carbon Kuznets curve," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 550-571, July.
    32. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Bedriye Tunçsiper & Huseyin Ozdemir & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2020. "On the nexus among carbon dioxide emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in G-7 countries: new insights from the historical decomposition approach," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(8), pages 8097-8134, December.
    33. Afees A. Salisu & Lateef O. Akanni & Ahamuefula Ephraim Ogbonna, 2018. "Forecasting CO2 emissions: Does the choice of estimator matter?," Working Papers 045, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    34. Wagner, Martin & Grabarczyk, Peter & Hong, Seung Hyun, 2020. "Fully modified OLS estimation and inference for seemingly unrelated cointegrating polynomial regressions and the environmental Kuznets curve for carbon dioxide emissions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 216-255.
    35. Michael Cary, 2020. "Have greenhouse gas emissions from US energy production peaked? State level evidence from six subsectors," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 40(1), pages 125-134, March.
    36. George E. Halkos & Michael L. Polemis, 2017. "Does Financial Development Affect Environmental Degradation? Evidence from the OECD Countries," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(8), pages 1162-1180, December.
    37. Kuriyama, Akihisa & Abe, Naoya, 2018. "Ex-post assessment of the Kyoto Protocol – quantification of CO2 mitigation impact in both Annex B and non-Annex B countries-," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C), pages 286-295.
    38. Ivanovski, Kris & Awaworyi Churchill, Sefa, 2020. "Convergence and determinants of greenhouse gas emissions in Australia: A regional analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).

  569. Rangan Gupta & Gbeada Josiane Seu Epse Kean & Mpho Asnath Tsebe & Nthabiseng Tsoanamatsie & João Ricardo Sato, 2014. "Time-Varying Causality between Oil and Commodity Prices in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Nonlinearity," Working Papers 201469, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Walid Bahloul & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Impact of macroeconomic news surprises and uncertainty for major economies on returns and volatility of oil futures," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 156, pages 247-253.
    2. Rafiq, Shuddhasattwa & Bloch, Harry, 2016. "Explaining commodity prices through asymmetric oil shocks: Evidence from nonlinear models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 34-48.

  570. Mehmet Balcilar & Charl Jooste & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Rangan Gupta & Vassilios Babalos, 2014. "Are there Long-Run Diversification Gains from the Dow Jones Islamic Finance Index?," Working Papers 15-20, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Camgöz, Mevlüt & Topal, Mehmet Hanefi, 2022. "Identifying the asymmetric price dynamics of Islamic equities: Implications for international investors," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    2. Mensi, Walid & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Maitra, Debasish & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Frequency spillovers and portfolio risk implications between Sukuk, Islamic stock and emerging stock markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 139-157.
    3. Karim, Muhammad Mahmudul & Kawsar, Najmul Haque & Ariff, Mohamed & Masih, Mansur, 2022. "Does implied volatility (or fear index) affect Islamic stock returns and conventional stock returns differently? Wavelet-based granger-causality, asymmetric quantile regression and NARDL approaches," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    4. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2019. "Islamic and conventional equity markets: Two sides of the same coin, or not?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 191-205.
    5. Yanhua Chen & Rosario N Mantegna & Athanasios A Pantelous & Konstantin M Zuev, 2018. "A dynamic analysis of S&P 500, FTSE 100 and EURO STOXX 50 indices under different exchange rates," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(3), pages 1-40, March.
    6. Jean-Michel Sahut & Mehdi Mili & Maroua Ben Krir & Frédéric Teulon, 2015. "Factors of Competitiveness of Islamic Banks in the New Financial Order," Working Papers 2015-625, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    7. Charfeddine, Lanouar & Benlagha, Noureddine & Maouchi, Youcef, 2020. "Investigating the dynamic relationship between cryptocurrencies and conventional assets: Implications for financial investors," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 198-217.
    8. Delle Foglie, Andrea & Panetta, Ida Claudia, 2020. "Islamic stock market versus conventional: Are islamic investing a ‘Safe Haven’ for investors? A systematic literature review," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).

  571. Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller & Tolga Omay, 2014. "Is Real Per Capita State Personal Income Stationary? New Nonlinear, Asymmetric Panel-Data Evidence," Working Papers 201462, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mirza, Nawazish & Rahat, Birjees & Naqvi, Bushra & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas, 2023. "Impact of Covid-19 on corporate solvency and possible policy responses in the EU," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 181-190.
    2. Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Tolga Omay & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Safwan Mohd Nor, 2021. "Smooth Break Detection and De-Trending in Unit Root Testing," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-25, February.
    3. Zhao, Xing & Guo, Yifan & Feng, Tianchu, 2023. "Towards green recovery: Natural resources utilization efficiency under the impact of environmental information disclosure," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    4. Zhang, Yonggang & Dilanchiev, Azer, 2022. "Economic recovery, industrial structure and natural resource utilization efficiency in China: Effect on green economic recovery," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).

  572. Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Kanyane Matlou, 2013. "A Time-Varying Approach to Analysing Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices in South Africa," Working Papers 201303, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Stephen M. Miller & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "U.S. Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices: The Role of Partisan Conflict," Working Papers 201742, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Ghassen El Montasser & Rangan Gupta & Jooste Charl & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "The Time-series Linkages between US Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices," Public Finance Review, , vol. 48(3), pages 303-339, May.
    3. Mustafa Ozan Yıldırım & Özge Filiz Yağcıbaşı, 2019. "The Dynamics Of House Prices And Fiscal Policy Shocks In Turkey," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 64(220), pages 39-60, January –.
    4. F Chorley & C Liu, 2021. "Does UK social housing affect housing prices and economic growth? An application of the ARDL model," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 26(1), pages 21-43, March.
    5. Isabel Ruiz & Carlos Vargas-Silva, 2016. "The impacts of fiscal policy shocks on the US housing market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 777-800, May.
    6. BUI, Duy-Tung & LLORCA, Matthieu & BUI, Thi Mai Hoai, 2018. "Dynamics between stock market movements and fiscal policy: Empirical evidence from emerging Asian economies," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 65-74.
    7. Javier Ferri & Francisca Herranz-Baez, 2023. "Building on fiscal policy: government consumption and the residential sector. When helping hurts," Working Papers 2023-01, FEDEA.

  573. Tsangyao Chang & Tsung-pao Wu & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Are House Prices in South Africa Really Non-Stationary? Evidence from SPSM-Based Panel KSS Test with a Fourier Function," Working Papers 201324, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Geoffrey Ngene & Charles Lambert & Ali Darrat, 2015. "Testing Long Memory in the Presence of Structural Breaks: An Application to Regional and National Housing Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 50(4), pages 465-483, May.
    2. Nicholas Apergis & Tsangyao Chang & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Convergence of Health Care Expenditures Across the US States: A Reconsideration," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 133(1), pages 303-316, August.
    3. Xolisa Vayi & Andrew Phiri, 2018. "A sequential panel selection approach to cointegration analysis: An application to Wagner’s law for South Africa," Working Papers 1831, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University.
    4. Tristan D. Skolrud, 2017. "Reducing Approximation Error in the Fourier Flexible Functional Form," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-16, December.
    5. Tsangyao CHANG & Yifei CAI & Wen-Yi CHEN, 2017. "Are Suicide Rate Fluctuations Transitory or Permanent? Panel KSS Unit Root Test with a Fourier Function through the Sequential Panel Selection Method," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 5-17, September.
    6. Vayi, Xolisa & Phiri, Andrew, 2018. "A sequential panel selection approach to cointegration analysis: An application to Wagner's law for South African provincial data," MPRA Paper 88989, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  574. Goodness C. Aye & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2013. "Forecasting the US Real Private Residential Fixed Investment Using Large Number of Predictors," Working Papers 201348, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Estefanía Mourelle & Juan Carlos Cuestas, 2022. "Investment dynamics in Central and Eastern Europe: Why doesn’t the sun always rise from the east?," Working Papers 2022/02, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    2. Carlos Cañizares Martínez & Gabe J. de Bondt & Arne Gieseck, 2023. "Forecasting housing investment," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 543-565, April.
    3. Carsten Juergens & Fabian M. Meyer-Heß & Marcus Goebel & Torsten Schmidt, 2021. "Remote Sensing for Short-Term Economic Forecasts," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-23, August.

  575. Saban Nazlioglu & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Volatility Transmission between Islamic and Conventional Equity Markets: Evidence from Causality-in-Variance Test," Working Papers 201384, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Hasan, Md. Bokhtiar & Mahi, Masnun & Hassan, M. Kabir & Bhuiyan, Abul Bashar, 2021. "Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on stock markets: Conventional vs. Islamic indices using wavelet-based multi-timescales analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    2. Oguzhan Ozcelebi & José A. Pérez‐Montiel, 2023. "Examination of the impacts of the immediate interest rate of the United States and the VIX on the Dow Jones Islamic Market Index," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(4), pages 1157-1180, October.
    3. Mensi, Walid & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Maitra, Debasish & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Frequency spillovers and portfolio risk implications between Sukuk, Islamic stock and emerging stock markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 139-157.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Charl Jooste & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Rangan Gupta & Vassilios Babalos, 2014. "Are there Long-Run Diversification Gains from the Dow Jones Islamic Finance Index?," Working Papers 201433, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Li, Yang & Brooks, Robert, 2022. "Evidence of arbitrage trading activity: The case of Chinese metal futures contracts," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(PB).
    6. Dogah, Kingsley E. & Premaratne, Gamini, 2018. "Sectoral exposure of financial markets to oil risk factors in BRICS countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 228-256.
    7. Karim, Muhammad Mahmudul & Kawsar, Najmul Haque & Ariff, Mohamed & Masih, Mansur, 2022. "Does implied volatility (or fear index) affect Islamic stock returns and conventional stock returns differently? Wavelet-based granger-causality, asymmetric quantile regression and NARDL approaches," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    8. Khan, Abdullah & Rizvi, Syed Aun R. & Ali, Mohsin & Haroon, Omair, 2021. "A survey of Islamic finance research – Influences and influencers," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    9. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2019. "Islamic and conventional equity markets: Two sides of the same coin, or not?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 191-205.
    10. Balcilar, Mehmet & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2023. "Financial connectedness and risk transmission among MENA countries: Evidence from connectedness network and clustering analysis1," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    11. Vincenzo Candila & Salvatore Farace, 2018. "On the Volatility Spillover between Agricultural Commodities and Latin American Stock Markets," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-16, October.
    12. Irfan Djedovic & Edin Djedovic, 2019. "Risk-Reward Trade Off And Behavior Of Islamic And Conventional Stock Market Indices In Bosnia And Herzegovina," Economic Review: Journal of Economics and Business, University of Tuzla, Faculty of Economics, vol. 17(2), pages 3-13, November.
    13. Hassan, Kamrul & Hoque, Ariful & Gasbarro, Dominic & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2023. "Are Islamic stocks immune from financial crises? Evidence from contagion tests," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 919-948.
    14. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks and Movements in Islamic Bond and Equity Markets: A Note," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 367-379, April.
    15. Rahman, Md Lutfur & Hedström, Axel & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Quantile relationship between Islamic and non-Islamic equity markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    16. Abba AHmed, Bello & Isah I, Salamatu & Aliyu Chika, Umar, 2019. "Risk Adjusted Performances of Conventional and Islamic Indices," MPRA Paper 104168, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 26 May 2019.
    17. Mohammed Sawkat Hossain & Md Hamid Uddin & Sarkar Humayun Kabir, 2021. "Sukuk and Bond Puzzle: An Analysis with Characteristics Matched Portfolios," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(13), pages 3792-3817, October.
    18. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Ferrer, Román & Ballester, Laura & Umar, Zaghum, 2017. "Risk transmission between Islamic and conventional stock markets: A return and volatility spillover analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 9-26.
    19. Khan, Muhammad Asif & Khan, Farhad & Sharif, Arshian & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir, 2023. "Dynamic linkages between Islamic equity indices, oil prices, gold prices, and news-based uncertainty: New insights from partial and multiple wavelet coherence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    20. Ftiti, Zied & Hadhri, Sinda, 2019. "Can economic policy uncertainty, oil prices, and investor sentiment predict Islamic stock returns? A multi-scale perspective," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 40-55.
    21. Ben Rejeb, Aymen, 2017. "On the volatility spillover between lslamic and conventional stock markets: A quantile regression analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 794-815.
    22. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Qureshi, Fiza & Arif, Muhammad & Balli, Faruk, 2021. "Asymmetric relationship between gold and Islamic stocks in bearish, normal and bullish market conditions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    23. Mishra, Shekhar & Mishra, Sibanjan, 2021. "Are Indian sectoral indices oil shock prone? An empirical evaluation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    24. İskenderoglu Ömer & Akdag Saffet, 2020. "Comparison of the Effect of Vix Fear Index on Stock Exchange Indices of Developed and Developing Countries: the G20 Case," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 15(1), pages 105-121, June.
    25. Muhammad Anas & Ghulam Mujtaba & Sadaf Nayyar & Saira Ashfaq, 2020. "Time-Frequency Based Dynamics of Decoupling or Integration between Islamic and Conventional Equity Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-27, July.
    26. Umar, Zaghum & Yousaf, Imran & Gubareva, Mariya & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Spillover and risk transmission between the term structure of the US interest rates and Islamic equities," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    27. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2021. "How do Islamic equity markets respond to good and bad volatility of cryptocurrencies? The case of Bitcoin," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    28. Tanin, Tauhidul Islam & Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich & Shaiban, Mohammed Sharaf Mohsen & Brooks, Robert, 2022. "Risk transmission from the oil market to Islamic and conventional banks in oil-exporting and oil-importing countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    29. Khamis Hamed Al‐Yahyaee & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Walid Mensi & Seong‐Min Yoon, 2021. "Is there a systemic risk between Sharia, Sukuk, and GCC stock markets? A ΔCoVaR risk metric‐based copula approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2904-2926, April.
    30. Liu, Xueyong & An, Haizhong & Huang, Shupei & Wen, Shaobo, 2017. "The evolution of spillover effects between oil and stock markets across multi-scales using a wavelet-based GARCH–BEKK model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 465(C), pages 374-383.
    31. Hoang, Thi-Hong-Van & Zhu, Zhenzhen & El Khamlichi, Abdelbari & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2019. "Does the Shari’ah screening impact the gold-stock nexus? A sectorial analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 617-626.
    32. Hkiri, Besma & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Aloui, Chaker & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2017. "Are Islamic indexes a safe haven for investors? An analysis of total, directional and net volatility spillovers between conventional and Islamic indexes and importance of crisis periods," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 124-150.
    33. Hasan, Md. Bokhtiar & Kabir Hassan, M. & Gider, Zeynullah & Tahsin Rafia, Humaira & Rashid, Mamunur, 2023. "Searching hedging instruments against diverse global risks and uncertainties," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    34. houidi, Fatma & Ellouz, Siwar, 2021. "Volatility spillovers and Financial contagion during global financial crisis: Islamic versus conventional equity indices with Multivariate GARCH approch," MPRA Paper 122530, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    35. Umar, Zaghum & Mokni, Khaled & Escribano, Ana, 2022. "Connectedness between the COVID-19 related media coverage and Islamic equities: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    36. Zaighum, Isma & Aman, Ameenullah & Sharif, Arshian & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir, 2021. "Do energy prices interact with global Islamic stocks? Fresh insights from quantile ARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    37. Abdelsalam, Omneya & Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix & Essanaani, Yassine, 2024. "The nexus of conventional, religious and ethical indexes during crisis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    38. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Naifar, Nader, 2022. "Dependence dynamics of Islamic and conventional equity sectors: What do we learn from the decoupling hypothesis and COVID-19 pandemic?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    39. Ben Rejeb, Aymen, 2016. "Volatility Spillover between Islamic and conventional stock markets: evidence from Quantile Regression analysis," MPRA Paper 73302, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    40. Balli, Faruk & de Bruin, Anne & Chowdhury, Md Iftekhar Hasan, 2019. "Spillovers and the determinants in Islamic equity markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    41. Yousaf, Imran & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2022. "Spillovers between the Islamic gold-backed cryptocurrencies and equity markets during the COVID-19: A sectorial analysis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    42. Zaghum Umar & Tahir Suleman, 2017. "Asymmetric Return and Volatility Transmission in Conventional and Islamic Equities," Risks, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-18, March.
    43. Haddad, Hedi Ben & Mezghani, Imed & Al Dohaiman, Mohammed, 2020. "Common shocks, common transmission mechanisms and time-varying connectedness among Dow Jones Islamic stock market indices and global risk factors," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(2).
    44. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach, 2019. "A survey of Islamic banking and finance literature: Issues, challenges and future directions," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 484-496.
    45. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Asghar, Nadia & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2020. "Do Islamic indices provide diversification to bitcoin? A time-varying copulas and value at risk application," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    46. Delle Foglie, Andrea & Panetta, Ida Claudia, 2020. "Islamic stock market versus conventional: Are islamic investing a ‘Safe Haven’ for investors? A systematic literature review," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    47. Chang, Bisharat Hussain & Sharif, Arshian & Aman, Ameenullah & Suki, Norazah Mohd & Salman, Asma & Khan, Syed Abdul Rehman, 2020. "The asymmetric effects of oil price on sectoral Islamic stocks: New evidence from quantile-on-quantile regression approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).

  576. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2013. "Housing and the Great Depression," Working Papers 1301, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Mortgage Default Risks and High-Frequency Predictability of the U.S. Housing Market: A Reconsideration," Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 111-117, December.
    2. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Constantinos Katrakilidis & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Role of Macroeconomic Shocks on House Prices in the US and UK: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201765, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Juncal Cunado & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Testing the White Noise Hypothesis in High-Frequency Housing Returns of the United States," Working Papers 201952, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Uzuner, Gizem & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Housing sector and economic policy uncertainty: A GMM panel VAR approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 114-126.
    6. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "Estimating U.S. Housing Price Network Connectedness: Evidence from Dynamic Elastic Net, Lasso, and Ridge Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Papers 202065, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Adel Bosch & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Housing and the Business Cycle in South Africa," Working Papers 15-22, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    8. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "House price synchronization across the US states: The role of structural oil shocks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    9. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2020. "Forecasting State- and MSA-Level Housing Returns of the US: The Role of Mortgage Default Risks," Working Papers 202037, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Huthaifa Alqaralleh & Gazi Salah Uddin & Canepa, Alessandra, 2022. "Time-frequency connectedness across housing markets, stock market and uncertainty: A Wavelet-Time Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 202204, University of Turin.
    11. Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Time-Varying Causality between Research Output and Economic Growth in the US," Working Papers 201350, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Hassapis, Christis, 2017. "Does economic policy uncertainty forecast real housing returns in a panel of OECD countries? A Bayesian approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 50-60.
    13. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & John P. Dunne & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2013. "Military Expenditure, Economic Growth and Structural Instability: A Case Study of South Africa," Working Papers 201344, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "What can Fifty-Two Collateralizable Wealth Measures tell us about Future Housing Market Returns? Evidence from U.S. State-Level Data," Working Papers 201974, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Eric Olson, 2020. "Effect of uncertainty on U.S. stock returns and volatility: evidence from over eighty years of high-frequency data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(16), pages 1305-1311, September.
    17. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Is the Housing Market in the United States Really Weakly-Efficient?," Working Papers 201934, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Forecasting Growth-at-Risk of the United States: Housing Price versus Housing Sentiment or Attention," Working Papers 202401, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Vellachami, Sanggetha & Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich & Brooks, Robert, 2023. "Risk transmission from the energy markets to the carbon market: Evidence from the recursive window approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    20. Michael Donadelli & Marcus Jüppner & Antonio Paradiso & Christian Schlag, 2019. "Temperature Volatility Risk," Working Papers 2019:05, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    21. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    22. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Jacobus Nel, 2022. "Do Climate Risks Predict US Housing Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Quantiles-Based Approach," Working Papers 202240, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Kang, Sang Hoon & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Ahmed, Ali & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2018. "Multi-scale causality and extreme tail inter-dependence among housing prices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 301-309.
    24. Mehmet Balcilar & Gizem Uzuner & Festus Victor Bekun & Mark E. Wohar, 2023. "Housing price uncertainty and housing prices in the UK in a time-varying environment," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 523-549, May.
    25. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Fernando Perez de Gracia, 2016. "Persistence, mean reversion and non-linearities in the US housing prices over 1830--2013," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(34), pages 3244-3252, July.
    26. Rangan Gupta & Damien Moodley, 2023. "Housing Search Activity and Quantiles-Based Predictability of Housing Price Movements in the United States," Working Papers 202335, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    27. Zhang, Xi-Xi & Liu, Lu, 2020. "The time-varying causal relationship between oil price and unemployment: Evidence from the U.S. and China (EGY 118745)," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).

  577. Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2013. "Does the Source of Oil Price Shocks Matter for South African Stock Returns? A Structural VAR Approach," Working Papers 201318, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2022. "Extreme dependence between structural oil shocks and stock markets in GCC countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    2. Huang, Shupei & An, Haizhong & Gao, Xiangyun & Sun, Xiaoqi, 2017. "Do oil price asymmetric effects on the stock market persist in multiple time horizons?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(P2), pages 1799-1808.
    3. Jin‐Yu Chen & Xue‐Hong Zhu & Mei‐Rui Zhong, 2021. "Time‐varying effects and structural change of oil price shocks on industrial output: Evidence from China's oil industrial chain," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3460-3472, July.
    4. Paresh K. Narayan & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Has Oil Pirce Predicted Stock Returns for Over a Century?," Working Papers 201446, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Demirer, Rıza & Ferrer, Román & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Oil price shocks, global financial markets and their connectedness," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    6. Rida Waheed & Chen Wei & Suleman Sarwar & Yulan Lv, 2018. "Impact of oil prices on firm stock return: industry-wise analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 765-780, September.
    7. Xu, Weiju & Ma, Feng & Chen, Wang & Zhang, Bing, 2019. "Asymmetric volatility spillovers between oil and stock markets: Evidence from China and the United States," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 310-320.
    8. Boying Li & Chun-Ping Chang & Yin Chu & Bo Sui, 2020. "Oil prices and geopolitical risks: What implications are offered via multi-domain investigations?," Energy & Environment, , vol. 31(3), pages 492-516, May.
    9. Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Arora, Vipin, 2018. "Oil Prices and Stock Markets: A Review of the Theory and Empirical Evidence," MPRA Paper 96270, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Sheevun Di O. Guliman, 2015. "Oil Prices and Stock Market: A Philippine Perspective," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 5(2), pages 122-135, December.
    11. Li, Lei & Yin, Libo & Zhou, Yimin, 2016. "Exogenous shocks and the spillover effects between uncertainty and oil price," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 224-234.
    12. Adeabah, David & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2023. "How far have we come and where should we go after 30+ years of research on Africa's emerging financial markets? A systematic review and a bibliometric network analysis," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    13. Noguera-Santaella, José, 2016. "Geopolitics and the oil price," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 301-309.
    14. Nazlioglu, Saban & Soytas, Ugur & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Oil prices and financial stress: A volatility spillover analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 278-288.
    15. Arampatzidis, Ioannis & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2023. "On the identification of the oil-stock market relationship," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    16. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Hasan, Mudassar & Arif, Muhammad & Balli, Faruk & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Time and frequency domain quantile coherence of emerging stock markets with gold and oil prices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 553(C).
    17. Mishra, Shekhar & Sharif, Arshian & Khuntia, Sashikanta & Meo, Muhammad Saeed & Rehman Khan, Syed Abdul, 2019. "Does oil prices impede Islamic stock indices? Fresh insights from wavelet-based quantile-on-quantile approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 292-304.
    18. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    19. Yin, Libo & Cao, Hong & Xin, Yu, 2024. "Impact of crude oil price innovations on global stock market volatility: Evidence across time and space," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    20. Ahmed H. Elsayed & Gareth Downing & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Xin Sheng, 2024. "Exploring the role of oil shocks on the financial stability of Gulf Cooperation Council countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 1804-1819, April.
    21. Yuksel BAYRAKTAR, & Taha EGRI, & Furkan YILDIZ, 2016. "A Causal Relationship Between Oil Prices Current Account Deficit, And Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis From Fragile Five Countries," EcoForum, "Stefan cel Mare" University of Suceava, Romania, Faculty of Economics and Public Administration - Economy, Business Administration and Tourism Department., vol. 5(Special I), pages 1-3, august.
    22. Zheng, Xinwei & Su, Dan, 2017. "Impacts of oil price shocks on Chinese stock market liquidity," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 136-174.
    23. Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2015. "The Role of Oil Prices in the Forecasts of South African Interest Rates: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 201531, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Hela Mzoughi & Amine Ben Amar & Fateh Belaid & Khaled Guesmi, 2022. "The Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on Islamic and conventional financial markets: International empirical evidence," Post-Print hal-04542355, HAL.
    25. Goodness C. Aye, 2014. "Does Oil Price Uncertainty Matter for Stock Returns in South Africa?," Working Papers 201484, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    26. Arampatzidis, Ioannis & Dergiades, Theologos & Kaufmann, Robert K. & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2021. "Oil and the U.S. stock market: Implications for low carbon policies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    27. Dagher, Leila & Hasanov, Fakhri, 2022. "Oil Market Shocks and Financial Instability in Asian Countries," MPRA Paper 116079, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    28. Shahrestani, Parnia & Rafei, Meysam, 2020. "The impact of oil price shocks on Tehran Stock Exchange returns: Application of the Markov switching vector autoregressive models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    29. Chen, Jinyu & Zhu, Xuehong & Li, Hailing, 2020. "The pass-through effects of oil price shocks on China's inflation: A time-varying analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    30. Baumeister, Christiane & Hamilton, James D., 2021. "Reprint: Drawing conclusions from structural vector autoregressions identified on the basis of sign restrictions," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    31. Ge, Zhenyu & Sun, Yang, 2024. "Asymmetric impact of oil price shocks on inflation: Evidence from quantile-on-quantile regression," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    32. Gong, Xu & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "Time-varying effects of oil supply and demand shocks on China's macro-economy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 424-437.
    33. Miramir Bagirov & Cesario Mateus, 2024. "A Survey of Literature on the Interlinkage between Petroleum Prices and Equity Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(1), pages 1-48, January.
    34. Huang, Shupei & An, Haizhong & Gao, Xiangyun & Hao, Xiaoqing, 2016. "Unveiling heterogeneities of relations between the entire oil–stock interaction and its components across time scales," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 70-80.
    35. Bhagavatula Aruna & H. Rajesh Acharya, 2020. "Do Different Types of Oil Price Shocks Affect the Indian Stock Returns Differently at Firm-level? A Panel Structural Vector Autoregression Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(2), pages 238-249.
    36. Prodromou, Tina & Demirer, Riza, 2022. "Oil price shocks and cost of capital: Does market liquidity play a role?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    37. Ziadat, Salem Adel & McMillan, David G. & Herbst, Patrick, 2022. "Oil shocks and equity returns during bull and bear markets: The case of oil importing and exporting nations," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    38. Ben-Salha, Ousama & Mokni, Khaled, 2022. "Detrended cross-correlation analysis in quantiles between oil price and the US stock market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    39. Boateng, Ebenezer & Adam, Anokye M. & Junior, Peterson Owusu, 2021. "Modelling the heterogeneous relationship between the crude oil implied volatility index and African stocks in the coronavirus pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    40. Liu, De-Chih & Liu, Chih-Yun, 2016. "The source of stock return fluctuation in Taiwan," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 77-88.
    41. Sadeghi, Abdorasoul & Roudari, Soheil, 2022. "Heterogeneous effects of oil structure and oil shocks on stock prices in different regimes: Evidence from oil-exporting and oil-importing countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    42. Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Wang, Tianyang & Wen, Fenghua, 2023. "International stock market volatility: A data-rich environment based on oil shocks," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 184-215.
    43. Hadhri, Sinda, 2021. "The nexus, downside risk and asset allocation between oil and Islamic stock markets: A cross-country analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    44. Umar, Zaghum & Abrar, Afsheen & Hadhri, Sinda & Sokolova, Tatiana, 2023. "The connectedness of oil shocks, green bonds, sukuks and conventional bonds," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    45. Ahmad, Wasim & Sharma, Sumit Kumar, 2018. "Testing output gap and economic uncertainty as an explicator of stock market returns," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 293-306.
    46. Hanif, Waqas & Hadhri, Sinda & El Khoury, Rim, 2024. "Quantile spillovers and connectedness between oil shocks and stock markets of the largest oil producers and consumers," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    47. Qian Shen & Mohammad Sogir Hossain Khandoker & Joti Saha & Rafiqul Bhuyan, 2024. "The Impact of Crude Oil Price Shock: Evidence from Bangladesh," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(6), pages 257-266, October.
    48. Babak Fazelabdolabadi, 2019. "Uncertainty and energy-sector equity returns in Iran: a Bayesian and quasi-Monte Carlo time-varying analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 1-20, December.
    49. Nikolaos Sariannidis & Grigoris Giannarakis & Eleni Zafeiriou & Ioannis Billias, 2016. "The Effect of Crude Oil Price Moments on Socially Responsible Firms in Eurozone," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(2), pages 356-363.
    50. Umar, Zaghum & Trabelsi, Nader & Zaremba, Adam, 2021. "Oil shocks and equity markets: The case of GCC and BRICS economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    51. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    52. Tsuji, Chikashi, 2018. "New DCC analyses of return transmission, volatility spillovers, and optimal hedging among oil futures and oil equities in oil-producing countries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C), pages 1202-1217.
    53. Wee Chian Koh, 2017. "How do oil supply and demand shocks affect Asian stock markets?," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 1-18, January.
    54. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Trabelsi, Nader & Alqahtani, Faisal & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2019. "Analysing systemic risk and time-frequency quantile dependence between crude oil prices and BRICS equity markets indices: A new look," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 445-466.
    55. Barrales-Ruiz, Jose & Mohammed, Mikidadu, 2021. "Financial regimes and oil prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    56. Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Adekoya, Oluwasegun Babatunde & Rashidi, Muhammad Mahdi & Ghasemi Doudkanlou, Mohammad & Dolatabadi, Ali, 2022. "Forecast of Bayesian-based dynamic connectedness between oil market and Islamic stock indices of Islamic oil-exporting countries: Application of the cascade-forward backpropagation network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    57. Huang, Jionghao & Li, Ziruo & Xia, Xiaohua, 2021. "Network diffusion of international oil volatility risk in China's stock market: Quantile interconnectedness modelling and shock decomposition analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 1-39.
    58. Zhou, Ying-Zhe & Huang, Jian-Bai & Chen, Jin-Yu, 2019. "Time-varying effect of the financialization of nonferrous metals markets on China's industrial sector," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    59. Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jiqian & Zhu, Bo, 2021. "Oil shocks and stock market volatility: New evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    60. Debojyoti Das & M Kannadhasan & Malay Bhattacharyya, 2020. "Oil price shocks and emerging stock markets revisited," International Journal of Emerging Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 17(6), pages 1583-1614, December.
    61. Christiane Baumeister & James D. Hamilton, 2020. "Drawing Conclusions from Structural Vector Autoregressions Identified on the Basis of Sign Restrictions," NBER Working Papers 26606, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    62. Jinyu Chen & Xuehong Zhu, 2021. "The Effects of Different Types of Oil Price Shocks on Industrial PPI: Evidence from 36 Sub-industries in China," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(12), pages 3411-3434, September.
    63. Li, Sufang & Tu, Dalun & Zeng, Yan & Gong, Chenggang & Yuan, Di, 2022. "Does geopolitical risk matter in crude oil and stock markets? Evidence from disaggregated data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    64. Pavitra Dhamija, 2020. "Economic Development and South Africa: 25 Years Analysis (1994 to 2019)," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(3), pages 298-322, September.
    65. Roudari, Soheil & Mensi, Walid & Kharusi, Sami Al & Ahmadian-Yazdi, Farzaneh, 2023. "Impacts of oil shocks on stock markets in Norway and Japan: Does monetary policy's effectiveness matter?," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 343-358.
    66. Enwereuzoh, Precious Adaku & Odei-Mensah, Jones & Owusu Junior, Peterson, 2021. "Crude oil shocks and African stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    67. Wan, Jer-Yuh & Kao, Chung-Wei, 2015. "Interactions between oil and financial markets — Do conditions of financial stress matter?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 160-175.
    68. Smyth, Russell & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2018. "What do we know about oil prices and stock returns?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 148-156.
    69. Oliver Morrissey & Lars Spreng, 2020. "Macroeconomic management on becoming an African oil exporter," Discussion Papers 2020-03, University of Nottingham, CREDIT.
    70. Huang, Jianbai & Dong, Xuesong & Chen, Jinyu & Zhong, Meirui, 2022. "Do oil prices and economic policy uncertainty matter for precious metal returns? New insights from a TVP-VAR framework," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 433-445.
    71. Ngo Thai Hung & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2023. "Multi-scale Features of Interdependence Between Oil Prices and Stock Prices," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(3), pages 475-504, September.
    72. Nafeesa Yunus, 2023. "Co‐movement among oil, stock, bond, and housing markets: An analysis of U.S., Asian, and European economies," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 393-436, June.
    73. Ji, Qiang & Liu, Bing-Yue & Zhao, Wan-Li & Fan, Ying, 2020. "Modelling dynamic dependence and risk spillover between all oil price shocks and stock market returns in the BRICS," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    74. Yao, Can-Zhong & Liu, Cheng & Ju, Wei-Jia, 2020. "Multifractal analysis of the WTI crude oil market, US stock market and EPU," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 550(C).
    75. Filippidis, Michail & Filis, George & Kizys, Renatas, 2020. "Oil price shocks and EMU sovereign yield spreads," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    76. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Ogunbowale, Gideon O. & Akinseye, Ademola B. & Oduyemi, Gabriel O., 2021. "Improving the predictability of stock returns with global financial cycle and oil price in oil-exporting African countries," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 166-181.

  578. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta & Goodness C. Aye, 2013. "Macro Shocks And House Prices In South Africa," Working Papers 201302, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

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    1. Ahdi N. Ajmi & Vassilios Babalos & Fotini Economou & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Real Estate Markets and Uncertainty Shocks: A Variance Causality Approach," Working Papers 201436, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  579. Xiao-lin Li & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Tsangyao Chang, 2013. "The Causal Relationship between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Returns in China and India: Evidence from a Bootstrap Rolling-Window Approach," Working Papers 201345, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

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    1. Assaf, Ata & Charif, Husni & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between uncertainty and energy markets: Do investor sentiments matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    2. Aye, Goodness C. & Balcilar, Mehmet & El Montasser, Ghassen & Gupta, Rangan & Manjez, Nangamso C., 2016. "Can debt ceiling and government shutdown predict us real stock returns? A bootstrap rolling window approach. - Gli effetti sui rendimenti azionari reali negli USA del tetto del debito pubblico e del b," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 69(1), pages 11-32.
    3. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium using news-based economic policy uncertainty: Not all uncertainty changes are equally important," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    4. Białkowski, Jędrzej & Dang, Huong Dieu & Wei, Xiaopeng, 2022. "High policy uncertainty and low implied market volatility: An academic puzzle?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(3), pages 1185-1208.
    5. Xu, Yongan & Wang, Jianqiong & Chen, Zhonglu & Liang, Chao, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns: New evidence," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    6. Muhammad Asif Khan & Masood Ahmed & József Popp & Judit Oláh, 2020. "US Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Nexus Revisited through Dynamic ARDL Simulation and Threshold Modelling," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-20, November.
    7. Mehmet Balcilar & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2018. "Asymmetric Dynamics of Insurance Premium: The Impact of Monetary Policy Uncertainty on Insurance Premiums in Japan," Working Papers 15-39, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    8. Wang, Nianling & Yin, Jiyuan & Li, Yong, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market volatility in China: Evidence from SV-MIDAS-t model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    9. Wensheng Kang & Ronald A. Ratti, 2015. "Oil shocks, policy uncertainty and stock returns in China," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 23(4), pages 657-676, October.
    10. Chang, Kuang-Liang, 2021. "Do U.S. and Japanese uncertainty shocks play important roles in affecting transition mechanisms of Japanese stock market?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    11. Al-Thaqeb, Saud Asaad & Algharabali, Barrak Ghanim, 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty: A literature review," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    12. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Gong, Yuting & He, Zhongzhi & Xue, Wenjun, 2022. "EPU spillovers and stock return predictability: A cross-country study," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    14. Hyder Ali & Salma Naz, 2025. "Forecasting Equity Premium in the Face of Climate Policy Uncertainty," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(2), pages 513-546, March.
    15. Wang, Kai-Hua & Zhao, Yan-Xin & Jiang, Cui-Feng & Li, Zheng-Zheng, 2022. "Does green finance inspire sustainable development? Evidence from a global perspective," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 412-426.
    16. Mehmet Balcilar & George Ike & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Output Growth in Emerging Markets: A Mixed-Frequency Granger Causality Approach," Working Papers 201975, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Imen Dakhlaoui & Chaker Aloui, 2016. "The Interactive Relationship Between the US Economic Policy Uncertainty and BRIC Stock Markets," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 146, pages 141-157.
    18. Nanthakumar LOGANATHAN & Suraya ISMAIL & Dalia STREIMIKIENE & Asan Ali Golam HASSAN & Edmundas Kazimieras ZAVADSKAS & Abbas MARDANI, 2017. "Tax Reform, Inflation, Financial Development And Economic Growth In Malaysia," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 152-165, December.
    19. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gül, Selçuk & Hacıhasanoğlu, Yavuz Selim & Yılmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2020. "Global uncertainties and portfolio flow dynamics of the BRICS countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    20. Chen, Wen-Yi & Chen, Mei-Ping, 2022. "Twitter’s daily happiness sentiment, economic policy uncertainty, and stock index fluctuations," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    21. Huabin Bian & Renhai Hua & Qingfu Liu & Ping Zhang, 2022. "Petroleum market volatility tracker in China," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(11), pages 2022-2040, November.
    22. Ying-Hui Shao & Yan-Hong Yang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2021. "How does economic policy uncertainty comove with stock markets: New evidence from symmetric thermal optimal path method," Papers 2106.04421, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
    23. Li, Hongshu & Sarfraz, Muddassar & Nawi, Hafizah Mat & Nguyen, Nhat Tan & Albasher, Gadah & Ramazanovna, Nargiza Kuzieva, 2023. "Does natural resource cause equitable development or resource curse? An analysis of macroeconomic policies for reducing environmental degradation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(PA).
    24. Chow Sheung-Chi & Cunado Juncal & Gupta Rangan & Wong Wing-Keung, 2018. "Causal relationships between economic policy uncertainty and housing market returns in China and India: evidence from linear and nonlinear panel and time series models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(2), pages 1-15, April.
    25. OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Nurudeen Abu & Tayo P. Ogundunmade, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty in G7 countries: evidence of long-range dependence and cointegration," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 541-556, May.
    26. Lyu, Yongjian & Yi, Heling & Hu, Yingyi & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Economic uncertainty shocks and China's commodity futures returns: A time-varying perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    27. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2017. "Oil price shocks and policy uncertainty: New evidence on the effects of US and non-US oil production," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 536-546.
    28. Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Ifedola Olanipekun & Oktay Özkan, 2024. "Stock Market Response to Quantitative Easing: Evidence from the Novel Rolling Windows Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(2), pages 947-977, August.
    29. Kang, Wensheng & Perez de Gracia, Fernando & Ratti, Ronald A., 2017. "Oil price shocks, policy uncertainty, and stock returns of oil and gas corporations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 344-359.
    30. Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    31. Liu, Tie-Ying & Ma, Jun-Teng, 2024. "Exchange rate and inflation between China and the United States: A bootstrap rolling-window approach," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(1).
    32. Kang, Wensheng & de Gracia, Fernando Perez & Ratti, Ronald A., 2019. "The asymmetric response of gasoline prices to oil price shocks and policy uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 66-79.
    33. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility Revisited: The Predictive Role of Signal Quality," Working Papers 202232, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    34. Li, Xiao-Lin & Yan, Jing & Wei, Xiaohui, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness among monetary policy cycle, financial cycle and business cycle in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 640-652.
    35. Semih Emre Cekin & Ashis Kumar Pradhan & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Measuring Co-Dependencies of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Latin American Countries using Vine Copulas," Working Papers 201867, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    36. Geoffrey M. Ngene & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Impact of Housing Policy Uncertainty on Herding Behavior: Evidence from UK's Regional Housing Markets," Working Papers 202115, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    37. Serdar Ongan & Ismet Gocer, 2017. "Testing The Causalities Between Economic Policy Uncertainty And The Us Stock Indices: Applications Of Linear And Nonlinear Approaches," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(04), pages 1-20, December.
    38. Liow, Kim Hiang & Liao, Wen-Chi & Huang, Yuting, 2018. "Dynamics of international spillovers and interaction: Evidence from financial market stress and economic policy uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 96-116.
    39. Yin, Xiao-Cui & Li, Xin & Wang, Min-Hui & Qin, Meng & Shao, Xue-Feng, 2021. "Do economic policy uncertainty and its components predict China's housing returns?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    40. Isiaka Akande Raifu, 2023. "Examining structural stability and time-varying causality between economic policy uncertainty and Asia-Pacific Islamic stock price," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(1), pages 28-37.
    41. Godil, Danish Iqbal & Sarwat, Salman & Sharif, Arshian & Jermsittiparsert, Kittisak, 2020. "How oil prices, gold prices, uncertainty and risk impact Islamic and conventional stocks? Empirical evidence from QARDL technique," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    42. Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo & Gupta, Rangan & Jooste, Charl, 2015. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Uncertainty Shocks in India - Gli effetti macroeconomici degli shock di incertezza in India," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 68(3), pages 373-383.
    43. Balcilar, Mehmet & Kutan, Ali M. & Yaya, Mehmet E., 2017. "Financial integration in small Islands: The case of Cyprus," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 201-219.
    44. Zhu, Xuehong & Chen, Ying & Chen, Jinyu, 2021. "Effects of non-ferrous metal prices and uncertainty on industry stock market under different market conditions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    45. Liu, Li & Zhang, Tao, 2015. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 99-105.
    46. Oluwatomisin J. Oyewole & Idowu A. Adubiagbe & Oluwasegun B. Adekoya, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock returns among OPEC members: evidence from feasible quasi-generalized least squares," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-10, December.
    47. Shabir Mohsin Hashmi & Muhammad Akram Gilal & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "Sustainability of Global Economic Policy and Stock Market Returns in Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-18, May.
    48. Guan, Jialin & Xu, Huijuan & Huo, Da & Hua, Yechun & Wang, Yunfeng, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and corporate innovation: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    49. Yifei Cai, 2018. "Predictive Power of us Monetary Policy Uncertainty Shock on Stock Returns in Australia and New Zealand," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(4), pages 470-488, December.
    50. Tihana Škrinjarić & Zrinka Orlović, 2020. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Spillovers: Case of Selected CEE Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-33, July.
    51. Ahmad, Wasim & Sharma, Sumit Kumar, 2018. "Testing output gap and economic uncertainty as an explicator of stock market returns," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 293-306.
    52. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Husain, Afzol & Bossman, Ahmed & Karim, Sitara, 2024. "Assessing the linkage of energy cryptocurrency with clean and dirty energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    53. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong & Kyei, Clement, 2019. "The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 150-163.
    54. Cagli, Efe Caglar & Mandaci, Pinar Evrim, 2023. "Time and frequency connectedness of uncertainties in cryptocurrency, stock, currency, energy, and precious metals markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    55. Huang, Jianbai & Dong, Xuesong & Zhang, Hongwei & Liu, Jia & Gao, Wang, 2022. "Dynamic and frequency-domain spillover among within and cross-country policy uncertainty, crude oil and gold market: Evidence from US and China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    56. Ngo Thai Hung, 2021. "Directional Spillover Effects Between BRICS Stock Markets and Economic Policy Uncertainty," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 28(3), pages 429-448, September.
    57. Dang, Dandan & Fang, Hongsheng & He, Minyuan, 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty, tax quotas and corporate tax burden: Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-1.
    58. Abdullah Açık & Özhan Okutucu & Kamil Özden Efes & Sadık Özlen Başer, 2021. "Analyzing the Impact of Interest Rate on Dry Bulk Freight Market with Time-Varying Causality Method," Journal of Research in Economics, Politics & Finance, Ersan ERSOY, vol. 6(2), pages 403-417.
    59. Vamsidhar Ambatipudi & Dilip Kumar, 2022. "Economic Policy Uncertainty Versus Sector Volatility: Evidence from India Using Multi-scale Wavelet Granger Causality Analysis," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 21(2), pages 184-210, June.
    60. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Tran, Vuong Thao, 2018. "Can economic policy uncertainty predict stock returns? Global evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 134-150.
    61. Sun, Yunpeng & Bao, Qun & Lu, Zhou, 2021. "Coronavirus (Covid-19) outbreak, investor sentiment, and medical portfolio: Evidence from China, Hong Kong, Korea, Japan, and U.S," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    62. Ahmed, Maruf Yakubu & Sarkodie, Samuel Asumadu, 2021. "COVID-19 pandemic and economic policy uncertainty regimes affect commodity market volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    63. Gabriel Caldas Montes & Igor Mendes Marcelino, 2023. "Uncertainties and disagreements in expectations of professional forecasters: Evidence from an inflation targeting developing country," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 937-956, July.
    64. Tang, Wenjin & Ding, Saijie & Chen, Hao, 2021. "Economic uncertainty and its spillover networks: Evidence from the Asia-Pacific countries," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    65. Yao, Can-Zhong & Sun, Bo-Yi, 2018. "The study on the tail dependence structure between the economic policy uncertainty and several financial markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 245-265.
    66. Li, Mangmang & Cao, Yuqiang & Lu, Meiting & Wang, Hongjian, 2021. "Political uncertainty and allocation of decision rights among business groups: Evidence from the replacement of municipal officials," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    67. Wensheng Kang & Ronald A. Ratti, 2014. "Policy Uncertainty in China, Oil Shocks and Stock Returns," CAMA Working Papers 2014-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    68. Kubra Saka Ilgin, 2022. "Examining the Relationship Between National Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Indices: An Empirical Analysis for Selected European Countries," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 9(2), pages 455-474, July.
    69. Lei, Adrian C.H. & Song, Chen, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market activity: Evidence from China," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    70. Hu, Debao & Lu, Jingming & Zhao, Sibo, 2024. "Does trade policy uncertainty increase commercial banks’ risk-taking? Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 532-551.
    71. Emrah İ. Çevik & Erdal Atukeren & Turhan Korkmaz, 2019. "Trade Openness and Economic Growth in Turkey: A Rolling Frequency Domain Analysis," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-16, May.
    72. Ugur Korkut Pata & Ojonugwa Usman & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Oktay Ozkan, 2024. "Stock Returns, Crude Oil and Gold Prices in Turkey: Evidence from Rolling Window-Based Nonparametric Quantile Causality Test," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(3), pages 779-797, September.
    73. Hammami, Algia & Ghenimi, Ameni & Bouri, Abdelfatteh, 2019. "Oil prices, US exchange rates, and stock market: evidence from Jordan as a net oil importer," MPRA Paper 94570, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    74. Yonghong JIANG & Juan MENG & He NIE, 2018. "Visiting the Economic Policy Uncertainty Shocks - Economic Growth Relationship: Wavelet-based Granger-Causality in Quantiles Approac," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 80-94, December.
    75. Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Gajdka, Jerzy & Kutan, Ali M., 2015. "Investor response to public news, sentiment and institutional trading in emerging markets: A review," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 338-352.
    76. Nguyen, Giang & Vo, Vinh, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty around the world: Implications for Vietnam," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    77. Aswini Kumar Mishra & Anand Theertha Nakhate & Yash Bagra & Abinash Singh & Bibhu Prasad Kar, 2024. "The Impact of Directional Global Economic Policy Uncertainty on Indian Stock Market Volatility: New Evidence," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(3), pages 423-452, September.
    78. Huang, Wei-Ling & Lin, Wen-Yuan & Ning, Shao-Lin, 2020. "The effect of economic policy uncertainty on China’s housing market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    79. Batabyal, Sourav & Killins, Robert, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns: Evidence from Canada," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    80. Kundu, Srikanta & Paul, Amartya, 2022. "Effect of economic policy uncertainty on stock market return and volatility under heterogeneous market characteristics," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 597-612.
    81. Azimli, Asil, 2022. "The impact of policy, political and economic uncertainty on corporate capital investment in the emerging markets of Eastern Europe and Turkey," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(2).
    82. Li, bing & Lu, pu & Wang, yong, 2024. "Decomposing uncertainty: How foreign policy risks shape Chinese stock market dynamics," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    83. Xiaowei Song & Muhammad Irfan & Ibrahim Alnafrah & Yu Hao, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty and carbon neutrality in China: Do sustainable energy and eco‐innovation make a difference?," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(4), pages 4057-4070, August.
    84. Cristiane Gea & Marcelo Cabus Klotzle & Luciano Vereda & Antonio Carlos Figueiredo Pinto, 2023. "Pricing uncertainty in the Brazilian stock market: do size and sustainability matter?," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 1-37, January.
    85. Al Mamun, Md & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2020. "Geopolitical risk, uncertainty and Bitcoin investment," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    86. Alqahtani Abdullah & Taillard Michael, 2019. "The Impact of US Economic Policy Uncertainty Shock on GCC Stock Market Performance," Asian Journal of Law and Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(2), pages 1-13, August.
    87. Zhu, Huiming & Chen, Weiyan & Hau, Liya & Chen, Qitong, 2021. "Time-frequency connectedness of crude oil, economic policy uncertainty and Chinese commodity markets: Evidence from rolling window analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    88. Jiang, Yonghong & Zhu, Zixuan & Tian, Gengyu & Nie, He, 2019. "Determinants of within and cross-country economic policy uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from US and China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    89. Wen-Yi Chen, 2017. "Demographic structure and monetary policy effectiveness: evidence from Taiwan," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 51(6), pages 2521-2544, November.
    90. Solikin M. Juhro & Dinh Hoang Bach Phan, 2018. "Can Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate And Its Volatility? Evidence From Asean Countries," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 21(2), pages 251-268, October.
    91. Khadka, Savin & Gopinath, Munisamy & Batarseh, Feras A., 2022. "Anomalies and Recoveries in Agricultural Trade," Commissioned Papers 329520, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    92. Hong, Yun & Zhang, Rushan & Zhang, Feipeng, 2024. "Time-varying causality impact of economic policy uncertainty on stock market returns: Global evidence from developed and emerging countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    93. Zhang, Weike & Zhang, Xueyuan & Tian, Xiaoli & Sun, Fengwei, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty nexus with corporate risk-taking: The role of state ownership and corruption expenditure," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    94. Si, Deng-Kui & Zhao, Bing & Li, Xiao-Lin & Ding, Hui, 2021. "Policy uncertainty and sectoral stock market volatility in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 557-573.
    95. Zhang, Dayong & Lei, Lei & Ji, Qiang & Kutan, Ali M., 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty in the US and China and their impact on the global markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 47-56.

  580. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2013. "Forecasting South African Macroeconomic Data with a Nonlinear DSGE Model," Working Papers 201313, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Open Access publications 10197/7351, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    2. Annari de Waal & Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Do we need a global VAR model to forecast inflation and output in South Africa?," Working Papers 201346, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Sergey Ivashchenko, 2014. "Forecasting in a Non-Linear DSGE Model," EUSP Department of Economics Working Paper Series 2014/02, European University at St. Petersburg, Department of Economics.
    4. Patrick T. kanda & Mehmet Balcilar & Pejman Bahramian & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Forecasting South African Inflation Using Non-Linear Models: A Weighted Loss-Based Evaluation," Working Papers 201416, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mampho Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "DGSE Model-Based Forecasting of Modeled and Non-Modeled Inflation Variables in South Africa," Working Papers 259, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2013.

  581. Tsangyao Chang & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "The Causal Relationship between House Prices and Economic Growth in the Nine Provinces of South Africa: Evidence from Panel-Granger Causality Tests," Working Papers 201317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. N.M. Odhiambo, 2022. "Does Foreign Direct Investment Spur Economic Growth? New Empirical Evidence from Sub-Saharan African Countries," Working Papers AESRI-2022-20, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI), revised Jul 2022.
    2. Khalil Mhadhbi & Chokri Terzi & Ali Bouchrika, 2020. "Banking sector development and economic growth in developing countries: a bootstrap panel Granger causality analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(6), pages 2817-2836, June.
    3. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2022. "Does Foreign Direct Investment Spur Economic Growth? New Empirical Evidence From Sub-Saharan African Countries," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 67(233), pages 61-84, April – J.
    4. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Adel Bosch & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Housing and the Business Cycle in South Africa," Working Papers 15-22, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2020. "Housing market spillovers in South Africa: evidence from an estimated small open economy DSGE model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2309-2332, May.
    6. Fatma Zeren & Burcu Kilinc Savrul, 2013. "Revisited Export-Led Growth Hypothesis For Selected European Countries: A Panel Hidden Cointegration Approach," Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal, Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Istanbul University, vol. 18(1), pages 134-151, May.
    7. Hemrit, Wael & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi, 2021. "Insurance and geopolitical risk: Fresh empirical evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 320-334.
    8. Hongbing HU & Meng SU & Wenhua LEE, 2013. "Insurance Activity and Economic Growth Nexus in 31 Regions of China: Bootstrap Panel Causality Test," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 182-198, October.
    9. Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Mehmet Balcilar & Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Causal relationship between asset prices and output in the US: Evidence from state-level panel Granger causality test," Working Papers 201411, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Components of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Predictability of US Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantile Approach," Working Papers 201639, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  582. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Persistence and Cycles in Historical Oil Prices Data," Working Papers 201375, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Luis A Gil-Alana & Christophe André & Rangan Gupta & Tsangyao Chang & Omid Ranjbar, 2015. "The Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle in South Africa: A Fractional Cointegration Approach," Working Papers 201501, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Giorgio Canarella & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "Modeling US historical time-series prices and inflation using alternative long-memory approaches," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1491-1511, April.
    3. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Shinhye Chang & Mehmet Balcilar & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Persistence of precious metal prices: a fractional integration approach with structural breaks," NCID Working Papers 06/2015, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    4. Jair N. Ojeda-Joya & Oscar Jaulin-Mendez & Juan C. Bustos-Peláez, 2015. "The Interdependence between Commodity-Price and GDP Cycles: A Frequency Domain Approach," Borradores de Economia 913, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    5. Nima Nonejad, 2019. "Modeling Persistence and Parameter Instability in Historical Crude Oil Price Data Using a Gibbs Sampling Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(4), pages 1687-1710, April.
    6. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Olusanya E. Olubusoye & OlaOluwa S. Yaya, 2015. "Time Series Analysis of Persistence in Crude Oil Price Volatility across Bull and Bear Regimes," Working Papers 201580, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Nima Nonejad, 2021. "Should crude oil price volatility receive more attention than the price of crude oil? An empirical investigation via a large‐scale out‐of‐sample forecast evaluation of US macroeconomic data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 769-791, August.
    8. Moses Tule & Afees Salisu & Charles Chiemeke, 2020. "Improving Nigeria’s Inflation Forecast with Oil Price: The Role of Estimators," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(1), pages 191-229, March.
    9. Lynda Khalaf & Beatriz Peraza López, 2020. "Simultaneous Indirect Inference, Impulse Responses and ARMA Models," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-26, April.
    10. Nima Nonejad, 2024. "Point forecasts of the price of crude oil: an attempt to “beat” the end-of-month random-walk benchmark," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(4), pages 1497-1539, October.
    11. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "The price of crude oil and (conditional) out-of-sample predictability of world industrial production," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
    12. Giorgio Canarella & Luis A. Gil-Alaña & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2017. "Modeling U.S. Historical Time-Series Prices and Inflation Using Various Linear and Nonlinear Long-Memory Approaches," Working papers 2017-13, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    13. Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "Equity premium prediction using the price of crude oil: Uncovering the nonlinear predictive impact," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    14. Maneejuk, Paravee & Kaewtathip, Nuttaphong & Yamaka, Woraphon, 2024. "The influence of the Ukraine-Russia conflict on renewable and fossil energy price cycles," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    15. Oloko, Tirimisiyu F. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Adedeji, Abdulfatai A. & Lakhani, Noman, 2021. "Oil price shocks and inflation rate persistence: A Fractional Cointegration VAR approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 259-275.
    16. Nima Nonejad, 2020. "Does the price of crude oil help predict the conditional distribution of aggregate equity return?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 313-349, January.
    17. Bravo Caro, José Manuel & Golpe, Antonio A. & Iglesias, Jesús & Vides, José Carlos, 2020. "A new way of measuring the WTI – Brent spread. Globalization, shock persistence and common trends," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    18. Ateeque Anwer, 2024. "How Oil Price Shocks Influence on Inflation Rate? Evidence from Malaysian Economy," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 13(2), pages 350-356.
    19. Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "Understanding the conditional out-of-sample predictive impact of the price of crude oil on aggregate equity return volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).

  583. Manoel Bittencourt & Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander, 2013. "Tax evasion, financial development and inflation: theory and empirical evidence," Working Papers 201316, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Philton Makena, 2018. "Why must it always be so Real with Tax Evasion?," Working Papers 201872, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Prianto Budi Saptono & Gustofan Mahmud & Fauzilah Salleh & Intan Pratiwi & Dwi Purwanto & Ismail Khozen, 2024. "Tax Complexity and Firm Tax Evasion: A Cross-Country Investigation," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-36, April.
    3. Salvatore Capasso & Franziska Ohnsorge & Shu Yu, 2022. "Informality and financial development: A literature review," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 90(5), pages 587-608, September.
    4. Barra, Cristian & Papaccio, Anna & Ruggiero, Nazzareno, 2024. "Bank cost efficiency and underground economy: The asymmetric impact of cooperative and non-cooperative banks," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    5. Joseph Keneck Massil & Sandrine Kablan & Jacques Bikai Landry, 2018. "Does Central Bank’s maturity matter for economic growth? [La maturité des Banques Centrales influence -t-elle la croissance économique ?]," Working Papers halshs-01828496, HAL.
    6. Elbahnasawy, Nasr G. & Ellis, Michael A. & Adom, Assandé Désiré, 2016. "Political Instability and the Informal Economy," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 31-42.
    7. Bittencourt, Manoel & Gupta, Rangan & Makena, Philton & Stander, Lardo, 2022. "Socio-political instability and growth dynamics," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(4).
    8. Aziz N. Berdiev & James W. Saunoris & Friedrich Schneider, 2018. "Give Me Liberty, or I Will Produce Underground: Effects of Economic Freedom on the Shadow Economy," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 85(2), pages 537-562, October.
    9. Capasso,Salvatore & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte & Shu Yu, 2022. "From Financial Development to Informality : A Causal Link," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10192, The World Bank.
    10. Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander & Andrea Vaona, 2023. "Openness and growth: Is the relationship non‐linear?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3071-3099, July.
    11. Schneider, Friedrich & Khan, Shabeer & Baharom Abdul Hamid & Khan, Abidullah, 2019. "Does the tax undermine the effect of remittances on shadow economy?," Economics Discussion Papers 2019-67, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    12. Yilmaz Bayar & Omer Faruk Ozturk, 2016. "Financial Development and Shadow Economy in European Union Transition Economies," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 14(2 (Summer), pages 157-173.
    13. Sieni Toussaint. OULAI, 2022. "Heterogeneous Effects of Financial Development on Tax Revenues: Accounting for Institutional Quality in Sub-Saharan Africa," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 9(1), pages 54-67, December.
    14. Kizito Uyi Ehigiamusoe & Mohamad Shaharudin Samsurijan, 2021. "What matters for finance‐growth nexus? A critical survey of macroeconomic stability, institutions, financial and economic development," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5302-5320, October.
    15. Gupta, Rangan & Stander, Lardo, 2018. "Endogenous fluctuations in an endogenous growth model: An analysis of inflation targeting as a policy," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 1-8.
    16. Abel Mawuko Agoba & Joshua Abor & Kofi A. Osei & Jarjisu Sa-Aadu, 2017. "Central bank independence and inflation in Africa : The role of financial systems and institutional quality," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 17(4), pages 131-146.
    17. Tolga Omay & Reneé Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Inflation–growth nexus: evidence from a pooled CCE multiple-regime panel smooth transition model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 913-944, May.
    18. Nasr G. Elbahnasawy & Michael A. Ellis, 2016. "Economic Structure And Seigniorage: A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 54(2), pages 940-965, April.
    19. Selçuk Akçay & Emre Karabulutoğlu, 2021. "Do remittances moderate financial development–informality nexus in North Africa?," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 33(1), pages 166-179, March.
    20. Canh Phuc Nguyen & Thanh Dinh Su, 2022. "When ‘uncertainty’ becomes ‘unknown’: Influences of economic uncertainty on the shadow economy," Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 93(3), pages 677-716, September.
    21. Barra, Cristian & Papaccio, Anna & Ruggiero, Nazzareno, 2024. "Are cooperative and commercial banks equally effective in reducing the shadow economy? International evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    22. Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander, 2014. "Endogenous Fluctuations in an Endogenous Growth Model with Inflation Targeting," Working Papers 201432, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Oussama Ben Atta & Isabelle Chort & Jean-Noël Senne, 2022. "Immigration, integration, and the informal economy in OECD countries," Working papers of Transitions Energétiques et Environnementales (TREE) hal-03822494, HAL.
    24. Oanh Tran Thi Kim & Quoc Huynh Van & Nha Lam Tuan & Chau Nguyen Thi Bao & Phat Nguyen Huu, 2024. "The Relationship Between the Shadow Economy, Corruption, and Taxes: Empirical Evidence from Countries with High and Low Financial Development," Studia Universitatis „Vasile Goldis” Arad – Economics Series, Sciendo, vol. 34(4), pages 78-104.
    25. Nguyen, Canh Phuc, 2022. "Does economic complexity matter for the shadow economy?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 210-227.
    26. Ghorpade,Yashodhan & Franco Restrepo,Camila & Castellanos Rodriguez,Luis Eduardo, 2024. "Social Protection and Labor Market Policies for the Informally Employed : A Review of Evidence from Low- and Middle-Income Countries," Social Protection Discussion Papers and Notes 188471, The World Bank.
    27. Salvatore Ciucci, 2024. "Tax evasion, education and shadow economy," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(4), pages 1-16, August.
    28. Sèna Kimm Gnangnon, 2022. "Financial development and tax revenue in developing countries: investigating the international trade channel," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 1-26, January.
    29. Mohammed Aït Lahcen, 2017. "Informality and the long run Phillips curve," ECON - Working Papers 248, Department of Economics - University of Zurich, revised Dec 2018.
    30. Aziz N. Berdiev & James W. Saunoris, 2023. "The case for independence: Does central bank independence curb the spread of the underground economy?," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 76(3), pages 407-435, August.
    31. Joseph Keneck Massil & Sandrine Kablan & Jacques Bikai Landry, 2019. "La maturité des Banques Centrales influence-t- elle la croissance économique ?," Erudite Working Paper 2019-08, Erudite.
    32. Canh, Nguyen Phuc & Thanh, Su Dinh, 2020. "Financial development and the shadow economy: A multi-dimensional analysis," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 37-54.
    33. Marã­A Paula Vargas & Erick Lahura, 2022. "Financial Development, Financial Inclusion And Informality: New International Evidence," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(03), pages 1-42, September.
    34. Ahamed, M. Mostak, 2016. "Does inclusive financial development matter for firms’ tax evasion? Evidence from developing countries," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 15-19.
    35. Aijaz Ahmad Bhat & Javaid Iqbal Khan & Sajad Ahmad Bhat & Javed Ahmad Bhat, 2023. "Central Bank Independence and Inflation in India: The Role of Financial Development," Studies in Economics and Econometrics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(4), pages 392-407, October.
    36. Allam, Amir & Abou-El-Sood, Heba & Elmarzouky, Mahmoud & Yamen, Ahmed, 2024. "Financial development and tax evasion: International evidence from OECD and non-OECD countries," Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    37. Rahman, Sami Ur & Faisal, Faisal & Ali, Adnan & Sulimany, Hamid Ghazi H & Bazhair, Ayman Hassan, 2023. "Do financial technology and financial development lessen shadow economy? Evidence from BRICST economies using heterogenous bootstrap panel causality," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 201-210.
    38. Hajilee, Massomeh & Stringer, Donna Y. & Hayes, Linda A., 2021. "On the link between the shadow economy and stock market development: An asymmetry analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 303-316.
    39. Folorunsho M. Ajide, 2021. "Shadow economy in Africa: how relevant is financial inclusion?," Journal of Financial Regulation and Compliance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 29(3), pages 297-316, April.
    40. Petr Janský & Miroslav Palanský, 2016. "Fiscal decentralization and the shadow economy," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2016-172, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    41. Guizhou Wang & Kjell Hausken, 2021. "Governmental Taxation of Households Choosing between a National Currency and a Cryptocurrency," Games, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-24, April.
    42. Fotié, Andrée Kenne & Mbratana, Taoufiki, 2024. "Informality and development: The nonlinear effect," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    43. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2019. "Financial Development and Tax Revenue in Developing Countries: Investigating the International Trade and Economic Growth Channels," EconStor Preprints 206628, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.

  584. Annari de Waal & Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Do we need a global VAR model to forecast inflation and output in South Africa?," Working Papers 201346, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Medel, Carlos A., 2017. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," MPRA Paper 78439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Open Access publications 10197/7351, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    3. Thomas van Florenstein Mulder & Tugrul Vehbi, 2019. "Forecasting with a Global VAR model," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2019/03, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    4. Medel, Carlos A., 2015. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," MPRA Paper 67081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Jonas Dovern & Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber, 2015. "Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR," Working Papers 200, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
    6. Halil Ibrahim Gunduz & Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & M. Eray Yucel, 2025. "A New Look at Cross-Country Aggregation in the Global VAR Approach: Theory and Monte Carlo Simulation," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 65(1), pages 21-67, January.

  585. Ahdi N. Ajmi & Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Causality between Exports and Economic Growth in South Africa: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Tests," Working Papers 201339, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Theofanous, Pamela & Tremma, Ourania, 2024. "Price linkages in major EU virgin olive oil markets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    2. Fenghua Wen & Jihong Xiao & Chuangxia Huang & Xiaohua Xia, 2018. "Interaction between oil and US dollar exchange rate: nonlinear causality, time-varying influence and structural breaks in volatility," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(3), pages 319-334, January.
    3. Bakari, Sayef & Saaidia, Fatma, 2016. "Evaluation of Trade Influence on Economic Growth in China: A Time Series Analysis," MPRA Paper 75826, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Ioan POPA & Cristiana TUDOR & Mihaela BELU & Dorel PARASCHIV, 2016. "On The Role Of Exports For Economic Growth At A Global Level Through A Lmm Approach," ECONOMIC COMPUTATION AND ECONOMIC CYBERNETICS STUDIES AND RESEARCH, Faculty of Economic Cybernetics, Statistics and Informatics, vol. 50(4), pages 5-24.
    5. He, Zhifang, 2020. "Dynamic impacts of crude oil price on Chinese investor sentiment: Nonlinear causality and time-varying effect," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 131-153.
    6. Maja Trošt & Štefan Bojnec, 2016. "Export-led growth: the case of the Slovenian and Estonian economies," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(3), pages 373-383, July.
    7. Daouda Coulibaly & Fulgence Zran Goueu, 2019. "An Empirical Analysis of the Link between Economic Growth and Exports in Côte d’Ivoire," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(9), pages 94-104, September.
    8. Qiaoqi Lang & Asadullah Khaskheli & Syed Ali Raza & Komal Akram Khan & Chin-Hong Puah, 2024. "Nonlinear and Nonparametric Causal Relationship Between Financial Inclusion, Energy Efficiency, and Sustainable Environment in Developed Economies," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(2), pages 5121-5150, June.
    9. Chee Loong, Lee & Chun Hao, Laiu & Nur Hidayah, Ramli & Nur Sabrina, Mohd Palel, 2018. "Dynamic Interactions in Macroeconomic Activities," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 26(3), pages 1651-1672.
    10. Kumar, Satish, 2017. "On the nonlinear relation between crude oil and gold," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 219-224.
    11. Sayef Bakari & Mohamed Mabrouki & Asma Elmakki, 2018. "The Nexus Between Industrial Exports And Economic Growth In Tunisia: Empirical Analysis," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 3(2), pages 31-53, December.
    12. Nazife Ozge Kilic & Murat Beser, 2017. "Relationship of Foreign Trade and Economic Growth in Eurasian Economy: Panel Data Analysis," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(9), pages 1-7, September.
    13. Alexander Maune, 2019. "Trade in Services-Economic Growth Nexus: An Analysis of the Growth Impact of Trade in Services in SADC Countries," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 11(2), pages 58-78.
    14. Burkhard Raunig, 2021. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Causality Check (Burkhard Raunig)," Working Papers 234, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
    15. Ayhan Orhan & Melek Emikönel & Murat Emikönel & Rui Alexandre Castanho, 2022. "Reflections of the “Export-Led Growth” or “Growth-Led Exports” Hypothesis on the Turkish Economy in the 1999–2021 Period," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-18, October.
    16. L. G. Burange & Rucha R. Ranadive & Neha N. Karnik, 2019. "Trade Openness and Economic Growth Nexus: A Case Study of BRICS," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 54(1), pages 1-15, February.
    17. Thian-Hee Yiew & Chin-Yu Lee & Lin-Sea Lau, 2021. "Economic growth in selected G20 countries: How do different pollution emissions matter?," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(8), pages 11451-11474, August.
    18. Kumar, Satish, 2019. "Asymmetric impact of oil prices on exchange rate and stock prices," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 41-51.
    19. Prasad Bal, Debi & Narayan Rath, Badri, 2015. "Nonlinear causality between crude oil price and exchange rate: A comparative study of China and India," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 149-156.
    20. Kgabo Lucracia Ledwaba & Chiedza L. Muchopa & Abenet Belete, 2025. "Price Interaction Between Crude Oil, Selected Grains, and Oilseeds in South Africa," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-20, January.
    21. Abdul Rehman & Hengyun Ma & Sufyan Ullah Khan & Muntasir Murshed & Muhammad Kamran Khan & Fayyaz Ahmad & Muhammad Zubair Chishti, 2023. "Do Exports of Communication Technology, Food, Manufacturing, and Foreign Investments Foster Economic Growth in Pakistan? an Exploration From Asymmetric Technique," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(4), pages 4238-4255, December.
    22. Xiuping Ji & Feiran Dong & Chen Zheng & Naipeng Bu, 2022. "The Influences of International Trade on Sustainable Economic Growth: An Economic Policy Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-15, February.
    23. Zhao, Lili & Wen, Fenghua & Wang, Xiong, 2020. "Interaction among China carbon emission trading markets: Nonlinear Granger causality and time-varying effect," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    24. Fanglei Wang & Jianbo Gao & Feiyan Liu, 2024. "Unlocking Africa’s development potential: insights from the perspective of global hierarchy and competition," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-17, December.
    25. Mbulawa, Strike & Chingoiro, Samuel, 2024. "Exports Diversification in Botswana: Key Drivers and Policy Implications," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 77(4), pages 555-580.
    26. Sunde, Tafirenyika & Tafirenyika, Blessing & Adeyanju, Anthony, 2022. "Testing the Impact of Exports, Imports, and Trade Openness on Economic Growth in Namibia: Assessment Using the ARDL Cointegration Method," MPRA Paper 120457, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Feb 2023.
    27. A. H. M. Mehbub Anwar & Mohammad Altelmesani & Abdulrahman Alwosheel, 2024. "Unveiling the causal nexus between Saudi’s seaborne trade and economy: evidence from an ARDL model," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-21, December.
    28. Manamba EPAPHRA, 2016. "Determinants of Export Performance in Tanzania," Journal of Economics Library, KSP Journals, vol. 3(3), pages 470-487, September.
    29. Katleho Makatjane & Ntebogang Moroke & Diteboho Xaba, 2017. "Threshold Cointegration and Nonlinear Causality test between Inflation Rate and Repo Rate," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 9(3), pages 163-170.
    30. Sayef Bakari & Mohamed Mabrouki, 2017. "Impact Of Exports And Imports On Economic Growth: New Evidence From Panama," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 2(1), pages 67-79, March.

  586. Ghassen El Montasser & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Convergence of Greenhouse Gas Emissions among G7 Countries," Working Papers 201386, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Cai, Yifei & Chang, Tsangyao & Inglesi-Lotz, Roula, 2018. "Asymmetric persistence in convergence for carbon dioxide emissions based on quantile unit root test with Fourier function," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 470-481.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Firat Emir, 2018. "The Dynamics of Energy Intensity Convergence in the EU-28 Countries," Working Papers 15-37, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    3. Jian-Xin Wu & Ling-Yun He, 2017. "The Distribution Dynamics of Carbon Dioxide Emissions Intensity across Chinese Provinces: A Weighted Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-19, January.
    4. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Khraief, Naceur & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2019. "How Do Carbon Emissions Respond to Economic Shocks? Evidence from Low-, Middle- and High-Income Countries," MPRA Paper 93976, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 May 2019.
    5. Cuihong Ye & Yiguo Chen & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Tsangyao Chang, 2020. "CO2 emissions converge in China and G7 countries? Further evidence from Fourier quantile unit root test," Energy & Environment, , vol. 31(2), pages 348-363, March.
    6. Bello, Mufutau Opeyemi & Solarin, Sakiru Adebola & Ch'ng, Kean Siang, 2024. "Is the renewable energy intensity convergent in OECD countries? Insights from novel unit root tests with factors and structural breaks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    7. Diego Romero-Ávila & Tolga Omay, 2023. "Convergence of GHGs emissions in the long-run: aerosol precursors, reactive gases and aerosols—a nonlinear panel approach," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(11), pages 12303-12337, November.
    8. Lipeng Huang & Xiangyan Geng & Jianxu Liu, 2023. "Study on the Spatial Differences, Dynamic Evolution and Convergence of Global Carbon Dioxide Emissions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-19, March.
    9. UÄŸur UrsavaÅŸ & Veli Yilanci, 2023. "Convergence analysis of ecological footprint at different time scales: Evidence from Southern Common Market countries," Energy & Environment, , vol. 34(2), pages 429-442, March.
    10. Borowiec, Justyna & Papież, Monika, 2024. "Convergence of CO2 emissions in countries at different stages of development. Do globalisation and environmental policies matter?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    11. Veli Yilanci & Muhammed Sehid Gorus & Sakiru Adebola Solarin, 2022. "Convergence in per capita carbon footprint and ecological footprint for G7 countries: Evidence from panel Fourier threshold unit root test," Energy & Environment, , vol. 33(3), pages 527-545, May.
    12. Payne, James E. & Lee, Junsoo & Islam, Md. Towhidul & Nazlioglu, Saban, 2022. "Stochastic convergence of per capita greenhouse gas emissions: New unit root tests with breaks and a factor structure," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).

  587. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Alain Kaninda & Wendy Nyakabawo & Aarifah Razak, 2013. "House Price, Stock Price and Consumption in South Africa: A Structural VAR Approach," Working Papers 201309, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "The Long-Run Relationship between Consumption, House Prices and Stock Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Provincial-Level Data," Working Papers 201326, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Adel Bosch & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Housing and the Business Cycle in South Africa," Working Papers 15-22, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2020. "Housing market spillovers in South Africa: evidence from an estimated small open economy DSGE model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2309-2332, May.
    4. Paetz, Michael & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "Stock Price Dynamics and the Business Cycle in an Estimated DSGE Model for South Africa," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series 18, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory.
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Beatrice Simo-Kengne & Stephen Miller & Rangan Gupta & Goodness Aye, 2015. "Time-Varying Effects of Housing and Stock Returns on U.S. Consumption," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 339-354, April.
    7. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Components of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Predictability of US Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantile Approach," Working Papers 201639, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  588. Wendy N. Cowan & Tsangyao Chang & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "The nexus of electricity consumption, economic growth and CO2 emissions in the BRICS countries," Working Papers 201340, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Usama Al-Mulali & Ilhan Ozturk & Hooi Lean, 2015. "The influence of economic growth, urbanization, trade openness, financial development, and renewable energy on pollution in Europe," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 79(1), pages 621-644, October.
    2. Airebule, Palizha & Cheng, Haitao & Ishikawa, Jota, 2023. "Assessing carbon emissions embodied in international trade based on shared responsibility," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    3. Mahmood, Nihal & Masih, Mansur, 2018. "Dynamics between islamic banking performance and CO2 emissions: evidence from the OIC countries," MPRA Paper 95652, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Mohammad Mafizur Rahman & Istihak Rayhan & Nahid Sultana, 2023. "How Does Electricity Affect Economic Growth? Examining the Role of Government Policy to Selected Four South Asian Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-17, February.
    5. Mohd Arshad Ansari & Pushp Kumar & Muhammed Ashiq Villanthenkodath, 2023. "Impact of renewable and non-renewable electricity generation on economic growth in India: an application of linear and nonlinear models," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 138-158, June.
    6. Vera, Sonia & Sauma, Enzo, 2015. "Does a carbon tax make sense in countries with still a high potential for energy efficiency? Comparison between the reducing-emissions effects of carbon tax and energy efficiency measures in the Chile," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 478-488.
    7. Yang, Xue & Wang, Shaojian & Zhang, Wenzhong & Li, Jiaming & Zou, Yafeng, 2016. "Impacts of energy consumption, energy structure, and treatment technology on SO2 emissions: A multi-scale LMDI decomposition analysis in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 714-726.
    8. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Ahmed, Khalid & Rasool, Ghulam & Kumar, Mantu, 2016. "Considering the effect of biomass energy consumption on economic growth:fresh evidence from BRICS region," MPRA Paper 70024, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Mar 2016.
    9. Simplice A. Asongu & Mary Oluwatoyin Agboola & Andrew Adewale Alola & Festus Victor Bekun, 2019. "The criticality of growth, urbanization, electricity and fossil fuel consumption to environment sustainability in Africa," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 19/093, African Governance and Development Institute..
    10. Ahmed Oluwatobi Adekunle & Biliqees Ayoola Abdulmumin & Joseph Olorunfemi Akande & Kehinde Gabriel Ajose, 2022. "Modelling Aggregate Energy Consumption for Growth in Nigeria," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(6), pages 389-395, November.
    11. Le, Thai-Ha & Nguyen, Canh Phuc, 2019. "Is energy security a driver for economic growth? Evidence from a global sample," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 436-451.
    12. Liobikienė, Genovaitė & Butkus, Mindaugas, 2019. "Scale, composition, and technique effects through which the economic growth, foreign direct investment, urbanization, and trade affect greenhouse gas emissions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 1310-1322.
    13. Brini, Riadh, 2021. "Renewable and non-renewable electricity consumption, economic growth and climate change: Evidence from a panel of selected African countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    14. Daniel Armeanu & Georgeta Vintilă & Jean Vasile Andrei & Ştefan Cristian Gherghina & Mihaela Cristina Drăgoi & Cristian Teodor, 2018. "Exploring the link between environmental pollution and economic growth in EU-28 countries: Is there an environmental Kuznets curve?," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(5), pages 1-28, May.
    15. Dervis Kirikkaleli & Hasan Güngör & Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo, 2022. "Consumption‐based carbon emissions, renewable energy consumption, financial development and economic growth in Chile," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 1123-1137, March.
    16. Kazeem Bello Ajide & Ekundayo Peter Mesagan, 2022. "Heterogeneous Analysis of Pollution Abatement via Renewable and Non-renewable Energy: Lessons from Investment in G20 Nations," Working Papers 22/017, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
    17. Seker, Fahri & Ertugrul, Hasan Murat & Cetin, Murat, 2015. "The impact of foreign direct investment on environmental quality: A bounds testing and causality analysis for Turkey," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 347-356.
    18. Zhipeng Zhu & Yuxuan Qiao & Qunyue Liu & Conghua Lin & Emily Dang & Weicong Fu & Guangyu Wang & Jianwen Dong, 2021. "The impact of meteorological conditions on Air Quality Index under different urbanization gradients: a case from Taipei," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 3994-4010, March.
    19. Liu, Da & Ruan, Liang & Liu, Jinchen & Huan, Huang & Zhang, Guowei & Feng, Yi & Li, Ying, 2018. "Electricity consumption and economic growth nexus in Beijing: A causal analysis of quarterly sectoral data," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 82(P3), pages 2498-2503.
    20. Osman, Mohamed & Gachino, Geoffrey & Hoque, Ariful, 2016. "Electricity consumption and economic growth in the GCC countries: Panel data analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 318-327.
    21. Zhihui Lv & Amanda M. Y. Chu & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Modelling Economic Growth, Carbon Emissions, and Fossil Fuel Consumption in China: Cointegration and Multivariate Causality," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(21), pages 1-35, October.
    22. Ali Matar, 2020. "Does electricity consumption impacting financial development? Wavelet analysis," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 1-9, December.
    23. OSHOTA, Sebil, 2019. "Modelling Asymmetric effects of Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in Nigeria: Fresh evidence from Asymmetric ARDL and Granger Causality," MPRA Paper 98271, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 22 Jan 2020.
    24. Chen, Chaoyi & Pinar, Mehmet & Stengos, Thanasis, 2020. "Renewable energy consumption and economic growth nexus: Evidence from a threshold model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    25. Alsaedi, Yasir Hamad & Tularam, Gurudeo Anand, 2020. "The relationship between electricity consumption, peak load and GDP in Saudi Arabia: A VAR analysis," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 164-178.
    26. Khan, Muhammad Tariq Iqbal & Ali, Qamar & Ashfaq, Muhammad, 2018. "The nexus between greenhouse gas emission, electricity production, renewable energy and agriculture in Pakistan," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 437-451.
    27. Larissa M. Batrancea & Horia Tulai, 2022. "Thriving or Surviving in the Energy Industry: Lessons on Energy Production from the European Economies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-16, November.
    28. Yan, Xiang & Bai, Jiancheng & Zhang, Yueyan & Hu, Shiliang, 2022. "Can the ecological environment reverse feed renewable energy technology innovation? -- Heterogeneity test from the Yangtze River Economic Belt," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 1381-1392.
    29. Pandelara, Diego & Kristjanpoller, Werner & Michell, Kevin & Minutolo, Marcel C., 2022. "A fuzzy regression causality approach to analyze relationship between electrical consumption and GDP," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PE).
    30. Alexopoulos, Thomas A., 2017. "The growing importance of natural gas as a predictor for retail electricity prices in US," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 219-233.
    31. Zhongdong Yu & Wei Liu & Liming Chen & Serkan Eti & Hasan Dinçer & Serhat Yüksel, 2019. "The Effects of Electricity Production on Industrial Development and Sustainable Economic Growth: A VAR Analysis for BRICS Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(21), pages 1-13, October.
    32. Inglesi-Lotz, Roula & Dogan, Eyup, 2018. "The role of renewable versus non-renewable energy to the level of CO2 emissions a panel analysis of sub- Saharan Africa’s Βig 10 electricity generators," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 36-43.
    33. Bah, Muhammad Maladoh & Azam, Muhammad, 2017. "Investigating the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth: Evidence from South Africa," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 531-537.
    34. Marques, António Cardoso & Fuinhas, José Alberto, 2015. "The role of Portuguese electricity generation regimes and industrial production," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 321-330.
    35. Gideon Kwaku Minua Ampofo & Jinhua Cheng & Edwin Twum Ayimadu & Daniel Akwasi Asante, 2021. "Investigating the Asymmetric Effect of Economic Growth on Environmental Quality in the Next 11 Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-29, January.
    36. Anobua Acha Arnaud Martial & Huang Dechun & Liton Chandra Voumik & Md. Jamsedul Islam & Shapan Chandra Majumder, 2023. "Investigating the Influence of Tourism, GDP, Renewable Energy, and Electricity Consumption on Carbon Emissions in Low-Income Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-21, June.
    37. Fang, Zheng & Chang, Youngho, 2016. "Energy, human capital and economic growth in Asia Pacific countries — Evidence from a panel cointegration and causality analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 177-184.
    38. Samargandi, Nahla, 2017. "Sector value addition, technology and CO2 emissions in Saudi Arabia," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 868-877.
    39. Zheng Fang & Jiang Yu, 2020. "The role of human capital in energy-growth nexus: an international evidence," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1225-1247, March.
    40. Marques, António Cardoso & Fuinhas, José Alberto & Neves, Sónia Almeida, 2018. "Ordinary and Special Regimes of electricity generation in Spain: How they interact with economic activity," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1226-1240.
    41. Nawaz, Saima & Iqbal, Nasir & Anwar, Saba, 2014. "Modelling electricity demand using the STAR (Smooth Transition Auto-Regressive) model in Pakistan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 535-542.
    42. Sanches-Pereira, Alessandro & Tudeschini, Luís Gustavo & Coelho, Suani Teixeira, 2016. "Evolution of the Brazilian residential carbon footprint based on direct energy consumption," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 184-201.
    43. Wu, Wanlu & Cheng, Yuanyuan & Lin, Xiqiao & Yao, Xin, 2019. "How does the implementation of the Policy of Electricity Substitution influence green economic growth in China?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 251-261.
    44. BEN YOUSSEF, Adel & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Omri, Anis, 2016. "Simultaneity Modeling Analysis of the Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis," MPRA Paper 82609, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 07 Oct 2016.
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    157. Sofien Tiba & Mohamed Frikha, 2020. "EKC and Macroeconomics Aspects of Well-being: a Critical Vision for a Sustainable Future," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 11(3), pages 1171-1197, September.
    158. Asafu-Adjaye, John & Byrne, Dominic & Alvarez, Maximiliano, 2016. "Economic growth, fossil fuel and non-fossil consumption: A Pooled Mean Group analysis using proxies for capital," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 345-356.
    159. Mohd Arshad Ansari & Muhammed Ashiq Villanthenkodath & Vaseem Akram & Badri Narayan Rath, 2023. "The nexus between ecological footprint, economic growth, and energy poverty in sub-Saharan Africa: a technological threshold approach," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(8), pages 7823-7850, August.
    160. Muhammad Imran & Sajid Ali & Yousef Shahwan & Jijian Zhang & Issa Ahmad Al-Swiety, 2022. "Analyzing the Effects of Renewable and Nonrenewable Energy Usage and Technological Innovation on Environmental Sustainability: Evidence from QUAD Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-16, November.

  589. Ahdi N. Ajmi & Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Ghassen El Montasser & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Causality between US Economic Policy and Equity Market Uncertainties: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Tests," Working Papers 201358, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Blanka Škrabić Perić & Petar Sorić, 2018. "A Note on the “Economic Policy Uncertainty Index”," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 137(2), pages 505-526, June.
    2. Assaf, Ata & Charif, Husni & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between uncertainty and energy markets: Do investor sentiments matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    3. Liang, Chin Chia & Troy, Carol & Rouyer, Ellen, 2020. "U.S. uncertainty and Asian stock prices: Evidence from the asymmetric NARDL model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    4. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2018. "“A geometric approach to proxy economic uncertainty by a metric of disagreement among qualitative expectations”," AQR Working Papers 201803, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Jun 2018.
    5. Mohammadreza Mahmoudi, 2023. "Examining the Effect of Monetary Policy and Monetary Policy Uncertainty on Cryptocurrencies Market," Papers 2311.10739, arXiv.org.
    6. Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Spillovers across macroeconomic, financial and real estate uncertainties: A time-varying approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 167-173.
    7. Bucci, Andrea & Palomba, Giulio & Rossi, Eduardo, 2023. "The role of uncertainty in forecasting volatility comovements across stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    8. Petar Soric & Ivana Lolic, 2017. "Economic uncertainty and its impact on the Croatian economy," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 41(4), pages 443-477.
    9. Andrea Bucci & Giulio Palomba & Eduardo Rossi, 2019. "Does macroeconomics help in predicting stock markets volatility comovements? A nonlinear approach," Working Papers 440, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
    10. Riadh Aloui & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2015. "Uncertainty and crude oil returns," Working papers 2015-03, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    11. Bannigidadmath, Deepa & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2021. "Commodity futures returns and policy uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 364-383.
    12. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting the return on the spot price of crude oil out-of-sample by conditioning on news-based uncertainty measures: Some new empirical results," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    13. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "On the Transmission Mechanism of Country-Specific and International Economic Uncertainty Spillovers: Evidence from a TVP-VAR Connectedness Decomposition Approach," Working Papers 201829, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Burkhard Raunig, 2021. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Causality Check (Burkhard Raunig)," Working Papers 234, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
    15. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Sensoy, Ahmet & Eraslan, Veysel & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "Sensitivity of US equity returns to economic policy uncertainty and investor sentiments," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    16. Burkhard Raunig, 2023. "Using causal graphs to test for the direction of instantaneous causality between economic policy uncertainty and stock market volatility," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(4), pages 1579-1598, October.
    17. Cagli, Efe Caglar & Mandaci, Pinar Evrim, 2023. "Time and frequency connectedness of uncertainties in cryptocurrency, stock, currency, energy, and precious metals markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    18. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2019. "Economic Uncertainty: A Geometric Indicator of Discrepancy Among Experts’ Expectations," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 143(1), pages 95-114, May.
    19. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Tran, Vuong Thao, 2018. "Can economic policy uncertainty predict stock returns? Global evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 134-150.
    20. Yao, Can-Zhong & Sun, Bo-Yi, 2018. "The study on the tail dependence structure between the economic policy uncertainty and several financial markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 245-265.
    21. Yonghong JIANG & Juan MENG & He NIE, 2018. "Visiting the Economic Policy Uncertainty Shocks - Economic Growth Relationship: Wavelet-based Granger-Causality in Quantiles Approac," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 80-94, December.
    22. Tsai, I-Chun, 2018. "Flash crash and policy uncertainty," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 248-260.
    23. Liu, Peipei & Huang, Wei-Qiang, 2024. "Spatial analysis of sovereign risk from the perspective of EPU spillovers," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 427-443.
    24. Batabyal, Sourav & Killins, Robert, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns: Evidence from Canada," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    25. Hsieh, Hui-Ching & Nguyen, Van Quoc Thinh, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and illiquidity return premium," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    26. Ijaz Younis & Himani Gupta & Waheed Ullah Shah & Arshian Sharif & Xuan Tang, 2024. "The Effects of Economic Uncertainty and Trade Policy Uncertainty on Industry-Specific Stock Markets Equity," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(5), pages 2909-2933, November.
    27. Wen-Yi Chen, 2017. "Demographic structure and monetary policy effectiveness: evidence from Taiwan," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 51(6), pages 2521-2544, November.
    28. Solikin M. Juhro & Dinh Hoang Bach Phan, 2018. "Can Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate And Its Volatility? Evidence From Asean Countries," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 21(2), pages 251-268, October.
    29. Mokni, Khaled & Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen & Bouri, Elie & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and the Bitcoin-US stock nexus," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 57.

  590. Janneke Dlamini & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2013. "Revisiting the Causal Relationship between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in South Africa: Evidence from a Bootstrap Rolling Window Approach," Working Papers 201341, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Alexander Bass, 2018. "Does Electricity Supply Matter for Economic Growth in Russia: A Vector Error Correction Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(5), pages 313-318.
    2. Hlalefang Khobai & Sanderson Abel & Pierre Le Roux, 2016. "Co-integration between Electricity Supply and Economic Growth in South Africa," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(3), pages 637-645.
    3. ISAH, Ukwenya Shuaib & John Olu-Coris Aiyedogbon & Marvelous Aigbedion, 2024. "Impact of Electricity Power Consumption on Economic Growth in Nigeria: A Threshold Regression Analysis Approach," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(8), pages 64-76, August.

  591. Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mampho P. Modise & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2013. "Can Economic Uncertainty, Financial Stress and Consumer Sentiments Predict U.S. Equity Premium?," Working Papers 2013-20, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.

    Cited by:

    1. Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar, 2015. "Incorporating Economic Policy Uncertainty in US Equity Premium Models: A Nonlinear Predictability Analysis," Working Papers 201545, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Frederick W. Deale & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Does Debt Ceiling and Government Shutdown Help in Forecasting the US Equity Risk Premium?," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 63(3), pages 273-291.
    3. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The impacts of structural oil shocks on macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from a large panel of 45 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark Wohar, 2015. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201599, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Xu, Yongan & Liang, Chao & Wang, Jianqiong, 2023. "Financial stress and returns predictability: Fresh evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    6. Bannigidadmath, Deepa & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2016. "Stock return predictability and determinants of predictability and profits," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 153-173.
    7. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Liang, Chao & Xu, Yongan & Wang, Jianqiong & Yang, Mo, 2022. "Whether dimensionality reduction techniques can improve the ability of sentiment proxies to predict stock market returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    9. Bekiros, Stelios & Gupta, Rangan & Kyei, Clement, 2016. "On economic uncertainty, stock market predictability and nonlinear spillover effects," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 184-191.
    10. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa & Gungor, Hasan & Roubaud, David & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Role of global, regional, and advanced market economic policy uncertainty on bond spreads in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    11. Das, Debojyoti & Kannadhasan, M. & Bhattacharyya, Malay, 2019. "Do the emerging stock markets react to international economic policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk and financial stress alike?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 1-19.
    12. Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Giray Gozgor & Ender Demir, 2017. "Excess stock returns, oil shocks, and policy uncertainty in the U.S," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 741-755.
    14. Chen, Jinyu & Wang, Yilin & Ren, Xiaohang, 2023. "Asymmetric effect of financial stress on China’s precious metals market: Evidence from a quantile-on-quantile regression," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    15. Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "Predicting equity premium out-of-sample by conditioning on newspaper-based uncertainty measures: A comparative study," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    16. Wadud, Mokhtarul & Ali Ahmed, Huson Joher & Tang, Xueli, 2020. "Factors affecting delinquency of household credit in the U.S.: Does consumer sentiment play a role?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    17. Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi-Keung (Marco) & Sheng, Xin, 2020. "Graph theory-based network analysis of regional uncertainties of the US Economy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    18. Martina Hengge, 2019. "Uncertainty as a Predictor of Economic Activity," IHEID Working Papers 19-2019, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    19. Kang, Wensheng & de Gracia, Fernando Perez & Ratti, Ronald A., 2019. "The asymmetric response of gasoline prices to oil price shocks and policy uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 66-79.
    20. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Bonsu, Christiana Osei & Karikari, Nana Kwasi & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2022. "The effects of public sentiments and feelings on stock market behavior: Evidence from Australia," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 443-472.
    21. Bannigidadmath, Deepa & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2021. "Commodity futures returns and policy uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 364-383.
    22. Serdar Ongan & Ismet Gocer, 2017. "Testing The Causalities Between Economic Policy Uncertainty And The Us Stock Indices: Applications Of Linear And Nonlinear Approaches," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(04), pages 1-20, December.
    23. Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Bilgin, Mehmet Huseyin, 2016. "Commodity markets volatility transmission: Roles of risk perceptions and uncertainty in financial markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 35-45.
    24. Mohammad Dulal Miah & Muhammad Shafiullah & Md. Samsul Alam, 2024. "The effect of financial stress on renewable energy consumption: evidence from US data," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(10), pages 26623-26646, October.
    25. Wang, Ningli & You, Wanhai, 2023. "New insights into the role of global factors in BRICS stock markets: A quantile cointegration approach," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(2).
    26. Luo, Jiawen & Cepni, Oguzhan & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2025. "Forecasting multivariate volatilities with exogenous predictors: An application to industry diversification strategies," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    27. Dahmene, Meriam & Boughrara, Adel & Slim, Skander, 2021. "Nonlinearity in stock returns: Do risk aversion, investor sentiment and, monetary policy shocks matter?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 676-699.
    28. Golab, Anna & Bannigidadmath, Deepa & Pham, Thach Ngoc & Thuraisamy, Kannan, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and industry return predictability – Evidence from the UK," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 433-447.
    29. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong & Kyei, Clement, 2019. "The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 150-163.
    30. Nonejad, Nima, 2023. "Modeling the out-of-sample predictive relationship between equity premium, returns on the price of crude oil and economic policy uncertainty using multivariate time-varying dimension models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    31. Amna Sohail Rawat, Imtiaz Arif, 2018. "Does Geopolitical Risk Drive Equity Price Returns of BRIC Economies? Evidence from Quantile on Quantile Estimations," Journal of Finance and Economics Research, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 3(2), pages 24-36, October.
    32. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Tran, Vuong Thao, 2018. "Can economic policy uncertainty predict stock returns? Global evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 134-150.
    33. Ahmet Yağmur Ersoy & Metin Saygılı & Mustafa İlteriş Yılmaz & Mustafa Emre Uslu & İhsan Hakan Selvi, 2022. "Consumer Sentiment in Turkey, from Closure to the New Normal," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-24, July.
    34. Azmi, Wajahat & Mohamad, Shamsher & Shah, Mohamed Eskandar, 2020. "Ethical investments and financial performance: An international evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    35. Lei, Adrian C.H. & Song, Chen, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market activity: Evidence from China," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    36. Linyan Dai & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Impact of Uncertainty on State-Level Housing Markets of the United States: The Role of Social Cohesion," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-9, March.
    37. Yonghong JIANG & Juan MENG & He NIE, 2018. "Visiting the Economic Policy Uncertainty Shocks - Economic Growth Relationship: Wavelet-based Granger-Causality in Quantiles Approac," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 80-94, December.
    38. Rangan Gupta & Chi-Keung (Marco) Lau & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty Connections across the US States: Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical Structural VAR (BGSVAR) Model," Working Papers 201910, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    39. Marwane El Alaoui & Elie Bouri & Nehme Azoury, 2020. "The Determinants of the U.S. Consumer Sentiment: Linear and Nonlinear Models," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-13, July.
    40. Kunze, Frederik & Wegener, Christoph & Bizer, Kilian & Spiwoks, Markus, 2017. "Forecasting European interest rates in times of financial crisis – What insights do we get from international survey forecasts?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 192-205.

  592. Tsangyao Chang & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "The Causal Relationship between Exports and Economic Growth in the Nine Provinces of South Africa: Evidence from Panel-Granger Causality Tests," Working Papers 201319, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. N.M. Odhiambo, 2022. "Does Foreign Direct Investment Spur Economic Growth? New Empirical Evidence from Sub-Saharan African Countries," Working Papers AESRI-2022-20, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI), revised Jul 2022.
    2. Ahdi N. Ajmi & Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Causality between exports and economic growth in South Africa: evidence from linear and nonlinear tests," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 49(2), pages 163-181, April-Jun.
    3. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2022. "Does Foreign Direct Investment Spur Economic Growth? New Empirical Evidence From Sub-Saharan African Countries," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 67(233), pages 61-84, April – J.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2020. "Housing market spillovers in South Africa: evidence from an estimated small open economy DSGE model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2309-2332, May.
    5. Fatma Zeren & Burcu Kilinc Savrul, 2013. "Revisited Export-Led Growth Hypothesis For Selected European Countries: A Panel Hidden Cointegration Approach," Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal, Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Istanbul University, vol. 18(1), pages 134-151, May.
    6. Saban Nazlioglu & Cagin Karul, 2024. "Testing for Granger causality in heterogeneous panels with cross-sectional dependence," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(4), pages 1541-1579, October.
    7. Hemrit, Wael & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi, 2021. "Insurance and geopolitical risk: Fresh empirical evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 320-334.
    8. Hongbing HU & Meng SU & Wenhua LEE, 2013. "Insurance Activity and Economic Growth Nexus in 31 Regions of China: Bootstrap Panel Causality Test," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 182-198, October.
    9. Evans, Olaniyi, 2013. "Testing Finance-Led, Export-Led and Import-Led Growth Hypotheses on Four Sub-Saharan African Economies," MPRA Paper 52460, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Mehmet Balcilar & Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Causal relationship between asset prices and output in the US: Evidence from state-level panel Granger causality test," Working Papers 201411, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Components of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Predictability of US Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantile Approach," Working Papers 201639, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  593. Kirsten Thompson & Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Identifying a financial conditions index for South Africa," Working Papers 201333, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Kirsten Thompson & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2014. "Testing the Asymmetric Effects of Financial Conditions in South Africa: A Nonlinear Vector Autoregression Approach," Working Papers 201414, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Umit Bulut, 2016. "Do Financial Conditions have a Predictive Power on Inflation in Turkey?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(2), pages 621-628.
    3. Kirsten Thompson & Reneé van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Testing the Out-of-Sample Forecasting Ability of a Financial Conditions Index for South Africa," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(3), pages 486-501, May.

  594. Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Won Joong Kim & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne, 2013. "Forecasting China’s Foreign Exchange Reserves Using Dynamic Model Averaging: The Role of Macroeconomic Fundamentals, Financial Stress and Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers 201338, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Won Joong Kim, 2014. "Forecasting the Price of Gold Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Papers 201415, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Jan Prüser, 2019. "Adaptive learning from model space," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(1), pages 29-38, January.
    3. Nima Nonejad, 2021. "An Overview Of Dynamic Model Averaging Techniques In Time‐Series Econometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 566-614, April.
    4. Hossein Hassani & Emmanuel Sirimal Silva & Rangan Gupta & Mawuli K. Segnon, 2015. "Forecasting the price of gold," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(39), pages 4141-4152, August.
    5. Liu, Tie-Ying & Lin, Ye, 2024. "Who has mastered exchange rate ups and downs: China or the United States?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    6. Qian, Yao & Ralescu, Dan A. & Zhang, Bo, 2019. "The analysis of factors affecting global gold price," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    7. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium using dynamic model averaging. Does the state–space representation matter?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    8. Zhang, Guangyong & Jiang, Le & Tian, Lixin & Fu, Min, 2021. "Analysis of the gold fixing price fluctuation in different times based on the directed weighted networks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    9. Jiang, Xiandeng & Shi, Yanlin & Zhang, Zhaoyong, 2021. "Does US partisan conflict affect China’s foreign exchange reserves?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 21-33.
    10. Kola Akinsomi & Goodness C. Aye & Vassilios Babalos & Fotini Economou & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Real Estate Returns Predictability Revisited: Novel Evidence from the US REITs Market," Working Papers 201454, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Behnamian, Mehdi & Shojaee, Abdul Nasser & Haji, Gholamali, 2021. "Investigating the Effective Factors in the Growth of Private Sector Investment in Iran," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 7(4), pages 84-57, February.
    12. Dong, Xiyong & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2019. "What global economic factors drive emerging Asian stock market returns? Evidence from a dynamic model averaging approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 204-215.
    13. Bayari, Celal, 2020. "The Neoliberal Globalization Link to the Belt and Road Initiative: The State and State-Owned-Enterprises in China [alternative title: Bilateral and Multilateral Dualities of the Chinese State in the C," MPRA Paper 104471, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 21 Jul 2020.
    14. Anastasiia Pankratova, 2024. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Indicators Using DMA and DMS Methods," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 83(1), pages 32-52, March.
    15. Dorra Zouari & Achraf Ghorbel & Sonia Ghorbel-Zouari & Younes Boujelbène, 2014. "Volatility spillovers and dynamic correlation between liquidity risk factors in Tunisian banks," International Journal of Managerial and Financial Accounting, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 6(1), pages 1-26.
    16. Tie‐Ying Liu & Chien‐Chiang Lee, 2022. "Exchange rate fluctuations and interest rate policy," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 3531-3549, July.
    17. Zhongxin Ni & Xing Lu & Wenjun Xue, 2021. "Does the belt and road initiative resolve the steel overcapacity in China? Evidence from a dynamic model averaging approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 279-307, July.
    18. Álvarez-Díaz, Marcos & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "Detecting predictable non-linear dynamics in Dow Jones Islamic Market and Dow Jones Industrial Average indices using nonparametric regressions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 22-35.
    19. Krzysztof Drachal, 2018. "Some Novel Bayesian Model Combination Schemes: An Application to Commodities Prices," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-27, August.

  595. Carolyn Chisadza & Janneke Dlamini & Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2013. "The Impact of Oil Shocks on the South African Economy," Working Papers 201311, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Reneé van Eyden & Josine Uwilingiye & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "The impact of oil price on South African GDP growth: A Bayesian Markov Switching-VAR analysis," Working Papers 201470, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The impacts of structural oil shocks on macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from a large panel of 45 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    3. Grakolet Arnold Zamereith Gourène & Pierre Mendy, 2018. "Oil prices and African stock markets co-movement: A time and frequency analysis," Journal of African Trade, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 55-67, March.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2015. "The Role of Oil Prices in the Forecasts of South African Interest Rates: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 201531, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Gourène, Grakolet Arnold Zamereith & Mendy, Pierre, 2015. "Oil Prices and African Stock Markets Co-movement: A Time and Frequency Analysis," MPRA Paper 75852, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Gupta, Rangan & Kanda, Patrick T., 2015. "Does the Price of Oil Help Predict Inflation in South Africa? Historical Evidence Using a Frequency Domain Approach. - Il prezzo del petrolio predice l’inflazione in Sud Africa? Evidenza storica attra," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 68(4), pages 451-467.
    8. Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2013. "Does the Source of Oil Price Shocks Matter for South African Stock Returns? A Structural VAR Approach," Working Papers 201318, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Franz Ruch & Stan du Plessis, 2015. "SecondRound Effects from Food and Energy Prices an SBVAR approach," Working Papers 7008, South African Reserve Bank.
    10. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of Oil Shocks in a Small Open Economy New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for South Africa," Working Papers 201652, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Ogunbowale, Gideon O. & Akinseye, Ademola B. & Oduyemi, Gabriel O., 2021. "Improving the predictability of stock returns with global financial cycle and oil price in oil-exporting African countries," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 166-181.

  596. Tsangyao Chang & Wen-Chi Liu & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Are there Housing Bubbles in South Africa? Evidence from SPSM-Based Panel KSS Test with a Fourier Function," Working Papers 201377, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Periodically Collapsing Bubbles in the South African Stock Market," Working Papers 201624, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  597. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Forecasting Real House Price of the U.S.: An Analysis Covering 1890 to 2012," Working Papers 201362, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Papadimitriou, Theophilos & Gogas, Periklis, 2014. "Forecasting the U.S. Real House Price Index," DUTH Research Papers in Economics 10-2014, Democritus University of Thrace, Department of Economics.

  598. Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta & Tsangyao Chang, 2013. "The Dynamic Relationship between House Prices and Output: Evidence from US Metropolitan Statistical Areas," Working Papers 201349, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Apergis, Nicholas & Bouras, Christos & Christou, Christina & Hassapis, Christis, 2018. "Multi-horizon wealth effects across the G7 economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 165-176.
    2. Chi-Wei SU & Zong-Liang YAO & Hsu-Ling CHANG, 2016. "The relationship between output and asset prices: A time – and frequency – varying approach," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(606), S), pages 57-76, Spring.
    3. Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Mehmet Balcilar & Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Causal relationship between asset prices and output in the US: Evidence from state-level panel Granger causality test," Working Papers 201411, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  599. Ghassen El Montasser & Ahdi N. Ajmi & Tsangyao Chang & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Christophe Andre & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Cross-Country Evidence On The Causal Relationship Between Policy Uncertainty And House Prices," Working Papers 201380, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark Wohar, 2015. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201599, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Christophe André, 2015. "Dynamic Co-movements between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Housing Market Returns," Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 53-60, January.
    3. Goodness C. Aye & Matthew W. Clance & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Effect of Economic Uncertainty on the Housing Market Cycle," Working Papers 201757, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and the Comovement in Buying versus Renting in the United States," Working Papers 201832, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Chow Sheung-Chi & Cunado Juncal & Gupta Rangan & Wong Wing-Keung, 2018. "Causal relationships between economic policy uncertainty and housing market returns in China and India: evidence from linear and nonlinear panel and time series models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(2), pages 1-15, April.
    6. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Hassapis, Christis, 2017. "Does economic policy uncertainty forecast real housing returns in a panel of OECD countries? A Bayesian approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 50-60.
    7. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    8. Gholipour, Hassan F., 2019. "The effects of economic policy and political uncertainties on economic activities," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 210-218.

  600. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & John P. Dunne & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2013. "Military Expenditure, Economic Growth and Structural Instability: A Case Study of South Africa," Working Papers 201344, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Cosimo Magazzino & Lorenzo Giolli & Marco Mele, 2015. "Wagner's Law and Peacock and Wiseman's Displacement Effect in European Union Countries: A Panel Data Study," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(3), pages 812-819.
    2. Ally, Zawadi & Kingu, John, 2024. "The Dynamics of Political Stability and Military Expenditure on Economic Growth: Insights from Tanzania," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 12(3), September.
    3. Phiri, Andrew, 2016. "Does military spending nonlinearly affect economic growth in South Africa?," MPRA Paper 69730, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Mehmet Akif Destek & Ilyas Okumus, 2016. "Military Expenditure and Economic Growth in Brics and Mist Countries: Evidence from Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 14(2), pages 175-186.
    5. Tsai, I-Chun, 2019. "Dynamic price–volume causality in the American housing market: A signal of market conditions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 385-400.
    6. Oana Ramona GLONT, 2018. "The Effect Of Defence Spending On Economic Development In Central Europe," SEA - Practical Application of Science, Romanian Foundation for Business Intelligence, Editorial Department, issue 16, pages 97-106, May.
    7. Wang, Kai-Hua & Su, Chi-Wei & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Whether crude oil dependence and CO2 emissions influence military expenditure in net oil importing countries?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    8. Matthew W. Clance & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Geopolitical Risks and Recessions in a Panel of Advanced Economies: Evidence from Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 201807, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Saba, Charles Shaaba, 2023. "Nexus between CO2 emissions, renewable energy consumption, militarisation, and economic growth in South Africa: Evidence from using novel dynamic ARDL simulations," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 349-365.
    10. Tsai-Yuan Huang & Po-Chin Wu & Shiao-Yen Liu, 2017. "Defense–Growth Causality: Considerations of Regime-Switching and Time- and Country-Varying Effects," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(5), pages 568-584, September.
    11. Muhammad Azam & Faisal Khan & Khalid Zaman & Amran Md. Rasli, 2016. "Military Expenditures and Unemployment Nexus for Selected South Asian Countries," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 127(3), pages 1103-1117, July.
    12. Saba Charles Shaaba, 2022. "Defence Spending and Economic Growth in South Africa: Evidence from Cointegration and Co-Feature Analysis," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 28(1), pages 51-100, February.
    13. Ming Zhong & Tsangyao Chang & Samrat Goswami & Rangan Gupta & Tien-Wei Lou, 2017. "The nexus between military expenditures and economic growth in the BRICS and the US: an empirical note," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(5), pages 609-620, September.
    14. Mehmet Akif Destek, 2015. "Nuclear Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in G-6 Countries: Evidence from Bootstrap Rolling Window," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 5(3), pages 759-764.
    15. Ulrich KEMBENG, 2022. "Military Expenditure and Economic Growth in Chad: An Application of The ARDL Method," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 6(9), pages 471-475, September.
    16. Saba Ismail, 2017. "Military Expenditure and Economic Growth in South Asian Countries: Empirical Evidences," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 318-325.
    17. Pavitra Dhamija, 2020. "Economic Development and South Africa: 25 Years Analysis (1994 to 2019)," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(3), pages 298-322, September.
    18. Suna Korkmaz, 2015. "The Effect of Military Spending on Economic Growth and Unemployment in Mediterranean Countries," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(1), pages 273-280.

  601. Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Causality between Research Output and Economic Growth in BRICS," Working Papers 201337, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Okyay Ucan & Ilhan Ozturk & Ecem Turgut, 2024. "Determinants of ecological footprint in BRICS countries: a panel data analysis," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(10), pages 26839-26852, October.
    2. Omwoyo Bosire Onyancha, 2020. "A meta-analysis study of the relationship between research and economic development in selected countries in sub-Saharan Africa," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 123(2), pages 655-675, May.
    3. Ali Uyar & Khalil Nimer & Cemil Kuzey, 2023. "Education quality, internet access in schools, and research performance in management and accounting domains: a cross-country investigation," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 128(10), pages 5441-5475, October.
    4. R. Inglesi-Lotz & A. Hakimi & A. Pouris, 2018. "Patents vs publications and R&D: three sides of the same coin? Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) for OECD and BRICS countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(45), pages 4912-4923, September.
    5. Su, Chi Wei & Yue, Peiwen & Hou, Xinmeng & Dördüncü, Hazar, 2023. "Sustainable development through digital innovation: A new era for natural resource extraction and trade," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    6. Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Time-Varying Causality between Research Output and Economic Growth in the US," Working Papers 201350, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Barbara S. Lancho-Barrantes & Hector G. Ceballos-Cancino & Francisco J. Cantu-Ortiz, 2021. "Comparing the efficiency of countries to assimilate and apply research investment," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1347-1369, August.
    8. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Ahdi N. Ajmi & Ghassen El Montasser & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Research output and economic growth in G7 countries: new evidence from asymmetric panel causality testing," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(24), pages 2301-2308, May.
    9. M. Gouveia & R. Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Examining the relationship between climate change-related research output and CO2 emissions," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 126(11), pages 9069-9111, November.
    10. Andrea Bonaccorsi & Daniele Biancardi & Mabel Sanchez Barrioluengo & Federico Biagi, 2019. "Study on Higher Education Institutions and Local Development," JRC Research Reports JRC117272, Joint Research Centre.
    11. Tânia Pinto & Aurora A. C. Teixeira, 2024. "Research output and economic growth in technological laggard contexts: a longitudinal analysis (1980–2019) by type of research," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 129(3), pages 1197-1230, March.
    12. Inglesi-Lotz, R., 2019. "Energy research and R&D indicators: An LMDI decomposition analysis for the IEA Big 5 in energy research," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    13. Kais Mtar & Walid Belazreg, 2023. "On the nexus of innovation, trade openness, financial development and economic growth in European countries: New perspective from a GMM panel VAR approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 766-791, January.
    14. Chadi Azmeh, 2022. "Quantity and quality of research output and economic growth: empirical investigation for all research areas in the MENA countries," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 127(11), pages 6147-6163, November.
    15. Kargi, Bilal, 2014. "The Effects of BRICS and MATIK Countries on World Economy and Cointegration Analysis in the Long Term Relation with G-7 Growth Rates (1962-2012)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 6(3), pages 262-272.
    16. KARGI, Bilal, 2014. "Structural Breakage and Long Term Cointegration Analysis for Economic Growth in G-7, BRICS and MATIK Countries (1962-2012)," MPRA Paper 57106, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Saad Ahmed Javed & Sifeng Liu, 2018. "Predicting the research output/growth of selected countries: application of Even GM (1, 1) and NDGM models," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 115(1), pages 395-413, April.
    18. Azer Dilanchiev & Bobur Urinov & Sugra Humbatova & Gunay Panahova, 2024. "Catalyzing climate change mitigation: investigating the influence of renewable energy investments across BRICS," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 1-32, June.
    19. Tânia Pinto & Aurora Teixeira, 2023. "Does scientific research output matter for Portugal’s economic growth?," GEE Papers 0174, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia, revised Jul 2023.
    20. Adrino Mazenda & Tyanai Masiya & Norman Nhede, 2018. "South Africa-BRIC-SADC Trade Alliances and the South African Economy," International Studies, , vol. 55(1), pages 61-74, January.
    21. Kargi, Bilal, 2014. "Structural Breakage and Long-term Cointegration Analysis for Economic Growth in G-7, BRICS and MATIK Countries," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 13(4), pages 431-442.
    22. Tânia Pinto & Aurora A. C. Teixeira, 2020. "The impact of research output on economic growth by fields of science: a dynamic panel data analysis, 1980–2016," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 123(2), pages 945-978, May.
    23. Sakiru Adebola Solarin & Yuen Yee Yen, 2016. "A global analysis of the impact of research output on economic growth," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 108(2), pages 855-874, August.

  602. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Evolution of Monetary Policy in the US: The Role of Asset Prices," Working Papers 201343, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ghassen El Montasser & Rangan Gupta & Jooste Charl & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "The Time-series Linkages between US Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices," Public Finance Review, , vol. 48(3), pages 303-339, May.
    2. Kavanagh, Ella & Zhu, Sheng & O’Sullivan, Niall, 2022. "Monetary policy, trade-offs and the transmission of UK Monetary Policy," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 44(6), pages 1128-1147.

  603. Christophe Andre & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Comovement in Euro Area Housing Prices: A Fractional Cointegration Approach," Working Papers 201359, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Juan Carlos Cuestas, 2016. "House prices and capital inflows in Spain during the boom: evidence from a cointegrated VAR and a Structural Bayesian VAR," Working Papers 16-11, Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales.
    2. Christophe Andre & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Revisiting International House Price Convergence Using House Price Level Data," Working Papers 202226, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Miles, William, 2020. "House price convergence in the euro zone: A pairwise approach," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(3).
    4. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Floros, Christos, 2015. "Dynamic Connectedness of UK Regional Property Prices," MPRA Paper 68421, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Leszczyński, Robert & Olszewski, Krzysztof, 2014. "Panel analysis of home prices in the primary and secondary market in 17 largest cities in Poland," MPRA Paper 59017, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Brzezicka, Justyna & Łaszek, Jacek & Olszewski, Krzysztof & Waszczuk, Joanna, 2019. "Analysis of the filtering process and the ripple effect on the primary and secondary housing market in Warsaw, Poland," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    7. Tsai, I-Chun, 2018. "House price convergence in euro zone and non-euro zone countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 269-281.
    8. Jin Hu & Xuelei Xiong & Yuanyuan Cai & Feng Yuan, 2020. "The Ripple Effect and Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Intra-Urban Housing Prices at the Submarket Level in Shanghai, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-17, June.
    9. Sihan Zhang & Ming‐ang Zhang & Weizeng Sun, 2022. "Administrative Division Adjustment and Housing Price Comovement: Evidence from City‐County Mergers in China," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 30(4), pages 149-173, July.
    10. Dayong Zhang & Qiang Ji & Wan-Li Zhao & Nicholas J Horsewood, 2021. "Regional housing price dependency in the UK: A dynamic network approach," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 58(5), pages 1014-1031, April.
    11. Maynou, Laia & Monfort, Mercedes & Morley, Bruce & Ordóñez, Javier, 2021. "Club convergence in European housing prices: The role of macroeconomic and housing market fundamentals," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    12. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & Christos Floros & David Gabauer, 2018. "The dynamic connectedness of UK regional property returns," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 55(14), pages 3110-3134, November.
    13. William R Miles, 2022. "The northern ireland housing market: would unification with the south be problematic?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(1), pages 162-192.
    14. William Miles, 2021. "Scottish home prices: compatible with Euro membership?," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 18(1), pages 3-22, June.
    15. Juan Carlos Cuestas, 2019. "Co-movement between residential and commercial housing prices: Evidence from a new database," Working Papers 2019/11, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    16. Laia Maynou & Bruce Morley & Mercedes Monfort & Javier Ordóñez, 2020. "House price convergence Across Europe," Working Papers 2020/07, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    17. Hernán Enríquez Sierra & Jacobo Campo Robledo & Antonio Avendaño Arosemena, 2015. "Relaciones regionales en los precios de vivienda nueva en Colombia," Revista Ecos de Economía, Universidad EAFIT, vol. 19(40), pages 25-47, June.

  604. Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Time-Varying Causality between Research Output and Economic Growth in the US," Working Papers 201350, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Copiello, Sergio, 2019. "Peer and neighborhood effects: Citation analysis using a spatial autoregressive model and pseudo-spatial data," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 238-254.
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "International Stock Return Predictability: Is the Role of U.S. Time-Varying?," Working Papers 201524, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Brenner, Thomas, 2015. "Science, Innovation and National Growth," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112873, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    4. R. Inglesi-Lotz & A. Hakimi & A. Pouris, 2018. "Patents vs publications and R&D: three sides of the same coin? Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) for OECD and BRICS countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(45), pages 4912-4923, September.
    5. Su, Chi Wei & Yue, Peiwen & Hou, Xinmeng & Dördüncü, Hazar, 2023. "Sustainable development through digital innovation: A new era for natural resource extraction and trade," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    6. Iryna Kalenyuk & Liudmyla Tsymbal, 2021. "Assessment of the intellectual component in economic development," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 126(6), pages 4793-4816, June.
    7. Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Time-Varying Causality between Research Output and Economic Growth in the US," Working Papers 201350, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Nikita D. Fokin & Ekaterina V. Malikova & Andrey V. Polbin, 2024. "Time-varying parameters error correction model for real ruble exchange rate and oil prices: What has changed due to capital control and sanctions?," Russian Journal of Economics, ARPHA Platform, vol. 10(1), pages 20-33, March.
    9. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Ahdi N. Ajmi & Ghassen El Montasser & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Research output and economic growth in G7 countries: new evidence from asymmetric panel causality testing," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(24), pages 2301-2308, May.
    10. Sakiru Adebola Solarin & Gema Lopez & Luis A. Gil‐Alana, 2022. "Persistence analysis of research intensity in OECD countries since 1870," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(4), pages 738-750, December.
    11. M. Gouveia & R. Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Examining the relationship between climate change-related research output and CO2 emissions," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 126(11), pages 9069-9111, November.
    12. Julius Tan Gonzales, 2023. "Implications of AI innovation on economic growth: a panel data study," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 12(1), pages 1-37, December.
    13. Pablo Jack & Jeremias Lachman & Andrés López, 2021. "Scientific knowledge production and economic catching-up: an empirical analysis," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 126(6), pages 4565-4587, June.
    14. Andrea Bonaccorsi & Daniele Biancardi & Mabel Sanchez Barrioluengo & Federico Biagi, 2019. "Study on Higher Education Institutions and Local Development," JRC Research Reports JRC117272, Joint Research Centre.
    15. Ana María Gómez-Aguayo & Joaquín M. Azagra-Caro & Carlos Benito-Amat, 2024. "The steady effect of knowledge co-creation with universities on business scientific impact throughout the economic cycle," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 129(5), pages 2771-2799, May.
    16. Tânia Pinto & Aurora A. C. Teixeira, 2024. "Research output and economic growth in technological laggard contexts: a longitudinal analysis (1980–2019) by type of research," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 129(3), pages 1197-1230, March.
    17. Erdoğan, Seyfettin & Gedikli, Ayfer & Kırca, Mustafa, 2019. "A note on time-varying causality between natural gas consumption and economic growth in Turkey," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    18. Chadi Azmeh, 2022. "Quantity and quality of research output and economic growth: empirical investigation for all research areas in the MENA countries," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 127(11), pages 6147-6163, November.
    19. Abdulnasser Hatemi‐J & Chi‐Chuan Lee & Chien‐Chiang Lee & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Insurance activity and economic performance: Fresh evidence from asymmetric panel causality tests," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(2), pages 221-240, August.
    20. Dagher, Leila & Jamali, Ibrahim & badra, nasser, 2018. "The Predictive Power of Oil and Commodity Prices for Equity Markets," MPRA Paper 116055, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Abdullah Açık & Özhan Okutucu & Kamil Özden Efes & Sadık Özlen Başer, 2021. "Analyzing the Impact of Interest Rate on Dry Bulk Freight Market with Time-Varying Causality Method," Journal of Research in Economics, Politics & Finance, Ersan ERSOY, vol. 6(2), pages 403-417.
    22. Liu, Meijun & Hu, Xiao, 2021. "Will collaborators make scientists move? A Generalized Propensity Score analysis," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 15(1).
    23. Elizabeth S. Vieira & Jorge Cerdeira, 2022. "The integration of African countries in international research networks," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 127(4), pages 1995-2021, April.
    24. Arman Pourghaz & Ehsan Bahrami Samani & Babak Shokri, 2023. "Analysis of the impact of research output on economic growth with using a multivariate random effects model," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 128(4), pages 2259-2282, April.
    25. Henry Laverde-Rojas & Juan C. Correa, 2019. "Can scientific productivity impact the economic complexity of countries?," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 120(1), pages 267-282, July.
    26. Mehmet Akif, Destek & Muhammad, Shahbaz & Ilyas, Okumus & Shawkat, Hammoudeh & Avik, Sinha, 2020. "The relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions in G-7 countries: evidence from time-varying parameters with a long history," MPRA Paper 100514, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Apr 2020.
    27. Elizabeth S. Vieira, 2023. "The influence of research collaboration on citation impact: the countries in the European Innovation Scoreboard," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 128(6), pages 3555-3579, June.
    28. Zhang, Jialin & Shi, Shaodong, 2023. "Extraction of natural resources and geopolitical risk revisited: A novel perspective of research and development with financial development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    29. Kargi, Bilal, 2014. "Structural Breakage and Long-term Cointegration Analysis for Economic Growth in G-7, BRICS and MATIK Countries," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 13(4), pages 431-442.
    30. Tânia Pinto & Aurora A. C. Teixeira, 2020. "The impact of research output on economic growth by fields of science: a dynamic panel data analysis, 1980–2016," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 123(2), pages 945-978, May.
    31. Sakiru Adebola Solarin & Yuen Yee Yen, 2016. "A global analysis of the impact of research output on economic growth," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 108(2), pages 855-874, August.

  605. Christophe Andre & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Testing for Persistence in Housing Price-to-Income and Price-to-Rent Ratios in 16 OECD Countries," Working Papers 201321, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Efthymios Pavlidis & Alisa Yusupova & Ivan Paya & David Peel & Enrique Martínez-García & Adrienne Mack & Valerie Grossman, 2016. "Episodes of Exuberance in Housing Markets: In Search of the Smoking Gun," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 419-449, November.
    2. Jean-Charles Bricongne & Baptiste Meunier & Sylvain Pouget, 2023. "Web-scraping housing prices in real-time: The Covid-19 crisis in the UK," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-04064185, HAL.
    3. Rambaccussing, Dooruj, 2015. "Modelling Housing Prices using a Present Value State Space Model," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-80, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    4. Mikulić, Josip & Vizek, Maruska & Stojcic, Nebojsa & Payne, James E. & Čeh Časni, Anita & Barbić, Tajana, 2021. "The Effect of Tourism Activity on Housing Affordability," MPRA Paper 108688, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Christophe André, 2016. "Household debt in OECD countries: Stylised facts and policy issues," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1277, OECD Publishing.
    6. Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Łaszek & Krzysztof Olszewski & Joanna Waszczuk, 2013. "To Rent or to Buy – Analysis of Housing Tenure Choice Determined by Housing Policy," Ekonomia journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, vol. 33.
    7. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Fernando Perez de Gracia, 2016. "Persistence, mean reversion and non-linearities in the US housing prices over 1830--2013," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(34), pages 3244-3252, July.
    8. Kennedy, Gerard & Sheenan, Lisa & Woods, Maria, 2016. "Modelling Irish Rents: Recent Developments in Historical Context," Economic Letters 14/EL/16, Central Bank of Ireland.
    9. Chaohai Shen & Tong Sheng & Xingheng Shi & Bingquan Fang & Xiaoqian Lu & Xiaolan Zhou, 2022. "The Relationship between Housing Price, Teacher Salary Improvement, and Sustainable Regional Economic Development," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-21, December.
    10. Nan-Kuang Chen & Han-Liang Cheng, 2017. "House price to income ratio and fundamentals: Evidence on long-horizon forecastability," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(3), pages 293-311, August.
    11. Damen, Sven & Vastmans, Frank & Buyst, Erik, 2016. "The effect of mortgage interest deduction and mortgage characteristics on house prices," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 15-29.

  606. Ahdi N. Ajmi & Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda, 2013. "Causality between Economic Policy Uncertainty across Countries: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Tests," Working Papers 201361, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Gong, Yuting & He, Zhongzhi & Xue, Wenjun, 2022. "EPU spillovers and stock return predictability: A cross-country study," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    3. Nikolaos Antonakakis & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2018. "Dynamic Connectedness of Uncertainty across Developed Economies: A Time-Varying Approach," Working Papers 201802, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Hassapis, Christis, 2017. "Does economic policy uncertainty forecast real housing returns in a panel of OECD countries? A Bayesian approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 50-60.
    5. Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Marian Risse, 2015. "On International Uncertainty Links: BART-Based Empirical Evidence for Canada," Working Papers 201594, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Riadh Aloui & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2015. "Uncertainty and crude oil returns," Working papers 2015-03, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    8. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "On the Transmission Mechanism of Country-Specific and International Economic Uncertainty Spillovers: Evidence from a TVP-VAR Connectedness Decomposition Approach," Working Papers 201829, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  607. Goodness C. Aye & Pami Dua & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Forecasting Indian Macroeconomic Variables Using Medium-Scale VAR Models," Working Papers 201342, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar, 2014. "Forecasting Aggregate Retail Sales: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 15-21, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

  608. Tsangyao Chang & Fabrice Gatwabuyege & Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Nangamso C. Manjezi & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne, 2013. "Causal relationship between nuclear energy consumption and economic growth in the G6 countries: Evidence from panel Granger causality tests," Working Papers 201373, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sofien, Tiba & Omri, Anis, 2016. "Literature survey on the relationships between energy variables, environment and economic growth," MPRA Paper 82555, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Sep 2016.

  609. Adnen Ben Nasr & Ahdi N. Ajmi & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Modeling the Volatility of the Dow Jones Islamic Market World Index Using a Fractionally Integrated Time Varying GARCH (FITVGARCH) Model," Working Papers 201357, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Luis A Gil-Alana & Christophe André & Rangan Gupta & Tsangyao Chang & Omid Ranjbar, 2015. "The Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle in South Africa: A Fractional Cointegration Approach," Working Papers 201501, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Persistence, Mean-Reversion and Non-Linearities in Infant Mortality Rates," Working Papers 201574, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Giorgio Canarella & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2022. "Globalization, long memory, and real interest rate convergence: a historical perspective," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(5), pages 2331-2355, November.
    4. Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Political Geography and Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Political Alignment across Sentiment Regimes," Working Papers 202414, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Juncal Cunado & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "The Relationship between Healthcare Expenditure and Disposable Personal Income in the US States: A Fractional Integration and Cointegration Analysis," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1486, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Drivers of Realized Volatility for Emerging Countries with a Focus on South Africa: Fundamentals versus Sentiment," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-26, March.
    7. Giorgio Canarella & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "Modeling US historical time-series prices and inflation using alternative long-memory approaches," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1491-1511, April.
    8. Kejin Wu & Sayar Karmakar, 2023. "A model-free approach to do long-term volatility forecasting and its variants," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-38, December.
    9. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Investor Confidence and Forecastability of US Stock Market Realized Volatility : Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202118, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Shinhye Chang & Mehmet Balcilar & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Persistence of precious metal prices: a fractional integration approach with structural breaks," NCID Working Papers 06/2015, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    11. Mateo Isoardi & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2019. "Inflation in Argentina: Analysis of Persistence Using Fractional Integration," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 45(2), pages 204-223, April.
    12. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2018. "Forecasting Stock Market (Realized) Volatility in the United Kingdom: Is There a Role for Economic Inequality?," Working Papers 201880, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Sakiru Adebola Solarin & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Productivity and GDP: International Evidence of Persistence and Trends Over 130 Years of Data," Working Papers 202170, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Christophe Andre & Mehmet Balcilar & Tsangyao Chang & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Current account sustainability in G7 and BRICS: Evidence from a long-memory model with structural breaks," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(6), pages 638-654, August.
    15. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Andrea Mervar & James E. Payne, 2017. "The stationarity of inflation in Croatia: anti-inflation stabilization program and the change in persistence," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 50(1), pages 45-58, February.
    16. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Nasr, Adnen Ben & Lux, Thomas & Ajm, Ahdi Noomen & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "Forecasting the volatility of the dow jones islamic stock market index: Long memory vs. regime switching," Economics Working Papers 2014-07, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
    18. Lahmiri, Salim & Bekiros, Stelios, 2018. "Time-varying self-similarity in alternative investments," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 1-5.
    19. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Do Bivariate Multifractal Models Improve Volatility Forecasting in Financial Time Series? An Application to Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets," Working Papers 201728, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    20. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Technological Shocks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202308, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Monge, Manuel & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Pérez de Gracia, Fernando, 2017. "Crude oil price behaviour before and after military conflicts and geopolitical events," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 79-91.
    22. Salisu, Afees A. & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2024. "Technological shocks and stock market volatility over a century," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    23. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2022. "Commodity and financial markets’ fear before and during COVID-19 pandemic: Persistence and causality analyses," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    24. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Fernando Perez de Gracia, 2016. "Persistence, mean reversion and non-linearities in the US housing prices over 1830--2013," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(34), pages 3244-3252, July.
    25. Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Equity Market Volatility of the United Kingdom: Evidence from over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201851, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    26. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2022. "Forecasting stock market (realized) volatility in the United Kingdom: Is there a role of inequality?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2146-2152, April.
    27. Yaya O. S. & Akintande O. J. & Ogbonna A. E. & Adegoke H. M., 2019. "Cpi Inflation In Africa: Fractional Persistence, Mean Reversion And Nonlinearity," Statistics in Transition New Series, Statistics Poland, vol. 20(3), pages 119-132, September.
    28. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Pablo Vicente Trejo, 2021. "Unemployment Persistence in Europe: Evidence from the 27 EU Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 9392, CESifo.
    29. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Borja Balprad & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2015. "African Growth, Non-Linearities and Strong Dependence: An Empirical Study," NCID Working Papers 12/2015, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    30. OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Acheampong Y. Amoateng, 2019. "Under-5 Mortality Rates in G7 Countries: Analysis of Fractional Persistence, Structural Breaks and Nonlinear Time Trends," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 35(4), pages 675-694, October.
    31. Majdoub, Jihed & Mansour, Walid, 2014. "Islamic equity market integration and volatility spillover between emerging and US stock markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 452-470.
    32. Kejin Wu & Sayar Karmakar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century in an Emerging Market Economy: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 202326, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Maoguo Wu & Yanyuan Wang, 2018. "Risk Analysis of World Major Stock Index Before and After the 2008 Financial Crisis ¨C Based on GARCH-VaR Approach," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 9(2), pages 39-54, April.
    34. Juan Carlos Cuestas & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Laura Sauci, 2020. "Public finances in the EU-27: Are they sustainable?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(1), pages 181-204, February.
    35. Giorgio Canarella & Luis A. Gil‐Alana & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2022. "The behaviour of real interest rates: New evidence from a 'suprasecular' perspective," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(1), pages 46-64, April.

  610. Riane de Bruyn & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2013. "Forecasting The Rand-Dollar And Rand-Pound Exchange Rates Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Papers 201307, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Won Joong Kim & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne, 2013. "Forecasting China’s Foreign Exchange Reserves Using Dynamic Model Averaging: The Role of Macroeconomic Fundamentals, Financial Stress and Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers 201338, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2014. "Is the Rand Really Decoupled from Economic Fundamentals?," Working Papers 201439, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Adél Bosch & Rangan Gupta & Francois Stofberg, 2013. "The out-of-sample forecasting performance of non-linear models of real exchange rate behaviour: The case of the South African Rand," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 10(1), pages 121-148, April.

  611. Tsangyao Chang & Wen Yi Chen & Rangan Gupta & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2013. "Are Stock Prices Related to Political Uncertainty Index in OECD Countries? Evidence from Bootstrap Panel Causality Test," Working Papers 2013-36, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.

    Cited by:

    1. Pringpong, Sasin & Maneenop, Sakkakom & Jaroenjitrkam, Anutchanat, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and firm value: Evidence from emerging markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    2. Jingjing Xu, 2022. "Does culture play a role in the stock market's response to uncertainty?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2530-2548, April.
    3. Güngör Arifenur & Güngör Mahmut Sami, 2024. "The Nexus Between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility in the CEE-3 Countries," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 19(2), pages 60-81.
    4. Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar, 2015. "Incorporating Economic Policy Uncertainty in US Equity Premium Models: A Nonlinear Predictability Analysis," Working Papers 201545, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Rungmaitree, Pattamon & Boateng, Agyenim & Ahiabor, Frederick & Lu, Qinye, 2022. "Political risk, hedge fund strategies, and returns: Evidence from G7 countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    6. Wensheng Kang & Ronald A. Ratti, 2015. "Oil shocks, policy uncertainty and stock returns in China," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 23(4), pages 657-676, October.
    7. Yuan, Di & Li, Sufang & Li, Rong & Zhang, Feipeng, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty, oil and stock markets in BRIC: Evidence from quantiles analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    8. Labidi, Chiaz & Rahman, Md Lutfur & Hedström, Axel & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Bekiros, Stelios, 2018. "Quantile dependence between developed and emerging stock markets aftermath of the global financial crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 179-211.
    9. Junttila, Juha & Vataja, Juuso, 2018. "Economic policy uncertainty effects for forecasting future real economic activity," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 569-583.
    10. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2021. "How COVID-19 drives connectedness among commodity and financial markets: Evidence from TVP-VAR and causality-in-quantiles techniques," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    12. Arouri, Mohamed & Estay, Christophe & Rault, Christophe & Roubaud, David, 2016. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock markets: Long-run evidence from the US," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 136-141.
    13. Abdullah Alqahtani & Miguel Martinez, 2020. "US Economic Policy Uncertainty and GCC Stock Market," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 27(3), pages 415-425, September.
    14. Bekiros, Stelios & Gupta, Rangan & Kyei, Clement, 2016. "On economic uncertainty, stock market predictability and nonlinear spillover effects," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 184-191.
    15. Amritkant MISHRA, 2024. "Do Economic Policy Uncertainty Have Ramifications On Inflation And Stock Market Performance? Evidence From Global Framework," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 19(3), pages 172-190, December.
    16. Paraskevi Tzika & Theologos Pantelidis, 2021. "The contribution of Economic Policy Uncertainty to the persistence of shocks to stock market volatility," Discussion Paper Series 2021_11, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Sep 2021.
    17. Maquieira, Carlos P. & Espinosa-Méndez, Christian & Gahona-Flores, Orlando, 2023. "How does economic policy uncertainty (EPU) impact copper-firms stock returns? International evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    18. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2017. "Oil price shocks and policy uncertainty: New evidence on the effects of US and non-US oil production," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 536-546.
    19. Kang, Wensheng & Perez de Gracia, Fernando & Ratti, Ronald A., 2017. "Oil price shocks, policy uncertainty, and stock returns of oil and gas corporations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 344-359.
    20. Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah & Siew-Voon Soon & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Fiscal stance, foreign capital inflows and the behavior of current account in the Asian countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 523-549, February.
    21. Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Simran, & Sharma, Anil Kumar, 2024. "Asymmetric nexus between economic policy uncertainty and the Indian stock market: Evidence using NARDL approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 91-101.
    23. Liu, Tangyong & Gong, Xu & Ge, Houyi & Wang, Jie, 2023. "Cross-category and cross-country spillovers of economic policy uncertainty: Evidence from the US and China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    24. Rehman, Mobeen Ur, 2018. "Do oil shocks predict economic policy uncertainty?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 498(C), pages 123-136.
    25. You, Wanhai & Guo, Yawei & Zhu, Huiming & Tang, Yong, 2017. "Oil price shocks, economic policy uncertainty and industry stock returns in China: Asymmetric effects with quantile regression," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 1-18.
    26. Mohamed Arouri & David Roubaud, 2016. "On the determinants of stock market dynamics in emerging countries: the role of economic policy uncertainty in China and India," Post-Print hal-02009136, HAL.
    27. Ftiti, Zied & Hadhri, Sinda, 2019. "Can economic policy uncertainty, oil prices, and investor sentiment predict Islamic stock returns? A multi-scale perspective," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 40-55.
    28. Norashikin Adam & Norzahidah Yacob & Wan Rasyidah Wan Musa & Khairunnisa’ Yussof & Siti Musliha Mohd Idris, 2024. "The Effect of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty on Selected Islamic Stock Market Returns," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(10), pages 195-210, October.
    29. Serdar Ongan & Ismet Gocer, 2017. "Testing The Causalities Between Economic Policy Uncertainty And The Us Stock Indices: Applications Of Linear And Nonlinear Approaches," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(04), pages 1-20, December.
    30. Salah A. Nusair & Jamal A. Al-Khasawneh, 2023. "Changes in oil price and economic policy uncertainty and the G7 stock returns: evidence from asymmetric quantile regression analysis," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1849-1893, June.
    31. Babaei, Hamid & Hübner, Georges & Muller, Aline, 2023. "The effects of uncertainty on the dynamics of stock market interdependence: Evidence from the time-varying cointegration of the G7 stock markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    32. Wang, Ningli & You, Wanhai, 2023. "New insights into the role of global factors in BRICS stock markets: A quantile cointegration approach," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(2).
    33. Yu, Xiaoling & Huang, Yirong, 2021. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty on stock volatility: Evidence from GARCH–MIDAS approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 570(C).
    34. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chen, Mei-Ping, 2021. "The effects of investor attention and policy uncertainties on cross-border country exchange-traded fund returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 830-852.
    35. Shabeer Khan & Mirzat Ullah & Mohammad Rahim Shahzad & Uzair Abdullah Khan & Umair Khan & Sayed M. Eldin & Abeer M. Alotaibi, 2022. "Spillover Connectedness among Global Uncertainties and Sectorial Indices of Pakistan: Evidence from Quantile Connectedness Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-16, November.
    36. Shabir Mohsin Hashmi & Muhammad Akram Gilal & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "Sustainability of Global Economic Policy and Stock Market Returns in Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-18, May.
    37. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Sensoy, Ahmet & Eraslan, Veysel & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "Sensitivity of US equity returns to economic policy uncertainty and investor sentiments," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    38. Das, Debojyoti & Kannadhasan, M., 2020. "The asymmetric oil price and policy uncertainty shock exposure of emerging market sectoral equity returns: A quantile regression approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 563-581.
    39. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2020. "Stock market reactions to domestic sentiment: Panel CS-ARDL evidence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    40. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong & Kyei, Clement, 2019. "The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 150-163.
    41. Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu & Demirer, Riza & Raheem, Ibrahim D. & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2019. "Does the U.S. economic policy uncertainty connect financial markets? Evidence from oil and commodity currencies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 375-388.
    42. Salim Hamza Ringim & Abdulkareem Alhassan & Hasan Güngör & Festus Victor Bekun, 2022. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Energy Prices: Empirical Evidence from Multivariate DCC-GARCH Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-18, May.
    43. Cheng, Maoyong & Guo, Pin & Jin, Justin Yiqiang & Geng, Hongyan, 2021. "Political uncertainty and city bank lending in China: Evidence from city government official changes," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    44. Christina Christou & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2016. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Returns in Pacific-Rim Countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian Panel VAR Model," Working Papers 201661, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    45. Jan Prüser & Alexander Schlösser, 2020. "The effects of economic policy uncertainty on European economies: evidence from a TVP-FAVAR," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(6), pages 2889-2910, June.
    46. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Rahman, Md Lutfur & Lucey, Brian M. & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2021. "Re-examining the real option characteristics of gold for gold mining companies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    47. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Christophe Andre & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Dynamic Spillovers in the United States: Stock Market, Housing, Uncertainty and the Macroeconomy," Working Papers 201521, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    48. Mohamed Arouri & Christophe Rault & Frédéric Teulon, 2014. "Economic policy uncertainty, oil price shocks and GCC stock markets," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 34(3), pages 1822-1834.
    49. Cheng, Maoyong & Geng, Hongyan, 2021. "Do local firms employ political activities to respond to political uncertainty?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    50. Uddin, Gazi Salah & Rahman, Md Lutfur & Hedström, Axel & Ahmed, Ali, 2019. "Cross-quantilogram-based correlation and dependence between renewable energy stock and other asset classes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 743-759.
    51. Wensheng Kang & Ronald A. Ratti, 2014. "Policy Uncertainty in China, Oil Shocks and Stock Returns," CAMA Working Papers 2014-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    52. Helseth, Marius Aleksander Emblem & Krakstad, Svein Olav & Molnár, Peter & Norlin, Karl-Martin, 2020. "Can policy and financial risk predict stock markets?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 701-719.
    53. Lucía Morales & Bernadette Andreosso-O’Callaghan, 2018. "The Impact of Brexit on the Stock Markets of the Greater China Region," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-19, May.
    54. Chaisri Tarasawatpipat & Witthaya Mekhum, 2021. "Rethinking the Reasons of Greenhouse Gases Emission in ASEAN Countries: Finding Reasons in Urbanization, Industrialization and Population Growth," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 544-550.
    55. Su, Chi-Wei & Huang, Shi-Wen & Qin, Meng & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Does crude oil price stimulate economic policy uncertainty in BRICS?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    56. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Kofi Agyarko Ababio & Jules Mba & Ur Koumba & Makgale Molepo, 2018. "Risk, Uncertainty and Exchange Rate Behavior in South Africa," Journal of African Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 262-278, April.
    57. Dong, Shizheng & Zheng, Jianming & Jia, Haoyang & Zhang, Zili, 2023. "Impact of capital market internationalization on stock markets: Evidence from the inclusion of China A-shares in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    58. Prüser, Jan & Schlösser, Alexander, 2017. "The effects of economic policy uncertainty on European economies: Evidence from a TVP-FAVAR," Ruhr Economic Papers 708, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    59. Wen, Fenghua & Shui, Aojie & Cheng, Yuxiang & Gong, Xu, 2022. "Monetary policy uncertainty and stock returns in G7 and BRICS countries: A quantile-on-quantile approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 457-482.
    60. Hong, Yun & Zhang, Rushan & Zhang, Feipeng, 2024. "Time-varying causality impact of economic policy uncertainty on stock market returns: Global evidence from developed and emerging countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).

  612. Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander, 2013. "Social Status, Inflation and Endogenous Growth in a Cash-in-Advance Economy: A Reconsideration," Working Papers 201336, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Stander, Lardo, 2018. "Endogenous fluctuations in an endogenous growth model: An analysis of inflation targeting as a policy," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 1-8.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander, 2014. "Endogenous Fluctuations in an Endogenous Growth Model with Inflation Targeting," Working Papers 201432, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  613. Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "The Long-Run Relationship between Consumption, House Prices and Stock Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Provincial-Level Data," Working Papers 201326, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Paetz, Michael & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "Stock Price Dynamics and the Business Cycle in an Estimated DSGE Model for South Africa," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series 18, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory.
    2. Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Mehmet Balcilar & Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Causal relationship between asset prices and output in the US: Evidence from state-level panel Granger causality test," Working Papers 201411, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  614. Rangan Gupta & Luis A. Gil-Alana & OlaOluwa S. Yaya, 2013. "Does Sunspot Numbers Cause Global Temperatures? Evidence from a Frequency Domain Causality Test," Working Papers 201382, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Xu Huang & Hossein Hassani & Mansi Ghodsi & Zinnia Mukherjee & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Do Trend Extraction Approaches Affect Causality Detection in Climate Change Studies?," Working Papers 201660, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Hassan, Kamrul & Hoque, Ariful & Gasbarro, Dominic & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2023. "Are Islamic stocks immune from financial crises? Evidence from contagion tests," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 919-948.
    3. José A. Pérez‐Montiel & Carles Manera, 2022. "Is autonomous demand really autonomous in the United States? An asymmetric frequency‐domain Granger causality approach," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(1), pages 78-92, February.
    4. Hossein Hassani & Rangan Gupta & Xu Huang & Mansi Ghodsi, 2014. "Does Sunspot Numbers Cause Global Temperatures? A Reconsideration Using a Non-Parametric Causality Test," Working Papers 201427, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2017. "Has global warming modified the relationship between sunspot numbers and global temperatures?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 468(C), pages 351-358.
    6. Wang, Hanjie & Feil, Jan-Henning & Yu, Xiaohua, 2021. "Disagreement on sunspots and soybeans futures price," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 385-393.
    7. Elie Bouri & Imad Kachacha & Donald Lien & David Roubaud, 2017. "Short- and long-run causality across the implied volatility of crude oil and agricultural commodities," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2).
    8. Burakov, D., 2017. "Do Sunspots Matter for Cycles in Agricultural Lending: a VEC Approach to Russian Wheat Market," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 9(01), March.
    9. Umberto Triacca, 2025. "Testing for galactic cosmic ray warming hypothesis using the notion of block‐exogeneity," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(1), January.

  615. Wendy Nyakabawo & Stephen M. Miller & Mehmet Balcilar & Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Temporal Causality between House Prices and Output in the U. S.: A Bootstrap Rolling-Window Approach," Working Papers 201329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Mortgage Default Risks and High-Frequency Predictability of the U.S. Housing Market: A Reconsideration," Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 111-117, December.
    2. Martin Kalthaus, 2020. "Knowledge recombination along the technology life cycle," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 30(3), pages 643-704, July.
    3. Wang, Kai-Hua & Liu, Lu & Li, Xin & Oana-Ramona, Lobonţ, 2022. "Do oil price shocks drive unemployment? Evidence from Russia and Canada," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    4. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Constantinos Katrakilidis & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Role of Macroeconomic Shocks on House Prices in the US and UK: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201765, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Changing Dynamics of the U.S. REITs Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-12, May.
    6. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Juncal Cunado & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Testing the White Noise Hypothesis in High-Frequency Housing Returns of the United States," Working Papers 201952, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Gbadebo A. Oladosu & Keith L. Kline & Johannes W. A. Langeveld, 2021. "Structural Break and Causal Analyses of U.S. Corn Use for Ethanol and Other Corn Market Variables," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-15, March.
    8. Woraphon Yamaka & Paravee Maneejuk, 2020. "Analyzing the Causality and Dependence between Gold Shocks and Asian Emerging Stock Markets: A Smooth Transition Copula Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-27, January.
    9. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Theodoridis, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark E., 2023. "Is there a national housing market bubble brewing in the United States?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(8), pages 2191-2228, December.
    10. Kirsten Thompson & Renee Van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Identifying an index of financial conditions for South Africa," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 32(2), pages 256-274, June.
    11. Kyriazakou, Eleni & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2017. "Causality analysis of the Canadian city house price indices: A cross-sample validation approach," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 42-52.
    12. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Huseyin Karamelikli, 2016. "Linear and nonlinear dynamics of housing price in Turkey," Ekonomia journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, vol. 46.
    14. Fong Kean Yan & Yap Lya Keng & Kwek Kien Teng, 2016. "Empirical Analysis of House Price Bubble: A Case Study on Malaysia," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(12), pages 127-127, November.
    15. I-Chun Tsai & Che-Chun Lin, 2019. "Variations and Influences of Connectedness among US Housing Markets," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 22(1), pages 27-58.
    16. Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Uzuner, Gizem & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Housing sector and economic policy uncertainty: A GMM panel VAR approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 114-126.
    17. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "Estimating U.S. Housing Price Network Connectedness: Evidence from Dynamic Elastic Net, Lasso, and Ridge Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Papers 202065, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Nanthakumar LOGANATHAN & Suraya ISMAIL & Dalia STREIMIKIENE & Asan Ali Golam HASSAN & Edmundas Kazimieras ZAVADSKAS & Abbas MARDANI, 2017. "Tax Reform, Inflation, Financial Development And Economic Growth In Malaysia," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 152-165, December.
    19. Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2022. "Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on Housing Prices in the United States: The Role of Sentiment," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 241-261, July.
    20. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "House price synchronization across the US states: The role of structural oil shocks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    21. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Does Inequality Really Matter in Forecasting Real Housing Returns of the United Kingdom?," Working Papers 201859, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2020. "Forecasting State- and MSA-Level Housing Returns of the US: The Role of Mortgage Default Risks," Working Papers 202037, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Tsai, I-Chun, 2019. "Dynamic price–volume causality in the American housing market: A signal of market conditions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 385-400.
    24. Ghosh, Taniya & Bhadury, Soumya, 2018. "Money's causal role in exchange rate: Do divisia monetary aggregates explain more?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 402-417.
    25. Chow Sheung-Chi & Cunado Juncal & Gupta Rangan & Wong Wing-Keung, 2018. "Causal relationships between economic policy uncertainty and housing market returns in China and India: evidence from linear and nonlinear panel and time series models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(2), pages 1-15, April.
    26. Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2020. "Housing market spillovers in South Africa: evidence from an estimated small open economy DSGE model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2309-2332, May.
    27. Lu, Shuai & Li, Shouwei & Zhou, Wei & Yang, Wenke, 2022. "Network herding of energy funds in the post-Carbon-Peak Policy era: Does it benefit profitability and stability?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    28. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Hassapis, Christis, 2017. "Does economic policy uncertainty forecast real housing returns in a panel of OECD countries? A Bayesian approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 50-60.
    29. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & John W. Muteba Mwamba, 2016. "Dynamic Comovements Between Housing and Oil Markets in the US over 1859 to 2013: a Note," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 44(3), pages 377-386, September.
    30. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    31. Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Mehmet Bacilar & Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Causal Relationship between Asset Prices and Output in the United States: Evidence from the State-Level Panel Granger Causality Test," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(10), pages 1728-1741, October.
    32. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "What can Fifty-Two Collateralizable Wealth Measures tell us about Future Housing Market Returns? Evidence from U.S. State-Level Data," Working Papers 201974, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Eric Olson, 2020. "Effect of uncertainty on U.S. stock returns and volatility: evidence from over eighty years of high-frequency data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(16), pages 1305-1311, September.
    34. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Is the Housing Market in the United States Really Weakly-Efficient?," Working Papers 201934, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    35. Huang, MeiChi, 2024. "A greater crisis? Investigating MSA-level housing markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    36. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rinsuna Shivambu, 2020. "Uncertainty and Daily Predictability of Housing Returns and Volatility of the United States: Evidence from a Higher-Order Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 202071, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    37. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Forecasting Growth-at-Risk of the United States: Housing Price versus Housing Sentiment or Attention," Working Papers 202401, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    38. Yener Coskun & Christos Bouras & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Multi-Horizon Financial and Housing Wealth Effects across the U.S. States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-20, January.
    39. Narayan Sethi & Saileja Mohanty & Sanhita Sucharita & Nanthakumar Loganathan, 2020. "Tax Reform And Economic Growth Nexus In India: Evidence From The Cointegration And Rolling-Window Causality," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 65(06), pages 1699-1725, December.
    40. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Christophe Andre & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Housing Returns and Volatility: Evidence from US State-Level Data," Working Papers 202131, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    41. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    42. Hossein Hassani & Zara Ghodsi & Rangan Gupta & Mawuli K. Segnon, 2014. "Forecasting Home Sales in the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy Using Singular Spectrum Analysis," Working Papers 201482, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    43. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Jacobus Nel, 2022. "Do Climate Risks Predict US Housing Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Quantiles-Based Approach," Working Papers 202240, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    44. Apergis, Nicholas & Bouras, Christos & Christou, Christina & Hassapis, Christis, 2018. "Multi-horizon wealth effects across the G7 economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 165-176.
    45. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Do house prices hedge inflation in the US? A quantile cointegration approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 15-26.
    46. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Vasilios Plakandaras & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "The Role of Housing Sentiment in Forecasting US Home Sales Growth: Evidence from a Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201842, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    47. Mehmet Balcilar & Gizem Uzuner & Festus Victor Bekun & Mark E. Wohar, 2023. "Housing price uncertainty and housing prices in the UK in a time-varying environment," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 523-549, May.
    48. Tsangyao Chang & Su-Ling Tsai & Kai-yin Allison Haga, 2017. "Uncovering the interrelationship between the U.S. stock and housing markets: a bootstrap rolling window Granger causality approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(58), pages 5841-5848, December.
    49. Dagher, Leila & Jamali, Ibrahim & badra, nasser, 2018. "The Predictive Power of Oil and Commodity Prices for Equity Markets," MPRA Paper 116055, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    50. Olayeni Olaolu Richard & Jemiluyi Olayemi Olufunmilayo & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Shawkat Hammoudeh, 2023. "The Threshold Role of FDI Flows in the Energy-Growth Nexus: An Endogenous Growth Perspective," The Energy Journal, , vol. 44(5), pages 21-44, September.
    51. Jitmaneeroj, Boonlert, 2023. "Time-varying fund manager skills of socially responsible investing (SRI) funds in developed and emerging markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    52. Shi, Guangping & Liu, Xiaoxing & Zhang, Xu, 2017. "Time-varying causality between stock and housing markets in China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 227-232.
    53. Rangan Gupta & Damien Moodley, 2023. "Housing Search Activity and Quantiles-Based Predictability of Housing Price Movements in the United States," Working Papers 202335, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    54. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Christophe Andre & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Dynamic Spillovers in the United States: Stock Market, Housing, Uncertainty and the Macroeconomy," Working Papers 201521, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    55. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    56. Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta & Tsangyao Chang, 2013. "The Dynamic Relationship between House Prices and Output: Evidence from US Metropolitan Statistical Areas," Working Papers 201349, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    57. Chi-Wei SU & Zong-Liang YAO & Hsu-Ling CHANG, 2016. "The relationship between output and asset prices: A time – and frequency – varying approach," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(606), S), pages 57-76, Spring.
    58. Sun, Xiaotian & Fang, Wei & Gao, Xiangyun & An, Sufang & Liu, Siyao & Wu, Tao, 2021. "Time-varying causality inference of different nickel markets based on the convergent cross mapping method," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    59. Mobeen Ur Rehman & Sajid Ali & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2020. "Asymmetric Nonlinear Impact of Oil Prices and Inflation on Residential Property Prices: a Case of US, UK and Canada," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 39-54, June.
    60. Xu Zhang & Xiaoxing Liu & Jianqin Hang & Dengbao Yao, 2018. "The dynamic causality between commodity prices, inflation and output in China: a bootstrap rolling window approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(4), pages 407-425, January.
    61. Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Mehmet Balcilar & Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Causal relationship between asset prices and output in the US: Evidence from state-level panel Granger causality test," Working Papers 201411, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    62. Pornanong Budsaratragoon & Boonlert Jitmaneeroj, 2021. "Fund Ratings of Socially Responsible Investing (SRI) Funds: A Precautionary Note," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-25, July.
    63. Mustafa Özer & Inci Oya Coşkun & Mustafa Kırca, 2015. "Time Varying Causality Between Exchange Rates And Tourism Demand For Turkey," Tourism Research Institute, Journal of Tourism Research, vol. 10(1), pages 125-142, June.
    64. Gokhan Karhan, 2019. "Does Renewable Energy Increase Growth? Evidence from EU-19 Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 341-346.
    65. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Components of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Predictability of US Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantile Approach," Working Papers 201639, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    66. Mehmet Akif, Destek & Muhammad, Shahbaz & Ilyas, Okumus & Shawkat, Hammoudeh & Avik, Sinha, 2020. "The relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions in G-7 countries: evidence from time-varying parameters with a long history," MPRA Paper 100514, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Apr 2020.
    67. Mensi, Walid & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Hoon Kang, Sang, 2017. "Time-varying volatility spillovers between stock and precious metal markets with portfolio implications," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 88-102.
    68. Zhang, Xingmin & Zhang, Shuai, 2021. "Optimal time-varying tail risk network with a rolling window approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 580(C).
    69. Mehmet Zeki Ak & Mustafa Kirca & Mehmet Nurullah Altintaº, 2016. "The impacts of financial development on growth:A time-varying causality analysis for Turkey," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 34(2), pages 529-554.

  616. Mehmet Balcilar & Renee van Eyden & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Time-Varying Linkages between Tourism Receipts and Economic Growth in South Africa," Working Papers 201363, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Hassani, Hossein & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Filis, George & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Forecasting accuracy evaluation of tourist arrivals," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 112-127.
    2. De Bruyn C & Meyer N & Meyer D.F, 2018. "Assessing the Dynamic Economic Impact of Tourism in a Developing Region in South Africa," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 10(5), pages 274-283.
    3. Hassan F. Gholipour & Kourosh Esfandiar, 2025. "Does medial tourism promote growth in healthcare sector?," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 26(2), pages 233-241, March.
    4. Rijia Ding & Meng Huang, 2021. "The Spatial Difference of “Internet plus Tourism” in Promoting Economic Growth," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-17, October.
    5. Tsangyao Chang & Hsiao-Ping Chu & Frederick W. Deale & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2017. "The relationship between population growth and standard-of-living growth over 1870–2013: evidence from a bootstrapped panel Granger causality test," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 44(1), pages 175-201, February.
    6. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Ferrer, Román & Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad & Haouas, Ilham, 2017. "Is the tourism-economic growth nexus time-varying? Bootstrap rolling-window causality analysis for the top ten tourist destinations," MPRA Paper 82713, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Nov 2017.
    7. Muhammad Akram GILAL* & Muhammad AJMAIR** & Sohail FAROOQ***, 2019. "Structural Changes And Economic Growth In Pakistan," Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, Applied Economics Research Centre, vol. 29(1), pages 35-51.
    8. Jorge V Pérez-Rodríguez & Heiko Rachinger & María Santana-Gallego, 2022. "Does tourism promote economic growth? A fractionally integrated heterogeneous panel data analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(5), pages 1355-1376, August.
    9. Roberto Balado-Naves & David Boto-García & José Francisco Baños-Pino, 2024. "A multisector growth model for testing the Tourism-Led Growth versus the Beach Disease hypotheses," Efficiency Series Papers 2024/01, University of Oviedo, Department of Economics, Oviedo Efficiency Group (OEG).
    10. Muhammad Shahbaz & Román Ferrer & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Ilham Haouas, 2018. "Is the tourism–economic growth nexus time-varying? Bootstrap rolling-window causality analysis for the top 10 tourist destinations," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(24), pages 2677-2697, May.
    11. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Rangan Gupta & Axel Kasongo & Thabo Mboweni & Ndivhuho Netshitenzhe, 2018. "Does tourism cause growth asymmetrically in a panel of G-7 countries? A short note," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 45(1), pages 49-57, February.
    12. Andrew Phiri, 2016. "Tourism and Economic Growth in South Africa: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Cointegration Frameworks," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 14(1 (Spring), pages 31-53.
    13. Buthaina M. A. Muhtaseb & Hussam-Eldin Daoud, 2017. "Tourism and Economic Growth in Jordan: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Frameworks," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 214-223.
    14. Chien-Chiang Lee & Godwin O Olasehinde-Williams & Ifedolapo Olabisi Olanipekun, 2022. "GDP volatility implication of tourism volatility in South Africa: A time-varying approach," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(2), pages 435-450, March.
    15. Nino Fonseca & Marcelino Sánchez-Rivero, 2020. "Significance bias in the tourism-led growth literature," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(1), pages 137-154, February.
    16. Mehmet Balcilar & Sahar Aghazadeh & George N Ike, 2021. "Modelling the employment, income and price elasticities of outbound tourism demand in OECD countries," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(5), pages 971-990, August.
    17. Destek, Mehmet Akif & Aydın, Sercan, 2021. "An Empirical Note on Tourism and Sustainable Development Nexus," MPRA Paper 114219, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Abdul Rauf & Ameer Muhammad Aamir Abbas & Asim Rafiq & Saifullah Shakir & Saira Abid, 2022. "The Impact of Political Instability, Food Prices, and Crime Rate on Tourism: A Way toward Sustainable Tourism in Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-17, December.
    19. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Ferrer, Román & Kumar, Ronald Ravinesh, 2016. "Tourism-led Growth Hypothesis in the Top Ten Tourist Destinations: New Evidence Using the Quantile-on-Quantile Approach," MPRA Paper 75540, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 Dec 2016.
    20. Portella-Carbó, Ferran & Pérez-Montiel, Jose & Ozcelebi, Oguzhan, 2023. "Tourism-led economic growth across the business cycle: Evidence from Europe (1995–2021)," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1241-1253.
    21. Mustafa Özer & Inci Oya Coşkun & Mustafa Kırca, 2015. "Time Varying Causality Between Exchange Rates And Tourism Demand For Turkey," Tourism Research Institute, Journal of Tourism Research, vol. 10(1), pages 125-142, June.
    22. Narasingha Das & Partha Gangopadhyay & Cem Işık & Rafael Alvarado & Munir Ahmad, 2024. "Do volatilities in tourism arrivals and foreign aids matter for GDP volatility in Cambodia? Partial and vector coherence wavelet models," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(6), pages 1624-1633, September.
    23. Pat Obi & Kwaku Addae-Ankrah & Emmanuel Sarpong-Kumankoma, 2025. "Do Financial Development and Exchange Rates Drive the Tourism–Growth Relationship?," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-22, April.
    24. Dogan, Ergun & Zhang, Xibin, 2023. "A nonparametric panel data model for examining the contribution of tourism to economic growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).

  617. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Testing for persistence with breaks and outliers in South African house prices," NCID Working Papers 01/2013, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.

    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Andre & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Testing for Persistence in Housing Price-to-Income and Price-to-Rent Ratios in 16 OECD Countries," Working Papers 201321, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Carcel Hector & Gil-Alana Luis A. & Madigu Godfrey, 2015. "Inflation Convergence in the East African Community: A Fractional Integration and Cointegration Study," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 15(4), pages 507-524, December.
    3. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Shinhye Chang & Mehmet Balcilar & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Persistence of precious metal prices: a fractional integration approach with structural breaks," NCID Working Papers 06/2015, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    4. Tsangyao Chang & Tsung-Pao Wu & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Are house prices in South Africa really nonstationary? Evidence from SPSM-based panel KSS test with a Fourier function," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(1), pages 32-53, January.
    5. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2018. "The volatility effect on precious metals prices in a stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters," Working Papers 15-34, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    6. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana, 2023. "U.S. House Prices by Census Division: Persistence, Trends and Structural Breaks," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 29(1), pages 79-90, May.
    7. Giorgio Canarella & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2018. "Persistence and Cyclical Dynamics of US and UK House Prices: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201838, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana, 2023. "Long-Run Trends and Cycles in US House Prices," CESifo Working Paper Series 10751, CESifo.
    9. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin, 2019. "The volatility effect on precious metals price returns in a stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
    10. Cleomar Gomes da Silva & Flávio Vilela Vieira, 2014. "BRICS countries: real interest rates and long memory," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 34(1), pages 409-419.

  618. Janneke Dlamini & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2013. "Revisiting the Causality between Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in South Africa: A Bootstrap Rolling-Window Approach," Working Papers 201330, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Cheng-Yih Hong & Yu-Shuang Yen & Ping-Chieh Chien, 2019. "Sources of Economic Growth and Changes in Energy Consumption: Empirical Evidence for Taiwan (2004-2016)," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(3), pages 346-352.
    2. Gerard Bikorimana & Charles Rutikanga & Didier Mwizerwa, 2020. "Linking energy consumption with economic growth: Rwanda as a case study," ECONOMICS AND POLICY OF ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2020(2), pages 181-200.
    3. Nour Wehbe & Bassam Assaf & Salem Darwich, 2018. "Étude de causalité entre la consommation d’électricité et la croissance économique au Liban," Post-Print hal-01944291, HAL.
    4. Poppy Dyasi & Andrew Phiri, 2019. "A sectoral approach to the electricity-growth nexus in the Eastern Cape province of South Africa," Working Papers 1902, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University, revised Mar 2019.
    5. Alexander Bass, 2018. "Does Electricity Supply Matter for Economic Growth in Russia: A Vector Error Correction Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(5), pages 313-318.
    6. Bah, Muhammad Maladoh & Azam, Muhammad, 2017. "Investigating the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth: Evidence from South Africa," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 531-537.
    7. Nagmi Moftah Aimer, 2020. "Renewable energy consumption, financial development and economic growth: Evidence from panel data for the Middle East and North African countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(3), pages 2058-2072.
    8. Hlalefang Khobai & Sanderson Abel & Pierre Le Roux, 2016. "Co-integration between Electricity Supply and Economic Growth in South Africa," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(3), pages 637-645.
    9. Adams, Samuel & Klobodu, Edem Kwame Mensah & Apio, Alfred, 2018. "Renewable and non-renewable energy, regime type and economic growth," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 755-767.
    10. Dagher, Leila & Jamali, Ibrahim & badra, nasser, 2018. "The Predictive Power of Oil and Commodity Prices for Equity Markets," MPRA Paper 116055, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. P. B. Zondi & Z. Robinson, 2021. "The Relationship between Government Debt and Economic Growth in South Africa with Specific Reference to Eskom," EuroEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 2(40), pages 17-34, November.
    12. Juan Meng & Bin Mo & He Nie, 2023. "The dynamics of crude oil future prices on China's energy markets: Quantile‐on‐quantile and casualty‐in‐quantiles approaches," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(12), pages 1853-1871, December.
    13. Tafirenyika Sunde, 2018. "The interaction of energy consumption and economic growth in South Africa: assessment from the bounds testing approach," International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 10(2), pages 170-183.

  619. Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Soodabeh Sarafrazi, 2013. "Can the Sharia-Based Islamic Stock Market Returns be Forecasted Using Large Number of Predictors and Models?," Working Papers 201381, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Saban Nazlioglu & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Volatility transmission between Islamic and conventional equity markets: evidence from causality-in-variance test," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(46), pages 4996-5011, October.
    2. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Jae H Kim, 2017. "Adaptive Markets Hypothesis for Islamic Stock Portfolios: Evidence from Dow Jones Size and Sector-Indices," Post-Print hal-01526483, HAL.
    3. Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo & Mwamba, Muteba, 2015. "A multivariate model for the prediction of stock returns in an emerging market: A comparison of parametric and non-parametric models," MPRA Paper 62028, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks and Movements in Islamic Bond and Equity Markets: A Note," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 367-379, April.
    5. Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Adekoya, Oluwasegun Babatunde & Rashidi, Muhammad Mahdi & Oliyide, Johnson Ayobami & Rajab, Sahel, 2024. "A new approach to forecasting Islamic and conventional oil and gas stock prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    6. Ftiti, Zied & Hadhri, Sinda, 2019. "Can economic policy uncertainty, oil prices, and investor sentiment predict Islamic stock returns? A multi-scale perspective," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 40-55.
    7. Umar, Zaghum & Yousaf, Imran & Gubareva, Mariya & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Spillover and risk transmission between the term structure of the US interest rates and Islamic equities," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    8. Sensoy, Ahmet & Aras, Guler & Hacihasanoglu, Erk, 2015. "Predictability dynamics of Islamic and conventional equity markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 222-248.
    9. Lahmiri, Salim & Bekiros, Stelios & Stavroyiannis, Stavros & Babalos, Vassilios, 2018. "Modelling volatility persistence under stochasticity assumptions: evidence from common and alternative investments," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 158-163.
    10. Mensi, Walid & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2017. "Global financial crisis and weak-form efficiency of Islamic sectoral stock markets: An MF-DFA analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 135-146.
    11. Álvarez-Díaz, Marcos & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "Detecting predictable non-linear dynamics in Dow Jones Islamic Market and Dow Jones Industrial Average indices using nonparametric regressions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 22-35.
    12. Marcos Álvarez-Díaz & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Detecting Predictable Non-linear Dynamics in Dow Jones Industrial Average and Dow Jones Islamic Market Indices using Nonparametric Regressions," Working Papers 201385, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  620. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Adel Bosch & Rangan Gupta & Francois Stofberg, 2013. "The out-of-sample forecasting performance of non-linear models of real exchange rate behaviour: The case of the South African Rand," Working Papers 201304, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2014. "Is the Rand Really Decoupled from Economic Fundamentals?," Working Papers 201439, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Xolani Sibande, 2023. "Monetary policy and herding behaviour in the ZAR market," Working Papers 11053, South African Reserve Bank.

  621. Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Lilian S. Masabala & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Jaco P. Weideman, 2013. "The causal relationship between natural gas consumption and economic growth: Evidence from the G7 countries," Working Papers 201370, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Aydin, Mucahit, 2018. "Natural gas consumption and economic growth nexus for top 10 natural Gas–Consuming countries: A granger causality analysis in the frequency domain," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PB), pages 179-186.
    2. Sudeshna Ghosh, 2019. "Environmental Pollution, Income Inequality, and Household Energy Consumption: Evidence from the United Kingdom," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(02), pages 1-31, June.
    3. Erdoğan, Seyfettin & Gedikli, Ayfer & Kırca, Mustafa, 2019. "A note on time-varying causality between natural gas consumption and economic growth in Turkey," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    4. Ur Rahman, Zia & Iqbal Khattak, Shoukat & Ahmad, Manzoor & Khan, Anwar, 2020. "A disaggregated-level analysis of the relationship among energy production, energy consumption and economic growth: Evidence from China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    5. Harkat, Tahar, 2019. "The Impact of Natural Gas Consumption on Industry Value Added in the Mediterranean Region," MPRA Paper 92492, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Fadiran, Gideon & Adebusuyi, Adebisi T. & Fadiran, David, 2019. "Natural gas consumption and economic growth: Evidence from selected natural gas vehicle markets in Europe," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 467-477.
    7. Victoria Oluwatoyin Foye & Oluwasegun Olawale Benjamin, 2021. "Natural gas consumption and economic performance in selected sub‐Saharan African countries: A heterogeneous panel ARDL analysis," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 33(3), pages 518-532, September.
    8. Ogali, Oscar I.O. & Okoro, Emeka E. & Olafuyi, Saburi G., 2023. "Assessing consensus on nexus between natural gas consumption and economic growth," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).

  622. Tsangyao Chang & Olorato Gadinabokao & Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Pervan Kanniah & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne, 2013. "Panel Granger causality between oil consumption and GDP: Evidence from the BRICS countries," Working Papers 201371, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Avazbek Sadikov & Nargiza Kasimova & Arletta Isaeva & Anastas Khachaturov & Raufhon Salahodjaev, 2020. "Pollution, Energy and Growth: Evidence from Post-Communist Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 656-661.
    2. Uktam Umurzakov & Bakhodir Mirzaev & Raufhon Salahodjaev & Arletta Isaeva & Shakhnoza Tosheva, 2020. "Energy Consumption and Economic Growth: Evidence from Post-Communist Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 59-65.

  623. Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Convergence in Provincial-Level South African House Prices: Evidence from the Club Convergence and Clustering Procedure," Working Papers 201322, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Andre & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Revisiting International House Price Convergence Using House Price Level Data," Working Papers 202226, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Holmes, Mark J. & Otero, Jesús & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2019. "Property heterogeneity and convergence club formation among local house prices," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 1-13.
    3. Tsai, I-Chun, 2018. "House price convergence in euro zone and non-euro zone countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 269-281.
    4. Jin Hu & Xuelei Xiong & Yuanyuan Cai & Feng Yuan, 2020. "The Ripple Effect and Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Intra-Urban Housing Prices at the Submarket Level in Shanghai, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-17, June.
    5. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Lumengo Bonga-Bonga, 2020. "House prices and fertility in South Africa: A spatial econometric analysis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(4), pages 3193-3210.
    6. Mateusz Tomal, 2022. "Testing for overall and cluster convergence of housing rents using robust methodology: evidence from Polish provincial capitals," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 2023-2055, April.
    7. Raj Rajesh & Deba Prasad Rath, 2022. "House Price Convergence: Evidence from India," Working papers 893, Banque de France.
    8. Hernán Enríquez Sierra & Jacobo Campo Robledo & Antonio Avendaño Arosemena, 2015. "Relaciones regionales en los precios de vivienda nueva en Colombia," Revista Ecos de Economía, Universidad EAFIT, vol. 19(40), pages 25-47, June.
    9. Yuanyuan Cai & Yingming Zhu & Marco Helbich, 2022. "Club convergence of regional housing prices in China: evidence from 70 major Cities," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 69(1), pages 33-55, August.
    10. Raj Rajesh & Deba Prasad Rath, 2023. "House price convergence: evidence from India," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 7(3), pages 721-747, September.

  624. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mampho Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "DGSE Model-Based Forecasting of Modeled and Non-Modeled Inflation Variables in South Africa," Working Papers 259, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2013.

    Cited by:

    1. Franz Ruch & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Mampho P. Modise & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Forecasting Core Inflation: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 15-08, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    2. Byron J. Idrovo-Aguirre & Javier E. Contreras-Reyes, 2019. "Backcasting cement production and characterizing cement’s economic cycles for Chile 1991–2015," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(5), pages 1829-1852, November.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2015. "The Role of Oil Prices in the Forecasts of South African Interest Rates: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 201531, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Idrovo Aguirre, Byron & Contreras, Javier, 2015. "Back-splicing of cement production and characterization of its economic cycle: The case of Chile (1991-2015)," MPRA Paper 67387, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Sep 2015.

  625. Kirsten Thompson & Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Testing the Out-of-Sample Forecasting Ability of a Financial Conditions Index for South Africa," Working Papers 201383, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Luis F. Melo Velandia & Rubén A. Loaiza Maya & Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas, 2014. "Bayesian Combination for Inflation Forecasts: The Effects of a Prior Based on Central Banks’ Estimates," Borradores de Economia 853, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Rudi Steinbach, 2020. "Forecasting output growth using a DSGE-based decomposition of the South African yield curve," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 351-378, January.
    3. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden & Kirsten Thompson, 2015. "Comparing the Forecasting Ability of Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 15-06, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Kirsten Thompson & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2014. "Testing the Asymmetric Effects of Financial Conditions in South Africa: A Nonlinear Vector Autoregression Approach," Working Papers 201414, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Tomislav Globan, 2018. "Financial supply cycles in post-transition Europe – introducing a composite index for financial supply," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(4), pages 482-505, July.

  626. Rangan Gupta & Monique Reid, 2012. "Macroeconomic Surprises and Stock Returns in South Africa," Working Papers 201212, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Cakan Esin & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Does the US. macroeconomic news make the South African stock market riskier?," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 51(4), pages 17-27, October-D.
    2. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Monique Reid & Goodness C. Aye, 2012. "Is The Relationship Between Monetary Policy And House Prices Asymmetric In South Africa? Evidence From A Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201222, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Dewenter, Kathryn L. & Riddick, Leigh A., 2018. "What's the value of a TBTF guaranty? Evidence from the G-SII designation for insurance companies✰," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 70-85.
    4. Nasha Maveé & Mr. Roberto Perrelli & Mr. Axel Schimmelpfennig, 2016. "Surprise, Surprise: What Drives the Rand / U.S. Dollar Exchange Rate Volatility?," IMF Working Papers 2016/205, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Rafiqul Bhuyan & Mohammad Sogir Hossain Khandoker & Mahjuja Taznin & Md. Shanur Rahman & Lamia Akter, 2021. "Determining Stock Return movements of Banking Sector during Global Financial Crisis: An Examination on Emerging Markets of Bangladesh," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 8(2), pages 111-123.
    6. Ligita Gasparėnienė & Rita Remeikienė & Aleksejus Sosidko & Vigita Vėbraitė & Evaldas Raistenskis, 2020. "Modeling of EURO STOXX 50 index price returns based on industrial production surprises: basic and machine learning approach," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 8(2), pages 1305-1320, December.
    7. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Monique Reid & Christian Tipoy & Mulatu Zerihun, 2014. "Real interest rate persistence in South Africa: evidence and implications," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 41-62, February.

  627. Christophe André & Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda, 2012. "Do House Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate?: Evidence from OECD Countries Using an Agnostic Identification Procedure," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 947, OECD Publishing.

    Cited by:

    1. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Mauro Costantini & Antonio Paradiso, 2012. "Re-examining the Decline in the US Saving Rate: The Impact of Mortgage Equity Withdrawal," CESifo Working Paper Series 3897, CESifo.
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2014. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices," Public Finance Review, , vol. 42(4), pages 511-531, July.
    3. Vittorio Peretti & Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2012. "Do House Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate in South Africa? Evidence from a Time-Varying Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201216, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Aviral K. Tiwari, 2016. "Time-Varying Correlations between Inflation and Stock Prices in the United States over the Last Two Centuries," Working Papers 201605, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Constantinos Katrakilidis & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Role of Macroeconomic Shocks on House Prices in the US and UK: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201765, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Floros, Christos, 2016. "Dynamic interdependencies among the housing market, stock market, policy uncertainty and the macroeconomy in the United Kingdom," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 111-122.
    7. Ragna Alstadheim & Christine Blandhol, 2018. "The global financial cycle, bank capital flows and monetary policy. Evidence from Norway," Working Paper 2018/2, Norges Bank.
    8. Gustafsson, Peter & Stockhammar, Pär & Österholm, Pär, 2015. "Macroeconomic Effects of a Decline in Housing Prices in Sweden," Working Papers 138, National Institute of Economic Research.
    9. Andrew Adewale Alola & Uju Violet Alola, 2019. "The Dynamics of Tourism—Refugeeism on House Prices in Cyprus and Malta," Journal of International Migration and Integration, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 521-536, May.
    10. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Does Inequality Really Matter in Forecasting Real Housing Returns of the United Kingdom?," Working Papers 201859, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2012. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience," Working Papers 1211, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    12. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Monique Reid & Goodness C. Aye, 2012. "Is The Relationship Between Monetary Policy And House Prices Asymmetric In South Africa? Evidence From A Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201222, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio, 2012. "Housing Cycles and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: A Global Perspective," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 4085, Inter-American Development Bank.
    14. Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2020. "Housing market spillovers in South Africa: evidence from an estimated small open economy DSGE model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2309-2332, May.
    15. Paetz, Michael & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "Stock Price Dynamics and the Business Cycle in an Estimated DSGE Model for South Africa," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series 18, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory.
    16. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2012. "Do Stock Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate in South Africa? Evidence from a Time-Varying Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201224, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Simo-Kengne, Beatrice D. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Reid, Monique & Aye, Goodness C., 2013. "Is the relationship between monetary policy and house prices asymmetric across bull and bear markets in South Africa? Evidence from a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 161-171.
    18. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden & Kirsten Thompson, 2015. "Comparing the Forecasting Ability of Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 15-06, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    19. Christophe André, 2016. "Household debt in OECD countries: Stylised facts and policy issues," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1277, OECD Publishing.
    20. Njindan Iyke, Bernard, 2015. "Assessing the Effects of Housing Market Shocks on Output: The Case of South Africa," MPRA Paper 69610, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Feb 2016.
    21. Rangan Gupta & Christophe André & Luis Gil-Alana, 2015. "Comovement in Euro area housing prices: A fractional cointegration approach," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 52(16), pages 3123-3143, December.
    22. Christophe André & Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Mulatu F. Zerihun, 2017. "Asymmetric Behaviour in Nominal and Real Housing Prices: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Economies," Working Papers 201711, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Tamara Slišković, 2018. "Analiza međuovisnosti stambenog tržišta i makroekonomskog sustava u Hrvatskoj," EFZG Occasional Publications (Department of Macroeconomics), in: Zbornik radova znanstvenog skupa: Modeli razvoja hrvatskog gospodarstva, (ur. Družić, G.; Družić, I., izdavač: Ekonomski fakultet Zagreb; Hrvatska aka, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 11, pages 247-280, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb.
    24. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Christophe Andre & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Dynamic Spillovers in the United States: Stock Market, Housing, Uncertainty and the Macroeconomy," Working Papers 201521, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    25. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Aviral Kumar Twari, 2015. "Time-Varying Correlations between Trade Balance and Stock Prices in the United States over the Period 1792 to 2013," Working Papers 2015100, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    26. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral K., 2017. "Has the correlation of inflation and stock prices changed in the United States over the last two centuries?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1-8.
    27. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Components of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Predictability of US Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantile Approach," Working Papers 201639, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    28. Čeh Časni Anita & Dumičić Ksenija & Tica Josip, 2016. "The Panel VAR Approach to Modelling the Housing Wealth Effect: Evidence from selected European post-transition economies," Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy, Sciendo, vol. 62(4), pages 23-32, December.

  628. Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Forecasting House Prices for the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy: The Role of a Data-Rich Environment," Working Papers 201214, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Monique Reid & Goodness C. Aye, 2012. "Is The Relationship Between Monetary Policy And House Prices Asymmetric In South Africa? Evidence From A Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201222, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  629. Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Should The South African Reserve Bank Respond To Exchange Rate Fluctuations? Evidence From The Cosine-Squared Cepstrum," Working Papers 201201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Romaine Patrick & Phocenah Nyatanga, 2018. "South Africa’s Trade Performance under Alternative Exchange Rate Regimes," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 10(6), pages 261-271.

  630. Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2012. "Macro Shocks and Real US Stock Prices with Special Focus on the "Great Recession"," Working Papers 201208, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Aviral K. Tiwari, 2016. "Time-Varying Correlations between Inflation and Stock Prices in the United States over the Last Two Centuries," Working Papers 201605, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Dohyun CHUN & Hoon CHO & Doojin RYU, 2018. "Macroeconomic Structural Changes in a Leading Emerging Market: The Effects of the Asian Financial Crisis," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 22-42, December.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2012. "Macro Shocks and Real US Stock Prices with Special Focus on the "Great Recession"," Working Papers 201208, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Syed, Sarfaraz Ali Shah, 2022. "Stock market in the age of COVID19: Mere acclimatization or Stockholm syndrome?," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    5. Mansoor Alam Khan & Riaz Ahmad & Dr. Muhammad Akram & Hafiz Muhammad Ishaq, 2021. "The Effect Of Macroeconomic Indicators On Stock Market: A Study On Asian Economies," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 10(1), pages 114-127, March.
    6. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral K., 2017. "Has the correlation of inflation and stock prices changed in the United States over the last two centuries?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1-8.
    7. Abdorasoul Sadeghi & Hussein Marzban & Ali Hussein Samadi & Karim Azarbaiejani & Parviz Rostamzadeh, 2022. "Financial intermediaries and speculation in the foreign exchange market: the role of monetary policy in Iran’s economy," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, December.

  631. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Nicholas Kilimani & Amandine Nakumuryango & Siobhan Redford, 2012. "Predicting BRICS Stock Returns Using ARFIMA Models," Working Papers 201235, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Heni Boubaker & Giorgio Canarella & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "Hybrid ARFIMA Wavelet Artificial Neural Network Model for DJIA Index Forecasting," Working papers 2020-10, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    2. Alia Afzal & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2023. "Long Memory, Spurious Memory: Persistence in Range-Based Volatility of Exchange Rates," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 34(4), pages 789-811, September.
    3. Donald A. Otieno & Rose W. Ngugi & Peter W. Muriu, 2019. "The impact of inflation rate on stock market returns: evidence from Kenya," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 43(1), pages 73-90, January.
    4. Tripathy, Naliniprava, 2022. "Long memory and volatility persistence across BRICS stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    5. Abounoori, Abbas Ali & Naderi, Esmaeil & Gandali Alikhani, Nadiya & Amiri, Ashkan, 2013. "Financial Time Series Forecasting by Developing a Hybrid Intelligent System," MPRA Paper 45615, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Hazem Krichene & Mhamed-Ali El-Aroui, 2018. "Agent-Based Simulation and Microstructure Modeling of Immature Stock Markets," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 51(3), pages 493-511, March.
    7. Nazarian, Rafik & Naderi, Esmaeil & Gandali Alikhani, Nadiya & Amiri, Ashkan, 2013. "Long Memory Analysis: An Empirical Investigation," MPRA Paper 45605, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Syriopoulos, Theodore & Makram, Beljid & Boubaker, Adel, 2015. "Stock market volatility spillovers and portfolio hedging: BRICS and the financial crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 7-18.
    9. Delavari, Majid & Gandali Alikhani, Nadiya & Naderi, Esmaeil, 2012. "Do Dynamic Neural Networks Stand a Better Chance in Fractionally Integrated Process Forecasting?," MPRA Paper 45977, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Diteboho Xaba & Ntebogang Dinah Moroke & Ishmael Rapoo, 2019. "Modeling Stock Market Returns of BRICS with a Markov-Switching Dynamic Regression Model," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 11(3), pages 10-22.
    11. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Oil shocks and stock market volatility of the BRICS: A GARCH-MIDAS approach," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    12. Saâdaoui, Foued & Rabbouch, Hana, 2024. "Financial forecasting improvement with LSTM-ARFIMA hybrid models and non-Gaussian distributions," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    13. Mtiraoui, Amine & Boubaker, Heni & BelKacem, Lotfi, 2023. "A hybrid approach for forecasting bitcoin series," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    14. Luo, Jiawen & Chen, Zhenbiao & Cheng, Mingmian, 2025. "Forecasting realized betas using predictors indicating structural breaks and asymmetric risk effects," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    15. Gadhoum, Anouar & Masih, Mansur, 2018. "Emerging market equities and US policy uncertainty: evidence from Malaysia based on ARDL," MPRA Paper 105469, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Boryana Bogdanova & Ivan Ivanov, 2016. "A wavelet-based approach to the analysis and modelling of financial time series exhibiting strong long-range dependence: the case of Southeast Europe," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(4), pages 655-673, March.
    17. Momin, Ebaad & Masih, Mansur, 2015. "Do US policy uncertainty, leveraging costs and global risk aversion impact emerging market equities? An application of bounds testing approach to the BRICS," MPRA Paper 65834, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  632. Beatrice D. Simo - Kengne & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Monique Reid & Goodness C. Aye, 2012. "Is the relationship between monetary policy and house prices asymmetric in South Africa? Evidence from a Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive mode," Working Papers 15-26, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2014. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices," Public Finance Review, , vol. 42(4), pages 511-531, July.
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2012. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience," Working Papers 1211, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    3. Frédéric Karamé, 2015. "Asymmetries and Markov-switching structural VAR," Post-Print hal-02296101, HAL.
    4. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta & Goodness C. Aye, 2013. "Macro Shocks And House Prices In South Africa," Working Papers 201302, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Kanyane Matlou, 2013. "A Time-Varying Approach to Analysing Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices in South Africa," Working Papers 201303, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Alexander Zimper, 2014. "The minimal confidence levels of Basel capital regulation," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 15(2), pages 129-143, April.

  633. Vittorio Peretti & Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2012. "Do House Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate in South Africa? Evidence from a Time-Varying Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201216, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2014. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices," Public Finance Review, , vol. 42(4), pages 511-531, July.
    2. Chance Mwabutwa & Manoel Bittencourt & Nicola Viegi, 2013. "Evolution of Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Malawi: A TVP-VAR Approach," Working Papers 201327, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "The Long-Run Relationship between Consumption, House Prices and Stock Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Provincial-Level Data," Working Papers 201326, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Adel Bosch & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Housing and the Business Cycle in South Africa," Working Papers 15-22, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2020. "Housing market spillovers in South Africa: evidence from an estimated small open economy DSGE model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2309-2332, May.
    6. Yener Coskun & Burak Sencer Atasoy & Giacomo Morri & Esra Alp, 2018. "Wealth Effects on Household Final Consumption: Stock and Housing Market Channels," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-32, June.
    7. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta & Manoel Bittencourt, 2013. "The Impact of House Prices on Consumption in South Africa: Evidence from Provincial-Level Panel VARs," Housing Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(8), pages 1133-1154, November.
    8. Chi-Wei Su & Xiao-Cui Yin & Ran Tao, 2018. "How do housing prices affect consumption in China? New evidence from a continuous wavelet analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(9), pages 1-14, September.
    9. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2012. "Do Stock Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate in South Africa? Evidence from a Time-Varying Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201224, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Testing for persistence with breaks and outliers in South African house prices," NCID Working Papers 01/2013, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    11. Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Kanyane Matlou, 2013. "A Time-Varying Approach to Analysing Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices in South Africa," Working Papers 201303, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Beatrice Simo-Kengne & Stephen Miller & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2016. "Evolution of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the US: the Role of Asset Returns," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 226-243, April.
    13. Alexander Zimper, 2014. "The minimal confidence levels of Basel capital regulation," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 15(2), pages 129-143, April.
    14. He, Yongda & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "Time-varying effects of cyclical fluctuations in China's energy industry on the macro economy and carbon emissions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 1102-1112.
    15. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Evolution of Monetary Policy in the US: The Role of Asset Prices," Working papers 2013-20, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2013.
    16. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Components of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Predictability of US Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantile Approach," Working Papers 201639, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Alain Kaninda & Wendy Nyakabawo & Aarifah Razak, 2013. "House Price, Stock Price and Consumption in South Africa: A Structural VAR Approach," Working Papers 201309, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  634. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2012. "Do Stock Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate in South Africa? Evidence from a Time-Varying Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201224, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2014. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices," Public Finance Review, , vol. 42(4), pages 511-531, July.
    2. Jin‐Yu Chen & Xue‐Hong Zhu & Mei‐Rui Zhong, 2021. "Time‐varying effects and structural change of oil price shocks on industrial output: Evidence from China's oil industrial chain," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3460-3472, July.
    3. Chance Mwabutwa & Manoel Bittencourt & Nicola Viegi, 2013. "Evolution of Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Malawi: A TVP-VAR Approach," Working Papers 201327, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "The Long-Run Relationship between Consumption, House Prices and Stock Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Provincial-Level Data," Working Papers 201326, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2012. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience," Working Papers 1211, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2020. "Housing market spillovers in South Africa: evidence from an estimated small open economy DSGE model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2309-2332, May.
    7. Paetz, Michael & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "Stock Price Dynamics and the Business Cycle in an Estimated DSGE Model for South Africa," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series 18, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory.
    8. Yener Coskun & Burak Sencer Atasoy & Giacomo Morri & Esra Alp, 2018. "Wealth Effects on Household Final Consumption: Stock and Housing Market Channels," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-32, June.
    9. Chi-Wei Su & Xiao-Cui Yin & Ran Tao, 2018. "How do housing prices affect consumption in China? New evidence from a continuous wavelet analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(9), pages 1-14, September.
    10. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2012. "Do Stock Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate in South Africa? Evidence from a Time-Varying Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201224, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Chen, Jinyu & Zhu, Xuehong & Li, Hailing, 2020. "The pass-through effects of oil price shocks on China's inflation: A time-varying analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    12. Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Kanyane Matlou, 2013. "A Time-Varying Approach to Analysing Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices in South Africa," Working Papers 201303, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Beatrice Simo-Kengne & Stephen Miller & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2016. "Evolution of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the US: the Role of Asset Returns," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 226-243, April.
    14. Balli, Esra & Nazif Çatık, Abdurrahman & Nugent, Jeffrey B., 2021. "Time-varying impact of oil shocks on trade balances: Evidence using the TVP-VAR model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    15. Alexander Zimper, 2014. "The minimal confidence levels of Basel capital regulation," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 15(2), pages 129-143, April.
    16. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Zhou, Ying-Zhe & Huang, Jian-Bai & Chen, Jin-Yu, 2019. "Time-varying effect of the financialization of nonferrous metals markets on China's industrial sector," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    18. He, Yongda & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "Time-varying effects of cyclical fluctuations in China's energy industry on the macro economy and carbon emissions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 1102-1112.
    19. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Evolution of Monetary Policy in the US: The Role of Asset Prices," Working papers 2013-20, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2013.
    20. Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2013. "Does the Source of Oil Price Shocks Matter for South African Stock Returns? A Structural VAR Approach," Working Papers 201318, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Components of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Predictability of US Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantile Approach," Working Papers 201639, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Alain Kaninda & Wendy Nyakabawo & Aarifah Razak, 2013. "House Price, Stock Price and Consumption in South Africa: A Structural VAR Approach," Working Papers 201309, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  635. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Are the Effects of Monetary Policy Asymmetric in India? Evidence from a Nonlinear Vector Autoregression Approach," Working Papers 201202, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Khundrakpam, Jeevan Kumar, 2013. "Are there Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy in India?," MPRA Paper 53059, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Zakir, Nadia & Malik, Wasim Shahid, 2013. "Are the effects of monetary policy on output asymmetric in Pakistan?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 1-9.
    3. Jeevan Kumar Khundrakpam, 2017. "Examining the Asymmetric Impact of Monetary Policy in India," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 11(3), pages 290-314, August.
    4. Abdul RASHID & Farah WAHEED, 2021. "Forward-Backward-Looking Monetary Policy Rules: Derivation and Empirics," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 71-92, December.
    5. Mamdouh Abdelmoula M. Abdelsalam, 2018. "Asymmetric Effect of Monetary Policy in Emerging Countries: The Case of Egypt," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 5(4), pages 1-11, July.
    6. Khundrakpam, Jeevan Kumar, 2013. "A Note on Differential Asymmetric Effects of Money Supply and Policy Rate Shocks in India," MPRA Paper 53058, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Irfan Ahmad Shah & Srikanta Kundu, 2024. "Asymmetric effects of monetary policy: evidence from India," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(1), pages 243-277, January.

  636. Goodness C. Aye & Samrat Goswami & Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Metropolitan House Prices In India: Do They Converge?," Working Papers 201220, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Convergence in Provincial-Level South African House Prices: Evidence from the Club Convergence and Clustering Procedure," Working Papers 201322, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Raj Rajesh & Deba Prasad Rath, 2022. "House Price Convergence: Evidence from India," Working papers 893, Banque de France.
    3. Raj Rajesh & Deba Prasad Rath, 2023. "House price convergence: evidence from India," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 7(3), pages 721-747, September.

  637. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta & Manoel Bittencourt, 2012. "THE IMPACT OF HOUSE PRICES ON CONSUMPTION IN SOUTH AFRICA: EVIDENCE FROM PROVINCIAL-LEVEL PANEL VARs," Working Papers 201211, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Geoffrey Ngene & Charles Lambert & Ali Darrat, 2015. "Testing Long Memory in the Presence of Structural Breaks: An Application to Regional and National Housing Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 50(4), pages 465-483, May.
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2014. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices," Public Finance Review, , vol. 42(4), pages 511-531, July.
    3. Vittorio Peretti & Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2012. "Do House Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate in South Africa? Evidence from a Time-Varying Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201216, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Tsangyao Chang & Wen-Chi Liu & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Are there housing bubbles in South Africa? Evidence from SPSM-based panel KSS test with a Fourier function," Global Business and Economics Review, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 18(5), pages 517-532.
    5. Tsangyao Chang & Tsung-Pao Wu & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Are house prices in South Africa really nonstationary? Evidence from SPSM-based panel KSS test with a Fourier function," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(1), pages 32-53, January.
    6. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Adel Bosch & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Housing and the Business Cycle in South Africa," Working Papers 15-22, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    7. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2012. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience," Working Papers 1211, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    8. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Monique Reid & Goodness C. Aye, 2012. "Is The Relationship Between Monetary Policy And House Prices Asymmetric In South Africa? Evidence From A Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201222, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2020. "Housing market spillovers in South Africa: evidence from an estimated small open economy DSGE model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2309-2332, May.
    10. Yener Coskun & Burak Sencer Atasoy & Giacomo Morri & Esra Alp, 2018. "Wealth Effects on Household Final Consumption: Stock and Housing Market Channels," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-32, June.
    11. Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Mehmet Bacilar & Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Causal Relationship between Asset Prices and Output in the United States: Evidence from the State-Level Panel Granger Causality Test," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(10), pages 1728-1741, October.
    12. Chi-Wei Su & Xiao-Cui Yin & Ran Tao, 2018. "How do housing prices affect consumption in China? New evidence from a continuous wavelet analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(9), pages 1-14, September.
    13. Yener Coskun & Christos Bouras & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Multi-Horizon Financial and Housing Wealth Effects across the U.S. States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-20, January.
    14. Jun Zhang, 2024. "Tourism development and housing price: An interplay," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(5), pages 1095-1114, August.
    15. Yener Coskun & Nicholas Apergis & Esra Alp Coskun, 2022. "Nonlinear responses of consumption to wealth, income, and interest rate shocks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 1293-1335, September.
    16. Tsangyao Chang & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "The Causal Relationship between House Prices and Economic Growth in the Nine Provinces of South Africa: Evidence from Panel-Granger Causality Tests," Working Papers 201317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Njindan Iyke, Bernard, 2015. "Assessing the Effects of Housing Market Shocks on Output: The Case of South Africa," MPRA Paper 69610, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Feb 2016.
    18. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Testing for persistence with breaks and outliers in South African house prices," NCID Working Papers 01/2013, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    19. Apergis, Nicholas & Bouras, Christos & Christou, Christina & Hassapis, Christis, 2018. "Multi-horizon wealth effects across the G7 economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 165-176.
    20. Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Kanyane Matlou, 2013. "A Time-Varying Approach to Analysing Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices in South Africa," Working Papers 201303, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Alexander Zimper, 2014. "The minimal confidence levels of Basel capital regulation," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 15(2), pages 129-143, April.
    22. Ibrahim, Mansor H., 2019. "Oil and macro-financial linkages: Evidence from the GCC countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 1-13.
    23. Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Mehmet Balcilar & Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Causal relationship between asset prices and output in the US: Evidence from state-level panel Granger causality test," Working Papers 201411, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Components of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Predictability of US Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantile Approach," Working Papers 201639, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    25. Zhou, Qiuyang, 2024. "Does the digital economy promote the consumption structure upgrading of urban residents? Evidence from Chinese cities," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 543-551.

  638. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Monique Reid & Christian K. Tipoy & Mulatu F. Zerihun, 2012. "Real Interest Rate Persistence in South Africa: Evidence and Implications," Working Papers 201204, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Mark E. Wohar, 2022. "Is Real Interest Rate a Monetary Phenomenon in Advanced Economies? Time-Varying Evidence from Over 700 Years of Data," Working Papers 202245, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Soon, Siew-Voon & Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Mohamad Shariff, Nurul Sima, 2017. "The persistence in real interest rates: Does it solve the intertemporal consumption behavior puzzle?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 36-51.
    3. Peter Josef Stauvermann & Ronald Ravinesh Kumar & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Nikeel N. Kumar, 2018. "Effect of tourism on economic growth of Sri Lanka: accounting for capital per worker, exchange rate and structural breaks," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 51(1), pages 49-68, February.
    4. Mishra, Ankita & Moosa, Imad A. & Tawadros, George B. & Mishra, Vinod, 2023. "The effect of political and bureaucratic regime changes on Australia's real interest rate," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 124-136.
    5. Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Ruth Omotosho & Festus Victor Bekun, 2024. "Interest Rate Volatility and Economic Growth in Nigeria: New Insight from the Quantile Autoregressive Distributed Lag (QARDL) Model," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(4), pages 20172-20195, December.
    6. Bernard Njindan Iyke & Sin-Yu Ho, 2020. "The effects of transitory and permanent inflation uncertainty on investment in Ghana," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 195-217, February.
    7. Wen-Yi Chen & Tsangyao Chang & Yu-Hui Lin, 2018. "Investigating the Persistence of Suicide in the United States: Evidence from the Quantile Unit Root Test," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 135(2), pages 813-833, January.

  639. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "The Out-of-Sample Forecasting Performance of Non-Linear Models of Regional Housing Prices in the US," Working Papers 15-27, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "High-Frequency Volatility Forecasting of US Housing Markets," Working Papers 201977, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Papadimitriou, Theophilos & Gogas, Periklis, 2014. "Forecasting the U.S. Real House Price Index," DUTH Research Papers in Economics 10-2014, Democritus University of Thrace, Department of Economics.
    3. Kyriazakou, Eleni & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2017. "Causality analysis of the Canadian city house price indices: A cross-sample validation approach," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 42-52.
    4. Kishor, N. Kundan, 2023. "Forecasting House Prices: The Role of Fundamentals, Credit Conditions, and Supply Indicators," MPRA Paper 116819, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Laurynas Narusevicius & Tomas Ramanauskas & Laura Gudauskaitė & Tomas Reichenbachas, 2019. "Lithuanian house price index: modelling and forecasting," Bank of Lithuania Occasional Paper Series 28, Bank of Lithuania.
    6. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2020. "Forecasting State- and MSA-Level Housing Returns of the US: The Role of Mortgage Default Risks," Working Papers 202037, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. George Milunovich, 2020. "Forecasting Australia's real house price index: A comparison of time series and machine learning methods," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(7), pages 1098-1118, November.
    8. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Alessandra Canepa & Emilio Zanetti Chini & Huthaifa Alqaralleh, 2022. "Global Cities and Local Challenges: Booms and Busts in the London Real Estate Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 1-29, January.
    10. McGurk, Zachary, 2020. "US real estate inflation prediction: Exchange rates and net foreign assets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 53-66.
    11. Patrick T. kanda & Mehmet Balcilar & Pejman Bahramian & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Forecasting South African Inflation Using Non-Linear Models: A Weighted Loss-Based Evaluation," Working Papers 201416, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Fernando Perez de Gracia, 2016. "Persistence, mean reversion and non-linearities in the US housing prices over 1830--2013," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(34), pages 3244-3252, July.
    13. Christophe Andre & Rangan Gupta & John W. Muteba Mwamba, 2016. "Are Housing Price Cycles Asymmetric? Evidence from the US States and Metropolitan Areas," Working Papers 201635, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Canepa, Alessandra & Alqaralleh, Huthaifa, 2019. "Housing Market Cycles in Large Urban Areas," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 201903, University of Turin.
    15. Alessandra Canepa & Emilio Zanetti Chini & Huthaifa Alqaralleh, 2020. "Global Cities and Local Housing Market Cycles," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 671-697, November.
    16. Mobeen Ur Rehman & Sajid Ali & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2020. "Asymmetric Nonlinear Impact of Oil Prices and Inflation on Residential Property Prices: a Case of US, UK and Canada," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 39-54, June.
    17. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Wendy Nyakabawo, 2018. "Predicting Aggregate and State-Level US House Price Volatility: The Role of Sentiment," Working Papers 201866, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  640. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar, 2011. "Reconsidering the Welfare Cost of Inflation in the US: A Nonparametric Estimation of the Nonlinear Long-Run Money Demand Equation using Projection Pursuit Regressions," Working Papers 201114, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Qiang & Zhan, Lina, 2019. "Assessing the sustainability of the shale gas industry by combining DPSIRM model and RAGA-PP techniques: An empirical analysis of Sichuan and Chongqing, China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 353-364.
    2. Miller, Stephen M. & Martins, Luis Filipe & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "A Time-Varying Approach Of The Us Welfare Cost Of Inflation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(2), pages 775-797, March.
    3. Matteo Mogliani & Giovanni Urga, 2018. "On the Instability of Long‐Run Money Demand and the Welfare Cost of Inflation in the United States," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(7), pages 1645-1660, October.
    4. Dong Liu & Chunlei Liu & Qiang Fu & Tianxiao Li & Muhammad Imran Khan & Song Cui & Muhammad Abrar Faiz, 2018. "Projection Pursuit Evaluation Model of Regional Surface Water Environment Based on Improved Chicken Swarm Optimization Algorithm," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(4), pages 1325-1342, March.
    5. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Karmakar, Sayar & Wohar, Mark E., 2023. "Are real interest rates a monetary phenomenon? Evidence from 700 years of data," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    6. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Majid Maki-Nayeri, 2018. "Asymmetric Effects of Policy Uncertainty on the Demand for Money in the United States," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-13, December.
    7. Helmut Herwartz & Jordi Sardà & Bernd Theilen, 2016. "Money demand and the shadow economy: empirical evidence from OECD countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(4), pages 1627-1645, June.

  641. Mehmet Balcilar & Abebe D. Beyene & Rangan Gupta & Monaheng Seleteng, 2011. ""Ripple" Effects in South African House Prices," Working Papers 201102, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2011. "Relationship between House Prices and Inflation in South Africa: An ARDL Approach," Working Papers 201130, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Tsangyao Chang & Tsung-Pao Wu & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Are house prices in South Africa really nonstationary? Evidence from SPSM-based panel KSS test with a Fourier function," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(1), pages 32-53, January.
    3. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Testing for persistence with breaks and outliers in South African house prices," NCID Working Papers 01/2013, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    4. Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Convergence in Provincial-Level South African House Prices: Evidence from the Club Convergence and Clustering Procedure," Working Papers 201322, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Manoel Bittencourt & Rangan Gupta, 2011. "House Prices and Economic Growth in South Africa: Evidence from Provincial-Level Data," Working Papers 201116, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  642. Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise & Josine Uwilingiye, 2011. "Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Predictability in South Africa: Evidence from a Large Number of Predictors," Working Papers 201122, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Lyu, Zhichong & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Jixiang, 2023. "Oil futures volatility prediction: Bagging or combination?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 457-467.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mampho P. Modise & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2013. "Can Economic Uncertainty, Financial Stress and Consumer Sentiments Predict U.S. Equity Premium?," Working Papers 201351, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Apergis, Nicholas & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Can (unusual) weather conditions in New York predict South African stock returns?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 377-386.
    4. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2020. "Volatility forecasting with bivariate multifractal models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 155-167, March.
    5. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2012. "Structural Breaks and Predictive Regressions Models of South African Equity Premium," Working Papers 201209, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Do Bivariate Multifractal Models Improve Volatility Forecasting in Financial Time Series? An Application to Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets," Working Papers 201728, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Kutan, Ali M. & Shi, Yukun & Wei, Mingzhe & Zhao, Yang, 2018. "Does the introduction of index futures stabilize stock markets? Further evidence from emerging markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 183-197.
    9. Qureshi, Fiza & Kutan, Ali M. & Ismail, Izlin & Gee, Chan Sok, 2017. "Mutual funds and stock market volatility: An empirical analysis of Asian emerging markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 176-192.
    10. Nicholas Apergis & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Can Weather Conditions in New York Predict South African Stock Returns?," Working Papers 201634, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  643. Esti van Wyk de Vries & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2011. "Intertemporal portfolio allocation and hedging demand: An application to South Africa," Working Papers 201133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ali Babikir & Henry Mwambi, 2016. "Evaluating the combined forecasts of the dynamic factor model and the artificial neural network model using linear and nonlinear combining methods," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(4), pages 1541-1556, December.
    2. Spierdijk, Laura & Umar, Zaghum, 2014. "Stocks for the long run? Evidence from emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 217-238.

  644. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Manoel Bittencourt & Rangan Gupta, 2011. "House Prices and Economic Growth in South Africa: Evidence from Provincial-Level Data," Working Papers 201116, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Wendy Nyakabawo & Stephen M. Miller & Mehmet Balcilar & Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Temporal Causality between House Prices and Output in the U. S.: A Bootstrap Rolling-Window Approach," Working Papers 201329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Tsangyao Chang & Wen-Chi Liu & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Are there housing bubbles in South Africa? Evidence from SPSM-based panel KSS test with a Fourier function," Global Business and Economics Review, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 18(5), pages 517-532.
    3. Tsangyao Chang & Tsung-Pao Wu & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Are house prices in South Africa really nonstationary? Evidence from SPSM-based panel KSS test with a Fourier function," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(1), pages 32-53, January.
    4. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Adel Bosch & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Housing and the Business Cycle in South Africa," Working Papers 15-22, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    5. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2012. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience," Working Papers 1211, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    6. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Monique Reid & Goodness C. Aye, 2012. "Is The Relationship Between Monetary Policy And House Prices Asymmetric In South Africa? Evidence From A Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201222, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta & Manoel Bittencourt, 2013. "The Impact of House Prices on Consumption in South Africa: Evidence from Provincial-Level Panel VARs," Housing Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(8), pages 1133-1154, November.
    8. Simo-Kengne, Beatrice D. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Reid, Monique & Aye, Goodness C., 2013. "Is the relationship between monetary policy and house prices asymmetric across bull and bear markets in South Africa? Evidence from a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 161-171.
    9. Tsangyao Chang & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "The Causal Relationship between House Prices and Economic Growth in the Nine Provinces of South Africa: Evidence from Panel-Granger Causality Tests," Working Papers 201317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Testing for persistence with breaks and outliers in South African house prices," NCID Working Papers 01/2013, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    11. Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Kanyane Matlou, 2013. "A Time-Varying Approach to Analysing Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices in South Africa," Working Papers 201303, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Alexander Zimper, 2014. "The minimal confidence levels of Basel capital regulation," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 15(2), pages 129-143, April.

  645. Riane de Bruyn & Rangan Gupta & Lardo stander, 2011. "Testing the Monetary Model for Exchange Rate Determination in South Africa: Evidence from 101 Years of Data," Working Papers 201134, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Hizir Sofyan & M. Shabri Abd. Majid & Moh. Rizky Rahmanda, 2019. "Modeling Dynamic Causalities between the Indonesian Rupiah and Forex Markets of ASEAN, Japan and Europe," Contemporary Economics, Vizja University, vol. 13(1), March.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark Wohar, 2015. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201599, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Bahar Erdal, 2018. "Monetary Approach to Exchange Rate Determination under Flexible Exchange Rate Regime: Empirical Evidence from Turkey," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 8(3), pages 1-1.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2014. "Is the Rand Really Decoupled from Economic Fundamentals?," Working Papers 201439, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Manoel Bittencourt & Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander, 2013. "Tax evasion, financial development and inflation: theory and empirical evidence," Working Papers 201316, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Hyeyoen Kim & Doojin Ryu, 2013. "Forecasting Exchange Rate from Combination Taylor Rule Fundamental," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(S4), pages 81-92, September.
    7. Danglun Luo & Qianwei Ying, 2014. "Political Connections and Bank Lines of Credit," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(03), pages 5-21, May.
    8. Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander & Andrea Vaona, 2023. "Openness and growth: Is the relationship non‐linear?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3071-3099, July.
    9. Yu Hsing, 2016. "Determinants of the ZAR/USD exchange rate and policy implications: A simultaneous-equation model," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1151131-115, December.
    10. Tomáš Bunčák, 2016. "Exchange Rates Forecasting: Can Jump Models Combined with Macroeconomic Fundamentals Help?," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2016(5), pages 527-546.
    11. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Monique Reid & Christian Tipoy & Mulatu Zerihun, 2014. "Real interest rate persistence in South Africa: evidence and implications," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 41-62, February.
    12. Abd. Majid, M. Shabri & Sofyan, Hizir & Rahmanda, Moh. Rizky, 2018. "Dynamic Interdependence of the Indonesian Rupiah with the ASEAN and the World Largest Forex Markets," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 52(1), pages 57-66.
    13. Riane de Bruyn & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2013. "Forecasting The Rand-Dollar And Rand-Pound Exchange Rates Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Papers 201307, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Ibhagui, Oyakhilome W., 2019. "Does the long-run monetary model hold for Sub-Saharan Africa? A time series and panel-cointegration study," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 279-303.
    15. Syed Ali Raza & Sahar Afshan, 2017. "Determinants of Exchange Rate in Pakistan: Revisited with Structural Break Testing," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 18(4), pages 825-848, August.

  646. Rangan Gupta & Faaiqa Hartley, 2011. "The Role of Asset Prices in Forecasting Inflation and Output in South Africa," Working Papers 201115, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kola Akinsomi & Mehmet Balcilar & Rıza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "The Effect of Gold Market Speculation on REIT Returns in South Africa: A Behavioral Perspective," Working Papers 201643, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Papadimitriou, Theophilos & Gogas, Periklis, 2014. "Forecasting the U.S. Real House Price Index," DUTH Research Papers in Economics 10-2014, Democritus University of Thrace, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Open Access publications 10197/7351, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    4. Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Uzuner, Gizem & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Housing sector and economic policy uncertainty: A GMM panel VAR approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 114-126.
    5. Gupta, Rangan & Modise, Mampho P., 2013. "Macroeconomic Variables and South African Stock Return Predictability," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 612-622.
    6. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Nicholas Kilimani & Amandine Nakumuryango & Siobhan Redford, 2014. "Predicting BRICS stock returns using ARFIMA models," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(17), pages 1159-1166, September.
    7. Tsangyao Chang & Tsung-Pao Wu & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Are house prices in South Africa really nonstationary? Evidence from SPSM-based panel KSS test with a Fourier function," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(1), pages 32-53, January.
    8. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Adel Bosch & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Housing and the Business Cycle in South Africa," Working Papers 15-22, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    9. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2012. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience," Working Papers 1211, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    10. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Rudi Steinbach, 2020. "Forecasting output growth using a DSGE-based decomposition of the South African yield curve," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 351-378, January.
    11. Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Mehmet Bacilar & Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Causal Relationship between Asset Prices and Output in the United States: Evidence from the State-Level Panel Granger Causality Test," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(10), pages 1728-1741, October.
    12. Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise & Josine Uwilingiye, 2011. "Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Predictability in South Africa: Evidence from a Large Number of Predictors," Working Papers 201122, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Forecasting house prices for the four census regions and the aggregate US economy in a data-rich environment," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(33), pages 4677-4697, November.
    14. Zhuqing Liu & Jiadong Tong, 2023. "Housing Boom, Dutch Disease, and the Decline in China's Manufacturing Exports," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 31(3), pages 205-229, May.
    15. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "How do Housing Returns in Emerging Countries Respond to Oil Shocks? A MIDAS Touch," Working Papers 201946, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Patrick T. kanda & Mehmet Balcilar & Pejman Bahramian & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Forecasting South African Inflation Using Non-Linear Models: A Weighted Loss-Based Evaluation," Working Papers 201416, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Gupta, Rangan & Huber, Florian & Piribauer, Philipp, 2020. "Predicting international equity returns: Evidence from time-varying parameter vector autoregressive models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    19. Gupta, Rangan & Kanda, Patrick T., 2015. "Does the Price of Oil Help Predict Inflation in South Africa? Historical Evidence Using a Frequency Domain Approach. - Il prezzo del petrolio predice l’inflazione in Sud Africa? Evidenza storica attra," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 68(4), pages 451-467.
    20. Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2013. "Does the Source of Oil Price Shocks Matter for South African Stock Returns? A Structural VAR Approach," Working Papers 201318, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Satish Kumar & Vinodh Madhavan & Riya Sureka, 2020. "The Journal of Emerging Market Finance: A Bibliometric Overview (2002–2019)," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 19(3), pages 326-352, December.
    22. Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Mehmet Balcilar & Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Causal relationship between asset prices and output in the US: Evidence from state-level panel Granger causality test," Working Papers 201411, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Forecasting House Prices for the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy: The Role of a Data-Rich Environment," Working Papers 201214, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Mehmet Balcilar & Abebe Beyene & Rangan Gupta & Monaheng Seleteng, 2013. "‘Ripple’ Effects in South African House Prices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 50(5), pages 876-894, April.
    25. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of Oil Shocks in a Small Open Economy New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for South Africa," Working Papers 201652, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  647. Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2011. "Relationship between House Prices and Inflation in South Africa: An ARDL Approach," Working Papers 201130, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta & Manoel Bittencourt, 2013. "The Impact of House Prices on Consumption in South Africa: Evidence from Provincial-Level Panel VARs," Housing Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(8), pages 1133-1154, November.
    2. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Testing for persistence with breaks and outliers in South African house prices," NCID Working Papers 01/2013, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.

  648. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2011. "Long- and Short-Run Relationships between House and Stock Prices in South Africa: A Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201136, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Tsangyao Chang & Xiao-lin Li & Stephen M. Miller & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "The Co-Movement and Causality between the U.S. Real Estate and Stock Markets in the Time and Frequency Domains," Working Papers 201365, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Ding, Haoyuan & Chong, Terence Tai-leung & Park, Sung Y., 2014. "Nonlinear dependence between stock and real estate markets in China," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(3), pages 526-529.
    3. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2012. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience," Working Papers 1211, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    4. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Testing for persistence with breaks and outliers in South African house prices," NCID Working Papers 01/2013, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Kanyane Matlou, 2013. "A Time-Varying Approach to Analysing Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices in South Africa," Working Papers 201303, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Alexander Zimper, 2014. "The minimal confidence levels of Basel capital regulation," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 15(2), pages 129-143, April.
    7. Hao, Jing & He, Feng, 2018. "Univariate dependence among sectors in Chinese stock market and systemic risk implication," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 510(C), pages 355-364.

  649. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller & Josine Uwilingiye, 2011. "Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Sectoral Employment," Working Papers 1106, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Faaiqa Hartley, 2013. "The Role of Asset Prices in Forecasting Inflation and Output in South Africa," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 12(3), pages 239-291, December.
    3. Hossein Hassani & Zara Ghodsi & Rangan Gupta & Mawuli K. Segnon, 2014. "Forecasting Home Sales in the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy Using Singular Spectrum Analysis," Working Papers 201482, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Hassani, Hossein & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Gupta, Rangan & Das, Sonali, 2018. "Predicting global temperature anomaly: A definitive investigation using an ensemble of twelve competing forecasting models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 121-139.

  650. Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2011. "Macroeconomic Variables and South African Stock Return Predictability," Working Papers 201107, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Konstantin Makrelov & Channing Arndt & Rob Davies & Laurence Harris, 2018. "Stock-and-flow-consistent macroeconomic model for South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2018-7, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. Makrelov, Konstantin & Arndt, Channing & Davies, Rob & Harris, Laurence, 2020. "Balance sheet changes and the impact of financial sector risk-taking on fiscal multipliers," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 322-343.
    3. Dinh Hoang Bach Phan & Thi Thao Nguyen Nguyen & Dat Thanh Nguyen, 2019. "A Study Of Indonesia’S Stock Market: How Predictable Is It?," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 21(12th BMEB), pages 465-476, January.
    4. Yu Hsing, 2011. "The Stock Market and Macroeconomic Variables in a BRICS Country and Policy Implications," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 1(1), pages 12-18.
    5. Apergis, Nicholas & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Can (unusual) weather conditions in New York predict South African stock returns?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 377-386.
    6. Adeabah, David & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2023. "How far have we come and where should we go after 30+ years of research on Africa's emerging financial markets? A systematic review and a bibliometric network analysis," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    7. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2020. "Volatility forecasting with bivariate multifractal models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 155-167, March.
    8. Donald A. Otieno & Rose W. Ngugi & Peter W. Muriu, 2019. "The impact of inflation rate on stock market returns: evidence from Kenya," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 43(1), pages 73-90, January.
    9. Juan Benjamín Duarte Duarte & Juan Manuel Mascare?nas Pérez-Iñigo, 2014. "Comprobación de la eficiencia débil en los principales mercados financieros latinoamericanos," Estudios Gerenciales, Universidad Icesi, November.
    10. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Liu, Ruipeng, 2018. "A new GARCH model with higher moments for stock return predictability," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 93-103.
    11. Isma Zaighum, 2014. "Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on Non-financial firms Stock Returns: Evidence from Sectorial Study of KSE-100 Index," Journal of Management Sciences, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 1(1), pages 35-48, March.
    12. Algaba, Andres & Boudt, Kris, 2017. "Generalized financial ratios to predict the equity premium," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 244-257.
    13. Donald A. Otieno & Rose W. Ngugi & Nelson H. W. Wawire, 2017. "Effects of Interest Rate on Stock Market Returns in Kenya," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(8), pages 40-50, August.
    14. Muhammad Ali Nasir & Muhammad Shahbaz & Trinh Thi Mai & Moade Shubita, 2021. "Development of Vietnamese stock market: Influence of domestic macroeconomic environment and regional markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1435-1458, January.
    15. Chen-Yin Kuo, 2018. "Are the forecast errors of stock prices related to the degree of accounting conservatism?," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 8(6), pages 1-9.
    16. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Do Bivariate Multifractal Models Improve Volatility Forecasting in Financial Time Series? An Application to Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets," Working Papers 201728, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Molefhi, Koketso, 2021. "The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Capital Market Development in Botswana’s Economy," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 9(2), April.
    18. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Narayan, Seema, 2018. "Technology-investing countries and stock return predictability," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 159-179.
    19. Juan Benjamín Duarte Duarte & Juan Manuel Mascareñas Pérez-Iñigo, 2014. "¿Han sido los mercados bursátiles eficientes informacionalmente?," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, June.
    20. Lóránd István KRÁLIK, 2012. "Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Market Evolution," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 60(2), pages 197-203, May.
    21. Babajide Abiola Ayopo & Lawal Adedoyin Isola & Somoye Russel Olukayode, 2016. "Stock Market Response to Economic Growth and Interest Rate Volatility: Evidence from Nigeria," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(1), pages 354-360.
    22. Thach Pham & Deepa Bannigidadmath & Robert Powell, 2025. "Industry return predictability using health policy uncertainty," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-42, December.
    23. Devpura, Neluka & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2018. "Is stock return predictability time-varying?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 152-172.
    24. Alqahtani, Abdullah & Bouri, Elie & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Predictability of GCC stock returns: The role of geopolitical risk and crude oil returns," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 239-249.
    25. Wen, Yi-Chieh & Lin, Philip T. & Li, Bin & Roca, Eduardo, 2015. "Stock return predictability in South Africa: The role of major developed markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 257-265.
    26. Jacques Peeperkorn & Yudhvir Seetharam, 2016. "A learning-augmented approach to pricing risk in South Africa," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 6(1), pages 117-139, April.
    27. Bosupeng, Mpho, 2014. "Sensitivity Of Stock Prices To Money Supply Dynamics," MPRA Paper 77924, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2014.
    28. Arora Siddharth & Little Max A. & McSharry Patrick E., 2013. "Nonlinear and nonparametric modeling approaches for probabilistic forecasting of the US gross national product," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(4), pages 395-420, September.
    29. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Bannigidadmath, Deepa, 2017. "Does Financial News Predict Stock Returns? New Evidence from Islamic and Non-Islamic Stocks," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 24-45.
    30. Nicholas Apergis & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Can Weather Conditions in New York Predict South African Stock Returns?," Working Papers 201634, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  651. Rangan Gupta, 2010. "Production Lags and Growth Dynamics in an Overlapping Generations Endogenous Growth Model," Working Papers 201024, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander, 2014. "Endogenous Fluctuations in an Endogenous Growth Model with Inflation Targeting," Working Papers 201432, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  652. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Patrick T Kanda, 2010. "Bubbles in South African House Prices and their Impact on Consumption," Working Papers 201017, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Vittorio Peretti & Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2012. "Do House Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate in South Africa? Evidence from a Time-Varying Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201216, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Peter C.B. Phillips & Shu-Ping Shi, 2014. "Financial Bubble Implosion," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1967, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    3. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Periodically Collapsing Bubbles in the South African Stock Market," Working Papers 201624, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2011. "Relationship between House Prices and Inflation in South Africa: An ARDL Approach," Working Papers 201130, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Gupta, Rangan & Modise, Mampho P., 2013. "Macroeconomic Variables and South African Stock Return Predictability," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 612-622.
    6. Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "The Long-Run Relationship between Consumption, House Prices and Stock Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Provincial-Level Data," Working Papers 201326, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Adel Bosch & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Housing and the Business Cycle in South Africa," Working Papers 15-22, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    8. Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2010. "South African Stock Return Predictability in the Context of Data Mining: The Role of Financial Variables and International Stock Returns," Working Papers 201027, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2012. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience," Working Papers 1211, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    10. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Monique Reid & Goodness C. Aye, 2012. "Is The Relationship Between Monetary Policy And House Prices Asymmetric In South Africa? Evidence From A Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201222, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2020. "Housing market spillovers in South Africa: evidence from an estimated small open economy DSGE model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2309-2332, May.
    12. Paetz, Michael & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "Stock Price Dynamics and the Business Cycle in an Estimated DSGE Model for South Africa," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series 18, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory.
    13. Peter C. B. Phillips & Shu-Ping Shi & Jun Yu, 2013. "Testing for Multiple Bubbles 2: Limit Theory of Real Time Detectors," Working Papers CoFie-04-2013, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics.
    14. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta & Manoel Bittencourt, 2013. "The Impact of House Prices on Consumption in South Africa: Evidence from Provincial-Level Panel VARs," Housing Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(8), pages 1133-1154, November.
    15. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2012. "Do Stock Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate in South Africa? Evidence from a Time-Varying Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201224, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Simo-Kengne, Beatrice D. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Reid, Monique & Aye, Goodness C., 2013. "Is the relationship between monetary policy and house prices asymmetric across bull and bear markets in South Africa? Evidence from a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 161-171.
    17. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Testing for persistence with breaks and outliers in South African house prices," NCID Working Papers 01/2013, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    18. Christophe André & Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda, 2012. "Do House Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate?: Evidence from OECD Countries Using an Agnostic Identification Procedure," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 947, OECD Publishing.
    19. Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Kanyane Matlou, 2013. "A Time-Varying Approach to Analysing Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices in South Africa," Working Papers 201303, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    20. Alexander Zimper, 2014. "The minimal confidence levels of Basel capital regulation," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 15(2), pages 129-143, April.
    21. Christophe André & Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Mulatu F. Zerihun, 2017. "Asymmetric Behaviour in Nominal and Real Housing Prices: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Economies," Working Papers 201711, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Manoel Bittencourt & Rangan Gupta, 2011. "House Prices and Economic Growth in South Africa: Evidence from Provincial-Level Data," Working Papers 201116, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Components of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Predictability of US Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantile Approach," Working Papers 201639, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Alain Kaninda & Wendy Nyakabawo & Aarifah Razak, 2013. "House Price, Stock Price and Consumption in South Africa: A Structural VAR Approach," Working Papers 201309, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  653. Ali Babikir & Rangan Gupta & Chance Mwabutwa & Emmanuel Owusu-Sekyere, 2010. "Structural Breaks and GARCH Models of Stock Return Volatility: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 201030, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Bo & Xiao, Yang, 2023. "Risk spillovers from China's and the US stock markets during high-volatility periods: Evidence from East Asianstock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    2. Salisu, Afees A. & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Lucey, Brian, 2021. "Gold and US sectoral stocks during COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    3. Cakan Esin & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Does the US. macroeconomic news make the South African stock market riskier?," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 51(4), pages 17-27, October-D.
    4. Kolte, Ashutosh & Roy, Jewel Kumar & Vasa, László, 2023. "The impact of unpredictable resource prices and equity volatility in advanced and emerging economies: An econometric and machine learning approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    5. Mesias Alfeus & Justin Harvey & Phuthehang Maphatsoe, 2025. "Improving realised volatility forecast for emerging markets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 49(1), pages 299-342, March.
    6. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Nicholas Kilimani & Amandine Nakumuryango & Siobhan Redford, 2014. "Predicting BRICS stock returns using ARFIMA models," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(17), pages 1159-1166, September.
    7. Ye Fan & Zhicheng Zhang & Xiaoli Zhao & Haitao Yin, 2018. "Interaction between Industrial Policy and Stock Price Volatility: Evidence from China’s Power Market Reform," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-19, May.
    8. Gabriel Rodríguez & Junior A. Ojeda Cunya & José Carlos Gonzáles Tanaka, 2019. "An empirical note about estimation and forecasting Latin American Forex returns volatility: the role of long memory and random level shifts components," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 18(2), pages 107-123, June.
    9. Reza, Md. Ridwan & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Regime switching behavior of volatilities of Islamic equities: evidence from Markov- Switching GARCH models for some selected broad based indices," MPRA Paper 82123, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Tao Xiong & Yukun Bao & Zhongyi Hu, 2014. "Multiple-output support vector regression with a firefly algorithm for interval-valued stock price index forecasting," Papers 1401.1916, arXiv.org.
    11. Tse, Chin-Bun & Rodgers, Timothy & Niklewski, Jacek, 2014. "The 2007 financial crisis and the UK residential housing market: Did the relationship between interest rates and house prices change?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 518-530.
    12. King, Daniel & Botha, Ferdi, 2015. "Modelling stock return volatility dynamics in selected African markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 50-73.
    13. Ezzat, Hassan, 2013. "Long Memory Processes and Structural Breaks in Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from the Egyptian Exchange," MPRA Paper 51465, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Pramod Kumar Naik & Rangan Gupta & Puja Padhi, 2018. "The Relationship Between Stock Market Volatility And Trading Volume: Evidence From South Africa," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 52(1), pages 99-114, January-M.
    15. Bala A. Dahiru & Pam W. Jim & Kalu N. Nwonyuku, 2017. "Equity markets volatility dynamics in developed and newly emerging economies: EGARCH-with-skewed-t density approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(4), pages 2394-2412.
    16. Afees A. Salisu & Kingsley Obiora, 2021. "COVID-19 pandemic and the crude oil market risk: hedging options with non-energy financial innovations," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-19, December.
    17. Lyu, Yongjian & Wang, Peng & Wei, Yu & Ke, Rui, 2017. "Forecasting the VaR of crude oil market: Do alternative distributions help?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 523-534.
    18. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2018. "Forecasting (Good and Bad) Realized Exchange-Rate Volatility: Is there a Role for Realized Skewness and Kurtosis?," Working Papers 201879, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Malay K. Dey & Chaoyan Wang, 2022. "Asymmetric volume volatility causality in dual listing H-shares," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(5), pages 419-428, September.
    20. Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Equity Market Volatility of the United Kingdom: Evidence from over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201851, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Oil shocks and stock market volatility of the BRICS: A GARCH-MIDAS approach," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    22. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2022. "Forecasting stock market (realized) volatility in the United Kingdom: Is there a role of inequality?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2146-2152, April.
    23. Muhammad Ahsanuddin & Tayyab Raza Fraz & Samreen Fatima, 2019. "Studying the Volatility of Pakistan Stock Exchange and Shanghai Stock Exchange Markets in the Light of CPEC: An Application of GARCH and EGARCH Modelling," International Journal of Sciences, Office ijSciences, vol. 8(03), pages 125-132, March.
    24. Zhang, Bo & Wang, Jun & Fang, Wen, 2015. "Volatility behavior of visibility graph EMD financial time series from Ising interacting system," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 432(C), pages 301-314.
    25. Lamine Diane & Pradeep Brijlal, 2024. "Forecasting Stock Market Realized Volatility using Random Forest and Artificial Neural Network in South Africa," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(2), pages 5-14, March.
    26. Zhang, Heng-Guo & Su, Chi-Wei & Song, Yan & Qiu, Shuqi & Xiao, Ran & Su, Fei, 2017. "Calculating Value-at-Risk for high-dimensional time series using a nonlinear random mapping model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 355-367.
    27. Kejin Wu & Sayar Karmakar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century in an Emerging Market Economy: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 202326, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  654. Kafayat Amusa & Rangan Gupta & Shaakira Karolia & Beatrice D. Simo Kengne, 2010. "The Long-Run Impact of Inflation in South Africa," Working Papers 201029, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Open Access publications 10197/7351, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    2. O. Evans, 2019. "Money, Inflation and Output in Nigeria and South Africa: Could Friedman and Schwartz Be Right?," Journal of African Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 392-406, July.
    3. Dube, Smile, 2016. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through (ERPT) and Inflation-Targeting (IT): Evidence from South Africa - Exchange rate pass-through and inflation targeting: evidenze dal Sud Africa," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 69(2), pages 121-150.
    4. Adnen Ben Nasr & Mehmet Balcilar & Ahdi N. Ajmi & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Reneé van Eyden, 2014. "Causality between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in South Africa: Evidence from a Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201453, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Mark E. Wohar, 2022. "Is Real Interest Rate a Monetary Phenomenon in Advanced Economies? Time-Varying Evidence from Over 700 Years of Data," Working Papers 202245, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Monique Reid & Christian Tipoy & Mulatu Zerihun, 2014. "Real interest rate persistence in South Africa: evidence and implications," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 41-62, February.
    7. Eugene Msizi Buthelezi, 2023. "Impact of Inflation in Different States of Unemployment: Evidence with the Phillips Curve in South Africa from 2008 to 2022," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, January.
    8. Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo & Simo-Kengne, Beatrice Desiree, 2017. "Inflation and output growth dynamics in South Africa: Evidence from the Markov switching vector auto-regression model," MPRA Paper 77286, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mampho Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "DGSE Model-Based Forecasting of Modeled and Non-Modeled Inflation Variables in South Africa," Working Papers 259, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2013.
    10. Ndou, Eliphas & Gumata, Nombulelo, 2024. "Should the South African Reserve Bank lower the inflation target band? Insights from the GDP-inflation nexus," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 638-654.

  655. Rangan Gupta & Rudi Steinbach, 2010. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy: A Small Open Economy New Keynesian DSGE-VAR Model," Working Papers 201019, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mirriam Chitalu Chama-Chiliba & Rangan Gupta & Nonophile Nkambule & Naomi Tlotlego, 2011. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Papers 201132, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Annari Waal & Reneé Eyden, 2014. "Monetary policy and inflation in South Africa: A VECM augmented with foreign variables," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 82(1), pages 117-140, March.
    3. Sami Alpanda & Kevin Kotzé & Geoffrey Woglom, 2011. "Forecasting Performance Of An Estimated Dsge Model For The South African Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 79(1), pages 50-67, March.
    4. Patrick T. kanda & Mehmet Balcilar & Pejman Bahramian & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Forecasting South African Inflation Using Non-Linear Models: A Weighted Loss-Based Evaluation," Working Papers 201416, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  656. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen Miller, 2010. "Forecasting Nevada Gross Gaming Revenue and Taxable Sales Using Coincident and Leading Employment Indexes," Working Papers 15-01, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2015. "Was the recent downturn in US real GDP predictable?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(28), pages 2985-3007, June.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?," Working Papers 201230, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Forecasting House Prices for the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy: The Role of a Data-Rich Environment," Working Papers 201214, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  657. Rangan Gupta & Cobus Vermeulen, 2010. "Private and Public Health Expenditures in an Endogenous Growth Model with Inflation Targeting," Working Papers 201001, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Philton Makena, 2018. "Why must it always be so Real with Tax Evasion?," Working Papers 201872, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Bittencourt, Manoel & Gupta, Rangan & Makena, Philton & Stander, Lardo, 2022. "Socio-political instability and growth dynamics," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(4).
    3. Rangan Gupta & Philton Makena, 2020. "Growth Dynamics, Multiple Equilibria, and Local Indeterminacy in an Endogenous Growth Model of Money, Banking and Inflation Targeting," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-14, March.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander & Andrea Vaona, 2023. "Openness and growth: Is the relationship non‐linear?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3071-3099, July.
    5. Gupta, Rangan & Stander, Lardo, 2018. "Endogenous fluctuations in an endogenous growth model: An analysis of inflation targeting as a policy," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 1-8.
    6. Wang, Chan, 2012. "A very preliminary survey on growth and development," MPRA Paper 39037, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander, 2014. "Endogenous Fluctuations in an Endogenous Growth Model with Inflation Targeting," Working Papers 201432, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Shuyun May Li & Solmaz Moslehi & Siew Ling Yew, 2012. "Public-Private Mix of Health Expenditure: A Political Economy Approach and A Quantitative Exercise," Monash Economics Working Papers 11-12, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    9. Shuyun May Li & Solmaz Moslehi & Siew Ling Yew, 2016. "Publicprivate mix of health expenditure: A political economy and quantitative analysis," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 49(2), pages 834-866, May.
    10. Rangan Gupta & Sarah Nandnaba & Wei Jiang, 2024. "Climate Change and Growth Dynamics," Working Papers 202404, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  658. Riona Arjoon & Mariette Botes & Laban K. Chesang & Rangan Gupta, 2010. "The Long-Run Relationship between Inflation and Real Stock Prices: Empirical Evidence from South Africa," Working Papers 201028, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Phiri, Andrew, 2016. "Long run equilibrium adjustment between inflation and stock market returns in South Africa: A nonlinear perspective," MPRA Paper 70260, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Shawtari, Fekri Ali & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Granger-causal relationship between macroeconomic variables and stock prices: evidence from South Africa," MPRA Paper 99848, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Yu Hsing, 2011. "The Stock Market and Macroeconomic Variables in a BRICS Country and Policy Implications," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 1(1), pages 12-18.
    4. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Ur Rehman, Ijaz & Zainudin, Rozaimah, 2013. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Stock Market Capitalization in Pakistan:Fresh Evidence from Cointegration with unknown Structural breaks," MPRA Paper 52490, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 24 Dec 2013.

  659. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Zahra Shah, 2010. "An In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Empirical Investigation of the Nonlinearity in House Prices of South Africa," Working Papers 201008, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sibel Cengiz & Afsin Sahin, 2014. "Modelling nonlinear behavior of labor force participation rate by STAR: An application for Turkey," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 7(1), pages 113-127, April.
    2. Mirriam Chitalu Chama-Chiliba & Rangan Gupta & Nonophile Nkambule & Naomi Tlotlego, 2011. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Papers 201132, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Tsangyao Chang & Wen-Chi Liu & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Are there housing bubbles in South Africa? Evidence from SPSM-based panel KSS test with a Fourier function," Global Business and Economics Review, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 18(5), pages 517-532.
    4. Kyriazakou, Eleni & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2017. "Causality analysis of the Canadian city house price indices: A cross-sample validation approach," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 42-52.
    5. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "The Out-of-Sample Forecasting Performance of Non-Linear Models of Regional Housing Prices in the US," Working Papers 1209, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    6. Fuzuli Aliyev, 2019. "Testing Market Efficiency with Nonlinear Methods: Evidence from Borsa Istanbul," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-11, June.
    7. Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2011. "Relationship between House Prices and Inflation in South Africa: An ARDL Approach," Working Papers 201130, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Tsangyao Chang & Tsung-Pao Wu & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Are house prices in South Africa really nonstationary? Evidence from SPSM-based panel KSS test with a Fourier function," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(1), pages 32-53, January.
    9. Novella Maugeri, 2010. "Money Illusion and Rational Expectations: New Evidence from Well Known Survey Data," Department of Economics University of Siena 606, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
    10. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Testing for persistence with breaks and outliers in South African house prices," NCID Working Papers 01/2013, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    11. Behr,Daniela Monika & Chen,Lixue & Goel,Ankita & Haider,Khondoker Tanveer & Sandeep Singh & Zaman,Asad, 2023. "Estimating House Prices in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies : A Big Data Approach," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10301, The World Bank.
    12. Novella Maugeri, 2014. "Some Pitfalls in Smooth Transition Models Estimation: A Monte Carlo Study," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 44(3), pages 339-378, October.
    13. Tsai, I-Chun, 2019. "Relationships among regional housing markets: Evidence on adjustments of housing burden," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 309-318.
    14. Mehmet Balcilar & Abebe Beyene & Rangan Gupta & Monaheng Seleteng, 2013. "‘Ripple’ Effects in South African House Prices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 50(5), pages 876-894, April.

  660. Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2010. "South African Stock Return Predictability in the Context of Data Mining: The Role of Financial Variables and International Stock Returns," Working Papers 201027, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mampho P. Modise & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2013. "Can Economic Uncertainty, Financial Stress and Consumer Sentiments Predict U.S. Equity Premium?," Working Papers 201351, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Ali Babikir & Henry Mwambi, 2016. "Evaluating the combined forecasts of the dynamic factor model and the artificial neural network model using linear and nonlinear combining methods," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(4), pages 1541-1556, December.
    3. Apergis, Nicholas & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Can (unusual) weather conditions in New York predict South African stock returns?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 377-386.
    4. Bannigidadmath, Deepa & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2016. "Stock return predictability and determinants of predictability and profits," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 153-173.
    5. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "International Stock Return Predictability: Is the Role of U.S. Time-Varying?," Working Papers 201524, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Gupta, Rangan & Modise, Mampho P., 2013. "Macroeconomic Variables and South African Stock Return Predictability," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 612-622.
    7. Ali Babikir & Rangan Gupta & Chance Mwabutwa & Emmanuel Owusu-Sekyere, 2010. "Structural Breaks and GARCH Models of Stock Return Volatility: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 201030, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Bai, Ye & Green, Christopher J., 2020. "Country and industry factors in tests of Capital Asset Pricing Models for partially integrated emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 180-194.
    9. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Liu, Ruipeng, 2018. "A new GARCH model with higher moments for stock return predictability," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 93-103.
    10. Chen, Fu-Hsiang & Chi, Der-Jang & Wang, Yi-Cheng, 2015. "Detecting biotechnology industry's earnings management using Bayesian network, principal component analysis, back propagation neural network, and decision tree," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 1-10.
    11. Chen-Yin Kuo, 2018. "Are the forecast errors of stock prices related to the degree of accounting conservatism?," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 8(6), pages 1-9.
    12. Liao, Jui-Jung & Shih, Ching-Hui & Chen, Tai-Feng & Hsu, Ming-Fu, 2014. "An ensemble-based model for two-class imbalanced financial problem," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 175-183.
    13. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Pavitra Dhamija, 2020. "Economic Development and South Africa: 25 Years Analysis (1994 to 2019)," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(3), pages 298-322, September.
    15. Devpura, Neluka & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2018. "Is stock return predictability time-varying?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 152-172.
    16. Ahmad Hammami & Mohammad Hendijani Zadeh, 2022. "Predicting earnings management through machine learning ensemble classifiers," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1639-1660, December.
    17. Wen, Yi-Chieh & Lin, Philip T. & Li, Bin & Roca, Eduardo, 2015. "Stock return predictability in South Africa: The role of major developed markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 257-265.
    18. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Bannigidadmath, Deepa, 2017. "Does Financial News Predict Stock Returns? New Evidence from Islamic and Non-Islamic Stocks," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 24-45.

  661. Rangan Gupta & Josine Uwilingiye, 2010. "Evaluating the Welfare Cost of Inflation in a Monetary Endogenous Growth General Equilibrium Model: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 201002, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kafayat Amusa & Rangan Gupta & Shaakira Karolia & Beatrice D. Simo Kengne, 2010. "The Long-Run Impact of Inflation in South Africa," Working Papers 201029, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta, 2006. "Growth-Effects of Inflation Targeting: The Role of Financial Sector Development," Working Papers 200610, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  662. Rangan Gupta & Marius Jurgilas & Stephen M. Miller & Dylan van Wyk, 2010. "Financial Market Liberalization, Monetary Policy, and Housing Price Dynamics," Working Papers 201009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Vittorio Peretti & Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2012. "Do House Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate in South Africa? Evidence from a Time-Varying Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201216, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2012. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience," Working Papers 1211, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    3. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Monique Reid & Goodness C. Aye, 2012. "Is The Relationship Between Monetary Policy And House Prices Asymmetric In South Africa? Evidence From A Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201222, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Temitope L.A Leshoro, 2014. "Does the Repurchase Rate Affect Inflation in South Africa? An Empirical Analysis Using an Impulse Response Function," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 6(7), pages 524-531.
    5. Simo-Kengne, Beatrice D. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Reid, Monique & Aye, Goodness C., 2013. "Is the relationship between monetary policy and house prices asymmetric across bull and bear markets in South Africa? Evidence from a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 161-171.
    6. Ahdi N. Ajmi & Vassilios Babalos & Fotini Economou & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Real Estate Markets and Uncertainty Shocks: A Variance Causality Approach," Working Papers 201436, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Evolution of Monetary Policy in the US: The Role of Asset Prices," Working papers 2013-20, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2013.
    8. Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Forecasting House Prices for the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy: The Role of a Data-Rich Environment," Working Papers 201214, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  663. Rangan Gupta & Alan Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2010. "Forecasting the US Real House Price Index: Structural and Non-Structural Models with and without Fundamentals," Working Papers 1001, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2015. "Was the recent downturn in US real GDP predictable?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(28), pages 2985-3007, June.
    2. Natalia Bailey & Sean Holly & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2016. "A Two‐Stage Approach to Spatio‐Temporal Analysis with Strong and Weak Cross‐Sectional Dependence," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 249-280, January.
    3. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Papadimitriou, Theophilos & Gogas, Periklis, 2014. "Forecasting the U.S. Real House Price Index," DUTH Research Papers in Economics 10-2014, Democritus University of Thrace, Department of Economics.
    4. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Constantinos Katrakilidis & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Role of Macroeconomic Shocks on House Prices in the US and UK: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201765, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Sarah Drought & Chris McDonald, 2011. "Forecasting house price inflation: a model combination approach," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2011/07, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller & Josine Uwilingiye, 2011. "Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Sectoral Employment," Working papers 2011-02, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2012.
    8. Jeongwoo Kim, 2019. "Optimally adjusted last cluster for prediction based on balancing the bias and variance by bootstrapping," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(11), pages 1-31, November.
    9. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Forecasting Real House Price of the U.S.: An Analysis Covering 1890 to 2012," Working Papers 201362, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Alexander N. Bogin & Stephen D. Bruestle & William M. Doerner, 2017. "How Low Can House Prices Go? Estimating a Conservative Lower Bound," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 97-116, January.
    11. Tim Meyer, 2019. "On the Directional Accuracy of United States Housing Starts Forecasts: Evidence from Survey Data," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 457-488, April.
    12. Rangan Gupta & Marius Jurgilas & Stephen M. Miller & Dylan van Wyk, 2010. "Financial Market Liberalization, Monetary Policy, and Housing Price Dynamics," Working Papers 201009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Laurynas Narusevicius & Tomas Ramanauskas & Laura Gudauskaitė & Tomas Reichenbachas, 2019. "Lithuanian house price index: modelling and forecasting," Bank of Lithuania Occasional Paper Series 28, Bank of Lithuania.
    14. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Does Inequality Really Matter in Forecasting Real Housing Returns of the United Kingdom?," Working Papers 201859, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Arvydas Jadevicius & Brian Sloan & Andrew Brown, 2013. "Property Market Modelling and Forecasting: A Case for Simplicity," ERES eres2013_10, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    16. George Milunovich, 2020. "Forecasting Australia's real house price index: A comparison of time series and machine learning methods," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(7), pages 1098-1118, November.
    17. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Is the Housing Market in the United States Really Weakly-Efficient?," Working Papers 201934, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?," Working Papers 201230, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Zietz, Joachim & Traian, Anca, 2014. "When was the U.S. housing downturn predictable? A comparison of univariate forecasting methods," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 271-281.
    20. Charles Rahal, 2015. "Housing Market Forecasting with Factor Combinations," Discussion Papers 15-05, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    21. Kang, Sang Hoon & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Ahmed, Ali & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2018. "Multi-scale causality and extreme tail inter-dependence among housing prices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 301-309.
    22. Pattnaik, Debidutta & Kumar, Satish & Burton, Bruce & Lim, Weng Marc, 2022. "Economic Modelling at thirty-five: A retrospective bibliometric survey," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    23. Shihai Dong & Yandong Wang & Yanyan Gu & Shiwei Shao & Hui Liu & Shanmei Wu & Mengmeng Li, 2020. "Predicting the turning points of housing prices by combining the financial model with genetic algorithm," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(4), pages 1-20, April.
    24. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    25. Pavitra Dhamija, 2020. "Economic Development and South Africa: 25 Years Analysis (1994 to 2019)," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(3), pages 298-322, September.
    26. Glennon, Dennis & Kiefer, Hua & Mayock, Tom, 2018. "Measurement error in residential property valuation: An application of forecast combination," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 1-29.
    27. Nan-Kuang Chen & Han-Liang Cheng & Ching-Sheng Mao, 2014. "Identifying and forecasting house prices: a macroeconomic perspective," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(12), pages 2105-2120, December.
    28. Jose Torres-Pruñonosa & Pablo García-Estévez & Josep Maria Raya & Camilo Prado-Román, 2022. "How on Earth Did Spanish Banking Sell the Housing Stock?," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440221, March.
    29. Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Forecasting House Prices for the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy: The Role of a Data-Rich Environment," Working Papers 201214, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    30. Sophia L. Zhou, 2022. "Real Estate Trend Prediction Using Linear Regression And Artificial Neural Network Techniques," Global Journal of Business Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 16(1), pages 1-16.
    31. an de Meulen, Philipp & Micheli, Martin & Schmidt, Torsten, 2011. "Forecasting House Prices in Germany," Ruhr Economic Papers 294, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    32. Arvydas Jadevicius & Brian Sloan & Andrew Brown, 2012. "Examination of property forecasting models - accuracy and its improvement through combination forecasting," ERES eres2012_082, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    33. Chang, Kuang-Liang, 2020. "An investigation on mixed housing-cycle structures and asymmetric tail dependences," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).

  664. Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2010. "Valuation Ratios and Stock Price Predictability in South Africa: Is it there?," Working Papers 201016, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mampho P. Modise & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2013. "Can Economic Uncertainty, Financial Stress and Consumer Sentiments Predict U.S. Equity Premium?," Working Papers 201351, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2010. "South African Stock Return Predictability in the Context of Data Mining: The Role of Financial Variables and International Stock Returns," Working Papers 201027, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  665. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Mampho P. Modise, 2009. "Has the SARB Become More Effective Post Inflation Targeting?," Working Papers 200925, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Alain Kabundi & Eric Schaling & Modeste Some, 2014. "Monetary Policy and Heterogeneous Inflation Expectations in South Africa," Working Papers 6107, South African Reserve Bank.
    2. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M Miller, 2017. "Inflation Persistence Before and After Inflation Targeting: A Fractional Integration Approach," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 43(1), pages 78-103, January.
    3. Goran Petrevski, 2023. "Macroeconomic Effects of Inflation Targeting: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," Papers 2305.17474, arXiv.org.
    4. Eliphas Ndou & Nombulelo Gumata & Mthuli Ncube & Eric Olson, 2013. "Working Paper 189 - An Empirical Investigation of the Taylor Curve in South Africa," Working Paper Series 992, African Development Bank.
    5. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M. Miller, 2016. "Inflation Persistence and Structural Breaks: The Experience of Inflation Targeting Countries and the US," Working papers 2016-11, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    6. Davide Debortoli & Ricardo Nunes, 2014. "Monetary Regime Switches and Central Bank Preferences," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(8), pages 1591-1626, December.
    7. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "The Effectiveness Of Monetary Policy In South Africa Under Inflation Targeting: Evidence from a Time-Varying Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive Model," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 54(4), pages 55-73, October-D.
    8. Ruthira Naraidoo & Leroi Raputsoane, 2010. "Zone‐Targeting Monetary Policy Preferences And Financial Market Conditions: A Flexible Non‐Linear Policy Reaction Function Of The Sarb Monetary Policy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 78(4), pages 400-417, December.
    9. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kotzé, Kevin, 2015. "Forecasting macroeconomic data for an emerging market with a nonlinear DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 215-228.
    10. Alain Kabundi & Elsabé Loots, 2010. "Patterns Of Co‐Movement Between South Africa And Germany: Evidence From The Period 1985 To 2006," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 78(4), pages 383-399, December.

  666. Ruthira Naraidoo & Rangan Gupta, 2009. "Modelling monetary policy in South Africa: Focus on inflation targeting era using a simple learning rule," Working Papers 200904, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Andrew Phiri, 2018. "Has the South African Reserve Bank responded to equity returns since the sub-prime crisis? An asymmetric convergence approach," International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 10(3), pages 205-225.
    2. Faul, Joseph & Khumalo, Bridgette & Pashe, Mpho & Khuzwayo, Miranda & Banda, Kamogelo & Jali, Senzo & Myeni, Bathandekile & Pule, Retlaodirela & Mosito, Boitshoko & Jack, Lona-u-Thando & Phiri, Andrew, 2014. "Is South Africa's inflation target too persistent for monetary policy conduct?," MPRA Paper 58233, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Naraidoo, Ruthira & Paya, Ivan, 2012. "Forecasting monetary policy rules in South Africa," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 446-455.
    4. Ellyne, Mark & Veller, Carl, 2011. "What is the SARB's inflation targeting policy, and is it appropriate?," MPRA Paper 42134, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Phiri, Andrew, 2017. "Has the South African Reserve Bank responded to equity prices since the sub-prime crisis? An asymmetric convergence approach," MPRA Paper 76542, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Josine Uwilingiye, 2010. "Dynamic Time Inconsistency And The South African Reserve Bank," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 78(1), pages 76-88, March.
    7. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2016. "Forecasting South African Macroeconomic Variables with a Markov-Switching Small Open-Economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model," Working Papers 201603, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Gideon O. Fadiran & Adebisi Edun, 2013. "An Overview of the Repo Rate in an Inflation Targeting Economy," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 25(4), pages 621-635, December.
    9. Pierdzioch, Christian & Reid, Monique B. & Gupta, Rangan, 2016. "Inflation forecasts and forecaster herding: Evidence from South African survey data," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 42-50.
    10. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "The Effectiveness Of Monetary Policy In South Africa Under Inflation Targeting: Evidence from a Time-Varying Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive Model," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 54(4), pages 55-73, October-D.
    11. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2014. "Analysing South Africa's Inflation Persistence Using an ARFIMA Model with Markov-Switching Fractional Differencing Parameter," Working Papers 15-09, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    12. Ruthira Naraidoo & Leroi Raputsoane, 2010. "Optimal monetary policy reaction function in a model with target zones and asymmetric preferences for South Africa," Working Papers 201004, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Andrew Phiri, 2016. "Inflation persistence and monetary policy in South Africa: is the 3% to 6% inflation target too persistent?," International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 8(2), pages 111-124.

  667. Rangan Gupta & Josine Uwilingiye, 2009. "Some Benefits of Reducing Inflation in South Africa," Working Papers 200915, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Phiri, Andrew, 2013. "An inquisition into bivariate threshold effects in the inflation-growth correlation: Evaluating South Africa’s macroeconomic objectives," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center (PRADEC), vol. 9(3), pages 1-11.

  668. Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. ""Ripple Effects” and Forecasting Home Prices in Los Angeles, Las Vegas, and Phoenix," Working Papers 0902, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Holmes, Mark J. & Otero, Jesús & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2011. "Investigating regional house price convergence in the United States: Evidence from a pair-wise approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 2369-2376.
    2. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Juncal Cunado & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Testing the White Noise Hypothesis in High-Frequency Housing Returns of the United States," Working Papers 201952, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Carlos P. Barros & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2013. "The Housing Markets in Spain and Portugal: Evidence of Persistence," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 3, pages 19-32, November.
    4. Rosa Drift & Jan Haan & Peter Boelhouwer, 2024. "Forecasting House Prices through Credit Conditions: A Bayesian Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(6), pages 3381-3405, December.
    5. Tsai, I-Chun & Chiang, Shu-Hen, 2019. "Exuberance and spillovers in housing markets: Evidence from first- and second-tier cities in China," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 75-86.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller & Josine Uwilingiye, 2011. "Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Sectoral Employment," Working papers 2011-02, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2012.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2009. "The Effect Of Monetary Policy On House Price Inflation: A Factor Augmented Vector Autoregression (Favar) Approach," Working Papers 200903, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Brzezicka, Justyna & Łaszek, Jacek & Olszewski, Krzysztof & Waszczuk, Joanna, 2019. "Analysis of the filtering process and the ripple effect on the primary and secondary housing market in Warsaw, Poland," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    9. Tsai, I-Chun, 2018. "House price convergence in euro zone and non-euro zone countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 269-281.
    10. Chien-Fu Chen & Shu-hen Chiang, 2020. "Time-varying spillovers among first-tier housing markets in China," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 57(4), pages 844-864, March.
    11. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Forecasting the US Real House Price Index: Structural and Non-Structural Models with and without Fundamentals," Working papers 2009-42, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    12. Jin Hu & Xuelei Xiong & Yuanyuan Cai & Feng Yuan, 2020. "The Ripple Effect and Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Intra-Urban Housing Prices at the Submarket Level in Shanghai, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-17, June.
    13. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M. Miller & Stephen K. Pollard, 2010. "Unit Roots and Structural Change: An Application to US House-Price Indices," Working Papers 1004, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    14. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Housing Prices: A Case Study of Twenty US States," Working Papers 200912, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2020. "Forecasting State- and MSA-Level Housing Returns of the US: The Role of Mortgage Default Risks," Working Papers 202037, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Rangan Gupta & Stephen Miller, 2012. "The Time-Series Properties of House Prices: A Case Study of the Southern California Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 339-361, April.
    17. Tsai, I-Chun, 2022. "Changes in social behavior and impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on regional housing markets: Independence and risk," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    18. Prüser, Jan & Schmidt, Torsten, 2020. "Regional composition of national house price cycles in the US," Ruhr Economic Papers 853, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    19. Dayong Zhang & Qiang Ji & Wan-Li Zhao & Nicholas J Horsewood, 2021. "Regional housing price dependency in the UK: A dynamic network approach," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 58(5), pages 1014-1031, April.
    20. Khamis Hamed Al-Yahyaee & Walid Mensi & Hee-Un Ko & Massimiliano Caporin & Sang Hoon Kang, 2021. "Is the Korean housing market following Gangnam style?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 2041-2072, October.
    21. Nissan, Edward & Payne, James E., 2013. "A Simple Test of σ-Convergence in U.S. Housing Prices across BEA Regions," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 43(2).
    22. Shu-hen Chiang, 2014. "Housing Markets in China and Policy Implications: Comovement or Ripple Effect," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 22(6), pages 103-120, November.
    23. Rangan Gupta & Christophe André & Luis Gil-Alana, 2015. "Comovement in Euro area housing prices: A fractional cointegration approach," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 52(16), pages 3123-3143, December.
    24. Eli Beracha & Hilla Skiba, 2011. "Momentum in Residential Real Estate," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 43(3), pages 299-320, October.
    25. I-Chun Tsai, 2018. "The cause and outcomes of the ripple effect: housing prices and transaction volume," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 61(2), pages 351-373, September.
    26. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Zahra Shah, 2010. "An In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Empirical Investigation of the Nonlinearity in House Prices of South Africa," Working Papers 201008, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    27. Ming-Chu Chiang & I-Chun Tsai, 2016. "Ripple effect and contagious effect in the US regional housing markets," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 56(1), pages 55-82, January.
    28. Ming-Chu Chiang & I-Chun Tsai, 2016. "Ripple effect and contagious effect in the US regional housing markets," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 56(1), pages 55-82, January.
    29. Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Convergence in Provincial-Level South African House Prices: Evidence from the Club Convergence and Clustering Procedure," Working Papers 201322, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    30. Lu Liu & Linda Qiu & Yuanyuan Yang, 2022. "Urban housing prices within a core urban agglomeration in China," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(11), pages 1-38, November.
    31. Żelazowski Konrad, 2019. "Price Convergence in the Regional Housing Markets in Poland," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 27(2), pages 44-52, June.
    32. James E. Payne & Xiaojin Sun, 2023. "Time‐varying connectedness of metropolitan housing markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 51(2), pages 470-502, March.
    33. Guancen Wu & Jing Li & Dan Chong & Xing Niu, 2021. "Analysis on the Housing Price Relationship Network of Large and Medium-Sized Cities in China Based on Gravity Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-20, April.
    34. Hurn, Stan & Shi, Shuping & Wang, Ben, 2022. "Housing networks and driving forces," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    35. Cheng-Wen Lee & Shu-Hen Chiang & Zhong-Qin Wen, 2023. "Pursuing the Sustainability of Real Estate Market: The Case of Chinese Land Resources Diversification," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-19, March.
    36. Li Xiangfei & Han Hongli & Sun Minghan, 2020. "Localized or Regional? Urban Housing Policy Spillover in China’s Urban Agglomerations 2010–2018," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 8(4), pages 325-345, August.
    37. Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Forecasting House Prices for the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy: The Role of a Data-Rich Environment," Working Papers 201214, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    38. Tsai, I-Chun, 2019. "Relationships among regional housing markets: Evidence on adjustments of housing burden," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 309-318.
    39. Payne, James E., 2012. "The Long-Run Relationship among Regional Housing Prices: An Empirical Analysis of the U.S," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 42(01), pages 1-8.
    40. Teye, Alfred Larm & Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix, 2017. "Detecting spatial and temporal house price diffusion in the Netherlands: A Bayesian network approach," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 56-64.

  669. Rangan Gupta & Josine Uwilingiye, 2009. "Comparing South African Inflation Volatility Across Monetary Policy Regimes: An Application Of Saphe Cracking," Working Papers 200906, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Chevaughn van der Westhuizen & Renee van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye, 2022. "Is Inflation Uncertainty a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy? The Inflation-Inflation Uncertainty Nexus and Inflation Targeting in South Africa," Working Papers 202254, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M Miller, 2017. "Inflation Persistence Before and After Inflation Targeting: A Fractional Integration Approach," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 43(1), pages 78-103, January.
    3. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M. Miller, 2016. "Inflation Persistence and Structural Breaks: The Experience of Inflation Targeting Countries and the US," Working papers 2016-11, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    4. Chevaughn van der Westhuizen & Reneé van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye, 2023. "Is inflation uncertainty a self‐fulfilling prophecy in South Africa?," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 91(3), pages 306-329, September.
    5. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Christou, Christina & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Inflation-targeting and inflation volatility: International evidence from the cosine-squared cepstrum," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 29-38.
    6. Franz Ruch & Dirk Bester, 2013. "Towards a Measure of Core Inflation using Singular Spectrum Analysis," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 81(3), pages 307-329, September.
    7. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "The Effectiveness Of Monetary Policy In South Africa Under Inflation Targeting: Evidence from a Time-Varying Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive Model," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 54(4), pages 55-73, October-D.
    8. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2014. "Analysing South Africa's Inflation Persistence Using an ARFIMA Model with Markov-Switching Fractional Differencing Parameter," Working Papers 15-09, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    9. Kafayat Amusa & Rangan Gupta & Shaakira Karolia & Beatrice D. Simo Kengne, 2010. "The Long-Run Impact of Inflation in South Africa," Working Papers 201029, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  670. Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "The Time-Series Properties of Housing Prices: A Case Study of the Southern California Market," Working Papers 200908, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Natalia Bailey & Sean Holly & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2016. "A Two‐Stage Approach to Spatio‐Temporal Analysis with Strong and Weak Cross‐Sectional Dependence," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 249-280, January.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "“Ripple Effects” and Forecasting Home Prices In Los Angeles, Las Vegas, and Phoenix," Working Papers 200901, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Carlos P. Barros & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2013. "The Housing Markets in Spain and Portugal: Evidence of Persistence," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 3, pages 19-32, November.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller & Josine Uwilingiye, 2011. "Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Sectoral Employment," Working papers 2011-02, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2012.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Forecasting the US Real House Price Index: Structural and Non-Structural Models with and without Fundamentals," Working papers 2009-42, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    6. Laurynas Narusevicius & Tomas Ramanauskas & Laura Gudauskaitė & Tomas Reichenbachas, 2019. "Lithuanian house price index: modelling and forecasting," Bank of Lithuania Occasional Paper Series 28, Bank of Lithuania.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Housing Prices: A Case Study of Twenty US States," Working Papers 200912, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Hong Miao & Sanjay Ramchander & Marc W. Simpson, 2011. "Return and Volatility Transmission in U.S. Housing Markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 39(4), pages 701-741, December.
    9. Alessandra Canepa & Emilio Zanetti Chini & Huthaifa Alqaralleh, 2022. "Global Cities and Local Challenges: Booms and Busts in the London Real Estate Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 1-29, January.
    10. Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Forecasting House Prices for the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy: The Role of a Data-Rich Environment," Working Papers 201214, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Francisca Richter & Youngme Seo, 2011. "Inter-regional home price dynamics through the foreclosure crisis," Working Papers (Old Series) 1119, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

  671. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2009. "Forecasting Real Us House Price: Principal Components Versus Bayesian Regressions," Working Papers 200907, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Papadimitriou, Theophilos & Gogas, Periklis, 2014. "Forecasting the U.S. Real House Price Index," DUTH Research Papers in Economics 10-2014, Democritus University of Thrace, Department of Economics.
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Forecasting Real House Price of the U.S.: An Analysis Covering 1890 to 2012," Working Papers 201362, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Forecasting the US Real House Price Index: Structural and Non-Structural Models with and without Fundamentals," Working papers 2009-42, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.

  672. Rangan Gupta & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2009. "Is the Permanent Income Hypothesis Really Well-Suited for Forecasting?," Working Papers 200909, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Alimi, R. Santos, 2015. "Estimating Consumption function under Permanent Income Hypothesis: A comparison between Nigeria and South Africa," MPRA Paper 65787, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  673. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Housing Prices: A Case Study of Twenty US States," Working Papers 0916, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Natalia Bailey & Sean Holly & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2016. "A Two‐Stage Approach to Spatio‐Temporal Analysis with Strong and Weak Cross‐Sectional Dependence," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 249-280, January.
    2. Sarah Drought & Chris McDonald, 2011. "Forecasting house price inflation: a model combination approach," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2011/07, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Forecasting the US Real House Price Index: Structural and Non-Structural Models with and without Fundamentals," Working papers 2009-42, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    4. Charles Rahal, 2015. "Housing Market Forecasting with Factor Combinations," Discussion Papers 15-05, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    5. Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Forecasting House Prices for the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy: The Role of a Data-Rich Environment," Working Papers 201214, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  674. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2009. "The Effect Of Defense Spending On Us Output: A Factor Augmented Vector Autoregression (Favar) Approach," Working Papers 200911, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Leitão, Nuno Carlos & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Arouri, Mohamed & Teulon, Frédéric, 2013. "Should Portuguese economy invest in defense spending? A revisit," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 805-815.
    2. Takao Fujii & Kazuki Hiraga & Masafumi Kozuka, 2012. "Analyses of Public Investment Shock in Japan: Factor Augmented Vector Autoregressive Approach," Keio/Kyoto Joint Global COE Discussion Paper Series 2012-006, Keio/Kyoto Joint Global COE Program.
    3. Charles Shaaba Saba & Nicholas Ngepah, 2022. "Nexus between defence spending, economic growth and development: evidence from a disaggregated panel data analysis," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 109-151, February.
    4. Kyriakos Emmanouilidis, 2024. "Military Spending and Economic Output: A Decomposition Analysis of the US Military Budget," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 243-263, February.
    5. Rabnawaz, Ambar & Jafar, Rana Muhammad Sohail, 2015. "Impact of Public Investment on Economic Growth," MPRA Paper 70377, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Muhammad Shahbaz & Talat Afza & Muhammad Shahbaz Shabbir, 2013. "Does Defence Spending Impede Economic Growth? Cointegration And Causality Analysis For Pakistan," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 105-120, April.
    7. Saba Charles Shaaba, 2022. "Defence Spending and Economic Growth in South Africa: Evidence from Cointegration and Co-Feature Analysis," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 28(1), pages 51-100, February.
    8. Tiwari, Aviral & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2011. "Does Defence Spending Stimulate Economic Growth in India?," MPRA Paper 30880, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 18 Apr 2011.
    9. Kollias, Christos & Paleologou, Suzanna-Maria, 2013. "Guns, highways and economic growth in the United States," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 449-455.
    10. Yi-Hua Wu & Chih-Chin Ho & Eric S. Lin, 2017. "Measuring the Impact of Military Spending: How Far Does a DSGE Model Deviate from Reality?," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(5), pages 585-608, September.

  675. Alain KABUNDI & Rangan GUPTA, 2009. "The Effect of Monetary Policy on House Price Inflation: A Factor Augmented Vector Autoregression (FAVAR) Approach," EcoMod2009 21500048, EcoMod.

    Cited by:

    1. Masron, tajul & Mohd Nor, Abu Hassan Shaari, 2016. "Foreign Investment in Real Estate and Housing Affordability," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 50(1), pages 15-28.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Marius Jurgilas & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Monetary Policy and Housing Sector Dynamics in a Large-Scale Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Model," Working papers 2009-19, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Mampho P. Modise, 2009. "Has the SARB Become More Effective Post Inflation Targeting?," Working Papers 200925, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Christophe André & Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda, 2012. "Do House Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate?: Evidence from OECD Countries Using an Agnostic Identification Procedure," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 947, OECD Publishing.
    5. Maria Christidou & Panagiotis Konstantinou, 2011. "Housing Market and the Transmission of Monetary Policy: Evidence from U.S. States," Discussion Paper Series 2011_14, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Sep 2011.
    6. Musso, Alberto & Neri, Stefano & Stracca, Livio, 2010. "Housing, consumption and monetary policy: how different are the US and the euro area?," Working Paper Series 1161, European Central Bank.
    7. Su, Chi-Wei & Wang, Xiao-Qing & Tao, Ran & Chang, Hsu-Ling, 2019. "Does money supply drive housing prices in China?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 85-94.

  676. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Patrick Agu Kaya, 2009. "Convergence of Metropolitan House Prices in South Africa: A Re-Examination Using Efficient Unit Root Tests," Working Papers 200922, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2011. "Relationship between House Prices and Inflation in South Africa: An ARDL Approach," Working Papers 201130, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Tsangyao Chang & Tsung-Pao Wu & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Are house prices in South Africa really nonstationary? Evidence from SPSM-based panel KSS test with a Fourier function," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(1), pages 32-53, January.
    3. Goodness C. Aye & Samrat Goswami & Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Metropolitan House Prices In India: Do They Converge?," Working Papers 201220, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Testing for persistence with breaks and outliers in South African house prices," NCID Working Papers 01/2013, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    5. Aye, G.C. & Goswami, S. & Gupta, R., 2013. "Metropolitan House Prices In Regions of India: Do They Converge?," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 13(1), pages 135-144.
    6. Borozan, Djula, 2017. "Testing for convergence in electricity consumption across Croatian regions at the consumer's sectoral level," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 145-153.
    7. Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Convergence in Provincial-Level South African House Prices: Evidence from the Club Convergence and Clustering Procedure," Working Papers 201322, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Manoel Bittencourt & Rangan Gupta, 2011. "House Prices and Economic Growth in South Africa: Evidence from Provincial-Level Data," Working Papers 201116, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Mehmet Balcilar & Abebe Beyene & Rangan Gupta & Monaheng Seleteng, 2013. "‘Ripple’ Effects in South African House Prices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 50(5), pages 876-894, April.

  677. Rangan Gupta & Marius Jurgilas & Alan Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Monetary Policy and Housing Sector Dynamics in a Large-Scale Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Mode," Working Papers 0919, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2014. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices," Public Finance Review, , vol. 42(4), pages 511-531, July.
    2. Vittorio Peretti & Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2012. "Do House Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate in South Africa? Evidence from a Time-Varying Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201216, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Constantinos Katrakilidis & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Role of Macroeconomic Shocks on House Prices in the US and UK: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201765, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Changing Dynamics of the U.S. REITs Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-12, May.
    5. Petre Caraiani & Adrian C. Călin & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Monetary policy and bubbles in US REITs," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 675-687, June.
    6. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2012. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience," Working Papers 1211, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    7. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Monique Reid & Goodness C. Aye, 2012. "Is The Relationship Between Monetary Policy And House Prices Asymmetric In South Africa? Evidence From A Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201222, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio, 2012. "Housing Cycles and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: A Global Perspective," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 4085, Inter-American Development Bank.
    9. Hideaki Hirata & M. Ayhan Kose & Chris Otrok & Marco Terrones, "undated". "Global House Price Fluctuations: Synchronization and Determinants," Working Paper 164451, Harvard University OpenScholar.
    10. Lozano, Francisco-Javier, 2013. "Evaluación de modelos de predicción para la venta de viviendas [Evaluation of forecasting models for house sales]," MPRA Paper 118652, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Simo-Kengne, Beatrice D. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Reid, Monique & Aye, Goodness C., 2013. "Is the relationship between monetary policy and house prices asymmetric across bull and bear markets in South Africa? Evidence from a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 161-171.
    12. Ahdi N. Ajmi & Vassilios Babalos & Fotini Economou & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Real Estate Markets and Uncertainty Shocks: A Variance Causality Approach," Working Papers 201436, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Helmut Lütkepohl, 2014. "Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis in a Data Rich Environment: A Survey," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1351, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    14. Isabel Ruiz & Carlos Vargas-Silva, 2016. "The impacts of fiscal policy shocks on the US housing market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 777-800, May.
    15. Dominika Ehrenbergerova & Josef Bajzik, 2020. "The Effect of Monetary Policy on House Prices - How Strong is the Transmission?," Working Papers 2020/14, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.

  678. Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "The Time-Series Properties of House Prices: A Case Study of the Southern California Market," Working Papers 0912, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics, revised Dec 2009.

    Cited by:

    1. Natalia Bailey & Sean Holly & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2016. "A Two‐Stage Approach to Spatio‐Temporal Analysis with Strong and Weak Cross‐Sectional Dependence," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 249-280, January.
    2. Montagnoli, Alberto & Nagayasu, Jun, 2015. "UK house price convergence clubs and spillovers," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 50-58.
    3. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Juncal Cunado & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Testing the White Noise Hypothesis in High-Frequency Housing Returns of the United States," Working Papers 201952, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Rosa Drift & Jan Haan & Peter Boelhouwer, 2024. "Forecasting House Prices through Credit Conditions: A Bayesian Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(6), pages 3381-3405, December.
    5. Anastasiou, Dimitrios & Kapopoulos, Panayotis, 2021. "Dynamic linkages among financial stability, house prices and residential investment in Greece," MPRA Paper 107833, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Christophe Andre & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Revisiting International House Price Convergence Using House Price Level Data," Working Papers 202226, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Floros, Christos, 2015. "Dynamic Connectedness of UK Regional Property Prices," MPRA Paper 68421, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "Estimating U.S. Housing Price Network Connectedness: Evidence from Dynamic Elastic Net, Lasso, and Ridge Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Papers 202065, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Geoffrey M. Ngene & Daniel P. Sohn & M. Kabir Hassan, 2017. "Time-Varying and Spatial Herding Behavior in the US Housing Market: Evidence from Direct Housing Prices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 482-514, May.
    10. Weipeng Tan & Tsung-Nan Chou, 2016. "Combined Grey Relational Analysis and Weighted Synthesis for Housing Price Prediction," International Journal of Business and Administrative Studies, Professor Dr. Bahaudin G. Mujtaba, vol. 2(3), pages 81-88.
    11. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Forecasting the US Real House Price Index: Structural and Non-Structural Models with and without Fundamentals," Working papers 2009-42, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    12. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M. Miller & Stephen K. Pollard, 2010. "Unit Roots and Structural Change: An Application to US House-Price Indices," Working Papers 1004, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    13. Laurynas Narusevicius & Tomas Ramanauskas & Laura Gudauskaitė & Tomas Reichenbachas, 2019. "Lithuanian house price index: modelling and forecasting," Bank of Lithuania Occasional Paper Series 28, Bank of Lithuania.
    14. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Housing Prices: A Case Study of Twenty US States," Working Papers 200912, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. He Wang & Shujun Yang, 2025. "The influence of administrative border on the spatial correlation of house prices: evidence from China," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-14, December.
    16. I-Chun Tsai, 2015. "Spillover Effect between the Regional and the National Housing Markets in the UK," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(12), pages 1957-1976, December.
    17. Alessandra Canepa & Emilio Zanetti Chini & Huthaifa Alqaralleh, 2022. "Global Cities and Local Challenges: Booms and Busts in the London Real Estate Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 1-29, January.
    18. Vijay Kumar Vishwakarma, 2021. "Long-run drivers and integration in interprovincial Canadian housing price relations," International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 16(1), pages 22-40, November.
    19. Yang Hu & Les Oxley, 2016. "Bubbles in US Regional House Prices: Evidence from House Price/Income Ratios at the State Level," Working Papers in Economics 16/06, University of Waikato.
    20. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Is the Housing Market in the United States Really Weakly-Efficient?," Working Papers 201934, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. John Muellbauer, 2019. "A Tale of Two Cities: is Overvaluation a Capital Issue?," Economics Series Working Papers 872, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    22. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & Christos Floros & David Gabauer, 2018. "The dynamic connectedness of UK regional property returns," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 55(14), pages 3110-3134, November.
    23. I-Chun Tsai, 2022. "The connectedness between Hong Kong and China real estate markets: spillover effect and information transmission," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(1), pages 287-311, July.
    24. Nissan, Edward & Payne, James E., 2013. "A Simple Test of σ-Convergence in U.S. Housing Prices across BEA Regions," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 43(2).
    25. Geoffrey Meen, 2016. "Spatial housing economics: A survey," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 53(10), pages 1987-2003, August.
    26. Ralf Korn & Bilgi Yilmaz, 2022. "House Prices as a Result of Trading Activities: A Patient Trader Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(1), pages 281-303, June.
    27. Alexey Akimov & Simon Stevenson & James Young, 2015. "Synchronisation and commonalities in metropolitan housing market cycles," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 52(9), pages 1665-1682, July.
    28. Rangan Gupta & Christophe André & Luis Gil-Alana, 2015. "Comovement in Euro area housing prices: A fractional cointegration approach," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 52(16), pages 3123-3143, December.
    29. Prodosh Simlai, 2018. "Spatial Dependence, Idiosyncratic Risk, and the Valuation of Disaggregated Housing Data," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 192-230, August.
    30. Li, Yuming, 2015. "The asymmetric house price dynamics: Evidence from the California market," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1-12.
    31. Marcelo M. de Oliveira & Alexandre C. L. Almeida, 2014. "Testing for rational speculative bubbles in the Brazilian residential real-estate market," Papers 1401.7615, arXiv.org.
    32. Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Convergence in Provincial-Level South African House Prices: Evidence from the Club Convergence and Clustering Procedure," Working Papers 201322, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Yuan Zhang & Yiguo Sun & Thanasis Stengos, 2019. "Spatial Dependence in the Residential Canadian Housing Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 223-263, February.
    34. Barros, Carlos Pestana & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Payne, James E., 2012. "Comovements among U.S. state housing prices: Evidence from fractional cointegration," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 936-942.
    35. Milcheva, Stanimira & Zhu, Bing, 2016. "Bank integration and co-movements across housing markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(S), pages 148-171.
    36. Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Forecasting House Prices for the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy: The Role of a Data-Rich Environment," Working Papers 201214, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    37. Valadkhani, Abbas & Costello, Greg & Ratti, Ronald, 2016. "House price cycles in Australia’s four largest capital cities," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 11-22.
    38. Mehmet Balcilar & Abebe Beyene & Rangan Gupta & Monaheng Seleteng, 2013. "‘Ripple’ Effects in South African House Prices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 50(5), pages 876-894, April.
    39. Jiyoung Chae & Anil K. Bera, 2024. "Spatial Market Inefficiency in Housing Market: A Spatial Quantile Regression Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(1), pages 70-99, July.
    40. Payne, James E., 2012. "The Long-Run Relationship among Regional Housing Prices: An Empirical Analysis of the U.S," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 42(01), pages 1-8.
    41. Williams, Joseph, 2018. "Housing markets with endogenous search: Theory and implications," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 107-120.
    42. Francisca Richter & Youngme Seo, 2011. "Inter-regional home price dynamics through the foreclosure crisis," Working Papers (Old Series) 1119, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

  679. Rangan Gupta & Christian K. Tipoy & Sonali Das, 2009. "Could We Have Predicted the Recent Downturn in Home Sales of the Four US Census Regions?," Working Papers 200926, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Papadimitriou, Theophilos & Gogas, Periklis, 2014. "Forecasting the U.S. Real House Price Index," DUTH Research Papers in Economics 10-2014, Democritus University of Thrace, Department of Economics.
    2. Rosa Drift & Jan Haan & Peter Boelhouwer, 2024. "Forecasting House Prices through Credit Conditions: A Bayesian Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(6), pages 3381-3405, December.
    3. Yin, Xiao-Cui & Li, Xin & Wang, Min-Hui & Qin, Meng & Shao, Xue-Feng, 2021. "Do economic policy uncertainty and its components predict China's housing returns?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    4. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Testing for persistence with breaks and outliers in South African house prices," NCID Working Papers 01/2013, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    5. Charles Rahal, 2015. "Housing Market Forecasting with Factor Combinations," Discussion Papers 15-05, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    6. Mehmet Balcilar & Abebe Beyene & Rangan Gupta & Monaheng Seleteng, 2013. "‘Ripple’ Effects in South African House Prices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 50(5), pages 876-894, April.

  680. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2009. "The Blessing Of Dimensionality In Forecasting Real House Price Growth In The Nine Census Divisions Of The Us," Working Papers 200902, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Papadimitriou, Theophilos & Gogas, Periklis, 2014. "Forecasting the U.S. Real House Price Index," DUTH Research Papers in Economics 10-2014, Democritus University of Thrace, Department of Economics.
    2. John McDonald & Houston Stokes, 2013. "Monetary Policy and the Housing Bubble," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 46(3), pages 437-451, April.
    3. Tripti Sharma & Declan French & Donal McKillop, 2022. "Risk and Equity Release Mortgages in the UK," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 64(2), pages 274-297, February.
    4. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Forecasting Real House Price of the U.S.: An Analysis Covering 1890 to 2012," Working Papers 201362, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2009. "The Effect Of Monetary Policy On House Price Inflation: A Factor Augmented Vector Autoregression (Favar) Approach," Working Papers 200903, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Faaiqa Hartley, 2013. "The Role of Asset Prices in Forecasting Inflation and Output in South Africa," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 12(3), pages 239-291, December.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Forecasting the US Real House Price Index: Structural and Non-Structural Models with and without Fundamentals," Working papers 2009-42, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    8. Dylan Gibson & Leslie A. Duram, 2020. "Shifting Discourse on Climate and Sustainability: Key Characteristics of the Higher Education Fossil Fuel Divestment Movement," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-17, December.
    9. Charles Rahal, 2015. "Housing Market Forecasting with Factor Combinations," Discussion Papers 15-05, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    10. Nan-Kuang Chen & Han-Liang Cheng & Ching-Sheng Mao, 2014. "Identifying and forecasting house prices: a macroeconomic perspective," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(12), pages 2105-2120, December.
    11. Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Forecasting House Prices for the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy: The Role of a Data-Rich Environment," Working Papers 201214, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  681. Rangan Gupta & Marius Jurgilas & Alain Kabundi, 2009. "The Effect Of Monetary Policy On Real House Price Growth In South Africa: A Factor Augmented Vector Autoregression (Favar) Approach," Working Papers 200905, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Leu, Shawn C.-Y. & Robertson, Mari L., 2021. "Mortgage credit volumes and monetary policy after the Great Recession," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 483-500.
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2014. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices," Public Finance Review, , vol. 42(4), pages 511-531, July.
    3. Nwabisa Kolisi & Andrew Phiri, 2017. "Changes in the relationshp between interest rates and housing prices in South Africa around the 2007 financial crisis," Working Papers 1704, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University, revised Jul 2017.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Changing Dynamics of the U.S. REITs Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-12, May.
    5. Adebayo Augustine Kutu & Harold Ngalawa, 2016. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Industrial Sector Performance in South Africa," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 8(3), pages 26-40.
    6. Zhang, Yanbing & Hua, Xiuping & Zhao, Liang, 2012. "Exploring determinants of housing prices: A case study of Chinese experience in 1999–2010," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2349-2361.
    7. Hao Meng & Hai-Chuan Xu & Wei-Xing Zhou & Didier Sornette, 2017. "Symmetric thermal optimal path and time-dependent lead-lag relationship: novel statistical tests and application to UK and US real-estate and monetary policies," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(6), pages 959-977, June.
    8. Weina Cai & Sen Wang, 2018. "The Time-Varying Effects of Monetary Policy on House Prices in China: An Application of TVP-VAR Model with Stochastic Volatility," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 13(4), pages 149-149, March.
    9. Petre Caraiani & Adrian C. Călin & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Monetary policy and bubbles in US REITs," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 675-687, June.
    10. Jalali-Naini , Ahmad. R. & Hemati , Maryam, 2012. "The Effect of Monetary Shocks on Disaggregated Prices in a Data Rich Environment: a Bayesian FAVAR Approach," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 6(4), pages 27-60, July.
    11. Asongu, Simplice A, 2012. "Correcting inflation with financial dynamic fundamentals: which adjustments matter in Africa?," MPRA Paper 46424, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Apr 2013.
    12. Michal Rubaszek & David Stenvall & Gazi Salah Uddin, 2025. "Rental market structure and housing dynamics: An interacted panel VAR investigation," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 781-802, January.
    13. Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2011. "Relationship between House Prices and Inflation in South Africa: An ARDL Approach," Working Papers 201130, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Masron, tajul & Mohd Nor, Abu Hassan Shaari, 2016. "Foreign Investment in Real Estate and Housing Affordability," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 50(1), pages 15-28.
    15. Rangan Gupta & Marius Jurgilas & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Monetary Policy and Housing Sector Dynamics in a Large-Scale Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Model," Working papers 2009-19, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    16. Asongu, Simplice A, 2013. "New Empirics of monetary policy dynamics: evidence from the CFA franc zones," MPRA Paper 48495, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Mampho P. Modise, 2009. "Has the SARB Become More Effective Post Inflation Targeting?," Working Papers 200925, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Julien Chevallier, 2011. "Macroeconomics, finance, commodities: Interactions with carbon markets in a data-rich model," Post-Print hal-00991961, HAL.
    19. Neacșu Andrei-Costin & Pleșa Georgiana & Neacșu George Alexandru, 2024. "The Effects of Shocks on the Real Economy in Romania. A Bayesian FAVAR Approach," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 18(1), pages 378-390.
    20. Geoffrey M. Ngene & Daniel P. Sohn & M. Kabir Hassan, 2017. "Time-Varying and Spatial Herding Behavior in the US Housing Market: Evidence from Direct Housing Prices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 482-514, May.
    21. O. Evans, 2019. "Money, Inflation and Output in Nigeria and South Africa: Could Friedman and Schwartz Be Right?," Journal of African Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 392-406, July.
    22. Guocheng Xiang & Juan Tang & Shuntian Yao, 2022. "The Characteristics of the Housing Market and the Goal of Stable and Healthy Development in China’s Cities," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-17, October.
    23. Rangan Gupta & Marius Jurgilas & Stephen M. Miller & Dylan van Wyk, 2010. "Financial Market Liberalization, Monetary Policy, and Housing Price Dynamics," Working Papers 201009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Laurynas Narusevicius & Tomas Ramanauskas & Laura Gudauskaitė & Tomas Reichenbachas, 2019. "Lithuanian house price index: modelling and forecasting," Bank of Lithuania Occasional Paper Series 28, Bank of Lithuania.
    25. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2012. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience," Working Papers 1211, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    26. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Monique Reid & Goodness C. Aye, 2012. "Is The Relationship Between Monetary Policy And House Prices Asymmetric In South Africa? Evidence From A Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201222, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    27. Shen, Chung-Hua & Lin, Kun-Li & Guo, Na, 2016. "Hawk or dove: Switching regression model for the monetary policy reaction function in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 94-111.
    28. Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2020. "Housing market spillovers in South Africa: evidence from an estimated small open economy DSGE model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2309-2332, May.
    29. Serdar Varlik & M. Hakan Berument, 2020. "Monetary policy under a multiple‐tool environment," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(3), pages 225-250, July.
    30. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta & Goodness C. Aye, 2013. "Macro Shocks And House Prices In South Africa," Working Papers 201302, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    31. Ozgur, Onder & Aydin, Levent & Karagol, Erdal Tanas & Ozbugday, Fatih Cemil, 2021. "The fuel price pass-through in Turkey: The case study of motor fuel price subsidy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    32. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "The Effectiveness Of Monetary Policy In South Africa Under Inflation Targeting: Evidence from a Time-Varying Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive Model," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 54(4), pages 55-73, October-D.
    33. Mohamed BELHEDI & Ines SLAMA & Amine LAHIANI, 2015. "Tranmission Of International Shocks To An Emerging Small Open-Economy: Evidence From Tunisia," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 42, pages 231-258.
    34. Simo-Kengne, Beatrice D. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Reid, Monique & Aye, Goodness C., 2013. "Is the relationship between monetary policy and house prices asymmetric across bull and bear markets in South Africa? Evidence from a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 161-171.
    35. Njindan Iyke, Bernard, 2015. "Assessing the Effects of Housing Market Shocks on Output: The Case of South Africa," MPRA Paper 69610, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Feb 2016.
    36. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Testing for persistence with breaks and outliers in South African house prices," NCID Working Papers 01/2013, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    37. Christophe André & Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda, 2012. "Do House Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate?: Evidence from OECD Countries Using an Agnostic Identification Procedure," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 947, OECD Publishing.
    38. Asongu, Simplice A, 2013. "Does Money Matter in Africa? New Empirics on Long- and Short-run Effects of Monetary Policy on Output and Prices," MPRA Paper 48494, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    39. Emmanuel O. Akande & Jeremiah D. Dandaura & Elijah Akanni, 2024. "Monetary policy instruments and inflation in Nigeria: a revisit of FAVAR," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 1-36, February.
    40. Muktar Babatunde Wahab & Wasiu Ayobami Durosinmi & Matthew Mamman & Dodo Usman Zakari & Adetoye Sulaiman Adepoju, 2021. "Macroeconomic Dynamics in Real Estate Market amid Covid-19 Pandemic in Abuja, Nigeria," AfRES 2021-002, African Real Estate Society (AfRES).
    41. Ahdi N. Ajmi & Vassilios Babalos & Fotini Economou & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Real Estate Markets and Uncertainty Shocks: A Variance Causality Approach," Working Papers 201436, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    42. Ranoua Bouchouicha & Zied Ftiti, 2012. "Real estate markets and the macroeconomy: A dynamic coherence framework," Post-Print halshs-00757077, HAL.
    43. Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Kanyane Matlou, 2013. "A Time-Varying Approach to Analysing Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices in South Africa," Working Papers 201303, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    44. Alexander Zimper, 2014. "The minimal confidence levels of Basel capital regulation," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 15(2), pages 129-143, April.
    45. I-Chun Tsai, 2019. "Interregional correlations in the US housing market at three price tiers," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 63(1), pages 1-24, August.
    46. Zhang, Yanbing & Hua, Xiuping & Zhao, Liang, 2011. "Monetary policy and housing prices: a case study of Chinese experience in 1999-2010," BOFIT Discussion Papers 17/2011, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    47. Belke, Ansgar & Osowski, Thomas, 2017. "International effects of euro area versus US policy uncertainty: A FAVAR approach," Ruhr Economic Papers 689, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    48. Libo Yin & Liyan Han, 2016. "Macroeconomic impacts on commodity prices: China vs. the United States," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 489-500, March.
    49. Zied Ftiti & Duc Khuong Nguyen & Khaled Guesmi & Frédéric Teulon, 2014. "Modelling Inflation Shifts and Persistence in Tunisia: Perspective from an Evolutionary spectral approach," Working Papers 2014-124, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    50. Pattnaik, Debidutta & Kumar, Satish & Burton, Bruce & Lim, Weng Marc, 2022. "Economic Modelling at thirty-five: A retrospective bibliometric survey," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    51. Andrew Phiri, 2018. "Asymmetric Pass-through Effects from Monetary Policy to Housing Prices in South Africa," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 16(2 (Summer), pages 123-140.
    52. Mustafa Ozan Yıldırım & Mehmet İvrendi, 2017. "House Prices And The Macroeconomic Environment In Turkey: The Examination Of A Dynamic Relationship," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 62(215), pages 81-110, October –.
    53. Mariusz Kapuściński, 2018. "How far does monetary policy reach? Evidence from factor-augmented vector autoregressions for Poland," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 49(3), pages 191-216.
    54. Musso, Alberto & Neri, Stefano & Stracca, Livio, 2010. "Housing, consumption and monetary policy: how different are the US and the euro area?," Working Paper Series 1161, European Central Bank.
    55. Pavitra Dhamija, 2020. "Economic Development and South Africa: 25 Years Analysis (1994 to 2019)," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(3), pages 298-322, September.
    56. Zare, Roohollah, 2016. "House Price Rigidity and the Asymmetric Response of Housing Prices to Monetary Policy in Iran," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 11(4), pages 401-417, October.
    57. Chandler Lutz, 2015. "The international impact of US unconventional monetary policy," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(12), pages 955-959, August.
    58. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Components of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Predictability of US Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantile Approach," Working Papers 201639, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    59. Mehmet Balcilar & Abebe Beyene & Rangan Gupta & Monaheng Seleteng, 2013. "‘Ripple’ Effects in South African House Prices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 50(5), pages 876-894, April.
    60. Su, Chi-Wei & Wang, Xiao-Qing & Tao, Ran & Chang, Hsu-Ling, 2019. "Does money supply drive housing prices in China?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 85-94.

  682. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "A Dynamic Factor Model for Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in South Africa," Working Papers 200815, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mirriam Chitalu Chama-Chiliba & Rangan Gupta & Nonophile Nkambule & Naomi Tlotlego, 2011. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Papers 201132, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Monique Reid, 2013. "Macroeconomic surprises and stock returns in South Africa," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 30(3), pages 266-282, July.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Forecasting the US Real House Price Index: Structural and Non-Structural Models with and without Fundamentals," Working papers 2009-42, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    4. Poghosyan, K., 2012. "Structural and reduced-form modeling and forecasting with application to Armenia," Other publications TiSEM ad1a24c3-15e6-4f04-b338-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Rudi Steinbach, 2010. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy: A Small Open Economy New Keynesian DSGE-VAR Model," Working Papers 201019, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Gupta, Rangan & Steinbach, Rudi, 2013. "A DSGE-VAR model for forecasting key South African macroeconomic variables," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 19-33.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 200821, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in a Small Open Economy: A Comparison between Small- and Large-Scale Models," Working Papers 200830, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Daniel Armeanu & Jean Vasile Andrei & Leonard Lache & Mirela Panait, 2017. "A multifactor approach to forecasting Romanian gross domestic product (GDP) in the short run," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(7), pages 1-23, July.

  683. Rangan Gupta & Kibii Komen, 2008. "Time Aggregation and the Contradictions with Causal Relationships: Can Economic Theory Come to the Rescue?," Working Papers 200802, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Lumengo Bonga-Bonga, 2017. "Assessing the Effectiveness of the Monetary Policy Instrument during the Inflation Targeting Period in South Africa," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(4), pages 706-713.
    2. Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo & Kabundi, Alain, 2015. "Monetary Policy Instrument and Inflation in South Africa: Structural Vector Error Correction Model Approach," MPRA Paper 63731, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Temitope L.A Leshoro, 2014. "Does the Repurchase Rate Affect Inflation in South Africa? An Empirical Analysis Using an Impulse Response Function," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 6(7), pages 524-531.

  684. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Could We Have Predicted The Recent Downturn In The South African Housing Market?," Working Papers 200831, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Papadimitriou, Theophilos & Gogas, Periklis, 2014. "Forecasting the U.S. Real House Price Index," DUTH Research Papers in Economics 10-2014, Democritus University of Thrace, Department of Economics.
    2. Sarah Drought & Chris McDonald, 2011. "Forecasting house price inflation: a model combination approach," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2011/07, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller & Josine Uwilingiye, 2011. "Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Sectoral Employment," Working papers 2011-02, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2012.
    4. Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2011. "Relationship between House Prices and Inflation in South Africa: An ARDL Approach," Working Papers 201130, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Marius Jurgilas & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Monetary Policy and Housing Sector Dynamics in a Large-Scale Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Model," Working papers 2009-19, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2009. "The Effect Of Monetary Policy On House Price Inflation: A Factor Augmented Vector Autoregression (Favar) Approach," Working Papers 200903, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Forecasting the US Real House Price Index: Structural and Non-Structural Models with and without Fundamentals," Working papers 2009-42, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    8. Rangan Gupta & Marius Jurgilas & Stephen M. Miller & Dylan van Wyk, 2010. "Financial Market Liberalization, Monetary Policy, and Housing Price Dynamics," Working Papers 201009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Housing Prices: A Case Study of Twenty US States," Working Papers 200912, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Gogas, Periklis & Pragidis, Ioannis, 2010. "Does the Interest Risk Premium Predict Housing Prices?," DUTH Research Papers in Economics 1-2010, Democritus University of Thrace, Department of Economics.
    11. Yin, Xiao-Cui & Li, Xin & Wang, Min-Hui & Qin, Meng & Shao, Xue-Feng, 2021. "Do economic policy uncertainty and its components predict China's housing returns?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    12. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Testing for persistence with breaks and outliers in South African house prices," NCID Working Papers 01/2013, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    13. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Zahra Shah, 2010. "An In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Empirical Investigation of the Nonlinearity in House Prices of South Africa," Working Papers 201008, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Forecasting House Prices for the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy: The Role of a Data-Rich Environment," Working Papers 201214, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Mehmet Balcilar & Abebe Beyene & Rangan Gupta & Monaheng Seleteng, 2013. "‘Ripple’ Effects in South African House Prices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 50(5), pages 876-894, April.
    16. Tommy Wu & Michael Cheng & Ken Wong, 2017. "Bayesian analysis of Hong Kong's housing price dynamics," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(3), pages 312-331, August.

  685. Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Spatial Bayesian Methods of Forecasting House Prices in Six Metropolitan Areas of South Africa," Working Papers 200813, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mirriam Chitalu Chama-Chiliba & Rangan Gupta & Nonophile Nkambule & Naomi Tlotlego, 2011. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Papers 201132, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Sabarathinam Srinivasan & Suresh Kumarasamy & Zacharias E. Andreadakis & Pedro G. Lind, 2023. "Artificial Intelligence and Mathematical Models of Power Grids Driven by Renewable Energy Sources: A Survey," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-56, July.
    3. Ali Azadeh & Mohammad Sheikhalishahi & Ali Boostani, 2014. "A Flexible Neuro-Fuzzy Approach for Improvement of Seasonal Housing Price Estimation in Uncertain and Non-Linear Environments," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 82(4), pages 567-582, December.
    4. Rosa Drift & Jan Haan & Peter Boelhouwer, 2024. "Forecasting House Prices through Credit Conditions: A Bayesian Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(6), pages 3381-3405, December.
    5. Gupta, Rangan & Jurgilas, Marius & Kabundi, Alain, 2010. "The effect of monetary policy on real house price growth in South Africa: A factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 315-323, January.
    6. Juan Carlos Cuestas, 2016. "House prices and capital inflows in Spain during the boom: evidence from a cointegrated VAR and a Structural Bayesian VAR," Working Papers 16-11, Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales.
    7. Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2011. "Relationship between House Prices and Inflation in South Africa: An ARDL Approach," Working Papers 201130, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Goodness C. Aye & Samrat Goswami & Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Metropolitan House Prices In India: Do They Converge?," Working Papers 201220, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Forecasting the US Real House Price Index: Structural and Non-Structural Models with and without Fundamentals," Working papers 2009-42, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    10. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Housing Prices: A Case Study of Twenty US States," Working Papers 200912, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Sonali DAS , Rangan GUPTA & Patrick A. KAYA, 2010. "Convergence Of Metropolitan House Prices In South Africa: A Re-Examination Using Efficient Unit Root Tests," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 10(1).
    12. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Testing for persistence with breaks and outliers in South African house prices," NCID Working Papers 01/2013, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    13. Charles Rahal, 2015. "Housing Market Forecasting with Factor Combinations," Discussion Papers 15-05, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    14. Juan Carlos Cuestas, 2019. "Co-movement between residential and commercial housing prices: Evidence from a new database," Working Papers 2019/11, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    15. Aye, G.C. & Goswami, S. & Gupta, R., 2013. "Metropolitan House Prices In Regions of India: Do They Converge?," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 13(1), pages 135-144.
    16. Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 200821, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Could We Have Predicted The Recent Downturn In The South African Housing Market?," Working Papers 200831, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Shihai Dong & Yandong Wang & Yanyan Gu & Shiwei Shao & Hui Liu & Shanmei Wu & Mengmeng Li, 2020. "Predicting the turning points of housing prices by combining the financial model with genetic algorithm," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(4), pages 1-20, April.
    19. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in a Small Open Economy: A Comparison between Small- and Large-Scale Models," Working Papers 200830, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    20. Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Forecasting House Prices for the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy: The Role of a Data-Rich Environment," Working Papers 201214, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Mehmet Balcilar & Abebe Beyene & Rangan Gupta & Monaheng Seleteng, 2013. "‘Ripple’ Effects in South African House Prices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 50(5), pages 876-894, April.

  686. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Large Datasets: Dynamic Factor Model versus Large-Scale BVARs," Working Papers 200816, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mirriam Chitalu Chama-Chiliba & Rangan Gupta & Nonophile Nkambule & Naomi Tlotlego, 2011. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Papers 201132, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Buss, Ginters, 2010. "A note on GDP now-/forecasting with dynamic versus static factor models along a business cycle," MPRA Paper 22147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Housing Prices: A Case Study of Twenty US States," Working Papers 200912, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Marcus P. A. Cobb, 2020. "Aggregate density forecasting from disaggregate components using Bayesian VARs," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 287-312, January.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in a Small Open Economy: A Comparison between Small- and Large-Scale Models," Working Papers 200830, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  687. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Is a DFM Well-Suited in Forecasting Regional House Price Inflation?," Working Papers 200814, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Jurgilas, Marius & Kabundi, Alain, 2010. "The effect of monetary policy on real house price growth in South Africa: A factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 315-323, January.
    2. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Could We Have Predicted The Recent Downturn In The South African Housing Market?," Working Papers 200831, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  688. Albert H. De Wet & Renee Van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2008. "Conditional Loss Estimation Using a South African Global Error Correcting Macroeconometric Model," Working Papers 200826, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Boschi, Melisso, 2007. "Foreign capital in Latin America: A long-run structural Global VAR perspective," Economics Discussion Papers 8918, University of Essex, Department of Economics.

  689. Rangan Gupta & Josine Uwilingiye, 2008. "Measuring the Welfare Cost of Inflation in South Africa: A Reconsideration," Working Papers 200809, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Irfan Ahmad Shah & Manmohan Lal Agarwal & Srikanta Kundu, 2019. "Welfare Cost of Inflation: Evidence from India," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 17(4), pages 781-799, December.

  690. Rangan Gupta, 2008. "Currency Substitution and Financial Repression," Working Papers 200806, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2008. "Costly Tax Enforcement and Financial Repression," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 37(2), pages 141-154, July.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Cobus Vermeulen, 2010. "Private and Public Health Expenditures in an Endogenous Growth Model with Inflation Targeting," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 11(1), pages 139-153, May.

  691. Thabo Mokoena & Rangan Gupta & Renee Van Eyden, 2008. "Testing for Fractional Integration in SADC Real Exchange Rates," Working Papers 200811, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Thabo M. Mokoena & Rangan Gupta & Reneé Van Eyden, 2009. "Testing For Ppp Using Sadc Real Exchange Rates," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 77(3), pages 351-362, September.
    2. Riane de Bruyn & Rangan Gupta & Lardo stander, 2011. "Testing the Monetary Model for Exchange Rate Determination in South Africa: Evidence from 101 Years of Data," Working Papers 201134, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Thabo M. Mokoena & Gupta, R. & Van Eyden, R., 2009. "Half-Life Deviations from PPP in the South African Development Community (SADC)," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 9(1).

  692. Rangan Gupta & Josine Uwilingiye, 2008. "Time Aggregation, Long-Run Money Demand and the Welfare Cost of Inflation," Working Papers 200825, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sriyana, Jaka, 2018. "Inflationary effects of fiscal and monetary policies in Indonesia," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center (PRADEC), vol. 14(3), June.

  693. Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 200821, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Natalia Bailey & Sean Holly & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2016. "A Two‐Stage Approach to Spatio‐Temporal Analysis with Strong and Weak Cross‐Sectional Dependence," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 249-280, January.
    2. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Papadimitriou, Theophilos & Gogas, Periklis, 2014. "Forecasting the U.S. Real House Price Index," DUTH Research Papers in Economics 10-2014, Democritus University of Thrace, Department of Economics.
    3. Mirriam Chitalu Chama-Chiliba & Rangan Gupta & Nonophile Nkambule & Naomi Tlotlego, 2011. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Papers 201132, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Juan Carlos Cuestas & Merike Kukk, 2019. "Are there asymmetries in the interaction between housing prices and housing credit? Evidence from a country with rapid credit accumulation," Working Papers 2019/06, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    5. Anthony C Constantinou & Norman Fenton, 2017. "The future of the London Buy-To-Let property market: Simulation with temporal Bayesian Networks," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(6), pages 1-30, June.
    6. Rosa Drift & Jan Haan & Peter Boelhouwer, 2024. "Forecasting House Prices through Credit Conditions: A Bayesian Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(6), pages 3381-3405, December.
    7. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "The Out-of-Sample Forecasting Performance of Non-Linear Models of Regional Housing Prices in the US," Working Papers 1209, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    8. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Forecasting Real House Price of the U.S.: An Analysis Covering 1890 to 2012," Working Papers 201362, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Kishor, N. Kundan, 2023. "Forecasting House Prices: The Role of Fundamentals, Credit Conditions, and Supply Indicators," MPRA Paper 116819, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Forecasting the US Real House Price Index: Structural and Non-Structural Models with and without Fundamentals," Working papers 2009-42, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    11. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2020. "Forecasting State- and MSA-Level Housing Returns of the US: The Role of Mortgage Default Risks," Working Papers 202037, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Zietz, Joachim & Traian, Anca, 2014. "When was the U.S. housing downturn predictable? A comparison of univariate forecasting methods," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 271-281.
    13. Kang, Sang Hoon & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Ahmed, Ali & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2018. "Multi-scale causality and extreme tail inter-dependence among housing prices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 301-309.
    14. Huang, MeiChi, 2014. "Bubble-like housing boom–bust cycles: Evidence from the predictive power of households’ expectations," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 2-16.
    15. Huang, MeiChi, 2018. "Time-varying diversification strategies: The roles of state-level housing assets in optimal portfolios," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 145-172.
    16. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Zahra Shah, 2010. "An In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Empirical Investigation of the Nonlinearity in House Prices of South Africa," Working Papers 201008, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. N. Kundan Kishor & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2017. "The Dynamic Relationship Between Housing Prices and the Macroeconomy: Evidence from OECD Countries," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 237-268, February.
    18. Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Forecasting House Prices for the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy: The Role of a Data-Rich Environment," Working Papers 201214, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Chang, Kuang-Liang, 2020. "An investigation on mixed housing-cycle structures and asymmetric tail dependences," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).

  694. Rangan Gupta & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2008. "Openness, Bureaucratic Corruption and Public Policy in an Endogenous Growth Model," Working Papers 200817, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Cobus Vermeulen, 2010. "Private and Public Health Expenditures in an Endogenous Growth Model with Inflation Targeting," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 11(1), pages 139-153, May.

  695. Rangan Gupta & Josine Uwilingiye, 2008. "Measuring the Welfare Cost of Inflation in South Africa," Working Papers 200804, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Andrew Phiri, 2012. "Threshold effects and inflation persistence in South Africa," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(3), pages 247-269, July.
    2. Eliphas Ndou & Nombulelo Gumata & Mthuli Ncube & Eric Olson, 2013. "Working Paper 189 - An Empirical Investigation of the Taylor Curve in South Africa," Working Paper Series 992, African Development Bank.
    3. Lumengo Bonga-Bonga & Ntsakeseni Letitia Lebese, 2019. "Rethinking The Current Inflation Target Range In South Africa," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 53(2), pages 13-27, April-Jun.
    4. Irfan Ahmad Shah & Manmohan Lal Agarwal & Srikanta Kundu, 2019. "Welfare Cost of Inflation: Evidence from India," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 17(4), pages 781-799, December.
    5. Steven F. Koch & Adl Bosch, 2009. "Inflation and the HouseholdTowards a Measurement of the Welfare Costs of Inflation," Working Papers 3488, South African Reserve Bank.

  696. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in a Small Open Economy: A Comparison between Small- and Large-Scale Models," Working Papers 200830, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Karlsson, Sune, 2012. "Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 2012:12, Örebro University, School of Business.
    2. Hanan Naser, 2015. "Estimating and forecasting Bahrain quarterly GDP growth using simple regression and factor-based methods," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 49(2), pages 449-479, September.
    3. Mirriam Chitalu Chama-Chiliba & Rangan Gupta & Nonophile Nkambule & Naomi Tlotlego, 2011. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Papers 201132, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotze & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa, vol. 0.
    5. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark Wohar, 2015. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201599, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2013. "Forecasting South African Macroeconomic Data with a Nonlinear DSGE Model," Working Papers 201313, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Open Access publications 10197/7351, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    8. Bekiros, Stelios D.; Cardani, Roberta; Paccagnini, Alessia; Villa, Stefania, 2015. "Dealing with Financial Instability under a DSGE modeling approach with Banking Intermediation: a forecastability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Economics Working Papers ECO2015/04, European University Institute.
    9. Marcin Kolasa & Michał Rubaszek, 2018. "Does the foreign sector help forecast domestic variables in DSGE models?," NBP Working Papers 282, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    10. Alessia Paccagnini, 2017. "Forecasting with FAVAR: macroeconomic versus financial factors," NBP Working Papers 256, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    11. Bekiros, Stelios & Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2016. "Dealing with financial instability under a DSGE modeling approach with banking intermediation: A predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 216-227.
    12. Rangan Gupta & Faaiqa Hartley, 2013. "The Role of Asset Prices in Forecasting Inflation and Output in South Africa," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 12(3), pages 239-291, December.
    13. Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "On the predictability of time-varying VAR and DSGE models," Open Access publications 10197/7329, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    14. Hyeyoen Kim & Doojin Ryu, 2013. "Forecasting Exchange Rate from Combination Taylor Rule Fundamental," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(S4), pages 81-92, September.
    15. Danglun Luo & Qianwei Ying, 2014. "Political Connections and Bank Lines of Credit," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(03), pages 5-21, May.
    16. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Housing Prices: A Case Study of Twenty US States," Working Papers 200912, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Dimitris P. Louzis, 2014. "Macroeconomic and credit forecasts in a small economy during crisis: A large Bayesian VAR approach," Working Papers 184, Bank of Greece.
    18. Nana Kwame Akosah & Imhotep Paul Alagidede & Eric Schaling, 2024. "General Equilibrium Model for Monetary Policy Responses to Macroeconomic Instabilities in Developing Economy: A Ghanaian Perspective," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 13(2), pages 213-272, December.
    19. Annari de Waal & Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Do we need a global VAR model to forecast inflation and output in South Africa?," Working Papers 201346, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    20. Rangan Gupta & Rudi Steinbach, 2010. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy: A Small Open Economy New Keynesian DSGE-VAR Model," Working Papers 201019, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Sami Alpanda & Kevin Kotzé & Geoffrey Woglom, 2011. "Forecasting Performance Of An Estimated Dsge Model For The South African Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 79(1), pages 50-67, March.
    22. Bekiros, Stelios, 2014. "Forecasting with a state space time-varying parameter VAR model: Evidence from the Euro area," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 619-626.
    23. Hassani, Hossein & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Gupta, Rangan & Das, Sonali, 2018. "Predicting global temperature anomaly: A definitive investigation using an ensemble of twelve competing forecasting models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 121-139.
    24. Gupta, Rangan & Steinbach, Rudi, 2013. "A DSGE-VAR model for forecasting key South African macroeconomic variables," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 19-33.
    25. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kotzé, Kevin, 2015. "Forecasting macroeconomic data for an emerging market with a nonlinear DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 215-228.
    26. Patrick T. kanda & Mehmet Balcilar & Pejman Bahramian & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Forecasting South African Inflation Using Non-Linear Models: A Weighted Loss-Based Evaluation," Working Papers 201416, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    27. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Adél Bosch & Rangan Gupta & Francois Stofberg, 2013. "The out-of-sample forecasting performance of non-linear models of real exchange rate behaviour: The case of the South African Rand," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 10(1), pages 121-148, April.
    28. Riane de Bruyn & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2013. "Forecasting The Rand-Dollar And Rand-Pound Exchange Rates Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Papers 201307, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mampho Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "DGSE Model-Based Forecasting of Modeled and Non-Modeled Inflation Variables in South Africa," Working Papers 259, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2013.
    30. Musso, Alberto & Neri, Stefano & Stracca, Livio, 2010. "Housing, consumption and monetary policy: how different are the US and the euro area?," Working Paper Series 1161, European Central Bank.
    31. Pavitra Dhamija, 2020. "Economic Development and South Africa: 25 Years Analysis (1994 to 2019)," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(3), pages 298-322, September.
    32. Dimitrios P. Louzis, 2017. "Macroeconomic and credit forecasts during the Greek crisis using Bayesian VARs," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 569-598, September.
    33. Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Forecasting House Prices for the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy: The Role of a Data-Rich Environment," Working Papers 201214, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    34. Ulrich Gunter, 2019. "Estimating and forecasting with a two-country DSGE model of the Euro area and the USA: the merits of diverging interest-rate rules," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1283-1323, April.

  697. Thabo Mokoena & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2008. "Testing for PPP Using SADC Real Exchange Rates," Working Papers 200822, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2014. "Is the Rand Really Decoupled from Economic Fundamentals?," Working Papers 201439, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Mulatu F. Zerihun & Marthinus C. Breitenbach, 2018. "Is SADC an optimal currency area? Evidence from the generalized purchasing power parity test," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 173-188, May.
    3. David de Villiers & Andrew Phiri, 2019. "Towards resolving the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) ‘puzzle’ in Newly Industrialized Countries (NIC’s)," Working Papers 1908, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University, revised Sep 2019.
    4. Riane de Bruyn & Rangan Gupta & Lardo stander, 2011. "Testing the Monetary Model for Exchange Rate Determination in South Africa: Evidence from 101 Years of Data," Working Papers 201134, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Thabo M. Mokoena & Gupta, R. & Van Eyden, R., 2009. "Half-Life Deviations from PPP in the South African Development Community (SADC)," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 9(1).
    6. Mulatu F. Zehirun & Marthinus C. Breitenbach & Francis M. Kemegue, 2015. "Assessment of Monetary Union in SADC: Evidence from Cointegration and Panel Unit Root Tests," Working Papers 201502, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Zerihun, Mulatu F. & Breitenbach, Marthinus C., 2016. "Nonlinear approaches in testing PPP: Evidence from Southern African development community," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 162-167.

  698. Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2008. "A New-Keynesian DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy," Working Papers 200805, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mirriam Chitalu Chama-Chiliba & Rangan Gupta & Nonophile Nkambule & Naomi Tlotlego, 2011. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Papers 201132, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Romain Houssa & Jolan Mohimont & Chris Otrok, 2019. "A Model for International Spillovers to Emerging Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series 7702, CESifo.
    3. Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotze & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa, vol. 0.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Open Access publications 10197/7351, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    5. Bekiros, Stelios & Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2016. "Dealing with financial instability under a DSGE modeling approach with banking intermediation: A predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 216-227.
    6. Chauvet, Marcelle & Potter, Simon, 2013. "Forecasting Output," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 141-194, Elsevier.
    7. Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "On the predictability of time-varying VAR and DSGE models," Open Access publications 10197/7329, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    8. Nana Kwame Akosah & Imhotep Paul Alagidede & Eric Schaling, 2024. "General Equilibrium Model for Monetary Policy Responses to Macroeconomic Instabilities in Developing Economy: A Ghanaian Perspective," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 13(2), pages 213-272, December.
    9. Annari de Waal & Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Do we need a global VAR model to forecast inflation and output in South Africa?," Working Papers 201346, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Rangan Gupta & Rudi Steinbach, 2010. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy: A Small Open Economy New Keynesian DSGE-VAR Model," Working Papers 201019, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Bekiros, Stelios, 2014. "Forecasting with a state space time-varying parameter VAR model: Evidence from the Euro area," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 619-626.
    12. Gupta, Rangan & Steinbach, Rudi, 2013. "A DSGE-VAR model for forecasting key South African macroeconomic variables," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 19-33.
    13. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kotzé, Kevin, 2015. "Forecasting macroeconomic data for an emerging market with a nonlinear DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 215-228.
    14. Patrick T. kanda & Mehmet Balcilar & Pejman Bahramian & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Forecasting South African Inflation Using Non-Linear Models: A Weighted Loss-Based Evaluation," Working Papers 201416, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 200821, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mampho Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "DGSE Model-Based Forecasting of Modeled and Non-Modeled Inflation Variables in South Africa," Working Papers 259, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2013.
    17. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in a Small Open Economy: A Comparison between Small- and Large-Scale Models," Working Papers 200830, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Roberto Duncan & Enrique Martínez‐García, 2023. "Forecasting inflation in open economies: What can a NOEM model do?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 481-513, April.

  699. Rangan Gupta & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2008. "Tax Evasion and Financial Repression: A Reconsideration Using Endogenous Growth Models," Working Papers 200808, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Philton Makena, 2018. "Why must it always be so Real with Tax Evasion?," Working Papers 201872, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Manoel Bittencourt & Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander, 2013. "Tax evasion, financial development and inflation: theory and empirical evidence," Working Papers 201316, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta, 2008. "Currency Substitution and Financial Repression," Working Papers 200806, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander & Andrea Vaona, 2023. "Openness and growth: Is the relationship non‐linear?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3071-3099, July.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Cobus Vermeulen, 2010. "Private and Public Health Expenditures in an Endogenous Growth Model with Inflation Targeting," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 11(1), pages 139-153, May.
    6. Pavitra Dhamija, 2020. "Economic Development and South Africa: 25 Years Analysis (1994 to 2019)," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(3), pages 298-322, September.

  700. Thabo Mokoena & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2008. "Half-Life Deviations from PPP in the SADC," Working Papers 200823, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Riane de Bruyn & Rangan Gupta & Lardo stander, 2011. "Testing the Monetary Model for Exchange Rate Determination in South Africa: Evidence from 101 Years of Data," Working Papers 201134, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  701. Kasai Ndahiriwe & Rangan Gupta, 2008. "Financial Liberalisation and the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy on House Prices in South Africa," Working Papers 200803, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Marius Jurgilas & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Monetary Policy and Housing Sector Dynamics in a Large-Scale Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Model," Working papers 2009-19, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2009. "The Effect Of Monetary Policy On House Price Inflation: A Factor Augmented Vector Autoregression (Favar) Approach," Working Papers 200903, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Marius Jurgilas & Stephen M. Miller & Dylan van Wyk, 2010. "Financial Market Liberalization, Monetary Policy, and Housing Price Dynamics," Working Papers 201009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2012. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience," Working Papers 1211, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.

  702. Rangan Gupta & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2008. "Misalignment in the Growth-Maximizing Policies under Alternative Assumptions of Tax Evasion," Working Papers 200819, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Manoel Bittencourt & Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander, 2013. "Tax evasion, financial development and inflation: theory and empirical evidence," Working Papers 201316, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  703. Rangan Gupta & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2008. "Costly Tax Enforcement and Financial Repression," Working Papers 200818, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta, 2008. "Currency Substitution and Financial Repression," Working Papers 200806, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander & Andrea Vaona, 2023. "Openness and growth: Is the relationship non‐linear?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3071-3099, July.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Cobus Vermeulen, 2010. "Private and Public Health Expenditures in an Endogenous Growth Model with Inflation Targeting," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 11(1), pages 139-153, May.
    4. Norkina, O. & Pekarski, S., 2015. "Nonmarket Debt Placement As Financial Repression," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 28(4), pages 31-55.
    5. Olga A. Norkina & Sergey E. Pekarski, 2014. "Optimal Financial Repression," HSE Working papers WP BRP 81/EC/2014, National Research University Higher School of Economics.

  704. Kasai Ndahiriwe & Rangan Gupta, 2007. "Temporal Causality between Taxes and Public Expenditures: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 200709, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

  705. Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2007. "Forecasting the South African Economy: A DSGE-VAR Approach," Working Papers 200724, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Is the United States of America (USA) really being made great again? witty insights from the Box-Jenkins ARIMA approach," MPRA Paper 91353, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Guangling 'Dave' Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2009. "A New-Keynesian DSGE model for forecasting the South African economy," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(5), pages 387-404.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Spatial Bayesian Methods of Forecasting House Prices in Six Metropolitan Areas of South Africa," Working Papers 200813, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Pop, Raluca-Elena, 2017. "A small-scale DSGE-VAR model for the Romanian economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 1-9.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 200821, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  706. Samuel Zita & Rangan Gupta, 2007. "Modelling and Forecasting the Metical-Rand Exchange Rate," Working Papers 200702, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 200821, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Could We Have Predicted The Recent Downturn In The South African Housing Market?," Working Papers 200831, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  707. Rangan Gupta, 2007. "Forecasting the South African Economy with Gibbs Sampled BVECMs," Working Papers 200701, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mirriam Chitalu Chama-Chiliba & Rangan Gupta & Nonophile Nkambule & Naomi Tlotlego, 2011. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Papers 201132, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Is the United States of America (USA) really being made great again? witty insights from the Box-Jenkins ARIMA approach," MPRA Paper 91353, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Spatial Bayesian Methods of Forecasting House Prices in Six Metropolitan Areas of South Africa," Working Papers 200813, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Annari de Waal & Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Do we need a global VAR model to forecast inflation and output in South Africa?," Working Papers 201346, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Rangan Gupta, 2009. "Bayesian Methods Of Forecasting Inventory Investment," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 77(1), pages 113-126, March.
    6. Pop, Raluca-Elena, 2017. "A small-scale DSGE-VAR model for the Romanian economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 1-9.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 200821, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in a Small Open Economy: A Comparison between Small- and Large-Scale Models," Working Papers 200830, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Caraiani, Petre, 2010. "Forecasting Romanian GDP Using a BVAR Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 76-87, December.

  708. Albert H. De Wet & Renee´ Van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2007. "Linking Global Economic Dynamics to a South African-Specific Credit Risk Correlation Model," Working Papers 200719, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Zedginidze Zviad, 2012. "Linking Macroeconomic Dynamics to Georgian Credit Portfolio Risk," EERC Working Paper Series 12/07e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
    2. Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2014. "Theory and practice of GVAR modeling," Globalization Institute Working Papers 180, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    3. Ballestra, Luca Vincenzo & Pacelli, Graziella, 2014. "Valuing risky debt: A new model combining structural information with the reduced-form approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 261-271.
    4. Annari Waal & Reneé Eyden, 2014. "Monetary policy and inflation in South Africa: A VECM augmented with foreign variables," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 82(1), pages 117-140, March.
    5. Miora Rakotonirainy & Jean Razafindravonona & Christian Rasolomanana, 2020. "Macro Stress Testing Credit Risk: Case of Madagascar Banking Sector," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(2), pages 199-218.
    6. Boschi, Melisso, 2007. "Foreign capital in Latin America: A long-run structural Global VAR perspective," Economics Discussion Papers 8918, University of Essex, Department of Economics.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in a Small Open Economy: A Comparison between Small- and Large-Scale Models," Working Papers 200830, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Alizadeh Janvisloo , Mohammad Reza & Sherafatian-Jahromi , Reza, 2019. "Macroeconomic, International Linkage and Effects of External Shocks in Southeast Asian Emerging Economies," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 14(2), pages 205-230, April.
    9. Mevlüt TATLIYER, 2017. "Determinants of Private Saving Level: Evidence from TurkeyAbstract: This paper attempts to ascertain the determinants of private saving level in Turkey. We implemented OLS estimations and constructed ," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society.

  709. Josine Uwilingiye & Rangan Gupta, 2007. "Temporal Causality between Budget Deficit and Interest Rate: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 200708, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Przekota Grzegorz & Lisowska Agnieszka, 2016. "The Reaction of Private Spending and Market Interest Rates to the Changes in Public Spending," Foundations of Management, Sciendo, vol. 8(1), pages 203-210, January.

  710. Rangan Gupta, 2006. "Forecasting the South African Economy with VARs and VECMs," Working Papers 200618, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "“Ripple Effects” and Forecasting Home Prices In Los Angeles, Las Vegas, and Phoenix," Working Papers 200901, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Mirriam Chitalu Chama-Chiliba & Rangan Gupta & Nonophile Nkambule & Naomi Tlotlego, 2011. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Papers 201132, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2007. "Forecasting the South African Economy: A DSGE-VAR Approach," Working Papers 200724, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Guangling 'Dave' Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2009. "A New-Keynesian DSGE model for forecasting the South African economy," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(5), pages 387-404.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Spatial Bayesian Methods of Forecasting House Prices in Six Metropolitan Areas of South Africa," Working Papers 200813, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Forecasting the US Real House Price Index: Structural and Non-Structural Models with and without Fundamentals," Working papers 2009-42, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Housing Prices: A Case Study of Twenty US States," Working Papers 200912, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Rangan Gupta & Stephen Miller, 2012. "The Time-Series Properties of House Prices: A Case Study of the Southern California Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 339-361, April.
    9. Annari de Waal & Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Do we need a global VAR model to forecast inflation and output in South Africa?," Working Papers 201346, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2010. "Alternative methods for forecasting GDP," Post-Print halshs-00511979, HAL.
    11. Rangan Gupta, 2009. "Bayesian Methods Of Forecasting Inventory Investment," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 77(1), pages 113-126, March.
    12. Patrick T. kanda & Mehmet Balcilar & Pejman Bahramian & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Forecasting South African Inflation Using Non-Linear Models: A Weighted Loss-Based Evaluation," Working Papers 201416, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Zahra Shah, 2010. "An In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Empirical Investigation of the Nonlinearity in House Prices of South Africa," Working Papers 201008, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 200821, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Could We Have Predicted The Recent Downturn In The South African Housing Market?," Working Papers 200831, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2010. "Alternative methods for forecasting GDP," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-00511979, HAL.
    17. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in a Small Open Economy: A Comparison between Small- and Large-Scale Models," Working Papers 200830, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2010. "Alternative methods for forecasting GDP," Post-Print halshs-00505165, HAL.

  711. Rangan Gupta & Moses M. Sichei, 2006. "A BVAR Model for the South African Economy," Working Papers 200612, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "“Ripple Effects” and Forecasting Home Prices In Los Angeles, Las Vegas, and Phoenix," Working Papers 200901, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Mirriam Chitalu Chama-Chiliba & Rangan Gupta & Nonophile Nkambule & Naomi Tlotlego, 2011. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Papers 201132, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Spatial Bayesian Methods of Forecasting House Prices in Six Metropolitan Areas of South Africa," Working Papers 200813, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Forecasting the US Real House Price Index: Structural and Non-Structural Models with and without Fundamentals," Working papers 2009-42, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Housing Prices: A Case Study of Twenty US States," Working Papers 200912, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Stephen Miller, 2012. "The Time-Series Properties of House Prices: A Case Study of the Southern California Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 339-361, April.
    7. Lozano, Francisco-Javier, 2013. "Evaluación de modelos de predicción para la venta de viviendas [Evaluation of forecasting models for house sales]," MPRA Paper 118652, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Annari de Waal & Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Do we need a global VAR model to forecast inflation and output in South Africa?," Working Papers 201346, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Patricio Jaramillo, 2008. "Estimación de Var Bayesianos para la Economía Chilena," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 508, Central Bank of Chile.
    10. Rangan Gupta, 2009. "Bayesian Methods Of Forecasting Inventory Investment," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 77(1), pages 113-126, March.
    11. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Zahra Shah, 2010. "An In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Empirical Investigation of the Nonlinearity in House Prices of South Africa," Working Papers 201008, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 200821, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Could We Have Predicted The Recent Downturn In The South African Housing Market?," Working Papers 200831, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in a Small Open Economy: A Comparison between Small- and Large-Scale Models," Working Papers 200830, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Caraiani, Petre, 2010. "Forecasting Romanian GDP Using a BVAR Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 76-87, December.
    16. Usman Shakoor & Mudassar Rashid & Ashfaque Ali Baloch & Muhammad Iftikhar ul Husnain & Abdul Saboor, 2021. "How Aging Population Affects Health Care Expenditures in Pakistan? A Bayesian VAR Analysis," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 153(2), pages 585-607, January.

  712. Pei-Pei Chen & Rangan Gupta, 2006. "An Investigation of Openness and Economic Growth Using Panel Estimation," Working Papers 200622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Saima SARWAR* & M. Wasif SIDDIQI**, 2018. "AN ATTEMPT TO CRYSTALIZE THE BLACK-BOX MYSTERY: Institutional Quality or Constitutional Rights," Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, Applied Economics Research Centre, vol. 28(1), pages 103-130.
    2. Benos, Nikos & Zotou, Stefania, 2014. "Education and Economic Growth: A Meta-Regression Analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 669-689.
    3. Audi, Marc & Ali, Amjad & Al-Masri, Razan, 2021. "Determinants of Advancement in Information Communication Technologies and its Prospect under the role of Aggregate and Disaggregate Globalization," MPRA Paper 111277, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. A Gopalakrishnan & A Mahalakshmi, 2018. "A Study on Impact of Foreign Trade in India in The Post Liberalisation Era," Shanlax International Journal of Economics, Shanlax Journals, vol. 6(3), pages 1-7, June.
    5. Seleteng, Monaheng & Bittencourt, Manoel & van Eyden, Reneé, 2013. "Non-linearities in inflation–growth nexus in the SADC region: A panel smooth transition regression approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 149-156.
    6. Chibalamula, Haggai Chibale & Evans, Yeboah & Kachelo, Mukuka & Bamwesigye, Dastan, 2023. "The Effect of Foreign Direct Investment and Trade Openness on Economic Growth: Evidence from Five African Countries," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 15(01), January.
    7. Haq, Munshi Masudul, 2008. "Growth and openness: empirical evidence from Bangladesh," MPRA Paper 35732, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Samson Edo, 2024. "Comparative Performance of Trade Openness and Sovereign Debt Accumulation in Fostering Economic Growth of Sub-Saharan African Countries," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 59(1), pages 98-116, February.
    9. Zohreh Shirani Fakhr & Azita Sheikhbahaie, 2008. "Openness, Growth, and Development: Evidence from a Panel of East Asian Countries," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 13(2), pages 157-174, fall.
    10. Ching-Cheng Chang & Michael Mendy, 2012. "Economic growth and openness in Africa: What is the empirical relationship?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(18), pages 1903-1907, December.
    11. Majid Karimzadeh & Behzad Karimzadeh, 2013. "Impact of Trade and Human Capital on Economic Growth of India: An Empirical Analysis," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 16(48), pages 201-214, June.

  713. Rangan Gupta, 2006. "Financial Liberalization and a Possible Growth-Inflation Trade-Off," Working Papers 200617, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Philton Makena, 2020. "Growth Dynamics, Multiple Equilibria, and Local Indeterminacy in an Endogenous Growth Model of Money, Banking and Inflation Targeting," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-14, March.

  714. Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2006. "A Small-Scale DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy," Working Papers 200621, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ngalawa, Harold & Viegi, Nicola, 2013. "Interaction of formal and informal financial markets in quasi-emerging market economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 614-624.
    2. Duncan, Roberto & Martínez-García, Enrique, 2019. "New perspectives on forecasting inflation in emerging market economies: An empirical assessment," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1008-1031.
    3. Felicitas NOWAK-LEHMANN D. & Inma MARTÍNEZ-ZARZOSO & Dierk HERZER & Stephan KLASEN & Axel DREHER, 2010. "Foreign Aid and Its Effect on Per-Capita Income (Growth) in Recipient Countries: Pitfalls and Findings from a Time Series Perspective," EcoMod2010 259600121, EcoMod.
    4. Mr Steinbach & Pt Mathuloe & Bw Smit, 2009. "An Open Economy New Keynesian Dsge Model Of The South African Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 77(2), pages 207-227, June.
    5. Mirriam Chitalu Chama-Chiliba & Rangan Gupta & Nonophile Nkambule & Naomi Tlotlego, 2011. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Papers 201132, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Is the United States of America (USA) really being made great again? witty insights from the Box-Jenkins ARIMA approach," MPRA Paper 91353, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2007. "Forecasting the South African Economy: A DSGE-VAR Approach," Working Papers 200724, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Guangling 'Dave' Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2009. "A New-Keynesian DSGE model for forecasting the South African economy," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(5), pages 387-404.
    9. Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Open Access publications 10197/7351, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    10. Guangling Liu & Thabang Molise, 2019. "The effectiveness of the counter-cyclical loan-to-value regulation: Generic versus sector-specific rules," Working Papers 21/2019, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    11. Charl Jooste & Guangling Dave Liu & Ruthira Naraidoo, 2012. "Analysing the Effects of Fiscal Policy Shocks in the South African Economy," Working Papers 201206, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Spatial Bayesian Methods of Forecasting House Prices in Six Metropolitan Areas of South Africa," Working Papers 200813, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Diana Escandon-Barbosa & David Urbano-Pulido & Andrea Hurtado-Ayala, 2019. "Exploring the Relationship between Formal and Informal Institutions, Social Capital, and Entrepreneurial Activity in Developing and Developed Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-20, January.
    14. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Adel Bosch & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Housing and the Business Cycle in South Africa," Working Papers 15-22, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    15. Hilary Patroba & Leroi Raputsoane, 2016. "South Africa's real business cycles: The cycle is the trend," Working Papers 12/2016, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    16. Annari de Waal & Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Do we need a global VAR model to forecast inflation and output in South Africa?," Working Papers 201346, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Rangan Gupta & Rudi Steinbach, 2010. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy: A Small Open Economy New Keynesian DSGE-VAR Model," Working Papers 201019, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Caraiani, Petre, 2008. "Forecasting Romanian GDP Using a Small DSGE Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 5(1), pages 182-192, March.
    19. Pop, Raluca-Elena, 2017. "A small-scale DSGE-VAR model for the Romanian economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 1-9.
    20. Gupta, Rangan & Steinbach, Rudi, 2013. "A DSGE-VAR model for forecasting key South African macroeconomic variables," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 19-33.
    21. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kotzé, Kevin, 2015. "Forecasting macroeconomic data for an emerging market with a nonlinear DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 215-228.
    22. Liu, Guangling (Dave) & Seeiso, Nkhahle E., 2012. "Basel II procyclicality: The case of South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 848-857.
    23. Harold Ngalawa & Coretha Komba, 2020. "Inflation‐Output Trade‐Off in South Africa: Is the Phillips Curve Symmetric?," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(4), pages 472-494, December.
    24. Stan du Plessis & Ben Smit & Rudi Steinbach, 2014. "A mediumsized open economy DSGE model of South Africa," Working Papers 6319, South African Reserve Bank.
    25. Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 200821, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    26. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mampho Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "DGSE Model-Based Forecasting of Modeled and Non-Modeled Inflation Variables in South Africa," Working Papers 259, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2013.
    27. Guangling (Dave) Liu & Nkhahle Seeiso, 2011. "Business Cycle and Bank Capital Regulation: Basel II Procyclicality," Working Papers 18/2011, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    28. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Could We Have Predicted The Recent Downturn In The South African Housing Market?," Working Papers 200831, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Liu, Guangling & Molise, Thabang, 2019. "Housing and credit market shocks: Exploring the role of rule-based Basel III counter-cyclical capital requirements," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 264-279.
    30. Dave Liu, 2007. "Growth Theory and Application: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 200714, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    31. Gupta, Rangan & Kabundi, Alain, 2011. "A large factor model for forecasting macroeconomic variables in South Africa," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1076-1088, October.

  715. Rangan Gupta, 2006. "Growth-Effects of Inflation Targeting: The Role of Financial Sector Development," Working Papers 200610, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Varella Mollick, Andre & Torres, Rene Cabral & Carneiro, Francisco G., 2008. "Does Inflation Targeting Matter for Output Growth? Evidence from Industrial and Emerging Economies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4791, The World Bank.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Philton Makena, 2020. "Growth Dynamics, Multiple Equilibria, and Local Indeterminacy in an Endogenous Growth Model of Money, Banking and Inflation Targeting," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-14, March.
    3. Wang, Chan, 2012. "A very preliminary survey on growth and development," MPRA Paper 39037, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  716. Rangan Gupta & Charlotte du Toit, 2006. "Active versus Passive Policies of Unemployment: Growth and Public Finance Perspectives," Working Papers 200620, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kafayat Amusa & Rangan Gupta & Shaakira Karolia & Beatrice D. Simo Kengne, 2010. "The Long-Run Impact of Inflation in South Africa," Working Papers 201029, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  717. Samrat Goswami & Rangan Gupta, 2006. "An Endogenous Growth Model of a Financially Repressed Small Open Economy," Working Papers 200616, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Philton Makena, 2020. "Growth Dynamics, Multiple Equilibria, and Local Indeterminacy in an Endogenous Growth Model of Money, Banking and Inflation Targeting," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-14, March.

  718. Rangan Gupta & Andreas G. Karapatakis, 2005. "Financial Liberalization: A Myth or a Miracle Cure?," Working Papers 200505, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Konstantinos Loizos, 2018. "The Financial Repression†Liberalization Debate: Taking Stock, Looking For A Synthesis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 440-468, April.

  719. Rangan Gupta, 2005. "Financial Liberalization and Inflationary Dynamics: An Open Economy Analysis," Working papers 2005-32, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rashid, Abdul, 2010. "Testing for nonlinear causation between capital inflows and domestic prices," MPRA Paper 26082, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  720. Rangan Gupta, 2005. "Endogenous Tax Evasion and Reserve Requirements: A Comparative Study in the Context of European Economies," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 328, Society for Computational Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ratbek Dzhumashev & Emin Gahramanov, 2008. "Can We Tax The Desire For Tax Evasion?," Monash Economics Working Papers 28/08, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    2. Emin Gahramanov, 2009. "Tax Evasion and Dynamic Inefficiency," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(1), pages 437-443.
    3. Ratbek Dzhumashev & Emin Gahramanov, 2010. "A Growth Model with Income Tax Evasion: Some Implications for Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 86(275), pages 620-636, December.

  721. Rangan Gupta, 2005. "Financial Liberalization and Inflationary Dynamics," Working papers 2005-31, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta, 2005. "Costly State Monitoring and Reserve Requirements," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 6(2), pages 263-288, November.
    2. Rashid, Abdul, 2010. "Testing for nonlinear causation between capital inflows and domestic prices," MPRA Paper 26082, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Rangan Gupta, 2005. "A Generic Model of Financial Repression," Working papers 2005-20, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2005.
    4. Abdul Rashid & Fazal Husain, 2010. "Capital Inflows, Inflation and Exchange Rate Volatility : An Investigation for Linear and Nonlinear Causal Linkages," Macroeconomics Working Papers 22832, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.

  722. Rangan Gupta & Basab Dasgupta, 2005. "The Macroeconomic Reform and the Demand for Money in India," Working Papers 200502, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Nitin, Arora & Asghar, OsatiEraghi, 2016. "Does India have a stable demand for money function after reforms? A macroeconometric analysis," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 44, pages 25-37.
    2. Gyimah-Brempong, Kwabena & Olomola, Aderibigbe, 2014. "Loan demand and rationing among small-scale farmers in Nigeria," IFPRI discussion papers 1403, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).

  723. Rangan Gupta, 2005. "Tax Evasion and Financial Repression," Working papers 2005-34, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2007.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Philton Makena, 2018. "Why must it always be so Real with Tax Evasion?," Working Papers 201872, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Mamedly, M. & Norkina, O., 2019. "Optimal Financial Repression in an Overlapping Generations Model with Endogenous Labor," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 43(3), pages 34-56.
    3. Manoel Bittencourt & Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander, 2013. "Tax evasion, financial development and inflation: theory and empirical evidence," Working Papers 201316, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Rangan Gupta, 2008. "Currency Substitution and Financial Repression," Working Papers 200806, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Yi-Chung Hsu & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2016. "Factors Affecting Tax Evasion: Do Interest Rate And Regional Effects Matter?," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 61(04), pages 1-23, September.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander & Andrea Vaona, 2023. "Openness and growth: Is the relationship non‐linear?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3071-3099, July.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Cobus Vermeulen, 2010. "Private and Public Health Expenditures in an Endogenous Growth Model with Inflation Targeting," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 11(1), pages 139-153, May.
    8. Norkina, Olga A. (Норкина, Ольга А.), 2018. "Financial Repression and Populism [Финансовая Репрессия И Популизм]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 1, pages 122-147, February.
    9. Manoj Atolia, 2010. "Public Investment, Tax Evasion, And The Welfare Effects Of A Tariff Reform," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 28(2), pages 219-239, April.
    10. Norkina, O. & Pekarski, S., 2015. "Nonmarket Debt Placement As Financial Repression," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 28(4), pages 31-55.
    11. Robert Wolanski, 2018. "Zmiany w podatku VAT w kontekscie przeciwdzialania zjawisku unikania i uchylania sie od opodatkowania w latach 2016–2018 (Changes in Value Added Tax in the Context of Counteracting Tax Avoidance and T," Research Reports, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 2(29), pages 109-119.
    12. Blackburn, Keith & Powell, Jonathan, 2011. "Corruption, inflation and growth," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 113(3), pages 225-227.
    13. Mohammed Mahdi Obaid & Noraza Mat Udin, 2020. "Corruption and Tax Noncompliance Variables: An Empirical Investigation From Yemen," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(4), pages 52-63, July.
    14. Olga A. Norkina & Sergey E. Pekarski, 2014. "Optimal Financial Repression," HSE Working papers WP BRP 81/EC/2014, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    15. Fadi Alasfour, 2019. "Costs of Distrust: The Virtuous Cycle of Tax Compliance in Jordan," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 155(1), pages 243-258, March.
    16. Mariia A. Elkina, 2021. "Financial Repression And Transmission Of Macroeconomic Shocks In A DSGE Model With Financial Frictions," HSE Working papers WP BRP 246/EC/2021, National Research University Higher School of Economics.

  724. Rangan Gupta, 2005. "A Generic Model of Financial Repression," Working papers 2005-20, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2005.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta, 2005. "Costly State Monitoring and Reserve Requirements," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 6(2), pages 263-288, November.

  725. Rangan Gupta, 2004. "Costly State Monitoring and Reserve Requirements," Working papers 2004-33, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2005.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Philton Makena, 2018. "Why must it always be so Real with Tax Evasion?," Working Papers 201872, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Cerqueti, Roy & Coppier, Raffaella, 2011. "Economic growth, corruption and tax evasion," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 489-500.
    3. Manoel Bittencourt & Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander, 2013. "Tax evasion, financial development and inflation: theory and empirical evidence," Working Papers 201316, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2008. "Costly Tax Enforcement and Financial Repression," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 37(2), pages 141-154, July.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander & Andrea Vaona, 2023. "Openness and growth: Is the relationship non‐linear?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3071-3099, July.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Cobus Vermeulen, 2010. "Private and Public Health Expenditures in an Endogenous Growth Model with Inflation Targeting," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 11(1), pages 139-153, May.
    7. Gupta, Rangan, 2008. "Tax evasion and financial repression," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 60(6), pages 517-535.
    8. Tristan Canare, 2018. "The Effect of Ease of Doing Business on Firm Creation," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 19(2), pages 555-584, November.

Articles

  1. Polat, Onur & Cunado, Juncal & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan, 2025. "Oil price shocks and the connectedness of US state-level financial markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the co-movement of regional housing prices of the United Kingdom," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-22, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Luo, Jiawen & Cepni, Oguzhan & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2025. "Forecasting multivariate volatilities with exogenous predictors: An application to industry diversification strategies," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Bouri, Elie & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Liu, Ruipeng, 2025. "Supply chain constraints and the predictability of the conditional distribution of international stock market returns and volatility," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2024. "Energy-related uncertainty and international stock market volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 280-293.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Juncal Cunado & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Realized volatility spillovers between energy and metal markets: a time-varying connectedness approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-17, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Multi-Task Forecasting of the Realized Volatilities of Agricultural Commodity Prices," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-26, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  9. Polat, Onur & Gupta, Rangan & Cepni, Oguzhan & Ji, Qiang, 2024. "Can municipal bonds hedge US state-level climate risks?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  10. Zhang, Yunhan & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2024. "How connected is the oil-bank network? Firm-level and high-frequency evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  11. Jacobus Nel & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Climate Risks And Predictability Of Commodity Returns And Volatility: Evidence From Over 750 Years Of Data," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(04), pages 1-40, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  12. Segnon, Mawuli & Gupta, Rangan & Wilfling, Bernd, 2024. "Forecasting stock market volatility with regime-switching GARCH-MIDAS: The role of geopolitical risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 29-43.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  13. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Financial stress and realized volatility: The case of agricultural commodities," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  14. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Wenting Liao & Jun Ma, 2024. "Climate risks and forecastability of the weekly state‐level economic conditions of the United States," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 154-162, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  15. Lesame, Keagile & Ngene, Geoffrey & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2024. "Herding in international REITs markets around the COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  16. André, Christophe & Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan, 2024. "Revisiting international house price convergence using house price level data," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(2).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  17. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Cepni, Oguzhan, 2024. "Time-Varying effects of extreme weather shocks on output growth of the United States," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  18. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Forecasting the realized volatility of agricultural commodity prices: Does sentiment matter?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 2088-2125, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  19. Salisu, Afees A. & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2024. "Technological shocks and stock market volatility over a century," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Do Shortages Forecast Aggregate and Sectoral U.S. Stock Market Realized Variance? Evidence from a Century of Data," Working Papers 202450, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  20. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni & Petre Caraiani, 2024. "Oil shocks and state-level stock market volatility of the United States: a GARCH-MIDAS approach," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 1473-1510, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  21. Liao, Wenting & Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Karmakar, Sayar, 2024. "Extreme weather shocks and state-level inflation of the United States," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  22. Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Miller, Stephen M., 2024. "Estimating U.S. housing price network connectedness: Evidence from dynamic Elastic Net, Lasso, and ridge vector autoregressive models," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 349-362.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  23. Çekin, Semih Emre & Ivashchenko, Sergey & Gupta, Rangan & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2024. "Real-time forecast of DSGE models with time-varying volatility in GARCH form," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  24. Fava, Santino Del & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Rognone, Lavinia, 2024. "Forecasting international financial stress: The role of climate risks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  25. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Abeeb Olaniran, 2023. "The effect of oil uncertainty shock on real GDP of 33 countries: a global VAR approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 269-274, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  26. Rangan Gupta & Yuvana Jaichand & Christian Pierdzioch & Reneé van Eyden, 2023. "Realized Stock-Market Volatility of the United States and the Presidential Approval Rating," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-27, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  27. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2023. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(3), pages 365-381, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  28. Nicholas Apergis & Konstantinos Gavriilidis & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Does climate policy uncertainty affect tourism demand? Evidence from time-varying causality tests," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(6), pages 1484-1498, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  29. Yousaf, Imran & Plakandaras, Vasilios & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan, 2023. "Hedge and safe-haven properties of FAANA against gold, US Treasury, bitcoin, and US Dollar/CHF during the pandemic period," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Zeng, Hongjun & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Lucey, Brian & Ma, Shenglin, 2025. "Tail risk contagion and multiscale spillovers in the green finance index and large US technology stocks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    2. Rui Manuel Dias & Mariana Chambino & Nuno Teixeira & Paulo Alexandre & Paula Heliodoro, 2023. "Balancing Portfolios with Metals: A Safe Haven for Green Energy Investors?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(20), pages 1-21, October.
    3. Mirzat Ullah, 2024. "Dynamic Connectedness between Crypto and Conventional Financial Assets: Novel Findings from Russian Financial Market," Journal of Applied Economic Research, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, vol. 23(1), pages 110-135.
    4. Al-Nassar, Nassar S. & Yousaf, Imran & Makram, Beljid, 2023. "Spillovers between positively and negatively affected service sectors from the COVID-19 health crisis: Implications for portfolio management," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    5. Seyram P. Kumah, 2024. "Cryptocurrency and African fiat currencies: A peaceful coexistence?," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 53(1), February.
    6. Wu, Jie & Rasool, Zeeshan & Ali, Sajid & Nazar, Raima, 2024. "Between policy swings and financial shockwaves: Asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty on financial stability in high-volatility nations," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).

  30. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The non-linear response of US state-level tradable and non-tradable inflation to oil shocks: The role of oil-dependence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  31. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Theodoridis, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark E., 2023. "Is there a national housing market bubble brewing in the United States?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(8), pages 2191-2228, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  32. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Saban Nazlioglu & Omar Rojas, 2023. "Time‐varying causality between bond and oil markets of the United States: Evidence from over one and half centuries of data," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 2239-2247, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  33. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2023. "Tail risks and forecastability of stock returns of advanced economies: evidence from centuries of data," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 466-481, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  34. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2023. "The Effects of Disaggregate Oil Shocks on the Aggregate Expected Skewness of the United States," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-9, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  35. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "Climate risks and realized volatility of major commodity currency exchange rates," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  36. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  37. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Drivers of Realized Volatility for Emerging Countries with a Focus on South Africa: Fundamentals versus Sentiment," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-26, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Mesias Alfeus & Justin Harvey & Phuthehang Maphatsoe, 2025. "Improving realised volatility forecast for emerging markets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 49(1), pages 299-342, March.
    2. Kejin Wu & Sayar Karmakar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century in an Emerging Market Economy: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 202326, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  38. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Sakiru Adebola Solarin & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Productivity and GDP: international evidence of persistence and trends over 130 years of data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 1219-1246, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  39. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2023. "Testing the forecasting power of global economic conditions for the volatility of international REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 303-314.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  40. Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "Monetary policy and bubbles in G7 economies using a panel VAR approach: Implications for sustainable development," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 133-155.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    2. Cao, Fangzhi & Su, Chi-Wei & Sun, Dian & Qin, Meng & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "U.S. monetary policy: The pushing hands of crude oil price?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    3. Mohamed Sadok Gassouma & Adel Benhamed, 2023. "The Impact of the Islamic System on Economic and Social Factors: A Macroeconomic Uncertainty Context," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-17, December.
    4. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Predicting Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries: The Role of Oil Price Uncertainty," Working Papers 202332, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua, 2024. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bubbles in global stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    6. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles in an Emerging Country: The Case of India," Working Papers 202305, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Stock Market Volatility and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles," Working Papers 202310, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratio and the Predictability of Bubbles in Financial Markets," Working Papers 202317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Karamti, Chiraz & Jeribi, Ahmed, 2023. "Stock markets from COVID-19 to the Russia–Ukraine crisis: Structural breaks in interactive effects panels," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    10. Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2025. "Stock market volatility and multi-scale positive and negative bubbles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    11. Le Quoc Dinh & Tran Thi Kim Oanh & Nguyen Thi Hong Ha, 2025. "Financial stability and sustainable development: Perspectives from fiscal and monetary policy," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 1724-1741, April.

  41. André, Christophe & Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan, 2023. "Fiscal policy and stock markets at the effective lower bound," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  42. Heni Boubaker & Giorgio Canarella & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2023. "A Hybrid ARFIMA Wavelet Artificial Neural Network Model for DJIA Index Forecasting," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(4), pages 1801-1843, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  43. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Policy uncertainty and stock market volatility revisited: The predictive role of signal quality," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 2307-2321, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  44. Cepni, Oguzhan & Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan, 2023. "Forecasting national recessions of the United States with state-level climate risks: Evidence from model averaging in Markov-switching models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  45. Carolyn Chisadza & Matthew Clance & Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Climate Change and Inequality: Evidence from the United States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-11, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Petre Caraiani & Carolyn Chisadza & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Does Climate Affect Investments? Evidence from Firms in the United States," Working Papers 202448, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Swapnanil SenGupta & Aakansha Atal, 2024. "Income inequality in the face of climate change: an empirical investigation on unequal nations, vulnerable regions and India," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 4(8), pages 1-33, August.
    3. Hosana Gomes da Silva & Weeberb J. Requia, 2025. "Racial and Economic Disparities in High-Temperature Exposure in Brazil," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 22(2), pages 1-15, January.
    4. Dr. Kangyin Dong & Congyu Zhao & Xiucheng Dong, 2024. "From Hell To Heaven: How Climate Risks Hurt The Poor And Climate Finance Heals Them," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 27(4), pages 603-630, December.
    5. Bruno Ćorić & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Economic disasters and inequality: a note," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 3527-3543, October.

  46. Jiqian Wang & Rangan Gupta & Oğuzhan Çepni & Feng Ma, 2023. "Forecasting international REITs volatility: the role of oil-price uncertainty," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(14), pages 1579-1597, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  47. Sibande, Xolani & Demirer, Riza & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan, 2023. "On the pricing effects of bitcoin mining in the fossil fuel market: The case of coal," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  48. Sisa Shiba & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Samrat Goswami, 2023. "Infectious Diseases-Related Uncertainty and the Predictability of Foreign Exchange and Bitcoin Futures Realized Volatility," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(02), pages 1-14, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  49. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Investor Confidence and Forecastability of US Stock Market Realized Volatility: Evidence from Machine Learning," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 111-122, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  50. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    2. Yunchuan Sun & Lu Liu & Ying Xu & Xiaoping Zeng & Yufeng Shi & Haifeng Hu & Jie Jiang & Ajith Abraham, 2024. "Alternative data in finance and business: emerging applications and theory analysis (review)," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-32, December.

  51. Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2023. "Integration and risk transmission in the market for crude oil: New evidence from a time-varying parameter frequency connectedness approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Zhu, Zongyuan & Luo, Qingtian, 2023. "Inter-industry risk spillover, role reversal, and economic stability," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    2. Juncal Cunado & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Realized Volatility Spillovers between Energy and Metal Markets: A Time-Varying Connectedness Approach," Working Papers 202180, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Zheng, Jinlin & Wen, Baoyu & Jiang, Yaohui & Wang, Xiaohan & Shen, Yue, 2023. "Risk spillovers across geopolitical risk and global financial markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    4. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Sheikh, Umaid A. & Tabash, Mosab I. & Jiao, Zhilun, 2024. "Shock transmission between climate policy uncertainty, financial stress indicators, oil price uncertainty and industrial metal volatility: Identifying moderators, hedgers and shock transmitters," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    5. Han, SeungOh, 2024. "Hedging strategies for U.S. factor and sector exchange-traded funds during geopolitical events," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    6. Bhattacherjee, Purba & Mishra, Sibanjan & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2024. "Extreme time-frequency connectedness across U.S. sector stock and commodity futures markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 1176-1197.
    7. Li, Jiang-Cheng & Xu, Yi-Zhen & Tao, Chen & Zhong, Guang-Yan, 2025. "Multi-period impacts and network connectivity of cryptocurrencies to international stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 658(C).
    8. Lee, Geul & Ryu, Doojin, 2025. "Are base layer blockchains establishing a new sector? Evidence from a connectedness approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PB).
    9. Yang, Yajie & Zhao, Longfeng & Chen, Lin & Wang, Chao & Wang, Gang-Jin, 2025. "The spillover effects between renewable energy tokens and energy assets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    10. Abid, Ilyes & Benkraiem, Ramzi & Mzoughi, Hela & Urom, Christian, 2024. "From black gold to financial fallout: Analyzing extreme risk spillovers in oil-exporting nations," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    11. Cao, Yufei, 2025. "Impact of climate change on dynamic tail-risk connectedness among stock market social sectors: Evidence from the US, Europe, and China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PB).
    12. Han, SeungOh, 2025. "Dynamic hedging strategies for U.S. investors in international stock ETFs following geopolitical conflicts," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    13. Xu, Danyang & Hu, Yang & Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Oxley, Les, 2024. "Green bonds and traditional and emerging investments: Understanding connectedness during crises," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    14. Xu, Yingying & Shao, Xuefeng & Tanasescu, Cristina, 2024. "How are artificial intelligence, carbon market, and energy sector connected? A systematic analysis of time-frequency spillovers," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    15. Su, Xianfang & Zhao, Yachao, 2025. "Risk spillovers between Chinese new energy futures and carbon-intensive assets: Asymmetric effect, time–frequency dynamics, and portfolio strategies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    16. Chai, Li & Wang, Yuqi & Qi, Xiaohong, 2024. "Cross-category connectedness between Shanghai crude oil futures and Chinese stock markets related to the Belt and Road Initiative," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    17. Buchetti, Bruno & Bouteska, Ahmed & Harasheh, Murad & Santoni, Alessandro, 2025. "Investor sentiment and dynamic connectedness in European markets: insights from the covid-19 and Russia-Ukraine conflict," Working Paper Series 3050, European Central Bank.
    18. Yushi Xu & Baifan Chen & Jionghao Huang & Qingsha Hu & Shuning Kong, 2024. "Time–frequency connectedness between heterogeneous oil price shocks and inflation: a comparative analysis of developed and emerging economies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(6), pages 1-42, December.
    19. Apostolakis, George N. & Giannellis, Nikolaos, 2024. "Monetary policy and uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from a wavelet and frequency connectedness analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PC).
    20. Chen, Yanhui & Zhou, Xiaoyu & Chen, Shun & Mi, Jackson Jinhong, 2024. "LNG freight rate and LNG price, carbon price, geopolitical risk: A dynamic connectedness analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
    21. Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Ben Jabeur, Sami & Nammouri, Hela & Bel Hadj Miled, Kamel, 2024. "Dynamic connectedness of quantum computing, artificial intelligence, and big data stocks on renewable and sustainable energy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    22. Gao, Wang & Wei, Jiajia & Zhang, Hongwei & Zhang, Haizhen, 2024. "The higher-order moments connectedness between rare earth and clean energy markets and the role of geopolitical risk:New insights from a TVP-VAR framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    23. Xu, Danyang & Hu, Yang & Oxley, Les & Lin, Boqiang & He, Yongda, 2025. "Exploring the connectedness between major volatility indexes and worldwide sustainable investments," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    24. Hadad, Elroi & Malhotra, Davinder & Vasileiou, Evangelos, 2024. "Risk spillovers and optimal hedging in commodity ETFs: A TVP-VAR Approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    25. Tang, Chun & Yang, Guangyi & Liu, Xiaoxing, 2024. "Risk spillover within the carbon-energy system – New evidence considering China's national carbon market," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1227-1240.
    26. Choi, Sun-Yong & Hadad, Elroi, 2025. "The dynamic relationship among economic and monetary policy, geopolitical risk, sentiment, and risk aversion: A TVP-VAR approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    27. Cui, Jinxin & Alshater, Muneer M. & Mensi, Walid, 2023. "Higher-order moment risk spillovers and optimal portfolio strategies in global oil markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    28. Shang, Jin & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2024. "Quantile time-frequency connectedness analysis between crude oil, gold, financial markets, and macroeconomic indicators: Evidence from the US and EU," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).

  52. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta & Reneé van Eyden, 2023. "Climate risks and U.S. stock‐market tail risks: A forecasting experiment using over a century of data," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 228-244, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  53. Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Salisu, Afees A. & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "Predictability of economic slowdowns in advanced countries over eight centuries: The role of climate risks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  54. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "Climate risks and state-level stock market realized volatility," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  55. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  56. van Eyden, Reneé & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Bouri, Elie, 2023. "Investor sentiment and multi-scale positive and negative stock market bubbles in a panel of G7 countries," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  57. Matteo Bonato & Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "El Niño, La Niña, and forecastability of the realized variance of agricultural commodity prices: Evidence from a machine learning approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 785-801, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  58. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  59. Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Investor Sentiment and (Anti) Herding in the Currency Market: Evidence from Twitter Feed Data," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 56-72, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  60. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Karmakar, Sayar & Wohar, Mark E., 2023. "Are real interest rates a monetary phenomenon? Evidence from 700 years of data," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Evans N. N. D. Ocansey & Philomena Dadzie & Nicholas Bamegne Nambie, 2024. "Mobile Money Use, Digital Banking Services and Velocity of Money in Ghana," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(2), pages 218-233, March.

  61. Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "US monetary policy and BRICS stock market bubbles," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  62. Karmakar, Sayar & Gupta, Rangan & Cepni, Oguzhan & Rognone, Lavinia, 2023. "Climate risks and predictability of the trading volume of gold: Evidence from an INGARCH model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  63. Elie Bouri & Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "The predictive power of Bitcoin prices for the realized volatility of US stock sector returns," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Vassilios Babalos & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Does the Introduction of US Spot Bitcoin ETFs Affect Spot Returns and Volatility of Major Cryptocurrencies?," Working Papers 202416, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Bouri, Elie & Jalkh, Naji, 2024. "Flight-to-safety across time and market conditions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    3. Bampinas, Georgios & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2024. "How would the war and the pandemic affect the stock and cryptocurrency cross-market linkages?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    4. Zhou, Fan, 2024. "Cryptocurrency: A new player or a new crisis in financial markets? —— Evolutionary analysis of association and risk spillover based on network science," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 648(C).
    5. Gang Kou & Yang Lu, 2025. "FinTech: a literature review of emerging financial technologies and applications," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-34, December.
    6. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Business Applications and State-Level Stock Market Realized Volatility: A Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202247, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Pham, Linh & Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Hanif, Waqas, 2023. "Time-varying asymmetric spillovers among cryptocurrency, green and fossil-fuel investments," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    8. Bassam A. Ibrahim & Ahmed A. Elamer & Thamir H. Alasker & Marwa A. Mohamed & Hussein A. Abdou, 2024. "Volatility contagion between cryptocurrencies, gold and stock markets pre-and-during COVID-19: evidence using DCC-GARCH and cascade-correlation network," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-28, December.
    9. Afees Salisu & Kazeem O. Isah & Ahamuefula Ephraim Ogbonna, 2025. "Sectoral Corporate Profits and Long‐Run Stock Return Volatility in the United States: A GARCH‐MIDAS Approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(2), pages 623-634, March.
    10. Paeng, Seongcheol & Senteney, Dave & Yang, Taewon, 2024. "Spillover effects, lead and lag relationships, and stable coins time series," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 45-60.

  64. Yue-Jun Zhang & Han Zhang & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "A new hybrid method with data-characteristic-driven analysis for artificial intelligence and robotics index return forecasting," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Liu, Min & Liu, Hong-Fei & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2024. "An empirical study on the response of the energy market to the shock from the artificial intelligence industry," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).

  65. Bouri, Elie & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Kinateder, Harald, 2023. "Global geopolitical risk and inflation spillovers across European and North American economies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Batten, Jonathan & Gozgor, Giray & Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Nanaeva, Zhamal, 2024. "Metaverse and financial markets: A quantile-time-frequency connectedness analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PB).
    2. António Afonso & José Alves & Sofia Monteiro, 2023. "Beyond Borders: Assessing the Influence of Geopolitical Tensions on Sovereign Risk Dynamics," Working Papers REM 2023/0300, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    3. Raza, Syed Ali & Guesmi, Khaled & Benkraiem, Ramzi & Anwar, Rija, 2024. "Precious metals and currency markets during the Russia-Ukraine conflict’s inflationary periods," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    4. Korzeb, Zbigniew & Niedziółka, Paweł & Nistor, Simona, 2023. "Sovereign creditworthiness and bank foreign ownership. An empirical investigation of the European banking sector," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    5. Wang, Anqi & Ding, Shusheng & Cui, Tianxiang, 2025. "Green bond market stability and Russia Ukraine conflict: The role of green inclusive finance," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    6. Aharon, David Y. & Aziz, Mukhriz Izraf Azman & Nor, Safwan Mohd, 2023. "Cross-country study of the linkages between COVID-19, oil prices, and inflation in the G7 countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    7. Aljohani, Bader M. & Fadul, Abubaker & Asiri, Maram S. & Alkhathami, Abdulrahman D. & Hasan, Fakhrul, 2024. "Volatility transmission in the property market during two inflationary periods: The 2008–2009 global financial crisis and the COVID-19 crisis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).

  66. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang, 2022. "Nonlinear contagion between stock and real estate markets: International evidence from a local Gaussian correlation approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2089-2109, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Li, Dongxin & Zhang, Feipeng & Yuan, Di & Cai, Yuan, 2024. "Does COVID-19 impact the dependence between oil and stock markets? Evidence from RCEP countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 909-939.
    2. Aboagye, Ernest & Ko, Stanley Iat-Meng & Lo, Chia Chun & Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling & Peng, Liang, 2024. "A contagion test with unspecified heteroscedastic errors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    3. Dimitrios Dimitriou & Dimitris Kenourgios & Theodore Simos & Alexandros Tsioutsios, 2025. "The implications of non‐synchronous trading in G‐7 financial markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 689-709, January.
    4. Salisu, Afees A. & Akinsomi, Omokolade & Ametefe, Frank Kwakutse & Hammed, Yinka S., 2024. "Gold market volatility and REITs' returns during tranquil and turbulent episodes," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).

  67. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Mohamed A. Hajji & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "The Benefits of Diversification Between Bitcoin, Bonds, Equities and the US Dollar: A Matter of Portfolio Construction," Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research (APJOR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 39(04), pages 1-11, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  68. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Mixed‐frequency forecasting of crude oil volatility based on the information content of global economic conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 134-157, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Bernd Wilfling, 2022. "Forecasting Stock Market Volatility with Regime-Switching GARCH-MIDAS: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 202203, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    3. Hong, Yanran & Cao, Shijiao & Xu, Pengfei & Pan, Zhigang, 2024. "Interpreting the effect of global economic risks on crude oil market: A supply-demand perspective," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Testing the Forecasting Power of Global Economic Conditions for the Volatility of International REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202211, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Jin Chen & Yue Chen & Wei Zhou, 2024. "Relation exploration between clean and fossil energy markets when experiencing climate change uncertainties: substitutes or complements?," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-17, December.
    6. Wang, Cheng & Bouri, Elie & Xu, Yahua & Zhang, Dingsheng, 2023. "Intraday and overnight tail risks and return predictability in the crude oil market: Evidence from oil-related regular news and extreme shocks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    7. Gao, Wang & Wei, Jiajia & Zhang, Hongwei & Zhang, Haizhen, 2024. "Does climate policy uncertainty exacerbate extreme risk spillovers between green economy and energy metals?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    8. Zhang, Lei & Chen, Yan & Bouri, Elie, 2024. "Time-varying jump intensity and volatility forecasting of crude oil returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    9. Hasnain Iftikhar & Aimel Zafar & Josue E. Turpo-Chaparro & Paulo Canas Rodrigues & Javier Linkolk López-Gonzales, 2023. "Forecasting Day-Ahead Brent Crude Oil Prices Using Hybrid Combinations of Time Series Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-19, August.
    10. Hasselgren, Anton & Hou, Ai Jun & Suardi, Sandy & Xu, Caihong & Ye, Xiaoxia, 2025. "Do oil price forecast disagreement of survey of professional forecasters predict crude oil return volatility?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 141-152.
    11. Gao, Wang & Zhang, Linlin & Zhang, Haizhen & Zhang, Hongwei, 2024. "The role of trade policy uncertainty on contemporaneous and lagged connectedness between critical raw materials and high-tech markets: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    12. Zhang, Li & Wang, Lu & Wang, Xunxiao & Zhang, Yaojie & Pan, Zhigang, 2022. "How macro-variables drive crude oil volatility? Perspective from the STL-based iterated combination method," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    13. Salisu, Afees A. & Isah, Kazeem & Oloko, Tirimisiyu O., 2024. "Technology shocks and crude oil market connection: The role of climate change," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    14. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2024. "Energy-related uncertainty and international stock market volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 280-293.
    15. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    16. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).

  69. Riza Demirer & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Risk aversion and the predictability of crude oil market volatility: A forecasting experiment with random forests," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 73(8), pages 1755-1767, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  70. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2022. "A moving average heterogeneous autoregressive model for forecasting the realized volatility of the US stock market: Evidence from over a century of data," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 384-400, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  71. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2022. "The financial US uncertainty spillover multiplier: Evidence from a GVAR model," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 313-340, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  72. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Çepni, Oğuzhan, 2022. "The effects of climate risks on economic activity in a panel of US states: The role of uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  73. Salisu, Afees A. & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Financial turbulence, systemic risk and the predictability of stock market volatility," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
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  74. Matteo Bonato & Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Uncertainty due to infectious diseases and forecastability of the realized variance of United States real estate investment trusts: A note," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 22(3), pages 540-550, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Huang, MeiChi, 2024. "A greater crisis? Investigating MSA-level housing markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).

  75. David Gabauer & Sowmya Subramaniam & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "On the transmission mechanism of Asia‐Pacific yield curve characteristics," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 473-488, January.
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  76. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Forecasting realized volatility of international REITs: The role of realized skewness and realized kurtosis," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 303-315, March.
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  77. Carolyn Chisadza & Matthew Clance & Rangan Gupta & Peter Wanke, 2022. "Uncertainty and tourism in Africa," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(4), pages 964-978, June.
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  78. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2022. "Spillovers in Higher-Order Moments of Crude Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 398-406.
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  79. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Salisu, Afees A. & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "OPEC News and Exchange Rate Forecasting Using Dynamic Bayesian Learning," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
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  80. Mehmet Balcilar & George Ike & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Output Growth in Emerging Markets: A Mixed-Frequency Granger Causality Approach," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(4), pages 1008-1026, March.
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  81. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong, 2022. "Exchange rate predictability with nine alternative models for BRICS countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
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  82. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Shiba, Sisa, 2022. "Contagious diseases and gold: Over 700 years of evidence from quantile regressions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
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  83. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Karmakar, Sayar & Das, Sonali, 2022. "Forecasting output growth of advanced economies over eight centuries: The role of gold market volatility as a proxy of global uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
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  84. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices over 150 years: The role of tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
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  85. Jorge Antunes & Rangan Gupta & Zinnia Mukherjee & Peter Wanke, 2022. "Information entropy, continuous improvement, and US energy performance: a novel stochastic-entropic analysis for ideal solutions (SEA-IS)," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 289-318, June.
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  86. Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2022. "Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on Housing Prices in the United States: The Role of Sentiment," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 241-261, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  87. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Uncertainty and forecastability of regional output growth in the UK: Evidence from machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1049-1064, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Eren Bas & Erol Eğrioğlu, 2023. "A new recurrent pi‐sigma artificial neural network inspired by exponential smoothing feedback mechanism," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 802-812, July.
    2. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Wenting Liao & Oguzhan Cepni, 2024. "The Effects of Uncertainty on Economic Conditions across US States: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202410, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Bolivar, Osmar, 2024. "GDP nowcasting: A machine learning and remote sensing data-based approach for Bolivia," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 5(3).

  88. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Climate risks and forecastability of the realized volatility of gold and other metal prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  89. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Predictability of tail risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The role of spillovers and oil tail Risks☆," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Testing the Forecasting Power of Global Economic Conditions for the Volatility of International REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202211, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Salisu, Afees A. & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Out-of-sample predictability of gold market volatility: The role of US Nonfarm Payroll," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 482-488.
    3. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan & Gabauer, David, 2022. "Forecasting stock-market tail risk and connectedness in advanced economies over a century: The role of gold-to-silver and gold-to-platinum price ratios," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    4. Adediran, Idris A. & Swaray, Raymond, 2023. "Carbon trading amidst global uncertainty: The role of policy and geopolitical uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    5. Ana Monteiro & Nuno Silva & Helder Sebastião, 2023. "Industry return lead-lag relationships between the US and other major countries," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-48, December.

  90. Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Karahan, Cenk C. & Lucey, Brian, 2022. "Oil price shocks and yield curve dynamics in emerging markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 613-623.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  91. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus, 2022. "Rare disaster risks and gold over 700 years: Evidence from nonparametric quantile regressions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
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  92. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2022. "Forecasting stock market (realized) volatility in the United Kingdom: Is there a role of inequality?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2146-2152, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Yuejing & Ye, Wuyi & Jiang, Ying & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2024. "Volatility prediction for the energy sector with economic determinants: Evidence from a hybrid model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    2. Gao, Jun & Gao, Xiang & Gu, Chen, 2023. "Forecasting European stock volatility: The role of the UK," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).

  93. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2022. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 523-545, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  94. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2022. "A Note On Uncertainty Due To Infectious Diseases And Output Growth Of The United States: A Mixed-Frequency Forecasting Experiment," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(02), pages 1-9, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  95. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2022. "Jumps in Geopolitical Risk and the Cryptocurrency Market: The Singularity of Bitcoin," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 150-161, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  96. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Oil tail risks and the forecastability of the realized variance of oil-price: Evidence from over 150 years of data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  97. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan & Gabauer, David, 2022. "Forecasting stock-market tail risk and connectedness in advanced economies over a century: The role of gold-to-silver and gold-to-platinum price ratios," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  98. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil shocks and directional predictability of macroeconomic uncertainties of developed economies: Evidence from high‐frequency data†," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 69(2), pages 169-185, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Sohag, Kazi & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2024. "Oil shocks and financial stability in MENA countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    2. Aizenman, Joshua & Lindahl, Robert & Stenvall, David & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2024. "Geopolitical shocks and commodity market dynamics: New evidence from the Russia-Ukraine conflict," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    3. Chen, Chun-Da & Demirer, Rıza, 2022. "Oil beta uncertainty and global stock returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).

  99. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
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  100. Ozturk, Serda Selin & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Climate uncertainty and carbon emissions prices: The relative roles of transition and physical climate risks," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
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  101. Bouri, Elie & Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Forecasting returns of major cryptocurrencies: Evidence from regime-switching factor models," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
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  102. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Investors’ Uncertainty and Forecasting Stock Market Volatility," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 327-337, July.
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  103. Plastun, Alex & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Price effects after one-day abnormal returns in developed and emerging markets: ESG versus traditional indices," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
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  104. Salisu, Afees A. & Ayinde, Taofeek O. & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "Global evidence of the COVID-19 shock on real equity prices and real exchange rates: A counterfactual analysis with a threshold-augmented GVAR model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
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  105. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Forecasting charge-off rates with a panel Tobit model: the role of uncertainty," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(10), pages 927-931, June.
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  106. Afees A. Salisu & Idris A. Adediran & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "A Note on the COVID-19 Shock and Real GDP in Emerging Economies," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(1), pages 93-101, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Zhitao, Wang & Xiang, Ma, 2023. "Financial mismatch on corporate debt default risk: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    2. Nie, Zi & Ling, Xuan & Chen, Meian, 2023. "The power of technology: FinTech and corporate debt default risk in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    3. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  107. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2022. "Oil Price Uncertainty Shocks and Global Equity Markets: Evidence from a GVAR Model," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-26, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2023. "The Effects of Disaggregate Oil Shocks on the Aggregate Expected Skewness of the United States," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-9, October.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    3. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Predicting Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries: The Role of Oil Price Uncertainty," Working Papers 202332, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Oil Price Returns Skewness and Forecastability of International Stock Returns Over One Century of Data," Working Papers 202339, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Prodromou, Tina & Demirer, Riza, 2022. "Oil price shocks and cost of capital: Does market liquidity play a role?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    6. Afees Salisu & Kazeem O. Isah & Ahamuefula Ephraim Ogbonna, 2025. "Sectoral Corporate Profits and Long‐Run Stock Return Volatility in the United States: A GARCH‐MIDAS Approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(2), pages 623-634, March.
    7. Demirer, Riza & Polat, Onur & Sokhanvar, Amin, 2025. "Do oil price shocks drive systematic risk premia in stock markets? A novel investment application," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).

  108. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  109. André, Christophe & Caraiani, Petre & Călin, Adrian Cantemir & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Can monetary policy lean against housing bubbles?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
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  110. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Evolving United States stock market volatility: The role of conventional and unconventional monetary policies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
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  111. Siphumlile Mangisa & Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Analyzing The Impact Of Brexit On Global Uncertainty Using Functional Linear Regression With Point Of Impact: The Role Of Currency And Equity Markets," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 67(04), pages 1377-1388, June.
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  112. Bittencourt, Manoel & Gupta, Rangan & Makena, Philton & Stander, Lardo, 2022. "Socio-political instability and growth dynamics," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(4).
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  113. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  114. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Salisu, Afees A., 2022. "Oil-price uncertainty and the U.K. unemployment rate: A forecasting experiment with random forests using 150 years of data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  115. Sisa Shiba & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Samrat Goswami, 2022. "Forecastability of Agricultural Commodity Futures Realised Volatility with Daily Infectious Disease-Related Uncertainty," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-15, November.
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  116. Bouri, Elie & Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Financial market connectedness: The role of investors’ happiness," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Yousaf, Imran & Youssef, Manel & Goodell, John W., 2022. "Quantile connectedness between sentiment and financial markets: Evidence from the S&P 500 twitter sentiment index," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    2. Bouteska, Ahmed & Ha, Le Thanh & Bhuiyan, Faruk & Sharif, Taimur & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2024. "Contagion between investor sentiment and green bonds in China during the global uncertainties," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 469-484.
    3. Gupta, Rakesh & Haddad, Sama & Selvanathan, E.A., 2024. "Global power and Stock market co-movements: A study of G20 markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    4. Yan, Wan-Lin & Cheung, Adrian (Wai Kong), 2024. "Connectedness among Chinese climate policy uncertainty, exchange rate, Chinese and international crude oil markets: Insights from time and frequency domain analyses of high order moments," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    5. Abdollahi, Hooman & Fjesme, Sturla L. & Sirnes, Espen, 2024. "Measuring market volatility connectedness to media sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    6. Chen, Yu-Fen & Lin, Fu-Lai & Yeh, Wen-Hung, 2024. "Intra- and inter-sector spillover effects within a supply chain: Evidence from Taiwan electric motorcycle industry," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    7. Song, Huiling & Wang, Chang & Lei, Xiaojie & Zhang, Hongwei, 2022. "Dynamic dependence between main-byproduct metals and the role of clean energy market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    8. Han, SeungOh, 2025. "Dynamic hedging strategies for U.S. investors in international stock ETFs following geopolitical conflicts," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    9. Kayani, Umar & Ullah, Mirzat & Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Nazir, Sidra & Frempong, Josephine, 2024. "Quantile connectedness among digital assets, traditional assets, and renewable energy prices during extreme economic crisis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    10. Lin, Xudong & Meng, Yiqun & Zhu, Hao, 2023. "How connected is the crypto market risk to investor sentiment?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    11. Mohammed, Kamel Si & Obeid, Hassan & Oueslati, Karim & Kaabia, Olfa, 2023. "Investor sentiments, economic policy uncertainty, US interest rates, and financial assets: Examining their interdependence over time," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    12. Li, Zhenghui & Mo, Bin & Nie, He, 2023. "Time and frequency dynamic connectedness between cryptocurrencies and financial assets in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 46-57.
    13. Alper Gormus & Saban Nazlioglu & Steven L. Beach, 2023. "Environmental, Social, and Governance Considerations in WTI Financialization through Energy Funds," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-17, April.
    14. Su, Chi-Wei & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Naqvi, Bushra & Mirza, Nawazish & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "COVID19: A blessing in disguise for European stock markets?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    15. Abid, Ilyes & BenMabrouk, Houda & Guesmi, Khaled & Mansour, Abir, 2025. "The clout of happiness and uncertainty in the environmental transition: Insights from CO2 and clean energy dynamic spillovers," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    16. Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Kumari, Vineeta & Palma, Alessia & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Are markets in happier countries less affected by tragic events? Evidence from market reaction to the Israel–Hamas conflict," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    17. Ghosh, Bikramaditya & Pham, Linh & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "Energy transition metals and global sentiment: Evidence from extreme quantiles," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    18. Wang, Jying-Nan & Liu, Hung-Chun & Lee, Yen-Hsien & Hsu, Yuan-Teng, 2023. "FoMO in the Bitcoin market: Revisiting and factors," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 244-253.

  117. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Yigit Onay, 2022. "The role of investor sentiment in forecasting housing returns in China: A machine learning approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1725-1740, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  118. Salisu, Afees A. & Cuñado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Geopolitical risks and historical exchange rate volatility of the BRICS," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 179-190.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  119. Sisa Shiba & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Predictability of the Realised Volatility of International Stock Markets Amid Uncertainty Related to Infectious Diseases," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-18, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  120. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Mark E. Wohar, 2022. "Uncertainty and predictability of real housing returns in the United Kingdom: A regional analysis," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1525-1556, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  121. Salisu, Afees A. & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Out-of-sample predictability of gold market volatility: The role of US Nonfarm Payroll," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 482-488.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  122. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of International Stock Returns over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals with Focus on South Africa," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(9), pages 2620-2636, July.

    Cited by:

    1. Adeabah, David & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2023. "How far have we come and where should we go after 30+ years of research on Africa's emerging financial markets? A systematic review and a bibliometric network analysis," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    3. Ayinde, Taofeek O. & Olaniran, Abeeb O. & Abolade, Onomeabure C. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula Ephraim, 2023. "Technology shocks - Gold market connection: Is the effect episodic to business cycle behaviour?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Oil Price Returns Skewness and Forecastability of International Stock Returns Over One Century of Data," Working Papers 202339, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    6. Foglia, Matteo & Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2025. "Long-span multi-layer spillovers between moments of advanced equity markets: The role of climate risks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    7. Kejin Wu & Sayar Karmakar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century in an Emerging Market Economy: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 202326, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  123. Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Ahmet Sensoy, 2022. "Interest rate uncertainty and the predictability of bank revenues," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1559-1569, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  124. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Cepni, Oguzhan, 2022. "Persistence of state-level uncertainty of the United States: The role of climate risks," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  125. Hardik A. Marfatia & Christophe André & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Predicting Housing Market Sentiment: The Role of Financial, Macroeconomic and Real Estate Uncertainties," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 189-209, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  126. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  127. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Demirer, Riza, 2022. "Global financial cycle and the predictability of oil market volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  128. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Subramaniam, Sowmya, 2021. "Time-varying risk aversion and forecastability of the US term structure of interest rates," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  129. Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Variants of consumption‐wealth ratios and predictability of U.S. government bond risk premia," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 661-674, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Xie, Qian & Ke, Haie & Peng, Juan, 2024. "Impacts of Financial Literacy on Elderly Households’ Consumption," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PA).

  130. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Oil shocks and stock market volatility of the BRICS: A GARCH-MIDAS approach," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  131. Gupta, Rangan & Subramaniam, Sowmya & Bouri, Elie & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Infectious disease-related uncertainty and the safe-haven characteristic of US treasury securities," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 289-298.
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  132. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Jawadi, Fredj, 2021. "Does inequality help in forecasting equity premium in a panel of G7 countries?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
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  133. Yener Coskun & Christos Bouras & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Multi-Horizon Financial and Housing Wealth Effects across the U.S. States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-20, January.
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  134. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2021. "A note on oil price shocks and the forecastability of gold realized volatility," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(21), pages 1889-1897, December.
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  135. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2021. "OPEC news and jumps in the oil market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
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  136. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "How Do Housing Returns in Emerging Countries Respond to Oil Shocks? A MIDAS Touch," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(15), pages 4286-4311, December.
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  137. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "El Niño, La Niña, and the Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Heating Oil Price Movements," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-23, July.
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  138. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Kyei, Clement Kweku & Gupta, Rangan & Olson, Eric, 2021. "Investor sentiment and dollar-pound exchange rate returns: Evidence from over a century of data using a cross-quantilogram approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
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  139. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel, 2021. "COVID-19 Pandemic and Investor Herding in International Stock Markets," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-11, September.
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  140. Matthew Clance & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau, 2021. "The Relationship Between Economic Policy Uncertainty And Corporate Tax Rates," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(01), pages 1-13, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Dong, Dayong & Yang, Mo & Yang, Gaoju & Chen, Chang-Chih & Zhang, Xinyi, 2022. "Talk less and do more: Expected strategic adjustments vs. actual changes in the Chinese firms," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    2. Ren, Xiaohang & Xia, Xixia & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2023. "Uncertainty of uncertainty and corporate green innovation—Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 634-647.

  141. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Dynamic effects of monetary policy shocks on macroeconomic volatility in the United Kingdom," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(18), pages 1594-1599, October.
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  142. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "High-Frequency Volatility Forecasting of US Housing Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 283-317, February.
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  143. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2021. "Dynamic impact of the U.S. monetary policy on oil market returns and volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 159-169.
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  144. Caporin, Massimiliano & Gupta, Rangan & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2021. "Contagion between real estate and financial markets: A Bayesian quantile-on-quantile approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
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  145. Zhuhua Jiang & Rangan Gupta & Sowmya Subramaniam & Seong-Min Yoon, 2021. "The Effect of Air Quality and Weather on the Chinese Stock: Evidence from Shenzhen Stock Exchange," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-20, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Gönül Çifçi & Adem Ruhan Sönmez, 2023. "Is sustainability important for returns?," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(12), pages 15119-15137, December.
    2. Dong, Xiyong & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2023. "Effect of weather and environmental attentions on financial system risks: Evidence from Chinese high- and low-carbon assets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).

  146. Afees A. Salisu & Juncal Cuñado & Kazeem Isah & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Oil Price and Exchange Rate Behaviour of the BRICS," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(7), pages 2042-2051, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Climate Risks and Prediction of Sectoral REITs Volatility: International Evidence," Working Papers 202434, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Ben Salem, Leila & Zayati, Montassar & Nouira, Ridha & Rault, Christophe, 2024. "Volatility spillover between oil prices and main exchange rates: Evidence from a DCC-GARCH-connectedness approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    3. Yin, Libo & Su, Zhi & Lu, Man, 2022. "Is oil risk important for commodity-related currency returns?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    4. Hongcheng Ding & Xuanze Zhao & Zixiao Jiang & Shamsul Nahar Abdullah & Deshinta Arrova Dewi, 2024. "EUR-USD Exchange Rate Forecasting Based on Information Fusion with Large Language Models and Deep Learning Methods," Papers 2408.13214, arXiv.org.
    5. Thobekile Qabhobho, 2023. "Assessing the Asymmetric Effect of Local Realized Exchange Rate Volatility and Implied Volatilities in Energy Market on Exchange Rate Returns in BRICS," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 231-239, March.
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "The Financial US Uncertainty Spillover Multiplier: Evidence from a GVAR Model," Working Papers 202145, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. K.P. Prabheesh & Sanjiv Kumar, 2021. "The Dynamics of Oil Prices, Exchange Rates, and the Stock Market Under COVID-19 Uncertainty - Evidence From India," Energy RESEARCH LETTERS, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(3), pages 1-6.
    8. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong, 2022. "Exchange rate predictability with nine alternative models for BRICS countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    9. Ding, Shusheng & Zheng, Dandan & Cui, Tianxiang & Du, Min, 2023. "The oil price-inflation nexus: The exchange rate pass- through effect," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    10. Umar Bala & Lee Chin & Ghulam Mustafa, 2022. "Threshold Effects of Oil Price and Oil Export on Trade Balance in Africa," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 4(1), pages 14-27.
    11. Hemrit, Wael & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi, 2021. "Insurance and geopolitical risk: Fresh empirical evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 320-334.
    12. Kumeka, Terver Theophilus & Uzoma-Nwosu, Damian Chidozie & David-Wayas, Maria Onyinye, 2022. "The effects of COVID-19 on the interrelationship among oil prices, stock prices and exchange rates in selected oil exporting economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    13. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Rangan Gupta & Sisa Shiba, 2024. "Energy Market Uncertainties and Gold Return Volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202431, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Salisu, Afees A. & Isah, Kazeem & Oloko, Tirimisiyu O., 2024. "Technology shocks and crude oil market connection: The role of climate change," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    16. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2024. "Energy-related uncertainty and international stock market volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 280-293.
    17. Pami Dua & Rajiv Ranjan & Deepika Goel, 2023. "Forecasting the INR/USD Exchange Rate: A BVAR Framework," Springer Books, in: Pami Dua (ed.), Macroeconometric Methods, chapter 0, pages 183-224, Springer.
    18. Hao-Chang Yang & Ferry Syarifuddin & Chun-Ping Chang & Hai-Jie Wang, 2022. "The Impact of Exchange Rate Futures Fluctuations on Macroeconomy: Evidence from Ten Trading Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(8), pages 2300-2313, June.
    19. Baptista Palazzi, Rafael & Van Huellen, Sophie, 2024. "Can Fuel Policies Tame Exchange Rate Volatility? Fuel Policy Legacy in Brazil," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343668, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  147. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "What Can Fifty-Two Collateralizable Wealth Measures Tell Us About Future Housing Market Returns? Evidence from U.S. State-Level Data," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 62(1), pages 81-107, January.
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  148. Bathia, Deven & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Kotzé, Kevin, 2021. "Unemployment fluctuations and currency returns in the United Kingdom: Evidence from over one and a half century of data," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
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  149. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Boachie, Micheal Kofi & Suleman, Muhammed Tahir & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Structure dependence between oil and agricultural commodities returns: The role of geopolitical risks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
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  150. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei, 2021. "High-Frequency Predictability of Housing Market Movements of the United States: The Role of Economic Sentiment," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 490-498, October.
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  151. Bonato, Matteo & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "A note on investor happiness and the predictability of realized volatility of gold," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
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  152. Berisha, Edmond & Chisadza, Carolyn & Clance, Matthew & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Income inequality and oil resources: Panel evidence from the United States," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
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  153. Balcilar, Mehmet & Berisha, Edmond & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Time-varying evidence of predictability of financial stress in the United States over a century: The role of inequality," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 87-92.
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  154. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Micheal Kofi Boachie & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Network Analysis of Economic and Financial Uncertainties in Advanced Economies: Evidence from Graph-Theory," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(1), pages 188-215, March.
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  155. Karmakar, Sayar & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Bitcoin mining activity and volatility dynamics in the power market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
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  156. Edmond Berisha & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau, 2021. "Time-varying influence of household debt on inequality in United Kingdom," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 1917-1933, October.
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  157. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Jacobus Nel & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2021. "Geopolitical Risks And The High-Frequency Movements Of The Us Term Structure Of Interest Rates," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(03), pages 1-16, September.
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  158. Petre Caraiani & Adrian C. Călin & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Monetary policy and bubbles in US REITs," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 675-687, June.
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  159. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Predicting Stock Market Movements in the United States: The Role of Presidential Approval Ratings," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 324-335, March.
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  160. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Time-varying impact of pandemics on global output growth," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
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  161. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Kyei, Clement Kweku & Shivambu, Rinsuna, 2021. "Uncertainty and daily predictability of housing returns and volatility of the United States: Evidence from a higher-order nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 200-206.
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  162. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Shu-Jiao, 2021. "Risk spillover between Bitcoin and conventional financial markets: An expectile-based approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
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  163. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Wei Ma & Philton Makena, 2021. "Income inequality and economic growth: A re‐examination of theory and evidence," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 737-757, May.
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  164. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "House price synchronization across the US states: The role of structural oil shocks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
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  165. Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2021. "Dynamic Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy on International REITs," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-19, September.
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  166. Bouri, Elie & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Forecasting power of infectious diseases-related uncertainty for gold realized variance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Semei Coronado & Jose N. Martinez & Victor Gualajara & Rafael Romero-Meza & Omar Rojas, 2023. "Time-Varying Granger Causality of COVID-19 News on Emerging Financial Markets: The Latin American Case," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-18, January.
    2. Freire, Gustavo, 2021. "Tail risk and investors’ concerns: Evidence from Brazil," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    3. Wang, Jying-Nan & Lee, Yen-Hsien & Liu, Hung-Chun & Lee, Ming-Chih, 2022. "The determinants of positive feedback trading behaviors in Bitcoin markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Guo, Changrong & Zhang, Xiangyu & Raza, Syed Ali & Masood, Amna, 2024. "Asymmetrical connectedness between infectious diseases-related equity market volatility and prices of precious metals," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    6. Castillo, Brenda & León, Ángel & Ñíguez, Trino-Manuel, 2021. "Backtesting VaR under the COVID-19 sudden changes in volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    7. Thanoj K. Muddana & Komal S.R. Bhimireddy & Anandamayee Majumdar & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Forecasting Gold Returns Volatility Over 1258-2023: The Role of Moments," Working Papers 202421, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Gök, Remzi & Bouri, Elie & Gemici, Eray, 2022. "Can Twitter-based economic uncertainty predict safe-haven assets under all market conditions and investment horizons?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    9. Al Rababa'a, Abdel Razzaq & Alomari, Mohammad & Mensi, Walid & Matar, Ali & Saidat, Zaid, 2021. "Does tracking the infectious diseases impact the gold, oil and US dollar returns and correlation? A quantile regression approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    10. Celso-Arellano, Pedro & Gualajara, Victor & Coronado, Semei & Martinez, Jose N. & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2023. "Impact of the global fear index (covid-19 panic) on the S&P global indices associated with natural resources, agribusiness, energy, metals and mining: Granger Causality and Shannon and Rényi Transfer ," MPRA Paper 117138, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Feb 2023.
    11. Shang, Yue & Wei, Yu & Chen, Yongfei, 2022. "Cryptocurrency policy uncertainty and gold return forecasting: A dynamic Occam's window approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    12. Iyer, Subramanian Rama & Simkins, Betty J., 2022. "COVID-19 and the Economy: Summary of research and future directions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    13. Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Maitra, Debasish, 2022. "The COVID-19 pandemic uncertainty, investor sentiment, and global equity markets: Evidence from the time-frequency co-movements," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    14. Imran Yousaf & Vasilios Plakandaras & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Hedge and Safe Haven Properties of Gold, US Treasury, Bitcoin, and Dollar/CHF against the FAANA Companies and S&P 500," Working Papers 202227, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Yousaf, Imran & Plakandaras, Vasilios & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan, 2023. "Hedge and safe-haven properties of FAANA against gold, US Treasury, bitcoin, and US Dollar/CHF during the pandemic period," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    16. Esam Mahdi & Ameena Al-Abdulla, 2022. "Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic News on the Cryptocurrency Market and Gold Returns: A Quantile-on-Quantile Regression Analysis," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-14, June.
    17. Tamilselvan, M. & Halder, Abhishek & Kannadhasan, M., 2024. "Exploring the ingredients, mixtures, and inclinations of geopolitical risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 187-206.
    18. Mo, Bin & Nie, He & Zhao, Rongjie, 2024. "Dynamic nonlinear effects of geopolitical risks on commodities: Fresh evidence from quantile methods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    19. Ştefan Cristian Gherghina & Liliana Nicoleta Simionescu, 2023. "Exploring the asymmetric effect of COVID-19 pandemic news on the cryptocurrency market: evidence from nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag approach and frequency domain causality," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-58, December.
    20. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Sisa Shiba, 2022. "Contagious Diseases and Gold: Over 700 Years of Evidence from Quantile Regressions," Working Papers 202233, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Konstantinos Gkillas & Christoforos Konstantatos & Costas Siriopoulos, 2021. "Uncertainty Due to Infectious Diseases and Stock–Bond Correlation," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-18, April.
    22. Dutta, Anupam & Park, Donghyun & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Kanjilal, Kakali & Ghosh, Sajal, 2024. "Do dirty and clean energy investments react to infectious disease-induced uncertainty?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).

  167. Besma Hkiri & Juncal Cunado & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Time-varying relationship between conventional and unconventional monetary policies and risk aversion: international evidence from time- and frequency-domains," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 2963-2983, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  168. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  169. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  170. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Deven Bathia & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Investor Sentiment Connectedness: Evidence From Linear And Nonlinear Causality Approaches," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(04), pages 1-29, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  171. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Christina Christou & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Inflation-targeting and inflation volatility: International evidence from the cosine-squared cepstrum," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 167, pages 29-38.

    Cited by:

    1. Chevaughn van der Westhuizen & Renee van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye, 2022. "Is Inflation Uncertainty a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy? The Inflation-Inflation Uncertainty Nexus and Inflation Targeting in South Africa," Working Papers 202254, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. I. D. Medvedev, 2023. "Comparison of the Efficiency of Pure and of Hybrid Inflation Targeting from the Point of View of Inflation Control," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 274-283, April.
    3. Chevaughn van der Westhuizen & Reneé van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye, 2023. "Is inflation uncertainty a self‐fulfilling prophecy in South Africa?," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 91(3), pages 306-329, September.
    4. MBASSI, Christophe Martial & HYOBA, Suzanne Edwige Clarisse & SHAHBAZ, Muhammad, 2023. "Does monetary policy really matter for environmental protection? The case of inflation targeting," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(3), pages 427-452.
    5. Andrew Phiri, 2023. "Fisher’s hypothesis in time–frequency space: a premier using South Africa as a case study," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(5), pages 4255-4284, October.
    6. Bareith, Tibor & Varga, József, 2022. "Az inflációs célt követő rendszer hozzájárulása az infláció mérsékléséhez Magyarországon [The contribution of the inflation targeting system to reducing inflation in Hungary]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(9), pages 989-1008.

  172. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Geopolitical risk and forecastability of tail risk in the oil market: Evidence from over a century of monthly data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  173. Giorgio Canarella & Luis Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M Miller, 2021. "Persistence and cyclical dynamics of US and UK house prices: Evidence from over 150 years of data," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 58(1), pages 53-72, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  174. Bouri, Elie & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bond risk premia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
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  175. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Theshne Kisten, 2021. "The impact of uncertainty shocks in South Africa: The role of financial regimes," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(4), pages 442-454, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  176. Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Movements in real estate uncertainty in the United States: the role of oil shocks," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(13), pages 1059-1065, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  177. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Linking U.S. State-level housing market returns, and the consumption-(Dis)Aggregate wealth ratio," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 779-810.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  178. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Predicting Bitcoin returns: Comparing the roles of newspaper- and internet search-based measures of uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
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  179. Afees A. Salisu & Juncal Cuñado & Kazeem Isah & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Stock markets and exchange rate behavior of the BRICS," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(8), pages 1581-1595, December.
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  180. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Bitcoin: The Role of the Trade War," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 29-53, January.
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  181. Plastun, Alex & Sibande, Xolani & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Evolution of price effects after one-day abnormal returns in the US stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
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  182. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "A Note on Forecasting the Historical Realized Variance of Oil-Price Movements: The Role of Gold-to-Silver and Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratios," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-12, October.
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  183. Igor Fedotenkov & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "The effects of public expenditures on labour productivity in Europe," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(4), pages 845-874, November.
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  184. Carolyn Chisadza & Matthew Clance & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Government Effectiveness and the COVID-19 Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-15, March.
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  185. André, Christophe & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Time-varying spillovers between housing sentiment and housing market in the United States☆," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Aharon, David Y. & Kizys, Renatas & Umar, Zaghum & Zaremba, Adam, 2023. "Did David win a battle or the war against Goliath? Dynamic return and volatility connectedness between the GameStop stock and the high short interest indices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Ersan, Oguz & Demir, Ender & Assaf, Ata, 2022. "Connectedness among fan tokens and stocks of football clubs," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    3. Shiting Ding & Qintian Pan & Yanming Zhang & Jingru Zhang & Qiong Yang & Jingdong Luan, 2023. "Study on the China’s real interest rate after including housing price factor into CPI," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 18(8), pages 1-11, August.
    4. Ata Assaf & Ender Demir & Oguz Ersan, 2025. "What drives the return and volatility spillover between DeFis and cryptocurrencies?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 1302-1318, April.

  186. Bouri, Elie & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Return connectedness across asset classes around the COVID-19 outbreak," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  187. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Monetary policy and speculative spillovers in financial markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  188. Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Reneé van Eyden & Mark Wohar, 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level consumption of the United States," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(21), pages 1818-1824, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  189. Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Time-varying impact of monetary policy shocks on US stock returns: The role of investor sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  190. Cepni, Oguzhan & Dul, Wiehan & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The dynamics of U.S. REITs returns to uncertainty shocks: A proxy SVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  191. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & Pierdzioch, Christian & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Disaggregated oil shocks and stock-market tail risks: Evidence from a panel of 48 economics," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2022. "Extreme dependence between structural oil shocks and stock markets in GCC countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    2. Sami, Janesh & Makun, Keshmeer, 2024. "Food inflation and monetary policy in emerging economies," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    3. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2023. "The Effects of Disaggregate Oil Shocks on the Aggregate Expected Skewness of the United States," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-9, October.
    4. Yang, Yang & Liu, Zhen & Saydaliev, Hayot Berk & Iqbal, Sajid, 2022. "Economic impact of crude oil supply disruption on social welfare losses and strategic petroleum reserves," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    5. Yildirim, Zekeriya & Guloglu, Hasan, 2024. "Macro-financial transmission of global oil shocks to BRIC countries — International financial (uncertainty) conditions matter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    6. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    7. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan & Gabauer, David, 2022. "Forecasting stock-market tail risk and connectedness in advanced economies over a century: The role of gold-to-silver and gold-to-platinum price ratios," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    8. Salisu, Afees A. & Olaniran, Abeeb & Tchankam, Jean Paul, 2022. "Oil tail risk and the tail risk of the US Dollar exchange rates," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    9. Kliber, Agata & Łęt, Blanka & Řezáč, Pavel, 2024. "Can a boost in oil prices suspend the evolution of the green transportation market? Relationships between green indices and Brent oil," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    10. Zhang, Lixia & Bai, Jiancheng & Zhang, Yueyan & Cui, Can, 2023. "Global economic uncertainty and the Chinese stock market: Assessing the impacts of global indicators," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    11. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Predictability of tail risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The role of spillovers and oil tail Risks☆," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    12. Mohsin, Muhammad & Jamaani, Fouad, 2023. "A novel deep-learning technique for forecasting oil price volatility using historical prices of five precious metals in context of green financing – A comparison of deep learning, machine learning, an," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    13. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Naifar, Nader & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Wang, Gang-Jin, 2023. "Multilayer information spillover networks between oil shocks and banking sectors: Evidence from oil-rich countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    14. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Predictability of Tail Risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The Role of Spillovers and Oil Tail Risks," Working Papers 202127, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  192. Bouri, Elie & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2021. "Volatility connectedness of major cryptocurrencies: The role of investor happiness," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  193. Balcilar, Mehmet & Bathia, Deven & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Credit ratings and predictability of stock return dynamics of the BRICS and the PIIGS: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 290-302.

    Cited by:

    1. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin J. & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2022. "Investors' sentiments and the dynamic connectedness between cryptocurrency and precious metals markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 347-364.
    2. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin & Özkan, Oktay, 2023. "Geopolitical oil price uncertainty transmission into core inflation: Evidence from two of the biggest global players," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    3. Khyati Kathuria & Nand Kumar, 2022. "Pandemic‐induced fear and government policy response as a measure of uncertainty in the foreign exchange market: Evidence from (a)symmetric wild bootstrap likelihood ratio test," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(4), pages 361-379, October.
    4. Zhao, Xing & Li, Xiangqian & He, Zhuoyi & Shi, Ruoying, 2024. "The relationship between the acquisition of corporate credit and the gender of executives: Evidence from developing countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PA).
    5. Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo & Ugur Korkut Pata & Seyi Saint Akadiri, 2024. "A comparison of CO2 emissions, load capacity factor, and ecological footprint for Thailand’s environmental sustainability," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 2203-2223, January.
    6. Khan, Nasir & Saleem, Asima & Ozkan, Oktay, 2023. "Do geopolitical oil price risk influence stock market returns and volatility of Pakistan: Evidence from novel non-parametric quantile causality approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    7. Gaurav Dawar & Shivangi Bhatia & Jai Parkash Bindal, 2023. "Does Credit Rating Revisions Affect the Price of Common Stock: A Study of Indian Capital Market," Business Perspectives and Research, , vol. 11(2), pages 190-209, May.
    8. Pata, Ugur Korkut & Yilanci, Veli & Zhang, Qianxiao & Shah, Syed Ale Raza, 2022. "Does financial development promote renewable energy consumption in the USA? Evidence from the Fourier-wavelet quantile causality test," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 432-443.
    9. Mo, Bin & Nie, He & Zhao, Rongjie, 2024. "Dynamic nonlinear effects of geopolitical risks on commodities: Fresh evidence from quantile methods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).

  194. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  195. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting realized volatility of bitcoin returns: tail events and asymmetric loss," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(16), pages 1626-1644, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  196. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-18, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  197. Wang, Shixuan & Gupta, Rangan & Zhang, Yue-Jun, 2021. "Bear, Bull, Sidewalk, and Crash: The Evolution of the US Stock Market Using Over a Century of Daily Data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  198. João Frois Caldeira & Rangan Gupta & Muhammad Tahir Suleman & Hudson S. Torrent, 2021. "Forecasting the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the BRICS: Evidence from a Nonparametric Functional Data Analysis," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(15), pages 4312-4329, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  199. Nazlioglu, Saban & Gupta, Rangan & Gormus, Alper & Soytas, Ugur, 2020. "Price and volatility linkages between international REITs and oil markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  200. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Is the Housing Market in the United States Really Weakly-Efficient?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(14), pages 1124-1134, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  201. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Constantinos Katrakilidis & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Time-varying role of macroeconomic shocks on house prices in the US and UK: evidence from over 150 years of data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2249-2285, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  202. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  203. Goswami, Samrat & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Historical volatility of advanced equity markets: The role of local and global crises," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  204. Nazlioglu, Saban & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2020. "Movements in international bond markets: The role of oil prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 47-58.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  205. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "The predictive power of oil price shocks on realized volatility of oil: A note," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  206. Adnen Ben Nasr & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Seyi Saint Akadiri, 2020. "Asymmetric effects of inequality on real output levels of the United States," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 10(1), pages 47-69, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv, 2019. "Threshold Effects of Inequality on Economic Growth in the US States: The Role of Human Capital to Physical Capital Ratio," Working Papers 201968, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  207. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Juncal Cunado & Xin Sheng, 2020. "Testing the white noise hypothesis in high-frequency housing returns of the United States," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 9(3), pages 178-188.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  208. Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2020. "Housing market spillovers in South Africa: evidence from an estimated small open economy DSGE model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2309-2332, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  209. Çekin, Semih Emre & Pradhan, Ashis Kumar & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Measuring co-dependencies of economic policy uncertainty in Latin American countries using vine copulas," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 207-217.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  210. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Chien-Chiang Lee & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams, 2020. "Insurance-growth nexus in Africa," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 45(2), pages 335-360, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  211. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "Spillover of sentiment in the European Union: Evidence from time- and frequency-domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 105-130.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  212. Goodness C. Aye & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Dynamic and Asymmetric Response of Inequality to Income Volatility: The Case of the United Kingdom," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 147(3), pages 747-762, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  213. Berisha, Edmond & Gupta, Rangan & Meszaros, John, 2020. "The impact of macroeconomic factors on income inequality: Evidence from the BRICS," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 559-567.

    Cited by:

    1. Vu, Trung V., 2021. "Statehood experience and income inequality: A historical perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 415-429.
    2. Zhao, Jun & Dong, Kangyin & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2023. "Is income inequality a stumbling block to the global natural gas market?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    3. Sharma, Rajesh & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Kautish, Pradeep & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "Analyzing the impact of export diversification and technological innovation on renewable energy consumption: Evidences from BRICS nations," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 1034-1045.
    4. Dang, Dong Quang & Wu, Weiou & Korkos, Ioannis, 2024. "Stock market and inequality distributions – Evidence from the BRICS and G7 countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 1172-1190.
    5. Li, Chengyou & Yu, Yangcheng & Li, Qinghai, 2021. "Top-income data and income inequality correction in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 210-219.
    6. Kim, Dong-Hyeon & Lin, Shu-Chin, 2023. "Income inequality, inflation and financial development," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 468-487.
    7. Iragdao Raja Basumatary & Manjit Das, 2024. "Investigating the Effect of Democracy and Governance Quality on Income Inequality: Evidence from BRICS," Economic Research Guardian, Mutascu Publishing, vol. 14(1), pages 16-31, June.
    8. Nguyen Van Bon, 2022. "Does Digitalization Widen Income Inequality? A Comparative Assessment for Advanced and Developing Economies," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 17(2), pages 154-171, December.
    9. Ufuk Alkan & Canan Dağıdır Çakan & Aykut Şengül & Mehmet Hanifi Ateş, 2024. "The Relationship Between Inflation, Human Development Index and CO2 in Selected Country Groups," Journal of Finance Letters (Maliye ve Finans Yazıları), Maliye ve Finans Yazıları Yayıncılık Ltd. Şti., vol. 39(122), pages 79-109, October.
    10. Kim, Dong-Hyeon & Lin, Shu-Chin, 2024. "Inflation and wealth inequality," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 893-907.
    11. Tan, Yan & Uprasen, Utai, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on income inequality in ASEAN countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).

  214. João F. Caldeira & Rangan Gupta & Hudson S. Torrent, 2020. "Forecasting U.S. Aggregate Stock Market Excess Return: Do Functional Data Analysis Add Economic Value?," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-16, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  215. Ji, Qiang & Liu, Bing-Yue & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Risk spillover between the US and the remaining G7 stock markets using time-varying copulas with Markov switching: Evidence from over a century of data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  216. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2020. "Volatility forecasting with bivariate multifractal models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 155-167, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Kunal Saha & Vinodh Madhavan & Chandrashekhar G. R. & David McMillan, 2020. "Pitfalls in long memory research," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1733280-173, January.
    2. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "Climate risks and realized volatility of major commodity currency exchange rates," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    3. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Besma Hkiri & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillovers between Currency and Stock Markets in the USA: Historical Evidence From More than Two Centuries," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(4), pages 44-76, December.
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Energy Market Uncertainties and Exchange Rate Volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202418, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Financial Turbulence, Systemic Risk and the Predictability of Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202162, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Besma Hkiri & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillover between Currency and Stock Markets in the United States: More than Two Centuries of Historical Evidence," Working Papers 202060, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Yuan, Ying & Zhang, Tonghui, 2020. "Forecasting stock market in high and low volatility periods: a modified multifractal volatility approach," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    8. Tao Yin & Yiming Wang, 2021. "Market Efficiency and Nonlinear Analysis of Soybean Futures," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-10, January.
    9. Usha Rekha Chinthapalli, 2021. "A Comparative Analysis on Probability of Volatility Clusters on Cryptocurrencies, and FOREX Currencies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-23, July.
    10. Ruipeng Liu & Mawuli Segnon & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Forecasting Volatility of Commodity, Currency, and Stock Markets: Evidence from Markov Switching Multifractal Models," Working Papers 202340, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Bathia, Deven & Demirer, Riza & Ferrer, Román & Raheem, Ibrahim D., 2023. "Cross-border capital flows and information spillovers across the equity and currency markets in emerging economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).

  217. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "The Effectiveness Of Monetary Policy In South Africa Under Inflation Targeting: Evidence from a Time-Varying Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive Model," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 54(4), pages 55-73, October-D.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  218. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Guney, I. Ethem & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "The role of an aligned investor sentiment index in predicting bond risk premia of the U.S," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Dai, Zhifeng & Chang, Xiaoming, 2021. "Forecasting stock market volatility: Can the risk aversion measure exert an important role?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    2. Wen, Chufu & Zhu, Haoyang & Dai, Zhifeng, 2023. "Forecasting commodity prices returns: The role of partial least squares approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    3. Gang Chu & John W. Goodell & Dehua Shen & Yongjie Zhang, 2022. "Machine learning to establish proxies for investor attention: evidence of improved stock-return prediction," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 318(1), pages 103-128, November.
    4. Jiang, Zhe & Zhang, Lin & Zhang, Lingling & Wen, Bo, 2022. "Investor sentiment and machine learning: Predicting the price of China's crude oil futures market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    5. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Larissa Batrancea, 2021. "Empirical Evidence Regarding the Impact of Economic Growth and Inflation on Economic Sentiment and Household Consumption," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-16, July.
    7. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Subramaniam, Sowmya, 2021. "Time-varying risk aversion and forecastability of the US term structure of interest rates," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    8. Bissoondoyal-Bheenick, Emawtee & Do, Hung & Hu, Xiaolu & Zhong, Angel, 2022. "Sentiment and stock market connectedness: Evidence from the U.S. – China trade war," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    9. Chen Gu & Xu Guo & Ruwan Adikaram & Kam C. Chan & Jing Lu, 2023. "Treasury return predictability and investor sentiment," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 46(4), pages 905-924, December.
    10. Seok, Sangik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2024. "Dual effects of investor sentiment and uncertainty in financial markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 300-315.
    11. Seok, Sangik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2022. "Scheduled macroeconomic news announcements and intraday market sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    12. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Pradhan, H.K. & Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Sensoy, Ahmet & Dann, Susan, 2024. "Anatomy of sovereign yield behaviour using textual news," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    13. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Yigit Onay, 2022. "The role of investor sentiment in forecasting housing returns in China: A machine learning approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1725-1740, December.
    14. Agoraki, Maria-Eleni K. & Aslanidis, Nektarios & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2022. "U.S. banks’ lending, financial stability, and text-based sentiment analysis," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 73-90.
    15. Li, Yulin, 2021. "Investor sentiment and sovereign bonds," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    16. Joseph J. French, 2021. "#Bitcoin, #COVID-19: Twitter-Based Uncertainty and Bitcoin Before and during the Pandemic," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-7, May.
    17. Seok, Sang Ik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2021. "Stock Market’s responses to intraday investor sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    18. Wei Su, Chi & Yue Song, Xin & Qin, Meng & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "Optimistic or pessimistic: How do investors impact the green bond market?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    19. Muhammad Ateeq ur REHMAN & Masood AHMAD & Furman ALI & Habib AHMAD, 2024. "Expose the Hidden : Investor Sentiment and Anomaly Strategies in Emerging Market," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 63-81, December.
    20. Agoraki, Maria-Eleni & Aslanidis, Nektarios & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2021. "U.S. Banks’ lending behaviour, financial stability, and investor sentiment: A textual analysis," Working Papers 2072/534915, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.
    21. Chen, Xi & Wang, Junbo & Wu, Chunchi & Wu, Di, 2024. "Extreme illiquidity and cross-sectional corporate bond returns," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).

  219. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Trade uncertainties and the hedging abilities of Bitcoin," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 49(3), September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  220. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Miller, Stephen, 2020. "125 ​Years of time-varying effects of fiscal policy on financial markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 303-320.

    Cited by:

    1. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Working Papers 202126, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Polyzos, Efstathios, 2022. "Examining the asymmetric impact of macroeconomic policy in the UAE: Evidence from quartile impulse responses and machine learning," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).

  221. Ghassen El Montasser & Rangan Gupta & Jooste Charl & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "The Time-series Linkages between US Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices," Public Finance Review, , vol. 48(3), pages 303-339, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  222. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2020. "Forecasting realized gold volatility: Is there a role of geopolitical risks?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  223. Plastun, Alex & Sibande, Xolani & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Price gap anomaly in the US stock market: The whole story," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  224. Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Is the response of the bank of England to exchange rate movements frequency-dependent?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  225. Bathia, Deven & Bouras, Christos & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Cross-border capital flows and return dynamics in emerging stock markets: Relative roles of equity and debt flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  226. Sergey Ivashchenko & Semih Emre Çekin & Kevin Kotzé & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Forecasting with Second-Order Approximations and Markov-Switching DSGE Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(4), pages 747-771, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  227. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin, 2020. "Insurance and economic policy uncertainty," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Wael Hemrit, 2022. "Does insurance demand react to economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk? Evidence from Saudi Arabia," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 47(2), pages 460-492, April.
    2. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin & Özkan, Oktay, 2023. "Geopolitical oil price uncertainty transmission into core inflation: Evidence from two of the biggest global players," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    3. Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2020. "Economic Policy Uncertainty: Persistence and Cross-Country Linkages," CESifo Working Paper Series 8289, CESifo.
    4. Xiang, Feiyun & Chang, Tsangyao & Jiang, Shi-jie, 2023. "Economic and climate policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk and life insurance premiums in China: A quantile ARDL approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    5. Ahmed, Danish & Xuhua, Hu & Goldstein, Michael A. & Xie, Yuantao, 2024. "Do global uncertainties impede insurance activity? An empirical evidence from top two economies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    6. Yang, Tianle & Dong, Qingyuan & Du, Min & Du, Qunyang, 2023. "Geopolitical risks, oil price shocks and inflation: Evidence from a TVP–SV–VAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    7. Ozili, Peterson K, 2022. "Sources of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Nigeria: Implications for Africa," MPRA Paper 112075, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Leila Sabokkhiz & Fatma Guven Lisaniler & Ikechukwu D. Nwaka, 2021. "Minimum Wage and Household Consumption in Canada: Evidence from High and Low Wage Provinces," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-20, June.
    9. Nguyen Phuc Canh & Udomsak Wongchoti & Su Dinh Thanh, 2021. "Does economic policy uncertainty matter for insurance development? Evidence from 16 OECD countries," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 46(4), pages 614-648, October.
    10. Sabani, Nazmie & Bales, Stephan & Burghof, Hans-Peter, 2024. "On the different impact of local and national sources of policy uncertainty on sectoral stock volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PB).
    11. Hemrit, Wael & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi, 2021. "Insurance and geopolitical risk: Fresh empirical evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 320-334.
    12. Ozili, Peterson Kitakogelu, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty: are there regional and country correlation?," MPRA Paper 105636, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chen, Mei-Ping, 2021. "The effects of investor attention and policy uncertainties on cross-border country exchange-traded fund returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 830-852.
    14. Xiang, Feiyun & Fu, Yimang, 2024. "The asymmetric and time-varying effects of trade policy uncertainty on the insurance premiums in China: Evidence from cross-quantilogram," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    15. Gentiana SHARKU & Etleva BAJRAMI, 2021. "Insurance-Economic Growth Nexus - Evidence From Selected Western Balkan'S Countries," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(2), pages 53-68, June.
    16. Liu, Chen & Yang, Wei, 2023. "Does social insurance stimulate business creation? Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    17. Flores, Eduardo & de Carvalho, João Vinicius França & Sampaio, Joelson Oliveira, 2021. "Impact of interest rates on the life insurance market development: Cross-country evidence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    18. Nguyen, Giang & Vo, Vinh, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty around the world: Implications for Vietnam," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    19. Aggarwal, Divya & Kalia, Deepali, 2022. "Examining comovement and causality between producer price index for P&C insurance premium and uncertainty indices: Wavelet and non-parametric quantile causality approach," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 141-148.

  228. Christou Christina & Naraidoo Ruthira & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Conventional and unconventional monetary policy reaction to uncertainty in advanced economies: evidence from quantile regressions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(3), pages 1-17, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  229. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Juncal Cuñado & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Forecasting interest rate volatility of the United Kingdom: evidence from over 150 years of data," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(6), pages 1128-1143, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  230. Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-11, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  231. Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "The role of real estate uncertainty in predicting US home sales growth: evidence from a quantiles-based Bayesian model averaging approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(5), pages 528-536, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  232. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & I. Ethem Güney & M. Yilmaz, 2020. "Forecasting local currency bond risk premia of emerging markets: The role of cross‐country macrofinancial linkages," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 966-985, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  233. Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller & Tolga Omay, 2020. "Is real per capita state personal income stationary? New nonlinear, asymmetric panel‐data evidence," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(1), pages 50-62, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  234. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Historical Forecasting Of Interest Rate Mean And Volatility Of The United States: Is There A Role Of Uncertainty?," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(04), pages 1-17, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  235. Matthew W Clance & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei, 2020. "Predicting firm-level volatility in the United States: the role of monetary policy uncertainty," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 9(3), pages 167-177.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  236. Giorgio Canarella & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller & Tolga Omay, 2020. "Does real U.K. GDP have a unit root? Evidence from a multi-century perspective," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(10), pages 1070-1087, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Tolga Omay & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Safwan Mohd Nor, 2021. "Smooth Break Detection and De-Trending in Unit Root Testing," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-25, February.

  237. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Besma Hkiri & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillovers between Currency and Stock Markets in the USA: Historical Evidence From More than Two Centuries," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(4), pages 44-76, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Teona Shugliashvili, 2023. "The words have power: the impact of news on exchange rates," FFA Working Papers 5.006, Prague University of Economics and Business, revised 31 Jul 2023.
    2. Semei Coronado & Jose N. Martinez & Victor Gualajara & Rafael Romero-Meza & Omar Rojas, 2023. "Time-Varying Granger Causality of COVID-19 News on Emerging Financial Markets: The Latin American Case," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-18, January.
    3. Celso-Arellano, Pedro & Gualajara, Victor & Coronado, Semei & Martinez, Jose N. & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2023. "Impact of the global fear index (covid-19 panic) on the S&P global indices associated with natural resources, agribusiness, energy, metals and mining: Granger Causality and Shannon and Rényi Transfer ," MPRA Paper 117138, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Feb 2023.
    4. Caporina, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2021. "Time-varying granger causality tests for applications in global crude oil markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," SAFE Working Paper Series 324, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    5. Caporin, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2022. "Time-varying Granger causality tests in the energy markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).

  238. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Muhammad Tahir Suleman, 2020. "Jumps beyond the realms of cricket: India's performance in One Day Internationals and stock market movements," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(6), pages 1109-1127, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  239. Plastun, Alex & Sibande, Xolani & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Historical evolution of monthly anomalies in international stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  240. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Jacobus A. Nel & Xin Sheng, 2020. "Monetary policy uncertainty spillovers in time and frequency domains," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 9(1), pages 1-30, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  241. Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv, 2020. "Threshold effects of inequality on economic growth in the US states: the role of human capital to physical capital ratio," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(19), pages 1546-1551, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  242. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan & Gkillas, Konstantinos, 2020. "Gold-oil dependence dynamics and the role of geopolitical risks: Evidence from a Markov-switching time-varying copula model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  243. Bonato, Matteo & Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Wang, Shixuan, 2020. "Moments-based spillovers across gold and oil markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  244. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2020. "Forecasting realized oil-price volatility: The role of financial stress and asymmetric loss," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  245. Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Xin Sheng, 2020. "Time-Varying Impact of Geopolitical Risks on Oil Prices," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(6), pages 692-706, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  246. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The role of global economic conditions in forecasting gold market volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  247. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2020. "The predictability of stock market volatility in emerging economies: Relative roles of local, regional, and global business cycles," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 957-965, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  248. Cepni, Oguzhan & Gul, Selcuk & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Local currency bond risk premia of emerging markets: The role of local and global factors," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  249. Rangan Gupta & Philton Makena, 2020. "Growth Dynamics, Multiple Equilibria, and Local Indeterminacy in an Endogenous Growth Model of Money, Banking and Inflation Targeting," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-14, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  250. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Infectious Diseases, Market Uncertainty and Oil Market Volatility," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-8, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Ben Salem, Leila & Zayati, Montassar & Nouira, Ridha & Rault, Christophe, 2024. "Volatility spillover between oil prices and main exchange rates: Evidence from a DCC-GARCH-connectedness approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    2. Riccardo De Blasis & Filippo Petroni, 2021. "Price Leadership and Volatility Linkages between Oil and Renewable Energy Firms during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-16, May.
    3. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Elie Bouri & Sang Hoon Kang & Tareq Saeed, 2021. "Regime specific spillover across cryptocurrencies and the role of COVID-19," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-24, December.
    4. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Afees A. Salisu & Elie Bouri, 2021. "OPEC News and Exchange Rate Forecasting Using Dynamic Bayesian Learning," Working Papers 202101, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Oil tail risks and the forecastability of the realized variance of oil-price: Evidence from over 150 years of data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    6. Scarcioffolo, Alexandre R. & Etienne, Xiaoli L., 2021. "Regime-switching energy price volatility: The role of economic policy uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 336-356.
    7. Fateh Belaid & Amine Ben Amar & Stéphane Goutte & Khaled Guesmi, 2023. "Emerging and advanced economies markets behaviour during the COVID‐19 crisis era," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1563-1581, April.
    8. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Castillo, Brenda & León, Ángel & Ñíguez, Trino-Manuel, 2021. "Backtesting VaR under the COVID-19 sudden changes in volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    10. Tong, Yuan & Wan, Ning & Dai, Xingyu & Bi, Xiaoyi & Wang, Qunwei, 2022. "China's energy stock market jumps: To what extent does the COVID-19 pandemic play a part?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    11. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    12. Yousra Trichilli & Sahbi Gaadane & Mouna Boujelbène Abbes & Afif Masmoudi, 2025. "Behavioural explanations of Expectile VaR forecasting and dynamic hedging strategies for downside risk during the COVID‐19 pandemic: Insights from financial markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 44-70, January.
    13. Fox, Sarah Jane, 2021. "The nexus between resources and criminal activities: ‘Recycling crimes’ (Metals)," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    14. Peng Qin & Manying Bai, 2022. "Does oil price uncertainty matter in stock market volatility forecasting?," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(12), pages 1-21, December.
    15. Mohd Ziaur Rehman & Shabeer Khan & Ghulam Abbas & Mohammed Alhashim, 2023. "Novel COVID-19 Outbreak and Global Uncertainty in the Top-10 Affected Countries: Evidence from Wavelet Coherence Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-20, March.
    16. Vincenzo Candila & Denis Maximov & Alexey Mikhaylov & Nikita Moiseev & Tomonobu Senjyu & Nicole Tryndina, 2021. "On the Relationship between Oil and Exchange Rates of Oil-Exporting and Oil-Importing Countries: From the Great Recession Period to the COVID-19 Era," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-18, December.
    17. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "Global Financial Cycle and the Predictability of Oil Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Model," Working Papers 202121, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Time-varying impact of pandemics on global output growth," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    19. Zaghum Umar & Mariya Gubareva & Tatiana Sokolova, 2021. "The impact of the Covid-19 related media coverage upon the five major developing markets," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(7), pages 1-28, July.
    20. Bechir Raggad & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Quantile Dependence between Crude Oil Returns and Implied Volatility: Evidence from Parametric and Nonparametric Tests," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-23, January.
    21. Yu, Yang & Guo, SongLin & Chang, XiaoChen, 2022. "Oil prices volatility and economic performance during COVID-19 and financial crises of 2007–2008," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    22. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    23. Raheem, Ibrahim D., 2021. "COVID-19 pandemic and the safe haven property of Bitcoin," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 370-375.
    24. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2021. "Profiting on the Stock Market in Pandemic Times: Study of COVID-19 Effects on CESEE Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(17), pages 1-20, August.
    25. Celso-Arellano, Pedro & Gualajara, Victor & Coronado, Semei & Martinez, Jose N. & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2023. "Impact of the global fear index (covid-19 panic) on the S&P global indices associated with natural resources, agribusiness, energy, metals and mining: Granger Causality and Shannon and Rényi Transfer ," MPRA Paper 117138, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Feb 2023.
    26. Krzysztof Echaust & Małgorzata Just, 2021. "Tail Dependence between Crude Oil Volatility Index and WTI Oil Price Movements during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-21, July.
    27. Etienne Harb & Charbel Bassil & Talie Kassamany & Roland Baz, 2024. "Volatility Interdependence Between Cryptocurrencies, Equity, and Bond Markets," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(3), pages 951-981, March.
    28. Hong, Yanran & Wang, Lu & Ye, Xiaoqing & Zhang, Yaojie, 2022. "Dynamic asymmetric impact of equity market uncertainty on energy markets: A time-varying causality analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 535-546.
    29. Wen, Danyan & He, Mengxi & Wang, Yudong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2024. "Forecasting crude oil market volatility: A comprehensive look at uncertainty variables," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 1022-1041.
    30. Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Kliber, Agata, 2022. "Can cryptocurrencies hedge oil price fluctuations? A pandemic perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    31. Feng Ma & Xinjie Lu & Bo Zhu, 2025. "Uncertainty and fluctuation in crude oil price: evidence from machine learning models," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 345(2), pages 725-755, February.
    32. Yousaf, Imran, 2021. "Risk transmission from the COVID-19 to metals and energy markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    33. Peng-Fei Dai & Xiong Xiong & Zhifeng Liu & Toan Luu Duc Huynh & Jianjun Sun, 2021. "Preventing crash in stock market: The role of economic policy uncertainty during COVID-19," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-15, December.
    34. Ioannis Dokas & Georgios Oikonomou & Minas Panagiotidis & Eleftherios Spyromitros, 2023. "Macroeconomic and Uncertainty Shocks’ Effects on Energy Prices: A Comprehensive Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-35, February.
    35. Rangan Gupta & Sowmya Subramaniam & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "Infectious Disease-Related Uncertainty and the Safe-Haven Characteristic of US Treasury Securities," Working Papers 202078, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    36. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    37. Huang, Yisu & Xu, Weiju & Huang, Dengshi & Zhao, Chenchen, 2023. "Chinese crude oil futures volatility and sustainability: An uncertainty indices perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    38. Apostolos G. Christopoulos & Petros Kalantonis & Ioannis Katsampoxakis & Konstantinos Vergos, 2021. "COVID-19 and the Energy Price Volatility," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-15, October.
    39. Lan, Jing & Wei, Yiming & Guo, Jie & Li, Qiuming & Liu, Zhen, 2023. "The effect of green finance on industrial pollution emissions: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    40. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of International REITs: The Role of Realized Skewness and Realized Kurtosis," Working Papers 202114, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    41. Song, Yixuan & He, Mengxi & Wang, Yudong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2022. "Forecasting crude oil market volatility: A newspaper-based predictor regarding petroleum market volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    42. Karol Szafranek & Marek Kwas & Grzegorz Szafrański & Zuzanna Wośko, 2020. "Common Determinants of Credit Default Swap Premia in the North American Oil and Gas Industry. A Panel BMA Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-23, November.
    43. Luis M. Abadie, 2021. "Energy Market Prices in Times of COVID-19: The Case of Electricity and Natural Gas in Spain," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-17, March.
    44. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    45. Umar, Zaghum & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2021. "The impact of Covid-19 on commodity markets volatility: Analyzing time-frequency relations between commodity prices and coronavirus panic levels," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    46. Zhang, Yulian & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2021. "Do news sentiment and the economic uncertainty caused by public health events impact macroeconomic indicators? Evidence from a TVP-VAR decomposition approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 145-162.
    47. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Uncertainty due to Infectious Diseases and Forecastability of the Realized Variance of US REITs: A Note," Working Papers 202099, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    48. Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Le, Thi Ngoc Lan & Ghabri, Yosra & Huynh, Luu Duc Toan, 2023. "Sovereign bonds and flight to safety: Implications of the COVID-19 crisis for sovereign debt markets in the G-7 and E-7 economies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    49. Kais Tissaoui & Taha Zaghdoudi & Abdelaziz Hakimi & Ousama Ben-Salha & Lamia Ben Amor, 2022. "Does Uncertainty Forecast Crude Oil Volatility before and during the COVID-19 Outbreak? Fresh Evidence Using Machine Learning Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-20, August.
    50. Chen, Lin & Min, Feng & Liu, Wenhua & Wen, Fenghua, 2022. "The Impact of the Infectious diseases and Commodity on Stock Markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    51. Xiaodong Huang & Chang Lei, 2023. "Covid-19 impact on financial growth and guidelines for green recovery in BRICS: fresh insights from econometric analysis," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 1243-1261, April.
    52. Hung, Ngo Thai & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "Directional spillover effects and time-frequency nexus between oil, gold and stock markets: Evidence from pre and during COVID-19 outbreak," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    53. Kateryna Yakovenko & Matúš Mišík, 2020. "Cooperation and Security: Examining the Political Discourse on Natural Gas Transit in Ukraine and Slovakia," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-14, November.

  251. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Rudi Steinbach, 2020. "Forecasting output growth using a DSGE-based decomposition of the South African yield curve," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 351-378, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  252. Rangan Gupta & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "The impact of US uncertainty shocks on a panel of advanced and emerging market economies," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(6), pages 711-721, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Historical Forecasting Of Interest Rate Mean And Volatility Of The United States: Is There A Role Of Uncertainty?," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(04), pages 1-17, December.
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin & Özkan, Oktay, 2023. "Geopolitical oil price uncertainty transmission into core inflation: Evidence from two of the biggest global players," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Theshne Kisten, 2020. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks in South Africa: The Role of Financial Regimes," Working Papers 202046, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Idris A. Adediran, 2021. "The Effect of US Uncertainty Shock on International Equity Markets: The Role of the Global Financial Cycle," Working Papers 202136, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Selçuk Gül & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Time‐varying impact of global, region‐, and country‐specific uncertainties on the volatility of international trade," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 39(4), pages 691-700, October.
    8. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "The Financial US Uncertainty Spillover Multiplier: Evidence from a GVAR Model," Working Papers 202145, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Wu, Chao & Zhao, Ke & Liu, Jinquan & Zhao, Xiuyi, 2024. "Cross-country spillovers of trade uncertainty and their formation mechanisms," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    10. Dang, Tam Hoang Nhat & Balli, Faruk & Balli, Hatice Ozer & Gabauer, David & Nguyen, Thi Thu Ha, 2024. "Sectoral uncertainty spillovers in emerging markets: A quantile time–frequency connectedness approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 121-139.
    11. Woraphon Yamaka & Rangan Gupta & Sukrit Thongkairat & Paravee Maneejuk, 2021. "Structural and Predictive Analyses with a Mixed Copula-Based Vector Autoregression Model," Working Papers 202108, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Josué Diwambuena & Jean-Paul K. Tsasa, 2021. "The Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks: New Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear SVAR Models," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS87, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
    13. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Oktay Özkan, 2022. "Is interest rate uncertainty a predictor of investment volatility? evidence from the wild bootstrap likelihood ratio approach," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(3), pages 507-521, July.
    15. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2020. "Point and Density Forecasting of Macroeconomic and Financial Uncertainties of the United States," Working Papers 202058, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Christina Christou & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung Marco Lau, 2020. "Are Uncertainties across the World Convergent?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 855-862.
    17. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil shocks and directional predictability of macroeconomic uncertainties of developed economies: Evidence from high‐frequency data†," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 69(2), pages 169-185, May.
    18. Chevaughn van der Westhuizen & Renee van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye, 2023. "Monetary Policy Effectiveness in the Face of Uncertainty: The Real Macroeconomic Impact of a Monetary Policy Shock in South Africa during High and Low Uncertainty States," Working Papers 202331, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Aygun, Gurcan & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "The macroeconomic impact of economic uncertainty and financial shocks under low and high financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    20. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2021. "Point and density forecasting of macroeconomic and financial uncertainties of the USA," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 700-707, July.
    21. Selçuk Gul & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "A Note on the Time-Varying Impact of Global, Region- and Country-Specific Uncertainties on the Volatility of International Trade," Working Papers 202025, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    23. Hammed, Yinka S & Salisu, Afees & Akume, Michael, 2025. "The international spillover effects of US Quality of Political Signals: A Global VAR approach," MPRA Paper 123530, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Lin Liu, 2022. "Economic Uncertainty and Exchange Market Pressure: Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440211, January.
    25. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Investors' Uncertainty and Forecasting Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202090, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  253. Christou, Christina & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Time-Varying impact of uncertainty shocks on macroeconomic variables of the united kingdom: Evidence from over 150 years of monthly data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  254. Yanele Nyamela & Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Frequency-dependent real-time effects of uncertainty in the United States: evidence from daily data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(19), pages 1562-1566, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  255. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Forecasting equity premium in a panel of OECD countries: The role of economic policy uncertainty," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 243-248.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  256. Çepni, Oğguzhan & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2020. "Time-varying risk aversion and the predictability of bond premia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  257. Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi-Keung (Marco) & Sheng, Xin, 2020. "Graph theory-based network analysis of regional uncertainties of the US Economy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Esmaeili, Parisa & Rafei, Meysam, 2021. "Dynamics analysis of factors affecting electricity consumption fluctuations based on economic conditions: Application of SVAR and TVP-VAR models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    2. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).

  258. Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Spillovers across macroeconomic, financial and real estate uncertainties: A time-varying approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 167-173.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  259. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hossein Hassani & Xu Huang, 2020. "Time-Varying Risk Aversion and the Profitability of Carry Trades: Evidence from the Cross-Quantilogram," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-12, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  260. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The impacts of structural oil shocks on macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from a large panel of 45 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  261. Gupta, Rangan & Huber, Florian & Piribauer, Philipp, 2020. "Predicting international equity returns: Evidence from time-varying parameter vector autoregressive models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  262. Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020. "Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  263. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wang, Shixuan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  264. Christina Christou & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung Marco Lau, 2020. "Are Uncertainties across the World Convergent?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 855-862.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  265. Alex Plastun & Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Halloween Effect in developed stock markets: A historical perspective," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 161, pages 130-138.

    Cited by:

    1. Qadan, Mahmoud & Nisani, Doron & Eichel, Ron, 2022. "Irregularities in forward-looking volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 489-501.
    2. Rasim Özcan & Asad ul Islam KHAN & Sundas Iftikhar, 2024. "Whether The Cr Whether The Crypto Market Is Efficient? E et Is Efficient? Evidence F vidence From Testing The Validity Of The Efficient Market Hypothesis," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 27(1), pages 113-132, March.
    3. Kenourgios, Dimitris & Samios, Yiannis, 2021. "Halloween effect and active fund management," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 534-544.
    4. Muhammad Sarmad Irtiza & Shahbaz Khan & Nida Baig & Syed Muhammad Ali Tirmizi & Ilyas Ahmad, 2021. "The turn-of-the-month effect in Pakistani stock market," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-11, December.

  266. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Eric Olson, 2020. "Effect of uncertainty on U.S. stock returns and volatility: evidence from over eighty years of high-frequency data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(16), pages 1305-1311, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  267. Ji, Qiang & Bahloul, Walid & Geng, Jiang-Bo & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Trading behaviour connectedness across commodity markets: Evidence from the hedgers’ sentiment perspective," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Geng, Jiang-Bo & Du, Ya-Juan & Ji, Qiang & Zhang, Dayong, 2021. "Modeling return and volatility spillover networks of global new energy companies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    2. Liu, Chang & Sun, Xiaolei & Wang, Jun & Li, Jianping & Chen, Jianming, 2021. "Multiscale information transmission between commodity markets: An EMD-Based transfer entropy network," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    3. Liu, Ling & Shahrour, Mohamad H. & Wojewodzki, Michal & Rohani, Alireza, 2025. "Decoding energy market turbulence: A TVP-VAR connectedness analysis of climate policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk shocks," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    4. Geng, Jiang-Bo & Xu, Xiao-Yue & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The time-frequency impacts of natural gas prices on US economic activity," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    5. Zhang, Hua & Chen, Jinyu & Shao, Liuguo, 2021. "Dynamic spillovers between energy and stock markets and their implications in the context of COVID-19," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    6. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Spillover among financial, industrial and consumer uncertainties. The case of EU member states," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    7. Shao, Liuguo & Zhang, Hua & Chen, Jinyu & Zhu, Xuehong, 2021. "Effect of oil price uncertainty on clean energy metal stocks in China: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 407-419.
    8. Konstantinos D. Melas & Nektarios A. Michail, 2024. "Can commodity prices predict stock market returns? The case of dry bulk shipping companies," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-14, December.
    9. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Financial Stress and Realized Volatility: The Case of Agricultural Commodities," Working Papers 202320, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Bosch, David & Smimou, K., 2022. "Traders’ motivation and hedging pressure in commodity futures markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    11. Farid, Saqib & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Paltrinieri, Andrea & Nepal, Rabindra, 2022. "Impact of COVID-19 on the quantile connectedness between energy, metals and agriculture commodities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    12. Marfatia, Hardik & Zhao, Wan-Li & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "Uncovering the global network of economic policy uncertainty," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    13. Gong, Xu & Xu, Jun, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and dynamic connectedness between commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    14. Saeed, Tareq & Bouri, Elie & Alsulami, Hamed, 2021. "Extreme return connectedness and its determinants between clean/green and dirty energy investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    15. Caporin, Massimiliano & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Arif, Muhammad & Hasan, Mudassar & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad, 2021. "Asymmetric and time-frequency spillovers among commodities using high-frequency data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    16. Akyildirim, Erdinc & Cepni, Oguzhan & Pham, Linh & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2022. "How connected is the agricultural commodity market to the news-based investor sentiment?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    17. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "Spillover of sentiment in the European Union: Evidence from time- and frequency-domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 105-130.
    18. Gunay, Samet & Kirimhan, Destan & Cevik, Emrah Ismail, 2024. "Commodity market downturn: Systemic risk and spillovers during left tail events," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    19. Jain, Prachi & Maitra, Debasish, 2023. "Risk implications of dependence in the commodities: A copula-based analysis," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    20. Adeleke, Musefiu A. & Awodumi, Olabanji B. & Adewuyi, Adeolu O., 2022. "Return and volatility connectedness among commodity markets during major crises periods: Static and dynamic analyses with asymmetries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    21. Hu, Min & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang & Wei, Lijian, 2020. "Macro factors and the realized volatility of commodities: A dynamic network analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).

  268. Balcilar, Mehmet & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "The effect of global and regional stock market shocks on safe haven assets," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 297-308.

    Cited by:

    1. Owusu Amponsah, Dan & Abdullah, Mohammad & Joel Aikins Abakah, Emmanuel & Yindenaba Abor, Joshua & Lee, Chi-Chuan, 2025. "Multiscale tail risk integration between safe-haven assets and Africa’s emerging equity market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    2. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Zhenghui Li & Zhiming Ao & Bin Mo, 2021. "Revisiting the Valuable Roles of Global Financial Assets for International Stock Markets: Quantile Coherence and Causality-in-Quantiles Approaches," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(15), pages 1-18, July.
    4. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Beirne, John & Sugandi, Eric, 2023. "Risk-off shocks and spillovers in safe havens," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    6. Gurdgiev, Constantin & Petrovskiy, Alexander, 2024. "Hedging and safe haven assets dynamics in developed and developing markets: Are different markets that much different?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    7. Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Time and frequency connectedness and network across the precious metal and stock markets: Evidence from top precious metal importers and exporters," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    8. Yousaf, Imran & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & Demirer, Riza, 2022. "Green investments: A luxury good or a financial necessity?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    9. Liao, Xin & Li, Qin & Chan, Stephen & Chu, Jeffrey & Zhang, Yuanyuan, 2024. "Interconnections and contagion among cryptocurrencies, DeFi, NFT and traditional financial assets: Some new evidence from tail risk driven network," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 647(C).
    10. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    11. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Moments-Based Spillovers across Gold and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201966, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Marco Tronzano, 2023. "Safe-Haven Currencies as Defensive Assets in Global Stocks Portfolios: A Reassessment of the Empirical Evidence (1999–2022)," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-23, May.
    13. Imran Yousaf & Vasilios Plakandaras & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Hedge and Safe Haven Properties of Gold, US Treasury, Bitcoin, and Dollar/CHF against the FAANA Companies and S&P 500," Working Papers 202227, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Hadhri, Sinda, 2023. "News-based economic policy uncertainty and financial contagion: An international evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 63-76.
    15. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).

  269. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Asli Yuksel & Aydin Yuksel, 2020. "The US Term Structure and Return Volatility in Global REIT Markets," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(3), pages 84-109, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  270. Franz Ruch & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2020. "Forecasting core inflation: the case of South Africa," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(28), pages 3004-3022, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  271. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Oil shocks and volatility jumps," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 247-272, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  272. Boubaker, Heni & Cunado, Juncal & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Global crises and gold as a safe haven: Evidence from over seven and a half centuries of data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  273. Francis Leni Anguyo & Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotzé, 2020. "Monetary policy and financial frictions in a small open-economy model for Uganda," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(3), pages 1213-1241, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  274. Gupta, Rangan & Sun, Xiaojin, 2020. "Forecasting economic policy uncertainty of BRIC countries using Bayesian VARs," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Gong, Yuting & He, Zhongzhi & Xue, Wenjun, 2022. "EPU spillovers and stock return predictability: A cross-country study," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    2. Siphumlile Mangisa & Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Analyzing The Impact Of Brexit On Global Uncertainty Using Functional Linear Regression With Point Of Impact: The Role Of Currency And Equity Markets," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 67(04), pages 1377-1388, June.
    3. Renata Tavanielli & Márcio Laurini, 2023. "Yield Curve Models with Regime Changes: An Analysis for the Brazilian Interest Rate Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-28, June.
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2020. "Point and Density Forecasting of Macroeconomic and Financial Uncertainties of the United States," Working Papers 202058, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Abir ABID & Christophe RAULT, 2020. "On the Exchange Rates Volatility and Economic Policy Uncertainty Nexus: A Panel VAR Approach for Emerging Markets," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2894, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2021. "Point and density forecasting of macroeconomic and financial uncertainties of the USA," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 700-707, July.
    7. Guan, Jialin & Xu, Huijuan & Huo, Da & Hua, Yechun & Wang, Yunfeng, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and corporate innovation: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    8. Abid, Abir & Rault, Christophe, 2020. "On the Exchange Rate and Economic Policy Uncertainty Nexus: A Panel VAR Approach for Emerging Markets," IZA Discussion Papers 13365, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    9. Yuting Gong & Zhongzhi He & Wenjun Xue, 2023. "EPU spillovers and sovereign CDS spreads: A cross‐country study," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(12), pages 1770-1806, December.
    10. Abir ABID & Christophe RAULT, 2020. "On the Exchange Rates Volatility and Economic Policy Uncertainty Nexus: A Panel VAR Approach for Emerging Markets," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2816, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.

  275. Çekin, Semih Emre & Hkiri, Besma & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "The relationship between monetary policy and uncertainty in advanced economies: Evidence from time- and frequency-domains," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 70-87.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  276. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Christophe André & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Spillovers between US real estate and financial assets in time and frequency domains," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 38(6), pages 525-537, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  277. Rangan Gupta & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2019. "Efficiency in BRICS Currency Markets Using Long-Spans of Data: Evidence from Model-Free Tests of Directional Predictability," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 11(1), pages 152-165.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  278. Luis Alberiko Gil‐Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Persistence, Mean Reversion and Nonlinearities in Inflation Rates of Developed and Developing Countries Using Over One Century of Data," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 87(1), pages 24-36, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  279. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Stephen M. Miller & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "US Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices: The Role of Partisan Conflict," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 19(4), pages 851-862, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  280. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong & Kyei, Clement, 2019. "The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 150-163.

    Cited by:

    1. Zhu, Yanli & Sun, Yingnan & Xiang, Xinyu, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and enterprise value: Evidence from Chinese listed enterprises," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(4).
    2. Güngör Arifenur & Güngör Mahmut Sami, 2024. "The Nexus Between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility in the CEE-3 Countries," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 19(2), pages 60-81.
    3. Cui Jinxin & Zou Huiwen, 2020. "Connectedness Among Economic Policy Uncertainties: Evidence from the Time and Frequency Domain Perspectives," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 8(5), pages 401-433, October.
    4. Li, Dongxin & Zhang, Li & Li, Lihong, 2023. "Forecasting stock volatility with economic policy uncertainty: A smooth transition GARCH-MIDAS model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    5. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Transmission of US and EU Economic Policy Uncertainty Shock to Asian Economies in Bad and Good Times," IZA Discussion Papers 13274, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    6. Wang, Jiqian & Lu, Xinjie & He, Feng & Ma, Feng, 2020. "Which popular predictor is more useful to forecast international stock markets during the coronavirus pandemic: VIX vs EPU?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    7. Chen, Juan & Ma, Feng & Qiu, Xuemei & Li, Tao, 2023. "The role of categorical EPU indices in predicting stock-market returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 365-378.
    8. Shen, Yiran & Liu, Chang & Sun, Xiaolei & Guo, Kun, 2023. "Investor sentiment and the Chinese new energy stock market: A risk–return perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 395-408.
    9. Yuan, Di & Li, Sufang & Li, Rong & Zhang, Feipeng, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty, oil and stock markets in BRIC: Evidence from quantiles analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    10. Chang, Kuang-Liang, 2021. "Do U.S. and Japanese uncertainty shocks play important roles in affecting transition mechanisms of Japanese stock market?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    11. Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Uzuner, Gizem & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Housing sector and economic policy uncertainty: A GMM panel VAR approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 114-126.
    12. Oumayma GHARBI & Yousra TRICHILI & Mouna BOUJELBENE ABBES, 2022. "Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the relationship between uncertainty factors, investor’s behavioral biases and the stock market reaction of US Fintech companies," Journal of Academic Finance, RED research unit, university of Gabes, Tunisia, vol. 13(1), pages 101-122, June.
    13. Shi, Yujie & Wang, Liming, 2023. "Comparing the impact of Chinese and U.S. economic policy uncertainty on the volatility of major global stock markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    14. Liew, Ping-Xin & Lim, Kian-Ping & Goh, Kim-Leng, 2020. "Does proprietary day trading provide liquidity at a cost to investors?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    15. Chang, Kuang-Liang, 2022. "Do economic policy uncertainty indices matter in joint volatility cycles between U.S. and Japanese stock markets?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    16. Lu, Fei & Ma, Feng & Guo, Qiang, 2023. "Less is more? New evidence from stock market volatility predictability," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    17. Cooray, Arusha & Gangopadhyay, Partha & Das, Narasingha, 2023. "Causality between volatility and the weekly economic index during COVID-19: The predictive power of efficient markets and rational expectations," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    18. Lee, Kiryoung & Jeon, Yoontae, 2020. "Measuring Chinese consumers’ perceived uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 51-70.
    19. Nusair, Salah A. & Al-Khasawneh, Jamal A., 2022. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on the stock markets of the G7 Countries:A nonlinear ARDL approach," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    20. Liang, Chao & Luo, Qin & Li, Yan & Huynh, Luu Duc Toan, 2023. "Global financial stress index and long-term volatility forecast for international stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    21. Lyu, Yongjian & Tuo, Siwei & Wei, Yu & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Time-varying effects of global economic policy uncertainty shocks on crude oil price volatility：New evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    22. Song, Lu & Tian, Gengyu & Jiang, Yonghong, 2022. "Connectedness of commodity, exchange rate and categorical economic policy uncertainties — Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    23. Jian Liu & Ziting Zhang & Lizhao Yan & Fenghua Wen, 2021. "Forecasting the volatility of EUA futures with economic policy uncertainty using the GARCH-MIDAS model," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-19, December.
    24. Hsieh, Hui-Ching & Boarelli, Sofia & Vu, Thi Huyen Chi, 2019. "The effects of economic policy uncertainty on outward foreign direct investment," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 377-392.
    25. Jing Yuan & Yajing Dong & Weijie Zhai & Zongwu Cai, 2021. "Economic Policy Uncertainty: Cross-Country Linkages and Spillover Effects on Economic Development in Some Belt and Road Countries," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202110, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2021.
    26. Shabir Mohsin Hashmi & Muhammad Akram Gilal & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "Sustainability of Global Economic Policy and Stock Market Returns in Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-18, May.
    27. Bazán-Palomino, Walter, 2023. "The increased interest in Bitcoin and the immediate and long-term impact of Bitcoin volatility on global stock markets," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1080-1095.
    28. Wang, Ziwei & Li, Youwei & He, Feng, 2020. "Asymmetric volatility spillovers between economic policy uncertainty and stock markets: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    29. Canh Phuc Nguyen & Christophe Schinckus & Thanh Dinh Su, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and demand for international tourism: An empirical study," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(8), pages 1415-1430, December.
    30. Caglayan, Mustafa Onur & Xue, Wenjun & Zhang, Liwen, 2020. "Global investigation on the country-level idiosyncratic volatility and its determinants," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 143-160.
    31. Rababa’a, Abdel Razzaq Al & Alomari, Mohammad & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & McMillan, David & Hendawi, Raed, 2022. "Multiscale relationship between economic policy uncertainty and sectoral returns: Implications for portfolio management," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    32. Nguyen, Dat Thanh & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Anglingkusumo, Reza & Sasongko, Aryo, 2021. "US government shutdowns and Indonesian stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    33. He, Feng & Wang, Ziwei & Yin, Libo, 2020. "Asymmetric volatility spillovers between international economic policy uncertainty and the U.S. stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    34. Jessica Paule-Vianez & Júlio Lobão & Raúl Gómez-Martínez & Camilo Prado-Román, 2021. "Momentum strategies in times of economic policy uncertainty," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(3), pages 285-300, April.
    35. Zhang, Pengcheng & Kong, Deli & Xu, Kunpeng & Qi, Jiayin, 2024. "Global economic policy uncertainty and the stability of cryptocurrency returns: The role of liquidity volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    36. Hakan Yıldırım & Festus Victor Bekun, 2023. "Predicting volatility of bitcoin returns with ARCH, GARCH and EGARCH models," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-8, December.
    37. Nguyen, Giang & Vo, Vinh, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty around the world: Implications for Vietnam," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    38. Manel Youssef & Khaled Mokni & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between stock markets in the presence of the COVID-19 pandemic: does economic policy uncertainty matter?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-27, December.
    39. He, Feng & Ma, Feng & Wang, Ziwei & Yang, Bohan, 2021. "Asymmetric volatility spillover between oil-importing and oil-exporting countries' economic policy uncertainty and China's energy sector," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).

  281. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Is there a role for uncertainty in forecasting output growth in OECD countries? Evidence from a time-varying parameter-panel vector autoregressive model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(33), pages 3624-3631, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  282. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2019. "Point and density forecasts of oil returns: The role of geopolitical risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 580-587.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  283. Bittencourt, Manoel & Chang, Shinhye & Gupta, Rangan & Miller, Stephen M., 2019. "Does financial development affect income inequality in the U.S. States?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(6), pages 1043-1056.

    Cited by:

    1. Michael Brei & Giovanni Ferri & Leonardo Gambacorta, 2018. "Financial structure and income inequality," BIS Working Papers 756, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Jiekuan Zhang & Yan Zhang, 2021. "The relationship between China's income inequality and transport infrastructure, economic growth, and carbon emissions," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(1), pages 243-264, March.
    3. Amponsah, Mary & Agbola, Frank W. & Mahmood, Amir, 2021. "The impact of informality on inclusive growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does financial inclusion matter?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(6), pages 1259-1286.
    4. Murat Cetin & Harun Demir & Selin Saygin, 2021. "Financial Development, Technological Innovation and Income Inequality: Time Series Evidence from Turkey," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 156(1), pages 47-69, July.
    5. Inoue, Takeshi, 2024. "Financial inclusion and income distribution revisited: New findings," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    6. Margaret Rutendo Magwedere & Godfrey Marozva, 2022. "Financial Stability and Income Inequality in Developing Countries," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2022(6), pages 464-481.
    7. KOUAKOU, Thiédjé Gaudens-Omer & KAMALAN, Angbonon Eugène, 2025. "Développement financier et réduction des inégalités de revenus en Côte d’Ivoire : une approche par la régression quantile [Financial development and reduction of income inequalities in Côte d’Ivoir," MPRA Paper 123616, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Byron Quito & María de la Cruz del Río‐Rama & José Álvarez‐García & Ronny Correa‐Quezada, 2022. "Impact factors and space‐time characteristics of income inequality in a global sample," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(6), pages 1850-1868, December.
    9. Nitta, Atomu & Yamamoto, Yasutaka & Kondo, Katsunobu & Sawauchi, Daisuke, 2020. "Direct payments to Japanese farmers: Do they reduce rice income inequality? Lessons for other Asian countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(5), pages 968-981.
    10. Nokulunga Mbona, 2022. "Impacts of Overall Financial Development, Access and Depth on Income Inequality," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-23, May.
    11. Elfaki, Khalid Eltayeb & Ahmed, Elsadig Musa, 2024. "Testing technological Kuznets curve implications on achieving sustainable development goal 10 in seven Asian countries," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    12. Miller, Stephen M. & Teryoshin, Yevgeniy, 2024. "Income inequality and monetary policy regimes," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    13. Diana Barros & Aurora A. C. Teixeira, 2021. "Unlocking the black box: A comprehensive meta-analysis of the main determinants of within-region income inequality," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 41(1), pages 55-93, February.
    14. Sethi, Pradeepta & Bhattacharjee, Sankalpa & Chakrabarti, Debkumar & Tiwari, Chhavi, 2021. "The impact of globalization and financial development on India’s income inequality," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 639-656.

  284. Ji, Qiang & Gupta, Rangan & Bekun, Festus Victor & Balcilar, Mehmet, 2019. "Spillover of mortgage default risks in the United States: Evidence from metropolitan statistical areas and states," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 1-1.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  285. Christina Christou & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Price Convergence Patterns across U.S. States," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 66(2), pages 187-201.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  286. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "International monetary policy spillovers: Evidence from a time-varying parameter vector autoregression," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2022. "Risk transmissions between bitcoin and traditional financial assets during the COVID-19 era: The role of global uncertainties," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    2. Dai, Zhifeng & Peng, Yongxin, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market sector time-varying spillover effect: Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    3. Furuoka, Fumitaka & Yaya, OlaOluwa Simon & Ling, Pui Kiew & Al-Faryan, Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh & Islam, M. Nazmul, 2023. "Transmission of risks between energy and agricultural commodities: Frequency time-varying VAR, asymmetry and portfolio management," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    4. Panagiotis Palaios & Evangelia Papapetrou, 2022. "Oil prices, labour market adjustment and dynamic quantile connectedness analysis: evidence from Greece during the crisis," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 11(1), pages 1-21, December.
    5. Muneer Shaik & Mustafa Raza Rabbani & Mohd Atif & Ahmet Faruk Aysan & Mohammad Noor Alam & Umar Nawaz Kayani, 2024. "The dynamic volatility nexus of geo-political risks, stocks, bond, bitcoin, gold and oil during COVID-19 and Russian-Ukraine war," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 19(2), pages 1-16, February.
    6. Vo, Duc Hong & Tran, Minh Phuoc-Bao, 2024. "Volatility spillovers between energy and agriculture markets during the ongoing food & energy crisis: Does uncertainty from the Russo-Ukrainian conflict matter?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    7. Liang, Chao & Goodell, John W. & Li, Xiafei, 2024. "Impacts of carbon market and climate policy uncertainties on financial and economic stability: Evidence from connectedness network analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    8. Dong, Zibing & Li, Yanshuang & Zhuang, Xintian & Wang, Jian, 2022. "Impacts of COVID-19 on global stock sectors: Evidence from time-varying connectedness and asymmetric nexus analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    9. Yan, Wan-Lin & Cheung, Adrian (Wai Kong), 2023. "The dynamic spillover effects of climate policy uncertainty and coal price on carbon price: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    10. Mahdi Ghaemi Asl & Oluwasegun B. Adekoya & Muhammad Mahdi Rashidi, 2023. "Quantiles dependence and dynamic connectedness between distributed ledger technology and sectoral stocks: enhancing the supply chain and investment decisions with digital platforms," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 327(1), pages 435-464, August.
    11. Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Gabauer, David & Perez de Gracia, Fernando, 2022. "Tail risk connectedness in the refined petroleum market: A first look at the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    12. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua, 2024. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bubbles in global stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    13. Guo, Kun & Li, Yichong & Zhang, Yunhan & Chen, Yingtong & Ma, Yanran, 2024. "Cross-country risk spillovers of ESG stock indices: Dynamic patterns and the role of climate transition risks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    14. Inoue, Tomoo & Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi, 2022. "International spillover effects of unconventional monetary policies of major central banks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    15. Yuan, Xianghui & Long, Jun & Li, Xiang & Zhao, Chencheng, 2025. "Asymmetric connectedness in the Chinese stock sectors: Overnight and daytime return spillovers," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    16. Weidong Huo & Xiaoxian Chen & Lan Bo & Fangyong Luo, 2024. "Navigating Global Monetary Interdependencies: A Comprehensive Analysis of ECB Rate Hikes on China’s Technology-Driven Economy," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(4), pages 18081-18115, December.
    17. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gabauer, David & Umar, Zaghum, 2021. "Crude Oil futures contracts and commodity markets: New evidence from a TVP-VAR extended joint connectedness approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    18. Umar, Zaghum & Jareño, Francisco & González, María de la O, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19-related media coverage on the return and volatility connectedness of cryptocurrencies and fiat currencies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    19. Chenlu Tao & Gang Diao & Baodong Cheng, 2021. "The Dynamic Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Air Quality: The Beijing Lessons," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(12), pages 1-12, June.
    20. Tian, Meiyu & Li, Wanyang & Wen, Fenghua, 2021. "The dynamic impact of oil price shocks on the stock market and the USD/RMB exchange rate: Evidence from implied volatility indices," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    21. Ko, Hyungjin & Son, Bumho & Lee, Yunyoung & Jang, Huisu & Lee, Jaewook, 2022. "The economic value of NFT: Evidence from a portfolio analysis using mean–variance framework," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    22. Cui, Baisheng & Li, Jiaqi & Zhang, Yi, 2024. "Asymmetries in the international spillover effects of monetary policy: Based on TGVAR model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
    23. Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Hu, Yang & Oxley, Les, 2021. "Volatility spillovers during market supply shocks: The case of negative oil prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    24. Umar, Zaghum & Jareño, Francisco & Escribano, Ana, 2021. "Agricultural commodity markets and oil prices: An analysis of the dynamic return and volatility connectedness," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    25. Juncal Cunado & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2025. "On the propagation mechanism of international real interest rate spillovers: evidence from more than 200 years of data," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(7), pages 790-804, February.
    26. Urom, Christian & Guesmi, Khaled & Abid, Ilyes & Dagher, Leila, 2023. "Dynamic integration and transmission channels among interest rates and oil price shocks," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 296-317.
    27. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer, 2020. "Refined Measures of Dynamic Connectedness based on Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressions," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-23, April.
    28. Sila, Jan & Kocenda, Evzen & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Kukacka, Jiri, 2024. "Good vs. bad volatility in major cryptocurrencies: The dichotomy and drivers of connectedness," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    29. Liew, Ping-Xin & Lim, Kian-Ping & Goh, Kim-Leng, 2022. "The dynamics and determinants of liquidity connectedness across financial asset markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 341-358.
    30. Apostolakis, George N. & Giannellis, Nikolaos, 2024. "Monetary policy and uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from a wavelet and frequency connectedness analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PC).
    31. Stenfors, Alexis & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Gabauer, David, 2022. "Independent policy, dependent outcomes: A game of cross-country dominoes across European yield curves," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    32. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    33. Ruch,Franz Ulrich, 2021. "Neutral Real Interest Rates in Inflation Targeting Emerging and Developing Economies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9711, The World Bank.
    34. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Spillover among financial, industrial and consumer uncertainties. The case of EU member states," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    35. Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratio and the Predictability of Bubbles in Financial Markets," Working Papers 202317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    36. Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Adekoya, Oluwasegun Babatunde & Rashidi, Muhammad Mahdi & Ghasemi Doudkanlou, Mohammad & Dolatabadi, Ali, 2022. "Forecast of Bayesian-based dynamic connectedness between oil market and Islamic stock indices of Islamic oil-exporting countries: Application of the cascade-forward backpropagation network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    37. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on US REITs Moments: Evidence from VARs with Functional Shocks," Working Papers 202219, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    38. Yao Xiao & Zibing Dong & Shihua Huang & Yanshuang Li & Jian Wang & Xintian Zhuang & Stefan Cristian Gherghina, 2023. "Time-Frequency Volatility Spillovers among Major International Financial Markets: Perspective from Global Extreme Events," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2023, pages 1-20, May.
    39. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Zhou, Hegang & Xu, Chao & Zhang, Xiaoming, 2023. "Dynamic spillover effects among international crude oil markets from the time-frequency perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    40. Umar, Zaghum & Manel, Youssef & Riaz, Yasir & Gubareva, Mariya, 2021. "Return and volatility transmission between emerging markets and US debt throughout the pandemic crisis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    41. Le, Thai Hong & Luong, Anh Tram, 2022. "Dynamic spillovers between oil price, stock market, and investor sentiment: Evidence from the United States and Vietnam," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    42. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Jacobus A Nel & Xin Sheng, 2020. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty Spillovers in Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 202005, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    43. Mudassar Hasan & Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Muhammad Arif & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Safwan Mohd Nor, 2020. "Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in the Connectedness of Cross-Country Stock Market Volatilities," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-17, October.
    44. Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "Monetary policy and bubbles in G7 economies using a panel VAR approach: Implications for sustainable development," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 133-155.
    45. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Gul, Raazia & Shafiullah, Muhammad & Karim, Sitara & Lucey, Brian M., 2024. "Tail risk spillovers between Shanghai oil and other markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    46. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Gozgor, Giray & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2022. "Volatility and return connectedness of cryptocurrency, gold, and uncertainty: Evidence from the cryptocurrency uncertainty indices," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    47. Manel Youssef & Khaled Mokni & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between stock markets in the presence of the COVID-19 pandemic: does economic policy uncertainty matter?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-27, December.
    48. Zhang, Yulian & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2021. "Do news sentiment and the economic uncertainty caused by public health events impact macroeconomic indicators? Evidence from a TVP-VAR decomposition approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 145-162.
    49. Zhang, Jun & Chen, Donghui, 2024. "Time-frequency cross-country spillovers of climate policy uncertainty: Does it matter for financial risk?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 312(C).
    50. Ni, Guohua & Teng, Man & Chen, Zhenling & Wu, Yunsong & He, Wenjia & Su, Bin, 2024. "Exploring the impacts of major events on the global oil and food markets," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    51. Evrim Mandaci, Pınar & Azimli, Asil & Mandaci, Nazif, 2023. "The impact of geopolitical risks on connectedness among natural resource commodities: A quantile vector autoregressive approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).

  287. Goodness C. Aye & Matthew W. Clance & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "The Effect of Economic Uncertainty on the Housing Market Cycle," Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(1), pages 67-75, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  288. Goodness C. Aye & Matthew W. Clance & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "The effectiveness of monetary and fiscal policy shocks on U.S. inequality: the role of uncertainty," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 283-295, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  289. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Does inequality really matter in forecasting real housing returns of the United Kingdom?," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 159, pages 18-25.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  290. Adnen Ben Nasr & Mehmet Balcilar & Seyi Saint Akadiri & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Kuznets Curve for the US: A Reconsideration Using Cosummability," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 142(2), pages 827-843, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  291. Sibande, Xolani & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Time-varying causal relationship between stock market and unemployment in the United Kingdom: Historical evidence from 1855 to 2017," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 81-88.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  292. Mehmet Balcilar & Seyi Saint Akadiri & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2019. "Partisan Conflict and Income Inequality in the United States: A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 142(1), pages 65-82, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Shinhye Chang & Matthew W. Clance & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "A Reconsideration of Kuznets Curve across Countries: Evidence from the Co-summability Approach," Working Papers 201970, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Qin, Meng & Su, Chi-Wei & Tao, Ran & Umar, Muhammad, 2020. "Is factionalism a push for gold price?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    3. Rufei Zhang & Haizhen Zhang & Qingzhu Fan & Wang Gao & Xue Luo & Shixiong Yang, 2022. "Partisan Conflict, National Security Policy Uncertainty and Tourism," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-22, August.
    4. Seyi Saint Akadiri & Ada Chigozie Akadiri, 2018. "Growth and Inequality in Africa: Reconsideration," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 4(3), pages 76-86, September.
    5. Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta & Hossein Hassani & Emmanuel Silva, 2018. "Forecasting Changes of Economic Inequality: A Boosting Approach," Working Papers 201868, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  293. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Mawuli Segnon, 2019. "Revisiting the twin deficits hypothesis: a quantile cointegration analysis over the period 1791-2013," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(1), pages 117-131, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  294. Matthew W. Clance & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Geopolitical risks and recessions in a panel of advanced economies: evidence from over a century of data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(16), pages 1317-1321, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  295. Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Exchange rate returns and volatility: the role of time-varying rare disaster risks," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2), pages 190-203, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  296. Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-17, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  297. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Vivian, Andrew J. & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "The predictive value of inequality measures for stock returns: An analysis of long-span UK data using quantile random forests," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 315-322.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  298. Rangan Gupta & Amine Lahiani & Chi-Chuan Lee & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2019. "Asymmetric dynamics of insurance premium: the impacts of output and economic policy uncertainty," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(6), pages 1959-1978, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  299. Pierdzioch, Christian & Risse, Marian & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "On REIT returns and (un-)expected inflation: Empirical evidence based on Bayesian additive regression trees," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 160-169.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  300. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks and Movements in Islamic Bond and Equity Markets: A Note," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 367-379, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  301. Rangan Gupta & Giray Gozgor & Huseyin Kaya & Ender Demir, 2019. "Effects of geopolitical risks on trade flows: evidence from the gravity model," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 9(4), pages 515-530, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  302. Miller, Stephen M. & Martins, Luis Filipe & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "A Time-Varying Approach Of The Us Welfare Cost Of Inflation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(2), pages 775-797, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  303. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Persistence of economic uncertainty: a comprehensive analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(41), pages 4477-4498, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  304. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Forecasting (downside and upside) realized exchange-rate volatility: Is there a role for realized skewness and kurtosis?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 532(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Time-frequency dependence and connectedness among global oil markets: Fresh evidence from higher-order moment perspective," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    2. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "Climate risks and realized volatility of major commodity currency exchange rates," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    3. Chen, Yan & Qiao, Gaoxiu & Zhang, Feipeng, 2022. "Oil price volatility forecasting: Threshold effect from stock market volatility," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    4. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Peng, Zhe & Bouri, Elie, 2021. "Asymmetric volatility spillover among Chinese sectors during COVID-19," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    5. Maki, Daiki, 2024. "Forecasting downside and upside realized volatility: The role of asymmetric information," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    6. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    7. He, Xie & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2024. "Asymmetric Higher-Moment spillovers between sustainable and traditional investments," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    8. Matteo Foglia & Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Multi-Layer Spillovers between Volatility and Skewness in International Stock Markets Over a Century of Data: The Role of Disaster Risks," Working Papers 202337, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Zhang, Hongwei & Zhao, Xinyi & Gao, Wang & Niu, Zibo, 2023. "The role of higher moments in predicting China's oil futures volatility: Evidence from machine learning models," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    10. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Asingamaanda Liphadzi & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Forecasting Stock Returns Volatility of the G7 Over Centuries: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202424, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Konstantinos Gkillas & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2020. "Spillovers in Higher-Order Moments of Crude Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin," Working Papers 202068, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of International REITs: The Role of Realized Skewness and Realized Kurtosis," Working Papers 202114, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Waqas Hanif & Hee-Un Ko & Linh Pham & Sang Hoon Kang, 2023. "Dynamic connectedness and network in the high moments of cryptocurrency, stock, and commodity markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-40, December.
    14. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Higher-order moment risk connectedness and optimal investment strategies between international oil and commodity futures markets: Insights from the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia-Ukraine conflict," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    15. Gao, Shang & Zhang, Zhikai & Wang, Yudong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "Forecasting stock market volatility: The sum of the parts is more than the whole," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    16. Liu, Yiye & Han, Liyan & Wu, You, 2022. "Can skewness predict CNY-CNH spread?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).

  305. Josine Uwilingiye & Esin Cakan & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "A note on the technology herd: evidence from large institutional investors," Review of Behavioral Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 11(3), pages 294-308, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  306. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gogas, Periklis & Papadimitriou, Theophilos & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "A re-evaluation of the term spread as a leading indicator," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 476-492.

    Cited by:

    1. Joseph G. Haubrich, 2020. "Does the Yield Curve Predict Output?," Working Papers 20-34, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    2. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Polat, Onur, 2024. "Forecasting U.S. recessions using over 150 years of data: Stock-market moments versus oil-market moments," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
    3. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Guney, I. Ethem & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "The role of an aligned investor sentiment index in predicting bond risk premia of the U.S," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).

  307. Adnen Ben Nasr & Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Investor Sentiment and Crash Risk in Safe Havens," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 10(6), pages 97-108.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  308. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Vasilios Plakandaras & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "The role of housing sentiment in forecasting U.S. home sales growth: evidence from a Bayesian compressed vector autoregressive model," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 2554-2567, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  309. Chang, Shinhye & Gupta, Rangan & Miller, Stephen M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Growth volatility and inequality in the U.S.: A wavelet analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 521(C), pages 48-73.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  310. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time–frequency relationship between US inflation and inflation uncertainty: evidence from historical data," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 66(5), pages 673-702, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Mihai Ioan Mutascu & Scott W. Hegerty, 2024. "Expected inflation and interest-rate dynamics in the COVID era: evidence from the time–frequency domain," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 51(2), pages 559-582, May.
    2. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Cornel Oros, 2020. "Inflation, uncertainty, and labour market conditions in the US," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(52), pages 5770-5782, November.
    3. William A. Barnett & Fredj Jawadi & Zied Ftiti, 2020. "Causal Relationships Between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202010, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2020.
    4. Mehdi Hajamini, 2019. "Asymmetric Causality Between Inflation and Uncertainty: Evidences from 33 Developed and Developing Countries," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 17(2), pages 287-309, June.

  311. Rangan Gupta & Sheung-Chi Chow & Tahir Suleman & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Long-Run Movement and Predictability of Bond Spread for BRICS and PIIGS: The Role of Economic, Financial and Political Risks," Journal of Reviews on Global Economics, Lifescience Global, vol. 8, pages 239-257.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  312. Gupta, Rangan & Kanda, Patrick & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Time-varying predictability of oil market movements over a century of data: The role of US financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  313. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keng Marco Lau & Ruipeng Liu & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2019. "Price jumps in developed stock markets: the role of monetary policy committee meetings," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 43(2), pages 298-312, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  314. Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Presidential Cycles In The Usa And The Dollar-Pound Exchange Rate: Evidence From Over Two Centuries," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(2), pages 151-163, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Samar Ashour & David Rakowski & Salil K. Sarkar, 2021. "Currency risk exposure and the presidential effect in stock returns," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 45(3), pages 469-485, July.

  315. Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "The role of time‐varying rare disaster risks in predicting bond returns and volatility," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(3), pages 327-340, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  316. Wilson Donzwa & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Volatility Spillovers between Interest Rates and Equity Markets of Developed Economies," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 8(3), pages 39-50.

    Cited by:

    1. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Historical Forecasting Of Interest Rate Mean And Volatility Of The United States: Is There A Role Of Uncertainty?," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(04), pages 1-17, December.
    2. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Ruth Omotosho & Festus Victor Bekun, 2024. "Interest Rate Volatility and Economic Growth in Nigeria: New Insight from the Quantile Autoregressive Distributed Lag (QARDL) Model," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(4), pages 20172-20195, December.

  317. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "The impact of US uncertainty on the Euro area in good and bad times: evidence from a quantile structural vector autoregressive model," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 46(2), pages 353-368, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  318. Esin Cakan & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Josine Uwilingiye, 2019. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Herding Behavior Evidence from the South African Housing Market," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(1), pages 88-113, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  319. Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Changing Dynamics of the U.S. REITs Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-12, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  320. Rangan Gupta & Philton Makena, 2019. "Inflation Aversion and the Growth-Inflation Relationship," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 20(2), pages 803-815, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  321. Chang, Tsangyao & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Predicting stock market movements with a time-varying consumption-aggregate wealth ratio," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 458-467.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  322. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Reprint of: Chaos in G7 stock markets using over one century of data: A note," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 315-321.

    Cited by:

    1. Hamdi, Besma & Aloui, Mouna & Alqahtani, Faisal & Tiwari, Aviral, 2019. "Relationship between the oil price volatility and sectoral stock markets in oil-exporting economies: Evidence from wavelet nonlinear denoised based quantile and Granger-causality analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 536-552.
    2. Tatyana A. Alexeeva & William A. Barnett & Nikolay V. Kuznetsov & Timur N. Mokaev, 2020. "Dynamics of the Shapovalov mid-size firm model," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202007, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2020.
    3. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Xin Sheng, 2018. "Is There a Role for Uncertainty in Forecasting Output Growth in OECD Countries? Evidence from a Time Varying Parameter-Panel Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201823, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Giuseppe Orlando & Michele Bufalo, 2021. "Empirical Evidences on the Interconnectedness between Sampling and Asset Returns’ Distributions," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-35, May.
    5. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Phouphet Kyophilavong, 2021. "Nonlinearities and Chaos: A New Analysis of CEE Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-13, March.

  323. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Mukherjee, Zinnia & Gupta, Rangan & Balcilar, Mehmet, 2019. "A wavelet analysis of the relationship between oil and natural gas prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 118-124.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  324. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Cunado, Juncal & Hatemi-J, Abdulnasser & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Oil price-inflation pass-through in the United States over 1871 to 2018: A wavelet coherency analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 51-55.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  325. van Eyden, Reneé & Difeto, Mamothoana & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Oil price volatility and economic growth: Evidence from advanced economies using more than a century’s data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233, pages 612-621.

    Cited by:

    1. Nigar Huseynli, 2022. "Impact of Revenues from Oil and Non-Oil Sectors on the Economic Growth of Azerbaijan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 31-35, September.
    2. Ismail KAVAZ & Araz Waleed HUSSEIN, 2024. "Direct And Indirect Effect Of Globalization On Economic Growth In Indonesia," Scientific Bulletin - Economic Sciences, University of Pitesti, vol. 23(1), pages 45-54.
    3. Xu, Yan & Liu, Tianli & Du, Pei, 2024. "Volatility forecasting of crude oil futures based on Bi-LSTM-Attention model: The dynamic role of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian-Ukrainian conflict," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    4. Xiao, Jihong & Chen, Xian & Li, Yang & Wen, Fenghua, 2022. "Oil price uncertainty and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    5. Adilson de Oliveira & Susan Schommer & Ledson L. G. da Rosa, 2023. "Oil price volatility: impacts in the Brazilian economy," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(1), pages 429-440.
    6. Novelli, Giacomo, 2022. "Energy Dependency and Long-Run Growth," FEEM Working Papers 329650, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    7. Carpio, Lucio Guido Tapia, 2019. "The effects of oil price volatility on ethanol, gasoline, and sugar price forecasts," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 1012-1022.
    8. Li, Beibei & Chen, Yiming & Wu, Haipeng & Mao, Xuefeng, 2025. "Macroeconomics, geopolitical risk, and resource commodity price bubbles," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    9. Wen, Jun & Zhao, Xin-Xin & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2021. "The impact of extreme events on energy price risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    10. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Oil tail risks and the forecastability of the realized variance of oil-price: Evidence from over 150 years of data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    11. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    12. Oguzhan Ozcelebi & Kaya Tokmakcioglu, 2022. "Assessment of the asymmetric impacts of the geopolitical risk on oil market dynamics," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 275-289, January.
    13. David Bourghelle & Fredj Jawadi & Philippe Rozin, 2021. "Oil price volatility in the context of Covid-19 [Le prix du pétrole dans le contexte du Covid 19]," Post-Print hal-04412020, HAL.
    14. Peipei, Wang & James, William, 2024. "Predicting oil price fluctuations: Integrating external indicators and advanced regression techniques," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    15. Belloumi, Mounir & Aljazea, Ahmed & Alshehry, Atef, 2023. "Study of the impact of crude oil prices on economic output and inflation in Saudi Arabia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    16. Zhao, Ziming & Chen, Jinyu, 2024. "Non-linear effects of three core mineral resources, energy uncertainty, and inclusive digitalization on economic growth: A comparative analysis of US and China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    17. Jin, Taeyoung & Kim, Dowon, 2023. "The role of renewable energy in hedging against oil price risks: A study of OECD net oil importers," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    18. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Liu, Dongwang & Yang, Ziqi, 2024. "Asymmetric linkages among fintech, oil prices, governance, and growth in Southeast Asian economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    20. Sohag, Kazi & Sokhanvar, Amin & Belyaeva, Zhanna & Mirnezami, Seyed Reza, 2022. "Hydrocarbon prices shocks, fiscal stability and consolidation: Evidence from Russian Federation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    21. Umar Tijjani Babuga & Niaz Ahmad Mohd Naseem, 2022. "Oil Price Change and Economic Growth: Evidence from Net Sub-Saharan Africa Oil Exporting Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(2), pages 369-378, March.
    22. Mohammad Aladwan & Mohammaad Almaharmeh & Husni Samara, 2023. "Modeling and Mediating the Interaction between Oil Prices and Economic Sectors Advancement: The Case of Middle East," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 51-60, March.
    23. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2021. "Dynamic impact of the U.S. monetary policy on oil market returns and volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 159-169.
    24. Gong, Mengqi & You, Zhe & Wang, Longle & Ruan, Dapeng, 2024. "Research of the non-linear dynamic relationship between global economic policy uncertainty and crude oil prices," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    25. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    26. Adeosun, Opeoluwa Adeniyi & Tabash, Mosab I. & Anagreh, Suhaib, 2022. "Oil price and economic performance: Additional evidence from advanced economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    27. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    28. Shahriyar Mukhtarov & Sannur Aliyev & Javid Zeynalov, 2020. "The Effects of Oil Prices on Macroeconomic Variables: Evidence from Azerbaijan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(1), pages 72-80.
    29. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    30. Wang, Kai-Hua & Su, Chi-Wei & Xiao, Yidong & Liu, Lu, 2022. "Is the oil price a barometer of China's automobile market? From a wavelet-based quantile-on-quantile regression perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    31. Giacomo Novelli, 2022. "Energy Dependency and Long-Run Growth," Working Papers 2022.42, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    32. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "A Note on Forecasting the Historical Realized Variance of Oil-Price Movements: The Role of Gold-to-Silver and Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratios," Working Papers 202158, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "The predictive power of oil price shocks on realized volatility of oil: A note," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    34. Liu, Donghui & Meng, Lingjie & Wang, Yudong, 2020. "Oil price shocks and Chinese economy revisited: New evidence from SVAR model with sign restrictions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 20-32.
    35. Zhou, Qiyun & Wu, Jianpeng & Zuo, Xiaoming, 2024. "Influence of oil prices and precious metals on green growth: Role of digitization in BRICS region," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    36. Elder, John, 2020. "Employment and energy uncertainty," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 21(C).
    37. Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr & Szulczyk, Kenneth R. & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2021. "Asymmetries in the effect of oil rent shocks on economic growth: A sectoral analysis from the perspective of the oil curse," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    38. Tillaguango, Brayan & Hossain, Mohammad Razib & Cuesta, Lizeth & Ahmad, Munir & Alvarado, Rafael & Murshed, Muntasir & Rehman, Abdul & Işık, Cem, 2024. "Impact of oil price, economic globalization, and inflation on economic output: Evidence from Latin American oil-producing countries using the quantile-on-quantile approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
    39. Mao, Zhouheng & Wang, Hui & Bibi, Sidra, 2024. "Crude oil volatility spillover and stock market returns across the COVID-19 pandemic and post-pandemic periods: An empirical study of China, US, and India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    40. Borozan, Djula & Lolic Cipcic, Marina, 2022. "Asymmetric and nonlinear oil price pass-through to economic growth in Croatia: Do oil-related policy shocks matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    41. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Yahya, Farzan, 2024. "Mitigating energy instability: The influence of trilemma choices, financial development, and technology advancements," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    42. Sun-Yong Choi & Changsoo Hong, 2020. "Relationship between uncertainty in the oil and stock markets before and after the shale gas revolution: Evidence from the OVX, VIX, and VKOSPI volatility indices," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(5), pages 1-26, May.
    43. Xu Gong & Mingchao Wang & Liuguo Shao, 2022. "The impact of macro economy on the oil price volatility from the perspective of mixing frequency," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4487-4514, October.
    44. Jesus Cuauhtemoc Tellez Gaytan & Aqila Rafiuddin & Gyanendra Singh Sisodia & Gouher Ahmed & CH Paramaiah, 2023. "Pass-through Effects of Oil Prices on LATAM Emerging Stocks before and during COVID-19: An Evidence from a Wavelet -VAR Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(1), pages 529-543, January.
    45. Daryoosh Borzuei & Seyed Farhan Moosavian & Abolfazl Ahmadi, 2022. "Investigating the dependence of energy prices and economic growth rates with emphasis on the development of renewable energy for sustainable development in Iran," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(5), pages 848-854, October.
    46. Yu, Hongchu & Fang, Zhixiang & Lu, Feng & Murray, Alan T. & Zhang, Hengcai & Peng, Peng & Mei, Qiang & Chen, Jinhai, 2019. "Impact of oil price fluctuations on tanker maritime network structure and traffic flow changes," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C), pages 390-403.
    47. Wen, Fenghua & Chen, Meng & Zhang, Yun & Miao, Xiao, 2023. "Oil price uncertainty and audit fees: Evidence from the energy industry," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    48. James Ming Chen & Mobeen Ur Rehman, 2021. "A Pattern New in Every Moment: The Temporal Clustering of Markets for Crude Oil, Refined Fuels, and Other Commodities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-58, September.
    49. Debojyoti Das & Anupam Dutta & Rabin K. Jana & Indranil Ghosh, 2023. "The asymmetric impact of oil price uncertainty on emerging market financial stress: A quantile regression approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4299-4323, October.
    50. Ma, Qiang & Zhang, Mei & Ali, Sher & Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Khan, Zeeshan, 2021. "Natural resources commodity prices volatility and economic performance: Evidence from China pre and post COVID-19," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    51. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wang, Shixuan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    52. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    53. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "The Effect of Oil Price Uncertainty Shock on International Equity Markets: Evidence from a GVAR Model," Working Papers 202160, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    54. Guo, Yawei & Li, Jianping & Li, Yehua & You, Wanhai, 2021. "The roles of political risk and crude oil in stock market based on quantile cointegration approach: A comparative study in China and US," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    55. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Abeeb Olaniran, 2021. "The Effect of Oil Uncertainty Shock on Real GDP of 33 Countries: A Global VAR Approach," Working Papers 202153, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    56. Nguyen, Thi Thu Ha & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Balli, Faruk & Balli, Hatice Ozer & Syed, Iqbal, 2021. "Information transmission between oil and housing markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    57. Alao, Rasheed O. & Payaslioglu, Cem, 2021. "Oil price uncertainty and industrial production in oil-exporting countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    58. Dutta, Anupam & Bouri, Elie & Saeed, Tareq, 2021. "News-based equity market uncertainty and crude oil volatility," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    59. Guan, Lu & Zhang, Wei-Wei & Ahmad, Ferhana & Naqvi, Bushra, 2021. "The volatility of natural resource prices and its impact on the economic growth for natural resource-dependent economies: A comparison of oil and gold dependent economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    60. Mo, Bin & Chen, Cuiqiong & Nie, He & Jiang, Yonghong, 2019. "Visiting effects of crude oil price on economic growth in BRICS countries: Fresh evidence from wavelet-based quantile-on-quantile tests," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 234-251.
    61. Simona Bigerna & Maria Chiara D’Errico & Paolo Polinori & Paul Simshauser, 2023. "Net-Zero Policy vs Energy Security: The Impact on GCC Countries," The Energy Journal, , vol. 44(1_suppl), pages 1-32, November.
    62. Salah A. Alawadhi & Adedayo E. Longe, 2024. "Oil Price Fluctuation and their Impact on the Macroeconomic Variables: The Case of Kuwait," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(3), pages 375-386, May.
    63. Sonja Tilly & Giacomo Livan, 2021. "Macroeconomic forecasting with statistically validated knowledge graphs," Papers 2104.10457, arXiv.org.
    64. Qian, Lihua & Zeng, Qing & Li, Tao, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and oil price volatility: Evidence from Markov-switching model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 29-38.
    65. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "OPEC News and Jumps in the Oil Market," Working Papers 202053, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    66. Nikkinen, Jussi & Rothovius, Timo, 2019. "Energy sector uncertainty decomposition: New approach based on implied volatilities," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 248(C), pages 141-148.
    67. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Mixed‐frequency forecasting of crude oil volatility based on the information content of global economic conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 134-157, January.
    68. Muntasir Murshed & Haider Mahmood & Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Mohga Bassim, 2020. "The Impacts of Energy Consumption, Energy Prices and Energy Import-Dependency on Gross and Sectoral Value-Added in Sri Lanka," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-22, December.
    69. Sandra Chukwudumebi Obiora & Olusola Bamisile & Evans Opoku-Mensah & Adasa Nkrumah Kofi Frimpong, 2020. "Impact of Banking and Financial Systems on Environmental Sustainability: An Overarching Study of Developing, Emerging, and Developed Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-21, September.
    70. Jiaying Peng & Zhenghui Li & Benjamin M. Drakeford, 2020. "Dynamic Characteristics of Crude Oil Price Fluctuation—From the Perspective of Crude Oil Price Influence Mechanism," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-19, August.
    71. Apergis, Nicholas & Fahmy, Hany, 2024. "Geopolitical risk and energy price crash risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    72. Arif, Asma & Minh Vu, Hieu & Cong, Ma & Hon Wei, Leow & Islam, Md. Monirul & Niedbała, Gniewko, 2022. "Natural resources commodity prices volatility and economic performance: Evaluating the role of green finance," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    73. Xiangfa Li & Zhe Zhang & Weixian Xue & Hua Wang, 2022. "The Effects of Household Debt and Oil Price Shocks on Economic Growth in the Shadow of the Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-16, November.
    74. Cui, Lianbiao & Weng, Shimei & Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Bashir, Muhammad Adnan & Rjoub, Husam & Zhou, Yuanxiang, 2021. "Exploring the role of natural resources, natural gas and oil production for economic growth of China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    75. David Iheke Okorie & Boqiang Lin, 2022. "Crude oil market and Nigerian stocks: An asymmetric information spillover approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4002-4017, October.
    76. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    77. Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wadström, Christoffer & Sharmi, Rubaiya Zaman, 2022. "Do pandemic, trade policy and world uncertainties affect oil price returns?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    78. Cheng, Dong & Shi, Xunpeng & Yu, Jian & Zhang, Dayong, 2019. "How does the Chinese economy react to uncertainty in international crude oil prices?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 147-164.
    79. Zhao, Jing, 2022. "Exploring the influence of the main factors on the crude oil price volatility: An analysis based on GARCH-MIDAS model with Lasso approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    80. Dong, Chunlong & Wu, Hao & Zhou, Jianwen & Lin, Huifang & Chang, Lei, 2023. "Role of renewable energy investment and geopolitical risk in green finance development: Empirical evidence from BRICS countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 207(C), pages 234-241.
    81. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark, 2021. "Financial stress, economic policy uncertainty, and oil price uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    82. Yuri Ermoliev & Anatolij G. Zagorodny & Vjacheslav L. Bogdanov & Tatiana Ermolieva & Petr Havlik & Elena Rovenskaya & Nadejda Komendantova & Michael Obersteiner, 2022. "Linking Distributed Optimization Models for Food, Water, and Energy Security Nexus Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-14, January.
    83. Yang, Xiaoming & Zhang, Jia & Xu, Zhaoyi, 2023. "Natural resources for policy makers: Revisiting COVID-19 perspective of aggregate South Asian economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    84. Du, He & Zhang, Chunguang, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty and natural resources commodity prices: A comparative analysis of pre- and post-pandemic quantile trends in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    85. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Rubaszek, Michał & Snarska, Małgorzata, 2021. "The role of oil price uncertainty shocks on oil-exporting countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    86. Nan, Yu & Sun, Renjin & Zhen, Zhao & Fangjing, Chu, 2022. "Measurement of international crude oil price cyclical fluctuations and correlation with the world economic cyclical changes," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    87. Albert Olusanmi ILUGBEMI & Festus Olumide FAWEHINMI, 2020. "Impacts of Oil Price Volatility and Monetary Policy on Economic Performance Of Non-Oil Producing Countries in Africa," Business & Management Compass, University of Economics Varna, issue 2, pages 180-197.
    88. Cai, Lu & Le, Thanh Tiep, 2023. "Natural resources and financial development: Role of corporate social responsibility on green economic growth in Vietnam," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    89. Alola, Andrew A. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2022. "Outlook of oil prices and volatility from 1970 to 2040 through global energy mix-security from production to reserves: A nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    90. Shi, Tao & Li, Chongyang & Zhang, Wei & Zhang, Yi, 2023. "Forecasting on metal resource spot settlement price: New evidence from the machine learning model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    91. Dąbrowski, Marek A. & Papież, Monika & Rubaszek, Michał & Śmiech, Sławomir, 2022. "The role of economic development for the effect of oil market shocks on oil-exporting countries. Evidence from the interacted panel VAR model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    92. Priya, Pragati & Sharma, Chandan, 2024. "On transmission channels of energy prices and monetary policy shocks to household consumption: Evidence from India," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    93. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and the U.K. Unemployment Rate: A Forecasting Experiment with Random Forests Using 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 202095, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    94. Husam Abbas Ali & Hiba Youssef Taha, 2023. "The Impact of the Development of the Banking Sector in Rentier Countries on Economic Growth in Light of Recurrent Crises," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 13(3), pages 113-130.
    95. Tumala, Mohammed M. & Salisu, Afees A. & Atoi, Ngozi V., 2022. "Oil-growth nexus in Nigeria: An ADL-MIDAS approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    96. Zhang, Ru & Zhao, Wenhao & Wang, Yong, 2024. "Is there a relationship between economic growth and natural resource commodity price volatility? Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    97. Zhaoyong Sun & Xinyu Cai & Wei-Chiao Huang, 2022. "The Impact of Oil Price Fluctuations on Consumption, Output, and Investment in China’s Industrial Sectors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-19, May.
    98. Mamdouh Abdelmoula Mohamed Abdelsalam, 2020. "Oil price fluctuations and economic growth: the case of MENA countries," Review of Economics and Political Science, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 8(5), pages 353-379, December.
    99. Kassouri, Yacouba & Altıntaş, Halil & Bilgili, Faik, 2020. "An investigation of the financial resource curse hypothesis in oil-exporting countries: The threshold effect of democratic accountability," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    100. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    101. Sun, Li & Wang, Yang, 2021. "Global economic performance and natural resources commodity prices volatility: Evidence from pre and post COVID-19 era," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    102. Managi, Shunsuke & Yousfi, Mohamed & Ben Zaied, Younes & Ben Mabrouk, Nejah & Ben Lahouel, Béchir, 2022. "Oil price, US stock market and the US business conditions in the era of COVID-19 pandemic outbreak," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 129-139.
    103. Abdulmecit YILDIRIM & Gökhan KONAT, 2023. "Exploring the Relationship Between Oil Prices and Economic Growth in Türkiye," Bingol University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Bingol University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 7(2), pages 103-117, December.
    104. Hu, Jinyan & Wang, Kai-Hua & Su, Chi Wei & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "Oil price, green innovation and institutional pressure: A China's perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    105. Tong Liu & Yanlin Shi, 2022. "Forecasting Crude Oil Future Volatilities with a Threshold Zero-Drift GARCH Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(15), pages 1-20, August.
    106. Pham Thi, Thuy Dung & Do, Hai Dung & Paramaiah, Ch & Duong, Nam Tien & Pham, Van Kien & Shamansurova, Zilola, 2023. "Sustainable economic performance and natural resource price volatility in the post-covid-pandemic: Evidence using GARCH models in Chinese context," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    107. Bigerna, Simona & D'Errico, Maria Chiara & Polinori, Paolo & Simshauer, Paul, 2022. "Renewable energy and portfolio volatility spillover effects of GCC oil exporting countries," MPRA Paper 114164, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    108. Rabin K. Jana & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Claudiu Albulescu, 2022. "Financial modeling, risk management of energy and environmental instruments and derivatives: past, present, and future," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 1-7, June.
    109. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    110. Rosnawintang Rosnawintang & Tajuddin Tajuddin & Pasrun Adam & Yuwanda Purnamasari Pasrun & La Ode Saidi, 2021. "Effects of Crude Oil Prices Volatility, the Internet and Inflation on Economic Growth in ASEAN-5 Countries: A Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 15-21.
    111. Elie Bouri, 2019. "The Effect of Jumps in the Crude Oil Market on the Sovereign Risks of Major Oil Exporters," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-15, December.
    112. World Bank, "undated". "Europe and Central Asia Economic Update, Spring 2020," World Bank Publications - Reports 33476, The World Bank Group.
    113. Zulfigarov, Farid & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2020. "The impact of oil price changes on selected macroeconomic indicators in Azerbaijan," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(4).
    114. Zhang, Yonggang & Hyder, Mansoor & Baloch, Zulfiqar Ali & Qian, Chong & Berk Saydaliev, Hayot, 2022. "Nexus between oil price volatility and inflation: Mediating nexus from exchange rate," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    115. Fan, Wenrui & Wang, Zanxin, 2022. "Whether to abandon or continue the petroleum product price regulation in China？," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).

  326. Cunado, Juncal & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Persistence in trends and cycles of gold and silver prices: Evidence from historical data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 514(C), pages 345-354.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  327. Elie Bouri & Luis A. Gil‐Alana & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2019. "Modelling long memory volatility in the Bitcoin market: Evidence of persistence and structural breaks," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 412-426, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  328. Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Luis A. Gil‐Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Forecasting the Probability of Recessions in South Africa: the Role of Decomposed Term Spread and Economic Policy Uncertainty," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 101-116, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  329. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Chaos in G7 stock markets using over one century of data: A note," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 304-310.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  330. Giorgio Canarella & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller & Stephen K. Pollard, 2019. "Unemployment rate hysteresis and the great recession: exploring the metropolitan evidence," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 61-79, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  331. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Seong-Min Yoon, 2019. "OPEC News Announcement Effect on Volatility in the Crude Oil Market: A Reconsideration," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(4), pages 1-23, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  332. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Greek economic policy uncertainty: Does it matter for Europe? Evidence from a dynamic connectedness decomposition approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Cui Jinxin & Zou Huiwen, 2020. "Connectedness Among Economic Policy Uncertainties: Evidence from the Time and Frequency Domain Perspectives," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 8(5), pages 401-433, October.
    2. Christos Floros, 2020. "Banking Development and Economy in Greece: Evidence from Regional Data," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-13, October.
    3. Zhou, Yuqin & Liu, Zhenhua & Wu, Shan, 2022. "The global economic policy uncertainty spillover analysis: In the background of COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    4. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark, 2021. "Political uncertainty, COVID-19 pandemic and stock market volatility transmission," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    5. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer, 2020. "Refined Measures of Dynamic Connectedness based on Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressions," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-23, April.
    6. Brandt, Richard, 2021. "Economic Policy Uncertainty Index: Extension and optimization of Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom and Steven J. Davis's search term," DoCMA Working Papers 5, TU Dortmund University, Dortmund Center for Data-based Media Analysis (DoCMA).
    7. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Spillover among financial, industrial and consumer uncertainties. The case of EU member states," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    8. Cagli, Efe Caglar & Mandaci, Pinar Evrim, 2023. "Time and frequency connectedness of uncertainties in cryptocurrency, stock, currency, energy, and precious metals markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    9. Haibo Wang & Lutfu S. Sua & Jun Huang & Jaime Ortiz & Bahram Alidaee, 2024. "Will Southeast Asia be the next global manufacturing hub? A multiway cointegration, causality, and dynamic connectedness analyses on factors influencing offshore decisions," Papers 2406.07525, arXiv.org.
    10. Li, bing & Lu, pu & Wang, yong, 2024. "Decomposing uncertainty: How foreign policy risks shape Chinese stock market dynamics," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    11. Zhang, Yulian & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2021. "Do news sentiment and the economic uncertainty caused by public health events impact macroeconomic indicators? Evidence from a TVP-VAR decomposition approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 145-162.
    12. Dorine Boumans & Henrik Müller & Stefan Sauer, 2022. "How Media Content Influences Economic Expectations: Evidence from a Global Expert Survey," ifo Working Paper Series 380, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    13. Kai‐Hua Wang & Zu‐Shan Wang & Hong‐Wen Liu & Xin Li, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk: evidence from China and Southeast Asia," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 37(2), pages 96-118, November.
    14. Rabbani, Mustafa Raza & Billah, Syed Mabruk & Shaik, Muneer & Rahman, Mashuk & Boujlil, Rhada, 2023. "Dynamic connectedness, spillover, and optimal hedging strategy among FinTech, Sukuk, and Islamic equity markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).

  333. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty And The Comovement In Buying Versus Renting In The Usa," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(3), pages 93-121, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Kola Ijasan & Peterson Owusu Junior & George Tweneboah & Tunbosun Oyedokun & Anokye M. Adam, 2021. "Analysing the relationship between global REITs and exchange rates: Fresh evidence from frequency-based quantile regressions," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(3), pages 58-91, September.
    2. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Christophe Andre & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Housing Returns and Volatility: Evidence from US State-Level Data," Working Papers 202131, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Uncertainty and Predictability of Real Housing Returns in the United Kingdom: A Regional Analysis," Working Papers 202102, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  334. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks, Returns, and Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence from a Panel GARCH Model," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(8), pages 1841-1856, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  335. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
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  336. Plastun, Alex & Sibande, Xolani & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Rise and fall of calendar anomalies over a century," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 181-205.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  337. Demirer, Riza & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Time-varying risk aversion and realized gold volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  338. Fang, Libing & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Does global economic uncertainty matter for the volatility and hedging effectiveness of Bitcoin?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 29-36.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  339. Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2019. "The role of monetary policy uncertainty in predicting equity market volatility of the United Kingdom: evidence from over 150 years of data," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 8(3), pages 138-146.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  340. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Are BRICS exchange rates chaotic?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(13), pages 1104-1110, July.
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  341. Hylton Hollander & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "The Impact of Oil Shocks in a Small Open Economy New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for an Oil-Importing Country: The Case of South Africa," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(7), pages 1593-1618, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The impacts of structural oil shocks on macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from a large panel of 45 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    2. Romain Houssa & Jolan Mohimont & Chris Otrok, 2019. "A Model for International Spillovers to Emerging Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series 7702, CESifo.
    3. Ginn, William, 2024. "The paradox of fossil fuel subsidies," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 333-358.
    4. Omotosho, Babatunde S., 2020. "Oil price shocks, fuel subsidies and macroeconomic (in)stability in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 105464, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Zając, P. & Avdiushchenko, A., 2020. "The impact of converting waste into resources on the regional economy, evidence from Poland," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 437(C).
    6. Yildirim, Zekeriya & Guloglu, Hasan, 2024. "Macro-financial transmission of global oil shocks to BRIC countries — International financial (uncertainty) conditions matter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    7. Coşkun Akdeniz & Abdurrahman Nazif Çatık & Esra Ballı, 2022. "Inflationary effects of oil price and exchange rate shocks in South Africa: Evidence from time‐varying pass‐through coefficients," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 90(3), pages 301-328, September.
    8. Mo, Bin & Chen, Cuiqiong & Nie, He & Jiang, Yonghong, 2019. "Visiting effects of crude oil price on economic growth in BRICS countries: Fresh evidence from wavelet-based quantile-on-quantile tests," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 234-251.
    9. Pavitra Dhamija, 2020. "Economic Development and South Africa: 25 Years Analysis (1994 to 2019)," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(3), pages 298-322, September.
    10. Kassouri, Yacouba & Altıntaş, Halil & Bilgili, Faik, 2020. "An investigation of the financial resource curse hypothesis in oil-exporting countries: The threshold effect of democratic accountability," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    11. Shangle, Ai & Solaymani, Saeed, 2020. "Responses of monetary policies to oil price changes in Malaysia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    12. Omotosho, Babatunde S., 2019. "Business Cycle Fluctuations in Nigeria: Some Insights from an Estimated DSGE Model," MPRA Paper 98351, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Turgut Yokuş, 2024. "Early Warning Systems for World Energy Crises," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-18, March.

  342. Riza Demirer & Guilherme Demos & Rangan Gupta & Didier Sornette, 2019. "On the predictability of stock market bubbles: evidence from LPPLS confidence multi-scale indicators," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(5), pages 843-858, May.
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  343. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Stock market efficiency analysis using long spans of Data: A multifractal detrended fluctuation approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 398-411.
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  344. Das, Sonali & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Mangisa, Siphumlile, 2019. "The effect of global crises on stock market correlations: Evidence from scalar regressions via functional data analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 132-147.
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  345. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Herding behaviour in cryptocurrencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 216-221.

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    1. Júlio Lobão, 2022. "Herding Behavior in the Market for Green Cryptocurrencies: Evidence from CSSD and CSAD Approaches," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-17, October.
    2. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2022. "Risk transmissions between bitcoin and traditional financial assets during the COVID-19 era: The role of global uncertainties," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    3. Akyildirim, Erdinç & Corbet, Shaen & Cumming, Douglas & Lucey, Brian & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2020. "Riding the Wave of Crypto-Exuberance: The Potential Misusage of Corporate Blockchain Announcements," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    4. Vidal-Tomás, David, 2021. "The entry and exit dynamics of the cryptocurrency market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    5. Bouri, Elie & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Saeed, Tareq, 2021. "Return equicorrelation in the cryptocurrency market: Analysis and determinants," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    6. Youssef, Mouna & Waked, Sami Sobhi, 2022. "Herding behavior in the cryptocurrency market during COVID-19 pandemic: The role of media coverage," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    7. Wu, Wanshan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Gozgor, Giray & Leping, Huang, 2021. "Does economic policy uncertainty affect cryptocurrency markets? Evidence from Twitter-based uncertainty measures," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    8. Wang, Jinghua & Ngene, Geoffrey M., 2020. "Does Bitcoin still own the dominant power? An intraday analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    9. Walid Bakry & Audil Rashid & Somar Al-Mohamad & Nasser El-Kanj, 2021. "Bitcoin and Portfolio Diversification: A Portfolio Optimization Approach," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-24, June.
    10. Handika, Rangga & Soepriyanto, Gatot & Havidz, Shinta Amalina Hazrati, 2019. "Are cryptocurrencies contagious to Asian financial markets?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 416-429.
    11. Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Tomasz Stanisz & Marcin Wk{a}torek, 2020. "Complexity in economic and social systems: cryptocurrency market at around COVID-19," Papers 2009.10030, arXiv.org.
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  357. Zintle Twala & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Does Liquidity Risk Explain the Time-Variation in Asset Correlations? Evidence from Stocks, Bonds and Commodities," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 10(2), pages 120-132.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  358. Adnen Ben Nasr & Juncal Cunado & Rıza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Country Risk Ratings and Stock Market Returns in Brazil, Russia, India, and China (BRICS) Countries: A Nonlinear Dynamic Approach," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-22, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Camille Baulant & Nivine Albouz, 2021. "Has financial globalization since 1990 reduced income inequality: the role of rating announcements on the volatility and the returns of the Brazilian Financial Market [Les annonces de notation souv," Working Papers hal-03258994, HAL.
    2. Florin Turcaș & Florin Cornel Dumiter & Marius Boiță, 2022. "Econophysics Techniques and Their Applications on the Stock Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-25, March.
    3. Damien Kunjal & Faeezah Peerbhai & Paul-Francois Muzindutsi, 2022. "Political, economic, and financial country risks and the volatility of the South African Exchange Traded Fund market: A GARCH-MIDAS approach," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(3), pages 236-258, September.
    4. Albaity, Mohamed & Shah, Syed Faisal & Al-Tamimi, Hussein A.Hassan & Rahman, Mahfuzur & Thangavelu, Shanmugam, 2023. "Country risk and bank returns: Evidence from MENA countries," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).

  359. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Lahiani, Amine & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2018. "Testing for asymmetric nonlinear short- and long-run relationships between bitcoin, aggregate commodity and gold prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 224-235.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  360. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Terror attacks and stock-market fluctuations: evidence based on a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test for the G7 countries," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(4), pages 333-346, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  361. Goodness C. Aye & Tsang Yao Chang & Wen†Yi Chen & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2018. "Testing the Efficiency of the Art Market Using Quantile†Based Unit Root Tests with Sharp and Smooth Breaks," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 86(4), pages 488-511, July.

    Cited by:

    1. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Juncal Cunado & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Testing the White Noise Hypothesis in High-Frequency Housing Returns of the United States," Working Papers 201952, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun & Ahniia Havrylina, 2022. "Persistence in the Passion Investment Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 9586, CESifo.
    3. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Stock market efficiency analysis using long spans of Data: A multifractal detrended fluctuation approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 398-411.
    4. Assaf, Ata & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Demir, Ender & Kumar Mitra, Subrata, 2021. "Market efficiency in the art markets using a combination of long memory, fractal dimension, and approximate entropy measures," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    5. Plastun, Alex & Bouri, Elie & Havrylina, Ahniia & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Calendar anomalies in passion investments: Price patterns and profit opportunities," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).

  362. Hassani, Hossein & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Gupta, Rangan & Das, Sonali, 2018. "Predicting global temperature anomaly: A definitive investigation using an ensemble of twelve competing forecasting models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 121-139.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  363. Christophe Andre & Mehmet Balcilar & Tsangyao Chang & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Current account sustainability in G7 and BRICS: Evidence from a long-memory model with structural breaks," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(6), pages 638-654, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  364. Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "On the directional accuracy of inflation forecasts: evidence from South African survey data," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(5), pages 884-900, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  365. Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander, 2018. "Social Status, Inflation and Endogenous Growth in A Cash‐in‐Advance Economy: A Reconsideration using the Credit Channel," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 86(5), pages 622-640, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Si Xie & Tianshu Li & Ke Cao, 2023. "Analysis of the Impact of Carbon Emission Control on Urban Economic Indicators based on the Concept of Green Economy under Sustainable Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-22, June.

  366. Gupta, Rangan & Kollias, Christos & Papadamou, Stephanos & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "News implied volatility and the stock-bond nexus: Evidence from historical data for the USA and the UK markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 47, pages 76-90.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  367. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin, 2018. "The synergistic effect of insurance and banking sector activities on economic growth in Africa," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 637-648.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  368. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2018. "Presidential cycles and time-varying bond–stock market correlations: Evidence from more than two centuries of data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 36-39.

    Cited by:

    1. Chang, Kai & Ye, Zhifang & Wang, Weihong, 2019. "Volatility spillover effect and dynamic correlation between regional emissions allowances and fossil energy markets: New evidence from China’s emissions trading scheme pilots," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 1314-1324.
    2. Onur Polat & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Can Municipal Bonds Hedge US State-Level Climate Risks?," Working Papers 202419, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Dai, Zhifeng & Kang, Jie, 2021. "Bond yield and crude oil prices predictability," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    4. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Saban Nazlioglu & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Causality between Bond and Oil Markets of the United States: Evidence from Over One and Half Centuries of Data," Working Papers 202006, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Time-Varying Risk Aversion and the Predictability of Bond Premia," Working Papers 201906, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Variants of consumption‐wealth ratios and predictability of U.S. government bond risk premia," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 661-674, June.
    7. Radi, Sherrihan & Gebka, Bartosz & Kallinterakis, Vasileios, 2024. "The wisdom of the madness of crowds: Investor herding, anti-herding, and stock-bond return correlation," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 224(C), pages 966-995.
    8. Bouri, Elie & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bond risk premia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    9. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Guney, I. Ethem & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "The role of an aligned investor sentiment index in predicting bond risk premia of the U.S," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    10. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Variants of Consumption-Wealth Ratios and Predictability of U.S. Government Bond Risk Premia: Old is still Gold," Working Papers 201912, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  369. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Selmi, Refk & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Does partisan conflict predict a reduction in US stock market (realized) volatility? Evidence from a quantile-on-quantile regression model☆," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 87-96.

    Cited by:

    1. Beyer, Deborah B. & Fan, Zaifeng S., 2023. "The calming effects of conflict: The impact of partisan conflict on market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    2. Yonghong Jiang & Gengyu Tian & Yiqi Wu & Bin Mo, 2022. "Impacts of geopolitical risks and economic policy uncertainty on Chinese tourism‐listed company stock," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 320-333, January.
    3. Cheng, Chak Hung Jack & Chiu, Ching-Wai (Jeremy) & Hankins, William B. & Stone, Anna-Leigh, 2018. "Partisan conflict, policy uncertainty and aggregate corporate cash holdings," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 78-90.
    4. William B. Hankins & Anna‐Leigh Stone & Chak Hung Jack Cheng & Ching‐Wai (Jeremy) Chiu, 2020. "Corporate decision making in the presence of political uncertainty: The case of corporate cash holdings," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 55(2), pages 307-337, May.
    5. Khan, Khalid & Su, Chi-Wei & Zhu, Meng Nan, 2022. "Examining the behaviour of energy prices to COVID-19 uncertainty: A quantile on quantile approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PE).
    6. George S. Atsalakis & Elie Bouri & Fotios Pasiouras, 2021. "Natural disasters and economic growth: a quantile on quantile approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 306(1), pages 83-109, November.
    7. Dong, Zibing & Li, Yanshuang & Zhuang, Xintian & Wang, Jian, 2022. "Impacts of COVID-19 on global stock sectors: Evidence from time-varying connectedness and asymmetric nexus analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    8. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2022. "A moving average heterogeneous autoregressive model for forecasting the realized volatility of the US stock market: Evidence from over a century of data," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 384-400, January.
    9. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2018. "Forecasting Stock Market (Realized) Volatility in the United Kingdom: Is There a Role for Economic Inequality?," Working Papers 201880, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Su, Chi-Wei & Khan, Khalid & Umar, Muhammad & Chang, Tsangyao, 2022. "Renewable energy in prism of technological innovation and economic uncertainty," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 467-478.
    11. Yang, Dong-Xiao & Wu, Bi-Bo & Tong, Jing-Yang, 2021. "Dynamics and causality of oil price shocks on commodities: Quantile-on-quantile and causality-in-quantiles methods," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    12. Dong, Xiyong & Li, Changhong & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2020. "Asymmetric dependence structures for regional stock markets: An unconditional quantile regression approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    13. Rufei Zhang & Haizhen Zhang & Qingzhu Fan & Wang Gao & Xue Luo & Shixiong Yang, 2022. "Partisan Conflict, National Security Policy Uncertainty and Tourism," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-22, August.
    14. Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Investor Sentiment and (Anti) Herding in the Currency Market: Evidence from Twitter Feed Data," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 56-72, January.
    15. Pattanaporn Chatjuthamard & Sirimon Treepongkaruna & Pornsit Jiraporn & Napatsorn Jiraporn, 2021. "Does firm‐level political risk influence corporate social responsibility (CSR)? Evidence from earnings conference calls," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 56(4), pages 721-741, November.
    16. Khuntia, Sashikanta & Pattanayak, J.K., 2020. "Adaptive long memory in volatility of intra-day bitcoin returns and the impact of trading volume," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    17. Iqbal, Najaf & Fareed, Zeeshan & Wan, Guangcai & Shahzad, Farrukh, 2021. "Asymmetric nexus between COVID-19 outbreak in the world and cryptocurrency market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    18. Oktay Ozkan, 2020. "Time-varying return predictability and adaptive markets hypothesis: Evidence on MIST countries from a novel wild bootstrap likelihood ratio approach," Bogazici Journal, Review of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies, Bogazici University, Department of Economics, vol. 34(2), pages 101-113.
    19. Yong Jiang & Yi-Shuai Ren & Chao-Qun Ma & Jiang-Long Liu & Basil Sharp, 2018. "Does the price of strategic commodities respond to U.S. Partisan Conflict?," Papers 1810.08396, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
    20. Han, Liyan & Liu, Yang & Yin, Libo, 2019. "Uncertainty and currency performance: A quantile-on-quantile approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 702-729.
    21. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2022. "Forecasting stock market (realized) volatility in the United Kingdom: Is there a role of inequality?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2146-2152, April.
    22. Jia, Boxiang & Goodell, John W. & Shen, Dehua, 2021. "US partisan conflict and high-yield exchange rates," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    23. Jiang, Yong & Ren, Yi-Shuai & Ma, Chao-Qun & Liu, Jiang-Long & Sharp, Basil, 2020. "Does the price of strategic commodities respond to U.S. partisan conflict?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    24. Yifei Cai & Angeliki Menegaki, 2021. "FDI, growth and trade partisan conflict in the US: TVP-BVAR approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 1335-1362, March.
    25. Umar, Zaghum & Bossman, Ahmed & Choi, Sun-Yong & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "The relationship between global risk aversion and returns from safe-haven assets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    26. Umar, Muhammad & Su, Chi-Wei & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Shao, Xue-Feng, 2021. "Bitcoin: A safe haven asset and a winner amid political and economic uncertainties in the US?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    27. Hau, Liya & Zhu, Huiming & Huang, Rui & Ma, Xiang, 2020. "Heterogeneous dependence between crude oil price volatility and China’s agriculture commodity futures: Evidence from quantile-on-quantile regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).

  370. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Wealth‐to‐Income Ratio and Stock Market Movements: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality Test," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 18(3), pages 495-506, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  371. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis & Tahir Suleman, 2018. "The role of economic uncertainty in forecasting exchange rate returns and realized volatility: Evidence from quantile predictive regressions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(7), pages 705-719, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  372. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Suleman, Tahir & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Time-varying rare disaster risks, oil returns and volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 239-248.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  373. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Gupta, Rangan & Shittu, Olanrewaju I. & Yaya, OlaOluwa S., 2018. "Market efficiency of Baltic stock markets: A fractional integration approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 511(C), pages 251-262.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  374. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Differences of opinion and stock market volatility: evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 42(2), pages 339-351, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  375. Apergis, Nicholas & Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Mukherjee, Zinnia, 2018. "U.S. state-level carbon dioxide emissions: Does it affect health care expenditure?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 521-530.

    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Zhaohua & Asghar, Muhammad Mansoor & Zaidi, Syed Anees Haider & Nawaz, Kishwar & Wang, Bo & Zhao, Wehui & Xu, Fengxing, 2020. "The dynamic relationship between economic growth and life expectancy: Contradictory role of energy consumption and financial development in Pakistan," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 257-266.
    2. Irfan Ullah & Sher Ali & Muhammad Haroon Shah & Farrah Yasim & Alam Rehman & Basheer M. Al-Ghazali, 2019. "Linkages between Trade, CO 2 Emissions and Healthcare Spending in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(21), pages 1-15, November.
    3. Yannan Zhou & Jixia Huang & Mingxiang Huang & Yicheng Lin, 2019. "The Driving Forces of Carbon Dioxide Equivalent Emissions Have Spatial Spillover Effects in Inner Mongolia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-14, May.
    4. Murat Gündüz, 2020. "Healthcare expenditure and carbon footprint in the USA: evidence from hidden cointegration approach," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 21(5), pages 801-811, July.
    5. Arib Fatima & Tarbalouti Essaid & Houria Et-Touile & Moussane Aboutayeb, 2022. "Impacts of economic growth and CO2 emissions on health expenditures in Morocco ARIB Fatima, TARBALOUTI Essaid, ET-TOUILE Houria, MOUSSANE Aboutayeb [Impacts de la croissance économique et des émiss," Post-Print hal-03909149, HAL.
    6. Samia Nasreen, 2021. "Association between health expenditures, economic growth and environmental pollution: Long‐run and causality analysis from Asian economies," International Journal of Health Planning and Management, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(3), pages 925-944, May.
    7. Minhas Akbar & Ammar Hussain & Ahsan Akbar & Irfan Ullah, 2021. "The dynamic association between healthcare spending, CO2 emissions, and human development index in OECD countries: evidence from panel VAR model," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(7), pages 10470-10489, July.
    8. Xiaocang Xu & Zhiming Xu & Linhong Chen & Chang Li, 2019. "How Does Industrial Waste Gas Emission Affect Health Care Expenditure in Different Regions of China: An Application of Bayesian Quantile Regression," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-12, August.
    9. Muhammad Haseeb & Sebastian Kot & Hafezali Iqbal Hussain & Kittisak Jermsittiparsert, 2019. "Impact of Economic Growth, Environmental Pollution, and Energy Consumption on Health Expenditure and R&D Expenditure of ASEAN Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1, September.
    10. Syed Abdul Rehman Khan & Danish Iqbal Godil & Muhammad Umer Quddoos & Zhang Yu & Muhammad Hanif Akhtar & Zijing Liang, 2021. "Investigating the nexus between energy, economic growth, and environmental quality: A road map for the sustainable development," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(5), pages 835-846, September.
    11. Irfan Ullah & Alam Rehman & Farman Ullah Khan & Muhammad Haroon Shah & Faridoon Khan, 2020. "Nexus between trade, CO2 emissions, renewable energy, and health expenditure in Pakistan," International Journal of Health Planning and Management, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(4), pages 818-831, July.
    12. Muhammad Usman & Zhiqiang Ma & Muhammad Wasif Zafar & Abdul Haseeb & Rana Umair Ashraf, 2019. "Are Air Pollution, Economic and Non-Economic Factors Associated with Per Capita Health Expenditures? Evidence from Emerging Economies," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-22, June.
    13. Shahzad, Khuram & Jianqiu, Zeng & Hashim, Muhammad & Nazam, Muhammad & Wang, Lei, 2020. "Impact of using information and communication technology and renewable energy on health expenditure: A case study from Pakistan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    14. Yongxian Fan & Irfan Ullah & Alam Rehman & Arif Hussain & Muhammad Zeeshan, 2022. "Does tourism increase CO2 emissions and health spending in Mexico? New evidence from nonlinear ARDL approach," International Journal of Health Planning and Management, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 242-257, January.

  376. Wendy Nyakabawo & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2018. "High Frequency Impact Of Monetary Policy And Macroeconomic Surprises On Us Msas, Aggregate Us Housing Returns And Asymmetric Volatility," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 22(1), pages 204-229, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "High-Frequency Volatility Forecasting of US Housing Markets," Working Papers 201977, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Changing Dynamics of the U.S. REITs Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-12, May.
    3. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Testing the Forecasting Power of Global Economic Conditions for the Volatility of International REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202211, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2022. "Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on Housing Prices in the United States: The Role of Sentiment," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 241-261, July.
    5. Radoslaw Wolniak & Marcin Olkiewicz & Marta Szymczewska & Anna Olkiewicz, 2020. "The Functioning of the Real Estate Market: Dynamics of Price Formation and the Sale of Apartments," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2), pages 281-307.
    6. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2021. "Dynamic Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy on International REITs," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-19, September.
    8. Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2024. "High-Frequency Contagion between Aggregate and Regional Housing Markets of the United States with Financial Assets: Evidence from Multichannel Tests," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(2), pages 253-276, August.
    9. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Kola Ijasan & Peterson Owusu Junior & George Tweneboah & Tunbosun Oyedokun & Anokye M. Adam, 2021. "Analysing the relationship between global REITs and exchange rates: Fresh evidence from frequency-based quantile regressions," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(3), pages 58-91, September.
    11. Raymond L. Aor & Afees A. Salisu & Isah J. Okpe, 2021. "A Comparative Assessment of the Global Effects of US Monetary and Fiscal Policy Uncertainty Shocks," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(4), pages 89-114, December.
    12. Andrew A. Alola & Simplice A. Asongu & Uju V. Alola, 2019. "House prices and tourism development in Cyprus: A contemporary perspective," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 19/067, African Governance and Development Institute..
    13. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rinsuna Shivambu, 2020. "Uncertainty and Daily Predictability of Housing Returns and Volatility of the United States: Evidence from a Higher-Order Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 202071, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Cepni, Oguzhan & Dul, Wiehan & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The dynamics of U.S. REITs returns to uncertainty shocks: A proxy SVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    15. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Christophe Andre & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Housing Returns and Volatility: Evidence from US State-Level Data," Working Papers 202131, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Jacobus Nel, 2022. "Do Climate Risks Predict US Housing Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Quantiles-Based Approach," Working Papers 202240, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on US REITs Moments: Evidence from VARs with Functional Shocks," Working Papers 202219, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Rangan Gupta & Damien Moodley, 2023. "Housing Search Activity and Quantiles-Based Predictability of Housing Price Movements in the United States," Working Papers 202335, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Contagion between Stock and Real Estate Markets: International Evidence from a Local Gaussian Correlation Approach," Working Papers 201917, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    20. Chong-Chuo Chang & Kuen-Shiou Yang, 2021. "Loose monetary policy and firm uncertainty," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(3), pages 1-27, March.
    21. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang, 2022. "Nonlinear contagion between stock and real estate markets: International evidence from a local Gaussian correlation approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2089-2109, April.

  377. Shinhye Chang & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2018. "Correction to: Causality Between Per Capita Real GDP and Income Inequality in the U.S.: Evidence from a Wavelet Analysis," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 140(2), pages 867-871, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv, 2019. "Threshold Effects of Inequality on Economic Growth in the US States: The Role of Human Capital to Physical Capital Ratio," Working Papers 201968, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Nai Chiek Aik & Qiurui Zhang, 2023. "Use of Theil for a Specific Duality Economy: Assessing the Impact of Digital Inclusive Finance on Urban-Rural Income Gap in Chongqing," FinTech, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-12, September.
    3. Mehmet Balcilar & Seyi Saint Akadiri & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2019. "Partisan Conflict and Income Inequality in the United States: A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 142(1), pages 65-82, February.
    4. Mohamed Ali Chroufa & Nouri Chtourou, 2022. "Inequality and Growth in Tunisia: New Evidence from Threshold Regression," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 163(2), pages 901-924, September.
    5. Bruno Ćorić & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Economic disasters and inequality: a note," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 3527-3543, October.

  378. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 541-559, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  379. Christina Christou & Ruthira Naraidoo & Rangan Gupta & Won Joong Kim, 2018. "Monetary Policy Reaction Functions of the TICKs: A Quantile Regression Approach," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(15), pages 3552-3565, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  380. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Wong, Wing-Keung & Zhu, Zhenzhen, 2018. "Is wine a good choice for investment?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 171-183.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  381. Ji, Qiang & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2018. "Network causality structures among Bitcoin and other financial assets: A directed acyclic graph approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 203-213.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  382. Sergey Ivashchenko & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Forecasting using a Nonlinear DSGE Model," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 7(2), pages 73-98.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  383. Mehmet Balcilar & Josine Uwilingiye & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Dynamic Relationship Between Oil Price And Inflation In South Africa," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 52(2), pages 73-93, April-Jun.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  384. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Juncal Cunado & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "The relationship between healthcare expenditure and disposable personal income in the US states: a fractional integration and cointegration analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 913-935, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  385. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Rangan Gupta & Axel Kasongo & Thabo Mboweni & Ndivhuho Netshitenzhe, 2018. "Does tourism cause growth asymmetrically in a panel of G-7 countries? A short note," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 45(1), pages 49-57, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Okumus, Fevzi & Kocak, Emrah, 2023. "Tourism and economic output: Do asymmetries matter?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    2. Rangan Gupta & Amine Lahiani & Chi-Chuan Lee & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2019. "Asymmetric dynamics of insurance premium: the impacts of output and economic policy uncertainty," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(6), pages 1959-1978, December.
    3. Chien-Ming Wang & Tsung-Pao Wu, 2022. "Does tourism promote or reduce environmental pollution? Evidence from major tourist arrival countries," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 3334-3355, March.
    4. Eric Olabode Olabisi, 2018. "Revisiting the Tourism-Economic Growth Nexus: The Case of Economic Community of West African States," Business & Management Compass, University of Economics Varna, issue 1, pages 21-30.
    5. Wanjun Xia & Buhari Doğan & Umer Shahzad & Festus Fatai Adedoyin & Abiodun Popoola & Muhammad Adnan Bashir, 2022. "An empirical investigation of tourism-led growth hypothesis in the European countries: evidence from augmented mean group estimator," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 21(2), pages 239-266, May.
    6. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Huseyin Karamelikli, 2021. "Asymmetric J-curve: evidence from UK-German commodity trade," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(4), pages 1029-1081, November.
    7. Umit Bulut & Emrah Kocak & Courtney Suess, 2020. "The effect of freedom on international tourism demand: Empirical evidence from the top eight most visited countries," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(8), pages 1358-1373, December.

  386. Pramod Kumar Naik & Rangan Gupta & Puja Padhi, 2018. "The Relationship Between Stock Market Volatility And Trading Volume: Evidence From South Africa," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 52(1), pages 99-114, January-M.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  387. Aye, Goodness C. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2018. "Firm-level political risk and asymmetric volatility," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 1-1.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  388. Nicholas Apergis & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2018. "Convergence in Income Inequality: Further Evidence from the Club Clustering Methodology across States in the U.S," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 24(2), pages 147-161, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Nicholas Apergis & Francisco J. Delgado & Claudia Suárez‐Arbesú, 2025. "Inequality and poverty in Spain: Insights from a regional convergence analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 1707-1723, April.
    2. Camila Henriquez Mora & James W. Saunoris, 2023. "Is there convergence amongst shadow economies? International evidence," American Journal of Economics and Sociology, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 82(1), pages 15-28, January.
    3. Kris Ivanovski & Sefa Awaworyi Churchill, 2021. "Has healthcare expenditure converged across Australian states and territories?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 3401-3417, December.
    4. Kolawole Ogundari, 2023. "Club Convergence in Income Inequality in Africa," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 167(1), pages 319-337, June.
    5. Aparna P Lolayekar & Pranab Mukhopadhyay, 2020. "“Understanding growth convergence in India (1981–2010): Looking beyond the usual suspects”," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(6), pages 1-17, June.
    6. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne, 2022. "Tourism growth and environmental sustainability: trade-off or convergence?," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(6), pages 8115-8144, June.
    7. Sheila A. Chapman & Vito Pipitone, 2022. "Total factor productivity in Italian manufacturing: does location matter?," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 76(3), pages 17-28, July-Sept.
    8. Ogundari, Kolawole, 2023. "Testing Club Convergence in COVID-19 Vaccine Doses Administered in the United States," MPRA Paper 116666, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Stilianos Alexiadis & Konstantinos Eleftheriou & Peter Nijkamp, 2021. "Club convergence of per capita disposable income in the United States," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(5), pages 1565-1580, October.
    10. Claudia Suárez‐Arbesú & Nicholas Apergis & Francisco J. Delgado, 2023. "Club convergence and factors of income inequality in the European Union," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 3654-3666, October.
    11. Gregory Brock & Vicente German-Soto, 2024. "Long Run Wealth Convergence Clubs In U.S. States: A Story Of Growth Rates Not Levels," Eurasian Journal of Social Sciences, Eurasian Publications, vol. 12(2), pages 66-81.
    12. Kris Ivanovski & Sefa Awaworyi Churchill & John Inekwe, 2020. "Convergence in Income Inequality Across Australian States and Territories," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 148(1), pages 127-142, February.
    13. Barrios González, María Candelaria & Tierney, Heather L.R. & Nazarov, Zafar & Kim, Myeong Hwan, 2019. "Divided: The Two Americas-Examining Club Convergence in the U.S," MPRA Paper 98274, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  389. Gupta, Rangan & Stander, Lardo, 2018. "Endogenous fluctuations in an endogenous growth model: An analysis of inflation targeting as a policy," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 1-8.

    Cited by:

    1. Bittencourt, Manoel & Gupta, Rangan & Makena, Philton & Stander, Lardo, 2022. "Socio-political instability and growth dynamics," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(4).
    2. Rangan Gupta & Philton Makena, 2020. "Growth Dynamics, Multiple Equilibria, and Local Indeterminacy in an Endogenous Growth Model of Money, Banking and Inflation Targeting," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-14, March.

  390. Balcilar, Mehmet & Katzke, Nico & Gupta, Rangan, 2018. "Date-stamping US housing market explosivity," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 12, pages 1-33.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  391. Gupta, Rangan & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2018. "OPEC news and predictability of oil futures returns and volatility: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 206-214.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  392. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Tsangyao Chang & Wen-Yi Chen & Feng-Li Lin & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Asymmetric causality between military expenditures and economic growth in top six defense spenders," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 1193-1207, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Hatemi-J, Abdulnasser, 2011. "Asymmetric Panel Causality Tests with an Application to the Impact of Fiscal Policy on Economic Performance in Scandinavia," MPRA Paper 55527, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Soon, Siew-Voon & Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi, 2021. "Exchange rates and fundamentals: Further evidence based on asymmetric causality test," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 67-84.
    3. Dakpogan, Arnaud & Smit, Eon, 2018. "Effect of negative shocks to electricity consumption on negative shocks to economic growth in Benin," MPRA Paper 89539, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Masako Ikegami & Zijian Wang, 2023. "Does military expenditure crowd out health-care spending? Cross-country empirics," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1657-1672, April.
    5. Liu Geng & Olivier Joseph Abban & Yao Hongxing & Charles Ofori & Joana Cobbinah & Sarah Akosua Ampong & Muhammad Akhtar, 2024. "Do military expenditures impede economic growth in 48 Islamic countries? A panel data analysis with novel approaches," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(7), pages 18725-18759, July.
    6. çenberci, engin, 2020. "The Nexus Between Defense Spending and Growth: Empirical Analysis of First Euro Users," MPRA Paper 111273, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Shafa Guliyeva, 2024. "Analyzing the Interplay between Energy Consumption and Military Expenditure: A Comparative Study of Azerbaijan, Turkey, and Pakistan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(1), pages 533-543, January.
    8. Gunay, Samet, 2020. "Seeking causality between liquidity risk and credit risk: TED-OIS spreads and CDS indexes," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    9. Stamegna, Marco & Bonaiuti, Chiara & Maranzano, Paolo & Pianta, Mario, 2024. "The economic impact of arms spending in Germany, Italy, and Spain," MPRA Paper 120608, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Wen-Min Lu & Qian Long Kweh & Kang-Fu Chen, 2021. "How do peace dividends bring about human development and productivity?," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 306(1), pages 435-452, November.
    11. Adedeji Daniel Gbadebo & Festus Victor Bekun & Joseph Olorunfemi Akande & Ahmed Oluwatobi Adekunle, 2025. "Defence spending and real growth in an asymmetric environment: Accessing evidence from a developing economy," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 1372-1389, April.
    12. Qurat Ul AIN & Syed Imran RAIS & Syed Tahir Hussain SHAH & Khalid ZAMAN & Shakira EJAZ & Abdul MANSOOR, 2019. "Empirically testing Keynesian defense burden hypothesis, nonlinear hypothesis, and spillover hypothesis: Evidence from Asian countries," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(618), S), pages 169-182, Spring.
    13. Abdul Rehman & Hengyun Ma & Rafael Alvarado & Fayyaz Ahmad, 2023. "The nexus of military, final consumption expenditures, total reserves, and economic development of Pakistan," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1753-1776, June.
    14. Veli Yilanci & Onder Ozgur & Muhammed Sehid Gorus, 2021. "Stock prices and economic activity nexus in OECD countries: new evidence from an asymmetric panel Granger causality test in the frequency domain," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-22, December.

  393. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2018. "Predicting Stock Returns And Volatility With Investor Sentiment Indices: A Reconsideration Using A Nonparametric Causality†In†Quantiles Test," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 70(1), pages 74-87, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Time-Varying Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks on U.S. Stock Returns: The Role of Investor Sentiment," Working Papers 202039, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Aharon, David Y. & Demir, Ender & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Zaremba, Adam, 2022. "Twitter-Based uncertainty and cryptocurrency returns," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    3. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Investor Confidence and Forecastability of US Stock Market Realized Volatility : Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202118, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Bonato, Matteo & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "A note on investor happiness and the predictability of realized volatility of gold," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    5. Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Manager Sentiment and Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 201853, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. To Trung Thanh & Le Thanh Ha, 2025. "An application of a R2 dcomposed linkage method to explore a comtemporal and lead connectedness between investor sentiment and exchange rate dynamics in vietnam," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 231-259, February.
    7. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rangan Gupta & Eric Olson, 2020. "Investor Sentiment and Dollar-Pound Exchange Rate Returns: Evidence from Over a Century of Data Using a Cross-Quantilogram Approach," Working Papers 202008, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Văn, Lê & Bảo, Nguyễn Khắc Quốc, 2022. "The relationship between global stock and precious metals under Covid-19 and happiness perspectives," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    9. Tedeschi, Gabriele & Recchioni, Maria Cristina & Berardi, Simone, 2019. "An approach to identifying micro behavior: How banks’ strategies influence financial cycles," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 329-346.
    10. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Working Papers 202126, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Muhammad Tahir Suleman, 2020. "Jumps beyond the realms of cricket: India's performance in One Day Internationals and stock market movements," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(6), pages 1109-1127, April.
    12. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Business Applications and State-Level Stock Market Realized Volatility: A Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202247, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Mbarki, Imen & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2021. "Predictive role of online investor sentiment for cryptocurrency market: Evidence from happiness and fears," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 496-514.
    15. Rameeza Andleeb & Arshad Hassan, 2023. "Impact of Investor Sentiment on Contemporaneous and Future Equity Returns in Emerging Markets," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(3), pages 21582440231, August.
    16. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Wendy Nyakabawo, 2018. "Predicting Aggregate and State-Level US House Price Volatility: The Role of Sentiment," Working Papers 201866, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Hakan Yıldırım & Festus Victor Bekun, 2023. "Predicting volatility of bitcoin returns with ARCH, GARCH and EGARCH models," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-8, December.
    18. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "Spillover of sentiment in the European Union: Evidence from time- and frequency-domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 105-130.
    19. Marwane El Alaoui & Elie Bouri & Nehme Azoury, 2020. "The Determinants of the U.S. Consumer Sentiment: Linear and Nonlinear Models," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-13, July.
    20. Tihana Škrinjarić & Branka Marasović & Boško Šego, 2021. "Does the Croatian Stock Market Have Seasonal Affective Disorder?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-16, February.
    21. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin & Dauda, Mariam, 2023. "Uncertainty due to infectious diseases and bitcoin-gold nexus: Evidence from a non-parametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    22. Rameeza Andleeb & Arshad Hassan, 2025. "Nonlinear Relationship Between Investor Sentiment and Conditional Volatility in Emerging Equity Markets," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 32(1), pages 147-165, March.

  394. Bahloul, Walid & Balcilar, Mehmet & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2018. "The role of economic and financial uncertainties in predicting commodity futures returns and volatility: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 52-71.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  395. Charfeddine, Lanouar & Khediri, Karim Ben & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan, 2018. "Time-varying efficiency of developed and emerging bond markets: Evidence from long-spans of historical data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 505(C), pages 632-647.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  396. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & van Eyden, Reneé & Thompson, Kirsten & Majumdar, Anandamayee, 2018. "Comparing the forecasting ability of financial conditions indices: The case of South Africa," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 245-259.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  397. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Risse, Marian & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs: The role of economic uncertainty," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 317-337.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  398. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Volatility spillovers across global asset classes: Evidence from time and frequency domains," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 194-202.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  399. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Volatility jumps: The role of geopolitical risks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 247-258.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  400. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Hosseini, Seyedmehdi & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2018. "Does global fear predict fear in BRICS stock markets? Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical Structural VAR model," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 124-142.

    Cited by:

    1. Wu, Kai & Zhu, Jingran & Xu, Mingli & Yang, Lu, 2020. "Can crude oil drive the co-movement in the international stock market? Evidence from partial wavelet coherence analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    2. Ma, Rui & Anderson, Hamish D. & Marshall, Ben R., 2019. "Risk perceptions and international stock market liquidity," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 94-116.
    3. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The impacts of structural oil shocks on macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from a large panel of 45 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    4. Zhang, Hongwei & Jin, Chen & Bouri, Elie & Gao, Wang & Xu, Yahua, 2023. "Realized higher-order moments spillovers between commodity and stock markets: Evidence from China," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    5. Escribano, Ana & Koczar, Monika W. & Jareño, Francisco & Esparcia, Carlos, 2023. "Shock transmission between crude oil prices and stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    6. Khyati Kathuria & Nand Kumar, 2022. "Pandemic‐induced fear and government policy response as a measure of uncertainty in the foreign exchange market: Evidence from (a)symmetric wild bootstrap likelihood ratio test," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(4), pages 361-379, October.
    7. Suresh Kumar & Ankit Kumar & Gurcharan Singh, 2023. "Causal relationship among international crude oil, gold, exchange rate, and stock market: Fresh evidence from NARDL testing approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 47-57, January.
    8. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Drivers of Realized Volatility for Emerging Countries with a Focus on South Africa: Fundamentals versus Sentiment," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-26, March.
    9. Faheem Aslam & Paulo Ferreira & Haider Ali & Ana Ercília José, 2022. "Application of Multifractal Analysis in Estimating the Reaction of Energy Markets to Geopolitical Acts and Threats," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-23, May.
    10. Li, Rong & Tang, Guangyuan & Hong, Chen & Li, Sufang & Li, Bingting & Xiang, Shujian, 2024. "A study on economic policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk and stock market spillovers in BRICS countries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    11. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald. A. & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2018. "Financial and non-financial global stock market volatility shocks," Working Papers 2018-07, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
    12. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2019. "The Predictability of Stock Market Volatility in Emerging Economies: Relative Roles of Local, Regional and Global Business Cycles," Working Papers 201938, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. VDMV Lakshmi & Garima Sisodia & Anto Joseph & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2024. "The conditional impact of market conditions, volatility and liquidity shocks on the arbitrage opportunities during pre‐COVID and COVID periods," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 3007-3022, July.
    14. Ashfaq, Saira & Ayub, Usman & Mujtaba, Ghulam & Raza, Naveed & Gulzar, Saqib, 2021. "Gainers and losers with higher order portfolio risk optimization," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 563(C).
    15. Dohyun CHUN & Hoon CHO & Doojin RYU, 2018. "Macroeconomic Structural Changes in a Leading Emerging Market: The Effects of the Asian Financial Crisis," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 22-42, December.
    16. Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Rehman, Mohd Ziaur, 2023. "Spillovers and connectedness among BRICS stock markets, cryptocurrencies, and uncertainty: Evidence from the quantile vector autoregression network," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    17. Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Sheng, Xin & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2019. "The role of uncertainty measures on the returns of gold," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    18. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Abakah, Emmanuel J.A. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Luis A, Gil-Alana, 2023. "Factors behind the performance of green bond markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 92-106.
    19. Le, Thai-Ha & Boubaker, Sabri & Bui, Manh Tien & Park, Donghyun, 2023. "On the volatility of WTI crude oil prices: A time-varying approach with stochastic volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    20. Alqahtani, Abdullah & Klein, Tony & Khalid, Ali, 2019. "The impact of oil price uncertainty on GCC stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    21. Zhang, Yi & Zhou, Long & Liu, Zhidong & Wu, Baoxiu, 2025. "Spillover of fear among the US and BRICS equity markets during the COVID-19 crisis and the Russo-Ukrainian conflict," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    22. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2020. "Revising the Impact of Financial and Non-Financial Global Stock Market Volatility Shocks," MPRA Paper 103019, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    23. Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Mudassar Hasan & Abraham Agyemang & Md Iftekhar Hasan Chowdhury & Faruk Balli, 2023. "Time‐frequency dynamics between fear connectedness of stocks and alternative assets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 2188-2201, April.
    24. Daniel Felix Ahelegbey & Paola Cerchiello & Roberta Scaramozzino, 2021. "Network Based Evidence of the Financial Impact of Covid-19 Pandemic," DEM Working Papers Series 198, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    25. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Demir, Ender & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2019. "Effects of the geopolitical risks on Bitcoin returns and volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 511-518.
    26. Wang, Ningli & You, Wanhai, 2023. "New insights into the role of global factors in BRICS stock markets: A quantile cointegration approach," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(2).
    27. Sinda Hadhri, 2021. "Fear of the Coronavirus and Cryptocurrencies' returns," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(3), pages 2041-2054.
    28. Hongbing OUYANG & Xiaolu WEI & Qiufeng WU, 2020. "Stock Index Pattern Discovery via Toeplitz Inverse Covariance-based Clustering," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 58-72, July.
    29. Chun, Dohyun & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "Forecasting the KOSPI200 spot volatility using various volatility measures," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 514(C), pages 156-166.
    30. Klaus, Jürgen & Koser, Christoph, 2021. "Measuring Trump: The Volfefe Index and its impact on European financial markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    31. Ahmad, Wasim & Mishra, Anil V. & Daly, Kevin J., 2018. "Financial connectedness of BRICS and global sovereign bond markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 1-16.
    32. Md Gyasuddin Ansari & Rudra Sensarma, 2019. "US Monetary Policy, Oil and Gold Prices: Which has a greater impact on BRICS Stock Markets?," Working papers 343, Indian Institute of Management Kozhikode.
    33. Liu, Wei & Ma, Qianting & Liu, Xiaoxing, 2022. "Research on the dynamic evolution and its influencing factors of stock correlation network in the Chinese new energy market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    34. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Oil shocks and stock market volatility of the BRICS: A GARCH-MIDAS approach," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    35. Singh, Vipul Kumar & Nishant, Shreyank & Kumar, Pawan, 2018. "Dynamic and directional network connectedness of crude oil and currencies: Evidence from implied volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 48-63.
    36. Nguyen, Dat Thanh & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Anglingkusumo, Reza & Sasongko, Aryo, 2021. "US government shutdowns and Indonesian stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    37. Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Filippidis, Michail & Filis, George & Gabauer, David, 2021. "A closer look into the global determinants of oil price volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    38. Yaya, OlaOluwa S. & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "How fearful are commodities and US stocks in response to global fear? Persistence and cointegration analyses," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    39. Guo, Junjie & Li, Youshu & Shao, Qinglong, 2022. "Cross-category spillover effects of economic policy uncertainty between China and the US: Time and frequency evidence," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    40. Zhu, Huiming & Huang, Xi & Ye, Fangyu & Li, Shuang, 2024. "Frequency spillover effects and cross-quantile dependence between crude oil and stock markets: Evidence from BRICS and G7 countries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    41. Mudassar Hasan & Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Muhammad Arif & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Safwan Mohd Nor, 2020. "Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in the Connectedness of Cross-Country Stock Market Volatilities," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-17, October.
    42. Zhang, Yulian & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2022. "A connectedness analysis among BRICS’s geopolitical risks and the US macroeconomy," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 182-203.
    43. Demir, Ender & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Vigne, Samuel A., 2018. "Does economic policy uncertainty predict the Bitcoin returns? An empirical investigation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 145-149.
    44. Maria Ghani & Usman Ghani, 2024. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Emerging Stock Market Volatility," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(1), pages 165-181, March.
    45. Bouri, Elie & Harb, Etienne, 2022. "The size of good and bad volatility shocks does matter for spillovers," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    46. Baghestani, Hamid & Chazi, Abdelaziz & Khallaf, Ashraf, 2019. "A directional analysis of oil prices and real exchange rates in BRIC countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 450-456.
    47. Bouri, Elie & Lucey, Brian & Saeed, Tareq & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "The realized volatility of commodity futures: Interconnectedness and determinants#," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 139-151.
    48. Ahmad, Wasim & Mishra, Anil V. & Daly, Kevin, 2018. "Heterogeneous dependence and dynamic hedging between sectors of BRIC and global markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 117-133.
    49. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Ogunbowale, Gideon O. & Akinseye, Ademola B. & Oduyemi, Gabriel O., 2021. "Improving the predictability of stock returns with global financial cycle and oil price in oil-exporting African countries," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 166-181.

  401. Elie Bouri & Mahamitra Das & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2018. "Spillovers between Bitcoin and other assets during bear and bull markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(55), pages 5935-5949, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  402. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2018. "Dynamic connectedness of uncertainty across developed economies: A time-varying approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 63-75.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  403. Walid Bahloul & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Impact of macroeconomic news surprises and uncertainty for major economies on returns and volatility of oil futures," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 156, pages 247-253.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  404. Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2018. "Unconventional monetary policy shocks in OECD countries: how important is the extent of policy uncertainty?," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 683-703, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  405. Annari De Waal & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2018. "South Africa’s monetary policy independence: evidence from a Global New-Keynesian DSGE model," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(12), pages 840-846, July.

    Cited by:

    1. Olatunji A. Shobande & Oladimeji T. Shodipe & Simplice A. Asongu, 2019. "Global Shocks Alert and Monetary Policy Responses," Research Africa Network Working Papers 19/066, Research Africa Network (RAN).
    2. Daniel Ofori-Sasu & Elikplimi Komla Agbloyor & Dennis Nsafoah & Simplice A. Asongu, 2024. "Banking Behaviour and Political Business Cycle in Africa: The Role of Independent Regulatory Policies of the Central Bank," Working Papers 24/002, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).

  406. Kanda, Patrick & Burke, Michael & Gupta, Rangan, 2018. "Time-varying causality between equity and currency returns in the United Kingdom: Evidence from over two centuries of data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 506(C), pages 1060-1080.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  407. Omokolade Akinsomi & Yener Coskun & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Analysis of Herding in Reits of an Emerging Market: The Case of Turkey," Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 65-81, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  408. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Do house prices hedge inflation in the US? A quantile cointegration approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 15-26.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  409. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Chang, Tsangyao & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2018. "The relationship between commodity markets and commodity mutual funds: A wavelet-based analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 1-9.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  410. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Aviral K. Tiwari, 2018. "Time-varying correlations between trade balance and stock prices in the United States over the period 1792 to 2013," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 42(4), pages 795-806, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  411. Tolga Omay & Reneé Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Inflation–growth nexus: evidence from a pooled CCE multiple-regime panel smooth transition model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 913-944, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Philton Makena, 2019. "Inflation Aversion and the Growth-Inflation Relationship," Working Papers 201920, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. González, Andrés & Teräsvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick & Yang, Yukai, 2005. "Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 604, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 11 Oct 2017.
    3. Majid Moayyed & Mehdi Shiva, 2023. "The impact of oil price changes on industrial production: a panel smooth-transition approach on G7 countries," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 595-612, October.
    4. Mavikela, Nomahlubi & Mhaka, Simba & Phiri, Andrew, 2018. "The inflation-growth relationship in SSA inflation targeting countries," MPRA Paper 82141, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Phiri, Andrew, 2018. "Endogenous monetary approach to optimal inflation-growth nexus in Swaziland," MPRA Paper 88258, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Li, Wenying & Dorfman, Jeffrey H., 2019. "The implications of heterogeneous habit in consumer beverage purchases on soda and sin taxes," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 111-120.
    7. Mohammed Akter Hossain & Hakan Acet & Zobayer Ahmed & Alauddin Majumder, 2021. "Revisiting inflation and growth nexus in Bangladesh: an asymmetric cointegration based on non-linear ARDL approach," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 13(2), August.
    8. Piñeiro-Chousa, Juan & López-Cabarcos, M. Ángeles & Šević, Aleksandar, 2022. "Green bond market and Sentiment: Is there a switching Behaviour?," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 520-527.

  412. Bonato, Matteo & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2018. "Gold futures returns and realized moments: A forecasting experiment using a quantile-boosting approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 196-212.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  413. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Roubaud, David & Wang, Shixuan, 2018. "Bitcoin and global financial stress: A copula-based approach to dependence and causality in the quantiles," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 297-307.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  414. Bonaccolto, G. & Caporin, M. & Gupta, R., 2018. "The dynamic impact of uncertainty in causing and forecasting the distribution of oil returns and risk," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 507(C), pages 446-469.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  415. Bos, Martijn & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2018. "Oil returns and volatility: The role of mergers and acquisitions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 62-69.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  416. Shinhye Chang & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2018. "Causality Between Per Capita Real GDP and Income Inequality in the U.S.: Evidence from a Wavelet Analysis," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 135(1), pages 269-289, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  417. Caspi, Itamar & Katzke, Nico & Gupta, Rangan, 2018. "Date stamping historical periods of oil price explosivity: 1876–2014," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 582-587.

    Cited by:

    1. Ye Chen & Peter C.B. Phillips & Shuping Shi, 2020. "Common Bubble Detection in Large Dimensional Financial Systems," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2251, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    2. Yang Hu, 2023. "A review of Phillips‐type right‐tailed unit root bubble detection tests," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 141-158, February.
    3. Mehmet Balcilar & Nico Katzke & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Identifying Periods of US Housing Market Explosivity," Working Papers 201544, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Caspi, Itamar & Graham, Meital, 2018. "Testing for bubbles in stock markets with irregular dividend distribution," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 89-94.
    5. Li, Beibei & Chen, Yiming & Wu, Haipeng & Mao, Xuefeng, 2025. "Macroeconomics, geopolitical risk, and resource commodity price bubbles," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    6. Fatima, Hira & Ahmed, Mumtaz, 2019. "Testing for Exuberance Behavior in Agricultural Commodities of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 95304, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Peter C.B. Phillips & Shuping Shi, 2018. "Real Time Monitoring of Asset Markets: Bubbles and Crises," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2152, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    8. Márquez-Velázquez, Alejandro, 2019. "Developing countries' political cycles and the resource curse: Venezuela's case," Discussion Papers 2019/14, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    9. Canepa, Alessandra & Zanetti Chini, Emilio & Alqaralleh, Huthaifa, 2023. "Modelling and Forecasting Energy Market Cycles: A Generalized Smooth Transition Approach," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 202318, University of Turin.
    10. Fantazzini, Dean, 2016. "The oil price crash in 2014/15: Was there a (negative) financial bubble?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 383-396.
    11. Umar, Muhammad & Su, Chi-Wei & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2021. "Driven by fundamentals or exploded by emotions: Detecting bubbles in oil prices," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    12. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Omid Ranjbar, 2015. "Characterising the South African Business Cycle: Is GDP Difference-Stationary or Trend-Stationary in a Markov-Switching Setup?," Working Papers 201529, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Hudepohl, Tom & van Lamoen, Ryan & de Vette, Nander, 2021. "Quantitative easing and exuberance in stock markets: Evidence from the euro area," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    14. Xie, Zixiong & Chen, Shyh-Wei & Wu, An-Chi, 2019. "Asymmetric adjustment, non-linearity and housing price bubbles: New international evidence," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    15. Kassouri, Yacouba, 2022. "Boom-bust cycles in oil consumption: The role of explosive bubbles and asymmetric adjustments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    16. Sharma, Shahil & Escobari, Diego, 2017. "Identifying Price Bubble Periods in the Energy Sector," MPRA Paper 83355, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Balcilar, Mehmet & Katzke, Nico & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Date-stamping US housing market explosivity," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-44, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    18. Zhang, Dayong & Wang, Tiantian & Shi, Xunpeng & Liu, Jia, 2018. "Is hub-based pricing a better choice than oil indexation for natural gas? Evidence from a multiple bubble test," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 495-503.
    19. Figuerola-Ferretti, Isabel & McCrorie, J. Roderick & Paraskevopoulos, Ioannis, 2020. "Mild explosivity in recent crude oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    20. Nazlioglu, Saban & Kassouri, Yacouba & Kucukkaplan, Ilhan & Soytas, Ugur, 2022. "Convergence of oil consumption: A historical perspective with new concepts," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    21. Deng, Xiang & Xu, Fang, 2024. "Asymmetric effects of international oil prices on China's PPI in different industries——Research based on NARDL model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    22. Yang, Haijun & Han, Xin & Wang, Li, 2021. "Is there a bubble in the shale gas market?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(PA).
    23. Gharib, Cheima & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Serret, Vanessa & Ben Jabeur, Sami, 2021. "Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on crude oil prices: Evidence from Econophysics approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    24. Skrobotov Anton, 2023. "Testing for explosive bubbles: a review," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, January.
    25. Anton Skrobotov, 2022. "Testing for explosive bubbles: a review," Papers 2207.08249, arXiv.org.
    26. Karin Martín-Bujack & Isabel Figuerola-Ferretti & Teresa Corzo & Ioannis Paraskevopoulos, 2022. "Building Knowledge in the Oil Market," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440211, January.
    27. Wang, Zuyi & Kim, Man-Keun, 2022. "Price bubbles in oil & gas markets and their transfer," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    28. Ayben Koy, 2022. "Regime Switching Mechanism during Energy Futures Price Bubbles," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(1), pages 373-382.
    29. Akcora, Begum & Kandemir Kocaaslan, Ozge, 2023. "Price bubbles in the European natural gas market between 2011 and 2020," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    30. Pastor, Daniel J. & Ewing, Bradley T., 2022. "Is there evidence of mild explosive behavior in Alaska North Slope crude oil prices?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    31. Zhao, Zhao & Wen, Huwei & Li, Ke, 2021. "Identifying bubbles and the contagion effect between oil and stock markets: New evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 780-788.
    32. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2017. "Ether: Bitcoin's competitor or ally?," Papers 1707.07977, arXiv.org.
    33. Gomis-Porqueras, Pedro & Shi, Shuping & Tan, David, 2022. "Gold as a financial instrument," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    34. Pastor, Daniel J. & Ewing, Bradley T., 2022. "Exploding DUCs? Identifying periods of mild explosivity in the time series behavior of drilled but uncompleted wells," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PB).
    35. Oladosu, Gbadebo, 2022. "Bubbles in US gasoline prices: Assessing the role of hurricanes and anti–price gouging laws," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    36. El Montasser, Ghassen & Malek Belhoula, Mohamed & Charfeddine, Lanouar, 2023. "Co-explosivity versus leading effects: Evidence from crude oil and agricultural commodities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    37. Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Detection of bubbles in WTI, brent, and Dubai oil prices: A novel double recursive algorithm," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    38. Christos Floros & Georgios Galyfianakis, 2020. "Bubbles in Crude Oil and Commodity Energy Index: New Evidence," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-11, December.
    39. Kruse, Robinson & Wegener, Christoph, 2020. "Time-varying persistence in real oil prices and its determinant," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    40. Ma, Richie Ruchuan & Xiong, Tao, 2021. "Price explosiveness in nonferrous metal futures markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 75-90.
    41. Ye Chen & Jian Li & Qiyuan Li, 2023. "Seemingly Unrelated Regression Estimation for VAR Models with Explosive Roots," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(4), pages 910-937, August.
    42. Butt, Muhammad Danial & Ahmed, Mumtaz, 2019. "Testing for Multiple Bubbles in Inflation for Pakistan," MPRA Paper 96847, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    43. Khan, Khalid & Su, Chi-Wei & Rehman, Ashfaq U., 2021. "Do multiple bubbles exist in coal price?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    44. Butt, Muhammad Danial & Ahmed, Mumtaz, 2019. "Testing for Multiple Bubbles in Inflation for Pakistan," MPRA Paper 96705, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    45. Haykir, Ozkan & Yagli, Ibrahim & Aktekin Gok, Emine Dilara & Budak, Hilal, 2022. "Oil price explosivity and stock return: Do sector and firm size matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    46. Maouchi, Youcef & Charfeddine, Lanouar & El Montasser, Ghassen, 2022. "Understanding digital bubbles amidst the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from DeFi and NFTs," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    47. Martijn (M.I.) Droes & Ryan van Lamoen & Simona Mattheussens, 2017. "Quantitative Easing and Exuberance in Government Bond Markets: Evidence from the ECB's Expanded Assets Purchase Program," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-080/IV, Tinbergen Institute.

  418. Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2018. "On the transmission mechanism of country-specific and international economic uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from a TVP-VAR connectedness decomposition approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 63-71.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  419. Muteba Mwamba, John W. & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Financial tail risks in conventional and Islamic stock markets: A comparative analysis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 60-82.

    Cited by:

    1. Fan, Qingzhu & Gao, Wang, 2024. "Climate risk and financial stability: The mediating effect of green credit," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    2. Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures," Working Papers 201925, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Das, Sonali & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Mangisa, Siphumlile, 2019. "The effect of global crises on stock market correlations: Evidence from scalar regressions via functional data analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 132-147.
    4. Karim, Muhammad Mahmudul & Kawsar, Najmul Haque & Ariff, Mohamed & Masih, Mansur, 2022. "Does implied volatility (or fear index) affect Islamic stock returns and conventional stock returns differently? Wavelet-based granger-causality, asymmetric quantile regression and NARDL approaches," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    5. Khan, Abdullah & Rizvi, Syed Aun R. & Ali, Mohsin & Haroon, Omair, 2021. "A survey of Islamic finance research – Influences and influencers," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    6. Lu, Xinjie & Zeng, Qing & Zhong, Juandan & Zhu, Bo, 2024. "International stock market volatility: A global tail risk sight," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    7. Hassan, Kamrul & Hoque, Ariful & Gasbarro, Dominic & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2023. "Are Islamic stocks immune from financial crises? Evidence from contagion tests," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 919-948.
    8. Rahman, Md Lutfur & Hedström, Axel & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Quantile relationship between Islamic and non-Islamic equity markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    9. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    10. Gad, Samar & Andrikopoulos, Panagiotis, 2019. "Diversification benefits of Shari'ah compliant equity ETFs in emerging markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 133-144.
    11. Zhang, Li & Wang, Lu & Peng, Lijuan & Luo, Keyu, 2023. "Measuring the response of clean energy stock price volatility to extreme shocks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 1289-1300.
    12. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    13. Montshioa, Keitumetse & Muteba Mwamba, John Weirstrass & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2021. "Asset allocation in extreme market conditions: a comparative analysis between developed and emerging economies," MPRA Paper 106248, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2021. "How do Islamic equity markets respond to good and bad volatility of cryptocurrencies? The case of Bitcoin," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    15. Khamis Hamed Al‐Yahyaee & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Walid Mensi & Seong‐Min Yoon, 2021. "Is there a systemic risk between Sharia, Sukuk, and GCC stock markets? A ΔCoVaR risk metric‐based copula approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2904-2926, April.
    16. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Moments-Based Spillovers across Gold and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201966, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Runjie Xu & Chuanmin Mi & Nan Ye & Tom Marshall & Yadong Xiao & Hefan Shuai, 2020. "Risk Fluctuation Characteristics of Internet Finance: Combining Industry Characteristics with Ecological Value," Papers 2001.09798, arXiv.org.
    18. Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Mensi, Walid & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2020. "Do Islamic stocks outperform conventional stock sectors during normal and crisis periods? Extreme co-movements and portfolio management analysis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    19. Shahzad, Umer & Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Tedeschi, Marco, 2024. "Extreme contributions of conventional investments vis-à-vis Islamic ones to renewables," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 189(PB).
    20. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Naifar, Nader, 2022. "Dependence dynamics of Islamic and conventional equity sectors: What do we learn from the decoupling hypothesis and COVID-19 pandemic?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    21. Mehmet Asutay & Yumeng Wang & Alija Avdukic, 2022. "Examining the Performance of Islamic and Conventional Stock Indices: A Comparative Analysis," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 29(2), pages 327-355, June.
    22. Wang, Lu & Wu, Jiangbin & Cao, Yang & Hong, Yanran, 2022. "Forecasting renewable energy stock volatility using short and long-term Markov switching GARCH-MIDAS models: Either, neither or both?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    23. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    24. Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo & Montshioa, Keitumetse, 2024. "Navigating extreme market fluctuations: asset allocation strategies in developed vs. emerging economies," MPRA Paper 119910, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    25. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach, 2019. "A survey of Islamic banking and finance literature: Issues, challenges and future directions," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 484-496.
    26. Delle Foglie, Andrea & Panetta, Ida Claudia, 2020. "Islamic stock market versus conventional: Are islamic investing a ‘Safe Haven’ for investors? A systematic literature review," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).

  420. Mehmet Balcilar & Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The role of news-based uncertainty indices in predicting oil markets: a hybrid nonparametric quantile causality method," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(3), pages 879-889, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  421. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2017. "On exchange-rate movements and gold-price fluctuations: evidence for gold-producing countries from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 691-700, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  422. Gupta, Rangan & Kotzé, Kevin, 2017. "The role of oil prices in the forecasts of South African interest rates: A Bayesian approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 270-278.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  423. Aye, Goodness C. & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "The efficiency of the art market: Evidence from variance ratio tests, linear and nonlinear fractional integration approaches," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 283-294.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  424. Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & John W. Muteba Mwamba, 2017. "Electricity demand in South Africa: is it asymmetric?," OPEC Energy Review, Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, vol. 41(3), pages 226-238, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Sudeshna Ghosh, 2019. "Environmental Pollution, Income Inequality, and Household Energy Consumption: Evidence from the United Kingdom," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(02), pages 1-31, June.
    2. Dakpogan, Arnaud & Smit, Eon, 2018. "Effect of negative shocks to electricity consumption on negative shocks to economic growth in Benin," MPRA Paper 89539, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Lan, Jing & Khan, Sufyan Ullah & Sadiq, Muhammad & Chien, Fengsheng & Baloch, Zulfiqar Ali, 2022. "Evaluating energy poverty and its effects using multi-dimensional based DEA-like mathematical composite indicator approach: Findings from Asia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).

  425. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "The depreciation of the pound post-Brexit: Could it have been predicted?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 206-213.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  426. Cakan Esin & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Does the US. macroeconomic news make the South African stock market riskier?," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 51(4), pages 17-27, October-D.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  427. Vasilios Plakandaras & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Do leading indicators forecast U.S. recessions? A nonlinear re†evaluation using historical data," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(3), pages 289-316, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Andre & Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Fiscal Policy and Stock Markets at the Effective Lower Bound," Working Papers 202309, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Yue-Jun Zhang, 2020. "Bear, Bull, Sidewalk, and Crash: The Evolution of the US Stock Market Using Over a Century of Daily Data," Working Papers 202097, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Gupta, Rangan & Kanda, Patrick & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Time-varying predictability of oil market movements over a century of data: The role of US financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    4. Joao F. Caldeira & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Hudson S. Torrent, 2019. "Forecasting the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the BRICS: Evidence from a Nonparametric Functional Data Analysis," Working Papers 201911, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Cenk C. Karahan & Brian M. Lucey, 2020. "Oil Price Shocks and Yield Curve Dynamics in Emerging Markets," Working Papers 202036, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2021. "Dynamic impact of the U.S. monetary policy on oil market returns and volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 159-169.
    7. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "House price synchronization across the US states: The role of structural oil shocks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    8. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Time-varying impact of pandemics on global output growth," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    9. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Duan, Yunlong & Mu, Chang & Yang, Meng & Deng, Zhiqing & Chin, Tachia & Zhou, Li & Fang, Qifeng, 2021. "Study on early warnings of strategic risk during the process of firms’ sustainable innovation based on an optimized genetic BP neural networks model: Evidence from Chinese manufacturing firms," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    11. Bouri, Elie & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bond risk premia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    12. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Polat, Onur, 2024. "Forecasting U.S. recessions using over 150 years of data: Stock-market moments versus oil-market moments," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
    13. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Working Papers 202126, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Guney, I. Ethem & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "The role of an aligned investor sentiment index in predicting bond risk premia of the U.S," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    15. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    16. Jacobus Nel & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Climate Risks And Predictability Of Commodity Returns And Volatility: Evidence From Over 750 Years Of Data," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(04), pages 1-40, November.
    17. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Moments-Based Spillovers across Gold and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201966, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Gupta, Rangan & Huber, Florian & Piribauer, Philipp, 2020. "Predicting international equity returns: Evidence from time-varying parameter vector autoregressive models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    19. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Contagion between Stock and Real Estate Markets: International Evidence from a Local Gaussian Correlation Approach," Working Papers 201917, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    20. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices over 150 years: The role of tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    21. Andreas Psimopoulos, 2020. "Forecasting Economic Recessions Using Machine Learning:An Empirical Study in Six Countries," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 18(1), pages 40-99.
    22. Ronald Ravinesh Kumar & Peter Josef Stauvermann & Hang Thi Thu Vu, 2021. "The Relationship between Yield Curve and Economic Activity: An Analysis of G7 Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-23, February.
    23. Yizheng Fu & Zhifang Su & Aihua Lin, 2024. "Functional Cointegration Test for Expectation Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in China," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(4), pages 799-820, December.

  428. Omokolade Akinsomi & Mehmet Balcilar & Rıza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The effect of gold market speculation on REIT returns in South Africa: a behavioral perspective," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 41(4), pages 774-793, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  429. Gogas, Periklis & Gupta, Rangan & Miller, Stephen M. & Papadimitriou, Theophilos & Sarantitis, Georgios Antonios, 2017. "Income inequality: A complex network analysis of US states," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 483(C), pages 423-437.

    Cited by:

    1. Benra, Felipe & Nahuelhual, Laura, 2019. "A trilogy of inequalities: Land ownership, forest cover and ecosystem services distribution," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 247-257.

  430. Apergis, Nicholas & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Can (unusual) weather conditions in New York predict South African stock returns?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 377-386.

    Cited by:

    1. Adeabah, David & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2023. "How far have we come and where should we go after 30+ years of research on Africa's emerging financial markets? A systematic review and a bibliometric network analysis," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    2. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    3. Ismail Olaleke Fasanya Oluwatomisin Oyewole Taofeek Agbatogun, 2019. "Measuring Return and Volatility Spillovers among Sectoral Stocks in Nigeria," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, vol. 22(2), pages 71-94, November.
    4. Waldemar Tarczyński & Sebastian Majewski & Małgorzata Tarczyńska-Łuniewska & Agnieszka Majewska & Grzegorz Mentel, 2021. "The Impact of Weather Factors on Quotations of Energy Sector Companies on Warsaw Stock Exchange," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-14, March.
    5. Panagiotis Tzouvanas & Renatas Kizys & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & Roza Sagitova, 2019. "Can Variations in Temperature Explain the Systemic Risk of European Firms?," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 74(4), pages 1723-1759, December.

  431. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Persistence, Mean-Reversion and Non-linearities in $$\hbox {CO2}$$ CO2 Emissions: Evidence from the BRICS and G7 Countries," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 67(4), pages 869-883, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Yasunori Ito & Hidemichi Fujii, 2024. "Trend Changes and the Driving Forces of Environmental Indicators in Countries Worldwide: A Structural Change Analysis of Variations in CO 2 Emissions and Eco-Efficiency," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-16, June.
    2. Vlad-Cosmin Bulai & Alexandra Horobet & Oana Cristina Popovici & Lucian Belascu & Sofia Adriana Dumitrescu, 2021. "A VaR-Based Methodology for Assessing Carbon Price Risk across European Union Economic Sectors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-21, December.
    3. Firouz Fallahi, 2020. "Persistence and unit root in $$\text {CO}_{2}$$CO2 emissions: evidence from disaggregated global and regional data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2155-2179, May.
    4. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Tommaso Trani, 2019. "Time Trends and Persistence in the Global CO2 Emissions Across Europe," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 73(1), pages 213-228, May.
    5. Peter S. Sephton, 2020. "Mean Reversion in CO2 Emissions: the Need for Structural Change," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 75(4), pages 953-975, April.
    6. Balsalobre-Lorente, Daniel & Driha, Oana M. & Bekun, Festus & Sinha, Avik & Fatai Adedoyin, Festus, 2020. "Consequences of COVID-19 on the social isolation of the Chinese economy: accounting for the role of reduction in carbon emissions," MPRA Paper 102894, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2020.
    7. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Gloria Claudio-Quiroga & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2021. "Analysing the relationship between CO2 emissions and GDP in China: a fractional integration and cointegration approach," Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 1-16, December.

  432. Mehmet Balcilar & Reneé van Eyden & Josine Uwilingiye & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Impact of Oil Price on South African GDP Growth: A Bayesian Markov Switching-VAR Analysis," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 29(2), pages 319-336, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  433. Aye, Goodness C. & Carcel, Hector & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Does gold act as a hedge against inflation in the UK? Evidence from a fractional cointegration approach over 1257 to 2016," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 53-57.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  434. Hassani, Hossein & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Filis, George & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Forecasting accuracy evaluation of tourist arrivals," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 112-127.

    Cited by:

    1. Rice, William L. & Park, So Young & Pan, Bing & Newman, Peter, 2019. "Forecasting campground demand in US national parks," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 424-438.
    2. Karel Fromel & Michal Kudlacek & Dorota Groffik, 2020. "Tourism and Physical Activity Preferences: Development and Sustainability Strategy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-15, October.
    3. Martin Enilov & Yuan Wang, 2022. "Tourism and economic growth: Multi-country evidence from mixed-frequency Granger causality tests," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(5), pages 1216-1239, August.
    4. Cheng-Hong Yang & Jen-Chung Shao & Yen-Hsien Liu & Pey-Huah Jou & Yu-Da Lin, 2022. "Application of Fuzzy-Based Support Vector Regression to Forecast of International Airport Freight Volumes," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(14), pages 1-18, July.
    5. Stathis Polyzos & Anestis Fotiadis & Aristeidis Samitas, 2021. "COVID-19 Tourism Recovery in the ASEAN and East Asia Region: Asymmetric Patterns and Implications," Working Papers DP-2021-12, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    6. Xi Wu & Adam Blake, 2023. "Does the combination of models with different explanatory variables improve tourism demand forecasting performance?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(8), pages 2032-2056, December.
    7. Hatice Oncel Cekim & Coşkun Okan Güney & Özdemir Şentürk & Gamze Özel & Kürşad Özkan, 2021. "A novel approach for predicting burned forest area," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(2), pages 2187-2201, January.
    8. Hatice Öncel Çekim & Ahmet Koyuncu, 2022. "The Impact of Google Trends on the Tourist Arrivals: A Case of Antalya Tourism," Alphanumeric Journal, Bahadir Fatih Yildirim, vol. 10(1), pages 1-14, June.
    9. Le Quyen Nguyen & Paula Odete Fernandes & João Paulo Teixeira, 2021. "Analyzing and Forecasting Tourism Demand in Vietnam with Artificial Neural Networks," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-15, December.
    10. Elisa Jorge-González & Enrique González-Dávila & Raquel Martín-Rivero & Domingo Lorenzo-Díaz, 2020. "Univariate and multivariate forecasting of tourism demand using state-space models," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(4), pages 598-621, June.
    11. Fotiadis, Anestis & Polyzos, Stathis & Huan, Tzung-Cheng T.C., 2021. "The good, the bad and the ugly on COVID-19 tourism recovery," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    12. Eden Xiaoying Jiao & Jason Li Chen, 2019. "Tourism forecasting: A review of methodological developments over the last decade," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(3), pages 469-492, May.
    13. Jian-Wu Bi & Tian-Yu Han & Hui Li, 2022. "International tourism demand forecasting with machine learning models: The power of the number of lagged inputs," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(3), pages 621-645, May.
    14. Xi Wu & Adam Blake, 2023. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis on Air Travel Demand: Some Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(1), pages 21582440231, January.
    15. Cheng-Hong Yang & Borcy Lee & Pey-Huah Jou & Yu-Fang Chung & Yu-Da Lin, 2023. "Analysis and Forecasting of International Airport Traffic Volume," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-19, March.
    16. Assaf, A. George & Tsionas, Mike G., 2019. "Forecasting occupancy rate with Bayesian compression methods," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 439-449.
    17. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Emmanuel Sirimal Silva, 2018. "A New Signal Processing Approach for Discrimination of EEG Recordings," Stats, MDPI, vol. 1(1), pages 1-14, November.
    18. Hassani, Hossein & Rua, António & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Thomakos, Dimitrios, 2019. "Monthly forecasting of GDP with mixed-frequency multivariate singular spectrum analysis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1263-1272.
    19. Jorge V Pérez-Rodríguez & Juan M Hernández & Julián Andrada-Félix, 2024. "Modelling prices and volatilities in the sharing economy," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(5), pages 1189-1215, August.
    20. Edmond H. C. Wu & Jihao Hu & Rui Chen, 2022. "Monitoring and forecasting COVID-19 impacts on hotel occupancy rates with daily visitor arrivals and search queries," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(3), pages 490-507, February.
    21. Antić Aleksandar & Vujko Aleksandra & Tomić Nemanja, 2020. "Examining and Forecasting Tourist Arrivals and Speleotourism Development in Resava Cave (Eastern Serbia)," European Journal of Tourism, Hospitality and Recreation, Sciendo, vol. 10(2), pages 146-153, December.
    22. Xie, Gang & Qian, Yatong & Wang, Shouyang, 2020. "A decomposition-ensemble approach for tourism forecasting," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    23. Guan, Bo & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Hassani, Hossein & Heravi, Saeed, 2022. "Forecasting tourism growth with State-Dependent Models," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    24. A Fronzetti Colladon & B Guardabascio & R Innarella, 2021. "Using social network and semantic analysis to analyze online travel forums and forecast tourism demand," Papers 2105.07727, arXiv.org.
    25. Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Hassani, Hossein, 2018. "Forecasting global stock market implied volatility indices," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 111-129.
    26. Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Hassani, Hossein, 2022. "‘Modelling’ UK tourism demand using fashion retail sales," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    27. Yang, Yang & Zhang, Honglei, 2019. "Spatial-temporal forecasting of tourism demand," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 106-119.
    28. Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Ghodsi, Zara & Ghodsi, Mansi & Heravi, Saeed & Hassani, Hossein, 2017. "Cross country relations in European tourist arrivals," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 151-168.
    29. Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Hassani, Hossein & Heravi, Saeed & Huang, Xu, 2019. "Forecasting tourism demand with denoised neural networks," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 134-154.
    30. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2018. "“A regional perspective on the accuracy of machine learning forecasts of tourism demand based on data characteristics”," AQR Working Papers 201802, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Apr 2018.
    31. Anastasiou, Dimitris & Drakos, Konstantinos & Kapopoulos, Panayotis, 2022. "Predicting international tourist arrivals in Greece with a novel sector-specific business leading indicator," MPRA Paper 113860, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    32. Ji Wu & Xian Cheng & Stephen Shaoyi Liao, 2020. "Tourism forecast combination using the stochastic frontier analysis technique," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(7), pages 1086-1107, November.
    33. Gunter, Ulrich & Zekan, Bozana, 2021. "Forecasting air passenger numbers with a GVAR model," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    34. Song, Haiyan & Qiu, Richard T.R. & Park, Jinah, 2019. "A review of research on tourism demand forecasting," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 338-362.
    35. Zhang, Yishuo & Li, Gang & Muskat, Birgit & Law, Rob & Yang, Yating, 2020. "Group pooling for deep tourism demand forecasting," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    36. Shaolong Suna & Dan Bi & Ju-e Guo & Shouyang Wang, 2020. "Seasonal and Trend Forecasting of Tourist Arrivals: An Adaptive Multiscale Ensemble Learning Approach," Papers 2002.08021, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2020.
    37. Jorge V Pérez-Rodríguez & María Santana-Gallego, 2020. "Modelling tourism receipts and associated risks, using long-range dependence models," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(1), pages 70-96, February.
    38. Zhang, Yishuo & Li, Gang & Muskat, Birgit & Vu, Huy Quan & Law, Rob, 2021. "Predictivity of tourism demand data," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    39. Li, Hengyun & Gao, Huicai & Song, Haiyan, 2023. "Tourism forecasting with granular sentiment analysis," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    40. Ke Xu & Junli Zhang & Junhao Huang & Hongbo Tan & Xiuli Jing & Tianxiang Zheng, 2024. "Forecasting Visitor Arrivals at Tourist Attractions: A Time Series Framework with the N-BEATS for Sustainable Tourism," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-28, September.

  435. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2017. "The growth-inflation nexus for the U.S. from 1801 to 2013: A semiparametric approach," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 20, pages 105-120, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Ahmed, Rizwan & Chen, Xihui Haviour & Kumpamool, Chamaiporn & Nguyen, Dung T.K., 2023. "Inflation, oil prices, and economic activity in recent crisis: Evidence from the UK," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).

  436. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gupta, Rangan & Kollias, Christos & Papadamou, Stephanos, 2017. "Geopolitical risks and the oil-stock nexus over 1899–2016," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 165-173.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  437. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Hassapis, Christis, 2017. "Does economic policy uncertainty forecast real housing returns in a panel of OECD countries? A Bayesian approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 50-60.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  438. Hossein Hassani & Zara Ghodsi & Rangan Gupta & Mawuli Segnon, 2017. "Forecasting Home Sales in the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy Using Singular Spectrum Analysis," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 49(1), pages 83-97, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  439. Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Omid Ranjbar, 2017. "South Africa’s inflation persistence: a quantile regression framework," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 50(4), pages 367-386, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Dinabandhu Sethi & Debashis Acharya, 2019. "Credibility of inflation targeting: some recent Asian evidence," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 203-219, August.
    2. Goran Petrevski, 2023. "Macroeconomic Effects of Inflation Targeting: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," Papers 2305.17474, arXiv.org.
    3. Dawar, Ishaan & Dutta, Anupam & Bouri, Elie & Saeed, Tareq, 2021. "Crude oil prices and clean energy stock indices: Lagged and asymmetric effects with quantile regression," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 288-299.
    4. Sakiru Adebola Solarin & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Carmen Lafuente, 2020. "Persistence of the Misery Index in African Countries," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 147(3), pages 825-841, February.
    5. Phiri, Andrew, 2017. "Inflation persistence in BRICS countries: A quantile autoregressive (QAR) model," MPRA Paper 79956, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  440. Rangan Gupta & Eric Olson & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Forecasting key US macroeconomic variables with a factor‐augmented Qual VAR," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(6), pages 640-650, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  441. Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do terror attacks predict gold returns? Evidence from a quantile-predictive-regression approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 276-284.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  442. Mulatu F. Zerihun & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Are Health Care Expenditures and Personal Disposable Income Characterised by Asymmetric Behaviour? Evidence from US State-Level Data," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 131(2), pages 527-542, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  443. Huang, Xu & Hassani, Hossein & Ghodsi, Mansi & Mukherjee, Zinnia & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Do trend extraction approaches affect causality detection in climate change studies?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 469(C), pages 604-624.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  444. Christou, Christina & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan & Hassapis, Christis, 2017. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns in PacificRim countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian panel VAR model," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 92-102.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  445. Nicholas Apergis & Tsangyao Chang & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Convergence of Health Care Expenditures Across the US States: A Reconsideration," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 133(1), pages 303-316, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  446. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2017. "The international REIT’s time-varying response to the U.S. monetary policy and macroeconomic surprises," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 640-653.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  447. Tsangyao Chang & Hsiao-Ping Chu & Frederick W. Deale & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2017. "The relationship between population growth and standard-of-living growth over 1870–2013: evidence from a bootstrapped panel Granger causality test," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 44(1), pages 175-201, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  448. Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark, 2017. "Forecasting oil and stock returns with a Qual VAR using over 150years off data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 181-186.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  449. Christophe André & Lumengo Bonga-Bonga & Rangan Gupta & John W. Muteba Mwamba, 2017. "Economic Policy Uncertainty, U.S. Real Housing Returns and Their Volatility: A Nonparametric Approach," Journal of Real Estate Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(4), pages 493-514, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Kyriaki I. Kafka, 2024. "Under the Veil of Uncertainty: Assessing the Greek Economy’s Resilience and Vulnerability in the Face of Different Uncertainty Types," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(2), pages 9288-9321, June.
    3. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the co-movement of regional housing prices of the United Kingdom," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-22, December.
    4. Sabani, Nazmie & Bales, Stephan & Burghof, Hans-Peter, 2024. "On the different impact of local and national sources of policy uncertainty on sectoral stock volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PB).
    5. Yang, Chih-Yuan & Chang, Chia-Chien, 2024. "Do economic uncertainty and persistence in housing prices matter on mortgage insurance?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 33-44.

  450. Balcilar, Mehmet & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2017. "Can volume predict Bitcoin returns and volatility? A quantiles-based approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 74-81.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  451. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Evidence of persistence in U.S. short and long-term interest rates," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 775-789.

    Cited by:

    1. Giorgio Canarella & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2022. "Globalization, long memory, and real interest rate convergence: a historical perspective," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(5), pages 2331-2355, November.
    2. Vides, José Carlos & Golpe, Antonio A. & Iglesias, Jesús, 2021. "The impact of the term spread in US monetary policy from 1870 to 2013," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 230-251.
    3. Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Ruth Omotosho & Festus Victor Bekun, 2024. "Interest Rate Volatility and Economic Growth in Nigeria: New Insight from the Quantile Autoregressive Distributed Lag (QARDL) Model," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(4), pages 20172-20195, December.
    4. Giorgio Canarella & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "The Behavior of Real Interest Rates: New Evidence from a ``Suprasecular" Perspective," Working Papers 202093, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  452. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do cay and cayMS predict stock and housing returns? Evidence from a nonparametric causality test," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 269-279.

    Cited by:

    1. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2020. "The tail dependence structure between investor sentiment and commodity markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    2. Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Variants of consumption‐wealth ratios and predictability of U.S. government bond risk premia," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 661-674, June.
    3. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong & Kyei, Clement, 2019. "The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 150-163.
    4. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Variants of Consumption-Wealth Ratios and Predictability of U.S. Government Bond Risk Premia: Old is still Gold," Working Papers 201912, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  453. Sergey Ivashchenko & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Near-Rational Expectations: How Far are Surveys from Rationality?," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, vol. 60(1), pages 1-27.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  454. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "The Role of Current Account Balance in Forecasting the US Equity Premium: Evidence From a Quantile Predictive Regression Approach," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(1), pages 47-59, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  455. Carlos P. Barros & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Development, Poverty and Inequality: A Spatial Analysis of South African Provinces," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 51(1), pages 19-32, January-M.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  456. Tolga Omay & Rangan Gupta & Giovanni Bonaccolto, 2017. "The US real GNP is trend-stationary after all," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(8), pages 510-514, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  457. Apergis, Nicholas & Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Are there Environmental Kuznets Curves for US state-level CO2 emissions?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 551-558.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  458. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2017. "South Africa’s economic response to monetary policy uncertainty," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 44(2), pages 282-293, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  459. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2017. "Long memory, economic policy uncertainty and forecasting US inflation: a Bayesian VARFIMA approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(11), pages 1047-1054, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Historical Forecasting Of Interest Rate Mean And Volatility Of The United States: Is There A Role Of Uncertainty?," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(04), pages 1-17, December.
    2. Balcilar, Mehmet & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & van Eyden, Reneé, 2017. "The impact of US policy uncertainty on the monetary effectiveness in the Euro area," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 1052-1064.
    3. Kunal Saha & Vinodh Madhavan & Chandrashekhar G. R. & David McMillan, 2020. "Pitfalls in long memory research," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1733280-173, January.
    4. Matthew W. Clance & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau, 2019. "The Relationship between Economic Uncertainty and Corporate Tax Rates," Working Papers 201945, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Pham, Son Duy & Li, Xiao-Ming & Do, Hung Xuan, 2024. "Does the U.S. export inflation? Evidence from the dynamic inflation spillover between the U.S. and EAGLEs," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    6. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Goodness C. Aye & Matthew W. Clance & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Effect of Economic Uncertainty on the Housing Market Cycle," Working Papers 201757, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Liosi, Konstantina, 2023. "The sources of economic uncertainty: Evidence from eurozone markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    9. Hany Guirguis & Vaneesha Boney Dutra & Zoe McGreevy, 2022. "The impact of global economies on US inflation: A test of the Phillips curve," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(3), pages 575-592, July.
    10. OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Nurudeen Abu & Tayo P. Ogundunmade, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty in G7 countries: evidence of long-range dependence and cointegration," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 541-556, May.
    11. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Reneé van Eyden, 2016. "Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: The Role of US Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201620, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Risse, Marian & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs: The role of economic uncertainty," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 317-337.
    13. Chen, Jinyu & Wang, Yilin & Ren, Xiaohang, 2023. "Asymmetric effect of financial stress on China’s precious metals market: Evidence from a quantile-on-quantile regression," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    14. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    16. Zhang, Hongwei & Demirer, Riza & Huang, Jianbai & Huang, Wanjun & Tahir Suleman, Muhammad, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and gold return dynamics: Evidence from high-frequency data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    17. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong & Kyei, Clement, 2019. "The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 150-163.
    18. Ren, Yi-Shuai & Klein, Tony & Jiang, Yong & Ma, Chao-Qun & Yang, Xiao-Guang, 2024. "Dynamic spillovers among global oil shocks, economic policy uncertainty, and inflation expectation uncertainty under extreme shocks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    19. Krzysztof DRACHAL, 2020. "Forecasting the Inflation Rate in Poland and U.S. Using Dynamic Model Averaging (DMA) and Google Queries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 18-34, July.
    20. Zeng, Qing & Lu, Xinjie & Dong, Dayong & Li, Pan, 2022. "Category-specific EPU indices, macroeconomic variables and stock market return predictability," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    21. Kundu, Srikanta & Paul, Amartya, 2022. "Effect of economic policy uncertainty on stock market return and volatility under heterogeneous market characteristics," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 597-612.
    22. Shovon Sengupta & Tanujit Chakraborty & Sunny Kumar Singh, 2023. "Forecasting CPI inflation under economic policy and geopolitical uncertainties," Papers 2401.00249, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
    23. Chu Shiou-Yen & Shane Christopher, 2017. "Using the hybrid Phillips curve with memory to forecast US inflation," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(4), pages 1-16, September.

  460. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Christou, Christina & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Convergence patterns in sovereign bond yield spreads: Evidence from the Euro Area," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 129-139.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  461. Wanke, Peter & Maredza, Andrew & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Merger and acquisitions in South African banking: A network DEA model," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 362-376.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  462. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotzé, 2017. "Forecasting South African macroeconomic variables with a Markov-switching small open-economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 117-135, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  463. Suleman, Tahir & Gupta, Rangan & Balcilar, Mehmet, 2017. "Does country risks predict stock returns and volatility? Evidence from a nonparametric approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1173-1195.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  464. Kim, Won Joong & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Hyun, Jun Seog & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Oil price shocks and China's economy: Reactions of the monetary policy to oil price shocks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 61-69.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  465. Balcilar, Mehmet & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & van Eyden, Reneé, 2017. "The impact of US policy uncertainty on the monetary effectiveness in the Euro area," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 1052-1064.

    Cited by:

    1. Ganwen Zheng & Songping Zhu, 2021. "Research on the Effectiveness of China’s Macro Control Policy on Output and Technological Progress under Economic Policy Uncertainty," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-18, June.
    2. Lodge, David & Pérez, Javier J. & Albrizio, Silvia & Everett, Mary & De Bandt, Olivier & Georgiadis, Georgios & Ca' Zorzi, Michele & Lastauskas, Povilas & Carluccio, Juan & Parraga Rodriguez, Susana &, 2021. "The implications of globalisation for the ECB monetary policy strategy," Occasional Paper Series 263, European Central Bank.
    3. Al-Thaqeb, Saud Asaad & Algharabali, Barrak Ghanim, 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty: A literature review," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Huseyin Ozdemir & Gurcan Aygun & Mark E. Wohar, 2022. "Effectiveness of monetary policy under the high and low economic uncertainty states: evidence from the major Asian economies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 1741-1769, October.
    5. Liosi, Konstantina, 2023. "The sources of economic uncertainty: Evidence from eurozone markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    6. Nicolas Himounet, 2021. "Searching for the Nature of Uncertainty: Macroeconomic VS Financial," Working Papers 2021.05, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    7. Yildirim, Zekeriya & Guloglu, Hasan, 2024. "Macro-financial transmission of global oil shocks to BRIC countries — International financial (uncertainty) conditions matter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    8. Onur Polat, 2021. "Time-Varying Network Connectedness of G-7 Economic Policy Uncertainties: A Locally Stationary TVP-VAR Approach," World Journal of Applied Economics, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 7(2), pages 47-59, December.
    9. Goodness C. Aye & Matthew W. Clance & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Effectiveness of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Shocks on U.S. Inequality: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 201782, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Risse, Marian & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs: The role of economic uncertainty," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 317-337.
    11. Glebocki, Helena & Saha, Sujata, 2024. "Global uncertainty and exchange rate conditions: Assessing the impact of uncertainty shocks in emerging markets and advanced economies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    12. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Aygun, Gurcan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Effectives of Monetary Policy under the High and Low Economic Uncertainty States: Evidence from the Major Asian Economies," IZA Discussion Papers 14420, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    14. Sabani, Nazmie & Bales, Stephan & Burghof, Hans-Peter, 2024. "On the different impact of local and national sources of policy uncertainty on sectoral stock volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PB).
    15. Chevaughn van der Westhuizen & Renee van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye, 2023. "Monetary Policy Effectiveness in the Face of Uncertainty: The Real Macroeconomic Impact of a Monetary Policy Shock in South Africa during High and Low Uncertainty States," Working Papers 202331, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Aygun, Gurcan & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "The macroeconomic impact of economic uncertainty and financial shocks under low and high financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    17. Kloosterman, Roben & Bonam, Dennis & van der Veer, Koen, 2024. "The effects of monetary policy across fiscal regimes," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    18. Roben Kloosterman & Dennis Bonam & Koen van der Veer, 2022. "The effects of monetary policy across fiscal regimes," Working Papers 755, DNB.
    19. Long, Shaobo & Zuo, Yulan & Tian, Hao, 2023. "Asymmetries in multi-target monetary policy rule and the role of uncertainty: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 278-296.
    20. Hassan, Kamrul & Hoque, Ariful & Wali, Muammer & Gasbarro, Dominic, 2020. "Islamic stocks, conventional stocks, and crude oil: Directional volatility spillover analysis in BRICS," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    21. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Jacobus A Nel & Xin Sheng, 2020. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty Spillovers in Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 202005, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Kundu, Srikanta & Paul, Amartya, 2022. "Effect of economic policy uncertainty on stock market return and volatility under heterogeneous market characteristics," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 597-612.
    23. Li, bing & Lu, pu & Wang, yong, 2024. "Decomposing uncertainty: How foreign policy risks shape Chinese stock market dynamics," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    24. Zulquar Nain & Bandi Kamaiah, 2020. "Uncertainty and Effectiveness of Monetary Policy: A Bayesian Markov Switching-VAR Analysis," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(special i), pages 237-265.
    25. Wen, Fenghua & Shui, Aojie & Cheng, Yuxiang & Gong, Xu, 2022. "Monetary policy uncertainty and stock returns in G7 and BRICS countries: A quantile-on-quantile approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 457-482.
    26. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer, 2022. "U.S. monetary policy and the predictability of global economic synchronization patterns," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(3), pages 473-492, July.
    27. Civcir, İrfan & Ertac Varoglu, Dizem, 2019. "International transmission of monetary and global commodity price shocks to Turkey," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(4), pages 647-665.

  466. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Common cycles and common trends in the stock and oil markets: Evidence from more than 150years of data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 72-86.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  467. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Is Economic Policy Uncertainty Related to Suicide Rates? Evidence from the United States," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 133(2), pages 543-560, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  468. Balcilar, Mehmet & Katzke, Nico & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Do precious metal prices help in forecasting South African inflation?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 63-72.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  469. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral K., 2017. "Has the correlation of inflation and stock prices changed in the United States over the last two centuries?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1-8.

    Cited by:

    1. Hammouda, Amira & Saeed, Asif & Vidal, Marta & Vidal-García, Javier, 2023. "On the short-term persistence of mutual fund performance in Europe," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    2. Tiwari Aviral Kumar & Cunado Juncal & Gupta Rangan & Wohar Mark E., 2019. "Are stock returns an inflation hedge for the UK? Evidence from a wavelet analysis using over three centuries of data," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 23(3), pages 1-17, June.
    3. Sepehrdoust, Hamid & Ahmadvand, Shokoufeh & Mirzaei, Nesa, 2022. "Impact of information, communication technology and housing industry on financial market development," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    4. Silvio John, Camilleri & Nicolanne, Scicluna & Ye, Bai, 2019. "Do Stock Markets Lead or Lag Macroeconomic Variables? Evidence from Select European Countries," MPRA Paper 95299, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Bouzgarrou, Houssam & Ftiti, Zied & Louhichi, Waël & Yousfi, Mohamed, 2023. "What can we learn about the market reaction to macroeconomic surprise? Evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    6. Bouri, Elie & Nekhili, Ramzi & Kinateder, Harald & Choudhury, Tonmoy, 2023. "Expected inflation and U.S. stock sector indices: A dynamic time-scale tale from inflationary and deflationary crisis periods," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    7. Rabbani, Mustafa Raza & Billah, Syed Mabruk & Shaik, Muneer & Rahman, Mashuk & Boujlil, Rhada, 2023. "Dynamic connectedness, spillover, and optimal hedging strategy among FinTech, Sukuk, and Islamic equity markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    8. Zarei, Samira, 2020. "Analyzing the Asymmetric Effects of Inflation and Exchange Rate Misalignments on the Petrochemical Stock index: The Case of Iran," MPRA Paper 99101, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  470. Balcilar, Mehmet & Bonato, Matteo & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "The effect of investor sentiment on gold market return dynamics: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 77-84.

    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Chen & Raza, Syed Ali & Adebayo, Tomiwa Sunday & Yi, Sun & Shah, Muhammad Ibrahim, 2023. "The roles of hydro, nuclear and biomass energy towards carbon neutrality target in China: A policy-based analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(PA).
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Boqiang Lin & Tong Su, 2023. "Uncertainties and green bond markets: Evidence from tail dependence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4458-4475, October.
    4. Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2016. "Gold Futures Returns and Realized Moments: A Forecasting Experiment Using a Quantile-Boosting Approach," Working Papers 201645, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Naveed Raza & David Roubaud & Jose Arreola Hernandez & Stelios Bekiros, 2019. "Gold as Safe Haven for G-7 Stocks and Bonds: A Revisit," Post-Print hal-02352004, HAL.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Yuhe Zhao & Ronghua Ju, 2025. "Investor Structure and Corn Futures Price Volatility in China: Evidence Based on the Agent-Based Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 65(2), pages 937-961, February.
    8. Yingying Xu & Zhi‐Xin Liu & Chi‐Wei Su & Jaime Ortiz, 2019. "Gold and inflation: Expected inflation effect or carrying cost effect?," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(3), pages 380-398, December.
    9. Wang Gao & Jiajia Wei & Shixiong Yang, 2023. "The Asymmetric Effects of Extreme Climate Risk Perception on Coal Futures Return Dynamics: Evidence from Nonparametric Causality-In-Quantiles Tests," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-19, May.
    10. Bonato, Matteo & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "A note on investor happiness and the predictability of realized volatility of gold," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    11. Ahmed, Bouteska, 2020. "Understanding the impact of investor sentiment on the price formation process: A review of the conduct of American stock markets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    12. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Seong-Min Yoon, 2017. "OPEC News Announcement Effect on Volatility in the Crude Oil Market: A Reconsideration," Working Papers 201754, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Li, Sufang & Xu, Qiufan & Lv, Yixue & Yuan, Di, 2022. "Public attention, oil and gold markets during the COVID-19: Evidence from time-frequency analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    14. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2020. "The tail dependence structure between investor sentiment and commodity markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    15. Szymon Lis, 2022. "Investor Sentiment in Asset Pricing Models: A Review," Working Papers 2022-14, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    16. Huang, Xiaoyong & Jia, Fei & Xu, Xiangyun & Yu shi,, 2019. "The threshold effect of market sentiment and inflation expectations on gold price," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 77-83.
    17. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Volatility jumps: The role of geopolitical risks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 247-258.
    18. Văn, Lê & Bảo, Nguyễn Khắc Quốc, 2022. "The relationship between global stock and precious metals under Covid-19 and happiness perspectives," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    19. Qin, Meng & Su, Chi-Wei & Tao, Ran & Umar, Muhammad, 2020. "Is factionalism a push for gold price?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    20. Liao, Jia & Qian, Qi & Xu, Xiangyun, 2018. "Whether the fluctuation of China’s financial markets have impact on global commodity prices?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 1030-1040.
    21. Adnen Ben Nasr & Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Investor Sentiment and Crash Risk in Safe Havens," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 10(6), pages 97-108.
    22. Aktham Maghyereh & Hussein Abdoh, 2022. "Global financial crisis versus COVID‐19: Evidence from sentiment analysis," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 218-248, August.
    23. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Moments-Based Spillovers across Gold and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201966, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Zhang, Hongwei & Demirer, Riza & Huang, Jianbai & Huang, Wanjun & Tahir Suleman, Muhammad, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and gold return dynamics: Evidence from high-frequency data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    25. Yong Jiang & Yi-Shuai Ren & Chao-Qun Ma & Jiang-Long Liu & Basil Sharp, 2018. "Does the price of strategic commodities respond to U.S. Partisan Conflict?," Papers 1810.08396, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
    26. Ding, Qian & Huang, Jianbai & Zhang, Hongwei, 2022. "Time-frequency spillovers among carbon, fossil energy and clean energy markets: The effects of attention to climate change," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    27. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2020. "Tail dependence between Bitcoin and financial assets: Evidence from a quantile cross-spectral approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    28. Muhammad Yusuf & Zakir Sabara & Ismail Suardi Wekke, 2019. "Role of Innovation in Testing Environment Kuznets Curve: A Case of Indonesian Economy," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(1), pages 276-281.
    29. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus, 2022. "Rare disaster risks and gold over 700 years: Evidence from nonparametric quantile regressions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    30. Yang, Cai & Gong, Xu & Zhang, Hongwei, 2019. "Volatility forecasting of crude oil futures: The role of investor sentiment and leverage effect," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 548-563.
    31. Chi-Wei Su & Xu-Yu Cai & Ran Tao, 2020. "Can Stock Investor Sentiment Be Contagious in China?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-16, February.
    32. Nader Naifar & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Shawkat Hammoudeh, 2017. "The Impact of Major Oil, Financial and Uncertainty Factors on Sovereign CDS Spreads: Evidence from GCC, Other Oil-Exporting Countries and Regional Markets," Working Papers 1129, Economic Research Forum, revised 08 2017.
    33. Christian Pierdzioch & Sebastian Rohloff & Roland von Campe, 2023. "The stance of U.S. monetary policy and the realized variance of gold-price returns," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(2), pages 719-732.
    34. Rubaiyat Ahsan Bhuiyan & Afzol Husain & Changyong Zhang, 2023. "Diversification evidence of bitcoin and gold from wavelet analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-36, December.
    35. Nicholas Apergis & Tasawar Hayat & Tareq Saeed, 2021. "Cyclicality of commodity markets with respect to the U.S. economic policy uncertainty based on granger causality in quantiles," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 50(1), February.
    36. Su, Chi-Wei & Pang, Lidong & Umar, Muhammad & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Moldovan, Nicoleta-Claudia, 2022. "Does gold's hedging uncertainty aura fade away?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    37. Martha Carpinteyro & Francisco Venegas-Martínez & Alí Aali-Bujari, 2021. "Modeling Precious Metal Returns through Fractional Jump-Diffusion Processes Combined with Markov Regime-Switching Stochastic Volatility," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-17, February.
    38. Jiang, Yong & Ren, Yi-Shuai & Ma, Chao-Qun & Liu, Jiang-Long & Sharp, Basil, 2020. "Does the price of strategic commodities respond to U.S. partisan conflict?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    39. Miao, Miao & Khaskheli, Asadullah & Raza, Syed Ali & Yousufi, Sara Qamar, 2022. "Using internet search keyword data for predictability of precious metals prices: Evidence from non-parametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    40. Charteris, Ailie & Kallinterakis, Vasileios, 2021. "Feedback trading in retail-dominated assets: Evidence from the gold bullion coin market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    41. Yang, Kun & Wei, Yu & Li, Shouwei & Liu, Liang & Wang, Lei, 2021. "Global financial uncertainties and China’s crude oil futures market: Evidence from interday and intraday price dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    42. Qin, Meng & Su, Chi-Wei & Pirtea, Marilen Gabriel & Dumitrescu Peculea, Adelina, 2023. "The essential role of Russian geopolitics: A fresh perception into the gold market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    43. Chi-Wei Su & Lidong Pang & Muhammad Umar & Oana-Ramona Lobonţ, 2022. "Will Gold Always Shine amid World Uncertainty?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(12), pages 3425-3438, September.
    44. Zongwu Cai & Pixiong Chen, 2022. "New Online Investor Sentiment and Asset Returns," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202216, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2022.
    45. Szymon Lis, 2024. "Investor Sentiment in Asset Pricing Models: A Review of Empirical Evidence," Papers 2411.13180, arXiv.org.

  471. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "International stock return predictability: Is the role of U.S. time-varying?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 44(1), pages 121-146, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  472. Vasilios Plakandaras & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Informational Content of the Term Spread in Forecasting the US Inflation Rate: A Nonlinear Approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(2), pages 109-121, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  473. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral K., 2017. "The time-varying correlation between output and prices in the United States over the period 1800–2014," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 98-108.

    Cited by:

    1. Constantinescu, Mihnea & Nguyen, Anh Dinh Minh, 2021. "A century of gaps: Untangling business cycles from secular trends," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    2. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Gloria Claudio-Quiroga & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2021. "The Relationship between Prices and Output in the UK and the US," CESifo Working Paper Series 8970, CESifo.
    3. Ndou, Eliphas & Gumata, Nombulelo, 2024. "Should the South African Reserve Bank lower the inflation target band? Insights from the GDP-inflation nexus," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 638-654.

  474. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Do Sustainable Stocks Offer Diversification Benefits for Conventional Portfolios? An Empirical Analysis of Risk Spillovers and Dynamic Correlations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-18, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  475. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Roubaud, David, 2017. "Does Bitcoin hedge global uncertainty? Evidence from wavelet-based quantile-in-quantile regressions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 87-95.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  476. Massimiliano Caporin & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Time-varying persistence in US inflation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 423-439, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  477. Ming Zhong & Tsangyao Chang & Samrat Goswami & Rangan Gupta & Tien-Wei Lou, 2017. "The nexus between military expenditures and economic growth in the BRICS and the US: an empirical note," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(5), pages 609-620, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Osama D. Sweidan, 2023. "Geopolitical Risk and Income Inequality: Evidence from the US Economy," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 169(1), pages 575-597, September.
    2. Kyriakos Emmanouilidis & Christos Karpetis, 2020. "The Defense–Growth Nexus: A Review of Time Series Methods and Empirical Results," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 86-104, January.
    3. Liu Geng & Olivier Joseph Abban & Yao Hongxing & Charles Ofori & Joana Cobbinah & Sarah Akosua Ampong & Muhammad Akhtar, 2024. "Do military expenditures impede economic growth in 48 Islamic countries? A panel data analysis with novel approaches," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(7), pages 18725-18759, July.
    4. Feng-Li Lin & Mei-Chih Wang, 2019. "Does economic growth cause military expenditure to go up? Using MF-VAR model," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 53(6), pages 3097-3117, November.
    5. Dimitrios Dimitriou & Eleftherios Goulas & Christos Kallandranis & Konstantinos Drakos, 2025. "Military Expenditures and Economic Growth: Evidence from NATO and Non-NATO Alliances," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(3), pages 324-348, April.

  478. Segnon, Mawuli & Lux, Thomas & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Modeling and forecasting the volatility of carbon dioxide emission allowance prices: A review and comparison of modern volatility models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 692-704.

    Cited by:

    1. Julyerme M. Tonin & Carlos M. R. Vieira & Rui M. de Sousa Fragoso & João G. Martines Filho, 2020. "Conditional correlation and volatility between spot and futures markets for soybean and corn," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(4), pages 707-724, October.
    2. Fang, Sheng & Lu, Xinsheng & Li, Jianfeng & Qu, Ling, 2018. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis of carbon emission allowance and stock returns," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 551-566.
    3. Liao, Haolan & Wu, Di & Wang, Yuhan & Lyu, Zeyu & Sun, Hongmei & Nie, Yongyou & He, He, 2022. "Impacts of carbon trading mechanism on closed-loop supply chain: A case study of stringer pallet remanufacturing," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    4. Jang, Minchul & Yoon, Soeun & Jung, Seoyoung & Min, Baehyun, 2024. "Simulating and assessing carbon markets: Application to the Korean and the EU ETSs," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    5. Katarzyna Rudnik & Anna Hnydiuk-Stefan & Aneta Kucińska-Landwójtowicz & Łukasz Mach, 2022. "Forecasting Day-Ahead Carbon Price by Modelling Its Determinants Using the PCA-Based Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-23, October.
    6. Guo, Xiaozhu & Huang, Dengshi & Li, Xiafei & Liang, Chao, 2023. "Are categorical EPU indices predictable for carbon futures volatility? Evidence from the machine learning method," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 672-693.
    7. Mohammed Berkhouch & Fernanda Maria Müller & Ghizlane Lakhnati & Marcelo Brutti Righi, 2022. "Deviation-Based Model Risk Measures," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(2), pages 527-547, February.
    8. Yaqi Wu & Chen Zhang & Po Yun & Dandan Zhu & Wei Cao & Zulfiqar Ali Wagan, 2021. "Time–frequency analysis of the interaction mechanism between European carbon and crude oil markets," Energy & Environment, , vol. 32(7), pages 1331-1357, November.
    9. Xin-Lan Fu & Xing-Lu Gao & Zheng Shan & Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2018. "Multifractal characteristics and return predictability in the Chinese stock markets," Papers 1806.07604, arXiv.org.
    10. Zhao, Xin & Han, Meng & Ding, Lili & Kang, Wanglin, 2018. "Usefulness of economic and energy data at different frequencies for carbon price forecasting in the EU ETS," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 132-141.
    11. Mawuli Segnon & Stelios Bekiros & Bernd Wilfling, 2018. "Forecasting Inflation Uncertainty in the G7 Countries," CQE Working Papers 7118, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    12. Xu, Jia & Tan, Xiujie & He, Gang & Liu, Yu, 2019. "Disentangling the drivers of carbon prices in China's ETS pilots — An EEMD approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 1-9.
    13. Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich & Shaiban, Mohammed Sharaf & Al-Freedi, Ajab, 2020. "Forecasting volatility in the petroleum futures markets: A re-examination and extension," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    14. Lyu, Chenyan, 2021. "Regional Carbon Markets in China: Cointegration and Heterogeneity," Working Papers 13-2021, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics.
    15. Xu, Hua & Wang, Minggang & Jiang, Shumin & Yang, Weiguo, 2020. "Carbon price forecasting with complex network and extreme learning machine," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
    16. Dahlen, Niklas & Fehrenkötter, Rieke & Schreiter, Maximilian, 2024. "The new bond on the block — Designing a carbon-linked bond for sustainable investment projects," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 316-325.
    17. Chang, Kai & Chen, Rongda & Chevallier, Julien, 2018. "Market fragmentation, liquidity measures and improvement perspectives from China's emissions trading scheme pilots," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 249-260.
    18. Vellachami, Sanggetha & Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich & Brooks, Robert, 2023. "Risk transmission from the energy markets to the carbon market: Evidence from the recursive window approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    19. Zhang, Chen & Yang, Yu & Yun, Po, 2020. "Risk measurement of international carbon market based on multiple risk factors heterogeneous dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    20. Yan, Kai & Zhang, Wei & Shen, Dehua, 2020. "Stylized facts of the carbon emission market in China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 555(C).
    21. Jonathan Berrisch & Florian Ziel, 2021. "CRPS Learning," Papers 2102.00968, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
    22. Małgorzata Błażejowska & Anna Czarny & Iwona Kowalska & Andrzej Michalczewski & Paweł Stępień, 2024. "The Effectiveness of the EU ETS Policy in Changing the Energy Mix in Selected European Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(17), pages 1-21, August.
    23. Mawuli Segnon & Chi Keung Lau & Bernd Wilfling & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Are multifractal processes suited to forecasting electricity price volatility? Evidence from Australian intraday data," CQE Working Papers 6117, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    24. Cristina Sattarhoff & Marc Gronwald, 2018. "How to Measure Financial Market Efficiency? A Multifractality-Based Quantitative Approach with an Application to the European Carbon Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 7102, CESifo.
    25. Tang, Ling & Wang, Haohan & Li, Ling & Yang, Kaitong & Mi, Zhifu, 2020. "Quantitative models in emission trading system research: A literature review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    26. Na Fu & Liyan Geng & Junhai Ma & Xue Ding, 2023. "Price, Complexity, and Mathematical Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-30, June.
    27. Hengzhen Lu & Qiujin Gao & Ling Xiao & Gurjeet Dhesi, 2024. "Forecasting EUA futures volatility with geopolitical risk: evidence from GARCH-MIDAS models," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 18(7), pages 1917-1943, July.
    28. Peng Ye & Yong Li & Abu Bakkar Siddik, 2023. "Forecasting the Return of Carbon Price in the Chinese Market Based on an Improved Stacking Ensemble Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-39, June.
    29. Živkov, Dejan & Kuzman, Boris & Japundžić, Miloš, 2025. "Using metals to hedge carbon emission allowances – Tail-risk and Omega ratio analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    30. Chen, Linfei & Zhao, Xuefeng, 2024. "A multiscale and multivariable differentiated learning for carbon price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    31. Berrisch, Jonathan & Ziel, Florian, 2023. "CRPS learning," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
    32. Yang, Yi & Yuan, Zhuqing & Gao, Haohao, 2024. "Allocating quotas for industrial carbon emissions fairly and efficiently to achieve “peak carbon”: A case of the yellow river basin in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 311(C).
    33. Zhou, Feite & Huang, Zhehao & Zhang, Changhong, 2022. "Carbon price forecasting based on CEEMDAN and LSTM," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 311(C).
    34. Tan, Xueping & Sirichand, Kavita & Vivian, Andrew & Wang, Xinyu, 2022. "Forecasting European carbon returns using dimension reduction techniques: Commodity versus financial fundamentals," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 944-969.
    35. Antonio Díaz & Gonzalo García-Donato & Andrés Mora-Valencia, 2019. "Quantifying Risk in Traditional Energy and Sustainable Investments," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-22, January.
    36. Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich & Poon, Wai Ching & Al-Freedi, Ajab & Heng, Zin Yau, 2018. "Forecasting volatility in the biofuel feedstock markets in the presence of structural breaks: A comparison of alternative distribution functions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 307-333.
    37. Chai, Shanglei & Zhou, P., 2018. "The Minimum-CVaR strategy with semi-parametric estimation in carbon market hedging problems," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 64-75.

  479. Boubaker Heni & Canarella Giorgio & Gupta Rangan & Miller Stephen M., 2017. "Time-varying persistence of inflation: evidence from a wavelet-based approach," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(4), pages 1-18, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  480. Chuliá, Helena & Gupta, Rangan & Uribe, Jorge M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Impact of US uncertainties on emerging and mature markets: Evidence from a quantile-vector autoregressive approach," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 178-191.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  481. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Persistence, Mean-Reversion and Non-linearities in Infant Mortality Rates," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 131(1), pages 393-405, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  482. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Jooste, Charl & Wohar, Mark E., 2016. "Periodically collapsing bubbles in the South African stock market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 191-201.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  483. Pierdzioch, Christian & Reid, Monique B. & Gupta, Rangan, 2016. "Forecasting the South African inflation rate: On asymmetric loss and forecast rationality," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 82-92.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  484. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 229-250, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  485. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & John W. Muteba Mwamba, 2016. "Dynamic Comovements Between Housing and Oil Markets in the US over 1859 to 2013: a Note," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 44(3), pages 377-386, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  486. Balcilar, Mehmet & Thompson, Kirsten & Gupta, Rangan & van Eyden, Reneé, 2016. "Testing the asymmetric effects of financial conditions in South Africa: A nonlinear vector autoregression approach," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 30-43.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  487. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Risse, Marian, 2016. "On international uncertainty links: BART-based empirical evidence for Canada," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 24-27.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  488. Patrick T. Kanda & Mehmet Balcilar & Pejman Bahramian & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting South African inflation using non-linearmodels: a weighted loss-based evaluation," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(26), pages 2412-2427, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  489. Lux, Thomas & Segnon, Mawuli & Gupta, Rangan, 2016. "Forecasting crude oil price volatility and value-at-risk: Evidence from historical and recent data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 117-133.

    Cited by:

    1. Gong, Xu & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "The incremental information content of investor fear gauge for volatility forecasting in the crude oil futures market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 370-386.
    2. Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price," Working Papers 202009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Oil-Price Volatility: The Role of Financial Stress and Asymmetric Loss," Working Papers 201903, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "The Role of News-Based Uncertainty Indices in Predicting Oil Markets: A Hybrid Nonparametric Quantile Causality Method," Working Papers 201522, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    6. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2018. "Geopolitical Risks and the Predictability of Regional Oil Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201860, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Yao, Ting & He, Ling-Yun & Ripple, Ronald, 2019. "Volatility forecasting of crude oil market: Can the regime switching GARCH model beat the single-regime GARCH models?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 302-317.
    8. Gupta, Rangan & Kanda, Patrick & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Time-varying predictability of oil market movements over a century of data: The role of US financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    9. Segnon, Mawuli & Lux, Thomas & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Modeling and forecasting the volatility of carbon dioxide emission allowance prices: A review and comparison of modern volatility models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 692-704.
    10. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Nima Nonejad, 2019. "Modeling Persistence and Parameter Instability in Historical Crude Oil Price Data Using a Gibbs Sampling Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(4), pages 1687-1710, April.
    12. Halkos, George & Tsirivis, Apostolos, 2019. "Using Value-at-Risk for effective energy portfolio risk management," MPRA Paper 91674, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Chai, Shanglei & Yang, Xiaoli & Zhang, Zhen & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Lucey, Brian, 2022. "Regional imbalances of market efficiency in China’s pilot emission trading schemes (ETS): A multifractal perspective," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    14. Riza Demirer & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Risk aversion and the predictability of crude oil market volatility: A forecasting experiment with random forests," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 73(8), pages 1755-1767, August.
    15. Naeem, Muhammad & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Mubashra, Sana & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2019. "Modeling volatility of precious metals markets by using regime-switching GARCH models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    16. Xin-Lan Fu & Xing-Lu Gao & Zheng Shan & Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2018. "Multifractal characteristics and return predictability in the Chinese stock markets," Papers 1806.07604, arXiv.org.
    17. Mawuli Segnon & Stelios Bekiros & Bernd Wilfling, 2018. "Forecasting Inflation Uncertainty in the G7 Countries," CQE Working Papers 7118, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    18. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2020. "Volatility forecasting with bivariate multifractal models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 155-167, March.
    19. Wei Kuang, 2022. "Oil tail-risk forecasts: from financial crisis to COVID-19," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(4), pages 420-460, December.
    20. Luo, Jiawen & Ji, Qiang & Klein, Tony & Todorova, Neda & Zhang, Dayong, 2020. "On realized volatility of crude oil futures markets: Forecasting with exogenous predictors under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    21. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "Forecasting Oil Volatility Using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach: The Role of Global Economic Conditions," Working Papers 202051, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Raggad, Bechir, 2023. "Can implied volatility predict returns on oil market? Evidence from Cross-Quantilogram Approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    23. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "Global Financial Cycle and the Predictability of Oil Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Model," Working Papers 202121, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Mawuli Segnon & Stelios Bekiros, 2020. "Forecasting volatility in bitcoin market," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 435-462, September.
    25. Frantiv{s}ek v{C}ech & Jozef Barun'ik, 2018. "Panel quantile regressions for estimating and predicting the Value--at--Risk of commodities," Papers 1807.11823, arXiv.org.
    26. Bechir Raggad & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Quantile Dependence between Crude Oil Returns and Implied Volatility: Evidence from Parametric and Nonparametric Tests," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-23, January.
    27. Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich & Shaiban, Mohammed Sharaf & Al-Freedi, Ajab, 2020. "Forecasting volatility in the petroleum futures markets: A re-examination and extension," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    28. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "The predictive power of oil price shocks on realized volatility of oil: A note," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    29. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    30. Wang, Qiang & Li, Shuyu & Li, Rongrong, 2018. "China's dependency on foreign oil will exceed 80% by 2030: Developing a novel NMGM-ARIMA to forecast China's foreign oil dependence from two dimensions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 151-167.
    31. Nima Nonejad, 2024. "Point forecasts of the price of crude oil: an attempt to “beat” the end-of-month random-walk benchmark," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(4), pages 1497-1539, October.
    32. Mastroeni, Loretta & Mazzoccoli, Alessandro, 2024. "Quantifying predictive knowledge: Wavelet energy α-divergence measure for time series uncertainty reduction," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    33. Pham, Son Duy & Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Do, Hung Xuan, 2022. "Dynamic volatility connectedness between thermal coal futures and major cryptocurrencies: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    34. Bei, Shuhua & Yang, Aijun & Pei, Haotian & Si, Xiaoli, 2023. "Price Risk Analysis using GARCH Family Models: Evidence from Shanghai Crude Oil Futures Market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    35. Chai, Jian & Xing, Li-Min & Zhou, Xiao-Yang & Zhang, Zhe George & Li, Jie-Xun, 2018. "Forecasting the WTI crude oil price by a hybrid-refined method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 114-127.
    36. Zhe Jiang & Yunguo Lu & Lin Zhang, 2025. "Integrating sentiment information for risk prediction: the case of crude oil futures market in China," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 68(4), pages 1677-1718, April.
    37. Yong Shi & Wei Dai & Wen Long & Bo Li, 2021. "Deep Kernel Gaussian Process Based Financial Market Predictions," Papers 2105.12293, arXiv.org.
    38. Charles, Amélie & Darné, Olivier, 2017. "Forecasting crude-oil market volatility: Further evidence with jumps," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 508-519.
    39. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    40. Lyu, Yongjian & Wang, Peng & Wei, Yu & Ke, Rui, 2017. "Forecasting the VaR of crude oil market: Do alternative distributions help?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 523-534.
    41. Sun, Jie & Zhao, Xiaojun & Xu, Chao, 2021. "Crude oil market autocorrelation: Evidence from multiscale quantile regression analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    42. Liu, Bing-Yue & Ji, Qiang & Fan, Ying, 2017. "Dynamic return-volatility dependence and risk measure of CoVaR in the oil market: A time-varying mixed copula model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 53-65.
    43. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Do Bivariate Multifractal Models Improve Volatility Forecasting in Financial Time Series? An Application to Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets," Working Papers 201728, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    44. Alizadeh, Amir H. & Huang, Chih-Yueh & Marsh, Ian W., 2021. "Modelling the volatility of TOCOM energy futures: A regime switching realised volatility approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    45. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "OPEC News and Jumps in the Oil Market," Working Papers 202053, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    46. Xu Gong & Boqiang Lin, 2021. "Effects of structural changes on the prediction of downside volatility in futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1124-1153, July.
    47. Mawuli Segnon & Chi Keung Lau & Bernd Wilfling & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Are multifractal processes suited to forecasting electricity price volatility? Evidence from Australian intraday data," CQE Working Papers 6117, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    48. Anjum, Hassan & Malik, Farooq, 2020. "Forecasting risk in the US Dollar exchange rate under volatility shifts," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    49. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Mixed‐frequency forecasting of crude oil volatility based on the information content of global economic conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 134-157, January.
    50. Cristina Sattarhoff & Marc Gronwald, 2018. "How to Measure Financial Market Efficiency? A Multifractality-Based Quantitative Approach with an Application to the European Carbon Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 7102, CESifo.
    51. Catalin Popescu & Sorin Alexandru Gheorghiu, 2021. "Economic Analysis and Generic Algorithm for Optimizing the Investments Decision-Making Process in Oil Field Development," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-24, September.
    52. Patra, Saswat, 2021. "Revisiting value-at-risk and expected shortfall in oil markets under structural breaks: The role of fat-tailed distributions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    53. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    54. Oscar V. De la Torre-Torres & Evaristo Galeana-Figueroa & María de la Cruz Del Río-Rama & José Álvarez-García, 2022. "Using Markov-Switching Models in US Stocks Optimal Portfolio Selection in a Black–Litterman Context (Part 1)," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-28, April.
    55. Meng, Fanyi & Liu, Li, 2019. "Analyzing the economic sources of oil price volatility: An out-of-sample perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 476-486.
    56. Gong, Xu & Lin, Boqiang, 2017. "Forecasting the good and bad uncertainties of crude oil prices using a HAR framework," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 315-327.
    57. Kakade, Kshitij & Jain, Ishan & Mishra, Aswini Kumar, 2022. "Value-at-Risk forecasting: A hybrid ensemble learning GARCH-LSTM based approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    58. Mastroeni, Loretta & Mazzoccoli, Alessandro & Vellucci, Pierluigi, 2024. "Studying the impact of fluctuations, spikes and rare events in time series through a wavelet entropy predictability measure," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 641(C).
    59. Nonejad, Nima, 2018. "Déjà vol oil? Predicting S&P 500 equity premium using crude oil price volatility: Evidence from old and recent time-series data," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 260-270.
    60. Chen, Hongtao & Liu, Li & Li, Xiaolei, 2018. "The predictive content of CBOE crude oil volatility index," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 837-850.
    61. Nima Nonejad, 2020. "Does the price of crude oil help predict the conditional distribution of aggregate equity return?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 313-349, January.
    62. González-Pla, Francisco & Lovreta, Lidija, 2022. "Modeling and forecasting firm-specific volatility: The role of asymmetry and long-memory," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    63. Yushu Li & Hyunjoo Kim Karlsson, 2023. "Investigating the Asymmetric Behavior of Oil Price Volatility Using Support Vector Regression," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(4), pages 1765-1790, April.
    64. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    65. Dondukova Oyuna & Liu Yaobin, 2021. "Forecasting the Crude Oil Prices Volatility With Stochastic Volatility Models," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(3), pages 21582440211, July.
    66. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Infectious Diseases, Market Uncertainty and Oil Market Volatility," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-8, August.
    67. Bradley T. Ewing & Farooq Malik & Hassan Anjum, 2019. "Forecasting value‐at‐risk in oil prices in the presence of volatility shifts," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(3), pages 341-350, July.
    68. Zhao, Lu-Tao & Wang, Dai-Song & Ren, Zhong-Yuan, 2024. "The impact of joint events on oil price volatility: Evidence from a dynamic graphical news analysis model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    69. Xu Gong & Boqiang Lin, 2022. "Predicting the volatility of crude oil futures: The roles of leverage effects and structural changes," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 610-640, January.
    70. Pablo Cansado-Bravo & Carlos Rodríguez-Monroy, 2018. "Persistence of Oil Prices in Gas Import Prices and the Resilience of the Oil-Indexation Mechanism. The Case of Spanish Gas Import Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-17, December.
    71. Nademi, Arash & Nademi, Younes, 2018. "Forecasting crude oil prices by a semiparametric Markov switching model: OPEC, WTI, and Brent cases," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 757-766.
    72. Lang, Korbinian & Auer, Benjamin R., 2020. "The economic and financial properties of crude oil: A review," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    73. Antonio Díaz & Gonzalo García-Donato & Andrés Mora-Valencia, 2019. "Quantifying Risk in Traditional Energy and Sustainable Investments," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-22, January.
    74. Mawuli Segnon & Stelios Bekiros, 2019. "Forecasting Volatility in Cryptocurrency Markets," CQE Working Papers 7919, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.

  490. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Christophe André & Rangan Gupta & Tsangyao Chang & Omid Ranjbar, 2016. "The Feldstein--Horioka puzzle in South Africa: A fractional cointegration approach," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(7), pages 978-991, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  491. Pierdzioch, Christian & Reid, Monique B. & Gupta, Rangan, 2016. "Inflation forecasts and forecaster herding: Evidence from South African survey data," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 42-50.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  492. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Christophe André & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Dynamic Spillovers in the United States: Stock Market, Housing, Uncertainty, and the Macroeconomy," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 83(2), pages 609-624, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  493. Aviral K. Tiwari & Claudiu T. Albulescu & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Time-frequency relationship between US output with commodity and asset prices," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(3), pages 227-242, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  494. Lei Chen & Rangan Gupta & Zinnia Mukherjee & Peter Wanke, 2016. "Technical efficiency of Connecticut Long Island Sound lobster fishery: a nonparametric approach to aggregate frontier analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(3), pages 1533-1548, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  495. Lumengo Bonga-Bonga & Jean Luc Erero & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Impact of Activity Tax in the Property-Owning and Subletting of Fixed Property Sectors on the South African Economy: A CGE Analysis," Journal of Real Estate Literature, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 345-357, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  496. Marcos Álvarez-Díaz & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting US consumer price index: does nonlinearity matter?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(46), pages 4462-4475, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Hany Guirguis & Vaneesha Boney Dutra & Zoe McGreevy, 2022. "The impact of global economies on US inflation: A test of the Phillips curve," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(3), pages 575-592, July.
    2. Tea Šestanović & Josip Arnerić, 2021. "Can Recurrent Neural Networks Predict Inflation in Euro Zone as Good as Professional Forecasters?," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(19), pages 1-13, October.
    3. Marcos à lvarez-Díaz & Manuel González-Gómez & María Soledad Otero-Giráldez, 2019. "Estimating the economic impact of a political conflict on tourism: The case of the Catalan separatist challenge," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(1), pages 34-50, February.
    4. Xiao, Jiang & Wang, Minggang & Tian, Lixin & Zhen, Zaili, 2018. "The measurement of China’s consumer market development based on CPI data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 664-680.
    5. Marcos Álvarez-Díaz & Manuel González-Gómez & María Soledad Otero-Giráldez, 2018. "Forecasting International Tourism Demand Using a Non-Linear Autoregressive Neural Network and Genetic Programming," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 1(1), pages 1-17, September.
    6. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Do house prices hedge inflation in the US? A quantile cointegration approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 15-26.
    7. Panpan Zhu & Qingjie Zhou & Yinpeng Zhang, 2024. "Investor attention and consumer price index inflation rate: Evidence from the United States," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.
    8. Marcos Álvarez-Díaz, 2020. "Is it possible to accurately forecast the evolution of Brent crude oil prices? An answer based on parametric and nonparametric forecasting methods," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(3), pages 1285-1305, September.
    9. Qingru Sun & Xiangyun Gao & Ze Wang & Siyao Liu & Sui Guo & Yang Li, 2020. "Quantifying the risk of price fluctuations based on weighted Granger causality networks of consumer price indices: evidence from G7 countries," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 15(4), pages 821-844, October.

  497. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Segnon, Mawuli, 2016. "The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions: A mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 10, pages 1-20.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  498. Beatrice Simo-Kengne & Stephen Miller & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2016. "Evolution of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the US: the Role of Asset Returns," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 226-243, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  499. Tsangyao Chang & Wen-Chi Liu & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Are there housing bubbles in South Africa? Evidence from SPSM-based panel KSS test with a Fourier function," Global Business and Economics Review, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 18(5), pages 517-532.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  500. Xiao-lin Li & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Tsangyao Chang, 2016. "The Causal Relationship Between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Returns in China and India: Evidence from a Bootstrap Rolling Window Approach," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(3), pages 674-689, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  501. Tsangyao Chang & Luis Gil-Alana & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Omid Ranjbar, 2016. "Testing for bubbles in the BRICS stock markets," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 43(4), pages 646-660, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Caspi, Itamar & Graham, Meital, 2018. "Testing for bubbles in stock markets with irregular dividend distribution," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 89-94.
    2. Fatima, Hira & Ahmed, Mumtaz, 2019. "Testing for Exuberance Behavior in Agricultural Commodities of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 95304, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Periodically Collapsing Bubbles in the South African Stock Market," Working Papers 201624, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Waleed Khalid & Kashif Ur Rehman & Muhammad Kashif, 2019. "The Impact of Merger and Acquisition Firms on Stock Market Bubble," Global Regional Review, Humanity Only, vol. 4(1), pages 335-342, March.
    5. Ayesha Liaqat & Mian Sajid Nazir & Iftikhar Ahmad, 2019. "Identification of multiple stock bubbles in an emerging market: application of GSADF approach," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 301-326, August.
    6. Ahmed, Mumtaz & Bashir, Uzma & Ullah, Irfan, 2021. "Testing for explosivity in US-Pak Exchange Rate via Sequential ADF Procedures," MPRA Paper 109607, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles in an Emerging Country: The Case of India," Working Papers 202305, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Wei, Yigang & Li, Yan & Wang, Zhicheng, 2022. "Multiple price bubbles in global major emission trading schemes: Evidence from European Union, New Zealand, South Korea and China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    9. Wang, Shaoping & Yu, Lu & Zhao, Qing, 2021. "Do factor models explain stock returns when prices behave explosively? Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    10. Mei-Chih Wang & Tsangyao Chang & Jennifer Min, 2022. "Revisit stock price bubbles in the COVID-19 period: Further evidence from Taiwan’s and Mainland China’s tourism industries," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(4), pages 951-960, June.
    11. Ayesha Liaqat & Mian Sajid Nazir & Iftikhar Ahmad & Hammad Hassan Mirza & Farooq Anwar, 2020. "Do stock price bubbles correlate between China and Pakistan? An inquiry of pre‐ and post‐Chinese investment in Pakistani capital market under China‐Pakistan Economic Corridor regime," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(3), pages 323-335, July.

  502. Bekiros, Stelios & Gupta, Rangan & Kyei, Clement, 2016. "On economic uncertainty, stock market predictability and nonlinear spillover effects," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 184-191.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  503. Zhang, Qunzhi & Sornette, Didier & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Yetkiner, Hakan, 2016. "LPPLS bubble indicators over two centuries of the S&P 500 index," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 458(C), pages 126-139.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  504. Omokolade Akinsomi & Goodness C. Aye & Vassilios Babalos & Fotini Economou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Real estate returns predictability revisited: novel evidence from the US REITs market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 1165-1190, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  505. Nasr, Adnen Ben & Lux, Thomas & Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen & Gupta, Rangan, 2016. "Forecasting the volatility of the Dow Jones Islamic Stock Market Index: Long memory vs. regime switching," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 559-571.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  506. Goodness C. Aye & Frederick W. Deale & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Does Debt Ceiling and Government Shutdown Help in Forecasting the US Equity Risk Premium?," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 63(3), pages 273-291.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  507. Omokolade Akinsomi & Goodness C. Aye & Vassilios Babalos & Fotini Economou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Erratum to: Real estate returns predictability revisited: novel evidence from the US REITs market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 1191-1191, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Asli Yuksel & Aydin Yuksel, 2020. "The U.S. Term Structure and Return Volatility in Global REIT Markets," Working Papers 202069, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty And The Comovement In Buying Versus Renting In The Usa," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(3), pages 93-121, September.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Testing the Forecasting Power of Global Economic Conditions for the Volatility of International REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202211, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Chang, Kuang-Liang, 2021. "Do U.S. and Japanese uncertainty shocks play important roles in affecting transition mechanisms of Japanese stock market?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    6. Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Esin Cakan, 2017. "The International REIT's Time-Varying Response to the U.S. Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Surprises," Working Papers 201712, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Goodness C. Aye & Matthew W. Clance & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Effect of Economic Uncertainty on the Housing Market Cycle," Working Papers 201757, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    9. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and the Comovement in Buying versus Renting in the United States," Working Papers 201832, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Jiqian Wang & Rangan Gupta & Oğuzhan Çepni & Feng Ma, 2023. "Forecasting international REITs volatility: the role of oil-price uncertainty," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(14), pages 1579-1597, September.
    11. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Does Inequality Really Matter in Forecasting Real Housing Returns of the United Kingdom?," Working Papers 201859, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Kola Akinsomi & Yener Coskun & Rangan Gupta & Marco Lau Chi Keung, 2018. "Impact of Volatility and Equity Market Uncertainty on Herd Behaviour: Evidence from UK REITs," ERES eres2018_52, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    14. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Hassapis, Christis, 2017. "Does economic policy uncertainty forecast real housing returns in a panel of OECD countries? A Bayesian approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 50-60.
    15. Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2021. "Dynamic Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy on International REITs," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-19, September.
    16. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "What can Fifty-Two Collateralizable Wealth Measures tell us about Future Housing Market Returns? Evidence from U.S. State-Level Data," Working Papers 201974, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Nuri Hacıevliyagil & Krzysztof Drachal & Ibrahim Halil Eksi, 2022. "Predicting House Prices Using DMA Method: Evidence from Turkey," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-27, March.
    18. Huang, MeiChi, 2024. "A greater crisis? Investigating MSA-level housing markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    19. Sercan Demiralay & Erhan Kilincarslan, 2024. "Uncertainty Measures and Sector-Specific REITs in a Regime-Switching Environment," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(3), pages 545-584, October.
    20. Cepni, Oguzhan & Dul, Wiehan & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The dynamics of U.S. REITs returns to uncertainty shocks: A proxy SVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    21. Geoffrey M. Ngene & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Impact of Housing Policy Uncertainty on Herding Behavior: Evidence from UK's Regional Housing Markets," Working Papers 202115, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Mehmet Balcilar & Gizem Uzuner & Festus Victor Bekun & Mark E. Wohar, 2023. "Housing price uncertainty and housing prices in the UK in a time-varying environment," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 523-549, May.
    23. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on US REITs Moments: Evidence from VARs with Functional Shocks," Working Papers 202219, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    25. Wei, Yu & Cao, Yang, 2017. "Forecasting house prices using dynamic model averaging approach: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 147-155.
    26. Salisu, Afees A. & Akinsomi, Omokolade & Ametefe, Frank Kwakutse & Hammed, Yinka S., 2024. "Gold market volatility and REITs' returns during tranquil and turbulent episodes," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).
    27. Odusami, Babatunde O., 2021. "Volatility jumps and their determinants in REIT returns," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    28. Qiao, Xingzhi & Zhu, Huiming & Zhang, Zhongqingyang & Mao, Weifang, 2022. "Time-frequency transmission mechanism of EPU, investor sentiment and financial assets: A multiscale TVP-VAR connectedness analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).

  508. Aye, Goodness C. & Chang, Tsangyao & Gupta, Rangan, 2016. "Is gold an inflation-hedge? Evidence from an interrupted Markov-switching cointegration model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 77-84.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  509. Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "A non-linear approach for predicting stock returns and volatility with the use of investor sentiment indices," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(31), pages 2895-2898, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  510. Aloui, Riadh & Gupta, Rangan & Miller, Stephen M., 2016. "Uncertainty and crude oil returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 92-100.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  511. Hassani, Hossein & Huang, Xu & Gupta, Rangan & Ghodsi, Mansi, 2016. "Does sunspot numbers cause global temperatures? A reconsideration using non-parametric causality tests," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 460(C), pages 54-65.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  512. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2016. "The dynamic response of the rand real exchange rate to fundamental shocks," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 43(1), pages 108-121, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Raputsoane, Leroi, 2024. "Foreign exchange developments and the minerals industry," MPRA Paper 123014, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  513. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2016. "Does uncertainty move the gold price? New evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 74-80.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  514. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Cunado, Juncal & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Gupta, Rangan, 2016. "Is inflation persistence different in reality?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 55-58.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  515. Paetz, Michael & Gupta, Rangan, 2016. "Stock price dynamics and the business cycle in an estimated DSGE model for South Africa," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 166-182.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  516. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2016. "Analyzing South Africa’s inflation persistence using an ARFIMA model with Markov-switching fractional differencing parameter," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 50(1), pages 47-57, January-M.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  517. Apergis, Nicholas & Chang, Tsangyao & Gupta, Rangan & Ziramba, Emmanuel, 2016. "Hydroelectricity consumption and economic growth nexus: Evidence from a panel of ten largest hydroelectricity consumers," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 318-325.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  518. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Ahdi N. Ajmi & Ghassen El Montasser & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Research output and economic growth in G7 countries: new evidence from asymmetric panel causality testing," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(24), pages 2301-2308, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  519. Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Mehmet Bacilar & Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Causal Relationship between Asset Prices and Output in the United States: Evidence from the State-Level Panel Granger Causality Test," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(10), pages 1728-1741, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Mortgage Default Risks and High-Frequency Predictability of the U.S. Housing Market: A Reconsideration," Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 111-117, December.
    2. Z Fang & D Ding & C Guan, 2024. "Does Methodology Matter? Revisiting the Energy-growth Nexus in Asia Pacific Economies," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 29(1), pages 5-34, March.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Spillovers across macroeconomic, financial and real estate uncertainties: A time-varying approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 167-173.
    5. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "Estimating U.S. Housing Price Network Connectedness: Evidence from Dynamic Elastic Net, Lasso, and Ridge Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Papers 202065, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Fang, Zheng & Chang, Youngho, 2016. "Energy, human capital and economic growth in Asia Pacific countries — Evidence from a panel cointegration and causality analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 177-184.
    7. Zheng Fang & Jiang Yu, 2020. "The role of human capital in energy-growth nexus: an international evidence," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1225-1247, March.
    8. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "House price synchronization across the US states: The role of structural oil shocks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    9. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2020. "Forecasting State- and MSA-Level Housing Returns of the US: The Role of Mortgage Default Risks," Working Papers 202037, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "What can Fifty-Two Collateralizable Wealth Measures tell us about Future Housing Market Returns? Evidence from U.S. State-Level Data," Working Papers 201974, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Eric Olson, 2020. "Effect of uncertainty on U.S. stock returns and volatility: evidence from over eighty years of high-frequency data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(16), pages 1305-1311, September.
    12. Huang, MeiChi, 2024. "A greater crisis? Investigating MSA-level housing markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    13. Milind Kumar Jha & K. Rangarajan, 2020. "Analysis of corporate sustainability performance and corporate financial performance causal linkage in the Indian context," Asian Journal of Sustainability and Social Responsibility, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 1-30, December.
    14. Yener Coskun & Christos Bouras & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Multi-Horizon Financial and Housing Wealth Effects across the U.S. States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-20, January.
    15. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Jacobus Nel, 2022. "Do Climate Risks Predict US Housing Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Quantiles-Based Approach," Working Papers 202240, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Vasilios Plakandaras & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "The Role of Housing Sentiment in Forecasting US Home Sales Growth: Evidence from a Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201842, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Mehmet Balcilar & Gizem Uzuner & Festus Victor Bekun & Mark E. Wohar, 2023. "Housing price uncertainty and housing prices in the UK in a time-varying environment," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 523-549, May.
    18. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Wenting Liao & Jun Ma, 2022. "Climate Risks and Forecastability of the Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions of the United States," Working Papers 202251, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  520. Goodness C. Aye & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2016. "Forecasting US real private residential fixed investment using a large number of predictors," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(4), pages 1557-1580, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  521. Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Masabala & Simo-Kengne & Weideman, 2016. "The causal relationship between natural gas consumption and economic growth: evidence from the G7 countries," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 38-46, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  522. Tiwari, Aviral K. & Dar, Arif B. & Bhanja, Niyati & Gupta, Rangan, 2016. "A historical analysis of the US stock price index using empirical mode decomposition over 1791-2015," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 10, pages 1-15.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  523. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Gupta, Rangan & Olubusoye, Olusanya E. & Yaya, OlaOluwa S., 2016. "Time series analysis of persistence in crude oil price volatility across bull and bear regimes," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 29-37.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  524. Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise & Josine Uwilingiye, 2016. "Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Predictability in South Africa: Evidence from a Large Number of Predictors," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(8), pages 1935-1955, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  525. Bekiros, Stelios & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee, 2016. "Incorporating economic policy uncertainty in US equity premium models: A nonlinear predictability analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 291-296.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  526. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Gupta, Rangan & de Gracia, Fernando Perez, 2016. "Modeling persistence of carbon emission allowance prices," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 221-226.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  527. Lahiani, Amine & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Gupta, Rangan, 2016. "Linkages between financial sector CDS spreads and macroeconomic influence in a nonlinear setting," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 443-456.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  528. Simplice Asongu & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Trust and quality of growth: a note," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(3), pages 1854-1867.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  529. Ghassen El-Montasser & Ahdi N. Ajmi & Tsangyao Chang & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Christophe André & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Cross-Country Evidence on the Causal Relationship between Policy Uncertainty and Housing Prices," Journal of Housing Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2), pages 195-211, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Yang, Chih-Yuan & Chang, Chia-Chien, 2024. "Do economic uncertainty and persistence in housing prices matter on mortgage insurance?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 33-44.

  530. Mehmet Balcilar & Shinhye Chang & Rangan Gupta & Vanessa Kasongo & Clement Kyei, 2016. "The relationship between oil and agricultural commodity prices in south africa: a quantile causality approach," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 50(2), pages 137-152, April-Jun.

    Cited by:

    1. Noureddine Benlagha & Wafa Abdelmalek, 2024. "Dynamic connectedness between energy and agricultural commodities: insights from the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia–Ukraine conflict," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 14(3), pages 781-825, September.
    2. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2020. "The tail dependence structure between investor sentiment and commodity markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    3. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Solarin, Sakiru Adebola & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2018. "Analyzing the time-frequency lead–lag relationship between oil and agricultural commodities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 470-494.
    4. Nonelelo Vuba & Thobekile Qabhobho, 2024. "The Risk Transfer among Exchange Rates, Energy Commodities, and Agricultural Commodity Prices in SADC Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(2), pages 287-298, March.
    5. Kgabo Lucracia Ledwaba & Chiedza L. Muchopa & Abenet Belete, 2025. "Price Interaction Between Crude Oil, Selected Grains, and Oilseeds in South Africa," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-20, January.
    6. Aye, Goodness C. & Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2021. "Oil prices and agricultural growth in South Africa: A threshold analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).

  531. Bekiros, Stelios & Gupta, Rangan & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2015. "Oil price forecastability and economic uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 125-128.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  532. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar, 2015. "Forecasting US real house price returns over 1831-2013: evidence from copula models," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(48), pages 5204-5213, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  533. Janneke Dlamini & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2015. "Revisiting the causality between electricity consumption and economic growth in South Africa: a bootstrap rolling-window approach," International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 8(2), pages 169-190.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  534. Beatrice Simo-Kengne & Stephen Miller & Rangan Gupta & Goodness Aye, 2015. "Time-Varying Effects of Housing and Stock Returns on U.S. Consumption," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 339-354, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Punzi, Maria Teresa, 2016. "Financial cycles and co-movements between the real economy, finance and asset price dynamics in large-scale crises," FinMaP-Working Papers 61, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Stephen M. Miller & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "U.S. Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices: The Role of Partisan Conflict," Working Papers 201742, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Aviral K. Tiwari, 2016. "Time-Varying Correlations between Inflation and Stock Prices in the United States over the Last Two Centuries," Working Papers 201605, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Constantinos Katrakilidis & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Role of Macroeconomic Shocks on House Prices in the US and UK: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201765, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Coşkun Akdeniz, 2021. "Construction of the Monetary Conditions Index with TVP-VAR Model: Empirical Evidence for Turkish Economy," Springer Books, in: Burcu Adıgüzel Mercangöz (ed.), Handbook of Research on Emerging Theories, Models, and Applications of Financial Econometrics, edition 1, pages 215-228, Springer.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Changing Dynamics of the U.S. REITs Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-12, May.
    7. Tiwari Aviral Kumar & Cunado Juncal & Gupta Rangan & Wohar Mark E., 2019. "Are stock returns an inflation hedge for the UK? Evidence from a wavelet analysis using over three centuries of data," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 23(3), pages 1-17, June.
    8. Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark, 2017. "Forecasting oil and stock returns with a Qual VAR using over 150years off data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 181-186.
    9. Chang, Tsangyao & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Predicting stock market movements with a time-varying consumption-aggregate wealth ratio," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 458-467.
    10. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Bing Zhu & Lingxiao Li & David H. Downs & Steffen Sebastian, 2019. "New Evidence on Housing Wealth and Consumption Channels," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 51-79, January.
    12. Chi-Wei Su & Xiao-Cui Yin & Ran Tao, 2018. "How do housing prices affect consumption in China? New evidence from a continuous wavelet analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(9), pages 1-14, September.
    13. Rojo-Suárez, Javier & Alonso-Conde, Ana B. & Lago-Balsalobre, Rubén, 2024. "Industry bubbles and unexpected consumption shocks: A cross-sectional explanation of stock returns under recursive preferences," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1156-1169.
    14. Javier Rojo‐Suárez & Ana Belén Alonso‐Conde & Rubén Lago‐Balsalobre, 2021. "Industry bubbles and the cross‐sectional variation of expected consumption growth," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(3), pages 1047-1055, September.
    15. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    16. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Aviral Kumar Twari, 2015. "Time-Varying Correlations between Trade Balance and Stock Prices in the United States over the Period 1792 to 2013," Working Papers 2015100, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. N. Kundan Kishor & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2017. "The Dynamic Relationship Between Housing Prices and the Macroeconomy: Evidence from OECD Countries," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 237-268, February.
    18. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral K., 2017. "Has the correlation of inflation and stock prices changed in the United States over the last two centuries?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1-8.
    19. Xiaorong Zhou & Meng-Shiuh Chang & Karen Gibler, 2016. "The asymmetric wealth effects of housing market and stock market on consumption in China," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(2), pages 196-216, April.
    20. Abdorasoul Sadeghi & Hussein Marzban & Ali Hussein Samadi & Karim Azarbaiejani & Parviz Rostamzadeh, 2022. "Financial intermediaries and speculation in the foreign exchange market: the role of monetary policy in Iran’s economy," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, December.
    21. Liu, Tangyong & Gong, Xu, 2020. "Analyzing time-varying volatility spillovers between the crude oil markets using a new method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).

  535. Chang, Tsangyao & Chen, Wen-Yi & Gupta, Rangan & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2015. "Are stock prices related to the political uncertainty index in OECD countries? Evidence from the bootstrap panel causality test," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 288-300.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  536. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Christophe André, 2015. "Dynamic Co-movements between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Housing Market Returns," Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 53-60, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  537. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kotzé, Kevin, 2015. "Forecasting macroeconomic data for an emerging market with a nonlinear DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 215-228.

    Cited by:

    1. Olalude, Gbenga Adelekan & Olayinka, Hammed Abiola & Ankeli, Uchechi Constance, 2020. "Modelling and forecasting inflation rate in Nigeria using ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 105342, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2020.
    2. Duncan, Roberto & Martínez-García, Enrique, 2019. "New perspectives on forecasting inflation in emerging market economies: An empirical assessment," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1008-1031.
    3. Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Juan Angel Garcia, 2018. "Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics in ASEAN Economies," IMF Working Papers 2018/147, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Sergey Ivashchenko & Semih Emre Çekin & Kevin Kotzé & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Forecasting with Second-Order Approximations and Markov-Switching DSGE Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(4), pages 747-771, December.
    5. Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotze & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa, vol. 0.
    6. Niu, Linlin & Xu, Xiu & Chen, Ying, 2017. "An adaptive approach to forecasting three key macroeconomic variables for transitional China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 201-213.
    7. Nalban, Valeriu, 2018. "Forecasting with DSGE models: What frictions are important?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 190-204.
    8. Nyoni, Thabani & Nathaniel, Solomon Prince, 2018. "Modeling rates of inflation in Nigeria: an application of ARMA, ARIMA and GARCH models," MPRA Paper 91351, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Rudi Steinbach, 2020. "Forecasting output growth using a DSGE-based decomposition of the South African yield curve," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 351-378, January.
    10. Bahram Adrangi & Juan Nicolás D’Amico, 2023. "Equity Returns and the Output Shocks in a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Framework," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-14, April.

  538. Apergis, Nicholas & Aye, Goodness C. & Barros, Carlos Pestana & Gupta, Rangan & Wanke, Peter, 2015. "Energy efficiency of selected OECD countries: A slacks based model with undesirable outputs," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 45-53.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  539. El Montasser, Ghassen & Gupta, Rangan & Martins, Andre Luis & Wanke, Peter, 2015. "Are there multiple bubbles in the ethanol–gasoline price ratio of Brazil?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 19-23.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  540. Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Causality between research output and economic growth in BRICS," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 49(1), pages 167-176, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  541. Bekiros, Stelios & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Predicting stock returns and volatility using consumption-aggregate wealth ratios: A nonlinear approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 83-85.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  542. Nazlioglu, Saban & Soytas, Ugur & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Oil prices and financial stress: A volatility spillover analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 278-288.

    Cited by:

    1. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Oil-Price Volatility: The Role of Financial Stress and Asymmetric Loss," Working Papers 201903, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Mbarki, Imen & Khan, Muhammad Arif & Karim, Sitara & Paltrinieri, Andrea & Lucey, Brian M., 2023. "Unveiling commodities-financial markets intersections from a bibliometric perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    3. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu, 2020. "Coronavirus and oil price crash," Working Papers hal-02507184, HAL.
    4. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The impacts of structural oil shocks on macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from a large panel of 45 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    5. Antonio J. Garz n & Luis . Hierro, 2018. "Fracking, Wars and Stock Market Crashes: The Price of Oil During the Great Recession," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(2), pages 20-30.
    6. Maryam Ahmadi & Niaz Bashiri Behmiri & Matteo Manera, 2020. "The theory of storage in the crude oil futures market, the role of financial conditions," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1160-1175, July.
    7. Gupta, Rangan & Kanda, Patrick & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Time-varying predictability of oil market movements over a century of data: The role of US financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    8. Gaoke Liao & Zhenghui Li & Ziqing Du & Yue Liu, 2019. "The Heterogeneous Interconnections between Supply or Demand Side and Oil Risks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-17, June.
    9. Chen, Louisa & Verousis, Thanos & Wang, Kai & Zhou, Zhiping, 2023. "Financial stress and commodity price volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    10. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Wang, Lijun & An, Haizhong & Liu, Xiaojia & Huang, Xuan, 2016. "Selecting dynamic moving average trading rules in the crude oil futures market using a genetic approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 1608-1618.
    12. Attílio, Luccas Assis, 2025. "Critical minerals: A new source of macroeconomic fluctuation?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    13. Hong, Yanran & Li, Pan & Wang, Lu & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "New evidence of extreme risk transmission between financial stress and international crude oil markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    14. Dibooglu, Sel & Cevik, Emrah I. & Gillman, Max, 2022. "Gold, silver, and the US dollar as harbingers of financial calm and distress," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 200-210.
    15. Flori, Andrea & Pammolli, Fabio & Spelta, Alessandro, 2021. "Commodity prices co-movements and financial stability: A multidimensional visibility nexus with climate conditions," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    16. Sánchez-García, Javier & Mattera, Raffaele & Cruz-Rambaud, Salvador & Cerqueti, Roy, 2024. "Measuring financial stability in the presence of energy shocks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    17. Das, Debojyoti & Kannadhasan, M. & Bhattacharyya, Malay, 2019. "Do the emerging stock markets react to international economic policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk and financial stress alike?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 1-19.
    18. Niaz Bashiri Behmiri & Maryam Ahmadi & Juha-Pekka Junttila & Matteo Manera, 2021. "Financial Stress and Basis in Energy Markets," The Energy Journal, , vol. 42(5), pages 67-88, September.
    19. Guo, Yaoqi & Yao, Shanshan & Cheng, Hui & Zhu, Wensong, 2020. "China's copper futures market efficiency analysis: Based on nonlinear Granger causality and multifractal methods," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    20. Zouheir Ahmed Mighri & Majid Ibrahim Alsaggaf, 2019. "Asymmetric Threshold Cointegration and Nonlinear Adjustment between Oil Prices and Financial Stress," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(3), pages 87-105.
    21. Yuan, Ying & Du, Xinyu, 2023. "Dynamic spillovers across global stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from jumps and higher moments," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 628(C).
    22. Silva, Thiago Christiano & Braz, Tercio & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda, 2024. "Mapping the landscape of energy markets research: A bibliometric analysis and predictive assessment using machine learning," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    23. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    24. Ahmed H. Elsayed & Gareth Downing & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Xin Sheng, 2024. "Exploring the role of oil shocks on the financial stability of Gulf Cooperation Council countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 1804-1819, April.
    25. Atanu Ghoshray & Madhavi Pundit, 2021. "Economic growth in China and its impact on international commodity prices," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2776-2789, April.
    26. Hu, Haiqing & Chen, Di & Sui, Bo & Zhang, Lang & Wang, Yinyin, 2020. "Price volatility spillovers between supply chain and innovation of financial pledges in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 397-413.
    27. Kyle E. Binder & Mohsen Pourahmadi & James W. Mjelde, 2020. "The role of temporal dependence in factor selection and forecasting oil prices," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1185-1223, March.
    28. Chen, Jinyu & Wang, Yilin & Ren, Xiaohang, 2023. "Asymmetric effect of financial stress on China’s precious metals market: Evidence from a quantile-on-quantile regression," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    29. Zhang, Hongwei & Wang, Peijin, 2021. "Does Bitcoin or gold react to financial stress alike? Evidence from the U.S. and China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 629-648.
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    42. Sun, Qi & Xu, Weidong, 2018. "Wavelet analysis of the co-movement and lead–lag effect among multi-markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 512(C), pages 489-499.
    43. Pejman Bahramian & Andisheh Saliminezhad, 2021. "Does Capacity Utilization Predict Inflation? A Wavelet Based Evidence from United States," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 58(4), pages 1103-1125, December.
    44. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Contagion between Stock and Real Estate Markets: International Evidence from a Local Gaussian Correlation Approach," Working Papers 201917, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    45. He, Zekai & Shi, Xiuzhen & Lu, Xiaomeng & Li, Feng, 2019. "Home equity and household portfolio choice: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 149-164.
    46. Hong, Yanran & Ma, Feng & Wang, Lu & Liang, Chao, 2022. "How does the COVID-19 outbreak affect the causality between gold and the stock market? New evidence from the extreme Granger causality test," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    47. Chen, Chien-Fu & Chiang, Shu-hen, 2022. "Portfolio diversification possibilities between the stock and housing markets in G7 countries: Evidence from the time-varying Granger causality," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    48. Marcin Koltuniak, 2016. "Examination of the directions of spillover effects between the real estate and stock prices in Poland using wavelet analysis," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 47(3), pages 251-266.

  544. Vasilios Plakandaras & Periklis Gogas & Rangan Gupta & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2015. "US inflation dynamics on long-range data," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(36), pages 3874-3890, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  545. Kirsten Thompson & Renee Van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Identifying an index of financial conditions for South Africa," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 32(2), pages 256-274, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Thanda Sithole & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Modeste Some, 2017. "The role of financial conditions in transmitting external shocks to South Africa," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 150, pages 36-56.
    2. Chang, C-L. & Hsu, H-K. & McAleer, M.J., 2017. "A Tourism Financial Conditions Index for Tourism Finance," Econometric Institute Research Papers TI 2017-071/III, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    3. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Risse, Marian & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs: The role of economic uncertainty," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 317-337.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden & Kirsten Thompson, 2015. "Comparing the Forecasting Ability of Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 15-06, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    5. Alain Kabundi & Asithandile Mbelu, 2021. "Estimating a time-varying financial conditions index for South Africa," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(4), pages 1817-1844, April.
    6. Mehmet Balcilar & Kirsten Thompson & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2014. "Testing the Asymmetric Effects of Financial Conditions in South Africa: A Nonlinear Vector Autoregression Approach," Working Papers 201414, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Umit Bulut, 2016. "Do Financial Conditions have a Predictive Power on Inflation in Turkey?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(2), pages 621-628.

  546. Ben Nasr, Adnen & Gupta, Rangan & Sato, João Ricardo, 2015. "Is there an Environmental Kuznets Curve for South Africa? A co-summability approach using a century of data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 136-141.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  547. Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Ghassen El Montasser & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Causality between US economic policy and equity market uncertainties: Evidence from linear and nonlinear tests," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 18, pages 225-246, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  548. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Miller, Stephen M., 2015. "Regime switching model of US crude oil and stock market prices: 1859 to 2013," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 317-327.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  549. Ghassen El-Montasser & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Convergence of greenhouse gas emissions among G7 countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(60), pages 6543-6552, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  550. Mehmet Balcilar & Charl Jooste & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Rangan Gupta & Vassilios Babalos, 2015. "Are there long-run diversification gains from the Dow Jones Islamic finance index?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(12), pages 945-950, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  551. Riané de Bruyn & Rangan Gupta & Reneé van Eyden, 2015. "Can We Beat the Random-Walk Model for the South African Rand–U.S. Dollar and South African Rand–UK Pound Exchange Rates? Evidence from Dynamic Model Averaging," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(3), pages 502-524, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Kola Akinsomi & Mehmet Balcilar & Rıza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "The Effect of Gold Market Speculation on REIT Returns in South Africa: A Behavioral Perspective," Working Papers 201643, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium using dynamic model averaging. Does the state–space representation matter?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    3. Krzysztof Drachal, 2018. "Some Novel Bayesian Model Combination Schemes: An Application to Commodities Prices," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-27, August.

  552. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Trends and cycles in historical gold and silver prices," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 98-109.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  553. Nyakabawo, Wendy & Miller, Stephen M. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Das, Sonali & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Temporal causality between house prices and output in the US: A bootstrap rolling-window approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 55-73.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  554. Nasr, Adnen Ben & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ajmi, Ahdi N. & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan & van Eyden, Reneé, 2015. "Causality between inflation and inflation uncertainty in South Africa: Evidence from a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 46-68.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  555. Saban Nazlioglu & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Volatility transmission between Islamic and conventional equity markets: evidence from causality-in-variance test," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(46), pages 4996-5011, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  556. Tsangyao Chang & Tsung-Pao Wu & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Are house prices in South Africa really nonstationary? Evidence from SPSM-based panel KSS test with a Fourier function," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(1), pages 32-53, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  557. Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Convergence In Provincial-Level South African House Prices: Evidence From The Club Convergence And Clustering Procedure," Review of Urban & Regional Development Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 2-17, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  558. Babalos, Vassilios & Stavroyiannis, Stavros & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Do commodity investors herd? Evidence from a time-varying stochastic volatility model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(P2), pages 281-287.

    Cited by:

    1. Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Xin Sheng, 2018. "Time-Varying Impact of Geopolitical Risks on Oil Prices," Working Papers 201841, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Mohamad, Azhar & Stavroyiannis, Stavros, 2022. "Do birds of a feather flock together? Evidence from time-varying herding behaviour of bitcoin and foreign exchange majors during Covid-19," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    3. Luo, Jiawen & Ji, Qiang, 2018. "High-frequency volatility connectedness between the US crude oil market and China's agricultural commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 424-438.
    4. Juncal Cunado & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Persistence in Trends and Cycles of Gold and Silver Prices: Evidence from Historical Data," Working Papers 201816, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Walid Bahloul & Mehmet Balcilar & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Role of Economic and Financial Uncertainties in Predicting Commodity Futures Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201725, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Mohamad, Azhar & Fromentin, Vincent, 2023. "Herd and causality dynamics between energy commodities and ethical investment: Evidence from the different phases of the COVID-19 pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    7. Kang, Sang Hoon & Islam, Faridul & Kumar Tiwari, Aviral, 2019. "The dynamic relationships among CO2 emissions, renewable and non-renewable energy sources, and economic growth in India: Evidence from time-varying Bayesian VAR model," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 90-101.
    8. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Tsangyao Chang & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "The Relationship between Commodity Markets and Commodity Mutual Funds: A Wavelet-Based Analysis," Working Papers 201619, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Stavroyiannis, Stavros & Babalos, Vassilios, 2019. "Herding behavior in cryptocurrencies revisited: Novel evidence from a TVP model," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 57-63.
    10. Umar, Zaghum & Mokni, Khaled & Manel, Youssef & Gubareva, Mariya, 2024. "Dynamic spillover between oil price shocks and technology stock indices: A country level analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    11. Wen, Shaobo & An, Haizhong & Huang, Shupei & Liu, Xueyong, 2019. "Dynamic impact of China's stock market on the international commodity market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 564-571.
    12. Luo, Jiawen & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Ji, Qiang & Klein, Tony, 2023. "Co-volatility and asymmetric transmission of risks between the global oil and China's futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    13. Mohamad, Azhar, 2022. "Safe flight to which haven when Russia invades Ukraine? A 48-hour story," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    14. Xiaoyang, Xu & Ali, Shoaib & Naveed, Muhammad, 2024. "Artificial intelligence and big data tokens: Where cognition unites, herding patterns take flight," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PA).
    15. Kumar, Ashish & Badhani, K.N. & Bouri, Elie & Saeed, Tareq, 2021. "Herding behavior in the commodity markets of the Asia-Pacific region," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).

  559. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Chang, Shinhye & Balcilar, Mehmet & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Persistence of precious metal prices: A fractional integration approach with structural breaks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 57-64.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  560. Ahdi N. Ajmi & Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Causality between exports and economic growth in South Africa: evidence from linear and nonlinear tests," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 49(2), pages 163-181, April-Jun.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  561. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2015. "Do Stock Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate in South Africa? Evidence from a Time-varying Vector Autoregressive Model," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 14(2), pages 176-196, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  562. Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(3), pages 207-221, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  563. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2015. "Was the recent downturn in US real GDP predictable?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(28), pages 2985-3007, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark, 2017. "Forecasting oil and stock returns with a Qual VAR using over 150years off data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 181-186.
    2. James D. Hamilton, 2017. "Why You Should Never Use the Hodrick-Prescott Filter," NBER Working Papers 23429, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Juan Laborda & Sonia Ruano & Ignacio Zamanillo, 2023. "Multi-Country and Multi-Horizon GDP Forecasting Using Temporal Fusion Transformers," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-26, June.
    4. Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Wang, Tianyang & Wen, Fenghua, 2023. "International stock market volatility: A data-rich environment based on oil shocks," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 184-215.
    5. Jena, Pradyot Ranjan & Majhi, Ritanjali & Kalli, Rajesh & Managi, Shunsuke & Majhi, Babita, 2021. "Impact of COVID-19 on GDP of major economies: Application of the artificial neural network forecaster," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 324-339.

  564. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Has oil price predicted stock returns for over a century?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 18-23.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  565. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2015. "The out-of-sample forecasting performance of nonlinear models of regional housing prices in the US," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(22), pages 2259-2277, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  566. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Gogas, Periklis & Papadimitriou, Theophilos, 2015. "Forecasting the U.S. real house price index," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 259-267.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  567. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Prudence S. Moyo & Nehrunaman Pillay, 2015. "The Impact of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Exports in South Africa," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(01), pages 1-14.

    Cited by:

    1. Mashilana Ngondo & Hlalefang Khobai, 2018. "The impact of exchange rate on exports in South Africa," Working Papers 1809, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University, revised Mar 2018.
    2. Julius Loermann, 2018. "The Impact of CHF/EUR Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Swiss Exports to the Eurozone: Evidence from a Threshold VAR," FIW Working Paper series 189, FIW, revised Feb 2019.
    3. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Arize, Augustine C., 2022. "The effect of exchange rate volatility on U.S. bilateral trade with Africa: A symmetric and asymmetric analysis," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(1).
    4. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Hanafiah Harvey, 2021. "Are the effects of exchange‐rate volatility on commodity trade between the U.S. and Mexico symmetric or asymmetric?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2998-3027, April.
    5. Izunna Chima Anyikwa & Lehlohonolo Domela, 2022. "Asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on trade flows in BRICS economies," Studies in Economics and Econometrics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(3), pages 224-247, July.
    6. Julius Loermann, 2021. "The impact of CHF/EUR exchange rate uncertainty on Swiss exports to the Eurozone: evidence from a threshold VAR," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 1363-1385, March.
    7. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2018. "Forecasting (Good and Bad) Realized Exchange-Rate Volatility: Is there a Role for Realized Skewness and Kurtosis?," Working Papers 201879, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Goodness C. Aye & Laurence Harris, 2019. "The effect of real exchange rate volatility on income distribution in South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2019-29, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    9. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Augustine C. Arize, 2020. "On the Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Trade Flows: Evidence from Africa," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(4), pages 913-939, March.
    10. Trust R. Mpofu, 2021. "The determinants of real exchange rate volatility in South Africa," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(5), pages 1380-1401, May.
    11. Kenneth Chikezie Anyalechi & Emeka Okereke & Ikechukwu S. Nnamdi, 2020. "Export Trade and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Dynamic Panel Analysis," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 4(9), pages 222-227, September.
    12. Thobekile Qabhobho & Anokye M. Adam & Emmanuel Asafo-Adjei, 2023. "Do Local and International Shocks Matter in the Interconnectedness amid Exchange Rates and Energy Commodities? Insights into BRICS Economies," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(6), pages 666-678, November.
    13. Alegwu, Friday O. & Aye, Goodness C. & Asogwa, Benjamin C., 2017. "Asymmetric Effect of Real Exchange Rate Volatility on Agricultural Products Export: A Case Study," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 70(3), pages 261-279.

  568. Rangan Gupta & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Olaoluwa S. Yaya, 2015. "Do sunspot numbers cause global temperatures? Evidence from a frequency domain causality test," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(8), pages 798-808, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  569. Aye, Goodness C. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee, 2015. "Forecasting aggregate retail sales: The case of South Africa," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 66-79.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  570. T. Chang & O.A. Gadinabokao & R. Gupta & R. Inglesi-Lotz & P. Kanniah & B.D. Simo-Kengne, 2015. "Panel Granger causality between oil consumption and GDP: evidence from BRICS countries," International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 7(1), pages 30-41.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  571. Aye, Goodness & Gupta, Rangan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Kim, Won Joong, 2015. "Forecasting the price of gold using dynamic model averaging," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 257-266.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  572. Hossein Hassani & Emmanuel Sirimal Silva & Rangan Gupta & Mawuli K. Segnon, 2015. "Forecasting the price of gold," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(39), pages 4141-4152, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  573. Kirsten Thompson & Reneé van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Testing the Out-of-Sample Forecasting Ability of a Financial Conditions Index for South Africa," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(3), pages 486-501, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  574. Rangan Gupta & Christophe André & Luis Gil-Alana, 2015. "Comovement in Euro area housing prices: A fractional cointegration approach," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 52(16), pages 3123-3143, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  575. Chang, Tsangyao & Gupta, Rangan & Inglesi-Lotz, Roula & Simo-Kengne, Beatrice & Smithers, Devon & Trembling, Amy, 2015. "Renewable energy and growth: Evidence from heterogeneous panel of G7 countries using Granger causality," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1405-1412.

    Cited by:

    1. Namahoro, J.P. & Nzabanita, J. & Wu, Q., 2021. "The impact of total and renewable energy consumption on economic growth in lower and middle- and upper-middle-income groups: Evidence from CS-DL and CCEMG analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    2. Rafiq, Shudhasattwa & Sgro, Pasquale & Apergis, Nicholas, 2016. "Asymmetric oil shocks and external balances of major oil exporting and importing countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 42-50.
    3. Adewuyi, Adeolu O. & Awodumi, Olabanji B., 2017. "Renewable and non-renewable energy-growth-emissions linkages: Review of emerging trends with policy implications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 275-291.
    4. Espoir, Delphin Kamanda & Mudiangombe, Benjamin & Bannor, Frank & Sunge, Regret & Mubenga Tshitaka, Jean-Luc, 2021. "CO₂ emissions and economic growth: Assessing the heterogeneous effects across climate regimes in Africa," EconStor Preprints 235479, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    5. Ren, Siyu & Hao, Yu & Xu, Lu & Wu, Haitao & Ba, Ning, 2021. "Digitalization and energy: How does internet development affect China's energy consumption?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    6. Wadström, Christoffer & Wittberg, Emanuel & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Jayasekera, Ranadeva, 2019. "Role of renewable energy on industrial output in Canada," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 626-638.
    7. Wang, Qiang & Wang, Lili, 2020. "Renewable energy consumption and economic growth in OECD countries: A nonlinear panel data analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    8. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2018. "The renewable energy consumption and growth in the G-7 countries: Evidence from historical decomposition method," MPRA Paper 85473, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Mar 2018.
    9. Chen, Chaoyi & Pinar, Mehmet & Stengos, Thanasis, 2021. "Determinants of renewable energy consumption: Importance of democratic institutions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 75-83.
    10. Chai, Jingxia & Wu, Haitao & Hao, Yu, 2022. "Planned economic growth and controlled energy demand: How do regional growth targets affect energy consumption in China?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    11. Yoon, Seong-Min, 2022. "On the interdependence between biofuel, fossil fuel and agricultural food prices: Evidence from quantile tests," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C), pages 536-545.
    12. Mohsin, Muhammad & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Iqbal, Nadeem & Saydaliev, Hayot Berk, 2022. "The role of technological progress and renewable energy deployment in green economic growth," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 777-787.
    13. Borozan, Dj, 2022. "Asymmetric effects of policy uncertainty on renewable energy consumption in G7 countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 412-420.
    14. Tayyab Ayaz, Muhammad & Prodromou, Tina & Le, Thanh & Nepal, Rabindra, 2024. "Energy security dimensions and economic growth in Non-OECD Asia: An analysis on the role of institutional quality with energy policy implications," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    15. Riza Radmehr & Samira Shayanmehr & Ernest Baba Ali & Elvis Kwame Ofori & Elżbieta Jasińska & Michał Jasiński, 2022. "Exploring the Nexus of Renewable Energy, Ecological Footprint, and Economic Growth through Globalization and Human Capital in G7 Economics," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-19, September.
    16. İçen, Hüseyin & Yerdelen Tatoğlu, Ferda, 2021. "The asymmetric effects of changes in price and income on renewable and nonrenewable energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 144-152.
    17. Kartal, Mustafa Tevfik & Ghosh, Sudeshna & Adebayo, Tomiwa Sunday, 2023. "Renewable energy effect on economy and environment: The case of G7 countries through novel bootstrap rolling window approach," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    18. Destek, Mehmet Akif, 2016. "Renewable energy consumption and economic growth in newly industrialized countries: Evidence from asymmetric causality test," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 478-484.
    19. Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Lu, Zhou, 2018. "Energy consumption and economic growth: New evidence from the OECD countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 27-34.
    20. Nurkhodzha Akbulaev, 2023. "Analysis of Renewable Energy, Foreign Direct Investment, and CO2 Relationship: Evidence from France, Germany, and Italy," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(5), pages 645-657, September.
    21. Chen, Chaoyi & Pinar, Mehmet & Stengos, Thanasis, 2020. "Renewable energy consumption and economic growth nexus: Evidence from a threshold model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    22. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad & Jammazi, Rania, 2016. "Nexus between U.S Energy Sources and Economic Activity: Time-Frequency and Bootstrap Rolling Window Causality Analysis," MPRA Paper 68724, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Jan 2016.
    23. Zhang, Xu & Xu, Wenting & Rauf, Abdul & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2024. "Transitioning from conventional energy to clean renewable energy in G7 countries: A signed network approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 307(C).
    24. Meshkatus Salehin & Judit T. Kiss, 2022. "Testing the Causal Relationship between Economic Growth and Renewable Energy Consumption: Evidence from a Panel of EAGLE Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(1), pages 281-288.
    25. Ben Jebli, Mehdi & Belloumi, Mounir, 2017. "Investigation of the causal relationships between combustible renewables and waste consumption and CO2 emissions in the case of Tunisian maritime and rail transport," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 820-829.
    26. Valentyna Kukharets & Rasa Čingiene & Dalia Juočiūnienė & Savelii Kukharets & Egidijus Blažauskas & Szymon Szufa & Andrii Muzychenko & Svitlana Beleі & Nazar Lahodyn & Taras Hutsol, 2024. "Regression Analysis of the Impact of Foreign Direct Investments, Adjusted Net Savings, and Environmental Tax Revenues on the Consumption of Renewable Energy Sources in EU Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(17), pages 1-14, September.
    27. Fang, Zheng & Chang, Youngho, 2016. "Energy, human capital and economic growth in Asia Pacific countries — Evidence from a panel cointegration and causality analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 177-184.
    28. Zheng Fang & Jiang Yu, 2020. "The role of human capital in energy-growth nexus: an international evidence," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1225-1247, March.
    29. Marques, António Cardoso & Fuinhas, José Alberto & Neves, Sónia Almeida, 2018. "Ordinary and Special Regimes of electricity generation in Spain: How they interact with economic activity," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1226-1240.
    30. Masahina Sarabdeen & Manal Elhaj & Hind Alofaysan, 2024. "Exploring the Influence of Digital Transformation on Clean Energy Transition, Climate Change, and Economic Growth among Selected Oil-Export Countries through the Panel ARDL Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-18, January.
    31. Joanna Florek & Ryszard Staniszewski & Dorota Czerwińska-Kayzer & Dariusz Kayzer, 2024. "Functioning of the Energy Sector Under Crisis Conditions—A Polish Perspective," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(23), pages 1-23, December.
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    64. Troster, Victor & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2018. "Renewable Energy, Oil Prices, and Economic Activity: A Granger-causality in Quantiles Analysis," MPRA Paper 84194, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 Jan 2018.
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  576. Annari De Waal & Rene頖an Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Do we need a global VAR model to forecast inflation and output in South Africa?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(25), pages 2649-2670, May.
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  577. Babalos, Vassilios & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Herding behavior in real estate markets: Novel evidence from a Markov-switching model," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 8(C), pages 40-43.

    Cited by:

    1. Kola Akinsomi & Mehmet Balcilar & Rıza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "The Effect of Gold Market Speculation on REIT Returns in South Africa: A Behavioral Perspective," Working Papers 201643, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Talpsepp, Tõnn & Tänav, Anne-Liis, 2021. "Do gender, age and education affect herding in the real estate market?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    3. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Yue-Jun Zhang, 2020. "Bear, Bull, Sidewalk, and Crash: The Evolution of the US Stock Market Using Over a Century of Daily Data," Working Papers 202097, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Jiang, Rui & Wen, Conghua & Zhang, Ruonan & Cui, Yu, 2022. "Investor's herding behavior in Asian equity markets during COVID-19 period," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    5. SENARATHNE W Chamil & JIANGUO Wei, 2018. "Do Investors Mimic Trading Strategies Of Foreign Investors Or The Market: Implications For Capital Asset Pricing," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 13(3), pages 171-205, December.
    6. Papapostolou, Nikos C. & Pouliasis, Panos K. & Kyriakou, Ioannis, 2017. "Herd behavior in the drybulk market: an empirical analysis of the decision to invest in new and retire existing fleet capacity," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 36-51.
    7. BenSaïda, Ahmed, 2017. "Herding effect on idiosyncratic volatility in U.S. industries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 121-132.
    8. Akshita Singh & Shailendra Kumar & Utkarsh Goel & Amar Johri, 2023. "Behavioural biases in real estate investment: a literature review and future research agenda," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-17, December.
    9. Yi-Chang Chen & Hung-Che Wu & Jen-Jsung Huang, 2017. "Herd Behavior and Rational Expectations: A Test of China's Market Using Quantile Regression," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 649-663.
    10. Cakan, Esin & Demiralay, Sercan & Ulusoy, Veysel, 2021. "Oil Prices and Firm Returns in an Emerging Market," American Business Review, Pompea College of Business, University of New Haven, vol. 24(1), pages 166-187, May.
    11. Geoffrey M. Ngene & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Impact of Housing Policy Uncertainty on Herding Behavior: Evidence from UK's Regional Housing Markets," Working Papers 202115, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Zhao, Yuan & Liu, Nan & Li, Wanpeng, 2022. "Industry herding in crypto assets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    13. Lesame, Keagile & Ngene, Geoffrey & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2024. "Herding in international REITs markets around the COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    14. Kumar, Satish & Rao, Sandeep & Goyal, Kirti & Goyal, Nisha, 2022. "Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance: A bibliometric overview," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    15. Mouna Youssef & Khaled Mokni, 2023. "Herding behavior in stock markets of oil-importing and oil-exporting countries: the role of oil price," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(1), pages 44-58, February.
    16. Zhang, Yi & Zhou, Long & Liu, Zhidong & Wu, Baoxiu, 2024. "Herding behaviour towards high order systematic risks and the contagion Effect—Evidence from BRICS stock markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    17. Fu, Jingxue & Wu, Lan, 2021. "Regime-switching herd behavior: Novel evidence from the Chinese A-share market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    18. Bastian Schulz, 2023. "Behavioral Finance and how its Behavioral Biases Affect German Investors," ACTA VSFS, University of Finance and Administration, vol. 17(1), pages 39-59.
    19. Rangan Gupta & Damien Moodley, 2023. "Housing Search Activity and Quantiles-Based Predictability of Housing Price Movements in the United States," Working Papers 202335, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    20. Youssef, Mouna & Mokni, Khaled, 2018. "On the effect of herding behavior on dependence structure between stock markets: Evidence from GCC countries," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 52-63.
    21. Papadamou, Stephanos & Kyriazis, Nikolaos A. & Tzeremes, Panayiotis & Corbet, Shaen, 2021. "Herding behaviour and price convergence clubs in cryptocurrencies during bull and bear markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    22. Chaofa Wang & Dongdong Li & Qing Liu & Xiaorong Wei, 2023. "Speed distribution model, expectation speed of the system and aggregation behaviour for traffic congestion," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 2175-2185, June.
    23. Oi-Ping Chong & A.N. Bany-Ariffin & Annuar Md Nassir & Junaina Muhammad, 2019. "An Empirical Study of Herding Behaviour in China’s A-Share and B-Share Markets: Evidence of Bidirectional Herding Activities," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 27(2), pages 37-57.
    24. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang, 2022. "Nonlinear contagion between stock and real estate markets: International evidence from a local Gaussian correlation approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2089-2109, April.
    25. Deng, Kuang Kuang & Wong, Siu Kei & Cheung, Ka Shing & Tse, Kwok Sang, 2022. "Do real estate investors trade on momentum?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    26. Yang, Wan-Ru & Chuang, Ming-Che, 2023. "Do investors herd in a volatile market? Evidence of dynamic herding in Taiwan, China, and US stock markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    27. Cheng, Tingting & Xing, Shuo & Yao, Wenying, 2022. "An examination of herding behaviour of the Chinese mutual funds: A time-varying perspective," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    28. Coskun, Esra Alp & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Kahyaoglu, Hakan, 2020. "Uncertainty and herding behavior: evidence from cryptocurrencies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

  578. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & John P. Dunne & Rangan Gupta & Rene� van Eyden, 2014. "Military expenditure, economic growth and structural instability: a case study of South Africa," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(6), pages 619-633, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  579. Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Kanyane Matlou, 2014. "A time-varying approach to analysing fiscal policy and asset prices in South Africa," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 6(1), pages 46-63, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  580. Aye, Goodness C. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Bosch, Adél & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "Housing and the business cycle in South Africa," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 471-491.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  581. Apergis, Nicholas & El-Montasser, Ghassen & Sekyere, Emmanuel & Ajmi, Ahdi N. & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "Dutch disease effect of oil rents on agriculture value added in Middle East and North African (MENA) countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 485-490.

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    1. Edouard Mien & Michaël Goujon, 2021. "40 Years of Dutch Disease Literature: Lessons for Developing Countries," Working Papers hal-03256078, HAL.
    2. Svein Oskar Lauvsnes, 2021. "Dutch disease in the Norwegian agricultural sector," Review of Agricultural, Food and Environmental Studies, Springer, vol. 102(1), pages 25-57, March.
    3. Hahandou Mano, 2024. "Natural resources and economic growth in WAEMU: the role of export diversification," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 37(4), pages 863-876, December.
    4. Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr & Lean, Hooi Hooi & Clark, Jeremy, 2017. "The evolution of the natural resource curse thesis: A critical literature survey," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 123-134.
    5. Emmanuel Apergis & Nicholas Apergis, 2018. "What is extracted from earth is gold: are rare earths telling a new tale to economic growth?," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 45(1), pages 177-192, January.
    6. Faudot, Adrien, 2019. "Saudi Arabia and the rentier regime trap: A critical assessment of the plan Vision 2030," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 94-101.
    7. Arsham Reisinezhad, 2024. "The Dutch disease revisited: consistency of theory and evidence," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 87(3), pages 553-603, March.
    8. Zhao, Ziming & Chen, Jinyu, 2024. "Non-linear effects of three core mineral resources, energy uncertainty, and inclusive digitalization on economic growth: A comparative analysis of US and China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    9. Chandan Sharma & Ritesh Kumar Mishra, 2022. "On the Good and Bad of Natural Resource, Corruption, and Economic Growth Nexus," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 82(4), pages 889-922, August.
    10. Ghlamallah, Ezzedine & Alexakis, Christos & Dowling, Michael & Piepenbrink, Anke, 2021. "The topics of Islamic economics and finance research," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 145-160.
    11. Frédéric Teulon & Dominique Bonet Fernandez, 2014. "Pays riche, population pauvre : quelle stratégie de développement pour l’Algérie ?," Working Papers 2014-244, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    12. Ben-Salha, Ousama & Dachraoui, Hajer & Sebri, Maamar, 2021. "Natural resource rents and economic growth in the top resource-abundant countries: A PMG estimation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    13. Galina Williams & Ruth Nikijuluw, 2020. "The economic and social benefit of coal mining: the case study of regional Queensland," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(4), pages 1113-1132, October.
    14. Akalbeo, Benard, 2025. "Does the resource curse exist? Evidence from oil discovery and production in Ghana," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    15. Udemba, Edmund Ntom & Yalçıntaş, Selin, 2022. "Unveiling the symptoms of Dutch disease: A comparative and sustainable analysis of two oil-rich countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    16. Ge, Wei & Kinnucan, Henry, 2016. "Does Dutch Disease Hit Mongolia?," 2016 Annual Meeting, February 6-9, 2016, San Antonio, Texas 229564, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    17. Rian Hilmawan & Jeremy Clark, 2018. "Resource Dependence and the Causes of Local Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation," Working Papers in Economics 18/12, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    18. Sylvain B. Ngassam & Simplice A. Asongu & Gildas T. Ngueleweu, 2023. "A Revisit of the Natural Resource Curse in the Tourism Industry," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 23/067, African Governance and Development Institute..
    19. Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr & Szulczyk, Kenneth R. & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2021. "Asymmetries in the effect of oil rent shocks on economic growth: A sectoral analysis from the perspective of the oil curse," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    20. Eric W. Djimeu & Luc-Désiré Omgba, 2018. "Oil windfalls might not be the problem in oil-producing countries: evidence from the impact of oil shocks on export diversification," EconomiX Working Papers 2018-18, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    21. Elizavetta Dorinet & Pierre-André Jouvet & Julien Wolfersberger, 2021. "Is The Agricultural Sector Cursed Too? Evidence From Sub-Saharan Africa [Le secteur agricole est-il lui aussi maudit ? Témoignages d'Afrique subsaharienne]," Post-Print hal-03036437, HAL.
    22. Sweidan, Osama D. & Elbargathi, Khadiga, 2022. "The effect of oil rent on economic development in Saudi Arabia: Comparing the role of globalization and the international geopolitical risk," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    23. Boufateh, Talel, 2016. "Cycle-Trend Dichotomy of the Dutch Disease Phenomenon," MPRA Paper 71741, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Lauvsnes, Svein Oskar, 2021. "Dutch disease in the Norwegian agricultural sector Exploring the oil price–food security nexus," Review of Agricultural, Food and Environmental Studies, Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA), vol. 102(01), January.
    25. Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr & Lean, Hooi Hooi & Smyth, Russell, 2016. "Oil curse and finance–growth nexus in Malaysia: The role of investment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 154-165.
    26. Opoku Adabor & Emmanuel Buabeng & Raoul Fani Djomo Choumbou, 2021. "Asymmetrical effect of oil and gas resource rent on economic growth: Empirical evidence from Ghana," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 1971355-197, January.
    27. Alssadek, Marwan & Benhin, James, 2023. "Natural resource curse: A literature survey and comparative assessment of regional groupings of oil-rich countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    28. Meriem Kouas & Maha Kalai & Kamel Helali, 2024. "Dutch Disease and Deindustrialization: Symmetrical and Asymmetrical Impact of Oil Rent on Value-Added Industry in China," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(4), pages 18202-18222, December.
    29. Iman Cheratian & Mohammad Reza Farzanegan & Saleh Goltabar, 2019. "Oil Price Shocks and Unemployment Rate: New Evidence from the MENA Region," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201931, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    30. Farahnak, Fardin, 2022. "Comparative analysis of oil-driven economic policies for Saudi Arabia and Iran; using the CGE model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    31. Polyzos, Efstathios & Kuck, Simon & Abdulrahman, Khadija, 2022. "Demographic change and economic growth: The role of natural resources in the MENA region," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(1), pages 1-13.
    32. Titus Isaiah Zayone & Shida Rastegari Henneberry & Riza Radmehr, 2020. "Effects of Agricultural, Manufacturing, and Mineral Exports on Angola’s Economic Growth," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-17, March.
    33. Olanubi, Sijuola Orioye, 2023. "Foreign exchange intervention and the Dutch disease under incomplete information," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    34. Eric W. Djimeu & Luc-Désiré Omgba, 2018. "Oil windfalls and export diversification in oil-producing countries: evidence from oil booms," Post-Print hal-01946573, HAL.
    35. Navendradat Hardyal & Stephan Moonsammy & Devin Warner, 2024. "A systematic review of the effects and symptoms of the Dutch Disease globally: Lessons for Guyana," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(3), pages 5665-5688, March.
    36. Ruba A. Aljarallah & Andrew Angus, 2020. "Dilemma of Natural Resource Abundance: A Case Study of Kuwait," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(1), pages 21582440198, January.
    37. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B., 2021. "Revisiting oil consumption-economic growth nexus: Resource-curse and scarcity tales," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    38. Behzad Fakari Sardehae & Naser Shahnoushi Foroushani & Saleh S. Tabrizy, 2023. "Exchange Rate and Agricultural Trade: Evidence from Iran," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(1), pages 302-308.
    39. Han, Liyan & Zhou, Yimin & Yin, Libo, 2015. "Exogenous impacts on the links between energy and agricultural commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 350-358.
    40. Hasan, Mohammad Maruf & Nan, Su & Waris, Umra, 2024. "Assessing the dynamics among oil consumption, ecological footprint, and renewable energy: Role of institutional quality in major oil-consuming countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    41. Alssadek, Marwan & Benhin, James, 2021. "Oil boom, exchange rate and sectoral output: An empirical analysis of Dutch disease in oil-rich countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    42. Asiamah, Oliver & Agyei, Samuel Kwaku & Ahmed, Bossman & Agyei, Ellen Animah, 2022. "Natural resource dependence and the Dutch disease: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    43. Wang, Shuhong & Li, Weiyao & Zhang, Ying & Song, Malin & Chen, Xueli & Cui, Lianbiao, 2024. "The impact of a natural resource protection policy on economic development: Based on a policy evaluation of China’s coal resource tax reform," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).

  582. Christophe Andr頍 & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Testing for persistence in housing price-to-income and price-to-rent ratios in 16 OECD countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(18), pages 2127-2138, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  583. Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Time-varying causality between research output and economic growth in US," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 100(1), pages 203-216, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  584. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen Miller & Josine Uwilingiye, 2014. "Using large data sets to forecast sectoral employment," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 23(2), pages 229-264, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  585. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Nicholas Kilimani & Amandine Nakumuryango & Siobhan Redford, 2014. "Predicting BRICS stock returns using ARFIMA models," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(17), pages 1159-1166, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  586. Gupta, Rangan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Modise, Mampho P. & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2014. "Can economic uncertainty, financial stress and consumer sentiments predict U.S. equity premium?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 367-378.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  587. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Monique Reid & Christian Tipoy & Mulatu Zerihun, 2014. "Real interest rate persistence in South Africa: evidence and implications," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 41-62, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  588. Álvarez-Díaz, Marcos & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "Detecting predictable non-linear dynamics in Dow Jones Islamic Market and Dow Jones Industrial Average indices using nonparametric regressions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 22-35.

    Cited by:

    1. El Mehdi, Imen Khanchel & Mghaieth, Asma, 2017. "Volatility spillover and hedging strategies between Islamic and conventional stocks in the presence of asymmetry and long memory," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 595-611.
    2. Saban Nazlioglu & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Volatility transmission between Islamic and conventional equity markets: evidence from causality-in-variance test," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(46), pages 4996-5011, October.
    3. Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do terror attacks predict gold returns? Evidence from a quantile-predictive-regression approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 276-284.
    4. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Jae H Kim, 2017. "Adaptive Markets Hypothesis for Islamic Stock Portfolios: Evidence from Dow Jones Size and Sector-Indices," Post-Print hal-01526483, HAL.
    5. Azmat, Saad & Kabir Hassan, M. & Ali, Haiqa & Sohel Azad, A.S.M., 2021. "Religiosity, neglected risk and asset returns: Theory and evidence from Islamic finance industry," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    6. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks and Movements in Islamic Bond and Equity Markets: A Note," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 367-379, April.
    7. Uddin, Gazi Salah & Hernandez, Jose Areola & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2018. "Time-varying evidence of efficiency, decoupling, and diversification of conventional and Islamic stocks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 167-180.
    8. Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Mensi, Walid & Reboredo, Juan Carlos & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2014. "Dynamic dependence of the global Islamic equity index with global conventional equity market indices and risk factors," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 189-206.
    9. Ftiti, Zied & Hadhri, Sinda, 2019. "Can economic policy uncertainty, oil prices, and investor sentiment predict Islamic stock returns? A multi-scale perspective," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 40-55.
    10. Nagayev, Ruslan & Disli, Mustafa & Inghelbrecht, Koen & Ng, Adam, 2016. "On the dynamic links between commodities and Islamic equity," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 125-140.
    11. Al-Khazali, Osamah & Mirzaei, Ali, 2017. "Stock market anomalies, market efficiency and the adaptive market hypothesis: Evidence from Islamic stock indices," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 190-208.
    12. Aloui, Chaker & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Hamida, Hela ben, 2015. "Global factors driving structural changes in the co-movement between sharia stocks and sukuk in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 311-329.
    13. Ashraf, Dawood & Khawaja, Mohsin, 2016. "Does the Shariah screening process matter? Evidence from Shariah compliant portfolios," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 132(S), pages 77-92.
    14. Ahmad, Wasim & Rais, Shirin & Shaik, Abdul Rahman, 2018. "Modelling the directional spillovers from DJIM Index to conventional benchmarks: Different this time?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 14-27.
    15. Sensoy, Ahmet & Aras, Guler & Hacihasanoglu, Erk, 2015. "Predictability dynamics of Islamic and conventional equity markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 222-248.
    16. Mensi, Walid & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2017. "Global financial crisis and weak-form efficiency of Islamic sectoral stock markets: An MF-DFA analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 135-146.
    17. Osamah AlKhazali & Hooi Hooi Lean & Taisier Zoubi, 2022. "The Size Anomaly in Islamic Stock Indices: A Stochastic Dominance Approach," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-14, November.
    18. Marcos Álvarez-Díaz & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Forecasting the US CPI: Does Nonlinearity Matter?," Working Papers 201512, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Asghar, Nadia & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2020. "Do Islamic indices provide diversification to bitcoin? A time-varying copulas and value at risk application," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).

  589. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar, 2014. "Reconsidering the welfare cost of inflation in the US: a nonparametric estimation of the nonlinear long-run money-demand equation using projection pursuit regressions," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(4), pages 1221-1240, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  590. Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Soodabeh Sarafrazi, 2014. "Can the Sharia-based Islamic stock market returns be forecasted using large number of predictors and models?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(17), pages 1147-1157, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  591. Mehmet Balcilar & Rene頶an Eyden & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Time-varying linkages between tourism receipts and economic growth in South Africa," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(36), pages 4381-4398, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  592. Gupta, Rangan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Kim, Won Joong & Simo-Kengne, Beatrice D., 2014. "Forecasting China's foreign exchange reserves using dynamic model averaging: The roles of macroeconomic fundamentals, financial stress and economic uncertainty," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 170-189.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  593. Aye, Goodness C. & Dadam, Vincent & Gupta, Rangan & Mamba, Bonginkosi, 2014. "Oil price uncertainty and manufacturing production," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 41-47.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Reneé van Eyden & Josine Uwilingiye & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "The impact of oil price on South African GDP growth: A Bayesian Markov Switching-VAR analysis," Working Papers 201470, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Oil-Price Volatility: The Role of Financial Stress and Asymmetric Loss," Working Papers 201903, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The impacts of structural oil shocks on macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from a large panel of 45 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    4. Zhang, Zhikai & Wang, Yudong & Xiao, Jihong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "Not all geopolitical shocks are alike: Identifying price dynamics in the crude oil market under tensions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    5. Sudarso Kaderi Wiryono & Oktofa Yudha Sudrajad & Eko Agus Prasetio & Marla Setiawati, 2020. "Do Oil Price Shocks Give Impact on Financial Performance of Manufacturing Sectors in Indonesia?," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 510-514.
    6. David Bourghelle & Fredj Jawadi & Philippe Rozin, 2021. "Oil price volatility in the context of Covid-19 [Le prix du pétrole dans le contexte du Covid 19]," Post-Print hal-04412020, HAL.
    7. Morita, Tamaki & Higashida, Keisaku & Takarada, Yasuhiro & Managi, Shunsuke, 2018. "Does acquisition of mineral resources by firms in resource-importing countries reduce resource prices?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 97-110.
    8. Taiwo Akinlo, 2024. "Oil price and real sector in oil-importing countries: an asymmetric analysis of sub-Saharan Africa," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 1-27, February.
    9. Riza Demirer & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Risk aversion and the predictability of crude oil market volatility: A forecasting experiment with random forests," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 73(8), pages 1755-1767, August.
    10. Koirala, Niraj Prasad & Ma, Xiaohan, 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and U.S. employment growth," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    11. Nicholas Apergis & Alper Aslan & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "The Asymmetric Effect of Oil Price on Growth across US States," Working Papers 201459, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Zhu, Qi & Jin, Sisi & Huang, Yuxuan & Yan, Cheng, 2022. "Oil price uncertainty and stock price informativeness: Evidence from listed U.S. companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    13. H. Rajesh Acharya & C. Anver Sadath, 2016. "Energy Price Uncertainty and Investment: Firm Level Evidence from Indian Manufacturing Sector," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(3), pages 364-373.
    14. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    15. Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2015. "The Role of Oil Prices in the Forecasts of South African Interest Rates: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 201531, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Shang, Yuping & Ma, Xiaowei & Bhatia, Meena & Alofaysan, Hind & Walsh, Steven T., 2024. "Unveiling the enigma: Exploring how uncertain crude oil prices shape investment expenditure and efficiency in Chinese enterprises," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    17. Wu, Ziqing & Chen, Leyi, 2025. "Does oil price uncertainty affect corporate total factor productivity? Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    18. Elder, John, 2020. "Employment and energy uncertainty," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 21(C).
    19. Njindan Iyke, Bernard, 2016. "Real Output and Oil Price Uncertainty: Evidence from an Oil Producing Country," MPRA Paper 71307, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Apr 2016.
    20. Elena María Díaz & Juan Carlos Molero & Fernando Pérez de Gracia, 2016. "Oil price volatility and stock returns in the G7 economies," Faculty Working Papers 03/16, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
    21. Wang, Jianuo & Enilov, Martin & Kizys, Renatas, 2024. "Does M&A activity spin the cycle of energy prices?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    22. Jiang, Yong & Zhou, Zhongbao & Liu, Qing & Lin, Ling & Xiao, Helu, 2020. "How do oil price shocks affect the output volatility of the U.S. energy mining industry? The roles of structural oil price shocks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    23. Elder, John & Payne, James E., 2023. "Racial and ethnic disparities in unemployment and oil price uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    24. Mamothoana Difeto & Reneé van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Oil Price Volatility and Economic Growth: Evidence from Advanced OECD Countries using over One Century of Data," Working Papers 201813, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    25. Gurbanov, Sarvar & Nugent, Jeffrey B. & Mikayilov, Jeyhun, 2017. "Management of Oil Revenues: Has That of Azerbaijan Been Prudent?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 5(2), pages 1-20.
    26. Bhagavatula Aruna & H. Rajesh Acharya, 2020. "Do Different Types of Oil Price Shocks Affect the Indian Stock Returns Differently at Firm-level? A Panel Structural Vector Autoregression Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(2), pages 238-249.
    27. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Abeeb Olaniran, 2021. "The Effect of Oil Uncertainty Shock on Real GDP of 33 Countries: A Global VAR Approach," Working Papers 202153, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    28. Hachula, Michael & Hoffmann, Sebastian, 2015. "The output effects of commodity price volatility: Evidence from exporting countries," Discussion Papers 2015/29, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    29. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "OPEC News and Jumps in the Oil Market," Working Papers 202053, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    30. Mohammad Aladwan & Omar Alsinglawi & Omar M. Alhawatmeh & Mohammad Almaharmeh, 2023. "Corporate Financial Performance and the Intervening Role of Energy Operating Costs: The Case of Jordanian Electricity Sector," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(5), pages 202-212, September.
    31. Jiaying Peng & Zhenghui Li & Benjamin M. Drakeford, 2020. "Dynamic Characteristics of Crude Oil Price Fluctuation—From the Perspective of Crude Oil Price Influence Mechanism," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-19, August.
    32. Obayelu, Abiodun & Ogunmola, Omotoso & Obayelu, Oluwakemi & Adeyemi, Oluwatosin, 2021. "Crude Oil Price Shocks and Food Production Output in Oil Producing and Exporting Countries: The Case Study of Nigeria," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315394, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    33. Cheng, Dong & Shi, Xunpeng & Yu, Jian & Zhang, Dayong, 2019. "How does the Chinese economy react to uncertainty in international crude oil prices?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 147-164.
    34. Liang, Ruibin & Cheng, Sheng & Cao, Yan & Li, Xinran, 2024. "Multi-scale impacts of oil shocks on travel and leisure stocks: A MODWT-Bayesian TVP model with shrinkage approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    35. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Rubaszek, Michał & Snarska, Małgorzata, 2021. "The role of oil price uncertainty shocks on oil-exporting countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    36. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and the U.K. Unemployment Rate: A Forecasting Experiment with Random Forests Using 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 202095, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    37. Yang, Baochen & Song, Xinyu, 2023. "Does oil price uncertainty matter in firm innovation? Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    38. Yu, Mengyan & Umair, Muhammad & Oskenbayev, Yessengali & Karabayeva, Zhаnsaya, 2023. "Exploring the nexus between monetary uncertainty and volatility in global crude oil: A contemporary approach of regime-switching," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    39. Song, Xinyu & Yang, Baochen, 2022. "Oil price uncertainty, corporate governance and firm performance," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 469-487.
    40. Yin, Libo & Yang, Sen, 2023. "Oil price returns and firm's fixed investment: A production pattern," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    41. Alsalman, Zeina, 2016. "Oil price uncertainty and the U.S. stock market analysis based on a GARCH-in-mean VAR model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 251-260.
    42. Aktham I. Maghyereh & Basil Awartani & Osama D. Sweidan, 2019. "Oil price uncertainty and real output growth: new evidence from selected oil-importing countries in the Middle East," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 1601-1621, May.
    43. Zhang, Xiaoyu & Zhou, Jinlan & Du, Xiaodong, 2022. "Impact of oil price uncertainty shocks on China’s macro-economy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    44. Sarker, Md Showaib Rahman & Mazumder, Sharif & Amin, Md Ruhul, 2023. "Oil price uncertainty, workplace misconduct, and cash holding," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    45. Elder, John, 2021. "Canadian industry level production and energy prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    46. Parnes, Dror, 2019. "Heterogeneous noncompliance with OPEC's oil production cuts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 289-300.
    47. van Eyden, Reneé & Difeto, Mamothoana & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Oil price volatility and economic growth: Evidence from advanced economies using more than a century’s data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233, pages 612-621.
    48. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of Oil Shocks in a Small Open Economy New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for South Africa," Working Papers 201652, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    49. Tan, Yan & Uprasen, Utai, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on income inequality in ASEAN countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).

  594. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2014. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices," Public Finance Review, , vol. 42(4), pages 511-531, July.

    Cited by:

    1. Ferri, Javier & Herranz-Baez, Francisca, 2024. "Government expenditure and the housing puzzle: Unpacking mechanisms," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    2. David Su & Xin Li & Oana-Ramona Lobonþ & Yanping Zhao, 2016. "Economic policy uncertainty and housing returns in Germany: Evidence from a bootstrap rolling window," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 34(1), pages 43-61.
    3. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Adel Bosch & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Housing and the Business Cycle in South Africa," Working Papers 15-22, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    4. Mustafa Ozan Yıldırım & Özge Filiz Yağcıbaşı, 2019. "The Dynamics Of House Prices And Fiscal Policy Shocks In Turkey," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 64(220), pages 39-60, January –.
    5. Josep Maria Raya Vilchez & Aleksander Kucel, 2023. "How fiscal policy affects housing market dynamics: Evidence from Spain," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(2), pages 323-347, April.
    6. F Chorley & C Liu, 2021. "Does UK social housing affect housing prices and economic growth? An application of the ARDL model," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 26(1), pages 21-43, March.
    7. Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2025. "The Impact of Governmental Regulations on Housing Market: Findings of a Meta-Study of Empirical Literature," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2113, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    8. Liu, Chunping & Ou, Zhirong, 2024. "Has fiscal expansion inflated house prices in China? Evidence from an estimated DSGE model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    9. Javier Ferri & Francisca Herranz-Baez, 2023. "Building on fiscal policy: government consumption and the residential sector. When helping hurts," Working Papers 2023-01, FEDEA.

  595. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "Persistence and cycles in historical oil price data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 511-516.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  596. Esti Van Wyk de Vries & Rangan Gupta & Reneé Van Eyden, 2014. "Intertemporal portfolio allocation and hedging demand: an application to South Africa," Journal of Business Economics and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(4), pages 744-775, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  597. Tsangyao Chang & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "The causal relationship between house prices and growth in the nine provinces of South Africa: evidence from panel - Granger causality tests," International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 6(4), pages 345-358.

    Cited by:

    1. Ibrahim N Ouattara, 2020. "A bootstrap panel granger causality analysis of the relationships between financial sector development and globalization in sub-saharan african countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(4), pages 3153-3166.
    2. Olufemi Adewale Aluko Adefemi A. Obalade, 2020. "Import-economic growth nexus in selected African countries: An application of the Toda-Yamamoto Granger non-causality test," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, vol. 23(2), pages 117-128, November.
    3. Yii, Kwang-Jing & Tan, Chai-Thing & Ho, Wing-Ken & Kwan, Xiao-Hui & Nerissa, Feng-Ting Shim & Tan, Yan-Yi & Wong, Kar-Horn, 2022. "Land availability and housing price in China: Empirical evidence from nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL)," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    4. Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Mehmet Balcilar & Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Causal relationship between asset prices and output in the US: Evidence from state-level panel Granger causality test," Working Papers 201411, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  598. Bittencourt, Manoel & Gupta, Rangan & Stander, Lardo, 2014. "Tax evasion, financial development and inflation: Theory and empirical evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 194-208.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  599. Adnen Ben Nasr & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Modelling the volatility of the Dow Jones Islamic Market World Index using a fractionally integrated time-varying GARCH (FITVGARCH) model," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(14), pages 993-1004, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  600. Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "The Long-Run Relationship Between Consumption, House Prices, and Stock Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Provincial-level Data," Journal of Real Estate Literature, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(1), pages 83-99, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  601. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2014. "Housing and the Great Depression," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(24), pages 2966-2981, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  602. Cowan, Wendy N. & Chang, Tsangyao & Inglesi-Lotz, Roula & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "The nexus of electricity consumption, economic growth and CO2 emissions in the BRICS countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 359-368.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  603. Mehmet Balcilar & Abebe Beyene & Rangan Gupta & Monaheng Seleteng, 2013. "‘Ripple’ Effects in South African House Prices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 50(5), pages 876-894, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Guojie Ma, 2016. "Corporate Behaviour and Market Integration: Evidence from the Asia-Pacific Real Estate Market," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 3-2016, January-A.
    2. Tsai, I-Chun & Chiang, Shu-Hen, 2019. "Exuberance and spillovers in housing markets: Evidence from first- and second-tier cities in China," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 75-86.
    3. Steve Cook & Duncan Watson, 2016. "A new perspective on the ripple effect in the UK housing market: Comovement, cyclical subsamples and alternative indices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 53(14), pages 3048-3062, November.
    4. Xiandeng Jiang & Le Chang & Yanlin Shi, 2023. "Housing price diffusions in mainland China: evidence from a spatially penalized graphical VAR model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(2), pages 765-795, February.
    5. Tsai, I-Chun, 2018. "House price convergence in euro zone and non-euro zone countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 269-281.
    6. Jin Hu & Xuelei Xiong & Yuanyuan Cai & Feng Yuan, 2020. "The Ripple Effect and Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Intra-Urban Housing Prices at the Submarket Level in Shanghai, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-17, June.
    7. Alfred Larm Teye & Daniel Felix Ahelegbey, 2017. "Spatial and Temporal House Price Diffusion in the Netherlands: A Bayesian Network Approach," ERES eres2017_337, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    8. Feng Lan & Chengcai Jiao & Guoying Deng & Huili Da, 2021. "Urban agglomeration, housing price, and space–time spillover effect—Empirical evidences based on data from hundreds of cities in China," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 898-919, June.
    9. Shu-hen Chiang, 2014. "Housing Markets in China and Policy Implications: Comovement or Ripple Effect," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 22(6), pages 103-120, November.
    10. Gong, Yunlong & Hu, Jinxing & Boelhouwer, Peter J., 2016. "Spatial interrelations of Chinese housing markets: Spatial causality, convergence and diffusion," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 103-117.
    11. Kurmaş Akdoğan, 2019. "Size and sign asymmetries in house price adjustments," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(48), pages 5268-5281, October.
    12. Cheng-Wen Lee & Shu-Hen Chiang & Zhong-Qin Wen, 2023. "Pursuing the Sustainability of Real Estate Market: The Case of Chinese Land Resources Diversification," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-19, March.
    13. Williams, Joseph, 2018. "Housing markets with endogenous search: Theory and implications," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 107-120.
    14. Teye, Alfred Larm & Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix, 2017. "Detecting spatial and temporal house price diffusion in the Netherlands: A Bayesian network approach," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 56-64.

  604. Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Forecasting house prices for the four census regions and the aggregate US economy in a data-rich environment," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(33), pages 4677-4697, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Papadimitriou, Theophilos & Gogas, Periklis, 2014. "Forecasting the U.S. Real House Price Index," DUTH Research Papers in Economics 10-2014, Democritus University of Thrace, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Forecasting Real House Price of the U.S.: An Analysis Covering 1890 to 2012," Working Papers 201362, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2020. "Forecasting State- and MSA-Level Housing Returns of the US: The Role of Mortgage Default Risks," Working Papers 202037, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Charles Rahal, 2015. "Housing Market Forecasting with Factor Combinations," Discussion Papers 15-05, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    6. Diego Ardila & Dorsa Sanadgol & Peter Cauwels & Didier Sornette, 2017. "Identification and critical time forecasting of real estate bubbles in the USA," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 613-631, April.

  605. Simo-Kengne, Beatrice D. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Reid, Monique & Aye, Goodness C., 2013. "Is the relationship between monetary policy and house prices asymmetric across bull and bear markets in South Africa? Evidence from a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 161-171.

    Cited by:

    1. Zhong, Changbiao & Xie, Lijuan & Shi, Yu & Xu, Xiangyun, 2023. "Macro-prudential policy, its alignment with monetary policy and house price growth: A cross-country study," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 51-62.
    2. Nwabisa Kolisi & Andrew Phiri, 2017. "Changes in the relationshp between interest rates and housing prices in South Africa around the 2007 financial crisis," Working Papers 1704, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University, revised Jul 2017.
    3. Cavicchioli, Maddalena, 2024. "A matrix unified framework for deriving various impulse responses in Markov switching VAR: Evidence from oil and gas markets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    4. Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Uzuner, Gizem & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Housing sector and economic policy uncertainty: A GMM panel VAR approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 114-126.
    5. Yang, Lu & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2014. "Spillover effect of US monetary policy to ASEAN stock markets: Evidence from Indonesia, Singapore, and Thailand," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 145-155.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2020. "Housing market spillovers in South Africa: evidence from an estimated small open economy DSGE model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2309-2332, May.
    7. Zhu, Bing & Betzinger, Michael & Sebastian, Steffen, 2017. "Housing market stability, mortgage market structure, and monetary policy: Evidence from the euro area," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 1-21.
    8. Ibrahim Ayoade Adekunle & Adewale Rafiu Aregbeshola, 2025. "Evaluating the agricultural policy-productivity gap in Nigeria: a Markov-switching analysis," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 1-14, December.
    9. Zhang, Xiaoyu & Pan, Fanghui, 2021. "Asymmetric effects of monetary policy and output shocks on the real estate market in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    10. Beatrice Simo-Kengne & Stephen Miller & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2016. "Evolution of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the US: the Role of Asset Returns," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 226-243, April.
    11. Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo & Simo-Kengne, Beatrice Desiree, 2017. "Inflation and output growth dynamics in South Africa: Evidence from the Markov switching vector auto-regression model," MPRA Paper 77286, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Andrew Phiri, 2018. "Asymmetric Pass-through Effects from Monetary Policy to Housing Prices in South Africa," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 16(2 (Summer), pages 123-140.
    13. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Evolution of Monetary Policy in the US: The Role of Asset Prices," Working papers 2013-20, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2013.
    14. Zare, Roohollah, 2016. "House Price Rigidity and the Asymmetric Response of Housing Prices to Monetary Policy in Iran," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 11(4), pages 401-417, October.
    15. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Components of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Predictability of US Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantile Approach," Working Papers 201639, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Byron J. Idrovo-Aguirre & Francisco J. Lozano & Javier E. Contreras-Reyes, 2021. "Prosperity or Real Estate Bubble? Exuberance Probability Index of Real Housing Prices in Chile," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-24, September.

  606. Gupta, Rangan & Modise, Mampho P., 2013. "Does the source of oil price shocks matter for South African stock returns? A structural VAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 825-831.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  607. Gupta, Rangan & Modise, Mampho P., 2013. "Macroeconomic Variables and South African Stock Return Predictability," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 612-622.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  608. Amusa, Kafayat & Gupta, Rangan & Karolia, Shaakira & Simo-Kengne, Beatrice D., 2013. "The long-run impact of inflation in South Africa," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 798-812.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  609. Tsangyao Chang & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "The causal relationship between exports and economic growth in the nine provinces of South Africa: evidence from panel-Granger causality test," International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 6(3), pages 296-310.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  610. Rangan Gupta & Faaiqa Hartley, 2013. "The Role of Asset Prices in Forecasting Inflation and Output in South Africa," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 12(3), pages 239-291, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  611. Rangan Gupta & Monique Reid, 2013. "Macroeconomic surprises and stock returns in South Africa," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 30(3), pages 266-282, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  612. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen Miller, 2013. "Forecasting Nevada gross gaming revenue and taxable sales using coincident and leading employment indexes," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 387-417, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  613. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta & Manoel Bittencourt, 2013. "The Impact of House Prices on Consumption in South Africa: Evidence from Provincial-Level Panel VARs," Housing Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(8), pages 1133-1154, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  614. Gupta, Rangan & Steinbach, Rudi, 2013. "A DSGE-VAR model for forecasting key South African macroeconomic variables," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 19-33.

    Cited by:

    1. Paccagnini, Alessia, 2017. "Dealing with Misspecification in DSGE Models: A Survey," MPRA Paper 82914, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotze & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa, vol. 0.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Open Access publications 10197/7351, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    4. Niu, Linlin & Xu, Xiu & Chen, Ying, 2017. "An adaptive approach to forecasting three key macroeconomic variables for transitional China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 201-213.
    5. Georgios Georgiadis & Martina Jancokova, 2017. "Financial Globalisation, Monetary Policy Spillovers and Macro-modelling: Tales from 1001 Shocks," Globalization Institute Working Papers 314, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    6. Federico Inchausti-Sintes & Ubay Pérez-Granja, 2022. "Monetary policy and exchange rate regime in tourist islands," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(2), pages 325-348, March.
    7. Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling & Jin, Tao & Kwok, Simon & Wang, Xi & Zheng, Xin, 2023. "Entrepreneurial risk shocks and financial acceleration asymmetry in a two-country DSGE model," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    8. Paetz, Michael & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "Stock Price Dynamics and the Business Cycle in an Estimated DSGE Model for South Africa," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series 18, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory.
    9. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Rudi Steinbach, 2020. "Forecasting output growth using a DSGE-based decomposition of the South African yield curve," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 351-378, January.
    10. Annari de Waal & Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Do we need a global VAR model to forecast inflation and output in South Africa?," Working Papers 201346, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Buffie, Edward F. & Zanna, Luis-Felipe, 2018. "Limited Asset Market Participation And Determinacy In The Open Economy," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(8), pages 1937-1977, December.
    12. Buffie, Edward F. & Airaudo, M. & Zanna, Felipe, 2018. "Inflation targeting and exchange rate management in less developed countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 159-184.
    13. Babecký, Jan & Franta, Michal & Ryšánek, Jakub, 2018. "Fiscal policy within the DSGE-VAR framework," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 23-37.
    14. Paola Mariell Brens Ortega, 2020. "An Econometric Analysis of a Calibrated Macroeconomic Model for the Dominican Republic: A Closer Look into Monetary Policy," Documentos de Trabajo 18253, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association (LACEA).
    15. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kotzé, Kevin, 2015. "Forecasting macroeconomic data for an emerging market with a nonlinear DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 215-228.
    16. Patrick T. kanda & Mehmet Balcilar & Pejman Bahramian & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Forecasting South African Inflation Using Non-Linear Models: A Weighted Loss-Based Evaluation," Working Papers 201416, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mampho Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "DGSE Model-Based Forecasting of Modeled and Non-Modeled Inflation Variables in South Africa," Working Papers 259, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2013.
    18. Jetter, Michael & Mahmood, Rafat & Parmeter, Christopher F. & Ramírez-Hassan, Andrés, 2022. "Post-Cold War civil conflict and the role of history and religion: A stochastic search variable selection approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    19. Fernando de Menezes Linardi, 2016. "Assessing the Fit of a Small Open-Economy DSGE Model for the Brazilian Economy," Working Papers Series 424, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

  615. Riané de Bruyn & Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander, 2013. "Testing the Monetary Model for Exchange Rate Determination in South Africa: Evidence from 101 Years of Data," Contemporary Economics, Vizja University, vol. 7(1), March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  616. Aye, G.C. & Goswami, S. & Gupta, R., 2013. "Metropolitan House Prices In Regions of India: Do They Converge?," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 13(1), pages 135-144.

    Cited by:

    1. Kitenge, Erick M. & Morshed, A.K.M. Mahbub, 2019. "Price convergence among Indian cities: The role of linguistic differences, topography, and aggregation," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 34-50.
    2. Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Convergence in Provincial-Level South African House Prices: Evidence from the Club Convergence and Clustering Procedure," Working Papers 201322, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  617. Goodness Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Long- and Short-Run Relationships between House and Stock Prices in South Africa: A Nonparametric Approach," Journal of Housing Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(2), pages 203-219, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  618. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Adél Bosch & Rangan Gupta & Francois Stofberg, 2013. "The out-of-sample forecasting performance of non-linear models of real exchange rate behaviour: The case of the South African Rand," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 10(1), pages 121-148, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  619. Rangan GUPTA & Roula INGLESI-LOTZ, 2012. "Macro Shocks and Real US Stock Prices with Special Focus on the “Great Recession”," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 12(2).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  620. Rangan Gupta & Stephen Miller, 2012. "The Time-Series Properties of House Prices: A Case Study of the Southern California Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 339-361, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  621. Gupta, Rangan & Modise, Mampho P., 2012. "South African stock return predictability in the context data mining: The role of financial variables and international stock returns," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 908-916.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  622. Christophe Andre & Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda, 2012. "Do House Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate? Evidence from OECD Countries using an Agnostic Identification Procedure," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 58(1), pages 19-70.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  623. Beatrice Simo-Kengne & Manoel Bittencourt & Rangan Gupta, 2012. "House Prices and Economic Growth in South Africa: Evidence From Provincial-Level Data," Journal of Real Estate Literature, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(1), pages 97-117, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  624. Rangan Gupta & Josine Uwilingiye, 2012. "Comparing South African Inflation Volatility Across Monetary Policy Regimes: An Application of Saphe Cracking," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 46(1), pages 45-54, January-J.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  625. Babikir, Ali & Gupta, Rangan & Mwabutwa, Chance & Owusu-Sekyere, Emmanuel, 2012. "Structural breaks and GARCH models of stock return volatility: The case of South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2435-2443.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  626. Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2012. "Valuation Ratios and Stock Return Predictability in South Africa: Is It There?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(1), pages 70-82, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Ekrem Meric & Melik Kamisli & Fatih Temizel, 2017. "Interactions among Stock Price and Financial Ratios: The Case of Turkish Banking Sector," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 4(6), pages 107-115, November.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mampho P. Modise & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2013. "Can Economic Uncertainty, Financial Stress and Consumer Sentiments Predict U.S. Equity Premium?," Working Papers 201351, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Apergis, Nicholas & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Can (unusual) weather conditions in New York predict South African stock returns?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 377-386.
    4. Gupta, Rangan & Modise, Mampho P., 2013. "Macroeconomic Variables and South African Stock Return Predictability," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 612-622.
    5. Venugopala Rao Kuntamalla & Krishna Jyotreddy Maguluri, 2023. "Impact of Financial Ratios on Stock Prices of Manufacturing Companies: Evidence from India," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 6, pages 169-181.

  627. Rangan Gupta & Stephen Miller, 2012. "“Ripple effects” and forecasting home prices in Los Angeles, Las Vegas, and Phoenix," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 48(3), pages 763-782, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  628. Gupta, Rangan & Kabundi, Alain, 2011. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Large Datasets: Dynamic Factor Model versus Large-Scale BVARs," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 46(1), pages 23-40.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  629. Gupta, Rangan & Kabundi, Alain & Miller, Stephen M., 2011. "Forecasting the US real house price index: Structural and non-structural models with and without fundamentals," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 2013-2021, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  630. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2011. "Forecasting regional house price inflation: a comparison between dynamic factor models and vector autoregressive models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 288-302, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Papadimitriou, Theophilos & Gogas, Periklis, 2014. "Forecasting the U.S. Real House Price Index," DUTH Research Papers in Economics 10-2014, Democritus University of Thrace, Department of Economics.
    2. Mirriam Chitalu Chama-Chiliba & Rangan Gupta & Nonophile Nkambule & Naomi Tlotlego, 2011. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Papers 201132, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Kishor, N. Kundan, 2023. "Forecasting House Prices: The Role of Fundamentals, Credit Conditions, and Supply Indicators," MPRA Paper 116819, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Forecasting the US Real House Price Index: Structural and Non-Structural Models with and without Fundamentals," Working papers 2009-42, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    5. Laurynas Narusevicius & Tomas Ramanauskas & Laura Gudauskaitė & Tomas Reichenbachas, 2019. "Lithuanian house price index: modelling and forecasting," Bank of Lithuania Occasional Paper Series 28, Bank of Lithuania.
    6. Kyle E. Binder & Mohsen Pourahmadi & James W. Mjelde, 2020. "The role of temporal dependence in factor selection and forecasting oil prices," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1185-1223, March.
    7. Zietz, Joachim & Traian, Anca, 2014. "When was the U.S. housing downturn predictable? A comparison of univariate forecasting methods," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 271-281.
    8. Kuo, Chen-Yin, 2016. "Does the vector error correction model perform better than others in forecasting stock price? An application of residual income valuation theory," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 772-789.
    9. Mattera, Raffaele & Franses, Philip Hans, 2025. "Forecasting house price growth rates with factor models and spatio-temporal clustering," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 398-417.
    10. Chen-Yin Kuo, 2017. "Is the accuracy of stock value forecasting relevant to industry factors or firm-specific factors? An empirical study of the Ohlson model," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 49(1), pages 195-225, July.
    11. Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Forecasting House Prices for the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy: The Role of a Data-Rich Environment," Working Papers 201214, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Ercio Muñoz & Pablo Cruz, 2012. "Uso de un Modelo Favar para Proyectar el Precio del Cobre," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 15(3), pages 84-95, December.
    13. Aysun, Uluc & Wright, Cardel, 2024. "A two-step dynamic factor modelling approach for forecasting inflation in small open economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).

  631. Rangan Gupta, 2011. "Growth-Effects of Inflation Targeting: The Role of Financial Sector Development," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 12(1), pages 65-87, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  632. Riona Arjoon & Mariëtte Botes & Laban K. Chesang & Rangan Gupta, 2011. "The long-run relationship between inflation and real stock prices: empirical evidence from South Africa," Journal of Business Economics and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(4), pages 600-613, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  633. Rangan Gupta & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2011. "Is the Permanent Income Hypothesis Really Well-Suited for Forecasting?," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 37(2), pages 165-177.

    Cited by:

    1. Tazeb Bisset & Dagmawe Tenaw, 2022. "Keeping up with the Joneses: macro-evidence on the relevance of Duesenberry’s relative income hypothesis in Ethiopia," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 24(2), pages 549-564, December.

  634. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Shah, Zahra B., 2011. "An in-sample and out-of-sample empirical investigation of the nonlinearity in house prices of South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 891-899, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  635. Gupta, Rangan & Kabundi, Alain, 2011. "A large factor model for forecasting macroeconomic variables in South Africa," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1076-1088, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Poncela, Pilar & Ruiz Ortega, Esther, 2012. "More is not always better : back to the Kalman filter in dynamic factor models," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws122317, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    2. Binge, Laurie H. & Boshoff, Willem H., 2020. "Economic uncertainty in South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 113-131.
    3. Hanan Naser, 2015. "Estimating and forecasting Bahrain quarterly GDP growth using simple regression and factor-based methods," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 49(2), pages 449-479, September.
    4. Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotze & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa, vol. 0.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Open Access publications 10197/7351, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    6. Mahmut Günay, 2015. "Forecasting Turkish Industrial Production Growth With Static Factor Models," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 7(2), pages 64-78, September.
    7. Karen Poghosyan, 2015. "Alternative models for forecasting the key macroeconomic variables in Armenia (in Russian)," Quantile, Quantile, issue 13, pages 25-39, May.
    8. Costantini, Mauro & Gunter, Ulrich & Kunst, Robert M., 2014. "Forecast combinations in a DSGE-VAR lab," Economics Series 309, Institute for Advanced Studies.
    9. Zeyyad Mandalinci, 2015. "Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Markets: An Evaluation of Alternative Models," CReMFi Discussion Papers 3, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL.
    10. Poghosyan, Karen & Poghosyan, Ruben, 2021. "On the applicability of dynamic factor models for forecasting real GDP growth in Armenia," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 61, pages 28-46.
    11. Duangnate, Kannika & Mjelde, James W., 2017. "Comparison of data-rich and small-scale data time series models generating probabilistic forecasts: An application to U.S. natural gas gross withdrawals," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 411-423.
    12. Nana Kwame Akosah & Imhotep Paul Alagidede & Eric Schaling, 2024. "General Equilibrium Model for Monetary Policy Responses to Macroeconomic Instabilities in Developing Economy: A Ghanaian Perspective," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 13(2), pages 213-272, December.
    13. Zhang, Qin & Ni, He & Xu, Hao, 2023. "Nowcasting Chinese GDP in a data-rich environment: Lessons from machine learning algorithms," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    14. Annari de Waal & Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Do we need a global VAR model to forecast inflation and output in South Africa?," Working Papers 201346, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Hyun Hak Kim, 2013. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Data Dimension Reduction Methods: The Case of Korea," Working Papers 2013-26, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    16. Ibarra, Raul, 2012. "Do disaggregated CPI data improve the accuracy of inflation forecasts?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1305-1313.
    17. Hassani, Hossein & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Gupta, Rangan & Das, Sonali, 2018. "Predicting global temperature anomaly: A definitive investigation using an ensemble of twelve competing forecasting models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 121-139.
    18. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kotzé, Kevin, 2015. "Forecasting macroeconomic data for an emerging market with a nonlinear DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 215-228.
    19. Costantini, Mauro & Gunter, Ulrich & Kunst, Robert M., 2012. "Forecast Combination Based on Multiple Encompassing Tests in a Macroeconomic DSGE-VAR System," Economics Series 292, Institute for Advanced Studies.
    20. Pavel Vidal Alejandro & Lya Paola Sierra Suárez & Johana Sanabria Dominguez & Jaime Andres Collazos Rodríguez, 2015. "Indicador mensual de actividad económica (IMAE) para el Valle del Cauca," Borradores de Economia 900, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    21. Patrick T. kanda & Mehmet Balcilar & Pejman Bahramian & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Forecasting South African Inflation Using Non-Linear Models: A Weighted Loss-Based Evaluation," Working Papers 201416, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mampho Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "DGSE Model-Based Forecasting of Modeled and Non-Modeled Inflation Variables in South Africa," Working Papers 259, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2013.
    23. Alain Kabundi & Elmarie Nel & Franz Ruch, 2016. "Nowcasting Real GDP growth in South Africa," Working Papers 7068, South African Reserve Bank.
    24. Qin Zhang & He Ni & Hao Xu, 2023. "Forecasting models for the Chinese macroeconomy in a data‐rich environment: Evidence from large dimensional approximate factor models with mixed‐frequency data," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(1), pages 719-767, March.
    25. Ulrich Gunter, 2019. "Estimating and forecasting with a two-country DSGE model of the Euro area and the USA: the merits of diverging interest-rate rules," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1283-1323, April.

  636. Rangan Gupta, 2011. "Currency Substitution and Financial Repression," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(1), pages 47-61.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  637. Sonali DAS , Rangan GUPTA & Patrick A. KAYA, 2010. "Convergence Of Metropolitan House Prices In South Africa: A Re-Examination Using Efficient Unit Root Tests," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 10(1).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  638. Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2010. "Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 294-319, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  639. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2010. "Forecasting macroeconomic variables in a small open economy: a comparison between small- and large-scale models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1-2), pages 168-185.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  640. Guangling “Dave” Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2010. "Forecasting the South African economy: a hybrid‐DSGE approach," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 37(2), pages 181-195, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Mirriam Chitalu Chama-Chiliba & Rangan Gupta & Nonophile Nkambule & Naomi Tlotlego, 2011. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Papers 201132, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Open Access publications 10197/7351, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    3. Alessia Paccagnini, 2012. "Comparing Hybrid DSGE Models," Working Papers 228, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2012.
    4. Poghosyan, K., 2012. "Structural and reduced-form modeling and forecasting with application to Armenia," Other publications TiSEM ad1a24c3-15e6-4f04-b338-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    5. Annari de Waal & Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Do we need a global VAR model to forecast inflation and output in South Africa?," Working Papers 201346, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Rudi Steinbach, 2010. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy: A Small Open Economy New Keynesian DSGE-VAR Model," Working Papers 201019, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Gupta, Rangan & Steinbach, Rudi, 2013. "A DSGE-VAR model for forecasting key South African macroeconomic variables," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 19-33.
    8. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kotzé, Kevin, 2015. "Forecasting macroeconomic data for an emerging market with a nonlinear DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 215-228.
    9. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mampho Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "DGSE Model-Based Forecasting of Modeled and Non-Modeled Inflation Variables in South Africa," Working Papers 259, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2013.
    10. Gupta, Rangan & Kabundi, Alain, 2011. "A large factor model for forecasting macroeconomic variables in South Africa," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1076-1088, October.

  641. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2010. "The Blessing of Dimensionality in Forecasting Real House Price Growth in the Nine Census Divisions of the U.S," Journal of Housing Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 89-109, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  642. Rangan Gupta & Christian Tipoy & Sonali Das, 2010. "Could We Have Predicted the Recent Downturn in Home Sales in the Four U.S. Census Regions?," Journal of Housing Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 111-128, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  643. Albert H. de Wet & Reneé van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2010. "Loan Portfolio Conditional Loss Estimation Using an Error-Correcting Macroeconometric Model," The African Finance Journal, Africagrowth Institute, vol. 12(2), pages 28-49.

    Cited by:

    1. Boschi, Melisso, 2007. "Foreign capital in Latin America: A long-run structural Global VAR perspective," Economics Discussion Papers 8918, University of Essex, Department of Economics.

  644. Rangan Gupta & Cobus Vermeulen, 2010. "Private and Public Health Expenditures in an Endogenous Growth Model with Inflation Targeting," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 11(1), pages 139-153, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  645. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Mampho Modise, 2010. "Has the SARB become more effective post inflation targeting?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 43(3), pages 187-204, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  646. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2010. "The Effect Of Defense Spending On Us Output: A Factor Augmented Vector Autoregression (Favar) Approach," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(2), pages 135-147.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  647. Gupta, Rangan & Jurgilas, Marius & Kabundi, Alain, 2010. "The effect of monetary policy on real house price growth in South Africa: A factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 315-323, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  648. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2010. "The effect of monetary policy on house price inflation," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 37(6), pages 616-626, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Leu, Shawn C.-Y. & Robertson, Mari L., 2021. "Mortgage credit volumes and monetary policy after the Great Recession," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 483-500.
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2014. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices," Public Finance Review, , vol. 42(4), pages 511-531, July.
    3. Tsai, Pei-Hsuan & Wang, Ying-Wei & Chang, Wen-Chang, 2023. "Hybrid MADM-based study of key risk factors in house-for-pension reverse mortgage lending in Taiwan's banking industry," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    4. Nwabisa Kolisi & Andrew Phiri, 2017. "Changes in the relationshp between interest rates and housing prices in South Africa around the 2007 financial crisis," Working Papers 1704, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University, revised Jul 2017.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Changing Dynamics of the U.S. REITs Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-12, May.
    6. Adebayo Augustine Kutu & Harold Ngalawa, 2016. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Industrial Sector Performance in South Africa," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 8(3), pages 26-40.
    7. Zhang, Yanbing & Hua, Xiuping & Zhao, Liang, 2012. "Exploring determinants of housing prices: A case study of Chinese experience in 1999–2010," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2349-2361.
    8. Hao Meng & Hai-Chuan Xu & Wei-Xing Zhou & Didier Sornette, 2017. "Symmetric thermal optimal path and time-dependent lead-lag relationship: novel statistical tests and application to UK and US real-estate and monetary policies," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(6), pages 959-977, June.
    9. Weina Cai & Sen Wang, 2018. "The Time-Varying Effects of Monetary Policy on House Prices in China: An Application of TVP-VAR Model with Stochastic Volatility," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 13(4), pages 149-149, March.
    10. Petre Caraiani & Adrian C. Călin & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Monetary policy and bubbles in US REITs," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 675-687, June.
    11. Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2011. "Relationship between House Prices and Inflation in South Africa: An ARDL Approach," Working Papers 201130, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Mampho P. Modise, 2009. "Has the SARB Become More Effective Post Inflation Targeting?," Working Papers 200925, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Julien Chevallier, 2011. "Macroeconomics, finance, commodities: Interactions with carbon markets in a data-rich model," Post-Print hal-00991961, HAL.
    14. Geoffrey M. Ngene & Daniel P. Sohn & M. Kabir Hassan, 2017. "Time-Varying and Spatial Herding Behavior in the US Housing Market: Evidence from Direct Housing Prices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 482-514, May.
    15. Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2022. "Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on Housing Prices in the United States: The Role of Sentiment," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 241-261, July.
    16. Rangan Gupta & Marius Jurgilas & Stephen M. Miller & Dylan van Wyk, 2010. "Financial Market Liberalization, Monetary Policy, and Housing Price Dynamics," Working Papers 201009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Laurynas Narusevicius & Tomas Ramanauskas & Laura Gudauskaitė & Tomas Reichenbachas, 2019. "Lithuanian house price index: modelling and forecasting," Bank of Lithuania Occasional Paper Series 28, Bank of Lithuania.
    18. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2012. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience," Working Papers 1211, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    19. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Monique Reid & Goodness C. Aye, 2012. "Is The Relationship Between Monetary Policy And House Prices Asymmetric In South Africa? Evidence From A Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201222, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    20. Shen, Chung-Hua & Lin, Kun-Li & Guo, Na, 2016. "Hawk or dove: Switching regression model for the monetary policy reaction function in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 94-111.
    21. Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2020. "Housing market spillovers in South Africa: evidence from an estimated small open economy DSGE model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2309-2332, May.
    22. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta & Manoel Bittencourt, 2013. "The Impact of House Prices on Consumption in South Africa: Evidence from Provincial-Level Panel VARs," Housing Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(8), pages 1133-1154, November.
    23. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta & Goodness C. Aye, 2013. "Macro Shocks And House Prices In South Africa," Working Papers 201302, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Irfan Akbar Kazi & Hakimzadi Wagan & Farhan Akbar, 2012. "The changing international transmission of US monetary policy shocks: is there evidence of contagion effect on OECD countries," EconomiX Working Papers 2012-27, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    25. Mohamed BELHEDI & Ines SLAMA & Amine LAHIANI, 2015. "Tranmission Of International Shocks To An Emerging Small Open-Economy: Evidence From Tunisia," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 42, pages 231-258.
    26. Simo-Kengne, Beatrice D. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Reid, Monique & Aye, Goodness C., 2013. "Is the relationship between monetary policy and house prices asymmetric across bull and bear markets in South Africa? Evidence from a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 161-171.
    27. Njindan Iyke, Bernard, 2015. "Assessing the Effects of Housing Market Shocks on Output: The Case of South Africa," MPRA Paper 69610, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Feb 2016.
    28. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Testing for persistence with breaks and outliers in South African house prices," NCID Working Papers 01/2013, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    29. Wadud, I.K.M. Mokhtarul & Bashar, Omar H.M.N. & Ahmed, Huson Joher Ali, 2012. "Monetary policy and the housing market in Australia," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 849-863.
    30. Christophe André & Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda, 2012. "Do House Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate?: Evidence from OECD Countries Using an Agnostic Identification Procedure," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 947, OECD Publishing.
    31. Ahdi N. Ajmi & Vassilios Babalos & Fotini Economou & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Real Estate Markets and Uncertainty Shocks: A Variance Causality Approach," Working Papers 201436, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    32. Ranoua Bouchouicha & Zied Ftiti, 2012. "Real estate markets and the macroeconomy: A dynamic coherence framework," Post-Print halshs-00757077, HAL.
    33. Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Kanyane Matlou, 2013. "A Time-Varying Approach to Analysing Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices in South Africa," Working Papers 201303, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    34. Alexander Zimper, 2014. "The minimal confidence levels of Basel capital regulation," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 15(2), pages 129-143, April.
    35. I-Chun Tsai, 2019. "Interregional correlations in the US housing market at three price tiers," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 63(1), pages 1-24, August.
    36. Belke, Ansgar & Osowski, Thomas, 2017. "International effects of euro area versus US policy uncertainty: A FAVAR approach," Ruhr Economic Papers 689, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    37. Isabel Ruiz & Carlos Vargas-Silva, 2016. "The impacts of fiscal policy shocks on the US housing market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 777-800, May.
    38. Libo Yin & Liyan Han, 2016. "Macroeconomic impacts on commodity prices: China vs. the United States," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 489-500, March.
    39. Pattnaik, Debidutta & Kumar, Satish & Burton, Bruce & Lim, Weng Marc, 2022. "Economic Modelling at thirty-five: A retrospective bibliometric survey," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    40. Andrew Phiri, 2018. "Asymmetric Pass-through Effects from Monetary Policy to Housing Prices in South Africa," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 16(2 (Summer), pages 123-140.
    41. Mustafa Ozan Yıldırım & Mehmet İvrendi, 2017. "House Prices And The Macroeconomic Environment In Turkey: The Examination Of A Dynamic Relationship," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 62(215), pages 81-110, October –.
    42. Musso, Alberto & Neri, Stefano & Stracca, Livio, 2010. "Housing, consumption and monetary policy: how different are the US and the euro area?," Working Paper Series 1161, European Central Bank.
    43. Zare, Roohollah, 2016. "House Price Rigidity and the Asymmetric Response of Housing Prices to Monetary Policy in Iran," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 11(4), pages 401-417, October.
    44. Chandler Lutz, 2015. "The international impact of US unconventional monetary policy," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(12), pages 955-959, August.
    45. Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Forecasting House Prices for the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy: The Role of a Data-Rich Environment," Working Papers 201214, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    46. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Components of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Predictability of US Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantile Approach," Working Papers 201639, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    47. Charles Rahal,, 2016. "Housing markets and unconventional monetary policy," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 67-80.
    48. Mehmet Balcilar & Abebe Beyene & Rangan Gupta & Monaheng Seleteng, 2013. "‘Ripple’ Effects in South African House Prices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 50(5), pages 876-894, April.

  649. Rangan Gupta & Josine Uwilingiye, 2010. "Dynamic Time Inconsistency And The South African Reserve Bank," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 78(1), pages 76-88, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Gabriel Caldas Montes, 2014. "Can inflation targeting mitigate monetary policy time-inconsistency?," Journal of Economic and Financial Studies (JEFS), LAR Center Press, vol. 2(2), pages 15-25, April.
    2. Eliphas Ndou & Nombulelo Gumata & Mthuli Ncube & Eric Olson, 2013. "Working Paper 189 - An Empirical Investigation of the Taylor Curve in South Africa," Working Paper Series 992, African Development Bank.
    3. Andrew Phiri, 2014. "Nonlinear Co-Integration Between Unemployment and Economic Growth in South Africa," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 12(4 (Winter), pages 303-324.
    4. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "The Effectiveness Of Monetary Policy In South Africa Under Inflation Targeting: Evidence from a Time-Varying Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive Model," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 54(4), pages 55-73, October-D.
    5. Kafayat Amusa & Rangan Gupta & Shaakira Karolia & Beatrice D. Simo Kengne, 2010. "The Long-Run Impact of Inflation in South Africa," Working Papers 201029, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Phiri, Andrew, 2014. "Re-evaluating Okun's law in South Africa: A nonlinear co-integration approach," MPRA Paper 57398, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  650. Das, Sonali & Gupta, Rangan & Kabundi, Alain, 2009. "Could we have predicted the recent downturn in the South African housing market?," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 325-335, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  651. Guangling 'Dave' Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2009. "A New-Keynesian DSGE model for forecasting the South African economy," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(5), pages 387-404.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  652. R Gupta & J Uwilingiye, 2009. "Time Aggregation, Long-Run Money Demand and the Welfare Cost of Inflation," Studies in Economics and Econometrics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(3), pages 95-109, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  653. de Wet, Albertus H. & van Eyden, Reneé & Gupta, Rangan, 2009. "Linking global economic dynamics to a South African-specific credit risk correlation model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(5), pages 1000-1011, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  654. Rangan Gupta, 2009. "Financial Liberalization and a Possible Growth-Inflation Trade-Off," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 44(1), pages 1-19, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  655. Thabo M. Mokoena & Gupta, R. & Van Eyden, R., 2009. "Half-Life Deviations from PPP in the South African Development Community (SADC)," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 9(1).

    Cited by:

    1. Goodness C. Aye & Samrat Goswami & Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Metropolitan House Prices In India: Do They Converge?," Working Papers 201220, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Sonali DAS , Rangan GUPTA & Patrick A. KAYA, 2010. "Convergence Of Metropolitan House Prices In South Africa: A Re-Examination Using Efficient Unit Root Tests," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 10(1).
    3. Aye, G.C. & Goswami, S. & Gupta, R., 2013. "Metropolitan House Prices In Regions of India: Do They Converge?," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 13(1), pages 135-144.

  656. Thabo M. Mokoena & Rangan Gupta & Reneé Van Eyden, 2009. "Testing For Fractional Integration In Southern African Development Community Real Exchange Rates," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 77(4), pages 531-537, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Carcel Hector & Gil-Alana Luis A. & Madigu Godfrey, 2015. "Inflation Convergence in the East African Community: A Fractional Integration and Cointegration Study," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 15(4), pages 507-524, December.

  657. Rangan Gupta & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2009. "Tax evasion and financial repression: a reconsideration using endogenous growth models," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 36(6), pages 660-674, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  658. Samrat Goswami & Rangan Gupta, 2009. "An Endogenous Growth Model of a Financially Repressed Small Open Economy," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 143-161.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  659. R Gupta & K Komen, 2009. "Time Aggregation and the Contradictions with Causal Relationships: Can Economic Theory Come to the Rescue?," Studies in Economics and Econometrics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 16-27, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  660. Thabo M. Mokoena & Rangan Gupta & Reneé Van Eyden, 2009. "Testing For Ppp Using Sadc Real Exchange Rates," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 77(3), pages 351-362, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  661. Rangan Gupta, 2009. "Bayesian Methods Of Forecasting Inventory Investment," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 77(1), pages 113-126, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Mirriam Chitalu Chama-Chiliba & Rangan Gupta & Nonophile Nkambule & Naomi Tlotlego, 2011. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Papers 201132, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 200821, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Could We Have Predicted The Recent Downturn In The South African Housing Market?," Working Papers 200831, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in a Small Open Economy: A Comparison between Small- and Large-Scale Models," Working Papers 200830, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  662. Ueckermann, E.M. & Blignaut, J.N. & Gupta, Rangan & Raubenheimer, J., 2008. "Modelling South African grain farmers’ preferences to adopt derivative contracts using discrete choice models," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 47(2), pages 1-18, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Mofokeng, Maine & Vink, Nick, 2013. "Factors Affecting the Hedging Decision of Maize Farmers in Gauteng Province," 2013 Fourth International Conference, September 22-25, 2013, Hammamet, Tunisia 161465, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
    2. Granoszewski, Karol & Spiller, Achim, 2013. "Langfristige Rohstoffsicherung in der Supply Chain Biogas: Status Quo und Potenziale vertraglicher Zusammenarbeit," DARE Discussion Papers 1303, Georg-August University of Göttingen, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development (DARE).
    3. Graupner, DL & Graupner, LI, 2023. "Testing a profit margin hedging model as a price risk management solution for crop farmers in South Africa," African Journal of Food, Agriculture, Nutrition and Development (AJFAND), African Journal of Food, Agriculture, Nutrition and Development (AJFAND), vol. 23(2), January.

  663. Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Spatial Bayesian Methods Of Forecasting House Prices In Six Metropolitan Areas Of South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 76(2), pages 298-313, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  664. Gupta, Rangan, 2008. "Tax evasion and financial repression," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 60(6), pages 517-535.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  665. Rangan Gupta & Josine Uwilingiye, 2008. "Measuring The Welfare Cost Of Inflation In South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 76(1), pages 16-25, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  666. Rangan Gupta & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2008. "Costly Tax Enforcement and Financial Repression," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 37(2), pages 141-154, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  667. Rangan Gupta, 2007. "Financial Liberalization and Inflationary Dynamics: An Open Economy Analysis," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(3), pages 335-360.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  668. Guangling (dave Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2007. "A Small‐Scale Dsge Model For Forecasting The South African Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 75(2), pages 179-193, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  669. Rangan Gupta, 2007. "FORECASTING THE SOUTH AFRICAN ECONOMY WITH GIBBS SAMPLED BVECMs," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 75(4), pages 631-643, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  670. Rangan Gupta, 2006. "FORECASTING THE SOUTH AFRICAN ECONOMY WITH VARs AND VECMs," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 74(4), pages 611-628, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  671. Rangan Gupta & Moses M. Sichei, 2006. "A Bvar Model For The South African Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 74(3), pages 391-409, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  672. Rangan Gupta, 2005. "Costly State Monitoring and Reserve Requirements," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 6(2), pages 263-288, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.

Chapters

  1. Reneé van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Christophe André & Xin Sheng, 2022. "The effect of macroeconomic uncertainty on housing returns and volatility: evidence from US state-level data," Chapters, in: Charles K.Y. Leung (ed.), Handbook of Real Estate and Macroeconomics, chapter 8, pages 206-238, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.
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