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Stock Market Response to Economic Growth and Interest Rate Volatility: Evidence from Nigeria


  • Babajide Abiola Ayopo

    (Department of Banking and Finance, Covenant University, Ota, Ogun-state. Nigeria)

  • Lawal Adedoyin Isola

    (Department of Accounting and Finance, Landmark University, Omu Aran, Nigeria,)

  • Somoye Russel Olukayode

    (Department of Accounting, Banking and finance, Olabisi Onabanjo University, Ago Iwoye, Nigeria.)


This study examined the relationship between macroeconomic variable volatility and stock market return within the context of Blanchard (1981) extension of the Hicks (1937) IS-LM hypothesis, using exponential general autoregressive conditional heteroskedascity estimation techniques to analysis monthly data sourced on the Nigerian economy from January 1985 to December 2013. Our result shows that stock prices responds significantly to innovations in the interest rate and the real gross domestic product (RGDP), we therefore recommends that policy makers on the one hand should consider volatility in both the interest rate and the RGDP when making policies aimed at enhancing stock market development. On the other hand, market practitioners are expected to make provisions for volatility in interest rate and the RGDP when making portfolio decisions.

Suggested Citation

  • Babajide Abiola Ayopo & Lawal Adedoyin Isola & Somoye Russel Olukayode, 2016. "Stock Market Response to Economic Growth and Interest Rate Volatility: Evidence from Nigeria," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(1), pages 354-360.
  • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2016-01-45

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Xiao-Lin Li & Yi-Na Li & Lu Bai, 2019. "Stock Market Cycle and Business Cycle in China: Evidence from a Bootstrap Rolling Window Approach," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 17, pages 35-50, August.
    2. Si, Deng-Kui & Liu, Xi-Hua & Kong, Xianli, 2019. "The comovement and causality between stock market cycle and business cycle in China: Evidence from a wavelet analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 17-30.
    3. Emran Hasan & Shahanawaz Sharif, 2019. "Do Macroeconomic Variables Affect Stock Market Performance? A Case Study of DSEX and DS30 Index of Dhaka Stock Exchange," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 9(3), pages 182-203, September.
    4. Adedoyin Isola Lawal & Adeniyi Olayanju & Afeez Adebare Salisu & Abiola John Asaleye & Olatunde Dahunsi & Oluwasogo Dada & Oluwasola Emmanel Omoju & Olabisi Rasheedat Popoola, 2019. "Examining Rational Bubbles in Oil Prices: Evidence From Frequency Domain Estimates," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 166-173.

    More about this item


    Interest Rate; Real Gross Domestic Product; All Share Price; Volatility; Exponential General Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedascity;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets


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