IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rfb/journl/v16y2024i2p273-293.html

The Time Dependence and Interconnectedness of Developed Stock Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Bogdan Dima
  • Stefana Maria Dima
  • Anca-Adriana Saraolu (Ionascuti)

Abstract

This study examines the interconnectedness in developed stock markets by focusing on the time dependence of their multi-vocal relationships. Conceptually, we discuss the differences between financial contagion, interconnectedness and dominance in order to highlight the argument that stock markets are functionally connected. For capturing the shifts in markets’ correlation patterns over time, and their frequencies, we employ a methodology in the framework of Wavelet Local Multiple Correlation (WLMC). We have involved in the analysis three developed stock markets, on a long-time span from 2005-2024. Our findings suggest that the correlation pattern displays significant variations over time at different frequencies.

Suggested Citation

  • Bogdan Dima & Stefana Maria Dima & Anca-Adriana Saraolu (Ionascuti), 2024. "The Time Dependence and Interconnectedness of Developed Stock Markets," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 16(2), pages 273-293, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:rfb:journl:v:16:y:2024:i:2:p:273-293
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://rfb.ase.ro/articole/RFB_2024V2_art_6.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bouri, Elie & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Return connectedness across asset classes around the COVID-19 outbreak," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    2. Lang, Chunlin & Xu, Danyang & Corbet, Shaen & Hu, Yang & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Global financial risk and market connectedness: An empirical analysis of COVOL and major financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    3. Phylaktis, Kate & Ravazzolo, Fabiola, 2002. "Measuring financial and economic integration with equity prices in emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(6), pages 879-903, November.
    4. Annalisa Cadonna & Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter & Peter Knaus, 2020. "Triple the Gamma—A Unifying Shrinkage Prior for Variance and Variable Selection in Sparse State Space and TVP Models," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-36, May.
    5. Zivot, Eric & Andrews, Donald W K, 2002. "Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 25-44, January.
    6. Dai, Zhifeng & Tang, Rui & Zhang, Xinhua, 2023. "Multilayer network analysis for measuring the inter-connectedness between the oil market and G20 stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    7. A. I. McLeod & W. K. Li, 1983. "Diagnostic Checking Arma Time Series Models Using Squared‐Residual Autocorrelations," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 4(4), pages 269-273, July.
    8. Marcello Pericoli & Massimo Sbracia, 2003. "A Primer on Financial Contagion," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(4), pages 571-608, September.
    9. Chen, Wenjin & Szeto, K.Y., 2012. "Mixed time scale strategy in portfolio management," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 35-40.
    10. Armijo, Leslie Elliott & Mühlich, Laurissa & Tirone, Daniel C., 2014. "The systemic financial importance of emerging powers," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(S1), pages 67-88.
    11. BenMim, Imen & BenSaïda, Ahmed, 2019. "Financial contagion across major stock markets: A study during crisis episodes," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 187-201.
    12. Michael E. Mann & Jonathan D. Woodruff & Jeffrey P. Donnelly & Zhihua Zhang, 2009. "Atlantic hurricanes and climate over the past 1,500 years," Nature, Nature, vol. 460(7257), pages 880-883, August.
    13. Timo Teräsvirta & Chien‐Fu Lin & Clive W. J. Granger, 1993. "Power Of The Neural Network Linearity Test," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(2), pages 209-220, March.
    14. Silva, Thiago Christiano & Wilhelm, Paulo Victor Berri & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda, 2023. "The effect of interconnectivity on stock returns during the Global Financial Crisis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    15. M. Barkhagen & S. García & J. Gondzio & J. Kalcsics & J. Kroeske & S. Sabanis & A. Staal, 2023. "Optimising portfolio diversification and dimensionality," Journal of Global Optimization, Springer, vol. 85(1), pages 185-234, January.
    16. Martinez-Jaramillo, Serafin & Carmona, Christian U. & Kenett, Dror Y., 2019. "Interconnectedness and financial stability," Journal of Risk Management in Financial Institutions, Henry Stewart Publications, vol. 12(2), pages 168-183, March.
    17. Wu, Fei & Zhang, Dayong & Zhang, Zhiwei, 2019. "Connectedness and risk spillovers in China’s stock market: A sectoral analysis," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(3).
    18. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Time-frequency dependence and connectedness among global oil markets: Fresh evidence from higher-order moment perspective," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    19. Raddant, Matthias & Kenett, Dror Y., 2021. "Interconnectedness in the global financial market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    20. Thomas J Flavin & Margaret J Hurley & Fabrice Rousseau, 2002. "Explaining Stock Market Correlation: A Gravity Model Approach," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 70(S1), pages 87-106.
    21. Kristin J. Forbes & Roberto Rigobon, 2002. "No Contagion, Only Interdependence: Measuring Stock Market Comovements," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(5), pages 2223-2261, October.
    22. Bouri, Elie & Nekhili, Ramzi & Todorova, Neda, 2023. "Dynamic co-movement in major commodity markets during crisis periods: A wavelet local multiple correlation analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
    23. Polanco Martínez, Josué M. & Abadie, Luis M. & Fernández-Macho, J., 2018. "A multi-resolution and multivariate analysis of the dynamic relationships between crude oil and petroleum-product prices," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 1550-1560.
    24. Dungey, Mardi & Tambakis, Demosthenes N. (ed.), 2005. "Identifying International Financial Contagion: Progress and Challenges," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195187182.
    25. repec:bla:manchs:v:70:y:2002:i:0:p:87-106 is not listed on IDEAS
    26. Najah Attig & Oumar Sy, 2023. "Diversification during Hard Times," Financial Analysts Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 79(2), pages 45-64, April.
    27. Liu, Lu, 2013. "International stock market interdependence: Are developing markets the same as developed markets?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 226-238.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Anca-Adriana SARAOLU (IONĂȘCUȚI), 2024. "Non-Uniform Interconnectedness Patterns And Dynamics: Evidence From Emerging Stock Markets," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 33(2), pages 166-175, December.
    2. Flavin, Thomas J. & Panopoulou, Ekaterini & Unalmis, Deren, 2008. "On the stability of domestic financial market linkages in the presence of time-varying volatility," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 280-301, December.
    3. Shaun Bond & Mardi Dungey & Renée Fry, 2006. "A Web Of Shocks: Crises Across Asian Real Estate Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 32(3), pages 253-274, May.
    4. Mardi Dungey & Rene Fry & Vance L. Martin, 2006. "Correlation, Contagion, and Asian Evidence," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 5(2), pages 32-72, Spring/Su.
    5. Dang, Tam Hoang Nhat & Balli, Faruk & Balli, Hatice Ozer & Gabauer, David & Nguyen, Thi Thu Ha, 2024. "Sectoral uncertainty spillovers in emerging markets: A quantile time–frequency connectedness approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 121-139.
    6. Orlov, Alexei G., 2009. "A cospectral analysis of exchange rate comovements during Asian financial crisis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 742-758, December.
    7. Thomas J. Flavin & Ekaterini Panopoulou, 2010. "Detecting Shift And Pure Contagion In East Asian Equity Markets: A Unified Approach," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(3), pages 401-421, August.
    8. Pappas, Vasileios & Ingham, Hilary & Izzeldin, Marwan & Steele, Gerry, 2016. "Will the crisis “tear us apart”? Evidence from the EU," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 346-360.
    9. Vance L. Martin & Mardi Dungey, 2007. "Unravelling financial market linkages during crises," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 89-119.
    10. Gómez-Puig, Marta & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón, 2014. "Causality and contagion in EMU sovereign debt markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 12-27.
    11. Leschinski, Christian & Bertram, Philip, 2017. "Time varying contagion in EMU government bond spreads," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 72-91.
    12. Avishek Bhandari, 2020. "A wavelet analysis of inter-dependence, contagion and long memory among global equity markets," Papers 2003.14110, arXiv.org.
    13. Kenourgios, Dimitris & Naifar, Nader & Dimitriou, Dimitrios, 2016. "Islamic financial markets and global crises: Contagion or decoupling?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 36-46.
    14. Dimitriou, Dimitrios & Kenourgios, Dimitris & Simos, Theodore, 2013. "Global financial crisis and emerging stock market contagion: A multivariate FIAPARCH–DCC approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 46-56.
    15. Lawrence, Babatunde & Obalade, Adefemi A. & Tita, Anthanasius F. & French, Joseph J., 2024. "Stock market connectedness during an energy crisis: Evidence from South Africa," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    16. Callum Scott, 2006. "Measuring Contagion in the South-East Asian Economic Crisis: An Exploration Using Artificial Neural Networks," Accounting Research Journal, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 19(2), pages 139-152, September.
    17. Chen, Shyh-Wei & Xie, Zixiong, 2015. "Testing for current account sustainability under assumptions of smooth break and nonlinearity," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 142-156.
    18. Dungey, Mardi & Fry, Renée, 2009. "More Confusion in Contagion Tests: the Effects of a Crisis Sourced in US Credit Markets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 41-70.
    19. Muñoz, Mª Pilar & Márquez, María Dolores & Sánchez, Josep A., 2011. "Contagion between United States and european markets during the recent crises," MPRA Paper 35993, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Iordache Andreea & Tătaru Răzvan Ioan & Tătaru George-Cristian, 2025. "Revisiting the Dynamics of CEE Capital Markets," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 19(1), pages 1856-1874.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rfb:journl:v:16:y:2024:i:2:p:273-293. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Tatu Lucian (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ffasero.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.