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Dynamic effects of monetary policy shocks on macroeconomic volatility in the United Kingdom

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  • Afees A. Salisu
  • Rangan Gupta

Abstract

We use constant and time-varying parameters vector autoregressive models that allow the estimation of the impact of monetary policy shocks on volatility of macroeconomic variables in the United Kingdom. Estimates suggest that an increase in the policy rate by 1% is associated with a rise in unemployment and inflation volatility of about 10% on average, with peaks observed during episodes of local and global crises.

Suggested Citation

  • Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Dynamic effects of monetary policy shocks on macroeconomic volatility in the United Kingdom," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(18), pages 1594-1599, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:18:p:1594-1599
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1834498
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    Cited by:

    1. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Karmakar, Sayar & Das, Sonali, 2022. "Forecasting output growth of advanced economies over eight centuries: The role of gold market volatility as a proxy of global uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    2. Laine, Olli-Matti, 2022. "Evidence about the transmission of monetary policy," Bank of Finland Scientific Monographs, Bank of Finland, volume 0, number e53.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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