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Oil Price Fluctuation and their Impact on the Macroeconomic Variables: The Case of Kuwait

Author

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  • Salah A. Alawadhi

    (Faculty of Business Studies, Arab Open University, Kuwait)

  • Adedayo E. Longe

    (Olabisi Onabanjo University, Ago-Iwoye, Ogun State, Nigeria)

Abstract

The fluctuations in the international prices of crude oil have been a major concern for many economies who depend mainly on oil exports. Oil price shocks are a major disturbance for the economies of oil producing countries. This study investigates the impact of oil price shocks on selected macroeconomic variables in Kuwait using secondary data covering the period of 2001 to 2022. The study adopted the Vector autoregression (VAR) method to analyze the response of Kuwait macroeconomic variables to shocks in oil prices. Oil price in the study is considered in 2 categories: the linear oil price and the non-linear oil price (positive and negative changes in oil price). Based on the findings, it is observed that oil price shocks significantly impact macroeconomic variables in Kuwait. It is found that positive changes in oil prices have a more positive and significant impact on the macroeconomic variables compared to the negative changes in oil price. It is however concluded that there is a need for more policy developments to better harness periods of positive oil price experiences, and develop hedging risk framework for periods of negative changes in oil price in order to curb the impact of oil price shocks on Kuwait’s macroeconomy.

Suggested Citation

  • Salah A. Alawadhi & Adedayo E. Longe, 2024. "Oil Price Fluctuation and their Impact on the Macroeconomic Variables: The Case of Kuwait," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(3), pages 375-386, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2024-03-38
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • O2 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy

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