IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/riibaf/v50y2019icp416-429.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Are cryptocurrencies contagious to Asian financial markets?

Author

Listed:
  • Handika, Rangga
  • Soepriyanto, Gatot
  • Havidz, Shinta Amalina Hazrati

Abstract

Despite numerous studies on financial contagion over the last few decades, the definition of financial contagion is not universally accepted. Furthermore, economic studies on cryptocurrency are limited. This research presents a pioneering study investigating cryptocurrencies contagion in the Asian financial markets. We use three methods of measuring contagions. The first method adjusts the bias in the correlation coefficient. The second method identifies exceedances (extreme return) and performs a multinomial logistic regression to explain the coexceedances. Finally, we also use a vector autoregression (VAR) system. We documented evidence that the (unadjusted) correlation coefficients between five cryptocurrencies and thirteen Asian financial markets tended to be low in both high and low variance periods. After adjusting the bias in the correlation coefficient, we found that there was no longer evidence of a significant change in the magnitude of the propagation mechanism from five cryptocurrencies to Asian foreign exchange and stock markets. Using a multinomial logit analysis, we also acknowledged that cryptocurrencies tended to be statistically insignificant determinants for both positive and negative coexceedances. Our third contagion analysis using a VAR system further revealed that cryptocurrencies tended to be statistically insignificant determinants explaining the current Asian financial market change variables. Our results suggest that cryptocurrencies do not possess a systemic risk to the Asian financial markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Handika, Rangga & Soepriyanto, Gatot & Havidz, Shinta Amalina Hazrati, 2019. "Are cryptocurrencies contagious to Asian financial markets?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 416-429.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:50:y:2019:i:c:p:416-429
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2019.06.007
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0275531919301321
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ribaf.2019.06.007?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Geert Bekaert & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Arnaud Mehl, 2014. "The Global Crisis and Equity Market Contagion," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 69(6), pages 2597-2649, December.
    2. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Herding behaviour in cryptocurrencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 216-221.
    3. Matthew Elliott & Benjamin Golub & Matthew O. Jackson, 2014. "Financial Networks and Contagion," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(10), pages 3115-3153, October.
    4. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2013. "An analysis of commodity markets: What gain for investors?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(10), pages 3878-3889.
    5. Constanza Martinez & Manuel Ramirez, 2011. "International propagation of shocks: an evaluation of contagion effects for some Latin American countries," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 213-233, December.
    6. Ke Cheng & Fengbin Lu & Xiaoguang Yang, 2012. "Copula contagion index and its efficiency," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(12), pages 989-1002, June.
    7. Paul Glasserman & Peyton Young, 2015. "Contagion in Financial Networks," Economics Series Working Papers 764, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    8. Melisso Boschi, 2005. "International financial contagion: evidence from the Argentine crisis of 2001-2002," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(3), pages 153-163.
    9. Shegorika Rajwani & Dilip Kumar, 2016. "Asymmetric Dynamic Conditional Correlation Approach to Financial Contagion: A Study of Asian Markets," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 17(6), pages 1339-1356, December.
    10. Kenourgios, Dimitris, 2014. "On financial contagion and implied market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 21-30.
    11. Longstaff, Francis A., 2010. "The subprime credit crisis and contagion in financial markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(3), pages 436-450, September.
    12. Paolo Pasquariello, 2007. "Imperfect Competition, Information Heterogeneity, and Financial Contagion," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 20(2), pages 391-426.
    13. Neha Seth & Laxmidhar Panda, 2018. "Financial contagion: review of empirical literature," Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 10(1), pages 15-70, February.
    14. Jiaxing You & Chun Liu & Guqian Du, 2014. "With Economic Integration Comes Financial Contagion? Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(3), pages 62-80, May.
    15. George Milunovich & Antony Tan, 2013. "Testing for contagion in US industry portfolios -- a four-factor pricing approach," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 15-26, January.
    16. Kee-Hong Bae & G. Andrew Karolyi & René M. Stulz, 2003. "A New Approach to Measuring Financial Contagion," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 16(3), pages 717-763, July.
    17. Yu Wang & Lei Liu, 2016. "Spillover effect in Asian financial markets: A VAR-structural GARCH analysis," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 6(2), pages 150-176, May.
    18. Tony-Okeke, Uchenna & Ahmadu-Bello, Jaliyyah & Niklewski, Jacek & Rodgers, Timothy, 2018. "Financial contagion and capital asset pricing in Africa: The impact of the 2007–09 and Euro-Zone crises on natural resources sector Beta in African emerging markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 54-61.
    19. Simona Rasciute & Paul Downward & William H Greene, 2017. "Do Relational Goods Raise Well-Being? An Econometric Analysis," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 43(4), pages 563-579, September.
    20. Aslanidis, Nektarios & Bariviera, Aurelio F. & Martínez-Ibañez, Oscar, 2019. "An analysis of cryptocurrencies conditional cross correlations," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 130-137.
    21. Go Tamakoshi & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2013. "An asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation analysis of linkages of European financial institutions during the Greek sovereign debt crisis," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(10), pages 939-950, November.
    22. Hong-Ghi Min & Young-Soon Hwang, 2012. "Dynamic correlation analysis of US financial crisis and contagion: evidence from four OECD countries," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(24), pages 2063-2074, December.
    23. Omane-Adjepong, Maurice & Alagidede, Imhotep Paul, 2019. "Multiresolution analysis and spillovers of major cryptocurrency markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 191-206.
    24. Krishna Reddy Chittedi, 2015. "Financial Crisis and Contagion Effects to Indian Stock Market: ‘DCC–GARCH’ Analysis," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 16(1), pages 50-60, February.
    25. Roy, Rudra Prosad & Sinha Roy, Saikat, 2017. "Financial contagion and volatility spillover: An exploration into Indian commodity derivative market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 368-380.
    26. Jedrzej Białkowski & Dobromił Serwa, 2005. "Financial contagion, spillovers and causality in the Markov switching framework," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 123-131.
    27. Glasserman, Paul & Young, H. Peyton, 2015. "How likely is contagion in financial networks?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 383-399.
    28. Anastasopoulos, Alexia, 2018. "Testing for financial contagion: New evidence from the Greek crisis and yuan devaluation," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 499-511.
    29. Baur, Dirk G. & Dimpfl, Thomas, 2018. "Asymmetric volatility in cryptocurrencies," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 148-151.
    30. Corbet, Shaen & Lucey, Brian & Urquhart, Andrew & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2019. "Cryptocurrencies as a financial asset: A systematic analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 182-199.
    31. Linyue Li & Nan Zhang & Thomas D. Willett, 2012. "Measuring macroeconomic and financial market interdependence: a critical survey," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(2), pages 128-145, May.
    32. David Gray, 2014. "Central European foreign exchange markets: a cross-spectral analysis of the 2007 financial crisis," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(6), pages 550-567, June.
    33. Joshua Aizenman & Yothin Jinjarak & Minsoo Lee & Donghyun Park, 2016. "Developing countries’ financial vulnerability to the eurozone crisis: an event study of equity and bond markets," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 1-19, January.
    34. Joshua Aizenman & Yothin Jinjarak & Minsoo Lee & Donghyun Park, 2016. "Developing countries' financial vulnerability to the eurozone crisis: an event study of equity and bond markets," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 1-19, March.
    35. Sewraj, Deeya & Gebka, Bartosz & Anderson, Robert D.J., 2019. "Day-of-the-week effects in financial contagion," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 221-226.
    36. Daryl Collins & Shana Gavron, 2005. "Measuring equity market contagion in multiple financial events," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(8), pages 531-538.
    37. Paulo Horta & Sérgio Lagoa & Luís Martins, 2016. "Unveiling investor-induced channels of financial contagion in the 2008 financial crisis using copulas," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(4), pages 625-637, April.
    38. Fry, John & Cheah, Eng-Tuck, 2016. "Negative bubbles and shocks in cryptocurrency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 343-352.
    39. Mardi Dungey & Renee Fry & Vance L. Martin, 2003. "Equity Transmission Mechanisms from Asia to Australia: Interdependence or Contagion?," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 28(2), pages 157-182, September.
    40. Li, Fuchun & Zhu, Hui, 2014. "Testing for financial contagion based on a nonparametric measure of the cross-market correlation," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 141-147.
    41. Ji, Qiang & Bouri, Elie & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Dynamic connectedness and integration in cryptocurrency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 257-272.
    42. George Milunovich & Stefan Trück, 2013. "Regional and global contagion in real estate investment trusts," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 31(1), pages 53-77, February.
    43. ., 2017. "Econometric analysis: loopholes and shortcomings," Chapters, in: Econometrics as a Con Art, chapter 5, pages 88-105, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kyriazis, Nikolaos & Papadamou, Stephanos & Corbet, Shaen, 2020. "A systematic review of the bubble dynamics of cryptocurrency prices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    2. ALIU Florin & NUHIU Artor & KNAPKOVA Adriana & LUBISHTANI Ermal & TRAN Khang, 2021. "Do Cryptocurrencies Offer Diversification Benefits For Equity Portfolios?," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 16(2), pages 5-18, August.
    3. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Agan, Busra, 2022. "Effects of COVID-19 on cryptocurrency and emerging market connectedness: Empirical evidence from quantile, frequency, and lasso networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 604(C).
    4. Cao, Guangxi & Xie, Wenhao, 2021. "The impact of the shutdown policy on the asymmetric interdependence structure and risk transmission of cryptocurrency and China’s financial market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    5. Sonia Arsi & Soumaya Ben Khelifa & Yosra Ghabri & Hela Mzoughi, 2021. "Cryptocurrencies: Key Risks and Challenges," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Stéphane Goutte & Khaled Guesmi & Samir Saadi (ed.), Cryptofinance A New Currency for a New Economy, chapter 7, pages 121-145, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    6. Dulani Jayasuriya Daluwathumullagamage & Alexandra Sims, 2021. "Fantastic Beasts: Blockchain Based Banking," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-43, April.
    7. Guo, Xiaochun & Lu, Fengbin & Wei, Yunjie, 2021. "Capture the contagion network of bitcoin – Evidence from pre and mid COVID-19," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    8. Almeida, José & Gonçalves, Tiago Cruz, 2023. "A systematic literature review of investor behavior in the cryptocurrency markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    9. Chioma Nwosu Peace & Bosha Ernest Oryiman & Abubakar Ibrahim Sani, 2023. "Digital Currency and Financial Markets in Nigeria: Impact and Policy Implications," Financial Economics Letters, Anser Press, vol. 2(3), pages 22-36, December.
    10. Dejian Yu & Libo Sheng, 2020. "Knowledge diffusion paths of blockchain domain: the main path analysis," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 125(1), pages 471-497, October.
    11. Cao, Guangxi & Ling, Meijun, 2022. "Asymmetry and conduction direction of the interdependent structure between cryptocurrency and US dollar, renminbi, and gold markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ana Escribano & Cristina Íñiguez, 2021. "The contagion phenomena of the Brexit process on main stock markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4462-4481, July.
    2. Kangogo, Moses & Volkov, Vladimir, 2022. "Detecting signed spillovers in global financial markets: A Markov-switching approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    3. Chopra, Monika & Mehta, Chhavi, 2022. "Is the COVID-19 pandemic more contagious for the Asian stock markets? A comparison with the Asian financial, the US subprime and the Eurozone debt crisis," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    4. Aurelio F. Bariviera & Ignasi Merediz‐Solà, 2021. "Where Do We Stand In Cryptocurrencies Economic Research? A Survey Based On Hybrid Analysis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 377-407, April.
    5. Angerer, Martin & Hoffmann, Christian Hugo & Neitzert, Florian & Kraus, Sascha, 2021. "Objective and subjective risks of investing into cryptocurrencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    6. Helder Miguel Correia Virtuoso Sebastião & Paulo José Osório Rupino Da Cunha & Pedro Manuel Cortesão Godinho, 2021. "Cryptocurrencies and blockchain. Overview and future perspectives," International Journal of Economics and Business Research, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 21(3), pages 305-342.
    7. Pami Dua & Divya Tuteja, 2016. "Contagion in International Stock and Currency Markets During Recent Crisis Episodes," Working papers 258, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics.
    8. Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Nguyen, Thong Trung, 2020. "“Small things matter most”: The spillover effects in the cryptocurrency market and gold as a silver bullet," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    9. Kosmidou, Kyriaki & Kousenidis, Dimitrios & Ladas, Anestis & Negkakis, Christos, 2017. "Determinants of risk in the banking sector during the European Financial Crisis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 285-296.
    10. Injun Hwang & Baeho Kim, 2020. "Heterogeneity and netting efficiency under central clearing: A stochastic network analysis," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 192-208, February.
    11. Mardi Dungey & Moses Kangogo & Vladimir Volkov, 2022. "Dynamic effects of network exposure on equity markets," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(4), pages 569-629, December.
    12. Dungey, Mardi & Flavin, Thomas J. & Lagoa-Varela, Dolores, 2020. "Are banking shocks contagious? Evidence from the eurozone," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    13. Choi, Sun-Yong, 2022. "Credit risk interdependence in global financial markets: Evidence from three regions using multiple and partial wavelet approaches," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    14. Vidal-Tomás, David, 2021. "The entry and exit dynamics of the cryptocurrency market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    15. Kyriazis, Nikolaos & Papadamou, Stephanos & Corbet, Shaen, 2020. "A systematic review of the bubble dynamics of cryptocurrency prices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    16. Renée Fry-McKibbin & Cody Hsiao & Chrismin Tang, 2014. "Contagion and Global Financial Crises: Lessons from Nine Crisis Episodes," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 25(3), pages 521-570, July.
    17. Demiralay, Sercan & Golitsis, Petros, 2021. "On the dynamic equicorrelations in cryptocurrency market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 524-533.
    18. Ballester, Laura & Díaz-Mendoza, Ana Carmen & González-Urteaga, Ana, 2019. "A systematic review of sovereign connectedness on emerging economies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 157-163.
    19. Kumar, Ashish & Iqbal, Najaf & Mitra, Subrata Kumar & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "Connectedness among major cryptocurrencies in standard times and during the COVID-19 outbreak," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    20. Bing Chen & Li Li & Fei Peng & Ruhul Salim, 2020. "Risk contagion in the cross‐border banking network: Some new evidence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(3), pages 475-495, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cryptocurrencies; Contagion; Multinomial logit; Vector autoregression; Systemic risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:50:y:2019:i:c:p:416-429. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ribaf .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.