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Dynamics of the sheltering role of Bitcoin against crude oil market crash with varying severity of the COVID-19: A comparison with gold

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  • Ren, Xiaohang
  • Wang, Rui
  • Duan, Kun
  • Chen, Jinyu

Abstract

This paper studies evolution of the asymmetric sheltering role of Bitcoin compared to gold against oil-related uncertainties with varying severity of the COVID-19 pandemic. Using a varying-coefficient quantile approach, we find a safe haven role of Bitcoin, and it becomes gradually stronger when the pandemic intensifies. The relationship between gold and oil markets is shown to vary with changing severity of the pandemic. We find that gold acts as an increasingly weakened diversifier as the pandemic intensifies until a level, above which its diversification gains would dissipate then. In normal market conditions, both Bitcoin and gold perform as weak hedges for oil portfolios. Our findings demonstrate that interpretation of the sheltering role of Bitcoin and gold against oil market downturns would be biased unless the role dynamics in different market conditions and pandemic severity are considered. Additional analyses reassure robustness of our findings.

Suggested Citation

  • Ren, Xiaohang & Wang, Rui & Duan, Kun & Chen, Jinyu, 2022. "Dynamics of the sheltering role of Bitcoin against crude oil market crash with varying severity of the COVID-19: A comparison with gold," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:62:y:2022:i:c:s0275531922000605
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2022.101672
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    6. Muhammad Irfan & Mubeen Abdur Rehman & Sarah Nawazish & Yu Hao, 2023. "Performance Analysis of Gold- and Fiat-Backed Cryptocurrencies: Risk-Based Choice for a Portfolio," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-15, February.
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    9. Wei, Ping & Qi, Yinshu & Ren, Xiaohang & Gozgor, Giray, 2023. "The role of the COVID-19 pandemic in time-frequency connectedness between oil market shocks and green bond markets: Evidence from the wavelet-based quantile approaches," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bitcoin; Crude oil market; COVID-19 pandemic; Safe haven; Gold; Varying-coefficient quantile regression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General

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