IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v120y2024i1d10.1007_s11069-023-06210-8.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A new, fast, and accurate algorithm for predicting soil slope stability based on sparrow search algorithm-back propagation

Author

Listed:
  • Binbin Zheng

    (Shandong Technology and Business University
    Shandong Technology and Business University)

  • Jiahe Wang

    (Shandong Technology and Business University)

  • Shuhu Feng

    (Shandong Technology and Business University
    Shandong Technology and Business University)

  • Han Yang

    (Chongqing University)

  • Wensong Wang

    (Chengdu University of Technology)

  • Tingting Feng

    (Shandong Technology and Business University)

  • Tianyu Hu

    (Chongqing Jiaotong University)

Abstract

Slope stability prediction is one of the most essential and critical tasks in mining and geotechnical projects. A fast and precise slope stability prediction is crucial for safe operations and cost-effective slope maintenance. In this work, a back propagation (BP) neural network based on a sparrow search algorithm (SSA) is developed to predict the slope safety coefficients by using five input features, including unit weight (γ), cohesion (c), friction angle (φ), slope angle (α), and slope height (H). The proposed model is trained and simulated using 55 data samples. The regression coefficient of the proposed SSA-BP neural network is 0.9405, with a mean relative error (MAE) of 0.1684. Compared with fusion algorithms, such as Ridge Regression (RR), Decision Tree (DT), Random forest (RF), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Light Gradient Boosting Machine (lightGBM), the proposed method yields more accurate and robust prediction results. Furthermore, a multivariate function relationship between the slope safety coefficient and the five variables is constructed based on the relationship between five independent input variables and the variation of the safety coefficient. The proposed method introduces a novel approach for calculating the slope safety coefficient.

Suggested Citation

  • Binbin Zheng & Jiahe Wang & Shuhu Feng & Han Yang & Wensong Wang & Tingting Feng & Tianyu Hu, 2024. "A new, fast, and accurate algorithm for predicting soil slope stability based on sparrow search algorithm-back propagation," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(1), pages 297-319, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:120:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-023-06210-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-023-06210-8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-023-06210-8
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-023-06210-8?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Aye, Goodness & Gupta, Rangan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Kim, Won Joong, 2015. "Forecasting the price of gold using dynamic model averaging," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 257-266.
    2. Yonggang Zhang & Lining Yang, 2021. "A novel dynamic predictive method of water inrush from coal floor based on gated recurrent unit model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(2), pages 2027-2043, January.
    3. Scott W. Duxbury, 2021. "Diagnosing Multicollinearity in Exponential Random Graph Models," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 50(2), pages 491-530, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-546 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Liu, Qing & Liu, Min & Zhou, Hanlu & Yan, Feng, 2022. "A multi-model fusion based non-ferrous metal price forecasting," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    3. Zhongxin Ni & Xing Lu & Wenjun Xue, 2021. "Does the belt and road initiative resolve the steel overcapacity in China? Evidence from a dynamic model averaging approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 279-307, July.
    4. Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do terror attacks predict gold returns? Evidence from a quantile-predictive-regression approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 276-284.
    5. Donghua Wang & Yang Xin & Xiaohui Chang & Xingze Su, 2021. "Realized volatility forecasting and volatility spillovers: Evidence from Chinese non‐ferrous metals futures," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2713-2731, April.
    6. Bouri, Elie & Jalkh, Naji, 2024. "Flight-to-safety across time and market conditions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    7. Wang, Xinya & Lucey, Brian & Huang, Shupei, 2022. "Can gold hedge against oil price movements: Evidence from GARCH-EVT wavelet modeling," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    8. Drachal, Krzysztof, 2016. "Forecasting spot oil price in a dynamic model averaging framework — Have the determinants changed over time?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 35-46.
    9. Robert A. Hill & Paulo M. M. Rodrigues, 2022. "Forgetting approaches to improve forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1356-1371, November.
    10. Li Zhang & Lu Wang & Yu Ji & Zhigang Pan, 2025. "Forecasting Gold Volatility in an Uncertain Environment: The Roles of Large and Small Shock Sizes," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 1478-1500, July.
    11. Andrew Urquhart, 2017. "How predictable are precious metal returns?," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(14), pages 1390-1413, November.
    12. Shang, Yue & Wei, Yu & Chen, Yongfei, 2022. "Cryptocurrency policy uncertainty and gold return forecasting: A dynamic Occam's window approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    13. Hassani, Hossein & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Gupta, Rangan & Das, Sonali, 2018. "Predicting global temperature anomaly: A definitive investigation using an ensemble of twelve competing forecasting models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 121-139.
    14. Dong, Xiyong & Song, Li & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2021. "How have the dependence structures between stock markets and economic factors changed during the COVID-19 pandemic?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    15. Sahay, Arvind & Jaikumar, Saravana, 2016. "Does Pharmaceutical Price Regulation Result in Greater Access to Essential Medicines? Study of the impact of drug price control order on sales volume of drugs in India," IIMA Working Papers WP2016-02-01, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    16. Hossein Hassani & Emmanuel Sirimal Silva & Rangan Gupta & Mawuli K. Segnon, 2015. "Forecasting the price of gold," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(39), pages 4141-4152, August.
    17. Perry Sadorsky, 2021. "Predicting Gold and Silver Price Direction Using Tree-Based Classifiers," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-21, April.
    18. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    19. Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Hossein Hassani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "The ENSO cycle and forecastability of global inflation and output growth: Evidence from standard and mixed‐frequency multivariate singular spectrum analyses," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1690-1707, November.
    20. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-561 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Pierdzioch, Christian & Risse, Marian & Rohloff, Sebastian, 2015. "A real-time quantile-regression approach to forecasting gold returns under asymmetric loss," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 299-306.
    22. Chen, Jinyu & Wang, Yilin & Ren, Xiaohang, 2023. "Asymmetric effect of financial stress on China’s precious metals market: Evidence from a quantile-on-quantile regression," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:120:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-023-06210-8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.