IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v56y2023ics1544612323004324.html

Climate uncertainty and marginal climate capital needs

Author

Listed:
  • Angelidis, Timotheos
  • Sakkas, Athanasios
  • Spiliotopoulos, George

Abstract

The paper shows that climate policy uncertainty affects the future marginal capital shortfall of global financial firms, and 11.28% more capital will be needed under a severe climate scenario. After the signing of the Treaty of the Paris Agreement, the effect has been stabilized at the global level. However, there are strong indications that the USA's withdrawal from the agreement increased the climate capital needs for US firms. Our results have significant implications for regulators, as they are related to the stability of the financial system under a significant climate stress scenario.

Suggested Citation

  • Angelidis, Timotheos & Sakkas, Athanasios & Spiliotopoulos, George, 2023. "Climate uncertainty and marginal climate capital needs," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:56:y:2023:i:c:s1544612323004324
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.104060
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612323004324
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2023.104060?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ströbel, Johannes & Wurgler, Jeffrey, 2021. "What do you think about climate finance?," CEPR Discussion Papers 16622, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    2. Kanas, Angelos & Molyneux, Philip & Zervopoulos, Panagiotis D., 2023. "Systemic risk and CO2 emissions in the U.S," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    3. Viral V. Acharya & Richard Berner & Robert Engle & Hyeyoon Jung & Johannes Stroebel & Xuran Zeng & Yihao Zhao, 2023. "Climate Stress Testing," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 15(1), pages 291-326, November.
    4. Kyle Jurado & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Serena Ng, 2015. "Measuring Uncertainty," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(3), pages 1177-1216, March.
    5. Si, Deng-Kui & Wan, Shen & Li, Xiao-Lin & Kong, Dongmin, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and shadow banking: Firm-level evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    6. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2016. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(4), pages 1593-1636.
    7. Matousek, Roman & Panopoulou, Ekaterini & Papachristopoulou, Andromachi, 2020. "Policy uncertainty and the capital shortfall of global financial firms," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    8. Mitchell A. Petersen, 2009. "Estimating Standard Errors in Finance Panel Data Sets: Comparing Approaches," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(1), pages 435-480, January.
    9. Tian, Jing & Li, Haiwei & You, Pin, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty, bank loan, and corporate innovation," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    10. Lv, Wendai & Li, Bin, 2023. "Climate policy uncertainty and stock market volatility: Evidence from different sectors," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    11. Treepongkaruna, Sirimon & Chan, Kam Fong & Malik, Ihtisham, 2023. "Climate policy uncertainty and the cross-section of stock returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    12. Curcio, Domenico & Gianfrancesco, Igor & Vioto, Davide, 2023. "Climate change and financial systemic risk: Evidence from US banks and insurers," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    13. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Çepni, Oğuzhan, 2022. "The effects of climate risks on economic activity in a panel of US states: The role of uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    14. Aruoba, S. BoraÄŸan & Diebold, Francis X. & Scotti, Chiara, 2009. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 417-427.
    15. Dafermos, Yannis & Nikolaidi, Maria & Galanis, Giorgos, 2018. "Climate Change, Financial Stability and Monetary Policy," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 219-234.
    16. William Nordhaus, 2019. "Climate Change: The Ultimate Challenge for Economics," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(6), pages 1991-2014, June.
    17. Yan, Wan-Lin & Cheung, Adrian (Wai Kong), 2023. "The dynamic spillover effects of climate policy uncertainty and coal price on carbon price: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    18. Viral Acharya & Robert Engle & Matthew Richardson, 2012. "Capital Shortfall: A New Approach to Ranking and Regulating Systemic Risks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(3), pages 59-64, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Vo, Hong & Nguyen, Tien & Phan, Hieu V., 2024. "Building a sustainable future: The role of corporate social responsibility in climate policy uncertainty management," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Climate Policy Uncertainty and Financial Stress: Evidence for China," Working Papers 202428, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Matousek, Roman & Panopoulou, Ekaterini & Papachristopoulou, Andromachi, 2020. "Policy uncertainty and the capital shortfall of global financial firms," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    3. Tommaso, Caterina Di & Foglia, Matteo & Pacelli, Vincenzo, 2024. "The impact of climate policy uncertainty on the Italian financial market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
    4. Liu, Yulin & Wang, Junbo & Wen, Fenghua & Wu, Chunchi, 2024. "Climate policy uncertainty and bank systemic risk: A creative destruction perspective," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    5. Tien V. Nguyen & Anh Phan & Dung Viet Tran, 2023. "Activity strategies, bank stability and policy uncertainty," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(4), pages 959-983, December.
    6. El Ghoul, Sadok & Guedhami, Omrane & Mansi, Sattar & Wang, He (Helen), 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty, institutional environments, and corporate cash holdings," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    7. Sadok El Ghoul & Omrane Guedhami & Robert Nash & He (Helen) Wang, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and insider trading," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 45(4), pages 817-854, December.
    8. Fava, Santino Del & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Rognone, Lavinia, 2024. "Forecasting international financial stress: The role of climate risks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    9. Murad, S.M. Woahid & Pathan, Shams & Durand, Robert B. & Zheng, Chen, 2025. "Understanding Bank-Level Uncertainty: New insights into banking activity and its macroeconomic impacts," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    10. Stephanos Papadamou & Konstantinos Pitsilkas, 2025. "Policy uncertainty and non‐performing loans in Greece," American Journal of Economics and Sociology, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 84(2), pages 231-252, March.
    11. Trinh, Hai Hong & Tran, Thao Phuong, 2024. "Global banking systems, financial stability, and uncertainty: How have countries coped with geopolitical risks?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    12. Benbouzid, Nadia & Kumar, Abhishek & Mallick, Sushanta K. & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Stojanovic, Aleksandar, 2022. "Bank credit risk and macro-prudential policies: Role of counter-cyclical capital buffer," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    13. Nguyen, Giang & Vo, Vinh, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty around the world: Implications for Vietnam," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    14. Adriano Bellinvia & Paola Brighi & Valeria Venturelli, 2026. "Banks and climate risk: a bibliometric review and policy perspective," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 27(2), pages 1-29, June.
    15. Md Hakim Ali & Md Akther Uddin & Md Arifur Rahman & Mohammad Kabir Hassan, 2026. "From uncertainty to banking instability: global evidence," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 27(2), pages 1-19, June.
    16. Han, Haozhe & Wang, Xingjian, 2023. "Monetary policy uncertainty and corporate cash holdings: Evidence from China," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    17. Can Xu & Andreas Steiner & Jakob Haan, 2025. "Does uncertainty matter for private credit convergence?," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 161(3), pages 1071-1112, August.
    18. Minh N. Nguyen & Hung M. Pham & Anh Phan & Ahmed W. Alam & Dung V. Tran, 2024. "BHC brilliance in the fog of uncertainty: Illuminating trends in bank performance," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 48(2), pages 437-461, June.
    19. Zhu, Wenqiang & Li, Shouwei & Su, Hongyu & Yang, Sitong, 2025. "Identification of systemic financial risks: The role of climate risks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    20. Joseph P. Byrne & Prince Asare Vitenu-Sackey, 2024. "The Macroeconomic Impact of Global and Country-Specific Climate Risk," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 87(3), pages 655-682, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • Q50 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - General
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:56:y:2023:i:c:s1544612323004324. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.