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Emerging and advanced economies markets behaviour during the COVID ‐19 crisis era

Author

Listed:
  • Fateh Belaid

    (LEM - Lille économie management - UMR 9221 - UA - Université d'Artois - UCL - Université catholique de Lille - ULCO - Université du Littoral Côte d'Opale - Université de Lille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Amine Ben Amar
  • Stéphane Goutte

    (Cemotev - Centre d'études sur la mondialisation, les conflits, les territoires et les vulnérabilités - UVSQ - Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines)

  • Khaled Guesmi

    (PSB - Paris School of Business - HESAM - HESAM Université - Communauté d'universités et d'établissements Hautes écoles Sorbonne Arts et métiers université)

Abstract

This article examines the consequences of the COVID-19 crisis on the interdependencies between emerging and advanced economies. Using daily market index data from 22 developed and emerging markets, we develop a combination of statistical methods based on Diebold and Yilmaz spillover index and Toda–Yamamoto and Dolado and Lütkepohl causality approach. The results substantiate an increase in the interdependence between emerging and advances economies, which suggests an increase in the transmission of the stress and uncertainty between financial markets during the pandemic period. Our findings show that the emerging countries are affected by the financial markets of advanced economies during the COVID-19 crisis and, in particular, by European markets, which appear to be the primary driver of contagion and transmission of stress and uncertainty to all other regional markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Fateh Belaid & Amine Ben Amar & Stéphane Goutte & Khaled Guesmi, 2021. "Emerging and advanced economies markets behaviour during the COVID ‐19 crisis era," Post-Print hal-03273647, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03273647
    DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.2494
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    Cited by:

    1. Carlos David Cardona-Arenas & Rafael Gómez-Gómez & Eliana Morales-Zuluaga, 2023. "COVID-19 and its short-term informational impact on the stock markets of the Pacific Alliance countries," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(5), pages 1-23, May.
    2. Chen, Binxia & Jiang, Yuanying & Zhou, Donghai, 2025. "Risk contagion network and characteristic measurement among international financial markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    3. Vidal-Llana, Xenxo & Guillén, Montserrat, 2022. "Cross-sectional quantile regression for estimating conditional VaR of returns during periods of high volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    4. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Agan, Busra, 2022. "Effects of COVID-19 on cryptocurrency and emerging market connectedness: Empirical evidence from quantile, frequency, and lasso networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 604(C).
    5. Gao Tianming & Vasilii Erokhin & Aleksandr Arskiy & Mikail Khudzhatov, 2021. "Has the COVID-19 Pandemic Affected Maritime Connectivity? An Estimation for China and the Polar Silk Road Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-39, March.
    6. Yarovaya, Larisa & Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Goodell, John W. & Lucey, Brian & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2022. "Rethinking financial contagion: Information transmission mechanism during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    7. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Eugenia Grecu, 2023. "Government Interventions and Sovereign Bond Market Volatility during COVID-19: A Quantile Analysis," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-14, February.
    8. Giofré, Maela, 2022. "Foreign investment in times of COVID-19: How strong is the flight to advanced economies?," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    9. Ameni Ghenimi & Hasna Chaibi & Mohamed Ali Omri, 2024. "Risk and performance of Islamic and conventional banks under COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from MENA region," Arab Gulf Journal of Scientific Research, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 42(4), pages 1788-1804, January.
    10. Samet Gunay & Walid Bakry & Somar Al-Mohamad, 2021. "The Australian Stock Market’s Reaction to the First Wave of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Black Summer Bushfires: A Sectoral Analysis," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-19, April.
    11. Najaf Iqbal & Elie Bouri & Guangrui Liu & Ashish Kumar, 2024. "Volatility spillovers during normal and high volatility states and their driving factors: A cross‐country and cross‐asset analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 975-995, January.
    12. Pengxiang Zhai & Fei Wu & Qiang Ji & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2024. "From fears to recession? Time‐frequency risk contagion among stock and credit default swap markets during the COVID pandemic," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 551-580, January.
    13. David Korsah, 2025. "Climate, energy, and geopolitical risks in African stock markets: a comparative TVP-VAR and QVAR approach," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 1-16, December.
    14. Bouri, Elie & Harb, Etienne, 2022. "The size of good and bad volatility shocks does matter for spillovers," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    15. Salisu, Afees A. & Ayinde, Taofeek O. & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "Global evidence of the COVID-19 shock on real equity prices and real exchange rates: A counterfactual analysis with a threshold-augmented GVAR model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    16. Mohammed Amine Mouffok & Omar Mouffok & Wassila Bouabdallah, 2025. "The impact of commodity prices on developed and emerging financial markets during COVID-19 pandemic and Russia–Ukraine war: evidence from the Dynamic ARDL approach," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 5(7), pages 1-26, July.

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