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Determinants of the ZAR/USD exchange rate and policy implications: A simultaneous-equation model

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  • Yu Hsing

Abstract

This paper examines the determinants of the South African rand/US dollar (ZAR/USD) exchange rate based on demand and supply analysis. Applying the EGARCH method, the paper finds that the ZAR/USD exchange rate is positively associated with the South African government bond yield, US real GDP, the US stock price and the South African inflation rate and negatively influenced by the 10-year US government bond yield, South African real GDP, the South African stock price, and the US inflation rate. The adoption of a free floating exchange rate regime has reduced the value of the rand vs. the US dollar.

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  • Yu Hsing, 2016. "Determinants of the ZAR/USD exchange rate and policy implications: A simultaneous-equation model," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1151131-115, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:oaefxx:v:4:y:2016:i:1:p:1151131
    DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2016.1151131
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    7. Peng Huang & C. James Hueng & Ruey Yau, 2010. "Traditional view or revisionist view? The effects of monetary policy on exchange rates in Asia," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(9), pages 753-760.
    8. Frankel, Jeffrey A, 1979. "On the Mark: A Theory of Floating Exchange Rates Based on Real Interest Differentials," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(4), pages 610-622, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Byaro, Mwoya & Pelizzo, Riccardo & Kinyondo, Abel, 2023. "What are the Main Drivers Behind the Acceleration of Tanzania's Economic Growth Over the Past Three Decades?," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 11(4), June.
    2. Adebayo Augustine Kutu & Harold Ngalawa, 2017. "Modelling Exchange Rate Volatility and Global Shocks in South Africa," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 13(3), pages 178-193, JUNE.

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