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Monetary policy and bubbles in US REITs

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  • Petre Caraiani
  • Adrian C. Călin
  • Rangan Gupta

Abstract

In this article, we analyze the effects of monetary policy on the bubbles in the Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector of the United States. We use a time‐varying vector autoregressive model over the quarterly period of 1972:1 to 2018:1. We find protracted periods, starting from the onset of the recent financial crisis to the end of the sample period, where contractionary monetary policy is associated with increases in the bubble component in the REITs of the US economy. This result, which is robust to alternative REITs indexes, is contrary to the “conventional” view, as well as to the predictions of standard models of bubbles.

Suggested Citation

  • Petre Caraiani & Adrian C. Călin & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Monetary policy and bubbles in US REITs," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 675-687, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:irvfin:v:21:y:2021:i:2:p:675-687
    DOI: 10.1111/irfi.12284
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    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Theodoridis, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark E, 2020. "Is there a National Housing Market Bubble Brewing in the United States?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2020/3, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    2. Yanlin Shi, 2023. "A new unique impulse response function in linear vector autoregressive models," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 460-468, June.
    3. Cepni, Oguzhan & Dul, Wiehan & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The dynamics of U.S. REITs returns to uncertainty shocks: A proxy SVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    4. Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2022. "Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on Housing Prices in the United States: The Role of Sentiment," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 241-261, July.
    5. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on US REITs Moments: Evidence from VARs with Functional Shocks," Working Papers 202219, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Kola Ijasan & Peterson Owusu Junior & George Tweneboah & Tunbosun Oyedokun & Anokye M. Adam, 2021. "Analysing the relationship between global REITs and exchange rates: Fresh evidence from frequency-based quantile regressions," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(3), pages 58-91, September.
    7. Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "Monetary policy and bubbles in G7 economies using a panel VAR approach: Implications for sustainable development," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 133-155.

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