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Green Bonds, Conventional Bonds and Geopolitical Risk

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  • Sheenan, Lisa

Abstract

This paper analyses linkages between green, conventional (corporate and sovereign) bond markets and geopolitical risk in high and low volatility periods between 2014 and 2022 using a Markov-switching VAR (MS-VAR) framework. The results indicate that geopolitical risk significantly affects green bonds in periods of high volatility, but does not do so to conventional bond markets. Green bond markets are significantly affected by sovereign and corporate bonds in both regimes, with stronger effects from corporate bonds evident in high volatility periods. This suggests that green bonds behave differently to conventional bonds and may be more susceptible to geopolitical risk and contagion.

Suggested Citation

  • Sheenan, Lisa, 2023. "Green Bonds, Conventional Bonds and Geopolitical Risk," QBS Working Paper Series 2023/05, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's Business School.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:qmsrps:202305
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Green bonds; Geopolitical Risk; Markov Switching;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • C34 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Truncated and Censored Models; Switching Regression Models

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