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Investigating Regional House Price Convergence in the United States: Evidence from a pair-wise approach

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Abstract

In this paper we examine long-run house price convergence across US states using a novel econometric approach advocated by Pesaran (2007) and Pesaran et al. (2009). Our empirical modelling strategy employs a probabilistic test statistic for convergence based on the percentage of unit root rejections among all state house price differentials. Using a sieve bootstrap procedure, we construct confidence intervals and find evidence in favour of convergence. We also conclude that speed of adjustment towards long-run equilibrium is inversely related to distance.

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  • Mark J. Holmes & Theodore Panagiotidis & Jesus Otero, 2011. "Investigating Regional House Price Convergence in the United States: Evidence from a pair-wise approach," Discussion Paper Series 2011_12, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Jun 2011.
  • Handle: RePEc:mcd:mcddps:2011_12
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    Cited by:

    1. Eleni Kyriazakou & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2014. "Linear and nonlinear causality in the UK housing market: a regional approach," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 3(4), pages 288-297.
    2. Mark J. Holmes & Jesús Otero & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2016. "Climbing the property ladder: An analysis of market integration in London property prices," Working Paper series 16-30, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    3. Barros, Carlos Pestana & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Payne, James E., 2012. "Comovements among U.S. state housing prices: Evidence from fractional cointegration," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 936-942.
    4. repec:kap:iecepo:v:15:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1007_s10368-017-0399-x is not listed on IDEAS
    5. repec:eee:eneeco:v:65:y:2017:i:c:p:228-239 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Funke, Michael & Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Tsang, Andrew, 2017. "Mapping China’s time-varying house price landscape," BOFIT Discussion Papers 21/2017, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    7. Sanghyun Kim & Juhyung Kim & Jaejun Kim, 2016. "Structural Changes in the Korean Housing Market before and after Macroeconomic Fluctuations," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 8(5), pages 1-20, April.
    8. repec:eee:joecas:v:16:y:2017:i:c:p:42-52 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Mark J. Holmes & Jesús Otero & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2017. "A Pair-wise Analysis of Intra-city Price Convergence Within the Paris Housing Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 1-16, January.
    10. Hernán Enríquez Sierra & Jacobo Campo Robledo & Antonio Avendaño Arosemena, 2015. "Relaciones regionales en los precios de vivienda nueva en Colombia," REVISTA ECOS DE ECONOMÍA, UNIVERSIDAD EAFIT, vol. 19(40), pages 25-47, June.
    11. I-Chun Tsai, 2015. "Spillover Effect between the Regional and the National Housing Markets in the UK," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(12), pages 1957-1976, December.
    12. Gong, Yunlong & Hu, Jinxing & Boelhouwer, Peter J., 2016. "Spatial interrelations of Chinese housing markets: Spatial causality, convergence and diffusion," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 103-117.
    13. Arfat Ahmad Sofi & S. Raja Sethu Durai, 2015. "Club Convergence Across Indian States: An Empirical Analysis," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 40(4), pages 107-124, December.
    14. Christina Christou & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Price Convergence Patterns across U.S. States," Working Papers 201629, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy & Arthur Grimes & Mark Holmes, 2016. "Two countries, sixteen cities, five thousand kilometres: How many housing markets?," ERSA conference papers ersa16p49, European Regional Science Association.
    16. Aye, G.C. & Goswami, S. & Gupta, R., 2013. "Metropolitan House Prices In Regions of India: Do They Converge?," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 13(1), pages 135-144.
    17. Richard T. Baillie & Kun Ho Kim, 2015. "Local Deviations from Uncovered Interest Parity: The Role of Macroeconomic Fundamentals," Working Paper series 15-43, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    18. Rangan Gupta & Christophe André & Luis Gil-Alana, 2015. "Comovement in Euro area housing prices: A fractional cointegration approach," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 52(16), pages 3123-3143, December.
    19. Nicholas Apergis & James Payne, 2012. "Convergence in U.S. house prices by state: evidence from the club convergence and clustering procedure," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 103-111, July.
    20. Goodness C. Aye & Samrat Goswami & Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Metropolitan House Prices In India: Do They Converge?," Working Papers 201220, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Nissan, Edward & Payne, James E., 2013. "A Simple Test of σ-Convergence in U.S. Housing Prices across BEA Regions," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 43(2).
    22. Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Convergence In Provincial-Level South African House Prices: Evidence From The Club Convergence And Clustering Procedure," Review of Urban & Regional Development Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 2-17, March.
    23. David Gray, 2015. "Hidden Properties of Irish House Price Vintages," Housing Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(8), pages 1317-1353, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Panel data; cross-section dependence; pair-wise approach; house prices; convergence.;

    JEL classification:

    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • R1 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics
    • R2 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis
    • R3 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location

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