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Do European, Middle-East and Asian Stock Markets Impact on Indian Stock Market? A Case Study Based on NIFTY Stock Index Forecasting

Author

Listed:
  • Jatin Trivedi

    (National Institute of Securities Markets)

  • Cristi Spulbar

    (University of Craiova)

  • Ramona Birau

    (University of Craiova)

  • Amir Mehdiabadi

    (Mahan Business School)

  • Ion Florescu

    (University of Craiova)

Abstract

This paper estimates NIFTY index from Indian stock market by considering a cluster of MSCI European, Middle East and Asian stock market indices. In the forecasting process, we obtain group of independent variables to test its relative impact over dependent variable (NIFTY) considering a sample size of daily observations from January 2000 to December 2021 abstracted from Bloomberg. We run OLS regression, Quantile estimations with additional parameter of VIF and BKW. We found significant impact association with China (Asian index) and Saudi Arabia (Middle East index) during the forecasting process compared to rest of sample indices that exceed unexpectedly out of VIF limits. Further, we recorded strong association of independent variables despite of statistical significance (

Suggested Citation

  • Jatin Trivedi & Cristi Spulbar & Ramona Birau & Amir Mehdiabadi & Ion Florescu, 2022. "Do European, Middle-East and Asian Stock Markets Impact on Indian Stock Market? A Case Study Based on NIFTY Stock Index Forecasting," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 69(4), pages 599-613, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:aic:saebjn:v:69:y:2022:i:4:p:599-613:n:5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Christou, Christina & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan & Hassapis, Christis, 2017. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns in PacificRim countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian panel VAR model," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 92-102.
    2. He, Feng & Wang, Ziwei & Yin, Libo, 2020. "Asymmetric volatility spillovers between international economic policy uncertainty and the U.S. stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    3. Wang, Ziwei & Li, Youwei & He, Feng, 2020. "Asymmetric volatility spillovers between economic policy uncertainty and stock markets: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
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