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Causality between Research Output and Economic Growth in BRICS

Author

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  • Roula Inglesi-Lotz

    (Department of Economics, University of Pretoria)

  • Tsangyao Chang

    (Department of Finance, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan)

  • Rangan Gupta

    (Department of Economics, University of Pretoria)

Abstract

This paper examines the causal relationship between the economic growth and research output of the BRICS countries (i.e., Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) for the period 1981-2011. Essentially this study looks at the human quality demonstrated by the production of knowledge (published papers) and how it gets affected and influences the economic growth of these countries. BRICS are among the fastest growing emerging economies that are grouped together in this study. Using panel causality analysis techniques, we account for cross-section dependency and heterogeneity among them. Our empirical results support no causality in any direction between research papers as a percentage share to the world and economic growth for all the BRICS, with the exception of India, for which the feedback hypothesis is confirmed. Our findings provide important policy implications for research policies and strategies for BRICS countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Causality between Research Output and Economic Growth in BRICS," Working Papers 201337, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:pre:wpaper:201337
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    Cited by:

    1. Omwoyo Bosire Onyancha, 2020. "A meta-analysis study of the relationship between research and economic development in selected countries in sub-Saharan Africa," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 123(2), pages 655-675, May.
    2. Ali Uyar & Khalil Nimer & Cemil Kuzey, 2023. "Education quality, internet access in schools, and research performance in management and accounting domains: a cross-country investigation," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 128(10), pages 5441-5475, October.
    3. R. Inglesi-Lotz & A. Hakimi & A. Pouris, 2018. "Patents vs publications and R&D: three sides of the same coin? Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) for OECD and BRICS countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(45), pages 4912-4923, September.
    4. Su, Chi Wei & Yue, Peiwen & Hou, Xinmeng & Dördüncü, Hazar, 2023. "Sustainable development through digital innovation: A new era for natural resource extraction and trade," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    5. Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Time-varying causality between research output and economic growth in US," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 100(1), pages 203-216, July.
    6. Barbara S. Lancho-Barrantes & Hector G. Ceballos-Cancino & Francisco J. Cantu-Ortiz, 2021. "Comparing the efficiency of countries to assimilate and apply research investment," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1347-1369, August.
    7. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Ahdi N. Ajmi & Ghassen El Montasser & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Research output and economic growth in G7 countries: new evidence from asymmetric panel causality testing," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(24), pages 2301-2308, May.
    8. M. Gouveia & R. Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Examining the relationship between climate change-related research output and CO2 emissions," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 126(11), pages 9069-9111, November.
    9. Andrea Bonaccorsi & Daniele Biancardi & Mabel Sanchez Barrioluengo & Federico Biagi, 2019. "Study on Higher Education Institutions and Local Development," JRC Research Reports JRC117272, Joint Research Centre.
    10. Inglesi-Lotz, R., 2019. "Energy research and R&D indicators: An LMDI decomposition analysis for the IEA Big 5 in energy research," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    11. Kais Mtar & Walid Belazreg, 2023. "On the nexus of innovation, trade openness, financial development and economic growth in European countries: New perspective from a GMM panel VAR approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 766-791, January.
    12. Chadi Azmeh, 2022. "Quantity and quality of research output and economic growth: empirical investigation for all research areas in the MENA countries," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 127(11), pages 6147-6163, November.
    13. Kargi, Bilal, 2014. "The Effects of BRICS and MATIK Countries on World Economy and Cointegration Analysis in the Long Term Relation with G-7 Growth Rates (1962-2012)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 6(3), pages 262-272.
    14. KARGI, Bilal, 2014. "Structural Breakage and Long Term Cointegration Analysis for Economic Growth in G-7, BRICS and MATIK Countries (1962-2012)," MPRA Paper 57106, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Saad Ahmed Javed & Sifeng Liu, 2018. "Predicting the research output/growth of selected countries: application of Even GM (1, 1) and NDGM models," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 115(1), pages 395-413, April.
    16. Tânia Pinto & Aurora Teixeira, 2023. "Does scientific research output matter for Portugal’s economic growth?," GEE Papers 0174, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia, revised Jul 2023.
    17. Adrino Mazenda & Tyanai Masiya & Norman Nhede, 2018. "South Africa-BRIC-SADC Trade Alliances and the South African Economy," International Studies, , vol. 55(1), pages 61-74, January.
    18. Kargi, Bilal, 2014. "Structural Breakage and Long-term Cointegration Analysis for Economic Growth in G-7, BRICS and MATIK Countries," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 13(4), pages 431-442.
    19. Tânia Pinto & Aurora A. C. Teixeira, 2020. "The impact of research output on economic growth by fields of science: a dynamic panel data analysis, 1980–2016," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 123(2), pages 945-978, May.
    20. Sakiru Adebola Solarin & Yuen Yee Yen, 2016. "A global analysis of the impact of research output on economic growth," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 108(2), pages 855-874, August.

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