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Precious Metal Prices: A Tale of Four U.S. Recessions

Author

Listed:
  • Agnese, Pablo

    (UIC Barcelona)

  • Garcia-del-Barrio, Pedro

    (University of Navarra)

  • Gil-Alana, Luis A.

    (University of Navarra)

  • de Gracia, Fernando Perez

    (University of Navarra)

Abstract

This paper empirically examines the degree of persistence in four precious metal prices (i.e., gold, palladium, platinum, and silver) during the last four U.S. recessions. Unit root tests and fractional integration techniques suggest that gold still is the most prominent safe haven asset within this particular asset class. Our analysis highlights gold's traditional role as a hedge against market uncertainty in post-pandemic new era, thus retaining its status quo as a store of value during economic contractions.

Suggested Citation

  • Agnese, Pablo & Garcia-del-Barrio, Pedro & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & de Gracia, Fernando Perez, 2023. "Precious Metal Prices: A Tale of Four U.S. Recessions," IZA Discussion Papers 16012, IZA Network @ LISER.
    • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp16012
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Brian M. Lucey & Sile Li, 2015. "What precious metals act as safe havens, and when? Some US evidence," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(1), pages 35-45, January.
    2. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Trends and cycles in historical gold and silver prices," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 98-109.
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    5. Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Al-Maadid, Alanoud Ali S. & Hoon Kang, Sang, 2020. "Dynamic risk spillovers and portfolio risk management between precious metals and global foreign exchange markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
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    7. Cunado, Juncal & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Persistence in trends and cycles of gold and silver prices: Evidence from historical data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 514(C), pages 345-354.
    8. Li, Sile & Lucey, Brian M., 2017. "Reassessing the role of precious metals as safe havens–What colour is your haven and why?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 7(C), pages 1-14.
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    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General

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