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Is the role of precious metals as precious as they are? A vine copula and BiVaR approaches

Author

Listed:
  • Marwa Talbi

    (LSAF - Laboratoire de Sciences Actuarielle et Financière - UCBL - Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 - Université de Lyon, LAREMFIQ - Laboratory Research for Economy, Management and Quantitative Finance - Institut des Hautes Etudes Commerciales (Université de Sousse), UCBL - Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 - Université de Lyon)

  • Rihab Bedoui

    (IHEC Sousse - IHEC)

  • Christian de Peretti

    (ECL - École Centrale de Lyon - Université de Lyon, LSAF - Laboratoire de Sciences Actuarielle et Financière - UCBL - Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 - Université de Lyon)

  • Lotfi Belkacem

    (IHEC Sousse - IHEC, USO - جامعة سوسة = Université de Sousse = University of Sousse)

Abstract

This paper revisits the international evidence on hedge, safe haven, and diversification properties of precious metals—namely gold, silver, and platinum—for the G-7 stock markets. Therefore, this study proposes a multivariate vine copula-based GARCH model to assess the hedge and safe haven properties of precious metals and a Bivariate Value at Risk-based copula (BiVaR) measure to analyse the diversification potential of precious metals. Our empirical results suggest that; (1) gold is the strongest hedge and safe haven asset in almost all the G-7 stock markets, (2) silver and platinum results show that they may act as weak hedge assets, (3) silver bears the potential of a strong safe haven role only for Germany's and Italy's stock markets; however, platinum provides a weak safe haven role for most developed stock markets, (4) precious metals appear as interesting assets for diversifying a portfolio for G-7 stock markets investors. Overall, our findings provide noteworthy practical implication for investors.

Suggested Citation

  • Marwa Talbi & Rihab Bedoui & Christian de Peretti & Lotfi Belkacem, 2021. "Is the role of precious metals as precious as they are? A vine copula and BiVaR approaches," Post-Print hal-04875497, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04875497
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2021.102140
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    Cited by:

    1. Syuhada, Khreshna & Hakim, Arief & Suprijanto, Djoko & Muchtadi-Alamsyah, Intan & Arbi, Lukman, 2022. "Is Tether a safe haven of safe haven amid COVID-19? An assessment against Bitcoin and oil using improved measures of risk," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    2. Cheng, Sheng & Zhang, Zongyou & Cao, Yan, 2022. "Can precious metals hedge geopolitical risk? Fresh sight using wavelet coherence analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    3. Hongjun Zeng & Ran Lu & Abdullahi D. Ahmed, 2023. "Dynamic dependencies and return connectedness among stock, gold and Bitcoin markets: Evidence from South Asia and China," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 18(1), pages 49-87, March.
    4. Ali, Fahad & Jiang, Yuexiang & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2021. "Downside risk in Dow Jones Islamic equity indices: Precious metals and portfolio diversification before and after the COVID-19 bear market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    5. Zhu, Pengfei & Lu, Tuantuan & Chen, Shenglan, 2022. "How do crude oil futures hedge crude oil spot risk after the COVID-19 outbreak? A wavelet denoising-GARCHSK-SJC Copula hedge ratio estimation method," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 607(C).
    6. Jain, Prachi & Maitra, Debasish & McIver, Ron P. & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2023. "Quantile dependencies and connectedness between stock and precious metals markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    7. Gunay, Samet & Kirimhan, Destan & Cevik, Emrah Ismail, 2024. "Commodity market downturn: Systemic risk and spillovers during left tail events," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    8. Gurdgiev, Constantin & Petrovskiy, Alexander, 2024. "Hedging and safe haven assets dynamics in developed and developing markets: Are different markets that much different?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    9. AlGhazali, Abdullah & Belghouthi, Houssem Eddine & Nabli, Mohamed Amine & Mensi, Walid & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2025. "Exploring shock transmission and risk diversification in REIT, commodity, and green bond markets under extreme market conditions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    10. Osman, Myriam Ben & Galariotis, Emilios & Guesmi, Khaled & Hamdi, Haykel & Naoui, Kamel, 2023. "Diversification in financial and crypto markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    11. Díaz, Antonio & Esparcia, Carlos & López, Raquel, 2022. "The diversifying role of socially responsible investments during the COVID-19 crisis: A risk management and portfolio performance analysis," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 39-60.
    12. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Lee, Hsiang-Tai, 2023. "Optimal portfolio diversification with a multi-chain regime-switching spillover GARCH model," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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