Markov regime-switching in pricing equity-linked securities: An empirical study for losses in HSCEI-linked products
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.106929
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Sangkwon Kim & Jisang Lyu & Wonjin Lee & Eunchae Park & Hanbyeol Jang & Chaeyoung Lee & Junseok Kim, 2024. "A Practical Monte Carlo Method for Pricing Equity-Linked Securities with Time-Dependent Volatility and Interest Rate," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(5), pages 2069-2086, May.
- Wang, Jian & Yan, Yan & Chen, Wenbing & Shao, Wei & Wang, Jian & Tang, Weiwei, 2021. "Equity-linked securities option pricing by fractional Brownian motion," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
- Hanbyeol Jang & Sangkwon Kim & Junhee Han & Seongjin Lee & Jungyup Ban & Hyunsoo Han & Chaeyoung Lee & Darae Jeong & Junseok Kim, 2020. "Fast Monte Carlo Simulation for Pricing Equity-Linked Securities," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(4), pages 865-882, December.
- Zhongjun Qu & Fan Zhuo, 2021.
"Likelihood Ratio-Based Tests for Markov Regime Switching,"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 88(2), pages 937-968.
- Zhongjun Qu & Fan Zhuo, 2015. "Likelihood Ratio Based Tests for Markov Regime Switching," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2015-003, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Bouri, Elie & Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan, 2022.
"Forecasting returns of major cryptocurrencies: Evidence from regime-switching factor models,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
- Elie Bouri & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Forecasting Returns of Major Cryptocurrencies: Evidence from Regime-Switching Factor Models," Working Papers 202213, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Enrique Schroth, 2006. "Innovation, Differentiation, and the Choice of an Underwriter: Evidence from Equity-Linked Securities," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 19(3), pages 1041-1080.
- Cui, Zhenyu & Kirkby, J. Lars & Nguyen, Duy, 2017. "Equity-linked annuity pricing with cliquet-style guarantees in regime-switching and stochastic volatility models with jumps," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 46-62.
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2000.
"How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management?,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 82(1), pages 12-22, February.
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997. "How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management?," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 97-45, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1998. "How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management?," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 98-080, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1998. "How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management?," NBER Working Papers 6844, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Zacharias Psaradakis & Nicola Spagnolo, 2003.
"On The Determination Of The Number Of Regimes In Markov‐Switching Autoregressive Models,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(2), pages 237-252, March.
- Zacharias Psaradakis & Nicola Spagnolo, 2002. "On the Determination of the Number of Regimes in Markov-Switching Autoregressive Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002 83, Society for Computational Economics.
- Zhang, Xiaoyuan & Zhang, Tianqi, 2023. "On pricing double-barrier options with Markov regime switching," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Robert J. Elliott & Leunglung Chan & Tak Kuen Siu, 2005. "Option pricing and Esscher transform under regime switching," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 1(4), pages 423-432, October.
- Chou-Wen Wang & Sharon S. Yang & Jr-Wei Huang, 2017. "Analytic option pricing and risk measures under a regime-switching generalized hyperbolic model with an application to equity-linked insurance," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(10), pages 1567-1581, October.
- Kim, Seong-Tae & Kim, Hyun-Gyoon & Kim, Jeong-Hoon, 2021. "ELS pricing and hedging in a fractional Brownian motion environment," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
- Apergis, Nicholas & Mustafa, Ghulam & Malik, Shafaq, 2023. "The role of the COVID-19 pandemic in US market volatility: Evidence from the VIX index," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 27-35.
- Just, Małgorzata & Echaust, Krzysztof, 2020. "Stock market returns, volatility, correlation and liquidity during the COVID-19 crisis: Evidence from the Markov switching approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
- George J. Jiang & Yisong S. Tian, 2005. "The Model-Free Implied Volatility and Its Information Content," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 18(4), pages 1305-1342.
- Brennan, Michael J. & Schwartz, Eduardo S., 1976. "The pricing of equity-linked life insurance policies with an asset value guarantee," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(3), pages 195-213, June.
- Guo, Feng & Chen, Carl R. & Huang, Ying Sophie, 2011. "Markets contagion during financial crisis: A regime-switching approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 95-109, January.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Mittnik, Stefan & Robinzonov, Nikolay & Spindler, Martin, 2015. "Stock market volatility: Identifying major drivers and the nature of their impact," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 1-14.
- Wenlong Hu, 2020. "Risk management of guaranteed minimum maturity benefits under stochastic mortality and regime-switching by Fourier space time-stepping framework," Papers 2006.15483, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
- Godin, Frédéric & Lai, Van Son & Trottier, Denis-Alexandre, 2019.
"Option pricing under regime-switching models: Novel approaches removing path-dependence,"
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 130-142.
- Frédéric Godiny & Van Son Lai & Denis-Alexandre Trottier, 2019. "Option Pricing Under Regime-Switching Models: Novel Approaches Removing Path-Dependence," Working Papers 2019-014, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
- Siu, Tak Kuen, 2023. "European option pricing with market frictions, regime switches and model uncertainty," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 233-250.
- Ignatieva, Katja & Song, Andrew & Ziveyi, Jonathan, 2016. "Pricing and hedging of guaranteed minimum benefits under regime-switching and stochastic mortality," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 286-300.
- Fan, Kun & Shen, Yang & Siu, Tak Kuen & Wang, Rongming, 2015. "Pricing annuity guarantees under a double regime-switching model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 62-78.
- Julián Andrada-Félix & Adrian Fernandez-Perez & Fernando Fernández-Rodríguez & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2022.
"Time connectedness of fear,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 905-931, March.
- Julián Andrada-Félixa & Adrian Fernandez-Perez & Fernando Fernández-Rodríguez & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2018. "“Time connectedness of fear”," IREA Working Papers 201818, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Sep 2018.
- Sangkwon Kim & Jisang Lyu & Wonjin Lee & Eunchae Park & Hanbyeol Jang & Chaeyoung Lee & Junseok Kim, 2024. "A Practical Monte Carlo Method for Pricing Equity-Linked Securities with Time-Dependent Volatility and Interest Rate," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(5), pages 2069-2086, May.
- Olivier Le Courtois & François Quittard-Pinon & Xiaoshan Su, 2020. "Pricing and hedging defaultable participating contracts with regime switching and jump risk," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 43(1), pages 303-339, June.
- Kim, Sung Ik, 2023. "A comparative study of firm value models: Default risk of corporate bonds," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
- Hieber, Peter, 2017. "Cliquet-style return guarantees in a regime switching Lévy model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 138-147.
- Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2014. "Forecasting the density of oil futures," Working Papers 2014-601, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
- Seo, Sung Won & Kim, Jun Sik, 2015. "The information content of option-implied information for volatility forecasting with investor sentiment," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 106-120.
- Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein & Awartani, Basel, 2022. "Have returns and volatilities for financial assets responded to implied volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
- Dong, Bing & Xu, Wei & Sevic, Aleksandar & Sevic, Zeljko, 2020. "Efficient willow tree method for variable annuities valuation and risk management☆," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Soobin Kwak & Youngjin Hwang & Yongho Choi & Jian Wang & Sangkwon Kim & Junseok Kim, 2022. "Reconstructing the Local Volatility Surface from Market Option Prices," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(14), pages 1-12, July.
- Godin, Frédéric & Trottier, Denis-Alexandre, 2021. "Option pricing in regime-switching frameworks with the Extended Girsanov Principle," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 116-129.
- Charles Guy Njike Leunga & Donatien Hainaut, 2022. "Valuation of Annuity Guarantees Under a Self-Exciting Switching Jump Model," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 963-990, June.
- Deelstra, Griselda & Hieber, Peter, 2023. "Randomization and the valuation of guaranteed minimum death benefits," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 309(3), pages 1218-1236.
- Yaodi Yong & Hailiang Yang, 2021. "Valuation of Cliquet-Style Guarantees with Death Benefits in Jump Diffusion Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(16), pages 1-21, August.
More about this item
Keywords
Equity linked securities; Markov regime switching; Risk analysis; HSCEI;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
- C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
- G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:76:y:2025:i:c:s154461232500193x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.